In this webercise, you will be navigating your way through various links and other online

scenarios and games to familiarize yourself more with not only the vocabularies, but also
being able to find probabilities of various experiments and scenarios and even conducting
few ourselves too. NOW LETS GET STARTED!

1. https://www.khanacademy.org/math/precalculus/prob-comb/basic-prob-
precalc/v/basic-probability

write down the equation for probability.

2. Definitions: https://quizlet.com/35443427/probability-flash-cards/
a. Probability:

b. Theoretical Probability:

c. Experimental Probability:

d. Dependent Event:

e. Independent Event:

f. Outcome:

g. Sample Space:

3. SOME PRACTICE:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/schools/gcsebitesize/maths/activities/probability_founda
tion/probability_foundation.shtml (Solve the 2 problems on this site and write your
answer below in terms of P(event)= etc. )

4. Now let's practice with some theoretical vs experimental probabilities!

 http://www.shodor.org/interactivate/activities/Coin/

Scenario: Flipping a coin 20 times and we will predict our theoretical probability of it
landing on heads / tails. After, we will use the interactive website and WRITE 20 in the
number of tosses, and for DISPLAY RESULTS: Table. We will write down our
experimental probability below of it landing on heads/tails after.
THEORETICAL
a. P(heads) =
b. P(tails)=
EXPERIMENTAL (after conducting the experiment on the website FIRST)
a. P (heads) =
b. P (tails) =
Did your experimental results differ from our theoretical results?

Why do you think your experimental probability differed from the theoretical?

5. Monty Hall Probability Simulation : Show host, Monty Hall would ask a contestant to
pick one of three doors. Behind one of the three doors was a large prize. Behind the other
two doors were lesser prizes, sometimes a group of goats grazing on fresh hay. Once the
contestant picked a door, Monty would open one of the remaining two doors that did not
have a prize. Then, he would offer the contestant a chance to switch doors.

To learn about dependent and independent probability, your team will work with two
Monty Hall simulation games. Before playing, predict whether or not it is better to switch
door selections after one is revealed.
http://www.shodor.org/interactivate/activities/SimpleMontyHall/
Play this game 20times, and list down the results you get.
1. What happens when you stay with your original (first) choice of door?

2. What happens when you choose to switch doors?

3. Does it matter, in terms of winning, whether you stay or switch?

4. How can you explain your results in this activity?

After answering the questions, look at http://math.ucsd.edu/~crypto/Monty/Montytitle.htmlfor an
explanation to your answers.