Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
1acs
1ac TSA Flow (Terror + Airlines)
Plan
The United States federal government should
substantially curtail its domestic surveillance of security
inputs of United States corporations covered by the
Transportation Security Administrations Screening
Partnership Program.
Adv 1: Terrorism (3:40)
spending of all sorts. Unethical and possibly illegal activities , according to the
agency Inspector General. Costly , counterintuitive , and poorly executed
operations , according to the House oversight committee. Employee misconduct .
Ranking 232 out of 240 federal agencies in job satisfaction. Worst, though, is the TSAs failure to do the job
for which it was created: secure Americas airports and other transportation hubs. Reported Edwards,
There were 25,000 security breaches at U.S. airports during TSAs first
decade, despite the agencys huge spending and all the inconveniences
imposed on passengers. In tests, the agency failed to catch as much as
three-quarters of fake explosives. The problem is not just operational
inefficiency. The TSA doesnt think strategically , or at least, it does not do so
effectively. The agency has been criticized for failing to follow robust risk
assessment methodology and undertaking little or no evaluation of
program performance. No planes have been hijacked since 9/11, but, wrote Edwards, The
safety of travelers in recent years may have more to do with the dearth of terrorists in the United States
and other security layers around aviation, than with the performance of TSA airport screeners. The
Entrust airport security to airports, which
alternative to the TSA monopoly is privatization.
local circumstances.
can integrate screening with other aspects of facility security and adjust to
Its not a leap into the unknown; Canadian and most European airports use private
screening. Even the 2001 legislation setting up the TSA allowed a small out for American airports.
Five were allowed to go private, and another 11 have chosen to do so in the intervening
12 years. However, the Reason Foundations Robert Poole complained that the TSA
micromanages even private operations , thereby making it very
difficult for screening companies to innovate. Worse, a House oversight
committee charged the agency with a history of intimidating airport operators that express an interest in
effectively firing the TSA. Shifting security to private operators would not eliminate problems. But
expanding airport flexibility and more important, creating security competition would
encourage increased experimentation . Americans started to innovate on that tragic
September day a dozen years ago. When passengers on the fourth hijacked flight learned what their
hijackers had in store, the former ended the mission. Passengers later took down the shoe and underwear
bombers. Obviously, dangers remain. But the best way to protect people would be to end the TSA, limiting
Washington to general oversight and tasks such as intelligence activities. Travel would be safer, security
would be cheaper, and Americans would be freer.
would improve morale and enhance skills . Some policymakers favor expanding
private screening to all commercial airports and shrinking TSAs role in aviation security to
include only analyzing intelligence, setting security standards, and auditing screening operations.129
Representative Mica is pushing for privatized airport screening and thinks that TSA should be downsized to
about 5,000 workers.130 Sen. Rand Paul (RKY) has proposed fully privatizing TSA, as has Cato Institute
scholar Jim Harper.131
The existence of the SPP program has allowed researchers to compare the
the massive agency grades its performance at D-. The whole program
has been hijacked by bureaucrats , said Rep. John Mica (R. -Fla.), chairman of the House
Transportation Committee. It mushroomed into an army , Mica said. Its gone from a
couple-billion-dollar enterprise to close to $9 billion. As for keeping the American public safe, Mica says,
Theyve failed to actually detect any threat in 10 years .
Everything they have done has been reactive . They take shoes off
because of [shoe-bomber] Richard Reid, passengers are patted down because of
the diaper bomber, and you cant pack liquids because the British uncovered a
plot using liquids, Mica said. Its an agency that is always one step out of
step , Mica said. It cost $1 billion just to train workers, which now number more than 62,000, and they
actually trained more workers than they have on the job, Mica said. The whole thing is a
complete fiasco , Mica said. In a wide-ranging interview with HUMAN EVENTS just days before the
10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, Mica said screeners should be privatized and the
agency dismantled. Instead, the agency should number no more than 5,000, and carry out his original
intent, which was to monitor terrorist threats and collect intelligence.
The world has been slow to respond to these new threats to food security. In
four of the last five years the world grain harvest has fallen short of consumption. As a result, world grain stocks are now
at their lowest level in 30 years. Another large world grain shortfall in 2005 could drop stocks to the lowest level on record
and send world food prices into uncharted territory of rising food prices. IT CONTINUES Many Americans see terrorism as
the principal threat to security, but for much of humanity, the effects of water shortages and rising temperatures on food
For the 3 billion people who live on 2 dollars a day or
security are far more important issues.
less and who spend up to 70 per cent of their income on food, even a modest rise in food prices
can quickly become life-threatening . For them, it is the next meal that is the overriding concern."
The economic and political importance of high food prices cant be underestimated.
To take one example, high food prices were the catalyst for last years outbreak of
revolution in several Middle East countries. The region once known as the Fertile Crescent is heavily dependent on
imported grain and rising fuel costs contributed to the skyrocketing food prices which provoked the Arab revolts. Annia Ciezadlo, in her article
Let Them Eat Bread in the March 23, 2011 issue of Foreign Affairs wrote: Of the top 20 wheat importers for 2010, almost half are Middle
Eastern countries. The list reads like a playbook of toppled and teetering regimes: Egypt (1), Algeria (4), Iraq (7), Morocco (8), Yemen (13),
fomenting popular revolt. The French Revolution of the late 1700s originated with a
food shortage which caused a 90 percent increase in the bread price in 1789. Describing the build-up to the Reign of Terror in
France of 1793-94, author Susan Kerr wrote: For a time, local governments attempted to improve distribution channels and moderate
soaring prices. Against this backdrop of rumbling stomachs and wailing hungry children, the excesses and arrogance of the nobility and clergy
strutted in sharp contrast. This historical event has an obvious parallel in todays emphasis on the elite 1 percent versus the 99 percent.
The French government of the late 18th century attempted to assuage the pain caused by soaring food prices, but ultimately this effort failed.
Although the U.S. government attempted for a time to keep fuel prices low, it has since abandoned all effort at stopping speculators from
pushing prices ever higher. An undercurrent of popular revolt is already present within the U.S. as evidenced by the emergence of the Tea
Party and by last years Occupy Wall Street movement. This revolutionary sentiment has been temporarily suppressed by the simultaneous
improvement in the retail economy and the financial market rebound of the past few months. The fact that this is a presidential election year,
replete with the usual pump priming measures and underscored by the peaking 4-year cycle, has been an invaluable help in keeping
revolutionary fervor suppressed for the moment. But what those within the government and financial establishment have failed to consider is
that once the 4-year cycle peaks later this year, we enter the final hard down phase of the 120-year cycle to bottom in late 2014. This cycle
is also known, in the words of Samuel J. Kress, as the Revolutionary Cycle. Regarding the 120-year cycle, Kress wrote: The first 120-year
Mega Cycle began in the mid 1770s after a prolonged depressed economy and the Revolutionary War which transformed American from an
occupied territory to an independent country as we know the U.S.A. today. The first 120-year cycle ended in the mid 1890s after the first major
depression in the U.S. and the Spanish American War. This began the second 120-year cycle which transformed the U.S. from an agricultural to
a manufacturing based economy and which is referred to as the Industrial Revolution. The second 120-year is scheduled to bottom in later
potential for the third major depression and a WWIII equivalent exists and the U.S. could
experience another transformation and our life style as we know it today.
Solvency (2:00)
flexibility even further. Now that we are more confident in our ability to judge the impact on aviation
security that a proposal may have, we will move forward aggressively in this area. One example of
flexibility is TSA's approval of the idea conceived by Covenant Aviation Services to implement and test the
concept of using baggage handlers to perform nonscreening functions in lieu of baggage screeners at San
Francisco International Airport. Covenant believes that this division of responsibilities will result in cost
savings without any deterioration in security. TSA is now monitoring the
implementation of this idea. TSA welcomes all innovative ideas put forward
by the contractors and will afford each proposal careful consideration .
rather than only specifying the desired screening outcomes , thereby making it
very difficult for screening companies to innovate. As well, the ATSA
legislation mandates that compensation levels for private screeners be
identical to those of TSA screeners. Under a performance contracting approach, with
screening devolved to the airport, TSA would continue to certify screening companies
that met its requirements (e.g., security experience, financial strength, screener qualifications, training,
etc.). It would also spell out the screening performance measures (outcomes) that
companies or airports would be required to meet. Airports would be free to either provide screening
themselves (with screeners meeting those same TSA requirements) or to competitively contract for a TSA-
Companies bidding in response to the airports RFP would
certified screening company.
propose their approach to meeting the performance requirements, in terms of staff,
procedures and technology. This could include, for example, cross-training screeners to carry out other
airport security duties, such as access and perimeter control. The airport would select the
proposal that offered the best value , subject to TSA approval. TSA, in its role as
regulator, would oversee all aspects of the airports security operations, including adherence to federal
laws and screening.
than providing federal oversight . The private screening program began in November 2002 when
four qualified private security companies -- FirstLine Transportation Security, Jackson Hole Airport Board,
McNeil Technologies, Inc., and Covenant Aviation Security -- took over screening at five airports -- Jackson
Hole, Kansas City International, Greater Rochester International, San Francisco International, and Tupelo,
Mississippi. When we put this program in place, we selected one in each category of size of airport to test
this private approach. Currently, however, more than 400 airports operate with centralized command and
The operational
control employment and training of some nearly 45,000 screening personnel.
success of our highly centralized all federal screening bureaucracy has
been marginal by almost any effective and objective evaluation. Numerous airports have
been plagued with passenger screening delays . We've had many of them appear. I think we
had 16 airports appear before us just recently talking about some of the problems. For example, Las
Vegas, Nevada, reported some four-hour passenger screening delays at one point.
Screener vacancies exceed 20 percent in some of our busiest airports. Los Angeles,
for example -- and I visited there earlier this year -- cited over 290 unfilled positions, while Jacksonville,
Florida, to the north of my district, reported to our subcommittee that they had too many screening
personnel. Many other airports report excess TSA airport bureaucracy . Training
and background checks, unfortunately, have lagged behind . The TSA
bureaucracies at large and small airports, unfortunately, have grown unchecked .
Quite frankly, it's difficult or impossible , I believe, to micromanage the
employment, the training, and the deployment of tens of thousands
of screeners from Washington, D.C ., to scores of differently configured airports with
fluctuating scheduling requirements. While problems with a Soviet-style federal screening operation should
raise the serious concern of Congress, anyone who has seen the classified results
and detection rates of this system and does not call for reform in the program, I
believe, is derelict in their responsibility . That's why I've been a major proponent of a
decentralized screening program. I also believe that aviation security is not best served by a
one-size-fits-all approach. Rather, we should allow decentralized
flexibility , efficiency , cost savings , and innovations . These are
things that the pilot program was intended to highlight. All that can
be accomplished, as Europe and Israel have realized, without diluting any
standards lowering any requirements . As long as the highest level security
or
standards are met or exceeded, how that is accomplished should be determined
by those most closely involved at the airport operational level . While I am most
pleased with the results of the pilot screening program, some will testify today that the
program was overconstrained by the TSA and it never really was allowed to
be experimental . We'll look at that. However, I believe that the pilot program has had a very
positive effect on the provision of aviation security post-September 11. I understand that the PP5
companies were initially given limited flexibility in recruiting , hiring and
spending of all sorts. Unethical and possibly illegal activities , according to the
agency Inspector General. Costly , counterintuitive , and poorly executed
operations , according to the House oversight committee. Employee misconduct .
Ranking 232 out of 240 federal agencies in job satisfaction. Worst, though, is the TSAs failure to do the job
for which it was created: secure Americas airports and other transportation hubs. Reported Edwards,
There were 25,000 security breaches at U.S. airports during TSAs first
decade, despite the agencys huge spending and all the inconveniences
imposed on passengers. In tests, the agency failed to catch as much as
three-quarters of fake explosives. The problem is not just operational
inefficiency. The TSA doesnt think strategically , or at least, it does not do so
effectively. The agency has been criticized for failing to follow robust risk
assessment methodology and undertaking little or no evaluation of
program performance. No planes have been hijacked since 9/11, but, wrote Edwards, The
safety of travelers in recent years may have more to do with the dearth of terrorists in the United States
and other security layers around aviation, than with the performance of TSA airport screeners. The
Entrust airport security to airports, which
alternative to the TSA monopoly is privatization.
local circumstances.
can integrate screening with other aspects of facility security and adjust to
Its not a leap into the unknown; Canadian and most European airports use private
screening. Even the 2001 legislation setting up the TSA allowed a small out for American airports.
Five were allowed to go private, and another 11 have chosen to do so in the intervening
12 years. However, the Reason Foundations Robert Poole complained that the TSA
micromanages even private operations , thereby making it very
difficult for screening companies to innovate. Worse, a House oversight
committee charged the agency with a history of intimidating airport operators that express an interest in
effectively firing the TSA. Shifting security to private operators would not eliminate problems. But
expanding airport flexibility and more important, creating security competition would
encourage increased experimentation . Americans started to innovate on that tragic
September day a dozen years ago. When passengers on the fourth hijacked flight learned what their
hijackers had in store, the former ended the mission. Passengers later took down the shoe and underwear
bombers. Obviously, dangers remain. But the best way to protect people would be to end the TSA, limiting
Washington to general oversight and tasks such as intelligence activities. Travel would be safer, security
would be cheaper, and Americans would be freer.
Having lost four planes to terrorist actions, insurance companies invoked the seven-day
cancellation clause and slashed the maximum cover available for third-
for war and terrorism risks. It fell from more than
party non-passenger liability cover
$1bn (GBP 596m) to a maximum of $50m. At the same time, premiums rose
exponentially . Airlines faced the nightmare scenario of their airfleets being
grounded because of insufficient cover to satisfy the companies from
which they leased their aircraft , causing financial losses that could have
proved fatal at a time when passenger numbers slumped rapidly after 11
September. In the days immediately following the attacks, the aviation insurance crisis
snowballed rapidly . When the seven-day cancellation clause was invoked on 17 September
2001 it became clear that unless a solution was found quickly, the world's airlines would not be able to fly
anywhere at all from midnight on Monday 24 September.
The world has been slow to respond to these new threats to food security. In
four of the last five years the world grain harvest has fallen short of consumption. As a result, world grain stocks are now
at their lowest level in 30 years. Another large world grain shortfall in 2005 could drop stocks to the lowest level on record
and send world food prices into uncharted territory of rising food prices. IT CONTINUES Many Americans see terrorism as
the principal threat to security, but for much of humanity, the effects of water shortages and rising temperatures on food
For the 3 billion people who live on 2 dollars a day or
security are far more important issues.
less and who spend up to 70 per cent of their income on food, even a modest rise in food prices
can quickly become life-threatening . For them, it is the next meal that is the overriding concern."
access into the deepest parts of these companies and the airports in which
they operate," the report states. The hackers were able to gain almost unfettered
access to the systems of the companies with Active Directory domains fully compromised, along with
switches, routers, and the internal networking infrastructure. In parallel, the hackers have been targeting
airlines, and according to the report, have breached both cyber and physical assets at major airline
operators, including at least one large US airline. "The end goal is not known" While Cylance has been
monitoring the hacker group for two years, it is still in the dark about much of its operations and goals, and
that is why it has decided to publish what it knows now: "We believe our visibility into this campaign
represents only a fraction of Operation Cleaver's full scope. We believe that if the operation is left to
continue unabated, it is only a matter of time before the world's physical safety is impacted by it." "We are
exposing this cyber-campaign early in an attempt to minimise additional real-world impact and prevent
The report concludes worryingly: "The end goal of this
further victimisation."
operation is not known at this time." Iran has labelled the report "baseless and unfounded"
believing it to be an attempt to tarnish the government and hamper the on-going nuclear talks. Cylance
CEO Stuart McClure however claims his company's report "refrained from exaggeration and
embellishment" limiting itself to report "only that which can be definitively confirmed".
the massive agency grades its performance at D-. The whole program
has been hijacked by bureaucrats , said Rep. John Mica (R. -Fla.), chairman of the House
Transportation Committee. It mushroomed into an army , Mica said. Its gone from a
couple-billion-dollar enterprise to close to $9 billion. As for keeping the American public safe, Mica says,
Theyve failed to actually detect any threat in 10 years .
Everything they have done has been reactive . They take shoes off
because of [shoe-bomber] Richard Reid, passengers are patted down because of
the diaper bomber, and you cant pack liquids because the British uncovered a
plot using liquids, Mica said. Its an agency that is always one step out of
step , Mica said. It cost $1 billion just to train workers, which now number more than 62,000, and they
actually trained more workers than they have on the job, Mica said. The whole thing is a
complete fiasco , Mica said. In a wide-ranging interview with HUMAN EVENTS just days before the
10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, Mica said screeners should be privatized and the
agency dismantled. Instead, the agency should number no more than 5,000, and carry out his original
intent, which was to monitor terrorist threats and collect intelligence.
would improve morale and enhance skills . Some policymakers favor expanding
private screening to all commercial airports and shrinking TSAs role in aviation security to
include only analyzing intelligence, setting security standards, and auditing screening operations.129
Representative Mica is pushing for privatized airport screening and thinks that TSA should be downsized to
about 5,000 workers.130 Sen. Rand Paul (RKY) has proposed fully privatizing TSA, as has Cato Institute
scholar Jim Harper.131
b) Streamlining the plan redirects resources making
counter-terror more effective
Edwards 13 Director of Tax Policy Studies at Cato (Chris Edwards,
11/19/13, Privatizing the Transportation Security Administration, No. 742,
Lexis)//twemchen
Management problems stemming from TSAs large screening workforce
distract the agency from its core responsibilities in avia-tion security. A
House report argued that due to high attrition, TSA has spent so much time managing
itself that it has been unable to focus necessary resources on
oversight and regulation of U.S. transportation security in general.33 Another
House report described the agency as an enormous , inflexible and distracted
bureaucracy , that has lost its focus on transportation security.34 The
solution is to get TSA out of the screening business and devolve that responsibility to the nations
airports. Centralized management of 53,000 screeners at more than 450 separate airports across the
nation makes no sense. All airports have their unique variations in passenger levels, for example, and need
to continually adjust their workforces, but TSA is slow in making needed changes. That is one reason
numerous airports are interested in returning to private screening , as discussed below.
The existence of the SPP program has allowed researchers to compare the
Trafficking of flora and fauna Many IOR countries have different biodiversity levels. The
illegal trafficking of rare species of flora and fauna is amongst one of the most
lucrative criminal trades in the world and, like other areas of organized crime, is smuggled
across borders. Unchecked demand for exotic pets, rare foods, plants, corals, and traditional
medicines is driving many species to the brink of extinction , threatening efforts
to meet the global 2010 target to reduce biodiversity loss, and contributing to
the spread to humans of virulent wildlife diseases such as SARS , avian
influenza and the Ebola virus. The illegal trade in wildlife and wildlife products that are
indigenous to the region poses a threat to the balance of the ecosystem and it
gives rise to a soaring black market, worth an estimated $10 billion a year. The creatures are trafficked
illegal wildlife trade is often linked to
through middlemen to rich markets in the west. The
organised crime and involves many of the same culprits and smuggling routes as
trafficking in arms , drugs, and persons. Threats to the marine ecosystem The Indian Ocean
possesses a range of valuable natural resources including enormous amounts of mineral and energy
resources that remain under-exploited. Marine bio-security refers to the protection of marine environments
from non-indigenous species, and this has direct implications on biodiversity in the
marine ecological systems in the Indian Ocean. It has been found that invasive alien species are
becoming a significant threat to marine biodiversity, where ballast water is viewed as a
major cause of their proliferation. The Indian Ocean region is also vulnerable to high levels of pollution
caused by ocean dumping, waste disposal and oil spills as a significant amount of international trade takes
place in the region's waters. The waste poses threats to the survival of marine organisms and
consequently, on the marine ecosystem, on which millions of livelihoods depend. Overall environmental
threat has impacted economic activities such as fisheries, tourism and also affected fragile ecosystems.
flexibility even further. Now that we are more confident in our ability to judge the impact on aviation
security that a proposal may have, we will move forward aggressively in this area. One example of
flexibility is TSA's approval of the idea conceived by Covenant Aviation Services to implement and test the
concept of using baggage handlers to perform nonscreening functions in lieu of baggage screeners at San
Francisco International Airport. Covenant believes that this division of responsibilities will result in cost
savings without any deterioration in security. TSA is now monitoring the
implementation of this idea. TSA welcomes all innovative ideas put forward
by the contractors and will afford each proposal careful consideration .
rather than only specifying the desired screening outcomes , thereby making it
very difficult for screening companies to innovate. As well, the ATSA
legislation mandates that compensation levels for private screeners be
identical to those of TSA screeners. Under a performance contracting approach, with
screening devolved to the airport, TSA would continue to certify screening companies
that met its requirements (e.g., security experience, financial strength, screener qualifications, training,
etc.). It would also spell out the screening performance measures (outcomes) that
companies or airports would be required to meet. Airports would be free to either provide screening
themselves (with screeners meeting those same TSA requirements) or to competitively contract for a TSA-
Companies bidding in response to the airports RFP would
certified screening company.
propose their approach to meeting the performance requirements, in terms of staff,
procedures and technology. This could include, for example, cross-training screeners to carry out other
airport security duties, such as access and perimeter control. The airport would select the
proposal that offered the best value , subject to TSA approval. TSA, in its role as
regulator, would oversee all aspects of the airports security operations, including adherence to federal
laws and screening.
than providing federal oversight . The private screening program began in November 2002 when
four qualified private security companies -- FirstLine Transportation Security, Jackson Hole Airport Board,
McNeil Technologies, Inc., and Covenant Aviation Security -- took over screening at five airports -- Jackson
Hole, Kansas City International, Greater Rochester International, San Francisco International, and Tupelo,
Mississippi. When we put this program in place, we selected one in each category of size of airport to test
this private approach. Currently, however, more than 400 airports operate with centralized command and
The operational
control employment and training of some nearly 45,000 screening personnel.
success of our highly centralized all federal screening bureaucracy has
been marginal by almost any effective and objective evaluation. Numerous airports have
been plagued with passenger screening delays . We've had many of them appear. I think we
had 16 airports appear before us just recently talking about some of the problems. For example, Las
Vegas, Nevada, reported some four-hour passenger screening delays at one point.
Screener vacancies exceed 20 percent in some of our busiest airports. Los Angeles,
for example -- and I visited there earlier this year -- cited over 290 unfilled positions, while Jacksonville,
Florida, to the north of my district, reported to our subcommittee that they had too many screening
personnel. Many other airports report excess TSA airport bureaucracy . Training
and background checks, unfortunately, have lagged behind . The TSA
bureaucracies at large and small airports, unfortunately, have grown unchecked .
Quite frankly, it's difficult or impossible , I believe, to micromanage the
employment, the training, and the deployment of tens of thousands
of screeners from Washington, D.C ., to scores of differently configured airports with
fluctuating scheduling requirements. While problems with a Soviet-style federal screening operation should
raise the serious concern of Congress, anyone who has seen the classified results
and detection rates of this system and does not call for reform in the program, I
believe, is derelict in their responsibility . That's why I've been a major proponent of a
decentralized screening program. I also believe that aviation security is not best served by a
one-size-fits-all approach. Rather, we should allow decentralized
flexibility , efficiency , cost savings , and innovations . These are
things that the pilot program was intended to highlight. All that can
be accomplished, as Europe and Israel have realized, without diluting any
standards lowering any requirements . As long as the highest level security
or
standards are met or exceeded, how that is accomplished should be determined
by those most closely involved at the airport operational level . While I am most
pleased with the results of the pilot screening program, some will testify today that the
program was overconstrained by the TSA and it never really was allowed to
be experimental . We'll look at that. However, I believe that the pilot program has had a very
positive effect on the provision of aviation security post-September 11. I understand that the PP5
companies were initially given limited flexibility in recruiting , hiring and
spending of all sorts. Unethical and possibly illegal activities , according to the
agency Inspector General. Costly , counterintuitive , and poorly executed
operations , according to the House oversight committee. Employee misconduct .
Ranking 232 out of 240 federal agencies in job satisfaction. Worst, though, is the TSAs failure to do the job
for which it was created: secure Americas airports and other transportation hubs. Reported Edwards,
There were 25,000 security breaches at U.S. airports during TSAs first
decade, despite the agencys huge spending and all the inconveniences
imposed on passengers. In tests, the agency failed to catch as much as
three-quarters of fake explosives. The problem is not just operational
inefficiency. The TSA doesnt think strategically , or at least, it does not do so
effectively. The agency has been criticized for failing to follow robust risk
assessment methodology and undertaking little or no evaluation of
program performance. No planes have been hijacked since 9/11, but, wrote Edwards, The
safety of travelers in recent years may have more to do with the dearth of terrorists in the United States
and other security layers around aviation, than with the performance of TSA airport screeners. The
Entrust airport security to airports, which
alternative to the TSA monopoly is privatization.
local circumstances.
can integrate screening with other aspects of facility security and adjust to
Its not a leap into the unknown; Canadian and most European airports use private
screening. Even the 2001 legislation setting up the TSA allowed a small out for American airports.
Five were allowed to go private, and another 11 have chosen to do so in the intervening
12 years. However, the Reason Foundations Robert Poole complained that the TSA
micromanages even private operations , thereby making it very
difficult for screening companies to innovate. Worse, a House oversight
committee charged the agency with a history of intimidating airport operators that express an interest in
effectively firing the TSA. Shifting security to private operators would not eliminate problems. But
expanding airport flexibility and more important, creating security competition would
encourage increased experimentation . Americans started to innovate on that tragic
September day a dozen years ago. When passengers on the fourth hijacked flight learned what their
hijackers had in store, the former ended the mission. Passengers later took down the shoe and underwear
bombers. Obviously, dangers remain. But the best way to protect people would be to end the TSA, limiting
Washington to general oversight and tasks such as intelligence activities. Travel would be safer, security
would be cheaper, and Americans would be freer.
would improve morale and enhance skills . Some policymakers favor expanding
private screening to all commercial airports and shrinking TSAs role in aviation security to
include only analyzing intelligence, setting security standards, and auditing screening operations.129
Representative Mica is pushing for privatized airport screening and thinks that TSA should be downsized to
about 5,000 workers.130 Sen. Rand Paul (RKY) has proposed fully privatizing TSA, as has Cato Institute
scholar Jim Harper.131
The existence of the SPP program has allowed researchers to compare the
the massive agency grades its performance at D-. The whole program
has been hijacked by bureaucrats , said Rep. John Mica (R. -Fla.), chairman of the House
Transportation Committee. It mushroomed into an army , Mica said. Its gone from a
couple-billion-dollar enterprise to close to $9 billion. As for keeping the American public safe, Mica says,
Theyve failed to actually detect any threat in 10 years .
Everything they have done has been reactive . They take shoes off
because of [shoe-bomber] Richard Reid, passengers are patted down because of
the diaper bomber, and you cant pack liquids because the British uncovered a
plot using liquids, Mica said. Its an agency that is always one step out of
step , Mica said. It cost $1 billion just to train workers, which now number more than 62,000, and they
actually trained more workers than they have on the job, Mica said. The whole thing is a
complete fiasco , Mica said. In a wide-ranging interview with HUMAN EVENTS just days before the
10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, Mica said screeners should be privatized and the
agency dismantled. Instead, the agency should number no more than 5,000, and carry out his original
intent, which was to monitor terrorist threats and collect intelligence.
The world has been slow to respond to these new threats to food security. In
four of the last five years the world grain harvest has fallen short of consumption. As a result, world grain stocks are now
at their lowest level in 30 years. Another large world grain shortfall in 2005 could drop stocks to the lowest level on record
and send world food prices into uncharted territory of rising food prices. IT CONTINUES Many Americans see terrorism as
the principal threat to security, but for much of humanity, the effects of water shortages and rising temperatures on food
For the 3 billion people who live on 2 dollars a day or
security are far more important issues.
less and who spend up to 70 per cent of their income on food, even a modest rise in food prices
can quickly become life-threatening . For them, it is the next meal that is the overriding concern."
Preventing starvation is ethically prior to any other
impact
LaFollette 3 Cole Chair in Ethics at USF (Hugh,
www.stpt.usf.edu/hhl/papers/World.Hunger.htm)
Those who claim the relatively affluent have this strong obligation must, among other things, show why
Hardin's projections are either morally irrelevant or mistaken. A hearty few take the former tack: they
claimwe have a strong obligation to aid the starving even if we would eventually
become malnourished. On this view, to survive on lifeboat earth, knowing that others
were tossed overboard into the sea of starvation, would signify an indignity and
callousness worse than extinction (Watson 1977). It would be morally preferable
to die struggling to create a decent life for all than to continue to live at the
expense of the starving.
The economic and political importance of high food prices cant be underestimated.
To take one example, high food prices were the catalyst for last years outbreak of
revolution in several Middle East countries. The region once known as the Fertile Crescent is heavily dependent on
imported grain and rising fuel costs contributed to the skyrocketing food prices which provoked the Arab revolts. Annia Ciezadlo, in her article
Let Them Eat Bread in the March 23, 2011 issue of Foreign Affairs wrote: Of the top 20 wheat importers for 2010, almost half are Middle
Eastern countries. The list reads like a playbook of toppled and teetering regimes: Egypt (1), Algeria (4), Iraq (7), Morocco (8), Yemen (13),
fomenting popular revolt. The French Revolution of the late 1700s originated with a
food shortage which caused a 90 percent increase in the bread price in 1789. Describing the build-up to the Reign of Terror in
France of 1793-94, author Susan Kerr wrote: For a time, local governments attempted to improve distribution channels and moderate
soaring prices. Against this backdrop of rumbling stomachs and wailing hungry children, the excesses and arrogance of the nobility and clergy
strutted in sharp contrast. This historical event has an obvious parallel in todays emphasis on the elite 1 percent versus the 99 percent.
The French government of the late 18th century attempted to assuage the pain caused by soaring food prices, but ultimately this effort failed.
Although the U.S. government attempted for a time to keep fuel prices low, it has since abandoned all effort at stopping speculators from
pushing prices ever higher. An undercurrent of popular revolt is already present within the U.S. as evidenced by the emergence of the Tea
Party and by last years Occupy Wall Street movement. This revolutionary sentiment has been temporarily suppressed by the simultaneous
improvement in the retail economy and the financial market rebound of the past few months. The fact that this is a presidential election year,
replete with the usual pump priming measures and underscored by the peaking 4-year cycle, has been an invaluable help in keeping
revolutionary fervor suppressed for the moment. But what those within the government and financial establishment have failed to consider is
that once the 4-year cycle peaks later this year, we enter the final hard down phase of the 120-year cycle to bottom in late 2014. This cycle
is also known, in the words of Samuel J. Kress, as the Revolutionary Cycle. Regarding the 120-year cycle, Kress wrote: The first 120-year
Mega Cycle began in the mid 1770s after a prolonged depressed economy and the Revolutionary War which transformed American from an
occupied territory to an independent country as we know the U.S.A. today. The first 120-year cycle ended in the mid 1890s after the first major
depression in the U.S. and the Spanish American War. This began the second 120-year cycle which transformed the U.S. from an agricultural to
a manufacturing based economy and which is referred to as the Industrial Revolution. The second 120-year is scheduled to bottom in later
potential for the third major depression and a WWIII equivalent exists and the U.S. could
experience another transformation and our life style as we know it today.
are potential adversaries, some are rivals, and some are friends, but the initial decision for
action by any one of them may lie beyond U.S. control. The U nited S tates may need
to influence, signal, and restrain enemies, and it may need to
continue to provide security guarantees to non-nuclear friends and allies.
America may also face catalytic warfare, where, for example, a U.S. ally such as Israel or a
third party such as China could initiate action that might escalate to a nuclear
exchange . Although the U nited S tates would not be a party to the nuclear escalation decision process, it could be
drawn into the conflict . Compared to a bipolar world, very little is
known about strategic nuclear interaction and escalation in a
multipolar world. The U.S. nuclear deterrent must restrain a wider variety of actors today than during the Cold War. This
requires a range of capabilities and the capacity to address specific challenges. The deterrent must provide e requirements include four critical
elements: early warning, C2, delivery systems, and weapons. The Air Force plays an indispensable role in furnishing the U.S. early warning
system in its entirety through satellites and radar networks. In command and control, infrastructure is provided by the Air Force, including
Milstar satellites and, in the future, advanced extremely high frequency (AEHF) satellites. In the area of delivery systems and weapons,
two-thirds of the strategic triad intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and bombers is
furnished by the Air Force and its Global Strike Command. U.S. Overseas Basing and the Anti-Access/Area-Denial
Threat The increased availability of anti-access/area-denial assets coupled
with growing threats to the sea, air, space, and cyberspace commons are challenging the power
projection capabilities of the United States. These threats, in the form of aircraft and long-range
missiles carrying conventional or nuclear munitions, present problems for our overseas bases. States
such as North Korea, China, and Iran jeopardize the notion that forward-deployed
U.S. forces and bases will be safe from enemy attack. Consequently, the United States must create a more flexible basing structure
encompassing a passive and active defense posture that includes these features: dispersal, hardening, increased warning time of attack, and
systems such as low-observable manned and remotely piloted strike aircraft, precision missiles, and intelligence, surveillance, and
reconnaissance (ISR) platforms to penetrate heavily defended A2/AD
deterrence and U.S. guarantees to Americas allies and friends. Asymmetric Challenges The increasing
number of actors gaining access to advanced and dual-use technologies augments the potential for asymmetric attacks against the United
States and its allies by those who are unable to match U.S. military capabilities. Those actors pose increasing challenges to the ability of the
asymmetric capabilities. This will require a robust R&D program and enhanced USAF
cooperation with its sister services and international partners and allies. Space Dominance Space is increasingly a
contested domain where U.S. dominance is no longer assured given
the growing number of actors in space and the potential for kinetic and non-kinetic attacks, including ASAT weapons,
EMP, and jamming. As a result, the U nited S tates must protect vital space-based
platforms and networks by reducing their vulnerability to attack or disruption
and increasing the countrys resilience if an attack does occur. Required steps include hardening and incorporating
stealth into next generation space systems and developing rapid replenishment capacity (including micro-satellite technologies and systems
and new launch capabilities). At the same time, America must reduce its dependence on space capabilities with air-based substitutes such as
high altitude, long endurance, and penetrating ISR platforms. Increased cooperation among the services and with U.S. allies to develop such
capabilities will also be paramount. Cyber Security Cyber operations are vital to conducting USAF and joint land, sea, air, and space missions.
Given the significance of the cyber threat (private, public, and DoD cyber and information
networks are routinely under attack), the U nited S tates is attempting to construct a layered
attribute attacks in cyberspace. Cyber attacks can spread quickly among networks,
making it extremely difficult to attribute their perpetrator, and therefore to develop a deterrence strategy based on retaliation. In addition,
some cyber issues are in the legal arena, including questions about civil liberties. It is likely that the trend of increased military support to civil
authorities (for example, in disaster relief operations) will develop in the cyber arena as well. These efforts will entail greater service,
interagency, international, and private-sector collaboration. Organizational Change and Joint Force Operations To address growing national
security challenges and increasing fiscal constraints, and to become more effective, the joint force needs to adapt its organizations and
processes to the exigencies of the information age and the security setting of the second decade of the twenty-first century. This entails
developing a strategy that places increased emphasis on joint operations in which each service acts in greater concert with the others,
leverages capacities across the services (two land services, three naval services, and five air services) without duplicating efforts, and
encourages interoperability. This would provide combatant commanders (CCDRs) with a greater range of capabilities, allowing heightened
flexibility to use force. A good example of this approach is the Air-Sea Battle concept being developed jointly by the Air Force and Navy, which
envisions heightened cooperation between the two services and potentially with allies and coalition partners. Intelligence, Surveillance, and
continue to emphasize precision targeting, both for strike and close-air-support missions. High-fidelity target
identification and discrimination enabled by advanced radars and directed-energy systems ,
including the ability to find, track, and target individuals within a crowd, will provide battlefield commanders with
improved options and new opportunities for leveraging joint assets. Engagement and International Security Cooperation
Allies and coalition partners bring important capabilities from which the USAF and other services have long benefited. For example, allies and
coalition partners can provide enhanced situational awareness and early warning of impending crises as well as assist in understanding the
interests, motivations, traditions, and cultures of potential adversaries and prospective coalition partners. Moreover, foreign partner
engagement and outreach are an avenue to influence partner and adversary perspectives, thus shaping the environment in ways favorable to
U.S. national security interests. Engagement also may be a key to realizing another Air Force and joint priority: to sustain or gain access to
forward operating bases and logistical infrastructure. This is particularly important given the growing availability of A2/AD assets and their
ability to impede U.S. power projection capabilities. Procurement Choices and Affordability The USAF needs to field capabilities to support
current operations and pressing missions while at the same time pursuing promising technologies to build the force of the future. Affordability,
effectiveness, time urgency, and industrial base issues inevitably shape procurement choices and reform. The Air Force must maintain todays
critical assets while also allocating resources to meet future needs. Given the long lifespan anticipated for many weapon systems, planners
need to make the most reliable cost estimates and identify problems at the outset of a weapons systems development phase so that they can
be corrected as early and cost-effectively as possible. Support to Civil Authorities As evidenced in the aftermath of the 2010 earthquakes in
civil support roles are likely to grow to include greater use of the Reserve Components. Consequently,
USAF planners should reassess the active and reserve component mix of forces and capabilities to identify potential mobilization and
requirement shortfalls. CLOSING CONFERENCE THOUGHTS A recurring conference theme was the need for the USAF to continue to examine
specific issues of opportunity and vulnerability more closely. For example, a future initiative could include focused working groups that would
examine such questions and issues as: How can air, space, and cyberspace capabilities best support deterrence, preserve U.S. freedom of
action, and support national objectives? How should the USAF leadership reconceptualize its vision, institutional identity, and force posture
to align as closely as possible with the future national security setting? What is the appropriate balance between high-end and low-end air
and space capabilities that will maximize military options for national decision makers, given emerging threats and fiscal constraints? What
are the opportunities, options, and tradeoffs for investment and divestment in science and technology, infrastructure, and programmed
capabilities? What are additional interdependent concepts, similar to Air-Sea Battle, that leverage cross-service investments to identify and
foster the development of new joint capabilities? What are alternative approaches to officer accessions and development to support shifting
and emerging Air Force missions, operations, and force structure, including cyber warfare? How can the USAF best interact with Congress to
help preserve or refocus the defense-industrial base as well as to minimize mandates and restrictions that weigh on future Air Force
investments? Finally, the USAF must continue to be an organization that views debate, as the Chief of Staff of the Air Force put it in his
opening conference address, as the whetstone upon which we sharpen our strategic thinking. This debate must also be used in pursuit of
political support and to ensure that the USAF maintains and develops critical capabilities to support U.S. national security priorities. The 38th
IFPA-Fletcher Conference on National Security Strategy and Policy was conceived as a contribution to that debate. Almost a century has
passed since the advent of airpower and Billy Mitchells demonstration of its operational potential with the sinking of the Ostfriesland on July
21, 1921. For most of that time, the United States has benefitted from the rapid development of air and space power projection capabilities,
and, as a result, it has prevailed in successive conflicts, contributed to war deterrence and crisis management, and provided essential
humanitarian relief to allies and friends around the world. As we move into the second decade of the twenty-first century, the U.S. Air Force
(USAF), like its service counterparts, is re-assessing strategies, operational concepts, and force structure. Across the conflict spectrum,
security challenges are evolving, and potential adversariesstate and non-state actorsare developing anti-access and other asymmetric
warfare in which state adversaries and/or non-state actors use a mix of conventional and
unconventional capabilities against the U nited S tates, a possibility made more
implications for budget and procurement programs, basic research and development
(R&D), and the maintenance of critical skills, as well as recruitment,
education, training, and retention. Given the dynamic nature of the security setting and looming defense
budget constraints, questions of where to assume risk will demand bold, innovative, and decisive leadership. The imperative for joint
operations and U.S. military-civilian partnerships is clear, underscoring the need for a whole-of-government and whole-of-society approach that
encompasses international and non-governmental organizations (NGOs). THE UNITED STATES AS AN AEROSPACE NATION: CHALLENGES AND
OPPORTUNITIES In his address opening the conference, General Norton A. Schwartz, Chief of Staff of the Air Force (CSAF), pointed out how,
major challenges
predicting the future security setting is a very difficult if not an impossible exercise, the 2010 QDR outlines
for the U nited S tates and its allies, including technology proliferation and
diffusion; anti-access threats and the shrinking global basing
infrastructure; the possibility of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) use against the U.S.
homeland and/or against U.S. forces abroad; critical infrastructure protection and the massed effects of a cyber or space
lethal as combatants take advantage of commercially based navigation aids for precision guidance and advanced weapons systems
and as global and theater boundaries disappear with longer-range missile systems becoming more common in enemy arsenals.
Non-state entities such as Hezbollah have already used more advanced missile systems to target state adversaries. The proliferation of
precision technologies and longer-range delivery platforms puts the United States and its partners increasingly at risk. This proliferation also is
likely to affect U.S. operations from forward operating locations, placing additional constraints on American force deployments within the
territories of allies. Moreover, as longer-range ballistic and cruise missiles become more widespread, U.S. forces will find it increasingly difficult
to operate in conflicts ranging from irregular warfare to high-intensity combat. As highlighted throughout the conference, this will require that
the United States develop and field new-generation low-observable penetration assets and related capabilities to operate in non-permissive
environments. PROLIFERATION TRENDS The twenty-first-century security setting features several proliferation trends that were discussed in
the opening session. These trends, six of which were outlined by Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., President of the Institute for Foreign Policy
Analysis, and Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of International Security Studies, The Fletcher School, Tufts University, framed subsequent
freedom of action in the region and, if necessary, enforce Chinas influence over its neighbors including our
regional allies and partners weaponry.2 These threats include ballistic missiles , aircraft, naval
forces, cyber capabilities, anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, and other power-projection capabilities. The global paradigm of the twenty-first
the
century is further complicated by state actors who may supply advanced arms to non-state actors and terrorist organizations. Fifth,
scenarios such as the following, which are more illustrative than comprehensive: A nuclear Iran
that engages in or supports terrorist operations in a more assertive
foreign policy An unstable Pakistan that loses control of its nuclear
weapons, which fall into the hands of extremists A Taiwan Straits
crisis that escalates to war A nuclear North Korea that escalates
tensions on the Korean peninsula What all of these have in common
is the indispensable role that airpower would play in U.S. strategy
and crisis management .
1ac plan text
flexibility even further. Now that we are more confident in our ability to judge the impact on aviation
security that a proposal may have, we will move forward aggressively in this area. One example of
flexibility is TSA's approval of the idea conceived by Covenant Aviation Services to implement and test the
concept of using baggage handlers to perform nonscreening functions in lieu of baggage screeners at San
Francisco International Airport. Covenant believes that this division of responsibilities will result in cost
savings without any deterioration in security. TSA is now monitoring the
implementation of this idea. TSA welcomes all innovative ideas put forward
by the contractors and will afford each proposal careful consideration .
rather than only specifying the desired screening outcomes , thereby making it
very difficult for screening companies to innovate. As well, the ATSA
legislation mandates that compensation levels for private screeners be
identical to those of TSA screeners. Under a performance contracting approach, with
screening devolved to the airport, TSA would continue to certify screening companies
that met its requirements (e.g., security experience, financial strength, screener qualifications, training,
etc.). It would also spell out the screening performance measures (outcomes) that
companies or airports would be required to meet. Airports would be free to either provide screening
themselves (with screeners meeting those same TSA requirements) or to competitively contract for a TSA-
Companies bidding in response to the airports RFP would
certified screening company.
propose their approach to meeting the performance requirements, in terms of staff,
procedures and technology. This could include, for example, cross-training screeners to carry out other
airport security duties, such as access and perimeter control. The airport would select the
proposal that offered the best value , subject to TSA approval. TSA, in its role as
regulator, would oversee all aspects of the airports security operations, including adherence to federal
laws and screening.
than providing federal oversight . The private screening program began in November 2002 when
four qualified private security companies -- FirstLine Transportation Security, Jackson Hole Airport Board,
McNeil Technologies, Inc., and Covenant Aviation Security -- took over screening at five airports -- Jackson
Hole, Kansas City International, Greater Rochester International, San Francisco International, and Tupelo,
Mississippi. When we put this program in place, we selected one in each category of size of airport to test
this private approach. Currently, however, more than 400 airports operate with centralized command and
The operational
control employment and training of some nearly 45,000 screening personnel.
success of our highly centralized all federal screening bureaucracy has
been marginal by almost any effective and objective evaluation. Numerous airports have
been plagued with passenger screening delays . We've had many of them appear. I think we
had 16 airports appear before us just recently talking about some of the problems. For example, Las
Vegas, Nevada, reported some four-hour passenger screening delays at one point.
Screener vacancies exceed 20 percent in some of our busiest airports. Los Angeles,
for example -- and I visited there earlier this year -- cited over 290 unfilled positions, while Jacksonville,
Florida, to the north of my district, reported to our subcommittee that they had too many screening
personnel. Many other airports report excess TSA airport bureaucracy . Training
and background checks, unfortunately, have lagged behind . The TSA
bureaucracies at large and small airports, unfortunately, have grown unchecked .
Quite frankly, it's difficult or impossible , I believe, to micromanage the
employment, the training, and the deployment of tens of thousands
of screeners from Washington, D.C ., to scores of differently configured airports with
fluctuating scheduling requirements. While problems with a Soviet-style federal screening operation should
raise the serious concern of Congress, anyone who has seen the classified results
and detection rates of this system and does not call for reform in the program, I
believe, is derelict in their responsibility . That's why I've been a major proponent of a
decentralized screening program. I also believe that aviation security is not best served by a
one-size-fits-all approach. Rather, we should allow decentralized
flexibility , efficiency , cost savings , and innovations . These are
things that the pilot program was intended to highlight. All that can
be accomplished, as Europe and Israel have realized, without diluting any
standards lowering any requirements . As long as the highest level security
or
standards are met or exceeded, how that is accomplished should be determined
by those most closely involved at the airport operational level . While I am most
pleased with the results of the pilot screening program, some will testify today that the
program was overconstrained by the TSA and it never really was allowed to
be experimental . We'll look at that. However, I believe that the pilot program has had a very
positive effect on the provision of aviation security post-September 11. I understand that the PP5
companies were initially given limited flexibility in recruiting , hiring and
Not a day goes by when someone isnt upset over something and Transportation
Security Officers (TSOs) feel caught in the middle. They cringe when a TSO does a poor job and realize it
reflects on everyone . Pat-downs are not comfortable for the TSO but there is a very specific right
way to do the job and TSAs staffing problems mean less training and preparation. It should be noted that
there are two kinds of passengers: experienced and inexperienced. When a passenger who flies rarely
comes in loaded for bear, thanks to media reports they are quick to complain although too often they
complain to others after the fact not on the checkpoint. Some TSA agents have reportedly spoken out
about the new security procedures. Does this reflect what your former colleagues are telling you? No. I will
say that a TSO can screen a thousand passengers and the five who are disrespectful stick with you. Those
who disrespect TSOs would likely make comments regardless. This media narrative just gives them the
Morale is extremely low and
new script. This is nothing new in terms of morale. How is morale?
turnover is extremely high simply because TSOs enforce very strict rules
yet work in a workplace with virtually no rules or rights . That may sound like union
talk, but TSOs are treated as if they are in the military and have to follow orders even for
things such as going to the bathroom. Every new controversy breaks down morale
further since TSOs cant escape the media reports while off duty. By the way, I
hear from TSOs nationwide not just BWI. I want to make that point clear so those who were close
colleagues are not singled out as sources and face retaliation by TSA management.
1ar AT Costs More
Were cheaper best ev
Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure 11 Prepared for
Chairman John L. Mica (CTI, 6/3/11, Committee on Transportation and
Infrastructure Oversight and Investigations Staff Reform; TSA Ignores More
Cost-Effective Screening Model, http://www.aaae.org/?
e=showFile&l=XQVIPZ)//twemchen
The Committee conducted a cost analysis of screening costs at LAX under the
Federal structure and the SPP structure, using efficiencies at SFO as the model for SPP savings (See
If LAX operated as efficiently as SFO, then 867 screener FTEs
Appendix 2).
could be cut from the LAX Screener Allocation Model . Committee staff did not conduct
an analysis of the performance of screening operations at SPP and non-SPP airports in this study, however
the Committee did request that GAO conduct a performance analysis of operations at SPP and non-SPP
Analyses to-date, however, have found that private screeners
airports (see Appendix 8).34
perform at a level equal to or greater than TSOs.
TSA has only accounted for a fraction of their personnel located at privatized
airports, which result in duplicative costs that still have not been factored into estimates.
Mica also said the federal-private screening model, through previous GAO evaluations, has performed
Additional unaccounted-for TSA
significantly better than or equal to the all-government model.
costs are incurred each time the costly National Deployment Force , TSA?
s mobile screening unit , is used to fill staffing gaps at airports . TSA cannot keep
employees at some locations, so expensive screening personnel are deployed to fill in.
This unit was first created to help TSA federalize aviation security for passenger screening in 2002. The
mobile screening unit is staffed by TSA screeners and is now responsible for supporting
airports during special circumstances such as seasonal demands and emergencies. Each
time the unit is deployed TSA must pay costs related to per diem lodging and meals, travel to and from the
airport in need, as well as other incentives. ?This
mobile screening unit is grossly
misused today , mostly filling staffing gaps caused by low attendance and
high attrition ,? Mica continued. ?Incredibly, of the five airports that were recently
denied their applications to the federal-private screening model, at least
three were staffed by the mobile screening unit either permanently or for
months at a time. With our limited security resources , it is simply
irresponsible to pass these costs on to taxpayers when there is a viable,
more cost-effective alternative.?
1ar AT Chassey and Amey
Their ev is inconclusive
Chassey and Amey 11 Paul Chassy, Dr. Paul Chassy, Ph.D., J.D., focuses
on oversight of federal contracting, researcher at POGO AND Scott H. Amey,
J.D., General Counsel at POGO (Paul Chassy, Scott Amey, 9/13/11, Bad
Business: Billions of Taxpayer Dollars Wasted on Hiring Contractors,
http://www.pogo.org/our-work/reports/2011/co-gp-20110913.html#TSA's
Screening Partnership Program)//twemchen
Taxpayers would save $1 billion over five years if the Nations top 35 airports
operated as efficiently as SFO does under the SPP model. 35 airports account for
75 percent of commercial passengers in the United States.1 34 of these airports operate
under the federal model, while SFO operates under the SPP model. If federal screeners at each
of these airports were able to process the same number of passengers that private screeners screen at
SFO, then7,601 screeners could be cut from the Federal workforce, resulting
in at least $1 billion in savings from salaries alone .
1ar AT TSA Study
It still concluded the aff is good
Berrick 9 Managing Director of Homeland Security and Justice Issues
(Cathleen A. Berrick, 1/9/9, Aviation Security: TSAs Cost and Performance
Study of Private-Sector Airport Screening,
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0927r.pdf)//twemchen
The contractors December 2007 report, which summarized the results of its SPP
analysis, included the following recommendations to TSA to improve the operational
effectiveness and cost efficiency of the SPP: 1. Explore reduc ing the redundant general and
administrative and overhead costs at SPP airports . 2. Explore the use of
the SPP model as a tool to improve performance at low-performing fully federal
airports . 3. Explore the use of the SPP model at hard-to-hire airports and for airports with significant
seasonal requirements. 4. Explore providing additional degrees of freedom to
SPP contractors to foster innovation , superior performance , and cost
controls
The TSA changed its mind and agreed with the GAO
Berrick 9 Managing Director of Homeland Security and Justice Issues
(Cathleen A. Berrick, 1/9/9, Aviation Security: TSAs Cost and Performance
Study of Private-Sector Airport Screening,
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0927r.pdf)//twemchen
We are recommending that if TSA plans to use its cost and performance study in future
decision making regarding the SPP, it revise its study to address the methodological limitations that
we have identified. TSA generally agreed with our findings and recommendation.
This is wrong . Well, its both wrong and right, in fact the airlines and the passengers
arent the customers (not even technically), but neither is the US government.
The airport is the customer . The airport selects the company, and the DHS
approves the choice. This means that the magical market solution actually works
the customer of the security company (i.e. the airport) can pick and choose
which security company they want, based on several criteria, and the company that
can deliver the best service at the best price will prevail. Theres nothing
magical about it its just how any market works. Schneier , it seems is not all that well
schooled in economics , either. We have to remember that the airport needs the
passengers to be happy, as much as possible. A happy passenger is more likely to
spend money in the terminal, making revenue for the shops that are there and the
airport itself. If the Hicksville Airport, Hair Care and Tire Center has a bunch of happy passengers that
made it through security in good time due to the efficient and service minded security company, theyve
got time for half an hour in the barbers chair. A strapped-for-time, angry passenger will just stew at the
gate for whatever amount of time he/she has. Makes sense, dont it?
Bruce Schneier is a self-proclaimed security guru who has been very outspoken on
the topic of airport security, and his disdain of how its been done over the past decade or so. That is a
Schneier is
good thing if there are no critics, then there wont be any improvement. However: Bruce
not certified in anything but IT security and cryptography. He is not a CPP, a
PSP or any other kind of physical security certification . He is not a
member of ASIS. He has not worked in airport security . He is not law
enforcement. In short, please look up self-proclaimed. He claims to have coined the term security
theatre, in the sense that it is security only for show without any real impact or effect. Security
theatre has in fact been used as a term for years by security professionals. It is also known as a
deterrent. It seems that Schneier just wants to be negative about this on one hand, he wants the TSA
to change, he wants lawmakers to pressure the agency and the government, and he wants security to be
sensible. On the other hand, he bashes whoever tries to do just that, as Rand Paul is doing right now.
Schneier needs to keep in mind that Rome was neither built nor burnt in one day, and while changing the
TSA, the regulations and methods is necessary, that will too take time. Rand Pauls proposed legislation is,
however, a giant leap in the right direction.
TSA Fails
2ac TSA Fails
TSA fails at life
Edwards 13 Director of Tax Policy Studies at Cato (Chris Edwards,
11/19/13, Privatizing the Transportation Security Administration, No. 742,
Lexis)//twemchen
TSA has had workforce management problems since its inception . The agency
estimated that the hiring and training of its initial workforce in 2002 would cost $104
million, but those costs ended up soaring to $741 million .14 A huge amount of
money, for example, was wasted on renting expensive hotel space during the
hiring process. In 2004, the Inspector General for DHS assailed TSA for handing out excessive
employee bonuses , throwing a lavish awards ceremony, and spending in other wasteful ways.15
In 2005, an Inspector General audit unearthed unethical and possibly illegal
activities at the agency.16 These sorts of ongoing problems prompted the Washington Post
to report, TSA has been plagued by operational missteps , public
relations blunders and criticism of its performance from the public and
legislators .17 Paul Light, an expert on the federal bureaucracy, noted at the time: As memories of
9/11 have faded, TSA has begun to look like any other federal agency . It has lived an
entire bureaucratic life in quick time, moving from urgency toward complacency in
just three short years.18 More recently, a House committee that oversees TSA
reported in 2012 that the agencys operations are costly, counterintuitive, and
poorly executed.19 A separate House report the same year charged that TSA suffers from
bureaucratic morass and mismanagement .20 And former TSA chief Kip Hawley
noted that the agency is hopelessly bureaucratic .21 TSAs performance at
security screening has been mediocre at best . In the years following the
federal takeover, auditors typically found that the governments screening was
no better than the previous private screening.22 There have been numerous
disturbing incidents of screening failures. In 2006, screeners in Los Angeles
and Chicago failed to catch 75 percent and 60 percent , respectively, of
fake explosives in tests.23 There were 25,000 security breaches at U.S.
airports during TSAs first decade, despite the agencys huge spending and all the
inconveniences imposed on passengers.24 The safety of travelers in recent years may have
more to do with the dearth of terrorists in the United States and other security layers around
aviation, than with the performance of TSA airport screeners. TSA workforces at
numerous airports have been subject to meltdowns , as Representative Mica calls
them. In 2011, the TSA sought to fire 12 baggage screeners for botching security procedures at the
Charlotte airport.25 The same year at the Honolulu airport, 28 employees were fired and 15 were
suspended for violating screening rules.26 In 2012, TSA proposed firing 25 workers because of screening
failures at the Newark airport, although only 4 were eventually removed.27 And at the Fort Myers airport,
38 screeners were suspended and 5 were fired.28
Everything sucks
Washington Examiner 6/8 (6/8/15, It's time to privatize U.S. airport
security, http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/its-time-to-privatize-u.s.-
airport-security/article/2565460)//twemchen
The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has
Chris Edwards for the Cato Institute:
another failure on its hands. In recent tests, undercover investigators smuggled
mock explosives and banned weapons through U.S. airport checkpoints 96
percent of the time . According to ABC, "In one case, agents failed to detect a fake
explosive taped to an agent's back, even after performing a pat down that was
prompted after the agent set off the magnetometer alarm ." The unionized TSA
has a history of inept management . Reports in 2012 by various House committees found
that TSA operations are "costly, counterintuitive, and poorly executed ,"
and the agency "suffers from bureaucratic morass and mismanagement ."
Former TSA chief Kip Hawley argued in an op-ed that the agency is " hopelessly
bureaucratic ." And in 2014, former acting TSA chief Kenneth Kaspirin said that TSA has "a
toxic culture " with " terrible " morale. ... Perhaps most importantly, studies have found
that TSA security performance is no better, and possibly worse, than private-sector screening, which is
The solution is to dismantle TSA and move responsibility
allowed at a handful of U.S. airports.
for screening operations to the nation's airports . The government would
continue to oversee aviation safety , but airports would be free to contract out screening
to expert aviation security firms. Such a reform would end TSA's conflict of interest stemming from both
operating airport screening and overseeing it.
Fails
Oh 6/2 staff writer @ MotherJones (Inae Oh, 6/2/15, This Is How Miserably
the TSA Is Failing at Airport Security, http://www.motherjones.com/mixed-
media/2015/06/tsa-security-failure-investigation%20)//twemchen
Anundercover investigation lead by the Department of Homeland Security
uncovered devastating holes in the Transportation Security Administration's
security procedures, with investigators able to smuggle fake explosives and banned weapons 67
out of 70 times at some of the country's busiest airports. "In one case, agents failed to detect a fake
explosive taped to an agent's back, even after performing a pat down that was prompted after the agent
The alarming 95 percent failure rate ,
set off the magnetometer alarm," ABC News reports.
during an investigation that spanned a decade , has lead to the reassignment
of the agency's chief Melvin Carraway. "The numbers in these reports never look good out of
context but they are a critical element in the continual evolution of our aviation security," Homeland
Security Secretary Jeh Johnson said in a statement. "We take these findings very seriously in our continued
effort to test, measure, and enhance our capabilities and techniques as threats evolve." Following the
internal investigation, Johnson also ordered for more routine undercover investigations and mandatory
retraining for all TSA officials. The full Homeland Security report is slated to be released later this summer.
2ac TSA Fails Conflict of interest
Ybarra 13 senior transportation policy analyst at the Reason Foundation, a
nonprofit think tank (Shirley Ybarra, July 2013, Overhauling U.S. Airport
Security Screening, Policy Brief 109,
http://reason.org/files/overhauling_airport_security.pdf)//twemchen
Therefore, when it comes to screening, TSA has a serious conflict of interest . All other
aspects of airport securityaccess control, perimeter control, lobby control, etc.are the responsibility of
for screening, TSA regulates itself .
the airport, under TSAs regulatory supervision. But
Arms-length regulation is a basic good-government principle; self-regulation
is inherently problematic . In practice, no matter how dedicated TSA leaders
and managers are, the natural tendency of any large organization is to defend
itself against outside criticism and to bolster its image . And that raises
questions about whether TSA is as rigorous about dealing with performance
problems with its own workforce as it is with those that it regulates at arms length ,
such as airlines and airports . This comes up again and again in news storiessuch as a
USA1Today investigation in 2007 that found TSA screeners at Chicago OHare
International Airport and Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) missed three
times as many hidden bomb materials as did privately contracted
screeners at San Francisco International Airport (SFO). TSAs 200708 studies comparing TSA
and private screening costs were criticized by GAO as highly flawed and misleading.1
2ac TSA Fails Split Security
TSA control ensures a security split which destroys
accountability
Ybarra 13 senior transportation policy analyst at the Reason Foundation, a
nonprofit think tank (Shirley Ybarra, July 2013, Overhauling U.S. Airport
Security Screening, Policy Brief 109,
http://reason.org/files/overhauling_airport_security.pdf)//twemchen
Second, having TSA operate airport screening conflicts with the principle that an airport
should have a unified approach to security, with everyone responsible to the
airports security director. Numerous problems with split security have been
reported at U.S. airports over the past decade , where certain responsibilities
have fallen between the cracks , and neither the airport nor the TSA was on
top of the problem. Examples include video surveillance cameras at Newark Liberty International
Airport and access control doors at Orlando International Airport.2
2ac TSA Fails AIT
AITs are LOL
Edwards 13 Director of Tax Policy Studies at Cato (Chris Edwards,
11/19/13, Privatizing the Transportation Security Administration, No. 742,
Lexis)//twemchen
TSAs most costly investment in technology has been the controversial Advanced Imaging
Technology (AIT) machines. These are the full-body scanners that the agency began
deploying in 2008. The scanners see beneath passengers clothing, causing major privacy concerns.
The high costs of AITs, the extra airport congestion they cause, and the questionable
detection benefits of the machines make them a dubious investment .
Remarkably, TSA did not do a cost-benefit analysis of the machines before it
rolled them out across the country.50 Indeed, TSA ignored GAO requests to
perform such an analysis. In July 2011, a federal appeals court effectively ordered
TSA to perform an analysis, which is still pending at this time.51 Scholars John
Mueller and Mark Stewart have performed a cost-benefit analysis and found that AIT machines
failed quite comprehensively , based on their assumptions regarding the
probability of attack attempts and other factors. 52 Advocates of AIT machines argue that
they can find explosives hidden under clothing, such as the bomb carried by Farouk Abdulmutallab in the
attempted Christmas Day bombing on a flight from Amsterdam to Detroit in 2009. However, the GAO
concludes that it remains unclear whether an AIT machine would have
detected a bomb such as this.53 And the Congressional Research Service notes that experts are
divided about the effectiveness of AIT systems.54 One problem with AIT machines is that human
error can undermine their effectiveness . In 2011, an undercover agent snuck a
firearm through AIT machines at the Dallas-Fort Worth airport several times , apparently
due to the inattentiveness of TSA officers.55 The GAO has also noted that currently
deployed AIT machines have not been used consistently , which reduces their
security benefit.56 Another issue is that even with TSAs planned roll-out of the
machines to all major U.S. airports, future terrorists may respond by boarding
planes at smaller airports , as some of the 9/11 terrorists did.57 And even if every
American airport had AIT machines, terrorists could still board planes
overseas on U.S.-bound flights , as the shoe bomber and underwear
bomber did. AIT machines are effective in detecting high-density objects , but
less effective with low-density materials such as gels , powders , and liquids .
At least one airplane bomb plot, uncovered in 2006, has focused on liquid
explosives.58 Terrorists can also undermine AITs by placing explosives inside
their body cavities , a technique often used by criminals in prisons.59 Given these
weaknesses, TSAs large investment in AIT machines seems unwarranted . As
noted, Mueller and Stewart found that the machines failed their cost-benefit
analysis .60 The machines cost $250,000 per unit to acquire and install, and each requires five TSA
employees to operatecosting about $315,000 in annual wages.61 By 2012, there were 754 AIT machines
deployed across the nation, which cost almost $200 million for the machines and about $240 million in
annual wages.62 The Congressional Research Service puts the current annual costs even higher than
that.63 And the costs will grow because TSA plans to deploy a total of 1,800 machines.64
2ac TSA Fails SPOT
Who thought this was a good idea?
Edwards 13 Director of Tax Policy Studies at Cato (Chris Edwards,
11/19/13, Privatizing the Transportation Security Administration, No. 742,
Lexis)//twemchen
Another TSA program with high costs, but apparently limited benefits, is the SPOT
program . It employs about 3,000 officers at 160 airports to identify possible terrorists
on the basis of behavioral indicators such as signs of stress.65 SPOT costs about $230 million a
year.66 The scientific theories behind the SPOT approach are unproven . The idea is that
terrorists can be detected through small behaviors that reveal stress, but people in airports
rushing to catch planes are often under stress. The GAO is skeptical of the
SPOT program, and it prompted TSA to perform a study of SPOTs effectiveness.67 The
resulting study did show some positive results, but the GAO argues that more thorough testing is
needed.68 The SPOT program illustrates the problems with top-down federal
control over aviation security. The TSA deployed SPOT nationwide before first
determining whether there was a scientifically valid basis for it , notes the GAO.69
Nor did the TSA perform a cost-benefit analysis of SPOT before it was deployed.70
That is the way that the federal government often worksit rolls out an expensive
solution for the entire nation without adequate research and resists efforts
to cut programs, even if the benefits do not materialize. Despite the large investment in
SPOT of more than $1 billion over the past decade, the GAO found 23 occasions in which
known terrorists have breezed through airports where TSA was operating
SPOT.71 SPOT has not caught a single terrorist over the years.72 For example,
TSA did not catch the attempted Times Square bomber, Faisal Shahzad, in 2010 when he
boarded a plane at New Yorks JFK Airportan airport that has an active SPOT
program. Shahzad paid cash for his flight to Dubai days after his bombing attempt, and he boarded
a plane even though he was on TSAs no fly list .73 Luckily, Customs and
Border Protection officials realized the mistake and grabbed Shahzad just before takeoff. Having
caught no terrorists, TSA is using SPOT to catch run-of-the-mill
lawbreakers . TSA apprehended 1,083 criminals with the program between 2004 and 2008 for such
infractions as breaking immigration rules and having outstanding warrants.74 But that small number was
out of two billion passengers going through airports that had SPOT programs during that period.75
Between 2010 and 2012, just 353 arrests were made in the SPOT program for nonterrorism offenses.76 So
even if it were appropriate to use SPOT for non-aviation policing purposes, SPOT has a high cost with
Republicans have called the SPOT program one of TSAs
meager results. House
largest failures.77 Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC), who is on a House committee overseeing the TSA,
summed up the failure of SPOT: Skip the humans, spend the money on canines. They are more effective,
better trained, do not feel the need to unionize and you can still keep the same name SPOT.78
Most recent ev
AP 15 (6/16/15, TSA deputy says that none of the 73 airport workers with
alleged ties to terrorism are actually security threats,
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3126688/TSA-Airport-workers-alleged-
terror-ties-arent-threats.html)//twemchen
in this post-9/11 world, that the terrorist threat is metastasizing ,
'The reality is,
and we as a nation must remain responsive to any holes in the security of our
transportation systems and ensure that the protocols keep pace with the ever-
evolving threat landscape ,' he said.
2ac Airport Terror Insider Threats
Vulnerabilitys high
McCaul 15 Chairman of the House Committee on Homeland Security
Subcommittee on Transportation Security, representative from Texas (Michael
McCaul, 2/3/15, A REVIEW OF ACCESS CONTROL MEASURES AT OUR
NATION'S AIRPORTS, Political Transcript Wire, Lexis)//twemchen
MCCAUL: Thank the chairman. I would want to first congratulate you and Ranking Member Rice on your
new position on this committee, and by starting off this Congress with an important hearing that focuses
It
on the importance of -- timely topic of access control and employee screening at our nation's airports.
is vital that agencies responsible for protecting our airports are doing all that they can to
keep safe our aviation sector. This responsibility does not end at the passenger screening
checkpoints. A robust system of vetting employees at airports is equally as important. This hearing is an
important opportunity to examine security programs designed to mitigate potential
insider threats from airport employees, airline employees, TSA personnel and others who
have access to sterile areas of domestic airports. In addition to the most recent access
control breaches at Atlanta Airport that have been mentioned, there have been a number of
insider threats and employee issues at various other airports in recent years. For example, in
December of 2013 the FBI arrested an avionic technician at Wichita Airport for plotting a
suicide attack using a vehicle-borne improvised explosive device. The technician allegedly
intended to use his airport clearance to gain access to the tarmac and detonate the
vehicle near planes and the terminal during peak holiday travel in order to maximize casualties. He was
charged with attempted use of a weapon of mass destruction , and attempted to
provide material assistance to A l- Q aeda in the A rabian P eninsula. Additionally in September of
2013 a TSA screener at Los Angeles International Airport was arrested a few hours after
resigning his position for making threats against the airport that cited the anniversary of 9/11, and
for leaving a suspicious package at the airport . His actions resulted in the evacuation of
several airport terminals. And finally in September of 2014 a former airline employee at
Minneapolis Airport died in Syria fighting alongside the I slamic S tate in I raq and
S yria. We know the individual had left employment with the airline several
years prior to becoming a former fighter of ISIS. He did have access to areas of the airport during his
employment, including the tarmac. There are significant lessons to be drawn from
these and other incidents involving employees. The bottom line is that our aviation network
remains a prime target for terrorism . We must be vigilant and
constantly reevaluate our security posture according to the threats that we
face. And that includes potential insider threats.
that has them most concerned. It means there will be extra security at airports , public
events and government buildings. Police patrols at the AFL semi-final in Melbourne were boosted last night,
with officers visible at the gates and around the MCG. Victorian Premier Denis Napthine said the increased
security should not deter people from major events. "I don't think any Victorian should change the way
they operate, we should still go to great events like the AFL finals and the Spring Racing Carnival," he said.
"But we just need to be that little bit more aware. "We say to people go about your business but be more
alert and if there are issues of suspicion, we need you to report them." Tourism and Transport Forum
director Trent Zimmerman said tourism operators understand the need for the extra precautions. "Safety is
paramount and we have to at all costs avoid any domestic incident," he said. "I think
that everybody in the industry accepts that the worst outcome would be a successful
terrorism attack on Australian shores. "That would be far more damaging than any restrictions the
Government could put in place to prevent terrorism." Virgin Australia said it would alert passengers if
delays occurred and Qantas said it would work with federal authorities to ensure security measures remain
appropriate. Export Council of Australia chairman Ian Murray said exporters accept the need for tighter
security at ports and airports but the new counter-terrorism measures could affect international trade. "I
think that's something the Minister for Trade and Investment will be very conscious of," he said. Mr Murray
said the elevated risk was expected to continue for quite some time . Australian
counter-terrorism expert Neil Fergus said that could mean months and possibly years. "I think
the reality is given the nature of ISIL [Islamic State], it cannot be defeated in a
matter of days, weeks or even months . It's going to be a long struggle ," he said.
Mr Fergus said there has been a definite spike in radical sentiment in Australia since recent tensions
escalated in the Middle East. "We
have a very small pocket of people in this country who
have been active in recruiting young Sunni Muslims, facilitating their transport to
join ISIL," he said. "These people really must be at the heart of the investigations because they are
continuing to have some success. Until that stops, the threat is likely to stay ." Queensland
criminologist Mark Lauchs said it was not unusual to see a spike in terror activity around the anniversary of
the September 11 attacks on the United States. "A number of groups associated either with Al Qaeda or
local individuals, see this
offshoots of Al Qaeda or sympathising with Al Qaeda, it could even be
date as a good time to take some form of activity to obtain some advantage for the overall
goals of this extremist jihad ," Associate Professor Lauchs said. Greens senator Scott
Ludlam said Australia's involvement in the Middle East conflict would only increase the
likelihood of a terrorist attack . "We've got to make very sure that Australia doesn't end up
simply participating in actions that perpetuate the horror and violence, and act perversely as recruiting
activities for the very networks we're trying to close down," he told Sky News.
2ac Airport Terror Stealth Bombs
Stealth bombs are a threat
Cecil 14 Staff Writer at London Evening Standard (Nicholas Cecil, 7/4/14,
Terror alert at airports over smartphone 'stealth bombs',
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/airport-terror-alert-over-iphone-stealth-
bomb-9584004.html)//twemchen
Al-Qaeda-linked terrorists are feared to have developed a way of turning mobile
phones into stealth bombs , it emerged today. US officials singled out smartphones
including iPhones and Samsung Galaxy handsets for extra security checks on US-bound flights from
Europe, the Middle East and Africa. They believe bombmakers from Yemen-based al-Qaeda in
the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) have discovered how to turn the phones into
explosive devices which are extremely difficult to detect. Passengers shoes and other
electronic devices will also face more detailed checks amid concerns about a new generation of
non-metallic , vapourless bombs . There are even fears that suicide bombers
could have explosives surgically implanted into them , making detection even
harder. As a result, more intrusive pat-downs and swab tests may be introduced at airports, particularly for
expert bombmaker Ibrahim al-
US-bound flights. In a chilling insight into AQAPs fanaticism,
Asiri, is thought to have inserted a bomb into his younger brother Abdullah , 23,
who died when it blew him apart in a failed suicide attack. British airports, including Heathrow and
Gatwick, are now putting in a second layer of checks at departure gates after a request from Washington
AQAP may have shared its
to increase security. US secret services have received intelligence that
bombmaking expertise with extremist groups in Syria, including the al-Nusra
Front . British security services believe that more than 400 British Muslims have
travelled to Syria and Iraq to join militant groups. American security chiefs called for the tighter
airport checks because of the combination of the new generation of bombs terrorists are developing and
the fear that they could use a British or European jihadist to trigger a device on a US-bound flight. Al-Asiri
is thought to have been behind several failed terror strikes including the underpants and printer cartridge
bomb plots. Aviation sources insist the extra security should not lead to delays despite millions of people
heading off on their holidays over coming weeks.
2ac Airport Terror Bad Airlines
Spills over to deck the entire industry --- empirics prove
its possible, but we got lucky last time
AP 7 (U.S.: Unthinkable terror devastation prevented,
http://www.nbcnews.com/id/18999503/#.VbHRdvlViko)//trepka
NEW YORK Federal authorities said a plot by a suspected Muslim terrorist cell
to blow up John F. Kennedy International Airport, its fuel tanks and a jet fuel
artery could have caused unthinkable devastation . But while pipeline and
security experts agreed that such an attack would have [ shattered ]
crippled Americas economy, particularly the airline industry , they said it probably
would not have led to significant loss of life as intended. Authorities announced Saturday they had broken
up the suspected terrorist cell, arresting three men, one of them a former member of Guyanas parliament.
A fourth man was being sought in Trinidad as part of the plot that authorities said they had been tracking
for more than a year and was foiled in the planning stages. The
devastation that would be
caused had this plot succeeded is just unthinkable , U.S. Attorney Roslynn R. Mauskopf
said at a news conference, calling it one of the most chilling plots imaginable. In an indictment charging
the four men, one of them is quoted as saying the foiled plot would cause greater destruction than in the
Sept. 11 attacks, destroying the airport, killing several thousand people and destroying parts of New
Yorks borough of Queens, where the pipeline runs underground. Symbolic target One of the suspects,
Russell Defreitas, a U.S. citizen native to Guyana and former JFK air cargo employee, said the airport
named for the slain president was targeted because it is a symbol that would put the whole country in
mourning. Its like you can kill the man twice, said Defreitas, 63, who first hatched his plan more than a
decade ago when he worked as a cargo handler for a service company, according to the indictment.
Authorities said the men were motivated by hatred toward the United States and Israel. Defreitas was
recorded saying he wanted to do something to get those bastards and he boasted that he had been
taught to make bombs in Guyana. Despite their efforts, the men never obtained any explosives, authorities
said. Pulling off any bombing of this magnitude would not be easy in todays environment, former U.S.
State Department counterterrorism expert Fred Burton said, but added it was difficult to determine without
knowing all the facts of the case. The pipeline, owned by Buckeye Pipeline Co., takes fuel from a facility in
Linden, N.J., to the airport. Other lines service LaGuardia Airport and New Jerseys Newark Liberty
International Airport. Buckeye spokesman Roy Haase said the company had been informed of the threat
from the beginning. Richard Kuprewicz, a pipeline expert and president of Accufacts Inc., an energy
consulting firm that focuses on pipelines and tank farms, said the force of explosion would depend on the
amount of fuel under pressure, but it would not travel up and down the line. That doesnt mean wackos
out there cant do damage and cause a fire, but those explosions and fires are going to be fairly
restricted, he said. John W. Magaw, a former head of the Transportation Security Administration, told The
such an attack may not cause a lot of deaths, but it would be
Washington Post that
spectacular and seen around the world . He said it could [ shut down ]
cripple the airlines.
1ar Airport Terror Bad Airlines
This destroys airlines all their alt causes just provide
uniqueness the unique shock of our scenario outweighs
and bailouts dont solve
Mica 2 Representative from Florida (John Mica, 9/24/2, HEARING OF THE
AVIATION SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION
AND INFRASTRUCTURE, Federal News Service)//twemchen
We'll begin today's proceedings with my statement. Ladies and gentlemen, I think as we all know,
America's aviation industry cannot and should not become the final victim of the
September terrorist attack on our nation . Unfortunately, as we meet here today, the
majority of our American airlines face severe cutbacks in operations, some staggering and
historic losses and even bankruptcy . The events of September 11th dramatically
impacted an industry that, unfortunately, was already facing financial difficulty. Today's hearing will focus
attention and seek, I hope, some viable solutions to the enormous challenges facing our airlines. Air travel
has, in fact, become part of the American way of life --even a special part of the unique freedoms we as
Americans enjoy and sometimes we as Americans take for granted. Our aviation and air passenger service
has also very closely woven itself into the very fabric of our nation's economy. American businesses,
tourism and just ordinary citizens use our air passenger service as a routine and vital link to carry out their
travel, an essential transportation that makes our United States economic engine, in fact, run. Each day
somewhere in the neighborhood of two-thirds of all of the world's air traffic and passenger service takes
place just in the United States. Millions and millions of jobs depend on this industry. And that's why I
believe this hearing today is especially important. In the past year, our major airlines have lost between $7
billion and $8 billion. Hundreds of thousands of jobs have been lost, and the industry -- major airlines have
lost some 90,000 jobs. Air travel in my area -- and I represent Florida; Florida is so dependent on tourism,
airlines, with these staggering
and its air travel and tourism is down some 8 to 9 percent. Some
losses, are on the verge of collapse , and, in fact, at the end of their ability to seek conventional
financing. They do need our help. But let me say, quite frankly and firmly today, there will be no bailout.
Let me repeat that: There will be no government bailout .
Identifying threat from passengers involves collecting and analyzing biological, psychological, and
social information and developing a valid link to the probability of direct or indirect engagement inor
support ofterrorism. This applies to techniques such as data mining to collect and analyze travel
history; biometrics, including facial recognition; human- and technology-mediated surveillance of mobility
and location within the airport; behavioral detection and interviewing; or remote sensing of physiological
activity. These techniques use the past and the present in an attempt to predict the future. Predictions of
human behavior, especially socially meaningful behavior, however, often are found wanting. More than
130 years of scientific psychological research suggest that the prediction of human social behavior is
unknowable, even when the best practices of inferential statistical theories and the putative capabilities of
poses 12 main
human intuition, insight, and intelligence are applied. Mass passenger screening
difficulties : 1. The same datathe so-called signs, stigma, or indicatorsmay have different
meanings at different times, in different situations, even with the same passenger, let alone different
passengers. 2. The motivations of passengers may vary significantly within small temporal interludes, as
may the links between motivations and specific behaviors. 3. How well can other people be known, if they
themselves have less than complete conscious access to all motivations, which may vary? Sophisticated
passengers who intend terrorism will choose not to look like terrorists as described in watch lists and
profiles, but like passengers who do not intend terrorist acts. Most passengers are extremely unlikely to
engage in terrorism; therefore a system to find terrorists must have extremely high
sensitivity rates to identify terrorists, as well as extremely high specificity rates to avoid
Without high rates in sensitivity and specificity,
misidentifying nonterrorists as terrorists.
operational chaos and a potential shutdown of commercial aviation would
be likely.
However small the influence, airline industry executives must deal with
terrorism as a business threat . As the airline industry has no control over factors that
influence terrorism, the viable option is to implement comprehensive business
continuity programs that address the disruptive nature of terrorism . The
mitigation of terrorism is 62 costly to businesses (Thatcher, 2013), but unpreparedness to
possible terrorist event is costlier .
Cash problems
The National 6/21 (6/21/15, SpiceJet back on course, Lexis)//twemchen
Cash woes brought the carrier to the brink . But its co-founder, who sold out in 2010,
returned to take a majority stake that gave new momentum to the airline before trimming the flight
controls to steer it on to a path for growth, writes Rebecca Bundhun A few months ago, the Indian budget
airline SpiceJet seemed on the brink of a fatal stall . In December, the carrier's
financial problems reached a tipping point as its fleet was grounded ,
forcing SpiceJet to cancel more than 1,800 flights. Dozens of pilots had already quit
the airline in the months before this. Many believed that SpiceJet was sure to go the way of Kingfisher
Airlines, which ceased operations in 2012 because of its financial woes.
Poor leadership and ineffective management have bled the national airline
to the brink of bankruptcy . Whether there has been corruption or mismanagement of
funds in the MAS management has yet to be seen. It is a fact that MAS has not been breaking even for a
number of years since Datuk Idris Jala helmed the airline. When he was the chief executive officer, MAS
was a success story, and during his tenure, MAS soared. Unfortunately, after his departure, MAS
slipped into oblivion . It has been making losses every fiscal year.
The levy would severely weaken airlines" already fragile profitability . At its current level, it
will represent 3 times the average net profit (of USS 4.24) made by airlines in Asia-Pacific for each
passenger. "Instead of harming the air transport sector and increasing the cost of
transport, New Zealand should focus on identifying innovative ways to keep more passengers coming
to the country while keeping its borders safe.
Brink
TCR 7/10 (7/10/15, MONARCH AIRLINES: Losses Shrink Following
Restructuring, Lexis)//twemchen
Ashley Armstrong at The Telegraph reports that Monarch, the European airline that was rescued
from the brink of collapse eight months ago, said that it is on track to make a profit after
shrinking losses by GBP40 million.
1ar Airport Terror Bad Airlines AT
Insurance
Terrorism decks insurance 9/11 proves
Lewinsohn 5 Senior Analyst at the New York investment manager
Anchorage Advisors (Jonathan Lewinsohn, 1/1/5, Bailing out Congress: an
assessment and defense of the Air Transportation Safety and System
Stabilization Act of 2001., Yale Law Journal, Pg. 438(53) Vol. 115 No. 2 ISSN:
0044-0094, Lexis)//twemchen
industry that was already at the breaking
But all of this changed on September 11 when an
point saw its " economic rubber band snapped ."(14) Within hours of the attacks, the
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued the first ever national groundstop order requiring
theshutdown of U.S. airspace. (15) With fixed costs upwards of 80%, (16) the airlines started
hemorrhaging hundreds of millions of dollars per day, (17) leading to calls for government assistance even
before planes were back in the sky. Industry lobbyists, (18) Wall Street analysts, (19) and national
complex predicament: Insurance plans had been
newspapers (20) all highlighted the industry's
canceled or made significantly more expensive ; (21) credit markets, unsure about
the liability facing the airlines, had all but dried up; (22) airline workers were being laid off by the tens of
the ripple effects were spreading across the "just-in-time"
thousands; (23) and
economy . (24) To make matters worse, airline equity values were poised to
plunge once the markets reopened, (25) and a number of carriers were rumored to be headed for
bankruptcy. In Congress, a consensus developed that the nation's airlines--a symbol of the flag (26)--could
not be made victim to the terrorists. What emerged, only eleven days after the attacks, was the Air
Transportation Safety and System Stabilization Act (ATSSSA) of 2001, (27) an $28 billion (28) federal
bailout that had been conceived, drafted, and signed amid a marked sense of crisis.
Its uninsurable
AFR 1 Australian Financial Review (9/25/1, No safe landing for the
airlines, Fairfax Media Publications Pty. Limited, Lexis)//twemchen
The move by governments to provide support to the airline industry is justified because, as the Prime
Minister, Mr John Howard, observed at the weekend, governments should not stand by and allow terrorism
Fast decisions were needed on insurance because the rise
to undermine whole industries.
in private premiums threatened to force a worldwide wave of international
service cutbacks.
2ac Airport Terror Bad Trade
Causes trade collapse
Bloom 11 --- Associate Vice President at Riddle Aeronautical University
(Richard, Airport Security,
http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/trnews/trnews275AirportSecurity.pdf)//trepka
In addition, some technologies offend cultural sensibilitiesfor example, the wanding of a body or the
Cultural offense can increase motivations for
opening of a coffin in transit.
terrorism in some passengers and can decrease the optimal performance of security personnel.
Some technologies also may pose health issues if the cumulative effects of screenings or possibly
malfunctioning equipment generate higher exposure to radiation or chemicalsalthough the data to
These phenomena may present a significant
support these effects are not sufficient.
threat , however, to the integrity of the contents of air cargo, along with associated
damage to economic viability and trade .
Case Airlines
Overview
TSA screening causes delays which hurts airlinesonly
way to solove is with SPPprivate screening is capable of
change. Inefficencies are devastatinghampers financial
success because it delays shipments and causes
substantial losses. Through plan streamlining is solved for
2 distinct resons 1) efficiency and cost delegationTSA
finds ways to pass costs to airlinestaxes air travel
private screening doesnt. 2) is confidenceTSA causes
delayskills flyers confidence in airlinesneed direct
resources in order to improve this.
Other airports currently using contract screeners also cite flexibility as their
primary benefit. According to SPP participants, the ability to adjust staffing levels
quickly facilitates more efficient screening and shorter wait times , which
translates into satisfied customers and safer flights. On its website, TSA describes how
giving private contractors permission to tweak its traditional staffing model
fosters greater flexibility. Although TSA determines staffing levels for private contractors based on airport
the private companies can tailor those
layout, equipment type, number of passengers, etc.,
levels to an airport's unique needs . According to TSA, the "actual number of
contract screeners may differ from how the federal government would staff
the airport."
World War 3
Droke 12 editor of the three times weekly Momentum Strategies Report;
frequently covers the current status of the economy (2012, Clif, Rising fuel
costs and the next Revolution,
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article33595.html)
We live in a global era and the planets metropolitan areas lead this interconnected growth.
The worlds 200 largest metropolitan economies account for just 14 percent of world
population, but generated over 48 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) in
2011.8 These metro areas have emerged on every corner of the globe, from the largest economies within
developed countries to the fast-growing metro areas in developing markets.9 Taken in concert, the success
the new global
of metropolitan economies throughout the developed and developing world suggest that
economy is much spikier and interconnected than originally thought.10 In this global era,
U.S. metro areas must simultaneously collaborate with domestic and
international peers. This is where aviation plays a critical role it fosters the
inter-metropolitan connections critical to future economic growth . These
connections cross both the physical and personal spheres. Metro areas such as New York and London are
well connected through many domestic and global partners, which enhances their competitive advantage
by offering their businesses greater access to global markets. Metro areas such as Miami or Seattle may
have relatively fewer relationships, but nonetheless derive a competitive advantage as critical gateways to
the South and West.11 Lessons from Munich and its well-connected airport hub further demonstrate the
benefits from such connectivity.12 International aviation puts people within reach of their overseas
family, encourages tourism, and empowers businesses with the opportunity for face-
to-face meetings.13 The global aviation network also supports the rise of new immigrant
gateways across the United States, forging even stronger economic and social
connections to world regions.14 The key point is that while a metro area may have a
wealth of human and economic capital, they cannot fully exploit those resources
without strategic global linkages . These aviation-related connections deliver real benefits to
local economies. Aviations positive effect on local employment is a major economic
benefit .15 Metro areas that serve as destinations for large numbers of people are, implicitly, points of
convergence for new ideas and capital. These places have the right mix of human capital and other
resources to incubate new business ventures and to stimulate creativity. The net effect is an employment
boost throughout local industries, from high-skill services that rely heavily on air travel to
more stationary industries like manufacturing .16 The economic effects of aviation are so wide-
ranging that they hold potential for spillover effects that benefit other sectors and people. That
is not to say local economic effects are equal across all places. Airports specializing in throughtraffic, like
Atlanta, generate economic activity in sectors directly related to transportation, but these effects may not
cities that serve primarily as
always spillover into the broader metro economy. In contrast,
destination points or freight hubs enjoy increased economic activity more broadly ,
experiencing job growth even in non-transportation sectors .17 Metro areas
with predominantly leisure-oriented flows see greater job growth in entertainment and recreation
industries, while job growth in places with predominantly business-oriented flows comes from management
and financial occupations.18 International aviation also directly boosts the U.S. economy by supporting
travel and tourism since nearly all foreign visitors from outside North America enter the country via air.
These visitors generated $47 billion in real national output in 2011, an increase of 57.7 percent from
2003.19 Overall, U.S. travel and tourism exports grew by 6.1 percent from 2009 to 2011, supported in
market inefficiencies limit
large part by international visitors.20 Despite these benefits, certain
aviations total economic impact. One example is when a nonstop flight between
two metro areas does not exist even though large numbers of passengers travel
between them. Supply and demand mismatches introduce inefficiencies into the
aviation system, forcing passengers to fly where they dont want to go, such as the many international
travelers that simply pass through Charlottes Douglas International Airport.21 These systemic mismatches
make certain metropolitan areas harder and costlier to reach , and could stifle their
aviation-related economic growth . This may present relatively few challenges for U.S. businesses
primarily operating in U.S. cities, where routes are some of the most time- and costefficient in the world.22
Butit is a big ger problem for U.S.-based businesses seeking to expand into
South American or African markets , where cities may be more costly and time
consuming to reach . Thus, the organization of international aviation service
directly shapes U.S. businesses opportunities for global expansion
and partnering.23
1ar EXT Econ
Airlines underpin global economic growth
AFA 15 (Airlines for America, Is a Critical Economic Engine,
http://airlines.org/industry/#section-accordian?
industry_section=economic)//twemchen
Commercial aviation has a direct impact on our nations economy, creating more than 11 million
well-paying American jobs and driving 5 percent of the U.S. g ross d omestic p roduct and
nearly $1.5 trillion in annual economic activity . Healthy U.S. airlines stimulate
the commercial aviation industry, as well as the broader economy through increased
connectivity, trade and enhanced mobility of people, cultures, goods and ideas. Airlines
significantly improve opportunities for trade and increase productivity for other
industries. Many businesses rely on airlines to quickly deliver high-value items ,
urgent documents, industrial parts needed for repairs and perishables like fresh fish, fruits, vegetables and
flowers. Flying reduces time spent traveling, offering greater efficiency for business customers and more
leisure time for vacationing families.
Volatile demand. The demand for aircraft , whether stemming from the
military or the world airline industry , is highly volatile. Given that Boeing is
a major employer, the fluctuations in aircraft demand have often sent ripples
throughout the state economy. The ramp-up in Boeing production during World War II, which
led to 40,000 new jobs, helped pull the Seattle area out of the Great Depression. The subsequent
lay-offs at the conclusion of the war precipitated a recession . Despite a declining
employment share, the aerospace industry can still impart significant fluctuations to the Washington
economy (Figure 4). Surging aerospace employment coupled with a strong national
economy triggered state economic booms in the late 1970s, 1980s, and
1990s. Spurred by 48,000 new hires in the aerospace industry, the 1983-90 expansion created fully one-
fifth of the jobs in the state economy today. Back-to-back aerospace slumps
contributed substantially to the last recession.
AT Dedev
2ac F/L
Transition fails and growth can be reformed to
sustainability
Jewel 14 [Fall, 2014, Lucille A. Jewell (Associate Professor of Law at the
University of Tennessee College of Law), The Indie Lawyer of the Future: How
New Technology, Cultural Trends, and Market Forces Can Transform the Solo
Practice of Law, Obtained from LexisNexis,
http://www.lexisnexis.com.proxy.lib.umich.edu/hottopics/lnacademic/, RaMan]
2. Herman Daly: Ecological Economics Herman Daly teaches economics at the University of Maryland and formerly served as senior economist
in the World Bank's environmental department. n68 In the 1970s, Daly revitalized John Stuart Mill's concept of the stationary economic state,
and pioneered the term "sustainability" in policy analysis. n69 Daly argued that continuous economic growth was not a workable goal for the
economy or the planet. n70 Daly situated the economy within the earth's ecosystem, and referred to the general laws of thermodynamics to
illustrate the unsustainability of unlimited economic growth. n71 When humans and their material things become so large that natural
resource inputs and waste outputs move beyond nature's ability to replenish its resources and absorb the waste, the throughput flow, and thus
the human population, becomes unsustainable. n72 For the past fifty years, growth has been
the sine qua non of economic thinking. n73 While continuous
growth is a physical impossibility, Daly recognized that limiting
growth, in many instances is a political impossibility. n74 Nonetheless, Daly
warned that the consequences of inaction would be deleterious. n75
Humankind must take the transition to a sustainable economy - one
that takes heed of the inherent biophysical limits of the global
ecosystem so that it can continue to operate long into the future. If
we do not make that transition, we maybe cursed not just with
uneconomic growth but with an ecological catastrophe that would
sharply lower living standards. n76 [*336] Although continuous growth in the economy is not viable, there
can be continuous development. n77 Development, as opposed to growth, means that
explored more fully below, is what role lawyers can play when
individuals, communities, and governments seek to make the
transition from growth to development.
Growth sustainable
Ridley 14 [April 25, 2014, Matt Ridley, "The World's Resources Aren't Running Out," WSJ,
http://www.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304279904579517862612287156, online, RaMan]
How many times have you heard that we humans are "using up" the
world's resources, "running out" of oil, "reaching the limits" of the
atmosphere's capacity to cope with pollution or "approaching the
carrying capacity" of the land's ability to support a greater
population? The assumption behind all such statements is that there is a fixed amount of stuffmetals, oil, clean air, landand that we risk exhausting it
through our consumption. "We are using 50% more resources than the Earth can sustainably produce, and unless we change course, that number will grow fastby 2030,
even two planets will not be enough," says Jim Leape, director general of the World Wide Fund for Nature International (formerly the World Wildlife Fund). But
here's a peculiar feature of human history: We burst through such
limits again and again. After all, as a Saudi oil minister once said,
the Stone Age didn't end for lack of stone. Ecologists call this " niche
construction"that people (and indeed some other animals) can
create new opportunities for themselves by making their habitats
more productive in some way. Agriculture is the classic example of
niche construction: We stopped relying on nature's bounty and
substituted an artificial and much larger bounty. Economists call the
same phenomenon innovation. What frustrates them about ecologists is the latter's tendency to think in terms of static
limits. Ecologists can't seem to see that when whale oil starts to run out,
But optimists
warming. So a continuing increase in emissions if economic growth continues will eventually accelerate warming to dangerous rates.
. Harvard emeritus
agricultural land just couldn't grow enough food for more than 2.5 billion people at that level of consumption
limits the production of food in many places. Estimates made in the 1960s and 1970s of water demand
by the year 2000 proved grossly overestimated: The world used half as much water as experts had
a word,
bumped our heads against all sorts of ceilings by now, running short of various metals, fuels, minerals and space. Why did it not happen? In
concentrating them again. In 1972, the ecologist Paul Ehrlich of Stanford University came up with a simple
formula called IPAT, which stated that the impact of humankind was
equal to population multiplied by affluence multiplied again by
technology. In other words, the damage done to Earth increases the more people there are, the richer they get and the more technology they have. Many
ecologists still subscribe to this doctrine, which has attained the status of holy writ in ecology. But the past 40 years haven't
different things to the two tribes. Ecologists use it to mean "the act
of using up a resource"; economists mean "the purchase of goods
and services by the public" (both definitions taken from the Oxford
dictionary). But in what sense is water, tellurium or phosphorus "used up" when products made with them are bought by the public? They still exist in the
objects themselves or in the environment. Water returns to the environment through sewage and can be reused. Phosphorus gets recycled through compost. Tellurium is in
solar panels, which can be recycled. As the economist Thomas Sowell wrote in his 1980 book "Knowledge and Decisions," "Although we speak loosely of 'production,' man
Second, most
eaten by us and our animals, and an additional 9.6% is prevented from growing by goats and buildings, according to his estimates.
Finally, human activities actually increase the productio (sometimes too much, causing
algal blooms in water). In places like the Nile delta, wild ecosystems are more productive than they would be without human intervention, despite the fact that much of the
land is used for growing human food. If I could have one wish for the Earth's environment, it would be to bring together the two tribesto convene a grand powwow of
ecologists and economists. I would pose them this simple question and not let them leave the room until they had answered it: How can innovation improve the
environment?
Sustainable AT Population
Growth results in lower population Bangladesh study
proves
Hasan 6 (Mohammad, Department of Finance and Economics, AN
EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION TO DETERMINE THE LONG-RUN RELATIONSHIP
BETWEEN POPULATION GROWTH AND PER CAPITA INCOME IN BANGLADESH,
http://www.bdiusa.org/Publications/JBS/Volumes/Volume7/JBS7.2-2-Part-1.pdf,
2/20/06, AD: 7/6/09)
This paper empirically examines the nature of the time-series
relationship between population growth and per capita income
growth using the annual data of Bangladesh within the framework of
cointegration methodology. This study finds evidence of a long-run
stationary relationship between population and per capita income. Our results also indicate a
bi-directional or feedback relationship between population and per
capita income. The results of a negative causality flowing from per
capita income to population growth appear to indicate that per
capita income tends to lower the population growth. Likewise, population
growth positively contributes to the growth of per capita income.
Sustainable AT Peak Oil
Peak oil is false
Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs
and Humanities at Bard College, 7/15/12, Energy Revolution 2: A Post Post-
American Post The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-
interest.com/wrm/2012/07/15/energy-revolution-2-a-post-post-american-post/
Forget peak oil ; forget the Middle East. The energy revolution of the 21st century
isnt about solar energy or wind power and the scramble for oil isnt going to drive global politics. The
energy abundance that helped propel the United States to global
leadership in the 19th and 2oth centuries is back; if the energy
revolution now taking shape lives up to its full potential, we are headed
into a new century in which the location of the worlds energy
resources and the structure of the worlds energy trade support
American affluence at home and power abroad. By some estimates, the
U nited S tates has more oil than Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran combined ,
and Canada may have even more than the United States. A GAO report released last May
(pdf link can be found here) estimates that up to the equivalent of 3 trillion
barrels of shale oil may lie in just one of the major potential US
energy production sites. If half of this oil is recoverable, US reserves in this one deposit are
roughly equal to the known reserves of the rest of the world combined. Edward Luce, an FT writer usually
as early
more given to tracing Americas decline than to promoting its prospects, cites estimates that
as 2020 the US may be producing more oil than Saudi Arabia. So
dramatic are Americas finds, analysts talk of the US turning into the
worlds new Saudi Arabia by 2020, with up to 15m barrels a day of liquid energy
production (against the desert kingdoms 11m b/d this year). Most of the credit goes to
private sector innovators, who took their cue from the high oil prices
in the last decade to devise ways of tapping previously uneconomic
underground reserves of tight oil and shale gas. And some of it is down
to plain luck. Far from reaching its final frontier, America has
discovered new ones under the ground.
Sustainable AT K Waves
Kondratieff wave theory empirically false
North 9 (Gary, economist and publisher and PhD in history from the
University of California, Riverside, The Myth of the Kondratieff Wave,
http://www.lewrockwell.com/north/north725.html, 6/27/09, AD: 7/6/09)
THE K-WAVE These days, the Kondratieff Wave has a spiffy new name: the K-Wave. (I can
almost hear it: "Attention: K-Wave shoppers!") The K-Wave is supposedly going to
bring a deflationary collapse Real Soon Now. The Western world's debt structure will
disappear in a wave of defaults. Kondratieff's 54-year cycle is almost upon us. Again. The last
deflationary period ended in 1933. This became clear no later than
1940. World War II orders from Great Britain, funded by American loans and Federal Reserve policy,
ended the Great Depression by lowering real wages. In 1942, price and wage controls were imposed by
Washington, the FED began pumping out new money, ration stamps replaced the free market, the black
market overcame shortages, and the inflationary era began. That was a long time ago. But the K-Wave is
heralded as a 50 to 60-year cycle, or even more specifically, a 54-year cycle. That's the entire cycle,
The K-Wave supposedly should have bottomed
trough to trough or peak to peak.
in 1933, risen for 27 years (1960), declined in economic contraction
until 1987, and boomed thereafter. The peak should therefore be in
2014. There is a problem here: the cyclical decline from 1960 to
1987. It never materialized. Prices kept rising, escalating with a
vengeance after 1968, then slowing somewhat just in time for the
longest stock market boom in American history: 19822000. OK, say
the K-Wavers: let's extend the cycle to 60 years. Fine. Let's do just
that. Boom, 193262; bust, 196393; boom, 19942024. Does this
correspond to anything that happened in American economic history
since 1932? No.
Fed solves
North 9 (Gary, economist and publisher and PhD in history from the
University of California, Riverside, The Myth of the Kondratieff Wave,
http://www.lewrockwell.com/north/north725.html, 6/27/09, AD: 7/6/09)
You may think that I am devoting way too much space to this. But I want my readers to understand why
Kondratieff was wrong in 1925. His popularizers were even more wrong in
197585, with their "idealized" chart, and their contemporary heirs'
unwillingness to learn from the fact that the downward phase of the
cycle is now 44 years late. It should have begun no later than
Kennedy's administration: 1932+30=1962. This assumes that the original
downward phase was due in 1932. It wasn't. It was due around 1926 :
1896+30=1926. It should have lasted until 1956. But 194573 was a boom
era, with mild recessions and remarkable economic growth per
capita. Forget about a K-Wave which is going to produce price
deflation. The Federal Reserve System remains in control. Sorry about that.
It is creating new money. Long-term price deflation of 5% per annum is not in the cards or
the charts anywhere. I recommend that you not take seriously arguments to the contrary that are based
on the latest updated version of the K-Wave. The K-Wave forecasted that secular
deflation was just around the corner, repeatedly, ever since 1932. It
wasn't.
AT Disease
Inevitable now because of trafficking dedev only boosts
the black market by making criminals more desperate
which increases vectors for transmission
Completely wrong .. Even very intelligent people wrongly interpret the implications of what they
In the vast scale of time (today, decades, not
observe when they lose the perspective of time.
it is the opposite of what expected, because they start from a
centuries)
false assumption: the future is the extrapolation of this. But not
necessarily be. How do I know? Looking at history. What story? The
history of innovation, this thing generates increases in productivity ,
wealth, quality of life in an unimaginable level. It is innovation that
will defeat pessimism as it always did. It was innovation that made
life today is incomparably better than at any other time in human
history. And will further improve. Einstein, who was not a stupid person,
believed that capitalism would generate crisis, instability, and
growing impoverishment. He said: The economic anarchy of capitalist society as it exists
today is, in my opinion, the true source of evil. The only way to eliminate this evil, he thought, was to
establish socialism, with the means of production are owned by the company. A centrally controlled
economy would adjust the production of goods and services the needs of people, and would distribute the
work that needed to be done among those in a position to do so. This would guarantee a livelihood to
every man, women and children. Each according to his possibilities. To each according to their needs.
And guess what? What happened was the opposite of what Einstein
predicted. Who tried the model he suggested, impoverished,
screwed up. Peter Drucker says that almost of all thinking people of the late
nineteenth century thought that Marx was right: there would be increased
exploitation of workers by employers. They would become poorer, until one day, the thing would explode.
Capitalist society was considered inherently unsustainable. It is
more or less the same chat today. Bullshit. Capitalism, with all
appropriate regulations, self-corrects. It is an adaptive system that
learns and changes by design . The design is just for the system to
learn and change . There was the opposite of what Einstein
predicted, and held the opposite of what many predict, but the logic
that unlike only becomes evident over time. It wasnt obvious that the
workers are those whom would profit from the productivity gains
that the management science has begun to generate by organizing
innovations like the railroad, the telegraph, the telephone .. to
increase the scale of production and cheapen things. The living
conditions of workers today are infinitely better than they were in
1900. They got richer, not poorer .. You do not need to work harder to
produce more (as everyone thought), you can work less and produce more through a mechanism
that is only now becoming apparent, and that brilliant people like Caetano Veloso still ignores. The
output is pursuing growth through innovation, growth is not giving
up. More of the same will become unsustainable to the planet, but
most of it is not what will happen, will happen more different, than
we do not know what is right. More innovative. Experts, such as Lester Brown,
insist on statements like this: if the Chinese also want to have three cars for every four inhabitants, as in
the U.S. today, there will be 1.1 billion cars there in 2030, and there is no way to build roads unless ends
with the whole area used for agriculture. You will need 98 million barrels of oil per day, but the world only
produces about 90 million today, and probably never produce much more. The mistake is to extrapolate
todays solutions for the future. We can continue livinghere for 20 years by exploiting the same resources
how can we encourage the
that we explore today? Of course not. But the other question is:
stream of innovations that will enable the Chinese, Indians,
Brazilians, Africans .. to live so as prosperous asAmericans live
today? Hey, wake up what can not stop the engine of innovation is
that the free marketengenders. This system is self correcting , that is
its beauty. We do not need to do nothing but ensure the conditions
for it to work without distortion. The rest he does himself. It
regulates itself.
1ar EXT Tech Solves
Tech solves extinction
Dunn 13- staff writer for the Harvard International Review (Gregory, Water Wars: A Surprisingly
Rare Source of Conflict, Harvard International Review, Nov. 20, 2013.
http://hir.harvard.edu/archives/10414). WM
The failure of human society to collapse was largely due to the economic
and tech nological developments that occurred around the world. Economic growth
allowed more access to resources , thus enabling people to invest in technology to
increase their productivity . This investment in technology enabled incredible leaps in the
productivity of farmers, thanks to devices like tractors, new practices in irrigation and crop rotation, and
improvements in crops due to breeding and g enetic m odification.
Case Georgia
Overview
Georgias economy is currently on the brinkjobs arent growing, causing
economy to lose industriesprivatization is k2 restore georgias economy
1ac
Georgias economy is on the brinktransportation
infrastructure underpins its inability to revamp
Semuels, 15staff writer at the Atlantic and reporter for Los Angeles Times
(Alana, 1/2/15, Whats Wrong with Georgia?, The Atlantic,
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/01/whats-wrong-with-
georgia/384101/)//
state's laissez-faire approach to policy. GRIFFIN, Ga.Throughout the
economic downturn and subsequent recovery, there have been some usual
twemchen
While many other states are recovering, Georgia's unemployment rate has risen . Some
blame the suspects when it comes to the most pitiful state in monthly unemployment figures. For awhile,
Michigan took the prize for highest unemployment rate in the country, until Nevada knocked it off its perch
in May of 2010. Nevada then held the title for most of the next three years, sometimes sharing the honor
with California, until it ceded the top (more accurately, the bottom) spot to Rhode Island in December
2013. But now, as the economy picks up steam, and consumer sentiment rises to its highest levels since
Georgia, home to Fortune 500
2007, a new state keeps appearing at the top of the unemployment list.
heavyweights such as Home Depot, UPS, and Coca-Cola, had the highest unemployment
rate in the nation in August, September, and October. With a November rate of 7.2 percent, the
state was narrowly edged out by Mississippis 7.3 percent (December statistics wont come out until mid-
January). This may seem surprising, since Georgia was named the best state to do business in both 2014
and 2013 by Site Selection magazine, largely because of its workforce-training program and low tax rates.
Nathan Deal, the states GOP governor, handily won reelection in November against Jimmy Carters
grandson by speaking about Georgia as a job magnet. But those who follow the states economy say the
states troubling economic figures are directly related to Georgias attempts to
paint itself as a good state for corporations. This is what a state looks like when you have a hands-off,
laissez-faire approach to the economy, said Michael Wald, a former Bureau of Labor Statistics economist
in Atlanta. Georgia is basically a low-wage, low-tax, low-service state , thats the
approach theyve been taking for a very long time. The nation's unemployment rate in November, by
contrast, was 5.8 percent, which was also the November jobless rate of Georgia's neighbor and occasional
rival, North Carolina. The unemployment rate in Georgia has risen, while in other once-troubled states, it
continues to fall. (Data from BLS) Governor Deal has emphasized time and again that he believes it is the
role of government to get out of the way and let the private sector stimulate the economy. Georgia was
among the first states to cut back the duration of unemployment benefits available to its residents to 18
weeks from 26. The state has slashed $8.3 billion from public-school funding since 2003 and passed
eligibility requirements for a state financial-aid program that caused a dramatic decline in the number of
students in technical colleges (some of those requirements have since been rolled back). The state also
passed a sweeping tax-reform bill in 2012 that eliminated some sales taxes and broadened exemptions for
the agricultural industry that small towns and counties say have wreaked havoc on their revenues. Some
counties are seeing unemployment rates that indicate the recession is far from over, including
Chattahoochee, with an unemployment rate of 14.4 percent and Telfair, with a jobless rate of 13.3 percent.
Areas surrounding Atlanta are faring better, with Fulton County, where Atlanta is located, posting an
unemployment rate of 7.3 percent, and DeKalb seeing joblessness drop to 6.8 percent. This may be a
good place for companies, but not for people actually looking for work." But even some areas not far from
the city are still struggling. They include the town of Griffin, located in Spalding County, a one-time, textile-
manufacturing hub where the unemployment rate in October was 9 percent. Now, workers are tearing
down the old factories and shopping plazas along the road from Atlanta are empty, with no trace of the
Griffin residents such as Richard Joiner say they haven't seen
stores once located there.
much improvement in the economy. Joiner, 46, worked for two decades as a machine
operator in the field of plastic extrusion. When he got laid off during the recession, he found a job packing
ready-made salads, but then work there slowed down too. Joiner did what economists say
workers like him need to do to get ahead in this economyhe went back to school for video and film
production, aware that shows such as the Walking Dead were increasingly filming and producing in towns
like his. But then the state changed the rules for unemployment benefits and Joiner lost his source of
income, so he was forced to drop out of school and seek work. Without any money or prospects, he was
evicted from his apartment, so he was forced to move in with his mother. His grown children had to find
somewhere else to live. He has no car, so he walks three miles to the Griffin Career Center to search for a
job on the computers there. Joiner still owes $13,000 in student loans, and hasnt been able to find any
sort of work. This may be a good place for companies, but not for people actually looking for work, he
told me, sitting in the waiting room of the Career Center. Companies may come here for the tax breaks,
but theyre not actually bringing jobs for the people who live here. Whats frustrating about Joiners
situation is that hes doing everything rightgoing back to school, trying a new industry, looking for work
wherever he can find it. But without the resources that have long been in place for people like him, hes
struggling. Many other students in Georgia have dropped out of school after changes to funding for higher
education, according to the Georgia Budget and Policy Institute. Changes to the lottery-funded HOPE grant
program in 2011 led to a decline of 38,000 students enrolled at the states technical schools, said Alan
Essig, the institutes director (John Oliver has recently explored the folly of using the state lotteries to pay
for education). Even without scholarships, higher education in Georgia is getting more expensive. Tuition
and fees at Georgia public universities have increased 67 percent since 2008; at technical colleges,
theyve increased 65 percent, according to the Georgia Budget and Policy Institute. The decline in
education funding may already be directly impacting the state's economy. In December, the state High
some employers, including Home Depot,
Demand Career Initiative released a report finding that
weren't able to find enough high-skilled workers to fill available jobs.
They were forced to hire out of state, the report found. Only about 42 percent of Georgia's young adults
have earned a college credential, although more than 60 percent of jobs in the state will require a college
certificate or degree. Itsa misconception that these so-called business-friendly
policies are closely related to stronger economic growth , said Wesley
Tharpe, an analyst with the Georgia Budget and Policy Institute. A states economy
depends on an educated workforce, transportation infrastructure, public
safety, reliable street cleaning, and snow removal. Transportation is a problem in
Georgia, too. The state ranks 49th in the nation in per capita transportation funding, and
Atlantas commutes are famously terrible . The state could have borrowed funds for
transportation improvements, said Wald, but instead decided in 2012 to ask voters to pass an increase in
sales tax to fund transportation projects. It was defeated handily at the ballot box. An abandoned mall in
Griffin, Georgia (Alana Semuels) Georgia isnt the only state to find that lowering taxes in an effort to
jumpstart the economy can backfire. Indeed, one of the biggest issues dividing Democrats and Republicans
during the recession was whether the Keynesian approach of increasing government spending in a
recession best stimulates the economy, or whether governments should get out of the way and allow
businesses to do the work. Kansas passed sweeping tax cuts in 2012, only to see protests over its low
levels of education funding and a debt downgrade to boot. Ohio did away with its estate tax and scaled
back income taxes, forcing many local governments to reduce services. Tax cuts heralded by Governor
Scott Walker in Wisconsin have led to budget shortfalls that have even some Republican legislators
worried. Sometimes ideological experiments bring unintended outcomes," Oklahoma Treasurer Ken Miller
told the Wall Street Journal in June, about Kansass experiment. In Georgia, those unintended outcomes
have reverberated through small, rural towns that traditionally support conservative fiscal policies. Were
desperately awaiting recoverywere still not back to 2008 revenue levels, said Chris Hobby, the city
manager of Bainbridge, right on the Florida border. We were climbing back towards those levels, and then
in 2013, when these tax exemptions went into place, you can see our revenue just fall off the cliff. The
exemptions hes talking about were part of H.B. 386, passed by the state legislature in 2012. The law
replaced an annual car tax with a one-time title tax, which is paid when a car is bought. It also eliminated
sales tax on energy used in manufacturing, and expanded a program that allowed the agriculture industry
to avoid paying sales tax on a variety of products. Bainbridge has had to put aside repairs to a 60-year-old
elementary school. The city employs just 141 people, as opposed to 185 in 2008 and collected fewer taxes
last year than it did in 2010. It was forced to raise property taxes for the first time in 30 years, and has
narrowed its focus to pothole repair rather than road repaving. I think the tax reform was made with all
the best intentions, Hobby said. But it has really created a crisis in the rural parts of the state. Empty
stores along South Hill Street in Griffin (Alana Semuels) The story is the same in many other rural areas:
Washington, Georgia, disbanded its police force earlier this year because of budget issues, and in June,
Valdosta raised property taxes for the first time since 1992, after cutting 5 percent of its workforce and
reducing spending on transportation. In many rural areas, this is going to prolong coming out of the
recession, said Amy Henderson, a spokeswoman for the Georgia Municipal Association, which calculated
that some rural counties in the south had seen sales-tax decreases of more than 15 percent between 2012
there are some positive pieces to the Georgia
and 2013. To be sure,
economy. The state has gained 93,900 jobs since the beginning of the year, not that
many fewer than the 110,700 added by rival North Carolina, which has only a slightly smaller population.
Industries such as retail, logistics, and hospitality are adding jobs at a rapid clip. And some of the
movement in the unemployment rate can be attributed to the state's growing labor force. Georgia had 4.8
million people in its labor force in June, an all-time high, though that number has shrunk in recent months
as some people gave up looking for work. And many industries are still struggling. Georgia was hit hard by
the housing bust: The state employs 30 percent fewer construction workers than it did during the peak and
20 percent fewer manufacturing workers than it did a decade ago. The state government continues to shed
while some
jobs: down 2,400 from a year ago, and down 14,700 from the peak in 2008. So
industries are adding positions, they arent growing quickly enough
to make up for industries that have disappeared. A few years back, I visited a
company in Griffin that was going to benefit from a $50 billion pledge made by Walmart to buy more
products manufactured in the United States. The company, 1888 Mills, had won a contract to supply their
Georgia-made towels to 1,200 Walmart stores. But the factory the company showed me was mostly
machines, with a few people to run them. The Walmart contract created only about 35 jobs, if that, at 1888
Mills. Even if manufacturing does come back to Georgia, and to Griffin, it wont create many jobs. The
The economy has lost
company illustrates the one-two punch Georgia is facing.
industries, like manufacturing and construction that may never return the way
they once were. But programs that could help retrain workers or send them back to school have
been scaled back. Counties still figuring out how to make up for that lost tax revenue are facing even more
revenue declines. Candy Swopes, 47, has wanted to go back to school for as long as she can remember.
But things kept coming up. After she had her daughter, she found work for a company that manufactured
audio equipment for cars. When the company moved to Mexico, though, she lost her job. She found work
to pay the bills: as a housekeeper at a Super 8, packing boxes for Toys R Us, helping manufacture plastic
wrap. But eventually her employer would tell her that things had slowed down and that they didnt need
her anymore. She finally scraped together enough money to go back to school to study electrical
technology, but then her financial aid ran out, so she went to a temp agency to find a job. Now, shes
trying to find enough money to complete her schooling and to send her 20-year-old daughter to culinary
school. Both have heard stories of people saddled by student-loan debt, and don't want to take out big
loans. But Swopes still cant find a steady job so they haven't come up with tuition money yet. Shes
looking though. I told her, You have to go to school, no ifs, ands or buts about it, Swopes told me in the
quiet of the Griffin Career Center. I dont want her to struggle like Im struggling. On Griffins main
thoroughfare, others seem to be in a similar bind. The street is dotted with bright signs advertising Space
for Lease. Lori Bean, who owns a jam company, said sales in Georgia this year have been half of what
they were last year. Weve learned to live with it, said Burt Crapo, the founder of Agape Computers, one
of the businesses doing well in Griffin. But Crapos wife works for the county in community development,
and hasnt gotten a raise for years. Her health-insurance premiums are going up, and every now and then,
she hears rumors about impending furloughs. People in Griffin are still cautious about spending, said Tony
Sharp, who owns a jewelry store in town, even though gas prices are low. "There's not a single thing in
here that people have to have," he said, gesturing along the long rows of jewelry in his store. " Things
are better, but they're not exactly as they were." Crapo knows it might be
a long time before things get back to normal in Georgia. A few restaurants
may be doing well on the street, but he knows too well that many others arent. Next to him, a framing
store recently closed up shop. A handwritten sign lurks in the door, starting to fade: Gone Out of
Business."
AB: What makes you say that opt-out is "the next big thing ?" Hernandez: I think they, the
TSA and Congress, are going to realize that the money just isn't there. They have to incentivize
it in some way to get more airports to join. Something has to give, and I think the first thing will
be the liability, something that relieves the airports and security companies from
liability , essentially putting them into a government contractor's position . It has to
because there is so much data there from the pilot program that suggests they can do it
more efficiently. I think a big problem with the TSA now, but they don't want to admit it,
is they've probably doubled their human relations attorneys just dealing
with the HR issues . They didn't expect the huge problems they're having . I
think the private sector is more efficient dealing with those HR issues. AB: I recently heard
some Congressional staffers suggest that by putting an in-line screening system in place at an airport you
pretty much eliminate two screener positions and the system pays for itself within the first year. Have we
gotten to the point that this instant bureaucracy we've created is proving to be an obstacle
to getting this accomplished ? Hernandez: I think the biggest thing, without pointing
fingers, is that when this all came about in 2001, the total cost was grossly
underestimated . Projections were based on pre-9/11 numbers when the airlines were
responsible for screening and were paying dirt wages . AB: In the final analysis, it would seem that
you think private screening is ultimately the direction this thing is headed.
