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1.2. Beverage 14
1.3. Seafood 19
1.4. Dairy 21
1.5. Noodles 26
1.6. Ingredients 28
2.1. Seafood 30
2.2. Rice 32
2.3. Coffee 33
In 2013, Vietnams Agro-food market was worth over USD 60.1 billion, accounting for 40.5% of
the total consumption of the country. In the same year, Vietnams F&B consumption was USD42.8
billion, representing an increase of 8.2% against 2012 and a compound annual growth rate of
11% during the period of 2010-2013. Domestic consumption in the country reached 42.8 billion,
accounting for 71.2% of the total industry production value, and the remaining 29% contributes to
exports (seafood, rice, coffee, cashew nuts).
Vietnam has a high domestic food consumption, with a double-digit growth. In 2013, food
consumption was USD34.8 billion, posting a remarkable CAGR of 11.4% over the period of 2010
to 2013. Despite recent slow growth in FMCG purchases, the combination effects of continuous
economic growth, golden demographic structure, rapid urbanization, emergence of middle income
earners and a mass grocery retail network, will fuel the growth of overall food consumption in the
medium- and long-term. Also, due to its nature as a defensive sector that is essential for living,
food is considered a key component of a balanced investment portfolio over investment horizon.
Vietnam food consumption is projected to retain its double-digit growth of 11.4% over the period of
2014 to 2018, according to Euromonitor International.
In 2013, agro-products, meats & eggs and seafood continued to be the three biggest categories
with USD26.7 billion or 76.8% value contribution to total local food consumption. Agri-products,
including rice, maize, coffee, tea, pepper, cashew, sugarcane, cassava, fruits and vegetables,
posted double-digit growth of 11.8% since 2012, the highest market value of all categories.
This $11.9 billion market couldnt be fulfilled if without foreign imports. In 2008, Vietnam imported
$7.3 billion worth of agricultural food. Vietnam's primary agricultural import suppliers include
China, Australia, Thailand, New Zealand, ASEAN countries, Argentina, the European Union (EU)
and the US.
Vietnam's top five agricultural imports in 2008 along with their corresponding supplier in brackets
were:
Residues and waste from the food industries (used as animal feed) $1,329 million (India)
Meat and edible meat offal $900 million (India and US)
Animal or vegetable fats and oils $647 million, (Malaysia and Indonesia)
Beverages, spirits and vinegar $507 million (Singapore and Hong Kong)
Cereals $443 million (Australia)
Category Contribution
Seafood 10.7%
Wheat 9.4%
Key findings on each import category will be elaborated in more details in the following sections.
In particular, products from Indonesia and Thailand accounted for over 50% of the import value.
Specifically, items of confectionery and cereals imported from Indonesia accounted for 30.3%,
equivalent to 32.4 million, up 23% from the same period last year. Followed is Thailand with 22.8
million in import value, accounting for 21.37% and increasing by 26.99% compared to the
previous year.
Besides, Vietnam also imported large amounts of candies, $12.5 million, from Malaysia. At the
same time, Vietnam also imported candies from other markets such as the Philippines (10.7
million), China (5.7 million), and South Korea ($ 4.3 million). These numbers have slightly
increased compared to the same period last year.
Meanwhile, the value of imports from the United States, Singapore, and the Netherlands have
declined dramatically from 80% to 96%, reaching just over $ 5 million in all 3 markets.
The bakery market enjoyed a CAGR of 7.6% over the period of 2010 to 2013, reaching VND10.4
trillion (USD0.5 billion) by the end of 2013. This was due in part to a new style of bakery outlet
expanding quickly across Vietnam since 2010 and becoming more and more popular as a place
for people to gather, similar to coffee shops. Kidos Bakery, Onor Bakery, Tous Le Jour, Paris
Baguette, Bread Talk and Brodard Bakery are some examples of this new style of bakery in
Vietnam.
As one of the popular alternatives to rice and noodles, bread retained its status as a primary
consumption bakery product compared to other sub-categories (such as cakes and pastries) with
VND8 trillion (USD378.7 million) sales in 2013, equivalent to 76.8% of total bakery market
revenue.
Thanks to the rising number of bakery outlets, sales value of unpackaged or artisanal products
has grown gradually, reaching VND4.1 trillion (USD195.2 million) and accounting for 39.6% of
total bakery sales. In 2013, packaged baked goods sales wereVND6.3 trillion (USD297 million).
However, there is a low probability that unpackaged products will have a strong impact on the
revenue of packaged goods, as each category serves different benefits. While packaged baked
goods offers great convenience for busier lifestyles, consumers can enjoy more delicious taste of
unpackaged or artisanal products served in the modern bakery outlets.
Sugar and wheat flour significantly account for about 35 to 40% of material costs of confectionery
and bakery production. Thus, any change in world production could cause price volatility and
shortages which in turn negatively affect local production. In 2013, the favorable trend of world
sugar and wheat price strongly supported the gross margin of local players. 2013 was a third
consecutive year world sugar prices dropped due to production exceeding consumption demand.
