National

Likely General Election Voter Survey

February 7th, 2017

On the web
www.mclaughlinonline.com
 Methodology

This survey of 1,000 likely general election voters nationwide was

conducted on February 2nd to 6th, 2017.

All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were

distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These
units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a
nationwide general election.

This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/-
3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for
cross-tabulations.

National - SAN
February 2017
 Imp. Not Imp.

How important were National Security issues in East 88 7

Midwest 87 9
deciding your vote for President and Congress? South 91 7

West 83 13
8/10/11 10/27/15* 2/17/16* 9/21/16 2/6/17
Cont. Obama Pols. 85 13
Important 96 94 95 97 88 Change Direction 93 5

Not Imp. 4 3 2 2 8 Approve Trump 94 3

Disapprove Trump 83 15
100 Vote 2016 - Trump 97 2

88 Vote 2016 - Clinton 86 13

90 Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 94 4

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 85 13

80 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 75 11

Republican 95 3
70 Democrat 85 13
59 Independent 83 10
60 Liberal 83 15

Moderate 86 9
50 Conservative 93 3

No College Degree 88 7
40 College Graduate 87 10

29 White 88 8
30 African- American 86 12

Hispanic 88 9
20 Under 55 87 9

9 7 Over 55 89 7
10 2 4 Married 89 8

Single 85 10
0 Men 89 10
IMP. Very Smwt NO T IMP. Not that Not at All DK/Ref.
Women 87 8
National - SAN
February 2017
 Which country is the greatest threat to the United States?
(COMBO 1st & 2nd Choices)
Feb. 6, 2017 Sept. 21, 2016

Iran
27 29
Russia 27 30
China
17 18
North Korea 14 30
Iraq 10 13
Syria 8 11
United States
6 8
M.E./Arab Countries
3 5
Saudi Arabia
23
Mexico
23
Don't Know 28
14
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
National - SAN 4
February 2017
 Which country is the greatest threat to the United States?

Iran 16
Russia 16
China 8
United States 7
North Korea 6
Iraq 4
M.E./Arab Countries 4
Syria 3
Saudi Arabia 2
Mexico 2
Don't Know 28

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

National - SAN 5
February 2017
 Which country is the SECOND greatest threat to the United States?

Iran 14
Russia 12
China 10
North Korea 7
Iraq 6
Syria 5
Korea 2
United States 2
Saudi Arabia 2
Mexico 2
Don't Know 32

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

National - SAN 6
February 2017
 On a scale of zero to ten, where zero is not important at all and ten is most
important, for each of the following issues, how important are they for the
President and Congress to accomplish? (SAMPLE MEANS)
App. Disapp. Wo
9/16 2/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Men
DJT DJT -men

Preventing terror attacks within the

8.96 8.78 9.28 8.44 8.62 8.12 8.71 9.34 9.19 8.40 8.68 8.86
United States.
Destroying the radical terrorist state
ISIS and taking away their safe 8.71 8.54 9.10 8.27 8.24 7.96 8.4 9.13 9.12 8.01 8.47 8.61
havens for terrorism.
Stopping Iran from obtaining a
-- 8.36 9.02 8.04 7.98 7.73 8.21 8.98 8.93 7.79 8.15 8.54
nuclear weapon.
Protecting the United States from
8.37 8.27 8.63 8.10 8.08 8.12 8.18 8.49 8.56 7.99 8.38 8.18
cyber-attacks on the internet.
Providing our local police with the
support they need to do their job to 8.38 8.19 8.78 7.82 7.97 7.63 8.09 8.71 8.77 7.62 8.05 8.30
keep our communities safe.
Eliminating North Koreas nuclear
8.14 8.08 8.58 7.91 7.71 7.72 7.87 8.57 8.51 7.65 7.95 8.19
and missile programs.

National - SAN
February 2017 7
 On a scale of zero to ten, where zero is not important at all and ten is most
important, for each of the following issues, how important are they for the
President and Congress to accomplish? (SAMPLE MEANS)
App. Disapp. Wo
9/16 2/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Men
DJT DJT -men

Stopping Iran from spreading

terrorism and war throughout the -- 8 8.72 7.59 7.65 7.22 7.83 8.74 8.67 7.32 7.90 8.09
Middle East.
Deporting illegal immigrants who are
8.04 7.86 8.83 7.10 7.68 6.80 7.84 8.69 8.89 6.86 7.88 7.84
known criminals.
Helping Middle East Christians who
are ongoing victims of persecution -- 7.33 8.02 6.91 7.05 6.68 7.13 8.04 7.92 6.72 7.17 7.49
and ethnic cleansing by Islamic
radicals.
Securing Americas borders by fixing
7.92 7.32 8.67 6.25 7.10 5.93 7.24 8.49 8.75 5.88 7.42 7.24
our broken immigration system.
Increasing spending to strengthen our
-- 7.17 8.45 6.29 6.79 5.91 7.04 8.27 8.34 5.95 7.02 7.31
military.