Hernandez: We have to; there are just too many inefficiencies . You may see
gradual changes; perhaps you'll see a quarter of the airports switching over to a
private security model and, once efficiencies are realized there, it will expand. Run it like a
business instead of a bureaucracy. I wouldn't be surprised if you were to see Lockheed Martin and
Covenant just come roaring down and overnight taking it over at airports. That's going to be a huge
revenue-generating stream. Competition, in its pure form, is good .
The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has to be the most maligned federal
agency in history . Everyone who flies seems to have their own version of TSA
hell , spanning the security line purgatory of incidental groping and rude behavior to theft and intrusive
scanning. I do fly on a regular basis, and I will say that my negative experiences with TSA agents have
been minimal. Except for the metal rods and plates in my surgically repaired left leg, my groping
experiences hardly raise a red flag. However, it is interesting to assess the level of professionalism (or lack
cities
thereof) of TSA staff when doing the security line shuffle in airports across the country. Certain
have earned a well-deserved reputation for shabby performances and
lethargic TSA screeners , while a lesser number receive high praise for
professional conduct. As frustration with TSA screening practices and perceived
security lapses continue to grow not only with the general flying public, but with political
heavyweights in Washington D.C., the cry for the return to private security screeners in our
nations airports is reaching an audible pitch . Certainly no one is saying the job TSA faces
is an easy one. In 2013, the agency screened 638,706,790 passengers, which was almost 1.5 million more
than the previous year. Close to 2,000 firearms were confiscated from carry-on bags at checkpoints across
the country, with 81 percent of those being loaded. My home base Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson
International had the distinction of topping the list in 2013 for most firearms intercepted with 111. The
TSA also suffered its first fatality this past year when TSA officer Gerardo Hernandez was killed in the line
of duty at LAX by a gunman specifically targeting a TSA agent. Yet the pressure mounts for either the
return to privatization or for major overhauls in how the TSA operates. The $1.1 trillion spending bill that
was recently passed by the U.S. Congress has renewed the privatization discussion since new
appropriation measures will prevent the TSA from using federal funds to hire additional screeners if they
exceed the cap of 46,000 employees now on the payroll. When you combine this new budget restraint with
a vocal campaign by several lawmakers to return to private security in our airports, along with a scathing
government aviation study released last November by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) that
proposes the elimination of the TSAs flawed SPOT security program -- Screening of Passengers by
Observation Techniques, 2014 could prove to be a contentious year for the agency. The most damning
aspect of the GAOs findings was it called for the elimination of the expensive SPOT program because it
finds no scientifically validated evidence for the $200 million annual expenditure, and that it was
deployed without the TSA conducting any cost-benefit analysis. Since its creation following the events of
the TSA has ballooned into largest DHS employer and has been mired
9/11,
in bad press with its air marshal program, the intrusive full-body scanning
machine debacle and now the SPOT program. Many critics claim the TSA has
underperformed and has been no more effective than the previous system using
the private sector. Now that 16 U.S. airports have been given the green light to return private security
contractors (albeit the majority are smaller airports), the comparison between TSA and the private sector
are increasing. In fact, a report released by the House in 2011 said that San Francisco Internationals
private screeners actually performed better than TSA at LAX. In a recent article written by Chris Edwards,
editor of www.DownsizingGovernment.org at the Cato Institute, and author of the study Privatizing the
Transportation Security Administration, he states that the government has an important oversight role to
TSAs near-monopoly on screening has resulted in it
play in aviation security, but the
getting bogged down in managing its bloated federal workforce , as one
congressional report concluded. Edwards continued that Congress should abolish TSA. Activities that have
Airport screening -- which
not shown substantial benefits -- such as SPOT -- should be eliminated.
represents about two-thirds of TSAs budget -- should be moved to the control of
airports and opened to competitive contracting . And the remaining parts of TSA
should be moved to other federal agencies. Gerry Connelly, a House Democrat from Virginia has been
among the most vocal political critics of the TSA in recent months. During a committee hearing on the
TSA's Screening Partnership Program, Connelly said he didnt appreciate agents "barking orders" at people
in airports, adding the less polite an agent is, the more likely they are to encounter resistance from the
public Connelly went on to say that there was no excuse for someone barking orders continuously at the
public at any airport in America who is an employee of the federal government, or a contractor for the
federal government. Connelly said hed lose his job if I treated the public that way. Rep. John Mica, R-Fla,
who is head of the Oversight and Government Reform subcommittee on government operations, said last
week he plans legislation "one way or the other" to privatize all federal screeners within two years. Like
many critics of the agency who want to take the screening process away, Mica is in favor of
leaving TSA in charge of gathering intelligence , setting standards and
running audits . "If you come to Orlando airport or Sanford airport, what is going on is almost
criminal to American citizens, the way they are treated," said Mica. "This is the mess we've created."
Modeling
2ac modeling
Yes, its a statutory requirement
Grover 14 Acting Director at the Department of Homeland Security and
Justice at the Government Accountability Offense, 7/29/14, STATEMENT OF
JENNIFER A. GROVER, ACTING DIRECTOR, HOMELAND SECURITY AND JUSTICE,
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE ,
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-113hhrg92898/html/CHRG-
113hhrg92898.htm)//twemchen
Montanas modeled
Amitay 14 executive director and general counsel to the National
Association of Security Companies (Steve Amitay, 7/29/14, STATEMENT OF
STEVE AMITAY, ESQ., EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR/GENERAL COUNSEL, NATIONAL
ASSOCIATION OF SECURITY COMPANIES,
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-113hhrg92898/html/CHRG-
113hhrg92898.htm)//twemchen
Kansas City and San Francisco, the two largest airports that use private screeners, were part of that
private--they never
original pilot program. So, really, Montana--meaning that they never switched from
had Federal screeners. So Montana is a little bit of a laboratory in terms of the
transition. So people are watching that , and we are hopeful that, you know, it will be
done effectively to benefit all the parties involved.
Empirics
2ac Empirics
Empirically solves
Mica 4 US House of Representatives from Florida (John Mica, 4/22/4,
HOUSE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE:
SUBCOMMITTEE ON AVIATION HOLDS A HEARING ON AIRPORT SCREENER
PRIVATIZATION, Aviation Subcommittee, Lexis)//twemchen
Let me say also that this is clearly not a proposal to return to pre-September 11 security. No one proposes
No one proposes lowering federal
giving screening responsibilities back to the airlines.
standards one iota . Rather, this is an approach that all federal facilities
across the country employ today where the private sector , under federal
guidelines , provide high-quality security functions with strong federal
oversight . For years, the public/private security model has worked successfully
at nuclear power plants and military bases , and we see that also as an
evolutionary progression in the European model . To further improve the performance
of our national screening system, we must develop and deploy new screening technologies, and we
must reform the current bureaucracy so that we are even more responsive
to local needs and aviation security requirements. I believe the testimony this morning
will confirm that with even greater federal standards and greater federal oversight, we can better utilize
both federal and private security personnel to channel our scarce resources and enhance our post-9/11
aviation security.
2ac Empirics KCI
USA Today uncovered covert TSA test results that showed significantly
In 2007,
higher screener detection capabilities at SFO than at LAX: investigators
successfully smuggled 75 percent of fake bombs through checkpoints at Los
Angeles International Airport and 20 percent at San Francisco International Airport.35 In December of
2007 Catapult Consultants also issued a report to TSA that found private screeners
performed at a level that was equal to or greater than that of federal TSOs
[Transportation Security Officers].36 Similarly, interviews with private sector screening companies
and airport officials indicate that SPP airports have better screener detection
capabilities and provide greater customer service, responsiveness, and flexibility
at passenger checkpoints (see Appendix 12).
Yes Privatization
2ac EXT Yes Privatization AT It Was Frozen
Its reopened
Poole 13 Searle Freedom Trust Transportation Fellow and Director of
Transportation Policy at the Reason Foundation (Robert Poole, 11/12/13,
Airport Policy and Security News #95
http://reason.org/news/show/1013613.html#f)//twemchen
TSA Resumes Outsourced Screening Program. Late last month TSA issued a
solicitation for approved airport screening companies to bid on four separate contracts to provide
passenger and baggage screening at four Montana airports: Bert Mooney, Bozeman Yellowstone, Glacier
Park, and Yellowstone Regional. This is the first solicitation since TSA was required by Congress in 2012 to
resume taking applications and awarding screening contracts. Whether there will be bidders remains to be
seen; the language in the solicitation says this procurement is a "100 percent small business set-aside."
Just- retired TSA Administrator John Pistole deserves our thanks for finally
implementing risk-based screening, more than a decade after Congress mandated it in the 2001 legislation
creating TSA. The Aviation & Transportation Security Act of 2001 called for TSA to create "trusted
passenger programs . . . to expedite the screening of passengers who participate in such programs,
thereby allowing security screening personnel to focus on those passengers who should be subjected to
more extensive screening." After the fiasco of "Registered Traveler" under Pistole's predecessorwhich
required participants to be fingerprinted and iris-scanned but did not provide expedited screeningit was
Pistole who pushed hard to implement genuine risk-based screening in the form of PreCheck. As of the end
of 2014, PreCheck has 600 lanes in place at 124 airports, with 802,000 passengers enrolled.
AT Flex Now
2ac AT Flexibility Now Oversight
Tons of oversight now
Ahlers 12 staff writer at CNN (Mike Ahlers, 2/7/12, Congress kick-starts
program to privatize airport screeners,
http://www.cnn.com/2012/02/07/travel/montana-tsa-screeners/)//twemchen
Republicans depicted the current system as inefficient , and said the bloat
extends to the TSA oversight of privatized airports . "There are certain
airports where contractors do screening and TSA is just there to oversee the
screen(ing) process; there are upwards of 50 TSA employees on the payroll,"
said subcommittee chairman Rep. Mike Rogers of Alabama. "Having 50-plus TSA officials in a single
airport where they are not responsible for conducting screening is just plain overkill and it's
costing the taxpayer huge amounts of money," he said.
2ac AT Flexibility Now AT Authority
The TSA isnt using its authority
Menendez 4 US House of Representatives from New Jersey (Robert
Menendez, 4/22/4, HOUSE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND
INFRASTRUCTURE: SUBCOMMITTEE ON AVIATION HOLDS A HEARING ON
AIRPORT SCREENER PRIVATIZATION, Aviation Subcommittee,
Lexis)//twemchen
Also, with reference to reviewing the prepared testimony from the GAO, the IG, and the private screening
companies, it seems that everybody's unhappy with TSA's hiring and training procedures, and that
includes even federal security directors. As someone who represents one of the busiest airports in the
nation, Newark International Airport, I'll tell you -- it's the airport where one of the fatal flights on
September 11 originated, an airport that still -- still -- has not met the 100 percent EDS baggage-screening
requirement and where travelers frequently stand in security lines that exceed 45 minutes -- I share these
concerns. You know, if I didn't know better -- and, Admiral, I understand you've only been on the job a few
the TSA is complicit in trying to ensure that we don't
months -- I'd almost think
succeed so we can go to private security screening because the reality is that,
notwithstanding all the management tools we have given to TSA -- the flexibility,
the part-time ability, the configurations that would maximum abilities -- I see it at Newark, and I see that
virtually no ne of those management flexibilities are in use . It's clearly a
failure in terms of using the abilities that the Congress has given to the TSA to meet its
obligation. We are now at nearly pre-September 11 and headed in the right direction for the purposes of
the industry and the traveling public. We're heading in the right direction in terms of the numbers of
passengers that are traveling this country. That's good news, good news for the industry, good news for
the economy. It sends a confidence in being able to fly again, but we are going to choke that success and
that confidence by the inability of TSA to meet the demand. So I certainly hope that we as part of this look
at -- and I hope the committee looks at -- more intensively how we focus on improving these procedures at
all airports, how we look at getting TSA to be responsive and use the management tools that Congress has
given it as a starter. I understand the cap issue as well, but, when you don't even use the management
tools you have to meet part of your challenge, the cap in and of itself is not a question. Finally, the
BearingPoint study found little cost or security benefit in having the private security
companies do this specifically, and, if that is the case and if we are looking for all these flexibilities,
flexibilities that we are either not giving to TSA or flexibilities that TSA has
and is not using, then we have a real problem on our hands. So I look, Admiral, for some responses
to these questions generically, and I'm looking forward to engaging with you specifically at Newark
because we cannot continue on the path that we're on. We're going to stifle the progress that we're going
to make. That has an economic effect in the country, for our region and in the country, and God knows we
need a more vibrant economy. So it's all interrelated with the security issue, and we look forward to your
responses.
2ac AT Flexibility Now AT Analysis now
The analysis hasnt spurred action
Berrick 9 Managing Director of Homeland Security and Justice Issues
(Cathleen A. Berrick, 1/9/9, Aviation Security: TSAs Cost and Performance
Study of Private-Sector Airport Screening,
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0927r.pdf)//twemchen
TSA has taken actions to identify unnecessary redundancies in the duties of
administrative staff assigned to SPP and non-SPP airports, but the agency has not
completed these efforts. According to identified effective practices,1 strategic workforce
planning requires, among other things, that agencies develop strategies that are tailored to address gaps
in the number, deployment, and alignment of human capital approaches for enabling and sustaining the
contributions of all critical skills and competencies. TSA is conducting a workforce analysis that is
intended to identify any redundancies.
TSA has collected and analyzed information,
such as data on core functions, staffing levels, hub-spoke responsibilities, skill
sets, and collateral duties. However, steps that have not yet been completed
include implementing revised job analysis tools to provide federal security directors (FSD)2 with
greater flexibility in staffing, and implementing organizational models to ensure that there is consistency in
reporting relationships and utilization of positions. TSA officials said that the agency will be continuously
updating its analysis. TSA and SPP contractors at the airports we visited had mixed views about whether
unnecessary redundancies at SPP airports exist.
AT Airports Say No
2ac AT Airports Say No
Their evs about the SPP which means it doesnt matter
16 airports already have private screening the decision
to give them flexibility is unilateral
resources. Second, the TSA operates in a highly centralized manner, which is poorly
matched to the wide variation in sizes and types of passenger
airports. And third, the law puts the TSA in the conflicting position of being both the airport security
policymaker/regulator and the provider of some (but not all) airport security services. DHS Secretary
Michael Chertoff and TSA Administrator Edmund Kip Hawley have called for re-orienting security policies
along risk-based lines. At the same time, the Government Accountability Office has found that todays very
costly airport screening is little better than what existed prior to federalization of this functionand that
the performance-contracting approach implemented on a pilot-program basis at five airports appears to
have worked slightly better than the TSA-provided screening. Both factors set the stage for fundamental
reform. This report calls for three such reforms, to address the three fundamental flaws in the current
approach. First, to remove the inherent conflict of interest, the TSA should be phased out of performing
airport screening services. Instead, its role should become purely policymaking and regulatory (and better
balanced among all transportation modes). Second, the screening functions should be devolved to each
screening and other airport security
individual airport, under TSA oversight. And third,
functions should be redesigned along risk-based lines , to better target
other risk assessments and RIAs. Consequently, we recommend that the RIA be modified to: a) more
explicitly follow the Ecorisk Framework; b) discuss which ecorisk factors were considered in the RIA and why; c) discuss
discuss uncertainties associated with
which ecorisk factors were not considered and why; and, d)
Extinction
Roberts 8 (Patrick S. Roberts, Fellow with the Program on Constitutional
Government at Harvard University, Assistant Professor with the Center for
Public Administration and Policy in the School for Public and International
Affairs at Virginia Tech, Ph.D. in government from the University of Virginia
and former postdoctoral fellow at the Center for International Security and
Cooperation at Stanford University, Catastrophe: Risk and Response,
Homeland Security Affairs, 4(1), Jan 2008,
http://www.hsaj.org/pages/volume4/issue1/pdfs/4.1.5.pdf)
In Catastrophe: Risk and Response, Richard Posner makes the case that the risk of global catastrophe is higher
than most people think, and he analyzes the reasons why the U.S. under-prepares for
natural, technological, and terrorist catastrophe. Attempts to
mitigate the risk of catastrophe will incur heavy costs, whether
economic (as in proposals to reduce the effects of climate change) or civic (as in policing reforms that infringe on civil liberties). How might the
U.S. and the world weigh the extraordinary costs and uncertain future benefits of avoiding catastrophe? Posner advocates economic tools,
traditional
bestseller, The Black Swan, documents the unpredictable nature of rare, high-consequence events. 1 He shows how
historically important events are impossible to predict with confidence. We know that disasters will occur, just
not precisely when . Scholars from a variety of disciplines have
documented the myriad reasons people fail to take steps to reduce
the damage caused by inevitable disasters. Sociologists focus on macro-level trends such as urbanization
that lead to high concentrations of people and resources attractive to terrorists and vulnerable to accident and disaster. 4 Another line of inquiry examines the components
of social vulnerability in race, class, and gender. 5 Disasters affect different social groups in different ways, and identifying patterns of how particular groups respond to
disasters can help mitigate consequences. The elderly, for example, may lack social networks to help them evacuate. Political scientists, as a rule, analyze the political
incentives behind intervention in disaster policy. The system of presidential disaster declarations suits the federal nature of U.S. government by providing a role for
governors in the request process, but it also provides few incentives for presidents to limit disaster spending. 6 Other studies examine how entrepreneurial bureaucracies
such as FEMA attempt to find a mission and build capacities to meet that mission, sometimes running into conflict with the short-term goals of politicians. 7 Posners work,
however, descends from the macro level of social and institutional theory to the individual, drawing on the literature of economics to understand how individuals think
about the risk of rare events. Catastrophe locates the source of disaster risk in individual behavior such as living in floodplains, not purchasing insurance, or not taking the
perception of risk in industrialized Western nations, but Posner explains why objective risk is on the rise .8 New
global warming or loss of species among nations. COSTS AND BENEFITS IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD Recognizing the most
serious risks is one problem, but figuring out what to do about them
is another . Airport baggage screeners and law enforcement fusion centers may interdict terrorist attempts, but at a cost. How much is enough? Global
warming provides a hard case for determining how much to spend on prevention and mitigation because the threat is highly uncertain. Posners analysis begins with a
sober recognition of the problem. No species has so stressed the environment as modern human beings are doing, and at an accelerating pace as China, India, Brazil, and
other large, poor countries modernize rapidly, he writes. The human impact on the climactic equilibrium is inherently unpredictable. (p. 50) Scientific experts who
publish in peer-reviewed journals have reached a near-consensus that the climate is growing hotter, which exacerbates other threats such as loss of species and political
instability. Posner favors a conservative approach that reduces the human impact on the environment, but cautions that the costs of intervention should not outweigh the
benefits. In other words, it may be easier to accept the inevitability of climate change but slow its effects by taxing emissions to reduce pollution and funding new
agricultural programs for countries in which climate change disrupts the food supply. Whether it is better to address the causes of global warming or the effects, Siberia will
not become the breadbasket for the world without a high cost. Cost-benefit analysis provides more
accurate predictions of doomsday scenarios than science fiction,
and it can provide helpful guidelines for decisionmaking because, as Posner shows,
human intuition does not produce optimal results . But in his zeal for applying cost-benefit
analysis, Posner understates the uncertainty found in the world. We know that catastrophic bioterrorism and global warming pose threats, but we do not know their
likelihood. We can calculate the consequences of, for example, a nuclear explosion but we cannot fully calculate risk because we do not know the underlying probabilities
of a terrorist attack. We cannot even predict where and when an earthquake will strike, or how many will strike the U.S. in a single year and of what magnitude. The earths
physical processes remain mysterious and contingent, and predicting the behavior of human-caused disasters is even more challenging. The Department of Homeland
Security confronts uncertainty in attempting to adopt a risk-based strategy trumped by department leaders.11 The basic DHS strategy document released in spring
2005, the National Preparedness Guidance, is based on fifteen scenarios, including a major hurricane and a dirty bomb attack.12 These represent worst-cases rather
than a pure risk-based strategy because there is no way to calculate the probabilities of each of these scenarios with accuracy. We simply do not know the likelihood of a
bioterrorism attack in the next year. Estimating complex processes such as global warming, loss of species, and the strangelet scenario that are affected by the
development of new technology is even more complicated. Scientific progress could either mitigate risk by creating clean energy or exacerbate risk by producing new
technology with catastrophic possibilities. The best theories of invention portray it as a semi-random process similar to natural selection.13 There is simply no way to
predict the future impact of technology on the risk of a particular disaster with certainty. Faced with uncertainty, Posner recommends a conservative approach. He
proposes a regulatory body to screen scientists, especially foreign ones, and to review potentially dangerous technologies. He also recommends more science education so
that citizens will have the acumen and the interest to question whether research and development is worth the cost, rather than allowing the scientific establishment to
proceed on its own. With Catastrophe, Posner brings his often witty, sometimes counterintuitive economic rationality to bear on thinking about high consequence rare
events and the costs of humans unprecedented impact on the natural environment. Posner is the author of more than twenty books and, according to one list, the
seventieth most frequently cited public intellectual. (Granted, he compiled the list). As with rare events, what readers do not get in Catastrophe may be as important as
what they are offered. The book shows what it might mean to think about allocating resources among a wide variety of catastrophic risks, a truly all hazards approach, but
it neglects the institutional politics that have bedeviled homeland security. DHS has struggled to define what it should protect, whether government sites, private buildings,
or networks that perform essential functions such as power generation and transportation. In addition, the department lacks a single approach to what it should protect
against, and the question of what homeland security really is remains open. FEMA prepares for natural disasters (though most capacities rest with state and localities)
If
while the Secret Service, for example, worries about crime and terrorist acts. A host of other potential catastrophes are outside the mission of DHS.
accept Posners premises borrowed from evolutionary biology). To go further, DHS will have to
institutionalize risk assessment and provide clear guidance to
states , localities, private industry , and even politicians about what
risks are worth preparing for and how . Cost-benefit analysis is not a
self-enforcing process. Instead, it is a tool that can help discipline
the unavoidably messy process of deciding which risks to prepare
for.
2ac dhs risk analysis medium
other risk assessments and RIAs. Consequently, we recommend that the RIA be modified to: a) more
explicitly follow the Ecorisk Framework; b) discuss which ecorisk factors were considered in the RIA and why; c) discuss
discuss uncertainties associated with
which ecorisk factors were not considered and why; and, d)
Extinction
Roberts 8 (Patrick S. Roberts, Fellow with the Program on Constitutional
Government at Harvard University, Assistant Professor with the Center for
Public Administration and Policy in the School for Public and International
Affairs at Virginia Tech, Ph.D. in government from the University of Virginia
and former postdoctoral fellow at the Center for International Security and
Cooperation at Stanford University, Catastrophe: Risk and Response,
Homeland Security Affairs, 4(1), Jan 2008,
http://www.hsaj.org/pages/volume4/issue1/pdfs/4.1.5.pdf)
In Catastrophe: Risk and Response, Richard Posner makes the case that the risk of global catastrophe is higher
than most people think, and he analyzes the reasons why the U.S. under-prepares for
natural, technological, and terrorist catastrophe. Attempts to
mitigate the risk of catastrophe will incur heavy costs, whether
economic (as in proposals to reduce the effects of climate change) or civic (as in policing reforms that infringe on civil liberties). How might the
U.S. and the world weigh the extraordinary costs and uncertain future benefits of avoiding catastrophe? Posner advocates economic tools,
traditional
bestseller, The Black Swan, documents the unpredictable nature of rare, high-consequence events. 1 He shows how
historically important events are impossible to predict with confidence. We know that disasters will occur, just
not precisely when . Scholars from a variety of disciplines have
documented the myriad reasons people fail to take steps to reduce
the damage caused by inevitable disasters. Sociologists focus on macro-level trends such as urbanization
that lead to high concentrations of people and resources attractive to terrorists and vulnerable to accident and disaster. 4 Another line of inquiry examines the components
of social vulnerability in race, class, and gender. 5 Disasters affect different social groups in different ways, and identifying patterns of how particular groups respond to
disasters can help mitigate consequences. The elderly, for example, may lack social networks to help them evacuate. Political scientists, as a rule, analyze the political
incentives behind intervention in disaster policy. The system of presidential disaster declarations suits the federal nature of U.S. government by providing a role for
governors in the request process, but it also provides few incentives for presidents to limit disaster spending. 6 Other studies examine how entrepreneurial bureaucracies
such as FEMA attempt to find a mission and build capacities to meet that mission, sometimes running into conflict with the short-term goals of politicians. 7 Posners work,
however, descends from the macro level of social and institutional theory to the individual, drawing on the literature of economics to understand how individuals think
about the risk of rare events. Catastrophe locates the source of disaster risk in individual behavior such as living in floodplains, not purchasing insurance, or not taking the
perception of risk in industrialized Western nations, but Posner explains why objective risk is on the rise .8 New
global warming or loss of species among nations. COSTS AND BENEFITS IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD Recognizing the most
serious risks is one problem, but figuring out what to do about them
is another . Airport baggage screeners and law enforcement fusion centers may interdict terrorist attempts, but at a cost. How much is enough? Global
warming provides a hard case for determining how much to spend on prevention and mitigation because the threat is highly uncertain. Posners analysis begins with a
sober recognition of the problem. No species has so stressed the environment as modern human beings are doing, and at an accelerating pace as China, India, Brazil, and
other large, poor countries modernize rapidly, he writes. The human impact on the climactic equilibrium is inherently unpredictable. (p. 50) Scientific experts who
publish in peer-reviewed journals have reached a near-consensus that the climate is growing hotter, which exacerbates other threats such as loss of species and political
instability. Posner favors a conservative approach that reduces the human impact on the environment, but cautions that the costs of intervention should not outweigh the
benefits. In other words, it may be easier to accept the inevitability of climate change but slow its effects by taxing emissions to reduce pollution and funding new
agricultural programs for countries in which climate change disrupts the food supply. Whether it is better to address the causes of global warming or the effects, Siberia will
not become the breadbasket for the world without a high cost. Cost-benefit analysis provides more
accurate predictions of doomsday scenarios than science fiction,
and it can provide helpful guidelines for decisionmaking because, as Posner shows,
human intuition does not produce optimal results . But in his zeal for applying cost-benefit
analysis, Posner understates the uncertainty found in the world. We know that catastrophic bioterrorism and global warming pose threats, but we do not know their
likelihood. We can calculate the consequences of, for example, a nuclear explosion but we cannot fully calculate risk because we do not know the underlying probabilities
of a terrorist attack. We cannot even predict where and when an earthquake will strike, or how many will strike the U.S. in a single year and of what magnitude. The earths
physical processes remain mysterious and contingent, and predicting the behavior of human-caused disasters is even more challenging. The Department of Homeland
Security confronts uncertainty in attempting to adopt a risk-based strategy trumped by department leaders.11 The basic DHS strategy document released in spring
2005, the National Preparedness Guidance, is based on fifteen scenarios, including a major hurricane and a dirty bomb attack.12 These represent worst-cases rather
than a pure risk-based strategy because there is no way to calculate the probabilities of each of these scenarios with accuracy. We simply do not know the likelihood of a
bioterrorism attack in the next year. Estimating complex processes such as global warming, loss of species, and the strangelet scenario that are affected by the
development of new technology is even more complicated. Scientific progress could either mitigate risk by creating clean energy or exacerbate risk by producing new
technology with catastrophic possibilities. The best theories of invention portray it as a semi-random process similar to natural selection.13 There is simply no way to
predict the future impact of technology on the risk of a particular disaster with certainty. Faced with uncertainty, Posner recommends a conservative approach. He
proposes a regulatory body to screen scientists, especially foreign ones, and to review potentially dangerous technologies. He also recommends more science education so
that citizens will have the acumen and the interest to question whether research and development is worth the cost, rather than allowing the scientific establishment to
proceed on its own. With Catastrophe, Posner brings his often witty, sometimes counterintuitive economic rationality to bear on thinking about high consequence rare
events and the costs of humans unprecedented impact on the natural environment. Posner is the author of more than twenty books and, according to one list, the
seventieth most frequently cited public intellectual. (Granted, he compiled the list). As with rare events, what readers do not get in Catastrophe may be as important as
what they are offered. The book shows what it might mean to think about allocating resources among a wide variety of catastrophic risks, a truly all hazards approach, but
it neglects the institutional politics that have bedeviled homeland security. DHS has struggled to define what it should protect, whether government sites, private buildings,
or networks that perform essential functions such as power generation and transportation. In addition, the department lacks a single approach to what it should protect
against, and the question of what homeland security really is remains open. FEMA prepares for natural disasters (though most capacities rest with state and localities)
If
while the Secret Service, for example, worries about crime and terrorist acts. A host of other potential catastrophes are outside the mission of DHS.
accept Posners premises borrowed from evolutionary biology). To go further, DHS will have to
institutionalize risk assessment and provide clear guidance to
states , localities, private industry , and even politicians about what
risks are worth preparing for and how . Cost-benefit analysis is not a
self-enforcing process. Instead, it is a tool that can help discipline
the unavoidably messy process of deciding which risks to prepare
for.
2ac dhs risk analysis short
In Catastrophe: Risk and Response, Richard Posner makes the case that the risk of global catastrophe is higher
than most people think, and he analyzes the reasons why the U.S. under-prepares for
natural, technological, and terrorist catastrophe. Attempts to
mitigate the risk of catastrophe will incur heavy costs, whether
economic (as in proposals to reduce the effects of climate change) or civic (as in policing reforms that infringe on civil liberties). How might the
U.S. and the world weigh the extraordinary costs and uncertain future benefits of avoiding catastrophe? Posner advocates economic tools,
traditional
bestseller, The Black Swan, documents the unpredictable nature of rare, high-consequence events. 1 He shows how
historically important events are impossible to predict with confidence. We know that disasters will occur, just
not precisely when . Scholars from a variety of disciplines have
documented the myriad reasons people fail to take steps to reduce
the damage caused by inevitable disasters. Sociologists focus on macro-level trends such as urbanization
that lead to high concentrations of people and resources attractive to terrorists and vulnerable to accident and disaster. 4 Another line of inquiry examines the components
of social vulnerability in race, class, and gender. 5 Disasters affect different social groups in different ways, and identifying patterns of how particular groups respond to
disasters can help mitigate consequences. The elderly, for example, may lack social networks to help them evacuate. Political scientists, as a rule, analyze the political
incentives behind intervention in disaster policy. The system of presidential disaster declarations suits the federal nature of U.S. government by providing a role for
governors in the request process, but it also provides few incentives for presidents to limit disaster spending. 6 Other studies examine how entrepreneurial bureaucracies
such as FEMA attempt to find a mission and build capacities to meet that mission, sometimes running into conflict with the short-term goals of politicians. 7 Posners work,
however, descends from the macro level of social and institutional theory to the individual, drawing on the literature of economics to understand how individuals think
about the risk of rare events. Catastrophe locates the source of disaster risk in individual behavior such as living in floodplains, not purchasing insurance, or not taking the
perception of risk in industrialized Western nations, but Posner explains why objective risk is on the rise .8 New
global warming or loss of species among nations. COSTS AND BENEFITS IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD Recognizing the most
serious risks is one problem, but figuring out what to do about them
is another . Airport baggage screeners and law enforcement fusion centers may interdict terrorist attempts, but at a cost. How much is enough? Global
warming provides a hard case for determining how much to spend on prevention and mitigation because the threat is highly uncertain. Posners analysis begins with a
sober recognition of the problem. No species has so stressed the environment as modern human beings are doing, and at an accelerating pace as China, India, Brazil, and
other large, poor countries modernize rapidly, he writes. The human impact on the climactic equilibrium is inherently unpredictable. (p. 50) Scientific experts who
publish in peer-reviewed journals have reached a near-consensus that the climate is growing hotter, which exacerbates other threats such as loss of species and political
instability. Posner favors a conservative approach that reduces the human impact on the environment, but cautions that the costs of intervention should not outweigh the
benefits. In other words, it may be easier to accept the inevitability of climate change but slow its effects by taxing emissions to reduce pollution and funding new
agricultural programs for countries in which climate change disrupts the food supply. Whether it is better to address the causes of global warming or the effects, Siberia will
not become the breadbasket for the world without a high cost. Cost-benefit analysis provides more
accurate predictions of doomsday scenarios than science fiction,
and it can provide helpful guidelines for decisionmaking because, as Posner shows,
human intuition does not produce optimal results . But in his zeal for applying cost-benefit
analysis, Posner understates the uncertainty found in the world. We know that catastrophic bioterrorism and global warming pose threats, but we do not know their
likelihood. We can calculate the consequences of, for example, a nuclear explosion but we cannot fully calculate risk because we do not know the underlying probabilities
of a terrorist attack. We cannot even predict where and when an earthquake will strike, or how many will strike the U.S. in a single year and of what magnitude. The earths
physical processes remain mysterious and contingent, and predicting the behavior of human-caused disasters is even more challenging. The Department of Homeland
Security confronts uncertainty in attempting to adopt a risk-based strategy trumped by department leaders.11 The basic DHS strategy document released in spring
2005, the National Preparedness Guidance, is based on fifteen scenarios, including a major hurricane and a dirty bomb attack.12 These represent worst-cases rather
than a pure risk-based strategy because there is no way to calculate the probabilities of each of these scenarios with accuracy. We simply do not know the likelihood of a
bioterrorism attack in the next year. Estimating complex processes such as global warming, loss of species, and the strangelet scenario that are affected by the
development of new technology is even more complicated. Scientific progress could either mitigate risk by creating clean energy or exacerbate risk by producing new
technology with catastrophic possibilities. The best theories of invention portray it as a semi-random process similar to natural selection.13 There is simply no way to
predict the future impact of technology on the risk of a particular disaster with certainty. Faced with uncertainty, Posner recommends a conservative approach. He
proposes a regulatory body to screen scientists, especially foreign ones, and to review potentially dangerous technologies. He also recommends more science education so
that citizens will have the acumen and the interest to question whether research and development is worth the cost, rather than allowing the scientific establishment to
proceed on its own. With Catastrophe, Posner brings his often witty, sometimes counterintuitive economic rationality to bear on thinking about high consequence rare
events and the costs of humans unprecedented impact on the natural environment. Posner is the author of more than twenty books and, according to one list, the
seventieth most frequently cited public intellectual. (Granted, he compiled the list). As with rare events, what readers do not get in Catastrophe may be as important as
what they are offered. The book shows what it might mean to think about allocating resources among a wide variety of catastrophic risks, a truly all hazards approach, but
it neglects the institutional politics that have bedeviled homeland security. DHS has struggled to define what it should protect, whether government sites, private buildings,
or networks that perform essential functions such as power generation and transportation. In addition, the department lacks a single approach to what it should protect
against, and the question of what homeland security really is remains open. FEMA prepares for natural disasters (though most capacities rest with state and localities)
If
while the Secret Service, for example, worries about crime and terrorist acts. A host of other potential catastrophes are outside the mission of DHS.
accept Posners premises borrowed from evolutionary biology). To go further, DHS will have to
institutionalize risk assessment and provide clear guidance to
states , localities, private industry , and even politicians about what
risks are worth preparing for and how . Cost-benefit analysis is not a
self-enforcing process. Instead, it is a tool that can help discipline
the unavoidably messy process of deciding which risks to prepare
for.
1ar dhs risk analysis xt: spillover
Prefer empirics
Jamison and Castaneda 11 (Mark A. Jamison, Ph.D., PURC, University of
Florida, and Araceli Castaneda, PURC, University of Florida, Reset for
Regulation and Utilities: Leadership for a Time of Constant Change, 4-6-
2011,
http://warrington.ufl.edu/centers/purc/purcdocs/papers/0920_Jamison_Reset_f
or_Regulation.pdf)
Utility regulation is probably the most technically complex function of government. Properly done, regulation involves the
interdisciplinary efforts of financial analysts, accountants, lawyers, engineers, economists, public relations experts, and
administrators. This technical work is the bread and butter of regulation.4 For example the U.K. energy regulators plans
for 201112 emphasize the completion of rate cases, deciding funding for various infrastructure projects, and reforming
market processes.5 The U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commissions strategic plan identifies regulatory ratemaking,
market oversight, and infrastructure development and siting among commissions primary instruments for achieving its
In performing their work, regulatory agencies often imitate the
goals.6
Civil aviation infrastructure is vital to modern society due to its importance to global
trade , travel and tourism. In the United States, over 10 million jobs more than $1.0 trillion in annual
economic activity depend, directly and indirectly, on civil aviation [Chow et al. 2005]. Due to its
importance, the air transportation system has become a prime target of
terrorist attack [Chow et al. 2005. NCTC 20l2]. In this section, the proposed risk assessment
framework is illustrated with an example in which cost effectiveness of coun- termeasures are evaluated
The protection of civil aviation
for civil aviation subjected to risk from attack of terrorist groups.
from an intelligent aggressor must ensure both the integrity continuity of
commercial air transport and the security of the supporting physi- cal infrastructure [Kosatka 201
I]. The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has identified general security zones and boundaries
which should be con- sidered in the process of planning airport protection [Kosatka 2()l l]. Seven security
zones, as shown in Figure 2, are considered in this example; each security zone has a distinct set of
countermeasures.
Extinction
Panzner 8 New York Institute of Finance (Michael J., 2008, Financial
Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse, pp. 137-138)
The rise in isolationism and protectionism will bring about ever more heated arguments
and dangerous confrontations over shared sources of oil, gas, and other key commodities as
well as factors of production that must, out of necessity, be acquired from less-than-friendly nations.
Whether involving raw materials used in strategic industries or basic necessities such as food, water, and
energy, efforts to secure adequate supplies will take increasing precedence in a world where demand
Disputes over the misuse, overuse, and pollution of the
seems constantly out of kilter with supply.
environment and natural resources will become more commonplace. Around the world,
such tensions will give rise to full-scale military encounters , often with minimal
provocation. In some instances, economic conditions will serve as a convenient pretext
for conflicts that stem from cultural and religious differences. Alternatively, nations
may look to divert attention away from domestic problems by channeling frustration
and populist sentiment toward other countries and cultures. Enabled by cheap technology
and the waning threat of American retribution, terrorist groups will likely boost the
frequency and scale of their horrifying attacks, bringing the threat of random violence to a
whole new level. Turbulent conditions will encourage aggressive saber rattling and
interdictions by rogue nations running amok. Age-old clashes will also take on a new, more heated
sense of urgency. China will likely assume an increasingly belligerent posture toward
Taiwan, while Iran may embark on overt colonization of its neighbors in the Mideast. Israel,
for its part, may look to draw a dwindling list of allies from around the world into a growing number of
conflicts. Some observers, like John Mearsheimer, a political scientists at the University of Chicago, have
even speculated that an intense confrontation between the United States and China is inevitable at
some point. More than a few disputes will turn out to be almost wholly ideological. Growing cultural and
religious differences will be transformed from wars of words to battles soaked in blood. Long-simmering
resentments could also degenerate quickly, spurring the basest of human instincts and triggering
nuclear weapons will vie with conventional
genocidal acts. Terrorists employing biological or
cause widespread
forces using jets, cruise missiles, and bunker-busting bombs to
destruction . Many will interpret stepped-up conflicts between Muslims and Western societies as
the beginnings of a new world war .
Trafficking
2ac trafficking africa war
Nuclear war
Deutsch 2 Founder of Rabid Tiger Project (Political Risk Consulting and
Research Firm focusing on Russia and Eastern Europe) [Jeffrey, SETTING THE
STAGE FOR WORLD WAR III, Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Nov 18,
http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html]//trepka
The Rabid Tiger Project believes that a nuclear war is most likely to start in Africa.
Civil wars in the Congo (the country formerly known as Zaire), Rwanda, Somalia and Sierra Leone, and
domestic instability in Zimbabwe, Sudan and other countries, as well as occasional brushfire and other
wars (thanks in part to "national" borders that cut across tribal ones) turn
into a really nasty stew. We've got all too many rabid tigers and potential rabid tigers, who are willing to
push the button rather than risk being seen as wishy-washy in the face of a mortal threat and
overthrown.Geopolitically speaking, Africa is open range . Very few countries in
Africa are beholden to any particular power. South Africa is a major exception in this
respect - not to mention in that she also probably already has the Bomb. Thus, outside powers can more
easily find client states there than, say, in Europe where the political lines have long since been drawn, or
Asia where many of the countries (China, India, Japan) are powers unto themselves and don't need any
"help," thank you. Thus, an African war can attract outside involvement very quickly. Of course, a proxy
war alone may not induce the Great Powers to fight each other. But an African nuclear strike
can ignite a much broader conflagration , if the other powers are interested in a
fight. Certainly, such a strike would in the first place have been facilitated by
outside help - financial, scientific, engineering, etc. Africa is an ocean of troubled waters, and
some people love to go fishing.
2ac trafficking disease
Trafficking of flora and fauna Many IOR countries have different biodiversity levels. The
illegal trafficking of rare species of flora and fauna is amongst one of the most
lucrative criminal trades in the world and, like other areas of organized crime, is smuggled
across borders. Unchecked demand for exotic pets, rare foods, plants, corals, and traditional
medicines is driving many species to the brink of extinction , threatening efforts
to meet the global 2010 target to reduce biodiversity loss, and contributing to
the spread to humans of virulent wildlife diseases such as SARS , avian
influenza and the Ebola virus. The illegal trade in wildlife and wildlife products that are
indigenous to the region poses a threat to the balance of the ecosystem and it
gives rise to a soaring black market, worth an estimated $10 billion a year. The creatures are trafficked
illegal wildlife trade is often linked to
through middlemen to rich markets in the west. The
organised crime and involves many of the same culprits and smuggling routes as
trafficking in arms , drugs, and persons. Threats to the marine ecosystem The Indian Ocean
possesses a range of valuable natural resources including enormous amounts of mineral and energy
resources that remain under-exploited. Marine bio-security refers to the protection of marine environments
from non-indigenous species, and this has direct implications on biodiversity in the
marine ecological systems in the Indian Ocean. It has been found that invasive alien species are
becoming a significant threat to marine biodiversity, where ballast water is viewed as a
major cause of their proliferation. The Indian Ocean region is also vulnerable to high levels of pollution
caused by ocean dumping, waste disposal and oil spills as a significant amount of international trade takes
place in the region's waters. The waste poses threats to the survival of marine organisms and
consequently, on the marine ecosystem, on which millions of livelihoods depend. Overall environmental
threat has impacted economic activities such as fisheries, tourism and also affected fragile ecosystems.
cause the extinction of entire species. Although infectious disease has traditionally not been
associated with extinction this view has changed by the finding that a single chytrid fungus was
responsible for the extinction of numerous amphibian species (Daszak et al.,
1999; Mendelson et al., 2006). Previously, the view that infectious diseases were not a cause of extinction
was predicated on the notion that many pathogens required their hosts and that some proportion of the
host population was naturally resistant. However, that calculation does not apply tomicrobes that
are acquired directly from the environment and have no need for a
host, such as the majority of fungal pathogens. For those types of hostmicrobe
interactions it is possible for the pathogen to kill off every last member of a species without harm to itself,
since it would return to its natural habitat upon killing its last host. Hence, from the viewpoint of existential
threats environmental microbes could potentially pose a much greater threat to humanity than the known
pathogenic microbes, which number somewhere near 1500 species (Cleaveland et al., 2001; Tayloret al.,
2001), especially if some of these species acquired the capacity for pathogenicity as a consequence of
natural evolution or bioengineering.
Trafficking of flora and fauna Many IOR countries have different biodiversity levels. The
illegal trafficking of rare species of flora and fauna is amongst one of the most
lucrative criminal trades in the world and, like other areas of organized crime, is smuggled
across borders. Unchecked demand for exotic pets, rare foods, plants, corals, and traditional
medicines is driving many species to the brink of extinction , threatening efforts
to meet the global 2010 target to reduce biodiversity loss, and contributing to
the spread to humans of virulent wildlife diseases such as SARS , avian
influenza and the Ebola virus. The illegal trade in wildlife and wildlife products that are
indigenous to the region poses a threat to the balance of the ecosystem and it
gives rise to a soaring black market, worth an estimated $10 billion a year. The creatures are trafficked
illegal wildlife trade is often linked to
through middlemen to rich markets in the west. The
organised crime and involves many of the same culprits and smuggling routes as
trafficking in arms , drugs, and persons. Threats to the marine ecosystem The Indian Ocean
possesses a range of valuable natural resources including enormous amounts of mineral and energy
resources that remain under-exploited. Marine bio-security refers to the protection of marine environments
from non-indigenous species, and this has direct implications on biodiversity in the
marine ecological systems in the Indian Ocean. It has been found that invasive alien species are
becoming a significant threat to marine biodiversity, where ballast water is viewed as a
major cause of their proliferation. The Indian Ocean region is also vulnerable to high levels of pollution
caused by ocean dumping, waste disposal and oil spills as a significant amount of international trade takes
place in the region's waters. The waste poses threats to the survival of marine organisms and
consequently, on the marine ecosystem, on which millions of livelihoods depend. Overall environmental
threat has impacted economic activities such as fisheries, tourism and also affected fragile ecosystems.
Extinction
Diner 94 (David, Ph.D. in Planetary Science and Geology, The Army and the
Endangered Species Act: Who's Endangering Whom?, 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161)
To accept that the snail darter, harelip sucker, or Dismal Swamp southeastern shrew 74 could save
species are useless to[hu]man[s] in a direct
[hu]mankind may be difficult for some. Many, if not most,
utilitarian sense. Nonetheless, they may be critical in an indirect role , because their
extirpations could affect a directly useful species negatively. In a closely interconnected ecosystem,
the loss of a species affects other species dependent on it. 75 Moreover, as the
number of species decline, the effect of each new extinction on the remaining
species increases dramatically. 4. Biological Diversity. -- The main premise of species
preservation is that diversity is better than simplicity. 77 As the current mass extinction has progressed,
the world's biological diversity generally has decreased. This trend occurs within ecosystems by reducing
the number of species, and within species by reducing the number of individuals. Both trends carry serious
future implications. 78 [*173] Biologically diverse ecosystems are characterized by a large number of
specialist species, filling narrow ecological niches. These ecosystems inherently are more stable than less
diverse systems. "The more complex the ecosystem, the more successfully it can resist a stress. . . . [l]ike
a net, in which each knot is connected to others by several strands, such a fabric can resist collapse better
than a simple, unbranched circle of threads -- which if cut anywhere breaks down as a whole." 79 By
causing widespread extinctions, humans have artificially simplified many ecosystems. As biologic
simplicity increases, so does the risk of ecosystem failure. The spreading Sahara Desert in Africa, and the
dustbowl conditions of the 1930s in the United States are relatively mild examples of what might be
each new animal or plant extinction , with all its
expected if this trend continues. Theoretically,
dimly perceived and intertwined affects, could cause total ecosystem collapse and
human extinction . Each new extinction increases the risk of disaster. Like a mechanic removing,
one by one, the rivets from an aircraft's wings, 80 [hu]mankind may be edging closer to the abyss.
1ar trafficking xt: internal link
Theyre shipped by air
Ives 6/22 regular contributor at the Earth Island Journal, wrote about
environmental issues in Southeast Asia for the NYT, AP, and Yale Environment
360 (Mike Ives, 6/22/15, Smooth operators; ivory trade in Thailand, Earth
Island Institute, Gale Group)//twemchen
wildlife trafficking, says ivory
Brendan Moyle, an economist at New Zealand's Massey University who studies
smuggling tactics are essentially business decisions . Because ivory is bulky and must travel
thousands of miles, smugglers are usually keen to ship it as cheaply as possible. And when shipping costs plummet, as
they did following the global financial crisis of 2008-09, the incentive to ship ever-larger quantities increases dramatically.
In a forthcoming paper in the journal Ecological Economics, Moyle analyzed ivory seizure data from the Elephant Trade
Information System, a CITES-affiliated database. He found that, between 2008 and 2011, the number of ivory seizures
weighing more than 1,000 kilograms rose roughly eightfold, whereas seizures of smaller amounts rose only marginally.
Choosing where to bring ivory is also a business decision. Larger ports are typically attractive to smugglers because
there's less risk of detection by customs officials, Moyle says. Also, Southeast Asia's climate is perfect for storing large
quantities of ivory without temperature-control systems--the kind that would be necessary in a place like, say, northern
China. Tusks can be stockpiled and then slowly sold to investors or leaked into the legal ivory trade over a period of
months or years. "If I was doing this, I would have some stockpiled in Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand," Moyle
smugglers ship by air . That may sound anachronistic
told me. "Safe places to keep it hoarded." Some ivory
in the post-9/11 era of heightened airport security. Yet an ivory shipment typically begins its journey at
an African airport with lax customs infrastructure, and, much like a passenger's luggage during a series of connecting
flights, it may not be inspected much during its long journey to Asia. The tusks themselves
can be well concealed, and they certainly aren't listed on customs declarations forms. In 2011, a shipment of 118
elephant tusks and three rhino horns discovered at Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi International Airport had been labeled as
"craft work." This April, Thai authorities seized four tons of ivory that had been hidden inside of bean sacks shipped from
Congo.
Economy (Beware of Dedev)
2ac
Airlines are key to the economy
Tomer et al 12 Adie Tomer, Senior Research Associate and Associate
Fellow @ Brookings, Robert Puentes, Senior Fellow and Director @
Metropolitan Infrastructure Initiative @ Brookings (October 2012, Global
Gateways: International Aviation in Metropolitan America,
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2012/10/25-global-
aviation/25-global-aviation.pdf)//twemchen
We live in a global era and the planets metropolitan areas lead this interconnected growth.
The worlds 200 largest metropolitan economies account for just 14 percent of world
population, but generated over 48 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) in
2011.8 These metro areas have emerged on every corner of the globe, from the largest economies within
developed countries to the fast-growing metro areas in developing markets.9 Taken in concert, the success
of metropolitan economies throughout the developed and developing world suggest that the new global
economy is much spikier and interconnected than originally thought.10 In this global era,
U.S. metro areas must simultaneously collaborate with domestic and
international peers. This is where aviation plays a critical role it fosters the
inter-metropolitan connections critical to future economic growth . These
connections cross both the physical and personal spheres. Metro areas such as New York and London are
well connected through many domestic and global partners, which enhances their competitive advantage
by offering their businesses greater access to global markets. Metro areas such as Miami or Seattle may
have relatively fewer relationships, but nonetheless derive a competitive advantage as critical gateways to
the South and West.11 Lessons from Munich and its well-connected airport hub further demonstrate the
benefits from such connectivity.12 International aviation puts people within reach of their overseas
family, encourages tourism, and empowers businesses with the opportunity for face-
to-face meetings.13 The global aviation network also supports the rise of new immigrant
gateways across the United States, forging even stronger economic and social
connections to world regions.14 The key point is that while a metro area may have a
wealth of human and economic capital, they cannot fully exploit those resources
without strategic global linkages . These aviation-related connections deliver real benefits to
local economies. Aviations positive effect on local employment is a major economic
benefit .15 Metro areas that serve as destinations for large numbers of people are, implicitly, points of
convergence for new ideas and capital. These places have the right mix of human capital and other
resources to incubate new business ventures and to stimulate creativity. The net effect is an employment
boost throughout local industries, from high-skill services that rely heavily on air travel to
more stationary industries like manufacturing .16 The economic effects of aviation are so wide-
ranging that they hold potential for spillover effects that benefit other sectors and people. That
is not to say local economic effects are equal across all places. Airports specializing in throughtraffic, like
Atlanta, generate economic activity in sectors directly related to transportation, but these effects may not
cities that serve primarily as
always spillover into the broader metro economy. In contrast,
destination points or freight hubs enjoy increased economic activity more broadly ,
experiencing job growth even in non-transportation sectors .17 Metro areas
with predominantly leisure-oriented flows see greater job growth in entertainment and recreation
industries, while job growth in places with predominantly business-oriented flows comes from management
and financial occupations.18 International aviation also directly boosts the U.S. economy by supporting
travel and tourism since nearly all foreign visitors from outside North America enter the country via air.
These visitors generated $47 billion in real national output in 2011, an increase of 57.7 percent from
2003.19 Overall, U.S. travel and tourism exports grew by 6.1 percent from 2009 to 2011, supported in
market inefficiencies limit
large part by international visitors.20 Despite these benefits, certain
aviations total economic impact. One example is when a nonstop flight between
two metro areas does not exist even though large numbers of passengers travel
between them. Supply and demand mismatches introduce inefficiencies into the
aviation system, forcing passengers to fly where they dont want to go, such as the many international
travelers that simply pass through Charlottes Douglas International Airport.21 These systemic mismatches
make certain metropolitan areas harder and costlier to reach , and could stifle their
aviation-related economic growth . This may present relatively few challenges for U.S. businesses
primarily operating in U.S. cities, where routes are some of the most time- and costefficient in the world.22
Butit is a big ger problem for U.S.-based businesses seeking to expand into
South American or African markets , where cities may be more costly and time
consuming to reach . Thus, the organization of international aviation service
directly shapes U.S. businesses opportunities for global expansion
and partnering.23
The first major airport to choose its own agents instead of using the TSA was Kansas
City International back in 2002, which required a more flexible staffing option than was
possible with the government agency. It worked well but brought the additional headaches of contract
Other major players , including
renewals and negotiations once the private contract expired.
San Francisco International , also opted in favor of private contractors at the
earliest opportunity.
2ac international
Inevitable internationally
AB 13 Cygnus Business Media (Airport Business, September 2013, Lets
Work Together, Lexis)//twemchen
What?s ACI-NA?s stance on privatization? ACI?s position has always been if an airport wants to privatize, it
the
should be allowed to, and if it doesn?t want to it shouldn?t have to. When I arrived at ACI-NA,
intellectual momentum in the U.S. industry was going in the privatization
direction . Now that intellectual momentum has stopped. There are still people interested in it as a
concept. But if you look around the world, a growing number of airports are run on
some kind of private concession and a more business-like model.
More ev
Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure 11 Prepared for
Chairman John L. Mica (CTI, 6/3/11, Committee on Transportation and
Infrastructure Oversight and Investigations Staff Reform; TSA Ignores More
Cost-Effective Screening Model, http://www.aaae.org/?
e=showFile&l=XQVIPZ)//twemchen
the rest of the world utilizes a SPP-like screening model at airports. The United
Most of
States is one of the only countries in the world, along with governments in the
Middle East and Africa that operates as security operator , administrator ,
regulator , and auditor at airports (see Appendix 1). Most international
governments contract the role of airport security operator to qualified
private screening companies , allowing the government to focus on setting
standards , performing oversight , and enforcing regulations . International stakeholders
report that this private-federal model drives innovation, increases performance, and lowers costs.
The SPP models the screening operations of almost every other developed nation .
There are three models for airport screening internationally: (1) governmental, (2) in-house, and (3)
outsourcing. In the government model, replicated primarily in the Middle East and Africa, as well as under
the current structure in the U.S., airport security services are provided by a government agency (see
Appendix 1). In the in-house model, the airport authority provides screening services under government
supervision and oversight. This model is replicated sporadically throughout the rest of the world, as well as
Most international screening
under the SPP model at Jackson-Hole Airport in Wyoming.
operations are outsourced to qualified private security companies as
duplicated by 15 U.S. airports under the SPP.98 TSA officials would benefit from
adopting the international model of outsourced screening operations and
focusing instead on setting standards, performing oversight, and enforcing compliance. Due, in part, to its
role as service provider as well as regulator, TSA has failed to deploy appropriate assets to properly deter
terrorist plots in several recent examples. The shoe bomber was foiled by a damp fuse and alert
passengers.99 The liquid bomb plot was uncovered by British intelligence.100 The underwear bomber was
stopped by a defective device, crew, and passengers.101 The cargo package plot was discovered by Saudi
intelligence.102 The Times Square bomber ordered his cash-purchased ticket on his way to JFK and was
Because the international
then apprehended by Customs and Border Protection.103
community has historically used private screening, international security
companies have pioneered significant innovations in this field. The major
competitors of screening operations overseas have approximately one million employees and two
centuries of combined security experience . These companies cite their
years of experience , learned best practices , and the value placed on
corporate reputation as the basis for increased flexibility and cost-savings
provided to consumers. International companies report the importance of accommodating ever-changing
the trend towards private screening overseas is the
client needs and believe that
result of the increased flexibility and efficiency that can be provided by the private
sector. 105 In order to best measure their service, international security companies use two types of
metrics to evaluate performance: metrics relating to their security service and metrics relating to their
security performance.106 Security service measures queue management, passenger wait time, screener
interaction with passengers, and passengers perception of airport security.107 Security performance
metrics measure Threat Image Projection (TIP) scores, training data, and ongoing testing.108 These
companies strive to provide the best service for the lowest cost. For example, in January of 2011 Austria
transferred its airport security operations from the government to individual airport operators. Airport
Securitas was able to reduce staff
operators chose Securitas to perform screening operations.
at the airport by 25 percent without impacting security or customer service . 109
At Gardermoen Airport in Oslo, Normandy, G4S reconfigured the physical layout of the airports screening
operation to enhance screening efficacy and increase customer service, and in Brussels, G4S provides
screening services equal to what the government had provided but with less staff. The company estimates
that they were able to reduce operating costs to the airport by 35 percent .110
2ac west europe
Midways modeled
AB 13 Cygnus Business Media (Airport Business, September 2013, Lets
Work Together, Lexis)//twemchen
The United States has a pilot program for privatization but it?s proved very hard
to participate largely because of the requirement for 65% of the airlines to approve filing the
application. We need a better program for privatization. The San Juan project is a good development, but I?
m not sure how much affect it will have on mainland airports. If Chicago-Midway was to have
privatized a few years ago, and the Mayor had held up a check for $2.5 billion, I think a lot of
other mayors around the country would have said: ?Maybe we should get a
piece of that .? It would have really opened the program up. We will have to see what
happens with the current Midway proposal underway at FAA.
2ac alaska
vowed there was no spying going on now. "Let me just be very, very clear ... we are not targeting
President Hollande, we will not target friends like President Hollande," said US Secretary of State John Kerry. "And
we don't conduct any foreign intelligence surveillance activities unless there is some very specific and validated national
security purpose." Kerry told reporters he had "a terrific relationship" with his counterpart Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius,
adding "the French are indispensable partners in so many ways" including in the Iran nuclear talks. "The relationship
between our two countries continues to get more productive and deeper," he added.
later-enacted statutes , nor are they likely to prevent future Congresses from acquiescing to
this practice. The first problem is that these new statutes and proposals fail to counter the
security against the actions of the majority and the powerful. If we discard
our constitutional protections against tyranny in an attempt to protect us
from terrorism, we're all less safe as a result .
TSA Resource
2ac AT Borders
This evidence is literally about the National ID system
which isnt the affirmative in fact, their trade-off isnt
possible cause were an internal TSA policy our trade-off
evidence is way more specific and logical and says it
would be spent on counter-terror and intelligence
2ac AT Police State
Happening in the squo its detrimental now
Poole 14 Searle Freedom Trust Transportation Fellow and Director of
Transportation Policy at the Reason Foundation (Robert Poole, 1/23/14,
Airport Policy and Security News #97,
http://reason.org/news/show/1013705.html#d)//twemchen
TSA--have
Two branches of the Department of Homeland SecurityCustoms & Border Protection and
been conducting (or condoning) warrantless searches . Unexpected ramp searches of
general aviation aircraft by CPB have aroused the Aircraft Owners & Pilots Association (AOPA). The second
TSA has encouraged operators of valet parking at commercial
type of search, in which
airports to search cars parked there, has received far less publicity. Over 40 GA pilots have told
AOPA that they and their plane have been searched by Customs & Border Protection agents (or by local
law enforcement acting at CBP's request). In September AOPA President Mark Baker met with Rep. Sam
Graves (R, MO) to discuss the issue, which led to Graves requesting the Inspector Generals of both DHS
and DOT to investigate these actions. Graves pointed out that no evidence of criminal activity has been
found in any of these searches. Thomas Winkowski, acting commissioner of CBP, has responded that
various federal regulations permit "any federal agent" to check pilot and aircraft
documents as the basis for stopping , searching , and even detaining law-
abiding GA pilots on domestic flights. AOPA General Counsel Ken Mead cites an internal CPB memo
that calls such searches "zero-suspicion seizures " as indicating that the agency has
overstepped its bounds . "We don't object to law enforcement officers stopping and searching
general aviation aircraft when they have a legitimate reason to do soin other words, when they have
probable cause or reasonable suspicion of illegal activity." But he adds, "It is our position that federal law
enforcement officers have absolutely no authority to stop GA aircraft without meeting that legal standard."
In a troubling sign that CPB has no intention of backing down, it has recently moved to reclassify the data
in its Air and Marine Operations Surveillance System (AMOSS) to exempt them from the Privacy Act, which
makes them unavailable to reporters, attorneys, and everyone else. Stories also appeared in the media
last year about a number of cases in which TSA-approved airport security plans call for inspecting every
vehicle left in the care of airport valet parking. Shocked passengers at Birmingham, Rochester, and San
Diego have complained about learningsometimes via a card left inside the carthat the vehicle had
been searched "under TSA regulations." Bob Burns of the TSA Blog Team responded to the initial outcries
by trying to deflect attention from the agency itself to the airport's own security plan (which of course is
worked out under the direction of the airport's TSA Federal Security Director). The rationale for searching
valet-parked cars is that such cars may be left at curbside, next to the terminal, for an uncertain period of
time until the valet attendant drives them to the valet parking area. And that if a bomb were inside the car
when next to the terminal, it could kill or injure many more people than if it went off inside the nearby
parking structure. But many other vehicles linger for a while at the terminal curbside and could be an
equally large threatbut they are not searched. The underlying problem with both the GA aircraft searches
and the valet parking searches is that they are done without probable cause and without a warrant. The
Fourth Amendment supposedly protects Americans from such searches. In historical context, it was a huge
change to "search" every single airline passenger before permitting him or her to proceed to the gate. But
given what appeared to be the dire threat to aircraft and passengers exemplified by Al Qaeda, Congress
and most Americans agreed to this exception to the Fourth Amendment. More than 12 years later, even
searching private planes
mandatory screening of every passenger is looking like overkill. And
and passengers' cars without probable cause and a warrant is exactly
the kind of DHS mission creep [what]Congress should put a stop to.
Only a risk we reduce civil rights abuses
Edwards 13 Director of Tax Policy Studies at Cato (Chris Edwards,
11/19/13, Privatizing the Transportation Security Administration, No. 742,
Lexis)//twemchen
Aviation screening is an important element of aviation security, but that does not mean that all
TSA actions are appropriate .93 Some TSA practices push the legal boundaries of
permissible searches and seizures. Another issue is whether the TSA is using
its screening activities to discover evidence of crimes that are beyond the scope of its
proper role in aviation security. The Fourth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution bars
unreasonable searches and seizures. With airport searches, individuals do have a
reduced expectation of privacy, and federal courts have held that warrantless searches of all
passengers prior to boarding are permissible.94 But some of TSAs current practices, such as
full body pat-downs and the use of A dvanced I maging T echnology machines, may be
over the legal line . AIT machines were designed as secondary screening
devices, but their current use as primary screening devices arguably fails the legal
tests set by federal courts.95 When the AIT machines were first deployed, the
invasiveness of the machines full-body images led to a public backlash . In
response, Congress now requires TSA to use the machines with software to protect
privacy. There are two types of AIT machines: millimeter wave and X-ray backscatter. The latter
machines raised both privacy and health concerns and have been removed from U.S. airports.96 The
millimeter wave machines have been upgraded with software that renders a stick-figure image of a person
intrusiveness of TSA pat-downs
with dots appearing for potentially threatening items.97 The
has also caused a lot of concern . Americans have been appalled at reported
incidents of offensive pat-downs of young children , the disabled , the elderly ,
and people with medical conditions that require them to wear items such
as insulin pumps , urine bags , and adult diapers . In one case, a woman
dying of leukemia was taking a trip to Hawaii. She had called the TSA ahead of time to ask
about her special needs. But in the airport security line, TSA agents lifted her
bandages from recent surgeries, opened her saline bag and contaminated it, and
lifted her shirt to examine the feeding tubes she needed to prevent
organ failure all in front of other passengers and after the TSA refused her request for
a private screening.98 Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) and other policymakers have condemned the needless
harassment that some passengers have received from the TSA.99 Another civil-liberties
concern is that the TSA sometimes acts as if it had broad police power outside of
its transportation security role. For example, recent sweeps by teams of TSA agents at rail
and transit stations have resulted in arrests for minor offenses such as drug
possession, and this activity seems to simply duplicate local police functions .100
When Americans travel by air, they do not surrender all their privacy , and
case law bars TSA airport screeners from looking for evidence of crimes
beyond plots against aviation security.101 Yet TSA seems to have developed
mission creep at airport checkpoints.102 In one incident in 2009, TSA harassed Steven Bierfeldt,
who had just left a convention in Missouri and was flying out of a local airport when he was subjected to
detention by TSA screeners.103 He was carrying $4,700 in a lockbox from the sale of tickets and
paraphernalia from a political group that he belonged to, but TSA screeners considered the cash
suspicious. They interrogated Bierfeldt and threatened him with arrest and prosecution unless he revealed
why he had the money. Bierfeldt was eventually released, but he recorded the incident with his cell phone.
The American Civil Liberties Union filed suit on his behalf, and in response TSA revised its screening
guidelines. Current TSA rules now state that screening may not be conducted to detect evidence of
crimes unrelated to transportation security.104 However, there have since been other troubling incidents.
In 2010, TSA screeners scrutinized Kathy Parker while she was departing from the Philadelphia airport.105
Parker was carrying an envelope with $8,000 worth of checks, about which Philadelphia police and TSA
screeners interrogated her. They told her that they suspected her of embezzling the money and leaving
town in a divorce situation.106 Police tried to contact her husband by phone, but they were unsuccessful
and eventually released Parker. Aside from invasions of privacy, the frequent congestion at U.S. airports
caused by security procedures has a large cost in terms of wasted time. There are about 740 mil-lion
passenger flights a year in the United States.107 For example, if a new security procedure adds 10
minutes to each flight, travelers would consume another 123 million hours per year. That is a lot of time
Policymakers need
that people could have used earning money or enjoying life with their families.
to remember that citizens value their time and that unneeded bureaucratic
procedures destroy that precious resource.
3
Israel
2ac F/L
Non-unique the Iran deal pissed them off already either
that kills coop or the plan wont
They dont have a link card they care about the NSA, not
the TSA
Rosenberg 15 (MJ, contributor for the Huffington Post, 5-12-15, The US-
Israel Relationship Has Changed Permanently, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mj-
rosenberg/us-israel-relationship_b_6854930.html, MJW)
Don't believe it when you read that in a few days, weeks or months,
everything will be back to normal in the U.S.-Israel relationship. They won't
be. This is an old lobby mantra and it tends to emanate from friends of the
lobby who simply cannot contemplate that anything will ever break the hold
it has on policymakers. In one sense it's true. It is as unlikely that AIPAC will
go down as it was 10 years ago that most U.S. states would legalize gay
marriage! But it is going to happen because Prime Minister Netanyahu along
with AIPAC (and its Congressional cutouts) have deeply embarrassed the
American Jewish community in several ways. Note: when it comes to the
power of the lobby, the Jewish community is the ball game. Those millions of
Christian Zionists out there do not fund Congressional candidacies, nor are
their votes in play. Moreover, for them Israel takes a way back seat to such
issues as gay rights, illegal immigration, abortion and hating liberals and
secularism. AIPAC is focused on only one issue, and directs money to
campaigns on only one issue. The conservative Christians are irrelevant. That
last point gets to one of the ways the Netanyahu/Letter of 47 brouhaha has
permanently damaged Israel's standing in America. It has made it partisan.
Even before anyone contemplated Netanyahu coming to Congress to
challenge President Obama, support for Israel was becoming a Republican
issue, with Republicans in near solid support while Democrats were divided
down the middle. That trend is only accelerating now, as the Israeli
government has made clear that it has no use for Democrats, and certainly
not the Democratic president who it has treated with an open contempt
rarely seen in international relations. Given that the overwhelming majority of
American Jews are Democrats and Obama supporters, Netanyahu (with
AIPAC's connivance) has successfully launched a wrecking ball at the
foundation of Israel's support base in America.
No impact
Hoffman 12 (David E. Hoffman, contributing editor to Foreign Policy and the
author of The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its
Dangerous Legacy, which won the 2010 Pulitzer Prize for general non-fiction,
"Hey, Big Spender," Foreign Policy,
www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/10/22/hey_big_spender?page=full,
October 22, 2012)
Despite tensions that flare up, the United States and Russia are no longer
enemies; the chance of nuclear war or surprise attack is nearly zero.
We trade in each other's equity markets. Russia has the largest audience of
Facebook users in Europe, and is open to the world in a way the Soviet Union
never was.
Alt causes
United States should be strengthening, not weakening, basic rules of law and
principles of justice enumerated in the Universal Declaration of Human
Rights. But instead of making the world safer, Americas violation of
international human rights abets our enemies and alienates our friends. Carter
also raised a number of important questions: Has the U.S. abdicated its moral leadership in the
arena of international human rights? Has the U.S. betrayed its core values by maintaining a detention facility at
Guantnamo Bay, Cuba, and subjecting dozens of prisoners to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment
and leaving them without the prospect of ever obtaining their freedom? Does the arbitrary killing of a person suspected to be
an enemy terrorist in a drone strike along with women and children who happen to be nearby comport with Americas professed commitment
to the rule of law and human rights? In 1948, the U.S. played a central leadership role in inventing the principal instrument which today
serves as the bedrock foundation of modern human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR), adopted by the UN General
Assembly in December 1948, set a common standard of achievement for all peoples and all nations in terms of equality, dignity and rights.
Mrs. Eleanor Roosevelt, the widow of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, chaired the committee that drafted the UDHR. Eleanor remains an
unsung heroine even though she was the mother of the modern global human rights movement. Without her, there would have been no
UDHR; and without the UDHR, it is doubtful that the plethora of subsequent human rights conventions and regimes would have come into
existence. Remarkably, she managed to mobilize, organize and proselytize human rights even though she had no legal training, diplomatic
experience or bureaucratic expertise. She used her skills as political activist and advocate in the cause of freedom, justice and civil rights to
Ethiopia are lauded as the new breed of African leaders and crowned
partners. Uhuru Kenyatta, recently elected president of Kenya and a suspect
under indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against
humanity is said to be different than Bashir who faces similar ICC charges . In
2009, Ambassador Susan E. Rice, then-U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations, demanded Bashirs arrest and prosecution: The
people of Sudan have suffered too much for too long, and an end to their anguish will not come easily. Those who committed atrocities in
The U.S.
Sudan, including genocide, should be brought to justice. No official U.S. statement on Uhurus ICC prosecution was issued.
maintains excellent relations with Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo of Equatorial Guinea
who has been in power since 1979 because of that countrys oil reserves ; but all
of the oil revenues are looted by Obiang and his cronies. In 2011, the U.S. brought legal action in federal court
against Obiangs son to seize corruptly obtained assets including a $40 million estate in Malibu, California overlooking the Pacific Ocean, a
luxury plane and a dozen super-sports cars worth millions of dollars. The U.S. has not touched any of the other African Ali Babas and their forty
taxpayers to satisfy their insatiable aid addiction while they brutalize their people? The facts of Obamas
principled engagement tell a different story . In May 2010, after the ruling party in Ethiopia declared it
had won 99.6 percent of the seats in parliament, the U.S. demonstrated its principled engagement by issuing a Statement expressing
concern that international observers found that the elections fell short of international commitments and promised to work diligently with
Ethiopia to ensure that strengthened democratic institutions and open political dialogue become a reality for the Ethiopian people. There
is no evidence that the U.S. did anything to strengthen democratic
institutions and open political dialogue to become a reality for the Ethiopian
people. When two ICC indicted suspects in Kenya (Kenyatta and Ruto) won
the presidency in Kenya a few months ago, the U.S. applied its principled
engagement in the form of a robust defense of the suspects . Johnnie Carson, the former
United States Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, said the ICC indictments of Bashir and Uhuru/Ruto are different. I dont want to
Sudan different, according to Carson, is the fact that Sudan is on the list of
countries that support terrorism and Bashir and his co-defendants are under
indictment for the genocide in Darfur. Since none of that applies to Kenya,
according to Carson, it appears the U.S. will follow a different policy . President
Obama says the U.S. will maintain its traditional partnership with
Egypts military, Egypts strongmen. At the onset of the Egyptian Revolution in 2011, Obama and
his foreign policy team froze in stunned silence, flat-footed and twiddling their thumbs and scratching their heads for days before staking out a
(dictator as in Hosni Mubarak) to describe events in Egypt then. Today Obama cannot
bring himself to say the C word (as in Egyptian military coup). Obama is in an
extraordinary historical position as a person of color to advance American
ideals and values throughout the world in convincing and creative ways. But
he cannot advance these ideals and values through a hollow notion of
principled engagement. Rather, he must adopt a policy of principled
disengagement with African dictators. That does not mean isolationism or a
hands off approach to human rights. By principled disengagement I mean a
policy and policy outcome that is based on measurable human rights metrics .
Under a policy of principled disengagement, the U.S. would establish clear, attainable and measurable human rights policy objectives in its
relations with African dictatorships. The policy would establish minimum conditions of human rights compliance. For instance, the U.S. could
set some basic criteria for the conduct of free and fair elections, press and individual freedoms, limits on arbitrary arrests and detentions,
prevention of extrajudicial punishments, etc. Using its annual human rights assessments, the U.S. could make factual determinations on the
extent to which it will engage or disengage with a particular regime. Partnership status and the benefits that come with it will be reserved to
those regimes that have good and improving records on specific human rights measures. Regimes that steal elections, win elections by 99.6
percent, engage in arbitrary arrests and detentions and other human rights violations would be denied partnership status and denied aid,
loans and technical assistance. Persistent violators of human rights would be given a compliance timetable to improve their records and
provided appropriate assistance to achieve specific human rights goals. If regimes persist in a pattern and practice of human rights violations,
the U.S. could raise the stakes and impose economic and diplomatic sanctions. The Ethiopia Democracy and Accountability Act of 2007
Obamas
contained many important statutory provisions that could serve as a foundation for principled disengagement.
b) Health things
HRW 14, (Human Rights Watch is an international non-governmental
organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right and has
won the Peabody award for Prestigious Journalism, WORLD REPORT 2014,
http://www.hrw.org/world-report/2014/country-chapters/united-states, pages
1 2, //VZ)
The United States has a vibrant civil society and media that enjoy
strong constitutional protections. Yet its rights record is marred by
abuses related to criminal justice, immigration, national security,
and drug policy. Within these areas, victims are often the most
vulnerable members of society: racial and ethnic minorities,
immigrants, children, the elderly, the poor, and prisoners. Revelations in 2013 of
extensive government surveillance and aggressive prosecutions of whistleblowers raised concerns about infringement of privacy rights and freedom of expression, generating a firestorm of
international protest against US practices. Federal policymakers proposed reforms to harmful longstanding immigration and sentencing laws and policies. The outcome of these initiatives
was uncertain at time of writing. A renewed commitment by President Barack Obama to close the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remained unfulfilled. Lack of transparency made it
impossible to assess the implementation of promised reforms to the practice of targeted killings abroad, including through use of unmanned aerial drones; new information on individual
strikes found instances of violations of international humanitarian and human rights law. Harsh Sentencing The US has the largest reported incarcerated population in the world, and by far
the highest rate of imprisonment, holding 2.2 million people in adult prisons or jails as of year-end 2011. Mass incarceration reflects three decades of harsh state and federal sentencing
regimes, including increased use of life and life without parole sentences, high mandatory minimum sentences, and three strikes laws. The Sentencing Project reported that one in nine US
prisoners are serving a life sentence. The growing number of elderly prisoners poses a serious challenge to correctional authorities: as of 2011, the latest year for which complete numbers
are available, 26,136 persons aged 65 and older were incarcerated in state and federal prisons, up 62 percent in five years. In a positive step, the US Department of Justice in August
announced revisions to its rules for reviewing requests for compassionate release of elderly or disabled prisoners, making more federal inmates eligible for this rarely used mechanism. Also
in August, US Attorney General Eric Holder instructed federal prosecutors to try to avoid charges carrying mandatory minimum sentences for certain low-level, nonviolent drug offenders.
Though welcome, this policy change still leaves many drug offenders subject to disproportionately long mandatory sentences. Legislative efforts to grant judges more discretion in such
cases are under debate. In 2013, Maryland joined 17 other states and the District of Columbia in abolishing the death penalty, but 32 states still allow it. At time of writing, 34 people had
been executed in the US in 2013. North Carolina repealed its 2009 Racial Justice Act, which allowed death row prisoners to appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial
Disparities in Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different
rates. For example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be arrested for marijuana possession than whites, even though their rates of marijuana use are roughly equivalent.
While only 13 percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41 percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners serving time for drug offenses. Because they are
disproportionately likely to have criminal records, members of racial and ethnic minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and legal discrimination in employment, housing,
education, public benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City Police Department (NYPD) violated the
rights of minorities. A disproportionate share of people stopped and frisked under the policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil Liberties Union reports that 89 percent
of those stopped are innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the ruling. Drug Policy Reform In recent decades the US has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to arrest and
incarcerate drug offenders in the US. Its heavy reliance on criminal laws for drug control has had serious human rights costs, including infringement of the autonomy and privacy rights of
those who simply possess or use drugs. In a welcome shift, the US Department of Justice announced in August that it would not interfere with states legalization of marijuana so long as
states comply with certain federal priorities, such as prohibiting sale of drugs to children or transport of drugs across state lines. It also noted that a robust state regulatory approach to
marijuana may prevent organized crime from benefiting from the illicit marijuana trade. Washington and Colorado moved forward with implementation of state ballot initiatives to legalize
the recreational use of marijuana, as well as to regulate its production, sale, and distribution. Twenty other US states have legalized marijuana for medical purposes. Prison Conditions
September 2013 marked the 10-year anniversary of the passage of the Prison Rape Elimination Act (PREA), which resulted in the development of national standards to detect, prevent, and
punish prison rape. Implementation remains a challenge: approximately 4 percent of state and federal prison inmates and 3 percent of jail inmates report having experienced one or more
incidents of sexual abuse in 2011-2012, and many incidents continue to go unreported. Transgender prisoners continue to experience high levels of violence in detention. Many prisoners
and jail inmatesincluding youth under age 18are held in solitary confinement, often for weeks or months on end. In July, an estimated 30,000 inmates in Californias prison system
engaged in a hunger strike to protest conditions, including the use of solitary confinement. Prolonged solitary confinement is considered ill-treatment under international law and can
amount to torture. Poverty and Criminal Justice Poor defendants across the country languish in pretrial detention because they are too poor to post bail. The most recent data indicates 60
percent of jail inmatesat a cost of $9 billion a yearare confined pending trial, often because they lack the financial resources to secure their release. In 2013, the chief judge of New York
supported legislative reforms that would begin to reduce the pretrial incarceration of indigent defendants. Extremely high court fees and surcharges are also increasingly common, as cash-
strapped counties and municipalities often expect their courts to pay for themselves or even tap them as sources of public revenue. The impact on poor defendants is particularly harsh.
Practices that exacerbate and even punish economic hardship are increasingly common. In Arkansas, tenants who fall behind on their rent face criminal prosecution. In states across the US,
courts put hundreds of thousands of misdemeanor offenders on probation with private, for-profit companies that charge local authorities nothing for their services but collect tens of millions
of dollars in fees each year from the offenders they supervise. In August, a decade after a group of inmates families filed a petition challenging the exorbitant rates charged for interstate
jail and prison phone calls, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) voted to cap the cost of the calls. In cities throughout the US, homeless people are targeted and arrested under
laws that prohibit loitering, sitting, and occupying public space. Youth in the Criminal Justice System In nearly all US jurisdictions, substantial numbers of youth offenders are tried in adult
court and sentenced to serve time in adult jails and prisons. The widespread practice of sentencing youth offenders to life without the possibility of parole is changing as states grapple with
how to comply with recent US Supreme Court decisions. Separate decisions have held that the sentence cannot ever be mandatory for youth offenders, nor can it be imposed on youth
offenders convicted of non-homicide crimes. The Supreme Court has not yet abolished application of the sentence to juveniles, however, and youth offenders continue to receive life without
parole sentences for homicide crimes. In 2012, Human Rights Watch reported that of 500 youth offenders serving life without parole, nearly every one reported physical violence or sexual
abuse by inmates or corrections officers. Youth are also sentenced to other extreme prison terms that are the functional equivalent of life without parole because the sentence exceeds an
average lifespan. In September 2013, California passed a law creating a review process for youth sentenced to adult prison terms, requiring the parole board to provide a meaningful
opportunity for release based on the diminished culpability of youth as compared to adults. In many cases this will mean earlier release. Federal law requires jurisdictions to register
juveniles convicted of certain sexual offenses on a national, publicly accessible online registry. Registration impacts youth offenders access to education, housing, and employment. The
Rights of Noncitizens There are approximately 25 million noncitizens in the US, nearly 12 million of whom are in the country without authorization. The vast network of immigration
detention centers in the US now holds about 400,000 noncitizens each year. At any given time, hundreds of detainees are held in solitary confinement. In September, US Immigration and
Customs Enforcement (ICE) announced it would limit but not ban the use of solitary confinement. The criminal prosecution of immigration offenses, which historically had been largely dealt
with through deportation and other non-criminal sanctions, continues to increase. In 2012, immigration cases constituted 41 percent of all federal criminal cases; illegal reentry is now the
most prosecuted federal crime. Many of those prosecuted have minor or no criminal history and have substantial ties to the US such as US citizen family members they were seeking to
rejoin when arrested. In 2013, after years of inaction, the US Congress began debating a major overhaul of the US immigration system. In June, the Senate passed a bill that would create a
path to citizenship for millions of unauthorized immigrants and allow for greater consideration of the right to family unity in some deportation decisions. If enacted into law, the bill would
better align immigration enforcement and detention practices with human rights requirements, including eliminating a one-year filing deadline for asylum applicants, though it would
continue to mandate the automatic deportation of noncitizens with criminal convictions, even for minor offenses. The bill calls for an additional $47 billion to be spent on enforcement efforts
along the US-Mexico border, including a major increase in federal prosecutions of immigration offenses and substantial increases in penalties for illegal entry and reentry. At time of writing,
the House of Representatives had not made any serious progress on comprehensive immigration reform. Secure Communities and other federal programs involving local law enforcement
agencies continued to play an important role in deportations. The federal government has portrayed these programs as focused on dangerous criminals, but most immigrants deported
through Secure Communities are non-criminal or lower level offenders. These programs also exacerbate distrust of police in immigrant communities. Connecticut and California, along with
the cities of Newark and New Orleans, have joined a growing number of states and localities that have placed limits on local law enforcement participation in Secure Communities, largely by
declining to hold people without charge for federal immigration authorities if they have no or minor criminal history. Labor Rights Hundreds of thousands of children work on American
farms. The 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act exempts child farmworkers from the minimum age and maximum hour requirements that apply to other working children. As a result, child
farmworkers often work 10 or more hours a day and risk pesticide exposure, nicotine poisoning, heat illness, injuries, life-long disabilities, and death. Seventy-five percent of children under
16 who died from work-related injuries in 2012 worked in agriculture. Federal protections that do exist are often not enforced. Congress has still not closed a legal loophole allowing children
to do hazardous work in agriculture starting at age 16; hazardous work is prohibited in all other jobs until age 18. Millions of US workers, including parents of infants, are harmed by weak or
non-existent laws on paid leave, breastfeeding accommodation, and discrimination against workers with family responsibilities. Inadequate leave contributes to delaying babies
immunizations, postpartum depression, and other health problems, and causes mothers to stop breastfeeding early. In 2013, several federal bills were introduced to improve national work-
family policies; Rhode Island joined California and New Jersey in establishing state paid family leave insurance; and several cities adopted paid sick day laws. In September, the Obama
administration issued a regulation ending the exclusion of certain homecare workers from minimum wage and hour protections. These workers, most of whom are women, including many
allowed death row prisoners to appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in
Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have
comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates . For
example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be
arrested for marijuana possession than whites , even though their
rates of marijuana use are roughly equivalent. While only 13
percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41
percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners
serving time for drug offenses. Because they are disproportionately
likely to have criminal records , members of racial and ethnic
minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and
legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal
court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City
Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A
disproportionate share of people stopped and frisked under the
policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil
Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are
innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the ruling.
HR cred solves extinction
Burke-White 4 William W., Lecturer in Public and International Affairs
and Senior Special Assistant to the Dean at the Woodrow Wilson School of
Public and International Affairs, Princeton University and Ph.D. at Cambridge,
Human Rights and National Security: The Strategic Correlation, The Harvard
Human Rights Journal, Spring, 17 Harv. Hum. Rts. J. 249, Lexis
the promotion of
This Article presents a strategic--as opposed to ideological or normative--argument that
human rights should be given a more prominent place in U.S. foreign
policy. It does so by suggesting a correlation between the domestic human rights practices of states and their
propensity to engage in aggressive international conduct. Among the chief threats to U.S.
national security are acts of aggression by other states. Aggressive acts of war
may directly endanger the United States, as did the Japanese bombing of Pearl Harbor in 1941, or they may require U.S.
Evidence from the post-Cold War period [*250]
military action overseas, as in Kuwait fifty years later.
indicates that states that systematically abuse their own citizens' human
rights are also those most likely to engage in aggression. To the
degree that improvements in various states' human rights records
decrease the likelihood of aggressive war, a foreign policy informed by
human rights can significantly enhance U.S. and global security . Since 1990, a
state's domestic human rights policy appears to be a telling
indicator of that state's propensity to engage in international
aggression. A central element of U.S. foreign policy has long been the preservation of peace and the prevention
of such acts of aggression. 2 If the correlation discussed herein is accurate, it provides U.S. policymakers with a powerful
new tool to enhance national security through the promotion of human rights. A strategic linkage between national
security and human rights would result in a number of important policy modifications. First, it changes the prioritization of
those countries U.S. policymakers have identified as presenting the greatest concern. Second, it alters some of the policy
prescriptions for such states. Third, it offers states a means of signaling benign international intent through the
improvement of their domestic human rights records. Fourth, it provides a way for a current government to prevent future
it
governments from aggressive international behavior through the institutionalization of human rights protections. Fifth,
addresses the particular threat of human rights abusing states obtaining weapons of mass
destruction ( WMD ). Finally, it offers a mechanism for U.S.-U.N. cooperation on human rights issues.
Alt causes
United States should be strengthening, not weakening, basic rules of law and
principles of justice enumerated in the Universal Declaration of Human
Rights. But instead of making the world safer, Americas violation of
international human rights abets our enemies and alienates our friends. Carter
also raised a number of important questions: Has the U.S. abdicated its moral leadership in the
arena of international human rights? Has the U.S. betrayed its core values by maintaining a detention facility at
Guantnamo Bay, Cuba, and subjecting dozens of prisoners to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment
and leaving them without the prospect of ever obtaining their freedom? Does the arbitrary killing of a person suspected to be
an enemy terrorist in a drone strike along with women and children who happen to be nearby comport with Americas professed commitment
to the rule of law and human rights? In 1948, the U.S. played a central leadership role in inventing the principal instrument which today
serves as the bedrock foundation of modern human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR), adopted by the UN General
Assembly in December 1948, set a common standard of achievement for all peoples and all nations in terms of equality, dignity and rights.
Mrs. Eleanor Roosevelt, the widow of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, chaired the committee that drafted the UDHR. Eleanor remains an
unsung heroine even though she was the mother of the modern global human rights movement. Without her, there would have been no
UDHR; and without the UDHR, it is doubtful that the plethora of subsequent human rights conventions and regimes would have come into
existence. Remarkably, she managed to mobilize, organize and proselytize human rights even though she had no legal training, diplomatic
experience or bureaucratic expertise. She used her skills as political activist and advocate in the cause of freedom, justice and civil rights to
Ethiopia are lauded as the new breed of African leaders and crowned
partners. Uhuru Kenyatta, recently elected president of Kenya and a suspect
under indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against
humanity is said to be different than Bashir who faces similar ICC charges . In
2009, Ambassador Susan E. Rice, then-U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations, demanded Bashirs arrest and prosecution: The
people of Sudan have suffered too much for too long, and an end to their anguish will not come easily. Those who committed atrocities in
The U.S.
Sudan, including genocide, should be brought to justice. No official U.S. statement on Uhurus ICC prosecution was issued.
maintains excellent relations with Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo of Equatorial Guinea
who has been in power since 1979 because of that countrys oil reserves ; but all
of the oil revenues are looted by Obiang and his cronies. In 2011, the U.S. brought legal action in federal court
against Obiangs son to seize corruptly obtained assets including a $40 million estate in Malibu, California overlooking the Pacific Ocean, a
luxury plane and a dozen super-sports cars worth millions of dollars. The U.S. has not touched any of the other African Ali Babas and their forty
principled engagement tell a different story . In May 2010, after the ruling party in Ethiopia declared it
had won 99.6 percent of the seats in parliament, the U.S. demonstrated its principled engagement by issuing a Statement expressing
concern that international observers found that the elections fell short of international commitments and promised to work diligently with
There
Ethiopia to ensure that strengthened democratic institutions and open political dialogue become a reality for the Ethiopian people.
Sudan different, according to Carson, is the fact that Sudan is on the list of
countries that support terrorism and Bashir and his co-defendants are under
indictment for the genocide in Darfur. Since none of that applies to Kenya,
according to Carson, it appears the U.S. will follow a different policy . President
Obama says the U.S. will maintain its traditional partnership with
Egypts military, Egypts strongmen. At the onset of the Egyptian Revolution in 2011, Obama and
his foreign policy team froze in stunned silence, flat-footed and twiddling their thumbs and scratching their heads for days before staking out a
(dictator as in Hosni Mubarak) to describe events in Egypt then. Today Obama cannot
bring himself to say the C word (as in Egyptian military coup). Obama is in an
extraordinary historical position as a person of color to advance American
ideals and values throughout the world in convincing and creative ways. But
he cannot advance these ideals and values through a hollow notion of
principled engagement. Rather, he must adopt a policy of principled
disengagement with African dictators. That does not mean isolationism or a
hands off approach to human rights. By principled disengagement I mean a
policy and policy outcome that is based on measurable human rights metrics .
Under a policy of principled disengagement, the U.S. would establish clear, attainable and measurable human rights policy objectives in its
relations with African dictatorships. The policy would establish minimum conditions of human rights compliance. For instance, the U.S. could
set some basic criteria for the conduct of free and fair elections, press and individual freedoms, limits on arbitrary arrests and detentions,
prevention of extrajudicial punishments, etc. Using its annual human rights assessments, the U.S. could make factual determinations on the
extent to which it will engage or disengage with a particular regime. Partnership status and the benefits that come with it will be reserved to
those regimes that have good and improving records on specific human rights measures. Regimes that steal elections, win elections by 99.6
percent, engage in arbitrary arrests and detentions and other human rights violations would be denied partnership status and denied aid,
loans and technical assistance. Persistent violators of human rights would be given a compliance timetable to improve their records and
provided appropriate assistance to achieve specific human rights goals. If regimes persist in a pattern and practice of human rights violations,
the U.S. could raise the stakes and impose economic and diplomatic sanctions. The Ethiopia Democracy and Accountability Act of 2007
Obamas
contained many important statutory provisions that could serve as a foundation for principled disengagement.
c) Racism
HRW 14, (Human Rights Watch is an international non-governmental
organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right and has
won the Peabody award for Prestigious Journalism, WORLD REPORT 2014,
http://www.hrw.org/world-report/2014/country-chapters/united-states, page 1,
//VZ)
The United States has a vibrant civil society and media that enjoy
strong constitutional protections. Yet its rights record is marred by
abuses related to criminal justice, immigration, national security,
and drug policy. Within these areas, victims are often the most
vulnerable members of society: racial and ethnic minorities,
immigrants, children, the elderly, the poor, and prisoners. Revelations in 2013 of
extensive government surveillance and aggressive prosecutions of whistleblowers raised concerns about infringement of privacy rights and
freedom of expression, generating a firestorm of international protest against US practices. Federal policymakers proposed reforms to harmful
longstanding immigration and sentencing laws and policies. The outcome of these initiatives was uncertain at time of writing. A renewed
commitment by President Barack Obama to close the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remained unfulfilled. Lack of transparency made it
impossible to assess the implementation of promised reforms to the practice of targeted killings abroad, including through use of unmanned
aerial drones; new information on individual strikes found instances of violations of international humanitarian and human rights law. Harsh
Sentencing The US has the largest reported incarcerated population in the world, and by far the highest rate of imprisonment, holding 2.2
million people in adult prisons or jails as of year-end 2011. Mass incarceration reflects three decades of harsh state and federal sentencing
regimes, including increased use of life and life without parole sentences, high mandatory minimum sentences, and three strikes laws. The
Sentencing Project reported that one in nine US prisoners are serving a life sentence. The growing number of elderly prisoners poses a serious
challenge to correctional authorities: as of 2011, the latest year for which complete numbers are available, 26,136 persons aged 65 and older
were incarcerated in state and federal prisons, up 62 percent in five years. In a positive step, the US Department of Justice in August
announced revisions to its rules for reviewing requests for compassionate release of elderly or disabled prisoners, making more federal
inmates eligible for this rarely used mechanism. Also in August, US Attorney General Eric Holder instructed federal prosecutors to try to avoid
charges carrying mandatory minimum sentences for certain low-level, nonviolent drug offenders. Though welcome, this policy change still
leaves many drug offenders subject to disproportionately long mandatory sentences. Legislative efforts to grant judges more discretion in such
cases are under debate. In 2013, Maryland joined 17 other states and the District of Columbia in abolishing the death penalty, but 32 states
still allow it. At time of writing, 34 people had been executed in the US in 2013. North Carolina repealed its 2009 Racial Justice Act, which
allowed death row prisoners to appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in
Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have
comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates . For
example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be
arrested for marijuana possession than whites , even though their
rates of marijuana use are roughly equivalent. While only 13
percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41
percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners
serving time for drug offenses. Because they are disproportionately
likely to have criminal records , members of racial and ethnic
minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and
legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal
court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City
Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A
disproportionate share of people stopped and frisked under the
policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil
Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are
innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the ruling.
refrain. Yet there is little empirical reason to accept it. Human rights
norms have in fact spread widely without much attention to U.S.
domestic policy. In the wake of the "third wave" democratization in
Eastern Europe, East Asia, and Latin America, government after
government moved ahead toward more active domestic and
international human rights policies without attending to U.S.
domestic or international practice." The human rights movement has
firmly embedded itself in public opinion and NGO networks, in the
United States as well as elsewhere, despite the dubious legal status
of international norms in the United States . One reads occasional
quotations from recalcitrant governments citing American
noncompliance in their own defense-most recently Israel and Australia-but there is little evidence
that this was more than a redundant justification for policies made
on other grounds . Other governments adhere or do not adhere to
global norms, comply or do not comply with judgments of tribunals,
for reasons that seem to have little to do with U.S. multilateral
policy.
Bahrain 2ac F/L
No impact
a) Empirically denied by literally centuries of Middle East
conflicts
b) Theyll never kick us out
Lagon 11, (Mark P. Lagon, Ph.D. in Government at Georgetown and A.B.
from Harvard Lagon was the Chair for Global Politics and Security at
Georgetown Universitys Master of Science in Foreign Service Program, and
Adjunct Senior Fellow for Human Rights at the Council on Foreign Relations.
He was previously Executive Director and CEO of the leading anti-human
trafficking nonprofit, Polaris. He earlier served at the State Department as
U.S. Ambassador at Large, directing the Office to Monitor and Combat
Trafficking in Persons, and previously Deputy Assistant Secretary in the
Bureau of International Organization Affairs, with responsibility for human
rights, humanitarian issues and United Nations reform.
http://www.cfr.org/human-rights/promoting-human-rights-us-consistency-
desirable-possible/p26228, //VZ)
Alt causes
United States should be strengthening, not weakening, basic rules of law and
principles of justice enumerated in the Universal Declaration of Human
Rights. But instead of making the world safer, Americas violation of
international human rights abets our enemies and alienates our friends. Carter
also raised a number of important questions: Has the U.S. abdicated its moral leadership in the
arena of international human rights? Has the U.S. betrayed its core values by maintaining a detention facility at
Guantnamo Bay, Cuba, and subjecting dozens of prisoners to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment
and leaving them without the prospect of ever obtaining their freedom? Does the arbitrary killing of a person suspected to be
an enemy terrorist in a drone strike along with women and children who happen to be nearby comport with Americas professed commitment
to the rule of law and human rights? In 1948, the U.S. played a central leadership role in inventing the principal instrument which today
serves as the bedrock foundation of modern human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR), adopted by the UN General
Assembly in December 1948, set a common standard of achievement for all peoples and all nations in terms of equality, dignity and rights.
Mrs. Eleanor Roosevelt, the widow of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, chaired the committee that drafted the UDHR. Eleanor remains an
unsung heroine even though she was the mother of the modern global human rights movement. Without her, there would have been no
UDHR; and without the UDHR, it is doubtful that the plethora of subsequent human rights conventions and regimes would have come into
existence. Remarkably, she managed to mobilize, organize and proselytize human rights even though she had no legal training, diplomatic
experience or bureaucratic expertise. She used her skills as political activist and advocate in the cause of freedom, justice and civil rights to
Ethiopia are lauded as the new breed of African leaders and crowned
partners. Uhuru Kenyatta, recently elected president of Kenya and a suspect
under indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against
humanity is said to be different than Bashir who faces similar ICC charges . In
2009, Ambassador Susan E. Rice, then-U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations, demanded Bashirs arrest and prosecution: The
people of Sudan have suffered too much for too long, and an end to their anguish will not come easily. Those who committed atrocities in
The U.S.
Sudan, including genocide, should be brought to justice. No official U.S. statement on Uhurus ICC prosecution was issued.
maintains excellent relations with Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo of Equatorial Guinea
who has been in power since 1979 because of that countrys oil reserves ; but all
of the oil revenues are looted by Obiang and his cronies. In 2011, the U.S. brought legal action in federal court
against Obiangs son to seize corruptly obtained assets including a $40 million estate in Malibu, California overlooking the Pacific Ocean, a
luxury plane and a dozen super-sports cars worth millions of dollars. The U.S. has not touched any of the other African Ali Babas and their forty
principled engagement tell a different story . In May 2010, after the ruling party in Ethiopia declared it
had won 99.6 percent of the seats in parliament, the U.S. demonstrated its principled engagement by issuing a Statement expressing
concern that international observers found that the elections fell short of international commitments and promised to work diligently with
Ethiopia to ensure that strengthened democratic institutions and open political dialogue become a reality for the Ethiopian people. There
is no evidence that the U.S. did anything to strengthen democratic
institutions and open political dialogue to become a reality for the Ethiopian
people. When two ICC indicted suspects in Kenya (Kenyatta and Ruto) won
the presidency in Kenya a few months ago, the U.S. applied its principled
engagement in the form of a robust defense of the suspects . Johnnie Carson, the former
United States Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, said the ICC indictments of Bashir and Uhuru/Ruto are different. I dont want to
Sudan different, according to Carson, is the fact that Sudan is on the list of
countries that support terrorism and Bashir and his co-defendants are under
indictment for the genocide in Darfur. Since none of that applies to Kenya,
according to Carson, it appears the U.S. will follow a different policy . President
Obama says the U.S. will maintain its traditional partnership with
Egypts military, Egypts strongmen. At the onset of the Egyptian Revolution in 2011, Obama and
his foreign policy team froze in stunned silence, flat-footed and twiddling their thumbs and scratching their heads for days before staking out a
(dictator as in Hosni Mubarak) to describe events in Egypt then. Today Obama cannot
bring himself to say the C word (as in Egyptian military coup). Obama is in an
extraordinary historical position as a person of color to advance American
ideals and values throughout the world in convincing and creative ways. But
he cannot advance these ideals and values through a hollow notion of
principled engagement. Rather, he must adopt a policy of principled
disengagement with African dictators. That does not mean isolationism or a
hands off approach to human rights. By principled disengagement I mean a
policy and policy outcome that is based on measurable human rights metrics .
Under a policy of principled disengagement, the U.S. would establish clear, attainable and measurable human rights policy objectives in its
relations with African dictatorships. The policy would establish minimum conditions of human rights compliance. For instance, the U.S. could
set some basic criteria for the conduct of free and fair elections, press and individual freedoms, limits on arbitrary arrests and detentions,
prevention of extrajudicial punishments, etc. Using its annual human rights assessments, the U.S. could make factual determinations on the
extent to which it will engage or disengage with a particular regime. Partnership status and the benefits that come with it will be reserved to
those regimes that have good and improving records on specific human rights measures. Regimes that steal elections, win elections by 99.6
percent, engage in arbitrary arrests and detentions and other human rights violations would be denied partnership status and denied aid,
loans and technical assistance. Persistent violators of human rights would be given a compliance timetable to improve their records and
provided appropriate assistance to achieve specific human rights goals. If regimes persist in a pattern and practice of human rights violations,
the U.S. could raise the stakes and impose economic and diplomatic sanctions. The Ethiopia Democracy and Accountability Act of 2007
Obamas
contained many important statutory provisions that could serve as a foundation for principled disengagement.
b) Health things
HRW 14, (Human Rights Watch is an international non-governmental
organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right and has
won the Peabody award for Prestigious Journalism, WORLD REPORT 2014,
http://www.hrw.org/world-report/2014/country-chapters/united-states, pages
1 2, //VZ)
The United States has a vibrant civil society and media that enjoy
strong constitutional protections. Yet its rights record is marred by
abuses related to criminal justice, immigration, national security,
and drug policy. Within these areas, victims are often the most
vulnerable members of society: racial and ethnic minorities,
immigrants, children, the elderly, the poor, and prisoners. Revelations in 2013 of extensive
government surveillance and aggressive prosecutions of whistleblowers raised concerns about infringement of privacy rights and freedom of expression, generating a firestorm of international protest against US
practices. Federal policymakers proposed reforms to harmful longstanding immigration and sentencing laws and policies. The outcome of these initiatives was uncertain at time of writing. A renewed commitment by
President Barack Obama to close the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remained unfulfilled. Lack of transparency made it impossible to assess the implementation of promised reforms to the practice of targeted
killings abroad, including through use of unmanned aerial drones; new information on individual strikes found instances of violations of international humanitarian and human rights law. Harsh Sentencing The US
has the largest reported incarcerated population in the world, and by far the highest rate of imprisonment, holding 2.2 million people in adult prisons or jails as of year-end 2011. Mass incarceration reflects three
decades of harsh state and federal sentencing regimes, including increased use of life and life without parole sentences, high mandatory minimum sentences, and three strikes laws. The Sentencing Project
reported that one in nine US prisoners are serving a life sentence. The growing number of elderly prisoners poses a serious challenge to correctional authorities: as of 2011, the latest year for which complete
numbers are available, 26,136 persons aged 65 and older were incarcerated in state and federal prisons, up 62 percent in five years. In a positive step, the US Department of Justice in August announced revisions to
its rules for reviewing requests for compassionate release of elderly or disabled prisoners, making more federal inmates eligible for this rarely used mechanism. Also in August, US Attorney General Eric Holder
instructed federal prosecutors to try to avoid charges carrying mandatory minimum sentences for certain low-level, nonviolent drug offenders. Though welcome, this policy change still leaves many drug offenders
subject to disproportionately long mandatory sentences. Legislative efforts to grant judges more discretion in such cases are under debate. In 2013, Maryland joined 17 other states and the District of Columbia in
abolishing the death penalty, but 32 states still allow it. At time of writing, 34 people had been executed in the US in 2013. North Carolina repealed its 2009 Racial Justice Act, which allowed death row prisoners to
appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates. For example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be arrested for marijuana possession than whites, even though their rates of marijuana use
are roughly equivalent. While only 13 percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41 percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners serving time for drug offenses. Because they are
disproportionately likely to have criminal records, members of racial and ethnic minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A disproportionate share of
people stopped and frisked under the policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the
ruling. Drug Policy Reform In recent decades the US has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to arrest and incarcerate drug offenders in the US. Its heavy reliance on criminal laws for drug control has had serious
human rights costs, including infringement of the autonomy and privacy rights of those who simply possess or use drugs. In a welcome shift, the US Department of Justice announced in August that it would not
interfere with states legalization of marijuana so long as states comply with certain federal priorities, such as prohibiting sale of drugs to children or transport of drugs across state lines. It also noted that a robust
state regulatory approach to marijuana may prevent organized crime from benefiting from the illicit marijuana trade. Washington and Colorado moved forward with implementation of state ballot initiatives to
legalize the recreational use of marijuana, as well as to regulate its production, sale, and distribution. Twenty other US states have legalized marijuana for medical purposes. Prison Conditions September 2013
marked the 10-year anniversary of the passage of the Prison Rape Elimination Act (PREA), which resulted in the development of national standards to detect, prevent, and punish prison rape. Implementation
remains a challenge: approximately 4 percent of state and federal prison inmates and 3 percent of jail inmates report having experienced one or more incidents of sexual abuse in 2011-2012, and many incidents
continue to go unreported. Transgender prisoners continue to experience high levels of violence in detention. Many prisoners and jail inmatesincluding youth under age 18are held in solitary confinement, often
for weeks or months on end. In July, an estimated 30,000 inmates in Californias prison system engaged in a hunger strike to protest conditions, including the use of solitary confinement. Prolonged solitary
confinement is considered ill-treatment under international law and can amount to torture. Poverty and Criminal Justice Poor defendants across the country languish in pretrial detention because they are too poor to
post bail. The most recent data indicates 60 percent of jail inmatesat a cost of $9 billion a yearare confined pending trial, often because they lack the financial resources to secure their release. In 2013, the chief
judge of New York supported legislative reforms that would begin to reduce the pretrial incarceration of indigent defendants. Extremely high court fees and surcharges are also increasingly common, as cash-
strapped counties and municipalities often expect their courts to pay for themselves or even tap them as sources of public revenue. The impact on poor defendants is particularly harsh. Practices that exacerbate
and even punish economic hardship are increasingly common. In Arkansas, tenants who fall behind on their rent face criminal prosecution. In states across the US, courts put hundreds of thousands of misdemeanor
offenders on probation with private, for-profit companies that charge local authorities nothing for their services but collect tens of millions of dollars in fees each year from the offenders they supervise. In August, a
decade after a group of inmates families filed a petition challenging the exorbitant rates charged for interstate jail and prison phone calls, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) voted to cap the cost of the
calls. In cities throughout the US, homeless people are targeted and arrested under laws that prohibit loitering, sitting, and occupying public space. Youth in the Criminal Justice System In nearly all US jurisdictions,
substantial numbers of youth offenders are tried in adult court and sentenced to serve time in adult jails and prisons. The widespread practice of sentencing youth offenders to life without the possibility of parole is
changing as states grapple with how to comply with recent US Supreme Court decisions. Separate decisions have held that the sentence cannot ever be mandatory for youth offenders, nor can it be imposed on
youth offenders convicted of non-homicide crimes. The Supreme Court has not yet abolished application of the sentence to juveniles, however, and youth offenders continue to receive life without parole sentences
for homicide crimes. In 2012, Human Rights Watch reported that of 500 youth offenders serving life without parole, nearly every one reported physical violence or sexual abuse by inmates or corrections officers.
Youth are also sentenced to other extreme prison terms that are the functional equivalent of life without parole because the sentence exceeds an average lifespan. In September 2013, California passed a law
creating a review process for youth sentenced to adult prison terms, requiring the parole board to provide a meaningful opportunity for release based on the diminished culpability of youth as compared to adults. In
many cases this will mean earlier release. Federal law requires jurisdictions to register juveniles convicted of certain sexual offenses on a national, publicly accessible online registry. Registration impacts youth
offenders access to education, housing, and employment. The Rights of Noncitizens There are approximately 25 million noncitizens in the US, nearly 12 million of whom are in the country without authorization. The
vast network of immigration detention centers in the US now holds about 400,000 noncitizens each year. At any given time, hundreds of detainees are held in solitary confinement. In September, US Immigration
and Customs Enforcement (ICE) announced it would limit but not ban the use of solitary confinement. The criminal prosecution of immigration offenses, which historically had been largely dealt with through
deportation and other non-criminal sanctions, continues to increase. In 2012, immigration cases constituted 41 percent of all federal criminal cases; illegal reentry is now the most prosecuted federal crime. Many of
those prosecuted have minor or no criminal history and have substantial ties to the US such as US citizen family members they were seeking to rejoin when arrested. In 2013, after years of inaction, the US Congress
began debating a major overhaul of the US immigration system. In June, the Senate passed a bill that would create a path to citizenship for millions of unauthorized immigrants and allow for greater consideration of
the right to family unity in some deportation decisions. If enacted into law, the bill would better align immigration enforcement and detention practices with human rights requirements, including eliminating a one-
year filing deadline for asylum applicants, though it would continue to mandate the automatic deportation of noncitizens with criminal convictions, even for minor offenses. The bill calls for an additional $47 billion
to be spent on enforcement efforts along the US-Mexico border, including a major increase in federal prosecutions of immigration offenses and substantial increases in penalties for illegal entry and reentry. At time
of writing, the House of Representatives had not made any serious progress on comprehensive immigration reform. Secure Communities and other federal programs involving local law enforcement agencies
continued to play an important role in deportations. The federal government has portrayed these programs as focused on dangerous criminals, but most immigrants deported through Secure Communities are non-
criminal or lower level offenders. These programs also exacerbate distrust of police in immigrant communities. Connecticut and California, along with the cities of Newark and New Orleans, have joined a growing
number of states and localities that have placed limits on local law enforcement participation in Secure Communities, largely by declining to hold people without charge for federal immigration authorities if they
have no or minor criminal history. Labor Rights Hundreds of thousands of children work on American farms. The 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act exempts child farmworkers from the minimum age and maximum hour
requirements that apply to other working children. As a result, child farmworkers often work 10 or more hours a day and risk pesticide exposure, nicotine poisoning, heat illness, injuries, life-long disabilities, and
death. Seventy-five percent of children under 16 who died from work-related injuries in 2012 worked in agriculture. Federal protections that do exist are often not enforced. Congress has still not closed a legal
loophole allowing children to do hazardous work in agriculture starting at age 16; hazardous work is prohibited in all other jobs until age 18. Millions of US workers, including parents of infants, are harmed by weak
or non-existent laws on paid leave, breastfeeding accommodation, and discrimination against workers with family responsibilities. Inadequate leave contributes to delaying babies immunizations, postpartum
depression, and other health problems, and causes mothers to stop breastfeeding early. In 2013, several federal bills were introduced to improve national work-family policies; Rhode Island joined California and New
Jersey in establishing state paid family leave insurance; and several cities adopted paid sick day laws. In September, the Obama administration issued a regulation ending the exclusion of certain homecare workers
from minimum wage and hour protections. These workers, most of whom are women, including many immigrants and minorities, provide essential services to people with disabilities and the elderly. Health Policy
allowed death row prisoners to appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in
Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have
comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates . For
example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be
arrested for marijuana possession than whites , even though their
rates of marijuana use are roughly equivalent. While only 13
percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41
percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners
serving time for drug offenses. Because they are disproportionately
likely to have criminal records , members of racial and ethnic
minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and
legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal
court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City
Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A
disproportionate share of people stopped and frisked under the
policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil
Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are
innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the ruling.
HR cred solves extinction
Burke-White 4 William W., Lecturer in Public and International Affairs
and Senior Special Assistant to the Dean at the Woodrow Wilson School of
Public and International Affairs, Princeton University and Ph.D. at Cambridge,
Human Rights and National Security: The Strategic Correlation, The Harvard
Human Rights Journal, Spring, 17 Harv. Hum. Rts. J. 249, Lexis
the promotion of
This Article presents a strategic--as opposed to ideological or normative--argument that
human rights should be given a more prominent place in U.S. foreign
policy. It does so by suggesting a correlation between the domestic human rights practices of states and their
propensity to engage in aggressive international conduct. Among the chief threats to U.S.
national security are acts of aggression by other states. Aggressive acts of war
may directly endanger the United States, as did the Japanese bombing of Pearl Harbor in 1941, or they may require U.S.
Evidence from the post-Cold War period [*250]
military action overseas, as in Kuwait fifty years later.
indicates that states that systematically abuse their own citizens' human
rights are also those most likely to engage in aggression. To the
degree that improvements in various states' human rights records
decrease the likelihood of aggressive war, a foreign policy informed by
human rights can significantly enhance U.S. and global security . Since 1990, a
state's domestic human rights policy appears to be a telling
indicator of that state's propensity to engage in international
aggression. A central element of U.S. foreign policy has long been the preservation of peace and the prevention
of such acts of aggression. 2 If the correlation discussed herein is accurate, it provides U.S. policymakers with a powerful
new tool to enhance national security through the promotion of human rights. A strategic linkage between national
security and human rights would result in a number of important policy modifications. First, it changes the prioritization of
those countries U.S. policymakers have identified as presenting the greatest concern. Second, it alters some of the policy
prescriptions for such states. Third, it offers states a means of signaling benign international intent through the
improvement of their domestic human rights records. Fourth, it provides a way for a current government to prevent future
it
governments from aggressive international behavior through the institutionalization of human rights protections. Fifth,
addresses the particular threat of human rights abusing states obtaining weapons of mass
destruction ( WMD ). Finally, it offers a mechanism for U.S.-U.N. cooperation on human rights issues.
Pacific region. But one certain thing is that a war is unlikely in the Asia-Pacific.
Even if the parties in a dispute had a collision of forces, it wouldn't develop
into full-blown war. The use of force is the highest means but the last resort to
maintain core interests of nations. The current situation is totally different
from other periods in history. With global economic integration , the
expanding of armed conflicts will be no good to any country involved. Therefore,
the relevant countries all hope the scale of conflicts could be restrained. Besides, the US is not willing to
see a regional war in the Asia-Pacific. A turbulent situation without war is in its best interests. From
this perspective, the Asia-Pacific region does face the potential danger of low
intensity conflicts and operations. The possibility of an armed collision is on
the rise, but the scale will be limited.
Alt causes
a) Laundry list and even if the plan solves influence, the
US wont use it
Mariam 13, 8/18/13 PhD, JD, teaches political science at California State
University, San Bernardino Is America Disinventing Human Rights?,
http://www.ethiopianreview.us/48632
the
In a New York Times op-ed piece in June 2012, Carter cautioned, At a time when popular revolutions are sweeping the globe,
United States should be strengthening, not weakening, basic rules of law and
principles of justice enumerated in the Universal Declaration of Human
Rights. But instead of making the world safer, Americas violation of
international human rights abets our enemies and alienates our friends. Carter
also raised a number of important questions: Has the U.S. abdicated its moral leadership in the
arena of international human rights? Has the U.S. betrayed its core values by maintaining a detention facility at
Guantnamo Bay, Cuba, and subjecting dozens of prisoners to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment
and leaving them without the prospect of ever obtaining their freedom? Does the arbitrary killing of a person suspected to be
an enemy terrorist in a drone strike along with women and children who happen to be nearby comport with Americas professed commitment
to the rule of law and human rights? In 1948, the U.S. played a central leadership role in inventing the principal instrument which today
serves as the bedrock foundation of modern human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR), adopted by the UN General
Assembly in December 1948, set a common standard of achievement for all peoples and all nations in terms of equality, dignity and rights.
Mrs. Eleanor Roosevelt, the widow of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, chaired the committee that drafted the UDHR. Eleanor remains an
unsung heroine even though she was the mother of the modern global human rights movement. Without her, there would have been no
UDHR; and without the UDHR, it is doubtful that the plethora of subsequent human rights conventions and regimes would have come into
existence. Remarkably, she managed to mobilize, organize and proselytize human rights even though she had no legal training, diplomatic
experience or bureaucratic expertise. She used her skills as political activist and advocate in the cause of freedom, justice and civil rights to
Ethiopia are lauded as the new breed of African leaders and crowned
partners. Uhuru Kenyatta, recently elected president of Kenya and a suspect
under indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against
humanity is said to be different than Bashir who faces similar ICC charges . In
2009, Ambassador Susan E. Rice, then-U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations, demanded Bashirs arrest and prosecution: The
people of Sudan have suffered too much for too long, and an end to their anguish will not come easily. Those who committed atrocities in
The U.S.
Sudan, including genocide, should be brought to justice. No official U.S. statement on Uhurus ICC prosecution was issued.
maintains excellent relations with Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo of Equatorial Guinea
who has been in power since 1979 because of that countrys oil reserves ; but all
of the oil revenues are looted by Obiang and his cronies. In 2011, the U.S. brought legal action in federal court
against Obiangs son to seize corruptly obtained assets including a $40 million estate in Malibu, California overlooking the Pacific Ocean, a
luxury plane and a dozen super-sports cars worth millions of dollars. The U.S. has not touched any of the other African Ali Babas and their forty
principled engagement tell a different story . In May 2010, after the ruling party in Ethiopia declared it
had won 99.6 percent of the seats in parliament, the U.S. demonstrated its principled engagement by issuing a Statement expressing
concern that international observers found that the elections fell short of international commitments and promised to work diligently with
Ethiopia to ensure that strengthened democratic institutions and open political dialogue become a reality for the Ethiopian people. There
is no evidence that the U.S. did anything to strengthen democratic
institutions and open political dialogue to become a reality for the Ethiopian
people. When two ICC indicted suspects in Kenya (Kenyatta and Ruto) won
the presidency in Kenya a few months ago, the U.S. applied its principled
engagement in the form of a robust defense of the suspects . Johnnie Carson, the former
United States Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, said the ICC indictments of Bashir and Uhuru/Ruto are different. I dont want to
Sudan different, according to Carson, is the fact that Sudan is on the list of
countries that support terrorism and Bashir and his co-defendants are under
indictment for the genocide in Darfur. Since none of that applies to Kenya,
according to Carson, it appears the U.S. will follow a different policy . President
Obama says the U.S. will maintain its traditional partnership with
Egypts military, Egypts strongmen. At the onset of the Egyptian Revolution in 2011, Obama and
his foreign policy team froze in stunned silence, flat-footed and twiddling their thumbs and scratching their heads for days before staking out a
(dictator as in Hosni Mubarak) to describe events in Egypt then. Today Obama cannot
bring himself to say the C word (as in Egyptian military coup). Obama is in an
extraordinary historical position as a person of color to advance American
ideals and values throughout the world in convincing and creative ways. But
he cannot advance these ideals and values through a hollow notion of
principled engagement. Rather, he must adopt a policy of principled
disengagement with African dictators. That does not mean isolationism or a
hands off approach to human rights. By principled disengagement I mean a
policy and policy outcome that is based on measurable human rights metrics .