The USDA forecasts sugar production will reach 175 million MT worldwide and the oversupply
situation will continue in 2014, a prospect for a fourth year of price descent. Relative to the
beginning of 2013, Sao Paolo refined sugars spot price decreased by 16.9% to USD640 per MT
as of May 20, 2014.
Vietnam was not an exception; its refined sugar wholesale price was down by 18.7% y-o-y to
VND13,000 per kg in the third week of May 2014. In contrast to sugar, wheat prices depended on
the weather conditions in main areas of world wheat production, such as North America and
Canada, Brazil, Australia and were affected by political turmoil in the Ukraine. Wheat prices were
USD334 per MT as of May 20, 2014, which was an increase of 15.2% compared to the beginning
of the year. In 2014, the confectionery business may not have a gross profit margin as high as in
2013, but we expect it will not be too low as long as sugars price downtrend persists.
Despite slower growth, Vietnams confectionery market still outpaced its regional peers
In 2013, Vietnams confectionery market grew at a slower pace, given its nature of being a
discretionary item in the context of slowing purchasing power. In 2013, the category sales were
VND16.6 trillion (USD0.79 billion), a rise of 9.4% from the 2012 sales. Despite this, Vietnams
confectionery market still remains attractive in the SEA region as it substantially outperforms the
average growth of 3% in the region and that of 1.5% in the world.
The category is appealing in the long run thanks to the increasing awareness of Western culture
and lifestyle among Vietnamese consumers and the much lower confectionery consumption per
capita of 1.8kg per annum relative to the global average of 2.8kg. Euromonitor International
expects the slow growth of the confectionery market to continue in 2014 and 2015, however, the
CAGR for the period of 2013 to 2017 is projected to hover between 10% and 11%.
Savory biscuits / crackers and plain biscuits as the most consumed thanks to less sugar and more
vitamin content
Savory snacks
Revenue growth of the sugar confectionery segment was 9.5% in 2013, which was much slower
than the levels recorded in 2011. This was attributed to rising consumer awareness of health
issues related to the level of sugar intake, such as high blood pressure, obesity and diabetes.
Thus, it led sugar confectioneries to confront strong competition from savory snacks which are
considered to have lower sugar content. Pastilles, gums, jellies and chews continue to be the
most popular sugar confectionery category in Vietnam, accounting for 58% of the value or
VND1.6 trillion (USD75.7 million).
Soft drinks saw the highest growth of 12.4% and reached $ 1.7bn sales in 2013, while hot drinks
were the smallest segment carries about 0.7 billion in sales. In the soft drinks market, Coca-Cola
and PepsiCo dominate the carbonated soft drinks market, whereas Tan Hiep Phat array occupies
none-gas soft drinks. Hot drinks are the smallest segment which brought only USD 0.7 billion in
revenue. Hot drinks market is currently under the control of Nestle and VinaCafe.
In 2013, retail sales of the beverage sector in Vietnam reached USD8 billion, a 7.6% rise
compared with the 2012 number. According to forecasts of the key players, in the period 2014 and
2015, beverage market value is expected to increase by 7.5%. So as consumers switch to
beverage products with higher value, expected profits in this sector would increase by 10.5% in
2016.
As increasing Vietnameses exposure to drinking cultures around the world couples with their
popular perception of drinking to socialize, Vietnam alcoholic drinks consumption continues
growing year over year and has gained the biggest retail sales among other beverage categories.
Further, rising numbers of tourists and expatriates living in big cities also incentivize alcohol-
serving retailers to expand, which in turn stimulates local consumption as rising adoption of
western lifestyle becomes more prevalent.
In 2013, Vietnamese people drank a remarkable 3.15 billion liters of alcohol, equivalent to
VND119.5 trillion (USD5.6 billion), representing a double-digit CAGR of 10.1% and 10.6% during
2010 to 2013. Despite their slowing growth since 2012 due to reaching maturity, alcoholic drinks
remain one of the potentially lucrative markets in Vietnam. It is expected to reach USD6.3 billion
in 2015 by Euromonitor International.
Alcoholic beverage consumption is largely driven by the beer category which accounted for 98%
of production volume and 91% of sales value in 2013. Spirits and wine accounted for only 2.3%
volume share (74 million liters) and 8.8% value share (VND10.4 trillion or USD492 million). In
2013, beer consumption recorded more than 3 billion liters, equivalent to VND109.1 trillion
(USD5.2 billion).
While Vietnam was leading in the SEA region with 29 liters of beer consumption per capita in
2012, the country captured the 4th position for the entire Asia region, only after Japan (64 liters),
South Korea (45 liters) and China (37 liters). According to Vietnam Breweries Associations (VBA),
beer consumption per capita rose approximately 10% up to 32 liters in 2013. As such, Vietnam is
considered one of the beer loving countries and is among the most attractive destinations for
international breweries.
Lager is the main type of beer in Vietnam since Vietnamese consumers are already familiar with
the taste of lager and are reticent to try new tastes. Thus, other types of beer such as dark beer,
stout and low-alcohols have only a limited presence in the market. Standard lager holds the
biggest share of 67% of total lager, thanks to its price affordable for Vietnamese consumers who
still lived with low disposal-income per capita. Also, there was a large gap of at least 43% higher
in unit price range of each segment including premium, standard and economy.