National - SAN
February 2017 8
 If you knew that Iran is violating the nuclear deal by Yes No

East 64 12
continuing to develop intercontinental nuclear weapons, Midwest 68 8
increasing its stockpile of nuclear fuels, and supporting its South 71 7
military expansion throughout the Middle East with billions West 69 9

gotten from the nuclear deal, would you support ending the Cont. Obama Pols. 54 16

nuclear deal with Iran? Change Direction 85 3

80 Approve Trump 85 4

Disapprove Trump 55 14
69 Vote 2016 - Trump 86 5
70 Vote 2016 - Clinton 58 13

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 85 4

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 56 14

60 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 55 7

Republican 85 3

50 Democrat 56 14

Independent 65 8

Liberal 60 13

40 Moderate 66 8

Conservative 78 6

No College Degree 69 9
30
23 College Graduate 68 8

White 72 7

20 African- American 53 15

Hispanic 69 10

9 Under 55 66 9

10 Over 55 74 8

Married 72 8

Single 61 12
0 Men 75 9
Yes No Unsure Women 63 8
National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

Would you approve or disapprove of the United States East 50 24

selling bunker buster bombs and refueling jets to Midwest

South
52

57
21

20
Israel which will be seen as a threat to Irans West 53 27

underground nuclear weapons facilities? Cont. Obama Pols.

Change Direction
41

69
33

15

60 Approve Trump 76 12

54 Disapprove Trump 35 33

Vote 2016 - Trump 75 12

Vote 2016 - Clinton 40 30

50 Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 72 14

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 39 32

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 43 21

40 Republican 74 13

Democrat 42 28

Independent 47 25

Liberal 45 30
30 28
26 Moderate 47 26

24 Conservative 68 12
22 No College Degree 53 24

College Graduate 56 21
20 White 59 20

12 11
African- American 41 24

Hispanic 43 36

10 Under 55 50 25

Over 55 61 18

Married 58 21

Single 48 24
0 Men 68 20
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Women 42 25
National - SAN
February 2017
 Yes No
The Muslim Brotherhood was implicated in the largest terrorist East 57 7
financing case in U.S. history and outlawed by five countries as Egypt, Midwest 53 7
the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Russia have all South 61 9
designated the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization. Should West 61 11
the Trump Administration also designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a Cont. Obama Pols. 44 12
terrorist organization? Change Direction 73 6

80 Approve Trump 76 5

Disapprove Trump 43 12

Vote 2016 - Trump 79 5

70 Vote 2016 - Clinton 46 12

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 77 3

58 Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 43 14
60 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 48 11

Republican 76 4

50 Democrat 45 13

Independent 56 9

Liberal 51 11

40 Moderate 49 11
33 Conservative 74 4

No College Degree 58 9
30 College Graduate 59 8

White 63 6

20 African- American 43 19

Hispanic 54 13

9 Under 55 56 10

10 Over 55 63 6

Married 62 7

Single 50 13
0 Men 62 9
Yes No Unsure Women 55 8
National - SAN
February 2017
 Do you approve or disapprove of President Trumps App. Disapp.

East 49 44
executive order to stop immigration for 90 days from Midwest 56 35

the following failed Middle Eastern Countries: Iran, South 59 35

West 60 35
Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen so we Cont. Obama Pols. 27 67

can increase our security checks of these refugees? Change Direction 85 11

60 57 Approve Trump 90 7

Disapprove Trump 24 68

Vote 2016 - Trump 90 7

Vote 2016 - Clinton 29 66

50 Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 87 9

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 28 66

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 45 33

40 36 37 Republican 88 10

Democrat 31 63

Independent 53 35

Liberal 32 64
30 Moderate 50 41

23 Conservative 81 12

21 No College Degree 61 32

College Graduate 52 42
20 White 63 31
14 African- American 35 57

Hispanic 43 47

10 7 Under 55 55 36

Over 55 59 38

Married 64 32

Single 46 43
0 Men 62 32
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Women 52 41
National - SAN
February 2017
 The Trump administration is trying to ban terrorists. The terrorists happen to be Islamic Agree Disagree
radicals. These terrorists happen to get their support and come from certain Middle East East 55 32
countries who are majority Muslim. Without penalizing all Muslims we need to screen out Midwest 57 31
possible terrorists from the refugees coming to the United States. Since the current FBI
South 65 27
and Homeland Security Directors, cannot certify that a refugee from these 7 countries is
West 65 26
not a terrorist, do you agree or disagree that we need to pause and take a 90 day break
Cont. Obama Pols. 34 53
from allowing refugees from these countries to enter the U.S., until a system is in place
that assures that each refugee is not a threat to Americans? Change Direction 86 9

