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DEPARTMEHNIT
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RSBAN ROADS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page i of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1.2.1.1: Vehicle Fleet Characteristics .............................................................................................. 1-3
Table 1.2.1.2: Work Standards for Road Maintenance Activities ............................................................. 1-4
Table 1.2.1.3: Work Standards for Interchange Bridge Structure Maintenance Activities........................ 1-4
Table 1.2.1.4: Summary of Project Costs by Proposed Scheme ................................................................ 1-5
Table 1.2.1.5: Distribution of Project Costs by Existing Road .................................................................. 1-6
Table 1.2.1.6: Summary of Total Project Costs by Proposed Scheme....................................................... 1-6
Table 1.2.1.7: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - At-Grade Signalised
Intersection ................................................................................................................................................ 1-7
Table 1.2.1.8: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - 3-Tier Rotary .................... 1-7
Table 1.2.1.9: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - 3-Tier Signalised .............. 1-8
Table 1.2.1.10: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Partial Clover Leaf ........ 1-8
Table 1.2.1.11: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Full Clover Leaf ............ 1-8
Table 1.2.1.12: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Directional (3 levels) ..... 1-9
Table 1.2.1.13: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Semi-Directional (3 levels)
................................................................................................................................................................... 1-9
Table 1.2.1.14: Summary of Unit Costs for Road Maintenance Activities ............................................. 1-10
Table 1.2.1.15: Summary of Economic Unit Vehicle Operating Costs ................................................... 1-11
Table 1.2.1.16:: Summary of Value of Time ........................................................................................... 1-13
Table 1.2.1.17: Summary of Average Occupancy Rate - Persons Carried .............................................. 1-13
Table 1.2.1.18: Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay - Time Savings (Year 1) ............. 1-14
Table 1.2.1.19: Summary of Time Savings and Average Annual Percent Change ................................. 1-15
Table 1.2.2.1: Summary of Economic Evaluation (Base Run) ................................................................ 1-16
Table 1.2.2.2a: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis....................... 1-17
Table 1.2.2.3: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (EIRR) .................................... 1-19
Table 1.2.2.4: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Net Present Value - NPV) ..... 1-19
Table 1.2.2.5: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Benefit-Cost Ratio - BCR) .... 1-20
Table 1.2.2.6: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (FYRR)................................... 1-21
Table 1.2.2.7a: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (2-Tier
Interchanges) ............................................................................................................................................ 1-22
Table 1.2.2.8: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (At-Grade Signalised Intersection) ........ 1-24
Table 1.2.2.9: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (3-Tier Rotary Interchange)................... 1-25
Table 1.2.2.10: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (3-Tier Signalised Interchange) ........... 1-26
Table 1.2.2.11: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Partial Clover Leaf Interchange) ........ 1-27
Table 1.2.2.12: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Full Clover Leaf Interchange) ............ 1-28
Table 1.2.2.13: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Directional 3-Tier Interchange) ...... 1-29
Table 1.2.2.14: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Semi-Directional 3-Tier Interchange) . 1-
30
Table 1.2.2.15: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Switching Value Analyses (Base Run/Case)........ 1-31
Table 1.2.2.16a: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Total Net User Benefits by Proposed
Scheme/Option (Base Run/Case) ............................................................................................................. 1-32
Page ii of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.2.2.1: Annual Average VOC per veh-km ACP Road (Base Case - Minimal Maintenance) .. 1-34
Figure 1.2.2.2: Annual Average VOC per veh-km ACP Road (Upgrade road to 2-Lane Dual Facility
with Asphalt Concrete Surfacing) ............................................................................................................ 1-34
Figure 1.2.2.3: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Awoshie New Road Unpaved Section.................. 1-35
Figure 1.2.2.4: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Awoshie New Road Unpaved Section (Upgrade road
to 2-Lane Dual Facility with Asphalt Concrete Surfacing) ..................................................................... 1-35
Figure 1.2.2.5: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Nsawam Road (Base Case - Minimal Maintenance) 1-
36
Figure 1.2.2.6: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Nsawam Road (Pavement Reconstruction) .......... 1-36
Page iii of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
General
The Consultants employed two (2) main Models for the economic analysis and evaluation of the
project for the 25 years following its completion, as per the TOR. These models comprise:
Excel model for the selection of Bridge type, (structure and type of material), and
The Highway Development and Management Investment Model, (HDM-4), for the
selection of the best project functional scheme/option, utilising the traffic operations on
the influence area road network system
Length of road
Pavement structure and strength
Altitude and rainfall
Tare weight
Driven power
Used braking power
No. of axles/ESA factors
No. of tyres
Type of fuel
Average annual km driven
Average annual hours driven
Hourly utilization ratio
Average service life (years) - these are given in Table 1.2.1.1.
Traffic volume and growth rates for all the vehicle categories, (both motorised and non-
motorised) these are presented under the Traffic section.
Tables 1.2.1.2 and 1.2.1.3 give the Work Standards for Road Maintenance and Interchange Bridge
Structure Maintenance activities respectively.
Page 1-2 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
REPRESENTATIVE YAMAHA NISSAN URVAN 2.6 TOYOTA CARINA NISSAN PICKUP NISSAN CIVILIAN SWARAJ MAZDA MERCEDEZ BENZ MERCEDEZ BENZ MERCEDEZ BENZ
NO. OF WHEELS 2 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 10 14
NO. OF AXLES 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4
TYPE OF TYRE B R R R R B B B B B
BASE NO. OF RECAPS PER TYPE
CARCASS 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
RETREAD COST AS A % OF NEW TYRE
COST 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
ANNUAL AVERAGE DISTANCE
TRAVELLED (KM) 10,000 41,000 20,000 39,000 25,000 62,000 30,000 60,000 60,000 100,000
ANNUAL WORKING HOURS 400.00 2,000.00 500 1,900 1,300 2,000 1,715 1,750 1,750 1,750
NO. OF PASSENGERS 1.50 11.00 3.40 3.00 7.00 40.00 2.00 2.50 3.90 1.30
OPERATING WEIGHT (TONNES) 0.20 3.72 1.60 1.60 2.00 9.00 6.25 11.62 27.35 38.00
2. CALIBRATION
FRONTAL AREA (m2) 0.8 2.9 1.9 1.9 2.8 5.0 4.0 5.0 8.5 9.0
DRIVING POWER (kw) 12 40 33 33 45 65 50 87 227 227
BRAKING POWER (kw) 5 26 20 20 25 70 45 70 255 255
RATED ENGINE POWER (kw) 15 60 70 70 60 100 75 100 280 300
Note: 1. R - Radial-ply 2. B - Bias-ply 3. Source: Mostly Ghana Highway Authority - 2009 and Consultants Studies - 2011. 4. ESALF Source: Circle-Tesano Sudies - Brazilians for Circle Interchange, 2014.