Under a policy of principled disengagement, the U.S. would establish clear, attainable and measurable human rights policy objectives in its
relations with African dictatorships. The policy would establish minimum conditions of human rights compliance. For instance, the U.S. could
set some basic criteria for the conduct of free and fair elections, press and individual freedoms, limits on arbitrary arrests and detentions,
prevention of extrajudicial punishments, etc. Using its annual human rights assessments, the U.S. could make factual determinations on the
extent to which it will engage or disengage with a particular regime. Partnership status and the benefits that come with it will be reserved to
those regimes that have good and improving records on specific human rights measures. Regimes that steal elections, win elections by 99.6
percent, engage in arbitrary arrests and detentions and other human rights violations would be denied partnership status and denied aid,
loans and technical assistance. Persistent violators of human rights would be given a compliance timetable to improve their records and
provided appropriate assistance to achieve specific human rights goals. If regimes persist in a pattern and practice of human rights violations,
the U.S. could raise the stakes and impose economic and diplomatic sanctions. The Ethiopia Democracy and Accountability Act of 2007
Obamas
contained many important statutory provisions that could serve as a foundation for principled disengagement.
b) Health things
HRW 14, (Human Rights Watch is an international non-governmental
organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right and has
won the Peabody award for Prestigious Journalism, WORLD REPORT 2014,
http://www.hrw.org/world-report/2014/country-chapters/united-states, pages
1 2, //VZ)
The United States has a vibrant civil society and media that enjoy
strong constitutional protections. Yet its rights record is marred by
abuses related to criminal justice, immigration, national security,
and drug policy. Within these areas, victims are often the most
vulnerable members of society: racial and ethnic minorities,
immigrants, children, the elderly, the poor, and prisoners. Revelations in 2013 of extensive
government surveillance and aggressive prosecutions of whistleblowers raised concerns about infringement of privacy rights and freedom of expression, generating a firestorm of international protest against US
practices. Federal policymakers proposed reforms to harmful longstanding immigration and sentencing laws and policies. The outcome of these initiatives was uncertain at time of writing. A renewed commitment by
President Barack Obama to close the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remained unfulfilled. Lack of transparency made it impossible to assess the implementation of promised reforms to the practice of targeted
killings abroad, including through use of unmanned aerial drones; new information on individual strikes found instances of violations of international humanitarian and human rights law. Harsh Sentencing The US
has the largest reported incarcerated population in the world, and by far the highest rate of imprisonment, holding 2.2 million people in adult prisons or jails as of year-end 2011. Mass incarceration reflects three
decades of harsh state and federal sentencing regimes, including increased use of life and life without parole sentences, high mandatory minimum sentences, and three strikes laws. The Sentencing Project
reported that one in nine US prisoners are serving a life sentence. The growing number of elderly prisoners poses a serious challenge to correctional authorities: as of 2011, the latest year for which complete
numbers are available, 26,136 persons aged 65 and older were incarcerated in state and federal prisons, up 62 percent in five years. In a positive step, the US Department of Justice in August announced revisions to
its rules for reviewing requests for compassionate release of elderly or disabled prisoners, making more federal inmates eligible for this rarely used mechanism. Also in August, US Attorney General Eric Holder
instructed federal prosecutors to try to avoid charges carrying mandatory minimum sentences for certain low-level, nonviolent drug offenders. Though welcome, this policy change still leaves many drug offenders
subject to disproportionately long mandatory sentences. Legislative efforts to grant judges more discretion in such cases are under debate. In 2013, Maryland joined 17 other states and the District of Columbia in
abolishing the death penalty, but 32 states still allow it. At time of writing, 34 people had been executed in the US in 2013. North Carolina repealed its 2009 Racial Justice Act, which allowed death row prisoners to
appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates. For example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be arrested for marijuana possession than whites, even though their rates of marijuana use
are roughly equivalent. While only 13 percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41 percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners serving time for drug offenses. Because they are
disproportionately likely to have criminal records, members of racial and ethnic minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A disproportionate share of
people stopped and frisked under the policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the
ruling. Drug Policy Reform In recent decades the US has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to arrest and incarcerate drug offenders in the US. Its heavy reliance on criminal laws for drug control has had serious
human rights costs, including infringement of the autonomy and privacy rights of those who simply possess or use drugs. In a welcome shift, the US Department of Justice announced in August that it would not
interfere with states legalization of marijuana so long as states comply with certain federal priorities, such as prohibiting sale of drugs to children or transport of drugs across state lines. It also noted that a robust
state regulatory approach to marijuana may prevent organized crime from benefiting from the illicit marijuana trade. Washington and Colorado moved forward with implementation of state ballot initiatives to
legalize the recreational use of marijuana, as well as to regulate its production, sale, and distribution. Twenty other US states have legalized marijuana for medical purposes. Prison Conditions September 2013
marked the 10-year anniversary of the passage of the Prison Rape Elimination Act (PREA), which resulted in the development of national standards to detect, prevent, and punish prison rape. Implementation
remains a challenge: approximately 4 percent of state and federal prison inmates and 3 percent of jail inmates report having experienced one or more incidents of sexual abuse in 2011-2012, and many incidents
continue to go unreported. Transgender prisoners continue to experience high levels of violence in detention. Many prisoners and jail inmatesincluding youth under age 18are held in solitary confinement, often
for weeks or months on end. In July, an estimated 30,000 inmates in Californias prison system engaged in a hunger strike to protest conditions, including the use of solitary confinement. Prolonged solitary
confinement is considered ill-treatment under international law and can amount to torture. Poverty and Criminal Justice Poor defendants across the country languish in pretrial detention because they are too poor to
post bail. The most recent data indicates 60 percent of jail inmatesat a cost of $9 billion a yearare confined pending trial, often because they lack the financial resources to secure their release. In 2013, the chief
judge of New York supported legislative reforms that would begin to reduce the pretrial incarceration of indigent defendants. Extremely high court fees and surcharges are also increasingly common, as cash-
strapped counties and municipalities often expect their courts to pay for themselves or even tap them as sources of public revenue. The impact on poor defendants is particularly harsh. Practices that exacerbate
and even punish economic hardship are increasingly common. In Arkansas, tenants who fall behind on their rent face criminal prosecution. In states across the US, courts put hundreds of thousands of misdemeanor
offenders on probation with private, for-profit companies that charge local authorities nothing for their services but collect tens of millions of dollars in fees each year from the offenders they supervise. In August, a
decade after a group of inmates families filed a petition challenging the exorbitant rates charged for interstate jail and prison phone calls, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) voted to cap the cost of the
calls. In cities throughout the US, homeless people are targeted and arrested under laws that prohibit loitering, sitting, and occupying public space. Youth in the Criminal Justice System In nearly all US jurisdictions,
substantial numbers of youth offenders are tried in adult court and sentenced to serve time in adult jails and prisons. The widespread practice of sentencing youth offenders to life without the possibility of parole is
changing as states grapple with how to comply with recent US Supreme Court decisions. Separate decisions have held that the sentence cannot ever be mandatory for youth offenders, nor can it be imposed on
youth offenders convicted of non-homicide crimes. The Supreme Court has not yet abolished application of the sentence to juveniles, however, and youth offenders continue to receive life without parole sentences
for homicide crimes. In 2012, Human Rights Watch reported that of 500 youth offenders serving life without parole, nearly every one reported physical violence or sexual abuse by inmates or corrections officers.
Youth are also sentenced to other extreme prison terms that are the functional equivalent of life without parole because the sentence exceeds an average lifespan. In September 2013, California passed a law
creating a review process for youth sentenced to adult prison terms, requiring the parole board to provide a meaningful opportunity for release based on the diminished culpability of youth as compared to adults. In
many cases this will mean earlier release. Federal law requires jurisdictions to register juveniles convicted of certain sexual offenses on a national, publicly accessible online registry. Registration impacts youth
offenders access to education, housing, and employment. The Rights of Noncitizens There are approximately 25 million noncitizens in the US, nearly 12 million of whom are in the country without authorization. The
vast network of immigration detention centers in the US now holds about 400,000 noncitizens each year. At any given time, hundreds of detainees are held in solitary confinement. In September, US Immigration
and Customs Enforcement (ICE) announced it would limit but not ban the use of solitary confinement. The criminal prosecution of immigration offenses, which historically had been largely dealt with through
deportation and other non-criminal sanctions, continues to increase. In 2012, immigration cases constituted 41 percent of all federal criminal cases; illegal reentry is now the most prosecuted federal crime. Many of
those prosecuted have minor or no criminal history and have substantial ties to the US such as US citizen family members they were seeking to rejoin when arrested. In 2013, after years of inaction, the US Congress
began debating a major overhaul of the US immigration system. In June, the Senate passed a bill that would create a path to citizenship for millions of unauthorized immigrants and allow for greater consideration of
the right to family unity in some deportation decisions. If enacted into law, the bill would better align immigration enforcement and detention practices with human rights requirements, including eliminating a one-
year filing deadline for asylum applicants, though it would continue to mandate the automatic deportation of noncitizens with criminal convictions, even for minor offenses. The bill calls for an additional $47 billion
to be spent on enforcement efforts along the US-Mexico border, including a major increase in federal prosecutions of immigration offenses and substantial increases in penalties for illegal entry and reentry. At time
of writing, the House of Representatives had not made any serious progress on comprehensive immigration reform. Secure Communities and other federal programs involving local law enforcement agencies
continued to play an important role in deportations. The federal government has portrayed these programs as focused on dangerous criminals, but most immigrants deported through Secure Communities are non-
criminal or lower level offenders. These programs also exacerbate distrust of police in immigrant communities. Connecticut and California, along with the cities of Newark and New Orleans, have joined a growing
number of states and localities that have placed limits on local law enforcement participation in Secure Communities, largely by declining to hold people without charge for federal immigration authorities if they
have no or minor criminal history. Labor Rights Hundreds of thousands of children work on American farms. The 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act exempts child farmworkers from the minimum age and maximum hour
requirements that apply to other working children. As a result, child farmworkers often work 10 or more hours a day and risk pesticide exposure, nicotine poisoning, heat illness, injuries, life-long disabilities, and
death. Seventy-five percent of children under 16 who died from work-related injuries in 2012 worked in agriculture. Federal protections that do exist are often not enforced. Congress has still not closed a legal
loophole allowing children to do hazardous work in agriculture starting at age 16; hazardous work is prohibited in all other jobs until age 18. Millions of US workers, including parents of infants, are harmed by weak
or non-existent laws on paid leave, breastfeeding accommodation, and discrimination against workers with family responsibilities. Inadequate leave contributes to delaying babies immunizations, postpartum
depression, and other health problems, and causes mothers to stop breastfeeding early. In 2013, several federal bills were introduced to improve national work-family policies; Rhode Island joined California and New
Jersey in establishing state paid family leave insurance; and several cities adopted paid sick day laws. In September, the Obama administration issued a regulation ending the exclusion of certain homecare workers
from minimum wage and hour protections. These workers, most of whom are women, including many immigrants and minorities, provide essential services to people with disabilities and the elderly. Health Policy
c) Racism
HRW 14, (Human Rights Watch is an international non-governmental
organization that conducts research and advocacy on human right and has
won the Peabody award for Prestigious Journalism, WORLD REPORT 2014,
http://www.hrw.org/world-report/2014/country-chapters/united-states, page 1,
//VZ)
The United States has a vibrant civil society and media that enjoy
strong constitutional protections. Yet its rights record is marred by
abuses related to criminal justice, immigration, national security,
and drug policy. Within these areas, victims are often the most
vulnerable members of society: racial and ethnic minorities,
immigrants, children, the elderly, the poor, and prisoners. Revelations in 2013 of
extensive government surveillance and aggressive prosecutions of whistleblowers raised concerns about infringement of privacy rights and
freedom of expression, generating a firestorm of international protest against US practices. Federal policymakers proposed reforms to harmful
longstanding immigration and sentencing laws and policies. The outcome of these initiatives was uncertain at time of writing. A renewed
commitment by President Barack Obama to close the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remained unfulfilled. Lack of transparency made it
impossible to assess the implementation of promised reforms to the practice of targeted killings abroad, including through use of unmanned
aerial drones; new information on individual strikes found instances of violations of international humanitarian and human rights law. Harsh
Sentencing The US has the largest reported incarcerated population in the world, and by far the highest rate of imprisonment, holding 2.2
million people in adult prisons or jails as of year-end 2011. Mass incarceration reflects three decades of harsh state and federal sentencing
regimes, including increased use of life and life without parole sentences, high mandatory minimum sentences, and three strikes laws. The
Sentencing Project reported that one in nine US prisoners are serving a life sentence. The growing number of elderly prisoners poses a serious
challenge to correctional authorities: as of 2011, the latest year for which complete numbers are available, 26,136 persons aged 65 and older
were incarcerated in state and federal prisons, up 62 percent in five years. In a positive step, the US Department of Justice in August
announced revisions to its rules for reviewing requests for compassionate release of elderly or disabled prisoners, making more federal
inmates eligible for this rarely used mechanism. Also in August, US Attorney General Eric Holder instructed federal prosecutors to try to avoid
charges carrying mandatory minimum sentences for certain low-level, nonviolent drug offenders. Though welcome, this policy change still
leaves many drug offenders subject to disproportionately long mandatory sentences. Legislative efforts to grant judges more discretion in such
cases are under debate. In 2013, Maryland joined 17 other states and the District of Columbia in abolishing the death penalty, but 32 states
still allow it. At time of writing, 34 people had been executed in the US in 2013. North Carolina repealed its 2009 Racial Justice Act, which
allowed death row prisoners to appeal their sentences on the basis of racial discrimination. Racial Disparities in
Criminal Justice Whites, African Americans, and Latinos have
comparable rates of drug use but are arrested, prosecuted, and
incarcerated for drug offenses at vastly different rates . For
example, African Americans are nearly four times more likely to be
arrested for marijuana possession than whites , even though their
rates of marijuana use are roughly equivalent. While only 13
percent of the US population, African Americans represent 41
percent of state prisoners, and 44 percent of federal prisoners
serving time for drug offenses. Because they are disproportionately
likely to have criminal records , members of racial and ethnic
minorities are more likely than whites to experience stigma and
legal discrimination in employment, housing, education, public
benefits, jury service, and the right to vote. In August, a federal
court found that the stop and frisk policy of the New York City
Police Department (NYPD) violated the rights of minorities. A
disproportionate share of people stopped and frisked under the
policy are African American or Latino, and the New York Civil
Liberties Union reports that 89 percent of those stopped are
innocent of any wrongdoing. The NYPD appealed the ruling.
Consequentialism
Goodin 95 professor of government at the University of Essex, and
professor of philosophy and social and political theory at Australian National
University (Robert E., Utilitarianism as a Public Philosophy, Cambridge
University Press, Print)BC
As, an Account of the peculiar role responsibilities of public officials
(and, by extension, of ordinary individuals in their public capacities as citizens) that vice
becomes a virtue, though. Those agents, too, have to come from
somewhere, bringing with them a whole raft of baggage of personal
attachments, commitments, principles and prejudices. In their public
capacities, however, we think it only right and proper that they should
stow that baggage as best they can. Complete neutrality might be
an impossible ideal. That is another matter." But it seems indisputable that
that is an ideal which people in their public capacities should strive
to realize as best they are able. That is part (indeed, a central part) of what it is
to be a public official ,it all. It is the essence of public service as such that public servants
should serve the public at large. Public servants must not play favorites. Or
consider, again, criticisms revolving around the theme that util-
itarianism is a coldly calculating doctrine.23 In personal affairs that is an
unattractive feature. There, we would like to suppose that certain sorts of actions proceed immediately
from the heart, without much reflection much less any real calculation of consequences. Among intimates
it would be extremely hurtful to think of every kind gesture as being contrived to produce some particular
The case of public officials is, once again, precisely the opposite.
effect.
There, it is the height of irresponsibility to proceed careless of the
consequences . Public officials are, above all else, obliged to take care: not to
go off half cocked, not to let their hearts rule their heads. In Hare's telling example, the very worst thing
that might be said of the Suez misadventure was not that the British and French did some perfectly awful
things (which is true, too) but that they did so utterly unthinkingly.24 Related to the critique of
utilitarianism as a calculating doctrine is the critique of utilitarianism as a consequentialist doctrine.
According to utilitarianism, the effects of an action are everything. There are no actions which are, in and
of themselves, morally right or wrong, good or bad. The only things that are good or bad are the effects
that actions produce.25 That proposition runs counter to certain ethical intuitions which, at least in certain
quarters, are rooted deeply. Those who harbor a Ten Commandments view of the nature of morality see a
moral code as being essentially a list of "thou shalts" and "thou shall nots " a list of things that are right or
wrong in and of themselves, quite regardless of any consequences that might come from doing them.2"
That may or may not be a good way to run one's private affairs. 4Even those who think it is, however, tend
public officials' role respon-
to concede that it is no way to run public affairs. It is in the nature of
sibilities that they are morally obliged to "dirty their hands " - make hard
choices, do things that are wrong (or would ordinarily be wrong, or would be wrong for
ordinary private individuals) in the service of some greater public good.5 It
would be simply irresponsible of public officials (in any broadly secular society, at least) to
4
5
adhere mindlessly to moral precepts read off some sacred list,
literally "whatever the consequences."6 Doing right though the
heavens may fall is not (nowadays, anyway) a particularly attractive posture
for public officials to adopt.
I believethe strength of this program is important . I want to see it grow, but I want
to work with you to make sure there aren't structural concerns. I want to make sure there aren't
biases within TSA against this program. I think it is an important
component in our overall safety footprint. So it is an issue that is very
important to me and something I think we need it continue to talk about and continue to work on.
But I thank both of you for being here today and your testimony in this.
6
1ar AT Best Value Rating
Best value assessments are the squo
Benner 14 Screening Partnership Program Office of Security Operations at
the TSA (William Benner, 7/29/14, STATEMENT OF WILLIAM BENNER,
SCREENING PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM, OFFICE OF SECURITY OPERATIONS,
TRANSPORTATION SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
HOMELAND SECURITY, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-
113hhrg92898/html/CHRG-113hhrg92898.htm)//twemchen
we do select the best value. That does
Mr. Benner. I am glad you put it that way, sir, because
There is three general criteria that we use to evaluate: There is a
not mean the lowest bid.
technical solution that the offeror provides; there is the past performance; and then
there is the cost. All those three are actually evaluated. Then you have different teams that
actually evaluate each of those. Then that goes to a source selection authority, who then compares all
those relative to each other and makes a final selection. In some cases, there is even another level, a
source selection evaluation board, which is in the case of--the last time we went through MCI, there was
we are selecting the
another level of observation there as well. So I am confident that
vendor who had the best proposal and provides the best value to
overall
the Government. Does that mean that it won't be protested? Absolutely not. Because any vendor
can obviously protest it, any time if they feel they have been wronged or the process
has been wronged, but I am confident in the process that we use.
Politics
Strait Turns
Winners Win
PC not real and winners win
Hirsh 13 --- Chief correspondent (2/7/2013, Michael, Theres No Such
Thing as Political Capital; The idea of political capitalor mandates, or
momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it
wrong, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/there-s-no-such-thing-as-
political-capital-20130207))
On Tuesday, in his State of the Union address, President Obama will do what every president does this time of year. For
about 60 minutes, he will lay out a sprawling and ambitious wish list highlighted by gun control and immigration reform,
climate change and debt reduction. In response, the pundits will do what they always do this time of year: They will
talk about how unrealistic most of the proposals are, discussions often informed by sagacious reckonings of
how much "political capital" Obama possesses to push his program
through. Most of this talk will have no bearing on what actually happens
over the next four years. Consider this: Three months ago, just before the November election, if someone had talked
seriously about Obama having enough political capital to oversee passage of both immigration reform and gun-control
legislation at the beginning of his second termeven after winning the election by 4 percentage points and 5 million votes
(the actual final tally)this person would have been called crazy and stripped of his pundit's license. (It doesn't exist, but it
ought to.) In his first term, in a starkly polarized country, the president had been so frustrated by GOP resistance that he
finally issued a limited executive order last August permitting immigrants who entered the country illegally as children to
work without fear of deportation for at least two years. Obama didn't dare to even bring up gun control, a Democratic
"third rail" that has cost the party elections and that actually might have been even less popular on the right than the
for reasons that have very little to do with
president's health care law. And yet,
Obama's personal prestige or popularity variously put in terms of a "mandate" or "political
capital" chances are fair that both will now happen. What changed? In the case of gun
control, of course, it wasn't the election. It was the horror of the 20 first-graders who were slaughtered in Newtown, Conn.,
in mid-December. The sickening reality of little girls and boys riddled with bullets from a high-capacity assault weapon
seemed to precipitate a sudden tipping point in the national conscience. One thing changed after another. Wayne LaPierre
of the National Rifle Association marginalized himself with poorly chosen comments soon after the massacre. The pro-gun
lobby, once a phalanx of opposition, began to fissure into reasonables and crazies. Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz.,
who was shot in the head two years ago and is still struggling to speak and walk, started a PAC with her husband to
appeal to the moderate middle of gun owners. Then she gave riveting and poignant testimony to the Senate, challenging
lawmakers: "Be bold." As a result, momentum has appeared to build around some kind of a plan to curtail sales of the
most dangerous weapons and ammunition and the way people are permitted to buy them. It's impossible to say now
whether such a bill will pass and, if it does, whether it will make anything more than cosmetic changes to gun laws. But
one thing is clear: The political tectonics have shifted dramatically in very little time. Whole new possibilities exist now
that didn't a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Republican members of the Senate's so-called Gang of Eight are pushing hard
for a new spirit of compromise on immigration reform, a sharp change after an election year in which the GOP standard-
bearer declared he would make life so miserable for the 11 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. that they would "self-
deport." But this turnaround has very little to do with Obama's personal influencehis political mandate, as it were. It has
almost entirely to do with just two numbers: 71 and 27. That's 71 percent for Obama, 27 percent for Mitt Romney, the
breakdown of the Hispanic vote in the 2012 presidential election. Obama drove home his advantage by giving a speech on
immigration reform on Jan. 29 at a Hispanic-dominated high school in Nevada, a swing state he won by a surprising 8
percentage points in November. But the movement on immigration has mainly come out of the Republican Party's recent
introspection, and the realization by its more thoughtful members, such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Gov. Bobby
Jindal of Louisiana, that without such a shift the party may be facing demographic death in a country where the 2010
It's got nothing to do
census showed, for the first time, that white births have fallen into the minority.
with Obama's political capital or, indeed, Obama at all. The point is not that "political
capital" is a meaningless term. Often it is a synonym for "mandate" or "momentum" in the aftermath of a decisive
electionand just about every politician ever elected has tried to claim more of a mandate than he actually has. Certainly,
Obama can say that because he was elected and Romney wasn't, he has a better claim on the country's mood and
direction. Many pundits still defend political capital as a useful metaphor at least. "It's an unquantifiable but meaningful
concept," says Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute. " You
can't really look at a
president and say he's got 37 ounces of political capital. But the fact is, it's a
concept that matters, if you have popularity and some momentum on your side." The real problem is that the idea of
political capitalor mandates, or momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it wrong. "Presidents
usually over-estimate it," says George Edwards, a presidential scholar at Texas A&M University. "The best kind of political
capitalsome sense of an electoral mandate to do somethingis very rare. It almost never happens. In 1964, maybe. And to
political capital is a concept that misleads far more
some degree in 1980." For that reason,
than it enlightens. It is distortionary. It conveys the idea that we know more than we really do
about the ever-elusive concept of political power, and it discounts the way unforeseen
events can suddenly change everything . Instead, it suggests,
erroneously, that a political figure has a concrete amount of political
capital to invest, just as someone might have real investment capital that a particular leader can bank his
gains, and the size of his account determines what he can do at any given moment in history. Naturally, any president has
practical and electoral limits. Does he have a majority in both chambers of Congress and a cohesive coalition behind him?
Obama has neither at present. And unless a surge in the economyat the moment, still stuckor some other great victory
gives him more momentum, it is inevitable that the closer Obama gets to the 2014 election, the less he will be able to get
done. Going into the midterms, Republicans will increasingly avoid any concessions that make him (and the Democrats)
stronger. But the abrupt emergence of the immigration and gun-control issues
illustrates how suddenly shifts in mood can occur and how political interests can
align in new ways just as suddenly. Indeed, the pseudo-concept of political capital
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
Heavy Weights
Popular with political heavyweights
Lasky 14 editorial director of security technology @ Security Info Watch
Magazine (Steve Lasky, 1/24/14, Sentiment grows for privatizing airport
screening again!, http://www.securityinfowatch.com/blog/11299735/tsa-
screeners-under-attack)//twemchen
As frustration with TSA screening practices and perceived security lapses continue to
grow not only with the general flying public , but with political
heavyweights in Washington D.C., the cry for the return to private security
screeners in our nations airports is reaching an audible pitch .
Sen. Mica
Mica likes the plan
SB 10 smart brief (11/17/10, As uproar continues, Rep. Mica urges airports
to privatize security, http://www.smartbrief.com/s/2010/11/uproar-continues-
rep-mica-urges-airports-privatize-security)//twemchen
Especially security
Bender 14 Forbes contributor (Andrew Bender, 8/1/14, Airline Industry
Takes Gloves Off, Sues TSA Over Security Fee Hike,
http://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewbender/2014/08/01/airline-industry-takes-
gloves-off-sues-tsa-over-security-fee-hike/)//twemchen
Last week, the Transportation Security Administration raised the security fee charged to airline
passengers. This week, the airline industry struck back . Airlines for America (A4A), the
U.S. airline trade group, and the International Air Transport Association (IATA), which represents
240 international carriers, filed a petition over the fee increase in federal court. The main
complaint: The removal of a cap on security fees. Lets start with the basics. After 9-11, TSA
security fees were pegged at $2.50 per flight (enplanement, in industry lingo) with a $10 maximum.
If you flew nonstop point to point, youd pay $2.50 each way, or $5 round trip (two enplanements). With a
change of planes in each direction, youd pay $5 each way (two enplanements), or $10 round trip (four
enplanements).
Airlines Key
Most recent evidence mergers strengthened lobbying
efforts
Levinthal 13 -- Senior Reporter The Center for Public Integrity (Dave
Levinthal, 3-4-2013 http://www.publicintegrity.org/2013/03/04/12267/us-
airways-strengthens-lobbying-force)//twemchen
US Airways in the midst of merger proceedings with American Airlines is
blostering its already robust lobbying force with a pair of new government
relations firms, documents filed with the U.S. Senate this weekend indicate. Joseph Gibson of The Gibson Group
will handle one lobbying account, while Scott Reed of Chesapeake Enterprises will lead the other, according to US Airways'
filings. Both contracts went into effect in mid-February, just days after the airlines announced the merger proposal.
Gibson, for his part, brings extensive government experience to bear, having most notably
served as chief minority counsel to the House Judiciary Committee , deputy assistant
attorney general for the Department of Justice's Office of Legislative Affairs and chief of staff for Rep. Lamar Smith, R-
Texas. His lobbying responsibilities include "issues relating to the proposed merger of US Airways and American Airlines,"
Reed lists his lobbying duties as "House and Senate hearings;
the filing states.
merger activities," according to his filing. During 2012, US Airways spent more money on
federal-level lobbying activity, $2.83 million, than during any previous year ,
federal records show. Such spending paid 31 lobbyists at four firms Podesta Group, Cormac
Group, Ogilvy Government Relations and Vandor Strategies most of whom have previously
worked for the government , according to the Center for Responsive Politics. US Airways, a
representative for which could not be immediately reached for comment, also employed a pair of in-
house lobbyists.
Aviation is key
Randall 1 staff writer @ WSWS (Kate Randall, 10/18/1, How the US airlines
got their $15 billion bailout, http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2001/10/air-
o18.html)//twemchen
The intimateties between corporate America, the Bush administration and the two main
political parties were illustrated in sharp relief last month by the speed with which Congress
passed the bailout of the airline industry. Less than two weeks following the September 11 terror
attacks the airlines had secured $15 billion dollars in federal money, with none of it going to the thousands
of airline workers who have lost their jobs and seen their benefits slashed. Only the day after the attacks,
airlines sprung into action. Their lobbyists converged on Capitol Hill to
the
convince Congress that the industry needed billions of dollars. In fact, they argued that the very
survival of America was dependent on the injection of huge sums of federal money into the airline
companies coffers. Senator Peter G. Fitzgerald (R-Illinois), the only senator to vote against the bailout
package, told the New York Times: The airline industry made a full-court press to convince
Congress that giving them billions in taxpayer cash was the only way to save the republic. He
described the airlines lobbying efforts as masterful. The airlines have a powerful
lobby in Congress, including 27 lobbyists working directly for the airlines and another 42 from
Washington firms. Included among them are former White House aides, transportation secretaries and
retired congressmen. Haley Barbour, a former Republican National Committee chairman, and Rebecca Cox,
a former Reagan administration official and the wife of Representative Christopher Cox, a California
Republican, were also on board for the airlines cause. Linda Hall Daschle, the wife of Senate Majority
Leader Tom Daschle, is a lobbyist for American Airlines. While reportedly avoiding her husband and Senate
Democrats in her lobbying efforts, Ms. Daschle campaigned vigorously among House Democrats for the
bailout. Airline top executives lobbied for their companies in person. Among them were Donald J. Carty,
CEO of American Airlines parent company AMR, and Gordon Bethune, chief executive of Continental
Airlines. Both companies are based in Texas, and Carty and Bethune have known George W. Bush for years.
Delta Airlines CEO Leo F. Mullin was also on hand. Board members of the six major airlines made calls to
leading members of Congress and the Bush administration to support their case. Kirbyjon Caldwell, a
Continental director, phoned three senators on September 19, saying the bailout was needed to transform
a moment of fear to a moment of faith. American Airlines Director John W. Bachmann called Missouri
Representatives Richard Gephardt and Roy Blunt to say the airline industrys losses were nothing less than
a big contributor
breathtaking and required immediate action. The airline industry has long been
to the Democratic and Republican parties, and this support was rewarded
generously in the bailout package.
Biparts key
Eilperin 14 Washington Post (Juliet, 11/18/14, A handful of bills could
bridge the partisan divide. But will they start a trend?,
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-handful-of-bills-could-bridge-the-
partisan-divide/2014/11/17/b4fed0da-6e74-11e4-8808-
afaa1e3a33ef_story.html)
measures share some obvious characteristics they all enjoy strong
While these
bipartisan support and would affect vulnerable populations they also hint at a
broader trend . After an extended period of dysfunction on Capitol
Hill, weary lawmakers and administration officials are eager to show
a disaffected electorate that they can make modest changes to the
way government functions. There are plenty of signs that President Obama and
congressional Republicans remain on a collision course this week, over energy and possibly immigration.
So it is not clear that the successful passage of these bills would spill over into more-
contentious parts of the legislative arena , such as trade and tax reform. But, at
least for the moment, there are some very concrete results. This is the beginning of
green shoots , said Rich Gold, who heads Holland & Knights public policy practice and represents
the coalition backing the Sunscreen Innovation Act. What youre seeing with these bills is that, even
with the general gap yawning between the two parties, theres a
beginning vision of what the government should be doing going
forward. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) is spearheading an effort to pass as many bills as possible
that have already cleared the House and have at least had hearings in the Senate. While they deal with a
range of topics from using foreign visa fees to promote U.S. tourism abroad to collecting taxes on
compromise and could make it easier to
Internet sales she said they all reflect
strike broader deals in the next congressional session. For the institution,
its important to get the grease in the wheels again, Klobuchar
Congress,
it is going to
said in an interview. Even if we dont pass all of them, going into the first six months
make people feel better about the work they do, and its going let the public
see things can get done.
Mr. Cravaack. Yeah, I know it.It is a bipartisan issue . We have worked on a lot of different
issues regarding transportation as well. The big thing I think we want to make sure that we have
public is that there is a beneficial cost associated with the privatized, if there is one;
and, No. 2, that we have an effective system that you are able to manage.
Public Link Turn
The public loves the plantheir evidence cites a vocal
majority
Reed 11 (Kristi, 3/6/11, "Airport Privatization Proponent Speaks Out",
Peachtree Corners Patch, patch.com/georgia/peachtreecorners/airport-
privatization-proponent-speaks-out-2)//twemchen
Smith said he conducted a poll to
COMMUNITY OPINION Before approaching the county,
determine community interest and support for the project. I wanted to make sure
the majority of people were in favor of this, he said. If theyre not, its a waste of time. In a poll of 531
registered voters, Smith said roughly 80 percent favored privatization with commercial
needed. So how do today's public leaders better use public opinion to achieve
their ministerial set public policy objectives ? Within reach of Whitehall's civil servants and
minsters is a vast array of research and publications than can be used to inform the policy formation and
implementation process. Examples such as Ipsos Mori's understanding society series provides a detailed
insight into what the public value, think and want from the state. The Britain 2012 report is an example of
a piece of research that encapsulates the nation's mindset. The Cabinet Office is seeking new ways to
involve the public in policy formation in both the transparency and open data agendas which allow us to
see exactly where every penny of our taxes is going and opens up the space for political and public debate
on previously untouchables areas of state expenditure. Areas such as benefits reform at the Department of
Work and Pensions (including free TV licences, winter fuel allowance, free bus passes) could all be up for
discussion. This would have been thinking the unthinkable in the past. Public opinion could
also help set the pace of reform . To overcome frustrations around the lengthy timetable
required to implement reform, why not allow policy to be timetabled to align with public opinion?
Therein lies the momentum and impetus to accelerate the speed at
which the aptly labelled dead hand of the state implements policy. The
findings from Britain 2012 depict a generation whose view of the state is highly contrasted to views held
by their parents and grandparents. Broadly speaking, the report found a differing view between the
generations about what the state should or should not be doing. At one end of the spectrum the elder
"collectivist" post-war generation who, unsurprisingly, places value in a society and state that cares for the
most needy, and at the other, a younger generation of teenagers and those in their 20's who broadly take
a more "individualist" view of the world where each needs to take greater responsibility for themselves. In
either case, underlying changes in public opinion across generations
highlight the profound impact this may have on drawing up the
public policy priorities of the future .
Export Import
Straight Turn
PC not real and winners win
Hirsh 13 --- Chief correspondent (2/7/2013, Michael, Theres No Such
Thing as Political Capital; The idea of political capitalor mandates, or
momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it
wrong, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/there-s-no-such-thing-as-
political-capital-20130207))
On Tuesday, in his State of the Union address, President Obama will do what every president does this time of year. For
about 60 minutes, he will lay out a sprawling and ambitious wish list highlighted by gun control and immigration reform,
climate change and debt reduction. In response, the pundits will do what they always do this time of year: They will
talk about how unrealistic most of the proposals are, discussions often informed by sagacious reckonings of
how much "political capital" Obama possesses to push his program
through. Most of this talk will have no bearing on what actually happens
over the next four years. Consider this: Three months ago, just before the November election, if someone had talked
seriously about Obama having enough political capital to oversee passage of both immigration reform and gun-control
legislation at the beginning of his second termeven after winning the election by 4 percentage points and 5 million votes
(the actual final tally)this person would have been called crazy and stripped of his pundit's license. (It doesn't exist, but it
ought to.) In his first term, in a starkly polarized country, the president had been so frustrated by GOP resistance that he
finally issued a limited executive order last August permitting immigrants who entered the country illegally as children to
work without fear of deportation for at least two years. Obama didn't dare to even bring up gun control, a Democratic
"third rail" that has cost the party elections and that actually might have been even less popular on the right than the
for reasons that have very little to do with
president's health care law. And yet,
Obama's personal prestige or popularity variously put in terms of a "mandate" or "political
capital" chances are fair that both will now happen. What changed? In the case of gun
control, of course, it wasn't the election. It was the horror of the 20 first-graders who were slaughtered in Newtown, Conn.,
in mid-December. The sickening reality of little girls and boys riddled with bullets from a high-capacity assault weapon
seemed to precipitate a sudden tipping point in the national conscience. One thing changed after another. Wayne LaPierre
of the National Rifle Association marginalized himself with poorly chosen comments soon after the massacre. The pro-gun
lobby, once a phalanx of opposition, began to fissure into reasonables and crazies. Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz.,
who was shot in the head two years ago and is still struggling to speak and walk, started a PAC with her husband to
appeal to the moderate middle of gun owners. Then she gave riveting and poignant testimony to the Senate, challenging
lawmakers: "Be bold." As a result, momentum has appeared to build around some kind of a plan to curtail sales of the
most dangerous weapons and ammunition and the way people are permitted to buy them. It's impossible to say now
whether such a bill will pass and, if it does, whether it will make anything more than cosmetic changes to gun laws. But
one thing is clear: The political tectonics have shifted dramatically in very little time. Whole new possibilities exist now
that didn't a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Republican members of the Senate's so-called Gang of Eight are pushing hard
for a new spirit of compromise on immigration reform, a sharp change after an election year in which the GOP standard-
bearer declared he would make life so miserable for the 11 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. that they would "self-
deport." But this turnaround has very little to do with Obama's personal influencehis political mandate, as it were. It has
almost entirely to do with just two numbers: 71 and 27. That's 71 percent for Obama, 27 percent for Mitt Romney, the
breakdown of the Hispanic vote in the 2012 presidential election. Obama drove home his advantage by giving a speech on
immigration reform on Jan. 29 at a Hispanic-dominated high school in Nevada, a swing state he won by a surprising 8
percentage points in November. But the movement on immigration has mainly come out of the Republican Party's recent
introspection, and the realization by its more thoughtful members, such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Gov. Bobby
Jindal of Louisiana, that without such a shift the party may be facing demographic death in a country where the 2010
It's got nothing to do
census showed, for the first time, that white births have fallen into the minority.
with Obama's political capital or, indeed, Obama at all. The point is not that "political
capital" is a meaningless term. Often it is a synonym for "mandate" or "momentum" in the aftermath of a decisive
electionand just about every politician ever elected has tried to claim more of a mandate than he actually has. Certainly,
Obama can say that because he was elected and Romney wasn't, he has a better claim on the country's mood and
direction. Many pundits still defend political capital as a useful metaphor at least. "It's an unquantifiable but meaningful
concept," says Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute. " You
can't really look at a
president and say he's got 37 ounces of political capital. But the fact is, it's a
concept that matters, if you have popularity and some momentum on your side." The real problem is that the idea of
political capitalor mandates, or momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it wrong. "Presidents
usually over-estimate it," says George Edwards, a presidential scholar at Texas A&M University. "The best kind of political
capitalsome sense of an electoral mandate to do somethingis very rare. It almost never happens. In 1964, maybe. And to
political capital is a concept that misleads far more
some degree in 1980." For that reason,
than it enlightens. It is distortionary. It conveys the idea that we know more than we really do
about the ever-elusive concept of political power, and it discounts the way unforeseen
events can suddenly change everything . Instead, it suggests,
erroneously, that a political figure has a concrete amount of political
capital to invest, just as someone might have real investment capital that a particular leader can bank his
gains, and the size of his account determines what he can do at any given moment in history. Naturally, any president has
practical and electoral limits. Does he have a majority in both chambers of Congress and a cohesive coalition behind him?
Obama has neither at present. And unless a surge in the economyat the moment, still stuckor some other great victory
gives him more momentum, it is inevitable that the closer Obama gets to the 2014 election, the less he will be able to get
done. Going into the midterms, Republicans will increasingly avoid any concessions that make him (and the Democrats)
stronger. But the abrupt emergence of the immigration and gun-control issues
illustrates how suddenly shifts in mood can occur and how political interests can
align in new ways just as suddenly. Indeed, the pseudo-concept of political capital
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
The bank has strong bipartisan support on Capitol Hill, but a group of staunch
conservative Republicans has criticized the agency as a form of "corporate welfare" that only helps a few
The White House says the
large corporations that do not need government assistance.
business owners who will meet with the president have worked with the Ex-Im Bank in
the past "to expand their exports and sustain and create jobs ." Supporters
have also noted that rival nations such as China and Germany have similar agencies assisting their
companies sell exports on the global market. "The Export-Import Bank is a critical tool in
the bipartisan trade agenda that helps U.S. businesses succeed in global
markets and grow their exports . Ex-Im equips companies with financing they need to go toe-
to-toe with foreign rivals, resulting in more exports and more well-paying jobs in cities and towns here in
America, rather than overseas," a White House official said. There is growing support in
the Senate to attach a measure to restore the Ex-Im Bank's charter on a bill that would provide
funding for the federal Highway Trust Fund, which must be approved by July 31.
Some of them will be left undone . But were going to try to make progress
on every single one of them . The renewed domestic offensive, coupled with an aggressive front on
foreign-policy issues, are a reflection of a president who is, as former senior White House adviser David Axelrod recently
told The Wall Street Journal, feeling the pressures of time. The challenge for Mr. Obama will be in the places where his
domestic and foreign policy agendas intersect. The president has limited political capital
in Congress. And he needs lawmakers to backor at least not amass
a veto-proof majority opposition toa nuclear deal with Iran if one is
finalized in coming days. Hell also need to generate enough support among Republican and Democratic lawmakers for
lifting the embargo on Cuba, which on Wednesday he again called on Congress to do as he announced finalized plans to
Its unclear if Mr. Obama will also be able to persuade
open an American embassy in Havana.
Congress to act on issues such as infrastructure, business taxes and the
criminal justice system. But White House officials have been
instructed to make a strong effort . We are going to squeeze every last ounce of progress that
we can make when I have the privilegeas long as I have the privilege of holding this office, Mr. Obama said Tuesday.
AT Losers Lose I/L
No link Obama pushes the plan
a) He supports most agenda items most predictable
its the only way to get things through congress no one
else would support it
b) Prevents abusive 2ac clarifications that spike out of all
DAs and CPs
c) USFG is all three branches
DGP 98 (Ed. P.H. Collin, p. 292)
United States of America (USA) [ju:naitid steits av emerike] noun independent country, a
federation of states (originally thirteen, now fifty in North America; the United States Code = book containing all the
permanent laws of the USA, arranged in sections according to subject and revised from time to time COMMENT: the
federal government (based in Washington D.C.) is formed of a legislature (the
Congress) with two chambers (the Senate and House of Representatives), an executive (the President) and a
judiciary (the Supreme Court). Each of the fifty states making up the USA has its own legislature and executive (the
Governor) as well as its own legal system and constitution
up a short-term spending fix for the federal highway trust fund. The fix is a must-pass
piece of legislation to shore up funding for infrastructure spending. The Senate GOP is
likely to attach an amendment reauthorizing the Bank, forcing the House to
accept its resurrection in order to maintain highway spending.
1ar EXT PC Low
Obamas recent wins wont spillover --- no chance for
cooperation on other issues
Drezner 6/30 professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of
Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University (Daniel W., What can Obama really do
in his fourth quarter? He had a good week last week. What does that mean
for his presidency going forward?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/06/30/what-can-
obama-really-do-in-his-fourth-quarter/, JMP)
So the consensus among the political cognoscenti was that last week was the best week of Barack Obamas presidency. I
guess that includes me. Last week I tweeted: [image omitted] And this was all before the Supreme Court eliminated all
restrictions on same-sex marriage and Obama gave the speech of his presidency in eulogizing the Rev. Clementa
Pinckney: So, naturally, the Sunday morning shows were all about Obama
reborn and the political press was writing all about After
momentous week, Obamas presidency is reborn, and I think its
time to just take a step back and think real hard about this meme a
bit. This kind of analysis is akin to sports-writing about momentum:
The notion that a player is on a hot streak implies that he will
continue to go on his hot streak, when in point of fact, regression to the mean is the far more
likely outcome. To be fair, in politics, theres the political capital argument
that prior successes burnishes a presidents popularity, which in
turn gives him some form of political capital to seek out even more
successes. And Obamas popularity is rising in some (but not all) polls. Still, a dose of realism
seems useful here . A president can advance his agenda through a number of means: acts of legislation,
executive actions in domestic policy, foreign affairs accomplishments and burnishing his political legacy. Lets think about
these in turn. The president could reel off 10 consecutive speeches like he did in Charleston, but thats not going to make
The GOP leadership has just cooperated
this Congress any more amenable to his policies.
with Obama on the one policy initiative that they agree on there
isnt anything left in the hopper . And buried within Politicos Obama reborn! story is this little
nugget: Meanwhile, progressives on the Hill, especially those still burning over how hard he steamrolled them on trade,
are rolling their eyes at the lionizing. Remember, they point out, that many of the big things Obama gets the credit for
didnt originate with him people like Nancy Pelosi were pushing him further on health care than the White House
wanted to go, or out in favor of a gay marriage plank in the 2012 convention platform when he was still deciding what to
say. So the congressional route is pretty much stymied. Then theres executive action, a route that this administration has
been super-keen on since last year, particularly with respect to climate change (see also: new overtime rules). But lost
among all the huzzahs! and WTFs!! about King vs. Burwell was the fact that Chief Justice John Robertss ruling actually
constricted the executive branchs ability to do that very thing. Robertss opinion placed significant limits on the Chevron
deference that the courts have bestowed to the executive branch in the past, as Chris Walker explains: [T]he Chief went
the extra step of reasserting the judiciarys primary role of interpreting statutes that raise questions of deep economic
and political significance. This is a major blow to a bright-line rule-based approach to Chevron deference. One could say
that King v. Burwellwhile a critical win for the Obama Administrationis a judicial power grab over the Executive in the
modern administrative state. It will also be interesting to see how this amplified major questions doctrine affects other
judicial challenges to executive action. Especially in light of the King Courts citation to UARG, one context that
immediately comes to mind is the EPAs Clean Power Plan. So while the health-care ruling was a substantive victory for
the Obama administration, it was a process loss, and could make it difficult for the president to implement parts of his
agenda through executive action. Then theres foreign policy, his most promising avenue. Obama has the ability to rack
up some significant accomplishments over the next 18 months: the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Transatlantic Trade and
Investment Partnership, an opening to Cuba, an Iran nuclear deal and a climate change deal in Paris at the end of this
year. I think it says something, however, that of the five things listed above, the Cuba opening is likely the least
controversial. TPP and T-TIP are important but will not build him political capital since his own domestic allies hate it. The
Iran deal and climate change negotiations are significant but will run into considerable opposition. And, connected with
the point above, political polarization will make it harder for Obama to make credible commitments in Paris. More
significantly, I think foreign policy is an area where the president has lost the broader debate about how the United States
should approach the world. Finally, theres his political legacy. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016, then Obama
can legitimately compare himself to Ronald Reagan as the only postwar presidents who managed to bequeath his party
the presidency after his two terms were up. But as Jonathan Martin noted over the weekend in the New York Times, the
paradoxical effect of last week is that it clears the deck for GOP candidates: [E]ven as conservatives appear under siege,
some Republicans predict that this moment will be remembered as an effective wiping of the slate before the nation
begins focusing in earnest on the presidential race. As important as some of these issues may be to the most conservative
elements of the partys base and in the primaries ahead, few Republican leaders want to contest the 2016 elections on
social or cultural grounds, where polls suggest that they are sharply out of step with the American public. Every once in a
while, we bring down the curtain on the politics of a prior era, said David Frum, the conservative writer. The stage is now
cleared for the next generation of issues. And Republicans can say, Whether youre gay, black or a recent migrant to our
will Obama be
country, we are going to welcome you as a fully cherished member of our coalition. So
able to build on his great week to have a successful fourth quarter?
Color me somewhat skeptical. On the domestic policy front, the
president is likely to find his political options more restricted rather
than less restricted after last week . There are significant but polarizing opportunities on
foreign policy. And his political legacy rests on Clintons ability to fend off Bernie Sanders and a Republican who will be
battle-tested from the most competitive party primary Ive ever seen. Hes got decent chances on the latter two fronts
but lets put last week into perspective. It was a great week for the president. It does not mean that his presidency is
reborn.
discovered despite his reputation as the Great Communicator. The limits of the presidents
power can be scary as human beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea
that they can control events is a comforting fiction , not an
explanation for their success or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest
president) wrote, I claim not to have controlled events, but confess
plainly that events controlled me. Imagine what the pundits would
do with that admission today!
1ar EXT PC Fake
Presidential influence is wildly exaggerated their ev just
quotes political pundits
Nyhan 14 -- assistant professor of government at Dartmouth (Brendan,
Obama and the Myth of Presidential Control,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/25/upshot/obama-and-the-myth-of-
presidential-control.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1, JMP)
One of the most common criticisms of presidents especially struggling ones
during their second term is that they have lost control of events . This charge,
which has been leveled at chief executives such as Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, has become a
mantra lately in coverage of President Obama, who faces a stalled legislative agenda and crises in Ukraine,
One frequent explanation from
Gaza and at the border with Mexico. What happened?
pundits and journalists is that Mr. Obama has little control and is
instead being driven or buffeted by events. This notion
pervades commentary and debate on the presidency. We want to
believe that the president is (or should be) in control. Its the impulse behind
holding the president responsible for a bad economy and giving him credit for a good one (the most
The reassuring nature of
important factor in presidential approval and election outcomes).
presidential control is also why news media coverage of foreign
policy crises and other events that rally the country tends to use
language that depicts the president as being in command. The flip side of
the demand for presidential control is disappointment when he cant magically work his will.
Advocates of what Ive called the Green Lantern theory of the presidency
suggest that Mr. Obamas failure to achieve his goals in Congress
reflects a lack of effort or willpower. If he only tried harder or were tougher, they
suggest, he could control events rather than being controlled by them. These analyses get the
direction of causality backward, however. Under favorable
circumstances, presidents seem to be in command of events, but
thats largely a reflection of the context they face. Its not hard to seem in
control when the economy is booming, the presidents party has a large majority in Congress or the nation
is rallying around the president after a national tragedy. Once unfavorable circumstances arise, though,
even the most accomplished chief executives seem to lose control. My research has found, for example,
that scandals are not simply about misconduct. They are more likely to arise when presidents are
unpopular with self-identified members of the opposition party or when there are few competing stories in
the news. Obviously, the modern presidency is a powerful office with enormous influence, especially in
foreign policy. Iraq and Afghanistan, for instance, might look very different today if Mr. Bush had made
different decisions. Even in the domestic realm, the president can have success with a supportive
Congress, as Mr. Obamas success in passing the Affordable Care Act demonstrates. At the same time,
the powers of the presidency are outstripped by the unrealistic
expectations placed on the chief executive in the modern era . When
problems arise, its only natural that people want the most powerful person in the country to fix them, but
these demands often lack a plausible account of how the problem could be solved. And even when the
president has a proposal that he thinks would provide a solution, hes likely to struggle to persuade
Congress or the public to support it, as Mr. Reagan discovered despite his reputation as the Great
Communicator. The limits of the presidents power can be scary as human
beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea that they can control
events is a comforting fiction , not an explanation for their success
or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest president) wrote, I claim not
to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events controlled
me. Imagine what the pundits would do with that admission today!
down the gauntlet to the Republicans , insisting they raise taxes on the wealthy. Right on the
edge of the fiscal cliff, he thinks Republicans will cave." What's your Plan B, I asked. "We don't need a Plan B," they
answered. "After the president hangs tough -- no more Mr. Nice Guy --
the other side will buckle ." Sure enough, Republicans caved on taxes.
Encouraged, Obama has since made clear he won't compromise with
Republicans on the debt ceiling, either. Obama 2.0 stepped up this past
week on yet another issue: gun control. No president in two decades has been as forceful or
sweeping in challenging the nation's gun culture. Once again, he portrayed the right as the
enemy of progress and showed no interest in negotiating a package
up front. In his coming State of the Union address, and perhaps in his inaugural, the president will begin a hard
push for a comprehensive reform of our tattered immigration system. Leading GOP leaders on the issue -- Sen. Marco
Obama wants to go
Rubio, R-Florida, for example -- would prefer a piecemeal approach that is bipartisan.
for broke in a single package, and on a central issue -- providing a clear path to
citizenship for undocumented residents -- he is uncompromising. After losing out on getting Susan Rice
as his next secretary of state, Obama has also shown a tougher side on personnel appointments. Rice went down after
Democratic as well as Republican senators indicated a preference for Sen. John Kerry. But when Republicans also tried to
kill the nomination of Chuck Hagel for secretary of defense, Obama was unyielding -- an "in-your-face appointment," Sen.
Lindsay Graham, R-South Carolina, called it, echoing sentiments held by some of his colleagues. Republicans would have
Hagel and Lew -- both
preferred someone other than Jack Lew at Treasury, but Obama brushed them off.
substantial men -- will be confirmed, absent an unexpected
bombshell, and Obama will rack up two more victories over
Republicans. Strikingly, Obama has also been deft in the ways he has drawn upon Vice President Joe Biden.
During much of the campaign, Biden appeared to be kept under wraps. But in the transition, he has been invaluable to
Obama in negotiating a deal with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on the fiscal cliff and in pulling together the gun
package. Biden was also at his most eloquent at the ceremony announcing the gun measures. All of this has added up for
Obama to one of the most effective transitions in modern times. And it is paying rich dividends: A CNN poll this past week
pegged his approval rating at 55%, far above the doldrums he was in for much of the past two years. Many of
his long-time supporters are rallying behind him . As the first Democrat since
Obama is in the
Franklin D. Roosevelt to score back-to-back election victories with more than 50% of the vote,
strongest position since early in his first year. Smarter, tougher,
bolder -- his new style is paying off politically . But in the long run, will it also pay off in
better governance? Perhaps -- and for the country's sake, let's hope so. Yet, there are ample reasons to wonder, and worry.
Ultimately, to resolve major issues like deficits, immigration, guns and energy , the president
and Congress need to find ways to work together much better than they did in the first term. Over the past two years,
Republicans were clearly more recalcitrant than Democrats, practically declaring war on Obama, and the White
House has been right to adopt a tougher approach after the elections. But a
growing number of Republicans concluded after they had their heads handed to them in November that they had to move
away from extremism toward a more center-right position, more open to working out compromises with Obama. It's not
that they suddenly wanted Obama to succeed; they didn't want their party to fail. House Speaker John Boehner led the
way, offering the day after the election to raise taxes on the wealthy and giving up two decades of GOP orthodoxy. In a
similar spirit, Rubio has been developing a mainstream plan on immigration, moving away from a ruinous GOP stance.
One senses that the hope, small as it was, to take a brief timeout on hyperpartisanship in order to tackle the big issues is
conservatives
now slipping away. While a majority of Americans now approve of Obama's job performance,
And it frustrates them that he is winning : At their retreat, House Republicans learned that
their disapproval has risen to 64%. Conceivably, Obama's tactics could pressure
Republicans into capitulation on several fronts. More likely, they will be spoiling for
more fights. Chances for a "grand bargain" appear to be hanging by a
thread.
Despite the country's struggling economy and vocal opposition to some of his
that, he stands at the end of this six weeks with as much or more capital in
the bank." Peter Hart gets at a key point. Some believe that political capital is finite , that it
can be used up. To an extent that's true. But it's important to note, too, that political capital can be
regenerated -- and, specifically, that when a President expends a great deal of
capital on a measure that was difficult to enact and then succeeds , he can
build up more capital. Indeed, that appears to be what is happening with Barack Obama, who went to
the mat to pass the stimulus package out of the gate, got it passed despite
near-unanimous opposition of the Republicans on Capitol Hill, and is being rewarded
by the American public as a result. Take a look at the numbers. President Obama now has a 68
percent favorable rating in the NBC-WSJ poll, his highest ever showing in the survey. Nearly half of those surveyed (47
percent) view him very positively. Obama's Democratic Party earns a respectable 49 percent favorable rating. The
Republican Party, however, is in the toilet, with its worst ever showing in the history of the NBC-WSJ poll, 26 percent
favorable. On the question of blame for the partisanship in Washington, 56 percent place the onus on the Bush
administration and another 41 percent place it on Congressional Republicans. Yet just 24 percent blame Congressional
with President Obama
Democrats, and a mere 11 percent blame the Obama administration. So at this point,
seemingly benefiting from his ambitious actions and the Republicans sinking further and
further as a result of their knee-jerked opposition to that agenda, there appears to be no reason not
to push forward on anything from universal healthcare to energy reform to ending the war in Iraq.
1ar EXT Iran Thump
The Iran deal thumps the disad will burn up PC AND
failure will stall Obamas political momentum
Fabian 7/7 Jordan Fabian, is a reporter who covers the White House for the
Hill, Nuclear deal with Iran appears elusive, July 7, 2015, The Hill,
http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/247156-nuclear-deal-with-iran-
appears-elusive/NV
White House hopes for a nuclear deal with Iran a top foreign policy
achievement for President Obama seemed in danger of crumbling on Tuesday.
Negotiators extended their talks again in Geneva, as Iran made new hard-line demands, including that the
United Nations lifts its arms embargo on the country. It was the second time the parties blew through a
deadline since the original June 30 cutoff, and it raised fresh questions on whether Obamas push to use
The White House
diplomacy to cut off Tehrans path to a nuclear weapon can succeed.
acknowledged a number of difficult issues stand in the way of a deal
but said the countries involved have never been closer to reaching
a final agreement than we are now. Thats an indication that these
talks, at least for now, are worth continuing, White House spokesman Josh
Earnest told reporters. At the same time, Earnest declined to put odds on reaching a deal. Im
not feeling like a betting man today, he said. The parties extended an interim agreement to July 10,
allowing the talks to last into Friday. But Iran is warning it wont sit at the negotiating table indefinitely.
Weve come to the end, an Iranian official told Reuters on Tuesday. Either it happens in the next 48
hours or not.The stakes are high for Obama. Along with his bid to re-
establish ties with Cuba, the Iran deal is a major test of the
presidents doctrine of engaging with the U.S.s traditional
adversaries to address common interests. If the talks falter, it would
wipe away an elusive legacy-defining foreign policy achievement for
Obama, who has grappled with instability in the Middle East and the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and
Syria. While Obama is riding the momentum from a series of successes
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
Link turn
needed. So how do today's public leaders better use public opinion to achieve
their ministerial set public policy objectives ? Within reach of Whitehall's civil servants and
minsters is a vast array of research and publications than can be used to inform the policy formation and
implementation process. Examples such as Ipsos Mori's understanding society series provides a detailed
insight into what the public value, think and want from the state. The Britain 2012 report is an example of
a piece of research that encapsulates the nation's mindset. The Cabinet Office is seeking new ways to
involve the public in policy formation in both the transparency and open data agendas which allow us to
see exactly where every penny of our taxes is going and opens up the space for political and public debate
on previously untouchables areas of state expenditure. Areas such as benefits reform at the Department of
Work and Pensions (including free TV licences, winter fuel allowance, free bus passes) could all be up for
discussion. This would have been thinking the unthinkable in the past. Public opinion could
also help set the pace of reform . To overcome frustrations around the lengthy timetable
required to implement reform, why not allow policy to be timetabled to align with public opinion?
Therein lies the momentum and impetus to accelerate the speed at
which the aptly labelled dead hand of the state implements policy. The
findings from Britain 2012 depict a generation whose view of the state is highly contrasted to views held
by their parents and grandparents. Broadly speaking, the report found a differing view between the
generations about what the state should or should not be doing. At one end of the spectrum the elder
"collectivist" post-war generation who, unsurprisingly, places value in a society and state that cares for the
most needy, and at the other, a younger generation of teenagers and those in their 20's who broadly take
a more "individualist" view of the world where each needs to take greater responsibility for themselves. In
either case, underlying changes in public opinion across generations
highlight the profound impact this may have on drawing up the
public policy priorities of the future .
Wont pass
aisle , with Sen. Ted Cruz , R-Texas, threatening to hold up State Department funding
and new ambassadors and House Foreign Affairs Chairman Ed Royce , R-Calif.,
saying lawmakers would try to block the administration from lifting the arms embargo on
Iran if the UN votes before Congress get a chance to review the deal . It seems your
offensive level of disrespect for the American people and their elected
representatives in Congress.
Impact D
Loads of thumpers
Lee 7/2 (Carol E. Lee, 7/2/15, White House Gears Up for Domestic Policy
Offensive, Wall Street Journal,
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/07/02/white-house-gears-up-for-
domestic-policy-offensive/)//Jmoney
While President Barack Obamas top foreign-policy initiativesparticularly on Cuba, trade and Iranhave dominated the
the White House is gearing up for a domestic policy push thats
headlines lately,
largely been under the radar. The effort is designed both to burnish Mr.
Obamas domestic-policy legacy and to try to make headway on issues where
progress has lagged. Mr. Obama has already begun to showcase the strategy.
The White House announced this week a proposal to expand overtime pay to
about five million more Americans, and on Wednesday Mr. Obama traveled to
Tennessee to highlight his health-care lawin the wake of last weeks Supreme Court
ruling that upheld federal subsidies to millions of low-income In coming weeks, the
White House is expected to roll out more executive orders, perhaps on gun
safety. And top White House officials are hoping to capitalize on their successful collaboration
with congressional Republicans on trade to advance a business-tax overhaul and
transportation initiatives targeted at shoring up the countrys infrastructure.
Changes to the criminal justice system are also at the top of the
presidents domestic wish list . He telegraphed his renewed domestic focus this week during a
news conference with Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff. The list is long, Mr. Obama said. What were going to
do is just keep on hammering away at all the issues that I think are going to have an impact on the American people.
Some of them will be left undone . But were going to try to make progress
on every single one of them . The renewed domestic offensive, coupled with an aggressive front on
foreign-policy issues, are a reflection of a president who is, as former senior White House adviser David Axelrod recently
told The Wall Street Journal, feeling the pressures of time. The challenge for Mr. Obama will be in the places where his
domestic and foreign policy agendas intersect. The president has limited political capital
in Congress. And he needs lawmakers to backor at least not amass
a veto-proof majority opposition toa nuclear deal with Iran if one is
finalized in coming days. Hell also need to generate enough support among Republican and Democratic lawmakers for
lifting the embargo on Cuba, which on Wednesday he again called on Congress to do as he announced finalized plans to
Its unclear if Mr. Obama will also be able to persuade
open an American embassy in Havana.
Congress to act on issues such as infrastructure, business taxes and the
criminal justice system. But White House officials have been
instructed to make a strong effort . We are going to squeeze every last ounce of progress that
we can make when I have the privilegeas long as I have the privilege of holding this office, Mr. Obama said Tuesday.
aisle , with Sen. Ted Cruz , R-Texas, threatening to hold up State Department funding
and new ambassadors and House Foreign Affairs Chairman Ed Royce , R-Calif.,
saying lawmakers would try to block the administration from lifting the arms embargo on
Iran if the UN votes before Congress get a chance to review the deal . It seems your
offensive level of disrespect for the American people and their elected
representatives in Congress.
clear and its even harder when partisan passions are running high . In the
Senate, if all 54 Republicans voted to kill the Iran deal, 13 Democrats or independents would
need to join them to reach the 67 needed to override a veto. But so far, only
one Democrat, Robert Menendez of New Jersey, has indicated that hes likely to vote
against the deal and even he hasnt made a final decision, a spokeswoman said
Wednesday. Plenty of others, including the incoming Democratic leader, Charles E. Schumer of New York, are on the fence.
not even clear that opponents of the deal
But at this point, as my colleague Lisa Mascaro notes, its
can muster the 60 votes they would need to bring a resolution of disapproval to the
floor. In the House, the obstacles are even higher. To override a veto,
opponents of the deal would need at least 44 of the Houses 188 Democrats (assuming all
members voted and all 246 Republicans stayed together). But the House has been even more
polarized than the Senate, mostly because so many members come from lopsidedly
partisan districts . House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi of San Francisco has already made it clear that she
plans to fight to protect the deal and Pelosi has been able to keep her members in
line on key votes . One more factor may prevent many Democrats from bolting: Hillary Rodham
Clinton. The presidential front-runner announced on Tuesday that she not only supports the Iran deal, she
intends to campaign for it. That means any Democrat who votes against the deal would
be going up not only against the partys incumbent president, but against the
partys most likely presidential nominee . So while Obama has often bemoaned the
partisan polarization that has made bipartisan cooperation impossible, in this case he may be (quietly) grateful for it.
Link turn
Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) warned Sunday that Iran will cheat on the nuclear
agreement with the Obama administration and other power and could develop a
nuclear weapon within a decade. He called on Congress to reject the Iranian nuclear deal,
because the inspection, verification and enforcement procedures are
too weak to prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon. I think we
have to assume that they will cheat on the deal, Cotton said on NBCs Meet the
Press. "Ultimately, even if they obey every single detail of the deal, it puts
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
other permutations here are anywhere close to that kind of threat to the Obama presidency. Presidents lose
key votes which are then mostly forgotten all the time . They pursue
policies which poll badly, but are then mostly forgotten, all the time.
Look, there is no question that if Obama loses Syria vote, the coverage will be absolutely merciless.
But let's bring some perspective. The public will probably be relieved, and eventually all the "Obama
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
AT Prolif/Iran War
No war from deal failure their ev is all rhetoric
Pollak 7/17/15 reporter for The Weekly Standard (Noah, Obama's Claim of
War If Congress Rejects Iran Deal Doesn't Pass Laugh Test, The Weekly
Standard, https://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/obamas-claim-war-if-
congress-rejects-iran-deal-doesnt-pass-laugh-test_992618.html)//JJ
The Obama administration's latest argument for the Iran deal -- support it, or
there will be war -- is shameful . It is borderline political blackmail . It reveals an
administration desperate to avoid debating the deal on its merits , preferring instead
to intimidate its critics into acquiescence by accusing them of being warmongers. What should be said in response? Three
things: 1. Anyone who claims war will break out if the deal is rejected must explain why the United
States and its allies are powerless to avoid it . One scenario is that Iran decides to race to a
bomb, forcing U.S. or Israeli airstrikes on its nuclear facilities. But President Obama has already all but ruled
out airstrikes, claiming last month that there is no military solution to the problem -- and
nobody believes that this president would actually take military action against a
country he has spent his entire presidency courting in the hope of vindicating his belief
that rogue states can be reformed through diplomatic outreach. The president
has also ruled out an obvious non-military way that the West could respond to an Iranian escalation of its
program, which is new sanctions and embargoes that cripple Iran's economy and
force the regime to choose between its survival or domestic stability and the
nuclear program. Yet Obama and Kerry have said explicitly that additional sanctions will not force an Iranian
capitulation. Thus, by ruling out both military action and new sanctions, the
Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Israel about the deal ,
which will leave Iran with significant uranium enrichment capabilities and may not give the international community the
right to inspect all of Irans nuclear facilities. The administration argues that a deal with Iran will remove the need for
other regional powers to pursue their own nuclear enrichment and weapons programs. Cohen said the region doesnt see
Once you say they are allowed to enrich, the game is pretty much up
it that way.
in terms of how do you sustain an inspection regime in a country that has
carried on secret programs for 17 years and is still determined to maintain as
much of that secrecy as possible, said Cohen, who was a Republican lawmaker from Maine before
serving under President Clinton from 1997 to 2001. Other regional powers are further
Saudis, the UAE and the Israelis were all concerned about that, Cohen said. They are looking at what
we say, what we do, and what we fail to do, and they make their judgments.
In the Middle East now, they are making different calculations.
AT Terrorism
No nuke terror
Mueller 10 (John, professor of political science at Ohio State, Calming Our
Nuclear Jitters, Issues in Science and Technology, Winter,
http://www.issues.org/26.2/mueller.html)
Politicians of all stripes preach to an anxious, appreciative, and very numerous choir when they,
like President Obama, proclaim atomic terrorism to be the most immediate and extreme threat to global
security. It is the problem that, according to Defense Secretary Robert Gates, currently keeps every senior
leader awake at night. This is hardly a new anxiety. In 1946, atomic bomb maker J. Robert Oppenheimer
ominously warned that if three or four men could smuggle in units for an atomic bomb, they could blow up
New York. This was an early expression of a pattern of dramatic risk inflation that has
persisted throughout the nuclear age. In fact, although expanding fires and fallout might increase the
effective destructive radius, the blast of a Hiroshima-size device would blow up about 1% of the citys
areaa tragedy, of course, but not the same as one 100 times greater. In the early 1970s, nuclear
physicist Theodore Taylor proclaimed the atomic terrorist problem to be immediate, explaining at length
how comparatively easy it would be to steal nuclear material and step by step make it into a bomb. At
the time he thought it was already too late to prevent the making of a few bombs, here and there, now
and then, or in another ten or fifteen years, it will be too late. Three decades after Taylor, we continue
to wait for terrorists to carry out their easy task. In contrast to these predictions , terrorist
groups seem to have exhibited only limited desire and even less progress in
going atomic. This may be because, after brief exploration of the possible routes, they, unlike generations
of alarmists, have discovered that the tremendous effort required is scarcely likely to be successful. The
most plausible route for terrorists, according to most experts, would be to manufacture an atomic device
themselves from purloined fissile material (plutonium or, more likely, highly enriched uranium). This task,
however, remains a daunting one, requiring that a considerable series of difficult hurdles be conquered
and in sequence. Outright armed theft of fissile material is exceedingly unlikely not
only because of the resistance of guards, but because chase would be immediate. A more
promising approach would be to corrupt insiders to smuggle out the required substances. However, this
requires the terrorists to pay off a host of greedy confederates, including brokers and money-transmitters,
any one of whom could turn on them or, either out of guile or incompetence, furnish them with stuff that is
useless. Insiders might also consider the possibility that once the heist was accomplished, the terrorists
would, as analyst Brian Jenkins none too delicately puts it, have every incentive to cover their trail,
beginning with eliminating their confederates. If terrorists were somehow successful at obtaining a
sufficient mass of relevant material, they would then probably have to transport it a long
distance over unfamiliar terrain and probably while being pursued by security forces. Crossing
international borders would be facilitated by following established smuggling routes, but these are not as
chaotic as they appear and are often under the watch of suspicious and careful criminal regulators. If
border personnel became suspicious of the commodity being smuggled, some of them might find it in their
interest to disrupt passage, perhaps to collect the bounteous reward money that would probably be offered
Once outside the country
by alarmed governments once the uranium theft had been discovered.
terrorists would need to set up a large and well-equipped
with their precious booty,
machine shop to manufacture a bomb and then to populate it with a very select team of highly
skilled scientists, technicians, machinists, and administrators. The group would have to be
assembled and retained for the monumental task while no consequential suspicions were generated
among friends, family, and police about their curious and sudden absence from normal pursuits back
home. Members of the bomb-building team would also have to be utterly devoted to the cause, of course,
and they would have to be willing to put their lives and certainly their careers at high risk, because after
their bomb was discovered or exploded they would probably become the targets of an intense worldwide
dragnet operation. Some observers have insisted that it would be easy for terrorists to assemble a crude
bomb if they could get enough fissile material. But Christoph Wirz and Emmanuel Egger, two senior
physicists in charge of nuclear issues at Switzerlands Spiez Laboratory, bluntly conclude that the task
could hardly be accomplished by a subnational group. They point out that precise blueprints are
required, not just sketches and general ideas, and that even with a good blueprint the terrorist group
would most certainly be forced to redesign. They also stress that the work is difficult, dangerous, and
extremely exacting, and that the technical requirements in several fields verge on the
unfeasible. Stephen Younger, former director of nuclear weapons research at Los Alamos
Laboratories, has made a similar argument, pointing out that uranium is exceptionally difficult to
machine whereas plutonium is one of the most complex metals ever discovered, a material whose basic
properties are sensitive to exactly how it is processed. Stressing the daunting problems associated with
material purity, machining, and a host of other issues, Younger concludes, to think that a terrorist group,
working in isolation with an unreliable supply of electricity and little access to tools and supplies could
fabricate a bomb is farfetched at best. Under the best circumstances, the process of making a bomb
could take months or even a year or more, which would, of course, have to be carried out in utter secrecy.
In addition, people in the area, including criminals, may observe with increasing curiosity and puzzlement
the constant coming and going of technicians unlikely to be locals. If the effort to build a bomb was
successful, the finished product, weighing a ton or more, would then have to be transported to and
smuggled into the relevant target country where it would have to be received by collaborators who are at
once totally dedicated and technically proficient at handling, maintaining, detonating, and perhaps
assembling the weapon after it arrives. The financial costs of this extensive and extended operation could
easily become monumental. There would be expensive equipment to buy, smuggle, and set up and people
to pay or pay off. Some operatives might work for free out of utter dedication to the cause, but the vast
conspiracy also requires the subversion of a considerable array of criminals and opportunists, each of
whom has every incentive to push the price for cooperation as high as possible. Any criminals competent
and capable enough to be effective allies are also likely to be both smart enough to see boundless
opportunities for extortion and psychologically equipped by their profession to be willing to exploit them.
Those who warn about the likelihood of a terrorist bomb contend that a terrorist group could, if with great
difficulty, overcome each obstacle and that doing so in each case is not impossible. But although it may
not be impossible to surmount each individual step, the likelihood that a group could surmount a series of
them quickly becomes vanishingly small. Table 1 attempts to catalogue the barriers that must be
overcome under the scenario considered most likely to be successful. In contemplating the task before
them, would-be atomic terrorists would effectively be required to go though an exercise that looks much
like this. If and when they do, they will undoubtedly conclude that their prospects are daunting and
accordingly uninspiring or even terminally dispiriting. It is possible to calculate the chances for success.
Adopting probability estimates that purposely and heavily bias the case in the terrorists
favorfor example, assuming the terrorists have a 50% chance of overcoming each of the 20 obstacles
the chances that a concerted effort would be successful comes out to be less than one in a million. If one
assumes, somewhat more realistically, that their chances at each barrier are one in three, the
cumulative odds that they will be able to pull off the deed drop to one in well over
three billion. Other routes would-be terrorists might take to acquire a bomb are even more
problematic. They are unlikely to be given or sold a bomb by a generous like-minded
nuclear state for delivery abroad because the risk would be high, even for a country led by extremists, that
the bomb (and its source) would be discovered even before delivery or that it would be exploded in a
manner and on a target the donor would not approve, including on the donor itself. Another concern would
The terrorist group
be that the terrorist group might be infiltrated by foreign intelligence.
might also seek to steal or illicitly purchase a loose nuke somewhere. However, it seems
probable that none exist. All governments have an intense interest in controlling any weapons on
their territory because of fears that they might become the primary target. Moreover, as technology has
bombs have been out-fitted with devices that trigger a non-nuclear
developed, finished
explosion that destroys the bomb if it is tampered with. And there are other security
techniques: Bombs can be kept disassembled with the component parts stored in separate high-security
vaults, and a process can be set up in which two people and multiple codes are required not
only to use the bomb but to store, maintain, and deploy it. As Younger points out, only a few people in the
world have the knowledge to cause an unauthorized detonation of a nuclear weapon. There could be
dangers in the chaos that would emerge if a nuclear state were to utterly collapse; Pakistan
is frequently cited in this context and sometimes North Korea as well. However, even under such
conditions, nuclear weapons would probably remain under heavy guard by people who
know that a purloined bomb might be used in their own territory. They would still have locks and, in the
case of Pakistan, the weapons would be disassembled. The al Qaeda factor The degree to which al Qaeda,
the only terrorist group that seems to want to target the United States, has pursued or even has much
interest in a nuclear weapon may have been exaggerated. The 9/11 Commission stated that al Qaeda has
tried to acquire or make nuclear weapons for at least ten years, but the only substantial evidence it
supplies comes from an episode that is supposed to have taken place about 1993 in Sudan, when al Qaeda
members may have sought to purchase some uranium that turned out to be bogus. Information about this
supposed venture apparently comes entirely from Jamal al Fadl, who defected from al Qaeda in 1996 after
being caught stealing $110,000 from the organization. Others, including the man who allegedly purchased
the uranium, assert that although there were various other scams taking place at the time that may have
served as grist for Fadl, the uranium episode never happened. As a key indication of al Qaedas desire to
obtain atomic weapons, many have focused on a set of conversations in Afghanistan in August 2001 that
two Pakistani nuclear scientists reportedly had with Osama bin Laden and three other al Qaeda officials.
Pakistani intelligence officers characterize the discussions as academic in nature. It seems that the
discussion was wide-ranging and rudimentary and that the scientists provided no material or specific
plans. Moreover, the scientists probably were incapable of providing truly helpful information because their
expertise was not in bomb design but in the processing of fissile material, which is almost certainly beyond
the capacities of a nonstate group. Kalid Sheikh Mohammed, the apparent planner of the 9/11 attacks,
reportedly says that al Qaedas bomb efforts never went beyond searching the
Internet. After the fall of the Taliban in 2001, technical experts from the CIA and the Department of
Energy examined documents and other information that were uncovered by intelligence agencies and the
media in Afghanistan. They uncovered no credible information that al Qaeda had obtained fissile material
or acquired a nuclear weapon. Moreover, they found no evidence of any radioactive material suitable for
weapons. They did uncover, however, a nuclear-related document discussing openly available concepts
about the nuclear fuel cycle and some weapons-related issues. Just a day or two before al Qaeda was to
flee from Afghanistan in 2001, bin Laden supposedly told a Pakistani journalist, If the United States uses
chemical or nuclear weapons against us, we might respond with chemical and nuclear weapons. We
possess these weapons as a deterrent. Given the military pressure that they were then under and taking
into account the evidence of the primitive or more probably nonexistent nature of al Qaedas nuclear
program, the reported assertions, although unsettling, appear at best to be a desperate bluff. Bin Laden
has made statements about nuclear weapons a few other times. Some of these pronouncements can be
seen to be threatening, but they are rather coy and indirect, indicating perhaps something of an interest,
but not acknowledging a capability. And as terrorism specialist Louise Richardson observes, Statements
claiming a right to possess nuclear weapons have been misinterpreted as expressing a determination to
use them. This in turn has fed the exaggeration of the threat we face. Norwegian researcher Anne
Stenersen concluded after an exhaustive study of available materials that, although it is likely that al
Qaeda central has considered the option of using non-conventional weapons, there is little evidence that
such ideas ever developed into actual plans, or that they were given any kind of priority at the expense of
more traditional types of terrorist attacks. She also notes that information on an al Qaeda computer left
behind in Afghanistan in 2001 indicates that only $2,000 to $4,000 was earmarked for weapons of mass
destruction research and that the money was mainly for very crude work on chemical weapons. Today, the
key portions of al Qaeda central may well total only a few hundred people, apparently assisting the
Talibans distinctly separate, far larger, and very troublesome insurgency in Afghanistan. Beyond this tiny
band, there are thousands of sympathizers and would-be jihadists spread around the globe. They mainly
connect in Internet chat rooms, engage in radicalizing conversations, and variously dare each other to
actually do something. Any threat, particularly to the West, appears, then, principally to derive from self-
selected people, often isolated from each other, who fantasize about performing dire deeds. From time to
time some of these people, or ones closer to al Qaeda central, actually manage to do some harm. And
occasionally, they may even be able to pull off something large, such as 9/11. But in most cases, their
capacities and schemes, or alleged schemes, seem to be far less dangerous than initial press reports
vividly, even hysterically, suggest. Most important for present purposes, however, is that any notion that al
Qaeda has the capacity to acquire nuclear weapons, even if it wanted to, looks farfetched in the extreme.
It is also noteworthy that, although there have been plenty of terrorist attacks in the world since 2001, all
have relied on conventional destructive methods. For the most part, terrorists seem to be heeding the
advice found in a memo on an al Qaeda laptop seized in Pakistan in 2004: Make use of that which is
available rather than waste valuable time becoming despondent over that which is not within your
reach. In fact, history consistently demonstrates that terrorists prefer weapons that they know and
understand, not new, exotic ones. Glenn Carle, a 23-year CIA veteran and once its deputy intelligence
officer for transnational threats, warns, We must not take fright at the specter our leaders have
exaggerated. In fact, we must see jihadists for the small, lethal, disjointed, and miserable opponents that
they are. al Qaeda, he says, has only a handful of individuals capable of planning, organizing, and leading
a terrorist organization, and although the group has threatened attacks with nuclear weapons, its
capabilities are far inferior to its desires. Policy alternatives The purpose here has not been to argue that
policies designed to inconvenience the atomic terrorist are necessarily unneeded or unwise. Rather, in
contrast with the many who insist that atomic terrorism under current conditions is rather likely indeed,
exceedingly likelyto come about, I have contended that it is hugely unlikely. However, it is important to
consider not only the likelihood that an event will take place, but also its consequences. Therefore, one
must be concerned about catastrophic events even if their probability is small, and efforts to reduce that
likelihood even further may well be justified. At some point, however, probabilities become so low that,
even for catastrophic events, it may make sense to ignore them or at least put them on the back burner; in
short, the risk becomes acceptable. For example, the British could at any time attack the United States
with their submarine-launched missiles and kill millions of Americans, far more than even the most
monumentally gifted and lucky terrorist group. Yet the risk that this potential calamity might take place
evokes little concern; essentially it is an acceptable risk. Meanwhile, Russia, with whom the United States
has a rather strained relationship, could at any time do vastly more damage with its nuclear weapons, a
fully imaginable calamity that is substantially ignored. In constructing what he calls a case for fear, Cass
Sunstein, a scholar and current Obama administration official, has pointed out that if there is a yearly
probability of 1 in 100,000 that terrorists could launch a nuclear or massive biological attack, the risk
would cumulate to 1 in 10,000 over 10 years and to 1 in 5,000 over 20. These odds, he suggests, are not
the most comforting. Comfort, of course, lies in the viscera of those to be comforted, and, as he suggests,
many would probably have difficulty settling down with odds like that. But there must be some point at
which the concerns even of these people would ease. Just perhaps it is at one of the levels suggested
above: one in a million or one in three billion per attempt.
AT Cred
Our internal link outweighs perception is irrelevant if we
have the guns to back it up thats being diverted now
only the plan solves
Despite its comparative advantage in soft power, the United States is still
far more adept at the strategy and tactics of military, economic, and
diplomatic coercion than the strategy and tactics of attraction. It
takes its soft power for granted, like oxygen in the air, assuming it will
always be there. This approach not only carries risk, it underutilizes
a strategic resource. How might the United States take soft power more seriously? First, it has
to walk the walk, aligning actions and values, rhetoric and deeds. This is understandably difficult in a
the United States could
country with complex and wide-ranging foreign policy interests, but
do better in one key respect: weighing potential damage to
Americas moral authority when considering policy options. Such
considerations are often trumped, and not without cause. Policymakers are
regularly forced to choose from a series of bad options, and when
they do, clear and short-term consequences weigh more heavily than
diffuse costs to notions like reputation. If the United States is
serious about countering challenges to its national security interests
and democratic ideals, however, this must change. Perceptions that the United
States does not live up to its own values fundamentally undermine American power and inhibit the
countrys ability to defend not just its own interests, but also universal standards of what is right and just.
They undermine Americas ability to defend the time-proven value of the moral high ground, and they
empower cynical actors eager to seize the propaganda advantage. The constant din of social and
traditional media is raising the stakes, subjecting policymakers to unrelenting scrutiny and empowering
those who are loud and opinionated, whether or not they are right. The simultaneous trends of proliferating
information and the decentralization of control over it present real challenges to leaders in government
and elsewhere. These trends are a fact, for good or ill, but they are also opportunities. Scrutiny pressures
the United States to be better, forcing it to reflect on how its actions will be perceived and whether those
perceptions should lead it to behave differently in the first place. The link between scrutiny and virtuous
behavior is long recognized. Indeed, Adam Smiths under-studied text The Theory of Moral Sentiments asks
the just (hu)man to consider how his/her actions would be perceived by an impartial spectator as a test of
their virtue. If the publicity of our actions and how they would be received gives us pause, Smith argued,
perhaps we should reconsider those actions in the first place. The most challenging aspect of todays
information environment is the constant presence of partial spectators, who are all too ready to eager to
soft
seize on any perceived failing, publicize it widely, and use it to their own advantage. Second,
power should also be used proactively , which entails actively
exposing others to ideas. Confidence is required; others may not choose to share ideas to
which they are introduced. But time and time again, people who are exposed to accurate information and
universally held values become positive forces in their own communities and strong (if not entirely
uncritical) partners. All too often and across presidential administrations soft power
falls down the list of foreign policy priorities, underweighted in comprehensive
strategies that include diplomacy and defense. Dominating the moral high ground
and using it to spur social change is not at the center of national
security policymaking , but it should be. Serious public engagement
strategies , which are natural components of soft power, are rare. The once
frequently heard term public diplomacy is falling into increasing
disuse .
AT Democracy
No democratic peace --- their evs biased and ignores
history
Manan 15 [Munafrizal- Professor of IR @ University of Al Azhar Indonesia,
Hubungan International Journal, cites a bunch of profs and scholars of DPT,
The Democratic Peace Theory and Its Problems,
http://journal.unpar.ac.id/index.php/JurnalIlmiahHubunganInternasiona/article/view/1315 , mm]
In the literature of democracy, there has been a debate among social scientist,
especially political scientists, about what democracy really is as well
as which countries should be called democratic and which types of
democracies are more peaceful. Speaking generally, the experts agree that the
democratic theories can be grouped into two broad paradigms. The
first is elitist, structural, formal, and procedural. It tends to understand democracy in a
relatively minimalist way . A regime is a democracy when it passes some structural threshold of free and open
elections, autonomous branches of government, division of power, and checks and balances. This state of affairs precludes a tyrannical
The second
concentration of power in the hands of the elites. Once this structure is in place, a regime is a democracy.
to build, but also relatively easy to dismantle it. 167 It seems that the
democratic peace theory is not strongly supported by the structural
paradigm of democratic theory because interstate wars or at least
armed conflicts remain taking place in countries that committed to
this structural paradigm. The armed conflicts between Russia and
Georgia as well as Thailand and Cambodia in 2008, for example,
which were triggered by border disputes, strengthen such a view. Within
this context, Chan argues that although a large number of countries have recently
last two or three decades. 170War is defined as, according to that definition, no
hostilityqualified as an interstate war unless it led to a minimum of
1,000 battle fatalities among all the system members involved. 171
Such a definition excludes the wars that do not fulfil the 1,000
battle-death threshold and hence minimizes the number of cases
that can be categorized war. As Ray observes, in any case, there are not numerous incidents having just below
1,000 battle deaths that would otherwise qualify as wars between democratic states.172 Moreover, it allows
changing character of war in the contemporary era. 176 In addition, by using historical
analysis Ravlo, Gleditsch and Dorussen show that the claim of the democratic peace theory
Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Israel about the deal ,
which will leave Iran with significant uranium enrichment capabilities and may not give the international community the
right to inspect all of Irans nuclear facilities. The administration argues that a deal with Iran will remove the need for
other regional powers to pursue their own nuclear enrichment and weapons programs. Cohen said the region doesnt see
it that way.Once you say they are allowed to enrich, the game is pretty much up
in terms of how do you sustain an inspection regime in a country that has
carried on secret programs for 17 years and is still determined to maintain as
much of that secrecy as possible, said Cohen, who was a Republican lawmaker from Maine before
serving under President Clinton from 1997 to 2001. Other regional powers are further
Saudis, the UAE and the Israelis were all concerned about that, Cohen said. They are looking at what
we say, what we do, and what we fail to do, and they make their judgments.
In the Middle East now, they are making different calculations.
with the Obama administration and other power and could develop a nuclear weapon
within a decade. He called on Congress to reject the Iranian nuclear deal, because the inspection,
verification and enforcement procedures are too weak to prevent Iran from
building a nuclear weapon. I think we have to assume that they will cheat on
the deal, Cotton said on NBCs Meet the Press. "Ultimately, even if they obey every single
detail of the deal, it puts them on the path to be a nuclear weapons
state in eight to 10 years , he added. Cotton, who served in the Army on tours in Iraq and Afghanistan
before running for office, warned that Iran should not to be trusted . "Iran is a terror-
sponsoring, anti-American, outlaw regime, Cotton said. "Theyve got the blood of
hundreds of American soldiers and Marines on their hands. "If you think Iran is going to
change their behavior in a decade, I can tell you how unlikely that is , he added.
"Because just nine years ago, they were trying to kill me and my soldiers. We were lucky, but hundreds of other American
troops were not.
Instability Turn
Iran deal is bad doesnt deter Iran from making bombs
and aids it in its pursuit for regional hegemony
Dr. Kuperman 6/23/15 teaches courses in global policy studies and is coordinator of the Nuclear
Proliferation Prevention Project (Alan, The Iran Deals Fatal Flaw, The New York Times, June 23, 2015,
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/23/opinion/the-iran-deals-fatal-flaw.html//DM)
PRESIDENT OBAMAS main pitch for the pending nuclear deal with Iran is that
it would extend the breakout time necessary for Iran to produce enough
enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon. In a recent interview with NPR, he said that the
current breakout time is about two to three months by our intelligence
estimates. By contrast, he claimed, the pending deal would shrink Irans nuclear
program, so that if Iran later decided to break the deal, kick out all the
inspectors, break the seals and go for a bomb, wed have over a year to
respond. Unfortunately, that claim is false, as can be demonstrated with
basic science and math. By my calculations, Irans actual breakout
time under the deal would be approximately three months not
over a year. Thus, the deal would be unlikely to improve the worlds
ability to react to a sudden effort by Iran to build a bomb. Breakout
time is determined by three primary factors: the number and type of
centrifuges; the enrichment of the starting material; and the amount of
enriched uranium required for a nuclear weapon. Mr. Obama seems to make
rosy assumptions about all three. Most important, in the event of an overt attempt
by Iran to build a bomb, Mr. Obamas argument assumes that Iran would
employ only the 5,060 centrifuges that the deal would allow for uranium
enrichment, not the roughly 14,000 additional centrifuges that Iran would be
permitted to keep mainly for spare parts. Such an assumption is
laughable . In a real-world breakout, Iran would race, not crawl, to the bomb . These
additional centrifuges would need to be connected, brought up to speed and equilibrated with the already operating ones.
But at that point, Irans enrichment capacity could exceed three times what Mr. Obama assumes. This flaw could be
addressed by amending the deal to require Iran to destroy or export the additional centrifuges, but Iran refuses. Second,
since the deal would permit Iran to keep only a small amount of enriched uranium in the gaseous form used in
Obama assumes that a dash for the bomb would start mainly from
centrifuges, Mr.
unenriched uranium, thereby lengthening the breakout time. But the deal
would appear to also permit Iran to keep large amounts of enriched uranium
in solid form (as opposed to gas), which could be reconverted to gas within
weeks, thus providing a substantial head-start to producing weapons-grade
uranium. Third, Mr. Obamas argument assumes that Iran would require 59
pounds of weapons-grade uranium to make an atomic bomb . In reality, nuclear
weapons can be made from much smaller amounts of uranium (as experts assume North Korea does in its rudimentary
study by the Natural Resources Defense Council concluded that
arsenal). A 1995
even a low technical capability nuclear weapon could produce an explosion
with a force approaching that of the Hiroshima bomb using just 29 pounds
of weapons-grade uranium. Based on such realistic assumptions, Irans breakout time
under the pending deal actually would be around three months, while its
current breakout time is a little under two months . Thus, the deal would increase the breakout
time by just over a month, too little to matter. Mr. Obamas main argument for the agreement extending Irans breakout
time turns out to be effectively worthless. By contrast, Iran stands to gain enormously. The deal would lift nuclear-
In addition, the deal
related sanctions, thereby infusing Irans economy with billions of dollars annually.
The deadline in the Iran nuclear negotiations has just been extended. But if an agreement is ultimately reached, Tehran is
an influx of funds will permit
expected to receive a substantial financial windfall. Critics have argued that
Iran to expand its destabilizing regional activities . The Obama administration has argued that
Iran will use the funds primarily for domestic needs. Who is correct? An estimated $100 billion to $140 billion in Iranian
foreign exchange reserves are being held in escrow in banks overseas (primarily oil revenues that U.S. sanctions block
It is not clear how much of these funds would be made
from being repatriated to Iran).
available to Iran under a nuclear agreement, or when. U.S. officials have reportedly indicated
that Iran would receive $30 billion to $50 billion after completing initial steps to comply with an agreement (deactivating
centrifuges in excess of those it is permitted to operate, reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, and converting its
heavy-water reactor). That work could take six months or more. In his most recent budget, Iranian President Hasan
Rouhani proposed government expenditures of approximately $300 billion. While some domestic programs were increased
health-care spending rose 59%so were security expenditures. Saeed Ghasseminejad and Emanuele Ottolenghi of the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies noted that funding was up 48% for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and
40% for the Ministry of Intelligence and Security; overall defense spending, which amounts to 3% of Irans gross domestic
product, rose 33%. These figures likely understate Irans security spending; as the Congressional Research Service
recently noted, the Revolutionary Guard Corps spends significant amounts of unbudgeted funds on arms, technology,
The Obama administrations position
support to pro-Iranian movements, and other functions.
assumes that while Iran was willing to substantially increase security
spending when sanctions were in effect it will not do so in the wake of a deal,
when economic conditions would improve. This thinking is likely based on the
notion that in the wake of a deal Iran will feel pressure to satisfy public
expectations that the deal will yield tangible benefits and spend more at
home. But there are good reasons to think this will not be the case. Irans
security spending is driven by more than tensions over its nuclear program.
The Revolutionary Guards are heavily engaged in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and
Afghanistan; none of these conflicts will end if an Iran deal is reachedand the
situations may get worse. To the extent that a deal is seen as a win for
pragmatists led by President Rouhani, Irans supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, may want to placate hard-liners by boosting his financial
support to the security apparatus they dominate . Irans security
spending goes to both foreign endeavors and monitoring its own people, an
imperative that is likely to grow if the deal permits greater economic and
diplomatic openness to the outside world. The Obama administration has also argued that
unfreezing Irans assets will not lead to an increase in its destabilizing regional activities because the cost of Irans
support for terrorism and regional interventions is relatively small. This conflates two very distinct activities. It is arguably
correct that the cost of individual terrorist acts is small; this is one reason that terrorism is so widespread and difficult to
prevent. There is, however, little reason to believe that Irans sponsorship of terrorist organizations and efforts to coopt or
subvert governments (see: Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq) is inexpensive. Consider that Irans declared military budget
is $12 billion to $15 billion. Iranian annual support for Syrias Assad regime was recently estimated at $6 billion to $15
billion. Irans funding of Hezbollah has been estimated at $200 million per year, though that may have increased with the
organizations heavy losses in Syria. Iran also funds Shiite militias in Iraq, and it sponsors groups in Gaza, Yemen, and
Iran is likely to spend any financial windfall from a nuclear
elsewhere. In short,
agreement on both domestic and foreign prioritiesas it has done in good
economic times and bad. The two are not mutually exclusive, and Iran is not likely to reorder its priorities.
The agreement terms reportedly under discussion provide Iran with substantial economic relief while demanding precisely
nothing from it regarding its sponsorship of terrorism and destabilizing regional behavior. Good policymaking demands
that the benefit of any nuclear agreement be weighed against this cost, rather than pretending it does not exist.
sponsor of terrorism in the world . President Obama admitted this himself just a few months ago,
which makes it all the more disheartening that we are negotiating with them as if were the ones who need this deal, at
any cost. Iran is in the drivers seat and it seems that theyve almost completely lost the plot here. While Secretary of
State John Kerry says that Were just working an its too early to make any judgments, Irans Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei appears on state television calling our terms excessive
coercion and making it clear that [Iran doesnt] accept a 10-year
restriction. He continued, We have told the negotiating team how many
specific years of restrictions are acceptable. Research and development must
continue during the years of restrictions. It follows that very little progress has been made since
the deals framework was hashed out in early spring. What was initially met with partying in the streets in Tehran quickly
became insufficient in the eyes of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who now has declared new red lines as
Five former members of
negotiators worked towards a deal. His red lines prompted harsh reactions.
Obamas foreign policy team including General David Petraeus wrote an
open letter to this effect. Their concern centers on the fact that the deal, as it
is, will not require Iran to dismantle their nuclear enrichment infrastructure ,
even if it will reduce it for the next 10-15 years. Under the framework deal, the US and its partners are aiming for one year
breakout time, with some potential constraints in place after the deals timeline has played out. This just isnt enough.
Furthermore, Iran wants to pursue industrial-scale production of uranium after
the deal, which could essentially push breakout time to zero. In a region that has
already seen an uptick in tension and violence in anticipation of a bad deal, a nuclear Iran would all
but ensure war. Inspections are also a huge point of contention. Whereas Irans Supreme Leader essentially
wants to keep all inspectors out of Irans facilities, the authors of the letter make it quite clear that we need to be able to
take samples, interview scientists, review and copy documents about Irans past nuclear program at any time. This should
be non-negotiable. History has taught us the Iranians are not to be trusted,
and now is no time to make an exception. Moreover, what message would caving on
inspections send to the region? Whatever deal is reached with Iran would set a
dangerous precedent, especially for any country that wanted to avoid inspections. Lets hope that as Irans
lead negotiator, Mohammed Zarif, regroups with Iranian leadership in Tehran, Kerry and his colleagues take the
Now is the time for the US to buckle
opportunity to be mindful of whats at stake here.
down and stay true to the original intent of these negotiations. The
United States negotiators need to remember why were at the table, and that we could, and should, walk away if the
Iranians push for a bad deal. They need us more than we need them.
The expected windfall Iran would receive from sanctions relief as part of a
nuclear deal would likely benefit its internal and external security services
including proxy terrorist groups such as Hezbollah which would further
destabilize the Middle East, according to an analysis published today in The Wall Street Journal by Michael
Singh, the managing director of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. In his most recent budget, Iranian President
Rouhani proposed government expenditures of approximately
Hasan
$300 billion . While some domestic programs were increasedhealth-care spending rose 59%so were security
expenditures. Saeed Ghasseminejad and Emanuele Ottolenghi of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies noted that
funding was up 48% for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and 40% for
the Ministry of Intelligence and Security; overall defense spending, which
amounts to 3% of Irans gross domestic product, rose 33%. These figures likely
understate Irans security spending; as the Congressional Research Service recently noted, the Revolutionary Guard Corps
spends significant amounts of unbudgeted funds on arms, technology, support to pro-Iranian movements, and other
functions. There is, however, little reason to believe that Irans sponsorship of terrorist organizations and efforts to
coopt or subvert governments (see: Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq) is inexpensive. Consider that Irans declared military
budget is $12 billion to $15 billion. Iranian annual support for Syrias Assad regime was recently estimated at $6 billion to
$15 billion. Irans funding of Hezbollah has been estimated at $200 million per year, though that may have increased with
the organizations heavy losses in Syria. Iran also funds Shiite militias in Iraq, and it sponsors groups in Gaza, Yemen, and
elsewhere. In short, Iran
is likely to spend any financial windfall from a nuclear
agreement on both domestic and foreign prioritiesas it has done in good
economic times and bad. The two are not mutually exclusive, and Iran is not
likely to reorder its priorities. The agreement terms reportedly under discussion provide
Iran with substantial economic relief while demanding precisely
nothing from it regarding its sponsorship of terrorism and
destabilizing regional behavior . Good policymaking demands that the benefit of any nuclear
agreement be weighed against this cost, rather than pretending it does not exist. Agence France-Presse reported that
Iran plans to devote greater resources over the next five years to
developing ballistic missile capabilities, arms production and
modern weaponry. The fear that Iran would use its windfall to further its
hegemonic designs on the Middle East is something that the administration
has dismissed. But other regional actors disagree. Earlier this week, Lebanese politician
Ahmad el-Assaad wrote that he feared that the nuclear deal would ensure that
road.
"The agreement has managed to set aside for now one of the malign
activities with which we were concerned, but there are other malign
activities ," Gen. Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said en route to Iraq
for a tour Saturday. Washington opposes Iran's support for the regime of Syrian
President Bashar Assad during a long civil war in his country . Iran also supports
insurgents in Yemen and the State Department says it is a primary sponsor of terrorism in the
Middle East. In Tehran on Saturday, Iran's Supreme Leader , Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said in a
televised speech that the nuclear deal won't change Iran's policy towards the
"Day 1" of his presidency. The Obama administration got some help lobbying for the agreement
Sunday from foreign allies who were involved in the negotiations. British
critic, questioned whether Iran can be trusted not to build hidden sites that
would make its path to a nuclear bomb easier in an interview on ABC's "This Week." He said Iran
gets to keep too much of its nuclear infrastructure in the deal. "The hardliners in Iran are actually going to come out
strong because they're getting everything they want," Netanyahu said. "They're getting a pathway down the line, within a
decade or so, to the capacity to be a threshold state with practically zero breakout time to many nuclear bombs, and
billions of dollars, hundreds of billions of dollars, which they'll siphon off to their terror and war machine."
President Joe] Biden's coming over tomorrow to sway us in one direction, "
Rep. Brad Sherman said. " It will be hard to sway us in the other direction,
Obamas not key Pelosi is pushing the deal and she can
afford to lose 42 democrats
Ferrechio 7/16 Chief Congressional Correspondent for the Washington
Examiner (Susan, Pelosi pushing Democrats to back nuclear deal, 7/16/15,
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/pelosi-pushing-democrats-to-back-
nuclear-deal/article/2568398?custom_click=rss, accessed 7/19/15)//RZ
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said she is working to
convince rank-and-file House Democrats to approve the nuclear deal
with Iran, which she fully supports. "Yes, yes," Pelosi said when asked
whether she'll lobby her undecided caucus to back the plan. "I'm so proud of
this. I'm already making sure, not lobbying but making sure, people have the
answers to the questions they have. I made clear to them my own
standing on this issue and why I think this is a good agreement . It's
pretty exciting." Pelosi started the briefing by proudly holding up the deal. "I've closely examined this document, and it
Pelosi rejected criticisms that the agreement should have
will have my strong support," she said.
he s said the
included a deal to free four Americans currently imprisoned by the Iranian government. Instead,
accord itself will benefit the prisoners. "No, not, it would have been good, but no," Pelosi
said, when asked about including the hostages as part of the agreement. "This is a nuclear deal," Pelosi added. "This is a
nuclear agreement. Since we have a nuclear negotiation and a nuclear agreement, a much brighter light is going to shine
Democrats in
on the prisoners of conscience in Iran. This will shine a very bright light. I'm very optimistic."
both chambers have expressed mostly tepid support for the deal, with
some lawmakers far more skeptical than others that the agreement goes far enough to stop Iran from
building a nuclear weapon. Pelosi acknowledged "some of our members are in
different places," and have questions about the deal, but she plans
to work to convince them to vote in favor of it when it comes to the
House floor after a 60-day review period. She said Democrats are in the "education
phase" of considering the agreement. The White House has stepped up efforts to sell the
deal to Congress. Vice President Joe Biden met with Democrats in the House
on Wednesday and is headed to the Senate today. Pelosi called
Biden's talk to Democrats "spectacular." House Republicans will have the option of passing
a resolution approving the deal, or disapproving the deal. The GOP is expected to push for a
disapproval resolution, which is expected to pass , because it will only need a simple
majority. If that resolution can pass the Senate, it would then be vetoed
by President Obama, which would send it back to both chambers. To override that
veto, a two-thirds vote would be needed in the House and Senate. For Pelosi,
that means she needs to convince 146 Democrats to vote against the
override. That means she could lose up to 42 Democrats and still ensure
the safety of the Iran deal in the House.
1ar EXT Wont Pass
Senate vote wont occur for a few more monthsallows
for mobilization against Obama
Carney 7/14, staff writer at The Hill, Jordain, 7/14/15, Senate Iran vote
unlikely until after August recess, The Hill, http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-
action/senate/247869-senate-iran-vote-unlikely-until-after-august-recess)//kap
Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said Tuesday that the Senate would likely vote after the
August recess on the Iran nuclear deal. "Likely, what we'll do is vote on this
when we return from recess," Corker told reporters. That would push any vote
in the Senate until at least Sept. 8, when Congress returns to Washington
after a month-long break. The Tennessee Republican said that the Foreign Relations Committee, which he
chairs, would start also holding hearings in the next two or three weeks. Corker said that lawmakers are
still waiting for the administration hand over classified portions and
certifications of the agreement, adding that "we expect to receive those materials over the next several
days." Corker suggested that he would withhold final judgement on the deal until he has had time to review it, but added
that "the agreement has taken a downward trend." Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) added
that the Armed Services Committee would hold separate hearings, focusing on verifying that Iran is complying with a long-
lawmakers will be briefed by the
term agreement. Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) added that
Senate Republicans have found a new target in the war of words with President
Obama over Iran: the U nited N ations. They argue that the administration is about to
leapfrog Congress by allowing the international body to approve a nuclear pact that
lawmakers have not signed off on, let alone properly reviewed. The battle is uniting
Republicans , from conservative firebrand and presidential hopeful Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) to GOP leadership and
Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.). Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), the chairman of the
Senate Republican Conference, urged the administration to hold off on the U.N.
Security Council vote. Doing otherwise, Thune said, would show that the president holds the opinion of the
United Nations in higher esteem than the American people. The quick move toward the U.N. vote
has also angered rank-and-file Republicans, with Sens. David Perdue (R-Ga.) saying that it
makes it seem like the administration always intended to bypass Congress
by moving through the United Nations. Cruz is threatening to block nominees and
funding for the State Department unless the administration prevents the U.N. Security Council from voting on the
resolution on the nuclear deal, which could happen as early as Monday. One of Cruzs rivals for the GOP nomination, Sen.
Marco Rubio (Fla.), also blasted the administration, suggesting that Obama is taking
the deal to the United Nations first because he knows Congress will ultimately reject
the deal. Its a clear sign that he knows if this deal is reviewed closely by the American
people, it will be rejected, Rubio said. We cannot allow America's security to
be outsourced to the United Nations. The senators have bipartisan support on the
other side of the Capitol. Rep. Ed Royce (R-Calif.), the chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee, said
during an interview with "Lou Dobbs Tonight" that lawmakers would try to block Obama
from lifting an arms embargo if he lets the U.N. vote take place
before Congress approves, or disapproves, the deal. Rep. Steny Hoyer, the No. 2
House Democrat, is also pushing back against the administration. The Maryland lawmaker said that waiting to take the
deal to the United Nations until after Congress has voted "would be consistent with the intent and substance" of the
review legislation. The administration argues theres nothing in the Iran deal that requires congressional approval before
the international community can act. White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest on Friday said the international body is
showing significant deference to Congress by postponing implementation of the order for 90 days. The delay
would allow lawmakers ample opportunity to review the deal , Earnest said. Wendy
Sherman, the State Departments undersecretary for political affairs, suggested to that the administration was under
pressure from the other six countries involved in the talks the so called P5+1 to go to the U.N. sooner rather than
later. It would have been a little difficult when all of the members of the P5+1 wanted to go to the United Nations to get
an endorsement of this for us to say, well excuse me, the world, you should wait for the United States Congress, she
told reporters at a State Department briefing in the wake of the deal. But, the administrations move is threatening to
antagonize Corker, who is among the handful of Senate Republicans who are undecided on the deal. The influential
Tennessee Republican called the decision to take the resolution to the United Nations an affront to Congress. This is
exactly what we were trying to stop, he said, referring to the legislation lawmakers passed earlier this year forcing the
Republicans face an uphill
administration to hand over the deal so Congress could vote on it. While
battle in overriding Obama's veto, there are plenty of Democrats skeptical of the
deal, potentially putting another hurdle in the administration's path. Sen. Ben Cardin (D-
Md.), the ranking member of the Foreign Relations Committee, said the issue reflected one of the stark differences
between the administration and Congress. The Maryland Democrat was crucial to brokering a deal on the review
legislation that made the bill more acceptable to the White House. Now, Cardin and Corker are teaming up to ask the
president to hold off on the Security Council vote, suggesting that the move is a contradiction to the presidents pledge to
let Congress and the American people review the deal.
war is wrong. Let us assume that Congress overrides the presidents veto of a resolution disapproving the
deal. What happens the day after? The president said that the congressional vote not only vitiates the agreement but
destroys all international constraints on Irans nuclear program, after which the Iranians will race toward a bomb. That
development, so this argument goes, would launch a regional nuclear arms race and likely trigger either American or
Israeli military action to stop Irans march toward a bomb. With Iran likely to respond in either case by launching
thousands of Hezbollah missiles into Israel, the result is war. But is that really the most likely
chain of events? No . Faced with what would be a revolt in his own party, let alone near-universal Republican
opposition, the president might have second thoughts about the Vienna deal. If he still wanted to salvage a nuclear
agreement, this could compel him to go back to the bargaining table first with his P5+1
partners and then with Iranto secure certain improvements. These could include, for example, less
time for Iran to delay inspections; a longer period for the maintenance of the arms embargo; or clear and agreed
a vote for disapproval may
consequences spelled out for various types of Iranian violations. In other words,
just force the president to seek the proverbial better deal. But lets say that the
president holds firm to the current text, despite ignominious defeat on his flagship foreign policy achievement.
Remember precisely what Congress will be voting onto constrain the
Presidents ability to waive sanctions on Iran. Thats all . He will still have the
prerogatives of his office to seek execution of the deal in other ways . In that
case, I believe the likely scenario would be as follows: The administration has said it will seek U.N. Security Council
endorsement of the Vienna accord in the coming days. That means the agreement will be enshrined
in international law well before Congress acts , though that Security Council resolution
will be timed so as not to take effect until after Congress votes on the deal. Then, in early September, lets say
Congress votes to override the presidents veto . Then, a determined president will
still go to the annual convening of the U.N. General Assembly and announce
that he will do everything in his power to execute the agreement. If Congress
wont let him waive sanctions, thenas he did with deportations of certain illegal alienshe will
order the State and Treasury Departments to focus their
enforcement powers elsewhere. Congress will fume; a legal battle looms. But even at that
point, the United States is still not in violation of the agreement. According to the
deal, the next step is that Iran has to implement its nuclear restrictionsmothballing
centrifuges, redesigning the Arak plutonium reactor, etc.to the satisfaction of the International Atomic Energy Agency.
Most experts estimate that will take at least six months . Only after the IAEA certifies
that Iran has met its requirements are the P5+1 countries and the United Nations required to implement their
even if Congress
commitments to terminate (or, in Americas case, suspend) sanctions. In other words,
denies the president waiver authority on Iran sanctions in September, he wouldnt
begin to use that authority until next spring, at the earliest. At that point,
when he tries to make an end-run around Congress , Messrs. Boehner and
McConnell can be expected to take their case to court. Eventually, the
Supreme Court will decide. Perhaps the president will still be in office;
perhaps he wont . What does Iran do during this domestic political contest here in the United States? Does
it chuck its enormous diplomatic achievements in Vienna for a mad dash toward a bomb? Highly unlikely. My hunch is that
Iran will seek to exploit our internal squabbles to isolate America from its own negotiating partners. We are very sorry to
see small-minds in Congress try to snuff out hopes for peace and mutual security, savvy Iranian diplomats will say. But
we will not let them. Therefore, we will continue to abide by the terms of the agreement. Thats the best way for Iran to
make sure that the European Union and the United Nations terminate their sanctions and, along the way, deepen divisions
between Washington and its major allies. So, lets put this issue into context. Congressional rejection of the Iran deal wont
be pretty. While it might convince the President to seek a better deal to win legislative support, we shouldnt delude
ourselves into thinking that we can just go back to square one with negotiations or that we can keep the current sanctions
regime in place as if the past two years of diplomacy never happened. We will be in a different place, much grayer than
that messiness is a far cry from war . In my view, the only war that may
before. But
news conference with Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff. The list is long, Mr. Obama said. What were going to
do is just keep on hammering away at all the issues that I think are going to have an impact on the American people.
Some of them will be left undone . But were going to try to make progress
on every single one of them . The renewed domestic offensive, coupled with an aggressive front on
foreign-policy issues, are a reflection of a president who is, as former senior White House adviser David Axelrod recently
told The Wall Street Journal, feeling the pressures of time. The challenge for Mr. Obama will be in the places where his
domestic and foreign policy agendas intersect. The president has limited political capital
in Congress. And he needs lawmakers to backor at least not amass
a veto-proof majority opposition toa nuclear deal with Iran if one is
finalized in coming days. Hell also need to generate enough support among Republican and Democratic lawmakers for
lifting the embargo on Cuba, which on Wednesday he again called on Congress to do as he announced finalized plans to
Its unclear if Mr. Obama will also be able to persuade
open an American embassy in Havana.
Congress to act on issues such as infrastructure, business taxes and the
criminal justice system. But White House officials have been
instructed to make a strong effort . We are going to squeeze every last ounce of progress that
we can make when I have the privilegeas long as I have the privilege of holding this office, Mr. Obama said Tuesday.
1ar EXT PC Low
Obamas recent wins wont spillover --- no chance for
cooperation on other issues
Drezner 6/30 professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of
Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University (Daniel W., What can Obama really do
in his fourth quarter? He had a good week last week. What does that mean
for his presidency going forward?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/06/30/what-can-
obama-really-do-in-his-fourth-quarter/, JMP)
So the consensus among the political cognoscenti was that last week was the best week of Barack Obamas presidency. I
guess that includes me. Last week I tweeted: [image omitted] And this was all before the Supreme Court eliminated all
restrictions on same-sex marriage and Obama gave the speech of his presidency in eulogizing the Rev. Clementa
Pinckney: So, naturally, the Sunday morning shows were all about Obama
reborn and the political press was writing all about After
momentous week, Obamas presidency is reborn, and I think its
time to just take a step back and think real hard about this meme a
bit. This kind of analysis is akin to sports-writing about momentum:
The notion that a player is on a hot streak implies that he will
continue to go on his hot streak, when in point of fact, regression to the mean is the far more
likely outcome. To be fair, in politics, theres the political capital argument
that prior successes burnishes a presidents popularity, which in
turn gives him some form of political capital to seek out even more
successes. And Obamas popularity is rising in some (but not all) polls. Still, a dose of realism
seems useful here . A president can advance his agenda through a number of means: acts of legislation,
executive actions in domestic policy, foreign affairs accomplishments and burnishing his political legacy. Lets think about
these in turn. The president could reel off 10 consecutive speeches like he did in Charleston, but thats not going to make
The GOP leadership has just cooperated
this Congress any more amenable to his policies.
with Obama on the one policy initiative that they agree on there
isnt anything left in the hopper . And buried within Politicos Obama reborn! story is this little
nugget: Meanwhile, progressives on the Hill, especially those still burning over how hard he steamrolled them on trade,
are rolling their eyes at the lionizing. Remember, they point out, that many of the big things Obama gets the credit for
didnt originate with him people like Nancy Pelosi were pushing him further on health care than the White House
wanted to go, or out in favor of a gay marriage plank in the 2012 convention platform when he was still deciding what to
say. So the congressional route is pretty much stymied. Then theres executive action, a route that this administration has
been super-keen on since last year, particularly with respect to climate change (see also: new overtime rules). But lost
among all the huzzahs! and WTFs!! about King vs. Burwell was the fact that Chief Justice John Robertss ruling actually
constricted the executive branchs ability to do that very thing. Robertss opinion placed significant limits on the Chevron
deference that the courts have bestowed to the executive branch in the past, as Chris Walker explains: [T]he Chief went
the extra step of reasserting the judiciarys primary role of interpreting statutes that raise questions of deep economic
and political significance. This is a major blow to a bright-line rule-based approach to Chevron deference. One could say
that King v. Burwellwhile a critical win for the Obama Administrationis a judicial power grab over the Executive in the
modern administrative state. It will also be interesting to see how this amplified major questions doctrine affects other
judicial challenges to executive action. Especially in light of the King Courts citation to UARG, one context that
immediately comes to mind is the EPAs Clean Power Plan. So while the health-care ruling was a substantive victory for
the Obama administration, it was a process loss, and could make it difficult for the president to implement parts of his
agenda through executive action. Then theres foreign policy, his most promising avenue. Obama has the ability to rack
up some significant accomplishments over the next 18 months: the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Transatlantic Trade and
Investment Partnership, an opening to Cuba, an Iran nuclear deal and a climate change deal in Paris at the end of this
year. I think it says something, however, that of the five things listed above, the Cuba opening is likely the least
controversial. TPP and T-TIP are important but will not build him political capital since his own domestic allies hate it. The
Iran deal and climate change negotiations are significant but will run into considerable opposition. And, connected with
the point above, political polarization will make it harder for Obama to make credible commitments in Paris. More
significantly, I think foreign policy is an area where the president has lost the broader debate about how the United States
should approach the world. Finally, theres his political legacy. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016, then Obama
can legitimately compare himself to Ronald Reagan as the only postwar presidents who managed to bequeath his party
the presidency after his two terms were up. But as Jonathan Martin noted over the weekend in the New York Times, the
paradoxical effect of last week is that it clears the deck for GOP candidates: [E]ven as conservatives appear under siege,
some Republicans predict that this moment will be remembered as an effective wiping of the slate before the nation
begins focusing in earnest on the presidential race. As important as some of these issues may be to the most conservative
elements of the partys base and in the primaries ahead, few Republican leaders want to contest the 2016 elections on
social or cultural grounds, where polls suggest that they are sharply out of step with the American public. Every once in a
while, we bring down the curtain on the politics of a prior era, said David Frum, the conservative writer. The stage is now
cleared for the next generation of issues. And Republicans can say, Whether youre gay, black or a recent migrant to our
will Obama be
country, we are going to welcome you as a fully cherished member of our coalition. So
able to build on his great week to have a successful fourth quarter?
Color me somewhat skeptical. On the domestic policy front, the
president is likely to find his political options more restricted rather
than less restricted after last week . There are significant but polarizing opportunities on
foreign policy. And his political legacy rests on Clintons ability to fend off Bernie Sanders and a Republican who will be
battle-tested from the most competitive party primary Ive ever seen. Hes got decent chances on the latter two fronts
but lets put last week into perspective. It was a great week for the president. It does not mean that his presidency is
reborn.
discovered despite his reputation as the Great Communicator. The limits of the presidents
power can be scary as human beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea
that they can control events is a comforting fiction , not an
explanation for their success or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest
president) wrote, I claim not to have controlled events, but confess
plainly that events controlled me. Imagine what the pundits would
do with that admission today!
1ar EXT PC Fake
Presidential influence is wildly exaggerated their ev just
quotes political pundits
Nyhan 14 -- assistant professor of government at Dartmouth (Brendan,
Obama and the Myth of Presidential Control,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/25/upshot/obama-and-the-myth-of-
presidential-control.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1, JMP)
One of the most common criticisms of presidents especially struggling ones
during their second term is that they have lost control of events. This charge,
which has been leveled at chief executives such as Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, has become a
mantra lately in coverage of President Obama, who faces a stalled legislative agenda and crises in Ukraine,
One frequent explanation from
Gaza and at the border with Mexico. What happened?
pundits and journalists is that Mr. Obama has little control and is
instead being driven or buffeted by events. This notion
pervades commentary and debate on the presidency. We want to
believe that the president is (or should be) in control. Its the impulse behind
holding the president responsible for a bad economy and giving him credit for a good one (the most
The reassuring nature of
important factor in presidential approval and election outcomes).
presidential control is also why news media coverage of foreign
policy crises and other events that rally the country tends to use
language that depicts the president as being in command. The flip side of
the demand for presidential control is disappointment when he cant magically work his will.