In 2010, approximately 50 percent of imports of wine and spirits came from France, 14 percent
from Australia, 6 percent from the USA, 5 percent from Chile, 4 percent from Italy, and 2
percent from Spain.
Cabernet was the premier red variety of grape-based wine consumed, with 1.2 million liters
consumed in 2009, a 33 percent increase from 2006. Chardonnay was the leading variety
among the white wines, with consumption rising from 0.7 million liters in 2006 to 0.9 million
liters in 2009a 29 percent increase.
Demand for wine is seasonal. The highest demand occurs around the year-end festive season;
during the Tet festival (Lunar New Year) around February every year, Christmas holiday, and
New Year celebration. Some retailers state that between 60 and 70 percent of the wine sales
occur during this period. Demand was generally low during other periods of the year.
The presence of more and more highly-regarded brands of wine from Old World countries like
France and Italy as well as from New World ones, like Chile, Australia, United States of America,
South Africa, Argentina and New Zealand has demonstrated how much wine producers are
interested in this promising market.
Vietnam possesses an interlacing system of rivers and a 3,260 km long coastline. It is ranked
third in 2013 among the largest countries for fishery and aquaculture activities, preceded only by
China and India. Fishery volume (mainly from tuna) has recently grown every year thanks to
favorable weather conditions and a new fishing technique of using high pressure lamps, which
helps double productivity and saves 15 to 30% of the fishing time. The decline in growth of
production value during 2012 and 2013 was due to approximately 100,000 hectares of shrimp
farms, which account for 15% of the countrys total shrimp farms, suffering from the Early
Mortality Syndrome (EMS). The disease, however, has been controlled since Q4 2013 and is no
longer a threat. In 2013, seafood production rose 3.4% to reach 6 million tons in volume and grew
7% to reach USD11.4 billion in value.
The domestic market made a minor contribution of less than 5% share to the revenue of local
seafood producers. This was attributable to lower selling prices relative to export prices, while
cost of production, logistics and promotion advertising were still high. Further, Vietnamese
consumers are acquainted with purchasing fresh seafood from traditional wet markets while the
local producers concentrate on frozen, processed seafood. In 2013, domestic consumption of
seafood reached USD5.3 billion, accounting for 43.9% of total local production and import value,
which was USD12.1 billion. According to the Center of Planning and Development of Aquatic
Products, domestic consumption will increase annually at an average rate of 5.4% from 2011 to
2020.
The dairy sector, valued at VND62.2 trillion (USD2.9 billion) in 2013, is among the fastest-growing
in Vietnams non-discretionary consumer sector, with an increase of 16.5% in 2013 and a CAGR
of 14% over the period from 2010 to 2013. Vietnam dairy revenue comes mainly from two
segments: powdered milk and drinking milk. These two segments revenue accounts for 74% of
the total market value which is USD 2.2 billion (VND 45,900 billion). According to Euromonitor
International, Vietnams dairy market value will have increases of 20% and 23% for the year 2014
and 2015. Yogurt is reckoned to be the segment that will bring high profit thanks to the
underdeveloped market either in demand or supply.
The sector faces a supply and demand imbalance in raw fresh milk as domestic herds (184,216
cows) were able to provide only 420,000 tons of raw milk, meeting only 28% of total domestic
demand in 2013. Vietnam is ranked in the top 20 countries worldwide importing input materials for
dairy production. In 2013, the country imported around 1.2 million tons of raw milk powder valued
at USD841 million. Thus, heavy dependence on imported materials brings the attendant risk of
profit margins being squeezed out due to global price fluctuations. However, this risk is mitigated
by strong consumer loyalty for prominent brands and because milk products are exposed to low
price elasticity of demand relative to other categories. The Department of Livestock Production
estimates local milk production will surge to 856,000 tons in 2017 (326,000 cows herd) and
1,000,000 tons (500,000 cows herd) by 2020, yet the supply will only meet 30% of local demand.
A robust consumption in powdered milk and drinking milk over the period of 2010 to 2013 is worth
to be mentioned. Powdered milk, which made up 45% of Vietnams dairy market, posted a CAGR
of 10.1% and VND27.9 trillion (USD1.32 billion) worth in 2013. Drinking milk accounts for 29% of
the dairy markets value, or VND18 trillion (USD851.6 million), in 2013. The sub-category
recorded a remarkable CAGR of 18.9% during the same period. As the majority of input materials
for powdered milk and drinking milk are sourced from overseas, local producers will benefit from
the capability to pass on incremental costs to end users when import prices rise.
Yogurt
Yogurt registering the fastest growth among other dairy categories
Ice-cream
Steady growth in demand
Milk production in Vietnam comes from two sources: from local cow farms and imports. Imported
dairy ingredients include milk powder and raw milk products. Raw milk products are imported not
only to produce milk but also to produce confectionery, functional foods, and nutritional foods, etc.
Vietnam imports raw milk products mainly from New Zealand, America, Australia and Europe.
Costs of raw milk account for approximately 65 to 70% of total input costs. Thus, any change in
world production could cause price volatility and shortages that would negatively affect local
production.