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Grading Every 188 days Max IRI = 30, (work would not be performed)
Gravel thickness <= 100 mm. Max IRI = 16, (work
Spot Regravelling
would not be performed)
Gravel thickness <= 50 mm. Max IRI = 30, (work
Regravelling
would not be performed)
B. Paved Road
AC Overlay (50 mm) Every 8 years Max IRI = 30, (work would not be performed)
Defects such as ravelling, rutting, etc., have also been considered and these are reflected in the
Roughness, (IRI) values.
Table 1.2.1.3: Work Standards for Interchange Bridge Structure Maintenance Activities
Frequency
Maintenance Activity Remark
(Years)
Table 1.2.1.3 was not applied to the At-Grade Signalised Option. Major signal control periodic
maintenance has however been included at a frequency of every five (5) years.
Page 1-4 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Note: 1. Costs include associated Ramps, but not Existing Roads. 2. Economic = Financial x 0.85.
Page 1-5 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Note: 1. Economic = Financial x 0.85. 2. Projects involve Pavement Reconstruction, Upgrading and
Widening.
Page 1-6 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
The adjustment factor used was adopted from similar studies, where the Economic costs were
derived from the Financial costs after deducting taxes, duties, etc. The following projects have
been modelled:
Table 1.2.1.7 through to Table 1.2.1.13 gives the distribution of the Total Project Unit Costs by the
Project roads. The distribution of the Interchange costs is by road length.
Table 1.2.1.7: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - At-Grade Signalised Intersection
Table 1.2.1.8: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - 3-Tier Rotary
Page 1-7 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.1.9: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - 3-Tier Signalised
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - 3-Tier Signalised
Table 1.2.1.10: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Partial Clover Leaf
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Partial Clover Leaf
Name of Road Lenth (km) Financial Economic
Table 1.2.1.11: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Full Clover Leaf
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Full Clover Leaf
Name of Road Lenth (km) Financial Economic
Page 1-8 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.1.12: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Directional (3 levels)
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Directional (3 levels)
Name of Road Lenth (km) Financial Economic
Table 1.2.1.13: Summary of Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars Semi-Directional (3 levels)
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars - Semi-Directional (3 levels)
Name of Road Lenth (km) Financial Economic
Page 1-9 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Non-Motorised Transport (NMT) Costs, especially Bicycles these costs include time
and operating costs.
The Consultants collected and updated unit vehicle operating costs (VOC) for representative
vehicles, using data from relevant sources such as DUR, MRH, GHA, vehicle operators and
manufacturers, fuel companies, etc.
Page 1-10 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
REPRESENTATIVE YAMAHA NISSAN URVAN 2.6 TOYOTA CARINA NISSAN PICKUP NISSAN CIVILIAN SWARAJ MAZDA MERCEDEZ BENZ MERCEDEZ BENZ MERCEDEZ BENZ
COST OF AN INDIVIDUAL TYRE 44.00 55.00 48.40 48.40 57.20 233.20 62.70 328.90 379.50 437.80
FUEL COST/LITRE 0.95 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93
LUBRICANTS COST/LITRE 8.84 5.28 8.84 8.84 5.28 5.28 5.28 5.28 5.28 5.28
AV. MTCE LABOUR COST/HOUR 1.20 1.20 1.92 1.92 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.68
CREW WAGES/HOUR 0.00 0.54 0.10 0.10 0.46 0.82 0.90 1.00 1.14 1.14
AV. ANNUAL OVERHEAD COST
(LUMPSUM/YEAR) 0.00 500.00 400 400 200 700 700 700 800 800
CARGO/HOUR
Note: Source: Mostly Ghana Highway Authority - 2009 and Consultants Studies - 2011.
Page 1-11 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
VOC savings
Residual value of road structures at the end of the evaluation period
Savings in road maintenance expenditure
Value of time savings
Exogenous benefits, i.e. external benefits that are input into the model directly - savings
due to reduction in delay were considered as a major benefit to the project
Only quantifiable benefits have been used for the economic evaluation of the Project. The
Consultants have however; undertaken detailed qualitative analysis of the non-quantifiable
(Intangible) benefits, i.e. the indirect economic and social benefits arising from the project. This
is presented under the Social Impact Assessment section.
Value of Time
This has been used to quantify the anticipated reduction in delays due to the project. The average
value of the various vehicle categories, US$ 0.37/hr, has been employed. This has been used to
quantify the expected time savings for the various alternative Project schemes/options against the
Existing situation. The time savings were obtained from the results of the traffic modelling at 5-
year intervals over the design horizon of 25 years.
The time savings were applied to only the Work-related trips for the Morning peak period as a
representation for the day. The Work-related trips were obtained from the results of the Origin-
Destination surveys. The annual savings were computed over a period of 260 days.
Page 1-12 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.1.16 gives the summary of the value of time savings per hour for each type of vehicle.
The average number of persons carried is shown in Table 1.2.1.17. Quantification of first year
Benefits is presented in Table 1.2.1.18.
1 car 0.50
2 taxi 0.50
3 Pick-up/vans/jeeps 0.34
11 motorcycle 0.30
Average Value 0.37
Note: Source: HDM-4 Calibrated Model for Ghana.
1 car 3.4
2 taxi 3.0
3 pick-up/vans/jeeps 7.0
10 motorcycle 1.5
Total Persons 75.6
Page 1-13 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.1.18: Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay - Time Savings (Year 1)
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr.
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- (Year 1 - US$)
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$)
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 2,280.6 107.6 2,173.0 76 165,148 0.37 61,105 15,887,238 80 12,709,790
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 2,280.6 175.3 2,105.3 76 160,003 0.37 59,201 15,392,269 80 12,313,815
3 3-Tier Signalised 2,280.6 54.3 2,226.3 76 169,199 0.37 62,604 16,276,925 80 13,021,540
4 Partial Clover Leaf 2,280.6 687.2 1,593.4 76 121,098 0.37 44,806 11,649,666 80 9,319,733
5 Full Clover Leaf 2,280.6 44.6 2,236.0 76 169,936 0.37 62,876 16,347,843 80 13,078,275
6 Directional (3 levels) 2,280.6 242.3 2,038.3 76 154,911 0.37 57,317 14,902,419 80 11,921,935
Semi-Directional (3
7 2,280.6 216.3 2,064.3 76 156,887 0.37 58,048 15,092,510 80 12,074,008
levels)
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning.
Page 1-14 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Net travel time savings for the first year of project completion and average annual percent change over the subsequent years are presented in
Table 1.2.1.19.