Advocates of what Ive called the Green Lantern theory of the presidency
suggest that Mr. Obamas failure to achieve his goals in Congress
reflects a lack of effort or willpower. If he only tried harder or were tougher, they
suggest, he could control events rather than being controlled by them. These analyses get the
direction of causality backward, however. Under favorable
circumstances, presidents seem to be in command of events, but
thats largely a reflection of the context they face. Its not hard to seem in
control when the economy is booming, the presidents party has a large majority in Congress or the nation
is rallying around the president after a national tragedy. Once unfavorable circumstances arise, though,
even the most accomplished chief executives seem to lose control. My research has found, for example,
that scandals are not simply about misconduct. They are more likely to arise when presidents are
unpopular with self-identified members of the opposition party or when there are few competing stories in
the news. Obviously, the modern presidency is a powerful office with enormous influence, especially in
foreign policy. Iraq and Afghanistan, for instance, might look very different today if Mr. Bush had made
different decisions. Even in the domestic realm, the president can have success with a supportive
Congress, as Mr. Obamas success in passing the Affordable Care Act demonstrates. At the same time,
the powers of the presidency are outstripped by the unrealistic
expectations placed on the chief executive in the modern era . When
problems arise, its only natural that people want the most powerful person in the country to fix them, but
these demands often lack a plausible account of how the problem could be solved. And even when the
president has a proposal that he thinks would provide a solution, hes likely to struggle to persuade
Congress or the public to support it, as Mr. Reagan discovered despite his reputation as the Great
Communicator. The limits of the presidents power can be scary as human
beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea that they can control
events is a comforting fiction , not an explanation for their success
or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest president) wrote, I claim not
to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events controlled
me. Imagine what the pundits would do with that admission today!
Winners win
Gergen 13 CNN Senior Political Analyst (David, 1/19. Obama 2.0:
Smarter but wiser?, http://www.cnn.com/2013/01/18/opinion/gergen-
obama-two/index.html)
Obama appears smarter, tougher and
On the eve of his second inaugural, President
bolder than ever before. But whether he is also wiser remains a key question for his new term. It is
clear that he is consciously changing his leadership style heading
into the next four years. Weeks before the November elections, his top advisers were
signaling that he intended to be a different kind of president in his second
term. "Just watch," they said to me, in effect, "he will win re-election decisively and then he will throw
down the gauntlet to the Republicans , insisting they raise taxes on the wealthy. Right on the
edge of the fiscal cliff, he thinks Republicans will cave." What's your Plan B, I asked. "We don't need a Plan B," they
answered. "After the president hangs tough -- no more Mr. Nice Guy --
the other side will buckle ." Sure enough, Republicans caved on taxes.
Encouraged, Obama has since made clear he won't compromise with
Republicans on the debt ceiling, either. Obama 2.0 stepped up this past
week on yet another issue: gun control. No president in two decades has been as forceful or
sweeping in challenging the nation's gun culture. Once again, he portrayed the right as the
enemy of progress and showed no interest in negotiating a package
up front. In his coming State of the Union address, and perhaps in his inaugural, the president will begin a hard
push for a comprehensive reform of our tattered immigration system. Leading GOP leaders on the issue -- Sen. Marco
Obama wants to go
Rubio, R-Florida, for example -- would prefer a piecemeal approach that is bipartisan.
for broke in a single package, and on a central issue -- providing a clear path to
citizenship for undocumented residents -- he is uncompromising. After losing out on getting Susan Rice
as his next secretary of state, Obama has also shown a tougher side on personnel appointments. Rice went down after
Democratic as well as Republican senators indicated a preference for Sen. John Kerry. But when Republicans also tried to
kill the nomination of Chuck Hagel for secretary of defense, Obama was unyielding -- an "in-your-face appointment," Sen.
Lindsay Graham, R-South Carolina, called it, echoing sentiments held by some of his colleagues. Republicans would have
Hagel and Lew -- both
preferred someone other than Jack Lew at Treasury, but Obama brushed them off.
substantial men -- will be confirmed, absent an unexpected
bombshell, and Obama will rack up two more victories over
Republicans. Strikingly, Obama has also been deft in the ways he has drawn upon Vice President Joe Biden.
During much of the campaign, Biden appeared to be kept under wraps. But in the transition, he has been invaluable to
Obama in negotiating a deal with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on the fiscal cliff and in pulling together the gun
package. Biden was also at his most eloquent at the ceremony announcing the gun measures. All of this has added up for
Obama to one of the most effective transitions in modern times. And it is paying rich dividends: A CNN poll this past week
pegged his approval rating at 55%, far above the doldrums he was in for much of the past two years. Many of
his long-time supporters are rallying behind him . As the first Democrat since
Franklin D. Roosevelt to score back-to-back election victories with more than 50% of the vote, Obama is in the
strongest position since early in his first year. Smarter, tougher,
bolder -- his new style is paying off politically . But in the long run, will it also pay off in
better governance? Perhaps -- and for the country's sake, let's hope so. Yet, there are ample reasons to wonder, and worry.
Ultimately, to resolve major issues like deficits, immigration, guns and energy , the president
and Congress need to find ways to work together much better than they did in the first term. Over the past two years,
the White
Republicans were clearly more recalcitrant than Democrats, practically declaring war on Obama, and
House has been right to adopt a tougher approach after the elections. But a
growing number of Republicans concluded after they had their heads handed to them in November that they had to move
away from extremism toward a more center-right position, more open to working out compromises with Obama. It's not
that they suddenly wanted Obama to succeed; they didn't want their party to fail. House Speaker John Boehner led the
way, offering the day after the election to raise taxes on the wealthy and giving up two decades of GOP orthodoxy. In a
similar spirit, Rubio has been developing a mainstream plan on immigration, moving away from a ruinous GOP stance.
One senses that the hope, small as it was, to take a brief timeout on hyperpartisanship in order to tackle the big issues is
conservatives
now slipping away. While a majority of Americans now approve of Obama's job performance,
And it frustrates them that he is winning : At their retreat, House Republicans learned that
their disapproval has risen to 64%. Conceivably, Obama's tactics could pressure
Republicans into capitulation on several fronts. More likely, they will be spoiling for
more fights. Chances for a "grand bargain" appear to be hanging by a
thread.
Engaging congress k2 regenerate PC
Dowd 14- Pulitzer Prize winning political journalist at the NYT (Maureen,
8/19/14, Alone Again, Naturally,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/20/opinion/maureen-dowd-alone-again-
naturally.html, Accessed: 8/20/14, FG)
WASHINGTON Affectations can be dangerous, as Gertrude Stein said. When Barack Obama first ran
for president, he theatrically cast himself as the man alone on the stage.
From his address in Berlin to his acceptance speech in Chicago, he eschewed ornaments and other
politicians, conveying the sense that he was above the grubby political
scene, unearthly and apart. He began Dreams From My Father with a description of his time living on the Upper
East Side while he was a student at Columbia, savoring his lone-wolf existence. He was, he wrote, prone to see other
people as unnecessary distractions. When neighbors began to cross the border into familiarity, I would soon find reason
to excuse myself. I had grown too comfortable in my solitude, the safest place I knew. His only kindred spirit was a
silent old man who lived alone in the apartment next door. Obama carried groceries for him but never asked his name.
When the old man died, Obama briefly regretted not knowing his name, then swiftly regretted his regret. But what started
as an affectation has turned into an affliction. A front-page article in The Times by Carl Hulse, Jeremy Peters and Michael
Shear chronicled how the presidents disdain for politics has alienated many
of his most stalwart Democratic supporters on Capitol Hill. His bored-
bird-in-a-gilded-cage attitude, the article said, has left him with few loyalists to
effectively manage the issues erupting abroad and at home and could
imperil his efforts to leave a legacy in his final stretch in office.
Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, an early Obama backer, noted that for him, eating his spinach is schmoozing with
First the president couldnt work with Republicans
elected officials.
because they were too obdurate. Then he tried to chase down
reporters with subpoenas. Now he finds members of his own party
an unnecessary distraction. His circle keeps getting more inner. He
golfs with aides and jocks, and he spent his one evening back in Washington from Marthas Vineyard at a nearly five-hour
dinner at the home of a nutritional adviser and former White House assistant chef, Sam Kass. The president who was
elected because he was a hot commodity is now a wet blanket. The extraordinary candidate turns out to be the most
ordinary of men, frittering away precious time on the links. Unlike L.B.J., who devoured problems as though he were being
chased by demons, Obamas main galvanizing impulse was to get himself elected. Almost everything else from an all-
out push on gun control after the Newtown massacre to going to see firsthand the Hispanic children thronging at the
border to using his special status to defuse racial tensions in Ferguson just seems like too much trouble. The 2004
speech that vaulted Obama into the White House soon after he breezed into town turned out to be wrong. He
misdescribed the country he wanted to lead. There is a liberal America and a conservative America. And the red-blue
divide has only gotten worse in the last six years. The man whose singular qualification was as a uniter turns out to be
singularly unequipped to operate in a polarized environment. His boosters argue that we spurned his gift of healing, so
healing is the one thing that must not be expected of him. We ingrates wont let him be the redeemer he could have been.
As Ezra Klein wrote in Vox: If Obamas speeches arent as dramatic as they used to be, this is why: the White House
believes a presidential speech on a politically charged topic is as likely to make things worse as to make things better.
He concluded: There probably wont be another Race Speech because the White House doesnt believe there can be
another Race Speech. For Obama, the cost of becoming president was sacrificing the unique gift that made him
president. So The One who got elected as the most exciting politician in American history is The One from whom we
must never again expect excitement? Do White House officials fear that Fox News could somehow get worse to them?
Sure, the president has enemies. Sure, there are racists out there. Sure, hes going to get criticized for politicizing
Why should the
something. But as F.D.R. said of his moneyed foes, I welcome their hatred.
president neutralize himself? Why doesnt he do something bold and
thrilling? Get his hands dirty? Stop going to Beverly Hills to raise money and go to St. Louis to raise
consciousness? Talk to someone besides Valerie Jarrett? The Constitution was premised on a system full of factions and
polarization.
If youre a fastidious pol who deigns to heal and deal only in
a holistic, romantic, unified utopia, the Oval Office is the wrong job
for you. The sad part is that this is an ugly, confusing and frightening time at
home and abroad, and the country needs its president to illuminate
and lead, not sink into some petulant expression of his aloofness, where he regards himself as
a party of his own and a victim of petty, needy, bickering egomaniacs. Once Obama thought his isolation was splendid.
But it turned out to be unsplendid.
1ar EXT WW AT Unpopular
Passing even controversial policies boosts Obamas
political capital
Singer 9 Juris Doctorate candidate at Berkeley Law (Jonathon, By Expending Capital, Obama Grows His Capital,
3/3/2009, http://www.mydd.com/story/2009/3/3/191825/0428)
Obama's
Despite the country's struggling economy and vocal opposition to some of his policies, President
favorability rating is at an all-time high. Two-thirds feel hopeful about his leadership and six in 10
approve of the job he's doing in the White House. "What is amazing here is how much political
capital Obama has spent in the first six weeks," said Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who
conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. "And against that, he stands at the
end of this six weeks with as much or more capital in the bank." Peter Hart gets at a
key point. Some believe that political capital is finite , that it can be used up. To an extent that's
true. But it's important to note, too, that political capital can be regenerated -- and, specifically,
that when a President expends a great deal of capital on a measure that was
difficult to enact and then succeeds, he can build up more capital. Indeed, that
appears to be what is happening with Barack Obama, who went to the mat to pass the stimulus
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
Link turn
needed. So how do today's public leaders better use public opinion to achieve
their ministerial set public policy objectives ? Within reach of Whitehall's civil servants and
minsters is a vast array of research and publications than can be used to inform the policy formation and
implementation process. Examples such as Ipsos Mori's understanding society series provides a detailed
insight into what the public value, think and want from the state. The Britain 2012 report is an example of
a piece of research that encapsulates the nation's mindset. The Cabinet Office is seeking new ways to
involve the public in policy formation in both the transparency and open data agendas which allow us to
see exactly where every penny of our taxes is going and opens up the space for political and public debate
on previously untouchables areas of state expenditure. Areas such as benefits reform at the Department of
Work and Pensions (including free TV licences, winter fuel allowance, free bus passes) could all be up for
discussion. This would have been thinking the unthinkable in the past. Public opinion could
also help set the pace of reform . To overcome frustrations around the lengthy timetable
required to implement reform, why not allow policy to be timetabled to align with public opinion?
Therein lies the momentum and impetus to accelerate the speed at
which the aptly labelled dead hand of the state implements policy. The
findings from Britain 2012 depict a generation whose view of the state is highly contrasted to views held
by their parents and grandparents. Broadly speaking, the report found a differing view between the
generations about what the state should or should not be doing. At one end of the spectrum the elder
"collectivist" post-war generation who, unsurprisingly, places value in a society and state that cares for the
most needy, and at the other, a younger generation of teenagers and those in their 20's who broadly take
a more "individualist" view of the world where each needs to take greater responsibility for themselves. In
either case, underlying changes in public opinion across generations
highlight the profound impact this may have on drawing up the
public policy priorities of the future .
Wont pass
Gerstein 15 --- White House reporter for politico (Josh Gerstein, 1/12/15,
even in legacy mode, Obamas unlikely to close gitmo, POLITICO,
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/white-house-guantanamo-bay-prison-
114170.html)//Jmoney
Obama is moving aggressively to shrink the prison population at
President Barack
Guantnamo, whittling the number of detainees nearly in half since he took office. But his drive to
close the offshore prison before he leaves office in two years faces
very long odds . Among the obstacles: existing law limits transfers, the new Congress seems
even more hostile to loosening those restrictions than the previous one , and the
presidents plan to bring some prisoners to the U.S. for open-ended detention faces resistance from both the right and the
A terrorism threat that once seemed to be fading has reared up
left. And thats not all.
again, with gains by groups like the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and last weeks attack
on a Paris newspaper stoking fears that released prisoners could return to the fight. So, while Obama has
defied Congress in recent months on issues like immigration and the
environment, and he has stepped up efforts to transfer prisoners overseas moving a flurry of 21 abroad since
mid-November its far from clear that hell succeed in closing the base. Thats
because just chipping away at the numbers wont do it. How close you are to
closing the facility is not now and never has been a function of the number of
people held, said Ben Wittes of the Brookings Institution. The group of people who are
moving out now have been cleared for transfer for a long time . Not until theyre
making disposition decisions for people who have not been cleared for transfer for five years is it that youre going to
convince me that were in some game-changing Guantnamo moment. Administration officials say their strategy is to
keep cutting the number of prisoners, which started at 242 when Obama was sworn in and now stands at 127. When the
tally drops below 100 and perhaps even as low as a few dozen, officials say, the cost per prisoner will zoom so high that
keeping the facility open will be transparently foolish and lawmakers will abandon their resistance to closing the island jail.
I think the facts and the logic will be very compelling, once we get it down to a small core, said Cliff Sloan, who stepped
down last year after 18 months as the State Department envoy for Guantnamo closure. I think the case becomes
overwhelming for them to be able to be moved to the U.S. and placed in very secure facilities. One proponent of closing
the facility said the recent flurry of transfers helps demonstrate that releasing prisoners doesnt unleash chaos. I do think
there is value in creating momentum and the demonstration effect of we do this and the sky is not falling, said Elisa
Massimino of Human Rights First. Several sources also said that in private meetings in recent months Obama has
personally and emphatically underscored his commitment to get the Guantnamo prison closed before he leaves office.
One of his first acts on his first day was to order his new administration to close the facility, established by President
George W. Bush to hold suspected terrorists in a location outside the legal protections of the U.S. judicial system. Its
continued operation not only continues to draw criticism from allies and human rights advocates, but also threatens to
tarnish Obamas legacy. Nobody should underestimate the determination of the president to close Guantnamo in his
In an interview last month, Obama
presidency, Sloan said. He feels very strongly about it.
stopped short of vowing to shut the prison by the time he leaves office, but
he insisted that he would do what he could to make that happen. Im going to be
doing everything I can to close it, he told CNN. It is something that continues to inspire jihadists and extremists around
the world, the fact that these folks are being held. It is contrary to our values and it is wildly expensive. Were spending
millions for each individual there. Some Guantnamo closure advocates and administration officials say theyre optimistic
that the new Senate Armed Services Committee chairman, John McCain of Arizona, could help ease the current
restrictions. During the 2008 presidential campaign, he favored closing Guantnamo a stance that lulled Obama and his
aides into believing it could happen within a year. However, McCain told POLITICO his key concern at the moment is that
released detainees not join up again with Islamic militant groups. I want to see a plan. I dont want to see a situation
[where] 30 percent of those released re-entered the fight, McCain said last week. Theyre going to release lots more. Of
course, thats their plan, to release as many as they can, in fact to the point where it costs X million for Y number of
detainees. Some observers sayits simply illogical to expect the current Republican-
dominated Congress to be more open to closure. And within hours of the new
Congress being sworn in, Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) made their point, announcing
plans to pursue legislation that would essentially halt transfers of high-risk
detainees. If Obama couldnt win over Congress on this issue when
the Democrats controlled one house, how much more likely is it hell be
able to win over Congress when the Republicans control both houses? asked
detainee lawyer David Remes. A Republican the White House once counted as an ally in
the Guantnamo closure fight is already mocking the administrations
suggestion that costs should spur debate. I tell you whatever money we spend
to keep a terrorist off the battlefield is money well spent, Sen. Lindsey
Graham (R-S.C.) said. I cant wait to debate somebody who thinks we cant afford to keep a committed
jihadist in jail. At the moment, the administration is not publicly arguing that detainees be released in order to save
money, simply that it would be cheaper to house prisoners in the U.S. But many in the GOP believe the White House is
shipping prisoners out of Guantnamo so that costs per prisoner appear to rise sharply. Graham and other critics also said
the White House drive to shut the prison is ill-timed, given advances terrorist
groups, particularly Islamic State, have made in recent months. ISIS is a Guantnamo
detainees worst nightmare, Cully Stimson, a top Defense Department detainee official during the George
W. Bush administration who now works at the Heritage Foundation, said, using an acronym for Islamic State. It
means further scrutiny and further review of all potential future transfers.
The situation on both sides of Capitol Hill also looks grim for closure
supporters. By 230-184, the House cast a largely party-line vote last year
to put a one-year halt on all transfers out of Guantnamo, a measure stripped
out in talks with the Democratic-controlled Senate . Republicans now have 12 more House
seats than they did last year and have gained a majority in the Senate. New Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has
long opposed bringing Guantnamo prisoners to the U.S. and played a key role in mustering congressional opposition to
Obamas first-year plans to shutter it. Mitch McConnell, back in 2009, was the one who got the whole thing rolling, said
Chris Anders, a legislative liaison for the American Civil Liberties Union. The challenges Obama
faces in closing Guantnamo arent limited to conservatives or even
to Democrats fearful of Republican attacks on the issue. Many of the
most strident backers of closing the prison approve of transferring prisoners
to other countries but strongly oppose bringing them to the U.S. for detention
without putting them on trial. The problem is not where the detention without charge or trial is
happening its the fact that its happening at all, whether its in Guantnamo or Kansas, said Laura Pitter of Human
Rights Watch. Several civil liberties and human rights groups have declared that they would rather see Guantnamo
remain open than have the government detain prisoners without trial on U.S. soil. Bringing the practice of indefinite
detention without charge or trial to any location within the United States will further harm the rule of law and adherence
to the Constitution, the ACLU, Amnesty International and others told Congress in 2010. Its
always been
something of a half-baked idea to bring [detainees] here without charge or
trial, Anders said. They keep proposing that and when everything gets
rejected the administration acts surprised Congress didnt go along.
2ac F/L
This disad makes me want to cry
Link turn
vowed there was no spying going on now. "Let me just be very, very clear ... we are not targeting
President Hollande, we will not target friends like President Hollande," said US Secretary of State John Kerry. "And
we don't conduct any foreign intelligence surveillance activities unless there is some very specific and validated national
security purpose." Kerry told reporters he had "a terrific relationship" with his counterpart Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius,
adding "the French are indispensable partners in so many ways" including in the Iran nuclear talks. "The relationship
between our two countries continues to get more productive and deeper," he added.
PC not real and winners win
Hirsh 13 --- Chief correspondent (2/7/2013, Michael, Theres No Such
Thing as Political Capital; The idea of political capitalor mandates, or
momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it
wrong, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/there-s-no-such-thing-as-
political-capital-20130207))
On Tuesday, in his State of the Union address, President Obama will do what every president does this time of year. For
about 60 minutes, he will lay out a sprawling and ambitious wish list highlighted by gun control and immigration reform,
climate change and debt reduction. In response, the pundits will do what they always do this time of year: They will
talk about how unrealistic most of the proposals are, discussions often informed by sagacious reckonings of
how much "political capital" Obama possesses to push his program
through. Most of this talk will have no bearing on what actually happens
over the next four years. Consider this: Three months ago, just before the November election, if someone had talked
seriously about Obama having enough political capital to oversee passage of both immigration reform and gun-control
legislation at the beginning of his second termeven after winning the election by 4 percentage points and 5 million votes
(the actual final tally)this person would have been called crazy and stripped of his pundit's license. (It doesn't exist, but it
ought to.) In his first term, in a starkly polarized country, the president had been so frustrated by GOP resistance that he
finally issued a limited executive order last August permitting immigrants who entered the country illegally as children to
work without fear of deportation for at least two years. Obama didn't dare to even bring up gun control, a Democratic
"third rail" that has cost the party elections and that actually might have been even less popular on the right than the
for reasons that have very little to do with
president's health care law. And yet,
Obama's personal prestige or popularity variously put in terms of a "mandate" or "political
capital" chances are fair that both will now happen. What changed? In the case of gun
control, of course, it wasn't the election. It was the horror of the 20 first-graders who were slaughtered in Newtown, Conn.,
in mid-December. The sickening reality of little girls and boys riddled with bullets from a high-capacity assault weapon
seemed to precipitate a sudden tipping point in the national conscience. One thing changed after another. Wayne LaPierre
of the National Rifle Association marginalized himself with poorly chosen comments soon after the massacre. The pro-gun
lobby, once a phalanx of opposition, began to fissure into reasonables and crazies. Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz.,
who was shot in the head two years ago and is still struggling to speak and walk, started a PAC with her husband to
appeal to the moderate middle of gun owners. Then she gave riveting and poignant testimony to the Senate, challenging
lawmakers: "Be bold." As a result, momentum has appeared to build around some kind of a plan to curtail sales of the
most dangerous weapons and ammunition and the way people are permitted to buy them. It's impossible to say now
whether such a bill will pass and, if it does, whether it will make anything more than cosmetic changes to gun laws. But
one thing is clear: The political tectonics have shifted dramatically in very little time. Whole new possibilities exist now
that didn't a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Republican members of the Senate's so-called Gang of Eight are pushing hard
for a new spirit of compromise on immigration reform, a sharp change after an election year in which the GOP standard-
bearer declared he would make life so miserable for the 11 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. that they would "self-
deport." But this turnaround has very little to do with Obama's personal influencehis political mandate, as it were. It has
almost entirely to do with just two numbers: 71 and 27. That's 71 percent for Obama, 27 percent for Mitt Romney, the
breakdown of the Hispanic vote in the 2012 presidential election. Obama drove home his advantage by giving a speech on
immigration reform on Jan. 29 at a Hispanic-dominated high school in Nevada, a swing state he won by a surprising 8
percentage points in November. But the movement on immigration has mainly come out of the Republican Party's recent
introspection, and the realization by its more thoughtful members, such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Gov. Bobby
Jindal of Louisiana, that without such a shift the party may be facing demographic death in a country where the 2010
It's got nothing to do
census showed, for the first time, that white births have fallen into the minority.
with Obama's political capital or, indeed, Obama at all. The point is not that "political
capital" is a meaningless term. Often it is a synonym for "mandate" or "momentum" in the aftermath of a decisive
electionand just about every politician ever elected has tried to claim more of a mandate than he actually has. Certainly,
Obama can say that because he was elected and Romney wasn't, he has a better claim on the country's mood and
direction. Many pundits still defend political capital as a useful metaphor at least. "It's an unquantifiable but meaningful
concept," says Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute. " You
can't really look at a
president and say he's got 37 ounces of political capital. But the fact is, it's a
concept that matters, if you have popularity and some momentum on your side." The real problem is that the idea of
political capitalor mandates, or momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it wrong. "Presidents
usually over-estimate it," says George Edwards, a presidential scholar at Texas A&M University. "The best kind of political
capitalsome sense of an electoral mandate to do somethingis very rare. It almost never happens. In 1964, maybe. And to
some degree in 1980." For that reason, political capital is a concept that misleads far more
than it enlightens. It is distortionary. It conveys the idea that we know more than we really do
about the ever-elusive concept of political power, and it discounts the way unforeseen
events can suddenly change everything . Instead, it suggests,
erroneously, that a political figure has a concrete amount of political
capital to invest, just as someone might have real investment capital that a particular leader can bank his
gains, and the size of his account determines what he can do at any given moment in history. Naturally, any president has
practical and electoral limits. Does he have a majority in both chambers of Congress and a cohesive coalition behind him?
Obama has neither at present. And unless a surge in the economyat the moment, still stuckor some other great victory
gives him more momentum, it is inevitable that the closer Obama gets to the 2014 election, the less he will be able to get
done. Going into the midterms, Republicans will increasingly avoid any concessions that make him (and the Democrats)
stronger. But the abrupt emergence of the immigration and gun-control issues
illustrates how suddenly shifts in mood can occur and how political interests can
align in new ways just as suddenly. Indeed, the pseudo-concept of political capital
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
other permutations here are anywhere close to that kind of threat to the Obama presidency. Presidents lose
key votes which are then mostly forgotten all the time . They pursue
policies which poll badly, but are then mostly forgotten, all the time.
Look, there is no question that if Obama loses Syria vote, the coverage will be absolutely merciless.
But let's bring some perspective. The public will probably be relieved, and eventually all the "Obama
other permutations here are anywhere close to that kind of threat to the Obama presidency. Presidents lose
key votes which are then mostly forgotten all the time . They pursue
policies which poll badly, but are then mostly forgotten, all the time.
Look, there is no question that if Obama loses Syria vote, the coverage will be absolutely merciless.
But let's bring some perspective. The public will probably be relieved, and eventually all the "Obama
Guantnamo, whittling the number of detainees nearly in half since he took office. But his drive to
close the offshore prison before he leaves office in two years faces
very long odds . Among the obstacles: existing law limits transfers, the new Congress seems
even more hostile to loosening those restrictions than the previous one , and the
presidents plan to bring some prisoners to the U.S. for open-ended detention faces resistance from both the right and the
A terrorism threat that once seemed to be fading has reared up
left. And thats not all.
again, with gains by groups like the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and last weeks attack
on a Paris newspaper stoking fears that released prisoners could return to the fight. So, while Obama has
defied Congress in recent months on issues like immigration and the
environment, and he has stepped up efforts to transfer prisoners overseas moving a flurry of 21 abroad since
mid-November its far from clear that hell succeed in closing the base. Thats
because just chipping away at the numbers wont do it. How close you are to
closing the facility is not now and never has been a function of the number of
people held, said Ben Wittes of the Brookings Institution. The group of people who are
moving out now have been cleared for transfer for a long time . Not until theyre
making disposition decisions for people who have not been cleared for transfer for five years is it that youre going to
convince me that were in some game-changing Guantnamo moment. Administration officials say their strategy is to
keep cutting the number of prisoners, which started at 242 when Obama was sworn in and now stands at 127. When the
tally drops below 100 and perhaps even as low as a few dozen, officials say, the cost per prisoner will zoom so high that
keeping the facility open will be transparently foolish and lawmakers will abandon their resistance to closing the island jail.
I think the facts and the logic will be very compelling, once we get it down to a small core, said Cliff Sloan, who stepped
down last year after 18 months as the State Department envoy for Guantnamo closure. I think the case becomes
overwhelming for them to be able to be moved to the U.S. and placed in very secure facilities. One proponent of closing
the facility said the recent flurry of transfers helps demonstrate that releasing prisoners doesnt unleash chaos. I do think
there is value in creating momentum and the demonstration effect of we do this and the sky is not falling, said Elisa
Massimino of Human Rights First. Several sources also said that in private meetings in recent months Obama has
personally and emphatically underscored his commitment to get the Guantnamo prison closed before he leaves office.
One of his first acts on his first day was to order his new administration to close the facility, established by President
George W. Bush to hold suspected terrorists in a location outside the legal protections of the U.S. judicial system. Its
continued operation not only continues to draw criticism from allies and human rights advocates, but also threatens to
tarnish Obamas legacy. Nobody should underestimate the determination of the president to close Guantnamo in his
In an interview last month, Obama
presidency, Sloan said. He feels very strongly about it.
stopped short of vowing to shut the prison by the time he leaves office, but
he insisted that he would do what he could to make that happen. Im going to be
doing everything I can to close it, he told CNN. It is something that continues to inspire jihadists and extremists around
the world, the fact that these folks are being held. It is contrary to our values and it is wildly expensive. Were spending
millions for each individual there. Some Guantnamo closure advocates and administration officials say theyre optimistic
that the new Senate Armed Services Committee chairman, John McCain of Arizona, could help ease the current
restrictions. During the 2008 presidential campaign, he favored closing Guantnamo a stance that lulled Obama and his
aides into believing it could happen within a year. However, McCain told POLITICO his key concern at the moment is that
released detainees not join up again with Islamic militant groups. I want to see a plan. I dont want to see a situation
[where] 30 percent of those released re-entered the fight, McCain said last week. Theyre going to release lots more. Of
course, thats their plan, to release as many as they can, in fact to the point where it costs X million for Y number of
detainees. Some observers sayits simply illogical to expect the current Republican-
dominated Congress to be more open to closure. And within hours of the new
Congress being sworn in, Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) made their point, announcing
plans to pursue legislation that would essentially halt transfers of high-risk
detainees. If Obama couldnt win over Congress on this issue when
the Democrats controlled one house, how much more likely is it hell be
able to win over Congress when the Republicans control both houses? asked
detainee lawyer David Remes. A Republican the White House once counted as an ally in
the Guantnamo closure fight is already mocking the administrations
suggestion that costs should spur debate. I tell you whatever money we spend
to keep a terrorist off the battlefield is money well spent, Sen. Lindsey
Graham (R-S.C.) said. I cant wait to debate somebody who thinks we cant afford to keep a committed
jihadist in jail. At the moment, the administration is not publicly arguing that detainees be released in order to save
money, simply that it would be cheaper to house prisoners in the U.S. But many in the GOP believe the White House is
shipping prisoners out of Guantnamo so that costs per prisoner appear to rise sharply. Graham and other critics also said
the White House drive to shut the prison is ill-timed, given advances terrorist
groups, particularly Islamic State, have made in recent months. ISIS is a Guantnamo
detainees worst nightmare, Cully Stimson, a top Defense Department detainee official during the George
W. Bush administration who now works at the Heritage Foundation, said, using an acronym for Islamic State. It
means further scrutiny and further review of all potential future transfers.
The situation on both sides of Capitol Hill also looks grim for closure
supporters. By 230-184, the House cast a largely party-line vote last year
to put a one-year halt on all transfers out of Guantnamo, a measure stripped
out in talks with the Democratic-controlled Senate . Republicans now have 12 more House
seats than they did last year and have gained a majority in the Senate. New Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has
long opposed bringing Guantnamo prisoners to the U.S. and played a key role in mustering congressional opposition to
Obamas first-year plans to shutter it. Mitch McConnell, back in 2009, was the one who got the whole thing rolling, said
Chris Anders, a legislative liaison for the American Civil Liberties Union. The challenges Obama
faces in closing Guantnamo arent limited to conservatives or even
to Democrats fearful of Republican attacks on the issue. Many of the
most strident backers of closing the prison approve of transferring prisoners
to other countries but strongly oppose bringing them to the U.S. for detention
without putting them on trial. The problem is not where the detention without charge or trial is
happening its the fact that its happening at all, whether its in Guantnamo or Kansas, said Laura Pitter of Human
Rights Watch. Several civil liberties and human rights groups have declared that they would rather see Guantnamo
remain open than have the government detain prisoners without trial on U.S. soil. Bringing the practice of indefinite
detention without charge or trial to any location within the United States will further harm the rule of law and adherence
to the Constitution, the ACLU, Amnesty International and others told Congress in 2010. Its
always been
something of a half-baked idea to bring [detainees] here without charge or
trial, Anders said. They keep proposing that and when everything gets
rejected the administration acts surprised Congress didnt go along.
The Guantnamo Bay Naval Station is a 45 square mile base that opened in Cuba in 1903. After the September 11th
terrorist attacks, President George W. 3s to eliminate the law that prevents detainees from being transferred to facilities
inside the U.S.
news conference with Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff. The list is long, Mr. Obama said. What were going to
do is just keep on hammering away at all the issues that I think are going to have an impact on the American people.
Some of them will be left undone . But were going to try to make progress
on every single one of them . The renewed domestic offensive, coupled with an aggressive front on
foreign-policy issues, are a reflection of a president who is, as former senior White House adviser David Axelrod recently
told The Wall Street Journal, feeling the pressures of time. The challenge for Mr. Obama will be in the places where his
domestic and foreign policy agendas intersect. The president has limited political capital
in Congress. And he needs lawmakers to backor at least not amass
a veto-proof majority opposition toa nuclear deal with Iran if one is
finalized in coming days. Hell also need to generate enough support among Republican and Democratic lawmakers for
lifting the embargo on Cuba, which on Wednesday he again called on Congress to do as he announced finalized plans to
Its unclear if Mr. Obama will also be able to persuade
open an American embassy in Havana.
Congress to act on issues such as infrastructure, business taxes and the
criminal justice system. But White House officials have been
instructed to make a strong effort . We are going to squeeze every last ounce of progress that
we can make when I have the privilegeas long as I have the privilege of holding this office, Mr. Obama said Tuesday.
1ar EXT PC Low
Obamas recent wins wont spillover --- no chance for
cooperation on other issues
Drezner 6/30 professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of
Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University (Daniel W., What can Obama really do
in his fourth quarter? He had a good week last week. What does that mean
for his presidency going forward?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/06/30/what-can-
obama-really-do-in-his-fourth-quarter/, JMP)
So the consensus among the political cognoscenti was that last week was the best week of Barack Obamas presidency. I
guess that includes me. Last week I tweeted: [image omitted] And this was all before the Supreme Court eliminated all
restrictions on same-sex marriage and Obama gave the speech of his presidency in eulogizing the Rev. Clementa
Pinckney: So, naturally, the Sunday morning shows were all about Obama
reborn and the political press was writing all about After
momentous week, Obamas presidency is reborn, and I think its
time to just take a step back and think real hard about this meme a
bit. This kind of analysis is akin to sports-writing about momentum:
The notion that a player is on a hot streak implies that he will
continue to go on his hot streak, when in point of fact, regression to the mean is the far more
likely outcome. To be fair, in politics, theres the political capital argument
that prior successes burnishes a presidents popularity, which in
turn gives him some form of political capital to seek out even more
successes. And Obamas popularity is rising in some (but not all) polls. Still, a dose of realism
seems useful here . A president can advance his agenda through a number of means: acts of legislation,
executive actions in domestic policy, foreign affairs accomplishments and burnishing his political legacy. Lets think about
these in turn. The president could reel off 10 consecutive speeches like he did in Charleston, but thats not going to make
The GOP leadership has just cooperated
this Congress any more amenable to his policies.
with Obama on the one policy initiative that they agree on there
isnt anything left in the hopper . And buried within Politicos Obama reborn! story is this little
nugget: Meanwhile, progressives on the Hill, especially those still burning over how hard he steamrolled them on trade,
are rolling their eyes at the lionizing. Remember, they point out, that many of the big things Obama gets the credit for
didnt originate with him people like Nancy Pelosi were pushing him further on health care than the White House
wanted to go, or out in favor of a gay marriage plank in the 2012 convention platform when he was still deciding what to
say. So the congressional route is pretty much stymied. Then theres executive action, a route that this administration has
been super-keen on since last year, particularly with respect to climate change (see also: new overtime rules). But lost
among all the huzzahs! and WTFs!! about King vs. Burwell was the fact that Chief Justice John Robertss ruling actually
constricted the executive branchs ability to do that very thing. Robertss opinion placed significant limits on the Chevron
deference that the courts have bestowed to the executive branch in the past, as Chris Walker explains: [T]he Chief went
the extra step of reasserting the judiciarys primary role of interpreting statutes that raise questions of deep economic
and political significance. This is a major blow to a bright-line rule-based approach to Chevron deference. One could say
that King v. Burwellwhile a critical win for the Obama Administrationis a judicial power grab over the Executive in the
modern administrative state. It will also be interesting to see how this amplified major questions doctrine affects other
judicial challenges to executive action. Especially in light of the King Courts citation to UARG, one context that
immediately comes to mind is the EPAs Clean Power Plan. So while the health-care ruling was a substantive victory for
the Obama administration, it was a process loss, and could make it difficult for the president to implement parts of his
agenda through executive action. Then theres foreign policy, his most promising avenue. Obama has the ability to rack
up some significant accomplishments over the next 18 months: the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Transatlantic Trade and
Investment Partnership, an opening to Cuba, an Iran nuclear deal and a climate change deal in Paris at the end of this
year. I think it says something, however, that of the five things listed above, the Cuba opening is likely the least
controversial. TPP and T-TIP are important but will not build him political capital since his own domestic allies hate it. The
Iran deal and climate change negotiations are significant but will run into considerable opposition. And, connected with
the point above, political polarization will make it harder for Obama to make credible commitments in Paris. More
significantly, I think foreign policy is an area where the president has lost the broader debate about how the United States
should approach the world. Finally, theres his political legacy. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016, then Obama
can legitimately compare himself to Ronald Reagan as the only postwar presidents who managed to bequeath his party
the presidency after his two terms were up. But as Jonathan Martin noted over the weekend in the New York Times, the
paradoxical effect of last week is that it clears the deck for GOP candidates: [E]ven as conservatives appear under siege,
some Republicans predict that this moment will be remembered as an effective wiping of the slate before the nation
begins focusing in earnest on the presidential race. As important as some of these issues may be to the most conservative
elements of the partys base and in the primaries ahead, few Republican leaders want to contest the 2016 elections on
social or cultural grounds, where polls suggest that they are sharply out of step with the American public. Every once in a
while, we bring down the curtain on the politics of a prior era, said David Frum, the conservative writer. The stage is now
cleared for the next generation of issues. And Republicans can say, Whether youre gay, black or a recent migrant to our
will Obama be
country, we are going to welcome you as a fully cherished member of our coalition. So
able to build on his great week to have a successful fourth quarter?
Color me somewhat skeptical. On the domestic policy front, the
president is likely to find his political options more restricted rather
than less restricted after last week . There are significant but polarizing opportunities on
foreign policy. And his political legacy rests on Clintons ability to fend off Bernie Sanders and a Republican who will be
battle-tested from the most competitive party primary Ive ever seen. Hes got decent chances on the latter two fronts
but lets put last week into perspective. It was a great week for the president. It does not mean that his presidency is
reborn.
discovered despite his reputation as the Great Communicator. The limits of the presidents
power can be scary as human beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea
that they can control events is a comforting fiction , not an
explanation for their success or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest
president) wrote, I claim not to have controlled events, but confess
plainly that events controlled me. Imagine what the pundits would
do with that admission today!
1ar EXT PC Fake
Presidential influence is wildly exaggerated their ev just
quotes political pundits
Nyhan 14 -- assistant professor of government at Dartmouth (Brendan,
Obama and the Myth of Presidential Control,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/25/upshot/obama-and-the-myth-of-
presidential-control.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1, JMP)
One of the most common criticisms of presidents especially struggling ones
during their second term is that they have lost control of events . This charge,
which has been leveled at chief executives such as Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, has become a
mantra lately in coverage of President Obama, who faces a stalled legislative agenda and crises in Ukraine,
One frequent explanation from
Gaza and at the border with Mexico. What happened?
pundits and journalists is that Mr. Obama has little control and is
instead being driven or buffeted by events. This notion
pervades commentary and debate on the presidency. We want to
believe that the president is (or should be) in control. Its the impulse behind
holding the president responsible for a bad economy and giving him credit for a good one (the most
The reassuring nature of
important factor in presidential approval and election outcomes).
presidential control is also why news media coverage of foreign
policy crises and other events that rally the country tends to use
language that depicts the president as being in command. The flip side of
the demand for presidential control is disappointment when he cant magically work his will.
Advocates of what Ive called the Green Lantern theory of the presidency
suggest that Mr. Obamas failure to achieve his goals in Congress
reflects a lack of effort or willpower. If he only tried harder or were tougher, they
suggest, he could control events rather than being controlled by them. These analyses get the
direction of causality backward, however. Under favorable
circumstances, presidents seem to be in command of events, but
thats largely a reflection of the context they face. Its not hard to seem in
control when the economy is booming, the presidents party has a large majority in Congress or the nation
is rallying around the president after a national tragedy. Once unfavorable circumstances arise, though,
even the most accomplished chief executives seem to lose control. My research has found, for example,
that scandals are not simply about misconduct. They are more likely to arise when presidents are
unpopular with self-identified members of the opposition party or when there are few competing stories in
the news. Obviously, the modern presidency is a powerful office with enormous influence, especially in
foreign policy. Iraq and Afghanistan, for instance, might look very different today if Mr. Bush had made
different decisions. Even in the domestic realm, the president can have success with a supportive
Congress, as Mr. Obamas success in passing the Affordable Care Act demonstrates. At the same time,
the powers of the presidency are outstripped by the unrealistic
expectations placed on the chief executive in the modern era . When
problems arise, its only natural that people want the most powerful person in the country to fix them, but
these demands often lack a plausible account of how the problem could be solved. And even when the
president has a proposal that he thinks would provide a solution, hes likely to struggle to persuade
Congress or the public to support it, as Mr. Reagan discovered despite his reputation as the Great
Communicator. The limits of the presidents power can be scary as human
beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea that they can control
events is a comforting fiction , not an explanation for their success
or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest president) wrote, I claim not
to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events controlled
me. Imagine what the pundits would do with that admission today!
down the gauntlet to the Republicans , insisting they raise taxes on the wealthy. Right on the
edge of the fiscal cliff, he thinks Republicans will cave." What's your Plan B, I asked. "We don't need a Plan B," they
answered. "After the president hangs tough -- no more Mr. Nice Guy --
the other side will buckle ." Sure enough, Republicans caved on taxes.
Encouraged, Obama has since made clear he won't compromise with
Republicans on the debt ceiling, either. Obama 2.0 stepped up this past
week on yet another issue: gun control. No president in two decades has been as forceful or
sweeping in challenging the nation's gun culture. Once again, he portrayed the right as the
enemy of progress and showed no interest in negotiating a package
up front. In his coming State of the Union address, and perhaps in his inaugural, the president will begin a hard
push for a comprehensive reform of our tattered immigration system. Leading GOP leaders on the issue -- Sen. Marco
Obama wants to go
Rubio, R-Florida, for example -- would prefer a piecemeal approach that is bipartisan.
for broke in a single package, and on a central issue -- providing a clear path to
citizenship for undocumented residents -- he is uncompromising. After losing out on getting Susan Rice
as his next secretary of state, Obama has also shown a tougher side on personnel appointments. Rice went down after
Democratic as well as Republican senators indicated a preference for Sen. John Kerry. But when Republicans also tried to
kill the nomination of Chuck Hagel for secretary of defense, Obama was unyielding -- an "in-your-face appointment," Sen.
Lindsay Graham, R-South Carolina, called it, echoing sentiments held by some of his colleagues. Republicans would have
Hagel and Lew -- both
preferred someone other than Jack Lew at Treasury, but Obama brushed them off.
substantial men -- will be confirmed, absent an unexpected
bombshell, and Obama will rack up two more victories over
Republicans. Strikingly, Obama has also been deft in the ways he has drawn upon Vice President Joe Biden.
During much of the campaign, Biden appeared to be kept under wraps. But in the transition, he has been invaluable to
Obama in negotiating a deal with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on the fiscal cliff and in pulling together the gun
package. Biden was also at his most eloquent at the ceremony announcing the gun measures. All of this has added up for
Obama to one of the most effective transitions in modern times. And it is paying rich dividends: A CNN poll this past week
pegged his approval rating at 55%, far above the doldrums he was in for much of the past two years. Many of
his long-time supporters are rallying behind him . As the first Democrat since
Franklin D. Roosevelt to score back-to-back election victories with more than 50% of the vote, Obama is in the
strongest position since early in his first year. Smarter, tougher,
bolder -- his new style is paying off politically . But in the long run, will it also pay off in
better governance? Perhaps -- and for the country's sake, let's hope so. Yet, there are ample reasons to wonder, and worry.
Ultimately, to resolve major issues like deficits, immigration, guns and energy , the president
and Congress need to find ways to work together much better than they did in the first term. Over the past two years,
the White
Republicans were clearly more recalcitrant than Democrats, practically declaring war on Obama, and
House has been right to adopt a tougher approach after the elections. But a
growing number of Republicans concluded after they had their heads handed to them in November that they had to move
away from extremism toward a more center-right position, more open to working out compromises with Obama. It's not
that they suddenly wanted Obama to succeed; they didn't want their party to fail. House Speaker John Boehner led the
way, offering the day after the election to raise taxes on the wealthy and giving up two decades of GOP orthodoxy. In a
similar spirit, Rubio has been developing a mainstream plan on immigration, moving away from a ruinous GOP stance.
One senses that the hope, small as it was, to take a brief timeout on hyperpartisanship in order to tackle the big issues is
conservatives
now slipping away. While a majority of Americans now approve of Obama's job performance,
And it frustrates them that he is winning : At their retreat, House Republicans learned that
their disapproval has risen to 64%. Conceivably, Obama's tactics could pressure
Republicans into capitulation on several fronts. More likely, they will be spoiling for
more fights. Chances for a "grand bargain" appear to be hanging by a
thread.
Despite the country's struggling economy and vocal opposition to some of his
that, he stands at the end of this six weeks with as much or more capital in
the bank." Peter Hart gets at a key point. Some believe that political capital is finite , that it
can be used up. To an extent that's true. But it's important to note, too, that political capital can be
regenerated -- and, specifically, that when a President expends a great deal of
capital on a measure that was difficult to enact and then succeeds , he can
build up more capital. Indeed, that appears to be what is happening with Barack Obama, who went to
the mat to pass the stimulus package out of the gate, got it passed despite
near-unanimous opposition of the Republicans on Capitol Hill, and is being rewarded
by the American public as a result. Take a look at the numbers. President Obama now has a 68
percent favorable rating in the NBC-WSJ poll, his highest ever showing in the survey. Nearly half of those surveyed (47
percent) view him very positively. Obama's Democratic Party earns a respectable 49 percent favorable rating. The
Republican Party, however, is in the toilet, with its worst ever showing in the history of the NBC-WSJ poll, 26 percent
favorable. On the question of blame for the partisanship in Washington, 56 percent place the onus on the Bush
administration and another 41 percent place it on Congressional Republicans. Yet just 24 percent blame Congressional
Democrats, and a mere 11 percent blame the Obama administration. So at this point, with President Obama
seemingly benefiting from his ambitious actions and the Republicans sinking further and
further as a result of their knee-jerked opposition to that agenda, there appears to be no reason not
to push forward on anything from universal healthcare to energy reform to ending the war in Iraq.
1ar EXT Iran Thump
The Iran deal thumps the disad will burn up PC AND
failure will stall Obamas political momentum
Fabian 7/7 Jordan Fabian, is a reporter who covers the White House for the
Hill, Nuclear deal with Iran appears elusive, July 7, 2015, The Hill,
http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/247156-nuclear-deal-with-iran-
appears-elusive/NV
White House hopes for a nuclear deal with Iran a top foreign policy
achievement for President Obama seemed in danger of crumbling on Tuesday.
Negotiators extended their talks again in Geneva, as Iran made new hard-line demands, including that the
United Nations lifts its arms embargo on the country. It was the second time the parties blew through a
deadline since the original June 30 cutoff, and it raised fresh questions on whether Obamas push to use
The White House
diplomacy to cut off Tehrans path to a nuclear weapon can succeed.
acknowledged a number of difficult issues stand in the way of a deal
but said the countries involved have never been closer to reaching
a final agreement than we are now. Thats an indication that these
talks, at least for now, are worth continuing, White House spokesman Josh
Earnest told reporters. At the same time, Earnest declined to put odds on reaching a deal. Im
not feeling like a betting man today, he said. The parties extended an interim agreement to July 10,
allowing the talks to last into Friday. But Iran is warning it wont sit at the negotiating table indefinitely.
Weve come to the end, an Iranian official told Reuters on Tuesday. Either it happens in the next 48 hours
or not.The stakes are high for Obama. Along with his bid to re-
establish ties with Cuba, the Iran deal is a major test of the
presidents doctrine of engaging with the U.S.s traditional
adversaries to address common interests. If the talks falter, it would
wipe away an elusive legacy-defining foreign policy achievement for
Obama, who has grappled with instability in the Middle East and the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and
Syria. While Obama is riding the momentum from a series of successes
to solve the impasse before the Highway Trust Fund runs out of money on July 31. The battle over tax
increases will return to the forefront when lawmakers get back from the
Fourth of July recess, now that the trade debate which consumed May and June is
finally over. We hope we can get the highway bill done before the end of July, Hatch told reporters but he
identified the funding shortfall as a major obstacle. He says a three- or four-year transportation bill is more realistic than
the six-year proposals put forth by the president and Senate colleagues. I know one thing. Its pretty tough to go six
years. Six years is $92 to $94 billion, he said. I hope its a multi-year, thats all I can say, and Im going to make it as
long as we can, he added.Senate Democratic leaders are pushing the six-year
transportation plan included in President Obamas budget, which calls for $317 billion in
spending on roads and $143 billion on federal transit projects. They want to pay for it by requiring
U.S. corporations to repatriate overseas profits at a 14 percent tax rate , which
would raise $238 billion in revenue, and tax future foreign earnings at 19 percent. We're asking them for their proposal.
Here's ours, what's yours? Let's not wait to get to that deadline again and do a short- term funding plan number 34, said
New York Sen. Charles Schumer, who is leading the Democratic messaging strategy in the transportation fight. Senate
Democratic leaders say the six-year, $275 billion bill sponsored by Inhofe and Boxer, which the Environment and Public
Works Committee passed last week, does not go far enough. It's a step in the right direction because it's long term and it
does increase funding, but not by enough to meet our needs and what Democrats would prefer, said a Democratic
Republicans
leadership aide. Sens. David Vitter (R-La.) and Tom Carper (D-Del.) are cosponsors of the measure.
want to pass a multi-year transportation bill, but a schism has emerged
within their conference over the thorny question of whether they should raise
some taxes to pay for it. Republican Sen. Bob Corker (Tenn.) has called for increasing federal taxes on
gasoline and diesel by 12 cents over two years and indexing it to inflation. The gas tax now stands at 18.4 cents per
gallon while the tax on diesel is 24.4 cents per gallon. Inhofe and Senate Commerce Committee Chairman John Thune (R-
S.D.) have not ruled out increasing the gas tax. John Thune made the statement that nothing is off the table, and I
agree with his statement, Inhofe told reporters earlier this year. The Commerce panel is responsible for about $1 billion a
But any proposal to raise taxes would
year of the infrastructure budget, according to a Senate aide.
pick a fight with the conservative base led by Grover Norquist, the president
of Americans for Tax Reform. Norquist said Congress would have more funding for highway construction
projects if it wipes out the federal requirement established by the Davis-Bacon Act to pay local prevailing wages. "There is
zero chance the Republican House and Senate will increase taxes. Highway spending is 25% above what is needed due to
Davis-Bacon prevailing wage law. eliminate that and your funding problem disappears, he said in a statement to The
Hill. No need to raise taxes. This was tried in Michigan and Massachusetts and defeated by a vote of the people," he
added. So far, Hatch is siding with Norquist and other anti-tax conservatives. Were not willing to raise taxes, he said.
Democrats believe,
Im willing to look at everything but were not going to raise taxes to get there.
however, that House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.)
has signaled interest in paying for a multi-year transportation bill with
corporate tax reform. Lots of other Republicans, including Paul Ryan, think
international tax reforms that raise revenues are a good way to go.
Democrats agree, said a senior Democratic aide. Ryan has opposed paying for increased
transportation funding by taxing overseas profits because he wants to use the reservoir of funding for a broader tax
reform initiative. Earlier this month he downplayed the likelihood of a major tax reform package passing Congress this
year. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said last month he is exploring options to pay for a multiyear
infrastructure bill and acknowledged it would need to be partly funded with revenue increases.
Cuba
2ac Strait Turn F/L
PC not real and winners win
Hirsh 13 --- Chief correspondent (2/7/2013, Michael, Theres No Such
Thing as Political Capital; The idea of political capitalor mandates, or
momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it
wrong, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/there-s-no-such-thing-as-
political-capital-20130207))
On Tuesday, in his State of the Union address, President Obama will do what every president does this time of year. For
about 60 minutes, he will lay out a sprawling and ambitious wish list highlighted by gun control and immigration reform,
climate change and debt reduction. In response, the pundits will do what they always do this time of year: They will
talk about how unrealistic most of the proposals are, discussions often informed by sagacious reckonings of
how much "political capital" Obama possesses to push his program
through. Most of this talk will have no bearing on what actually happens
over the next four years. Consider this: Three months ago, just before the November election, if someone had talked
seriously about Obama having enough political capital to oversee passage of both immigration reform and gun-control
legislation at the beginning of his second termeven after winning the election by 4 percentage points and 5 million votes
(the actual final tally)this person would have been called crazy and stripped of his pundit's license. (It doesn't exist, but it
ought to.) In his first term, in a starkly polarized country, the president had been so frustrated by GOP resistance that he
finally issued a limited executive order last August permitting immigrants who entered the country illegally as children to
work without fear of deportation for at least two years. Obama didn't dare to even bring up gun control, a Democratic
"third rail" that has cost the party elections and that actually might have been even less popular on the right than the
for reasons that have very little to do with
president's health care law. And yet,
Obama's personal prestige or popularity variously put in terms of a "mandate" or "political
capital" chances are fair that both will now happen. What changed? In the case of gun
control, of course, it wasn't the election. It was the horror of the 20 first-graders who were slaughtered in Newtown, Conn.,
in mid-December. The sickening reality of little girls and boys riddled with bullets from a high-capacity assault weapon
seemed to precipitate a sudden tipping point in the national conscience. One thing changed after another. Wayne LaPierre
of the National Rifle Association marginalized himself with poorly chosen comments soon after the massacre. The pro-gun
lobby, once a phalanx of opposition, began to fissure into reasonables and crazies. Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz.,
who was shot in the head two years ago and is still struggling to speak and walk, started a PAC with her husband to
appeal to the moderate middle of gun owners. Then she gave riveting and poignant testimony to the Senate, challenging
lawmakers: "Be bold." As a result, momentum has appeared to build around some kind of a plan to curtail sales of the
most dangerous weapons and ammunition and the way people are permitted to buy them. It's impossible to say now
whether such a bill will pass and, if it does, whether it will make anything more than cosmetic changes to gun laws. But
one thing is clear: The political tectonics have shifted dramatically in very little time. Whole new possibilities exist now
that didn't a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Republican members of the Senate's so-called Gang of Eight are pushing hard
for a new spirit of compromise on immigration reform, a sharp change after an election year in which the GOP standard-
bearer declared he would make life so miserable for the 11 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. that they would "self-
deport." But this turnaround has very little to do with Obama's personal influencehis political mandate, as it were. It has
almost entirely to do with just two numbers: 71 and 27. That's 71 percent for Obama, 27 percent for Mitt Romney, the
breakdown of the Hispanic vote in the 2012 presidential election. Obama drove home his advantage by giving a speech on
immigration reform on Jan. 29 at a Hispanic-dominated high school in Nevada, a swing state he won by a surprising 8
percentage points in November. But the movement on immigration has mainly come out of the Republican Party's recent
introspection, and the realization by its more thoughtful members, such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Gov. Bobby
Jindal of Louisiana, that without such a shift the party may be facing demographic death in a country where the 2010
It's got nothing to do
census showed, for the first time, that white births have fallen into the minority.
with Obama's political capital or, indeed, Obama at all. The point is not that "political
capital" is a meaningless term. Often it is a synonym for "mandate" or "momentum" in the aftermath of a decisive
electionand just about every politician ever elected has tried to claim more of a mandate than he actually has. Certainly,
Obama can say that because he was elected and Romney wasn't, he has a better claim on the country's mood and
direction. Many pundits still defend political capital as a useful metaphor at least. "It's an unquantifiable but meaningful
concept," says Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute. " You
can't really look at a
president and say he's got 37 ounces of political capital. But the fact is, it's a
concept that matters, if you have popularity and some momentum on your side." The real problem is that the idea of
political capitalor mandates, or momentumis so poorly defined that presidents and pundits often get it wrong. "Presidents
usually over-estimate it," says George Edwards, a presidential scholar at Texas A&M University. "The best kind of political
capitalsome sense of an electoral mandate to do somethingis very rare. It almost never happens. In 1964, maybe. And to
political capital is a concept that misleads far more
some degree in 1980." For that reason,
than it enlightens. It is distortionary. It conveys the idea that we know more than we really do
about the ever-elusive concept of political power, and it discounts the way unforeseen
events can suddenly change everything . Instead, it suggests,
erroneously, that a political figure has a concrete amount of political
capital to invest, just as someone might have real investment capital that a particular leader can bank his
gains, and the size of his account determines what he can do at any given moment in history. Naturally, any president has
practical and electoral limits. Does he have a majority in both chambers of Congress and a cohesive coalition behind him?
Obama has neither at present. And unless a surge in the economyat the moment, still stuckor some other great victory
gives him more momentum, it is inevitable that the closer Obama gets to the 2014 election, the less he will be able to get
done. Going into the midterms, Republicans will increasingly avoid any concessions that make him (and the Democrats)
stronger. But the abrupt emergence of the immigration and gun-control issues
illustrates how suddenly shifts in mood can occur and how political interests can
align in new ways just as suddenly. Indeed, the pseudo-concept of political capital
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
Link turn
needed. So how do today's public leaders better use public opinion to achieve
their ministerial set public policy objectives ? Within reach of Whitehall's civil servants and
minsters is a vast array of research and publications than can be used to inform the policy formation and
implementation process. Examples such as Ipsos Mori's understanding society series provides a detailed
insight into what the public value, think and want from the state. The Britain 2012 report is an example of
a piece of research that encapsulates the nation's mindset. The Cabinet Office is seeking new ways to
involve the public in policy formation in both the transparency and open data agendas which allow us to
see exactly where every penny of our taxes is going and opens up the space for political and public debate
on previously untouchables areas of state expenditure. Areas such as benefits reform at the Department of
Work and Pensions (including free TV licences, winter fuel allowance, free bus passes) could all be up for
discussion. This would have been thinking the unthinkable in the past. Public opinion could
also help set the pace of reform . To overcome frustrations around the lengthy timetable
required to implement reform, why not allow policy to be timetabled to align with public opinion?
Therein lies the momentum and impetus to accelerate the speed at
which the aptly labelled dead hand of the state implements policy. The
findings from Britain 2012 depict a generation whose view of the state is highly contrasted to views held
by their parents and grandparents. Broadly speaking, the report found a differing view between the
generations about what the state should or should not be doing. At one end of the spectrum the elder
"collectivist" post-war generation who, unsurprisingly, places value in a society and state that cares for the
most needy, and at the other, a younger generation of teenagers and those in their 20's who broadly take
a more "individualist" view of the world where each needs to take greater responsibility for themselves. In
either case, underlying changes in public opinion across generations
highlight the profound impact this may have on drawing up the
public policy priorities of the future .
Wont pass
Gerstein 15 --- White House reporter for politico (Josh Gerstein, 1/12/15,
even in legacy mode, Obamas unlikely to close gitmo, POLITICO,
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/white-house-guantanamo-bay-prison-
114170.html)//Jmoney
Obama is moving aggressively to shrink the prison population at
President Barack
Guantnamo, whittling the number of detainees nearly in half since he took office. But his drive to
close the offshore prison before he leaves office in two years faces
very long odds . Among the obstacles: existing law limits transfers, the new Congress seems
even more hostile to loosening those restrictions than the previous one , and the
presidents plan to bring some prisoners to the U.S. for open-ended detention faces resistance from both the right and the
A terrorism threat that once seemed to be fading has reared up
left. And thats not all.
again, with gains by groups like the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and last weeks attack
on a Paris newspaper stoking fears that released prisoners could return to the fight. So, while Obama has
defied Congress in recent months on issues like immigration and the
environment, and he has stepped up efforts to transfer prisoners overseas moving a flurry of 21 abroad since
mid-November its far from clear that hell succeed in closing the base. Thats
because just chipping away at the numbers wont do it. How close you are to
closing the facility is not now and never has been a function of the number of
people held, said Ben Wittes of the Brookings Institution. The group of people who are
moving out now have been cleared for transfer for a long time . Not until theyre
making disposition decisions for people who have not been cleared for transfer for five years is it that youre going to
convince me that were in some game-changing Guantnamo moment. Administration officials say their strategy is to
keep cutting the number of prisoners, which started at 242 when Obama was sworn in and now stands at 127. When the
tally drops below 100 and perhaps even as low as a few dozen, officials say, the cost per prisoner will zoom so high that
keeping the facility open will be transparently foolish and lawmakers will abandon their resistance to closing the island jail.
I think the facts and the logic will be very compelling, once we get it down to a small core, said Cliff Sloan, who stepped
down last year after 18 months as the State Department envoy for Guantnamo closure. I think the case becomes
overwhelming for them to be able to be moved to the U.S. and placed in very secure facilities. One proponent of closing
the facility said the recent flurry of transfers helps demonstrate that releasing prisoners doesnt unleash chaos. I do think
there is value in creating momentum and the demonstration effect of we do this and the sky is not falling, said Elisa
Massimino of Human Rights First. Several sources also said that in private meetings in recent months Obama has
personally and emphatically underscored his commitment to get the Guantnamo prison closed before he leaves office.
One of his first acts on his first day was to order his new administration to close the facility, established by President
George W. Bush to hold suspected terrorists in a location outside the legal protections of the U.S. judicial system. Its
continued operation not only continues to draw criticism from allies and human rights advocates, but also threatens to
tarnish Obamas legacy. Nobody should underestimate the determination of the president to close Guantnamo in his
In an interview last month, Obama
presidency, Sloan said. He feels very strongly about it.
stopped short of vowing to shut the prison by the time he leaves office, but
he insisted that he would do what he could to make that happen. Im going to be
doing everything I can to close it, he told CNN. It is something that continues to inspire jihadists and extremists around
the world, the fact that these folks are being held. It is contrary to our values and it is wildly expensive. Were spending
millions for each individual there. Some Guantnamo closure advocates and administration officials say theyre optimistic
that the new Senate Armed Services Committee chairman, John McCain of Arizona, could help ease the current
restrictions. During the 2008 presidential campaign, he favored closing Guantnamo a stance that lulled Obama and his
aides into believing it could happen within a year. However, McCain told POLITICO his key concern at the moment is that
released detainees not join up again with Islamic militant groups. I want to see a plan. I dont want to see a situation
[where] 30 percent of those released re-entered the fight, McCain said last week. Theyre going to release lots more. Of
course, thats their plan, to release as many as they can, in fact to the point where it costs X million for Y number of
detainees. Some observers sayits simply illogical to expect the current Republican-
dominated Congress to be more open to closure. And within hours of the new
Congress being sworn in, Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) made their point, announcing
plans to pursue legislation that would essentially halt transfers of high-risk
detainees. If Obama couldnt win over Congress on this issue when
the Democrats controlled one house, how much more likely is it hell be
able to win over Congress when the Republicans control both houses? asked
detainee lawyer David Remes. A Republican the White House once counted as an ally in
the Guantnamo closure fight is already mocking the administrations
suggestion that costs should spur debate. I tell you whatever money we spend
to keep a terrorist off the battlefield is money well spent, Sen. Lindsey
Graham (R-S.C.) said. I cant wait to debate somebody who thinks we cant afford to keep a committed
jihadist in jail. At the moment, the administration is not publicly arguing that detainees be released in order to save
money, simply that it would be cheaper to house prisoners in the U.S. But many in the GOP believe the White House is
shipping prisoners out of Guantnamo so that costs per prisoner appear to rise sharply. Graham and other critics also said
the White House drive to shut the prison is ill-timed, given advances terrorist
groups, particularly Islamic State, have made in recent months. ISIS is a Guantnamo
detainees worst nightmare, Cully Stimson, a top Defense Department detainee official during the George
W. Bush administration who now works at the Heritage Foundation, said, using an acronym for Islamic State. It
means further scrutiny and further review of all potential future transfers.
The situation on both sides of Capitol Hill also looks grim for closure
supporters. By 230-184, the House cast a largely party-line vote last year
to put a one-year halt on all transfers out of Guantnamo, a measure stripped
out in talks with the Democratic-controlled Senate . Republicans now have 12 more House
seats than they did last year and have gained a majority in the Senate. New Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has
long opposed bringing Guantnamo prisoners to the U.S. and played a key role in mustering congressional opposition to
Obamas first-year plans to shutter it. Mitch McConnell, back in 2009, was the one who got the whole thing rolling, said
Chris Anders, a legislative liaison for the American Civil Liberties Union. The challenges Obama
faces in closing Guantnamo arent limited to conservatives or even
to Democrats fearful of Republican attacks on the issue. Many of the
most strident backers of closing the prison approve of transferring prisoners
to other countries but strongly oppose bringing them to the U.S. for detention
without putting them on trial. The problem is not where the detention without charge or trial is
happening its the fact that its happening at all, whether its in Guantnamo or Kansas, said Laura Pitter of Human
Rights Watch. Several civil liberties and human rights groups have declared that they would rather see Guantnamo
remain open than have the government detain prisoners without trial on U.S. soil. Bringing the practice of indefinite
detention without charge or trial to any location within the United States will further harm the rule of law and adherence
to the Constitution, the ACLU, Amnesty International and others told Congress in 2010. Its
always been
something of a half-baked idea to bring [detainees] here without charge or
trial, Anders said. They keep proposing that and when everything gets
rejected the administration acts surprised Congress didnt go along.
2ac LA Rels
<impact defense>
The embassies may be reopening, but the embargo will take a lot
longer to come down . President Obama paired the announcement of
renewed diplomatic ties with Havana at the White House Wednesday
with a call for Congress to end the economic embargo , but U.S. business groups
anxious to crack the Cuban market say its already clear the economic track will lag behind the political one for the
president. Cuban President Raul Castro underscored the point himself Wednesday. There could be no normal relations
between Cuba and the United States as long as the economic, commercial and financial blockade continues to be fully
But, without the approval of Congress, Obama
implemented, Mr. Castro said.
cannot lift the economic embargo currently levied against Cuba.
Many in Congress, both Republican and Democrat, are opposed to
restoring diplomatic ties with the Communist island nation. The dissenters cite the
Cuban governments human rights violations, harboring of American
fugitives, and seizure of American-owned property without
compensation. Even the presidents embassy move is in jeopardy ,
as Congress must approve any public spending on the American
embassy in Havana. Public opinion, on the other hand, seems to be embracing the changes. According to a
survey conducted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, two in three Americans support ending the trade embargo.
Link turn
Loads of thumpers
Lee 7/2 (Carol E. Lee, 7/2/15, White House Gears Up for Domestic Policy
Offensive, Wall Street Journal,
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/07/02/white-house-gears-up-for-
domestic-policy-offensive/)//Jmoney
While President Barack Obamas top foreign-policy initiativesparticularly on Cuba, trade and Iranhave dominated the
the White House is gearing up for a domestic policy push thats
headlines lately,
largely been under the radar. The effort is designed both to burnish Mr.
Obamas domestic-policy legacy and to try to make headway on issues where
progress has lagged. Mr. Obama has already begun to showcase the strategy.
The White House announced this week a proposal to expand overtime pay to
about five million more Americans, and on Wednesday Mr. Obama traveled to
Tennessee to highlight his health-care lawin the wake of last weeks Supreme Court
ruling that upheld federal subsidies to millions of low-income In coming weeks, the
White House is expected to roll out more executive orders, perhaps on gun
safety. And top White House officials are hoping to capitalize on their successful collaboration
with congressional Republicans on trade to advance a business-tax overhaul and
transportation initiatives targeted at shoring up the countrys infrastructure.
Changes to the criminal justice system are also at the top of the
presidents domestic wish list . He telegraphed his renewed domestic focus this week during a
news conference with Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff. The list is long, Mr. Obama said. What were going to
do is just keep on hammering away at all the issues that I think are going to have an impact on the American people.
Some of them will be left undone . But were going to try to make progress
on every single one of them . The renewed domestic offensive, coupled with an aggressive front on
foreign-policy issues, are a reflection of a president who is, as former senior White House adviser David Axelrod recently
told The Wall Street Journal, feeling the pressures of time. The challenge for Mr. Obama will be in the places where his
domestic and foreign policy agendas intersect. The president has limited political capital
in Congress. And he needs lawmakers to backor at least not amass
a veto-proof majority opposition toa nuclear deal with Iran if one is
finalized in coming days. Hell also need to generate enough support among Republican and Democratic lawmakers for
lifting the embargo on Cuba, which on Wednesday he again called on Congress to do as he announced finalized plans to
Its unclear if Mr. Obama will also be able to persuade
open an American embassy in Havana.
Congress to act on issues such as infrastructure, business taxes and the
criminal justice system. But White House officials have been
instructed to make a strong effort . We are going to squeeze every last ounce of progress that
we can make when I have the privilegeas long as I have the privilege of holding this office, Mr. Obama said Tuesday.
No link Obama pushes the plan
a) He supports most agenda items most predictable
its the only way to get things through congress no one
else would support it
b) Prevents abusive 2ac clarifications that spike out of all
DAs and CPs
c) USFG is all three branches
DGP 98 (Ed. P.H. Collin, p. 292)
United States of America (USA) [ju:naitid steits av emerike] noun independent country, a
federation of states (originally thirteen, now fifty in North America; the United States Code = book containing all the
permanent laws of the USA, arranged in sections according to subject and revised from time to time COMMENT: the
federal government (based in Washington D.C.) is formed of a legislature (the
Congress) with two chambers (the Senate and House of Representatives), an executive (the President) and a
judiciary (the Supreme Court). Each of the fifty states making up the USA has its own legislature and executive (the
Governor) as well as its own legal system and constitution
frustration at US espionage, saying the "main sticking point" in achieving greater intelligence
"is the US desire to continue spying on France". But US officials
cooperation
vowed there was no spying going on now. "Let me just be very, very clear ... we are not targeting
President Hollande, we will not target friends like President Hollande," said US Secretary of State John Kerry. "And
we don't conduct any foreign intelligence surveillance activities unless there is some very specific and validated national
security purpose." Kerry told reporters he had "a terrific relationship" with his counterpart Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius,
adding "the French are indispensable partners in so many ways" including in the Iran nuclear talks. "The relationship
between our two countries continues to get more productive and deeper," he added.
empty concept , and that almost nothing in the academic literature successfully quantifies or even defines it.
"It can refer to a very abstract thing, like a president's popularity, but there's no mechanism there.
That makes it kind of useless ," says Richard Bensel, a government professor at Cornell University.
Even Ornstein concedes that the calculus is far more complex than
the term suggests. Winning on one issue often changes the
calculation for the next issue ; there is never any known amount of
capital. "The idea here is, if an issue comes up where the conventional wisdom is that president is not going to get
what he wants, and he gets it, then each time that happens, it changes the calculus of the other actors" Ornstein says.
"If they think he's going to win, they may change positions to get on
the winning side . It's a bandwagon effect ."
Cuban nationalists, there were multiple constituencies in the United States winning the
grassroots battle for a change of policy since the 1990s. Particular mention deserves the religious groups of
the National Council of Churches, the Black Congressional Caucus, the American left and the
Cuban American moderates and progressives who took their cause into the heart of misinformed
constituencies indoctrinated in the vision of Cuba as a U.S. national security threat. Cuban-Americans like Carlos Muniz
and Luciano Nieves paid for their devotion to good relations between the two countries with their life. After the end of the
Clinton Administration, the pro-embargo position went on retreat among libertarians, farmers and business groups in
general. The processes of economic reform and political liberalization launched by Raul Castro's government since 2009
opened the appetites of the American business community. By 2014 politics began to align with a long overdue policy
change serving U.S. national interest.
other permutations here are anywhere close to that kind of threat to the Obama presidency. Presidents lose
key votes which are then mostly forgotten all the time . They pursue
policies which poll badly, but are then mostly forgotten, all the time.
Look, there is no question that if Obama loses Syria vote, the coverage will be absolutely merciless.
But let's bring some perspective. The public will probably be relieved, and eventually all the "Obama
a) Brazil
Cerna 11 Michael Cerna, a graduate student in International Policy
Management at Kennesaw State University, Chinas Growing Presence in
Latin America: Implications for U.S. and Chinese Presence in the Region,
April 15, 2011, China Research Center,
http://www.chinacenter.net/author/michael-cerna/NV
With both the U.S. and China jockeying for influence in a world
where political power relations are changing, Latin America has the
most to gain. The primary concern for the region is that it does not become a battle ground for a neo-Cold War
between China and the U.S. Brazil already has clearly stated its concerns regarding Chinese influence. Yet, despite this
Brazil is now too reliant on China to turn away from the path on
tension,
which Lula set the country. Agricultural exports to China are crucial
to Brazils economy. Lulas Brazil supported China politically and
made clear moves away from the United States. Now Rouseffs administration has
welcomed Barack Obama with open arms. With all three major actors going through stages that could influence the global
economic and political landscape China implementing its 12th five-year plan, Brazil cementing itself as a prominent
the U.S. still recovering from a terrible financial crisis
world player and
this dynamic relationship is one that deserves close attention from
all those concerned with the future of China-U.S. relations. Where Brazil and
the rest of Latin America were once looking for an alternative to U.S. influence and found China, the region may now be
looking to the U.S. to strike a balance with growing Chinese influence. With the global ambitions of Latin America, namely
Brazil, it is essential to maintain close ties with both the United States and China. The world will be watching.
b) Venezuela
Fontevecchia 15 Agustino Fontevecchia, Staff Writer for Forbes, Obama Is
Using Cuba To Counter Russia, Iran, And China's Growing Influence In Latin
America, April 16, 2015, Forbes,
http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2015/04/16/obama-is-using-cuba-
to-counter-russia-iran-and-chinas-growing-influence-in-latin-america/NV
Maduros government (based on the legacy of the late Hugo Chvez), has
In Venezuela,
continued the policies of the previous administration by strengthening ties with
Russia, China, and Iran, in opposition to US influence. An example of this has
been Venezuelas growing oil exports to the Asian giant, going from
50,000 barrels per day in 2006 to roughly 600,000 barrels per day sent
to China in 2014. These growing exports have been part of a wider strategy aimed at reducing dependency on exports to
the United States, as well as being used to back loans provided by China that now exceed $56 billion. China has also
expanded its investments in Venezuela by acquiring and developing a plethora of companies, along with the signing of
large military contracts to provide Venezuelan armed forces with aircraft, radars, armored vehicles, and helicopters.
c) Argentina, Brazil, and Ecuador
Fontevecchia 15 Agustino Fontevecchia, Staff Writer for Forbes, Obama Is
Using Cuba To Counter Russia, Iran, And China's Growing Influence In Latin
America, April 16, 2015, Forbes,
http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2015/04/16/obama-is-using-cuba-
to-counter-russia-iran-and-chinas-growing-influence-in-latin-america/NV
After the 9/11 attacks in 2001, US foreign policy shifted and gave
little to no priority to the Americas with the exception of countries like Mexico and Canada, and
neighboring sub regions such as Central America and the Caribbean. Since then, South America
saw the fast rise of left-leaning governments, anti-American rhetoric
and integration initiatives that emphasized the exclusion of the US
from regional policymaking. Almost a decade and a half later, we see
how US withdrawal from the region allowed for the growing
presence of other international actors such as Russia, China, and even Iran. Russia
positioned itself closely with the countries with the most radicalized anti-imperialist discourse, becoming an investor in the
China on the other hand went further: It focused on
energy sector and a military equipment provider.
commercial ties with the region, actively investing in South-
American countries, selling manufactured goods of all sorts,
purchasing commodities, selling weapons systems, and even
becoming the de facto banker of governments with which it
developed close relationships such as Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil
and Ecuador. Overall, Latin-American countries received $22 billion in Chinese loans in 2014 alone, taking the
total since 2005 to $119 billion. Cuban President Raul Castro gave an historic joint conference with Barack Obama at the
Summit of the Americas in Panama AFP PHOTO/MANDEL NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty
Argentina provides a prime example of increasing
Images) In regards to commerce,
Chinese influence. In 2014, 16.5% of Argentine imports came from China, in sharp contrast to the 3.4% it
bought in 1994. Since 2010, China has been the second largest exporter to Latin
America behind the US, but ahead of the European Union. This rising
presence and influence of China in what the US has historically
considered its own back-yard worried the Obama Administrations
decision makers, leading them to seek a new strategy to reengage with countries in South America as part of a broader
global strategy that applied smart power.
One of the fundamental tenets of our justice system is one is innocent until proven guilty. While that doesnt apply to
scientific discovery, in the global warming debate the prevailing attitude is that human induced global warming is already
there is no
a fact of life and it is up to doubters to prove otherwise. To complete the analogy, Ill add that to date,
credible evidence to demonstrate that the climatological changes weve seen
since the mid-1800s are outside the bounds of natural variability inherent in
the earths climate system. Thus, any impartial jury should not come back with a guilty verdict
convicting humanity of forcing recent climatological changes. Even the most ardent supporters of global warming will not
humans are only partially responsible for the
argue this point. Instead, they argue that
observed climate change. If one takes a hard look at the science involved,
their assertions appear to be groundless . First, carbon dioxide is not a pollutant
as many claim. Carbon dioxide is good for plant life and is a natural
constituent of the atmosphere. During Earths long history there has
been more and less carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than we see today. Second,
they claim that climate is stable and slow to change, and we are accelerating climate change beyond natural variability.
Climate change is generally a regional phenomenon and not a
That is also not true.
global one. Regionally, climate has been shown to change rapidly in the past
and will continue to do so in the future. Life on earth will adapt as it has
always done. Life on earth has been shown to thrive when planetary
temperatures are warmer as opposed to colder. Third, they point to recent model projections
that have shown that the earth will warm as much as 11 degrees Fahrenheit over the next century. One should be careful
models are crude representations of the real
when looking at model projections. After all, these
atmosphere and are lacking many fundamental processes and interactions that
are inherent in the real atmosphere. The 11 degrees scenario that is thrown around the
media as if it were the mainstream prediction is an extreme scenario. Most
models predict anywhere from a 2 to 6 degree increase over the next
century, but even these are problematic given the myriad of
problems associated with using models and interpreting their
output. No one advocates destruction of the environment, and indeed we have an obligation to take care of our
environment for future generations. At the same time, we need to make sound decisions based on scientific facts. My
research leads me to believe that we will not be able to state
conclusively that global warming is or is not occurring for another 30
to 70 years. We simply dont understand the climate system well enough
nor have the data to demonstrate that humanity is having a substantial
impact on climate change.
its not
promising to Hugh Hewitt that as president she would close the U.S. embassy in Cuba. I guess
entirely surprising that the GOP would still be so gung-ho about
fighting the Cold War more than two decades after it ended. But theres
no real reason to think that all this tough talk and posturing on Cuba will amount to anything, even if a
Republican wins the White House in 2016. The reason is simple: corporate America very strongly approves
of Obamas plans to open up Cuba, and Republicans try very hard to not piss off the business community too
much. For half a century the island has just been sitting there off the Florida coast, a market completely
shut off from thorough exploitation by American business interests. Those same business interests would
Obama cant
love nothing more than to see the 50-year trade embargo come crashing down, but
unilaterally end it because Bill Clinton stupidly gave up the executive
branchs authority over the embargo back in 1996. The only way to
end the Cuba embargo is for Congress to vote to kill it, and
statements like the one from the House Speaker quoted above dont
lead one to believe that that will happen any time soon. But Americas
corporate masters are apparently massing their armies of lobbyists to try and convince enough Republicans
in Congress to give up on this obsolete relic from the Kennedy administration.
Wont pass
LaFranchi 14 Howard LaFranchi, a reporter in the Monitors Washington
Bureau, US flag to fly over Havana again, but that won't end America's Cuba
debate (+video), July 1, 2015, The Christian Monitor,
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2015/0701/US-flag-to-fly-over-
Havana-again-but-that-won-t-end-America-s-Cuba-debate-video/NV
The United States and Cuba may have agreed Wednesday
WASHINGTON
to open embassies in each others capital for the first time in half a
century, but that doesnt mean it will be all salsa music and
humdrum diplomacy between the two longtime adversaries anytime
soon . President Obama emphasized that very serious differences remain between the two neighboring
countries, particularly on human rights and democracy, as he announced a long-awaited accord between the
two governments Wednesday. The agreement will allow each countrys existing diplomatic offices in
Washington and Havana to reopen as full-fledged embassies as of July 20. I believe that American
engagement through our embassy, our businesses, and most of all, through our people is the best way to
advance our interests and support for democracy and human rights, Mr. Obama said Wednesday in a Rose
Garden speech. Cuba is one of a number of key foreign-policy issues Iran and Iraq also come to mind in
which Obama has sought to get beyond what he has seen as mistaken policies of the past. Such a foreign
policy emphasizes trying diplomacy where, to the presidents thinking, isolation and unilateral action have
not worked. And in each instance, whether Cuba or Iran, it is still being hotly
debated, with some vaunting and others vilifying the approach . That
debate promises to figure prominently in the 2016 presidential
election, and the emotional topic of Cuba is sure to stand out . On
Wednesday, several Republican presidential hopefuls most notably two from
Florida, with its politically crucial Cuban-American population were quick to blast the
reestablishment of diplomatic relations with Cuba as a gift to a
repressive regime. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said diplomatic ties will
legitimize repression in Cuba, not promote the cause of freedom and
democracy. Florida GOP Sen. Marco Rubio criticized the Obama
administration for being so eager to open an embassy in Havana that it has continued to look the
other way and offer concession after concession as the Cuban government has stepped up its repression
of the Cuban people. Insisting the US got nothing from the Cubans in the six months of negotiations since
Rubio said, It is time
Obama announced his intention to renew diplomatic relations, Senator
for our unilateral concessions to this odious regime to end . That theme of
the US giving up much to an adversary for little or nothing in return can also be heard in reference to Iran
and the negotiations to limit its nuclear program. Most Democrats, on the other hand, hailed the reopening
of the Havana and Washington embassies by echoing Obamas foreign-policy conviction that Americas
isolation of adversaries does little to resolve differences with them while causing problems with allies who
oppose unilateral steps like the 50-year-old US trade embargo on Cuba. Embargo and isolation failed to
bring fundamental change to Cuba and have instead become a source of friction between the United States
and our partners in the Western Hemisphere and across the globe, said Sen. Christopher Murphy (D) of
Connecticut in a statement. Preserving Americas global stature, Senator Murphy added, depends on
strong diplomatic relationships and a willingness to learn from both our successes and our ... missteps in
What Congress
particular from the failed isolation of Cuba to the disastrous occupation of Iraq.
is expected to do Even as the political debate over Cuba continues,
the Republican-controlled Congress is expected to try to thwart
Obamas opening to Cuba as best it can largely through its control
of government purse strings. Congress cant stop the reestablishing
of full diplomatic ties with Cuba. On Wednesday, in fact, Secretary of State John Kerry said
he will travel to Havana later this summer to mark both the raising of the Stars and Stripes over the
embassy and the beginning of a new era of a new relationship with the Cuban people. It will be the first
time since 1945 that a secretary of State has visited Havana, Mr. Kerry noted. Still, Congress can
continue to place roadblocks on the way to a deeper US diplomatic
presence in Cuba . A number of funding bills for US government
departments have been amended in the House to limit any
expansion of operations in Cuba. Most critically, State Department funding for US
diplomats operating in Cuba has been frozen even though the State Department won Havanas OK to boost
the number of US diplomats in Cuba as part of the transition to a full-fledged embassy. It would be a shame
if Congress impeded implementation of some of the very things we all agree we want to do, says a senior
State Department official, referring to the ability to reach out all over the island with a beefed-up
embassy staff.
1ar EXT PC Low
Obamas recent wins wont spillover --- no chance for
cooperation on other issues
Drezner 6/30 professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of
Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University (Daniel W., What can Obama really do
in his fourth quarter? He had a good week last week. What does that mean
for his presidency going forward?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/06/30/what-can-
obama-really-do-in-his-fourth-quarter/, JMP)
So the consensus among the political cognoscenti was that last week was the best week of Barack Obamas presidency. I
guess that includes me. Last week I tweeted: [image omitted] And this was all before the Supreme Court eliminated all
restrictions on same-sex marriage and Obama gave the speech of his presidency in eulogizing the Rev. Clementa
Pinckney: So, naturally, the Sunday morning shows were all about Obama
reborn and the political press was writing all about After
momentous week, Obamas presidency is reborn, and I think its
time to just take a step back and think real hard about this meme a
bit. This kind of analysis is akin to sports-writing about momentum:
The notion that a player is on a hot streak implies that he will
continue to go on his hot streak, when in point of fact, regression to the mean is the far more
likely outcome. To be fair, in politics, theres the political capital argument
that prior successes burnishes a presidents popularity, which in
turn gives him some form of political capital to seek out even more
successes. And Obamas popularity is rising in some (but not all) polls. Still, a dose of realism
seems useful here . A president can advance his agenda through a number of means: acts of legislation,
executive actions in domestic policy, foreign affairs accomplishments and burnishing his political legacy. Lets think about
these in turn. The president could reel off 10 consecutive speeches like he did in Charleston, but thats not going to make
The GOP leadership has just cooperated
this Congress any more amenable to his policies.
with Obama on the one policy initiative that they agree on there
isnt anything left in the hopper . And buried within Politicos Obama reborn! story is this little
nugget: Meanwhile, progressives on the Hill, especially those still burning over how hard he steamrolled them on trade,
are rolling their eyes at the lionizing. Remember, they point out, that many of the big things Obama gets the credit for
didnt originate with him people like Nancy Pelosi were pushing him further on health care than the White House
wanted to go, or out in favor of a gay marriage plank in the 2012 convention platform when he was still deciding what to
say. So the congressional route is pretty much stymied. Then theres executive action, a route that this administration has
been super-keen on since last year, particularly with respect to climate change (see also: new overtime rules). But lost
among all the huzzahs! and WTFs!! about King vs. Burwell was the fact that Chief Justice John Robertss ruling actually
constricted the executive branchs ability to do that very thing. Robertss opinion placed significant limits on the Chevron
deference that the courts have bestowed to the executive branch in the past, as Chris Walker explains: [T]he Chief went
the extra step of reasserting the judiciarys primary role of interpreting statutes that raise questions of deep economic
and political significance. This is a major blow to a bright-line rule-based approach to Chevron deference. One could say
that King v. Burwellwhile a critical win for the Obama Administrationis a judicial power grab over the Executive in the
modern administrative state. It will also be interesting to see how this amplified major questions doctrine affects other
judicial challenges to executive action. Especially in light of the King Courts citation to UARG, one context that
immediately comes to mind is the EPAs Clean Power Plan. So while the health-care ruling was a substantive victory for
the Obama administration, it was a process loss, and could make it difficult for the president to implement parts of his
agenda through executive action. Then theres foreign policy, his most promising avenue. Obama has the ability to rack
up some significant accomplishments over the next 18 months: the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Transatlantic Trade and
Investment Partnership, an opening to Cuba, an Iran nuclear deal and a climate change deal in Paris at the end of this
year. I think it says something, however, that of the five things listed above, the Cuba opening is likely the least
controversial. TPP and T-TIP are important but will not build him political capital since his own domestic allies hate it. The
Iran deal and climate change negotiations are significant but will run into considerable opposition. And, connected with
the point above, political polarization will make it harder for Obama to make credible commitments in Paris. More
significantly, I think foreign policy is an area where the president has lost the broader debate about how the United States
should approach the world. Finally, theres his political legacy. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency in 2016, then Obama
can legitimately compare himself to Ronald Reagan as the only postwar presidents who managed to bequeath his party
the presidency after his two terms were up. But as Jonathan Martin noted over the weekend in the New York Times, the
paradoxical effect of last week is that it clears the deck for GOP candidates: [E]ven as conservatives appear under siege,
some Republicans predict that this moment will be remembered as an effective wiping of the slate before the nation
begins focusing in earnest on the presidential race. As important as some of these issues may be to the most conservative
elements of the partys base and in the primaries ahead, few Republican leaders want to contest the 2016 elections on
social or cultural grounds, where polls suggest that they are sharply out of step with the American public. Every once in a
while, we bring down the curtain on the politics of a prior era, said David Frum, the conservative writer. The stage is now
cleared for the next generation of issues. And Republicans can say, Whether youre gay, black or a recent migrant to our
will Obama be
country, we are going to welcome you as a fully cherished member of our coalition. So
able to build on his great week to have a successful fourth quarter?
Color me somewhat skeptical. On the domestic policy front, the
president is likely to find his political options more restricted rather
than less restricted after last week . There are significant but polarizing opportunities on
foreign policy. And his political legacy rests on Clintons ability to fend off Bernie Sanders and a Republican who will be
battle-tested from the most competitive party primary Ive ever seen. Hes got decent chances on the latter two fronts
but lets put last week into perspective. It was a great week for the president. It does not mean that his presidency is
reborn.
beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea that they can control
events is a comforting fiction , not an explanation for their success
or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest president) wrote, I claim not
to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events controlled
me. Imagine what the pundits would do with that admission today!
1ar EXT PC Fake
Presidential influence is wildly exaggerated --- their ev
just quotes political pundits
Nyhan 14, assistant professor of government at Dartmouth, 14 (Brendan,
Obama and the Myth of Presidential Control,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/25/upshot/obama-and-the-myth-of-
presidential-control.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1, JMP)
One of the most common criticisms of presidents especially struggling ones
during their second term is that they have lost control of events. This charge,
which has been leveled at chief executives such as Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, has become a
mantra lately in coverage of President Obama, who faces a stalled legislative agenda and crises in Ukraine,
One frequent explanation from
Gaza and at the border with Mexico. What happened?
pundits and journalists is that Mr. Obama has little control and is
instead being driven or buffeted by events. This notion
pervades commentary and debate on the presidency. We want to
believe that the president is (or should be) in control. Its the impulse behind
holding the president responsible for a bad economy and giving him credit for a good one (the most
The reassuring nature of
important factor in presidential approval and election outcomes).
presidential control is also why news media coverage of foreign
policy crises and other events that rally the country tends to use
language that depicts the president as being in command. The flip side of
the demand for presidential control is disappointment when he cant magically work his will.
Advocates of what Ive called the Green Lantern theory of the presidency
suggest that Mr. Obamas failure to achieve his goals in Congress
reflects a lack of effort or willpower. If he only tried harder or were tougher, they
suggest, he could control events rather than being controlled by them. These analyses get the
direction of causality backward, however. Under favorable
circumstances, presidents seem to be in command of events, but
thats [is] largely a reflection of the context they face. Its not hard to seem
in control when the economy is booming, the presidents party has a large majority in Congress or the
nation is rallying around the president after a national tragedy. Once unfavorable circumstances arise,
though, even the most accomplished chief executives seem to lose control. My research has found, for
example, that scandals are not simply about misconduct. They are more likely to arise when presidents are
unpopular with self-identified members of the opposition party or when there are few competing stories in
the news. Obviously, the modern presidency is a powerful office with enormous influence, especially in
foreign policy. Iraq and Afghanistan, for instance, might look very different today if Mr. Bush had made
different decisions. Even in the domestic realm, the president can have success with a supportive
Congress, as Mr. Obamas success in passing the Affordable Care Act demonstrates. At the same time,
the powers of the presidency are outstripped by the unrealistic
expectations placed on the chief executive in the modern era . When
problems arise, its only natural that people want the most powerful person in the country to fix them, but
these demands often lack a plausible account of how the problem could be solved. And even when the
president has a proposal that he thinks would provide a solution, hes likely to struggle to persuade
Congress or the public to support it, as Mr. Reagan discovered despite his reputation as the Great
Communicator. The limits of the presidents power can be scary as human
beings, we find a lack of control threatening but the idea that they can control
events is a comforting fiction , not an explanation for their success
or failure. As Abraham Lincoln (perhaps our greatest president) wrote, I claim not
to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events controlled
me. Imagine what the pundits would do with that admission today!
Winners win
Gergen 13 CNN Senior Political Analyst (David, 1/19. Obama 2.0:
Smarter but wiser?, http://www.cnn.com/2013/01/18/opinion/gergen-
obama-two/index.html)
Obama appears smarter, tougher and
On the eve of his second inaugural, President
bolder than ever before. But whether he is also wiser remains a key question for his new term. It is
clear that he is consciously changing his leadership style heading
into the next four years. Weeks before the November elections, his top advisers were
signaling that he intended to be a different kind of president in his second
term. "Just watch," they said to me, in effect, "he will win re-election decisively and then he will throw
down the gauntlet to the Republicans , insisting they raise taxes on the wealthy. Right on the
edge of the fiscal cliff, he thinks Republicans will cave." What's your Plan B, I asked. "We don't need a Plan B," they
answered. "After the president hangs tough -- no more Mr. Nice Guy --
the other side will buckle ." Sure enough, Republicans caved on taxes.
Encouraged, Obama has since made clear he won't compromise with
Republicans on the debt ceiling, either. Obama 2.0 stepped up this past
week on yet another issue: gun control. No president in two decades has been as forceful or
sweeping in challenging the nation's gun culture. Once again, he portrayed the right as the
enemy of progress and showed no interest in negotiating a package
up front. In his coming State of the Union address, and perhaps in his inaugural, the president will begin a hard
push for a comprehensive reform of our tattered immigration system. Leading GOP leaders on the issue -- Sen. Marco
Obama wants to go
Rubio, R-Florida, for example -- would prefer a piecemeal approach that is bipartisan.
for broke in a single package, and on a central issue -- providing a clear path to
citizenship for undocumented residents -- he is uncompromising. After losing out on getting Susan Rice
as his next secretary of state, Obama has also shown a tougher side on personnel appointments. Rice went down after
Democratic as well as Republican senators indicated a preference for Sen. John Kerry. But when Republicans also tried to
kill the nomination of Chuck Hagel for secretary of defense, Obama was unyielding -- an "in-your-face appointment," Sen.
Lindsay Graham, R-South Carolina, called it, echoing sentiments held by some of his colleagues. Republicans would have
Hagel and Lew -- both
preferred someone other than Jack Lew at Treasury, but Obama brushed them off.
substantial men -- will be confirmed, absent an unexpected
bombshell, and Obama will rack up two more victories over
Republicans. Strikingly, Obama has also been deft in the ways he has drawn upon Vice President Joe Biden.
During much of the campaign, Biden appeared to be kept under wraps. But in the transition, he has been invaluable to
Obama in negotiating a deal with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on the fiscal cliff and in pulling together the gun
package. Biden was also at his most eloquent at the ceremony announcing the gun measures. All of this has added up for
Obama to one of the most effective transitions in modern times. And it is paying rich dividends: A CNN poll this past week
pegged his approval rating at 55%, far above the doldrums he was in for much of the past two years. Many of
his long-time supporters are rallying behind him . As the first Democrat since
Franklin D. Roosevelt to score back-to-back election victories with more than 50% of the vote, Obama is in the
strongest position since early in his first year. Smarter, tougher,
bolder -- his new style is paying off politically . But in the long run, will it also pay off in
better governance? Perhaps -- and for the country's sake, let's hope so. Yet, there are ample reasons to wonder, and worry.
Ultimately, to resolve major issues like deficits, immigration, guns and energy , the president
and Congress need to find ways to work together much better than they did in the first term. Over the past two years,
the White
Republicans were clearly more recalcitrant than Democrats, practically declaring war on Obama, and
House has been right to adopt a tougher approach after the elections. But a
growing number of Republicans concluded after they had their heads handed to them in November that they had to move
away from extremism toward a more center-right position, more open to working out compromises with Obama. It's not
that they suddenly wanted Obama to succeed; they didn't want their party to fail. House Speaker John Boehner led the
way, offering the day after the election to raise taxes on the wealthy and giving up two decades of GOP orthodoxy. In a
similar spirit, Rubio has been developing a mainstream plan on immigration, moving away from a ruinous GOP stance.
One senses that the hope, small as it was, to take a brief timeout on hyperpartisanship in order to tackle the big issues is
conservatives
now slipping away. While a majority of Americans now approve of Obama's job performance,
And it frustrates them that he is winning : At their retreat, House Republicans learned that
their disapproval has risen to 64%. Conceivably, Obama's tactics could pressure
Republicans into capitulation on several fronts. More likely, they will be spoiling for
more fights. Chances for a "grand bargain" appear to be hanging by a
thread.
Engaging congress k2 regenerate PC
Dowd 14- Pulitzer Prize winning political journalist at the NYT (Maureen,
8/19/14, Alone Again, Naturally,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/20/opinion/maureen-dowd-alone-again-
naturally.html, Accessed: 8/20/14, FG)
WASHINGTON Affectations can be dangerous, as Gertrude Stein said. When Barack Obama first ran
for president, he theatrically cast himself as the man alone on the stage.
From his address in Berlin to his acceptance speech in Chicago, he eschewed ornaments and other
politicians, conveying the sense that he was above the grubby political
scene, unearthly and apart. He began Dreams From My Father with a description of his time living on the Upper
East Side while he was a student at Columbia, savoring his lone-wolf existence. He was, he wrote, prone to see other
people as unnecessary distractions. When neighbors began to cross the border into familiarity, I would soon find reason
to excuse myself. I had grown too comfortable in my solitude, the safest place I knew. His only kindred spirit was a
silent old man who lived alone in the apartment next door. Obama carried groceries for him but never asked his name.
When the old man died, Obama briefly regretted not knowing his name, then swiftly regretted his regret. But what started
as an affectation has turned into an affliction. A front-page article in The Times by Carl Hulse, Jeremy Peters and Michael
Shear chronicled how the presidents disdain for politics has alienated many
of his most stalwart Democratic supporters on Capitol Hill. His bored-
bird-in-a-gilded-cage attitude, the article said, has left him with few loyalists to
effectively manage the issues erupting abroad and at home and could
imperil his efforts to leave a legacy in his final stretch in office.
Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, an early Obama backer, noted that for him, eating his spinach is schmoozing with
First the president couldnt work with Republicans
elected officials.
because they were too obdurate. Then he tried to chase down
reporters with subpoenas. Now he finds members of his own party
an unnecessary distraction. His circle keeps getting more inner. He
golfs with aides and jocks, and he spent his one evening back in Washington from Marthas Vineyard at a nearly five-hour
dinner at the home of a nutritional adviser and former White House assistant chef, Sam Kass. The president who was
elected because he was a hot commodity is now a wet blanket. The extraordinary candidate turns out to be the most
ordinary of men, frittering away precious time on the links. Unlike L.B.J., who devoured problems as though he were being
chased by demons, Obamas main galvanizing impulse was to get himself elected. Almost everything else from an all-
out push on gun control after the Newtown massacre to going to see firsthand the Hispanic children thronging at the
border to using his special status to defuse racial tensions in Ferguson just seems like too much trouble. The 2004
speech that vaulted Obama into the White House soon after he breezed into town turned out to be wrong. He
misdescribed the country he wanted to lead. There is a liberal America and a conservative America. And the red-blue
divide has only gotten worse in the last six years. The man whose singular qualification was as a uniter turns out to be
singularly unequipped to operate in a polarized environment. His boosters argue that we spurned his gift of healing, so
healing is the one thing that must not be expected of him. We ingrates wont let him be the redeemer he could have been.
As Ezra Klein wrote in Vox: If Obamas speeches arent as dramatic as they used to be, this is why: the White House
believes a presidential speech on a politically charged topic is as likely to make things worse as to make things better.
He concluded: There probably wont be another Race Speech because the White House doesnt believe there can be
another Race Speech. For Obama, the cost of becoming president was sacrificing the unique gift that made him
president. So The One who got elected as the most exciting politician in American history is The One from whom we
must never again expect excitement? Do White House officials fear that Fox News could somehow get worse to them?
Sure, the president has enemies. Sure, there are racists out there. Sure, hes going to get criticized for politicizing
Why should the
something. But as F.D.R. said of his moneyed foes, I welcome their hatred.
president neutralize himself? Why doesnt he do something bold and
thrilling? Get his hands dirty? Stop going to Beverly Hills to raise money and go to St. Louis to raise
consciousness? Talk to someone besides Valerie Jarrett? The Constitution was premised on a system full of factions and
polarization.
If youre a fastidious pol who deigns to heal and deal only in
a holistic, romantic, unified utopia, the Oval Office is the wrong job
for you. The sad part is that this is an ugly, confusing and frightening time at
home and abroad, and the country needs its president to illuminate
and lead, not sink into some petulant expression of his aloofness, where he regards himself as
a party of his own and a victim of petty, needy, bickering egomaniacs. Once Obama thought his isolation was splendid.
But it turned out to be unsplendid.
1ar EXT WW AT Unpopular
Passing even controversial policies boosts Obamas
political capital
Singer 9 Juris Doctorate candidate at Berkeley Law (Jonathon, By Expending Capital, Obama Grows His Capital,
3/3/2009, http://www.mydd.com/story/2009/3/3/191825/0428)
Obama's
Despite the country's struggling economy and vocal opposition to some of his policies, President
favorability rating is at an all-time high. Two-thirds feel hopeful about his leadership and six in 10
approve of the job he's doing in the White House. "What is amazing here is how much political
capital Obama has spent in the first six weeks," said Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who
conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. "And against that, he stands at the
end of this six weeks with as much or more capital in the bank." Peter Hart gets at a
key point. Some believe that political capital is finite , that it can be used up. To an extent that's
true. But it's important to note, too, that political capital can be regenerated -- and , specifically,
that when a President expends a great deal of capital on a measure that was
difficult to enact and then succeeds, he can build up more capital. Indeed, that
appears to be what is happening with Barack Obama, who went to the mat to pass the stimulus
law would be damag ing to U.S relations with its allies , its standing in
international law and the promotion of democracy in Cuba.
1ar EXT Iran Thump
The Iran deal thumps the disad will burn up PC AND
failure will stall Obamas political momentum
Fabian 7/7 Jordan Fabian, is a reporter who covers the White House for the
Hill, Nuclear deal with Iran appears elusive, July 7, 2015, The Hill,
http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/247156-nuclear-deal-with-iran-
appears-elusive/NV
White House hopes for a nuclear deal with Iran a top foreign policy
achievement for President Obama seemed in danger of crumbling on Tuesday.
Negotiators extended their talks again in Geneva, as Iran made new hard-line demands, including that the
United Nations lifts its arms embargo on the country. It was the second time the parties blew through a
deadline since the original June 30 cutoff, and it raised fresh questions on whether Obamas push to use
The White House
diplomacy to cut off Tehrans path to a nuclear weapon can succeed.
acknowledged a number of difficult issues stand in the way of a deal
but said the countries involved have never been closer to reaching
a final agreement than we are now. Thats an indication that these
talks, at least for now, are worth continuing, White House spokesman Josh
Earnest told reporters. At the same time, Earnest declined to put odds on reaching a deal. Im
not feeling like a betting man today, he said. The parties extended an interim agreement to July 10,
allowing the talks to last into Friday. But Iran is warning it wont sit at the negotiating table indefinitely.
Weve come to the end, an Iranian official told Reuters on Tuesday. Either it happens in the next 48 hours
or not.The stakes are high for Obama. Along with his bid to re-
establish ties with Cuba, the Iran deal is a major test of the
presidents doctrine of engaging with the U.S.s traditional
adversaries to address common interests. If the talks falter, it would
wipe away an elusive legacy-defining foreign policy achievement for
Obama, who has grappled with instability in the Middle East and the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and
Syria. While Obama is riding the momentum from a series of successes
to solve the impasse before the Highway Trust Fund runs out of money on July 31. The battle over tax
increases will return to the forefront when lawmakers get back from the
Fourth of July recess, now that the trade debate which consumed May and June is
finally over. We hope we can get the highway bill done before the end of July, Hatch told reporters but he
identified the funding shortfall as a major obstacle. He says a three- or four-year transportation bill is more realistic than
the six-year proposals put forth by the president and Senate colleagues. I know one thing. Its pretty tough to go six
years. Six years is $92 to $94 billion, he said. I hope its a multi-year, thats all I can say, and Im going to make it as
long as we can, he added.Senate Democratic leaders are pushing the six-year
transportation plan included in President Obamas budget, which calls for $317 billion in
spending on roads and $143 billion on federal transit projects. They want to pay for it by requiring
U.S. corporations to repatriate overseas profits at a 14 percent tax rate , which
would raise $238 billion in revenue, and tax future foreign earnings at 19 percent. We're asking them for their proposal.
Here's ours, what's yours? Let's not wait to get to that deadline again and do a short- term funding plan number 34, said
New York Sen. Charles Schumer, who is leading the Democratic messaging strategy in the transportation fight. Senate
Democratic leaders say the six-year, $275 billion bill sponsored by Inhofe and Boxer, which the Environment and Public
Works Committee passed last week, does not go far enough. It's a step in the right direction because it's long term and it
does increase funding, but not by enough to meet our needs and what Democrats would prefer, said a Democratic
Republicans
leadership aide. Sens. David Vitter (R-La.) and Tom Carper (D-Del.) are cosponsors of the measure.
want to pass a multi-year transportation bill, but a schism has emerged
within their conference over the thorny question of whether they should raise
some taxes to pay for it. Republican Sen. Bob Corker (Tenn.) has called for increasing federal taxes on
gasoline and diesel by 12 cents over two years and indexing it to inflation. The gas tax now stands at 18.4 cents per
gallon while the tax on diesel is 24.4 cents per gallon. Inhofe and Senate Commerce Committee Chairman John Thune (R-
S.D.) have not ruled out increasing the gas tax. John Thune made the statement that nothing is off the table, and I
agree with his statement, Inhofe told reporters earlier this year. The Commerce panel is responsible for about $1 billion a
But any proposal to raise taxes would
year of the infrastructure budget, according to a Senate aide.
pick a fight with the conservative base led by Grover Norquist, the president
of Americans for Tax Reform. Norquist said Congress would have more funding for highway construction
projects if it wipes out the federal requirement established by the Davis-Bacon Act to pay local prevailing wages. "There is
zero chance the Republican House and Senate will increase taxes. Highway spending is 25% above what is needed due to
Davis-Bacon prevailing wage law. eliminate that and your funding problem disappears, he said in a statement to The
Hill. No need to raise taxes. This was tried in Michigan and Massachusetts and defeated by a vote of the people," he
added. So far, Hatch is siding with Norquist and other anti-tax conservatives. Were not willing to raise taxes, he said.
Democrats believe,
Im willing to look at everything but were not going to raise taxes to get there.
however, that House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.)
has signaled interest in paying for a multi-year transportation bill with
corporate tax reform. Lots of other Republicans, including Paul Ryan, think
international tax reforms that raise revenues are a good way to go.
Democrats agree, said a senior Democratic aide. Ryan has opposed paying for increased
transportation funding by taxing overseas profits because he wants to use the reservoir of funding for a broader tax
reform initiative. Earlier this month he downplayed the likelihood of a major tax reform package passing Congress this
year. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said last month he is exploring options to pay for a multiyear
infrastructure bill and acknowledged it would need to be partly funded with revenue increases.
Counterplans
Theory
Adv CP Multi-Plank Bad
Multiplanks a voter the combination isnt real world
because its not advocated by a single author makes it
impossible to predict vote aff for deterrence
Specific Midway
2ac F/L
It doesnt solve the resource trade-off internal link since
all of their evidence speaks to bottom-up innovation
rather than top-down reform means the TSA cant focus
on ensuring meaningful security thats Edwards
airport operator if the lease is not properly executed . In the case of the Stewart, as
previously discussed in this report, NEG shifted its business focus from airports soon after it assumed the
lease. NEG managed the airport for immediate financial return and was not interested in investing in the
airport. As noted above, the airport was acquired by the PANYNJ in 2007 after 7 years under private
operation. The PANYNJ officials we spoke with said that the Port Authority made far greater investments
compared to NEG to bring the airport up to Port Authority standards and to retain a key airport tenant.
Its illegal
Fruchbom 7 staff writer at Fortune Magazine (Paul Fruchbom, 2/17/7,
Investors circle Midway Airport,
http://archive.fortune.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2007/02/19/84
00177/index.htm?postversion=2007021205)//twemchen
After the landmark privatization of the Chicago Skyway, which the city leased to a foreign consortium for
$1.8 billion in 2005, similar deals followed. Last year Chicago sold a portfolio of municipal parking lots to
Morgan Stanley (Charts) for $563 million. In January the State of Illinois put its lottery, which could fetch as
biggest potential payday may
much as $10 billion, on the block. However, Chicago's
prove to be its most challenging . First there are the political hurdles . Since
several potential buyers are foreign companies , the deal could run into
the same jingoistic smackdown that killed the sale of five U.S. ports to a
there are the economic issues - 65 percent
Middle Eastern company last year. Then
of the carriers at Midway have to approve the transaction, and they may
require that landing fees (the charges they pay to the airport operator) be capped .
The bidders, on the other hand, will push for a fee schedule that
gives them a decent return on their equity. In the past, airlines have argued that
privatization can exacerbate an airport's natural monopoly if landing fees and other economic concessions
are not regulated. Airline deals could be grounded Macquarie's investment in Sydney Airport, for example,
has been profitable for the bank, but it recently lost a court case to low-cost airline Virgin Blue over
anticompetitive practices. Similar complaints have been heard at private-sector airports including Athens,
Auckland and Rome. For passengers, the results have been much more positive. Though a new
phenomenon in the U.S., airport privatization has been prevalent for decades in Europe and Australia,
where the lack of a municipal bond market has forced governments to seek creative means to finance their
infrastructure. In one of the first and most successful examples, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher's
government raised $2.3 billion by privatizing the British Airport Authority, now known as BAA, in 1987.
(Ferrovial acquired BAA last year for ten billion pounds.) To boost revenues post-privatization, operators
typically focus on two primary profit streams often overlooked by government owners, both of which can
have a positive impact on the airport experience. One avenue involves monetizing an airport's excess real
estate by building parking lots for travelers or warehouses for companies such as FedEx that want to be on
the runway. The other is adding restaurants or high-end clothing boutiques and getting passengers through
security quickly so that they can spend more time (and money) in the terminal. Mark Florian, head of North
American infrastructure investment banking at Goldman Sachs, points to Heathrow, a BAA property, as one
of the best examples. "There are more opportunities to get into your pocketbook than one could imagine,"
as the Midway sale draws near, it remains unclear how much
he says. Yet
of an impact the transaction could have on the U.S. airport industry
as a whole . Chicago is proceeding under the aegis of a ten-year old FAA
pilot program that allows for five airport privatizations , only one of
which can be a large hub airport. To date, only Stewart International in Newburgh, N.Y.,
has been privatized, but David Bennett, a director with the FAA's Office of Airport Safety and Standards,
says that if Midway is deemed a success, Congress may extend the program and clear others for takeoff.
No modeling
Thats GAO
from tort liability claims . In the Midway airport example, City officials had to negotiate with
state lawmakers to maintain Midways property tax-exempt status and the state enabling legislation
required the city to dedicate 90% of lease proceeds to fund capital infrastructure and maintenance or to
fund municipal employee pension funds. According to the recent ACRP report on airport privatizations,
with reduced protections for tort liability claims, privatization (within and
outside the APPP) may create greater tort liability risk for a private operator
than a public operator in the event of, for example, an aircraft accident ,
since the private operator would not likely be entitled to same immunities as a public entity.58
EXT No Model PTX
This for sure has absolutely zero net benefit the spirit of
the CP explicitly promotes the TSAs public-private
partnership program, which links way more to their disads
they have card zero on the distinction in the context of
____
Perm do both
tell me that even though applications have been approved for six airports, not a single new
SPP contract has been awarded by TSA since the 2012 legislation
(part of FAA reauthorization last February) was enacted. In some cases, procurements
that were under way have been pulled back , to be re-started at some unnamed
future date. That's the case for a four-airport Montana solicitation begun last October, due to be completed
by the end of February 2013. Not a word was heard during March, but finally, on April
17th, contenders received a letter from TSA cancelling the procurement and saying it would be re-started
at a later date. Orlando-Sanford's approved application is still without a contract solicitation and Sarasota-
Bradenton application awaits action. What appears to be happening is that TSA while TSA has
adhered to the letter of the law contained in last year's legislation directing actions on
applications, it has come up with a new hurdle for airports and contractors to
surmount: a " cost-efficiency " factor. At the April 12th bidder's conference for re-
bidding the SPP contract for San Francisco (SFO), bidders were told that no
contract will be awarded unless it meets TSA's cost-efficiency target. The same provision
was added at the last minute to the requirements for re-bidding the Kansas City contract earlier this year.
What this means, exactly, is not yet clear . It appears that TSA has taken
language from the SPP provisions of the 2012 FAA bill and used it to
create a requirement that no SPP contract will be awarded if the cost to
the government would be higher than what it currently costs TSA to provide screening at the airport in
question. Taken at face value, that sounds uncontroversial. But as the GAO has pointed out in several
reports, TSA still has not fully and accurately reported all its screening costs, and TSA still claims that its
own screening costs less than contract screening under SPP. In its 2008 study (GAO-09-27R), the agency
faulted TSA's cost comparisons for omitting the cost of overlapping TSA administrative staff at SPP
airports, and failing to include TSA costs for workers' comp, general liability insurance, and some
retirement costs. Not mentioned in this report, but relevant to accurate cost comparisons, TSA also does
not include the cost of using its screener flying squad (the National Deployment Force) to fill in at TSA-
screened airports. In March 2011, GAO reported that TSA had "made progress in addressing the limitations
related to costs" (GAO-11-375R), but still had work left to do. GAO's most recent report in December 2012
(GAO-13-208) focused on screener performance at TSA and SPP airports, and did not address whether TSA
was finally including all costs in its comparisons of screening. And as I noted at the time, GAO's 2012
report ignored a detailed study by the staff of the House Transportation & Infrastructure Committee: a case
study of the cost of screening at two major hub airports, both in TSA's high-risk Category XLos Angeles
and San Francisco. The former has TSA screening and the latter is one of the original pilot program airports
using a TSA-approved screening contractor. Even though federal law requires SPP contractors to pay
screeners comparable wages and benefits as TSA, the study found that the cost per screener at SFO was
5.3% less than TSA's cost at LAX. While that may not sound like much, when combined with much higher
productivity at SFO (16,113 passengers per screener at SFO vs. 9,765 at LAX, due mostly to a good mix of
part-time and full-time screeners at SFO), the overall result would be 42.6% lower screening cost at LAX if
the SFO contract model were applied there (see table).
Perm do the CP
You know, when you have a--you know, when you have an arm's-length relationship
with TSA doing-- setting policies and doing the regulation and then a private screening
the
company doing the operations, you know, that private screening company is going to do
what it is supposed to do because, also, it realizes that, you know, it could lose
that contract , it could be debarred , or other punitive measures can be taken
against it so it won't be able to do it anymore. This doesn't exist in the Federal screening world. So, you
know, that--that is a major consideration, I think, that other countries have.
range of vendors on SPP- related topics. For example, TSA advertised and held an SPP -
specific industry day in January 2014, which was attended by approximately 100 vendors. The
industry day provided an overview of the program's direction and goals, informed industry of the
acquisition process, and offered a forum for obtaining feedback and insight
into industry capabilities. TSA has also met with vendors in other forums, such as the National Association
of Security Companies' annual Washington Summit and the Washington Homeland Security Roundtable,
The FAA Modernization and Reform Act of 2012
both held in June 2014.
provided standards for approval of an SPP application, a time line for
approving or denying applications, and specific actions to take in the event an application is
denied. Additionally, under the act, the TSA administrator must determine that the approval would not
compromise the security or detrimentally effect the cost efficiency or effectiveness of the screening of
passengers or property at the airport.
AT Bell Oversight Good
Bell is about oversight to determine if the SPP is good or
not not about security standards means all their
arguments about terrorism are literally all spin
AT GAO Oversight Good
Their GAO ev is about the TSA helping airports fill out the
SPP application questionnaire which we definitely dont
preclude
First, TSA believes the Federal screening cost estimate, or FCE , which sets the required cost-
efficiency price ceiling for private screening bids, only has to contain Federal screener cost borne
by TSA and not all the Federal or taxpayer cost. Second, as to the requirement that private
screener compensation be ``no less than such Government personnel,'' here TSA believes that
private screening companies do not have to pay compensation to their
screeners that is equivalent with such Federal screeners, but only that they must pay screeners
the minimum or starting Federal screener wage s. How TSA believes that its
contracts for screening services are not subject to the Service Contract Act, even though all other Federal
agencies' screening and security services contracts are subject to the SCA, is confounding . Both
these interpretations fly in the face of a plain reading of the statute,
the intent of Congress , and public security policy . They are both major
threats to the program that detrimentally affect the acquisition and award process.
the strength of this program is important . I want to see it grow, but I want
I believe
there aren't
to work with you to make sure there aren't structural concerns. I want to make sure
biases within TSA against this program. I think it is an important
component in our overall safety footprint. So it is an issue that is very
important to me and something I think we need it continue to talk about and continue to work on.
But I thank both of you for being here today and your testimony in this.
1ar AT Best Value Rating
Best value assessments are the squo
Benner 14 Screening Partnership Program Office of Security Operations at
the TSA (William Benner, 7/29/14, STATEMENT OF WILLIAM BENNER,
SCREENING PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM, OFFICE OF SECURITY OPERATIONS,
TRANSPORTATION SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
HOMELAND SECURITY, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-
113hhrg92898/html/CHRG-113hhrg92898.htm)//twemchen
we do select the best value. That does
Mr. Benner. I am glad you put it that way, sir, because
There is three general criteria that we use to evaluate: There is a
not mean the lowest bid.
technical solution that the offeror provides; there is the past performance; and then
there is the cost. All those three are actually evaluated. Then you have different teams that
actually evaluate each of those. Then that goes to a source selection authority, who then compares all
those relative to each other and makes a final selection. In some cases, there is even another level, a
source selection evaluation board, which is in the case of--the last time we went through MCI, there was
we are selecting the
another level of observation there as well. So I am confident that
vendor who had the best proposal and provides the best value to
overall
the Government. Does that mean that it won't be protested? Absolutely not. Because any vendor
can obviously protest it, any time if they feel they have been wronged or the process
has been wronged, but I am confident in the process that we use.
Specific Foreign Model
2ac F/L
Perm do both the CP gets rid of the SPP and the plan
curtails authority to oversee airports covered by the SPP
since the CP gets rid of the program, the outcome of the
perm is the same as the CP which solves 100% of the
link to the net benefit
Perm do the CP then the plan shields the link since the
plan is an outcome of the CPs assessment its legit
because the CP fiats an assessment then an action which
includes a time-frame differential
to review that decision. We look at privatization as a management tool," adding that one size does
not fit all when it comes to airport privatization. Explains Willis, "Privatization is
not something that you create and then walk away from. What happens is a relationship change. You
change from managing a workforce to managing a contract. "You have to map out how you plan to bring
an airport through the initial implementation ... transparency and public outreach is important."