After a hike in Q2 2013, the prices of skim milk powder (1.25% butterfat) and whole milk powder
(26% butterfat) have decreased significantly to this date. The skim milk powder spot price was
down 19.6% y-o-y from USD 5,225 per metric ton (MT) to USD4,200 per MT as of the end of May
20, 2014. Also, the whole milk powder spot price dropped 22.5% y-o-y from USD5,600 per MT to
USD4,337.5 per MT as of May 20, 2014. USDA expects the downward trend to be on-going
through the end of 2014 due to an increase in world production as a result of herd expansion and
higher yield outputs per cow. Therefore, we believe the favorable trend in world prices of raw milk
powder will positively benefit the gross margin of local producers in 2014.
According to the Word Instant Noodle Association (WINA) Vietnam ranks number four in instant
noodles consumption with a demand of 5 billion units each year (56.2 instant noodles
units/person/year) behind China, Indonesia and India. Currently Vietnam has about 600 noodles
brands which are distributed in a system of supermarkets such as Co.opmart, Maximark, and
Lotte Mart. Domestic production accounts for 95% of market share. In 2013, noodles recorded a
slower increase in both volume and value, but the sales value surpassed USD1 billion (VND21.7
trillion), with a volume of 432 thousand tons. The growth for noodles was attributable to its
convenience as an alternative to rice, variety of flavors, diverse packaging size, prices as well as
marketing communication efforts of market players.
New launch of Kokomi of Masan Food, a brand targeting the low-income segment, was one of the
most successful combinations of running effective commercial advertising, boosting store displays
and competitive pricing. Both international and local producers retained their positive perception
of the noodle markets potentiality.
According to our analysis, Vietnam consumes a great amount of noodles partly due to the desire
to save money in unstable economic situations and also because noodles meet the local peoples
taste: spicy and sour. However, we reckon that the noodle market will see a slowdown in growth
because of trends towards healthier nutrition while instant noodles are not considered to be
healthy food.
Fish sauce, Mono Sodium Glutamate (MSG) and soya sauce remain very popular and
irreplaceable condiments in the daily meals of Vietnamese people. Together, these accounted for
nearly 89% of the category sales valued at VND16.9 trillion (USD800.6 million). However, the
value growth rate of sauces and dressing condiments in Vietnam has dramatically dropped from
16.9% (2012) to 5.4% (2013). These categories have reached maturity as consumers are fully
aware of and have already used them for a long time. While fish sauces, MSG and soya sauces
are mature nationwide, bouillon cubes and powder, as modern alternatives, are poised to become
mature in urban areas.
There was rising consumer usage of bouillon cubes for cooking as an alternative to MSG in rural
areas. By successfully delivering the natural taste message, bouillon cube producers have led
rural people to enjoy meals with the natural sweetness of stock meat instead of consuming pure
MSG. The Maggie 3 Ngot bouillon cube (Maggie 3 sweets) of Masan Food has gained significant
market presence.
Vietnam's agricultural success mirrors the overall economic success of the country. Only 15 years
ago Vietnam was a net importer of food, while today the country has become the world's second
most important exporter of rice, and the world's largest coffee exporter and producer of cashew
nuts. Tea exports continue to rise while pepper, nuts and spices are all major international exports.
Despite impressive developments, the value of Vietnam's agricultural exports continues to be very
susceptible to international price fluctuations due to the fact that exports are largely commodity
based. Rice and coffee account for about half of agricultural export revenues.
Major food categories exported by Vietnamese producers were seafood, rice, coffee, cashew,
cassava, fruits and vegetables, pepper, and tea, with respective market shares listed in the below
table. Seven out of these eight categories are agri-food.
Category Contribution
Seafood 38.9%
Rice 17.3%
Coffee 15.5%
Cashew 9.6%
Cassava 6.3%
Pepper 5.2%
Tea 1.3%
Key findings on some export category will be elaborated in more details in the following sections.
Export Volume
According to General Department of Vietnam Customs, in 2013, export of aquatic products
recorded USD6.7 billion, rising by 9.8% from the 2012 benchmark. The US, EU, Japan, China,
Hong Kong and Korea were primary export markets of the sector, together occupying 71% of the
export values. However, exports to the US and China were at the fastest growth pace of more
than 25% last year. In terms of aqua-product categories, the country exported USD3.11 billion of
shrimp, which accounted for 46% of total export value, followed by USD1.76 billion of pangasius
(26%) and USD526.7 million of tuna (8%).
High anti-dumping tax resulting in a slowdown in the countrys export of pangasius in the
foreseeable future
According to VASEP, the US Department of Commerce has recently announced the final results
of the ninth anti-dumping duty administration review between August 1, 2011 and July 31, 2012
towards frozen, processed pangasius imported from Vietnam. Therein, Vinh Hoan was entitled to
the most favorable rate of USD0 per kg instead of USD0.03 per kg previously. Hung Vuong
retained the last levy of USD1.2 per kg. The tax rate significantly increased from USD0.42 per kg
since the end of March 2014 to USD1.2 per kg at the present. The general rate of USD2.11 per kg
is applied for other Vietnam exporters. The representative of VASEP asserted that this was an
unreasonable, inconsistent and protective judgment that caused disadvantage to Vietnams
pangasius. We project that the countrys export of pangasius will slowdown in the foreseeable
future.
