22S:131 Midterm2 8 April 2010 print name_______________________

1) A rangefinder is used to make 11 measurements of the distance between two fixed points.
These measurements are assumed to be a random sample from n(μ, σ2), and result in a
sample variance s2 = 1.62 meters. Find the p-value in a test of hyp: σ2 = 5 vs. alt: σ2 < 5.

a) .01 b) .025 c) .05 d) .10 e) .25

2) The power of the α = .05 test in (1) against the alternative σ2 = 2 is representable as the area
under a chi-square curve to the left of ____

a) 6.57 b) 7.88 c) 9.85 d) 10.12 e) 14.99

3) A calculus exam is given to 50 students who take a traditional 15 week course, and 75 who take
an intensive 3 week course. In the traditional course, avr = 68 & SD = 6, while in the intensive
course avr = 65 & SD = 10. Find the p-value in a test of the hypothesis that both courses are
the same on average vs. the alternative that the traditional course is better on average.

a) .112 b) .081 c) .054 d) .035 e) .018

4) A box contains one red marble and θ white marbles. To test hyp: θ = 7 vs. alt: θ > 7 we
sample 3 marbles without replacement and reject the hypothesis if none of the selected marbles
is red. Find the power function of this test.
θ −2 (θ − 2) 2 θ −2 θ −1 θ − 2 
2

a) b) c) d) e)  
θ2 θ +1 θ +1 θ  θ 
5) 200 patients with irregular heartbeats were randomly divided into two equal-sized groups.
Each member of the "treatment group" was given 500 mg of a beta-blocker daily for six weeks,
while each member of the "control group" was given a placebo. 68 members of the treatment
group and 48 members of the control group had normal rhythm at the end of the six week period.
Find a 95% confidence interval for the difference pt – pc between the 2 probabilities of success.

a) (.066, .334) b) (.074, .326) c) (.188, .212) d) (.109, .291) e) (.132, .268)

6) Find the value of the goodness of fit statistc for testing the hypothesis that the 21 observations

0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 8

are from a Poisson(2) distribution. Use the categories (0,1) (2, 3) (4, 5, …)

a) 4.63 b) 3.88 c) 3.24 d) 2.69 e) 1.36

7) Use the data in the table shown to compute the p-value in a test of the hypothesis that
X and Y are independent variables (answer not exact - - select the choice that is CLOSEST).

Y=0 Y=1 Y=2

X=1 9 23 8
X=2 21 17 22

a) .01 b) .025 c) .05 d) .10 e) .25

8) In a random sample of 10 observations from a continuous distribution, what is the
confidence level of the interval ( X(2), X(6) ) as an estimate of the 40th percentile ?

a) 52.7% b) 62.4% c) 68.1% d) 71.5% e) 78.7%

9) Based on a random sample of size 144, we reject the hypothesis that the 80th percentile = 60
in favor of the alternative that the 80th percentile < 60 if X(122) < 60. Use the normal
approximation, with continuity correction, to find the α-level of this test.

a) .095 b) .086 c) .075 d) .064 e) .052

10) Consider a random sample of size 5 from a distribution having pdf f(x) = 2x, 0 < x < 1.
Find E(X(4))

a) .755 b) .783 c) .808 d) .842 e) .878

11) Use the runs test to compute the p-value in a test of the hypothesis that two independent random
samples (the X's & the Y's) are from the same distribution.

x x y x x x y y y y

a) .032 b) .054 c) .084 d) .132 e) .167

12) Suppose E(T) = 2θ + λ and E(W) = 3θ + 2λ. Which estimator is unbiased for θ ?

a) 3T - W b) 2T - W c) T - 2W d) T - 3W e) none of these are unbiased

13) Suppose X1, …, X10 ~ U(θ + 1, 3θ + 3). Find an unbiased estimator of θ based on X .

X +2 X +3 X −3 X −2 X
a) b) c) d) e)
2 2 2 2 2

14) Find the variance of the estimator in (13)

(θ + 2) 2 (θ +1) 2 θ2 (θ −1) 2 (2θ +1) 2

a) b) c) d) e)
420 120 12 480 12
22S:131 Midterm2 8 april 2010 print name_______________________

1) A rangefinder is used to make 11 measurements of the distance between two fixed points.
These measurements are assumed to be a random sample from n(μ, σ2), and result in a
sample variance s2 = 2.43 meters.