70 Approve Trump 89 7

Disapprove Trump 34 52
61 Vote 2016 - Trump 89 8

60 Vote 2016 - Clinton 39 50

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 87 10

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 38 50

50 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 51 19

Republican 87 10

40 38 Democrat

Independent
40

59
47

26

Liberal 36 58

30 28 Moderate 60 25

Conservative 82 10
23 No College Degree 64 25

College Graduate 58 32
20 17 White 67 25

12 African- American 42 41
10 Hispanic 53 35
10 Under 55 59 29

Over 55 66 28

Married 68 25
0 Single 52 34
AGREE S trongly S mwt DIS - S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Men 67 25
AGREE Women 56 31
National - SAN
February 2017
 Inc. Dec. As is
The U.S. currently contributes $3 billion per year to the East 8 40 35

United Nations, more than a quarter of the U.N.s Midwest 6 44 32

combined general and peacekeeping budgets. Should South 9 47 31

West 9 42 35
the U.S. increase, decrease or maintain its current level Cont. Obama Pols. 13 23 51

of United Nations funding? Change Direction 5 65 18

80 Approve Trump 9 62 18

Disapprove Trump 8 28 48

Vote 2016 - Trump 8 66 18

70 Vote 2016 - Clinton 10 29 47

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 7 64 19

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 10 24 50

60 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 4 39 24

Republican 9 61 20

50 44
Democrat 11 25 47

Independent 3 48 30

Liberal 18 25 45

40 Moderate 4 40 39
33 Conservative 6 62 18

No College Degree 5 43 33
30 College Graduate 11 45 33

White 7 50 29

20 15 African- American 6 29 48

Hispanic 18 26 42

8 Under 55 12 39 32

10 Over 55 2 52 35

Married 9 51 28

Single 10 33 37
0 Men 11 50 32
Increase Decrease Maintain Unsure Women 6 38 34
National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

Do you approve or disapprove of President Trumps East 70 17

executive order to end catch and release and make Midwest

South
63

72
22

21
the deportation of illegal immigrants who are West 68 22

criminals a top priority? Cont. Obama Pols.

Change Direction
46

90
42

80 Approve Trump 92 4

Disapprove Trump 47 39
69 Vote 2016 - Trump 93 4
70 Vote 2016 - Clinton 53 35

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 91 5

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 48 39

60 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 59 14

Republican 92 6

50 44
Democrat 50 37

Independent 66 18

Liberal 51 39
40 Moderate 65 21

Conservative 85 7

No College Degree 69 19
30 25 College Graduate 68 22
21 White 75 17

20 African- American 49 35

Hispanic 56 31
10 10 11 Under 55 63 25

10 Over 55 79 14

Married 74 18

Single 57 27
0 Men 74 18
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Women 64 23
National - SAN
February 2017
 Support Oppose

East 58 29
Do you support or oppose cutting off federal grants to Midwest 51 30

cities that break the law by refusing to turn in criminal South 65 25

West 56 33
illegal aliens? Cont. Obama Pols. 31 54

Change Direction 85 8

70 Approve Trump 87 8

Disapprove Trump 31 51

59 Vote 2016 - Trump 89 7

60 Vote 2016 - Clinton 35 49

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 87 8

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 32 51

50 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 50 24

Republican 86 8
40 Democrat 37 47

40 Independent 55 29

Liberal 38 51

29 Moderate 52 31

30 Conservative 82 9

No College Degree 58 27

19 College Graduate 59 30
20 17 White 66 23

12 13 African- American 32 48

Hispanic 46 43
10 Under 55 55 30

Over 55 65 25

Married 66 24
0 Single 47 35
S UPP- S trongly S mwt OPPOS E S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Men 65 25
ORT Women 53 32
National - SAN
February 2017
 Direction: United States
- Time Series-

Right Direction Wrong Track

80
70 69 66 66 66 67
64 62 63 64 64 64 62 65 64 66
60 61 62 62
55
50
40
30 31 29 32 35
30
27 29 28 29 28 28 28 26 29 27 26 26 28 28
20
10
0 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 RD WT