The export price of pangasius in 2013 was USD2.2 per kg, a decrease of 9.1% due to a fierce
competition among 230 local exporters while it was expected to increase by 1.8% to USD1.7 per
kg because of reduction in output volume in the year. The export price of shrimp rose 20% in
2013, which was attributed to the outbreak of EMS worldwide. EMS spreaded through the major
shrimp producing countries of China, India, Vietnam and Thailand, causing global shrimp output
to drop precipitously 23% in the year. However, as mentioned earlier, the disease has been
brought under control and a gradual reduction in price is expected as production recovers.
Vietnam is one of the most important rice producers and exporters in the world. Rice is cultivated
on 82% of the arable land of Vietnam and provides 80% of carbohydrate and 40% of the protein
intake of an average Vietnamese. The two rich deltas of the north and south - The Mekong River
delta and Red River delta - accounts for 52% and 18% of Vietnams rice productions, respectively.
3,000 2,664
2,500
1,500
1,000
500
0
2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs
Vietnam Food Association (VFA) data shows that rice exports from Vietnam in 2012 reached a
record high of 7.7 million tons, thereby maintaining its place as the worlds second largest rice
exporter, following only India
2011 2012 Jan-Jun/2013 Compared
Value % Value % Value % with
No. Markets
(million (of total (million (of total (million (of total Jan-Jun 2012
USD) export) USD) export) USD) export) (%)
TOTAL 3,657 100 3,673 100 1,582 100.00 -9.90
1 China 161 4 898 24 536 34 17
2 The Philippines 476 13 475 13 132 8 -42
3 Malaysia 292 8 403 11 103 7 -41
4 Ivory Coast 139 4 203 6 89 6 -2
5 Singapore 198 5 131 4 77 5 37
6 Ghana 77 2 150 4 77 5 12
7 Hong Kong 89 2 121 3 58 4 23
8 Indonesia 1,019 28 458 12 45 3 -71
9 Angola 28 1 55 1 38 2 31
10 Algeria 20 1 36 1 24 1 -6
Others 992 27 714 19 403 25 -3
Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs.
32 EVBN SECTOR STUDY
2.3 Coffee
Over the past decade, coffee has been Vietnams largest hard-currency earner after rice and
seafood. The International Coffee Organization documents that Vietnam has become the worlds
largest coffee exporter, surpassing Brazil. As one of the worlds top coffee exporters, Vietnam
now has more than 525,000 hectares under coffee trees, 90% of which are in the Central
Highlands.
Vietnams coffee export revenue in 2005
Vietnam has released a
First 6 months of 2013 (billion US$)
master plan for coffee
production up to the year 4.0 3.7
2020 and a vision up to 3.5
2030, under which the total 3.0 2.8
area for coffee growing will 2.5
1.9 2.0 1.9
be maintained at 500,000 2.0 1.7 1.7
hectares by 2020, with an 1.5 1.2
output of 2.4 tons a hectare, 1.0 0.7
and 479,000 hectares with 0.5
an output of 2.5 tons a 0.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jun
hectare by 2030. 2013
According to the Vietnams General Department of Customs, the country exported 140,9 tons of
coffee in June, 2013, earning US$304 million, and pushing the 6-month coffee export to 1.1
million tons, worth US$2.2 billion. During this period, made-in-Vietnam coffee was exported to
30 countries. Germany and the United States are currently the two biggest importers of
Vietnamese coffee with market shares of 13.1 percent and 11.4 percent, respectively.
Vietnams coffee products export structure by market in first 6 months of 2013
The Phillipines
The U.K China 2.68%
Russia
3.00% 2.73% 2.64%
Belgium
3.48%
Japan Germany
5.48% 13.09%
Italy
6.10%
Spain The US
7.34% 11.40%
Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs
33 EVBN SECTOR STUDY
03 KEY GROWTH DRIVERS
Recently released macroeconomic data indicates a steady growth of GDP, a curbed inflation, a
strong inflow of overseas remittances and FDI, as well as prospects for Vietnam dong to stay
stable. Along with the economic recovery, the countrys golden demographic structure, rapid
urbanization, rising disposable income, as well as growing retail network, present the impetus for
rising domestic consumption power and continued economic growth.
In 2012, Nielsen ranked Vietnam as the most rapidly growing fast-moving consumer goods
consumption country in Asia with a rate of 24.3%, followed by India (18.3%) and China (14.6%).
Despite the lull in consumption during 2013-2014, it is believed that agro-food sector will continue
to deliver double-digit annual growth during the period of 2014-2018.
Given the growing appetite for emerging market-based assets of global investors such as
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) and Texas Pacific Group (TPG) and the consolidation tendency
among local players, it is predicted that a bloom of M&A activities in the agro-food sector will be
on-going in the medium to long-term perspective.
Trade. With Vietnams export partly affected by WTO memberships barriers and trade restriction,
Vietnam tend to import more goods from abroad. Various diets with a wider range of products are
in the increasing trend among Vietnamese consumers.
