BC TRACKING - MARCH 18-20, 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
6 AM PST, MARCH 23, 2017
PRINT EXCLUSIVE:
POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
1,500 British Columbians from March 18-20, 2017
through Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened
to conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the
2011 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 2.53
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Greater
Vancouver specic results, the margin of error is
3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For
Vancouver Island specic results, the margin of
error is 6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
For Rest of BC results, the margin of error is 4.64
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montreal: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
GREENS GAIN, PARTY LEADERS FAVOURABILITY VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED

March 23, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds the B.C. Greens up 4 percentage
points at the expense of the NDP and Liberals. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/-
2.53 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Its a sharp uptick for the Greens this week - but the question is whether they will be able to maintain that
support said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. Only 42% of B.C. Green Party Voters say their
support is strong - signicantly lower than for the 3 other parties. Meanwhile, Green Party leader Andrew
Weaver continues to be a virtual unknown in the province, with over 50% of voters saying they are not
familiar with him or have no clear opinion.

The BC Greens should be taken seriously - but they will need to solidify their leadership standings and
support strength to shake o the appearance of being placeholders.

The Favourability ratings for the three party leaders are all relatively unchanged from when we last looked
at their ratings from February 25-26. Christy Clark now registers a net disapproval rating of -31, while John
Horgan is at +7 and Andrew Weaver is at +2.

When it comes to replacing the George Massey Bridge, Greater Vancouver residents are split. 31%
support a 10-lane toll bridge while 29% support the position of local mayors: a smaller, less expensive
bridge with expanded public transit. 12% would like to see something else while another 28% are
undecided on the matter.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

Greens Gain
With both the Liberals and NDP shedding 2 points
of support the Green Party is up 4 percentage
points this week in our decided and leaning score.
Support is up for the Greens in the Rest of British
Columbia (+2), Vancouver Island (+4), and Greater
Vancouver (+5).
This may be a delayed fallout to the news
surrounding political donations in the province.
The story has touched both the Liberals, and to a
lesser extent, the NDP. The Green Party is
positioning itself as the only clean actor -
announcing an re-announcing party policy to not
accept union or corporate donations.
The Greens are now just 4 percentage points away
Decided & Leaning Voters
from second place on Vancouver Island, where the
undecided rate remains at a persistent 25%.
Interestingly, where the Greens are doing the best
is where the BC Conservatives are faring the worst.
While these are positive numbers for the Green
Party the biggest test will be to see if they can
maintain them as the election continues.
Andrew Weaver is still a virtual unknown in most
of the province - while many do not have a clear
opinion of John Horgan.
While Christy Clark holds a net disapproval rating
of -32, Horgan is registering a +7 while Weaver is
registering a +2.
Both Horgan and Weaver have combined not sure
and not familiar with scores over 50%.
Despite the drop in support the Liberals are still
well positioned given the regional breakouts.
The big question is where the vote currently
allocated to the BC Conservatives will land.
Soft BC Conservative supporters are leaning
towards the Green Party - but its still unknown
just how many candidates the Conservatives will
eld.
After announcing 3 candidates in 3 days they have
not announced any new candidates since then.
Certainly, the Green Party has to be hoping the BC
Conservatives decide (or are unable) to eld
candidates on Vancouver Island.
Among All Voters
Strength Consistent
Support Strength for the Green Party has dropped
but this is to be expected as they have gained 4
percentage points in decided and leaning scores.
The real test will be to see if they can hold onto
the voters they have gained and solidied them.
Second Choices
The Green Party is continuing to score well on second choice
- which is only asked of soft party supporters. While the
Greens are doing well with NDP and Conservative voters -
they are not well with Liberal Voters at all, scoring only 14%
 What They Think:
About the Leaders

Christy Clark
Favourable: 23 (+2)
Unfavourable: 55 (-2)
Not Sure: 19 (-1)
Not Familiar with: 2(+1)

Net Disapproval: -32

George Massey Tunnel

Greater Vancouver residents are split
when it comes to replacing the George
Massey Tunnel with a 10 lane toll bridge.
54% of BC Liberal Voters support the
toll bridge followed by 46% of
Conservative party voters.
Some have suggested a 10-lane toll bridge to
ease congestion through Massey Tunnel while
others have suggested a smaller, less
expensive bridge with more resources
devoted to transit. Which would option would John Horgan
you prefer, or would you prefer something IFavourable: 29 (+3)
else? [Greater Vancouver Only] Unfavourable: 22 (-2)
Not Sure: 36 (-1)
Not Familiar with: 13 (-)

Among NDP and Green Party Voters Net Disapproval: +7

there was much more support for a
smaller bridge and expanded public
transit - 42% and 41%, respectively.

41% of Undecided voters have no clear

opinion on replacing the George Massey
Tunnel. 31% support a smaller bridge
with public transport, 19% support the
toll bridge.

Support for the toll bridge is highest

among those 18-34 (38%) and lowest
among those 50-64 (26%).
Andrew Weaver
Men are much more likely than women Favourable: 17 (-1)
to support the 10 lane bridge, 35% Unfavourable: 15 (-)
Not Sure: 37 (+2)
compared to 26%. Not Familiar with: 31(-)

Net Disapproval: +2