Table 1.2.1.19: Summary of Time Savings and Average Annual Percent Change
Option Proposed Scheme Year 1 Year 2 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year 20 Year 25
At-Grade Signalised
1 12.71 -21.0 -55.1 -272.7 -116.3 -116.3 -116.3
Intersection
4 Partial Clover Leaf 9.32 -94.8 -260.1 75.7 -93.1 -93.1 -93.1
5 Full Clover Leaf 13.08 -23.2 13.6 22.8 4.4 4.4 4.4
Semi-Directional (3
7 12.07 -35.3 -189.2 4.7 -73.3 -73.3 -73.3
levels)
Note: 1. Net Savings are against "Without the Project". 2. Years 15-25 - Average of first 10 years. 3. The Model accepts up to -100%.
The expected time savings/percent change for the various years were entered into the model as Exogenous benefits for each alternative Project
scheme/option.
Page 1-15 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
The economic viability for all has been expressed, in terms of:
a b c d e f = d/e g h
At-Grade Signalised
1 40.5 65.48 27.17 2.410 26.3 46.90
Intersection
Note: 1. EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return 2. NPV = Net Present Value 3. FYRR = First Year Rate of Return.
Page 1-16 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
All the proposed projects, with the exception of the Directional (3 levels) and the Semi-
Directional (3 levels), are viable and also justified to be implemented as planned, with:
EIRR greater than 12% - discount rate
NPV greater than Zero positive
B/C ratio (BCR) greater than 1 unity, and
FYRR also greater than 12%.
Full Clover Leaf option has the highest EIRR of about 48%
Full Clover Leaf option has the highest NPV of about US$ 284 million as well as the
highest BCR of about 8.1
At-Grade Signalised Intersection option has the highest FYRR of about 26%
Incremental benefit-cost analysis has, however, been performed to compute the Incremental
benefit-cost ratio, (IBCR), to assess the most feasible project scheme/option. Table 1.2.2.2a and
Table 1.2.2.2b show the summary of results for the separate Incremental benefit-cost analysis
for the 2-Tier and the 3-Tier interchanges respectively.
Where:
a b d e f = d/e h i j
4 Partial Clover Leaf 53.07 31.75 1.671 54.82 -2.706 IBCR < 1
5 Full Clover Leaf 283.63 34.93 8.120 60.31 28.103 IBCR > 1
Page 1-17 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
a b d e f = d/e h i j
Sensitivity Analyses
The summaries of results for the Sensitivity analyses are presented in Table 1.2.2.3 through to
Table 1.2.2.6 for EIRR, NPV, BCR and FYRR respectively for all the four (4) scenarios.
Page 1-18 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Economic Internal Rate of Return - EIRR)
EIRR (%)
All
20% Reduction
20% Increase 20% Reduction Negative/
Option Proposed Scheme/Type of Scenario in Value of
in Project Cost in AADT Worst
Time
Case
Note: Highest
Full Clover Leaf option has the highest EIRR for all scenarios. EIRR ranges from about
37% to about 45%
Table 1.2.2.4: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Net Present Value - NPV)
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Net Present Value - NPV)
NPV (Million US$)
All
20% Reduction
Proposed Scheme/Type of 20% Increase 20% Reduction Negative/
Option in Value of
Scenario in Project Cost in AADT Worst
Time
Case
Note: Highest
Page 1-19 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.5: Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Benefit-Cost Ratio - BCR)
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (Benefit-Cost Ratio - BCR)
NPV/Cost Ratio (BCR)
All
20% Reduction
Proposed Scheme/Type of 20% Increase 20% Reduction Negative/
Option in Value of
Scenario in Project Cost in AADT Worst
Time
Case
Note: Highest
Full Clover Leaf option has the highest BCR for all the scenarios. BCR ranges from
about 4.98 to about 6.60.
Directional (3-Tier) and Semi-Directional (3-Tier) options have BCR values less than Unity for
all the scenarios
3-Tier Rotary and 3-Tier Signalised options have BCR values less than Unity for the scenarios:
20% Reduction in AADT and All Negative/Worst Case
Partial Clover Leaf option have BCR values less than Unity for the All Negative/Worst Case
scenario
At-Grade Signalised Intersection option has BCR values greater than Unity for all the scenarios
Page 1-20 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme (First Year Rate of Return - FYRR)
FYRR (%)
All
20% Reduction
Base 20% Increase 20% Reduction Negative/
Option Proposed Scheme/Type of Scenario in Value of
Run/Case in Project Cost in AADT Worst
Time
Case
Note: Highest
At-Grade Signalised Intersection option has the highest FYRR values for all the scenarios. FYRR
ranges from about 17% to about 26%.
Directional (3-Tier) and Semi-Directional (3-Tier) options have most values less than the
minimum required value of 12%.
Semi-Directional (3-Tier) option has all values less than 12%.
3-Tier Rotary, 3-Tier Signalised and Full Clover Leaf options have FYRR values greater than
12% for all the scenarios:
Partial Clover Leaf option has only the All Negative/Worst Case scenario value less than the
minimum required value of 12%.
Incremental benefit-cost analysis was also performed for all the Sensitivity scenarios.
Table 1.2.2.7a and Table 1.2.2.7b give the summary of results for the Incremental benefit-cost
analysis.
Page 1-21 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.7a: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (2-Tier Interchanges)
The Full Clover Leaf option is the most feasible option. It is the most feasible project
option under all the scenarios
The additional cost to be incurred for embarking on the Partial Clover Leaf option against
the At-Grade Signalised Intersection option is not worth it, since IBCR is negative.
Table 1.2.2.7b: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (3-Tier Interchanges)
Page 1-22 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.8 through to Table 1.2.2.14 show the summary of the Annual discounted Cash
streams for the various project options.
It should be mentioned that Negative value signifies Cost incurred and Positive value indicates Benefit
derived.