Urbanization. Currently, the wealthy metropolitan centers like Ha Noi, Ho Chi Minh City and Da
Nang City shape a big base of receptive and open minded consumers of Vietnam. However,
along with the urbanization of the country, rural regions remain significantly potential market
especially for agro-food products.
Rising population. Approximately half of Vietnams population consists of consumers under the
age of 30. This group is experiencing a substantial rise in living standards accompanied by an
increase in disposable income, rising demand for foreign goods, and a willingness to experiment
with new products. For example, while wine has not been a traditional aspect of the Vietnamese
culture, this market segment (ages 20-35), which accounts for around 25 million people, will likely
form the core consumer group for wine.
Westernization. According to BMI, Vietnam consumers are brand aware, specifically, the young
and affluent. In addition, a report from New Zealand Trade & Enterprise claimed that there is a
huge number of Vietnamese who have migrated overseas to such countries such as Australia,
Canada and US and which are now influencing the lifestyle of the local Vietnamese. Hence, these
factors have resulted in demand of well-known westernized food and beverage products.
Health consciousness. Recent health problems related to food poisoning, the avian flu crisis
along with intensification of health education led Vietnamese to be more aware of using healthy
products. As a consequence, the growth of demand for healthy products, advanced packaging
and some modern retail channels is expected in the near future.
Dairy category expects rapid growth. Amongst F&B categories, the dairy possesses the
strongest momentum to enter into a growth phase while other categories including seafood,
noodles, sauces and dressing condiments, confectionery and bakery, alcoholic drinks, soft drinks
and hot drinks are reaching maturity with a slower growth pace.
There are few players dominating Vietnams Agrofood market, including large domestic
enterprises such as: Vinamilk (dairy), Kinh Do (bakery), Masan Consumer (diversified products),
Minh Phu (seafood), Vinafood, Halico (beverage), Bibica (confectionery), and Sabeco (beer).
Foreign companies are presented by: Nestle (coffee), Nabati Indonesia (confectionery), Diageo
(alcohol beverages), Heineken, Carlsberg, SABMiller (alcoholic drinks), Kirin Beverage (soft
drinks), and a few others. In addition, large multinational companies are setting up independent
units and joint ventures to invest in such categories as coffee, candies, spirits, soft drinks, and
retail distribution system.
Sabeco continues to lead the beer market with 47.5% value share in 2013. Its prominent brands
such as Saigon Export, 333 export and Saigon Lager accounted for 46.8% market shares by
brands. Vietnam Brewery and Habeco hold the second and third positions with market shares of
18.2% and 17.3% respectively. While Hanoi beer brand of Habeco took 15.8% of brands share,
Heineken and Tiger of Vietnam Brewery occupied 11.5% of the pie. The top three players
Sabeco, Vietnam Brewery and Habeco, together, hold 83% of value sales of beer in 2013.
With the advantages of worldwide large-scale farming of cow herds, big production capacity and
modern technologies, foreign players firmly control the local powdered milk market with 53.1% of
market share in 2013. Conversely, local players dominate the drinking milk market which is led by
Vinamilk with 45.5% of market share in 2013.
In 2013, Vinamilk continued to lead the yogurt market with 73% value share, as well as to
dominate the condensed milk market (approximately 80% of the total sale value).
Example of a key player - Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (VNM)
Established in 1976, the Company currently operates five model cow farms with over 8,000 heads
of cattle which were imported from Australia, and provided 90 tons of milk per day. VNM also has
an extensive distribution network with over 224,000 points of sale throughout the country and
accounts for 46% of dairy market share in 2013.
Vinamilk was honored by Forbes Asia for its Top 200 Best under a Billion in Asia 2012. This was
the first and uniquely Vietnamese company to be honored in the Forbes Asia list. In 2013, VNM
reached net consolidated revenue of VND 30,949 billion (USD1.46 billion), a 16.5% increase, and
net consolidated profit of VND 6,534 billion (USD309.3 million), and a growth of 12.3%.
Perfetti Van Melle is still leading the sugar confectionery segment in Vietnam through its Mentos,
Alpenliebe and Golia brands, accounting for 20.1% of market share in 2012. Bibica and Hai Ha
closely follow the leader, taking second and third places with market shares of 19% and 18.2%,
respectively. While local companies target low and middle-income segments, international peers
confine focusing mostly on the high-end segment.
The companies described below represent an example of western F&B chains, successfully
taking over Vietnamese market despite strong competition from local enterprises as well as
necessity to change local consumption habits and tastes.
McDonalds
A recently entered Vietnamese market, McDonalds is looking forward expanding its operations in
Vietnam. It has announced plans to open a total of 4-5 restaurants in Ho Chi Minh City this year,
as a part of an ambitious goal for opening around 100 restaurants in Vietnam in the next decade.
McDonalds is currently forced to import much of its ingredients due to the lack of quality and
consistency of Vietnamese products. In particular, McDonalds only uses two ingredients that are
grown locally in Vietnam: lettuce and tomatoes from Da Lat. All of the restaurants beef is
imported from Australia, while pork and potatoes are from the U.S., paper boxes and cups are
imported from China and Malaysia.
The long-term plan for McDonalds in Vietnam is to use mainly Vietnamese resources. The
company is already working with local providers, who are to be trained in managing product
quality according to McDonalds global standards.