Find the p-value in a test of hyp: σ2 = 5 vs. alt: σ2 < 5.

a) .01 b) .025 c) .05 d) .10 e) .25

2) The power of the α = .05 test in (1) against the alternative σ2 = 3 is representable as the area
under a chi-square curve to the left of ____

a) 6.57 b) 7.88 c) 9.85 d) 10.12 e) 14.99

3) A calculus exam is given to 50 students who take a traditional 15 week course, and 75
students who take an intensive 3 week course. In the traditional course, avr = 67 & SD = 6,
while in the intensive course avr = 65 & SD = 10. Find the p-value in a test of the hypothesis
that both courses are the same on average vs. the alternative that the traditional course is better
on average.

a) .112 b) .081 c) .054 d) .035 e) .018

4) A box contains one red marble and θ white marbles. To test hyp: θ = 7 vs. alt: θ > 7 we
sample 3 marbles without replacement and reject the hypothesis if none of the selected marbles
is red. Find the power function of this test.

θ −2 (θ − 2) 2 θ −2 θ −1 θ − 2 
2

a) b) c) d) e)  
θ2 θ +1 θ +1 θ  θ 
5) 200 patients with irregular heartbeats were randomly divided into two equal-sized groups.
Each member of the "treatment group" was given 500 mg of a beta-blocker daily for six weeks,
while each member of the "control group" was given a placebo. 78 members of the treatment
group and 58 members of the control group had normal rhythm at the end of the six week period.
Find a 95% confidence interval for the difference pt – pc between the two probabilities of
success.

a) (.066, .334) b) (.074, .326) c) (.188, .212) d) (.109, .291) e) (.132, .268)

6) Find the value of the goodness of fit statistc for testing the hypothesis that the 21 observations

0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 8

are from a Poisson(2) distribution. Use the categories (0,1) (2, 3) (4, 5, …)

a) 4.63 b) 3.88 c) 3.24 d) 2.69 e) 1.36

7) Use the data in the table shown to compute the p-value in a test of the hypothesis that
X and Y are independent variables. (answer not exact - - select the choice that is CLOSEST).

Y=0 Y=1 Y=2

X=1 9 23 8
X=2 21 17 22

a) .01 b) .025 c) .05 d) .10 e) .25

8) In a random sample of 10 observations from a continuous distribution, what is the
confidence level of the interval ( X(2), X(6)) as an estimate of the 40th percentile ?

a) 52.7% b) 62.4% c) 68.1% d) 71.5% e) 78.7%

9) Based on a random sample of size 144, we reject the hypothesis that the 80th percentile = 55
in favor of the alternative that the 80th percentile < 55 if X(123) < 55. Find the α-level of this test.
(hint: use the normal approximation, with continuity correction)

a) .095 b) .086 c) .075 d) .064 e) .052

10) Consider a random sample of size 5 from a distribution having pdf f(x) = 2x, 0 < x < 1
Find E(X(4))

a) .755 b) .783 c) .808 d) .842 e) .878

11) Use the runs test to compute the p-value in a test of the hypothesis that two independent random
samples (the X's & the Y's) are from the same distribution.

x x y x x x y y y y

a) .032 b) .054 c) .084 d) .132 e) .167

12) Suppose E(T) = 2θ + λ and E(W) = 5θ + 3λ. Which estimator is unbiased for θ ?

a) 3T - W b) 2T - W c) T - 2W d) T - 3W e) none of these are unbiased

13) Suppose X1, …, X10 ~ U(θ + 2, 3θ + 4). Find an unbiased estimator of θ based on X .

X +2 X +3 X −3 X −2 X
a) b) c) d) e)
2 2 2 2 2

14) Find the variance of the estimator in (13)

(θ + 2) 2 (θ +1) 2 θ2 (θ −1) 2 (2θ +1) 2

a) b) c) d) e)
420 120 12 480 12