Page 1-23 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.8: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (At-Grade Signalised Intersection)
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.9: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (3-Tier Rotary Interchange)
Proposed Project Option: 3-Tier Rotary Interchange
Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Million US$)
Agency Costs User Benefits
Normal Traffic + Generated/Induced
Construction Maintenance
Diverted Traffic
Other-
Costs Costs VOC Time VOC Time Total
Exogenous
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -25.798 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -25.797
2018 -9.872 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -9.868
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 6.987 13.095
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 0.000 5.935
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 0.000 5.740
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 0.000 5.488
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 0.000 5.220
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 0.000 4.933
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 0.000 3.301
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 0.000 2.061
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 0.000 2.017
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 0.000 1.823
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 0.000 1.689
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 0.000 1.935
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 0.000 2.107
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 0.000 2.047
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 0.000 2.134
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 0.000 2.576
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 0.000 2.741
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 0.000 2.852
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 0.000 2.916
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 0.000 2.931
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 0.000 2.913
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 0.000 2.889
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 0.000 2.785
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 0.000 2.555
2043 0.387 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 0.000 2.722
Totals -35.283 -0.171 68.288 3.738 7.605 0.576 6.987 51.106
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.10: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (3-Tier Signalised Interchange)
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.11: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Partial Clover Leaf Interchange)
Proposed Project Option: Partial Clover Leaf Interchange
Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Million US$)
Agency Costs User Benefits
Normal Traffic + Generated/Induced
Construction Maintenance
Diverted Traffic
Other-
Costs Costs VOC Time VOC Time Total
Exogenous
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -23.218 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -23.217
2018 -8.885 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -8.881
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 5.288 11.396
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 0.000 5.935
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 0.000 5.740
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 0.000 5.488
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 0.000 5.220
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 0.000 4.933
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 0.000 3.301
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 0.000 2.061
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 0.000 2.017
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 0.000 1.823
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 0.000 1.689
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 0.000 1.935
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 0.000 2.107
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 0.000 2.047
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 0.000 2.134
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 0.000 2.576
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 0.000 2.741
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 0.000 2.852
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 0.000 2.916
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 0.000 2.931
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 0.000 2.913
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 0.000 2.889
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 0.000 2.785
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 0.000 2.555
2043 0.348 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 0.000 2.683
Totals -31.754 -0.171 68.288 3.738 7.605 0.576 5.288 53.072
Page 1-27 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.12: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Full Clover Leaf Interchange)
Proposed Project Option: Full Clover Leaf Interchange
Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Million US$)
Agency Costs User Benefits
Normal Traffic + Generated/Induced
Construction Maintenance
Diverted Traffic
Other-
Costs Costs VOC Time VOC Time Total
Exogenous
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -25.540 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -25.539
2018 -9.773 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -9.769
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 7.421 13.529
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 6.917 12.852
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 6.448 12.188
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 6.010 11.499
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 6.590 11.810
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 7.226 12.158
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 7.922 11.223
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 8.686 10.747
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 9.524 11.541
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 9.660 11.483
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 9.798 11.487
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 9.938 11.873
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 10.080 12.187
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 10.224 12.271
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 10.370 12.504
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 10.518 13.094
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 10.668 13.409
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 10.821 13.673
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 10.975 13.891
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 11.132 14.063
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 11.291 14.204
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 11.452 14.341
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 11.616 14.401
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 11.782 14.337
2043 0.383 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 11.950 14.668
Totals -34.930 -0.171 68.288 3.738 7.605 0.576 239.019 283.627
Page 1-28 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.13: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Directional 3-Tier Interchange)
Proposed Project Option: 3-Tier Directional Interchange
Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Million US$)
Agency Costs User Benefits
Normal Traffic + Generated/Induced
Construction Maintenance
Diverted Traffic
Other-
Costs Costs VOC Time VOC Time Total
Exogenous
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -38.697 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -38.696
2018 -14.808 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -14.804
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 6.765 12.873
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 6.245 12.180
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 5.766 11.506
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 5.323 10.811
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 0.000 5.220
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 0.000 4.933
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 0.000 3.301
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 0.000 2.061
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 0.000 2.017
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 0.000 1.823
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 0.000 1.689
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 0.000 1.935
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 0.000 2.107
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 0.000 2.047
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 0.000 2.134
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 0.000 2.576
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 0.000 2.741
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 0.000 2.852
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 0.000 2.916
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 0.000 2.931
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 0.000 2.913
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 0.000 2.889
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 0.000 2.785
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 0.000 2.555
2043 0.581 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 0.000 2.916
Totals -52.924 -0.171 68.288 3.738 7.605 0.576 24.099 50.713
Page 1-29 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.14: Summary of Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Semi-Directional 3-Tier Interchange)
Proposed Project Option: 3-Tier Semi-Directional Interchange
Annual Discounted Cash Streams (Million US$)
Agency Costs User Benefits
Normal Traffic + Generated/Induced
Construction Maintenance
Diverted Traffic
Other-
Costs Costs VOC Time VOC Time Exogeno Total
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Milus
US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -42.567 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -42.565
2018 -16.288 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -16.285
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 6.851 12.959
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 0.000 5.935
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 0.000 5.740
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 0.000 5.488
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 0.000 5.220
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 0.000 4.933
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 0.000 3.301
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 0.000 2.061
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 0.000 2.017
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 0.000 1.823
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 0.000 1.689
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 0.000 1.935
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 0.000 2.107
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 0.000 2.047
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 0.000 2.134
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 0.000 2.576
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 0.000 2.741
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 0.000 2.852
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 0.000 2.916
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 0.000 2.931
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 0.000 2.913
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 0.000 2.889
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 0.000 2.785
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 0.000 2.555
2043 0.639 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 0.000 2.974
Totals -58.216 -0.171 68.288 3.738 7.605 0.576 6.851 28.173
Page 1-30 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.15: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Switching Value Analyses (Base Run/Case)
On the average, Agency costs have to be multiplied by about 3.38 (237 percent increase) to
render NPV Zero. On the other hand, User benefits would have to be multiplied by about
0.39 (60 percent reduction) for NPV to turn to Zero.
This implies that User benefits, (traffic levels), are more sensitive to the outcome of
Economic evaluation of the project than Agency costs.
The Full Clover Leaf option has the highest percentages in both costs increase (809%), and
benefit reduction (89%).
Page 1-31 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.16a: Summary of Economic Evaluation - Total Net User Benefits by Proposed Scheme/Option
(Base Run/Case)
Base Run/Case Scenario Total Discounted Net User Benefits (Million US Dollars)
Exogenous
Option Proposed Scheme VOC Savings Time Savings Total
Benefits - Delay
The Full Clover Leaf option has the highest total Net User Benefits.
Page 1-32 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table 1.2.2.16b: Summary of Economic Evaluation Percent Distribution of Net User Benefits by Proposed
Scheme/Option (Base Run/Case)
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Percent Distribution of Net User Benefits by Proposed Scheme/Option
Base Run/Case Scenario Percent Distribution of Net User Benefits
Exogenous
Option Proposed Scheme VOC Savings Time Savings Total
Benefits - Delay
On the average, VOC savings constitute about 74 percent of total Net User Benefits.
The Partial Clover Leaf option has the highest of about 89 percent.
On the average, Time savings constitute about 4 percent of total Net User Benefits.
The Partial Clover Leaf option has the highest of about 5 percent.
On the average, Delay savings constitute about 21 percent of total Net User Benefits.
The Full Clover Leaf option has the highest of about 75 percent.