Starbucks
Despite the fact that Vietnamese coffee market is highly competitive, there are opportunities for
foreign companies to enter the market and succeed, what is proved by Starbucks performance in
Vietnam. There are a several segments of coffee drinkers in Vietnam and Starbucks targets
mostly business people, well-to-do families and young consumers who prefer an international
atmosphere in a caf.
The US famous caf chain has certainly made a good impression on Vietnamese. All shops in
HCMC are located at the most advantageous positions, called the golden land. Starbucks
decorated the downtown store with local art and artifacts to create a distinctly Vietnamese flavor.
It also came up with a drink, the Asian Dolce Latte, to appeal to local palates.
Thus the main threats, faced by Starbucks in Vietnam are: intense competition coming from
strong domestic players and international companies providing the same type of coffee; inability to
significantly change traditional coffee consumption habits; barriers of complex legal system and its
dark side.
Caff Bene
Caff Bene is a famous Korean company with a system of shops providing beverages such as
coffee, fast food, milk and milk products, ice-cream and ice-cream products. Being aware that
Vietnam is a potential market, in 2012 Caff Bene decided to open shops in Hanoi and Ho Chi
Minh City through franchising.
Unlike most coffee chains that seek fast customer turnover, Caff Bene strives to create a
comfortable environment for visitors who not only drink coffee but also spend time reading books,
listening to music and chatting with friends. Caffe Benes aggressive marketing, backed by a
strategic partnership with Sidus iHQ, a major entertainment agency under SK Group, has also
helped the brand gain recognition in a short time span.
One of the main threats for such companies as Caff Bene in addition to the mentioned before is
a significant number of cafes from the similar segment, which are located in advantageous
positions and selling the ambience rather than the coffee.
Domestically, food is consumed mainly through commercial and traditional trade channels.
According to 2013 data, traditional channels include around 780,000 of traditional markets and
small private shops around the country which are suitable for small quantity and high-frequency
food purchases. Traditional channels account for about 75% of food retail value, while the
remaining 25% belongs to commercial channels including 447 supermarkets, hypermarkets,
convenience stores and food service operators with significant presence of 560,000 restaurants
and food outlets, and 12,500 hotels.
Agent level 1:
A company which directly provides agents with goods of the same price (agents have to make a
payment before delivery). Agents have a right to ask for discount negotiated in the contract by its
end.
Agent level 2:
These agents are in charge of importing goods from agent level 1 and their main customers are
often retail stores, shop, showrooms or supermarkets.
Agent level 3:
This is the channel which is similar to agent level 2, but carrying a wider network of small retail
spots in big cities or regions having a large population.
VINCORP JSC TAN BINH MINH VIET-ITALY CO., MTV IMPORT ADT CO., LTD
CO., LTD LTD EXPORT TRADING
JSC
Phone number: Phone number: Phone number: Phone number: Phone number:
(04) 39766167 (08) 39480626 84-437681543 (0313) 566 607 (04) 37321638
ANH HUY CO., LTD MAI ANH TRADING MALTHOP VIET TRADE JSC WINE
CO., LTD VIETNAM SUPERMARKET
CO.,LTD CO., LTD
As an example of a sectors supply chain within the Agrofood industry, Beverages distribution
channels brief description is presented below.
The majority of alcoholic drinks are usually distributed through on-trade channels. In contrast, hot
drinks are mainly distributed through off-trade channels as Vietnamese consumers consider hot
drinks as a daily necessity and usually drink it at home.
The distribution channel for imported wines is quite simple and commonly has two levels only.
Wines are imported directly by importers or traders themselves (if they are licensed to do so), or
by importing companies on a fee basis (2-3% over the total contract value).
Wines that are distributed to hotels, restaurants, supermarkets and retail shops are usually
commissioned by 10-20% over the fixed price on each bottle sold.
Legal issues can be very complex, a local lawyer is considered essential. Presently foreign
companies are commonly subjected up to 15 bureaucratic inspections per year, as well as to
some occasional, unclear and complex administrative licensing procedures.
Corruption is not only a widespread obstacle, but a part of the game that has to be accepted
by most companies, since it is much easier way than a lingering and unproductive controversy.
Favoritism is sometimes practiced by authorities towards local state-owned enterprises.
UE SMEs in agro-food market can confront significant competitive pressure from Trans Pacific
Partnership companies in the near future when the agreement takes place. In particular, TPP
technically allows the member countries to have free tariff for trading on other members
markets.
In 2015, Special Consumption Tax for alcoholic beverages (containing less than 20% of
alcohol) is expected to increase by 15%, from 50% to 65%, which leads the beer industry to
predicament for both domestic and international companies.
Refrigeration infrastructure in Vietnam is improving but is still weak and does cause spoilage
issues with fresh and frozen products. For a HORECA sector, not all of domestically grown
foods can be used because of its poor quality.
Despite some changes in Vietnamese life styles and consumer behavior towards western
styles and an increase in awareness of health quality standards, some niches are still a price
sensitive market.
Even though income levels of Vietnamese are much smaller than in developed countries,
consumer expenditure depends largely on food and daily necessities, and higher-value
branded food and beverage segment seems to guarantee a receptive and increasing audience
for medium term.