It doesnt solve the resource trade-off internal link
means the TSA cant focus on ensuring meaningful
security thats Edwards
Perm do both
Conditionality
Nuclear war
Deutsch 2 Founder of Rabid Tiger Project (Political Risk Consulting and
Research Firm focusing on Russia and Eastern Europe) [Jeffrey, SETTING THE
STAGE FOR WORLD WAR III, Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Nov 18,
http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html]//trepka
The Rabid Tiger Project believes that a nuclear war is most likely to start in Africa.
Civil wars in the Congo (the country formerly known as Zaire), Rwanda, Somalia and Sierra Leone, and
domestic instability in Zimbabwe, Sudan and other countries, as well as occasional brushfire and other
wars (thanks in part to "national" borders that cut across tribal ones) turn
into a really nasty stew. We've got all too many rabid tigers and potential rabid tigers, who are willing to
push the button rather than risk being seen as wishy-washy in the face of a mortal threat and
overthrown.Geopolitically speaking, Africa is open range . Very few countries in
Africa are beholden to any particular power. South Africa is a major exception in this
respect - not to mention in that she also probably already has the Bomb. Thus, outside powers can more
easily find client states there than, say, in Europe where the political lines have long since been drawn, or
Asia where many of the countries (China, India, Japan) are powers unto themselves and don't need any
"help," thank you. Thus, an African war can attract outside involvement very quickly. Of course, a proxy
war alone may not induce the Great Powers to fight each other. But an African nuclear strike
can ignite a much broader conflagration , if the other powers are interested in a
fight. Certainly, such a strike would in the first place have been facilitated by
outside help - financial, scientific, engineering, etc. Africa is an ocean of troubled waters, and
some people love to go fishing.
Specific Security Outputs PIC
2ac F/L
Perm do the CP the plan text leaves security outputs
surveillance in place.
Perm do both
Conditionality
Nuclear war
Deutsch 2 Founder of Rabid Tiger Project (Political Risk Consulting and
Research Firm focusing on Russia and Eastern Europe) [Jeffrey, SETTING THE
STAGE FOR WORLD WAR III, Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Nov 18,
http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html]//trepka
The Rabid Tiger Project believes that a nuclear war is most likely to start in Africa.
Civil wars in the Congo (the country formerly known as Zaire), Rwanda, Somalia and Sierra Leone, and
domestic instability in Zimbabwe, Sudan and other countries, as well as occasional brushfire and other
wars (thanks in part to "national" borders that cut across tribal ones) turn
into a really nasty stew. We've got all too many rabid tigers and potential rabid tigers, who are willing to
push the button rather than risk being seen as wishy-washy in the face of a mortal threat and
overthrown.Geopolitically speaking, Africa is open range . Very few countries in
Africa are beholden to any particular power. South Africa is a major exception in this
respect - not to mention in that she also probably already has the Bomb. Thus, outside powers can more
easily find client states there than, say, in Europe where the political lines have long since been drawn, or
Asia where many of the countries (China, India, Japan) are powers unto themselves and don't need any
"help," thank you. Thus, an African war can attract outside involvement very quickly. Of course, a proxy
war alone may not induce the Great Powers to fight each other. But an African nuclear strike
can ignite a much broader conflagration , if the other powers are interested in a
fight. Certainly, such a strike would in the first place have been facilitated by
outside help - financial, scientific, engineering, etc. Africa is an ocean of troubled waters, and
some people love to go fishing.
Adv Brandt
2ac F/L
The CPs a one-shot reform which means it doesnt solve
only we access continuous private-sector innovation
thats Hudson
that has them most concerned. It means there will be extra security at airports , public
events and government buildings. Police patrols at the AFL semi-final in Melbourne were boosted last night,
with officers visible at the gates and around the MCG. Victorian Premier Denis Napthine said the increased
security should not deter people from major events. "I don't think any Victorian should change the way
they operate, we should still go to great events like the AFL finals and the Spring Racing Carnival," he said.
"But we just need to be that little bit more aware. "We say to people go about your business but be more
alert and if there are issues of suspicion, we need you to report them." Tourism and Transport Forum
director Trent Zimmerman said tourism operators understand the need for the extra precautions. "Safety is
paramount and we have to at all costs avoid any domestic incident," he said. "I think
that everybody in the industry accepts that the worst outcome would be a successful
terrorism attack on Australian shores. "That would be far more damaging than any restrictions the
Government could put in place to prevent terrorism." Virgin Australia said it would alert passengers if
delays occurred and Qantas said it would work with federal authorities to ensure security measures remain
appropriate. Export Council of Australia chairman Ian Murray said exporters accept the need for tighter
security at ports and airports but the new counter-terrorism measures could affect international trade. "I
think that's something the Minister for Trade and Investment will be very conscious of," he said. Mr Murray
said the elevated risk was expected to continue for quite some time . Australian
counter-terrorism expert Neil Fergus said that could mean months and possibly years. "I think
the reality is given the nature of ISIL [Islamic State], it cannot be defeated in a
matter of days, weeks or even months . It's going to be a long struggle ," he said.
Mr Fergus said there has been a definite spike in radical sentiment in Australia since recent tensions
escalated in the Middle East. "We
have a very small pocket of people in this country who
have been active in recruiting young Sunni Muslims, facilitating their transport to
join ISIL," he said. "These people really must be at the heart of the investigations because they are
continuing to have some success. Until that stops, the threat is likely to stay ." Queensland
criminologist Mark Lauchs said it was not unusual to see a spike in terror activity around the anniversary of
the September 11 attacks on the United States. "A number of groups associated either with Al Qaeda or
offshoots of Al Qaeda or sympathising with Al Qaeda, it could even be local individuals, see this
date asa good time to take some form of activity to obtain some advantage for the overall
goals of this extremist jihad ," Associate Professor Lauchs said. Greens senator Scott
Ludlam said Australia's involvement in the Middle East conflict would only increase the
likelihood of a terrorist attack . "We've got to make very sure that Australia doesn't end up
simply participating in actions that perpetuate the horror and violence, and act perversely as recruiting
activities for the very networks we're trying to close down," he told Sky News.
Doesnt solve
Perm do the CP
Perm do both
1.2. Robustness As described above, a second difficulty in prior studies is the specification of the
dependent variable. Many studies focused on the variable stability. Stability is both difficult to measure3
and misplaces the focus. Stability emphasizes federalism as endsthe existence of federalismrather
Governments are tools to satisfy goals set by
than federalism as means its performance.
the constitutional designers, goals that may be updated according to
changing demands. How well do federations achieve these goals? What institutional systems enable
federal structures to perform well? To answer these questions, this study shifts the dependent variable
from existence to performance, to emphasize robustness. In the study of robustness, as opposed
we are interested in how a system maintains features and
to stability,
functionalities in the face of change and perturbations (Jen 2002). Our primary
concern is how federal systems perform in the real world, under varied, changing circumstances. A
federal system must be flexible and responsive, but not overreact to
economic, political, and social challenges . This contrasts with a federation in stasis, that
cannot respond, and whose citizens suffer. Persistent strong performance will therefore be evidence not of
stability but of robustness. And robustness, not stability, should be a better predictor of longevity for those
interested in regime duration. In the section that follows, I describe the functionalities that guarantee
robustness in detail. I identify opportunism as the chief perturbation that threatens the performance of
federations. A robust federation minimizes opportunism to maximize productivity.
For empirical verification, since opportunism is not observable, and not measurable, we define a robust
Federalism may provide a variety of
federation as one that performs well. 2. Objectives
benefits; it is populations that seek one or more of these benefits who choose federalism as their
governmental form. Federalisms performance at meeting these objectives
determines its robustness. The potential benefits from federating, and their logic, follow. 2.1.
Military Security A federal union is better able to defend itself than a
confederation or looser alliance of states. The strength that comes from an
expanded territory and resources, as well as the improved coordination of effort,
makes members of the federal union more secure against foreign invasion than they are
on their own (the Federalist; Riker 1964; Ostrom 1971). 2.2. Efficiency and Innovation This
category includes economic benefits. Some compare federalism to a unitary state, arguing
that decentralization brings benefits. In the fiscal federalism literature, the existence of two
levels of government mean that taxation and expenditure policy may be
efficiently distributed to maximize total utility (e.g. Musgrave 1997, Oates 1999). In the
market-preserving federalism literature, decentralization and fragmenting authority enables a state to
credibly commit not to expropriate all rents, when coupled with other conditions, such as a
decentralization of fiscal control and hard budget constraints (Weingast 1995, Rodden and Rose-Ackerman
1997, Qian and Weingast 1997, Rodden and Wibbels 2002). Also, there may be benefits from
lower government policy experimentation (Kollman et al. 2000); these may be
economic in nature welfare policy, taxation schemes but often are not, directly, as
with education or health care. At the same time, federalism is more centralized than a
confederacy, and centralized regulation of trade permits a polity to enjoy the
benefits of a common market (e.g. the Federalist). 2.3. Effective Representation
Madison praised federalism for its potential to improve the overall quality of
representation over what was present in the state legislatures prior to federation, bolstering the
feasibility of democracy (the Federalist, Elazar 1987, Ostrom 1991), Other benefits of federalism
cite the value of decentralization: it may more effectively manage heterogeneous populations;
distributing authority at lower levels may serve as a pressure valve, releasing
ethnic tensions (the Federalist, Horowitz 1985, Stepan 1999). In the fiscal federalism literature,
decentralization permits citizens to elect politicians who will tailor policy to
meet local preferences or to move to states that better match their interests
(Tiebout 1956, Inman and Rubinfeld 1992, Peterson 1995, Donahue 1997, Oates 1999). Most federations
the unions
are established for multiple reasons. In the Federalist, Hamilton, Madison, and Jay allude to
potential to make the states more secure against foreign invasion, to
improve the economy through establishment of a common market,
to minimize the incidence and consequences of skirmishes between
the states, and (particularly Madison), to improve the quality of representative
democracy . A third and fourth reason for federating should be mentioned. First, some federations
were established or encouraged by a colonial power with the aim of maintaining dependence, a sort of
divide-and-conquer strategy. A fifth objective comes from the political economy of fiscal federalism
literature (see especially Cremer and Palfrey 1999, 2002 and Hafer and Landa 2004). There are conditions
where a majority would prefer federation to either confederation (no federal tax rate) or centralization (no
regional tax). However, one must note that these results really concern the divide-the-dollar potential of
federalism: that is, how one might divide the federal spoils. Given that federalism is an institutional
arrangement, and that Finstitutions create winners and losers, some will prefer federalismeven a
majorityif it allows them to take advantage of the minority. This advantage of federalism over unitary or
completely decentralized governance does not emphasize federalisms potential to increase total utility; it
is a calculation based upon the utility of single agents. The redistributive aspects of federalism are very
real, but are largely a problem of federalism, not a virtue (Filippov et al. 2004). Neither of these reasons
are selections that a public would make behind the veil of ignorance; that is, in both cases, federalism is
adopted to advantage some over others.
Democracy DA
They wreck democracy
Shoenbrod 93 (David, attorney, professor, and author who is nationally
recognized for his contributions to environmental law and scholarship. A
professor of environmental and constitutional law at New York Law School for
over 25 years, he is the author or co-author of six books and numerous
articles for major newspapers and scholarly journals. Schoenbrod has also
been an adjunct scholar and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, an
independent public policy research organization, and is a visiting scholar at
the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy, Power without
responsibility: How congress Abuses the People through Delegation, page 14)
We can refuse to reelect legislators who make laws we dislike. Delegation shortcircuits
this democratic option by allowing our elected lawmakers to hide behind unelected
officials. When this concern was raised in the 1940s, the Supreme Court wrongly dismissed it with the argument that
Congress and the president still are responsible for the laws made under delegation because they specify the fundamental
policy choices in statutes and leave to the agencies only the more technical questions appropriate for resolution by
experts.' This argument assumes that Congress and the president make the hard choices, but in fact, as I have
argued, they often delegate precisely in order to avoid the hard choices. The Supreme Court also relies
upon the power of Congress to repeal agency laws, but that capacity does little to soften the blow
delegation inflicts against democratic accountability. Legislators usually hold no vote on
whether to let an agency law stand, so they need offend neither those constitu ents who
support nor those who oppose the law in question. Yet they can actively please both groups by doing
casework on their behalf; casework, unlike roll-call voting, is not of public record. Delegation thus allows
members of Congress to function as ministers rather than legislators; they express
popular aspirations and tend to their flocks rather than make hard choices . With
delegation mem bers can escape being ejected from office except upon grounds that
would oust a minister from the pulpitscandal. In those exceptional cases when incumbent
legislators do lose elections, their defeat is far more likely to be caused by some escapade or chicanery than by how
they shaped the law. 2
Agent Non-Delegation
2ac F/L
Perm do the cp its a clarification of the affs
mechanism we get to clarify the agent otherwise every
debate devolves into an unpredictable agent CP the
USFG is all three branches
DGP 98 (Ed. P.H. Collin, p. 292)
United States of America (USA) [ju:naitid steits av emerike] noun independent country, a
federation of states (originally thirteen, now fifty in North America; the United States Code = book containing all the
permanent laws of the USA, arranged in sections according to subject and revised from time to time COMMENT: the
federal government (based in Washington D.C.) is formed of a legislature (the
Congress) with two chambers (the Senate and House of Representatives), an executive (the President) and a
judiciary (the Supreme Court). Each of the fifty states making up the USA has its own legislature and executive (the
Governor) as well as its own legal system and constitution
Perm do both
Delegation is inevitable
Lovell 2k, Assistant Professor of Government, College of William and Mary,
2k (George, That Sick Chicken Wont Hunt: The Limits of a Judicially Enforced
Non- Delegation Doctrine, Constitutional Commentary, 17 Constitutional,
Commentary 79)
Once again, however, it is not certain that the only consequences of enforcing a non-delegation doctrine
are going to be the ones applauded by the doctrine's proponents. The claim that a non-delegation doctrine
will force Congress to deliberate more carefully and inhibit excessive legislation is only believable if
members of Congress cannot find alternative means of reaching compromises in the absence of
delegation. As things now stand,delegation is not the only means used by members
of Congress to find compromises that break stalemates or to avoid
responsibility. If the courts made it impossible for Congress to delegate,
Congress would be likely to substitute one or more of those other means. For
example, legislators deprived of their power to delegate might instead try to reach
compromises by increasing pork barrel spending or by logrolling regulatory
programs into huge omnibus bills. Such practices are already notorious in those policy areas
in which Congress now passes detailed legislation (e.g., taxes and appropriations). Recognizing that the
consequences of pork barreling might be even worse than the consequences
of delegation, critics of delegation deny that these alternative methods of reaching compromise are a
significant concern. Aranson, Gellhorn, and Robinson, for example, reject the suggestion that Congress
would increase pork barrel spending, [*97] claiming: "This argument assumes that the legislature is not
already maximizing its return from pork-barrel (private-goods) production. We assume the contrary,
however, and conclude that an increase in the cost of delegation will reduce the total output of
inappropriate legislation." n32 Aranson, Gellhorn, and Robinson's contrary assumption is itself implausible,
as can be seen by using a market metaphor. Enforcing a non-delegation doctrine would presumably
Raising the cost of delegation
change legislators' calculations about the costs of pork barreling.
(or removing delegation from that market altogether) will presumably make
legislators eager to purchase more of a substitute good, in this case, pork-barrel
legislation. Thus, the level at which a legislature maximizes its return from pork-barrel production in a
world of rampant delegation may be much lower than the level at which returns will be maximized in a
Congress would also adjust
world with a judicially enforced non-delegation doctrine. Presumably,
to the world without delegation by making its internal structure more
conducive to alternative means of reaching compromises. n33 Even beyond the
problems posed by alternative means of forming compromises, there are compelling reasons to think that
the critics have offered a flawed analysis of Congress's incentives with regard to constitutional limitations
inhibiting excessive legislation. The critics' arguments suggest that delegation is a sign of a legislation-
mad Congress trying to subvert structural controls that inhibit legislative compromises. This assumption
seems quite odd when tested against the internal procedural rules that Congress has created for itself.
Many of those rules [*98] make it much harder for legislation to pass, not
easier. Members of Congress have created the filibuster in the Senate, rules
limiting amending activity in the House, and the decentralization
institutionalized through the committee system and weak institutional
sources of party cohesion. n34 These rules and practices often inhibit the
passage of legislation by increasing the veto points for opponents, and often
make it more difficult to form compromises. A Congress bent on finding easy
compromises and subverting the Constitution's structures for inhibiting
legislation would presumably have adopted a different way of proceeding .
AT Prez Powers
Theyre a meaningless limit on prez powers
Posner and Vermeule 2, Professors of Law University of Chicago. 02 (Eric
and Adrian Vermeule: University of Chicago Law Review: Interring the
Nondelegation Doctrine published Fall, 2002)KalM
(3) If it did happen, and it were bad, the nondelegation doctrine couldn't
prevent it anyway. If an Adolf Hitler came within striking distance of
attaining power in the modern United States, it would presumably be
unwise to rely on the nondelegation doctrine, or any other [*1743] esoteric
legal principle, as the final barrier. Far better to rely on a countervailing
power with real muscle, like an opposing political party or the army. Note
that the Schechter Poultry decision is not a plausible example of the Supreme Court invoking the
nondelegation doctrine to save the nation from a slide into executive tyranny. The National Industrial
Recovery Act had already lost political support by the time the Court heard the nondelegation challenge;
the Court's decision to invalidate the statute amounted to little more than piling on. There's little reason to
think that the Court would ever enforce the doctrine against a nationwide majority convinced that a broad
grant of statutory authority to the executive was necessary to national survival.
AT Democracy
No impact
Manan 15 [Munafrizal- Professor of IR @ University of Al Azhar Indonesia,
Hubungan International Journal, cites a bunch of profs and scholars of DPT,
The Democratic Peace Theory and Its Problems,
http://journal.unpar.ac.id/index.php/JurnalIlmiahHubunganInternasiona/article/view/1315 , mm]
In the literature of democracy, there has been a debate among social scientist,
especially political scientists, about what democracy really is as well
as which countries should be called democratic and which types of
democracies are more peaceful. Speaking generally, the experts agree that the
democratic theories can be grouped into two broad paradigms. The
first is elitist, structural, formal, and procedural. It tends to understand democracy in a
relatively minimalist way . A regime is a democracy when it passes some structural threshold of free and open
elections, autonomous branches of government, division of power, and checks and balances. This state of affairs precludes a tyrannical
The second
concentration of power in the hands of the elites. Once this structure is in place, a regime is a democracy.
to build, but also relatively easy to dismantle it. 167 It seems that the
democratic peace theory is not strongly supported by the structural
paradigm of democratic theory because interstate wars or at least
armed conflicts remain taking place in countries that committed to
this structural paradigm. The armed conflicts between Russia and
Georgia as well as Thailand and Cambodia in 2008, for example,
which were triggered by border disputes, strengthen such a view. Within
this context, Chan argues that although a large number of countries have recently
last two or three decades. 170War is defined as, according to that definition, no
hostilityqualified as an interstate war unless it led to a minimum of
1,000 battle fatalities among all the system members involved. 171
Such a definition excludes the wars that do not fulfil the 1,000
battle-death threshold and hence minimizes the number of cases
that can be categorized war. As Ray observes, in any case, there are not numerous incidents having just below
1,000 battle deaths that would otherwise qualify as wars between democratic states.172 Moreover, it allows
changing character of war in the contemporary era. 176 In addition, by using historical
analysis Ravlo, Gleditsch and Dorussen show that the claim of the democratic peace theory
pay attention to the writings of American justices. ''One of our great exports used to be
constitutional law,'' said Anne-Marie Slaughter, the dean of the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton. ''We are
losing one of the greatest bully pulpits we have ever had.'' From 1990 through 2002, for instance, the Canadian Supreme Court cited
decisions of the United States Supreme Court about a dozen times a year, an analysis by The New York Times found. In the six years since, the
annual citation rate has fallen by half, to about six. Australian state supreme courts cited American decisions 208 times in 1995, according to
a recent study by Russell Smyth, an Australian economist. By 2005, the number had fallen to 72. The story is similar around the globe, legal
Perm do both
Perm do the CP
non-state
who adhere to the Clausewitzian distinction between the ends of policy and the means of war to achieve those ends,
actors do not necessarily fight as a mere means of advancing any coherent policy. Rather, they see their fight as a
life-and-death struggle, wherein the ordinary terminology of war as an instrument of policy breaks down because of
this blending of means and ends.124 It is the existential nature of this struggle and the disappearance of the Clausewitzian distinction
between war and policy that has given rise to a new generation of warfare. The concept of fourth-generational warfare was first articulated in
an influential article in the Marine Corps Gazette in 1989, which has proven highly prescient. In describing what they saw as the modem trend
toward a new phase of warfighting, the authors argued that: In broad terms, fourth generation warfare seems likely to be widely dispersed and
largely undefined; the distinction between war and peace will be blurred to the vanishing point. It will be nonlinear, possibly to the point of
having no definable battlefields or fronts. The distinction between "civilian" and "military" may disappear. Actions will occur concurrently
throughout all participants' depth, including their society as a cultural, not just a physical, entity. Major military facilities, such as airfields, fixed
communications sites, and large headquarters will become rarities because of their vulnerability; the same may be true of civilian equivalents,
such as seats of government, power plants, and industrial sites (including knowledge as well as manufacturing industries). 125 It is precisely
this blurring of peace and war and the demise of traditionally definable battlefields that provides the impetus for the formulation of a new.
theory of war powers. As evidenced by Part M, supra, the constitutional allocation of war powers, and the Framers'
commitment of the war power to two co-equal branches, was not designed to cope with the current
international system, one that is characterized by the persistent machinations of international terror ist organizations, the rise of
multilateral alliances, the emergence of rogue states, and the potentially wide prolif eration of easily deployable
weapons of mass destruction, nuclear and otherwise. B. The Framers' World vs. Today's World The Framers crafted the Constitution, and the
people ratified it, in a time when everyone understood that the state controlled both the raising of armies and their use. Today, however, the
threat of terrorism is bringing an end to the era of the nation-state's legal monopoly on violence, and the kind of war that existed before-based
on a clear division between government, armed forces, and the people-is on the decline. 126 As states are caught between their decreasing
ability to fight each other due to the existence of nuclear weapons and the increasing threat from non-state actors, it is clear that the
Westphalian system of nation-states that informed the Framers' allocation of war powers is no longer the order of the day. 127 As seen in Part
III, supra, the rise of the modem nation-state occurred as a result of its military effectiveness and ability to defend its citizens. If nation-states
such as the United States are unable to adapt to the changing circumstances of fourth-generational warfare-that is, if they are unable to
adequately defend against low-intensity conflict conducted by non-state actors-"then clearly [the modem state] does not have a future in front
of it.' 128 The challenge in formulating a new theory of war powers for fourthgenerational warfare that remains legally justifiable lies in the
difficulty of adapting to changed circumstances while remaining faithful to the constitutional text and the original meaning. 29 To that end, it is
crucial to remember that the Framers crafted the Constitution in the context of the Westphalian system of nation-states. The three centuries
following the Peace of Westphalia of 1648 witnessed an international system characterized by wars, which, "through the efforts of
governments, assumed a more regular, interconnected character."' 130 That period saw the rise of an independent military class and the
stabilization of military institutions. Consequently, "warfare became more regular, better organized, and more attuned to the purpose of war-
that is, to its political objective."' 1 3' That era is now over. Today, the stability of the long-existing Westphalian international order has been
greatly eroded in recent years with the advent of international terrorist organizations, which care nothing for the traditional norms of the laws
of war. This new global environment exposes the limitations inherent in the interpretational methods of originalism and textualism and
necessitates the adoption of a new method of constitutional interpretation. While one must always be aware of the text of the Constitution and
the original understanding of that text, that very awareness identifies the extent to which fourth-generational warfare epitomizes a
phenomenon unforeseen by the Framers, a problem the constitutional resolution of which must rely on the good judgment of the present
generation. 13 Now, to adapt the constitutional warmarking scheme to the new international order characterized by fourth-generational
warfare, one must understand the threat it is being adapted to confront. C. The Jihadist Threat The erosion of the Westphalian and
Clausewitzian model of warfare and the blurring of the distinction between the means of warfare and the ends of policy, which is one
characteristic of fourth-generational warfare, apply to al-Qaeda and other adherents of jihadist ideology who view the United States as an
enemy. An excellent analysis of jihadist ideology and its implications for the rest of the world are presented by Professor Mary Habeck. 133
Professor Habeck identifies the centrality of the Qur'an, specifically a particular reading of the Qur'an and hadith (traditions about the life of
Muhammad), to the jihadist terrorists. 134 The jihadis believe that the scope of the Qur'an is universal, and "that their interpretation of Islam is
also intended for the entire world, which must be brought to recognize this fact peacefully if possible and through violence if not."' 135 Along
these lines, the jihadis view the United States and her allies as among the greatest enemies of Islam: they believe "that every element of
modern Western liberalism is flawed, wrong, and evil" because the basis of liberalism is secularism. 136 The jihadis emphasize the superiority
of Islam to all other religions, and they believe that "God does not want differing belief systems to coexist."' 37 For this reason, jihadist groups
such as al-Qaeda "recognize that the West will not submit without a fight and believe in fact that the Christians, Jews, and liberals have united
against Islam in a war that will end in the complete destruction of the unbelievers.' 138 Thus, the adherents of this jihadist ideology, be it al-
Qaeda or other groups, will continue to target the United States until she is destroyed. Their ideology demands it. 139 To effectively combat
terrorist groups such as al-Qaeda, it is necessary to understand not only how they think, but also how they operate. Al-Qaeda is a
transnational organization capable of simultaneously managing multiple operations all over the world."14 It is both centralized and
decentralized: al-Qaeda is centralized in the sense that Osama bin Laden is the unquestioned leader, but it is decentralized in that its
operations are carried out locally, by distinct cells."4 AI-Qaeda benefits immensely from this arrangement because it can exercise direct
control over high-probability operations, while maintaining a distance from low-probability attacks, only taking the credit for those that
succeed. The local terrorist cells benefit by gaining access to al-Qaeda's "worldwide network of assets, people, and expertise."' 42 Post-
September 11 events have highlighted al-Qaeda's resilience. Even as the United States and her allies fought back, inflicting heavy casualties
on al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and destroying dozens of cells worldwide, "al-Qaeda's networked nature allowed it to absorb the damage and
remain a threat." 14 3 This is a far cry from earlier generations of warfare, where the decimation of the enemy's military forces would
generally bring an end to the conflict. D. The Need for Rapid Reaction and Expanded Presidential War Power By now it should be clear just how
different this conflict against the extremist terrorists is from the type of warfare that occupied the minds of the Framers at the time of the
Founding. Rather than maintaining the geographical and political isolation desired by the Framers for the new country, today's United States is
an international power targeted by individuals and groups that will not rest until seeing her demise. The Global War on Terrorism is not truly a
war within the Framers' eighteenth-century conception of the term, and the normal constitutional provisions regulating the division of war
powers between Congress and the President do not apply. Instead, this "war" is a struggle for survival and dominance against forces that
threaten to destroy the United States and her allies, and the fourth-generational nature of the conflict, highlighted by an indiscernible
distinction between wartime and peacetime, necessitates an evolution of America's traditional constitutional warmaking scheme. As first
illustrated by the military strategist Colonel John Boyd, constitutional decision-making in the realm of war powers in the fourth generation
In the era of fourth-generational
should consider the implications of the OODA Loop: Observe, Orient, Decide, and Act. 44
warfare, quick reactions , proceeding through the OODA Loop rapidly, and disrupting the
enemy's OODA loop are the keys to victory. "In order to win," Colonel Boyd suggested, "we should
operate at a faster tempo or rhythm than our adversaries." 145 In the words of Professor
Creveld, "[b]oth organizationally and in terms of the equipment at their disposal, the armed forces of the world will have to adjust themselves
to this situation by changing their doctrine, doing away with much of their heavy equipment and becoming more like police."1 46
Unfortunately, the existing constitutional understanding, which diffuses war power between two branches of government, necessarily (by the
Framers' design) slows down decision- making. In circumstances where war is undesirable (which is, admittedly, most of the time, especially
against other nation-states), the deliberativeness of the existing decision-making process is a positive attribute. In America's current situation,
however, in the midst of the conflict with al-Qaeda and other international terrorist organizations, the existing process of
bring civil rights claims in a federal forum. n216 Even when they proceed in a
litigants tend overwhelmingly to raise civil rights claims
state court,
under the United States Constitution rather than under their state
constitution, n217 suggesting that they have more faith in the body of
constitutional law developed by federal courts than in the similar
body of law developed by state courts construing state constitutions.
1ar EXT Perm
The permutation is preferable lockstep agreement on
constitutional questions solves best
employ procedures that undermine the impartiality of the federal judiciary.71 In setting spending priorities for state governments, allocating state resources, and deciding on
policies , federal courts can lose their objectivity and become actors in the political process and in the case itself.72 As cases
move into the remedial stage, federal courts may lose their sense of detachment and become more interested in effective management of the defendant's conduct and of the overall remedy. An intrusive judiciary,
and the failure or shortcomings of its remedies, may breed a lack of confidence in, or even a lack of respect for, the legitimacy of the federal courts. To be sure, there are a great many
differences between structural injunction and foreign relations cases. Nonetheless, suits under Title III of Helms-Burton could invite similar problems. To adjudicate a Title III suit, a federal court will have to determine
facts and causation that occurred more than 30 years ago in another country. Information on the events producing an expropriation may be hard to discover and may be of doubtful reliability, due to the termination
of diplomatic and economic relations between the United States and Cuba. Courts may have to reconstruct complex financial transactions and chains of ownership among many different companies from many
different nations that stretch back to the early 1960s. Courts may need to make sensitive judgments about the political relationships and decisions not just of the present day, but of the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s.
The Supreme Court long has recognized that adjudicating claims arising from events and policies abroad present unique problems for the federal courts. In its political question cases, the Court has described its
unwillingness to hear foreign relations cases both because the foreign affairs power is vested in the other branches, and because the judiciary is functionally ill-equipped for the task. As Justice Jackson wrote, "[s]uch
decisions are wholly confided by our Constitution to the political departments of the government, Executive and Legislative. They are delicate, complex and involve large amounts of prophecy... They are decisions of
a kind for which the Judiciary has neither aptitude, facilities nor responsibility ... "n While the political question doctrine does not apply to Helms-Burton, these concerns about judicial competence ought to be taken
into account in evaluating how Title III will operate and whether it will succeed. Further, as with structural injunctions, Title III remedies may create significant institutional problems for the judiciary. Defendants are
likely to have most of their assets abroad, which would leave the court with little property to attach in order to enforce its judgments. Enforcing judgments abroad is not easy; as the Supreme Court recognized long
ago in Hilton v. Guyot, "[ajs an act of government, [a judgment's] effects are limited to the territory of the sovereign whose court rendered the judgment, unless some other state is bound by treaty to give the
judgment effect in its territory, or unless some other state is willing, for reasons of its own, to give the judgment effect."74 As the United States has not entered into any international agreements on the
enforceability of its judgments abroad, no other nations have a binding obligation to enforce a Title III judgment against their own nationals.75 These difficulties are only compounded when the foreign nations
disagree with the policy of the law that gave rise to the liability, to the extent that they even enact "clawback" legislation that allows their corporations to sue in their domestic courts to recover awards rendered
Such
under American laws.76 Current disagreement with Helms-Burton abroad may mean that few judgments rendered under Title III will be capable of enforcement.
ineffectiveness serves to dilute public respect for the courts federal , which, as
Alexander Hamilton noted in Federalist No. 7S, "have neither Force nor Will, but merely judgment."77 If Title III leaves the judiciary in the position of issuing judgments that none expect to be enforced, it enhances
an image of powerlessness on the part of the courts. It may dilute the institutional capital of the courts
in more important areas such as constitutional rights in which ( ),
to expand federal jurisdiction in the first place. Powerlessness is not the only threat to judicial authority. My colleague Martin Shapiro has written that
courts in several different cultures possess certain shared characteristics that enhance their social legitimacy, and hence the willingness of parties and the public to accept their judgments.85 Although courts
deviate in different ways from this ideal model, courts essentially find their legitimacy in the "logic of the triad," as Professor Shapiro describes itthe idea that two parties in conflict refer their dispute to a third,
neutral party for resolution. As the adjudicators become less neutral and more a part of the machinery of the state and of the political system, they lose their legitimacy. "When we move from courts as conflict
resolvers to courts as social controllers, their social logic and their independence is even further undercut. For in this realm, while proceeding in the guise of triadic conflict resolver, courts clearly operate to impose
outside interests on the parties."31 Ironically, granting the courts too much of a certain type of powerthat of enforcer of public policy-also has the effect of threatening judicial integrity. Title III of Helms-Burton
may prove to be a good example of this tension between a court's duty to resolve conflicts on the one hand, and to pursue public policy on the other. In the foreign relations area, a cause of action is more likely to
be seen as a tool for the advancement of a specific public goal, rather than as the correction of an injustice or inequity. In other words, courts will be acting as instruments of the national government, even of the
State Department, rather than as neutral decisionmakers engaged in conflict resolution. The U.S. House Committee on International Relations made this clear with regard to Title III when it declared that the
"purpose of this new civil remedy is, in part, to discourage persons and companies from engaging in commercial transactions involving confiscated property, and in so doing to deny the Cuban regime the capital
generated by such ventures and deter the exploitation of property confiscated from U.S. nationals."82 Usually, these international relations goals would be achieved by the imposition of economic sanctions by the
executive and legislative branches, rather than through a cause of action in federal court. Enlisting the judiciary to achieve these purposes encourages a perception of the federal courts as interested implementers
of American foreign policy, which will undermine the legitimacy of the federal courts and of their judgment in the eyes of the public and of our allies. Judicialization of Cuba policy raises yet another threat to judicial
independence. We have discussed the problems that arise both from the frustration of judicial remedies and from the perception of courts as merely arms of the state. Again as with structural injunctions, a third
difficulty may arise when a class of cases calls for a change in the role of the individual judge. In structural injunctions situations, it will be remembered, judges can lose their objectivity and impartiality as they
become interested players in the political give-and-take that occurs in remedial proceedings. Helms-Burton might produce a similar problem by placing judges in the difficult position either of executing American
foreign policy or of flouting national security concerns. In ruling on the merits of a Title III case, judges may not find it easy cither to put aside their patriotism or to ignore popular support for Cuba sanctions. The
price, however, of giving in to these temptations may be the further loss of neutrality and of legitimacy on the part of the courts. Judicialization of Cuba policy also will transfer the political bargaining and
confrontation that occurs over foreign policy from the Congress and the White House to the courtroom. In the structural injunction context, the expansion of the courts' remedial power over some of the basic
decisions of state government, such as budget, tax, and educational policy resulted in the transformation of the judicial process into a forum for the allocation of resources and the development of public
programs.'*3 A similar prospect may lie in store for the federal courts if the enforcement of foreign policyin this case Cuba policy-becomes the goal of litigation. For example, in Barclays Bank PLC v. Franchise Tax
Board of California?4 a case which challenged the constitutionality of California's tax on multinational corporations, amicus briefs were entered by the United Kingdom, the European Community, Banque Nationale
de Paris, the Confederation of British Industry, the Council of Netherlands Industrial Federations, the Federal of German Industries, the Japan Federation of Economic Organizations, the Japan Tax Association, Reuters,
the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and dozens of American states." Instead of fighting in Congress and the executive branch for a different international economic policy, these parties transferred their disputes to a
judicial forum because of the Court's jurisdiction over dormant commerce clause cases. A similar result may occur when Cuba policy becomes a regular subject for federal lawsuits. Judicialization may breed
politicization, which in the long run would do great harm to the institution of the
judiciary .
Perm do both
Agent CPs are a voting issue they absorb the 1AC and
make offense impossible especially without a
prescriptive solvency advocate, which provides the only
lit base for substantive clash
root cause is that we have created incentives to sue and to invest in litigation
instead of establishing disincentives for invoking judicial process
unless absolutely necessary. Other countries discourage litigation; we nuture it, Beisner said at the
hearing. Many litigation experts resoundingly agree with Beisners stance on the necessity of tort reform to ameliorate the
countrys economy. The entrepreneurial system that weve developed for litigation in this country has always been an
impetus to bringing cases that are close to the line or even over the line, says Dechert Partner Sean Wajert. When you
have that kind of encouragement, you have a slippery slope, which sometimes people will slide down and get into
The result is clogged courts
questionable and even abusive and frivolous claims along the way.
rule of law within a constitutional democracy, and any tinkering with its size or jurisdiction would
raise the most serious questions of the future course of the nation.
History teaches that the rule of law has enabled [hu]mankind to live together
peacefully within nations and it is clear that this same rule of law offers our best
hope as a mechanism to achieve and maintain peace between nations. The lawyer
There exists a worldwide challenge to
is the technician in mans relationship to man.
our profession to develop law to replace weapons before the dreadful holocaust of
nuclear war overtake our people.
Perm do the CP, then do the aff as the implementation of
the CPs ruling. Its not intrinsic both the plan and CP
use delay fiat for enforcement.
pronouncements of the executive and legislative branches in foreign and military matters
were later repudiated and contradicted by judicial decree. Where courts go too far, in
my view, is where they rely upon international (and mostly European) precedents when resolving
important and contentious social issues. This "internationalization" of the Constitution on domestic social
issues raises three types of problems.
Independently, diplomacys an impact filter
Stanley 7 (Elizabeth Stanley, Ass Prof @ Georgetown, 7 International
Perceptions of US Nuclear Policy Sandia Report,
http://www.prod.sandia.gov/cgi-bin/techlib/access-
control.pl/2007/070903.pdf)
How important is soft power, anyway? Given its vast conventional military power, does the United States
even need soft power? Some analysts argue that US military predominance is both possible and desirable
over the long term, and thus soft power is not important. But a growing consensus
disagrees. These analysts argue that soft power is critical for four reasons. First, soft power is
invaluable for keeping potential adversaries from gaining international support, for winning the peace in
Afghanistan and Iraq, and for convincing moderates to refrain from supporting extremist terrorist groups.
Second, soft power helps influence neutral and developing states to support US global leadership. Third,
soft power is also important for convincing allies and partners to share the international security
burden.14 Finally, and perhaps most importantly, given the increasing interdependence and globalization
of the world system, soft power is critical for addressing most security threats the United
States faces today. Most global security threats are impossible to be countered by a single state
alone. Terror ism, weapons of mass destruction ( WMD ) proliferation, failed and failing states,
conflicts over access to resources , are not confined to any one state . In
addition, disease, demographic shifts, environmental degradation and global warming will have negative
security implications as well.15 All of these potential threats share four traits: (1) they are best addressed
proactively, rather than after they develop into full-blown crises; (2) they require multi-lateral approaches,
often under the umbrella of an international institution; (3) they are not candidates for a quick fix, but
rather require multi-year, or multi-decade solutions; and, (4) they are wicked problems. Given these
four traits, soft power is critical for helping to secure the international, multi-lateral cooperation that will
be necessary to address such threats effectively.
Empirics
Liptak 8 (Adam, Supreme Court correspondent for NYT. U.S. Supreme
Court's global influence is waning, NYT. 9/17/2008.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/17/world/americas/17iht18legal.16249317.
html?pagewanted=all&_r=0)//CB
But now American legal influence is waning. Even as a debate continues in the court
over whether its decisions should ever cite foreign law, a diminishing number of foreign
courts seem to pay attention to the writings of American justices."One
of our great exports used to be constitutional law," said Anne-Marie Slaughter, the dean of the Woodrow
Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton. "We are losing one of the greatest bully
through 2002, for instance, the Canadian
pulpits we have ever had." From 1990
Supreme Court cited decisions of the United States Supreme Court
about a dozen times a year, an analysis by The New York Times found. In the six years since,
the annual citation rate has fallen by more than half, to about five. Australian
state supreme courts cited American decisions 208 times in 1995, according to a recent study by Russell
The story is similar
Smyth, an Australian economist. By 2005, the number had fallen to 72.
around the globe, legal experts say, particularly in cases involving human rights. These days,
foreign courts in developed democracies often cite the rulings of the European Court of Human Rights in
cases concerning equality, liberty and prohibitions against cruel treatment, said Harold Hongju Koh, the
dean of the Yale Law School. In those areas, Dean Koh said, "they
tend not to look to the
rulings of the U.S. Supreme Court." The rise of new and sophisticated
constitutional courts elsewhere is one reason for the Supreme
Court's fading influence, legal experts said. The new courts are, moreover, generally
more liberal that the Rehnquist and Roberts courts and for that reason more inclined to
cite one another. Another reason is the diminished reputation of the
United States in some parts of the world, which experts here and abroad said is in part a
consequence of the Bush administration's unpopularity abroad.
Foreign courts are less apt to justify their decisions with citations to
cases from a nation unpopular with their domestic audience. "It's not
surprising, given our foreign policy in the last decade or so, that American influence should be declining,"
said Thomas Ginsburg, who teaches comparative and international law at the University of Chicago.The
adamant opposition of some Supreme Court justices to the citation of foreign law in their own opinions also
plays a role, some foreign judges say "Most justices of the United States Supreme Court do not cite foreign
case law in their judgments," Aharon Barak, then the chief justice of the Supreme Court of Israel, wrote in
the Harvard Law Review in 2002. "They fail to make use of an important source of inspiration, one that
enriches legal thinking, makes law more creative, and strengthens the democratic ties and foundations of
different legal systems." Partly as a consequence, Chief Justice Barak wrote, the United States Supreme
Court "is losing the central role it once had among courts in modern democracies." Justice Michael Kirby of
the High Court of Australia said that his court no longer confines itself to considering English, Canadian and
American law. "Now we will take information from the Supreme Court of India, or the Court of Appeal of
New Zealand, or the Constitutional Court of South Africa," he said in an interview published in 2001 in The
Green Bag, a legal journal. "America" he added, "is in danger of becoming
something of a legal backwater."
Alt Causes
Judicial independence is already destroyed- Guantanamo,
detention and torture, unlawful surveillance, targeted
killing, asset forfeiture
McCormack 14 (Wayne, E.W. Thode Professor of Law, University of Utah,
U.S. Judicial Independence: Victim in the War on Terror, Washington and
Lee Law Review, Volume 71, Issue 1, Winter 2014,
http://scholarlycommons.law.wlu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?
article=4374&context=wlulr, silbs)
II. The Actions Challenged What follows is simply a list of the governmental
actions that have been challenged and a brief statement of how the courts
responded to government demands for deference. A. Guantanamo In
Boumediene v. Bush,5 the Supreme Court allowed the United States
to detain alleged terrorists under unstated standards to be
developed by the lower courts with deference to Executive
determinations.6 The intimidation exerted on the Court was reflected
in Justice Scalias injudicious comment that the Courts decision would
certainly cause more Americans to be killed.7 B. Detention and
Torture Khalid El-Masri8 claimed that he was detained in Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA) black sites and tortured.9 His case was
dismissed under the doctrine of state secrets privilege (SSP).10
Maher Arar11 is a Canadian citizen who was detained at John F. Kennedy
(JFK) Airport by U.S. authorities, shipped off to Syria for imprisonment
and mistreatment, and finally released to Canadian authorities.12 His
case was dismissed under the special factors exception to tort
actions for violations of law by federal officials.13 Arar was awarded $10.5
million by Canadian authorities.14 Jose Padilla15 was arrested deplaning
at OHare Airport, imprisoned in the United States for three and a half
years without a hearing and allegedly mistreated in prison.16 His case
was dismissed on grounds of good faith immunity.17 Binyam
Mohamed18 was subjected to so-called enhanced interrogation
techniques at several CIA black site[s] before being repatriated to
England,19 which awarded him 1 million in damages.20 The U.S. suit was
dismissed under SSP.21 C. Unlawful Detentions Abdullah al-Kidd22
was arrested as a material witness, held in various jails for two weeks,
and then confined to house arrest for fifteen months. His suit was
dismissed on grounds of qualified immunity and apparent validity of
material witness warrant.23 Ali al-Marri was originally charged with
perjury, then detained as an enemy combatant, for a total detention of
four years before the Fourth Circuit finally held that he must be
released or tried.24 Javad Iqbal25 was detained on visa violations in
New York following 9/11 and claimed he was subjected to mistreatment
on the basis of ethnic profiling.26 His suit was dismissed on grounds
that he could not prove Attorney General authorization of illegal
practices and because the Court was unwilling to divert the attention
of officials away from national security.27 Osama Awadallah28 was
taken into custody in Los Angeles after his name and phone number
were found on a gum wrapper in the car of one of the 9/11 hijackers.29
He was charged with perjury before a grand jury and held as a material
witness.30 The Second Circuit reversed the district courts ruling that
the government had abused the material witness statute.31 D.
Unlawful Surveillance Amnesty International32 is one of numerous
organizations that brought suit believing that its communications,
especially with foreign clients or correspondents, had been monitored by
the National Security Agency (NSA).33 Its suit was dismissed because
the secrecy of the NSA spying program made it impossible to prove
that any particular person or group had been monitored.34 The validity of
the entire Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA)35 rests on the
special needs exception to the Fourth Amendment,36 a conclusion
that was rejected by one district court37 although accepted by others.38 E.
Targeted Killing Anwar Al-Aulaqi (or Al-Aulaqi)39 was reported by press
accounts as having been placed on a kill list by President Obama.40 A
suit by his father was dismissed on grounds that Anwar himself
could come forward and seek access to U.S. courts.41 Not only Anwar
but also his son was then killed in separate drone strikes.42 F. Asset
Forfeiture The Justice Department has found both Al Haramain Islamic
Foundation and KindHearts for Charitable Humanitarian
Development to be fronts for raising money for Hamas, and their
assets have been blocked.43 Despite findings of due process
violations by the lower courts, the blocking of assets has been upheld on
the basis that their support for terrorist activities is public knowledge.44 G.
Summary of Actions Challenged The Guantanamo cases are a good
starting point because they show the Supreme Court answering
government demands for extreme deference with a modicum of
deference but also a claim of judicial review authority.45 The version
of judicial review adopted by the Court for the Guantanamo detentions
ultimately resulted in a watered-down form of review that does not
eliminate judicial independence entirely, but does allow a high
degree of deference to Executive determinations. After looking at the
Guantanamo decisions, I want to illustrate the more extreme versions of
deference for domestic detentions by reference to several cases in which
individuals have been detained for years without any degree of judicial
oversight.46 And then there are the basic underpinnings of the Foreign
Intelligence Surveillance Act, which depends first on the special needs
exception to the Fourth Amendment,47 but then in individual cases
relies on virtually unreviewable statements by government agents.48
Partisan judicial appointments make judicial
independence impossible
King 7 Carolyn Dineen King, Circuit Judge, United States Court of Appeals
for the Fifth Circuit, 2007 (CHALLENGES TO JUDICIAL INDEPENDENCE AND
THE RULE OF LAW: A PERSPECTIVE FROM THE CIRCUIT COURTS, Marquette
Law Review, Summer, Vol. 90, No. 4,
http://scholarship.law.marquette.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?
article=1072&context=mulr)
Instead, the Supreme Court generally takes cases where the law is unclear or in need of further
the intermediate
development or where the circuits are in conflict. What this means is that
federal appellate courts are the courts of the last resort for all but
the handful of cases that the Supreme Court will agree to hear. It is
precisely that fact that has resulted in the politicization of the intermediate federal appellate court
Political and issue activists understand only too well
appointment process.
that ideologically committed judges on these benches can make an
enormous difference in the outcomes of hundreds of cases each
year . Too, it would be a mistake to think that ideologically committed judges affect the outcomes only in
cases that involve the so-called hot button issues: the civil rights of racial and ethnic minorities and
women; abortion; the rights of criminal defendants; the death penalty; and states' rights (or the proper
balance of power between federal and state governments). My own observations suggest that these
judges cast a much wider net. They have strong views on plaintiffs' jury verdicts, especially (but not only)
large ones; on class actions; on a wide range of federal statutes imposing burdens on corporate
If candidates for the
defendants; on religion in schools and in public areas; and on and on.
presidency of both parties continue, as they have now for decades, to energize
issue activists within or allied with their parties by promising the
appointment of judges who will pursue the respective political and
ideological agendas of those parties in their decisions, then judicial
independence will continue to be severely threatened , and with it
the rule of law in the United States. The Washington Post, in a 2005 editorial, captured
the imminence of the threat: The war [over Justice O'Connor's successor] is
about money and fundraising as much as it is about jurisprudence
and the judicial function. It elevates partisanship and political
rhetoric over any serious discussion of law. In the long run, the war over
the courtswhich teaches both judges and the public at large to view
the courts simply as political institutions threatens judicial
independence and the integrity of American justice ."8
pay attention to the writings of American justices. ''One of our great exports used to be
constitutional law,'' said Anne-Marie Slaughter, the dean of the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton. ''We are
losing one of the greatest bully pulpits we have ever had.'' From 1990 through 2002, for instance, the Canadian Supreme Court cited
decisions of the United States Supreme Court about a dozen times a year, an analysis by The New York Times found. In the six years since, the
annual citation rate has fallen by half, to about six. Australian state supreme courts cited American decisions 208 times in 1995, according to
a recent study by Russell Smyth, an Australian economist. By 2005, the number had fallen to 72. The story is similar around the globe, legal
Say no
a) Not binding
Glassman and Straus 15 (Matthew E. and Jacob R., Congressional
Research Service, Congressional Commissions: Overview, Structure, and
Legislative Considerations January 27 2015,
hhttp://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R40076.pdf, MMV)
the primary functions of most congressional commissions is to
One of
produce a final report for Congress outlining their activities,
findings, and legislative recommendations.57 Most commissions are required to
produce an interim, annual, or final report for transmittal to Congress, and sometimes to the President or
A commission
executive department or agency heads, usually within a specified period of time.
may also be authorized to issue other recommendations it considers
appropriate. As seen in Table 5, the majority of commissions created in the past 20 years have
submitted their work product to both Congress and the President. About one-quarter of commissions have
submitted their work to Congress only. The remainder have submitted their work to both Congress and an
Since the recommendations contained in a
executive branch agency.
commission report are only advisory, no changes in public policy
occur on the authority of a congressional commission. The
implementation of such recommendations is dependent upon future
congressional or executive branch action.
b) Unpopular
Glassman and Straus 15 Analysts on the Congress (Congressional
Commissions: Overview, Structure, and Legislative Considerations, 01/27/15,
Congressional Research Service, https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R40076.pdf
p.9)//GK
commissions is that they are not democratic. This criticism takes
A second concern about
commissions may be unrepresentative of the general
three forms. First,
population; the members of most commissions are not elected and may not
commissions lack popular
reflect the variety of popular opinion on an issue.44 Second,
accountability. Unlike Members of Congress, commission members are often
insulated from the electoral pressures of popular opinion . Finally,
commissions may not operate in public; unlike Congress, their meetings,
hearings, and investigations may be held in private.45 A third criticism of
commissions is that they have high costs and low returns. Congressional
commission costs vary widely, ranging from several hundred thousand dollars to over
$10 million. Coupled with this objection is the problem of congressional response to the work of a
commission; in most cases, Congress is under no obligation to act, or even
respond to the work of a commission. If legislators disagree with the
results or recommendations of a commissions work, they may simply ignore it. In
addition, there is no guarantee that any commission will produce a
balanced product; commission members may have their own agendas, biases,
and pressures. Or they may simply produce a mediocre work product.46
Finally, advisory boards create economic and legislative inefficiency if they
function as patronage devices, with Members of Congress using commission
positions to pay off political debts.47
Perm do both
uncertainty of whether sequestration of the US budget in 2013 will take full effect in 2016 and
exactly what resources the US Department of Defense will have available to support which force structure. Resolution of
this political and budgetary uncertainty in the US is a critical first step in projecting the future forces NATO will have at its
disposal. Despite recurrent concerns about the mismatch between US and European defence
spending, NATO has proven itself an impressively resilient alliance over its 67-
year history, having endured several intra-European and transatlantic rifts, such as
the Suez Crisis of 1956, France leaving the integrated military structure in 1966, the
Iraq War in 2003, and the ongoing debate about mass communications
surveillance caused by the unauthorised disclosures of former National Security Agency contractor Edward
Snowden.
Atlantic these days. NATO is perceived in some quarters to be a bit wobbly . TTIP
would be the other side of the coin of our commitment to Europe
through our -- our military alliance. And I think, particularly, given the issues
facing European security these days, this is a vital reassurance of U.S.
commitment to Europe. It also would reassure Americans who wonder about the European
Union and whether it's inward or outward looking that the E.U. would be a very strong outward looking partner, because
TTIP would essentially make that case . The second area is how both of us together relate to rising
powers. And Dr. Green mentioned a few of those elements. But I think one has to think about this. Those rising powers are
each having debates of how they relate to the international system. Do they challenge it? Do they accommodate
themselves to it? And the message we have to those countries as they have those debates is actually quite important. In
recent years, we've had different messages, or muddled messages. European message, American message -- we don't
No Russia war
Sokolsky and Stronski 6/18 senior associates at the Russia and Eurasia
Program at the Carnegie Mosco Center (Richard Sokolsky, Paul Stronski,
6/18/15, Dont Overreact to Russia and Its Forty New Intercontinental
Ballistic Missiles, http://carnegie.ru/eurasiaoutlook/?fa=60446)//twemchen
Russian President Vladimir Putins announcement that Moscow plans to add more
than 40 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) to its nuclear arsenal is troubling. It raises
perceptions of Russian threats in Europe at a time when post-Cold War East-West relations
are at a historic low. The announcement is just the latest example of nuclear saber-rattling from the Kremlin over the past
yeara trend that started during an uptick in fighting in Ukraine last August, when Putin warned that Russia is not to be
messed with. Let me remind you that Russia is one of the largest nuclear powers. In September, Russia tested a new
ICBM as the Kremlin talked about the need to maintain a nuclear deterrent. In March 2015, Putin reportedly claimed that
nuclear forces were put on standby during the Crimean annexation campaign a year earlier. Loose talk about nuclear
weapons heightens tensions, but the actual military threat these missiles pose should not be
exaggerated . Putins pronouncements have been primarily for
propaganda purposes and other Kremlin officials have tried to walk back some
of this rhetoric, likely aware that it does not play well in the West and even in
some corners of Russia itself. Extreme statements about nuclear weapons and conflict with the West
have caused concern among elements of the Russian political and intellectual elitesome of whom warn that continually
Russian
capabilities, particularly as the United States expands its high technology and precision strike capabilities.
military strategists have long feared that their conventional capabilities pale in comparison to
NATOs. Some are starting to worry about Chinas too. These ICBMs likely do not add any new nuclear capabilities to
what Russia has right now. The country is already in the middle of an ICBM modernization program, as Septembers ICBM
test shows. It is unclear whether the announcement actually includes 40 new ICBMs or whether they are just part of the
more than 50 ICBM deployments that Putin already announced for 2015 back in December. Furthermore, Russia already
has a large force of tactical nuclear weapons that can reach most targets in the Baltic states and possibly elsewhere in
Central Europe. The added military value of 40 ICBM warheads is marginal and it is unlikely they will give Moscow a
capability it does not already have. Putin claimed the missiles will be added to the arsenal this year, so it is conceivable
that some, if not all of them, were probably already in production or pre-deployment before the announcement as part of
Russias ongoing strategic force modernization program. Concern in the Western media about these Russian plans
provoking an arms race is misplaced. The United States is already in the middle of a robust and expensive program to
Washington
modernize its strategic nuclear forces and its tactical nuclear weapons posture in Europe.
design bureaus were already " overworked " and " did not have time to do
what the Defense Ministry orders." A prominent example of the problems the Russian defense
industry faces is its next-generation Armata T-14 battle tank. In February, Russian Deputy Minister of Defense Yuri Borisov
publicly stated that the government miscalculated on the Armata by failing to budget enough money to build the
amount of tanks it required. They also seemed to skimp on quality . One of the new tanks
reportedly broke down during a dress rehearsal for this years May 9 Victory Day celebrations. Russias budget is severely
stretched and it is unclear where it will get the money to build additional ICBMs, as the Armata example shows. The rise in
defense spending is forcing the government to rein in spending elsewhere. The Russian government now struggles to
balance military spendingkey to the war in Ukraine and to projecting military powerwith the need to keep up social
spending on pensions, education, and other aspects of the social safety net that underwrite domestic stability as the
economy contracts. A recent poll suggested that the Russian public prioritized social spending over the military by a wide
majority; 67 percent wanted the governments first spending priority to be raising living standards, while only 12 percent
thought the first priority should be military modernization and rearmament. So, if these ICBMs might not actually be new
and if Russia might not have the money to build them anyway, what was the purpose of the announcement? The Kremlin
was likely speaking to both international and domestic audiences. Russian officials earlier this week lashed out against
U.S. plans to station battle tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, and other heavy weapons in Baltic and Central European
countries that border Russia. That planstill reportedly under developmentis meant to assure NATOs easternmost allies
announcement was likely in response to this U.S.
of the alliances commitment to their defense. Putins
proposal. Its goal was to unnerve those very same allies . The announcement also could have been
an attempt to stoke discord within NATO between allies (mainly in the east) who believe
that improving NATOs ability to defend the Baltic states is the best
way to deter Russian aggression and those (mainly in the south and west) who fear provoking
Russia even further by being too aggressive either with sanctions or military preparations. The announcement was also
likely to be an attempt to achieve the Russian goal of breaking Western consensus on how to respond to Russian
aggression in Ukraine and threats elsewhere. Domestically, Russia faces growing economic and social problems due to a
combination of low oil prices, sanctions, and the Ukraine war. This announcement highlights alleged foreign threats to
Russiaa tactic frequently used to divert attention from domestic problems. Furthermore, at least parts of the Kremlin see
the military sector as a means to grow the economy, while defense workers have long been an important Putin
constituency. Making pledges to the defense industry at an arms show outside of Moscow was possibly an attempt to
shore up the countrys image as a producer of modern armamentsimportant both to maintain its market share in the
global arms market and to reinforce perceptions of Russian strength to domestic audiences. It would be an easy political
Putins announcement is
win, particularly if these weapons were already in development.
troubling mainly because of its political and psychological impact on NATO allies.
But it is no cause for alarm and the United States and NATO should avoid
an overreaction that will just play into Putins hands .
Perm do the CP and then the plan justified because the
CP includes the time frame fiat by fiating the outcome of
the consultation
abiding source of great concern and consternation among the NATO allies. Spain, in spite
of its obvious strategic importance, still lies on the periphery of the alliance. The
British-Icelandic "cod war" that has been going on and off for more than five years is in temporary recess with some hope
the dispute may have been resolved (British trawlers repeatedly violated unilateral Icelandic fishing restrictions within two
hundred miles of its coast; when the latter tried to enforce its declaration with gunboats, London responded by
the
dispatching Royal Navy frigates, and shots, rammings, and a variety of ugly incidents soon followed). Finally,
U.S. Congress periodically has considered substantial troop reductions
in Europe, and both Republican and Democratic Party platforms in 1976 called for a reappraisal of the American
military footing in NATO, heightening European anxieties of Washington's long-
together in the early 1950s . The looser NATO of the mid- 1970s reflects today's
political realities between the NATO allies and their place in the international milieu. A few persons might
judge the Atlantic partnership an anachronism--a vestige of the Cold War--but the fact is that the very common menace
that brought them together in 1949 continues to provide much of its raison d'tre.
Process Consult AUE
2ac F/L
Squo solves counter-prolif cooperation
Katzman 6/24 CRS Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs (Kenneth Katzman,
6/24/15, The United Arab Emirates (UAE): Issues for U.S. Policy,
https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS21852.pdf)//twemchen
The UAE cooperates extensively with U.S. counter-terrorism and
counter-proliferation activities that go well beyond military operations
against the Islamic State. U.S. programs, involving small amounts of U.S. financial
assistance, have helped the UAE increase its enforcement of border and
financial controls that have in the past sometimes failed to prevent Western technology from
reaching Iran and terrorists transiting the UAE and using its financial system. No U.S. aid to UAE for these
programs has been provided since FY2011.
Perm do both
ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates (AP) Airport security needs to undergo
a radical overhaul or else passengers will become further
disgruntled , lines will grow and terminals will be overwhelmed, airline executives said Tuesday at a
global aviation conference. "We simply can't cope with the expected volume of
passengers with the way things are today," said Tony Tyler, director general and CEO of the
International Air Transport Association, the airlines' trade group. Tyler spoke at an airlines conference held
in Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates. He predicted that by 2020, governments will be
using a "checkpoint of the future" where passengers can race though without stopping, removing clothing,
or taking liquids and laptops out of bags. While a lot of work has to be done to get numerous countries and
regulators on board, Tyler is optimistic that today's " one-size-fits all approach to
screening " can be replaced with a system based on individual passenger risk. The industry hopes to
test the concept at a handful of airports starting late 2014. The example cited by Tyler and airline
executives of what is working: the U.S. Transportation and Security Administration's relatively new
PreCheck program. Frequent fliers who voluntarily share more information with the government get to keep
their shoes, belts and light jackets on at security. The program will be expanded to 35 airports by the end
of the year. "If you are willing to share a little more information, then you can have a much better
experience," John S. Pistole, head of the TSA, told the conference. "We can then spend more time on those
we know the least about." The additional personal information would most likely be handed over
voluntarily to the government by passengers who see the benefit of the time savings. Pistole said the TSA
would ideally like to analyze passengers' travel history and patterns but currently lacks Congressional
authority to do so. Any such changes would occur after the election, at the earliest, he said. "I applaud the
TSA. I never thought I would say it because they are the worst part of travel ," said Montie
Brewer, former CEO of Air Canada. James E. Bennett, who used to head the Washington Airport Authority
and is now CEO of the Abu Dhabi Airports Co., said that if the current immigration and
security procedures remain in place as more and more passengers take to the skies,
airports will run out of terminal space to hold all the lines . Many airports
have already undergone multi-million dollar retrofits to house additional security and there isn't additional
The ultimate challenge may not be developing the technology
room left.
but having multiple nations agree on uniform procedures. "We cannot
continue to build and build and build to provide space for the existing systems and queues." Tyler said.
" The whole inconsistency destroys the credibility ."
Perm do both. The perm includes the plan twice and the
offset once meaning the perm is a net reduction.
Say no
a) Circumvention
Stanley 13 - Senior Policy Analyst, ACLU Speech, Privacy & Technology
Project (Jay, What Powers Does the Civil Liberties Oversight Board Have?,
11/3/13, American Civil Liberties Union, https://www.aclu.org/blog/what-
powers-does-civil-liberties-oversight-board-have)//GK
What Congress did not give the PCLOB the power to do, unfortunately, is
challenge agencies secrecy powers when it finds those powers have been
abused to cover up wrongdoing or incompetence or to prevent legitimate
public debate. At a time when such abuses of secrecy powers are widespread,
it is not clear how the PCLOB would or could proceed if, for example, it uncovers brazen
violations of the law that are classified (as they most likely would be). The PCLOB also has no
enforcement power. Other than by going to court like anyone else, it cannot order any
government agency to change its practices or otherwise enforce the
law. Other countries give their privacy commissioners such powers; in 2008, for example, the Italian government
decided to publish the income tax returns of all Italian citizens on the Internet. The Italian data protection authority did not
just condemn the action, or hold hearings, or file a court caseit ordered the information taken down, and it was. In some
countries, such as Slovenia, the data protection commissioner also has the power to unilaterally declassify information.
b) No congressional interest
Schlanger 15 * Henry M. Butzel Professor of Law, University of Michigan
(Margo, Intelligence Legalism and the National Security Agencys Civil
Liberties Gap, The Harvard National Security Journal,
http://harvardnsj.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Schlanger.pdf)//GK
Of the oversight institutions thus far described, only NSAs brandnew Civil Liberties and Privacy Office
engages in policy-type weighing of civil liberties interests against the security benefits offered by particular
surveillance methods. The one office that remains to be discussed is the Privacy and Civil Liberties
Oversight Board (PCLOB), an independent bipartisan agency nominally within the
executive branch. 240 As will be seen, and as one would expect from what is essentially a blue-
ribbon-commission type organization with no enforcement or other
executive function, the PCLOB seems so far to be functioning at least partially free of the role
constraints of an executive agency. In its first incarnation, as part of the Executive Office of the
PCLOB was an unimportant player in NSAs operations. In
President,241 the
it started operations only recently. President
its second, independent, incarnation,242
Obama was slow to name the Boards members, and the Senate was
even slower to confirm them243 Its budget is tiny; it has only a handful of full-
time staff members (one on a detail from the Department of Justice), in addition to its full-time chair and
part-time members.244 But after David Medines long-awaited confirmation as chair in May 2013,245 the
Snowden disclosures, one week later, prompted the Board to undertake a review of FISA, the first part of
which it completed in January 2014.246
Perm do both
Empirics
Mishkin 13 - Law Clerk at U.S. District Court for the Southern District of
New York(Benjamin, FILLING THE OVERSIGHT GAP: THE CASE FOR LOCAL
INTELLIGENCE OVERSIGHT, NYU Law Review,
http://www.nyulawreview.org/sites/default/files/pdf/NYULawReview-88-4-
Mishkin.pdf)//GK
In practice, however, the PCLOB has not yet lived up to its potential. This claim is
not surprising considering that, until recently, the Board consisted of exactly
zero members.139 Finally, in December 2011, President Obama nominated the last of a full slate of
five members to the Board.140 The Senate confirmed four members in August 2012, but
neglected to confirm David Medine, the Presidents nominee for
PCLOB Chairman.141 In accordance with the enabling statute, the Chairman
represents the only full-time position142 and is the one who appoints staff as may
be necessary to enable the Board to carry out its functions.143 Fortunately, the Senate confirmed Medine
a comprehensive assessment of the PCLOBs
in May 2013.144 Nevertheless,
track record as an intelligence overseer remains out of reach .
a) Not binding
Glassman and Straus 15 (Matthew E. and Jacob R., Congressional
Research Service, Congressional Commissions: Overview, Structure, and
Legislative Considerations January 27 2015,
hhttp://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R40076.pdf, MMV)
the primary functions of most congressional commissions is to
One of
produce a final report for Congress outlining their activities,
findings, and legislative recommendations.57 Most commissions are required to
produce an interim, annual, or final report for transmittal to Congress, and sometimes to the President or
A commission
executive department or agency heads, usually within a specified period of time.
may also be authorized to issue other recommendations it considers
appropriate. As seen in Table 5, the majority of commissions created in the past 20 years have
submitted their work product to both Congress and the President. About one-quarter of commissions have
submitted their work to Congress only. The remainder have submitted their work to both Congress and an
Since the recommendations contained in a
executive branch agency.
commission report are only advisory, no changes in public policy
occur on the authority of a congressional commission. The
implementation of such recommendations is dependent upon future
congressional or executive branch action.
b) Unpopular
Glassman and Straus 15 Analysts on the Congress (Congressional
Commissions: Overview, Structure, and Legislative Considerations, 01/27/15,
Congressional Research Service, https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R40076.pdf
p.9)//GK
A second concern about commissions is that they are not democratic. This criticism takes
three forms. First, commissions may be unrepresentative of the general
population; the members of most commissions are not elected and may not
reflect the variety of popular opinion on an issue.44 Second, commissions lack popular
accountability. Unlike Members of Congress, commission members are often
insulated from the electoral pressures of popular opinion . Finally,
commissions may not operate in public; unlike Congress, their meetings,
hearings, and investigations may be held in private.45 A third criticism of
commissions is that they have high costs and low returns. Congressional
commission costs vary widely, ranging from several hundred thousand dollars to over
$10 million. Coupled with this objection is the problem of congressional response to the work of a
commission; in most cases, Congress is under no obligation to act, or even
respond to the work of a commission. If legislators disagree with the
results or recommendations of a commissions work, they may simply ignore it. In
addition, there is no guarantee that any commission will produce a
balanced product; commission members may have their own agendas, biases,
and pressures. Or they may simply produce a mediocre work product.46
Finally, advisory boards create economic and legislative inefficiency if they
function as patronage devices, with Members of Congress using commission
positions to pay off political debts.47
1ar EXT Say No AT Binding
Not binding
Schlanger 15 * Henry M. Butzel Professor of Law, University of Michigan
(Margo, Intelligence Legalism and the National Security Agencys Civil
Liberties Gap, The Harvard National Security Journal,
http://harvardnsj.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Schlanger.pdf)//GK
PCLOBs perspective on the law was quite
It should be evident, then, that the
different from that of any federal agency staff. In its first report, its
members, among them a retired federal court of appeals judge, assumed much more the
stance of court of appeals judges. Holdings by courts that are not the Supreme
Court were treated as potentially persuasive, but not binding. And even
Supreme Court holdings were deemed potentially undermined by subsequent changes of circumstances or
surrounding doctrine. The PCLOB members obviously felt far freer than agency
counsel do with respect to legal analysis and interpretation; the analysis is not
only of precedent but also, in more typically judicial mode, of the policy pros and cons. The result
was that the board took advantage of the authority of the
law/compliance frame, without many of the constraints that frame
usually imposes on executive branch officials. Its pronouncement that the
telephony metadata program is illegal, beyond the statutory authority of the administration, is what got by
far the most attention.254 The PCLOBs two Republican appointees disagreed
with the three Democrats on the merits and on the Boards role.
both
this Board, which does not
One wrote: This legal question will be resolved by the courts, not by
have the benefit of traditional adversarial legal briefing and is not
particularly well-suited to conducting de novo review of long-
standing statutory interpretations. We are much better equipped to assess whether this
program is sound as a policy matter and whether changes could be made to better protect Americans
privacy and civil liberties while also protecting national security.255
Process PIA
2ac F/L
The counterplan doesnt solve our perception internal
links
Wright and De Hert 12 (Paul De Hert holds the chair of 'Criminal Law',
'International and European Criminal Law' and 'Historical introduction to eight
major constitutional systems, he specializes in e area of privacy &
technology, human rights and criminal law, David Wright is a founder at
Trilateral Research & Consulting, Privacy Impact Assessment, Law
Governance and Tech Series, 6, Springer)//GK
Oversight of the PIA program is further weakened by the lack of public
involvement in the PIA implementation process. A multi-country
review of PIAs prepared for the UK Information Commissioners Office echoed earlier findings of scholars in the
context of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) of 1969, concluding that external
consultation with key stakeholders and the public enhances the
effectiveness of PIAs. Noting divergence around consultation and publication requirements, the authors
concluded that openness and transparency of process and publication of reports enhances trust in the initiative being
despite the US E-Government Acts explicit commitment to
propose. Yet
the production of PIAs before developing or purchasing technology systems, and to the
publication of PIAs, it fails to provide for public consultation at any
point in the PIA production. The development or procurement of information systems is often treated
as a management issue and accomplished through means that do not require notice and comment. In those contexts, if
the PIA is not made available to the public prior to development or procurement of the system, there is no vehicle for
public participation before the technology has been purchased and implemented. Any participation after this point is,
arguably, too late to be greatly effective. Additionally, a federal court has rejected the single Freedom of Information Act
(FOIA) request by a privacy advocacy group for draft PIAs developed in advance of a proposed rulemaking on the very
ground that those documents were predecisional, and therefore fell within one of the established FOIA exemptions.35
Further,the lack of explicit mechanisms for public participation in the
PIA process limits the opportunities for outside experts to assist the
agency in identifying the privacy implications of often complex technological systems.
Absent external direction or internal efforts to engage the public through a comment process or other means , public
input is limited to the stage in which proposals and programs are
already well developed. Relegated to this late stage, the comments whether by experts or the general
public are more likely to result in revisions on the margins rather than fundamental switches in technology or
architectural design. Obscuring these decisions from public participation also makes it
more difficult for the public to raise the alarm required for
congressional activism. Not surprisingly, while the GAO Congress oversight arm has issued a
number of reports criticising privacy decisions ex post, Congress itself has not engaged, on
the whole, in active monitoring of privacy decision-making.36
Perm do both
AT PTX NB
Links to politics so hard and, as a consequence, doesnt
solve
Wright and De Hert 12 (Paul De Hert holds the chair of 'Criminal Law',
'International and European Criminal Law' and 'Historical introduction to eight
major constitutional systems, he specializes in e area of privacy &
technology, human rights and criminal law, David Wright is a founder at
Trilateral Research & Consulting, Privacy Impact Assessment, Law
Governance and Tech Series, 6, Springer)//GK
Expending political capital on privacy can be risky. While polls consistently reveal
deep concern about information abuse and support for privacy protections in general,30 individual
decisions frequently counterpose privacy against two other powerful
values: efficiency and security. The ideological and political pressures
supporting each run deep. Technology is adopted, in large part, as a seemingly valueneutral means for
promoting efficient and effective pursuit of already-legitimised public goals. Because of the presumption in favour of
it is politically risky to oppose new developments on grounds
technology,
of privacy concerns. Placing privacy in conflict with security raises
even greater political hazard because of the immense risk of even a
low-probability security event. The experience of former Deputy Attorney General Jamie Gorelick,
blamed for the set of directives creating a wall prohibiting FBI and CIA co-ordination in light of civil liberties concerns
an act former Attorney General John Ashcroft called the single greatest structural cause for September 1131 stands as
a salient cautionary tale. As one news network reminds, no
one wants to be the one who
dropped the ball when, as predicted, terrorists strike again.32 The
conflicts between privacy concerns and national security were heightened during the Bush administration. After taking
Bush did not preserve the chief privacy counsel position in
office, President
OMB despite calls for a renewal of the position by advocacy groups.33 The relegation of privacy to
lower level policy analysts may help explain early inefficacies of the
PIA program.
Process PIN
Takes too long kills solvency
Froomkin 14 -Laurie Silvers and Mitchell Rubenstein Distinguished
Professor of Law, teaches International Law, Civil Procedure I and seminars in
Intellectual Property in the Digital Era, Internet Governance, Law & Games
and Electronic Commerce at University of Miami School of Law (Michael ,
Regulating Mass Surveillance as Privacy Pollution: Learning from
Environmental Impact Statements, SSRN, 11/4/15)
Speed is an issue, especially in the context of high-tech products involving either
sensors or data processing, areas in which the technology is changing
rapidly. Any PIN system that routinely took years to produce a result would
risk making many data-collection projects irrelevant and
uneconomic by the time they emerged from the regulatory pipeline. The speed issue
arises in the environmental context also, and the Obama administration has responded
with a series of regulations designed to stimulate the creation of fast-track procedures.294 Among them
are five pilot programs that the Council on Environmental Quality is currently evaluating for efficiency and
much
effectiveness,295 some of which are possible models for a streamlined PIN system. In any event,
will depend on the proposed PPCs ability to define Categorical
Exclusions (CEs) and recommended mitigation strategies that will allow the full PIN process to be
reserved for the most significant privacy-destroying projects.
A Systemic Crisis While the need for global cooperation continues to grow,
the ability of multilateral institutions to deliver the policy
coordination we need has not kept pace. The provision of effective
global governance isnt just lacking in one area like, say, climate
change. It is systematically underperforming across a range of
issues. These include the management of the global economy to
human security and environmental problems. While many have pondered the many
pressing global dilemmas facing the world today, there is a paradox accompanying the
global situation as a whole. We are failing under the weight of our
own success. Decades of multilateral agreements, new institutions
and an increasingly robust system of international law have enabled
a radical increase in economic globalization, with substantial benefits for a wide range of
countries. But our ability to manage all this complexity of progress has
not kept pace. Our more integrated global economy demands more,
and more effective, collective management. The problems that confront us now are
The
challenges we never would have encountered without the progress made by the existing network of institutions.
various committees based in Basel, the IMF, the G20, and beyond
facilitated a sharp deepening of financial interdependence. When
the crisis arrived, they proved adequate albeit just adequate to
coordinate a minimally sufficient series of policy responses to avoid
another Great Depression. Instead of an unmitigated disaster we got a mitigated one. They
were of course unable to prevent the crisis from occurring in the
first place and have not been able to take the measures needed to
prevent the next one. Moreover, just as existing international
institutions are useful vehicles for cooperation, they can also come
to hinder it. International institutions like the IMF, for example, contain a vast
array of resources and expertise for addressing global problems. Yet because of their past behavior
and the lock-in of US dominance that was secured over six decades
ago, many countries do not trust the IMF as a global governor. Newer
institutions like the G20 are a testament to successful development of countries like Brazil, India and China, who have
been able to strategically engage with economic globalization in recent years. Yet, with a greater
plurality of voices at the negotiation table, cooperation becomes
more difficult. Fragmentation From Cooperation When institutions proliferate, the
overall system may slide toward dysfunctional fragmentation. Our
current set of institutions arose from ad hoc crisis management over the postwar period. Each crisis saw the addition of a
new committee, a new joint task force or some other institutional addition. But the sum is not greater than the parts.
the lack of coherence in global economic governance is directly
Indeed,
responsible for a number of the challenges we now face. For example, the
reform efforts surrounding complex financial instruments like
derivatives are as complex as the instruments themselves. There is not one
international institution handling the reform process. Rather, there are five different organizations all handling different
pieces, separate initiatives at the EU level and a panoply of different countries all acting simultaneously. Some claim that
global economic governance has utterly failed, pointing to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and a
sluggish recovery. Others regard global economic governance as good enough. They point out that we averted an even
global
worse disaster and despite a global recession didnt collapse. In fact, both views are correct:
economic cooperation is failing under the weight of its own success.
Across a range of issue areas, the remarkable success of global
cooperation in the last several decades has made human
interconnectedness weigh much more heavily on politics and the
economy than it did in the past. But that process of growing
cooperation has now stalled, unable to manage the deep
interdependence it has created.
Doesnt solve any of the aff the next UPRs in four years
St. Vincent 5/7/15 CDTs Human Rights and Surveillance Fellow, J.D. at
the University of Michigan Law School (Sarah, US to Answer for Surveillance
Practices on Global Stage, CDT, https://cdt.org/blog/us-to-answer-for-
surveillance-practices-on-global-stage/)//JJ
It only happens once every four and a half years, but its about to happen [last
may] this month: the United States will appear before the assembled
United Nations Member States to listen and respond to critiques of
its human rights record. CDT has been working hard to ensure that the US surveillance
practices are at the top of the agenda for this process , which is
known as the Universal Periodic Review (UPR).
Case solves the net benefit it boosts international HR
cred by decreasing border abuses
that the UPR has become a place where abusers are applauded and
democracies are heavily criticized , and Iran, Libya, China, Cuba,
and Saudi Arabia are treated lightly. Al-Jazeera America reported that the U.S. was
subjected to scathing criticism from a variety of dictatorships after
filing its report, including Chad, Pakistan, Russia, and China . Iran, for example,
complained about racial discrimination in the United States, among other criticisms, calling on the U.S. to protect the rights of African-Americans against police brutality.
The Iranian regime brutally represses its own population, and used
(
those who unreasonably violated the dignity of the DPRK despite its
repeated warnings will have to pay." The NDC also referred to the
specter of " nuclear war " on the Korean peninsula , and intimated
that the country may be considering a further nuclear test. The statement was a
direct response to the passage of a resolution last Tuesday in the General Assembly's Third Committee that urged the
Security Council to consider referring North Korea's human rights
abuses to the International Criminal Court. Though both China and
Russia are expected to veto such a move, the resolution
overwhelmingly approved by member states was highly symbolic,
and upped pressure on the isolated nation. North Korea warns of
'serious consequences' after UN human rights reprimand. Read more here. For months
prior to the vote, North Korea had engaged in a diplomatic charm offensive aimed at averting attention from the results of a UN Commission of Inquiry that investigated
human rights abuses in the country. In an April report, the Commission found the government in Pyongyang has systematically murdered, starved, and raped its own
this way to criticize North Korea," Charles Armstrong, professor of Korean Studies at Columbia University, told VICE News.
"This will be hanging over them for some time to come."
Goes nuclear
Yenko 6/30/15 reporter for the Morning News (Athena, North Korea
Threatens US To Extinction, Morning News USA,
http://www.morningnewsusa.com/north-korea-threatens-us-to-extinction-
2325630.html)//JJ
North Korea vowed to launch a nuclear counter-attack that will extinguish the
United States into flames the moment it ignites a nuclear war on the peninsula . A
statement from the National Defense Commission of the DPRK brandished a warning that it is ready for conventional,
nuclear or cyber wars against U.S. The statement comes after U.S. deployed USS Chancellorship and Global Hawk at a
U.S. military base in Yokosuka, Japan. U.S. will perish in the flames North Korea has called for the U.S. to pay heed to the
DPRKs warning that it is ready for conventional or nuclear or cyber war. The U.S. would be well advised to bear in mind that the DPRK has already put
in place powerful strike group equipped with strategic and tactical
rockets to cope with its missile threat, the statement from its defense department reads as reported by KCNA. It
is as clear as a pikestaff that if the U.S. nuclear maniacs ignite a nuclear war on the peninsula at any cost, they will perish in the flames kindled by themselves, the
statement declared. The heavy-worded statement comes as U.S. deploys the USS Chancellorship and Global Hawk at a U.S. military base in Yokosuka, Japan. North Koreas
defense department said if the U.S. pushes through its plan to deploy USS Ronald Reagan at the end of this year, there will already be 14 warships in the U.S. Navy base in
Yokosuka, Japan. The number will be the largest-ever warship fleet in Japan by U.S. since World War II. Remember Hiroshima and Nagasaki North Korea said the U.S. is
daydreaming if it thinks that it can launch a nuclear attack tantamount to dropping atomic bombs over Hiroshima and Nagasaki. North Koreas fear over the same attack
was sparked as U.S. said that the deployment of warships in Japan is part of military strategy to contain North Korea and China. All these military moves under the pretext
of containing the DPRK and China are aimed to kick up an overall nuclear
war racket against the DPRK in the ground, air and seas, KCNA said in its report. This fully revealed once again the aggressive nature of the U.S. imperialists who
are making no scruple of periodically disturbing peace and stability in the region to attain their strategic and avaricious purposes, the report stated. Morning News USA
ongoing
has recently reported that Pentagon has called for the advancement of its nuclear deterrent capability. Deputy Defense Secretary Bob Work said that
its report on the United States UPR . The UPR is a process during which each UN member state has the opportunity to explain what measures it has
through the use of drones, which has costed the lives of innocent civilians [sic]
outside the United States responsible for torture, drone killings, use
(Ecuador) Punish those
of lethal force against African Americans Torture and compensate the victims (Venezuela) (5.21417, 221, 28791, 293) A
not only in its sovereign territory, but also in foreign soil Prevent torture (Maldives)
and ill-treatment in places of detention (Azerbaijan) Respect the absolute prohibition on torture and take measures to guarantee punishment of
all perpetrators (Costa Rica) Prosecute all CIA operatives that have been held responsible for torture by the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (Pakistan) Allow an independent body to investigate
crimes, which stirred up indignation and denunciation among people, to disclose all information and to allow investigation by international community in this regard (North Korea) Further
ensure that all victims of torture and ill-treatment obtain whether still in US custody or not
Guantnamo
to subsequently close them (Iran) Also Lebanon, Switzerland, and Denmark recommended the US ratify the Optional Protocol to the Convention Against Torture (5.4345)
Ten countries
(5.24455) recommended the closure of
including four NATO members (France, Germany, Iceland, and Spain)
visit to the site by the Special Rapporteur on Torture . The specific recommendations were: Close, as soon as possible, the
as enemy combatants (France) Close the Guantanamo prison and release all detainees still held in Guantanamo, unless they are to be charged and tried without further
at its military bases abroad (Russia) Immediately close the Guantanamo facility (Maldives) Close Guantanamo and secret detention centres (Venezuela) Make
ensuring accountability and victims compensation and enable the Special Rapporteur on torture to visit every part of the
detention facility at Guantanamo Bay and to conduct unmonitored interviews (Germany) Take adequate measures to ensure the definite de-commissioning of the Guantanamo Military Prison (Spain) End illegal
detentions in Guantanamo Bay or bring the detainees to trial immediately (Pakistan)
At the UN
Human Rights Council periodically reviews the human rights progress of each member every four-and-a-half years during this process. The first review of the US was in 2010.
rights review, the US has been strong on process and short on substance , said
Antonio Ginatta, US advocacy director at Human Rights Watch. The US has little progress to show for the many commitments it made during its first Universal Periodic Review. During the current UN review,
Human Rights Watch has flagged concerns over the newly revealed mass surveillance programs, longstanding concerns over indefinite detention without trial at Guantanamo Bay, and the lack of accountability for
torture under the previous administration. The UN established the UPR process in 2006. Countries under review submit written reports on their human rights situation and respond to the questions and
follow through on these recommendations. For example, the US agreed to: Take measures to improve living conditions through its
prison system, increase its efforts to eliminate alleged brutality and use of excessive force by law enforcement officials against Latinos, African Americans, and undocumented migrants, and study racial
disparities in the application of the death penalty. Five years later, the US has done little on these
recommendations While
; [I]nvestigate carefully each case involving the detention of migrants and ensure immigration detention conditions meet international standards.
UN bodies oppose all detention of immigrant children, the US has in the past
year embraced the detention of immigrant children and their mothers ; and
submitted only the Disability Rights Convention to the Senate for its
consent, and was unable to muster the two-thirds majority necessary for
ratification . UN member countries should hold the US to its past human rights commitments by making sure that new recommendations are concrete, specific, and measurable, Human Rights
Watch said. Governments at the Human Rights Council should press the US on mass surveillance, police violence, and detention of migrant families, Ginatta said. The US should take the opportunity to make a
serious commitment to roll back these abusive practices.
83. The United States strives to protect privacy and civil liberties while also protecting
national security. We have an extensive and effective framework of protections that
2014, the President issued Presidential Policy Directive-28 , which enunciates standards for
the collection and use of foreign signals intelligence . It emphasizes that we do
not collect foreign intelligence for the purpose of suppressing criticism or
dissent, or for disadvantaging any individual on the basis of ethnicity , race ,
gender , sexual orientation , or religion , and that agencies within our intelligence community are required to adopt
and make public to the greatest extent feasible procedures for the protection of personal information of non-U.S. persons. It also requires that
community have privacy and civil liberties officers . The National Security Agency, for example, has
recently established a Civil Liberties and Privacy Officer who advises on issues including
signals intelligence programs that entail the collection of personal information.
Lying
U.S. will lie about the plan durable fiat doesnt answer
this
Norrel 5/12/15 staff reporter at numerous American Indian newspapers
and a stringer for AP and USA Today (Brenda, US lies to UN Human Rights
Council about spying, torture, imprisonment of migrant children, The
Narcosphere, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/notebook/brenda-
norrell/2015/05/us-lies-un-human-rights-council-about-spying-torture-
imprisonment-mi)//JJ
The United States lied about spying , torture and the imprisonment of
migrant children , before the UN Human Rights Council during a review of the US human rights
record on Monday in Geneva. The US delegation said that US spying has not been used
The US concealed its prisons for profit empire , which has resulted in the imprisonment of migrants, blacks, American
Indians and Chicanos for corporate profit. The US did not mention its political prisoners. The US did not
provide the facts of the murder of migrants by US Border Patrol agents, or of the
rape and abuse carried out by US Border Patrol agents. The US delegation did not
reveal that hundreds of US Border Patrol and ICE agents have been convicted for
drug smuggling and serving as spotters for the drug cartels to bring their load across the
Mexican border. Tohono O'odham and other Indigenous Peoples living along the border are the victims of violence carried out by the US Border Patrol agents and drug
and Cultural Rights ( ICESCR ) which is still not ratified by the United
States since it signed onto the treaty in 1977. The Indian delegation pointed out that the
United States considers itself to be a global leader on human rights, but still does not have a guarantee
for all the economic, social and cultural rights outlined in the
ICESCR. To truly be a leader on human rights , India urged the U.S. to
ratify the ICESCR. While the United States delegation did not specifically discuss all the outstanding treaties, the delegation
did discuss the process of ratification in the United States. Pointing out that the United States constitution requires the nations legislative
bodies to sign onto ratification of the treaties, the delegation appeared to shift the responsibility for ensuring the United States engagement
about the human rights situation in the U.S." Akrams eight recommendations included
calls for the U.S. to use armed drones in line with international
norms and to compensate innocent victims of drone strikes with
cash. He also said the U.S. should end police brutality against
African-Americans, cease illegal detentions at Guantnamo Bay and
prosecute CIA operatives responsible for torture . The March findings of the Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence on torture were not overlooked by international delegates. Many echoed the concerns of the Danish delegate,
and ill treatment, whether still in U.S. custody or not, obtain redress
and have an enforceable right to fair and adequate compensation
and as full rehabilitation as possible, including medical and
psychological assistance."
EXT Lying
Theyll lie Mays review proves
Norrel 5/12/15 staff reporter at numerous American Indian newspapers
and a stringer for AP and USA Today (Brenda, US lies to UN Human Rights
Council about spying, torture, imprisonment of migrant children, The
Narcosphere, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/notebook/brenda-
norrell/2015/05/us-lies-un-human-rights-council-about-spying-torture-
imprisonment-mi)//JJ
fantasy claims by the US delegation regarding the fairy tale array of services
for migrant children. The US fantasy claims
Migrant children have been imprisoned in large numbers, in violation of international law.
repressive
commitments made thereto." Still, according to Freedom House an organization advocating for democracy and human rights
Perm do both
the
ensued regarding how to categorize clients so as to neither patronize nor marginalize them. No one, however, mentioned
Isolated acts of renaming, however, are unlikely to help promote political change if
they are not tied to interrogations of the structures that serve as the interpretive context for making sense of new terms.' This is
economies, such as liberal postindustrial capitalism, whether understood structurally or discursively, operate as
insti- tutionalized systems of interpretation that can subvert the
most earnest of renamings." It is just as dangerous to suggest that paid employment exhausts possi- bilities for
achieving self-sufficiency as to suggest that political action can be meaningfully confined to isolated renamings.' Neither the workplace nor a
name is the definitive venue for effectuating self-worth or political intervention." Strategies that accept the prevailing work ethos will con-
tinue to marginalize those who cannot work, and increasingly so in a post- industrial economy that does not require nearly as large a
workforce as its industrial predecessor. Exclusive preoccupation with sanitizing names over- looks the fact that names often do not matter to
those who live out their lives according to the institutionalized narratives of the broader political economy, whether it is understood
structurally or discursively, whether it is monolithically hegemonic or reproduced through allied, if disparate, prac- tices. What is named is
of social life, but insufficiently and wrongheadedly . I do not mean to suggest that discourse is
dependent on structure as much as that structures are hegemonic discourses. The operative structures reproduced through a multitude of
daily practices and reinforced by the efforts of aligned groups may be nothing more than stabilized ascendent discourses." Structure is the
the power plays that reinforce it, rather than hope that isolated acts
of linguistic sanitization will lead to political change. Interrogating structures as
discourses can politicize the terms used to fix meaning, produce value, and establish identity. Denaturalizing value as the product of nothing
more than fixed interpretations can create new possibilities for creating value in other less insistent and injurious ways. The
discursively/structurally reproduced reality of liberal capitalism as deployed by power blocs of aligned groups serves to inform the existentially
lived experiences of citizens in the contemporary postindustrial order." The powerful get to reproduce a broader context that works to reduce
the dissonance between new names and established practices. As long as the prevailing discursive structures of liberal capitalism create value
from some practices, experiences, and identities over others, no matter how often new names are insisted upon, some people will continue to
be seen as inferior simply because they do not engage in the same practices as those who are currently dominant in positions of influence and
can accomplish. Renaming points to the profoundly political character of labels. Labels oper- ate as sources of power that
serve to frame identities and interests. They predispose actors to treat the subjects in question in certain ways, whether they are street people
or social policies. This increasingly common strategy, however, overlooks at least three major pitfalls to the politics of renaming." Each reflects
renamings are
a failure to appreciate language's inability to say all that is meant by any act of signification. First, many
credibility but also corrupts the terms used. This danger is ever present, given the limits of
language. Because all terms are partial and incomplete characterizations, every new term can be
advocates of particular renamings can easily be accused of paralyzing their audience and
immobilizing potential sup- porters. Insisting that people use terms that imply sameness and difference simultaneously is a good
way to ensure such terms do not get used. This encourages the complaint that proponents of new terms are
being labeled as the enemy; important allies are lost on the high ground of
linguistic purity. Euphemisms also encourage self-censorship. The politics of renaming discourages its proponents from being
able to respond to inconvenient infor- mation inconsistent with the operative euphemism. Yet those who oppose it are free to dominate
leaving
people. Although ana- lyzing cultural differences may not tell us much about poverty and may be dangerous in a racist society,
it to others to study culture and poverty can be a real mistake as well. Culture in their hands almost always becomes "culture of
poverty."" A politics of renaming risks reducing the discussants to only those who help
semantically silly, bearing no more relevance in the real world than the question of
how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. Ultimately, it is a means to stultify and
number of academic disciplines. In America in particular, the ideas and theories of Foucault and Derrida,
Saussure and Levi-Strauss have been gleefully and, in some cases, messianically snatched up by many social historians as providing a new
and fruitful framework for revolutionizing their discipline.The claims of discourse are seductive . While
no historian would deny the importance of careful scrutiny of literary texts, critical theory proffers, it asserts, a means of retrieving a new
depth of quality and meaning from these sources, thereby providing new insights into the structuring of both language and hence of
Palmer is no iconoclast. He shows that much may be gained by application of some of the approaches followed by the discourse model.
But he firmly rejects the 'privileging of language' (p. xiv) to the point
Simulation good
Eijkman 12 [Henk, visiting fellow at the University of New South Wales at the
Australian Defence Force Academy and is Visiting Professor of Academic
Development, Annasaheb Dange College of Engineering and Technology in
India, has taught at various institutions in the social sciences and his work as
an adult learning specialist has taken him to South Africa, Malaysia, Palestine,
and India, The role of simulations in the authentic learning for national
security policy development: Implications for Practice,
http://nsc.anu.edu.au/test/documents/Sims_in_authentic_learning_report.pdf]
policy simulations
However, whether as an approach to learning, innovation, persuasion or culture shift,
derive their power from two central features: their combination of simulation and
gaming (Geurts et al. 2007). 1. The simulation element: the unique combination of
simulation with role-playing . The unique simulation/role-play mix enables
participants to create possible futures relevant to the topic being studied.
This is diametrically opposed to the more traditional , teacher-centric approaches in
which a future is produced for them. In policy simulations, possible futures are
much more than an object of tabletop discussion and verbal speculation. No other
technique allows a group of participants to engage in collective action in a
safe environment to create and analyse the futures they want to explore (Geurts et al.
2007: 536). 2. The game element: the interactive and tailor-made modelling and design of the policy
game. The actual run of the policy simulation is only one step, though a most important and visible one, in a collective
process of investigation, communication, and evaluation of performance. In the context of a post-graduate course in
a policy simulation is a dedicated game constructed
public policy development, for example,
abandon the case method, give up the effort to find rationality and order in the case law, and teach in an unabashedly political fashion. The CLS critique
of piecemeal reform is familiar, imperialistic and wrong . Minorities know from bitter
experience that occasional court victories do not mean the Promised Land is at hand . The critique is imperialistic in that it tells
minds has always scaled with the magnitude of our calling . There's no
reason to believe it won't continue doing so. Second, we're pushing forward the frontiers
of possibility every second, far more rapidly than we can comprehend. Before coming to MIT, I believed
certain problems were simply too hard for human beings to address. In
retrospect, though, my skepticism simply reflected my failure of imagination . I now
assume that once a problem has been identified, folks will eventually solve it or
find a way to manage it. The tipping point for me came six years ago, when MIT News ran an article
discussing a new project Professor Angela Belcher and a few of her colleagues had undertaken. "For the first time," it
explained, "MIT researchers have shown they can genetically engineer viruses to build both the positively and negatively
charged ends of a lithium-ion battery." If we can figure out how to make batteries from
viruses -- I never imagined I'd see those two words in the same sentence, and I still can't get my head around the idea
-- what can't we do ? Third, no matter what problem keeps you up at night, there
are brilliant, passionate people around the world who're working on it . You
may not hear about them amid the daily barrage of depressing
headlines, but they're easy to find if you want to find them. Among the extraordinary individuals I've met, spoken
to over e-mail, or reconnected with in recent months: Ruzwana Bashir, the cofounder and CEO of Peek, who's using her
own experience of sexual abuse to help other victims find their voices; Pardis Sabeti, a professor of organismic and
evolutionary biology at Harvard, who's developing treatments to fight Ebola; Donald Sadoway, a professor of materials
chemistry at MIT, whose work on liquid-metal batteries could revolutionize electricity storage; Shiza Shahid, the cofounder
of the Malala Fund, who's working to give young women around the world a chance at an education; and Wes Moore,
author of The Other Wes Moore and The Work, who cofounded BridgeEdU to help at-risk youth in Baltimore graduate from
There's an enormous amount of work to be done -- slowing the course of climate
college.
but
change, feeding a growing population and resettling tens of millions of refugees, to name but a few challenges --
dwelling on everything that's wrong and fretting about everything that
could go wrong won't help. Let's spend less time lamenting the state
of the world and more time supporting those who're making it
better.
2ac world improving wars
196971 and 20012003 despite an 87 percent population increase (Goklany 2007a; FAO 2006).
The reduction in hunger and malnutrition, along with improvements in basic hygiene, improved
access to safer water and sanitation, broad adoption of vaccinations, antibiotics,
pasteurization and other public health measures, helped reduce mortality and increase
life expectancies . These improvements first became evident in todays developed countries in the mid-
to late-1800s and started to spread in earnest to developing countries from the 1950s. The infant mortality rate in
life
developing countries was 180 per 1,000 live births in the early 1950s; today it is 57. Consequently, global
expectancy, perhaps the single most important measure of human well-being, increased from
31 years in 1900 to 47 years in the early 1950s to 67 years today (Goklany 2007a). Globally, average
annual per capita incomes tripled since 1950. The proportion of the
worlds population outside of high-income OECD countries living in absolute povertyaverage consumption
of less than $1 per day in 1985 International dollars adjusted for purchasing power parity), fell from 84
percent in 1820 to 40 percent in 1981 to 20 percent in 2007 (Goklany 2007a; WRI 2008; World Bank
2007). Equally important, the world is more literate and better educated. Child labor
in low income countries declined from 30 to 18 percent between 1960 and 2003. In most countries, people are
freer politically, economically and socially to pursue their goals as they see fit. More
people choose their own rulers, and have freedom of expression. They are more likely to live under rule of law, and
less likely to be arbitrarily deprived of life, limb and property. Social and professional mobility has never been greater.
It is easier to transcend the bonds of caste, place, gender, and other accidents of birth in the lottery of life. People
work fewer hours, and have more money and better health to enjoy their leisure time (Goklany 2007a). Figure 3
summarizes the U.S. experience over the 20th century with respect to growth of population, affluence, material, fossil
fuel energy and chemical consumption, and life expectancy. It indicates that population has multiplied 3.7-fold;
income, 6.9-fold; carbon dioxide emissions, 8.5-fold; material use, 26.5-fold; and organic chemical use, 101-fold. Yet
its life expectancy increased from 47 years to 77 years and infant mortality (not shown) declined from over 100 per
1,000 live births to 7 per 1,000. It is also important to note that not only are people living longer, they are healthier.
The disability rate for seniors declined 28 percent between 1982 and 2004/2005 and, despite better diagnostic tools,
major diseases (e.g., cancer, and heart and respiratory diseases) occur 811 years later now than a century ago
(Fogel 2003; Manton et al. 2006). If similar figures could be constructed for other countries, most would indicate
qualitatively similar trends, especially after 1950, except Sub-Saharan Africa and the erstwhile members of the Soviet
Union. In the latter two cases, life expectancy, which had increased following World War II, declined after the late
1980s to the early 2000s, possibly due poor economic performance compounded, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, by
AIDS, resurgence of malaria, and tuberculosis due mainly to poor governance (breakdown of public health services)
and other manmade causes (Goklany 2007a, pp.6669, pp.178181, and references therein). However, there are signs
of a turnaround, perhaps related to increased economic growth since the early 2000s, although this could, of course,
be a temporary blip (Goklany 2007a; World Bank 2008a). Notably, in most areas of the world, the healthadjusted life
expectancy (HALE), that is, life expectancy adjusted downward for the severity and length of time spent by the
average individual in a less-than-healthy condition, is greater now than the unadjusted life expectancy was 30 years
ago. HALE for the China and India in 2002, for instance, were 64.1 and 53.5 years, which exceeded their unadjusted
life expectancy of 63.2 and 50.7 years in 19701975 (WRI 2008). Figure 4, based on cross country data, indicates that
contrary to Neo-Malthusian fears, both life expectancy and infant mortality improve with the level of affluence
(economic development) and time, a surrogate for technological change (Goklany 2007a). Other indicators of human
well-being that improve over time and as affluence rises are: access to safe water and sanitation (see below), literacy,
level of education, food supplies per capita, and the prevalence of malnutrition (Goklany 2007a, 2007b).
2ac world improving poverty
Povertys down
Tupy 15. (Marian, senior policy analyst at the Cato Institute's Center for
Global Liberty and Prosperity. Internally quoting the World Banks Branko
Milanovic and Geoffrey Gertz of the Brookings Institution. Stop obsessing
about inequality. Its actually decreasing around the world, The Washington
Post. 1/8/2015.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/01/08/stop-
obsessing-about-inequality-its-actually-decreasing-around-the-world/)//CB
In America, the income gap between the top 1 percent and the rest has grown. But if we look not at
inequality is shrinking. We are witnessing, in the words of
America, but the world,
the World Banks Branko Milanovic, the
first decline in global inequality between
world citizens since the Industrial Revolution. For most of human history,
incomes were more equal, but terribly low. Two thousand years ago, GDP per person in the most advanced
parts of the world hovered around $3.50 per day. That was the global average 1,800 years later. But by the
early 19th century, a pronounced income gap emerged between the West and the rest. Take the United
States. In 1820, the U.S. was 1.9 times richer than the global average. The income gap grew to 4.1 in 1960
and reached its maximum level of 4.8 in 1999. By 2010, it had shrunk by 19 percent to 3.9. That narrowing
is not a function of declining Western incomes. During the Great Recession, for example, U.S. GDP per
capita decreased by 4.8 percent between 2007 and 2009. It rebounded by 5.7 percent over the next 4
narrowing of the income gap is a
years and stands at an all-time high today. Rather, the
result of growing incomes in the rest of the world. Consider the spectacular
rise of Asia. In 1960, the U.S. was 11 times richer than Asia. Today, America is only 4.8 times richer than
Asia. To understand why, lets look at China. Between 1958 and 1961, Mao Zedong attempted to transform
Chinas largely agricultural economy into an industrial one through the Great Leap Forward. His stated
goal was to overtake UKs industrial production in 15 years. Industrialization, which included building of
factories at home as well as large-scale purchases of machinery abroad, was to be paid for by food
produced on collective farms. But the collectivization of agriculture resulted in famine that killed between
18 and 45 million people. Industrial initiatives, such as Maos attempt to massively increase production of
steel, were equally disastrous. People burned their houses to stoke the fires of the steel mills and melted
cooking wares to fulfil the steel production quotas. The result was destruction, rather than creation of
wealth. Deng Xiaoping, Maos successor, partially privatized the farmland and allowed farmers to sell their
produce. Trade liberalization ensured that Chinese industrial output would no longer be dictated by
production quotas, but by the demands of the international economy. But Following liberalization in 1978,
Chinas GDP per capita has increased 12.5 fold, rising from $545 in 1980 to
$6,807 in 2013. Over the same time period, the Chinese poverty rate fell from 84
percent to 10 percent. What is true of China is also true in much of
the developing world. As Laurence Chandy and Geoffrey Gertz of the Brookings Institution
wrote in 2011, poverty reduction of this magnitude is unparalleled in
history: never before have so many people been lifted out of poverty
over such a brief period of time. Developing countries have made strides in other areas
too. Take life expectancy. Between 1960 and 2010, global life expectancy increased
from 53 years to 70. In the U.S. over the same period it rose from 70 to 78. Similar
stories can be told about child and maternal mortality, treatment of
communicable diseases, and the spread of technology. Many Americans
point to globalization as a bogeyman, robbing our country of good jobs and resources. But really,
the phenomenon has ushered a period of unprecedented prosperity in
many poor countries. Even as we struggle with economic problems at home let us remember
the global and largely positive perspective on the state of the world.
2ac world improving warming
Warmings improving
a) Emissions
Magill 15. (Bobby, Senior Science Writer at Climate Central, focusing on
energy and climate change. Internally quotes IEA Chief Economist and
incoming IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. Energy Bombshell: CO2
Emissions Stabilized in 2014, Climate Central. March 13th, 2015.
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/co2-emissions-stabilized-in-2014-
18777)//CB
Solar, wind and other renewables are making such a big difference in
greenhouse gas emissions worldwide that global emissions from the
energy sector flatlined during a time of economic growth for the first time in
40 years. The International Energy Agency announced Friday that energy-
related CO2 emissions last year were unchanged from the year before,
totaling 32.3 billion metric tons of CO2 in both 2013 and 2014. It shows that
efforts to reduce emissions to combat climate change may be more
effective than previously thought. Energy-related CO2 emissions from
coal-fired power plants and other sources have gone flat worldwide,
according to the International Energy Agency. Credit: Ian Britton/flickr This is
both a very welcome surprise and a significant one, IEA Chief Economist and
incoming IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said in a statement. It provides
much-needed momentum to negotiators preparing to forge a global
climate deal in Paris in December. For the first time, greenhouse gas
emissions are decoupling from economic growth. Following an
announcement earlier this week that Chinas CO2 emissions fell 2 percent
in 2014, the IEA is crediting 2014s progress to China using more solar, wind
and hydropower while burning less coal. Western Europes focus on
sustainable growth, energy efficiency and renewables has shown
that emissions from energy consumption can fall even as economies
grow globally, according to the IEA. Global CO2 emissions stalled or fell in the
early 1980s, 1992 and 2009, each time correlating with a faltering global
economy. In 2014, the economy grew 3 percent worldwide. In the U.S.,
energy-related CO2 emissions fell during seven of the past 23 years,
most notably during the recession of 2009, U.S. Energy Information
Administration data show. Emissions in 2013 the most recent year for
which U.S. data is available were higher than they were in the previous
year, but 10 percent lower than they were in 2005.
b) Political will
Davenport 14. (Coral, energy and environment reporter for NYT. Internally
quoting Durwood Zaelke, president of the Institute for Governance and
Sustainable Development. U.S. Moves to Reduce Global Warming
Emissions, NYT. SEPT. 16, 2014. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/17/us/hfc-
emissions-cut-under-agreement.html)//CB
Obama administration on Tuesday announced a series of moves
WASHINGTON The
aimed at cutting emissions of hydrofluorocarbons, or HFCs, powerful greenhouse gases
that contribute to climate change. The White House has secured voluntary agreements
from some of the nations largest companies to scale down or phase out their use of HFCs, which are
factory-made gases used in air conditioning and refrigeration. Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Red Bull, Kroger,
Honeywell and DuPont, the company that invented fluorinated refrigerants, have agreed to cut their use
and replace them with climate-friendly alternatives. Over all, the administration estimated that the
agreements announced on Tuesday would reduce cumulative global consumption of HFCs by the
equivalent of 700 million metric tons of carbon dioxide through 2025. That is about 1.5 percent of the
worlds 2010 greenhouse gas emissions, or the same as taking 15 million cars off the road for 10 years. A
repair technician in New Jersey removed an air-conditioning unit that uses HCFC-22, which is banned for
The
use in new units, to install a new one that uses a different coolant, R-410A.Chilling
announcement came a week before President Obama is expected to join
over 100 other world leaders at a United Nations climate change
summit in New York, which will begin 15 months of negotiations as
leaders work toward a global climate change agreement in Paris next year.
The primary focus of that deal will be to push for enactment of new
laws around the world aimed at cutting emissions of carbon dioxide, the
abundant planet-warming gas caused by burning fossil fuels such as oil and coal. Negotiators anticipate it
will take a grueling battle to achieve such an agreement, which would require the worlds largest
economies including the United States, China and India to greatly cut their use of burning coal and
small steps aimed at reducing other
oil. But climate policy advocates say
greenhouse gases will also help. While HFCs are less abundant in the atmosphere than
carbon dioxide, they have 10,000 times the planet-warming potency. But carbon dioxide lingers in the
atmosphere for centuries, while HFCs disintegrate after about 15 years. Every
drumbeat in
this symphony helps. It drives it along. This is part of that
drumbeat, said Durwood Zaelke, president of the Institute for Governance and Sustainable
Development, a research organization. The benefits from cutting non-CO2 come much faster, he added.
CO2 is like a supertanker you can stop it, but it keeps drifting for a long time. Cutting HFCs are like
stopping a steamboat. You stop it and thats that.
Biods improving
UN 14. (United Nations. UN convention agrees to double biodiversity
funding, accelerate preservation measures, UN News Centre. 17 October
2014. http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?
NewsID=49104#.VZ15UEvrsds)//CB
A United Nations conference in Republic of Korea wrapped up today
17 October 2014
with governments agreeing to double biodiversity-related
international financial aid to developing countries, including small islands and
transition economics, by 2015 and through the next five years. The decision was made at the 12th
meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD COP-12) in
Pyeongchang. Delegations attending the meeting, which opened 6 October in Republic of Koreas
key mountain and forest region, agreed on the so-called Pyeongchang Road Map, and Gangwon
Declaration, both of which outline conservation initiatives and global
sustainable development goals and initiatives. Parties have listened
to the evidence, and have responded by committing , said UN Assistant-
Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of the CBD, Braulio Ferreira de Souza Dias. The funding
decision was originally made at the last CBD meeting in Hyderabad, India, in 2012, but there had been
disagreement on how to implement it. This time, the participants decided to use average annual
biodiversity funding for the years 2006-2010 as a baseline. The targets, in particular, are the least
developed countries and the small island developing States, as well as countries with economies in
transition. Key decisions taken in Pyongchang, including those on resource mobilization, capacity building,
scientific and technical cooperation linking biodiversity and poverty eradication, and on monitoring of the
Strategic Plan for Biodiversity, form the Roadmap and will, according to the CBD,
strengthen capacity and increase support for countries and
stakeholders to implement their national biodiversity strategies and
action plans. The decisions were bolstered by the call in the Gangwon Declaration, the result of two
days of ministerial-level talks, to link the implementation of the post-2015 development agenda to other
relevant processes such as the UN Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF) process and the national
Governments also agreed to increase
biodiversity strategies and action plans.
domestic financing for biodiversity and boost funding from other
resources. Their commitments show the world that biodiversity is a
solution to the challenges of sustainable development and will be a central
part of any discussions for the post-2015 development agenda and its sustainable development goals, Mr.
Dias noted in reference to the agenda succeeding the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
Defo down
Howard 14. (Brian Clark, writer, editor and producer for National
Geographics award-winning website. Internally quotes Toby McGrath, a
senior scientist at Earth Innovation Institute. Brazil Leads World in Reducing
Carbon Emissions by Slashing Deforestation, National Geographic. JUNE 05,
2014. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/06/140605-brazil-
deforestation-carbon-emissions-environment/)//CB
Brazil's success in slowing rain forest destruction has resulted in
enormous reductions in carbon emissions and shows that it's
possible to zealously promote sustainability while still growing the
economy, suggests a new study out Thursday. A second study out this week also underscores Brazil's
success and shows that deforestation has also slowed in several other tropical countries. Since 2004,
farmers and ranchers in Brazil have saved over 33,000 square miles (86,000 square kilometers) of rain
forest from clear-cutting, the rough equivalent of 14.3 million soccer fields, a team of scientists and
economists from the U.S. and South America report in Science. At the same time, production of beef and
The country has reduced deforestation by
soy from Brazil's Amazon region rose.
70 percent and kept 3.2 billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, because forests use
carbon as they grow and release it when they are removed, often through burning. That makes Brazil's the
biggest reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of any country in the world; the cut is more than three
times bigger than the effect of taking all the cars in the U.S. off the road for a year. "Brazil is known as a
leading favorite to win the World Cup, but they also lead the world in mitigating climate change," the
Science study's lead author, Daniel Nepstad of the Earth Innovation Institute in San Francisco, said in a
statement. Brazil's success in saving about 80 percent of the original Amazon serves as a
model for other countries around the world and represents a
"completely different trajectory for forest areas over the last few
centuries," says Toby McGrath, a senior scientist at the institute and another of the study's co-
authors. (See "Photos: The Last of the Amazon.") "For the first time in history, we are
stopping the process of forest loss on a frontier before it gets
seriously depleted, while continuing to develop economies that still
have substantial forest cover," says McGrath. Globally, deforestation is
responsible for about 10 percent of all climate emissions , says a study
released Wednesday by the Union of Concerned Scientists. That's down from 17 percent of
emissions in the 1990s, thanks to falling rates of deforestation. "Brazil
is most notably lauded for their deforestation reductions, but the report found numerous
example of successfully saving forests in unexpected locations," study
author Doug Boucher, director of the Union of Concerned Scientists' Tropical Forest and Climate Initiative,
said in a statement. Mexico, El Salvador, and six countries in Central Africa, in particular, have shown
decreased rates of deforestation. Measure of Success For the Science study, scientists and economists
analyzed how Brazil was able to reverse decades of high rates of deforestation in the Amazon, starting in
2005, when then-president Luiz Incio Lula da Silva announced the ambitious goal of slashing the rate by
80 percent over the previous year. After that, things turned around due to a number of factors coming
One important element was the advancement of
together, says McGrath.
remote sensing technology. Although Brazil first passed a forest code requiring landowners
in the Amazon to protect at least 50 percent of native forest in 1965, enforcement was spotty. "Officials
didn't have good information on where deforestation was occurring and who was on the ground," says
satellites have given officials a more precise
McGrath. Over the past few years,
picture of the forest, often in real time. Another boost to
deforestation efforts: The forest code was updated in 2012 and now
requires landowners to preserve 80 percent of the Amazon's virgin forest,
as well as protect watersheds. Those that have violated the rules have increasingly received fines and
Nonprofit groups, meanwhile, have helped publicize
even jail time in extreme cases.
data on rule breakers and have built support for enforcing the law.
Campaigns by Greenpeace, Conservation International, and others put pressure on companies that buy
products from the Amazon, especially beef and soy, shaming those that have been found to contribute to
deforestation. Market agreements signed by companies took that a step further, prohibiting practices that
there was rising awareness of the value of
lead to deforestation. "In Brazil,
nature and how essential it is to our society," says Fabio Rubio Scarano, the vice
president of Conservation International's Americas Division, who is based in Rio de Janeiro.
2ac world improving at: cowen
come. HARVARDS CARD ENDS When electing a President or a Congress, foreign policy should be by far
our number one concern. That said, I dont think there is any simple formula for getting foreign policy right. Unlike many
libertarians, I do not adhere to a strictly non-interventionist stance on foreign policy. I believe in alliances among the
worlds relatively free and (one hopes) peaceful nations. I believe that American intervention has at some critical times led
to much greater freedom and prosperity. Without the current and past American security umbrella, for instance, I believe
much of Asia would be a far less free place than it is today, starting but not ending with Taiwan and South Korea. I am,
however, also skeptical of conservative or hawkish claims that we simply need to get tough with the bad guys in the
A market-oriented economist, as I view myself, should be well aware of
world.
the general arguments about the difficulty of government planning
and the importance of unforeseen, unintended consequences from
government action. Furthermore government policies, once they get underway, are often hijacked by
special interest groups or by voters who are uninformed, misinformed, or who react emotionally rather than analytically.
We should not be especially optimistic about the ability of our government to pull off successful foreign interventions. You
can take the Vietnam War as Exhibit A here but of course there are many more examples, stretching into our Iraq policies
in more recent times. To make matters more difficult, the American public is often pretty squeamish about violence and
conflict abroad. Thats overall a good thing, but it means a get tough foreign policy isnt very easy to implement in a
credible fashion. (For instance the American public approved when President Obama neglected his line in the sane
commitment regarding Syria and chemical weapons use.) For better or worse, the electorate stands in the way of what
might otherwise be a strategically optimal foreign policy . It can be said that a nation has to
run a foreign policy with the citizens it has, and that is another
reason why this complex area is so difficult to manage. Im not going to try to
solve these conundrums in an essay of this length. Ill simply put it this way: the single most
important thing we can do to boost long-run American growth is to
get foreign policy right. Very literally our lives, and the lives of many others, depend on it. And that
means the economists arent nearly as important as they like to think they are.
Piker 15 (Steven; Guess what? More people are living in peace now. Just
look at the numbers;
www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/mar/20/wars-john-gray-conflict-
peace?CMP=share_btn_tw; kdf)
Has the world seen moral progress? The answer should not depend on whether one has a sunny or a morose
life is better than death, health better than sickness, prosperity
temperament. Everyone agrees that
freedom better than tyranny, peace better than war. All of
better than privation,
these can be measured, and the results plotted over time. If they go
up, thats progress. For John Gray, this is a big problem. As a part of his campaign
against reason, science and Enlightenment humanism, he insists that the strivings of humanity over the centuries have
left us no better off.
This dyspepsia was hard enough to sustain when Gray
first expressed it in the teeth of obvious counterexamples such as
the abolition of human sacrifice, chattel slavery and public torture-
executions. But as scholars have increasingly measured human
flourishing, they have found that Gray is not just wrong but
howlingly, flat-earth, couldnt-be-more-wrong wrong . The numbers show that
after millennia of near-universal poverty and despotism, a steadily
growing proportion of humankind is surviving infancy and childbirth,
going to school, voting in democracies, living free of disease , enjoying the
necessities of modern life and surviving to old age. And more people are living in
peace. In the 1980s several military scholars noticed to their astonishment that the most destructive form of armed
conflict wars among great powers and developed states had effectively ceased to exist. At the time this long
peace could have been dismissed as a random lull, but it has held
firm for an additional three decades. Then came another pleasant surprise. Starting in the
1990s, political scientists such as Joshua Goldstein, who kept track of ongoing
wars of all kinds , including civil wars and wars among smaller and poorer countries, noticed that
the list kept getting shorter. Research institutes in Oslo and Uppsala compiled datasets of global
battle deaths since 1946, and their plots showed an unmistakable downward trend. The per-capita death
rate fell more than tenfold between the peak of the second world
war and the Korean war, and then plunged an additional hundredfold
by the mid-2000s. Even the recent uptick from the wars in Iraq and Syria has not brought the world
anywhere near the death rates of the preceding decades. Other datasets show steep declines in genocides and other
mass killings. The declines are precipitous enough that they dont depend on precise body counts: the estimates could be
Gray tries to
off by 25%, 100%, or 250% and the decline would still be there. In a recent Guardian article,
shoo away these pesky facts, which he disingenuously calls a new
orthodoxy. Far from being orthodox, the discoveries are typically greeted with
incredulity and sometimes furious denial, because most people fall
prey to a cognitive illusion and assess the world from headlines
rather than data. As long as violence has not vanished altogether,
there will always be enough explosions and gunfire to fill the news ,
while the vastly greater portion of the planet in which people live
boringly peaceful lives is reporter-free and invisible . Only by systematically
tallying wars and war deaths and plotting them over time can one reach a defensible conclusion about global trends.