East 30 63

Midwest 33 56

Direction: United States South

West
37

39
54

52

Cont. Obama Pols. 16 81

Change Direction 57 34
80 Approve Trump 66 26

Disapprove Trump 7 87

65 26
70 Vote 2016 - Trump

Vote 2016 - Clinton 12 82

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 58 35

60 55 Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 15 79

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 26 50

Republican 58 34
50 Democrat 17 76

Independent 32 54

40 35 Liberal 25 70

Moderate 23 64

Conservative 56 35
30 No College Degree 37 54

College Graduate 33 57

White 39 52
20 African- American 16 74

9 Hispanic 31 61

10 Under 55 35 56

Over 55 35 55

Married 41 50
0 Single 32 59
Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. Men 42 49
National - SAN
Women 29 61
February 2017
 Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to?
Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the
polices of President Obama
- Time Series-

Continue Obama Policies Change Direction

70

60 58 57
57 58 58 56
50 52
48 49
40 39 41 39
34 33 33 34
30 31
31
20

10

0 9/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 Cont. Change
Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald East 45 44

Trump and Congress to? Midwest 37 51

Continue the policies of President Obama, OR South 38 51

West 40 48
Change direction and move away from the policies of Cont. Obama Pols. 100 0

President Obama Change Direction 0 100

80 Approve Trump 10 85

Disapprove Trump 70 15

Vote 2016 - Trump 5 93

70 Vote 2016 - Clinton 75 12

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 10 86

60 Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 75 11

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 23 49

49 Republican 10 86
50 Democrat 75 13

Independent 29 52
39
40 Liberal

Moderate
71

40
20

43

Conservative 15 78

30 No College Degree 37 50

College Graduate 42 48

White 31 59
20 African- American 67 15
11 Hispanic 59 34

10 Under 55 43 46

Over 55 33 55

Married 35 55
0 Single 48 42
Continue Obama Change Direction DK/Ref. Men 36 55
Policies Women 42 44
National - SAN
February 2017
 Job Rating: Donald Trump
- Time Series-

Approve Disapprove

70

60

50
47 48
48 48
45
40 41

30 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

East 38 58

Job Rating: Midwest

South
49

51
47

44

Donald Trump West

Cont. Obama Pols.

48

13
47

85

Change Direction 82 14

60 Approve Trump 100 0

Disapprove Trump 0 100

Vote 2016 - Trump 91 6

50 48 48 Vote 2016 - Clinton 12 87

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 85 12

Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 12 86

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 37 44

40 Republican 87 11

35 Democrat 16 81

Independent 43 49

Liberal 24 75
30 Moderate 37 56
25
23 Conservative 77 19

No College Degree 50 45

College Graduate 45 51
20 White 56 40
13 African- American 19 77

Hispanic 31 64

10 Under 55 46 49
5 Over 55 50 45

Married 54 42

Single 42 54
0 Men 55 42
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. Women 41 53
National - SAN
February 2017
 Generic Ballot for Congress
- Time Series-

Democratic Republican Undecided

60

50 51
43 48 444444 43 44 4645
424143 4343 4442 42 43 4242
45 45
4343 43 4242424344
44 44
40 4141 42 4242 4243 41 4142
40
414141 4141 41 4042 41

30

20 19
17 17 16 18 17 18 17
16 15 16 17 16
14 14 14 15 13 13 14 14 13 14
10 12 13 13 13
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 GOP DEM. UND.

East 41 48 11

Generic Ballot: Midwest

South
44

45
38

43
19

12

U.S. Congress
West 44 43 13

Cont. Obama Pols. 11 81 8

Change Direction 77 9 14

Approve Trump 79 11 11

Disapprove Trump 11 76 13
60 Vote 2016 - Trump 85 5 10

Vote 2016 - Clinton 8 85 7

Vote Cong. 2018 - GOP 100 0 0

50 Vote Cong. 2018 - DEM 0 100 0
44
42 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 0 0 100

Republican 90 4 7

40 Democrat 6 89 5

Independent 39 30 31

Liberal 18 79 4

30 27 Moderate 34 44 22
25 Conservative 75 14 12

No College Degree 43 41 16

College Graduate 46 44 11
20 White 54 32 14
14 African- American 11 81 8
11 10
9 Hispanic 27 59 14
10 6 Under 55 44 44 12

Over 55 45 39 16

Married 51 36 13

0 Single 37 49 14

GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. Men 51 38 12

Women 38 47 16
National - SAN
February 2017
 Voter Profile

Party Total Age Total Race Total

Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71%

Democrat 36% 30-40 19% African American 12%

Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11%
Ideology % 56-65 20% Asian 4%
Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender %

Moderate 39% Male 47%

Conservative 35% Female 53%