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How would the Unites States

Behave under Trump Presidency?


Elections were held in the United States on November, 8, 2016 that brought into power the
populist Republican candidate, a business tycoon, Donald Trump. Many in academic institutions
as well as political arena question the possible effects of coming of Donald Trump into power in
a world-class democracy of the United States on world politics at large.

There exists some quantum of truth when many authors suggest that the rise of Trump will upset
the international order. Thomas Wright, an expert on US foreign policy at Brookings Institution,
for example, has chased Donald Trumps past three decades views and has seen consistency in
them.

Outlining three main effects of rise of Donald Trump on US foreign policy, Wright argued that
Trump will change the terms of trade with not only Europe but also with Middle East and Asia. It
is because Trump seeks to pursue mercantilist approach in foreign policy. That means he would
impose high tariffs on trade and would put economic pressures on some countries.

Second, since he is against US alliances globally, Trump considers it as an overstretch approach.


Accordingly, he will most likely seek transactional costs of the American troops presence in the
Europe, ally with Russia in defeating the Islamic State, and may even make engagement with
North Korea directly to at least freeze its nuclear arms build-up and make partnership in
improving economy.

With such policy at place, Ian Bremmer, a foreign affairs columnist at the TIME magazine,
doubts that America will remain a policeman of the global security or if it will cherish its
lynchpin support of liberal values abroad.

As a third impact, Wright maintains that Trump has some penchant for authoritarian style
governments and likely so he may not much support spread of or sustaining of liberal
democracies overseas. Moreover, the US will become more focused on resolving its internal
issues (healthcare, jobs, infrastructure, security, robust economic growth) than external.
Besides, as David Ignatius, an opinion writer at The Washington Post writes about post-Trump
changes in US foreign policy, Trumps rise and before that Brexit phenomenon, will inspire a
heavy push to the right wing politicians especially in European countries like France, Germany,
Italy and Spain where elections are to be held in upcoming months. Narendra Modi, a leader of
Bharatiya Jannata Party (BJP), a right wing political party of hyper-nationalist Rashtriya
Swayamsewak Sangh (RSS), is already in power in India. Such incidents suggest that the world
will witness resurgence of nationalism, mercantilist economic policies and more importantly
clash of civilizations as Samuel Huntington described.

Above all, many international newspapers are skeptic about better future behavior of the United
States in the world. For example, The Washington Post questions if the United States is still the
leader of the free world. The Financial Times shows concerns regarding the dangers of Americas
First approach and views that Donald Trumps victory challenges the global liberal order. The
Atlantic holds that the rise of Trump will put the America-led international order to test and may
even upend it. Finally, Dawn newspapers 10th November, 2016 headline maintains, Trump
Triumph jolts the US, baffles world.

With regard to Pakistan, Daniel Markey wrote in his book No Exit from Pakistan that things
will remain more or less all the same as long as Pakistan does not take indiscriminate approach
in war on terror and fight the Haqqani militant group. Rabia Akhtar, head of School of Integrated
Social Sciences at University of Lahore, also echoed the same views when she said that with the
change in administration, policies will not change with reference to Pakistan. The status quo will
exist even after Trumps rise. As regards Kashmir, Donald Trumps offer during his election
campaigns for his mediation will be to no avail as India considers the issue as a bilateral one and
accepts no mediation as such.

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