Page 1-33 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
0.5
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.1: Annual Average VOC per veh-km ACP Road (Base Case - Minimal Maintenance)
0.5
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.2: Annual Average VOC per veh-km ACP Road (Upgrade road to 2-Lane Dual Facility with
Asphalt Concrete Surfacing)
Page 1-34 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
0.5
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.3: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Awoshie New Road Unpaved Section
0.5
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.4: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Awoshie New Road Unpaved Section (Upgrade road to 2-
Lane Dual Facility with Asphalt Concrete Surfacing)
Page 1-35 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
2 06 Heavy truck 1
07 Articulator Truck
1.6 09 Small bus
11 Medium/Heavy bus
1.2 13 Motorcycle / scoo
0.8
0.4
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.5: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Nsawam Road (Base Case - Minimal Maintenance)
2 06 Heavy truck 1
07 Articulator Truck
1.6 09 Small bus
11 Medium/Heavy bus
1.2 13 Motorcycle / scoo
0.8
0.4
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
Year
Figure 1.2.2.6: Annual Average VOC per veh-km Nsawam Road (Pavement Reconstruction)
Page 1-36 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
1.3 Conclusions
The following conclusions are made based on the forgoing analysis and summaries of results:
(a) All the proposed projects are viable and also justified to be implemented as planned, with
all the Economic indicators criteria satisfied, with the exception of the Directional (3
levels) and the Semi-Directional (3 levels).
Their NPV/Cost Ratios (BCR) are less than Unity
(b) The Full Clover Leaf option has the highest EIRR of about 48%. It also has the highest
NPV of about US$ 284 million as well as the highest BCR of about 8.1. It has the highest
total Net User Benefits
(c) The At-Grade Signalised intersection option has the highest FYRR of about 26%
(d) The 3-Tier Signalised option is the most feasible option among the 3-Tier interchanges,
while the Full Clover Leaf option is the most feasible option among the 2-Tier interchanges
(e) All the proposed projects are also viable under most of the Sensitivity scenarios, with the
exception of the Directional (3 levels) and the Semi-Directional (3 levels).
(f) The Switching value analyses revealed that User benefits, (traffic levels), are more
sensitive to the outcome of Economic evaluation of the project than Agency costs.
1.4 Recommendations
The Consultants recommend the following three (3) Interchange project options for consideration based
on the results of the Economic evaluation as presented in the various sections:
It should however be mentioned that the Full Clover leaf option would have severe land
constraints due to the fact that one of the loops would occupy the Sacred grove (forest), which,
according to local sources, accommodates three (3) gods of the Community and therefore could
not be touched.
The details and supporting documentation of all the analysis and results presented herein are
included in the Appendices to this report. The HDM-4 Model files have been presented on separate
CDs.
Page 1-37 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Page 1-38 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Page 1-39 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Total
(NPV = First Year Agency
(C) (B) ( E) (NPV/RAC) (NPV/CAP) ( IRR ) ( FYRR )
B+E-C) Benefits Capital
Road Project Costs
BASE CASE 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000
UPGRADE DBST TO ASPHALT - ACP/Kwabenya Road 2.59 2.58 2.54 6.71 1.06 5.22 2.013 2.023 31.4 18.8 0.491 2.609
UPGRADE GRVL TO ASPHALT - Awoshie to Pokuase Road 25.92 25.81 25.87 24.76 10.56 9.45 0.365 0.366 17.3 18.8 4.913 26.088
PAVEMENT RECONSTRUCTION - Nsawam Road 10.48 10.43 10.43 48.15 4.27 41.98 4.006 4.027 43.5 18.8 1.985 10.540
39.038 38.811 38.842 79.611 15.885 56.654 1.451 1.460 30.7 18.8 39.237
Figure in brackets is number of IRR solutions in range -90 to +900
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Page 1-40 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Total
(NPV = First Year Agency
(C) (B) ( E) (NPV/RAC) (NPV/CAP) ( IRR ) ( FYRR )
B+E-C) Benefits Capital
Road Project Costs
BASE CASE 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000
UPGRADE DBST TO ASPHALT - ACP/Kwabenya Road 2.34 2.32 2.29 6.71 15.89 20.31 8.690 8.745 46.3 21.0 0.493 2.348
UPGRADE GRVL TO ASPHALT - Awoshie to Pokuase Road 23.36 23.22 23.31 24.76 158.92 160.37 6.865 6.905 38.9 21.0 4.934 23.479
PAVEMENT RECONSTRUCTION - Nsawam Road 9.45 9.38 9.40 48.15 64.20 102.95 10.892 10.972 57.5 21.0 1.993 9.486
35.199 34.930 35.003 79.611 239.019 283.627 8.058 8.120 47.6 21.0 35.313
Figure in brackets is number of IRR solutions in range -90 to +900
Study Name:
POKUASE INTERCHANGE
HIGHWAY DEVELOPMENT & MANAGEMENT
Run Date: 31/08/2015
Currency: US Dollar (millions)
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Total
(NPV = First Year Agency
(C) (B) ( E) (NPV/RAC) (NPV/CAP) ( IRR ) ( FYRR )
B+E-C) Benefits Capital
Road Project Costs
BASE CASE 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000
UPGRADE DBST TO ASPHALT - ACP/Kwabenya Road 3.53 3.52 3.48 6.71 1.60 4.82 1.365 1.371 26.4 12.6 0.450 3.557
UPGRADE GRVL TO ASPHALT - Awoshie to Pokuase Road 35.32 35.19 35.28 24.76 16.02 5.50 0.156 0.156 14.5 12.6 4.498 35.575
PAVEMENT RECONSTRUCTION - Nsawam Road 14.29 14.22 14.24 48.15 6.47 40.38 2.827 2.841 35.2 12.6 1.817 14.372
53.193 52.924 52.997 79.611 24.099 50.713 0.953 0.958 25.4 12.6 53.504
Figure in brackets is number of IRR solutions in range -90 to +900
Page 1-41 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP7
Study Name:
POKUASE INTERCHANGE
HIGHWAY DEVELOPMENT & MANAGEMENT
Run Date: 31/08/2015
Currency: US Dollar (millions)
Present Value
Present Value
of Agency
of Total Agency Increase in Decrease in Net Exogenous Net Present NPV/Cost NPV/Cost Internal Rate First Year Rate
Capital Costs
Costs (RAC)
(CAP )
Agency Costs User Costs Benefits Value Ratio Ratio of Return of Return
Total
(NPV = First Year Agency
(C) (B) ( E) (NPV/RAC) (NPV/CAP) ( IRR ) ( FYRR )
B+E-C) Benefits Capital
Road Project Costs
BASE CASE 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000
UPGRADE DBST TO ASPHALT - ACP/Kwabenya Road 3.89 3.87 3.84 6.71 0.46 3.33 0.856 0.859 20.3 11.6 0.456 3.913
UPGRADE GRVL TO ASPHALT - Awoshie to Pokuase Road 38.84 38.71 38.79 24.76 4.56 -9.48 -0.244 -0.245 8.6 11.6 4.555 39.132
PAVEMENT RECONSTRUCTION - Nsawam Road 15.71 15.64 15.66 48.15 1.84 34.33 2.186 2.195 27.9 11.6 1.840 15.809
58.486 58.216 58.289 79.611 6.851 28.173 0.482 0.484 18.9 11.6 58.855
Figure in brackets is number of IRR solutions in range -90 to +900
Page 1-42 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1
POKUASE INTERCHANGE E
Table APP8
Distribution of Unit Costs for Signal Control Maitenance Activities - At-Grade Signalised
Intersection
Financial Unit Cost (US Economic Unit Cost (US
Dollars) Dollars)
Table APP9
Financial Unit Cost (US Dollars) Economic Unit Cost (US Dollars)
Name of Road Every 5 years Every 20 years Every 5 years Every 20 years
Page 1-43 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP10
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr.