Gray indiscriminately enumerates every violent
Oblivious to this logical point,
episode of the past century he can think of, including recent ones that killed a handful of
people or none at all. But his laundry list shows only that rates of violence have
not fallen to zero, not that they have remained unchanged. And it
certainly doesnt support the preposterously melodramatic claim that the advanced
societies of western Europe the safest places in the history of our species are terrains of
violent conflict in which peace and war [are] fatally blurred. Equally innumerate is his observation that
while the cold war superpowers never met on the battlefield, they supported proxies in civil wars. Civil wars are far less
destructive than wars between great powers, and even civil wars went into decline with the end of the cold war a quarter-
century ago. The numbers matter: the difference between a war with 8,500,000 battle deaths (like the first world war) and
a war with 5,000 deaths (like eastern Ukraine) is 8,495,000 human beings who get to work, play, and love rather than rot
in their graves. Gray tries to wave off the battle death numbers by repeating the legend that during the 20th century the
ratio of military to civilian deaths flipped from 9:1 to 1:9. In my book The Better Angels of Our Nature I noted that this
meme originated in a counting error and has been debunked many times. Throughout history wars have displaced, and
frequently have targeted, civilians. No one knows how the ratio has changed, butwhen battle deaths
decline a thousandfold it hardly matters. A great-power war kills
massive numbers of soldiers and civilians, a small war kills vastly
fewer of each, and in the many parts of the world that see no wars at all, the number of civilian war deaths
must be zero. More attention to the maths would also have disabused
Gray of the gamblers fallacy, which leads him to believe that major
war is cyclical and due for a return. The data shows that wars are patterned at random, though
with a probability that can change over time. In a last diversionary tactic, Gray serves up a prolix
disquisition on Aztec obsidian mirrors, which is somehow meant to
show that quantification is like sorcery, auguries, amulets,
and prayer wheels. But the inescapable fact is that whenever you
use the words more, less, rise, or fall you are making a
claim about numbers. If you then refuse to look at them, no one
should take your claims seriously.
2ac world improving at: peace bubble
No peace bubble
Pinker and Fifelski 15 (Steve [Johnstone family professor of psych at
Harvard] and Kurt; Correspondence with Steven Pinker; Jan 15
http://www.cedadebate.org/forum/index.php/topic,6249.0.html)
I emailed Steven Pinker, here is our correspondence. Dr. Pinker, I do not know if you're aware of this, but you are one of the more cited authors in the policy debate community. Your arguments about the decline of
violence are compelling to many as reasons why we should focus on policy making instead of, say, psychoanalysis. A handful of debaters, including two from your school, argue this characterization is wrong
because it incentives, to quote Monica Toft, a peace bubble. I am wondering if you have any responses to these arguments. Thank you for your time and your prolific writing style, you're truly the best. Kurt Fifelski --
Thanks, Kurt. Monica Toft, with whom Im friendly, is no longer at Harvard; she moved to Oxford a couple of years ago. Its certainly possible that the prevalence of war will increase; Goldstein and I certainly dont
believe that the decline of war is a law of nature. (Indeed, there has been a small uptick in the past three years see my recent article in Slate with Andrew Mack called The World has Not Falling Apart.) Its also
possible that it will decrease. But no, theres no bubble in the sense of an unsustainable
trend caused solely by a widespread expectation that such a trend
will continue. Peace doesnt work that way. There is no natural rate
of peace to which deviations inevitably return; pairs of states, or
entire regions, can go from recurring war to stable peace without
any counteracting tendency to a reversal its not just (e.g., Britain & the US; Germany & France).Also,
raw rates of war that have changed; so have many of the underlying
fundamental drivers . Military spending per GDP, rates of
conscription, romantic militarism, are down; international
institutions and global trade per GDP is up As for forms of human .
harm other than deaths: Monica presents no data that they have
increased, rates of death and other
and Andrew and I summarize a number of ways in which they decrease. In general, of course,
death, fewer people are getting injured by gunshots, and fewer are
traumatized by seeing their buddies injured or killed. Best, Steve
2ac world improving at: toft
Toft dismisses their alt and concludes that wars are decreasing
because of democracy
reductionist. This 800-page book uses one hundred graphs and twelve
hundred references to document six historical trends, five
psychological sources of violence, four psychological sources of
nonviolence, and five historical forces in which social, cultural, and
institutional changes interact with the psychology. Any scholar who
wishes to engage with it is going to have to work harder than
slinging around these knee-jerk epithets.
1ar world improving prodict data
Prefer data
Mack and Pinker 14 - director of the Human Security Report Project at
Simon Fraser University AND ** Johnstone Family professor of psychology at
Harvard and the author of The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has
Declined. (Andrew and Steven, J The World Is Not Falling Apart Slate, 12/22,
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/foreigners/2014/12/the_world
_is_not_falling_apart_the_trend_lines_reveal_an_increasingly_peaceful.html)//
CB
The world is not falling apart. The kinds of violence to which most
people are vulnerablehomicide, rape, battering, child abusehave been in steady
decline in most of the world. Autocracy is giving way to democracy.
Wars between statesby far the most destructive of all conflictsare all but
obsolete. The increase in the number and deadliness of civil wars
since 2010 is circumscribed, puny in comparison with the decline
that preceded it, and unlikely to escalate. We have been told of impending doom
before: a Soviet invasion of Western Europe, a line of dominoes in Southeast Asia, revanchism in a
reunified Germany, a rising sun in Japan, cities overrun by teenage superpredators, a coming anarchy that
would fracture the major nation-states, and weekly 9/11-scale attacks that would pose an existential threat
to civilization. Why is the world always more dangerous than it has ever beeneven as a greater and
greater majority of humanity lives in peace and dies of old age? Too much of our impression of the world
comes from a misleading formula of journalistic narration. Reporters give lavish coverage to gun bursts,
explosions, and viral videos, oblivious to how representative they are and apparently innocent of the fact
that many were contrived as journalist bait. Then come sound bites from experts with vested interests in
maximizing the impression of mayhem: generals, politicians, security officials, moral activists. The talking
heads on cable news filibuster about the event, desperately hoping to avoid dead air. Newspaper
columnists instruct their readers on what emotions to feel. There is a better way to
understand the world. Commentators can brush up their historynot by rummaging through
Bartletts for a quote from Clausewitz, but by recounting the events of the recent past that put the events
they could consult the analyses of
of the present in an intelligible context. And
quantitative datasets on violence that are now just a few clicks away. An
evidence-based mindset on the state of the world would bring many
benefits. It would calibrate our national and international responses to the magnitude of the dangers
that face us. It would limit the influence of terrorists, school shooters, decapitation cinematographers, and
It might even dispel foreboding and embody,
other violence impresarios.
again, the hope of the world.
1ar world improving prodict stats
Talebs a dummy
Pinker 12. (Steven, Steven, Johnstone Family professor of psychology at
Harvard and the author of The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has
Declined. Fooled by Belligerence: Comments on Nassim Talebs The Long
Peace is a Statistical Illusion. Nov 11 2012.
http://stevenpinker.com/files/comments_on_taleb_by_s_pinker.pdf)//CB
Taleb shows no signs of having read Better Angels with the slightest attention
to its content. Instead he has merged it in his mind with claims by various
fools and knaves whom he believes he has bettered in the past. The
confusion begins with his remarkable claim that the thesis in Better Angels is identical to Ben Bernankes
theory of a moderation in the stock market. Identical! This alone should warn readers that for all of Talebs
prescience about the financial crisis, accurate attribution and careful analysis of other peoples ideas are
not his strong suits. Talebs article implies that Better Angels consists of 700 pages of fancy statistical
extrapolations which lead to the conclusion that violent catastrophes have become impossible. He
mistakenly refers to this as The Long Peace. In fact The Long Peace (the term is John Gaddiss) refers
specifically to the well- documented post-1945 decline of wars among great powers and developed states.
And the chapter with that title is one of six that describe historical reductions in rates of violence. Another
chapter discusses the more tentative but still appreciable declines in civil war and terrorism since the end
other kinds of violence: tribal raiding
of the Cold War. The remaining four pertain to
and feuding, violent personal crime, barbaric practices such as
slavery and torture-executions, and violence on smaller scales such
as lynching, rape, spousal abuse, spanking, hate crimes, and cruelty
to animals. The book makes it clear that these developments obey very different
statistical processes than those governing wars and terrorist
attacks; not even Taleb, presumably, would expect a sudden,
massive, unpredictable jump in human sacrifice, slave auctions,
sodomy laws, or debtors prisons. So even if, as Taleb seems to believe, the danger from
major war has not declined, we would have plenty of other declines of violence to explain. Its an open
question whether there are any common denominators behind these various declines. Better Angels
considers some possibilities, while making it clear that these declines do not constitute a single
The books structure was lost on Taleb, who blends the
phenomenon.
different chapters and then criticizes his own confusion. He claims that the
book conflates nonscalable Mediocristan (death from encounters with simple weapons) with scalable
Extremistan (death from heavy shells and nuclear weapons), that it uses statistics of one to make
inferences about the other, that it does not realize the core difference between scalable/nonscalable,
that it implies that a drop in crime has implications for casualties from violent conflict, that it fails to
deal with the notion of temporal homogeneity, and that it assumes that the statistics of the 14th century
can apply to the 21st. Every one of these attributions is wrong. The book spends many pages arguing the
exact opposite.
Lenses
2ac extinction first
Extinction first
Bostrum 12 (Nick, Professor of Philosophy at Oxford, directs Oxford's
Future of Humanity Institute and winner of the Gannon Award, Interview with
Ross Andersen, correspondent at The Atlantic, 3/6, We're Underestimating
the Risk of Human Extinction,
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/03/were-
underestimating-the-risk-of-human-extinction/253821/)
Bostrom, who directs Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, has argued over the course of several papers that human
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
Alt fails
commitments that characterise (and help individuate) diverse theoretical positions. Yet, such a philosophical turn is not
without its dangers and I will briefly mention three before turning to consider a confusion that has, I will suggest, helped
to promote the IR theory wars by motivating this philosophical turn. The first danger with the
philosophical turn is that it has an inbuilt tendency to prioritise
issues of ontology and epistemology over explanatory and/or
interpretive power as if the latter two were merely a simple function
of the former. But while the explanatory and/or interpretive power of
a theoretical account is not wholly independent of its ontological and/or epistemological commitments
(otherwise criticism of these features would not be a criticism that had any value), it is by no means clear that it is, in contrast, wholly
given the purposes of the inquiry; yet, from this standpoint, theory-driven work is part of a
warring theoretical approaches with each, despite occasional temporary tactical alliances, dedicated to the
strategic achievement of sovereignty over the disciplinary field. It encourages this view because the turn to, and
feeds back into IR exacerbating the first and second dangers, and so
a potentially vicious circle arises.
2ac epistemology
case study and non-case study researchers. Ontological debates are, by definition,
irresolvable . Once one has defended ones position as a matter of ontology,
further discussion is superfluous except as it might bear upon matters of logic and coherence.
If social science is understood as an evidence- based form of inquiry then
matters of ontology are simply not relevant or are only tangentially relevant.
Nonetheless, insofar as our ontological presuppositions influence our construction of cases, we had best be
cognizant of this fact. Indeed, the middle-range position of case study research on this crucial question
may help to account for its ambiguous position in the social sciences. It is neither fish nor fowl,
ontologically speaking.
2ac discourse/reps defense
number of academic disciplines. In America in particular, the ideas and theories of Foucault and Derrida,
Saussure and Levi-Strauss have been gleefully and, in some cases, messianically snatched up by many social historians as providing a new
and fruitful framework for revolutionizing their discipline.The claims of discourse are seductive . While
no historian would deny the importance of careful scrutiny of literary texts, critical theory proffers, it asserts, a means of retrieving a new
depth of quality and meaning from these sources, thereby providing new insights into the structuring of both language and hence of
Palmer is no iconoclast. He shows that much may be gained by application of some of the approaches followed by the discourse model.
But he firmly rejects the 'privileging of language' (p. xiv) to the point
The postmodern passwords of "polyvocality," "Otherness," and "difference," unsupported by substantial analysis of the concrete contexts of
subjects, creates a solipsistic quagmire. The political sympathies of the new cultural critics, with their ostensible concern for the lack of power
Connell 90 (R. W. Connell 90, The State, Gender, and Sexual Politics:
Theory and Appraisal, Theory and Society, Vol. 19, No. 5, (Oct., 1990), pp.
507-544, http://www.jstor.org/stable/657562)
AppraisalsIs the state patriarchal? Yes, beyond any argument, on the evidence dis-
cussed above. It is not "essentially patriarchal " or "male"; even if one could speak
though reforms introduced under its aegis are vulnerable in periods of reaction.
Though the state is patriarchal, progressive gender politics cannot
avoid it . The character of the state as the central institutionalization
of power , and its historical trajectory in the regulation and
constitution of gender relations, make it unavoidably a major arena
for challenges to patriarchy . Here liberal feminism is on strong
ground . Becoming engaged in practical struggles for a share of state
power requires tactical judgments about what developments within
the state provide opportunities. In the 1980s certain strategies of reform
have had a higher relative pay-off than they did before. In Australia, for instance,
the creation of a network of "women's services" was a feature of the 1970s, and the momentum of this kind of action has died away. Reforms
that have few budgetary implications but fit in with other state strategies, such as modernizing the bureaucracy, become more promi- nent.
Even if the law isnt perfect, sexual activists have been able to
strategically use traditional political areas in queer ways to
challenge heteronormativity.
Lind 10 (Amy Lind 10, Mary Ellen Heintz Endowed Chair and Professor of
Womens, Gender, and Sexuality Studies at the University of Cincinatti,
Development, Sexual Rights and Global Governance, p 17-18)
In Chapter 8, Sangeeta Budhiraja, Susana T. Fried and Alexandra Teixeira address tensions among
activists around the
identity-based organizing and sexual rights advocacy. On one hand,
world have addressed "lesbian and gay," and later, "lesbian, gay and bisexual (LGB)," then
"lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT)" or "lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and questioning
the "alphabet soup" approach, as a way to make
and or queer" (LGBTQ)" rights,
sexual and gender minorities visible in national and international
political and development arenas. Yet, more recently, scholars and activists
have turned toward a sexual rights framework as a way to
overcome essentialisms in positing individuals as singular identities
that are often homogenized and universalized in development
discourse and practice. Drawing upon their former advocacy work at
the International Gay and Lesbian Human Rights Commission, the
authors demonstrate the difficulties of naming and finding a
common ground on a global level as well as the useful- ness of utilizing a broad-based
sexual rights framework for thinking about sexual identity, gender identity, human rights, and
They argue that a sexual rights framework allows for
development.
greater cross-movement organizing, gives deference to local
activists' preferred ways of thinking of and expressing any gender
which falls outside of social and cultural norms, and encourages
modes of organizing that do not reify gender and sexual binaries.
Yet activists must necessarily use, perhaps strategically, normative
categories of gender and sexuality in order to achieve their concrete
goals for legal and policy reform, a dilemma that they highlight through- out their
chapter. In Chapter 9, Petra Doan discusses how increasing the visibility of gender-
variant individuals in the Middle East, a region often characterized
in development dis- course in orientalist terms as patriarchal and
oppressive to women, might actually "queer" the development
process and stimulate change on a broader scale. For Doan,
genderqueerness does not begin or end in the West; rather, it has always
been part of Middle Eastern societies, but it has been through powerful modern dis-
courses such as that of development which have problematized
antagonism, and interest," (p. 86) involving questions of how to constitute and support individuals as citizens with
interests and actions that count as alternative visions of the public. Thomas contrasts this political model of justice with a moral justice aimed
at discovering principles of fairness or institutional processes based in rational consensus and on personal feelings of respect and dignity.
Rather than evaluating the moral costs and benefits of a particular policy by analyzing its impact in terms of harm or pleasure, Thomas
suggests that a political vision of justice would focus on analyzing how policies produce and enhance the collective power of particular
"publics" and "counterpublics" (pp. 915). From this political perspective of justice,
neoliberal economic ideology is distinctly moral, even though it appears to be anti-moralist
and to reduce moral principles to competition between self-interested power. Free-market economics rejects
a political vision of justice, in this sense, in part because of its expressed anti-
statism: it turns contested normative questions of public power into
objective rational calculations of private individual sensibilities.
Queer theory's similar tendency to romanticize power as the pursuit of
individualistic pleasure free from public control risks disengaging
from and disdaining the collective efforts to build and advance
normative visions of the state that arguably define effective
politics. Brown and Halley (2002), for instance, cite the Montgomery bus boycott as a
classic example of the left's problematic march into legalistic and moralistic
identity politics. In contrast, Thomas (2002) analyzes the Montgomery bus boycott as a positive example of a political effort
to constitute a black civic public, even though the boycott campaign relied on moral language to advance its cause, because it also
community well-being). The right, on the other hand, has it both ways, asserting
its moralism as inherent private authority transcending human
subjectivity (as efficient market forces, the sacred family, or divine
will) and defending its cultivation of self-interested power as the
ideally virtuous state and market (bringing freedom, democracy, equality to the world
by exercising economic and military authoritarianism). From Egalitarian Politics to Renewed
Conservative Identity Queer theory's anti-statism and anti-moralism risks not
only reinforcing right-wing ideology, but also infusing that ideology
with energy from renewed identity politics . Susan Fraiman (2003) analyzes how queer
theory (along with other prominent developments in left academics and culture) tends to construct left
resistance as a radical individualism modeled on the male "teen
rebel, defined above all by his strenuous alienation from the maternal" (p. xii). Fraiman observes that this left vision
relies on "a posture of flamboyant unconventionality [that] coexists with
highly conventional views of gender [and] is , indeed, articulated through
them " (p. xiii). Fraiman links recent left contempt for feminism to a
romantic vision of "coolness ... epitomized by the modem adolescent boy in his anxious, self-
conscious and theatricalized will to separate from the mother" who is by
the "cool' dovetails smoothly with the identity politics of the right .
Right-wing politics and culture similarly condemn progressive and
feminist policies with the term "nanny state" (McCluskey, 2000; 2005a). The "nanny state"
epithet enlists femaleness or femininity as shorthand to make some government authority feel bad to those comfortable
with or excited by a masculinist moral order, it adds to this sentimental power by coding the maternal authority to be resisted as a "nanny"
(rather than simply a "mommy"), enlisting identities of class, ageand perhaps race and nationalityto enhance uncritical suspicions of
long helped to do this work, albeit in complex and sometimes contradictory ways. Power appears weak,
deceptive, illegitimate, manipulative, controlling, undisciplined, oppressive, exceptional, or naive if it is feminized; but strong, self-satisfying,
Conventional
public-serving, protective, orderly, rational, and a normal exercise of individual freedom if it is masculinized.
first raised by earlier feminists, but that it is not so decidedly different from what has come before. Third-wave feminism's
emphasis on personal pleasure, the fluidity of gender roles, the internet and coalition-building contribute to the feminist conversation, but third-wave
feminists have not yet altered the terms and conditions of that
conversation . It remains for lawyers and legal theorists to take up the
challenge from this generation of young women to develop laws
that enhance womens autonomy and well-being.
feminism served to
neoliberalism flourished from the 1970s onwards has led some to argue, notably Nancy Fraser, that
mounted by feminists such as Elizabeth Wilson when state capitalism was at the
height of its powers suited neoliberal capitalists seeking
deregulation and a reduced role for the state. Frasers analysis does not explain the current
resurgence of feminism at a time when the shine of neoliberalism has faded. It is not so much that feminism legitimised neoliberalism, but that
neoliberal values created a space for a bright, brassy and ultimately fake feminism - the I really, really want girl-power ushered in by the
Spice Girls. This transitional period between second wave and the current wave of feminism (which some commentators characterised as post-
feminist) represented the archetypal appropriation of the feminist agenda, shorn of its political context, by neoliberalism. Incidentally, many of
us rejected the label post-feminist because it felt like an attempt to chuck feminism into the dustbin of history and to deny the continuing need
for it. In hindsight, there was something different going on in that lull between the two waves in the 70s and 80s and today; the voice of
liberal capitalism
on Feminism in a forthcoming book, Oxford Handbook of Political Ideologies, Clare Chambers argues that
continued disciplinary exclusion . Second, to move toward alternative conceptions of security and security studies,
one must necessarily reopen the question subsumed under the modern conception of sovereignty and the scope of the political. To do this,
one must take seriously the prevailing claims about the nature of security. Many of the chapters in this volume thus retain a concern with the
states also
centrality of the state as a locus not only of obligation but of effective political action. In the realm of organized violence
remain the preeminent actors. The task of a critical approach is not to deny
the centrality of the state in this realm but, rather, to understand more fully
its structures, dynamics, and possibilities for reorientation. From a critical
perspective, state action is flexible and capable of reorientation, and
analyzing state policy need not therefore be tantamount to embracing the
statist assumptions of orthodox conceptions. To exclude a focus on state
action from a critical perspective on the grounds that it plays inevitably
within the rules of existing conceptions simply reverses the error of
essentializing the state. Moreover, it loses the possibility of influencing what
remains the most structurally capable actor in contemporary world politics.
1ar passavant
the states institutions are among the few with the capacity to
respond to the exigency of human needs identified by political
theorists . These actions will necessarily be finite and less than
wholly adequate, but responsibility may lie on the side of
acknowledging these limitations and seeking to redress what is
lacking in state action rather than calling for pure potentiality and
an end to the state. We may conclude that claims to justice or
democracy based on the wish to rid ourselves of the state once and
for 170 Political Theory Downloaded from ptx.sagepub.com at UNIV OF MICHIGAN on July 4, 2013 all
are like George W. Bush claiming to be an environmentalist because he
has proposed converting all of our cars so that they will run on
hydrogen.51 Meanwhile, in the here and now, there are urgent claims
that demand finite acts that by definition will be both divisive and
less than what a situation demands.52 In the end, the state remains.
Let us defend this state of due process and equal protection against
its ruinous other.
Reps Defense
2ac apoc
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy
bears to a memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for
those age-old forms of community and real human compassion that
emerge in a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some
ways so alien to the world we currently live in that it requires
catastrophe to call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of
unadulterated goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions
represent the truly authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one
chase after in contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is
degree or another,
groups in mind. They want a world where preemptive strategies are used
to anticipate the real threats posed by global climate change and
global inequality, rather than to invent fears of ethnic others and
justify unnecessary wars . They want a world where people can come
together not simply as a market, but as a public , to exert real
agency over the policies made in the name of their safety and security. And, when
disaster does strike, they want a world where the goodwill and
compassion shown by their neighbors, by strangers in their communities, and even
by distant spectators and consumers, will be matched by their own
government . Though this vision of the world is utopian, it is not
unreasonable , and if contemporary American culture is ever to give us more than just an illusion of safety, or
empathy, or authenticity, then it is this vision that we must advocate on a daily
basis, not only when disaster strikes.
2ac trade
Griswold 9 (Daniel, director of the Cato Institutes Center for Trade Policy
Studies, Mad About Trade: Why Main Street America should Embrace
Globalization, pgs. 3-10, http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/mad-about-trade-
why-main-street-america-should-embrace-globalization) //GY
One reason why skepticism remains is the difference between what
is seen and what is unseen. The transition costs of moving to free
trade are visible and lend themselves to images and anecdotes: a
factory closing in North Carolina, the anxiety on the face of a laid-off steel worker, the sweatshop
Yet the benefits
conditions in factories making shirts in Honduras and soccer balls in Bangladesh.
that flow from free trade and globalization, while real and
substantial, are diffused and often hidden from view: a dozen jobs created at
a small business serving an American exporter or foreign-owned plant, lower interest rates on a loan, and
related
$20 saved on a Saturday-afternoon shopping trip because of import competition. Another,
reason for the skepticism is the emotional appeal of arguments
against trade. In a November 2007 essay, Why Lou Dobbs Is Winning, the generally pro-trade
Third Way Foundation tried to explain why the skeptics have been winning the rhetorical debate.
Advocates for open trade have lost the debate on values, the
authors concluded. While neopopulists and fair traders speak
compellingly of justice and fairness, we speak of dollars per
household in economic gains, job growth and economic efficiency.
Fair traders fight with values; free traders fight with data.[9] That is
not quite right. Fair traders also fight with data, much of it wrong or
misleading, as we shall see. But it is certainly true that those of us who advocate the
embrace of free trade and globalization as the best policy for America too often confine ourselves to data.
We fail to close the deal by drawing a connection from the facts to
our deepest American values of fairness, compassion, competition,
freedom, progress, peace, and the rule of law. The mission of this
book is to make that connection. As we build that connection, this book will challenge
much of what we hear and read about trade in the American media. Here are some facts and themes from
Free
Mad about Trade that you will not hear on cable TV, talk radio or the most popular blog sites:
trade is the working familys best friend. Import competition delivers
lower prices and more variety, empowering consumers to get the
most from their paychecks. Greater product variety from imports boosts our incomes
by $400 billion a year. Those Americans who benefit the most from being able to buy imports from China
Trade has delivered better jobs for
through big-box retailers are the poor (Chapter 2).
American workers. Most of the net new jobs created in the past
decade pay more than the average manufacturing job. The American
middle class today is built on millions of well-paying service-sector
jobs. Despite the most recent recession, Americans today enjoy significantly higher real hourly
compensation, household incomes and family net worth than 15 years go (Chapter 3). Most
American manufacturers have managed to thrive in a global
economy. Trade has helped American factories move up the value
chain. Were producing more planes, pills, appliances, chemicals, semiconductors and sophisticated
equipment than in decades past. The volume of U.S. manufacturing output was two-thirds higher in 2008
than when Congress passed the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1993 (Chapter 4).
Americas big trade deficit is not a scorecard for U.S. trade policy. If
reflects a steady inflow of foreign investment and continued
domestic demand for goods and services, whether made at home or
abroad. Since 1982, Americas unemployment rate invariably rises when the trade deficit shrinks, and
falls when the trade deficit grows. Despite what Warren Buffett says, raising trade barriers cannot fix the
American companies that invest abroad are not
trade deficit (Chapter 5).
shipping jobs overseas; they are reaching new customers for U.S.-
branded goods and services. For every $1 billion in goods that U.S. companies export, they
sell $6.2 billion through their foreign affiliatesand 90 percent of those sales go to foreign buyers.
Foreign capital flowing into the United States cuts almost a full point
off long-term interest rates, saving a typical homeowner $1,000 a
year and federal taxpayers $40 billion (Chapter 6). High U.S. trade
barriers in the 19th century were a drag on growth and bred anti-
competitive domestic monopolies. The Great Depression occurred on
the protectionists watch. Americas economic performance has been superior during the
era of lower tariffs since World War II, including the past 15 years since NAFTA was enacted. Nearly a
quarter of a million small and medium-sized U.S. companies are now
exporting to global markets, including China (Chapter 7). Membership in the
World Trade Organization has not compromised U.S. sovereignty. It
has served our national interest by opening markets abroad to U.S.
exports and restraining the U.S. governments abuses of our
economic liberty. A global rule of law in place today has prevented a repeat of the disastrous
trade wars of the 1930s (Chapter 7). The spread of trade and globalization has
helped to cut world poverty in half since 1981. Fewer children are dying, fewer
are heading for work on the farm and in factories, and more are in school, especially girls, than in decades
past. Once the world shakes off the current recession, a growing middle class in developing countries will
be hungry to buy U.S.-provided goods and services (Chapter 8). Thanks in part to expanding trade, our
world is more democratized and peaceful. More people enjoy full
political and civil rights under democratic governments around the
world than in any previous era. Trade has promoted peace among
nations, making it less likely that Americas sons and daughters will fight in future wars (Chapter 8).
2ac nuclear
but when individuals band together in groups, their power to bring about
change increases. Individual power is magnified even more when
groups join together in coalitions and networks to bring about change. Large numbers
of individuals banded together to bring about the fall of the Berlin Wall, the breakup of the Soviet Union and the end of apartheid in South Africa. The basic
to believe that nothing can be done to change the situation. This may be viewed as concern fatigue. We should
remember, though, that any goal worth achieving is worth striving for with hope in our hearts. A good policy for facing real-
moribund but all-embracing body politic springs into being. The end is indefinitely
postponed and the disease becomes a metaphor for the process of living.
finality of mortality clashes with the duration of morbidity. Pestilence
The
unlike
is poised on the cusp between divine punishment and manmade disaster. On the one hand,
nuclear war or ecological catastrophe, pandemic has a venerable
historical pedigree that leads back from current bestsellers such as Pierre Quellette's The Third
Pandemic (1996) to the medieval horrors of the Black Death and indeed to the Book of Revelation itself. On
the other hand, disease is one of the central tropes of biopolitics, shaping much of the twentieth-century
discourse of power, domination, and the body.
2ac terrorism reps
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy
bears to a memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for
those age-old forms of community and real human compassion that
emerge in a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some
ways so alien to the world we currently live in that it requires
catastrophe to call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of
unadulterated goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions
represent the truly authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one
chase after in contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is
degree or another,
Anxiety good
present, how can hope and fear be oriented together? Utopian-affect does not efface fear, but
instead, inflects fear differently than hitherto. Restructuring or depathologizing fear-affects involves work on the
sensory organization of all the different kinds of matter that affect agential capacity: affect circulates through various encounters of worldly
matter and stuff through which subject finds itself manifest within. One way of restructuring fear-affect, then, is by intervening in the feedback
loops through which fear is stabilized. This might involve turning the technologies that are central to the production of fear against
themselves: when protesters use surveillance technologies against police, for instance, the feedback loops that those technologies sustain are
Fear need
interrupted, and the hegemonies they secure are disrupted, rendered capricious, variable, and open to intervention.
out of matter that is available in the present, out of the same crises, but with different
trajectories: it is from the matter of this world that the future is made. Utopian-affect , then, is made out of
both hope and fear , and while fear might be restructured, it cannot
be effaced, for the fear of utopian-affect also inheres in the
encounter with the world itself, in the struggle, and in the
uncertainty of the emergent. As Duggan puts it, 'there is fear attached to hope
-- hope understood as a risky reaching out for something else that
will fail,' (Duggan and Muoz, 2009: 279). Fear and anxiety, rather than opposing
utopian hope, are vital, necessary to its critical agency, as that
agency works through immanent historical processes that remain
open and undetermined .
scenario. Anxiety is thinking about what you do not want to have happen . Think about it! Let's
float back in time for a moment to One Gazillion B.C. You are hanging out with your hunter gatherer buddies and it's summer time...There's plenty to eat and it's warm. All
of a sudden you have an anxious thought. You think of something unpleasant about the future. You suddenly think of the coming... winter! You imagine digging through
snow drifts scavenging for whatever scraps of food you can find. You imagine starving. You imagine your children, hungry, cold, sick. That's anxiety. Thinking about what
you do not want to have happen. What it's supposed to do is trigger a resourceful response . In this
case, you come up with a brilliant idea. In order to avoid starvation in the coming winter you start drying food and storing it in underground containers. Thinking about the
cold, you come up with the idea that you can make warm clothing. Come Fall you gladly trade that little summer loin cloth in for a nice woolly mammoth coat. Thus the
Your ability to think ahead and visualize bad
first root cellar is born and the fur coat is invented, because of anxiety.
things happening enables you to plan ahead and take decisive action to
create a different outcome. This planning for the winter results in your family and tribe surviving!
Your children and their children pass along this anxiety gene. The "lug-heads"
who don't have this ability perish. Survival is good , isn't it? So those who were able
to foresee the future and imagine the worst were able to better plan and as a
result create a better future. Now. Fast forward to today. I would be willing to bet that you've been using this wonderful
imagination of yours to imagine the worst. The added factor here is that your unconscious mind does not know the difference between what is real and what is imagined,
The
so when you imagine the worst, your body reacts as if that bad thing is really happening. That releases all sorts of stress hormones and chemicals in your body.
Toss aside anxiety and you will lose excitement, motivation, vigilance. Alice
was 42, and her life had been crippled by a series of mysterious ailments: nausea, vertigo, cramps,
spasms, fainting spells, fleeting paralyses. For years at a time she was a nervous invalid, staggering, as
she put it, under a monstrous mass of subjective sensations. After more than two decades of this vague
but unremitting suffering, the solidity of the lump in her breast and the finality of her prognosis filled Alice
with enormous relief. No one would choose, she wrote, such an ugly and gruesome method of
progression down the dark Valley of the Shadow of Death but we shall gird up our loins and the blessed
peace of the end will have no shadow cast upon it. The blessed peace of the end. For nearly 20 years now
anxiety has been a powerful, often determining force in my own life, and the longer I live with the
experience, the more this sadly exultant phrase strikes me as emblematic of one of the great dangers of
the anxious life. I dont mean the danger of wishing oneself dead, although at anxietys heights suicide
can, indeed, have a terrible appeal. I mean the more subtle and insidious danger of wishing anxiety dead. I
mean the hunger, which invariably comes over the anxiety sufferer, for a definitive conclusion to the
sensation: a bright line, a capping off, a total defusing of the anxious charge. I mean the desperate allure
of the endpoint. In a way, the desire to be rid of anxiety is neither unique nor difficult
to understand. Like any other affliction, psychiatric or strictly physical, anxiety hurts. It is
uncomfortable. If you suffer from emphysema, you will wish to be able to breathe unimpeded. If you suffer
from eczema, you will wish for clear skin. And if you suffer from anxiety, you will wish for a mind that does
not spin every slightest situation into catastrophe a mind that approaches everyday life with poise,
reason and equanimity. Why wouldnt you want such a thing? Why shouldnt a persons ideal be the very
absence or opposite of that which torments him? Its only natural. With anxiety, however, there are two
The first is that anxiety is not the kind of affliction that can
glitches to this desire.
be eradicated. This is because anxiety is not merely or essentially psychiatric.
Even when it swells to the level of a disorder, it remains first and foremost an
emotion, universally felt and necessary for survival , not to mention for a
full experience of human life. Toss aside the bath water of anxiety and you will
also be tossing aside excitement, motivation, vigilance, ambition, exuberance
and inspiration, to name just several of the inevitable sacrifices. Get rid of
anxiety? Even if you could and you cant why would you want to? The
second glitch is more complex and has to do with the nature of anxiety itself,
which for all its attendant discomforts and daily horrors has at its heart a vital
truth, even a transcendent wisdom. This truth which, confusingly enough, doubles as
the source of anxietys pain is of the essential uncertainty and perilousness of human life. Its
fragility and evanescence. Anxiety emphasizes these aspects of existence
with an almost evangelical fervor. It hisses them, hour by hour, minute by
minute, into the sufferers ear. Anything can happen at any time, anxiety
says. There is no sure thing. Everything you hold dear is at risk, everything
is vulnerable. It can all slip through your fingers . And of course this is right. It
is undeniably right, as every practical philosophy from Buddhism to
existentialism acknowledges. That is why anxiety continues for many to carry a frisson of
superiority. Last year I published a book about my difficulties with acute anxiety, and it is the rare public
appearance in which someone does not ask me, Do you think there is a relationship between anxiety and
intelligence? I always answer, jokingly, I think there is a relationship between anxiety and genius! In
fact, I do not think there is a relationship between anxiety and intelligence. Anxiety, like the most effective
parasite, is indiscriminate in its choice of host. It plagues the ignorant and dimwitted as well as the brilliant
and clever. But its message, of contingency, of risk, of skepticism, of flux: that is never dumb. Anxietys
message can never be waved away. And yet that waving away is precisely what the anxiety sufferer
is always trying to do to anxietys message. Tortured as he is by the truth of uncertainty, he develops an
adversarial relationship to that truth. He loathes it. He fights it. He refuses it. He wants it dead, silent,
there is no surer way to
gone. He wants it to end. This is where the danger creeps in, for
compound anxietys power than to reject it outright to yearn, as Alice James did,
for something concrete to counter anxietys relentless ambiguity. Ive gone this way. Ive gone this way for
years at a time, hoping beyond reason for some panacea the right job, the right partner, the right city,
can
the right therapist, the right home, the right friend to snap my constitution into stable order. And I
tell you that the search is worse than useless. Like the ropes that tighten
around your wrists the more you struggle, the discomfort and confusion of
anxiety deepen the more you try to elude them. The harder you fight, the
farther you fall. Not even modern pharmacology, in my experience, has the power to arrest this
pattern. Ive taken the drugs and still take them. They are useful. They have shaved the peaks off my
anxiety or, to flip the metaphor, they have served as a net in anxietys well, protecting me from
plummeting into the full depths. They have turned crippling anxiety into chronic anxiety. Beyond that, they
have effected no miracles. Through a decade of dutiful pill-swallowing, my anxiety has survived and
sometimes flourished, tailing me through periods of good fortune and bad, weighting my life, complicating
and even damaging the relationships with the people I love, and most profoundly, my relationship with life
itself. By now I have met and corresponded with hundreds of people who struggle with anxiety enough
to conclude that my own experience, while maybe not the rule, is certainly representative. Enough to
know, also, the terrible despair that accompanies the condition. Tortured by an uncertainty that
manufactures its own nourishing desperation, what is the anxiety sufferer to do? Is there any way out? Or
is the sufferer fated, like Alice James, to find relief only in the blessed peace of the end? I have also lived
The value and necessity of
with anxiety long enough to conclude that James had a point.
anxiety mean that it will persist until the last breath . It is impossible to
extinguish , no matter the level at which it affects you. If you are one of
those unlucky souls whom anxiety affects profoundly, however, you might just be able to find relief, and
even redemption, in this very impossibility. For what is the message that everything is fluid but its own
solid fact? What is the relentlessness of uncertainty but something about which you can always be certain?
And what other choice do you have? The wisdom is already ringing in your ears. You might as well listen.
You might as well submit. It wont get you out, but it will without a doubt get you through.
2ac biopower
No impact
No endless warfare
Gray 7 [Colin, Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Professor of
International Relations and Strategic Studies at the University of Reading,
graduate of the Universities of Manchester and Oxford, Founder and Senior
Associate to the National Institute for Public Policy, formerly with the
International Institute for Strategic Studies and the Hudson Institute, July
2007, The Implications of Preemptive and Preventive War Doctrines: A
Reconsideration, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/ssi10561/ssi10561.pdf]
7. A policy that favors preventive warfare expresses a futile quest for absolute security. It could do so. Most
In the hands of a paranoid or
controversial policies contain within them the possibility of misuse.
boundlessly ambitious political leader, prevention could be a policy for endless
warfare. However, the American political system, with its checks and
balances, was designed explicitly for the purpose of constraining the
executive from excessive folly. Both the Vietnam and the contemporary Iraqi
experiences reveal clearly that although the conduct of war is an executive prerogative,
in practice that authority is disciplined by public attitudes. Clausewitz made this point superbly
with his designation of the passion, the sentiments, of the people as a vital component of his trinitarian
theory of war. 51 It is true to claim that power can be, and indeed is often, abused, both personally and
nationally. It is possible that a state could acquire a taste for the apparent swift decisiveness of preventive
warfare and overuse the option. One might argue that the easy success achieved against Taliban
Afghanistan in 2001, provided fuel for the urge to seek a similarly rapid success against Saddam Husseins
Iraq. In other words, the delights of military success can be habit forming. On balance, claim seven is not
persuasive, though it certainly contains a germ of truth. A country with unmatched wealth and power,
unused to physical insecurity at homenotwithstanding 42 years of nuclear danger, and a high level of
we ought
gun crimeis vulnerable to demands for policies that supposedly can restore security. But
not to endorse the argument that the United States should eschew the preventive
war option because it could lead to a futile, endless search for absolute
security. One might as well argue that the United States should adopt a defense policy and
develop capabilities shaped strictly for homeland security approached in a narrowly geographical
Since a president might misuse a military instrument that had a global
sense.
reach, why not deny the White House even the possibility of such misuse? In
other words, constrain policy ends by limiting policys military means. This
argument has circulated for many decades and, it must be admitted, it does have a certain elementary
the claim that a policy which includes
logic. It is the opinion of this enquiry, however, that
the preventive option might lead to a search for total security is not at all
convincing. Of course, folly in high places is always possible, which is one of the many reasons why
popular democracy is the superior form of government. It would be absurd to permit the fear
of a futile and dangerous quest for absolute security to preclude prevention
as a policy option. Despite its absurdity, this rhetorical charge against
prevention is a stock favorite among preventions critics. It should be
recognized and dismissed for what it is, a debating point with little pragmatic
merit. And strategy, though not always policy, must be nothing if not pragmatic.
1ar endless war
Democracy checks
OKane 97 Prof Comparative Political Theory, U Keele (Rosemary, Modernity, the Holocaust and politics, Economy and Society
26:1, p 58-9)
Modern bureaucracy is not 'intrinsically capable of genocidal action' (Bauman 1989: 106). Centralized state
coercion has no natural move to terror. In the explanation of modern genocides it is chosen policies which play the greatest part, whether in
effecting bureaucratic secrecy, organizing forced labour, implementing a system of terror, harnessing science and technology or introducing
Nazi Germany and Stalin's USSR have shown, furthermore, those chosen
extermination policies, as means and as ends. As
another Holocaust in modern society. Modern societies have not only pluralist democratic political
systems but also economic pluralism where workers are free to change jobs and bargain wages and where independent firms, each with
their own independent bureaucracies, exist in competition with state-controlled enterprises. In modern societies this economic pluralism both
promotes and is served by the open scientific method. By ignoring competition and the capacity for people to move between organizations
whether economic, political, scientific or social, Bauman overlooks crucial but also very 'ordinary and common' attributes of truly modern
societies. It is these very ordinary and common attributes of modernity which stand in the way of modern genocides.
The war on Iraq can be seen to demonstrate the willingness of the British government to engage in illiberal acts to defend
securitization
the liberal values of the "international community," but it is important to note that the process of
does not automatically dictate such spectacular responses. As argued above, the
process of securitization is gradual and incremental, and an issue can move
along a continuum of risk/fear without ever reaching the stage of "existential
threat" where it merits "emergency action" (as with Iraq ). Instead, most security
politics is concerned with the more mundane everyday management and
containment of risk, and the securitization of Africa is thus entirely
compatible with the feeble response to the brutal and prolonged conflict in the DRC or the Sudan. Rather
than spectacular emergency politics or military action, securitization is more
likely to give rise to policies of containment or policing.
Representations do not cause policies , such as intervention, nor do they explain choices,
such as whether to intervene at one time rather than another. This example underscores the point that
structures of knowledgeestablish preconditions and parameters for the possibility of
action, rather than explaining why certain choices are made. For example, it helps a researcher
understand the range of options imaginable to President John F. Kennedy during the
Cuban Missile Crisis, but it does not explain why he made specific decisions
(Weldes 1999). To examine individual decision making, one would need to employ other methods.
No risk of lash-out institutional safeguards check
acting and in particular the greater the moral risk, the higher are
the epistemic requirements for justified action. The decision to go to
war is generally a high stakes decision par excellence and the moral risks are especially great, for two reasons. First, unless
one is justified in going to war, one's deliberate killing of enemy combatants will he murder, indeed mass murder. Secondly, at least in large-scale modem war, it is a
virtual certainty that one will kill innocent people even if one is justified in going to war and conducts the war in such a way as to try to minimize harm to innocents. Given
these grave moral risks of going to war, quite apart from often substantial prudential concerns, some types of justifications for going to war may simply be too subject to
abuse and error to make it justifiable to invoke them. The 'irresponsible act' objection is not a consequentialist objection in any interesting sense. It does not depend upon
the assumption that every particular act of going to war preventively has unacceptably bad consequences (whether in itself or by virtue of contributing lo the general
acceptance of a principle allowing preventive war); nor does it assume that it is always wrong lo rely on a justification which, if generally accepted, would produce
unacceptable consequences. Instead, the "irresponsible act' objection is more accurately described as an agent-centered argument and more particularly an argument
from moral epistemic responsibility. The 'irresponsible act' objection to preventive war is
highly plausible if but only ifone assumes that the agents who
would invoke the preventive-war justification are, as it were, on
their own in making the decision to go to war preventively. In other words, the objection is incomplete unless the context of decision-making is further
specified. Whether the special risks of relying on the preventive-war justification are unacceptably high will depend, inter alia, upon whether the
epistemic performance of agents, it is critical to know what the institutional context of the preventive-war decision is,
before we can regard the 'irresponsible agent' objection as conclusive. Like the 'bad practice' argument, this second objection to preventive war is inconclusive because it
Their indicts are logically incoherentwe can use the masters tools
to dismantle the masters housemake them provide specific indicts
against our radical vision of liberalism
No impact
The alt lacks a mechanism for resolving global violence -- the impact
is global war
Moore 4 [Dir. Center for Security Law @ University of Virginia, 7-time
Presidential appointee, & Honorary Editor of the American Journal of
International Law, Solving the War Puzzle: Beyond the Democratic Peace, John
Norton Moore, pages 41-2]
If major interstate war is predominantly a product of a synergy between a potential nondemocratic aggressor and an
what is the role of the many traditional "causes" of
absence of effective deterrence,
war? Past, and many contemporary, theories of war have focused on the role of
specific disputes between nations, ethnic and religious differences, arms races, poverty or social injustice,
competition for resources, incidents and accidents, greed, fear, and perceptions of "honor," or many other such
factors. Such factors may well play a role in motivating aggression or in serving as a means for generating fear and
while some of these may have more
manipulating public opinion. The reality, however, is that
potential to contribute to war than others, there may well be an infinite set
of motivating factors, or human wants, motivating aggression. It is not
the independent existence of such motivating factors for war but rather the
circumstances permitting or encouraging high risk decisions leading
to war that is the key to more effectively controlling war. And the
same may also be true of democide. The early focus in the Rwanda slaughter on "ethnic
conflict," as though Hutus and Tutsis had begun to slaughter each other through spontaneous combustion, distracted our
attention from the reality that a nondemocratic Hutu regime had carefully planned and orchestrated a genocide against
Certainly if we were able to press a
Rwandan Tutsis as well as its Hutu opponents.I1
button and end poverty, racism, religious intolerance, injustice, and
endless disputes, we would want to do so. Indeed, democratic
governments must remain committed to policies that will produce a
better world by all measures of human progress . The broader
achievement of democracy and the rule of law will itself assist in this
progress. No one, however, has yet been able to demonstrate the kind
of robust correlation with any of these "traditional" causes of war as
is reflected in the "democratic peace." Further, given the difficulties in
overcoming many of these social problems , an approach to
war exclusively dependent on their solution may be to doom us to
war for generations to come.
VTL is inevitable
worth living , they believe they do . And even if some may believe that
their lives, up to now, have not been worth living, their future lives
will be better . They may be mistaken about this. They may hold false expectations about the future. From the point of view of
evolutionary biology, it is natural to assume that people should rarely commit suicide. If we set old age to one side, it has poor survival value
(of ones genes) to kill oneself. So it should be expected that it is difficult for ordinary people to kill themselves. But then theories about
cognitive dissonance, known from psychology, should warn us that we may come to believe that we live better lives than we do. My
strong belief is that most of us live lives worth living. However, I do believe that our
lives are close to the point where they stop being worth living. But then it is at least not very far-fetched to think that they may be worth not
that our lives are not worth living, and let us accept that, if this is
so, we should all kill ourselves. As I noted above, this does not answer the
question what we should do, each one of us . My conjecture is that we should not
commit suicide. The explanation is simple. If I kill myself, many people will suffer.
Here is a rough explanation of how this will happen: ... suicide survivors confront a complex array of feelings. Various forms of guilt are
quite common, such as that arising from (a) the belief that one contributed to the suicidal person's anguish, or (b) the failure to recognize that
awareness of vulnerability in those left behind. Indeed, the sense that suicide is an
essentially selfish act dominates many popular perceptions of suicide. The fact that all our lives lack
meaning , if they do, does not mean that others will follow my
example. They will go on with their lives and their false expectations at least for a while devastated because of my suicide. But
then I have an obligation, for their sake, to go on with my life. It is highly likely that, by committing suicide, I create more suffering (in their
lives) than I avoid (in my life).
Authors
baudrillard
Vote aff if they win solves the whole kritik better for two reasons:
2. If we should withdraw from debate, voting for the team who loses
guarantees community destruction
Perm do both the aff may not be the end all be all, but rolling
back the surveillance state through reform is also worth fighting for
Giroux 14 [Henry A., Global TV Network Chair Professor at McMaster
University in the English and Cultural Studies Department and a
Distinguished Visiting Professor at Ryerson University, Totalitarian Paranoia
in the Post-Orwellian Surveillance State, Truthout, 10 February 2014,
http://www.truth-out.org/opinion/item/21656-totalitarian-paranoia-in-the-post-
orwellian-surveillance-state]
If the first task of resistance is to make dominant power clear by addressing critically and meaningfully the abuses
perpetrated by the corporate surveillance state and how such transgressions affect the daily lives of people in different
ways, the second step is to move from understanding and critique to the hard work of building popular movements that
The left has been fragmented
integrate rather than get stuck and fixated in single-issue politics.
for too long, and the time has come to build national and international movements capable of dismantling the
political, economic and cultural architecture put in place by the new authoritarianism and its post-Orwellian surveillance
The kritik must prove that the whole plan text is bad
weighing the aff is vital to fair and educational
engagement isolated negation doesnt invalidate the
plan the ballot should simulate its enactment solves
infinite regression.
Perm do both
Perm create a space to resist sovereignty writ large and
choose not to resist the plan
the states institutions are among the few with the capacity to
respond to the exigency of human needs identified by political
theorists . These actions will necessarily be finite and less than
wholly adequate, but responsibility may lie on the side of
acknowledging these limitations and seeking to redress what is
lacking in state action rather than calling for pure potentiality and
an end to the state. We may conclude that claims to justice or
democracy based on the wish to rid ourselves of the state once and
for 170 Political Theory Downloaded from ptx.sagepub.com at UNIV OF MICHIGAN on July 4, 2013 all
are like George W. Bush claiming to be an environmentalist because he
has proposed converting all of our cars so that they will run on
hydrogen.51 Meanwhile, in the here and now, there are urgent claims
that demand finite acts that by definition will be both divisive and
less than what a situation demands.52 In the end, the state remains.
Let us defend this state of due process and equal protection against
its ruinous other.
No impact
Short 5 [Jonathan, Ph.D. candidate in the Graduate Programme in Social &
Political Thought, York University, Life and Law: Agamben and Foucault on
Governmentality and Sovereignty, Journal for the Arts, Sciences and
Technology, Vol. 3, No. 1]
Adding to the dangerousness of this logic of control, however, is that while there is a crisis of undecidability in the domain
despite
of life, it corresponds to a similar crisis at the level of law and the national state. It should be noted here that
the new forms of biopolitical control in operation today, Rose believes that
bio-politics has become generally less dangerous in recent times than even in the early
part of the last century. At that time, bio- politics was linked to the
project of the expanding national state in his opinion. In disciplinary-pastoral society, bio-
politics involved a process of social selection of those characteristics
thought useful to the nationalist project. Hence, according to Rose, "once each life has a
value which may be calculated, and some lives have less value than others, such a politics has the obligation to exercise
this judgement in the name of the race or the nation" (2001: 3). Disciplinary-pastoral bio- politics sets itself the task of
eliminating "differences coded as defects", and in pursuit of this goal the most horrible programs of eugenics, forced
sterilization, and outright extermination, were enacted (ibid.: 3). If Rose is more optimistic about bio-politics in 'advanced
of law, in the context of the modern liberal state, does not reflect
our everyday experience of the means through which power and
government are exercised. Similarly, the role played by expert
knowledge and discursive power relations in Foucault's conceptualisation of
modernity, such that law is fated to justify its operations by 'perpetual reference to something other than itself*
and to 'be redefined by knowledge' (Foucault, 1991: 22), does not accord with the world of
mundane practice. In their sympathetic critique of his work. Hunt and Wickham (1998) point to the way in
which Foucault's treatment of sovereignty and law must necessarily lead him
power is not bloody power over bare life for its own sake but pure power over all life
for the sake of the living. It is not power but the living , the condition of all life individual as
well as collective that is the measure of the success of bio -power.
Baudrillard
2ac F/L
Vote aff if they win solves the whole kritik better for
three reasons:
The kritik must prove that the whole plan text is bad
weighing the aff is vital to fair and educational
engagement isolated negation doesnt invalidate the
plan the ballot should simulate its enactment solves
infinite regression.
the language of physical experience is often used to describe what Deutsch would
regard as purely mental aspects of suffering: This is why we express emotional suffering
in physical terms; when we say that we are tortured by guilt, or burning with shame; or our heart aches because of
something that happened. Indeed, it would not be surprising if every form of suffering, including those which are primarily spiritual or
emotional had a physical correlate in the body itself fear is both physical and mental, for example, and depression always has a
Herbert Fingarette puts this point succinctly when he notes that: To suffer is to be compelled to
endure , undergo, and experience the humbled will, rather than to be able to impose one's will.[10] This means
that the experience of suffering is the opposite of self-assertion
and is shot through with the will's experience of impotence and
limitation. Something like this is also the starting-point for Levinas's own account of what it is to suffer. In the course of several
books and numerous articles, Emmanuel Levinas sketches the outlines of a phenomenology of suffering. Suffering is not always a central
concern of his philosophy, but it is possible to reconstruct his basic view of suffering by examining comments drawn from several different
texts. In Time and the Other, for example, Levinas announces that he will focus his remarks on the pain lightly called physical, for in it
engagement in existence is without any equivocation.[11] Once again, the point here is that physical suffering is the purest form of
suffering since it completely overwhelms the sovereignty of the self and as such it is an experience without mediation. As Steven Tudor
effaces subjectivity and all subjective attitudes . For Levinas, physical suffering
involves the irremissibility of being and the absence of all refuge; in such pain we are backed up against being with no possibility of
escape, and for this reason it provides the clearest, most unambiguous model for suffering in general. As Levinas notes,
destroy language and all other meaningful projects , so that the subject reverts to
a state anterior to language, to the sounds and cries a human being makes before language is learned.[15] In this way,
suffering is world-destroying . Indeed, to suffer greatly is to have one's world reduced to the content of
one's pain. In the passage cited above, Levinas notes a connection between suffering and death. According to Levinas, the one announces
the other: There is not only the feeling and the knowledge that suffering can end in death. Pain of itself includes it like a paroxysm, as if
there were something about to be produced even more rending than suffering, as if despite the entire absence of a dimension of
withdrawal that constitutes suffering, it still had some free space for an event, as if it must still get uneasy about something, as if we were
on the verge of an event beyond what is revealed to the end in suffering.[16] Extreme suffering involves complete passivity. In suffering
we are subject to something which does not come from ourselves and which tends to undermine all meaningful structures of subjectivity.
In this respect, suffering is the anticipation of death as the encounter with something that cannot be avoided or held at arm's length. Both
suffering and death involve the end of mastery, and with each, the contents of consciousness are destroyed. In his collection of essays, At
the Mind's Limits, Jean Amery, who was tortured by the Nazis, also seeks to articulate the strong sense of a connection between acute
physical suffering and death. Speculating on the meaning of his own experience, he comments that Pain is the most extreme
intensification imaginable of our bodily being. But maybe it is even more, that is: death. No road that can be travelled by logic leads us
to death , but perhaps the thought is permissible that through pain a path of feeling and premonition can be paved to it for us. In the end,
we would be faced with the equation: Body = Pain = Death, and in our case this could be reduced to the hypothesis that torture, through
In
which we are turned into body by the other, blots out the contradiction of death and allows us to experience it personally.[17]
extreme physical suffering, such as the torment that Amery describes, the individual
becomes purely a body, and nothing else besides that. For as long as it continues
there is no space for reflection ; and this violent reduction to physical
being is the most intense form of negation which seems to parallel the negation of death.
Elaine Scarry agrees: death and suffering are the purest expressions of the
anti-human, of annihilation, of total aversiveness , though one is
an absence and the other a felt presence, one occurring in the
cessation of sentience, the other expressing itself in grotesque
overload.[18]
continuously (and indefinitely) pursued at least for the sake of preserving the
possibility of finding that good.However, this platitude about the value that can be found in life turns out to be,
at this point, insufficient for our purposes. It seems to amount to very little more than recognizing that our subjective
stake-"l'tre en eux-mmes [est] mis en jeu" (Sur Nietzsche 61). Further, Bataille affirms that "[p]ersonne n'est-un
instant-souverain qui ne se perde" (OC VIII 429). It is the Nietzschean self-forgetfulness that is here evoked; a self-
himself (se perde) with the other, through the other, in the other, in a
process of "mutual laceration" (Essential 105) which is simultaneously tragic and ludic. The emphasis on the
other is Hegelian, but unlike dialectics, communication does not confront the subject with an object (Gegen-stand, something that stands
against the subject). As Bataille puts it (apparently echoing Baudelaire), communication takes place with "un semblable," "mon frre" (OC VIII
Bataille's notion of
289). And he adds: "Cela suppose la communication de sujet sujet" (OC VIII 288).
Communication, for Bataille, as the Dionysian for Nietzsche, involves the shattering of the principium individuationis,
a tearing down of the veil of Maya which constitutes, what Bataille calls, with a blink of the eye to
Schopenhauer, the "illusion of a being which is isolated " (Essential 10; my emphasis).
the continuity of being, "d'aussi prs qu'on peut l'endurer" [as close as one can endure] (337-338). The
sovereign subject confronts death while preserving his life. His being
is placed at the border between life and death. Hence, if Bataille defines
philosophy as "existence striving to reach its limits" (Essential 146), it should
be specified that the being of the subject is not found beyond its
limits, as his use of "existence" seems to suggest (Ek-sistenz) since that would imply a
total dissolution of the subject. Bataille's philosophy of transgression implies the
preservation of the limits of the subject so that the sovereign can
experience and endure death in life. The tension between self-
expenditure (Nietzsche's Verschwendung) and self-preservation (linked to Hegel's Anerkennung) is
analogous to the movement of a moth that is first attracted by the
fire of a candle and subsequently distances itself from the fire in
order to preserve its life.(8) This repeated back and forth movement
recapitulates the movement of communication and is responsible for
the underlying tension which traverses Bataille's philosophy. It is an
inner (bodily) drive that attracts the moth to death and not, as it is the case for Hegel's
master, a reasoned project in view of an end (recognition). The moth's self-sacrifice, in fact, is perfectly useless (it serves no purpose) and
hence is truly sovereign. Bataille would call it "une ngativit sans emploi." Or, as he says with respect to eroticism in his first and last
interview before he died, "it is purely squandering, an expenditure of energy for itself" (in Essential 220). This movement
forwards, towards the flame of self-dissolution (which takes place in death, eroticism,
laughter) and its retreat backwards, towards life and the limits it
tears, and ultimately to the ethos that sustains the totality of Bataille's philosophy . If
life; a pessimist, a Buddhist or worse, a nihilist (some of the derogatory terms used by Nietzsche to
retrospectively define his first and last master). Bataille remains truthful to life . While the ontological
premises grounding sovereignty are taken from Schopenhauer (via Nietzsche), Bataille's conclusions are diametrically opposed to Nietzsche's
will (he operates an inversion of values) through Dionysian practices (included sexuality which
Schopenhauer condemned) that put the subject in touch with the ultimate ground
our lives could accumulate value through the satisfaction of our desires
beyond the boundaries of the natural termination of life. But Chapter Four
determined that the finitude of life is a necessary condition for the value of life as
such and that many of our human values rely on the finite temporal
structure of life. I therefore argued that an indefinite life cannot present a desirable alternative to our finite life, because life
as such would not be recognized as valuable. In this chapter, I have argued that the finitude of life is
accounts for the intuition that it is rational to fear death and regard it as an evil to
be avoided . I have therefore reached three of the Epicurean conclusions pertaining to the moral worth of the nature of death: (1)
that the state of being dead is nothing to us, (2) death simpliciter is nothing to us, and (3) the finitude of life is a matter for contentment. But
it is rational to fear
grounds for any misfortunecease to exist. I accounted for the anti-Epicurean intuition 115 that
death and to regard death as an evil to be avoided, not because death simpliciter is bad, but
rather because the prospect of our deaths may be presented to us as
bad for us if our deaths would prevent the satisfaction of our
categorical desires. Though we have good reasons to rationally
regard the prospect of our own death as an evil for us, the fact that
life is finite cannot be an evil and is in fact instrumentally good,
because it takes the threat of losing life to recognize that life as
such is valuable . In this chapter, I concluded that even though death cannot be of any
moral worth for us once it occurs, we can attach two distinct values
to death while we are alive : we can attach a value of disutility (or
utility) to the prospect of our own individual deaths, and we must attach an
instrumentally good value to the fact of death as such. How to
decide on the balance of those values is a matter for psychological
judgment.
emancipation and the recognition that this potential is not going to be realized any time soon . In
the foreseeable future, we are not going to be able to go beyond
capitalism. We cannot hope for the emergence of a society in which the free
development of each individual is a condition for the free development of all .
Capitalism is a system of structurally determined inequality; its normal and necessary operations preclude genuine social democracy. This is the sobering premise of
a substantial field for political action, one in which outcomes are contingent and not determinable in advance. It is an
abnegation of political responsibility not to take advantage of these
potentialities, even if social injustices and metabolic imbalances cannot be altogether
eliminated . To carry the argument a hit further, the realization of progressive political aims depends on collective action, ultimately at national or even
international levels. Local action, vital as it may be, just is not enough. We--critical
AB: What makes you say that opt-out is "the next big thing ?" Hernandez: I think they, the
TSA and Congress, are going to realize that the money just isn't there. They have to incentivize
it in some way to get more airports to join. Something has to give, and I think the first thing will
be the liability, something that relieves the airports and security companies from
liability , essentially putting them into a government contractor's position . It has to
because there is so much data there from the pilot program that suggests they can do it
more efficiently. I think a big problem with the TSA now, but they don't want to admit it,
is they've probably doubled their human relations attorneys just dealing
with the HR issues . They didn't expect the huge problems they're having . I
think the private sector is more efficient dealing with those HR issues. AB: I recently heard
some Congressional staffers suggest that by putting an in-line screening system in place at an airport you
pretty much eliminate two screener positions and the system pays for itself within the first year. Have we
gotten to the point that this instant bureaucracy we've created is proving to be an obstacle
to getting this accomplished ? Hernandez: I think the biggest thing, without pointing
fingers, is that when this all came about in 2001, the total cost was grossly
underestimated . Projections were based on pre-9/11 numbers when the airlines were
responsible for screening and were paying dirt wages . AB: In the final analysis, it would seem that
you think private screening is ultimately the direction this thing is headed.
Hernandez: We have to; there are just too many inefficiencies . You may see
gradual changes; perhaps you'll see a quarter of the airports switching over to a
private security model and, once efficiencies are realized there, it will expand. Run it like a
business instead of a bureaucracy. I wouldn't be surprised if you were to see Lockheed Martin and
Covenant just come roaring down and overnight taking it over at airports. That's going to be a huge
revenue-generating stream. Competition, in its pure form, is good .
workers, free enterprise liberated them from deep poverty. Marx was
a brilliant thinker and writer, but economists who have meticulously studied his
writings easily find its flaws. An obvious one is central to his theory, that the value of
an object is determined by the labor required to produce it. This is obviously false:
I could spend hundreds of hours writing a song; Bruce Springsteen could write
one in 15 minutes worth far more than mine. Q.E.D. But as devastatingly wrong as Marx was
about the most important questions he tried to tackle (see also: "Union, Soviet"), Marx was right about quite a bit.
There is an inherent instability in capitalism cycles of boom and bust lead to
human misery. Capitalism does create income and wealth inequality. Our tough
times now heighten our sensitivity to asymmetries, making Marx's observations particularly poignant. Wages are
stagnant, while corporate profits are high. Millions knock on doors looking for
jobs with no success, while the economy's superstars take home seven-figure
salaries. Political candidates debate the marginal tax rate on the highest earners while ignoring the unemployed.
But these problems don't mean capitalism will inevitably unravel , as
Marx thought. First, many of today's problems are temporary results of the Great
Recession. And on a deeper level, Marx erred significantly in believing that social relations and social institutions are
founded upon economics. We are not slaves to changes in the way goods and
bright indeed. The U.S. economy has continued to improve , if not as quickly as
we all would want. GDP has remained in the 22.5% range with some recent signs of quickening growth. Inflation has dipped below 1%, largely
thanks to the tanking of oil prices. The unemployment rate, 7.9% in 2012 and 6.7% in 2013, dropped below 6% in 2014. The
economy is doing pretty well in the aggregate . Stocks were up solidly again in 2014, if not
by as much as in 2013, continuing a mostly uninterrupted upward run since March of 2009. The Dow ended the year up 7.52% while the
Nasdaq and the S&P 500 rose 13.40% and 11.39% (13.7% if dividends are included), respectively, for the year. The S&P is now up an average
of 20.7% a year for the last three years including dividends, its best three-year return since the late 1990s. Meanwhile, the bond market
performed well too. Whether were looking at bonds in the aggregate (AGG was up 6% on the year) or at various component parts (LQD,
representing corporate bonds, produced an 8.2% return, while EDV, a decent proxy for long-duration U.S. Treasuries, gained a whopping 45.1%
in 2014), fixed income had a pretty good year too. Commodities did very poorly (especially oil, obviously; after hitting a peak around $107 a
barrel in June, U.S. crude oil futures finished the year at $53.27), while European stocks and emerging markets were spotty, but that's mostly
Pinker, among others, persuasively argues), in many ways the current world
is a huge improvement over what came before. Statistically speaking, tribal
warfare was nine times as deadly as war and genocide were even in
the 20th century, despite its concentration camps, gulags and killing fields. The murder rate of
medieval Europe was more than 30 times what it is today. Slavery,
excessive and sadistic punishments, and frivolous executions were
unexceptionable features of life for millennia , but are quickly
disappearing today (if not nearly quickly enough). Wars between developed
countries have all but vanished, and even in the developing world ,
warfare kills at a fraction of the rate it did just a few decades ago.
Rape, assault, hate crimes, deadly riots, child abuse and more are all
substantially less common than they once were . Hunger has been
halved in the developing world since 1990. Disease is waning dramatically ,
Things are a long ways from perfect and plenty of
allowing most of us to live longer.
problems exist, but the overall picture isn't half-bad . Not many of us would jump at
the chance to switch places with those who lived during other eras.
potential to contribute to war than others, there may well be an infinite set
of motivating factors, or human wants, motivating aggression. It is not
the independent existence of such motivating factors for war but rather the
circumstances permitting or encouraging high risk decisions leading
to war that is the key to more effectively controlling war. And the
same may also be true of democide. The early focus in the Rwanda slaughter on "ethnic
conflict," as though Hutus and Tutsis had begun to slaughter each other through spontaneous combustion, distracted our
attention from the reality that a nondemocratic Hutu regime had carefully planned and orchestrated a genocide against
Certainly if we were able to press a
Rwandan Tutsis as well as its Hutu opponents.I1
button and end poverty, racism, religious intolerance, injustice, and
endless disputes, we would want to do so. Indeed, democratic
governments must remain committed to policies that will produce a
better world by all measures of human progress . The broader
achievement of democracy and the rule of law will itself assist in this
progress. No one, however, has yet been able to demonstrate the kind
of robust correlation with any of these "traditional" causes of war as
is reflected in the "democratic peace." Further, given the difficulties in
overcoming many of these social problems , an approach to
war exclusively dependent on their solution may be to doom us to
war for generations to come.
No collective revolution
De Soysa and Fjelde 10, PhDs, 10 (Indra, Director, Globalization Research
Program, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) & Centre
for the Study of Civil War, PRIO , and Hanne, Department of Peace and
Conflict Research, Uppsah University & Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO
Is the hidden hand an iron fist? Capitalism and civil peace, 1970-2005 Journal
of Peace Research 47(3) 287-298 )
much of this literature is focused on industrial countries
Notice that
where developed class interests and distinctive class consciousness
exists, something that might be absent in much of the developing world.
Rather than using measures of inequality, which was always a proxy for arguments about
capitalism versus socialism, we utilize a measure of 'capitalist' economic policies directly in
models of conflict. This method allows us to answer the question of capitalistic economic pol
icies and social peace head on, relative to the many studies that have addressed the issue
indirectly by focusing on material conditions that ostensibly proxy class consciousness,
Even Marx, after all, understood that non-
namely the degree of inequality.
industrial societies are unprepared for revolution because of the
lack of class consciousness. Today's civil wars take place largely in
areas where class consciousness is conspicuously absent.(289)
1ar EXT Neolib Inevitable
Social pressures deck the alt
Han 14, professor at the Universitt der Kunste Berlin , 14 (Byung-Chul, 9-12,
http://www.worldcrunch.com/opinion-analysis/why-revolution-is-impossible-
on-the-seductive-power-of-neoliberalism/byung-chul-han-leadership-work-imf-
crisis-economics/c7s16949/)
When a debate took place in Berlin last year between two opponents of capitalism, Antonio
Negri and myself, Negri took the position that global resistance to
Empire was a possibility. He presented himself as a communist revolutionary and
called me a skeptical professor. Negri apparently believes a "multitude" the interconnected
protest and revolutionary mass can bring down the neoliberal leadership system. I felt that
the position of communist revolutionary was naive and removed
from reality, and I tried to explain why, today, revolution is no longer possible.
Why is our neoliberal system of global leadership so stable? Why is there so
little resistance to it? Why is everyone led so easily into the void? Why is revolution no longer
possible today despite an ever-growing chasm between rich and poor? To explain, we need
greater understanding about how power and leadership function today. Anyone trying to
install a new leadership system has to eliminate resistance. And that
includes the neoliberal governance system. To bring about a new system of leadership, you
need established power often achieved through violence . But this
established power is not the same as the stabilizing power inside a system. It is well known
that Margaret Thatcher, a precursor of neoliberalism, considered unions as
"inner enemies" and fought them forcefully. Installing a neoliberal
agenda via aggressive intervention will not, however, yield the
necessary kind of stabilizing power needed to keep a system in
place. That power in the disciplinary and industrial society was
repressive. Factory workers were brutally exploited by factory owners, and
the violent exploitation of workers led to protest and resistance. A revolution that
would bring down the existing production system was possible then.
In this repressive system, both the repression and the repressors were
identifiable. There was a concrete enemy to address resistance to. Better than
repression The neoliberal leadership system is structured entirely
differently. Here the power needed to keep the system going is not
repressive it is seductive, alluring. It is no longer as clear-cut as it is under a
disciplinary regime. There is no concrete them, no enemy, repressing freedom
and against whom rebellion would be possible. Never has our society been as rich as it is
today. And some people in it are richer than others. French economist Thomas Piketty warns
that the disparities could become as drastic as they were in feudal times. Neoliberalism
turns the exploited worker into a free entrepreneur the entrepreneur of
himself. Everyone is now a self-exploiting worker in his own business. Everyone is master and
servant in one.Class warfare has changed into a running inner battle
with the self. Failing today means blaming oneself and feeling ashamed. People see
themselves as the problem, not society. Any disciplinary system that
expends a great deal of force to repress people is inefficient. Considerably
more efficient is a system of power that ensures that people
voluntarily align with the system. The particular efficiency here is that it doesnt
work based on forbidding and withholding, but through pleasing and fulfilling. Instead of
making people obedient it aims to make them dependent. Uber arrives in
Neoliberalisms logic of efficiency also applies to
Paris (UBER/FB)
policing. In the 1980s, there were many protests against population
censuses; even school kids protested against it. From todays standpoint, the easy availability
of information about our educational and career backgrounds is a given, but there was a time
now long gone when people believed that the state was trying to wrest information from
Today we give up information of our own accord, perceiving
citizens.
this as freedom. And it is precisely that perception that makes protest
impossible. Unlike the days when we protested population censuses, we do not protest
this monitoring. What does one protest against? Oneself? American concept artist Jenny Holzer
expresses this paradoxical situation with a "truism:" "Protect me from what I want." It is
crucial to distinguish between the kind of power that activates and the kind of power that
maintains. The latter today takes on a smart, friendly form that makes it opaque and
unassailable.The exploited subject is unaware of his own oppression.
He imagines he is free. This leadership technique neutralizes
resistance most effectively. Leadership that oppresses freedom and attacks it is not
stable. The neoliberal regime is as stable as it is, immunized against
resistance, because it makes use of freedom instead of suppressing
it. Suppressing freedom leads quickly to resistance, whereas exploiting freedom does not. A
Korean case The Asian financial crisis of 1997 left South Korea shocked and paralyzed. Then
along came the International Monetary Fund to give the Koreans
1ar EXT World Getting Better
World is doing better every standard shows life quality
is better
Seawright 15 (Bob Wealth, Poverty and Keeping Perspective, Think
Advisor, March 2nd, http://www.thinkadvisor.com/2015/03/02/wealth-poverty-
and-keeping-perspective?page=1)
Earlier this year I published my annual investment outlook. Doing so provides me with a great opportunity to look at the big picture and major themes we should be
U.S. economy has continued to improve , if not as quickly as we all would want. GDP has remained in the 2
2.5% range with some recent signs of quickening growth. Inflation has dipped below 1%, largely thanks to the tanking of oil prices. The unemployment rate, 7.9% in 2012
and 6.7% in 2013, dropped below 6% in 2014. The economy is doing pretty well in the
aggregate . Stocks were up solidly again in 2014, if not by as much as in 2013, continuing a mostly uninterrupted upward run since March of 2009. The
Dow ended the year up 7.52% while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 rose 13.40% and 11.39% (13.7% if dividends are included), respectively, for the year. The S&P is now up
an average of 20.7% a year for the last three years including dividends, its best three-year return since the late 1990s. Meanwhile, the bond market performed well too.
Whether were looking at bonds in the aggregate (AGG was up 6% on the year) or at various component parts (LQD, representing corporate bonds, produced an 8.2%
return, while EDV, a decent proxy for long-duration U.S. Treasuries, gained a whopping 45.1% in 2014), fixed income had a pretty good year too. Commodities did very
poorly (especially oil, obviously; after hitting a peak around $107 a barrel in June, U.S. crude oil futures finished the year at $53.27), while European stocks and emerging
world is a huge improvement over what came before. Statistically speaking, tribal
warfare was nine times as deadly as war and genocide were even in
the 20th century, despite its concentration camps, gulags and killing fields. The murder rate of medieval
Europe was more than 30 times what it is today. Slavery, excessive
and sadistic punishments, and frivolous executions were
unexceptionable features of life for millennia , but are quickly
disappearing today (if not nearly quickly enough). Wars between developed countries
have all but vanished, and even in the developing world , warfare kills
at a fraction of the rate it did just a few decades ago. Rape, assault,
hate crimes, deadly riots, child abuse and more are all substantially
less common than they once were . Hunger has been halved in the
developing world since 1990. Disease is waning dramatically , allowing most of us to live longer.
Things are a long ways from perfect and plenty of problems exist,
but the overall picture isn't half-bad . Not many of us would jump at the chance to switch places with those who lived
during other eras.
1ar EXT Solves War
Markets solves war promotes interdependence which
creates market signaling which de-esclates war and
makes it costly
Dafoe 14, Assistant Professor in Political Science @ Yale, and Kelsey,
Research Associate in International Economics @ Berkeley, 2014 (Allan and
Nina, Observing the capitalist peace: Examining market-mediated signaling
and other mechanisms, Journal of Peace Research 2014, 115)
Countries with liberal political and economic systems rarely use military
force against each other. This anomalous peace has been most prominently
attributed to the democratic peace the apparent tendency for democratic countries to
avoid militarized conflict with each other (Maoz & Russett, 1993; Ray, 1995; Dafoe, Oneal & Russett,
2013).More recently, however, scholars have proposed that the liberal peace could be
partly (Russett & Oneal, 2001) or primarily (Gartzke, 2007; but see Dafoe, 2011) attributed to
the risk of conflict and investor flight. However, the occurrence of these costs may
also be intentional outcomes of specific escalatory decisions of the states, as in the case of deliberate
Finally, at a practical level, we identify three
sanctions; in this case they are strategic.
different potential kinds of economic costs of militarized conflict that may be
mediated by open capital markets: capital costs from political risk, monetary
Part of the problem with this strategy, however, is that it places too much weight on
the corporate personhood designation . The Move to Amend campaign
assumes that a constitutional amendment abolishing the personhood of corporations
will effectively diminish the power of corporations and dramatically
transform society. Part III reveals that this is a mistaken assumption because the
personhood concept is largely indeterminate and often irrelevant .
Legal history shows that the personhood label has long been arbitrarily
applied in constitutional law cases, suggesting that the label itself does not dictate necessary
outcomes. The Move to Amend supporters place all their eggs in the corporate personhood basket, but
corporate personhood simply does not carry the force and meaning
that they assume . A more significant problem lies in the popular belief that the Supreme Court
and constitutional law are largely to blame for the rise of corporate power and influence in society.
While judicial development and interpretation of constitutional law
has played a role in elevating the status of corporations, it is
corporate law that has permitted the empowerment of large corporate
entities. Parts IV and V explain that fundamental corporate law doctrines and deeply entrenched
norms, such as shareholder primacy, profit maximization, the business judgment rule, and the separation
of ownership and control, have shaped the role that corporations play in our society and political system.
The combination of these corporate law doctrines work together to
create an environment where corporations can achieve exactly what
the activists do not want corporations to have enormous drive and power to accumulate
and spend money, and thereby significantly influence our economic, social, and political spheres. This
suggests that a constitutional amendment to revoke corporate personhood and reverse the effect of
Citizens United will not accomplish what people think because it is more than just a constitutional law/free
It is
speech/First Amendment issue. It is about the core fundamentals of the corporate law regime.
embedded into the very structure of corporate law itself . To ignore
the tensions that corporate law raises in this regard is to miss the
deeper origins of corporate ascendance in the modern world.
re-engage with the state . A point that wraps up this section of my essay is that in that same
book Chantal Mouffe (2009) looks back over the past decade or so, noticing two dominant trends in radical
politics. The first is critique as withdrawal from the state; the second is critique as engagement with it.
She says that many radicals believe withdrawal is more valuable. This was (and probably still is) the
dominant trend within contemporary radical politics. And it is this trend that we need to reverse. As I will
the new stakes also demand that the radical Left re-engage
now discuss,
in representational politics more seriously, if the Right is not to
continue its rise to power.
No endless warfare
Gray 7 [Colin, Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Professor of
International Relations and Strategic Studies at the University of Reading,
graduate of the Universities of Manchester and Oxford, Founder and Senior
Associate to the National Institute for Public Policy, formerly with the
International Institute for Strategic Studies and the Hudson Institute, July
2007, The Implications of Preemptive and Preventive War Doctrines: A
Reconsideration, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/ssi10561/ssi10561.pdf]
7. A policy that favors preventive warfare expresses a futile quest for absolute security. It could do so. Most
In the hands of a paranoid or
controversial policies contain within them the possibility of misuse.
boundlessly ambitious political leader, prevention could be a policy for endless
warfare. However, the American political system, with its checks and
balances, was designed explicitly for the purpose of constraining the
executive from excessive folly. Both the Vietnam and the contemporary Iraqi
experiences reveal clearly that although the conduct of war is an executive prerogative,
in practice that authority is disciplined by public attitudes. Clausewitz made this point superbly
with his designation of the passion, the sentiments, of the people as a vital component of his trinitarian
theory of war. 51 It is true to claim that power can be, and indeed is often, abused, both personally and
nationally. It is possible that a state could acquire a taste for the apparent swift decisiveness of preventive
warfare and overuse the option. One might argue that the easy success achieved against Taliban
Afghanistan in 2001, provided fuel for the urge to seek a similarly rapid success against Saddam Husseins
Iraq. In other words, the delights of military success can be habit forming. On balance, claim seven is not
persuasive, though it certainly contains a germ of truth. A country with unmatched wealth and power,
unused to physical insecurity at homenotwithstanding 42 years of nuclear danger, and a high level of
we ought
gun crimeis vulnerable to demands for policies that supposedly can restore security. But
not to endorse the argument that the United States should eschew the preventive
war option because it could lead to a futile, endless search for absolute
security. One might as well argue that the United States should adopt a defense policy and
develop capabilities shaped strictly for homeland security approached in a narrowly geographical
Since a president might misuse a military instrument that had a global
sense.
reach, why not deny the White House even the possibility of such misuse? In
other words, constrain policy ends by limiting policys military means. This
argument has circulated for many decades and, it must be admitted, it does have a certain elementary
the claim that a policy which includes
logic. It is the opinion of this enquiry, however, that
the preventive option might lead to a search for total security is not at all
convincing. Of course, folly in high places is always possible, which is one of the many reasons why
popular democracy is the superior form of government. It would be absurd to permit the fear
of a futile and dangerous quest for absolute security to preclude prevention
as a policy option. Despite its absurdity, this rhetorical charge against
prevention is a stock favorite among preventions critics. It should be
recognized and dismissed for what it is, a debating point with little pragmatic
merit. And strategy, though not always policy, must be nothing if not pragmatic.
security crises, because of peoples fears, are especially ripe opportunities to grab largesse. (Ibid., 182) Thus, bureaucratic-
politics theory, which once made several reputa- tions (such as those of Richard Neustadt, Morton Halperin, and Graham Allison)
in defense-intellectual circles, and spawned an entire sub-industry within the field of international relations,5 is put into the
service of dismissing putative security threats as imaginary . So, too, can a surprisingly
cognate theory, public choice,6 which can be considered the right-wing analog of the bureaucratic-politics model, and is a preferred
interpretation of governmental decision- making among libertarian observers. As Eland (2004, 203) summarizes: Public-choice theory argues
[that] the government itself can develop sepa- rate interests from its citizens. The government reflects the interests of powerful pressure
groups and the interests of the bureaucracies and the bureaucrats in them. Although this problem occurs in both foreign and domestic policy,
it may be more severe in foreign policy because citizens pay less attention to policies that affect them less directly. There is, in this statement
of public-choice theory, a certain ambiguity, and a certain degree of contradiction: Bureaucrats are supposedly, at the same time, subservient
to societal interest groups and autonomous from society in general. This journal has pioneered the argument that state autonomy is a likely
consequence of the publics ignorance of most areas of state activity (e.g., Somin 1998; DeCanio 2000a, 2000b, 2006, 2007; Ravenal 2000a).
But state autonomy does not necessarily mean that bureaucrats substitute their own interests for those of what could be called the national
society that they ostensibly serve. I have argued (Ravenal 2000a) that, precisely because of the public-ignorance and elite-expertise factors,
and especially because the opportunitiesat least for bureaucrats (a few notable post-government lobbyist cases nonwithstanding)for
lucrative self-dealing are stringently fewer in the defense and diplomatic areas of government than they are in some of the contract-
dispensing and more under-the-radar-screen agencies of government, the public-choice imputation of self-dealing, rather than working
toward the national interest (which, however may not be synonymous with the interests, perceived or expressed, of citizens!) is less likely to
hold. In short, state autonomy is likely to mean, in the derivation of foreign policy, that state elites are using rational judgment, in insulation
from self-promoting interest groupsabout what strategies, forces, and weapons are required for national defense. Ironically, public
choicenot even a species of economics, but rather a kind of political interpretationis not even about public choice, since, like the
bureaucratic-politics model, it repudiates the very notion that bureaucrats make truly public choices; rather, they are held, axiomatically, to
exhibit rent-seeking behavior, wherein they abuse their public positions in order to amass private gains, or at least to build personal empires
within their ostensibly official niches. Such sub- rational models actually explain very little of what they purport to observe. Of course, there is
some truth in them, regarding the behavior of some people, at some times, in some circumstances, under some conditions of incentive and
motivation. But the factors that they posit operate mostly as constraints on the otherwise rational optimization of objectives that, if for no
other reason than the playing out of official roles, transcends merely personal or parochial imperatives. My treatment of role differs from
that of the bureaucratic-politics theorists, whose model of the derivation of foreign policy depends heavily, and acknowledgedly, on a narrow
and specific identification of the role- playing of organizationally situated individuals in a partly conflictual pulling and hauling process that
results in some policy outcome. Even here, bureaucratic-politics theorists Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow (1999, 311) allow that some
players are not able to articulate [sic] the governmental politics game because their conception of their job does not legitimate such activity.
This is a crucial admission, and one that points empiricallyto the need for a broader and generic treatment of role. Roles (all theorists
risk of career termination . And, as mentioned, the defense bureaucracy is hardly a productive place for truly
talented rent-seekers to operatecompared to opportunities for personal profit in the commercial world. A bureaucrats very self-placement in
these reaches of government testi- fies either to a sincere commitment to the national interest or to a lack of sufficient imagination to exploit
opportunities for personal profit.
in its ability to force open the public realm to a whole new segment
of the population that appeared in public for the first time .80
These movements of resistance to disciplinary power (both in labor movements and more
recently in Egypt and Syria) illustrate the Arendtian notion of action. Human beings generate
press conferences and parliamentary question time.84 When political leaders cannot control the
conditions of their visibility, they are both more subject to the surveillance of
the public (which compensates, to some extent, for its normal lack of power), and more likely to
engage in genuine action, which is unpredictable and incalculable and
capable of generating new modes and orders . A space of surveillance can thus work in
tandem with the maintenance of a genuine space of appearance.
1ar EXT Cede the Political
Pallitto and Heyman 8 Political Science, Seton Hall University;
Department of Sociology and Anthropology, The University of Texas at El Paso
(Robert and Josiah, Theorizing Cross-Border Mobility: Surveillance, Security
and Identity, 2008, http://library.queensu.ca/ojs/index.php/surveillance-and-
society/article/viewFile/3426/3389) KW
Cosmopolitanism covers
One such analysis involves the concept of cosmopolitanism.
various phenomena within which political and cultural imaginations
become relatively unbounded, losing their localized prejudices and
sentiments, and thus cosmopolitanism is, predictably, often celebrated as
a triumph of technology, or of social-cultural development (Vertovec and Cohen, 2002).
However, its benefits are unequally distributed, and they come at a
abandon the case method, give up the effort to find rationality and order in the case law, and teach in an unabashedly political fashion. The CLS critique
of piecemeal reform is familiar, imperialistic and wrong . Minorities know from bitter
experience that occasional court victories do not mean the Promised Land is at hand . The critique is imperialistic in that it tells
of law, in the context of the modern liberal state, does not reflect
our everyday experience of the means through which power and
government are exercised. Similarly, the role played by expert
knowledge and discursive power relations in Foucault's conceptualisation of
modernity, such that law is fated to justify its operations by 'perpetual reference to something other than itself*
and to 'be redefined by knowledge' (Foucault, 1991: 22), does not accord with the world of
mundane practice. In their sympathetic critique of his work. Hunt and Wickham (1998) point to the way in
which Foucault's treatment of sovereignty and law must necessarily lead him
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
by police, and more likely to be arrested (rather than warned or cited or simply let go) when stopped. . . . The
problem of racial profiling , however , is not limited to 287(g) field models . . . the
federal government uses an array of other agreements to encourage
local police to enforce immigration law. Racial profiling concerns
therefore are equally present under jail-model MOUs or other jail-
screening programs . Officers, for example, may selectively screen in
the jails only those arrestees who appear to be Latino or have
Spanish surnames. Police officers may also be motivated to target Latinos for selective or pretextual arrests
in order to run them through the booking process and attempt to identify undocumented immigrants among them.86 As
such, immigration enforcement by local police raises grave concerns about racial profiling of Latinos and other racial
Although the overwhelming
minorities, and of both U.S. citizens and non-citizen immigrants.
majority of Latinos in the United States are U.S. citizens or legal
permanent residents87 (and Latinos are expected to constitute more than
twenty-five percent of the U.S. population by 2050),88 Latinos have
frequently been singled out for immigration stops and inquiries by
local law enforcement. Such race and ethnic-based immigration
enforcement imposes injustices on racial and ethnic minorities,
specifically reinforcing the harmful perception that LatinosU.S.
citizens and non-citizens alikeare presumptively illegal
immigrants and therefore not entitled to full and equal citizenship
unless and until proven legal. 89 Low-wage Latino immigrant workers are particularly
threatened as are low-wage South Asian workers, who face an intersection of anti-immigrant hostility, employment abuse,
and post-9/11-related discrimination.90 In addition to exacerbating pre-existing racial profiling in local communities, local
ICE ACCESS
police enforcement of the immigration laws under the 287(g) program and other related
programs undermines the trust between the police and the
communities that they serve. When local police function as immigration agents, the message is sent
that some citizens do not deserve equal protection under the law. Fear, as opposed to trust, is created in Latino and other
immigrant communities, and Latino U.S. citizen children with parents, who are either immigrants or citizens, may avoid
coming in contact with police or any public officials (including school officials) out of concern that they, their parents or
family members will be targeted by local enforcement because of their actual or perceived immigration status.91 Latina
and other immigrant women who are victims of domestic violence may fear interacting with the police because of their
immigration status, or the status of their families, or even their abusers, and the consequences of that fear can leave
Respect and trust between law
them in dangerous and violent situations.92
enforcement and communities of color are essential to successful
police work.93 It is for this reason that many police executives and
police organizations have expressed concern that local police
enforcement of the immigration laws has a negative overall impact
on public safety. 94 Despite the significant problems associated
with local police enforcement of immigration laws, ICE has not
responded to, or monitored, complaints about the 287(g) program
or other ICE ACCESS programs. The U.S. Government Accountability
Office (GAO) recently reported that ICE lacks key internal controls
for the implementation of the287(g) program, even though the
program has been in operation for approximately seven years.95 The
GAO report conclusively found that 287(g) program objectives have not been documented in any program-related
materials; guidance on how and when to use program authority is inconsistent; guidance on how ICE officials are to
supervise officers from participating agencies has not been created; data that participating agencies use to track and
report to ICE has not been defined; and performance measures valuating progress
toward program objectives have not been developed.
No Link AT Calderson 6
No link the plan doesnt force Latin Americans to take
the white oath of citizenship the thesis of the aff is to
eliminate the necessity for migrants to declare loyalty to
a state and instead create a permeable border which
allows circular migration
No Link AT Gonzalez 15
The alt doesnt solve any of this stuff Gonzalez says
solving would require institutionalizing a writ of habeas
data which the alt explicitly rejects by foreclosing state
action
1ar EXT Border Control Racist
Its a Petit ApartheidSurveillance and searches reinforce
white, middle-class citizens suspicionsturns their
offense
Romero 6 (Mary, professor and faculty head of Justice and Social Inquiry
at Arizona State University and an affiliated faculty member with Women and
Gender Studies, Asian Pacific American Studies and African and African
American Studies Racial Profiling and Immigration Law Enforcement:
Rounding Up of Usual Suspects in the Latino Community Critical Sociology,
Volume 32, Issue 23 2006 nclc203muir.pbworks.com/f/Crit%20Sociol-2006-
Romero-447-73.pdf , cayla_)
paradigm of grand and petit apartheid
Daniel Georges-Abeyies (2001:x) theoretical
links current practices of racial profiling with other negative social
factors and discretional decision-making by both criminal justice
agents and criminal justice agencies. Georges-Abeyies theoretical work outlines a
continuum of petit apartheid discriminatory practices ranging from the covert and informal to the overt
and formal. Petit apartheid has been used to explain racial profiling in
the war against drugs (Campbell 2001; Covington 2001 ), regulating and
policing public space (Bass 2001; Ferrell 2001b ), under-representation of
persons of color interested in law enforcement (Ross 2001) and the use of racial
derogation in prosecutors closing arguments ( Johnson 2001). Petit apartheid relates to concerns about
struggles over access to urban public space, freedom of movement,
the processes of capital investment, political decision-making, and
policing first theorized by Henri Lefebvre (1996 [1968]) and others (see Caldeira 2000; Ferrell 2001a;
Harvey 1973, 1996; Holston 1999; Mitchell 2003). Images and perceptions of public space are used to
encourage, discourage, or prohibit use and movement. Exclusionary models of public life are most noted
for privileging middle-class consumers. Surveillance, stops, and searches maintain
a landscape of suspicion and reinforce white, middle-class citizens
suspicions of racial minorities and protect their access to public
space. When citizenship is racially embodied through law-enforcement practices that
target Mexican-American neighborhoods and business areas, then Henri
Lefebvres (1996 [1968]:174) statement about urban space is actualized: The right of the city manifests
itself as a superior form of rights: right to freedom, to individualization in socialization, to habitat and to
Immigration law enforcement assists such exclusionary use of
inhabit.
urban public spaces and limits freedom of movement. However, the INS is in
the position of having to negotiate an adequate flow of undocumented labor to meet urban capitalist
needs while maintaining the appearance of controlling immigration. Consequently, immigration law
enforcement in US cities is not structured around systematic or random checking of identification but
Given the
rather a pattern of citizenship inspection that maintains the landscape of suspicion.
class and racial segregation perpetuated by exclusive residential
zoning, the INS targets ethnic cultural spaces marked by Mexican-
owned businesses, agencies offering bilingual services, and
neighborhoods with the highest concentration of poor and working-
class Latinos. Within these areas, INS agents engage in typing suspected aliens (Heyman 1995;
Weissinger 1996) that embodies a figurative border (Chang 1999). In the process of typing
Mexicans as suspects, Americans are whitened. The 1975 Supreme Court
decision that Mexican appearance constitutes a legitimate consideration under the Fourth Amendment
for making an immigration stop ( Johnson 2000:676) legalized micro- and macro-aggressions inflicted
upon Mexican Americans. Micro- and macroaggressions, as well as petit apartheid, are experienced by
Mexican Americans when they are caught within a racially profiled dragnet in which INS agents operate
with unchecked discretion. Harms of reductions and repression occur when Latinos are subjected to racially
motivated (and frequently class-based) stops and searches and race-related INS abuse (Arriola 199697;
Micro-aggressions are racial affronts on a
Benitez 1994; Lazos 2002; Vargas 2001).
personal level, experienced when an individual Mexican American is
stopped and asked to prove citizenship status; macro-aggressions
are group affronts because they are directed towards Mexicanness
in general. Macro-aggressions target dark complexions and physical characteristics characterized as
Mexican or Latino; speaking Spanish, listening to Spanish music, shopping at Mexican-owned
businesses, or any other cultural practices bring on racially motivated stops.
worst cost of these failed policies are the increasing loss of human
lives as migrants are forced to cross the border in the most desolate
areas of the desert (Cornelius 2001; Eschbach et al. 1999)
Deleuze Surveillance
2ac F/L
The kritik must prove that the whole plan text is bad
weighing the aff is vital to fair and educational
engagement isolated negation doesnt invalidate the
plan the ballot should simulate its enactment solves
infinite regression.
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy
bears to a memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for
those age-old forms of community and real human compassion that
emerge in a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some
ways so alien to the world we currently live in that it requires
catastrophe to call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of
unadulterated goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions
represent the truly authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one
chase after in contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is
degree or another,
that media culture has grown increasingly focused on the tragic and
disastrous , often elevating minor events to disproportionately high
levels of public concern through incessant multi-media hype. Herbert Gans (1979) found that
journalists were worried about inducing panic and disorder, and tried to steer clear of reporting that they thought would encourage such
behavior, but the moral panic literature in sociology and criminology, beginning with Cohens (1972) seminal study of the misguided British
But is it possible to distinguish between these different forms of crisis thinking in normative terms? The
answer to this question does not lie in the definition of the term crisis itself, which has been characterized
as illusive, vague, imprecise, malleable, open-ended and generally unspecified (Hay, 1996, p. 421). This
ambiguity is a good thing; it means we can make crisis mean something other than what it often seems to
are often understood as autopoietic moments of intense
be. In everyday talk, crises
difficulty or danger or times when a difficult or important decision must be
made. This is particularly clear in medical contexts, where a crisis is the turning point of a disease
when an important change takes place, indicating recovery or death (OED, 2005). The objectivism and
activism in these definitions is striking, particularly as the term crisis was originally associated, through its
Greek root krisis, with cultural practices of critique, judgement and deliberation (Benhabib, 1986; Brown,
2005; Kompridis, 2006). In illness, for example, a persons condition was not considered critical simply
because it could go either way, but because the direction of any change depended upon the impact of
Crisis was not a matter of fate, but
judicious human intervention (Brown, 2005, p. 6).
the name for a moment at which those involved in a situation come
to understand they cannot go on as they have before. The medical definition
of crisis is not wholly appropriate for theorizing social experience; there are few instances in which a form
of social life could be presumed to live or die in totality. Its importance is rather that it defines crisis
phenomenologically, referring less to an objective moment of decision into which we are thrown and more
to a subjective realization that we must make new sense of our circumstances and possibilities. In this
view, dangers, difficulties, decisions and changes are not objectively existing things that we can simply
recognize through observation and then make rational judgements about. Our distinctions between
intense and relaxed moments, or difficult and easy decisions are themselves the results of processes
of critical, inter-subjective judgement. They are narrated through cultural explanations, mediated through
emotional rules, and situated within a complex frame of social, political and psychological conditions. Our
experience of emotions of joy and pain involves the attribution of meaning through experience (Ahmed,
2004, p. 23), and even our intentional action is linguistically mediated through a web of cultural meaning
Crisis narratives do not simply allow us to identify or communicate
(Benhabib, 1986, p. 135).
to define complex social situations as critical moments
structural crises, but
of possibility, and to articulate the necessity of alternatives within a
normative critique of existing conditions . They are ways of explaining
how we go on once we decide that we cannot go on as before
(Benhabib, 1986; Hay, 1995; Kompridis, 2006: 248; Lear, 2006; Spivak, 1988). And, in the case of climate
change, where the establishment of thresholds and tipping points is particularly political, they are
also ways of asserting that we cannot. Crisis thinking must therefore be understood as
a cultural and emotional practice as well as a subjective experience or objective condition. A critical
consciousness of crisis can create an intensified engagement with space
and time in which we feel particularly responsible for reflecting
Growth solves
Ben-Ami 11 (Daniel Ben-Ami, journalist and author, regular contributor to
spiked, has been published in the American, the Australian, Economist.com,
Financial Times, the Guardian, the Independent, Novo (Germany), Ode
(American and Dutch editions), Prospect, Shanghai Daily, the Sunday
Telegraph, the Sunday Times, and Voltaire (Sweden), 2011 (Do not knock
prosperity that makes the good life possible, Published Online for Shanghai
Daily on June 15, 2011, Available Online at http://bit.ly/P9JUus)
Finally, there is the argument about the environment itself. The most popular variant of the idea of a
natural limit nowadays is that growth inevitably means runaway climate change. However, there is plenty
There are many forms of energy, including nuclear,
of evidence to the contrary.
that do not emit greenhouse gases. There are also ways to adapt to
global warming such as building higher sea walls. Since such measures are
expensive it will take more resources to pay for them ; which means
more economic growth rather than less. If anything the green drive to curb
prosperity is likely to undermine our capacity to tackle climate change. Schumachers fundamentally
conservative argument chimes well with those who want to reconcile us to austerity. It suits those in power
for the mass of the population to accept the need to make do with less. Under such circumstances it is no
is keen for us to focus on
surprise that David Cameron, like his international peers,
individual contentment rather than material prosperity. It is hard to
imagine a more anti-human outlook than one advocating a sharp
fall in living standards for the bulk of the worlds population.
Perm do both
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy
bears to a memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for
those age-old forms of community and real human compassion that
emerge in a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some
ways so alien to the world we currently live in that it requires
catastrophe to call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of
unadulterated goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions
represent the truly authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one
chase after in contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is
degree or another,
groups in mind. They want a world where preemptive strategies are used
to anticipate the real threats posed by global climate change and
global inequality, rather than to invent fears of ethnic others and
justify unnecessary wars . They want a world where people can come
together not simply as a market, but as a public , to exert real
agency over the policies made in the name of their safety and security. And, when
disaster does strike, they want a world where the goodwill and
compassion shown by their neighbors, by strangers in their communities, and even
by distant spectators and consumers, will be matched by their own
government . Though this vision of the world is utopian, it is not
unreasonable , and if contemporary American culture is ever to give us more than just an illusion of safety, or
empathy, or authenticity, then it is this vision that we must advocate on a daily
basis, not only when disaster strikes.
Emissions down
Magill 15. (Bobby, Senior Science Writer at Climate Central, focusing on
energy and climate change. Internally quotes IEA Chief Economist and
incoming IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. Energy Bombshell: CO2
Emissions Stabilized in 2014, Climate Central. March 13th, 2015.
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/co2-emissions-stabilized-in-2014-
18777)//CB
Solar, wind and other renewables are making such a big difference in
greenhouse gas emissions worldwide that global emissions from the
energy sector flatlined during a time of economic growth for the first time in 40 years. The
International Energy Agency announced Friday that energy-related CO2 emissions last year were
unchanged from the year before, totaling 32.3 billion metric tons of CO2 in both 2013
and 2014. It shows that efforts to reduce emissions to combat climate change
may be more effective than previously thought. Energy-related CO2
emissions from coal-fired power plants and other sources have gone flat
worldwide, according to the International Energy Agency. Credit: Ian Britton/flickr This is both a very
welcome surprise and a significant one, IEA Chief Economist and incoming IEA Executive Director Fatih
Birol said in a statement. It
provides much-needed momentum to negotiators
preparing to forge a global climate deal in Paris in December. For the first time,
greenhouse gas emissions are decoupling from economic growth. Following an announcement earlier this
week that Chinas CO2 emissions fell 2 percent in 2014, the IEA is crediting 2014s progress
to China using more solar, wind and hydropower while burning less coal. Western Europes focus
on sustainable growth, energy efficiency and renewables has shown
that emissions from energy consumption can fall even as economies grow
globally, according to the IEA. Global CO2 emissions stalled or fell in the early 1980s, 1992 and 2009, each
time correlating with a faltering global economy. In 2014, the economy grew 3 percent worldwide. In
the U.S., energy-related CO2 emissions fell during seven of the past 23 years, most
notably during the recession of 2009, U.S. Energy Information Administration data show. Emissions in 2013
the most recent year for which U.S. data is available were higher than they were in the previous year,
but 10 percent lower than they were in 2005.
Perm do the plan and acknowledge that warmings
inevitable
Biods improving
UN 14. (United Nations. UN convention agrees to double biodiversity
funding, accelerate preservation measures, UN News Centre. 17 October
2014. http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?
NewsID=49104#.VZ15UEvrsds)//CB
A United Nations conference in Republic of Korea wrapped up today
17 October 2014
with governments agreeing to double biodiversity-related
international financial aid to developing countries, including small islands and
transition economics, by 2015 and through the next five years. The decision was made at the 12th
meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD COP-12) in
Pyeongchang. Delegations attending the meeting, which opened 6 October in Republic of Koreas
key mountain and forest region, agreed on the so-called Pyeongchang Road Map, and Gangwon
Declaration, both of which outline conservation initiatives and global
sustainable development goals and initiatives. Parties have listened
to the evidence, and have responded by committing , said UN Assistant-
Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of the CBD, Braulio Ferreira de Souza Dias. The funding
decision was originally made at the last CBD meeting in Hyderabad, India, in 2012, but there had been
disagreement on how to implement it. This time, the participants decided to use average annual
biodiversity funding for the years 2006-2010 as a baseline. The targets, in particular, are the least
developed countries and the small island developing States, as well as countries with economies in
transition. Key decisions taken in Pyongchang, including those on resource mobilization, capacity building,
the
scientific and technical cooperation linking biodiversity and poverty eradication, and on monitoring of
Strategic Plan for Biodiversity, form the Roadmap and will, according to the CBD,
strengthen capacity and increase support for countries and
stakeholders to implement their national biodiversity strategies and
action plans. The decisions were bolstered by the call in the Gangwon Declaration, the result of two
days of ministerial-level talks, to link the implementation of the post-2015 development agenda to other
relevant processes such as the UN Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF) process and the national
Governments also agreed to increase
biodiversity strategies and action plans.
domestic financing for biodiversity and boost funding from other
resources. Their commitments show the world that biodiversity is a
solution to the challenges of sustainable development and will be a central
part of any discussions for the post-2015 development agenda and its sustainable development goals, Mr.
Dias noted in reference to the agenda succeeding the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
1ar EXT BioD Up
Political will
Davenport 14. (Coral, energy and environment reporter for NYT. Internally
quoting Durwood Zaelke, president of the Institute for Governance and
Sustainable Development. U.S. Moves to Reduce Global Warming
Emissions, NYT. SEPT. 16, 2014. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/17/us/hfc-
emissions-cut-under-agreement.html)//CB
Obama administration on Tuesday announced a series of moves
WASHINGTON The
aimed at cutting emissions of hydrofluorocarbons, or HFCs, powerful greenhouse gases
that contribute to climate change. The White House has secured voluntary agreements
from some of the nations largest companies to scale down or phase out their use of HFCs, which are
factory-made gases used in air conditioning and refrigeration. Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Red Bull, Kroger,
Honeywell and DuPont, the company that invented fluorinated refrigerants, have agreed to cut their use
and replace them with climate-friendly alternatives. Over all, the administration estimated that the
agreements announced on Tuesday would reduce cumulative global consumption of HFCs by the
equivalent of 700 million metric tons of carbon dioxide through 2025. That is about 1.5 percent of the
worlds 2010 greenhouse gas emissions, or the same as taking 15 million cars off the road for 10 years. A
repair technician in New Jersey removed an air-conditioning unit that uses HCFC-22, which is banned for
The
use in new units, to install a new one that uses a different coolant, R-410A.Chilling
announcement came a week before President Obama is expected to join
over 100 other world leaders at a United Nations climate change
summit in New York, which will begin 15 months of negotiations as
leaders work toward a global climate change agreement in Paris next year.
The primary focus of that deal will be to push for enactment of new
laws around the world aimed at cutting emissions of carbon dioxide, the
abundant planet-warming gas caused by burning fossil fuels such as oil and coal. Negotiators anticipate it
will take a grueling battle to achieve such an agreement, which would require the worlds largest
economies including the United States, China and India to greatly cut their use of burning coal and
small steps aimed at reducing other
oil. But climate policy advocates say
greenhouse gases will also help. While HFCs are less abundant in the atmosphere than
carbon dioxide, they have 10,000 times the planet-warming potency. But carbon dioxide lingers in the
atmosphere for centuries, while HFCs disintegrate after about 15 years. Every
drumbeat in
this symphony helps. It drives it along. This is part of that
drumbeat, said Durwood Zaelke, president of the Institute for Governance and Sustainable
Development, a research organization. The benefits from cutting non-CO2 come much faster, he added.
CO2 is like a supertanker you can stop it, but it keeps drifting for a long time. Cutting HFCs are like
stopping a steamboat. You stop it and thats that.
Defo down
Howard 14. (Brian Clark, writer, editor and producer for National
Geographics award-winning website. Internally quotes Toby McGrath, a
senior scientist at Earth Innovation Institute. Brazil Leads World in Reducing
Carbon Emissions by Slashing Deforestation, National Geographic. JUNE 05,
2014. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/06/140605-brazil-
deforestation-carbon-emissions-environment/)//CB
Brazil's success in slowing rain forest destruction has resulted in
enormous reductions in carbon emissions and shows that it's
possible to zealously promote sustainability while still growing the
economy, suggests a new study out Thursday. A second study out this week also underscores Brazil's
success and shows that deforestation has also slowed in several other tropical countries. Since 2004,
farmers and ranchers in Brazil have saved over 33,000 square miles (86,000 square kilometers) of rain
forest from clear-cutting, the rough equivalent of 14.3 million soccer fields, a team of scientists and
economists from the U.S. and South America report in Science. At the same time, production of beef and
soy from Brazil's Amazon region rose. The country has reduced deforestation by
70 percent and kept 3.2 billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, because forests use
carbon as they grow and release it when they are removed, often through burning. That makes Brazil's the
biggest reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of any country in the world; the cut is more than three
times bigger than the effect of taking all the cars in the U.S. off the road for a year. "Brazil is known as a
leading favorite to win the World Cup, but they also lead the world in mitigating climate change," the
Science study's lead author, Daniel Nepstad of the Earth Innovation Institute in San Francisco, said in a
statement. Brazil's success in saving about 80 percent of the original Amazon serves as a
model for other countries around the world and represents a
"completely different trajectory for forest areas over the last few
centuries," says Toby McGrath, a senior scientist at the institute and another of the study's co-
authors. (See "Photos: The Last of the Amazon.") "For the first time in history, we are
stopping the process of forest loss on a frontier before it gets
seriously depleted, while continuing to develop economies that still
have substantial forest cover," says McGrath. Globally, deforestation is
responsible for about 10 percent of all climate emissions , says a study
released Wednesday by the Union of Concerned Scientists. That's down from 17 percent of
emissions in the 1990s, thanks to falling rates of deforestation. "Brazil
is most notably lauded for their deforestation reductions, but the report found numerous
example of successfully saving forests in unexpected locations," study
author Doug Boucher, director of the Union of Concerned Scientists' Tropical Forest and Climate Initiative,
said in a statement. Mexico, El Salvador, and six countries in Central Africa, in particular, have shown
decreased rates of deforestation. Measure of Success For the Science study, scientists and economists
analyzed how Brazil was able to reverse decades of high rates of deforestation in the Amazon, starting in
2005, when then-president Luiz Incio Lula da Silva announced the ambitious goal of slashing the rate by
80 percent over the previous year. After that, things turned around due to a number of factors coming
One important element was the advancement of
together, says McGrath.
remote sensing technology. Although Brazil first passed a forest code requiring landowners
in the Amazon to protect at least 50 percent of native forest in 1965, enforcement was spotty. "Officials
didn't have good information on where deforestation was occurring and who was on the ground," says
satellites have given officials a more precise
McGrath. Over the past few years,
picture of the forest, often in real time. Another boost to
deforestation efforts: The forest code was updated in 2012 and now
requires landowners to preserve 80 percent of the Amazon's virgin forest,
as well as protect watersheds. Those that have violated the rules have increasingly received fines and
Nonprofit groups, meanwhile, have helped publicize
even jail time in extreme cases.
data on rule breakers and have built support for enforcing the law.
Campaigns by Greenpeace, Conservation International, and others put pressure on companies that buy
products from the Amazon, especially beef and soy, shaming those that have been found to contribute to
deforestation. Market agreements signed by companies took that a step further, prohibiting practices that
there was rising awareness of the value of
lead to deforestation. "In Brazil,
nature and how essential it is to our society," says Fabio Rubio Scarano, the vice
president of Conservation International's Americas Division, who is based in Rio de Janeiro.
1ar EXT Growth Solves
the sea which one confronts (Menzies, 2000). The final characteristic of a
renewed technology critique is that it rejects extreme positions in
favor of a middle ground from which we can carefully consider the
impact of technologies without rejecting them wholesale (Nardi & ODay,
1999, p. 20). The irony is that the extreme stance assumed by most technology critics actually
tends to stifle the kind of critical reflection that they want people to engage in
which is precisely why the techno-utopians speak in hyperbole . Ideas become
concretized in absolute terms rather than remaining fluid and open for
analysis and debate. Instead of offering conclusive, sweeping statements about the negative impacts of
technological phenomena, technology critique should draw on and present diverse
perspectives and viewpoints and should indicate, by means of this balanced
presentation, possibilities for responsible local action . I am not by any means
suggesting that, having found a new way of framing social analysis, we abandon as irrelevant to
our lives and time the work and ideas of technology critics such as Ellul , Mumford, and
Postman. On the contrary, this article emerges from my deep respect for their work
and my realization that it has had a disappointingly small impact on societys
response to new media and technology . Yet the technology critics have taught me well. I
have learned from them that it is both possible and necessary to think otherwise about technological
What
developments, but I have also learned that insightful commentary from a distance is not enough:
is needed is a critique that provides guidelines and models for reflection and
action at the level of lived experience. Let me, then, conclude this article as I began it, with
reference to Socrates and his student, Plato. Plato immortalized Socrates teachings by using them as the
I too
basis for his own philosophy. I do not by any means compare myself to Plato, except in this: that
believe it necessary to perpetuate the important ideas of my mentors by
framing them in more relevant, meaningful, and generally accessible terms.
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
No impact tech cant get any worse only a risk of
improvements
Walker 9 (Mark Walker, Assistant Professor @ New Mexico State University,
Ship of Fools: Why Transhumanism is the Best Bet to Prevent the Extinction
of Civilization, 2009, wcp)
This line of thinking is further reinforced when we consider that there is a limit to the downside of creating
posthumans, at least relatively speaking. That is, one of the traditional concerns about increasing
knowledge is that it seems to always imply an associated risk for greater destructive capacity. One way
this point is made is in terms of killing capacity: muskets are a more powerful technology than a bow and
arrow, and tanks more powerful than muskets, and atomic bombs even more destructive than tanks. The
knowledge that made possible these technical advancements brought a
concomitant increase in capacity for evil. Interestingly, we have almost hit
the wall in our capacity for evil: once you have civilization destroying
weapons there is not much worse you can do. There is a point in which the
one-upmanship for evil comes to an endwhen everyone is dead. If you will
forgive the somewhat graphic analogy, it hardly matters to Kennedy if his
head is blown off with a rifle or a cannon. Likewise, if A has a weapon that
can kill every last person there is little difference between that and Bs
weapon which is twice as powerful. Posthumans probably wont have much more capacity for
evil than we have, or are likely to have shortly. So, at least in terms of how many persons can be killed,
posthumans will not outstrip us in this capacity. This is not to say that there are no new worries with the
creation of posthumans, but the greatest evil, the destruction of civilization, is something which we now, or
In other words, the most significant aspect that we should focus
will soon, have.
on with contemplating the creation of posthumans is their upside. They are
not likely to distinguish themselves in their capacity for evil, since we have
already pretty much hit the wall on that, but for their capacity for good.
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy bears to a
memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for those age-
old forms of community and real human compassion that emerge in
a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some ways so
alien to the world we currently live in that it requires catastrophe to
call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of unadulterated
goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions represent the truly
authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one degree or another, chase after in
contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is certainly a bit foolhardy to seek
nonetheless serve notice that people want a different world than the
one in which we currently live, with a different way of understanding
and responding to disasters. They want a world where risk is not leveraged for profit or political gain, but
sensibly planned for with the needs of all socio-economic groups in mind. They want a world where
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
reality outside the clinic. But they do not transform the world. The political
relevance of the clinic can only be (a) as a support- ing moment in
ideology critique or (b) as a fully-fledged model of politics, provided that the
political subject and its social object are ultimately identical. Option ((7), Zizek's option, rests on the idea, not only of a
subject who becomes who he is only through his (mis) recognition of the objective sociopolitical order, but whose
'traversal of the fantasy' is immediately identical with his transformation of the socio-political system or Other. I-Ience,
according to Zizek, we can analyse the institutional embodiments of
this Other using psy- choanalytic categories. In Chapter 4, we saw Zi2ek's resulting
elision of the distinction between the (subjective) Ego Ideal and the (objec- tive) Symbolic Order. This leads him
to analyse our entire culture as a single subject-object, whose
perverse (or perhaps even psychotic) structure is expressed in every
manifestation of contemporary life. Zizek's decisive political-theoretic errors, one substantive
and the other methodological, are different (see Figure 5.1) The substantive problem is to equate any political
change worth the name with the total change of the subject-object that is, today, global capitalism. This is a
type of change that can only mean equating politics with violent
regime change, and ultimately embrac- ing dictatorial govermnent,
as Zizek now frankly avows (IDLC 412-19). We have seen that the ultra-
political form of Zizek's criti- cism of everyone else, the theoretical
Left and the wider politics, is that no one is sufficiently radical for
him - even, we will discover, Chairman Mao. We now see that this is because Zizek's model of politics
proper is modelled on a pre-critical analogy with the total transformation of a subiect's entire subjective structure, at the
We have seen
end of the talking cure. For what could the concrete consequences of this governing analogy be?
Lacanian cure, it must involve the complete 'traversal' - in Hegel's terms, the
abstract versus the determinate negation - of all these lived myths, practices and habits. Politics must involve the periodic
founding of of entire new subjectobjects. Providing the model for this set of ideas, the first iekian political subject was
Schellings divided God, who gave birth to the entire Symbolic Order before the beginning of time (IDLC 153; OB 1448).
can the political theorist reasonably hope or expect that subjects
But
will simply give up on all their inherited ways , myths and beliefs, all
in one world-creating moment? And can they be legitimately asked
or expected to, on the basis of a set of ideals whose legitimacy they
will only retrospectively see, after they have acceded to the Great
Leap Forward ? And if they do not for iek laments that today
subjects are politically disengaged in unprecedented ways what
means can the theorist and his allies use to move them to do so?
Their alt is violent and worthless
Gray 12 --- Emeritus Professor of European Thought at the London School of
Economics (John, The Violent Visions of Slavoj iek,
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2012/jul/12/violent-visions-slavoj-zizek/?
pagination=false)//trepka
While he rejects Marxs conception of communism, iek devotes none of the over one thousand pages of Less Than
Nothing to specifying the economic system or institutions of government that would feature in a communist society of the
kind he favors. In effect a compendium of ieks work to date, Less Than Nothing is devoted instead to
reinterpreting Marx by way of Hegelone of the books sections is called Marx as a Reader of Hegel, Hegel as a Reader of
reformulating Hegelian philosophy by reference to the
Marxand
thought of the French psychoanalyst Jacques Lacan. A post-structuralist who
rejected the belief that reality can be captured in language, Lacan also rejected the standard interpretation of Hegels idea
of the cunning of reason, according to which world history is the realization by oblique and indirect means of reason in
human life. For Lacan as iek summarizes him, The Cunning of Reasonin no way involves a faith in a secret guiding
hand guaranteeing that all the apparent contingency of unreason will somehow contribute to the harmony of the Totality
of Reason: if anything, it involves a trust in un-Reason. On this Lacanian reading, the message of Hegels philosophy is
not the progressive unfolding of rationality in history but instead the impotence of reason. The Hegel that emerges in
ieks writings thus bears little resemblance to the idealist philosopher who features in standard histories of thought.
Hegel is commonly associated with the idea that history has an inherent logic in which ideas are embodied in practice and
then left behind in a dialectical process in which they are transcended by their opposites. Drawing on the contemporary
French philosopher Alain Badiou, iek radicalizes this idea of dialectic to mean the rejection of the logical principle of
noncontradiction, so that rather than seeing rationality at work in history, Hegel rejects reason itself as it has been
understood in the past. Implicit in Hegel (according to iek) is a new kind of paraconsistent logic in which a proposition
is not really suppressed by its negation. This new logic, iek suggests, is well suited to understanding capitalism today.