Consumer confidence in Western products is high and there is a notable fascination among
younger consumers with Western-styled goods.
While a growing number of tourists is driving development of Vietnam's hotel and foodservice
industry, modern hotels and restaurants are dominated by Australian and European managers
and chefs who show a preference for imported products.
As increasing Vietnameses exposure to western drinking habit couples with their popular
perception of drinking to socialize, pushing Vietnam alcoholic drinks consumption to grow year
over year. In the beverage market side, alcoholic drinks is the largest sector with 70%
contribution to total market value.
Vietnam is definitely one of the beer loving countries and it is among the most attractive
destinations for international breweries. Alcoholic beverage consumption is largely driven by
the beer category which accounted for 98% of sales volume and 91% of sales value as for the
year 2013, while wine can be considered as one of the top-growing trend in the category.
Imported raw or preliminary treated products are subject to Import Tax only.
Imported processed products are subject to Import Tax and VAT.
The import taxes for wine and beer category are extremely high (from 35% to 50%), which is
considered as the main hindrance for importing companies as well as for foreign investors in
Vietnam. Apparently high taxes lead to higher prices, and as a results, the competitive capacity of
imported products can be in the brink of zero compared to domestic wine and bear.
In 2015, SCT is expected to increase 15%, from 50% to 65%, which leads the beer industry to
predicament for both domestic and international companies. Thus when the new tax policy takes
effect, the domestic beer enterprises will be affected in the first place, as the most domestic
companies belongs to the low profit margins segment, while foreign beer brands could be found in
high-end ranges coupled with high profit margin. Thus foreign brands could stay profitable in this
situation.
For gourmet, fine food, food products and ingredients, import taxes are still under 40%, even
some categories have tax exemption such as agriculture products, livestock, aquaculture, which
have not been processed into other products or just in through ordinary pre-processing (including
imported products used as animal feed) according to Paragraph 1, Article 5 of VAT Law.
Therefore, in this section, foreign entrepreneurs as well as importing companies have more
chances to penetrate and do business in Vietnam market.
Local manufactured products are subject to special consumption tax (SCT) and VATs follows:
Special consumption tax (SCT) = SCT rate x Selling price before VAT (Including package value)
VAT = VAT rate x (Selling price before VAT (Including package value) + SCT)
Products for export are not subject to Export Tax and subject to 0% VAT.
Seal Application. In order to carve a seal, companies need a seal-making license from the
Administrative Department for Social Order (ADSO) under the Municipal Police Department.
Tax Code Registration. Tax code registration must be undertaken with the tax department
within 10 working days from the issuance date of the IC.
Bank Account Opening. After obtaining the seal and tax code, companies need to open a
bank account.
Labor Registration. Newly set-up enterprises need to register employees at the local labor
office.
Public Announcement. To finalize the procedure, a newspaper announcement should be
published announcing the establishment of the company.
According to the Laws of food safety released in October 2012, any organization registered as a
manufacturer or distributor of food and beverage must be certificated by GMP, HACCP, and ISO
22000. Furthermore, regular examination (not more than twice a year) and sudden examination
will occur to make sure there is no violation. The certificates will be expires after 3 years and the
organization needs to apply again.
In order to proceed in the industry, an F&B company needs to go through a process and product
testing by NIFC (National Institute of Food Control). Two stamps also called ISO/IEC Guide 65
are provided by NIFC. Since food safety is considered to be an issue in Vietnam, some
organizations, manufacturers and food companies even use the mentioned stamps in their
marketing campaigns
More information on: http://nifc.gov.vn/ National Institute for Food Control (NIFC)
Saigon
Exhibition & Frozen Food, Dairy Product, Drinks and Beverages,
Food and Hotel Convention Meat and Poultry, Wine, Spirits and Beers, Bakery
21-23/04/2015
Vietnam 2015 Center (secc) and Confectionery, hotel and restaurant products
Ho Chi Minh and equipments, catering products.
City
Vietnam Saigon
International Exhibition & Fruit Processing Technology, Alcohol Making
Food Convention Machines and Equipment, Fermentation Equipment,
22-25/10/2014
Processing Center (SECC), Storage and Process Tanks are presented on the
Industry Ho Chi Minh event.
Exhibition City
Tan Binh
International
Food and Beverages Industry Exhibition
Vietfood and Exhibition And
10-13/09/2014 showcasing Beverages, Biotech Products, Canned
Propack 2014 Convention
Products, Chinese Herbs, Confectionery Etc.
Center Ho Chi
Minh City
Saigon
Vietnam Exhibition &
Vietnam Fisheries International Exhibition 2014 Will
Fisheries Convention
06-08/06/2014 Showcase All Types Of Fish Cages, Fish Firms,
International Center (SECC)
Fish Hatchery Machinery, Sea Food Products Etc
Exhibition 2014 Ho Chi Minh
City
Saigon
Exhibition &
Food Packaging Machinery And Materials,
Convention
Food Pack 2014 02-04/06/2014 Pharmaceutical Packaging Machine And Materials
Center (SECC)
Etc.
Ho Chi Minh
City
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