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- (Year 1 - US$)
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$)
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 2,280.6 107.6 2,173.0 76 165,148 0.37 61,105 15,887,238 80 12,709,790
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 2,280.6 175.3 2,105.3 76 160,003 0.37 59,201 15,392,269 80 12,313,815
3 3-Tier Signalised 2,280.6 54.3 2,226.3 76 169,199 0.37 62,604 16,276,925 80 13,021,540
4 Partial Clover Leaf 2,280.6 687.2 1,593.4 76 121,098 0.37 44,806 11,649,666 80 9,319,733
5 Full Clover Leaf 2,280.6 44.6 2,236.0 76 169,936 0.37 62,876 16,347,843 80 13,078,275
6 Directional (3 levels) 2,280.6 242.3 2,038.3 76 154,911 0.37 57,317 14,902,419 80 11,921,935
Semi-Directional (3
7 2,280.6 216.3 2,064.3 76 156,887 0.37 58,048 15,092,510 80 12,074,008
levels)
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning.
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP11
At-Grade Signalised
1 2,470.8 755.0 1,715.8 76 130,401 0.37 48,248 12,544,557 80 10,035,646 -21.0
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 2,470.8 705.1 1,765.7 76 134,193 0.37 49,651 12,909,386 80 10,327,509 -16.1
3 3-Tier Signalised 2,470.8 868.6 1,602.2 76 121,767 0.37 45,054 11,714,005 80 9,371,204 -28.0
4 Partial Clover Leaf 2,470.8 2,387.7 83.1 76 6,316 0.37 2,337 607,561 80 486,049 -94.8
5 Full Clover Leaf 2,470.8 754.6 1,716.2 76 130,431 0.37 48,260 12,547,481 80 10,037,985 -23.2
6 Directional (3 levels) 2,470.8 1,403.2 1,067.6 76 81,138 0.37 30,021 7,805,437 80 6,244,350 -47.6
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 2,470.8 1,136.1 1,334.7 76 101,437 0.37 37,532 9,758,259 80 7,806,607 -35.3
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning.
Page 1-45 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP12
At-Grade Signalised
1 3,267.9 3,112.8 155.1 76 11787.6 0.37 4,361 1,133,967 80 907,174 -55.1
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 3,267.9 3,419.9 -152.0 76 -11552.0 0.37 -4,274 -1,111,302 80 -889,042 -144.2
3 3-Tier Signalised 3,267.9 2,840.7 427.2 76 32467.2 0.37 12,013 3,123,345 80 2,498,676 -35.6
4 Partial Clover Leaf 3,267.9 3,608.6 -340.7 76 -25893.2 0.37 -9,580 -2,490,926 80 -1,992,741 -260.1
5 Full Clover Leaf 3,267.9 754.6 2513.3 76 191010.8 0.37 70,674 18,375,239 80 14,700,191 13.6
6 Directional (3 levels) 3,267.9 1,403.2 1864.7 76 141717.2 0.37 52,435 13,633,195 80 10,906,556 20.4
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 3,267.9 4,214.5 -946.6 76 -71941.6 0.37 -26,618 -6,920,782 80 -5,536,626 -189.2
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning.
Page 1-46 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP13
At-Grade Signalised
1 11,082.3 13,462.2 -2,379.9 76 -180,872.4 0.37 -66,923 -17,399,925 80 -13,919,940 -272.7
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 11,082.3 15,378.6 -4,296.3 76 -326,518.8 0.37 -120,812 -31,411,109 80 -25,128,887 -95.1
3 3-Tier Signalised 11,082.3 13,931.9 -2,849.6 76 -216,569.6 0.37 -80,131 -20,833,996 80 -16,667,196 -246.2
4 Partial Clover Leaf 11,082.3 16,779.9 -5,697.6 76 -433,017.6 0.37 -160,217 -41,656,293 80 -33,325,034 -75.7
5 Full Clover Leaf 11,082.3 4,061.2 7,021.1 76 533,603.6 0.37 197,433 51,332,666 80 41,066,133 22.8
6 Directional (3 levels) 11,082.3 13,593.8 -2,511.5 76 -190,874.0 0.37 -70,623 -18,362,079 80 -14,689,663 -206.1
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 11,082.3 12,275.9 -1,193.6 76 -90,713.6 0.37 -33,564 -8,726,648 80 -6,981,319 4.7
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning.
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP14
Table APP15
Page 1-48 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP16
Table APP17
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Table APP18
Table APP19
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Table APP20
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP21
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme - Sensitivity Analysis (20% Increase in Costs)
PV of Total Agency
Total NPV NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme EIRR (%) Capital Costs FYRR (%)
(Million US$) (BCR) (Million US$)
(Million US$)
a b c d e f = d/e g h
At-Grade Signalised
1 34.6 60.05 32.60 1.842 21.9 56.29
Intersection
Note: 1. EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return 2. NPV = Net Present Value 3. FYRR = First Year Rate of Return.
Table APP22
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme - Sensitivity Analysis (20% Reduction in Traffic)
PV of Total Agency
Total NPV NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme EIRR (%) Capital Costs FYRR (%)
(Million US$) (BCR) (Million US$)
(Million US$)
a b c d e f = d/e g h
At-Grade Signalised
1 35.2 45.52 27.17 1.676 26.3 46.90
Intersection
Note: 1. EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return 2. NPV = Net Present Value 3. FYRR = First Year Rate of Return.
Page 1-52 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP23
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme - Sensitivity Analysis (20% Reduction in Traffic)
PV of Total Agency
Total NPV NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme EIRR (%) Capital Costs FYRR (%)
(Million US$) (BCR) (Million US$)
(Million US$)
a b c d e f = d/e g h
At-Grade Signalised
1 38.7 62.87 27.17 2.314 21.0 46.90
Intersection
Note: 1. EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return 2. NPV = Net Present Value 3. FYRR = First Year Rate of Return.