Is not postmodern capitalism an increasingly paraconsistent system, he asks rhetorically, in which, in a variety of
modes, P is non-P: the order is its own transgression, capitalism can thrive under communist rule, and so on? Living in
the End Times is presented by iek as being concerned with this situation. Summarizing the books central theme, he
writes: The underlying premise of the present book is a simple one: the global capitalist system is approaching an
apocalyptic zero-point. Its four riders of the apocalypse are comprised by the ecological crisis, the consequences of the
biogenetic revolution, imbalances within the system itself (problems with intellectual property; forthcoming struggles over
With its
raw materials, food and water), and the explosive growth of social divisions and exclusions.
sweeping claims and magniloquent rhetoric, this passage is typical
of much in ieks work. What he describes as the premise of the
book is simple only because it passes over historical facts . Reading it, no
one would suspect that, putting aside the killings of many millions for ideological reasons, some of the last centurys worst
ecological disastersthe destruction of nature in the former Soviet Union and the devastation of the countryside during
Maos Cultural Revolution, for exampleoccurred in centrally planned economies. Ecological devastation is not a result
only of the economic system that exists in much of the world at the present time; while it may be true that the prevailing
version of capitalism is unsustainable in environmental terms, there is nothing in the history of the past century that
suggests the environment will be better protected if a socialist system is installed. But to criticize iek for neglecting
these facts is to misunderstand his intent, for unlike Marx he does not aim to ground his theorizing in a reading of history
that is based in facts. Todays historical juncture does not compel us to drop the notion of the proletariat, or of the
proletarian positionon the contrary, it compels us to radicalize it to an existential level beyond even Marxs
imagination, he writes. We need a more radical notion of the proletarian subject [i.e., the thinking and acting human
being], a subject reduced to the evanescent point of the Cartesian cogito, deprived of its substantial content. In ieks
hands, Marxian ideaswhich in Marxs materialist view were meant to designate objective social factsbecome
subjective expressions of revolutionary commitment. Whether such ideas correspond to anything in the world is irrelevant.
Why should anyone adopt ieks ideas
There is a problem at this point, however:
rather than any others? The answer cannot be that ieks are true
in any traditional sense. The truth we are dealing with here is not
objective truth, iek writes, but the self-relating truth about
ones own subjective position; as such, it is an engaged truth, measured not by its factual accuracy
but by the way it affects the subjective position of enunciation. If this means anything, it is that truth is determined by
reference to how an idea accords with the projects to which the speaker is committedin ieks case, a project of
The
revolution. But this only poses the problem at another level: Why should anyone adopt ieks project?
question cannot be answered in any simple way, since it is far from
clear what ieks revolutionary project consists in. He shows no signs of doubting
that a society in which communism was realized would be better than any that has ever existed. On the other hand, he is
unable to envision any circumstances in which communism might be realized: Capitalism is not just a historical epoch
among others. Francis Fukuyama was right: global capitalism is the end of history.1 Communism is not for iekas it
was for Marxa realizable condition, but what Badiou describes as a hypothesis, a conception with little positive content
but that enables radical resistance against prevailing institutions. iek is insistent that such resistance must include the
use of terror: Badious provocative idea that one should reinvent emancipatory terror today is one of his most profound
insights. Recall Badious exalted defense of Terror in the French Revolution, in which he quotes the justification of the
iek celebrates
guillotine for Lavoisier: The Republic has no need for scientists.2 Along with Badiou,
Maos Cultural Revolution as the last truly great revolutionary
explosion of the twentieth century. But he also regards the Cultural Revolution as a failure,
citing Badious conclusion that the Cultural Revolution, even in its very impasse, bears witness to the impossibility truly
and globally to free politics from the framework of the party-State.3 Mao in encouraging the Cultural Revolution evidently
iek praises the Khmer
should have found a way to break the power of the party-state. Again,
Rouge for attempting a total break with the past. The attempt
involved mass killing and torture on a colossal scale; but in his view
that is not why it failed: The Khmer Rouge were, in a way, not
radical enough: while they took the abstract negation of the past to the limit, they did not
invent any new form of collectivity. (Here and elsewhere the italics are ieks.) A
genuine revolution may be impossible in present circumstances, or
any that can be currently imagined. Even so, revolutionary violence
should be celebrated as redemptive, even divine. While iek has
described himself as a Leninist,4 there can be no doubt that this position would be anathema to the Bolshevik leader.
Lenin had no qualms in using terror in order to promote the cause of communism (for him, a practically attainable
objective). Always deployed as part of a political strategy, violence was instrumental in nature. In contrast, though
iek accepts that violence has failed to achieve its communist goals and has no prospect of doing so, he
insists that revolutionary violence has intrinsic value as a symbolic
expression of rebelliona position that has no parallel in either Marx or Lenin. A precedent may be
seen in the work of the French psychiatrist Frantz Fanon, who defended the use of violence against colonialism as an
assertion of the identity of subjects of colonial power; but Fanon viewed this violence as part of a struggle for national
independence, an objective that was in fact achieved. A clearer precedent can be found in the work of the early-twentieth-
century French theorist of syndicalism Georges Sorel. In Reflections on Violence (1908), Sorel argued that communism was
a utopian mythbut a myth that had value in inspiring a morally regenerative revolt against the corruption of bourgeois
society. The parallels between this view and ieks account of redemptive violence inspired by the communist
A celebration of violence is one of the most prominent
hypothesis are telling.
strands in ieks work. He finds fault with Marx for thinking that violence can be justified as part of the
conflict between objectively defined social classes. Class war must not be understood as a conflict between particular
agents within social reality: it is not a difference between agents (which can be described by means of a detailed social
analysis), but an antagonism (struggle) which constitutes these agents. Applying this view when discussing Stalins
assault on the peasantry, iek describes how the distinction between kulaks (rich peasants) and others became blurred
and unworkable: in a situation of generalized poverty, clear criteria no longer applied, and the other two classes of
peasants often joined the kulaks in their resistance to forced collectivization. In response to this situation the Soviet
authorities introduced a new category, the sub-kulak, a peasant too poor to be classified as a kulak but who shared kulak
values: The art of identifying a kulak was thus no longer a matter of objective social analysis; it became a kind of complex
hermeneutics of suspicion, of identifying an individuals true political attitudes hidden beneath his or her deceptive
Describing mass murder in this way as an exercise in
public proclamations.
hermeneutics is repugnant and grotesque; it is also characteristic of
ieks work. He criticizes Stalins policy of collectivization, but not
on account of the millions of human lives that were violently
truncated or broken in its course. What iek criticizes is Stalins
lingering attachment (however inconsistent or hypocritical) to scientific Marxist
terms. Relying on objective social analysis for guidance in revolutionary situations is an error: at some point, the
process has to be cut short with a massive and brutal intervention of subjectivity: class belonging is never a purely
objective social fact, but is always also the result of struggle and social engagement. Rather than Stalins relentless use
of torture and lethal force, it is the fact that he tried to justify the systematic use of violence by reference to Marxian
theory that iek condemns. ieks rejection of anything that might be described as social fact comes together with his
admiration of violence in his interpretation of Nazism. Commenting on the German philosopher Martin Heideggers much-
discussed involvement with the Nazi regime, iek writes: His involvement with the Nazis was not a simple mistake, but
rather a right step in the wrong direction. Contrary to many interpretations, Heidegger was not a radical reactionary.
Reading Heidegger against the grain, one discovers a thinker who was, at some points, strangely close to communism
indeed, during the mid-Thirties, Heidegger might be described as a future communist. If Heidegger mistakenly chose to
back Hitler, the mistake was not in underestimating the violence that Hitler would unleash: The problem with Hitler was
that he was not violent enough, his violence was not essential enough. Hitler did not really act, all his actions were
fundamentally reactions, for he acted so that nothing would really change, staging a gigantic spectacle of pseudo-
Revolution so that the capitalist order would survive. The true problem of Nazism is not that it went too far in its
subjectivist-nihilist hubris of exercising total power, but that it did not go far enough, that its violence was an impotent
acting-out which, ultimately, remained in the service of the very order it despised. What was wrong with Nazism, it seems,
is thatlike the later experiment in total revolution of the Khmer Rougeit failed to create any new kind of collective life.
iek says little regarding the nature of the form of life that might have come into being had Germany been governed by a
regime less reactive and powerless than he judges Hitlers to have been. He does make plain that there would be no room
in this new life for one particular form of human identity: The fantasmatic status of anti- Semitism is clearly revealed by a
statement attributed to Hitler: We have to kill the Jew within us. Hitlers statement says more than it wants to say:
against his intentions, it confirms that the Gentiles need the anti-Semitic figure of the Jew in order to maintain their
identity. It is thus not only that the Jew is within uswhat Hitler fatefully forgot to add is that he, the anti-Semite, is also
in the Jew. What does this paradoxical entwinement mean for the destiny of anti-Semitism? iek is explicit in censuring
certain elements of the radical Left for their uneasiness when it comes to unambiguously condemning anti-Semitism.
But it is difficult to understand the claim that the identities of anti-Semites and Jewish people are in some way mutually
reinforcingwhich is repeated, word for word, in Less Than Nothingexcept as suggesting that the only world in which
anti-Semitism can cease to exist is one in which there are no longer any Jews. Interpreting iek on this or any issue is not
There is his inordinate prolixity, the stream of texts that
without difficulties.
no one could read in their entirety, if only because the torrent never
ceases flowing. There is his use of a type of academic jargon
featuring allusive references to other thinkers, which has the effect
of enabling him to use language in an artful, hermetic way . As he
acknowledges, iek borrows the term divine violence from Walter Benjamins Critique of Violence (1921). It is
doubtful whether Benjamina thinker who had important affinities with the Frankfurt School of humanistic Marxism
would have described the destructive frenzy of Maos Cultural Revolution or the Khmer Rouge as divine. But this is beside
the point, for by using Benjamins construction iek is able to praise violence and at the same time claim that he is
speaking of violence in a special, recondite sensea sense in which Gandhi can be described as being more violent than
Hitler.5 And there is ieks regular recourse to a laborious kind of clowning wordplay: Thevirtualization of capitalism is
ultimately the same as that of the electron in particle physics. The mass of each elementary particle is composed of its
mass at rest plus the surplus provided by the acceleration of its movement; however, an electrons mass at rest is zero, its
mass consists only of the surplus generated by the acceleration, as if we are dealing with a nothing which acquires some
deceptive substance only by magically spinning itself into an excess of itself. It is impossible to read this without recalling
the Sokal affair in which Alan Sokal, a professor of physics, submitted a spoof article, Transgressing the Boundaries:
Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity, to a journal of postmodern cultural studies. Equally, it is
hard to read this and many similar passages in iek without suspecting that he is engagedwittingly or otherwisein a
kind of auto-parody. There may be some who are tempted to condemn iek as a philosopher of irrationalism whose
praise of violence is more reminiscent of the far right than the radical left.
His writings are often
offensive and at times (as when he writes of Hitler being present in the Jew) obscene. There is a
mocking frivolity in ieks paeans to terror that recalls the Italian Futurist and ultra-nationalist Gabriele DAnnunzio and
the Fascist (and later Maoist) fellow traveler Curzio Malaparte more than any thinker in the Marxian tradition. But there is
another reading of iek, which may be more plausible, in which he is no more an epigone of the right than he is a disciple
of Marx or Lenin. Whether or not Marxs vision of communism is the inherent capitalist fantasy, ieks visionwhich
apart from rejecting earlier conceptions lacks any definite contentis well adapted to an economy based on the
continuous production of novel commodities and experiences, each supposed to be different from any that has gone
before. With the prevailing capitalist order aware that it is in trouble but unable to conceive of practicable alternatives,
ieks formless radicalism is ideally suited to a culture transfixed by the spectacle of its own fragility. That there should
be this isomorphism between ieks thinking and contemporary capitalism is not surprising. After all, it is only an
economy of the kind that exists today that could produce a thinker such as iek. The role of global public intellectual
iek performs has emerged along with a media apparatus and a culture of celebrity that are integral to the current model
of capitalist expansion.In a stupendous feat of intellectual overproduction
iek has created a fantasmatic critique of the present order, a
critique that claims to repudiate practically everything that currently
exists and in some sense actually does, but that at the same time
reproduces the compulsive, purposeless dynamism that he perceives in the
operations of capitalism. Achieving a deceptive substance by endlessly
reiterating an essentially empty vision, ieks worknicely
illustrating the principles of paraconsistent logic amounts in the
end to less than nothing .
Seriously, Zizek thinks the Holocaust is not only okay, but
didnt go far enough
Re 12 --- writer, philosopher and historian (Jonathan, Less Than Nothing by Slavoj iek
review, http://www.theguardian.com/books/2012/jun/27/less-than-nothing-slavoj-zizek-review?
newsfeed=true)//trepka
iek refuses to indulge in sanctimonious regrets over the failings of 20th-century communism. He has always had a soft
spot for Stalin, and likes to tell the story of Uncle Joe's response when asked which of two deviations was worse: both of
iek's objection to Stalinism is not
them are worse, he said, with perfect Lacanian panache.
that it involved terror and mass murder, but that it sought to justify
them by reference to a happy communist tomorrow: the trouble with
Soviet communism, as he puts it, is "not that it is too immoral , but
that it is secretly too moral ". Hitler elicits similar even-handedness: the unfortunate Fhrer
was "trapped within the horizon of bourgeois society", iek says,
and the "true problem of nazism" was "not that it went too far but
that it did not go far enough".
Foucault
2ac F/L
The kritik must prove that the whole plan text is bad
weighing the aff is vital to fair and educational
engagement isolated negation doesnt invalidate the
plan the ballot should simulate its enactment solves
infinite regression
abandon the case method, give up the effort to find rationality and order in the case law, and teach in an unabashedly political fashion. The CLS critique
of piecemeal reform is familiar, imperialistic and wrong . Minorities know from bitter
experience that occasional court victories do not mean the Promised Land is at hand . The critique is imperialistic in that it tells
of law, in the context of the modern liberal state, does not reflect
our everyday experience of the means through which power and
government are exercised. Similarly, the role played by expert
knowledge and discursive power relations in Foucault's conceptualisation of
modernity, such that law is fated to justify its operations by 'perpetual reference to something other than itself*
and to 'be redefined by knowledge' (Foucault, 1991: 22), does not accord with the world of
mundane practice. In their sympathetic critique of his work. Hunt and Wickham (1998) point to the way in
which Foucault's treatment of sovereignty and law must necessarily lead him
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
Leo Strauss); anti-universalist feminists (Judith Butler, Wendy Brown) and quasi-
universalist, Habermasian feminists (Seyla Benhabib, Nancy Fraser). Post-
structuralists try to read off from an epistemology or ontology a politics;
such attempts simply replace enlightenment meta-narratives with
postmodern (allegedly anti-) meta-narratives. Such efforts represent an
idealist version of the materialist effortwhich post-structuralists explicitly condemnto read social
consciousness off the structural position of the agent. A democratic political
theory must offer both a theory of social structure and of the social agents capable of building such a society. In
post-
exchanging the gods of Weber and Marx for Nietzsche and Heidegger (or their epigones Foucault and Derrida),
global war from diverse fields such as security studies ( Jabri , 2007),
development (Duffield, 2007) or critical legal theory (Douzinas, 2007) are in
danger of reducing their critique of war to abstract statements
instrumentalizing war as a technique of global power. These are
abstract critiques because the political stakes are never in question :
instrumentality and the desire for regulation and control are
assumed from the outset. In effect, the critical aspect is merely in the reproduction of the framework
of Foucault that liberal discourses can be deconstructed as an exercise of regulatory power. Without deconstructing the
dominant framings of global security threats, critical theorists are in danger of reproducing Foucaults framework of
biopower as an ahistorical abstraction. Foucault (2007: 1) himself stated that his analysis of biopower was not in any way
a general theory of what power is. It is not a part or even the start of such a theory, merely the study of the effects of
liberal governance practices, which posit as their goal the interests of society the population rather than government.
In his recent attempt at a ground-clearing critique of Foucauldian international relations theorizing, Jan Selby (2007) poses
the question of the problem of the translation of Foucault from a domestic to an international context. He argues that
recasting the international sphere in terms of global liberal regimes of regulation is an accidental product of this move.
This fails to appreciate the fact that many critical theorists appear to be drawn to Foucault precisely because drawing on
his work enables them to critique the international order in these terms. Ironically, this Foucauldian critique of global
wars has little to do with Foucaults understanding or concerns, which revolved around extending Marxs critique of the
freedoms of liberal modernity. In effect, the post-Foucauldians have a different goal: they desire to understand and to
critique war and military intervention as a product of the regulatory coercive nature of liberalism. This project owes much
to the work of Agamben and his focus on the regulation of bare life, where the concentration camp, the totalitarian state
and (by extension) Guantnamo Bay are held to constitute a moral and political indictment of liberalism (Agamben, 1998:
In these critical frameworks, global war is understood as the
4).
exercise of global aspirations for control, no longer mediated by the
interstate competition that was central to traditional realist framings of international relations. This
less-mediated framework understands the interests and
instrumental techniques of power in global terms. As power
becomes understood in globalized terms , it becomes increasingly
abstracted from any analysis of contemporary social relations :
viewed in terms of neoliberal governance, liberal power or
biopolitical domination. In this context, global war becomes little
more than a metaphor for the operation of power. This war is a
global one because, without clearly demarcated political subjects, the unmediated
operation of regulatory power is held to construct a world that
becomes, literally, one large concentration camp (Agamben, 1998: 171)
where instrumental techniques of power can be exercised regardless of frameworks of rights or international law
(Agamben, 2005: 87). For Julian Reid (2006: 124), the global war on terror can be
understood as an inevitable response to any forms of life that exist
outside and are therefore threatening to liberal modernity ,
revealing liberal modernity itself to be ultimately a terrorising
project arraigned against the vitality of life itself. For Jabri , and other
Foucauldian critics, the liberal peace can only mean unending war to pacify,
discipline and reconstruct the liberal subject:
power is not bloody power over bare life for its own sake but pure power over all life
for the sake of the living. It is not power but the living , the condition of all life individual as
well as collective that is the measure of the success of bio -power.
The thesis of the kritik takes out the alt. If the Panopticon
makes citizens desire surveillance, theres no way the alt
creates a sufficient discursive transformation. If it does,
theres no reason the alts strategy of discursive change
is incompatible with the plan. Their evidence uses
language like holding power accountable and says the
Snowden revelations were productive the plan does the
former and acts on the latter proves perm do both is the
best option.
Nunes 12 [Reclaiming the political: Emancipation and critique in security
studies, Joo Nunes, Security Dialogue 2012 43: 345,Politics and International
Studies, University of Warwick, UK, p. sage publications]
In the works of these authors, one can identify a tendency to see
security as inherently connected to exclusion, totalization and even
violence. The idea of a logic of security is now widely present in the critical security studies literature. Claudia Aradau (2008: 72), for example, writes of an
exclusionary logic of security underpinning and legitimizing forms of domination. Rens van Munster (2007: 239) assumes a logic of security, predicated upon a political
organization on the exclusionary basis of fear. Laura Shepherd (2008: 70) also identifies a liberal and highly problematic organizational logic in security. Although there
overwhelmingly pessimistic outlook that a great number of critical scholars are now making the case for moving away
from security. The normative preference for desecuritization has been picked up in attempts to contest, resist and unmake security (Aradau, 2004; Huysmans, 2006; Bigo,
2007). For these contributions, security cannot be reconstructed and political transformation can only be brought about when security and its logic are removed from the
security in at least three ways. First, it constitutes a blind spot in the effort of
have been attached to security are themselves the result of social and
historical processes, and can thus be changed . Second, the
institution of this apolitical realm runs counter to the purposes of
critique by foreclosing an engagement with the different ways in
which security may be constructed. As Matt McDonald (2012) has argued, because security
means different things for different people, one must always understand
it in context . Assuming from the start that security implies the
narrowing of choice and the empowerment of an elite forecloses the
acknowledgment of security claims that may seek to achieve exactly
the opposite: alternative possibilities in an already narrow debate and the contestation
of elite power.5 In connection to this, the claims to insecurity put forward by individuals and groups run
the risk of being neglected if the desire to be more secure is
identified with a compulsion towards totalization, and if aspirations to
a life with a degree of predictability are identified with violence. Finally,
this tendency blunts critical security studies as a resource for
practical politics . By overlooking the possibility of reconsidering
security from within opting instead for its replacement with other ideals the
critical field weakens its capacity to confront head-on the
exceptionalist connotations that security has acquired in
policymaking circles. Critical scholars run the risk of playing into this
agenda when they tie security to exclusionary and violent practices, thereby
failing to question security actors as they take those views for
granted and act as if they were inevitable. Overall, security is just too important both as a concept and as a
political instrument to be simply abandoned by critical scholars. As McDonald (2012: 163) has put it, If security is politically powerful, is the foundation of political
legitimacy for a range of actors, and involves the articulation of our core values and the means of their protection, we cannot afford to allow dominant discourses of
security to be confused with the essence of security itself. In sum, the trajectory that critical security studies has taken in recent years
has significant limitations . The politicization of security has made extraordinary progress in problematizing predominant security
ideas and practices; however, it has paradoxically resulted in a depoliticization of the meaning of security itself. By foreclosing the
States, producing a deep cleavage between 198 the way people living
in Mexican border cities see themselves, and the way they are seen
on the other side. This gap contributes to strengthen boundaries
and perceptions of otherness between those living in the north
and south of the fence, as well as within each of the two sides . In the
last part of this chapter, I will explain in further detail how such boundaries blend in to the local universe of
identities shared by those living in Tijuana. Finally, in the next chapter, I will discuss how these identities
travel south of the border and are translated and adopted in social relations, as they become part of the
everyday lives of local residents.
much as its composition. As little of the Grime and Dancehall that Fisher and Dan Hancox catalogued towards a playlist of the riots and
uprisings expresses in explicitly linguistic and lyrical content the sentiments of political activism, it is in the use of music and sound as a carrier of affects at the point of
differently than hitherto. Restructuring or depathologizing fear-affects involves work on the sensory organization of all the different kinds of matter that
affect agential capacity: affect circulates through various encounters of worldly matter and stuff through which subject finds itself manifest within. One way of restructuring
fear-affect, then, is by intervening in the feedback loops through which fear is stabilized. This might involve turning the technologies that are central to the production of
fear against themselves: when protesters use surveillance technologies against police, for instance, the feedback loops that those technologies sustain are interrupted,
It fractures coalitions
Karlberg 3 [Michael, Assistant Professor of Communication at Western
Washington University, PEACE & CHANGE, v28, n3, July, p. 339-41]
Granted, social activists do "win" occasional battles in these
adversarial arenas, but the root causes of their concerns largely
remain unaddressed and the larger "wars" arguably are not going
well. Consider the case of environmental activism. Countless environmental protests, lobbies, and lawsuits mounted in
recent generations throughout the Western world. Many small victories have been won. Yet
environmental degradation continues to accelerate at a rate that far outpaces the
highly circumscribed advances made in these limited battles the most committed environmentalists acknowledge things
Perm do both
Higgins 13, University of Texas-Austin, Philosophy Professor, Winter 2013,
Post-Truth Pluralism: The Unlikely Political Wisdom of Friedrich Nietzche,
Kindle
Progressives are right that we live increasingly in a post-truth era, but
rather than rejecting it and pining nostalgically for a return to a more truthful time, we should learn to
better navigate it. Where the New York Times and Walter Cronkite were once viewed as arbiters of public truths,
today the Times competes with the Wall Street Journal, and CBS News with FOX News and MSNBC, in describing reality.
The diversity of
The Internet multiplies the perspectives and truths available for public consumption.
viewpoints opened up by new media is not going away and is likely to intensify.
This diversity of interpretations of reality is part of a longstanding trend. Democracy and
modernization have brought a proliferation of worldviews and
declining authority of traditional institutions to meanings . Citizens
have more freedom to create new interpretations of facts. This
proliferation of viewpoints makes the challenge of democratically
addressing contemporary problems more complex. One consequence
of all this is that our problems become more wicked and more
subject to conflicting meanings and agendas. We cant agree on the
nature of problems or their solutions because of fundamentally
unbridgeable values and worldviews . In attempting to reduce
political disagreement to black and white categories of fact and fiction,
progressives themselves uniquely ill-equipped to address our
current difficulties, or to advance liberal values in the culture. A new progressive
politics should have a different understanding of the truth than the one suggested by
the critics of conservative dishonesty. We should understand that human beings
make meaning and apprehend truth from radically different
standpoints and worldviews, and that our great wealth and freedom will likely lead to more, not
fewer, disagreements about the world. Nietzsche was no democrat, but the pluralism
he offers can be encouragement to todays political class , as well as the rest
of us, to become more self-aware of, and honest about, how our standpoint, values, and
power affect our determinations of what is true and what is false . In the post-
truth era, we should be able to articulate not one but many different
Presidents Council on Bioethics, employed EP reasoning to argue for the central role in world
politics of masculine values, which are rooted in biology. His argument starts with the claim that male and
female chimps display asymmetric behaviour, with the males far more prone to violence and domination. Female chimps have relationships;
male chimps practice realpolitik. Moreover, the line from chimp to modern man is continuous and this has signifi cant consequences for
of power politics remain largely masculine. This bifurcation heralds dangers, as masculine policies are essential in
dealing with a masculine world: In anything but a totally feminized world, feminized policies could be a liability. Fukuyama concludes the
essay with the assertion that the form of politics best suited to human nature issurprise, surprisefree-market capitalist democracy, and
that other political forms, especially those promoted by feminists and socialists, do not correspond with our biological inheritance.47 Once
authors to inform their analysis of resolutions. While I applaud these initial efforts to explore feminist thought, I am concerned that
such arguments only exemplify the general absence of sound causal reasoning in
debate rounds. Poor causal reasoning results from a debate practice that privileges empirical proof over rhetorical proof, fostering ignorance of
suffer from a reductionism that tends to marginalize the voices of significant feminist authors.
David Zarefsky made a persuasive case for the value of causal reasoning in intercollegiate debate as far back as 1979. He argued that
causal arguments are desirable for four reasons. First, causal analysis
increases the control of the arguer over events by promoting understanding of
them. Second, the use of causal reasoning increases rigor of analysis and fairness in the
or root cause of all forms of oppression. Patriarchy not only is responsible for sexism and the consequent
oppression of women, it also is the cause of totalitarianism, environmental degradation, nuclear war, racism, and capitalist exploitation.
Debaters practice the convention of poor causal reasoning as a result of judges' unexamined reliance
upon conventional form. Convention is the practice of arguing single-cause links to monolithic impacts that arises out of custom or usage.
Conventional form is the expectation of judges that an argument will take this form. Common practice or convention dictates that a case or
disadvantage with nefarious impacts causally related to a single link will "outweigh" opposing claims in the mind of the judge. In this sense,
implications. The power to define is the power both to include and exclude
people and ideas in and from that feminism . As a result, [bjourgeois white women interested in women's
rights issues have been satisfied with simple definitions for obvious reasons. Rhetorically placing themselves in the same social category as
oppressed women, they were not anxious to call attention to race and class privilege (hooks. Feminist Wieory 18). Debate arguments that
assume a singular conception of feminism include and empower the voices of race- and class-privileged women while excluding and silencing
assumption of arguments about feminism in intercollegiate debate - patriarchy is the sole cause of oppression.
Important feminist thought has resisted this assumption for good reason.
Designating patriarchy as the sole cause of oppression allows the
subjugation of resistance to other forms of oppression like racism and
classism to the struggle against sexism. Such subjugation has the effect of
denigrating the legitimacy of resistance to racism and classism as struggles
of equal importance. "Within feminist movement in the West, this led to the assumption that
resisting patriarchal domination is a more legitimate feminist action than
resisting racism and other forms of domination " (hooks. Talking Back 19). The relegation of struggles
against racism and class exploitation to offspring status is not the only implication of the "sole cause" argument In addition,
that we are dominated.If focus on patriarchal domination masks this reality or becomes the means
by which women deflect attention from the real conditions and circumstances of our lives, then women cooperate in
content of speech "often turns the voices and beings of non-white women
into commodity, spectacle" (hooks, Talking Back 14). Teaching sophisticated causal
reasoning enables our students to learn more concerning the subject matter
about which they argue. In this case, students would learn more about the
multiplicity of feminists instead of reproducing the marginalization of many
feminist voices in the debate itself. The content of the speech of feminists must be investigated to subvert the
colonization of exploited women. To do so, we must explore alternatives to the formal expectation of single-cause links to enormous impacts
for appropriation of the marginal voice threatens the very core of self-determination and free self-expression for exploited and oppressed
peoples. If the identified audience, those spoken to, is determined solely by ruling groups who control production and distribution, then it is
easy for the marginal voice striving for a hearing to allow what is said to be overdetermined by the needs of that majority group who appears
to be listening, to be tuned in (hooks, Talking Back 14). At this point, arguments about feminism in intercollegiate debate seem to be
overdetermined by the expectation of common practice, the "game" that we play in assuming there is such a thing as a direct and sole causal
link to a monolithic impact To play that game, we have gone along with the idea that there is a single feminism and the idea that patriarchal
impacts can account for all oppression. In making this critique, I am by no means discounting the importance of arguments about feminism in
intercollegiate debate. In fact, feminists contain the possibility of a transformational politic for two reasons. First, feminist concerns affect each
individual intimately. We are most likely to encounter patriarchal domination "in an ongoing way in everyday life. Unlike other forms of
domination, sexism directly shapes and determines relations of power in our private lives, in familiar social spaces..." (hooks. Talking Back 21).
Second, the methodology of feminism, consciousness-raising, contains within it the possibility of real societal transformation. "lE]ducation for
critical consciousness can be extended to include politicization of the self that focuses on creating understanding the ways sex, race, and class
together determine our individual lot and our collective experience" (hooks, Talking Back 24). Observing the incongruity between advocacy of
single-cause relationships and feminism does not discount the importance of feminists to individual or societal consciousness raising.
AT Experts Sexist
Using technical discourse strategically is key to solve the
K
Caprioli 4 (Mary, Dept. of Political Science @ the University of Tennessee,
PhD from the University of Connecticut, Feminist IR Theory and Quantitative
Methodology: A Critical Analysis, International Studies Review, Vol. 6, No. 2
(Jun., 2004), pp. 253-269)
We should learn from the research of feminist scholars to engage in a
dialogue that can be understood . Carol Cohn (1987), for example, found that one
could not be understood or taken seriously within the national security
arena without using a masculine-gendered language. In other words, a common language is
necessary to understand and be understood. This insight could be applied to feminist research within international relations. Why
not, as Charlotte Hooper (2001:10) suggests, make "strategic use of [expert jargon ] to
gain credibility for feminist arguments (or otherwise subvert it for feminist ends)." Little
justification exists for abandoning the liberal empiricists who reason
that "the problem of developing better knowledge lies not with the
scientific method itself but with the biases in the ways in which our
theories have been focused and developed" (Tickner 2001:13).
AT Deliberation Sexist
Deliberation doesnt exclude gendered analysis
Dahlberg 5 (Lincoln, The University of Queensland, Center for Critical and
Cultural Studies, Visiting Fellow, The Habermasian public sphere: Taking
difference seriously?, Theory and Society (2005) 34:111-126)
I believethis critique of power, transparency, and the subject is largely based upon a poor
characterization of Habermas position. There are three main misunderstandings that need to be
cleared up here, to do with power as negative, as able to be easily removed, and as able to be clearly identified. First, Habermas
questioning critics like Lyotard, Mouffe, and Villa are engaged in despite
claiming the normalizing and repressive power of communicative
rationality. These critics have yet to explain adequately how they escape
this performative contradiction, although they may not be too concerned to escape it.63 The form
of power that is to be excluded from discourse in the public sphere is
that which limits and disables democratic participation and leads to
communicative inequalities . Coercion and domination are (ideally)
excluded from the public sphere, which includes forms of domination
resulting from the maldistribution of material and authoritative resources
that lead to discursive inequalities . This emphasis on the ideal exclusion of coercion introduces the
second point of clari- fication, that the domination free public sphere is an idealization for the purposes of critique. Habermas is
more than aware of the fact that, as Nancy Fraser, Mouffe, and Young remind us, coercive forms of power, including
those that result from social inequality, can never be completely separated from the public
sphere.64 Claims that such power has been removed from any really-existing deliberative arena can only be made by ignoring or
hiding the operation of power. However, this does not mean that a reduction in
wholly re-move themselves and their communications from such influence. For Habermas,
subjects are always situated within culture. The public sphere is
posited upon intersubjective rather than subject-centered
rationality. It is through the process of communicative rationality,
and not via a Cartesian subject, that manipulation, deception, poor
reasoning, and so on, are identified and removed, and by which
meanings can be understood and communicated. In other words, it is through
rational-critical communication that discourse moves away from
coercion or non-public reason towards greater rational communication and a stronger public
sphere. The circularity here is not a problem, as it may seem, but is in fact the very essence of democratization: throughthe practice of
democracy, democratic practice is advanced. This democratizing process can be further illustrated in the important and challenging case of
social inequalities. Democratic theorists (bothdeliberative and difference) generally agree that social inequalities al-ways lead to some degree
of inequalities in discourse. Thus, the ide-alized public sphere of full discursive inclusion and equality requires that social inequalities be
merely effects of discourse, that there are no critical social agents acting in the process. It is not to
say that 125 subjects within discourse cannot themselves identify negative forms of power, cannot
reflexively monitor their own arguments, cannot rationally criticize
other positions, and so on. They can, and in practice do, despite the
instability of meaning . The point is that this reasoning and understanding is
(provisionally) achieved through the subjects situatedness in
discourse rather than via a pre-discursive abstract subject. As Kenneth Baynes argues, it is through discourse
that subjects achieve a degree of reflective distance (what we could call autonomy) from
peopleprivileged/marginalized, oppressor/oppressedthat we
often neglect to build spaces that antagonize the systems that
cause our collective trauma . All You Blacks Want All the Same Things We assume that if a person is systemically marginalized,
then they must have a vested interest in dismantling that system. Yet, thats not always the case. Take Orville Lloyd Douglas, who last summer wrote an article in the
Guardian in which he admitted that he hates being Black. I can honestly say I hate being a black male I just dont fit into a neat category of the stereotypical views
people have of black men. I hate rap music, I hate most sports, and I like listening to rock music I have nothing in common with the archetypes about the black male I
resent being compared to young black males (or young people of any race) who are lazy, not disciplined, or delinquent. Orville Lloyd Douglas, Why I Hate Being a Black
political ideals and practices. Furthermore, as we see in Andrea Smiths work, there are often
competing interests within these groups . We mistake essentialism
for intersectionality as we look for the ideal subjects to embody the
various forms of oppression; true intersectionality is a description of systemic power, not a call for diversity. If we
dont develop any substantive analysis of systemic power , then its
impossible to know what our interests are, and aligning with one
another according to shared interests is out of the question. In this
climate all that remains is the ally, which requires no real knowledge
or political effort, only the willingness to appear supportive of an
other. We cant build power that way. After having gathered to
oppose organized White supremacy at the University of North
Carolina, a group of organizers in Durham, North Carolina found that the Lefts
emphasis on personal identity and allyship was a major reason why
their efforts collapsed. They proposed that we adopt the practice of
forming alliances rather than identifying allies . (h/t NinjaBikeSlut) Much of the discourse around
being an ally seems to presume a relationship of one-sided support, with one person or group following anothers leadership. While there are certainly times where this
poststructuralist
gender (e.g. Butler, 1990; Hird, 2000), race (e.g. Gilroy, 2000; Miles and Torres, 2007), or sexuality (e.g. Zita, 1994). Indeed,
critique, such as Derridas conjecture of difference (Mumby and Putnam, 1992), illustrates how the
preservation of the privileged identity (white, man,
heterosexual) is existentially dependent upon a corresponding
relegated identity (black, woman, homosexual) (see Tyler and Cohen, 2008); or, to posit it in
Butlerian (1991) phrasing, heterosexuality presumes the being of homosexuality. Working from the same current,
sexual
heterosexuality (Butler, 1991; see also Butlers [1993] writing on performativity). A related stream of poststructuralist-inflected scholarship reveals how
relations (Pringle, 2008: S111). While feminists have long critiqued the tacit and the explicit claims of ontological sexual difference,
essentialist definitions of female and male continue to prevail in
popular culture and in certain academic disciplines (Frye, 1996).12 On this point, Hird (2004)
adopts a position in feminist science studies to develop a substantive critique into how the ontology of sexual difference is often rendered concrete in research propagated
process, neighborhood, or income strata. But there are material constraints to performative
"choice": one can't "perform" one's way out of an under-funded
inner city school or out of being a laid-off auto worker with dim
prospects of finding a new job with comparable wages and benefits.
Traditional sociological theories of "structuration" provide greater
insight into how these individuals would deal with these social
dilemmas than do micro-level theories of the discursive
construction of subjectivity. To her credit, Wendy Brown is more concerned with issues of class and political
economy than are many post-structuralist political theorists. She expressly claims to bring class back into her political analysis and condemns
identity poli- tics as a "phantasmagorical reflection of the 'middle-class' American dream." But there is little attention
in her work to developing a political strategy that could promise a structural and material
redistribution of power, rather than an alter- ation of how we think of
epistemology, discourse, and politics." While ideology and culture play a relatively autonomous role
in constituting subjectivity, both have a material structure that must be altered if society is to be democratized. Brown implies
radical social change does not as much involve democratiz- ing
that
The post-structuralist
assertation that power and truth are co-terminous can distinguish between more or less democratic forms of power?
hyper- emphasis on "discourse" and the agonal construction of the self also overly devalues the
state as an arena for political reform. Brown's work makes a positive political contribution by warning
social movements about fetishizing the struggle for group rights within the law as potential minefields of "reversed" power/knowledge
formations. State regulation and technocratic control which claim to defend the interests of newly, legally- recognized identities may yield the
perverse consequence of "domesticating" the identity of the insurgent social group (e.g. state micro-management of the work place in
"comparable worth legislation," or enforcement of patriarchal values in regard to punitive workfare or "child support" regulation)?" Sometimes,
as Brown contends, new-found rights may enhance separation and alienation between and within individuals and groups, as well as constitute
historical reality) that new "rights" can, in other contexts, con- tribute to human
emancipation by enhancing individual choice and freedom. To deny this is to
ignore the elective affinity between the struggle for "rights" and
struggles to achieve political equality for formerly subordinate
peoples. Not all new-found rights are "co-optative" and a "reinscribing of domination.""7 Nor will the conflict within the American
polity over how we should interpret and defend "rights" ever cease. One only has to witness
contemporary political con- conflict over "abortion rights," "voting rights," "gun
rights," etc. Rights are both politically contested and protective of certain
forms of human choice and agency. Rights do not "fix" identities as intransigently as
Brown and other post-structuralists claim. Do rights only serve, as Brown contends, to promote "the
language, produce a female subject "dependent upon the pater- nal state "
for protection. But is this not preferable to the prior form of paternal state
This preference is clearly political in nature , and Haraway makes no pretense of aspiring to epistemic
purity or foundational innocence. For Haraway, any epistemic privilege necessarily implies a
political (i.e., situated) preference . Her postmodern orientation elides the boundaries traditionally drawn between politics
standpoints situated It is absolutely crucial including those of feminist theorists. to Haraway's postmodern
themselves situated within the political agenda she sets for postmodern feminism;
preference or priority. Haraway, for example, believes that some subjugated standpoints may be more immediately revealing, especially since
they have been discounted and excluded for so long. They may prove especially useful in coming to understand the political and psychological mechanisms whereby the patriarchy
discounts the radically situated knowledges of others while claiming for its own (situated) knowledge an illicit epistemic privilege: The standpoints of the subjugated ... are savvy to
modes of denial through repression, forgetting, and disappearing acts ways of being nowhere while claiming to sec comprehensively. The subjugated have a decent chance to be on
to the god-trick and all its dazzlingand, therefore, blindingilluminations.34 But these subjugated standpoints
do not afford an epistemically privileged view of the world,
feminist theorists
Haraway warns
independent of the political agendas they have established. Reprising elements of Nietzsche's psychological profile of the "slave" type,
not exempt from critical re-examination , decoding, deconstruction, and interpretation; that is, from both
would move both parties closer to a more objective (or a third party)
Hooks 96 (bell hooks 96, Killing Rage: Ending Racism, Google Books, 269-
272)
black Americans are succumbing to and
269More than ever before in our history,
Of course
truth that 270white people can be anti-racist, that racism is not some immutable character flaw.
conception and our own colonized minds? We do not live in a revolutionary situation in the
United States. There is no leftist political organization here providing leadership and a cohesive strategy, and in particular the struggle
against women's oppression is not genuinely integrated into leftist activity and theory. Within such a context,
women need to work on another, intermediate level, both to shape our revolutionary
consciousness and to empower us to act on our own strategic demands . That is, we
which we might authentically express our rage. Women's anger is pervasive, as pervasive as
our oppression, but it frequently lurks underground. If we added up all of women's
depression--all our compulsive smiling, ego-tending, and sacrifice; all our psychosomatic illness, and all our passivity--we could gauge our
their capacity for angry self-expression as the exception rather than the rule. In Illinois, women chained
themselves together in the state house when it was clear that the ERA would not pass; the women
sought to express our collective anger at our legislators' cowardice and to do so in a conspicuous, public way. But actions such
as these often have little effect beyond their own time span. We
need to think beyond such forms to more socially effective ones. It is a
task open to all our creativity and skill--to tap our anger as a source of energy and to
focus it aesthetically and politically. We may have to combine images of anger with something else--say, images of how
women can construct the collectivity as a whole. It is here that, by their example, our third-world sisters have often taken the lead. Rosa Parks
refusing to sit in the back of the bus, Harriet Tubman leading slaves to the North, an Angolan mother in uniform carrying a baby and a rifle, a
Vietnamese farmer tilling and defending her land, Nicaraguan women in their block committees turning in wife abusers to the police--these
negating the bad that exists. And it is in their constant need to attack both sexism and racism, as well as
poverty and imperialist aggression, that third-world feminists now make us all see much more clearly both the urgent need for and the
possibility of reconstructing the whole world on new terms. Artistically, emotionally, and politically women seem to need to glimpse
dialectically the transcendence of our struggle against sexism before we can fully express sexism's total negation, that is, our own just rage.
anger might capacitate us to act for change, I reconsider Frantz Fanon's essay "Concerning
Violence" in The Wretched of the Earth. In that essay he describes decolonization, particularly the process by which the native sheds the
colonizer's values and the colonizer's ways. I understand that my black and Latina sisters in the United States experience
a rage against the economic and racial violence perpetrated every day against them; in a way that is similar to what Fanon describes:
this rage knows its resolution lies in a complete change of the economic order in which we live. At the same time, I must ask what
behavior stems from internalized and suppressed rage. Fanon describes such behavior in the colonized and posits active rage , the
violent response to violence, as its cure. What would the overturning of male supremacy and women's colonization mean to women? How
would it be accomplished? Fanon understands that a whole social structure and a new kind of person must come into being, and that those
with privilege know, fear, and resist this. His call to armed struggle, based on the very clear demarcations and abuses of power that the native
always sees, signals a survival struggle that does not characterize the war
between the sexes . As I read Fanon for what he can teach me about women's resistance to oppression in
nonrevolutionary society, I read him as a communist psychiatrist talking about how social movements can change the mentality of the
oppressed. When I ask about revolution for women now, minimally I see that our contestation cannot be conducted in the mode of nice girls, of
managing the egos of and patiently teaching those who oppress, which is a skill and duty we learned from our mothers in the domestic sphere.
Angry
If we do so, once again we will be placed in that very role of "helpmate" that we are trying to overcome.
force. It frees the woman from her inferiority complex and from despair and inaction; it makes her fearless and restores her self-respect.
At this point I will stop citing from and reworking Fanon, deliberately at the point of
turning our anger against each other and learn the most effective
ways to work together for social change. We can focus our anger
and harness it , but to do that we must clearly analyze cause and
effect. If theory accompanies anger, it will lead to effective solutions
to the problems at hand. We have great emotional and social power to unleash when we set loose our all too often
suppressed rage, but we may only feel free to do so when we know that we can use our anger in an astute and responsible way.
the idea that women are a homogeneous group will structure social
institutions so that they position all women homogeneously, leading to (at least considerable areas of) shared
experience. Thus, Riley (and other strategic essentialists)may be right that essentialist constructions are socially influential, but they cannot, consistently
with this, also maintain that descriptive essentialism is false. Furthermore, it is not obviously true that any
need to show that it accurately describes social reality. Here, though, critics
can retort that essentialism is descriptively false , since women do not even share any common
mode of construction by essentialist discourses. Yet this retort reinstates the problem of anti-
Perm do both
Fish 14 (Adam; Beyond surveillance fridges and socialized power drills:
social media and the financialization of everyday life; Mar 29;
savageminds.org/2014/03/29/beyond-surveillance-fridges-and-socialized-
power-drills-social-media-and-the-financialization-of-everyday-life/; kdf)
Meanwhile, Jeremy Rifkin sees Morozovs Internet of Things not as a
horror of surveillance and ever-sharper financial practices, but as
the birth of a maker movement. When the net cost of production not just of digitized
information like music and movies but of physical objects approaches zero, he claims, capitalism
faces a fundamental challenge, one in which the winners will be found in the nonprofit
sector. All those networked fridges and 3D printers , he says, are enabling
a second economy to grow up alongside capitalist production, an
economy based on sharing of goods and information, where we live
partly beyond markets, in an increasingly interdependent global
commons. Well, which will it be, dental espionage or ride-sharing our way into a global village?
Weve gone out into the field to try to find out, by examining new companies whore
trying to combine big data and the sharing economy, and asking
hard questions of their managers and of the people whore turning
to them as alternatives to old-school consumerist products and services. In our project, Third
Party Dematerialization and Rematerialization of Capital, funded by the Engineering and Physical Sciences
Research Councils Digital Economy Research In The Wild initiative, we are researching Zopa Limited, the
sort of financial innovator Morozov has in mind when he speaks of Silicon Valleys ability to disrupt Wall
Street with better data and better engineers. Zopa is a non-bank as regulation designed to
discourage upstarts and protect the market share of slow-to-innovate and too-big-to-fail firms limits the
use of the value-laden term bank a peer-to-peer lender. Zopa uses a proprietary algorithm to
evaluate credit risk, and then matches individual borrowers of relatively small sums with potential
investors of a bit of spare cash. Zopa claims that their highly stringent credit-evaluating algorithm, their
lack of legacy infrastructure, both buildings and IT, and their individual evaluation of potential borrowers
rather than trusting entirely to automated processes enable them to offer better rates to borrowers and
lenders than high street banks can bother with. Zopa is a successful financial firm with only one top
executive from the financial industry their risk analyst. With Big Data experts and social marketing
managers, Zopa explicitly applies Silicon Valley logics to a segment of what once was a UK high street
banking monopoly short to medium-term unsecured consumer lending and borrowing. Yet Zopa
neither deploys fleets of drones or the latest gimmicks of
gamification the techniques developed from the realization that well do nearly anything for
the quick hit of an endorphin rush from rewards as ephemeral as points or levels in a colorful game
While gamification is often claimed as the missing link
interface.
between financialization and social mediatization well do anything for
rewards, and we want all our friends to see our status, so well click to create the data for others to profit
from todays reality is remarkably more old-fashioned . The twin challenges of
social financialization are managing and marketing trust and risk. Once solely the province of banks, who
used neoclassical architecture, three-piece suits, and free toasters to convey social messages of high trust
and low risk, the largely dematerialized companies of social financialization necessarily use social media
and internet user interfaces to do the same job. The trend-surfers and hipsters of the world arent Zopas
clients: rather Zopa works to appeal to the newly financialized: older people with a bit of extra money who
are neither wealthy nor connected enough to be worth the time of innovation-challenged, blue-blooded UK
banks, and young families yet to see the recovery talked up on the newly-ubiquitous financial media.
Zopa designers see their job as creating an online presence that looks enough like a bank to convey
messages of trustworthiness and low risk, while simultaneously appealing to a demographic that feels
abandoned by banks in their oscillations between high risk/high return algorithm-driven trading and credit
It is in these
crunch unwillingness to lend to anyone who might actually have a need for funds.
everyday, slightly dowdy design choices that social financialization is
being built, in a process of connecting the dots between a lost age
of bricks-and-mortar rhetorics of trustworthiness a trustworthiness coupled
with incentives against too much financial literacy, too much desire to look behind the neoclassical facades
Morozovs all too likely future of trying
to interrogate actual banking practices and
to level up our gamified toothbrushes to lower our dental insurance
premiums. We need the cautionary tales of the dystopias were
building and the utopian visions of data power to the people, but
more, we need to know if our gateway drugs of social
financialization really are harmless hits and performance
enhancements, or whether they will lead inevitably to refrigerator madness. One thing we
suspect is true: we cant Just Say No.
abandon the case method, give up the effort to find rationality and order in the case law, and teach in an unabashedly political fashion. The CLS critique
of piecemeal reform is familiar, imperialistic and wrong . Minorities know from bitter
experience that occasional court victories do not mean the Promised Land is at hand . The critique is imperialistic in that it tells
potential to contribute to war than others, there may well be an infinite set
of motivating factors, or human wants, motivating aggression. It is not
the independent existence of such motivating factors for war but rather the
circumstances permitting or encouraging high risk decisions leading
to war that is the key to more effectively controlling war. And the
same may also be true of democide. The early focus in the Rwanda slaughter on "ethnic
conflict," as though Hutus and Tutsis had begun to slaughter each other through spontaneous combustion, distracted our
attention from the reality that a nondemocratic Hutu regime had carefully planned and orchestrated a genocide against
Certainly if we were able to press a
Rwandan Tutsis as well as its Hutu opponents.I1
button and end poverty, racism, religious intolerance, injustice, and
endless disputes, we would want to do so. Indeed, democratic
governments must remain committed to policies that will produce a
better world by all measures of human progress . The broader
achievement of democracy and the rule of law will itself assist in this
progress. No one, however, has yet been able to demonstrate the kind
of robust correlation with any of these "traditional" causes of war as
is reflected in the "democratic peace." Further, given the difficulties in
overcoming many of these social problems , an approach to
war exclusively dependent on their solution may be to doom us to
war for generations to come.
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
of law, in the context of the modern liberal state, does not reflect
our everyday experience of the means through which power and
government are exercised. Similarly, the role played by expert
knowledge and discursive power relations in Foucault's conceptualisation of
modernity, such that law is fated to justify its operations by 'perpetual reference to something other than itself*
and to 'be redefined by knowledge' (Foucault, 1991: 22), does not accord with the world of
mundane practice. In their sympathetic critique of his work. Hunt and Wickham (1998) point to the way in
which Foucault's treatment of sovereignty and law must necessarily lead him
essentialist view. This also emphasises the need to divide what the struggle is against more detailed. Then it
might be easier to solve those effects caused by Islamophobia and
implement new laws that react against it more effectively. After all, Karaman
revealed experiences where some situations had been hard to interpret as Islamophobia or a dangerous and reckless
game by some teenagers; as misunderstandings can easily cause more damage than good. However, clearly it has been
verified that there is a need to address Islamophobia both within the media, the labour market, housing, medical care,
schools and so forth. Most importantly, as the imams also declared, it is maybe time to embrace and highlight the positive
attributes of Islam and the Muslim population instead of always doing the opposite.
1ar AT Turns Counter Terrorism
Its not the root cause of terrorism Muslim terrorism pre-
dates CT
Rashi 14freelance journalist and writer for the Huffington Post (Tanjil,
3/16/14, "The Muslims are Coming!, by Arun Kundnani", Financial Times,
www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/af5ef4c6-aa15-11e3-8bd6-
00144feab7de.html)//twemchen
**edited for language
both groups inclined, Kundnani writes, to see terrorists motivated by fanaticism inherent to Islam. History
offers correctives to these narratives , demonstrating varieties of
Islam being as rooted in rationalism as the Enlightenment; the
Enlightenment being as tied to terror as Islam (the word terrorism itself was first
used during The Terror of the Enlightenment-inspired French revolution). The Muslims are Coming! lacks optimism but
there is every reason to be- lieve Muslim might one day be suffixed to Judeo-Christian when describing the wests
culture and values. Note how one prominent French intellectual writes about Europes growing population of a certain
religious minority: All of them are born with raging fanaticism in their hearts. The author of these unenlightened
remarks? Voltaire. His subject? The Jews.
1ar AT Turns War
Structural violence doesnt escalate
Hinde 2k Robert Hinde and Lea Pulkkinnen, Cambridge psychology
professor and University of Jyvskyl psychology professor, 2000, DRAFT
Background Paper for Working Group 1: HUMAN AGGRESSIVENESS AND WAR,
50th Pugwash Conference On Science and World Affairs: "Eliminating the
Causes of War" Queens' College, Cambridge,
http://www.pugwash.org/reports/pac/pac256/WG1draft1.htm
People are capable of perpetrating the most terrible acts of violence on their fellows. From before recorded history
humans have killed humans, and violence is potentially present in every society. There is no escaping the fact that the
capacity to develop a propensity for violence is part of human nature. But that does not mean that aggression is
inevitable: temporary anger need not give rise to persistent hostility, and hostility need not
give rise to acts of aggression. And people also have the capacity to care for the needs of others, and are capable
of acts of great altruism and self-sacrifice. A subsidiary aim of this workshop is to identify the factors that make aggressive
Some degree of conflict of interest is
tendencies predominate over the cooperative and compassionate ones.
often present in relationships between individuals, in the relations between groups of individuals
within states, and in the relations between states: we are concerned with the factors that
make such conflicts escalate into violence. The answer to that question depends critically on the context.
While there may be some factors in common, the bases of individual aggressiveness are
very different from those involved in mob violence, and they differ yet again from the factors
influencing the bomb-aimer pressing the button in a large scale international war. In considering
whether acts which harm others are a consequence of the aggressive motivation of individuals, it is essential to recognise
the diversity of such acts, which include interactions between individuals, violence between groups, and wars of the WW2
type. We shall see that, with increasing social complexity, individual aggressiveness becomes progressively less
important, but other aspects of human nature come to contribute to group phenomena. Although research on human
violence has focussed too often on the importance of one factor or another, it is essential to remember that
violence always has multiple causes, and the interactions between the causal
factors remain largely unexplored.
Neech
2ac F/L
the theoretical oversight. The key thing is this. Lacan's notion of travers- ing the fantasy
involves the radical transformation of people's sub- jective structure :
a refounding of their most elementary beliefs about themselves, the world, and sexual difference. This is
undertaken in the security of the clinic, on the basis of the
analysands' volun- tary desire to overcome their inhibitions,
symptoms and anxieties. As a clinical and existential process, it has its own
independent importance and authenticity. The analysands, in transforming their
subjective world, change the way they regard the objective, shared social
reality outside the clinic. But they do not transform the world. The political
relevance of the clinic can only be (a) as a support- ing moment in
ideology critique or (b) as a fully-fledged model of politics, provided that the
political subject and its social object are ultimately identical. Option ((7), Zizek's option, rests on the idea, not only of a
subject who becomes who he is only through his (mis) recognition of the objective sociopolitical order, but whose
'traversal of the fantasy' is immediately identical with his transformation of the socio-political system or Other. I-Ience,
according to Zizek, we can analyse the institutional embodiments of
this Other using psy- choanalytic categories. In Chapter 4, we saw Zi2ek's resulting
This leads him
elision of the distinction between the (subjective) Ego Ideal and the (objec- tive) Symbolic Order.
to analyse our entire culture as a single subject-object, whose
perverse (or perhaps even psychotic) structure is expressed in every
manifestation of contemporary life. Zizek's decisive political-theoretic errors, one substantive
and the other methodological, are different (see Figure 5.1) The substantive problem is to equate any political
change worth the name with the total change of the subject-object that is, today, global capitalism. This is a
type of change that can only mean equat- ing politics with violent
regime change, and ultimately embrac- ing dictatorial govermnent,
as Zizek now frankly avows (IDLC 412-19). We have seen that the ultra-
political form of Zizek's criti- cism of everyone else, the theoretical
Left and the wider politics, is that no one is sufficiently radical for
him - even, we will discover, Chairman Mao. We now see that this is because Zizek's model of politics
proper is modelled on a pre-critical analogy with the total transformation of a subiect's entire subjective structure, at the
We have seen
end of the talking cure. For what could the concrete consequences of this governing analogy be?
Lacanian cure, it must involve the complete 'traversal' - in Hegel's terms, the
abstract versus the determinate negation - of all these lived myths, practices and habits. Politics must involve the periodic
founding of of entire new subjectobjects. Providing the model for this set of ideas, the first iekian political subject was
Schellings divided God, who gave birth to the entire Symbolic Order before the beginning of time (IDLC 153; OB 1448).
can the political theorist reasonably hope or expect that subjects
But
will simply give up on all their inherited ways , myths and beliefs, all
in one world- creating moment? And can they be legitimately asked
or expected to, on the basis of a set of ideals whose legitimacy they
will only retrospectively see, after they have acceded to the Great
Leap Forward ? And if they do not for iek laments that today
subjects are politically disengaged in unprecedented ways what
means can the theorist and his allies use to move them to do so?
The idea that being nice to everyone will solve all our
problems is utopian nonsense our threats are real lying
would get our authors fired
Ravenal 9 [Earl C., distinguished senior fellow in foreign policy studies @
Cato, is professor emeritus of the Georgetown University School of Foreign
Service. He is an expert on NATO, defense strategy, and the defense budget.
He is the author of Designing Defense for a New World Order. What's Empire
Got to Do with It? The Derivation of America's Foreign Policy. Critical Review:
An Interdisciplinary Journal of Politics and Society 21.1 (2009) 21-75]
The underlying notion of the security bureaucracies . . . looking for
new enemies is a threadbare concept that has somehow taken hold across the political spectrum,
from the radical left (viz. Michael Klare [1981], who refers to a threat bank), to the liberal center (viz. Robert H. Johnson [1997], who
dismisses most alleged threats as improbable dangers), to libertarians (viz. Ted Galen Carpenter [1992], Vice President for Foreign and
why , say, the American government significantly(not merely in excusable rhetoric) might magnify
and even invent threats (and, more seriously, act on such inflated threat estimates). In a few places, Eland (2004,
185) suggests that such behavior might stem from military or national security bureaucrats attempts to enhance their personal status and
organizational budgets, or even from the influence and dominance of the military-industrial complex; viz.: Maintaining the empire and
retaliating for the blowback from that empire keeps what President Eisenhower called the military-industrial complex fat and happy. Or, in the
same section: In the nations capital, vested interests, such as the law enforcement bureaucracies . . . routinely take advantage of crisesto
satisfy parochial desires. Similarly, many corporations use crises to get pet projects a.k.a. porkfunded by the government. And national
bureaucratic-
security crises, because of peoples fears, are especially ripe opportunities to grab largesse. (Ibid., 182) Thus,
politics theory, which once made several reputa- tions (such as those of Richard Neustadt, Morton Halperin, and Graham Allison)
in defense-intellectual circles, and spawned an entire sub-industry within the field of international relations,5 is put into the
service of dismissing putative security threats as imaginary . So, too, can a surprisingly
cognate theory, public choice,6 which can be considered the right-wing analog of the bureaucratic-politics model, and is a preferred
interpretation of governmental decision- making among libertarian observers. As Eland (2004, 203) summarizes: Public-choice theory argues
[that] the government itself can develop sepa- rate interests from its citizens. The government reflects the interests of powerful pressure
groups and the interests of the bureaucracies and the bureaucrats in them. Although this problem occurs in both foreign and domestic policy,
it may be more severe in foreign policy because citizens pay less attention to policies that affect them less directly. There is, in this statement
of public-choice theory, a certain ambiguity, and a certain degree of contradiction: Bureaucrats are supposedly, at the same time, subservient
to societal interest groups and autonomous from society in general. This journal has pioneered the argument that state autonomy is a likely
consequence of the publics ignorance of most areas of state activity (e.g., Somin 1998; DeCanio 2000a, 2000b, 2006, 2007; Ravenal 2000a).
But state autonomy does not necessarily mean that bureaucrats substitute their own interests for those of what could be called the national
society that they ostensibly serve. I have argued (Ravenal 2000a) that, precisely because of the public-ignorance and elite-expertise factors,
and especially because the opportunitiesat least for bureaucrats (a few notable post-government lobbyist cases nonwithstanding)for
lucrative self-dealing are stringently fewer in the defense and diplomatic areas of government than they are in some of the contract-
dispensing and more under-the-radar-screen agencies of government, the public-choice imputation of self-dealing, rather than working
toward the national interest (which, however may not be synonymous with the interests, perceived or expressed, of citizens!) is less likely to
hold. In short, state autonomy is likely to mean, in the derivation of foreign policy, that state elites are using rational judgment, in insulation
from self-promoting interest groupsabout what strategies, forces, and weapons are required for national defense. Ironically, public
choicenot even a species of economics, but rather a kind of political interpretationis not even about public choice, since, like the
bureaucratic-politics model, it repudiates the very notion that bureaucrats make truly public choices; rather, they are held, axiomatically, to
exhibit rent-seeking behavior, wherein they abuse their public positions in order to amass private gains, or at least to build personal empires
within their ostensibly official niches. Such sub- rational models actually explain very little of what they purport to observe. Of course, there is
some truth in them, regarding the behavior of some people, at some times, in some circumstances, under some conditions of incentive and
motivation. But the factors that they posit operate mostly as constraints on the otherwise rational optimization of objectives that, if for no
other reason than the playing out of official roles, transcends merely personal or parochial imperatives. My treatment of role differs from
that of the bureaucratic-politics theorists, whose model of the derivation of foreign policy depends heavily, and acknowledgedly, on a narrow
and specific identification of the role- playing of organizationally situated individuals in a partly conflictual pulling and hauling process that
results in some policy outcome. Even here, bureaucratic-politics theorists Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow (1999, 311) allow that some
players are not able to articulate [sic] the governmental politics game because their conception of their job does not legitimate such activity.
This is a crucial admission, and one that points empiricallyto the need for a broader and generic treatment of role. Roles (all theorists
risk of career termination . And, as mentioned, the defense bureaucracy is hardly a productive place for truly
talented rent-seekers to operatecompared to opportunities for personal profit in the commercial world. A bureaucrats very self-placement in
these reaches of government testi- fies either to a sincere commitment to the national interest or to a lack of sufficient imagination to exploit
opportunities for personal profit.
Preemption
2ac F/L
framework this 1nc is really framework dependent but if you manage to weigh the affirmative, its
hard to win
2 parts
--our discussion good because it affects the world even if this is about
sustaining desires, that doesnt mean it doesnt work the fantasy still gets
people to do things and you can change it
--they cheated the negative will spend a bunch of time articulating what
ground the affirmative gets, which lets you justify a bunch of args
lack
--baby gets pooped out
--the baby doesnt think of itself outside the world it thinks the world exists
to serve it theres a weak/no separation between the thing and the world
--eventually, it wants something, and someone says no for instance, the
baby wants the boob, and someone says no
--suddenly, the baby realizes that the world has agency
--the mirror stage allows the baby to enter into the symbolic allowing the
baby to be interpreted by others but the drawback is that youre now
separate from the world, and the world is no longer obligated to the baby
realizing that the baby is not the world causes the baby to lose its association
with the world
--thats the lack
--we try to fill the lack thats desire
--but no thing will fill the lack only the drive to get the thing is enjoyable
--the death drive is the drive to fill the lack which always defeats itself
whatever thing you want at the time is something called the petit objet A
the little object A
2ac F/L
Conclusion: The constitutive lack of radicalism in Lacanian politics There is more than an accidental relationship between
the mythical operation of the concept of "constitutive lack" and Lacanians' conservative and pragmatist politics. Myth is a
way of reducing thought to the present: the isolated signs which are included in the mythical gesture are thereby attached
On an analytical level, Lacanian theory can be very
to extra-historical abstractions.
"radical", unscrupulously exposing the underlying relations and assumptions concealed beneath officially-
sanctioned discourse. This radicalism, however, never translates into political
the alibi function of myth. The short-circuit between specific instances and
high-level abstractions is politically consequential. A present evil
can be denounced and overthrown if located in an analysis with a
"middle level", but Lacanian theory tends in practice to add an
"always" which prevents change . At the very most, such change cannot affect the basic matrix
posited by Lacanian theory, because this is assumed to operate above history. In this way, Lacanian theory operates as an
alibi: it offers a little bit of theoretical radicalism to inoculate the system against the threat posed by a lot of politicized
radicalism134. In Laclau and Mouffe's version, this takes the classic Barthesian form: " yes,
liberal
democracy involves violent exclusions, but what is this compared to
the desert of the real outside it?" The Zizekian version is more complex: "yes, there can be a
revolution, but after the revolution, one must return to the pragmatic tasks of the present". A good example is provided in
one of Zizek's texts. The author presents an excellent analysis of a Kafkaesque incident in the former Yugoslavia where
the state gives a soldier a direct, compulsory order to take a voluntary oath - in other words, attempts to compel consent.
He then ruins the impact of this example by insisting that there is always such a moment of "forced choice", and that one
should not attempt to escape it lest one end up in psychosis or totalitarianism135. The political function
of Lacanian theory is to preclude critique by encoding the present
as myth. There is a danger of a stultifying conservatism arising from within Lacanian political theory, echoing
the 'terrifying conservatism' Deleuze suggests is active in any reduction of history to negativity136.
The addition of an "always" to contemporary evils amounts to a
" pessimism of the will ", or a " repressive reduction of thought to the
present". Stavrakakis, for instance, claims that attempts to find causes and
thereby to solve problems are always fantasmatic1 37, while Zizek
states that an object which is perceived as blocking something does
nothing but materialize the already-operative constitutive lack 138. While
this does not strictly entail the necessity of a conservative attitude to the possibility of any specific reform, it
the theoretical oversight. The key thing is this. Lacan's notion of travers- ing the fantasy
involves the radical transformation of people's sub- jective structure :
a refounding of their most elementary beliefs about themselves, the world, and sexual difference. This is
undertaken in the security of the clinic, on the basis of the
analysands' volun- tary desire to overcome their inhibitions,
symptoms and anxieties. As a clinical and existential process, it has its own
independent importance and authenticity. The analysands, in transforming their
subjective world, change the way they regard the objective, shared social
reality outside the clinic. But they do not transform the world. The political
relevance of the clinic can only be (a) as a support- ing moment in
ideology critique or (b) as a fully-fledged model of politics, provided that the
political subject and its social object are ultimately identical. Option ((7), Zizek's option, rests on the idea, not only of a
subject who becomes who he is only through his (mis) recognition of the objective sociopolitical order, but whose
'traversal of the fantasy' is immediately identical with his transformation of the socio-political system or Other. I-Ience,
according to Zizek, we can analyse the institutional embodiments of
this Other using psy- choanalytic categories. In Chapter 4, we saw Zi2ek's resulting
elision of the distinction between the (subjective) Ego Ideal and the (objec- tive) Symbolic Order. This leads him
to analyse our entire culture as a single subject-object, whose
perverse (or perhaps even psychotic) structure is expressed in every
manifestation of contemporary life. Zizek's decisive political-theoretic errors, one substantive
and the other methodological, are different (see Figure 5.1) The substantive problem is to equate any political
change worth the name with the total change of the subject-object that is, today, global capitalism. This is a
type of change that can only mean equat- ing politics with violent
regime change, and ultimately embrac- ing dictatorial govermnent,
as Zizek now frankly avows (IDLC 412-19). We have seen that the ultra-
political form of Zizek's criti- cism of everyone else, the theoretical
Left and the wider politics, is that no one is sufficiently radical for
him - even, we will discover, Chairman Mao. We now see that this is because Zizek's model of politics
proper is modelled on a pre-critical analogy with the total transformation of a subiect's entire subjective structure, at the
We have seen
end of the talking cure. For what could the concrete consequences of this governing analogy be?
Lacanian cure, it must involve the complete 'traversal' - in Hegel's terms, the
abstract versus the determinate negation - of all these lived myths, practices and habits. Politics must involve the periodic
founding of of entire new subjectobjects. Providing the model for this set of ideas, the first iekian political subject was
Schellings divided God, who gave birth to the entire Symbolic Order before the beginning of time (IDLC 153; OB 1448).
can the political theorist reasonably hope or expect that subjects
But
will simply give up on all their inherited ways , myths and beliefs, all
in one world- creating moment? And can they be legitimately asked
or expected to, on the basis of a set of ideals whose legitimacy they
will only retrospectively see, after they have acceded to the Great
Leap Forward ? And if they do not for iek laments that today
subjects are politically disengaged in unprecedented ways what
means can the theorist and his allies use to move them to do so?
Psychos made up
Tuck 14 B.S. from University of Michigan, (Andrew, Why Did American
Psychiatry Abandon Psychoanalysis?,
http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/107788/antuck.pdf?
sequence=1)
To say that psychoanalysis has grown stagnant as a scientific field may at first seem a sweeping and completely
unwarranted claim. After all, in terms of producing new branches of thought, psychoanalytic theory has undoubtedly
proven an expansive and fruitful domain; to argue that psychoanalytic progress suddenly stopped after Freud would
require answering to object relations theory, ego psychology, self psychology, and Lacanian psychoanalysis, to name but
a few. Furthermore, rather than dying with Freud in 1939, psychoanalysis produced these subfields through a variety of
different thinkersthe role of Melanie Klein, Anna Freud, Heinz Kohut, and Jacques Lacan in their respective theories
above seem to demonstrate that psychoanalysis was not a one-man show after all. In fact, it was during the decades
immediately following Freuds death that dynamic psychiatry was at the peak of its influence in the United States. 11,12
Given the proliferation of new models and theories of psychoanalytic thought
under an equally diverse group of psychoanalysts, on what grounds could the
argument that psychoanalysis failed to produce visible and useful knowledge
possibly possess any merit? The answer is in the question: it was precisely
the sheer amount and diversity of psychoanalytic subfields that delegitimized
psychoanalysis as a whole: the presence of such diversity of opinion within
the same field undermined the authority of any one subfield. Rather than
adding to a collective fund of psychoanalytic knowledge, each of these
different subfields took a different approach to psychoanalytic theory and
practice. Former American Psychiatric Association president Alan Stone said: Today, at least in my opinion, and I am
not entirely alone in thinking this, neither Anna Freud's Ego Psychology nor Melanie Klein's
Object Relations Theory seem like systematic advances on Freud's ideas.
Rather they seem like divergent schools of thought, no closer to Freud than
Karen Horney who rebelled against Freudian orthodoxy. 1 3 The frequent
emergence of these competing divergent schools of thought and their
dissenting followers, then, made any developments in psychoanalysis seem
to other scientists less like legitimate scientific discoveries and more like
competing hypotheses. In contrast with more established fields like biology, innovations in
psychoanalysis often seemed to contradict earlier psychoanalytic ideas as
well as one another, frequently forming branches and sub-branches without
regard to maintaining any sort of continuity or internal consistency in
psychoanalysis as a whole. 14,15 In fact, many of these developments were reactionary in nature,
responding to other trends in psychoanalysis rather than to new clinical data. This is the case of Heinz Kohuts
development of self psychology, which was a reaction against the subfields of ego psychology and classical drive theory.
The revival of American interest in the work of Melanie Klein in the second half of the twentieth century has also been
never did one of these new theories
described as a reaction against ego psychology. 16 Furthermore,
thoroughly abrogate and replace a previous one in the way that, for example,
Einsteins theory of general relativity transformed Newtonian physics. This is
not to say that a new idea in psychoanalysis would not have been met with
resistance upon its introduction; however, it soon proved that psychoanalysis
on the whole lacked the tools that other disciplines had to debunk or prove
new theories. By what criteria could psychoanalysts reject or accept a new hypothesis? In physics, a new model
was expected to be compatible with currently available data, as well as able to make predictions to be confirmed by
observation17; similarly, a new pharmaceutical drug was expected to prove itself by beating a control in a double-blind
But such criteria, even if psychoanalysts wanted to use them, were not as
trial.
conveniently applied to unconscious phenomena proposed by
psychoanalysis. Even the gathering of data from clinical psychotherapy was
typically unable to resolve the conflict between two competing subfields;
problematically, any clinical data that could potentially prove the efficacy of
one psychoanalytic school could be interpreted to support others as well. 18 In
an article for Psychoanalytic Psychology, psychologist Robert Holt, even as he argued for the validity of psychoanalysis as
a testable scientific theory,19 admitted the difficulty of producing data that could settle disputes between
psychoanalytic and non-psychoanalytic theories, let alone between schools within psychoanalysis:
Extinction outweighs
a) Forecloses future improvement turns the alt and
forfeits all lifes intrinsic value
b) Turns suffering extinction is the failure of human
efforts to preserve the integrity of creation
c) Moral obligation to preserve earth for future
generations
No scapegoating
Gollwitzer 4 --- University of Trier, Germany (Mario, Do Normative
Transgressions Affect Punitive Judgments? An Empirical Test of the
Psychoanalytic Scapegoat Hypothesis, SagePub)//trepka
DISCUSSION The psychoanalytic scapegoat hypothesis implies (a) that
individuals who are guilty of violating a law or norm tend to impose
harsher punitive judgments on comparable wrongdoers than nonguilty
individuals and (b) that transgressors punitiveness should be amplified by
nor the blame-avoidance motivation hypothesis. One could think of other empirical
accesses to the effect of decision conflicts. For example, the subjective quality of
experienced decision conflicts in tempting situations might have trait-like qualities: Individuals might consistently differ in
the way they perceive and solve moral decision conflicts and in the amount of unease connected to these decision
conflicts. These interindividual differences could be assessed and tested as predictors for punitive judgments. Second,
moral conflicts may be better captured by assessing them on a more idiosyncratic level. Participants could be interviewed
about temptation situations in which they recall having experienced a strong decision conflict; subsequently, their punitive
judgments could be assessed in an adaptively constructed criminal case vignette that resembles this particular
temptation. Finally, a possible conflict- punitiveness relation might be moderated by other variables than authoritarianism.
Because fear of an Idbreakthrough is considered the crucial motor
of scapegoating by Freud (1923/1990), trait anxiety appears to be a
suitable moderator variable. It is remarkable that a prominent theoretical account such as the
psychoanalytic scapegoat hypothesis, which is discussed among principal penological
theories in standard textbooks on legal studies (e.g., Gppinger, 1997; Kaiser, 1996; Schwind, 2002), has never
No death drive
Carel 6 Havi Carel is a Senior Lecturer in Philosophy at the University of the
West of England. (Life and Death in Freud and Heidegger)
The notion of the death drive is on the one hand too wide, explaining all
types of aggression as well as the putative urge towards complete
rest. This leads the notion to be economically incoherent, as will be discussed in
the next section. But a prior point must be examined: are all types of aggression the same ? Freud
suggests a positive answer, but as a psychological taxonomy this approach seems to erase
notion of the death drive is vague. The death drive cannot explain a
given situation because it itself becomes meaningful only as a
collection of situations. On Freud's account, any behaviour meriting the
adjective 'aggressive' arises from the death drive . If we take a certain set of aggressive
behaviours, say, sadistic ones, the death drive would come to signify this set. If we take another set of masochistic behaviours, the death drive
There is no
seems to be a sophisticated, fruitfully flexible approach. But in the case of the death drive, it seems to be too flexible.
the explanatory value of the death drive is not satisfactory . Because of the two
problems set out above - the excessive promiscuity of the notion of aggression and the fact that it irons significant differences between the
The concept as presented by Freud does allow too much in and lumps
various phenomena its explanatory value is limited
science is of a
mathematics, the logic of their theories, and the values that guide their enterprise. In this conception,
The commitment to
be few occasions in which we are forced to concede It just is or Its magic or Because I said so.
intelligibility with a sin called reductionism. But to explain a complex happening in terms of
deeper principles is not to discard its richness. No sane thinker would try to explain World War I in the language of physics, chemistry, and
biology as opposed to the more perspicuous language of the perceptions and goals of leaders in 1914 Europe. At the same time, a curious
person can legitimately ask why human minds are apt to have such perceptions and goals, including the tribalism, overconfidence, and sense
of honor that fell into a deadly combination at that historical moment. The second ideal is that the acquisition of knowledge is hard. The world
. Most
does not go out of its way to reveal its workings, and even if it did, our minds are prone to illusions, fallacies, and super- stitions
of the traditional causes of belieffaith, revelation, dogma, authority, charisma, conventional wisdom, the
invigorating glow of subjective certaintyare generators of error and should be dismissed
While he rejects Marxs conception of communism, iek devotes none of the over one thousand pages of Less Than
Nothing to specifying the economic system or institutions of government that would feature in a communist society of the
kind he favors. In effect a compendium of ieks work to date, Less Than Nothing is devoted instead to
reinterpreting Marx by way of Hegelone of the books sections is called Marx as a Reader of Hegel, Hegel as a Reader of
reformulating Hegelian philosophy by reference to the
Marxand
thought of the French psychoanalyst Jacques Lacan. A post-structuralist who
rejected the belief that reality can be captured in language, Lacan also rejected the standard interpretation of Hegels idea
of the cunning of reason, according to which world history is the realization by oblique and indirect means of reason in
human life. For Lacan as iek summarizes him, The Cunning of Reasonin no way involves a faith in a secret guiding
hand guaranteeing that all the apparent contingency of unreason will somehow contribute to the harmony of the Totality
of Reason: if anything, it involves a trust in un-Reason. On this Lacanian reading, the message of Hegels philosophy is
not the progressive unfolding of rationality in history but instead the impotence of reason. The Hegel that emerges in
ieks writings thus bears little resemblance to the idealist philosopher who features in standard histories of thought.
Hegel is commonly associated with the idea that history has an inherent logic in which ideas are embodied in practice and
then left behind in a dialectical process in which they are transcended by their opposites. Drawing on the contemporary
French philosopher Alain Badiou, iek radicalizes this idea of dialectic to mean the rejection of the logical principle of
noncontradiction, so that rather than seeing rationality at work in history, Hegel rejects reason itself as it has been
understood in the past. Implicit in Hegel (according to iek) is a new kind of paraconsistent logic in which a proposition
is not really suppressed by its negation. This new logic, iek suggests, is well suited to understanding capitalism today.
Is not postmodern capitalism an increasingly paraconsistent system, he asks rhetorically, in which, in a variety of
modes, P is non-P: the order is its own transgression, capitalism can thrive under communist rule, and so on? Living in
the End Times is presented by iek as being concerned with this situation. Summarizing the books central theme, he
writes: The underlying premise of the present book is a simple one: the global capitalist system is approaching an
apocalyptic zero-point. Its four riders of the apocalypse are comprised by the ecological crisis, the consequences of the
biogenetic revolution, imbalances within the system itself (problems with intellectual property; forthcoming struggles over
With its
raw materials, food and water), and the explosive growth of social divisions and exclusions.
sweeping claims and magniloquent rhetoric, this passage is typical
of much in ieks work. What he describes as the premise of the
book is simple only because it passes over historical facts . Reading it, no
one would suspect that, putting aside the killings of many millions for ideological reasons, some of the last centurys worst
ecological disastersthe destruction of nature in the former Soviet Union and the devastation of the countryside during
Maos Cultural Revolution, for exampleoccurred in centrally planned economies. Ecological devastation is not a result
only of the economic system that exists in much of the world at the present time; while it may be true that the prevailing
version of capitalism is unsustainable in environmental terms, there is nothing in the history of the past century that
suggests the environment will be better protected if a socialist system is installed. But to criticize iek for neglecting
these facts is to misunderstand his intent, for unlike Marx he does not aim to ground his theorizing in a reading of history
that is based in facts. Todays historical juncture does not compel us to drop the notion of the proletariat, or of the
proletarian positionon the contrary, it compels us to radicalize it to an existential level beyond even Marxs
imagination, he writes. We need a more radical notion of the proletarian subject [i.e., the thinking and acting human
being], a subject reduced to the evanescent point of the Cartesian cogito, deprived of its substantial content. In ieks
hands, Marxian ideaswhich in Marxs materialist view were meant to designate objective social factsbecome
subjective expressions of revolutionary commitment. Whether such ideas correspond to anything in the world is irrelevant.
Why should anyone adopt ieks ideas
There is a problem at this point, however:
rather than any others? The answer cannot be that ieks are true
in any traditional sense. The truth we are dealing with here is not
objective truth, iek writes, but the self-relating truth about
ones own subjective position; as such, it is an engaged truth, measured not by its factual accuracy
but by the way it affects the subjective position of enunciation. If this means anything, it is that truth is determined by
reference to how an idea accords with the projects to which the speaker is committedin ieks case, a project of
The
revolution. But this only poses the problem at another level: Why should anyone adopt ieks project?
question cannot be answered in any simple way, since it is far from
clear what ieks revolutionary project consists in. He shows no signs of doubting
that a society in which communism was realized would be better than any that has ever existed. On the other hand, he is
unable to envision any circumstances in which communism might be realized: Capitalism is not just a historical epoch
among others. Francis Fukuyama was right: global capitalism is the end of history.1 Communism is not for iekas it
was for Marxa realizable condition, but what Badiou describes as a hypothesis, a conception with little positive content
but that enables radical resistance against prevailing institutions. iek is insistent that such resistance must include the
use of terror: Badious provocative idea that one should reinvent emancipatory terror today is one of his most profound
insights. Recall Badious exalted defense of Terror in the French Revolution, in which he quotes the justification of the
iek celebrates
guillotine for Lavoisier: The Republic has no need for scientists.2 Along with Badiou,
Maos Cultural Revolution as the last truly great revolutionary
explosion of the twentieth century. But he also regards the Cultural Revolution as a failure,
citing Badious conclusion that the Cultural Revolution, even in its very impasse, bears witness to the impossibility truly
and globally to free politics from the framework of the party-State.3 Mao in encouraging the Cultural Revolution evidently
iek praises the Khmer
should have found a way to break the power of the party-state. Again,
Rouge for attempting a total break with the past. The attempt
involved mass killing and torture on a colossal scale; but in his view
that is not why it failed: The Khmer Rouge were, in a way, not
radical enough: while they took the abstract negation of the past to the limit, they did not
invent any new form of collectivity. (Here and elsewhere the italics are ieks.) A
genuine revolution may be impossible in present circumstances, or
any that can be currently imagined. Even so, revolutionary violence
should be celebrated as redemptive, even divine. While iek has
described himself as a Leninist,4 there can be no doubt that this position would be anathema to the Bolshevik leader.
Lenin had no qualms in using terror in order to promote the cause of communism (for him, a practically attainable
objective). Always deployed as part of a political strategy, violence was instrumental in nature. In contrast, though
iek accepts that violence has failed to achieve its communist goals and has no prospect of doing so, he
insists that revolutionary violence has intrinsic value as a symbolic
expression of rebelliona position that has no parallel in either Marx or Lenin. A precedent may be
seen in the work of the French psychiatrist Frantz Fanon, who defended the use of violence against colonialism as an
assertion of the identity of subjects of colonial power; but Fanon viewed this violence as part of a struggle for national
independence, an objective that was in fact achieved. A clearer precedent can be found in the work of the early-twentieth-
century French theorist of syndicalism Georges Sorel. In Reflections on Violence (1908), Sorel argued that communism was
a utopian mythbut a myth that had value in inspiring a morally regenerative revolt against the corruption of bourgeois
society. The parallels between this view and ieks account of redemptive violence inspired by the communist
A celebration of violence is one of the most prominent
hypothesis are telling.
strands in ieks work. He finds fault with Marx for thinking that violence can be justified as part of the
conflict between objectively defined social classes. Class war must not be understood as a conflict between particular
agents within social reality: it is not a difference between agents (which can be described by means of a detailed social
analysis), but an antagonism (struggle) which constitutes these agents. Applying this view when discussing Stalins
assault on the peasantry, iek describes how the distinction between kulaks (rich peasants) and others became blurred
and unworkable: in a situation of generalized poverty, clear criteria no longer applied, and the other two classes of
peasants often joined the kulaks in their resistance to forced collectivization. In response to this situation the Soviet
authorities introduced a new category, the sub-kulak, a peasant too poor to be classified as a kulak but who shared kulak
values: The art of identifying a kulak was thus no longer a matter of objective social analysis; it became a kind of complex
hermeneutics of suspicion, of identifying an individuals true political attitudes hidden beneath his or her deceptive
Describing mass murder in this way as an exercise in
public proclamations.
hermeneutics is repugnant and grotesque; it is also characteristic of
ieks work. He criticizes Stalins policy of collectivization, but not
on account of the millions of human lives that were violently
truncated or broken in its course. What iek criticizes is Stalins
lingering attachment (however inconsistent or hypocritical) to scientific Marxist
terms. Relying on objective social analysis for guidance in revolutionary situations is an error: at some point, the
process has to be cut short with a massive and brutal intervention of subjectivity: class belonging is never a purely
objective social fact, but is always also the result of struggle and social engagement. Rather than Stalins relentless use
of torture and lethal force, it is the fact that he tried to justify the systematic use of violence by reference to Marxian
theory that iek condemns. ieks rejection of anything that might be described as social fact comes together with his
admiration of violence in his interpretation of Nazism. Commenting on the German philosopher Martin Heideggers much-
discussed involvement with the Nazi regime, iek writes: His involvement with the Nazis was not a simple mistake, but
rather a right step in the wrong direction. Contrary to many interpretations, Heidegger was not a radical reactionary.
Reading Heidegger against the grain, one discovers a thinker who was, at some points, strangely close to communism
indeed, during the mid-Thirties, Heidegger might be described as a future communist. If Heidegger mistakenly chose to
back Hitler, the mistake was not in underestimating the violence that Hitler would unleash: The problem with Hitler was
that he was not violent enough, his violence was not essential enough. Hitler did not really act, all his actions were
fundamentally reactions, for he acted so that nothing would really change, staging a gigantic spectacle of pseudo-
Revolution so that the capitalist order would survive. The true problem of Nazism is not that it went too far in its
subjectivist-nihilist hubris of exercising total power, but that it did not go far enough, that its violence was an impotent
acting-out which, ultimately, remained in the service of the very order it despised. What was wrong with Nazism, it seems,
is thatlike the later experiment in total revolution of the Khmer Rougeit failed to create any new kind of collective life.
iek says little regarding the nature of the form of life that might have come into being had Germany been governed by a
regime less reactive and powerless than he judges Hitlers to have been. He does make plain that there would be no room
in this new life for one particular form of human identity: The fantasmatic status of anti- Semitism is clearly revealed by a
statement attributed to Hitler: We have to kill the Jew within us. Hitlers statement says more than it wants to say:
against his intentions, it confirms that the Gentiles need the anti-Semitic figure of the Jew in order to maintain their
identity. It is thus not only that the Jew is within uswhat Hitler fatefully forgot to add is that he, the anti-Semite, is also
in the Jew. What does this paradoxical entwinement mean for the destiny of anti-Semitism? iek is explicit in censuring
certain elements of the radical Left for their uneasiness when it comes to unambiguously condemning anti-Semitism.
But it is difficult to understand the claim that the identities of anti-Semites and Jewish people are in some way mutually
reinforcingwhich is repeated, word for word, in Less Than Nothingexcept as suggesting that the only world in which
anti-Semitism can cease to exist is one in which there are no longer any Jews. Interpreting iek on this or any issue is not
There is his inordinate prolixity, the stream of texts that
without difficulties.
no one could read in their entirety, if only because the torrent never
ceases flowing. There is his use of a type of academic jargon
featuring allusive references to other thinkers, which has the effect
of enabling him to use language in an artful, hermetic way . As he
acknowledges, iek borrows the term divine violence from Walter Benjamins Critique of Violence (1921). It is
doubtful whether Benjamina thinker who had important affinities with the Frankfurt School of humanistic Marxism
would have described the destructive frenzy of Maos Cultural Revolution or the Khmer Rouge as divine. But this is beside
the point, for by using Benjamins construction iek is able to praise violence and at the same time claim that he is
speaking of violence in a special, recondite sensea sense in which Gandhi can be described as being more violent than
Hitler.5 And there is ieks regular recourse to a laborious kind of clowning wordplay: Thevirtualization of capitalism is
ultimately the same as that of the electron in particle physics. The mass of each elementary particle is composed of its
mass at rest plus the surplus provided by the acceleration of its movement; however, an electrons mass at rest is zero, its
mass consists only of the surplus generated by the acceleration, as if we are dealing with a nothing which acquires some
deceptive substance only by magically spinning itself into an excess of itself. It is impossible to read this without recalling
the Sokal affair in which Alan Sokal, a professor of physics, submitted a spoof article, Transgressing the Boundaries:
Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity, to a journal of postmodern cultural studies. Equally, it is
hard to read this and many similar passages in iek without suspecting that he is engagedwittingly or otherwisein a
kind of auto-parody. There may be some who are tempted to condemn iek as a philosopher of irrationalism whose
praise of violence is more reminiscent of the far right than the radical left.
His writings are often
offensive and at times (as when he writes of Hitler being present in the Jew) obscene. There is a
mocking frivolity in ieks paeans to terror that recalls the Italian Futurist and ultra-nationalist Gabriele DAnnunzio and
the Fascist (and later Maoist) fellow traveler Curzio Malaparte more than any thinker in the Marxian tradition. But there is
another reading of iek, which may be more plausible, in which he is no more an epigone of the right than he is a disciple
of Marx or Lenin. Whether or not Marxs vision of communism is the inherent capitalist fantasy, ieks visionwhich
apart from rejecting earlier conceptions lacks any definite contentis well adapted to an economy based on the
continuous production of novel commodities and experiences, each supposed to be different from any that has gone
before. With the prevailing capitalist order aware that it is in trouble but unable to conceive of practicable alternatives,
ieks formless radicalism is ideally suited to a culture transfixed by the spectacle of its own fragility. That there should
be this isomorphism between ieks thinking and contemporary capitalism is not surprising. After all, it is only an
economy of the kind that exists today that could produce a thinker such as iek. The role of global public intellectual
iek performs has emerged along with a media apparatus and a culture of celebrity that are integral to the current model
of capitalist expansion.In a stupendous feat of intellectual overproduction
iek has created a fantasmatic critique of the present order, a
critique that claims to repudiate practically everything that currently
exists and in some sense actually does, but that at the same time
reproduces the compulsive, purposeless dynamism that he perceives in the
operations of capitalism. Achieving a deceptive substance by endlessly
reiterating an essentially empty vision, ieks worknicely
illustrating the principles of paraconsistent logic amounts in the
end to less than nothing .
Seriously, he thinks the Holocaust is not only okay, but
didnt go far enough
Re 12 --- writer, philosopher and historian (Jonathan, Less Than Nothing by Slavoj iek
review, http://www.theguardian.com/books/2012/jun/27/less-than-nothing-slavoj-zizek-review?
newsfeed=true)//trepka
iek refuses to indulge in sanctimonious regrets over the failings of 20th-century communism. He has always had a soft
spot for Stalin, and likes to tell the story of Uncle Joe's response when asked which of two deviations was worse: both of
iek's objection to Stalinism is not
them are worse, he said, with perfect Lacanian panache.
that it involved terror and mass murder, but that it sought to justify
them by reference to a happy communist tomorrow: the trouble with
Soviet communism, as he puts it, is "not that it is too immoral , but
that it is secretly too moral ". Hitler elicits similar even-handedness: the unfortunate Fhrer
was "trapped within the horizon of bourgeois society", iek says,
and the "true problem of nazism" was "not that it went too far but
that it did not go far enough".
at: psycho k at: freud
Freuds a fraud
Dufresne 15, social and cultural theorist best-known for his work on
Sigmund Freud and the history of psychoanalysis, Professor of Philosophy at
Lakehead University in Thunder Bay, Ontario and the author of multiple books
about Freud and psychoanalysis, (Todd, January 2015, 235. DR. TODD
DUFRESNE ON FREUDS LOOMING SHADOW OF DECEPTION,
http://www.skeptiko.com/235-todd-dufresne-freud-deception/)//kap
Whats emerged in the last
Can you take us through the evolution of this Freud scholarship?
20 or 30 years in terms of who Freud really was? Whats the story
behind these murmurs we hear in the background that maybe Freud
wasnt all he was cracked up to be. Dr. Todd Dufresne: Thats a good question. Ill back
up just for one second and say this first to get into that: for myself, because I was interested in
deconstruction, what happened to me is when I looked at Freud I realized that the work of deconstruction
and psychoanalysis was not actually very good. So ironically I ended up being somebody that was
interested in deconstruction but became a specialist in Freud. My first self-authored book, Tales From the
Freudian Crypt, that you mentioned ends essentially before I started doing my own thing with a critique of
Derrida on deconstruction. What I was left with was realizing the limitations of deconstruction and stuck
with an area of study that I in fact never had any intention of being a specialist in, which is Freudian
psychoanalysis. Im very unusual, I suppose, because I came to psychoanalysis not because I was in
analysis or I particularly liked it. Just purely because I was curious about it. To follow up on the rest of your
question, the evolution of Freud scholarship, one of the things that really struck me pretty quickly was I got
lucky in some ways. I was a TA for a guy named Paul Rosen, whos a major Freud scholar and he was the
main Freud scholar at York University. Hes one of the main biographers of Freud in the world. He has since
passed away. I happened to be set up with him to be his TA, which made sense given my interests. What I
in the field of psychoanalysis there are certain texts
quickly realized is that
and certain thinkers that are verboten. Theyre not allowed, right? And certain
kinds of thinkers that are not looked upon very well . Rosen was one of these
people. My great luck is that I worked with a guy that was already kind of a heretic in psychoanalysis. I
was immediately struck by how politicized the field was and how if
you simply read somebody like Rosens work or many other scholars
who have been on a list of heretics, you realize that theres lots of
great work out there that many people simply wont read because it
is somehow its been blacklisted one way or another. What I had to realize is
that I had to find my own way. And that the field of criticism in the last 30-40 years was made possible by
people like Paul Rosen, Henri Ellenberger, a great historian, as well. At the other end of that youll find
Frank Coffey, a great philosopher who has since passed away as well and in the 90s somebody like
Frederick Crews, who is an English professor from Berkeley, since retired. These people had to have a
certain amount of courage to go against everyday convictions about Freud and psychoanalysis because,
like I said, certain criticisms of Freud and certain viewpoints of Freud were just not indulged at all. So for
The field was already opened up by
me, I didnt have to be brave in some ways.
these people who suffered the consequences of their heresy , I suppose.
Rosen, who started off as a darling of the psychoanalytic field and became a heretic, he really suffered
personally at the hands of institutional psychoanalysis. He would have wanted to be accepted in some
way, I think. For me, of course, I had no illusions. I never cared to be accepted by them and I also had no
problem reading works that people wouldnt read. Alex Tsakiris: Before we talk past that too much, give
people a sense for this criticism. There are layers of criticism and the way youre saying it I think people
might get the impression that theres a little tussle over how this should be interpreted or that should be
interpreted when in fact the real historical touch-points that we have paint just a horrible picture of Freud
of someone whos really a complete fraud. Who manufactures evidence in order to support his theories,
that copies without attribution other peoples work or at least he promotes himself as being this original
great genius when hes really stood on the shoulders of all these other people. I mean, the history of it
beyond just critiquing theory is just stunning for people who havent fully encountered it. The other side of
that that I really want you to get into to support that is how we know this information was really held under
lock and key and protected under the tightest controls for so long. Then its gradually pried loose. So give
people a sense for that. Dr. Todd Dufresne: Theres so much to say I hardly know where to begin. In some
ways, from my perspective, what really happened was Ernest Jones came out with this three-volume
biography in 1953, 1955, 1957, Sigmund Freud: Life and Work. Then he died. Basically you have
everything after the Jones biography, which is an official biography of psychoanalysis, as kind of a
response to this official biography. What happens is that people start becoming more and more critical of
psychoanalysis. For me, Rosen is one of the first figures in this regard and its around 1967 when he
publishes a book called, Brother Animal, in which he reveals that one of Freuds earlier followers committed
Freud was very unmoved by this
suicide. I guess the radical side of this is that
followers plight. He was a sycophant like half the people
surrounding Freud, and Freud rebuffed him in various ways and the
guy committed suicide. Okay, thats horrible but not entirely surprising in some ways. But
deeper and more radical than that, Rosen exposed that during two periods in the 1920s Freud
analyzed his own daughter, Anna, and thats what really got him into
trouble. Thats kind of the beginning of this movement to reassess
the fundamental myths of psychoanalysis or the things we didnt
know were myths but certainly we now know are myths. I call it
really the beginning of critical Freud studies. I take it to be a post-Jones
movement, roughly from the mid-60s through to the late 1990s and maybe going on today, as well. I see
it as like the whole purpose of scholarship and Freud studies is to move to critical Freud studies. Now how
did it happen? Its really amazing. One of the untold stories of psychoanalytic studies or Freud studies, as
its usually called, is that one of the reasons theres so much misinformation is that the vast majority of
books published and that appear under the library heading of BF173 to BF175 roughlygo to any library
much of the
and youll find all the Freud books there. Most of this work is vanity publishing. So
field is run by psychoanalysts who have positions of authority. They
start their own book publishers. They start their own journals. Pretty
soon they have an authority in the marketplace of ideas so its very,
very hard to actually find in the thousands of books published on
Freud anything that actually tells the truth. Its a hard thing for somebody to free
themselves from many, many misconceptions about Freud. You mentioned a couple of them. Freud
manufactured evidence. One of the things thats not well-appreciated is how Freud
went out of his way to manipulate the reception of his own work , right?
He wrote his own histories, first of all. Many times he revised his own histories and
sometimes there are discrepancies with his own histories. He was always trying to
spin his history in advance because Freud always perceived himself
as an historically important person, so he proceeded accordingly . He
destroyed some of his correspondence. He would destroy some of his process notes that he used to create
his famous case studies, of which there really is only four that he wrote, all of which are failures, by the
way. He destroyed the notes and these were important cases. Youd think
youd keep them but he destroyed them. He tried to get his famous letters with Wilhelm Fliess destroyed
So Freud was always interested
but Marie Bonaparte preserved them against his wishes.
in manipulating the reception of his work and he was largely
successful in many ways. People have generally believed what he said.
Freud fabricated evidence-- but his cult following
refuses to accept his invalidity
Dufresne 15, social and cultural theorist best-known for his work on
Sigmund Freud and the history of psychoanalysis, Professor of Philosophy at
Lakehead University in Thunder Bay, Ontario and the author of multiple books
about Freud and psychoanalysis, (Todd, January 2015, 235. DR. TODD
DUFRESNE ON FREUDS LOOMING SHADOW OF DECEPTION,
http://www.skeptiko.com/235-todd-dufresne-freud-deception/)//kap
Alex Tsakiris: Can we stop right there? One of the things I always like to do when we get into these
could get
discussions with people and I have just a very superficial understanding of this stuffyou
into it in much greater detail. I always stop at this point and say,
What would that look like in modern academic standards? Just
what we already know there. What would that look like if any
intellectual, academic figure of our time was known to have done
those things? I cant imagine but that they would be completely
ostracized as just the beginning of it. Theyd be a complete joke. Dr.
Todd Dufresne: The problem is, Alex, thats theres hardly any modern equivalent to
Freud . What Freud got away with for so long, which is essentially
passing off incomplete results or fraudulent results as the truth I can
give you some examples as we get into it later. He did all of the things you said he did. He
manufactured evidence and even the evidence that he had, he may
have felt legitimately and honestly is so shot-through with
epistemological problems because theres the contamination of
results by the expectations he had on the patients. We know this is called
suggestion, right? And undue influence. One of the things thats
interesting about Freud is that he was a scientist and as a scientist
he had followers. These followers routinely referred to his major
works like The Interpretation of Dreams as their bibles. So were
already in Freuds life in the presence of a kind of cult or church or
something thats not scientific. This guy was a trained neurologist, right? He asked some
legitimate questions. He explored these questions but at some point
ambition took over and he fudged the results in many ways like
youre saying. What should happen with Freud is the minute people see that he
fudged the results in a number of ways that are absolutely clear
theres no questionwell, anybody that has any fair-mindedness
would say that everything that follows from these results is
therefore questionable. But thats not what happens with Freud, and thats because were
in the presence of a belief system, like a religion, so people dont
want to question it. Anything like this today, youd lose tenure.
Youd lose your job. When this happens people fall into disgrace.
But Freud has never really seriously fallen into disgrace. One of the things
thats happened which is amazing to me because Im somebody who works in the humanities is that part
of the blame belongs to people in the humanities and social sciences that dont really care about science,
or in some ways truth, not to be too general about it. They dont care that maybe he fudged the results;
theyre just interested in this as a hermeneutic system, a way of interpreting the world. So this is
the place we get, where people are really non-skeptical about Freud
and they dont want to hear it, you know? They do not want to hear
it. And thats my colleagues, Im afraid.
2ac One Off F/L
Framework the k must demonstrate a unique
opportunity cost to the plan that outweighs the
advantages weighing the AFF is vital to fair debate
anything else is infinitely regressive and should be
rejected since its too unpredictable and results in shady
shifting alts that destroy all aff offense
Conclusion: The constitutive lack of radicalism in Lacanian politics There is more than an accidental relationship between
the mythical operation of the concept of "constitutive lack" and Lacanians' conservative and pragmatist politics. Myth is a
way of reducing thought to the present: the isolated signs which are included in the mythical gesture are thereby attached
On an analytical level, Lacanian theory can be very
to extra-historical abstractions.
"radical", unscrupulously exposing the underlying relations and assumptions concealed beneath officially-
sanctioned discourse. This radicalism, however, never translates into political
the alibi function of myth. The short-circuit between specific instances and
high-level abstractions is politically consequential. A present evil
can be denounced and overthrown if located in an analysis with a
"middle level", but Lacanian theory tends in practice to add an
"always" which prevents change . At the very most, such change cannot affect the basic matrix
posited by Lacanian theory, because this is assumed to operate above history. In this way, Lacanian theory operates as an
alibi: it offers a little bit of theoretical radicalism to inoculate the system against the threat posed by a lot of politicized
radicalism134. In Laclau and Mouffe's version, this takes the classic Barthesian form: " yes,
liberal
democracy involves violent exclusions, but what is this compared to
the desert of the real outside it?" The Zizekian version is more complex: "yes, there can be a
revolution, but after the revolution, one must return to the pragmatic tasks of the present". A good example is provided in
one of Zizek's texts. The author presents an excellent analysis of a Kafkaesque incident in the former Yugoslavia where
the state gives a soldier a direct, compulsory order to take a voluntary oath - in other words, attempts to compel consent.
He then ruins the impact of this example by insisting that there is always such a moment of "forced choice", and that one
should not attempt to escape it lest one end up in psychosis or totalitarianism135. The political function
of Lacanian theory is to preclude critique by encoding the present
as myth. There is a danger of a stultifying conservatism arising from within Lacanian political theory, echoing
the 'terrifying conservatism' Deleuze suggests is active in any reduction of history to negativity136.
The addition of an "always" to contemporary evils amounts to a
" pessimism of the will ", or a " repressive reduction of thought to the
present". Stavrakakis, for instance, claims that attempts to find causes and
thereby to solve problems are always fantasmatic1 37, while Zizek
states that an object which is perceived as blocking something does
nothing but materialize the already-operative constitutive lack 138. While
this does not strictly entail the necessity of a conservative attitude to the possibility of any specific reform, it
the theoretical oversight. The key thing is this. Lacan's notion of travers- ing the fantasy
involves the radical transformation of people's sub- jective structure :
a refounding of their most elementary beliefs about themselves, the world, and sexual difference. This is
undertaken in the security of the clinic, on the basis of the
analysands' volun- tary desire to overcome their inhibitions,
symptoms and anxieties. As a clinical and existential process, it has its own
independent importance and authenticity. The analysands, in transforming their
subjective world, change the way they regard the objective, shared social
reality outside the clinic. But they do not transform the world. The political
relevance of the clinic can only be (a) as a support- ing moment in
ideology critique or (b) as a fully-fledged model of politics, provided that the
political subject and its social object are ultimately identical. Option ((7), Zizek's option, rests on the idea, not only of a
subject who becomes who he is only through his (mis) recognition of the objective sociopolitical order, but whose
'traversal of the fantasy' is immediately identical with his transformation of the socio-political system or Other. I-Ience,
according to Zizek, we can analyse the institutional embodiments of
this Other using psy- choanalytic categories. In Chapter 4, we saw Zi2ek's resulting
elision of the distinction between the (subjective) Ego Ideal and the (objec- tive) Symbolic Order. This leads him
to analyse our entire culture as a single subject-object, whose
perverse (or perhaps even psychotic) structure is expressed in every
manifestation of contemporary life. Zizek's decisive political-theoretic errors, one substantive
and the other methodological, are different (see Figure 5.1) The substantive problem is to equate any political
change worth the name with the total change of the subject-object that is, today, global capitalism. This is a
type of change that can only mean equat- ing politics with violent
regime change, and ultimately embrac- ing dictatorial govermnent,
as Zizek now frankly avows (IDLC 412-19). We have seen that the ultra-
political form of Zizek's criti- cism of everyone else, the theoretical
Left and the wider politics, is that no one is sufficiently radical for
him - even, we will discover, Chairman Mao. We now see that this is because Zizek's model of politics
proper is modelled on a pre-critical analogy with the total transformation of a subiect's entire subjective structure, at the
We have seen
end of the talking cure. For what could the concrete consequences of this governing analogy be?
Lacanian cure, it must involve the complete 'traversal' - in Hegel's terms, the
abstract versus the determinate negation - of all these lived myths, practices and habits. Politics must involve the periodic
founding of of entire new subjectobjects. Providing the model for this set of ideas, the first iekian political subject was
Schellings divided God, who gave birth to the entire Symbolic Order before the beginning of time (IDLC 153; OB 1448).
can the political theorist reasonably hope or expect that subjects
But
will simply give up on all their inherited ways , myths and beliefs, all
in one world- creating moment? And can they be legitimately asked
or expected to, on the basis of a set of ideals whose legitimacy they
will only retrospectively see, after they have acceded to the Great
Leap Forward ? And if they do not for iek laments that today
subjects are politically disengaged in unprecedented ways what
means can the theorist and his allies use to move them to do so?
Link turn the plan ruptures the fantasy by
acknowledging the failure of the drug war the alt might
eventually cause the state to own up to its lie, but we fiat
that the state own up to it
No scapegoating
Gollwitzer 4 --- University of Trier, Germany (Mario, Do Normative
Transgressions Affect Punitive Judgments? An Empirical Test of the
Psychoanalytic Scapegoat Hypothesis, SagePub)//trepka
DISCUSSION The psychoanalytic scapegoat hypothesis implies (a) that
individuals who are guilty of violating a law or norm tend to impose
harsher punitive judgments on comparable wrongdoers than nonguilty
individuals and (b) that transgressors punitiveness should be amplified by
nor the blame-avoidance motivation hypothesis. One could think of other empirical
accesses to the effect of decision conflicts. For example, the subjective quality of
experienced decision conflicts in tempting situations might have trait-like qualities: Individuals might consistently differ in
the way they perceive and solve moral decision conflicts and in the amount of unease connected to these decision
conflicts. These interindividual differences could be assessed and tested as predictors for punitive judgments. Second,
moral conflicts may be better captured by assessing them on a more idiosyncratic level. Participants could be interviewed
about temptation situations in which they recall having experienced a strong decision conflict; subsequently, their punitive
judgments could be assessed in an adaptively constructed criminal case vignette that resembles this particular
temptation. Finally, a possible conflict- punitiveness relation might be moderated by other variables than authoritarianism.
Because fear of an Idbreakthrough is considered the crucial motor
of scapegoating by Freud (1923/1990), trait anxiety appears to be a
suitable moderator variable. It is remarkable that a prominent theoretical account such as the
psychoanalytic scapegoat hypothesis, which is discussed among principal penological
theories in standard textbooks on legal studies (e.g., Gppinger, 1997; Kaiser, 1996; Schwind, 2002), has never
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
production of totalitarian states and/or violent factional strife. A
materialist constructivist epistemology accounts for this by predicting that it is not possible for symbol-using animals to
All symbolic movement has a trajectory, and if you
exist in a symbolic void.
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
Extinction outweighs
Bostrum 12 (Nick, Professor of Philosophy at Oxford, directs Oxford's
Future of Humanity Institute and winner of the Gannon Award, Interview with
Ross Andersen, correspondent at The Atlantic, 3/6, We're Underestimating
the Risk of Human Extinction,
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/03/were-
underestimating-the-risk-of-human-extinction/253821/)
Bostrom, who directs Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, has argued over the course of several papers that human
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
why , say, the American government significantly(not merely in excusable rhetoric) might magnify
and even invent threats (and, more seriously, act on such inflated threat estimates). In a few places, Eland (2004,
185) suggests that such behavior might stem from military or national security bureaucrats attempts to enhance their personal status and
organizational budgets, or even from the influence and dominance of the military-industrial complex; viz.: Maintaining the empire and
retaliating for the blowback from that empire keeps what President Eisenhower called the military-industrial complex fat and happy. Or, in the
same section: In the nations capital, vested interests, such as the law enforcement bureaucracies . . . routinely take advantage of crisesto
satisfy parochial desires. Similarly, many corporations use crises to get pet projects a.k.a. porkfunded by the government. And national
bureaucratic-
security crises, because of peoples fears, are especially ripe opportunities to grab largesse. (Ibid., 182) Thus,
politics theory, which once made several reputa- tions (such as those of Richard Neustadt, Morton Halperin, and Graham Allison)
in defense-intellectual circles, and spawned an entire sub-industry within the field of international relations,5 is put into the
service of dismissing putative security threats as imaginary . So, too, can a surprisingly
cognate theory, public choice,6 which can be considered the right-wing analog of the bureaucratic-politics model, and is a preferred
interpretation of governmental decision- making among libertarian observers. As Eland (2004, 203) summarizes: Public-choice theory argues
[that] the government itself can develop sepa- rate interests from its citizens. The government reflects the interests of powerful pressure
groups and the interests of the bureaucracies and the bureaucrats in them. Although this problem occurs in both foreign and domestic policy,
it may be more severe in foreign policy because citizens pay less attention to policies that affect them less directly. There is, in this statement
of public-choice theory, a certain ambiguity, and a certain degree of contradiction: Bureaucrats are supposedly, at the same time, subservient
to societal interest groups and autonomous from society in general. This journal has pioneered the argument that state autonomy is a likely
consequence of the publics ignorance of most areas of state activity (e.g., Somin 1998; DeCanio 2000a, 2000b, 2006, 2007; Ravenal 2000a).
But state autonomy does not necessarily mean that bureaucrats substitute their own interests for those of what could be called the national
society that they ostensibly serve. I have argued (Ravenal 2000a) that, precisely because of the public-ignorance and elite-expertise factors,
and especially because the opportunitiesat least for bureaucrats (a few notable post-government lobbyist cases nonwithstanding)for
lucrative self-dealing are stringently fewer in the defense and diplomatic areas of government than they are in some of the contract-
dispensing and more under-the-radar-screen agencies of government, the public-choice imputation of self-dealing, rather than working
toward the national interest (which, however may not be synonymous with the interests, perceived or expressed, of citizens!) is less likely to
hold. In short, state autonomy is likely to mean, in the derivation of foreign policy, that state elites are using rational judgment, in insulation
from self-promoting interest groupsabout what strategies, forces, and weapons are required for national defense. Ironically, public
choicenot even a species of economics, but rather a kind of political interpretationis not even about public choice, since, like the
bureaucratic-politics model, it repudiates the very notion that bureaucrats make truly public choices; rather, they are held, axiomatically, to
exhibit rent-seeking behavior, wherein they abuse their public positions in order to amass private gains, or at least to build personal empires
within their ostensibly official niches. Such sub- rational models actually explain very little of what they purport to observe. Of course, there is
some truth in them, regarding the behavior of some people, at some times, in some circumstances, under some conditions of incentive and
motivation. But the factors that they posit operate mostly as constraints on the otherwise rational optimization of objectives that, if for no
other reason than the playing out of official roles, transcends merely personal or parochial imperatives. My treatment of role differs from
that of the bureaucratic-politics theorists, whose model of the derivation of foreign policy depends heavily, and acknowledgedly, on a narrow
and specific identification of the role- playing of organizationally situated individuals in a partly conflictual pulling and hauling process that
results in some policy outcome. Even here, bureaucratic-politics theorists Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow (1999, 311) allow that some
players are not able to articulate [sic] the governmental politics game because their conception of their job does not legitimate such activity.
This is a crucial admission, and one that points empiricallyto the need for a broader and generic treatment of role. Roles (all theorists
risk of career termination . And, as mentioned, the defense bureaucracy is hardly a productive place for truly
talented rent-seekers to operatecompared to opportunities for personal profit in the commercial world. A bureaucrats very self-placement in
these reaches of government testi- fies either to a sincere commitment to the national interest or to a lack of sufficient imagination to exploit
opportunities for personal profit.
No death drive
Carel 6 Havi Carel is a Senior Lecturer in Philosophy at the University of the
West of England. (Life and Death in Freud and Heidegger)
The notion of the death drive is on the one hand too wide, explaining all
types of aggression as well as the putative urge towards complete
rest. This leads the notion to be economically incoherent, as will be discussed in
the next section. But a prior point must be examined: are all types of aggression the same ? Freud
suggests a positive answer, but as a psychological taxonomy this approach seems to erase
important differences. For example, if both sadism and masochism stem
from the same aggressive source, should they be classified as
belonging to the same group? Should they be clinically approached in
a similar fashion? The answer to both these questions seems to be no. The problems and symptoms characterising sadism
are very different from the ones characterising masochism, as is their treatment. Another example, group aggression
notion of the death drive is vague. The death drive cannot explain a
given situation because it itself becomes meaningful only as a
collection of situations. On Freud's account, any behaviour meriting the
adjective 'aggressive' arises from the death drive . If we take a certain set of aggressive
behaviours, say, sadistic ones, the death drive would come to signify this set. If we take another set of masochistic behaviours, the death drive
There is no
seems to be a sophisticated, fruitfully flexible approach. But in the case of the death drive, it seems to be too flexible.
the explanatory value of the death drive is not satisfactory . Because of the two
problems set out above - the excessive promiscuity of the notion of aggression and the fact that it irons significant differences between the
The concept as presented by Freud does allow too much in and lumps
various phenomena its explanatory value is limited
Freud . What Freud got away with for so long, which is essentially
passing off incomplete results or fraudulent results as the truth I can
give you some examples as we get into it later. He did all of the things you said he did. He
manufactured evidence and even the evidence that he had, he may
have felt legitimately and honestly is so shot-through with
epistemological problems because theres the contamination of
results by the expectations he had on the patients. We know this is called
suggestion, right? And undue influence. One of the things thats
interesting about Freud is that he was a scientist and as a scientist
he had followers. These followers routinely referred to his major
works like The Interpretation of Dreams as their bibles. So were
already in Freuds life in the presence of a kind of cult or church or
something thats not scientific. This guy was a trained neurologist, right? He asked some
legitimate questions. He explored these questions but at some point
ambition took over and he fudged the results in many ways like
youre saying. What should happen with Freud is the minute people see that he
fudged the results in a number of ways that are absolutely clear
theres no questionwell, anybody that has any fair-mindedness
would say that everything that follows from these results is
therefore questionable. But thats not what happens with Freud, and thats because were
in the presence of a belief system, like a religion, so people dont
want to question it. Anything like this today, youd lose tenure.
Youd lose your job. When this happens people fall into disgrace.
But Freud has never really seriously fallen into disgrace. One of the things
thats happened which is amazing to me because Im somebody who works in the humanities is that part
of the blame belongs to people in the humanities and social sciences that dont really care about science,
or in some ways truth, not to be too general about it. They dont care that maybe he fudged the results;
So this is
theyre just interested in this as a hermeneutic system, a way of interpreting the world.
the place we get, where people are really non-skeptical about Freud
and they dont want to hear it, you know? They do not want to hear
it. And thats my colleagues, Im afraid.
AT Science Bad
Their critique of science is reductionist and wrong
Pinker 13 (Steven [Professor of psychology @ Harvard]; Science Is Not
Your Enemy: An impassioned plea to neglected novelists, embattled
professors, and tenure-less historians; Aug 6;
http://www.newrepublic.com/node/114127/print; kdf)
Scientism, in this good sense, is not the belief that members of the
occupational guild called science are particularly wise or noble. On the contrary, the
defining practices of science, including open debate, peer review, and double-blind methods, are explicitly
designed to circumvent the errors and sins to which scientists, being human, are
vulnerable. Scientism does not mean that all current scientific hypotheses are true; most new ones are not, since the cycle of
conjecture and refutation is the lifeblood of science. It is not an imperialistic drive to occupy the
science is of a
mathematics, the logic of their theories, and the values that guide their enterprise. In this conception,
The commitment to
be few occasions in which we are forced to concede It just is or Its magic or Because I said so.
intelligibility with a sin called reductionism . But to explain a complex happening in terms of
deeper principles is not to discard its richness. No sane thinker would try to explain World War I in the language of physics, chemistry, and
biology as opposed to the more perspicuous language of the perceptions and goals of leaders in 1914 Europe. At the same time, a curious
person can legitimately ask why human minds are apt to have such perceptions and goals, including the tribalism, overconfidence, and sense
of honor that fell into a deadly combination at that historical moment. The second ideal is that the acquisition of knowledge is hard. The world
. Most
does not go out of its way to reveal its workings, and even if it did, our minds are prone to illusions, fallacies, and super- stitions
of the traditional causes of belieffaith, revelation, dogma, authority, charisma, conventional wisdom, the
invigorating glow of subjective certaintyare generators of error and should be dismissed
While he rejects Marxs conception of communism, iek devotes none of the over one thousand pages of Less Than
Nothing to specifying the economic system or institutions of government that would feature in a communist society of the
kind he favors. In effect a compendium of ieks work to date, Less Than Nothing is devoted instead to
reinterpreting Marx by way of Hegelone of the books sections is called Marx as a Reader of Hegel, Hegel as a Reader of
reformulating Hegelian philosophy by reference to the
Marxand
thought of the French psychoanalyst Jacques Lacan. A post-structuralist who
rejected the belief that reality can be captured in language, Lacan also rejected the standard interpretation of Hegels idea
of the cunning of reason, according to which world history is the realization by oblique and indirect means of reason in
human life. For Lacan as iek summarizes him, The Cunning of Reasonin no way involves a faith in a secret guiding
hand guaranteeing that all the apparent contingency of unreason will somehow contribute to the harmony of the Totality
of Reason: if anything, it involves a trust in un-Reason. On this Lacanian reading, the message of Hegels philosophy is
not the progressive unfolding of rationality in history but instead the impotence of reason. The Hegel that emerges in
ieks writings thus bears little resemblance to the idealist philosopher who features in standard histories of thought.
Hegel is commonly associated with the idea that history has an inherent logic in which ideas are embodied in practice and
then left behind in a dialectical process in which they are transcended by their opposites. Drawing on the contemporary
French philosopher Alain Badiou, iek radicalizes this idea of dialectic to mean the rejection of the logical principle of
noncontradiction, so that rather than seeing rationality at work in history, Hegel rejects reason itself as it has been
understood in the past. Implicit in Hegel (according to iek) is a new kind of paraconsistent logic in which a proposition
is not really suppressed by its negation. This new logic, iek suggests, is well suited to understanding capitalism today.