Table APP24
Summary of Economic Evaluation by Proposed Scheme - Sensitivity Analysis (All Negative/Worst Case Scenario)
PV of Total Agency
Total NPV NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme EIRR (%) Capital Costs FYRR (%)
(Million US$) (BCR) (Million US$)
(Million US$)
a b c d e f = d/e g h
Note: 1. EIRR = Economic Internal Rate of Return 2. NPV = Net Present Value 3. FYRR = First Year Rate of Return.
Page 1-53 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP25
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Increase in Costs, 2-Tier Interchanges)
4 Partial Clover Leaf 46.72 38.11 1.226 65.79 -2.422 IBCR < 1
5 Full Clover Leaf 276.64 41.92 6.600 72.37 23.253 IBCR > 1
Table APP26
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Increase in Costs, 3-Tier Interchanges)
Page 1-54 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP27
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Reduction in Traffic, 2-Tier Interchanges)
Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV PV of Total Agency Capital NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) Costs (Million US$) (BCR) (Million US$)
4 Partial Clover Leaf 33.11 31.75 1.043 54.82 -2.706 IBCR < 1
5 Full Clover Leaf 263.66 34.93 7.548 60.31 28.103 IBCR > 1
Table APP28
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Reduction in Traffic, 3-Tier Interchanges)
PV of Total Agency Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV NPV/Cost Ratio Total Project Cost (Million
Option Proposed Scheme Capital Costs (Million Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) (BCR) US$)
US$)
Page 1-55 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP29
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Reduction in Value of Time, 2-Tier Interchanges)
Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV PV of Total Agency Capital Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme NPV/Cost Ratio (BCR) Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) Costs (Million US$) (Million US$)
4 Partial Clover Leaf 52.01 31.75 1.638 54.82 -2.367 IBCR < 1
5 Full Clover Leaf 235.82 34.93 6.751 60.31 22.282 IBCR > 1
Table APP30
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: 20% Reduction in Value of Time, 3-Tier Interchanges)
Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV PV of Total Agency Capital Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme NPV/Cost Ratio (BCR) Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) Costs (Million US$) (Million US$)
Page 1-56 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP31
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: All Negative/Worst Case Scenario, 2-Tier Interchanges)
Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV PV of Total Agency Capital Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme NPV/Cost Ratio (BCR) Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) Costs (Million US$) (Million US$)
4 Partial Clover Leaf 25.70 38.11 0.674 65.79 -2.139 IBCR < 1
5 Full Clover Leaf 208.87 41.92 4.983 72.37 18.401 IBCR > 1
Table APP32
Summary of Economic Evaluation - Incremental Benefit-Cost Analysis (Sensitivity Analysis: All Negative/Worst Case Scenario, 3-Tier Interchanges)
Incremental Benefit-Cost
Total NPV PV of Total Agency Capital Total Project Cost
Option Proposed Scheme NPV/Cost Ratio (BCR) Ratio (IBCR) Remark
(Million US$) Costs (Million US$) (Million US$)
Page 1-57 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP33
Summary of Total Project Costs by Proposed Scheme in Million US Dollars (20% Increase)
Page 1-58 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP34
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - At-Grade Signalised Intersection
Table APP35
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - 3-Tier Rotary Interchange
Table APP36
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - 3-Tier Signalised Interchange
Page 1-59 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP37
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - Partial Clover Leaf Interchange
Table APP38
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - Full Clover Leaf Interchange
Table APP39
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - Directional (3 levels) Interchange
Page 1-60 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP40
Total Project Unit Costs in Million US Dollars (20% Increase) - Semi-Directional (3 levels) Interchange
Table APP41
Table APP42
Nsawam road 70 56
ACP road 13 10
Page 1-61 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP43
1 car 0.4
2 taxi 0.4
3 Pick-up/vans/jeeps 0.3
11 motorcycle 0.2
Average Value 0.3
Page 62 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP44
Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay (20% Reduction in Value of Time) - Time Savings (Year 1)
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr.
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- (Year 1 - US$)
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$)
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 2,280.6 107.6 2,173.0 76.0 165,148.0 0.30 48,883.8 12,709,790 80.0 10,167,832.1
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 2,280.6 175.3 2,105.3 76.0 160,002.8 0.30 47,360.8 12,313,815.5 80.0 9,851,052.4
3 3-Tier Signalised 2,280.6 54.3 2,226.3 76.0 169,198.8 0.30 50,082.8 13,021,539.6 80.0 10,417,231.7
4 Partial Clover Leaf 2,280.6 687.2 1,593.4 76.0 121,098.4 0.30 35,845.1 9,319,732.9 80.0 7,455,786.3
5 Full Clover Leaf 2,280.6 44.6 2,236.0 76.0 169,936.0 0.30 50,301.1 13,078,274.6 80.0 10,462,619.6
6 Directional (3 levels) 2,280.6 242.3 2,038.3 76.0 154,910.8 0.30 45,853.6 11,921,935.2 80.0 9,537,548.1
Semi-Directional (3
7 2,280.6 216.3 2,064.3 76.0 156,886.8 0.30 46,438.5 12,074,008.1 80.0 9,659,206.5
levels)
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning. 2. Average Value of Time from HDM-4 Calibration for Ghana.
Page 1-63 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP45
Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay (20% Reduction in Value of Time) - Time Savings (Year 2)
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings (Year % Change -
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr.
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- 5 - US$) Net Savings
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$)
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 2,470.8 755.0 1,715.8 76.0 130,400.8 0.30 38,598.6 10,035,645.6 80.0 8,028,516.5 -21.0
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 2,470.8 705.1 1,765.7 76.0 134,193.2 0.30 39,721.2 10,327,508.7 80.0 8,262,006.9 -16.1
3 3-Tier Signalised 2,470.8 868.6 1,602.2 76.0 121,767.2 0.30 36,043.1 9,371,203.7 80.0 7,496,963.0 -28.0
4 Partial Clover Leaf 2,470.8 2,387.7 83.1 76.0 6,315.6 0.30 1,869.4 486,048.6 80.0 388,838.9 -94.8
5 Full Clover Leaf 2,470.8 754.6 1,716.2 76.0 130,431.2 0.30 38,607.6 10,037,985.2 80.0 8,030,388.1 -23.2
6 Directional (3 levels) 2,470.8 1,403.2 1,067.6 76.0 81,137.6 0.30 24,016.7 6,244,349.7 80.0 4,995,479.8 -47.6
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 2,470.8 1,136.1 1,334.7 76.0 101,437.2 0.30 30,025.4 7,806,606.9 80.0 6,245,285.5 -35.3
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning. 2. Average Value of Time from HDM-4 Calibration for Ghana.
Page 1-64 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP46
Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay (20% Reduction in Value of Time) - Time Savings (Year 5)
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings (Year % Change -
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr.
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- 5 - US$) Net Savings
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$)
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 3267.9 3,112.8 155.1 76 11787.6 0.30 3,489.1 907,173.7 80.0 725,739.0 -55.1
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 3267.9 3,419.9 -152.0 76 -11552.0 0.30 -3,419.4 -889,041.9 80.0 -711,233.5 -144.2
3 3-Tier Signalised 3267.9 2,840.7 427.2 76 32467.2 0.30 9,610.3 2,498,675.7 80.0 1,998,940.6 -35.6
4 Partial Clover Leaf 3267.9 3,608.6 -340.7 76 -25893.2 0.30 -7,664.4 -1,992,740.7 80.0 -1,594,192.5 -260.1
5 Full Clover Leaf 3267.9 754.6 2513.3 76 191010.8 0.30 56,539.2 14,700,191.2 80.0 11,760,152.9 13.6
6 Directional (3 levels) 3267.9 1,403.2 1864.7 76 141717.2 0.30 41,948.3 10,906,555.7 80.0 8,725,244.6 20.4
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 3267.9 4,214.5 -946.6 76 -71941.6 0.30 -21,294.7 -5,536,625.5 80.0 -4,429,300.4 -189.2
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning. 2. Average Value of Time from HDM-4 Calibration for Ghana.
Page 1-65 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP47
Quantification of Benefits due to reduction in Delay (20% Reduction in Value of Time) - Time Savings (Year 10)
Delay Work
Delay with Time Average Value Total Time Total Time % Change
Type of without Total Total Time Related Net Savings
Item Project Gain/Person of Time Savings/Day Savings/Yr. - Net
Interchange/Scheme Project Persons Gain (Hrs.) Passenger- (Year 10 - US$)
(Hrs.) (Hrs.) (US$/hr. ) (US$) (US$) Savings
(Hrs.) trips (%)
At-Grade Signalised
1 11,082.3 13,462.2 -2379.9 76 -180872.4 0.30 -53,538.2 -13,919,939.9 80.0 -11,135,951.9 -272.7
Intersection
2 3-Tier Rotary 11,082.3 15,378.6 -4296.3 76 -326518.8 0.30 -96,649.6 -25,128,886.8 80.0 -20,103,109.5 -95.1
3 3-Tier Signalised 11,082.3 13,931.9 -2849.6 76 -216569.6 0.30 -64,104.6 -16,667,196.4 80.0 -13,333,757.1 -246.2
4 Partial Clover Leaf 11,082.3 16,779.9 -5697.6 76 -433017.6 0.30 -128,173.2 -33,325,034.5 80.0 -26,660,027.6 -75.7
5 Full Clover Leaf 11,082.3 4,061.2 7021.1 76 533603.6 0.30 157,946.7 41,066,133.1 80.0 32,852,906.4 22.8
6 Directional (3 levels) 11,082.3 13,593.8 -2511.5 76 -190874.0 0.30 -56,498.7 -14,689,663.0 80.0 -11,751,730.4 -206.1
7 Semi-Directional (3 levels) 11,082.3 12,275.9 -1193.6 76 -90713.6 0.30 -26,851.2 -6,981,318.7 80.0 -5,585,054.9 4.7
Note: 1. Time savings apply only to Work related (Productive) Passenger-trips in the Morning. 2. Average Value of Time from HDM-4 Calibration for Ghana.
Page 1-66 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP48
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - At-Grade Signalised Intersection (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Table APP49
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - 3-Tier Rotary Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Page 1-67 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP50
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - 3-Tier Signalised Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Table APP51
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - Partial Clover Leaf Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Page 1-68 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - Full Clover Leaf Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Table APP53
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - Directional (3 levels) Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
Page 1-69 of 82
ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP54
Distribution of Time Savings by Road - Semi-Directional (3 levels) Interchange (20% Reduction in Value of Time)
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%) Increase (%)
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
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Table APP56
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Table APP57
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Table APP58
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Table APP59
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Table APP60
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT
Table APP61
Year (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Milus
US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$) (Mil US$)
2014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2016 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2017 -42.567 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -42.565 -63.467 -42.565
2018 -16.288 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -16.285 -24.282 -16.285
2019 0.000 0.003 5.728 0.241 0.129 0.007 6.851 12.959 12.960 8.692
2020 0.000 0.003 5.441 0.227 0.251 0.013 0.000 5.935 5.936 3.981
2021 0.000 0.003 5.143 0.211 0.365 0.018 0.000 5.740 5.741 3.850
2022 0.000 0.002 4.801 0.195 0.467 0.023 0.000 5.488 5.489 3.681
2023 0.000 0.002 4.453 0.180 0.557 0.028 0.000 5.220 5.221 3.501
2024 0.000 0.002 4.089 0.165 0.645 0.032 0.000 4.933 4.934 3.309
2025 0.000 0.002 2.618 0.134 0.516 0.031 0.000 3.301 3.302 2.215
2026 0.000 0.002 1.520 0.124 0.382 0.034 0.000 2.061 2.061 1.383
2027 0.000 0.002 1.437 0.118 0.423 0.038 0.000 2.017 2.018 1.353
2028 0.000 0.001 1.250 0.105 0.427 0.039 0.000 1.823 1.823 1.223
2029 0.000 0.001 1.125 0.097 0.426 0.039 0.000 1.689 1.690 1.133
2030 0.000 0.001 1.333 0.108 0.451 0.042 0.000 1.935 1.936 1.298
2031 0.000 0.001 1.613 0.120 0.340 0.033 0.000 2.107 2.108 1.414
2032 0.000 0.001 1.732 0.115 0.180 0.018 0.000 2.047 2.048 1.373
2033 0.000 -0.205 2.007 0.130 0.184 0.019 0.000 2.134 2.034 1.364
2034 0.000 0.001 2.225 0.142 0.189 0.019 0.000 2.576 2.576 1.728
2035 0.000 0.001 2.379 0.150 0.193 0.019 0.000 2.741 2.741 1.839
2036 0.000 0.001 2.482 0.154 0.196 0.019 0.000 2.852 2.852 1.913
2037 0.000 0.001 2.542 0.157 0.198 0.019 0.000 2.916 2.916 1.956
2038 0.000 0.001 2.559 0.156 0.197 0.018 0.000 2.931 2.931 1.966
2039 0.000 0.000 2.547 0.154 0.194 0.017 0.000 2.913 2.913 1.954
2040 0.000 0.000 2.531 0.152 0.189 0.016 0.000 2.889 2.889 1.938
2041 0.000 0.000 2.444 0.146 0.181 0.014 0.000 2.785 2.786 1.868
2042 0.000 0.000 2.241 0.133 0.169 0.012 0.000 2.555 2.556 1.714
2043 0.639 0.000 2.049 0.121 0.156 0.009 0.000 2.974 3.287 2.205
NPV 0.000 0.000
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ACCRA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT (AUTP), PHASE 1 DRAFT FINAL REPORT