Is not postmodern capitalism an increasingly paraconsistent system, he asks rhetorically, in which, in a variety of
modes, P is non-P: the order is its own transgression, capitalism can thrive under communist rule, and so on? Living in
the End Times is presented by iek as being concerned with this situation. Summarizing the books central theme, he
writes: The underlying premise of the present book is a simple one: the global capitalist system is approaching an
apocalyptic zero-point. Its four riders of the apocalypse are comprised by the ecological crisis, the consequences of the
biogenetic revolution, imbalances within the system itself (problems with intellectual property; forthcoming struggles over
With its
raw materials, food and water), and the explosive growth of social divisions and exclusions.
sweeping claims and magniloquent rhetoric, this passage is typical
of much in ieks work. What he describes as the premise of the
book is simple only because it passes over historical facts . Reading it, no
one would suspect that, putting aside the killings of many millions for ideological reasons, some of the last centurys worst
ecological disastersthe destruction of nature in the former Soviet Union and the devastation of the countryside during
Maos Cultural Revolution, for exampleoccurred in centrally planned economies. Ecological devastation is not a result
only of the economic system that exists in much of the world at the present time; while it may be true that the prevailing
version of capitalism is unsustainable in environmental terms, there is nothing in the history of the past century that
suggests the environment will be better protected if a socialist system is installed. But to criticize iek for neglecting
these facts is to misunderstand his intent, for unlike Marx he does not aim to ground his theorizing in a reading of history
that is based in facts. Todays historical juncture does not compel us to drop the notion of the proletariat, or of the
proletarian positionon the contrary, it compels us to radicalize it to an existential level beyond even Marxs
imagination, he writes. We need a more radical notion of the proletarian subject [i.e., the thinking and acting human
being], a subject reduced to the evanescent point of the Cartesian cogito, deprived of its substantial content. In ieks
hands, Marxian ideaswhich in Marxs materialist view were meant to designate objective social factsbecome
subjective expressions of revolutionary commitment. Whether such ideas correspond to anything in the world is irrelevant.
Why should anyone adopt ieks ideas
There is a problem at this point, however:
rather than any others? The answer cannot be that ieks are true
in any traditional sense. The truth we are dealing with here is not
objective truth, iek writes, but the self-relating truth about
ones own subjective position; as such, it is an engaged truth, measured not by its factual accuracy
but by the way it affects the subjective position of enunciation. If this means anything, it is that truth is determined by
reference to how an idea accords with the projects to which the speaker is committedin ieks case, a project of
The
revolution. But this only poses the problem at another level: Why should anyone adopt ieks project?
question cannot be answered in any simple way, since it is far from
clear what ieks revolutionary project consists in. He shows no signs of doubting
that a society in which communism was realized would be better than any that has ever existed. On the other hand, he is
unable to envision any circumstances in which communism might be realized: Capitalism is not just a historical epoch
among others. Francis Fukuyama was right: global capitalism is the end of history.1 Communism is not for iekas it
was for Marxa realizable condition, but what Badiou describes as a hypothesis, a conception with little positive content
but that enables radical resistance against prevailing institutions. iek is insistent that such resistance must include the
use of terror: Badious provocative idea that one should reinvent emancipatory terror today is one of his most profound
insights. Recall Badious exalted defense of Terror in the French Revolution, in which he quotes the justification of the
iek celebrates
guillotine for Lavoisier: The Republic has no need for scientists.2 Along with Badiou,
Maos Cultural Revolution as the last truly great revolutionary
explosion of the twentieth century. But he also regards the Cultural Revolution as a failure,
citing Badious conclusion that the Cultural Revolution, even in its very impasse, bears witness to the impossibility truly
and globally to free politics from the framework of the party-State.3 Mao in encouraging the Cultural Revolution evidently
iek praises the Khmer
should have found a way to break the power of the party-state. Again,
Rouge for attempting a total break with the past. The attempt
involved mass killing and torture on a colossal scale; but in his view
that is not why it failed: The Khmer Rouge were, in a way, not
radical enough: while they took the abstract negation of the past to the limit, they did not
invent any new form of collectivity. (Here and elsewhere the italics are ieks.) A
genuine revolution may be impossible in present circumstances, or
any that can be currently imagined. Even so, revolutionary violence
should be celebrated as redemptive, even divine. While iek has
described himself as a Leninist,4 there can be no doubt that this position would be anathema to the Bolshevik leader.
Lenin had no qualms in using terror in order to promote the cause of communism (for him, a practically attainable
objective). Always deployed as part of a political strategy, violence was instrumental in nature. In contrast, though
iek accepts that violence has failed to achieve its communist goals and has no prospect of doing so, he
insists that revolutionary violence has intrinsic value as a symbolic
expression of rebelliona position that has no parallel in either Marx or Lenin. A precedent may be
seen in the work of the French psychiatrist Frantz Fanon, who defended the use of violence against colonialism as an
assertion of the identity of subjects of colonial power; but Fanon viewed this violence as part of a struggle for national
independence, an objective that was in fact achieved. A clearer precedent can be found in the work of the early-twentieth-
century French theorist of syndicalism Georges Sorel. In Reflections on Violence (1908), Sorel argued that communism was
a utopian mythbut a myth that had value in inspiring a morally regenerative revolt against the corruption of bourgeois
society. The parallels between this view and ieks account of redemptive violence inspired by the communist
A celebration of violence is one of the most prominent
hypothesis are telling.
strands in ieks work. He finds fault with Marx for thinking that violence can be justified as part of the
conflict between objectively defined social classes. Class war must not be understood as a conflict between particular
agents within social reality: it is not a difference between agents (which can be described by means of a detailed social
analysis), but an antagonism (struggle) which constitutes these agents. Applying this view when discussing Stalins
assault on the peasantry, iek describes how the distinction between kulaks (rich peasants) and others became blurred
and unworkable: in a situation of generalized poverty, clear criteria no longer applied, and the other two classes of
peasants often joined the kulaks in their resistance to forced collectivization. In response to this situation the Soviet
authorities introduced a new category, the sub-kulak, a peasant too poor to be classified as a kulak but who shared kulak
values: The art of identifying a kulak was thus no longer a matter of objective social analysis; it became a kind of complex
hermeneutics of suspicion, of identifying an individuals true political attitudes hidden beneath his or her deceptive
Describing mass murder in this way as an exercise in
public proclamations.
hermeneutics is repugnant and grotesque; it is also characteristic of
ieks work. He criticizes Stalins policy of collectivization, but not
on account of the millions of human lives that were violently
truncated or broken in its course. What iek criticizes is Stalins
lingering attachment (however inconsistent or hypocritical) to scientific Marxist
terms. Relying on objective social analysis for guidance in revolutionary situations is an error: at some point, the
process has to be cut short with a massive and brutal intervention of subjectivity: class belonging is never a purely
objective social fact, but is always also the result of struggle and social engagement. Rather than Stalins relentless use
of torture and lethal force, it is the fact that he tried to justify the systematic use of violence by reference to Marxian
theory that iek condemns. ieks rejection of anything that might be described as social fact comes together with his
admiration of violence in his interpretation of Nazism. Commenting on the German philosopher Martin Heideggers much-
discussed involvement with the Nazi regime, iek writes: His involvement with the Nazis was not a simple mistake, but
rather a right step in the wrong direction. Contrary to many interpretations, Heidegger was not a radical reactionary.
Reading Heidegger against the grain, one discovers a thinker who was, at some points, strangely close to communism
indeed, during the mid-Thirties, Heidegger might be described as a future communist. If Heidegger mistakenly chose to
back Hitler, the mistake was not in underestimating the violence that Hitler would unleash: The problem with Hitler was
that he was not violent enough, his violence was not essential enough. Hitler did not really act, all his actions were
fundamentally reactions, for he acted so that nothing would really change, staging a gigantic spectacle of pseudo-
Revolution so that the capitalist order would survive. The true problem of Nazism is not that it went too far in its
subjectivist-nihilist hubris of exercising total power, but that it did not go far enough, that its violence was an impotent
acting-out which, ultimately, remained in the service of the very order it despised. What was wrong with Nazism, it seems,
is thatlike the later experiment in total revolution of the Khmer Rougeit failed to create any new kind of collective life.
iek says little regarding the nature of the form of life that might have come into being had Germany been governed by a
regime less reactive and powerless than he judges Hitlers to have been. He does make plain that there would be no room
in this new life for one particular form of human identity: The fantasmatic status of anti- Semitism is clearly revealed by a
statement attributed to Hitler: We have to kill the Jew within us. Hitlers statement says more than it wants to say:
against his intentions, it confirms that the Gentiles need the anti-Semitic figure of the Jew in order to maintain their
identity. It is thus not only that the Jew is within uswhat Hitler fatefully forgot to add is that he, the anti-Semite, is also
in the Jew. What does this paradoxical entwinement mean for the destiny of anti-Semitism? iek is explicit in censuring
certain elements of the radical Left for their uneasiness when it comes to unambiguously condemning anti-Semitism.
But it is difficult to understand the claim that the identities of anti-Semites and Jewish people are in some way mutually
reinforcingwhich is repeated, word for word, in Less Than Nothingexcept as suggesting that the only world in which
anti-Semitism can cease to exist is one in which there are no longer any Jews. Interpreting iek on this or any issue is not
There is his inordinate prolixity, the stream of texts that
without difficulties.
no one could read in their entirety, if only because the torrent never
ceases flowing. There is his use of a type of academic jargon
featuring allusive references to other thinkers, which has the effect
of enabling him to use language in an artful, hermetic way . As he
acknowledges, iek borrows the term divine violence from Walter Benjamins Critique of Violence (1921). It is
doubtful whether Benjamina thinker who had important affinities with the Frankfurt School of humanistic Marxism
would have described the destructive frenzy of Maos Cultural Revolution or the Khmer Rouge as divine. But this is beside
the point, for by using Benjamins construction iek is able to praise violence and at the same time claim that he is
speaking of violence in a special, recondite sensea sense in which Gandhi can be described as being more violent than
Hitler.5 And there is ieks regular recourse to a laborious kind of clowning wordplay: Thevirtualization of capitalism is
ultimately the same as that of the electron in particle physics. The mass of each elementary particle is composed of its
mass at rest plus the surplus provided by the acceleration of its movement; however, an electrons mass at rest is zero, its
mass consists only of the surplus generated by the acceleration, as if we are dealing with a nothing which acquires some
deceptive substance only by magically spinning itself into an excess of itself. It is impossible to read this without recalling
the Sokal affair in which Alan Sokal, a professor of physics, submitted a spoof article, Transgressing the Boundaries:
Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity, to a journal of postmodern cultural studies. Equally, it is
hard to read this and many similar passages in iek without suspecting that he is engagedwittingly or otherwisein a
kind of auto-parody. There may be some who are tempted to condemn iek as a philosopher of irrationalism whose
praise of violence is more reminiscent of the far right than the radical left.
His writings are often
offensive and at times (as when he writes of Hitler being present in the Jew) obscene. There is a
mocking frivolity in ieks paeans to terror that recalls the Italian Futurist and ultra-nationalist Gabriele DAnnunzio and
the Fascist (and later Maoist) fellow traveler Curzio Malaparte more than any thinker in the Marxian tradition. But there is
another reading of iek, which may be more plausible, in which he is no more an epigone of the right than he is a disciple
of Marx or Lenin. Whether or not Marxs vision of communism is the inherent capitalist fantasy, ieks visionwhich
apart from rejecting earlier conceptions lacks any definite contentis well adapted to an economy based on the
continuous production of novel commodities and experiences, each supposed to be different from any that has gone
before. With the prevailing capitalist order aware that it is in trouble but unable to conceive of practicable alternatives,
ieks formless radicalism is ideally suited to a culture transfixed by the spectacle of its own fragility. That there should
be this isomorphism between ieks thinking and contemporary capitalism is not surprising. After all, it is only an
economy of the kind that exists today that could produce a thinker such as iek. The role of global public intellectual
iek performs has emerged along with a media apparatus and a culture of celebrity that are integral to the current model
of capitalist expansion.In a stupendous feat of intellectual overproduction
iek has created a fantasmatic critique of the present order, a
critique that claims to repudiate practically everything that currently
exists and in some sense actually does, but that at the same time
reproduces the compulsive, purposeless dynamism that he perceives in the
operations of capitalism. Achieving a deceptive substance by endlessly
reiterating an essentially empty vision, ieks worknicely
illustrating the principles of paraconsistent logic amounts in the
end to less than nothing .
Seriously, he thinks the Holocaust is not only okay, but
didnt go far enough
Re 12 --- writer, philosopher and historian (Jonathan, Less Than Nothing by Slavoj iek
review, http://www.theguardian.com/books/2012/jun/27/less-than-nothing-slavoj-zizek-review?
newsfeed=true)//trepka
iek refuses to indulge in sanctimonious regrets over the failings of 20th-century communism. He has always had a soft
spot for Stalin, and likes to tell the story of Uncle Joe's response when asked which of two deviations was worse: both of
iek's objection to Stalinism is not
them are worse, he said, with perfect Lacanian panache.
that it involved terror and mass murder, but that it sought to justify
them by reference to a happy communist tomorrow: the trouble with
Soviet communism, as he puts it, is "not that it is too immoral , but
that it is secretly too moral ". Hitler elicits similar even-handedness: the unfortunate Fhrer
was "trapped within the horizon of bourgeois society", iek says,
and the "true problem of nazism" was "not that it went too far but
that it did not go far enough".
1ar EXT No IR
Their insistence that they describe IR links to the k
Rosen-Carole 10 Visiting Professor in the Philosophy Department at
Bard College (Adam, Menu Cards in Time of famine: on Psychoanalysis and
Politics, The Psychoanalytic Quarterly, 2010 Volume LXXIX, No. 1)//RZ
The second approach to the problem has to do with psychoanalytic contributions to political theory that
An
avoid Freuds methodological individualism, but nevertheless run into the same problem.
expanding trend in social criticism involves a tendency to discuss
the death or aggressive drives, fantasy formations, traumas, projective identifications,
defensive repudiations, and other such psychic phenomena of collective
subjects as if such subjects were ontologically discrete and
determinate . Take the following passage from iek (1993) as symptomatic of the
trend I have in mind: In Eastern Europe, the West seeks for its own lost origins, its own lost original
experience of democratic invention. In other words, Eastern Europe functions for the West as its Ego-
Ideal (Ich-Ideal): the point from which [the] West sees itself in a likable, idealized form, as worthy of love.
The real object of fascination for the West is thus the gaze, namely the supposedly naive gaze by means of
which Eastern Europe stares back at the West, fascinated by its democracy. [p. 201, italics in original] Also,
we might think here of the innumerable discussions of Americas
death drive as propelling the recent invasions in the Middle East , or
of the ways in which the motivation for the Persian Gulf Wars of the 1990s was a collective attempt to
kick the Vietnam War Syndrome that is, to solidify a national sense of power and prominence in the
recognitive regard of the international communityor of the psychoanalytic speculations concerning the
psychodynamics of various nations involved in the Cold War (here, of course, I have in mind Segals [1997]
or of the collective racist fantasies and paranoiac traits that
work),
organize various nation-statess domestic and foreign policies .7 Here
are some further examples from iek, who, as a result of his popularity, might be said to function as a
barometer of incipient trends: What is therefore at stake in ethnic tensions is always the possession of
the national Thing. We always impute to the other [ethnic group, race, nation, etc.] an excessive
enjoyment: he wants to steal our enjoyment (by ruining our way of life) and/or he has access to some
secret, perverse enjoyment. [1993, pp. 202-203] Beneath the derision for the new Eastern European
postCommunist states, it is easy to discern the contours of the wounded narcissism of the European great
nations. [2004, p. 27, italics added] There is in fact something of a neurotic symptom in the Middle
Eastern conflicteveryone recognizes the way to get rid of the obstacle, yet nonetheless, no one wants to
remove it, as if there is some kind of pathological libidinal profit gained by persisting in the deadlock.
[2004, p. 39, italics added] If there was ever a passionate attachment to the lost object, a refusal to
come to terms with its loss, it is the Jewish attachment to their land and Jerusalem . . . . When the Jews lost
their land and elevated it into the mythical lost object, Jerusalem became much more than a piece of
land . . . . It becomes the stand-in for . . . all that we miss in our earthly lives. [2004, p. 41] Rather than
this type of
explore collective subjects through analyses of their individual members,
psychoanalytically inclined engagement with politics treats a
collective subject (a nation, a region, an ethnic group, etc.) as if it were simply
amenable to explanation , and perhaps even to intervention , in a manner
identical to an individual psyche in a therapeutic context . But if the
transpositions of psychoanalytic concepts into political theory are
epistemically questionable , as I believe they are,8 the question is: why are they
so prevalent? Perhaps the psychoanalytic interpretation of collective
subjects (nations, regions, etc.), or even the psychoanalytic interpretation of powerful political figures,
registers a certain anxiety regarding political impotence and
provokes a fantasy that, to an extent, pacifies and modifies
defends againstthat anxiety. Perhaps such engagements, which are
increasingly prevalent in these days of excruciating political alienation, operate within
a fantasmatic frame wherein the anxiety of political exclusion and
castrationthat is, anxieties pertaining to a sense of oneself as politically
inefficacious, a non-agent in most relevant sensesis both registered and mitigated
by the fantasmatic satisfaction of imagining oneself interpretively
intervening in the lives of political figures or collective political
subjects with the efficacy of a clinically successful psychoanalytic
interpretation. To risk a hypothesis: as alienation from political efficacy increases and becomes
more palpable, as our sense of ourselves as political agents diminishes, fantasies of interpretive
intervention abound. Within such fantasy frames, one approaches a powerful political figure (or collective
subject) as if s/he were on the couch, open and amenable to ones interpretation.9 One approaches such
a powerful political figure or ethnic group or nation as if s/he (or it) desired ones interpretations and
acknowledged her/his suffering, at least implicitly, by her/his very involvement in the scene of analysis. Or
if such fantasies also provide for the satisfaction of sadistic desires
provoked by political frustration and castration (a sense of oneself as politically
voiceless, moot, uninvolved, irrelevant), as they very well might, then ones place within the
fantasy might be that of the all-powerful analyst, the sujet suppos savoir, the
analyst presumptively in control of her-/himself and her/his emotions, etc. Here the analyst becomes the
one who directs and organizes the analytic encounter, who commands psychoanalytic knowledge, who
knows the analysand inside and out, to whom the analysand must speak, upon whom the analysand
depends, who is in a position of having something to offer, whose adviceeven if not directly heeded
cannot but make some sort of impact, and in the face of whom the analysand is quite vulnerable, who is
thus powerful, in control . . . perhaps the very figure whom the psychoanalytically inclined interpreter
(1) a sense of political
fears. 9 Minimally, what I want to underscore here is that
alienation may be registered and fantasmatically mitigated by
treating political subjects, individual or collective, as if they were on the
couch; and (2) expectations concerning the expository and
therapeutic efficacy of psychoanalytic interpretations of political
subjects may be conditioned by such a fantasy .
1ar EXT Not Science
Its not reproducible
Sadovnikov 7 professor of philosophy at York University (Slava, Escape
from Reason: Labels as Arguments and Theories, Dialogue, September 2007,
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0012217300002249 //DBI
The way McLaughlin shows the rosy prospects of psychoanalytical social theory boils down to this: there
are people who labour at it. He reports on Neil Smelsers lifelong elaborations of psychoanalytical
sociology, which prescribed the use of Freudian theories. Then he presents a powerful psychoanalytical
theory of creativity of Michael Farrell, commenting on how the theorist usefully utilizes
psychoanalytic insights, though McLaughlin does not specify them. He correctly expects that
I might not view his examples as scientific. Their problems begin well before that. First, due to their
informative emptiness, or tautological character, all they amount to is
rewordings of everyday assumptions . Second, due to their vagueness
these accounts are compatible with any outcomes ; in other words, they lack
explanatory and predictive power . The proposed ideas are too
inarticulate to subject to intersubjective criticism , and to call them
empirical or scientific theories would be , no matter how comforting, a gross misuse
of words. On the constructive side, a psychoanalytic theorist may be challenged to unambiguously
formulate her suppositions and specify conditions of their disproof, to leave out what we already well know
and smooth out internal inconsistencies, and revise the theories in view of easily available counter-
examples and competing accounts. Only after having done this can one present candidate theories to
public criticism and thus make them part of science, and fruitfully discuss their further refinements.
Another suggestion is not to label them powerful theories, classics, or anything else before their real
That criticism and disagreement are indispensable for
scrutiny begins.
science is not a Popperian orthodoxy, although Popper does champion this idea; it
is the pivot of the tradition (which we owe to the Greeks) which identifies rationalism with criticism. 4
McLaughlin ostensibly bows to the critical tradition but does not put it to use. Instead of critical evaluation
of the theories in question he writes of compelling case, powerful analytic model, and useful
conceptual tool. On the methodological side of the issue, we should inquire into the mode of thinking
common to Fromm and all adherents of confirmationism. The trick consists in mere replacement of familiar
words with new, more peculiar ones; customary expressions are substituted by instrumental intimacy,
Since the new, funnier, and pseudo-
collaborative circles, and idealization of a self-object.
theoretical tag does the job of naming just as well, it shows how things
work. The new labels in the cases criticized here do not add anything to our
knowledge; nor do they explain. We have seen Fromm routinely abuse this technique. The
vacuity of Fromms explanations by character type was the central point in my analysis of Escape, yet
McLaughlin conveniently ignores it and, like Fromm, uses the method of labelling as somehow supporting
his cause. The widely popular practice of mistaking new labels for explanations has been exposed by many
methodologists in the history of philosophy, but probably the most famous example of such critique comes
from Molire. In the now often-quoted passage, his character delivers a vacuous explanation of opiums
property to induce sleep by renaming the property with an offhand Latinism, virtus dormitiva. The satire
acutely points not only at the impostor doctors hiding his lack of knowledge behind foreign words, but also
at the emptiness of his alleged explanation. (Pseudo-theoretical literature is boring precisely because of its
dormitive virtue, its shuffling of labels without rewarding inquiring minds.) Let me review notable
criticisms of this approach in the twentieth century by Hempel, Homans, and Weber leaving aside their
forerunners. This problem was discussed in the famous debate between William Dray and Carl Hempel.
social scientists
Dray argues, contra the nomological account of explanation, that historians and
often try to answer the question, What is this phenomenon? by giving an
explanation-by-concept (Dray 1959, p. 403). A series of events may be better
understood if we call it a social revolution ; or the appropriate tag may be found in the
expressions reform, collaboration, class struggle, progress, etc.; or, to take
Fromms suggestions, we may call familiar motives and actions
sadomasochistic, and any political choice save the Marxist escape from freedom. Hempel
agrees with Dray that such concepts may be explanatory, but they are so only if the
chosen labels or classificatory tags refer to some uniformities, or are based on nomic analogies. In other
if it states or implies some established regularity
words, our new label has explanatory force
For example, you travel to a foreign country and, strolling along the
(Hempel 1970, pp. 453-57).
street, see a boisterous crowd. Your guide may explain the crowd with one of several terms: that
it is the local soccer teams fans celebrating its victory, or it is a local religious festival, or a teachers
strike, etc. The labels applied here celebration,
festival, strike have explanatory
value, because we know that things they refer to usually manifest themselves
in noisy or unruly mass gatherings. If, on the other hand, by way of explaining the
boisterous crowd the guide had invoked some hidden social or psychological forces, or used
expressions such as embodiment, mode of production, de-centring,
simulacra, otherness, etc., its causes would remain obscure . If she had
referred to psychoanalytic character types (say, Fromms authoritarian, anal, or
necrophiliac types), the explanation would not make much sense either . Nothing
prevents us nevertheless from unconditionally attaching all these labels to any event. The mistake
McLaughlin and confirmationists persistently make is in thinking that labelling social
phenomena alone does theoretical and explanatory work.5 George Homans
observed the prevalence of this trick some decades ago: Much modern sociological
Greenwood leaves good reason to be doubtful. Greenwoods concern is Freuds clinical work, but if
psychoanalysis has a broader application, as I have argued it does,
then Greenwoods suspicions are more fully confirmed. For instance, of his notion of the
killing of the primal father and general account of human prehistory, called a Just So Story by an unkind critic, Freud writes, [B]ut I think it is creditable to such a
hypothesis if it proves able to bring coherence and understanding into more and more new regions (1921, S.E., XVIII: 122). Execrating the sort of explanations given by
That contrast impedes effective help . Then there are the kinds of
problems that people experience. They've evolved over the decades ,
but especially since 9-11 and the near-depression that began in the fall of 2008. But many
therapists aren't in synch with the impact of that shift. They fail to
understand how 21st Century conditions impact emotional lives and
conflicts . Many are clueless about how life in today's world interweaves with the dysfunctions or
family conflicts that patients bring with them into their adult lives. The third reason is the
therapists' vision of the goals of treatment; what a healthy outcome
or resolution of conflicts should look like, and how to get there.
Many remain stuck within an older model - helping patients better
manage, cope with or adjust to change and traumas; build resilience
and restore equilibrium. But that's no longer possible: Our new
environment is one of "non-equilibrium" and unpredictability . That
creates new emotional and life challenges across the board -- for intimate relationships, careers and for
engaging with a changing society - the "remix" that America is now becoming. The Psychotherapist - Past
The early analysts were pioneers, adventurous explores of
and Present
uncharted terrain. They were trying to uncover how human personality and unconscious
passions evolve within people to create symptoms and dysfunctions. They courageously risked their
careers when they called attention to the impact of repressed sexuality. Aside from the accuracy of early
theories about the causes of emotional disturbance, the practitioners' aim was to reduce suffering. They
wanted to help people develop more love, reason and independence - albeit within the context of the
norms of their era that they, themselves, accepted. Moreover, most were well-read in
literature, history and culture, more so than today's practitioners. That gave them a broad outlook
and perspective on life. For example, Freud's writings are filled with references from Shakespeare, Goethe
and other great works of literature, drama and mythology. He drew on their themes, plots and character
portrayals to help illuminate and understand the motives and moral dilemmas underlying his patients'
Most contemporaries and followers of Freud possessed
emotional problems.
a radical spirit. They wanted to uncover the truth beneath patient's symptoms; see beneath the
surface. They shared the view that successful treatment was based on a love of the truth; that is,
emotional reality. And that it must preclude any kind of sham, deception or illusion. Of course, Freud and
his contemporaries interpreted their patients' problems in many ways that were flawed. They made
assumptions about psychological health that were part of the prevailing values and norms of post-
Victorian, early-20th Century society - a largely patriarchal culture. For example, most assumed that a
normal, successful life derived from being well-adjusted to those norms. Nevertheless , their spirit
of truth-seeking, rooted in broad understanding of human culture,
literature and history, has become lost . Today's practitioners tend to
be technicians, looking for the right technique that will treat the
patient's symptoms. Many tend to be cautious, often disengaged
and detached people in their manner and interactions with patients.
They are largely ignorant of philosophical, religious , cultural and
socio-economic forces that shape people's psychological
development , especially those in non-Western societies. And yet, all of
those forces in all parts of the globe profoundly impact how and why we learn to think and behave as we
do. Much current world conflict reflects those differences that define what we think in "normal" or
Many therapists today simply assume that adjusting to
"disturbed."
prevailing values and norms reflects psychological health. Now that's
desirable for those whose conflicts have disabled them from minimally successful functioning. But it misses
the mark for those whose conflicts are linked with their successful adaptation to begin with. The therapist
then fails to explore their patients' definition of "success" - how it's shaped their career and life goals, their
conflicts and disappointments. Some therapists will spend inordinate time ferreting out tiny truths about
the patient's family and childhood, without figuring out which have relevance to the person's conflicts
today, and which don't. They may ignore the impact of trade-offs and
compromises patients made as they created their sexual and
intimate relationship patterns Overall, today's practitioners tend to share in, rather than
critique and examine, the social norms, values and anxieties of today's world. Too often, they
uncritically accept good functioning per se, and conventional values
like power-seeking, as psychologically healthy. This blinds them from recognizing
that "normal" adjustment can mask repressed feelings of self-betrayal, self-criticism, and the desire to be
freer, more alive. All of those longings can conflict with or oppose parental expectations or the pressures
from social class membership. Emotional Conflicts In Today's World People's problems have
evolved . Up through World War II and into the 1950s-early 60s symptoms that were more typical of
Freud's time -- hysteria or specific phobias, for example - diminished. People wanted help for fitting in with
the apparent paths to success and happiness and for dealing with conflicts that interfered with or limited
it. Therapy often addressed things like guilt, inhibition, the need for approval, and dealing with the conflicts
Desires or longings that deviated
generated by defined, rigid roles for men and women.
too much from the prevailing norms were troublesome and created
conflicts, often unconscious. The popular TV show "Mad Men (link is external)" is a good
portrayal of conflicts of that era, especially issues of identity, longing for an authentic self and gender
roles. At the same time, the men enjoyed the surface appearance of power and control. And women chafed
against the limits imposed by gender roles, as the women's movement began to arise. The period of social
upheaval of the late 60s and 70s created more openly conscious conflict and struggle for many people.
The theme, here, was seeking more freedom from oppressive relationships and social constraints. Some
therapists were able to address these issues in helpful ways. But others were bound by
their own uncritical embrace of the very norms their patients wanted
help to free themselves from. Partly because of that disconnect, many
psychotherapy patients were attracted to the vision of personal
development offered by the rising "new age" movement, although its gurus
generally lacked any depth of understanding about emotional conflicts or psychological development.
Then, from the 1980s to about 2000 more men and women sought help to create more personally fulfilling,
engaged relationships, and more personal meaning from their work. The costs and limits of success (link is
external) became visible in patients who wanted help to create greater work-life "balance" while
preserving their relationships and their upward climb in their careers. Dealing with the emotional fallout of
the dot-com bubble burst added another dimension to these stresses. During this period of greater
fulfillment-seeking, more people turned to spiritual development as a companion to or substitute for
traditional therapy, especially via older traditions like Buddhism and other Eastern practices. And now, in
emotional conflicts spring more from the psychological
the current era,
impact of our nonlinear, unpredictable, highly interconnected world .
For example, financial and career uncertainties. Changing practices in romantic/sexual relationships.
Facing one's responsibilities to fellow inhabitants of the planet, and for sustaining the planet for future
generations. The psychological impact of these issues interacts with the legacy of family conflicts and their
dysfunctions that people carry with them into the adult world. It's a new universe of potential pain and
confusion that people are now struggling with.
1ar EXT Not Science AT Clinical
It fails clinically
Ellis 2, PhD in psychology, has written books on the harmfulness of
psychoanalysis, (Albert, revised in 2002, Chapter 5: Psychoanalysis in Theory
and Practice: Is Psychoanalysis Harmful from the book Psychiatric Opinion,
http://studysites.sagepub.com/personalitytheoriesstudy/05/resources2.htm)//
kap
Many articles and books have been written which purport to show
that psychoanalysis is an ineffective form of psychotherapy . Behavior
therapists, existentialists, physical scientists, rational philosophers, Marxists, and many other kinds of
thinkers have held that psychoanalytic therapy rests on unverified
assumptions and that it is largely a waste of time. Relatively few critics,
however, have objectively pointed out some of the actual harm that may
occur if an individual enters classical psychoanalysis or even
undergoes intensive psychoanalytic psychotherapy. To give and to document
all the main reasons why virtually any form of truly psychoanalytic therapy is frequently injurious to clients
would take a sizable book; and someday I may write it. For the present ,
let me briefly and
inadequately outline some ways in which analysis does more harm
than good. SIDETRACKING Probably the greatest harm that psychoanalysis
does is its tendency to sidetrack clients from what they had better
do to improve and to give them a good excuse not to work hard at
helping themselves. What disturbed people preferably should do is fairly simple (although it is
not at all easy); namely, to understand precisely what are the self-defeating irrational ideas they firmly
believe and to vigorously contradict them, both verbally and actively. Thus one of the main senseless
notions they usually hold is, Unless I am remarkably competent and popular, and unless I am superior to
They can strongly contradict this
others, I am rather worthless as an individual.
philosophy by asking themselves, Why am I no good just because many of my performances are
poor? Where is the evidence that I cannot accept myself if others do not like me? How is my self-
they can actively work against
acceptance really dependent on external criteria? And
their self-defeating attitudes by performing, even when they may
not do very well; by risking social disapproval when they want to
achieve a desired goal; and by experimenting with potentially
enjoyable pursuits in spite of the possibilities of failure and
rejection. Psychoanalysis sidetracks health-seeking individuals
verbally by encouraging them to concentrate on innumerable
irrelevant events and ideas: such as what happened during their early years, how they
came to have an Oedipus complex, the pernicious influence of their unloving parents, what are the
meanings of their dreams, how all-important are their relations with the analyst, how much they now
unconsciously hate their mates, etc. These may all be interesting pieces of information about clients. But
they not only do not reveal, they often seriously obscure, their basic irrational philosophies that originally
caused, and that still instigate, their dysfunctional feelings and behaviors. Being mainly diagnostic and
psychodynamic, analysis is practically allergic to philosophy, and therefore often never gets around to the
basic ideological assumptions and value systems with which humans largely create their symptoms. To
psychoanalysis is essentially a talky, passive,
make matters much worse,
insight-seeking process which encourages clients mainly to lie on
their spine or sit on their behinds in order to get better. Sensible
unorthodox analysts frequently supplement this passive procedure by giving advice, directing the clients to
do something, helping them change their environment, etc.; but they do so against psychoanalytic theory,
which stoutly insists that they do otherwise. Meanwhile, the poor analysands, who probably have
remained disturbed for most of their lives largely because they will not get off their asses and take risk
after risk, are firmly encouraged, by the analytic procedure and by the non-directive behavior of the
have the excuse that they
analyst, to continue their avoidant behavior. They now, moreover,
are actively trying to help themselves by being analyzed; but this ,
of course, is a delusion if anything like classical procedures are being followed; and they
consequently tend to become more passive, and possibly even more disturbed,
than before. DEPENDENCY Most clients are overly dependent individuals who are afraid to think and act for
Psychoanalysis is usually a
themselves and to risk being criticized for making mistakes.
process that greatly fosters dependency. The sessions are often several times a
week; they continue for a period of years; the analyst frequently forbids the clients to make any major
changes in their life during treatment a positive transference between the analyst and analysand is usually
the clients are constantly brainwashed into accepting
encouraged;
analytic interpretations, even when they seem to have a far-fetched
relationship to the facts of their lives; and in analytic group therapy, a family-like
setting is often deliberately fostered and maintained. While many forms of therapy also abet the clients
being dependent on the therapist, classical analysis is surely one of the worst, and psychoanalytically-
oriented psychotherapy one of the second-worst modes, in this respect. Several activity-directed forms of
therapy, on the other hand such as assertivenesstraining therapy, rational emotive behavior therapy,
and structured therapy urge clients, as soon as feasible, into independent action and teach them how to
t hink clearly for themselves. EMPHASIS ON FEELINGS Because it heavily emphasizes free association,
dream analysis, and the involvement of the client and therapist in transference and counter-transference
psychoanalysis inevitably puts a premium on the expression of
relations,
feelings rather than the changing of these feelings and the self -
defeating philosophies behind them. A good deal of the improvement in analytic
therapy seems to come from clients feeling better, as a result of catharsis and abreaction, and because
This tendency of clients to
they believe that the analyst really understands and likes them.
feel better, however, frequently sabotages their potentiality to
get better. Thus, the analysand who is terribly depressed about his
being refused a job and who gets these feelings off his chest in an
individual or a group session will often come away relieved, and feel that at least his analyst (or the group)
heard him out, that someone really cares for him, and that maybe hes not such a worthless slob after all.
Unfortunately, in getting himself to feel good, he forgets to inquire about the self-defeating beliefs he
told himself that maintain his depression: namely, If this employer who interviewed me today doesnt like
me, probably no employer will; and if I cant get a very good job like this one, that proves that Im
The expressive, cathartic-
incompetent and that I dont really deserve anything good in life.
abreactive method that is such a common part of analysis doesnt
encourage this client to stop and think about his philosophic
premises; instead, it enables him to feel good at least
momentarily in spite of the fact that he strongly retains these
same premises, and in spite of the fact that he will almost certainly
depress himself, because of his holding them, again and again. In the
expression of hostility that psychoanalysis encourages, the situation is even worse. Starting with the
assumption that it is bad for the client to feel hostile and to hold in her hostile feelings which is a fairly
sensible assumption, since there is empirical evidence to support it psychoanalysts usually derive from
this view another, and rather false, assumption: that the expression of hostile feelings will release and cure
basic hostility. Nothing of the sort is probably true; in fact, just the opposite frequently happens. The
individual who, in analytic sessions, is encouraged to express her hatred for her mother, husband, or boss
may well end up by becoming still more hostile, acting in an overtly nasty fashion to this other person,
Expression of hostility,
engendering return hostility, and then becoming still more irate.
moreover, is one of the best psychological cop-outs . By convincing herself that
other people are awful and that they deserve to be hated, the client can easily ignore her own maladaptive
behavior and self-loathing and can nicely avoid doing anything to look into her own heart and to change
her irrational thinking and her dysfunctional feelings and acts. One of the main functions of an effective
therapist, moreover, is to help the client minimize or eliminate her hostility (while keeping her dislike of
unfortunate events and nasty people, so that she can do something to solve her problems connected with
them). Psychoanalysis, because it falsely believes that present hostility stems from past occurrences
(rather than largely from the individuals philosophic attitude toward and consequent interpretations about
those occurrences), has almost no method of getting at the main sources of hatred and eradicating them.
By failing to show the client how to change her anger-creating views and by encouraging her to become
more hostile in many instances, it tends to harm probably the majority of analytic clients (or should we say
victims?). BOLSTERS CONFORMISM The main reasons why many human beings feel sufficiently disturbed
to come for therapy are their misleading beliefs that they need the love and approval of others, that they
cant possibly be happy at all when they are alone, and that unless they are successful they are no
psychoanalysis is essentially non-philosophic, and
damned good. Because
because it does not show clients how to distinguish clearly between
their wanting and their needing to be approved and successful , most
analysands wind up, at best, by becoming better adapted to the popularity-and achievement-demanding
culture in which they live rather than becoming persons in their own right who give themselves permission
to think and to enjoy themselves in unconforming ways. Psychoanalysis basically teaches the client, Since
your parents were overly-critical and therefore made you hate yourself, and since you are able to see that
I, your analyst, uncritically accepts you in spite of your poor behavior, you can now accept yourself. And
also: Since you have been achieving on a low level because you were afraid to compete with your father
or your brother, and I have helped you gain insight into this reason for your doing poorly, you can now
compete successfully with practically anyone, and make the million dollars you always wanted to make.
What psychoanalysis fails to teach the individual is: You can always unqualifiedly
accept yourself even if I, your analyst, do not particularly like you, because your value to yourself rests on
your existence, on your being, and not on how much anyone approves you. And: There are several
reasons why succeeding at vocational or avocational activities is usually advantageous; but you dont have
to be outstanding, ultrasuccessful, or noble in order to accept yourself. Because analysis is
largely concerned with historical events in peoples lives rather than their ideological
reactions to these events; because it encourages passivity and dependency; because it over-emphasizes
the personal relationship between the analyst and analysand for these and other reasons it often
encourages clients to be more successful conformers rather than evergrowing, courageously
experimenting, relatively culture-free persons. The analyst himself, rigidly-bound as he often is by the
orthodox rules of the therapeutic game he is playing, and selfcondemned by following these rules to be a
non-assertive, undaring individual himself, tends to set a bad example for the client and to encourage her
or him to be a reactor rather than an actor in the drama that we call life. STRENGTHENS IRRATIONALITY
Clients basic problems often stem from assuming irrational premises and making illogical deductions from
these premises. If they are to be helped with their basic disturbance, they had better learn to question
their assumptions and think more logically and discriminate more clearly about the various things that
happen to them and the attitudes they take toward these happenings. In particular, theyd better realize
that their preferences or desires are not truly needs or demands and that just because it would be better if
something occurred, this is no reason why it absolutelyshould, ought, or must occur. Instead of helping
psychoanalysis provides them with
clients with this kind of realistic and logical analysis,
many unverified premises and irrationalities of its own. It usually insists that
they must be disturbed because of past events in their lives, that they need to be loved and have to be-
come angry when thwarted, that they must have years of intensive analysis in order to change
significantly, that they must get into and finally work through an intense transference relationship with
their analyst, etc. All these assumptions as is the case with most psychoanalytic hypotheses are
either dubious or false; and analysands are given additional irrationalities to cope with over and above
their handicapping crooked thinking with which they come to therapy. In innumerable instances, they
become so obsessed with their analytic nonsense that psychoanalysis becomes their religious creed and
their be-all and end-all for existing; and though it may somewhat divert them from the nonsense with
which they first came to therapy, it does not really eliminate it but at best covers it up with this new
Rather than becoming less suggestible
psychoanalytic mode of positive thinking.
and more of a critical thinker through analysis, they frequently
become worse in these respects. ABSORBS AND SABOTAGES HEALTH POTENTIALS When
clients come for psychoanalysis, they are usually reasonably young and have considerable potential for
achieving mental health, even though they are now disturbed. Psychoanalysis, particularly in its classical
modes, is such a long-winded, time-consuming, expensive process that it often takes many of the best
years of clients lives and prevents them from using these years productively. To make matters much
worse, analytic therapy leads in most instances to such abysmally poor results that analysands are often
highly discouraged, are convinced that practically all the time and money they spent for analysis is
wasted, that there is no possibility of their ever changing and that theyd better avoid all other types of
psychotherapy for the rest of their lives and adjust themselves, as best they may, to living with their
disturbances. An untold number of ex-analysands have become utterly disillusioned with all psychological
treatment because they wrongly believe that psychoanalysis is psychotherapy, and that if they received
such poor results from being analyzed nothing else could possible work for them. If the facts in this regard
could ever be known, it is likely to be found that analysis harms more people in this way than in any of the
other many ways in which it is deleterious. The number of people in the United States alone who feel that
they cannot afford any more therapy because they fruitlessly spent many thousands of dollars in
psychoanalysis is probably considerable. WRONG THERAPEUTIC GOALS The two main functions of
psychotherapy, when it is sanely done, are: (1) to show clients how they can significantly change their
disordered thinking, emoting, and behaving and (2) to help them, once they are no longer severely
disturbed, to lead a more creative, fulfilling, growing existence. Instead of these two goals, psychoanalysis
largely follows a third one: to help people understand or gain insight into themselves and particularly to
understand the history of their disturbances. Humans in contradistinction to the analytic assumptions
do not usually modify their basic thoughts and behaviors by insight into their past, by relating to a
therapist, or even by understanding their present irrational assumptions and conflicting value systems.
They change mainly by work and efort. They consequently had better be helped to use their insights
which usually means, to concretely understand what they are believing and assuming right now, in the
present, and to actively challenge and question these self-defeating beliefs and assumptions until they
finally change them. They also had better be helped to act, to experiment, to accept discomforts, and to
force themselves to do many things of which they are irrationally afraid, so that their actions effectively
depropagandize them to give up their dysfunctional beliefs. Psychoanalytic therapy, instead of
devoting much time to encouraging and teaching clients to dispute and act against their self-defeating
takes them up the garden path into all kinds
thoughts, feelings, and behaviors,
of irrelevant (though sometimes accurate) in-sights, which gives them a lovely excuse to cop
Out from doing the work, the practice, the effort, the self-deprivation by which alone they are likely truly to
change their basic self-sabotaging philosophies of life. Even if it were a good method of psychological
analysis (which it actually is not), it is an execrable method of synthesis. It does not notably help people
make themselves whole again; and it particularly does not show them how to live more fulfillingly when
they have, to some degree, stopped needlessly upsetting themselves. Because it implicitly and explicitly
encourages people to remain pretty much the way they are, though perhaps to get a better understanding
of themselves (and often to construct better defenses so that they can live more efficiently with their
irrational assumptions about themselves and others), it frequently does more harm, by stopping them from
really making a concerted attack on their fundamental disturbances, than the good that well might come
to them if they received a non-analytic form of psychotherapy or even if they resolutely tried to help
themselves by reading, talking to others, and by doing some hard thinking. CONCLUSION
Psychoanalysis in general and classical analysis in particular are
mistaken in their assumptions about why human beings become
emotionally disturbed and what can and should be done to help
them become less anxious and hostile. Consequently, analytic therapy
largely wastes considerable time teaching clients often-mistaken
theories about themselves and others. Although these theories are frequently highly
interesting and diverting, they at best may help the client to feel better rather than to get better. The one
thing that analysis usually insures is that analysands will not understand the philosophic core of their
disturbance-creating tendencies and consequently will not work and practice, in both a verbal-theoretical
and active-motor way, to change their basic assumptions about themselves and the world and thereby
ameliorate their symptoms and make themselves less disturbable. Although ostensibly an intensive and
analysis is actually an exceptionally superficial,
ultra-depth-centered form of psychotherapy,
palliative form of treatment. Because it deludes clients that they are truly getting better by
following its rules and because it dissuades them from doing the difficult reorganizing of their underlying
philosophical assumptions, psychoanalysis usually (though, of course, not always) does
more harm than good and is contraindicated in the majority of
instances in which it is actually used.
1ar EXT Unfalsifiable
Pyschoanalysis is non-falsifiable hindsight thinking
Samuels 93 Training Analyst Society of Analytical Psychology and
Science Associate American Academy of Psychoanalysis (Andrew, Free
Associations, The mirror and the hammer: depth psychology and political
transformation, Vol. 3D, Psychoanalytic Electronic Publishing) DJ
The paper is about the depth psychology of political processes, focusing on processes of political change. It is a contribution to the
longstanding ambition of depth psychology to develop a form of political and cultural analysis that will, in Freud's words, 'under-stand the
riddles of the world'. It has to be admitted that there is an equally longstanding reluctance in the non-psychological community to accept the
many and varied ideas and suggestions concerning political matters that have been offered by analysts of all persuasions. I do not believe
personal and public dimensions of power. That is, there is an articulation between public, economic power
and power as expressed on the personal, private level. This articulation is demonstrated in family organization, gender and race relations, and
in religious and artistic assumptions as they affect the life of individuals. (I have also tried to be consistent in my use of the terms 'culture',
'society' and 'collective'.)' Here is an example of the difficulty with psychological rcduc-tionism to which I am referring. At a conference 1
attended in London in 1990, a distinguished psychoanalyst referred to the revolutionary students in Paris in 1968 as 'functioning as a
regressive group'. Now, for a large group of students to be said to regress, there must be, in the speaker's mind, some sort of normative
developmental starting point for them to regress to. The social group is supposed to have a babyhood, as it were. Similarly, the speaker must
have had in mind the possibility of a healthier, progressive group process what a more mature group of revolutionary students would have
legal theorists, autonomy remains a necessary fantasy . The third section applies this
understanding to data protection laws. The final section makes some tentative suggestions about how a better
understanding of the psychological needs fulfilled by privacy laws can and should inform future law reform in this area.
Specifically, data protection laws are good
Meyers 6/16/14 --- Masters of Public and International Law candidate,
University of Melbourne (Zach, Autonomy as a Fantasy, Taylor and Francis Online)//trepka
Linguistic systems structure identity and cannot represent the infants unstructured existence, the omnipotence it has
linguistic systems are entirely constituted by divisions,
lost69 after all,
which cannot express wholeness except through further divisions.
Indeed, Lacan sees the metaphoric significance the infant associates with the reel, the treatment of objects as signifiers
for something else, as the first mark of the subject.70 The mirror stage (that is, the creation of a sense of self) involves
the law, is therefore useful
the repression of this wholeness. The social order, like language or
Vote aff if they win solves the whole kritik better for two
reasons:
instead to understand how deeply related the two are . "I feel, therefore I
am,"64 wrote the Cuban novelist and theorist Alejo Carpentier in the context of his El recurso del mtodo
(Recourse of Method), a novel whose rationale from the title onward is a parody and response to Cartesian
thought; to which one can only note how even this most basic expression of the primordial kinship
between feeling and being seems sutured, at its core, to that solitary vowel that marks the subject's
feeling minimal exclusion from the surrounding world. [End Page 37]
much as its composition. As little of the Grime and Dancehall that Fisher and Dan Hancox catalogued towards a playlist of
the riots and uprisings expresses in explicitly linguistic and lyrical content the sentiments of political activism, it is in the use of music and
Where music is
sound as a carrier of affects at the point of both playback and composition that its importance lies.2
continuously (and indefinitely) pursued at least for the sake of preserving the
possibility of finding that good.However, this platitude about the value that can be found in life turns out to be,
at this point, insufficient for our purposes. It seems to amount to very little more than recognizing that our subjective
science is of a
mathematics, the logic of their theories, and the values that guide their enterprise. In this conception,
The commitment to
be few occasions in which we are forced to concede It just is or Its magic or Because I said so.
intelligibility with a sin called reductionism. But to explain a complex happening in terms of
deeper principles is not to discard its richness. No sane thinker would try to explain World War I in the language of physics, chemistry, and
biology as opposed to the more perspicuous language of the perceptions and goals of leaders in 1914 Europe. At the same time, a curious
person can legitimately ask why human minds are apt to have such perceptions and goals, including the tribalism, overconfidence, and sense
of honor that fell into a deadly combination at that historical moment. The second ideal is that the acquisition of knowledge is hard. The world
does not go out of its way to reveal its workings, and even if it did, our minds are prone to illusions, fallacies, and super- stitions . Most
of the traditional causes of belieffaith, revelation, dogma, authority, charisma, conventional wisdom, the
invigorating glow of subjective certaintyare generators of error and should be dismissed
potential to contribute to war than others, there may well be an infinite set
of motivating factors, or human wants, motivating aggression. It is not
the independent existence of such motivating factors for war but rather the
circumstances permitting or encouraging high risk decisions leading
to war that is the key to more effectively controlling war. And the
same may also be true of democide. The early focus in the Rwanda slaughter on "ethnic
conflict," as though Hutus and Tutsis had begun to slaughter each other through spontaneous combustion, distracted our
attention from the reality that a nondemocratic Hutu regime had carefully planned and orchestrated a genocide against
Certainly if we were able to press a
Rwandan Tutsis as well as its Hutu opponents.I1
button and end poverty, racism, religious intolerance, injustice, and
endless disputes, we would want to do so. Indeed, democratic
governments must remain committed to policies that will produce a
better world by all measures of human progress . The broader
achievement of democracy and the rule of law will itself assist in this
progress. No one, however, has yet been able to demonstrate the kind
of robust correlation with any of these "traditional" causes of war as
is reflected in the "democratic peace." Further, given the difficulties in
overcoming many of these social problems , an approach to
war exclusively dependent on their solution may be to doom us to
war for generations to come.
No impact
Short 5 [Jonathan, Ph.D. candidate in the Graduate Programme in Social &
Political Thought, York University, Life and Law: Agamben and Foucault on
Governmentality and Sovereignty, Journal for the Arts, Sciences and
Technology, Vol. 3, No. 1]
Adding to the dangerousness of this logic of control, however, is that while there is a crisis of undecidability
in the domain of life, it corresponds to a similar crisis at the level of law and the national state. It should be
noted here that despite the new forms of biopolitical control in operation
today, Rose believes that bio-politics has become generally less dangerous in recent times
than even in the early part of the last century. At that time, bio-
politics was linked to the project of the expanding national state in his
opinion. In disciplinary-pastoral society, bio-politics involved a process of social
selection of those characteristics thought useful to the nationalist
project. Hence, according to Rose, "once each life has a value which may be calculated, and some lives
have less value than others, such a politics has the obligation to exercise this judgement in the name of
the race or the nation" (2001: 3). Disciplinary-pastoral bio- politics sets itself the task of eliminating
"differences coded as defects", and in pursuit of this goal the most horrible programs of eugenics, forced
sterilization, and outright extermination, were enacted (ibid.: 3). If Rose is more optimistic about bio-
politics in 'advanced liberal' societies, it is because this notion of 'national fitness', in
terms of bio- political competition among nation-states, has
suffered a precipitous decline thanks in large part to a crisis of the perceived
unity of the national state as a viable political project (ibid.: 5). To quote Rose once again, "the
idea of 'society' as a single, if heterogeneous, domain with a national culture, a national population, a
national destiny, co-extensive with a national territory and the powers of a national political government"
no longer serves as premises of state policy (ibid.: 5). Drawing on a sequential reading of Foucault's theory
the territorial state, the
of the governmentalization of the state here, Rose claims that
primary institution of enclosure, has become subject to
fragmentation along a number of lines. National culture has given
way to cultural pluralism; national identity has been overshadowed
by a diverse cluster of identifications, many of them transcending the national
territory on which they take place, while the same pluralization has affected the once singular conception
bio-political programmes
of community (ibid.: 5). Under these conditions, Rose argues, the
of the molar enclosure known as the nation-state have fallen into
disrepute and have been all but abandoned.
AT Homonationalism
Homonationalism provides a simplistic account of
relationship between tolerance and violence---specific
analysis of material structures and institutions is
necessary to solve
Ritchie 14 [Jason, Assistant Professor of Anthropology at Florida International
University, Pinkwashing, Homonationalism, and IsraelPalestine: The
Conceits of Queer Theory and the Politics of the Ordinary, Antipode, 3 Jun
2014]
homogenize this or that queer as the victim or the victor and work
instead to develop a nuanced framework for building coalitions to
fight rather than platforms on which to fight aboutthe complex
and unpredictable ways space is organized, difference is enforced, and some
bodies in some places are allowed to move more freely than others.
1ar EXT State Good
Assimilation arguments are wrong---struggles for legal
reform radically challenge the concept of liberalism and
civil society for everyone
Brenkman 2 [John, Distinguished Professor of English and Comparative
Literature at the CUNY and Baruch College, Narrative, Vol. 10, No. 2, p. 188-
189]
Innovation is a crucial concept for understanding the gay and lesbian
movement, which emerged from within civil society as citizens who were stigmatized and often
criminalized for their sexual lives created new forms of association, transformed
their own lifeworld, and organized a political offensive on behalf of
political and social reforms. There was an innovation of rights and
freedoms, and what I have called innovations in sociality . Contrary to the
liberal interpretation of liberal rights and freedoms, I do not think that gays and
lesbians have merely sought their place at the table. Their struggle
has radically altered the scope and meaning of the liberal rights and
freedoms they sought, first and foremost by making them include sexuality, sexual practices,
and the shape of household and family. Where the movement has succeeded in
changing the laws of the state, it has also opened up new
possibilities within civil society . To take an obvious example, wherever it
becomes unlawful to deny housing to individuals because they are
gay, there is set in motion a transformation of the everyday life of
neighborhoods, including the lives of heterosexuals and their
children. [End Page 188] Within civil society, this is a work of
enlightenment, however uneven and fraught and frequently
dangerous. It is not a reaffirmation of the symbolic and structural
underpinnings of homophobia; on the contrary, it is a challenge to
homophobia and a volatilizing of social relations within the
nonpolitical realm.
the determination of legally legitimate and illegitimate forms of relation any less inevitable . Petitions to the
law are inevitable ; they will be made, often by people with no other
recourse to save their life, or to preserve their life's basic quality. As
Butler demonstrates, any such petition will have performative effect .
I do not offer this brief critique of Butlers theory of sovereign performatives to dispute the facticity of
politics of resistance to the
her arguments. I begin this project with the stipulation that
sovereign performative must include actions of resistance to
statist law itselfthat is, the specific articulation of opposition,
within progressive social movements, to strategies that privilege
appeals for help from judges . But these politics must also acknowledge
that those who undertake such strategies do not always do so
without knowledge of the sovereign performative function of their
actionsrecourse to the law does not always or even usually
imagine the law as neutral.45 These radical politics must also be undertaken with
knowledge of the effects of the petitions to law-as-sovereign that will inevitably
constituted through exclusion; some people are authorized to speak authorita- tively because others are silenced. Thus, in
Butler's view, the consti- tution of a class of authorized subiects entails "the
Is it really ?
cultural processes of subjectivation. This view, according to Butler, is a "ruse of power" and an "instrument Of cultural imperialism."
No endless violence
Gray 7 [Colin, Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Professor of
International Relations and Strategic Studies at the University of Reading,
graduate of the Universities of Manchester and Oxford, Founder and Senior
Associate to the National Institute for Public Policy, formerly with the
International Institute for Strategic Studies and the Hudson Institute, July
2007, The Implications of Preemptive and Preventive War Doctrines: A
Reconsideration, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/ssi10561/ssi10561.pdf]
7. A policy that favors preventive warfare expresses a futile quest for absolute security. It could do so. Most
In the hands of a paranoid or
controversial policies contain within them the possibility of misuse.
boundlessly ambitious political leader, prevention could be a policy for endless
warfare. However, the American political system, with its checks and
balances, was designed explicitly for the purpose of constraining the
executive from excessive folly. Both the Vietnam and the contemporary Iraqi
experiences reveal clearly that although the conduct of war is an executive prerogative,
in practice that authority is disciplined by public attitudes. Clausewitz made this point superbly
with his designation of the passion, the sentiments, of the people as a vital component of his trinitarian
theory of war. 51 It is true to claim that power can be, and indeed is often, abused, both personally and
nationally. It is possible that a state could acquire a taste for the apparent swift decisiveness of preventive
warfare and overuse the option. One might argue that the easy success achieved against Taliban
Afghanistan in 2001, provided fuel for the urge to seek a similarly rapid success against Saddam Husseins
Iraq. In other words, the delights of military success can be habit forming. On balance, claim seven is not
persuasive, though it certainly contains a germ of truth. A country with unmatched wealth and power,
unused to physical insecurity at homenotwithstanding 42 years of nuclear danger, and a high level of
we ought
gun crimeis vulnerable to demands for policies that supposedly can restore security. But
not to endorse the argument that the United States should eschew the preventive
war option because it could lead to a futile, endless search for absolute
security. One might as well argue that the United States should adopt a defense policy and
develop capabilities shaped strictly for homeland security approached in a narrowly geographical
Since a president might misuse a military instrument that had a global
sense.
reach, why not deny the White House even the possibility of such misuse? In
other words, constrain policy ends by limiting policys military means. This
argument has circulated for many decades and, it must be admitted, it does have a certain elementary
the claim that a policy which includes
logic. It is the opinion of this enquiry, however, that
the preventive option might lead to a search for total security is not at all
convincing. Of course, folly in high places is always possible, which is one of the many reasons why
popular democracy is the superior form of government. It would be absurd to permit the fear
of a futile and dangerous quest for absolute security to preclude prevention
as a policy option. Despite its absurdity, this rhetorical charge against
prevention is a stock favorite among preventions critics. It should be
recognized and dismissed for what it is, a debating point with little pragmatic
merit. And strategy, though not always policy, must be nothing if not pragmatic.
potential to contribute to war than others, there may well be an infinite set
of motivating factors, or human wants, motivating aggression. It is not
the independent existence of such motivating factors for war but rather the
circumstances permitting or encouraging high risk decisions leading
to war that is the key to more effectively controlling war. And the
same may also be true of democide. The early focus in the Rwanda slaughter on "ethnic
conflict," as though Hutus and Tutsis had begun to slaughter each other through spontaneous combustion, distracted our
attention from the reality that a nondemocratic Hutu regime had carefully planned and orchestrated a genocide against
Certainly if we were able to press a
Rwandan Tutsis as well as its Hutu opponents.I1
button and end poverty, racism, religious intolerance, injustice, and
endless disputes, we would want to do so. Indeed, democratic
governments must remain committed to policies that will produce a
better world by all measures of human progress . The broader
achievement of democracy and the rule of law will itself assist in this
progress. No one, however, has yet been able to demonstrate the kind
of robust correlation with any of these "traditional" causes of war as
is reflected in the "democratic peace." Further, given the difficulties in
overcoming many of these social problems , an approach to
war exclusively dependent on their solution may be to doom us to
war for generations to come.
falseness of this claim. Take it, to begin with, at the most literal level, since if an aphorism is
untrue in the concrete it is hardly any more likely to be true at the abstract level meant to be figured and
represented by the concrete. Imagine we're a group of escaped slaves who
have begun by dismanding the master (presumably using our own tools) and now
wish to move on to his house. Hunting around the plantation, we come across a
tool-shed of hammers, pickaxes, saws, barrels of gunpowder, and so
forth. Cannot we take these tools andhammering, digging, sawing
in half, blowing updemolish the master's house? Of course we can^you just
watch. So the moment one examines the maxim, it falls apart. Only if it could plausibly be
demonstrated that there is something intrinsic in the tool itself that
prohibits any such emancipatory use of it would the dictum be true .
But obviously there will be many tools, like hammers, which can be
used for a wide variety of ends, so that even if the master has used
them, inter alia, to build his plantation mansion (with our forced labor, of course), this
does not mean that we cannot use them for different purposes once
he is no longer with us. Appropriating the master's toolsafter all, we
figure he owes us a lot of back pay^we head out West, where we construct
freedmen's towns with them. Who will refuse to move into these houses because they were
built with the master's tools? Consider now the abstract level of conceptual tools
and theoretical frameworks that the material tools are supposed to
represent. I suggest that Lorde's dictum is no truer here. Some tools, such as racism, will be
intrinsically oppressive, so that one should be dubious aboutto cite a
famous exampleJean-Paul Sartre's claim in "Black Orpheus" that an "antiracist racism" is
possible. But liberalism and contract theory , I would claim, are different .
Admittedly, liberalism and contractarianism have historically been
racialized this was the whole burden of The Racial Contract. But the crucial disanalogy
as "tools" between racism on the one hand, and liberalism and
contractarianism, on the other hand, is that once you purge racism of its
scientific errors and moral viciousness there is nothing left:, while for
liberalism and contractarianism, this is not the case. Racism as an ideology
about the natural differentiation of humanity into discrete, hierarchically ordered biological groups, or
collapses into nothingness
racism as moral disregard for people because of their race,
once it is realized that not only are the groups historically taken to
be races not in a hierarchy, but that in fact they do not even exist as
discrete biological entities in the first place, and that racially based
disregard for people is morally unconscionable . But liberalism and
contractarianism as descriptive and normative claims about how we
should think of the formation of society and the rights that morally
equal humans should have within that society can survive the
removal of racist conceptions of who should be counted as fully
human and fully equal. The latter "tools," unlike the former, have other
dimensions beside the goal of subordination, and so can be
reclaimed. An anti-contractarian contractarianism is possible in a
way that an anti-racist racism is not.
1ar EX Doesnt Cause Violence
Liberal universalism doesnt explain global violence
their impact is ahistorical
Teschke 11 - Department of International Relations, School of Global Studies,
University of Sussex, Brighton, UK (Benno, Fatal attraction: a critique of Carl
Schmitts international political and legal theory International Theory (2011),
3:2, 179227, doi:10.1017/S175297191100011X
For at the centre of the heterodox partly post-structuralist, partly realist neo-Schmittian analysis stands
the conclusion of The Nomos: the thesis of a structural and continuous relation between liberalism and
violence (Mouffe 2005, 2007; Odysseos 2007). It suggests that, in sharp contrast to the liberal-
cosmopolitan programme of perpetual peace, the geographical expansion of liberal modernity was
accompanied by the intensification and de-formalization of war in the international construction of liberal
constitutional states of law and the production of liberal subjectivities as rights-bearing individuals.
Liberal world-ordering proceeds via the conduit of wars for
humanity, leading to Schmitts spaceless universalism. In this perspective, a
straight line is drawn from WWI to the War on Terror to verify Schmitts long-
term prognostic of the 20th century as the age of neutralizations and de-politicizations (Schmitt 1993).
But this attempt to read the history of 20th century international relations in terms of a
succession of confrontations between the carriernations of liberal modernity and the criminalized foes at
seems unable to comprehend the complexities and
its outer margins
specificities of liberal world-ordering, then and now. For in the cases of Wilhelmine,
Weimar and fascist Germany, the assumption that their conflicts with the Anglo- American liberal-capitalist
heartland were grounded in an antagonism between liberal modernity and a recalcitrant Germany outside
its geographical and conceptual lines runs counter to the historical evidence. For this reading presupposes
that late-Wilhelmine Germany was not already substantially penetrated by capitalism and fully
incorporated into the capitalist world economy, posing the question of whether the causes of WWI lay in
the capitalist dynamics of inter-imperial rivalry (Blackbourn and Eley 1984), or in processes of belated and
incomplete liberal capitalist development, due to the survival of re-feudalized elites in the German state
classes and the marriage between rye and iron (Wehler 1997). It also assumes that the late-Weimar and
early Nazi turn towards the construction of an autarchic German regionalism Mitteleuropa or Groraum
was not deeply influenced by the international ramifications of the 1929 Great Depression, but premised
on a purely political existentialist assertion of German national identity. Against a reading of the early
20th century conflicts between the liberal West and Germany as wars for humanity between an
expanding liberal modernity and its political exterior, there is more evidence to suggest that these
confrontations were interstate conflicts within the crisis-ridden and nationally uneven capitalist project of
modernity. Similar objections and caveats to the binary opposition between the Western discourse of
how can this optic
liberal humanity against non-liberal foes apply to the more recent period. For
explain that the liberal West coexisted (and keeps coexisting) with a large
number of pliant authoritarian client-regimes (Mubaraks Egypt, Suhartos
Indonesia, Pahlavis Iran, Fahds Saudi-Arabia, even Gaddafis pre-intervention Libya, to name but a few),
which were and are actively managed and supported by the West as
antiliberal Schmittian states of emergency, with concerns for liberal
subjectivities and Human Rights secondary to the strategic interests of
political and geopolitical stability and economic access? Even in the more obvious cases of Afghanistan,
Iraq, and, now, Libya, the idea that Western intervention has to be conceived as an encounter between the
liberal project and a series of foes outside its sphere seems to rely on a denial of their antecedent histories
as geopolitically and socially contested state-building projects in pro-Western fashion, deeply co-
determined by long histories of Western anti-liberal colonial and post-colonial legacies. If these states (or
social forces within them) turn against their imperial masters, the conventional policy expression is
blowback. And as the Schmittian analytical vocabulary does not include a conception of human
agency and social forces only friend/ enemy groupings and collective political entities governed by
lacks the categories of analysis to comprehend the
executive decision it also
social dynamics that drive the struggles around sovereign power and
the eventual overcoming, for example, of Tunisian and Egyptian states of
emergency without US-led wars for humanity. Similarly, it seems unlikely
that the generic idea of liberal world-ordering and the production of liberal
subjectivities can actually explain why Western intervention seems
improbable in some cases (e.g. Bahrain, Qatar, Yemen or Syria) and more likely in
others (e.g. Serbia, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya). Liberal world-ordering consists of differential
strategies of building, coordinating, and drawing liberal and anti-liberal states into the Western orbit, and
overtly or covertly intervening and refashioning them once they step out of line. These are conflicts within
The generic Schmittian
a world, which seem to push the term liberalism beyond its original meaning.
idea of a liberal spaceless universalism sits uncomfortably with the
realities of maintaining an America-supervised informal empire, which has
to manage a persisting interstate system in diverse and case-
specific ways. But it is this persistence of a worldwide system of states, which encase national
particularities, which renders challenges to American supremacy possible in the first place.
without a vision of an alternative , on the grounds that the links between actions and
consequences are never certain, we can call his appeal both a failure of
imagination and a failure of reality . As for reality, we have dozens of
revolutions as models, and the historical record indicates quite
clearly that they generally lead not to harmonious cooperation (what I
call AnarchoNiceness to gently mock the romanticism of Hardt and Negri) but instead to the
vision that offers a reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox
News has a better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited
as a void cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as
constant local scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call
terrorists. This analysis of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the
limitations of the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for
progressive Left Academics should now include the hard labor to
produce alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
Perms and things
No impact
Gray 7 [Colin, Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Professor of
International Relations and Strategic Studies at the University of Reading,
graduate of the Universities of Manchester and Oxford, Founder and Senior
Associate to the National Institute for Public Policy, formerly with the
International Institute for Strategic Studies and the Hudson Institute, July
2007, The Implications of Preemptive and Preventive War Doctrines: A
Reconsideration, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/ssi10561/ssi10561.pdf]
7. A policy that favors preventive warfare expresses a futile quest for absolute security. It could do so. Most
In the hands of a paranoid or
controversial policies contain within them the possibility of misuse.
boundlessly ambitious political leader, prevention could be a policy for endless
warfare. However, the American political system, with its checks and
balances, was designed explicitly for the purpose of constraining the
executive from excessive folly. Both the Vietnam and the contemporary Iraqi
experiences reveal clearly that although the conduct of war is an executive prerogative,
in practice that authority is disciplined by public attitudes. Clausewitz made this point superbly
with his designation of the passion, the sentiments, of the people as a vital component of his trinitarian
theory of war. 51 It is true to claim that power can be, and indeed is often, abused, both personally and
nationally. It is possible that a state could acquire a taste for the apparent swift decisiveness of preventive
warfare and overuse the option. One might argue that the easy success achieved against Taliban
Afghanistan in 2001, provided fuel for the urge to seek a similarly rapid success against Saddam Husseins
Iraq. In other words, the delights of military success can be habit forming. On balance, claim seven is not
persuasive, though it certainly contains a germ of truth. A country with unmatched wealth and power,
unused to physical insecurity at homenotwithstanding 42 years of nuclear danger, and a high level of
we ought
gun crimeis vulnerable to demands for policies that supposedly can restore security. But
not to endorse the argument that the United States should eschew the preventive
war option because it could lead to a futile, endless search for absolute
security. One might as well argue that the United States should adopt a defense policy and
develop capabilities shaped strictly for homeland security approached in a narrowly geographical
Since a president might misuse a military instrument that had a global
sense.
reach, why not deny the White House even the possibility of such misuse? In
other words, constrain policy ends by limiting policys military means. This
argument has circulated for many decades and, it must be admitted, it does have a certain elementary
the claim that a policy which includes
logic. It is the opinion of this enquiry, however, that
the preventive option might lead to a search for total security is not at all
convincing. Of course, folly in high places is always possible, which is one of the many reasons why
popular democracy is the superior form of government. It would be absurd to permit the fear
of a futile and dangerous quest for absolute security to preclude prevention
as a policy option. Despite its absurdity, this rhetorical charge against
prevention is a stock favorite among preventions critics. It should be
recognized and dismissed for what it is, a debating point with little pragmatic
merit. And strategy, though not always policy, must be nothing if not pragmatic.
Threat con isnt sufficient to cause war
Kaufman 9, Prof Poli Sci and IR U Delaware, Narratives and Symbols in
Violent Mobilization: The Palestinian-Israeli Case, Security Studies 18:3, p.
433
Even when hostile narratives, group fears, and opportunity are strongly
present, war occurs only if these factors are harnessed . Ethnic
narratives and fears must combine to create significant ethnic hostility
among mass publics. Politicians must also seize the opportunity to
manipulate that hostility , evoking hostile narratives and symbols to gain or hold
power by riding a wave of chauvinist mobilization . Such mobilization is often spurred
by prominent events (for example, episodes of violence) that increase feelings of hostility and make
chauvinist appeals seem timely. If the other group also mobilizes and if each sides felt security needs
threaten the security of the other side, the result is a security dilemma spiral of rising fear, hostility, and
this symbolist theory is that symbolist logic
mutual threat that results in violence. A virtue of
explains why ethnic peace is more common than ethnonationalist
war. Even if hostile narratives, fears, and opportunity exist, severe
violence usually can still be avoided if ethnic elites skillfully define group
needs in moderate ways and collaborate across group lines to prevent
violence: this is consociationalism.17 War is likely only if hostile narratives, fears, and opportunity spur
hostile attitudes, chauvinist mobilization, and a security dilemma.
minds has always scaled with the magnitude of our calling . There's no
reason to believe it won't continue doing so. Second, we're pushing forward the frontiers
of possibility every second, far more rapidly than we can comprehend. Before coming to MIT, I believed
certain problems were simply too hard for human beings to address. In
retrospect, though, my skepticism simply reflected my failure of imagination . I now
assume that once a problem has been identified, folks will eventually solve it or
find a way to manage it. The tipping point for me came six years ago, when MIT News ran an article
discussing a new project Professor Angela Belcher and a few of her colleagues had undertaken. "For the first time," it
explained, "MIT researchers have shown they can genetically engineer viruses to build both the positively and negatively
If we can figure out how to make batteries from
charged ends of a lithium-ion battery."
viruses -- I never imagined I'd see those two words in the same sentence, and I still can't get my head around the idea
-- what can't we do ? Third, no matter what problem keeps you up at night, there
are brilliant, passionate people around the world who're working on it . You
may not hear about them amid the daily barrage of depressing
headlines, but they're easy to find if you want to find them. Among the extraordinary individuals I've met, spoken
to over e-mail, or reconnected with in recent months: Ruzwana Bashir, the cofounder and CEO of Peek, who's using her
own experience of sexual abuse to help other victims find their voices; Pardis Sabeti, a professor of organismic and
evolutionary biology at Harvard, who's developing treatments to fight Ebola; Donald Sadoway, a professor of materials
chemistry at MIT, whose work on liquid-metal batteries could revolutionize electricity storage; Shiza Shahid, the cofounder
of the Malala Fund, who's working to give young women around the world a chance at an education; and Wes Moore,
author of The Other Wes Moore and The Work, who cofounded BridgeEdU to help at-risk youth in Baltimore graduate from
There's an enormous amount of work to be done -- slowing the course of climate
college.
but
change, feeding a growing population and resettling tens of millions of refugees, to name but a few challenges --
dwelling on everything that's wrong and fretting about everything that
could go wrong won't help. Let's spend less time lamenting the state
of the world and more time supporting those who're making it
better.
why , say, the American government significantly(not merely in excusable rhetoric) might magnify
and even invent threats (and, more seriously, act on such inflated threat estimates). In a few places, Eland (2004,
185) suggests that such behavior might stem from military or national security bureaucrats attempts to enhance their personal status and
organizational budgets, or even from the influence and dominance of the military-industrial complex; viz.: Maintaining the empire and
retaliating for the blowback from that empire keeps what President Eisenhower called the military-industrial complex fat and happy. Or, in the
same section: In the nations capital, vested interests, such as the law enforcement bureaucracies . . . routinely take advantage of crisesto
satisfy parochial desires. Similarly, many corporations use crises to get pet projects a.k.a. porkfunded by the government. And national
bureaucratic-
security crises, because of peoples fears, are especially ripe opportunities to grab largesse. (Ibid., 182) Thus,
politics theory, which once made several reputa- tions (such as those of Richard Neustadt, Morton Halperin, and Graham Allison)
in defense-intellectual circles, and spawned an entire sub-industry within the field of international relations,5 is put into the
service of dismissing putative security threats as imaginary . So, too, can a surprisingly
cognate theory, public choice,6 which can be considered the right-wing analog of the bureaucratic-politics model, and is a preferred
interpretation of governmental decision- making among libertarian observers. As Eland (2004, 203) summarizes: Public-choice theory argues
[that] the government itself can develop sepa- rate interests from its citizens. The government reflects the interests of powerful pressure
groups and the interests of the bureaucracies and the bureaucrats in them. Although this problem occurs in both foreign and domestic policy,
it may be more severe in foreign policy because citizens pay less attention to policies that affect them less directly. There is, in this statement
of public-choice theory, a certain ambiguity, and a certain degree of contradiction: Bureaucrats are supposedly, at the same time, subservient
to societal interest groups and autonomous from society in general. This journal has pioneered the argument that state autonomy is a likely
consequence of the publics ignorance of most areas of state activity (e.g., Somin 1998; DeCanio 2000a, 2000b, 2006, 2007; Ravenal 2000a).
But state autonomy does not necessarily mean that bureaucrats substitute their own interests for those of what could be called the national
society that they ostensibly serve. I have argued (Ravenal 2000a) that, precisely because of the public-ignorance and elite-expertise factors,
and especially because the opportunitiesat least for bureaucrats (a few notable post-government lobbyist cases nonwithstanding)for
lucrative self-dealing are stringently fewer in the defense and diplomatic areas of government than they are in some of the contract-
dispensing and more under-the-radar-screen agencies of government, the public-choice imputation of self-dealing, rather than working
toward the national interest (which, however may not be synonymous with the interests, perceived or expressed, of citizens!) is less likely to
hold. In short, state autonomy is likely to mean, in the derivation of foreign policy, that state elites are using rational judgment, in insulation
from self-promoting interest groupsabout what strategies, forces, and weapons are required for national defense. Ironically, public
choicenot even a species of economics, but rather a kind of political interpretationis not even about public choice, since, like the
bureaucratic-politics model, it repudiates the very notion that bureaucrats make truly public choices; rather, they are held, axiomatically, to
exhibit rent-seeking behavior, wherein they abuse their public positions in order to amass private gains, or at least to build personal empires
within their ostensibly official niches. Such sub- rational models actually explain very little of what they purport to observe. Of course, there is
some truth in them, regarding the behavior of some people, at some times, in some circumstances, under some conditions of incentive and
motivation. But the factors that they posit operate mostly as constraints on the otherwise rational optimization of objectives that, if for no
other reason than the playing out of official roles, transcends merely personal or parochial imperatives. My treatment of role differs from
that of the bureaucratic-politics theorists, whose model of the derivation of foreign policy depends heavily, and acknowledgedly, on a narrow
and specific identification of the role- playing of organizationally situated individuals in a partly conflictual pulling and hauling process that
results in some policy outcome. Even here, bureaucratic-politics theorists Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow (1999, 311) allow that some
players are not able to articulate [sic] the governmental politics game because their conception of their job does not legitimate such activity.
This is a crucial admission, and one that points empiricallyto the need for a broader and generic treatment of role. Roles (all theorists
risk of career termination . And, as mentioned, the defense bureaucracy is hardly a productive place for truly
talented rent-seekers to operatecompared to opportunities for personal profit in the commercial world. A bureaucrats very self-placement in
these reaches of government testi- fies either to a sincere commitment to the national interest or to a lack of sufficient imagination to exploit
opportunities for personal profit.
Anxiety good
McManus 11, Lecturer in Political Theory at Queens University, "Hope,
Fear, and the Politics of Affective Agency", Volume 14, Issue 4,
muse.jhu.edu/journals/theory_and_event/v014/14.4.mcmanus.html
fear is a predominant affective formation in the political
Finally, if
present, how can hope and fear be oriented together? Utopian-affect does not efface fear, but
instead, inflects fear differently than hitherto. Restructuring or depathologizing fear-affects involves work on the
sensory organization of all the different kinds of matter that affect agential capacity: affect circulates through various encounters of worldly
matter and stuff through which subject finds itself manifest within. One way of restructuring fear-affect, then, is by intervening in the feedback
loops through which fear is stabilized. This might involve turning the technologies that are central to the production of fear against
themselves: when protesters use surveillance technologies against police, for instance, the feedback loops that those technologies sustain are
Fear need
interrupted, and the hegemonies they secure are disrupted, rendered capricious, variable, and open to intervention.
out of matter that is available in the present, out of the same crises, but with different
trajectories: it is from the matter of this world that the future is made. Utopian-affect , then, is made out of
both hope and fear , and while fear might be restructured, it cannot
be effaced, for the fear of utopian-affect also inheres in the
encounter with the world itself, in the struggle, and in the
uncertainty of the emergent. As Duggan puts it, 'there is fear attached to hope
-- hope understood as a risky reaching out for something else that
will fail,' (Duggan and Muoz, 2009: 279). Fear and anxiety, rather than opposing
utopian hope, are vital, necessary to its critical agency, as that
agency works through immanent historical processes that remain
open and undetermined .
Utopian alts are a voter for deterrence lack of a plan of
action to achieve it structurally deprives the aff of ground
causes intellectual laziness and decreases advocacy
skills
Below is a list of the articles and posts I have written to date on outside websites:
In two related articles, extreme leftists Micah Zenko and Michael Cohen have falsely
claimed that the US is Super Secure; that the world is remarkably secure; that the
threats to the US are being vastly exaggerated; that an overly militarized foreign
policy has not made the US safer; and that Washington needs a policy that reflects that. Moreover,
they falsely claim that US officials and national security experts
chronically exaggerate foreign threats. All of their claims are utter
garbage . Lets start with their fallacious claims about threats being exaggerated. The truth is
that American officials, commentators, and individual citizens have a habit of routinely
UNDERESTIMATING foreign threats. They were underestimated in the
late 1940s, as the Russians were believed to be too backward and
primitive to be able to field a jet fighter, and as a result, American pilots were being
slaughtered en masse in the early stages of the Korean War by the MiG-15. The US had
nothing to fight with against it until F-86s were delivered in numbers. The US continued to underestimate
the Russians capabilities, and as a result, the US was surprised by the Russians advantage in space
capabilities, demonstrated by the launch of the first satellite, first animal in space, and first man in space.
The US underestimated Soviet capabilities in the 1970s, and as a
result, the Soviet Union achieved an overall military advantage over the West
by the end of the decade. From 1974 to 1985, it was producing 3.5
times more weapons of every category than the US was. In the 1980s, Ronald
Reagan unveiled the vast disparity between the USSR and the US. Americas vast
underestimation of Soviet capabilities was proven after 1991 when,
in 1992, American inspectors discovered that the former USSR had left
Russia with an arsenal of 40,000 nuclear warheads twice as many as
the CIA had estimated. Currently, the US is , and has been for years, vastly
underestimating the capabilities of its enemies , including China, Russia, and
Iran. In fact, the DOD has downplayed Russias bomber exercises and
intrusions into US airspace and has denied that a Russian Akula class
submarine has been prowling the Gulf of Mexico, and has routinely and
vastly underestimating Chinese military capabilities for many years
solely to appease China and obtain invitations for visits to Beijing, and to mollify the
benign China school of thought. This years DOD report on China s
military capabilities doesnt just vastly underestimate them, it leaves entire big issues and
entire parts of Chinas military buildup unmentioned completely. It says
nothing of Chinas great underground network of tunnels and bunkers for nuclear warheads and BMs,
The
Chinas BMD system development, or Chinas supplying of ballistic missile TELs to North Korea.
fact is that the US, including US officials and national security experts,
routinely UNDERESTIMATE the threats America is facing. As for the
accusation that the US has an overly militarized foreign policy,
that is also manifestly untrue . The Obama Administrations foreign policy has been very
civilian and pacifist, and the US has never had a militarized foreign policy. The Obama Admin has been
appeasing Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and Venezuela since its first day in office, tolerating their
provocations, armament, and aggressions. It has adopted a hands-off approach to these countries. It has
been using diplomacy and only diplomacy to mollify them, in pathetic, naive attempts to appease them. It
has never seriously considered, let alone threatened, the use of force towards Iran or North Korea.
Zenkos and Cohens claims that the world is super secure from
Americas standpoint is probably the most ridiculous and laughable
of all, because it was made at a time when the world is, as JCS Chairman
Martin Dempsey has pointed out, the most dangerous in his lifetime, and
indeed the most dangerous since World War II. China is arming at an alarming rate ,
increasing its military budget by double digits every year for the last 22
years, acquiring large quantities of weapons that can keep the US
military out of entire combat theaters, and behaving ever more
aggressively towards other Pacific Rim countries. Russia is rearming
with huge weapon orders, numerous missile tests, bomber exercises,
intrusions into US airspace, and numerous nuclear weapon usage
threats. Iran is speeding towards a nuclear weapon. North Korea
already has a dozen of them, and has received ICBMs whose TELs (if not the missiles
themselves) were produced in China. Venezuela is arming itself with advanced Russian conventional
weapons while allowing Iran to build an IRBM base on its soil. And yet, these two anti-defense hacks claim
that the world is super secure from the US standpoint. Their two articles are utterly ridiculous, and the
Council on Foreign Relations has utterly discredited itself by publishing their screeds in its Foreign Affairs
bimonthly. In FAs pages, Paul D. Miller has ably countered Zenkos and Cohens claims. But he has not
stated the fact that the overseas threats hes listed, and other threats to US interests, are dangers to
America just as much as they threaten Americas allies. Millers argument is essentially that these regimes,
as well as terrorist groups, threaten Americas allies and thus the US. Unmentioned is the fact that these
regimes and terrorist groups pose a threat to America itself first and foremost. Thus, Miller correctly
accuses Zenko and Cohen of narrowing down the definition of a threat to something that threatens US
citizens bodily, but he does not mention that China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea do threaten US citizens
bodily whether they be in the US or abroad and, with the temporary exception of Iran, pose a grave
threat to the US homeland. Iran will, too, once it acquires an ICBM, which US intel says it will do by 2015.
No, threats to America are not being vastly exaggerated. They are
being vastly UNDERESTIMATED . And that will bring about disastrous
results for the US, because intellectual disarmament always
precedes actual disarmament.
1ar EXT No Endless War
Cant mobilize support
Mandelbaum 11 (Michael Mandelbaum, A. Herter Professor of American
Foreign Policy, the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies,
Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC; and Director, Project on East-West
Relations, Council on Foreign Relations, CFR 90th Anniversary Series on
Renewing America: American Power and Profligacy, Jan 2011)
http://www.cfr.org/publication/23828/cfr_90th_anniversary_series_on_renewin
g_america.html?cid=rss-fullfeed-cfr_90th_anniversary_series_on-
011811&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:
+cfr_main+(CFR.org+-+Main+Site+Feed
HAASS: Michael, I think I know the answer to this question, but let me ask you anyhow, which is, the last 10 years of
American foreign policy has been dominated by two extremely expensive interventions, one in Iraq, one now in
Afghanistan. Will this sort of pressure both accelerate the end, particularly of Afghanistan? But, more important, will this
now -- is this the end of that phase of what we might call "discretionary American
interventions?" Is this basically over? MANDELBAUM: Let's call them wars of choice. (Laughter.) HAASS: I was
trying to be uncharacteristically self-effacing here. But clearly it didn't hold. Okay. MANDELBAUM: I think it is ,
Richard. And I think that this period really goes back two decades. I think the wars or the
interventions in Somalia, in Bosnia, in Kosovo, in Haiti belong with the interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq,
although they were undertaken by different administrations for different reasons, and had different costs. But all of them
ended up in the protracted, unexpected, unwanted and expensive
task of nation building. Nation building has never been popular. The
country has never liked it. It likes it even less now. And I think we're not
going to do it again. We're not going to do it because there won't be enough money.
We're not going to do it because there will be other demands on the public purse . We
won't do it because we'll be busy enough doing the things that I think ought to be done in foreign policy. And we won't
choices that they have in foreign policy will have narrowed and will
exclude interventions of that kind. So I believe and I say in the book that the last -- the first
two post-Cold War decades can be seen as a single unit. And that unit has come to an end.
1ar EXT No Spillover
Reps arent key and dont cause violence
Rodwell 5 (PhD candidate, Manchester Met. (Jonathan, Trendy But Empty:
A Response to Richard Jackson,
http://www.49thparallel.bham.ac.uk/back/issue15/rodwell1.htm)
In this response I wish to argue that the Post-Structuralanalysis put forward by Richard
Jackson is inadequate when trying to understand American Politics and
Foreign Policy. The key point is that this is an issue of methodology and theory. I do not wish
to argue that language is not important, in the current political scene (or indeed any
political era) that would be unrealistic. One cannot help but be convinced that the creation of
identity, of defining ones self (or one nation, or societies self) in opposition to an
other does indeed take place. Masses of written and aural evidence collated by Jackson
clearly demonstrates that there is a discursive pattern surrounding post 9/11 U.S. politics and society.
[i] Moreover as expressed at the start of this paper it is a political pattern and logic that this language
is useful for politicians, especially when able to marginalise other perspectives. Nothing illustrates this
clearer than the fact George W. Bush won re-election, for whatever the reasons he did win, it is
undeniable that at the very least the war in Iraq, though arguable far from a success, at the absolute
minimum did not damage his campaign. Additionally it is surely not stretching credibility to argue Bush
performance and rhetoric during the immediate aftermath of the 9/11 attacks also strengthened his
position. However, having said that, the problem is Jacksons own theoretical underpinning,
his own justification for the importance of language. If he was merely proposing that the understanding
of language as one of many causal factors is important that would be fine. But he is not. The
framework of his argument means the ONLY thing we
epistemological and theoretical
should look at is language and this is the problem.[ii] Rather than being a fairly
simple, but nonetheless valid, argument, because of the theoretical justification it actually becomes an
almost nonsensical. My response is roughly laid out in four parts. Firstly I will argue that such
methodology, in isolation, is fundamentally reductionist with a theoretical underpinning that does not
conceal this simplicity. Secondly, that a strict use of post-structural discourse analysis results in an
epistemological cul-de-sac in which the writer cannot actually say anything. Moreover the reader has
no reason to accept anything that has been written. The result is at best an explanation that remains
as equally valid as any other possible interpretation and at worse a work that retains no critical force
whatsoever. Thirdly, possible arguments in response to this charge; that such approaches provide a
more acceptable explanation than others are, in effect, both a tacit acceptance of the poverty of force
within the approach and of the complete lack of understanding of the identifiable effects of the real
world around us; thus highlighting the contradictions within post-structural claims to be moving beyond
traditional causality, re-affirming that rather than pursuing a post-structural approach we should
continue to employ the traditional methodologies within History, Politics and International Relations.
Finally as a consequence of these limitations I will argue that the post-structural call for intertextuals
must be practiced rather than merely preached and that an understanding and utilisation of all possible
theoretical approaches must be maintained if academic writing is to remain useful rather than self-
contained and narrative. Ultimately I conclude that whilst undeniably of some value post-structural
approaches are at best a footnote in our understanding . The first major problem then is that
historiographically discourse analysis is so capacious as to be largely of
little use. The process of inscription identity, of discourse development is not
given any political or historical context, it is argued that it just works, is simply a
universal phenomenon. It is history that explains everything and
therefore actually explains nothing. To be specific if the U.S. and every
other nation is continually reproducing identities through othering it is
a constant and universal phenomenon that fails to help us understand at all why
one result of the othering turned out one way and differently at
another time. For example, how could one explain how the process
resulted in the 2003 invasion of Iraq but didnt produce a similar
invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 when that country (and by the logic
of the Regan administrations discourse) the West was threatened
by the Evil Empire. By the logical of discourse analysis in both cases
these policies were the result of politicians being able to discipline and
control the political agenda to produce the outcomes. So why were the
outcomes not the same? To reiterate the point how do we explain that the
language of the War on Terror actually managed to result in the eventual
Afghan invasion in 2002? Surely it is impossible to explain how George W.
Bush was able to convince his people (and incidentally the U.N and Nato) to
support a war in Afghanistan without referring to a simple fact outside
of the discourse; the fact that a known terrorist in Afghanistan
actually admitted to the murder of thousands of people on the 11h of
Sepetember 2001. The point is that if the discursive othering of an alien
people or group is what really gave the U.S. the opportunity to persue the
war in Afghanistan one must surly wonder why Afghanistan. Why not
North Korea? Or Scotland? If the discourse is so powerfully useful in its
own right why could it not have happened anywhere at any time and
more often? Why could the British government not have been able
to justify an armed invasion and regime change in Northern Ireland
throughout the terrorist violence of the 1980s? Surely they could have just
employed the same discursive trickery as George W. Bush? Jackson is absolutely right when
he points out that the actuall threat posed by Afghanistan or Iraq today may
have been thoroughly misguided and conflated and that there must be more to
explain why those wars were enacted at that time. Unfortunately that explanation
reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox News has a
better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited as a void
cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as constant local
scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call terrorists. This analysis
of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the limitations of
the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for progressive
Left Academics should now include the hard labor to produce
alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
Although global population is no longer growing exponentially, it has quadrupled since 1900. Concurrently, affluence (or GDP per
capita) has sextupled, global economic product (a measure of aggregate consumption) has increased 23-fold and carbon dioxide has increased over 15-fold
human well-being, measured by any objective indicator, has never been higher. Food
supplies, Malthus original concern, are up worldwide. Global food supplies per capita increased from 2,254 Cals/day in 1961 to
2,810 in 2003 (FAOSTAT 2008). This helped reduce hunger and malnutrition
worldwide. The proportion of the population in the developing world,
suffering from chronic hunger declined from 37 percent to 17 percent
between 196971 and 20012003 despite an 87 percent population increase (Goklany 2007a; FAO 2006). The
1,000 live births in the early 1950s; today it is 57. Consequently, global life expectancy, perhaps the single
most important measure of human well-being, increased from 31 years in 1900 to 47 years in the early 1950s to 67 years
today (Goklany 2007a). Globally, average annual per capita incomes tripled since 1950. The
(Goklany 2007a; WRI 2008; World Bank 2007). Equally important, the world is more literate and better
years and infant mortality (not shown) declined from over 100 per 1,000 live births to 7 per 1,000. It is
also important to note that not only are people living longer, they
are healthier. The disability rate for seniors declined 28 percent between 1982 and
2004/2005 and, despite better diagnostic tools, major diseases (e.g., cancer, and heart and respiratory diseases) occur 811
years later now than a century ago (Fogel 2003; Manton et al. 2006). If similar figures could be constructed for other countries, most would indicate
qualitatively similar trends, especially after 1950, except Sub-Saharan Africa and the erstwhile members of the Soviet Union. In the latter two cases, life expectancy,
which had increased following World War II, declined after the late 1980s to the early 2000s, possibly due poor economic performance compounded, especially in
Sub-Saharan Africa, by AIDS, resurgence of malaria, and tuberculosis due mainly to poor governance (breakdown of public health services) and other manmade
perhaps related to increased economic growth since the early 2000s, although this could, of course, be a
temporary blip (Goklany 2007a; World Bank 2008a). Notably, in most areas of the world, the healthadjusted life expectancy (HALE), that is, life expectancy adjusted
downward for the severity and length of time spent by the average individual in a less-than-healthy condition, is greater now than the unadjusted life expectancy was
30 years ago. HALE for the China and India in 2002, for instance, were 64.1 and 53.5 years, which exceeded their unadjusted life expectancy of 63.2 and 50.7 years
and infant mortality improve with the level of affluence (economic development)
and time, a surrogate for technological change (Goklany 2007a). Other indicators of human well-being
that improve over time and as affluence rises are: access to safe water and sanitation (see below), literacy, level of education,
food supplies per capita, and the prevalence of malnutrition (Goklany 2007a, 2007b).
7. A policy that favors preventive warfare expresses a futile quest for absolute security. It could do so. Most controversial policies contain
argument that the United States should eschew the preventive war option because it
could lead to a futile, endless search for absolute security. One might as well
argue that the United States should adopt a defense policy and develop capabilities shaped strictly for homeland security approached
in a narrowly geographical sense. Since a president might misuse a military instrument that
had a global reach, why not deny the White House even the possibility of
such misuse? In other words, constrain policy ends by limiting policys
military means. This argument has circulated for many decades and, it must be admitted, it does have a certain elementary
logic. It is the opinion of this enquiry, however, that the claim that a policy which includes the
preventive option might lead to a search for total security is not at all
convincing. Of course, folly in high places is always possible, which is one of the many reasons why popular democracy is the
superior form of government. It would be absurd to permit the fear of a futile and
Affect is useless
Schrimshaw 12 [Will Schrimshaw, Ph.D. in Philosophy and Architecture at
Newcastle University, is an artist and researcher from Wakefield based in
Liverpool. January 28th, 2012, "Affective Politics and
Exteriority"willschrimshaw.net/subtractions/affective-politics-and-
exteriority/#]
The affective turn in recent politics thereby becomes auto-affective and in
remaining bound to an individuals feelings and emotions undermines
the possibility of its breaking out into collective action and
mobilisation . Yet, referring back to Fishers article, it is where this affective orientation is inscribed
into the social circuits of musical use and sonorous production that it perhaps
begins to break out of the ideology of individualism through tapping into a
transpersonal or `machinic dimension of affective signals that never find a
voice yet remain expressive and hopefully inch towards efficacy. What is important to
express here is that much of this affective content is inscribed in the use of music as
much as its composition. As little of the Grime and Dancehall that Fisher and Dan Hancox catalogued towards a playlist of
the riots and uprisings expresses in explicitly linguistic and lyrical content the sentiments of political activism, it is in the use of music and
Where music is
sound as a carrier of affects at the point of both playback and composition that its importance lies.2
watching a disaster replayed over and over, when they buy t-shirts or snow globes, when they mail teddy
bears to a memorial, or when they tour a disaster site, is a deep, maybe subconscious, longing for
those age-old forms of community and real human compassion that
emerge in a place when disaster has struck. It is a longing in some
ways so alien to the world we currently live in that it requires
catastrophe to call it forth , even in our imaginations. Nevertheless, the actions of
unadulterated goodwill that become commonplace in harrowing conditions
represent the truly authentic form of humanity that all of us , to one
chase after in contemporary consumer culture every day. And while it is
degree or another,
groups in mind. They want a world where preemptive strategies are used
to anticipate the real threats posed by global climate change and
global inequality, rather than to invent fears of ethnic others and
justify unnecessary wars . They want a world where people can come
together not simply as a market, but as a public , to exert real
agency over the policies made in the name of their safety and security. And, when
disaster does strike, they want a world where the goodwill and
compassion shown by their neighbors, by strangers in their communities, and even
by distant spectators and consumers, will be matched by their own
government . Though this vision of the world is utopian, it is not
unreasonable , and if contemporary American culture is ever to give us more than just an illusion of safety, or
empathy, or authenticity, then it is this vision that we must advocate on a daily
basis, not only when disaster strikes.
Suffering reps cause action
McManus 11, Lecturer in Political Theory at Queens University, "Hope,
Fear, and the Politics of Affective Agency", Volume 14, Issue 4,
muse.jhu.edu/journals/theory_and_event/v014/14.4.mcmanus.html
fear is a predominant affective formation in the political
Finally, if
present, how can hope and fear be oriented together? Utopian-affect does not efface fear, but
instead, inflects fear differently than hitherto. Restructuring or depathologizing fear-affects involves work on the
sensory organization of all the different kinds of matter that affect agential capacity: affect circulates through various encounters of worldly
matter and stuff through which subject finds itself manifest within. One way of restructuring fear-affect, then, is by intervening in the feedback
loops through which fear is stabilized. This might involve turning the technologies that are central to the production of fear against
themselves: when protesters use surveillance technologies against police, for instance, the feedback loops that those technologies sustain are
Fear need
interrupted, and the hegemonies they secure are disrupted, rendered capricious, variable, and open to intervention.
out of matter that is available in the present, out of the same crises, but with different
trajectories: it is from the matter of this world that the future is made. Utopian-affect , then, is made out of
both hope and fear , and while fear might be restructured, it cannot
be effaced, for the fear of utopian-affect also inheres in the
encounter with the world itself, in the struggle, and in the
uncertainty of the emergent. As Duggan puts it, 'there is fear attached to hope
-- hope understood as a risky reaching out for something else that
will fail,' (Duggan and Muoz, 2009: 279). Fear and anxiety, rather than opposing
utopian hope, are vital, necessary to its critical agency, as that
agency works through immanent historical processes that remain
open and undetermined .
Terror Talk
2ac F/L
Perm do both
terrorist group duration and addresses some of the most pressing questions about the effectiveness of
decapitation. For example, does it matter whether a terrorist group leader is killed versus captured? Does the size,
ideology, or age of the group increase its susceptibility to organizational death? In addition to answering these questions,
this study illustrates the importance of evaluating the long-term
effects of counterterrorism policies in conjunction with the short-
term metrics more commonly used today.The article is structured as follows. First, I survey
the literature on leadership decapitation and show why new metrics are needed to accurately evaluate its effectiveness. I
then use concepts from leadership studies, organizational ecology, and terrorism to provide a theoretical explanation for
terrorist groups have
why terrorist groups are particularly susceptible to decapitation tactics. I argue that
unique organizational characteristics that amplify the importance of
their top leaders and make leadership succession more difficul t. After
discussing the data limitations inherent in terrorism research, I identify the covariates most likely to influence terrorist
group duration and then explain how I estimated them. Following a review of the main findings, I conclude with some
thoughts on the possible implications of bin Ladens death for al-Qaida and recommendations for policymakers.
groups existence makes the group more than eight times as likely
to end than a nondecapitated group. The effects, however, diminish by half in the first ten
years, and after approximately twenty years, leadership decapitation may have no effect on the groups mortality rate.
This finding is in line with the conclusion of other scholars who argue that a terrorist groups organizational capacity
increases with age, making it more durable with time.139 Third, all three methods of leadership
decapitation in this studykilling, capturing, or capturing and then
killing the leadersignificantly increase the mortality rate of
terrorist groups. The relative ranking of each method differs according to how one specifies the duration of
the decapitation effect, but even then, the effect is statistically indistinguishable across all three methods. Fourth, any
type of leadership turnover, not just decapitation, increases the
mortality rate of terrorist groups. This is an important finding because states may not have to
kill or capture a leader to hasten the groups demise. Fifth, group size does not affect terrorist group duration. Smaller
groups are just as durable as larger groups, and groups of different size react similarly after losing a leader. Sixth, contrary
I found that religious terrorist groups were less
to findings in other studies,140
resilient and easier to destroy than nationalist groups following
leadership decapitation. Although religious groups appear to be 80
percent less likely to end than nationalist groups based on ideology
alone, they were almost five times as likely to end than nationalist
groups after experiencing leadership decapitation. I believe this is because of the
important role leaders of religious terrorist groups play in framing and interpreting organizational goals and strategies.
states that are willing to employ leadership decapitation
Given these findings,
as part of their counterterrorism strategy should target terrorist
group leaders as early as possible and allocate their resources accordingly. As terrorist groups
age, especially as they approach the twenty-year mark, states might consider reducing the amount of resources aimed at
killing and capturing the groups leadership and instead invest in other counterterrorism initiatives. States that are
unwilling to employ decapitation tactics, whether for moral or legal reasons, or fear of the retaliatory boomerang
The findings
effect,141 can still achieve similar effects without lethally targeting terrorist leaders.
suggest that states can hasten a terrorist groups demise by
exploiting intra-organizational rifts and removing the leader either
through shaming or by pitting one group faction against another.142 It
is unclear, however, how long these internal processes would take to remove the leader, not to mention how difficult it is
to implement this type of strategy in the first place. Ultimately, states must weigh the costs and benefits associated with
implementing decapitation strategies.
Transphobia
2ac F/L
Framework --- they have to prove the plan is bad --- thats
vital to fair and educational engagement --- anything else
is unlimited and self-serving --- voter for fairness and
education
feminist approaches to reformism to argue that feminist law reform is not flawed. There is
still scope, indeed necessity, for reform in a transformative feminist
project. British sociologists and feminists working in the field of domestic violence have described those supportive of legal
interventions as sceptical reformers and those who reject engagement with law and law reform as abstentionists.5 Whilst this
categorisation was not solely directed at feminist analyses of law reform, and simplifies the complexity and range of critical feminist legal
make too much of these distinctions. As Mari Matsuda reminds us, feminists and other outsiders may
need to adopt elements of a multiple consciousness appropriate to
the circumstances. Like Angela Davis, they may be compelled to
embrace legalism as a tool of necessity to attack injustice, yet at
other times stand outside the courtroom door, condemning the abuse of law to sustain
I prefer the term sceptical pragmatists to describe
oppression and domination.6
power . This sentence taken from AUMF pretty much gives unlimited power to the executive branch
without any supervision by the Congress, as it gave it up soon after 9/11. Such
legal piece was approved by Congress on Sept. 13, 2001 at the
exception of only one elected official, the California Representative Barbara Lee,
opposing it. In the excellent podcast of Radiolad, Barbara Lee takes us throughout her reflection process
about taking such decision. At the time she was under intense pressure, and was even called unpatriotic, a
terrorist, and so forth. Today, she seems like a visionary as she not only understood the consequences of
taking swift decisions under stress and emotions, but also foresaw the legal implications embedded in
these words. For instance, during a 2013 Senate Armed Service committee
hearing chaired by Carl Levin as reported in the Radiolab podcast about the use of military force,
DOD officials argued in favor of the continued use of the AUMF .
Throughout the hearing the officials never named one enemy, but
only referred to associated forces. Senator Angus King responded
to these statements by DOD officials, saying: you guys have essentially rewritten
the Constitution here today. Kings argument is that the DOD is using the
concept of associated forces, not present in the AUMF, in order to justify the
use of force against pretty much anyone . The AUMF has in fact changed the entire
institutional design of use of force. The Declaration of War is kind of a dead instrument of national law,
argued Ben Wittes, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution in the Radiolab podcast. But the modern
incarnation of the Declaration of War is the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF). Such comments
fall under the fact that the list of American enemies and the people that the U.S. is in war against is secret.
American citizens do not have and cannot have the information about the enemies. The absolute lack of
supervision by one branch of the government over the other will undeniably lead to extreme decisions and
situations. The Gulf of Tonkin Resolution is the perfect example, as it led the U.S. to a lengthy and costly
war in Vietnam. Additionally, without a clear enemy, it implies that the
U.S. could be at war indefinitely . At the distinction with Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan,
this war seems foreign, remote, distant, and impersonal, making it even more dangerous to American
democracy and political system.
Extinction outweighs
Bostrum 12 (Nick, Professor of Philosophy at Oxford, directs Oxford's
Future of Humanity Institute and winner of the Gannon Award, Interview with
Ross Andersen, correspondent at The Atlantic, 3/6, We're Underestimating
the Risk of Human Extinction,
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/03/were-
underestimating-the-risk-of-human-extinction/253821/)
Bostrom, who directs Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, has argued over the course of several papers that human
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
9
Alt AT Fia
Perm do the plan and the alt this bans the use of ____
<transphobic> technology in all US airports and enforces
that ban its not severance because a curtailment isnt a
ban on oversight, allowing the possibility for partial
enforcement enforcing this ban would remain the only
constraint on the private sector
Trigger Warning
2ac F/L
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
have responded by suggesting that existential risk mitigation may in fact be a
dominant moral priority over the alleviation of present suffering . Can you
explain why? Bostrom: Well suppose you have a moral view that counts future people as being worth as much as
present people. You might say that fundamentally it doesn't matter whether someone exists at the current time or at
some future time, just as many people think that from a fundamental moral point of view, it doesn't matter where
somebody is spatially---somebody isn't automatically worth less because you move them to the moon or to Africa or
A human life is a human life. If you have that moral point of view
something.
that future generations matter in proportion to their population numbers,
then you get this very stark implication that existential risk mitigation has a much
higher utility than pretty much anything else that you could do. There are so many people that
No impact
Kellner 3 critical theorist in the Frankfurt Institute for Social Research,
George Kneller Chair in the Philosophy of Education in the GSEI at UCLA
(Douglas, Virilio, War, and Technology: Some Critical Reflections,
illuminations: the critical theory project,
http://pages.gseis.ucla.edu/faculty/kellner/Illumina%20Folder/kell29.htm) //BZ
With the collapse of the Soviet Union and end of the Cold War, we are, as I argue below, in a new historical era which
Virilio has so far not adequately theorized. He remains, in my view, trapped in a
mode of technological determinism and a perspective on technology that
equates technology with military technology and pure war . For Virilio,
technology drives us, it impels us into new modes of speed and motion, it
carries us along predetermined trajectories. He believes that: the question, "Can we do without
technology?" cannot be asked as such. We are forced to expand the question of technology not only to the substance
produced, but also to the accident produced. The riddle of technology we were talking about
before is also the riddle of the accident" (Virilio and Lotringer 1983: 31-32). Virilio claims
that every technology involves its accompanying accident: with the invention of the
ship, you get the ship wreck; the plane brings on plane crashes; the automobile, car accidents, and so on. For Virilio,
the technocratic vision is thus one-sided and flawed in that it postulates a
perfect technological system, a seamless cybernetic realm of instrumentality
and control in which all processes are determined by and follow technological
laws (Baudrillard also, to some extent, reproduces this cybernetic and technological imaginary in his writings; see
Kellner 1989b). In the real world, however, accidents are part and parcel of
technological systems, they expose its limitations , they subvert idealistic
visions of technology. Accidents are consequently, in Virilio's view, an integral part of all modes of
transportation, industrial production, war and military organization, and other technological systems. He suggests that in
science a Hall of Accidents should be put next to each Hall of Machines: "Every technology, every science should choose
its specific accident, and reveal it as a product--not in a moralistic, protectionist way (safety first), but rather as a product
to be 'epistemo-technically' questioned. At the end of the nineteenth century, museums exhibited machines: at the end of
the twentieth century, I think we must grant the formative dimensions of the accident its rightful place in a new museum"
Virilio is fascinated as well by interruptions ranging from
(Virilio and Lotringer 1983).[5]
sleep to day dreams to maladies like picnolepsy or epilepsy to death itself
(1991a and Virilio and Lotringer 1983: 33ff). Interruption is also a properly cinematic vision in
which time and space are artificially parcelled and is close to the microscopic
and fragmented vision that Lyotard identifies with "the postmodern condition" (Virilio and
Lotringer 1983: 35). For Virilio, the cinema shows us that "consciousness is an effect of montage" (Virilio and Lotringer
1983: 35), that perception itself organizes experience into discontinuous fragments, that we are aware of objects and
events in a highly discontinuous and fragmented mode.
1ar EXT Turn AT: We Solve
They throw out the good with the bad
Hughes 6 (James, Ph.D., Public Policy Studies at Trinity College, Democratic Transhumanism 2.0, Last Mod Jan 26,
http://www.changesurfer.com/Acad/DemocraticTranshumanism.htm)
contained metaphors about surveillance. There is rich thematic diversity in the types of
metaphors that are used, but there is also a failure of imagination in using literature to describe surveillance. Over 9
percent of the articles in our study contained metaphors related to the act of collection; 8 percent to literature (more on
that later); about 6 percent to nautical themes; and more than 3 percent to authoritarian regimes. On the one hand ,
journalists and bloggers have been extremely creative in attempting
to describe government surveillance, for example, by using a variety
of metaphors related to the act of collection: sweep, harvest, gather,
scoop, glean, pluck, trap. These also include nautical metaphors, such as trawling, tentacles, harbor,
net, and inundation. These metaphors seem to fit with data and information flows. Yet we have also learned that George
Orwells novel 1984 continues to dominate literary metaphors with respect to surveillance; indeed, it was the only book
referenced in our study. His dystopian work, written in 1948, described a totalitarian state ruled by Big Brother. Nineteen
Eighty-Four in some ways describes the repression experienced by our writer colleagues in countries such as Vietnam,
Iran, China, and Syria. On our caselist, which we use to advocate on behalf of threatened writers, these countries account
for 58 of the 92 writers persecuted for their use of digital media. But scholars and activists have observed that relating
U.S. government surveillance regimes to Big Brother overstates the case, because the U.S. is a more open society than
the one 1984 describes and, despite the NSAs overreach, the country should not be labeled authoritarian. Scholar Daniel
J. Solove, for example, pointed out in a seminal article that Kafkas novella The Trial is probably better suited: We are not
heading toward a world of Big Brother or one composed of Little Brothers, but toward a more mindless processof
bureaucratic indifference, arbitrary errors, and dehumanizationa world that is beginning to resemble Kafkas vision in
The Trial. Other activists prefer to use Jeremy Benthams notion of the panopticon, an institution that allows those with
power to create the perception that their subjects are under surveillance at all times. But for journalists and bloggers, the
rich variety of literature that has tackled surveillancefrom science fiction to modern novelsis rarely invoked. Orwell is
the reigning king of the surveillance state. What do these results
mean? The fact that 91 percent of articles contain metaphors suggest that writers will continue to
use metaphors to help us understand advances in technology . They also
use a diverse range of metaphors. However, as advocates develop new messaging on
surveillance and look to literature for inspiration, they should not
stop at Orwell: there are many more literary treasures to be
explored . The human rights community and, now, private businesses are emphasizing the importance of
encryption and digital hygiene to protect against government intrusion. Soon we will need metaphors to explain how
people tend
these tools work, and how they might be abused. As security expert Bruce Schneier has observed,
about how to explain complex, high-tech programs in an easily comprehensible way. Literature is a
logical resource for finding metaphors . Aaron Santesso and David Rosen, for example, have
shown that the Eye of Sauron in J.R.R. Tolkiens Lord of the Rings better captures the current surveillance state, but so too
do plays by Shakespeare , such as The Tempest. Our study suggests we need better
metaphors while not losing sight of the implications of government
action that affect real human beings. Meanwhile, well continue
fight ing bulk surveillance in the courts and promoting legislation
that respects privacy and enables creative freedom to flourish.
reasonable chance of leaving most people better off than they are now, then Fox News has a
better offering (you'll be free and you'll get rich!). A revolution posited as a void
cannot succeed as a horizon of history, other than as constant local
scale violent actions, perhaps connected by shifting networks we call terrorists. This analysis
of the geo-political situation, of the onto-epistemological character of language, and of the limitations of
the dominant horizon of social change indicates that the focal project for progressive
Left Academics should now include the hard labor to produce
alternative visions that appear materially feasible .
Wilderson
2ac F/L
extinction risks are poorly understood and, worse still, severely underestimated by
society . Some of these existential risks are fairly well known, especially the natural ones. But others are obscure or
even exotic. Most worrying to Bostrom is the subset of existential risks that arise from human technology, a subset that he
expects to grow in number and potency over the next century. Despite his concerns about the risks posed to humans by
technological progress, Bostrom is no luddite. In fact, he is a longtime advocate of transhumanism---the effort to improve
the human condition, and even human nature itself, through technological means. In the long run he sees technology as a
bridge, a bridge we humans must cross with great care, in order to reach new and better modes of being. In his work,
Bostrom uses the tools of philosophy and mathematics, in particular probability theory, to try and determine how we as a
species might achieve this safe passage. What follows is my conversation with Bostrom about some of the most
interesting and worrying existential risks that humanity might encounter in the decades and centuries to come, and about
what we can do to make sure we outlast them. Some have argued that we ought to be directing our resources toward
humanity's existing problems, rather than future existential risks, because many of the latter are highly improbable. You
To put in bluntly, Africans did not come out of the Middle Passage as Blacks,
but came out with some form of their culture still left intact, a culture, that,
for Brown, still grew and developed in its own way even during the atrocities of slavery. If Wildersons main
argument for the ontological death of the Black Body is because of
their incapacity to develop their own subjectivity, then the formation
of a distinct slave culture would invalidate this argument because the
formation of a distinct culture shows that the Black Body still
retained some capacity to form their own subjectivity, a sign of life
in the ontological realm. Furthermore, if the Black Body were truly
ontologically dead in the present, then statistics would indicate
otherwise. A study by the Journal of Blacks in Higher education shows that since 1990, the
graduation rate for Black men has improved from 28% to 35% in
2005 and subsequently 34% to 46% for Black women during the same period.
The study does conceded that the statistics remain low, but that the
progress made in the past 15 years has been encouraging and that
reform has been a step in the right direction . If the Black Body were
truly socially dead, then institutions such as the university would be
completely inaccessible to the Black Body, yet the progress made in graduation rates
show that the Black Body still has some agency and capacity to shape their own futures.
Racial progress has occurred though legal change and
more in the area of drug laws is still possible---reject
pessimism because it ignores specific reforms that
achieved lasting reductions in racial inequality
Omi 13, and Howard Winant, Resistance is futile?: a response to Feagin and
Elias, Ethnic and Racial Studies Volume 36, Issue 6, p. 961-973, 2013 Special
Issue: Symposium - Rethinking Racial Formation Theory
In Feagin and Elias's account, white racist rule in the USA appears unalterable and
permanent. There is little sense that the white racial frame evoked by systemic racism theory changes in significant ways over
historical time. They dismiss important rearrangements and reforms as
respect to race and racism issues, we agree. If they mean that people of colour have no democratic rights or political power in the USA, we
disagree . The USA is a racially despotic country in many ways, but in our view it is also in many
respects a racial democracy, capable of being influenced towards
more or less inclusive and redistributive economic policies , social policies, or for that matter, imperial
policies. What is distinctive about our own epoch in the USA (post-Second World War to the present) with respect to race and racism? Over
the past decades there has been a steady drumbeat of efforts to contain and neutralize civil rights, to restrict racial democracy, and to
maintain or even increase racial inequality. Racial disparities in different institutional sites employment, health, education persist and in
many cases have increased. Indeed, the post-2008 period has seen a dramatic increase in racial inequality. The subprime home mortgage
crisis, for example, was a major racial event. Black and brown people were disproportionately affected by predatory lending practices; many
as Feagin and Elias do, that white racial dominance has been continuous and
While we argue that the right wing was able to rearticulate race and racism
issues to roll back some of the gains of the civil rights movement , we
also believe that there are limits to what the right could achieve in the post-
civil rights political landscape. So we agree that the present prospects for
racial justice are demoralizing at best. But we do not think that is the
whole story. US racial conditions have changed over the post-Second World War period, in
ways that Feagin and Elias tend to downplay or neglect. Some of the major reforms of the 1960s
movement victories of the 1960s: the Voting Rights Act, the Immigration and
Naturalization Act (Hart- Celler), as well as important court decisions like Loving v. Virginia that
declared anti-miscegenation laws unconstitutional. While we have the greatest respect
for the late Derrick Bell, we do not believe that his interest convergence hypothesis effectively explains all these developments. How does
Lyndon Johnson's famous (and possibly apocryphal) lament upon signing the Civil Rights Act on 2 July 1964 We have lost the South for a
transformed the significance of race in everyday life. And yes, we think that
further victories can take place both on the broad terrain of the
state and on the more immediate level of social interaction: in daily interaction, in the human psyche and across civil
society . Indeed we have argued that in many ways the most important accomplishment of
the anti-racist movement of the 1960s in the USA was the politicization of the social. In the USA
and indeed around the globe, race-based movements demanded not only the
direct substitution for black reference points. In the USA today it is important not to frame race in a
bipolar manner . The black/white paradigm made more sense in the
past than it does in the twenty-first century. The racial make-up of
the nation has now changed dramatically. Since the passage of the Immigration Reform Act of
1965, the USA has become more coloured. A majorityminority national demographic shift is well underway. Predicted to arrive by the mid-
twenty-first century, the numerical eclipse of the white population is already in evidence locally and regionally. In California, for example, non-
Hispanic whites constitute only 39.7 per cent of the state's population. While the decline in the white population cannot be correlated with any
decline of white racial dominance, the dawning and deepening of racial multipolarity calls into question a sometimes implicit and sometimes
explicit black/white racial framework that is evident in Feagin and Elias's essay. Shifting racial demographics and identities also raise general
questions of race and racism in new ways that the systemic racism approach is not prepared to explain.3 Class questions and issues of
panethnicizing trends, for example, call into question what we mean by race, racial identity and race consciousness. No racially defined group
is even remotely uniform; groups that we so glibly refer to as Asian American or Latino are particularly heterogeneous. Some have achieved or
exceeded socio-economic parity with whites, while others are subject to what we might call engineered poverty in sweatshops, dirty and
dangerous labour settings, or prisons. Tensions within panethnicized racial groups are notably present, and conflicts between racially defined
groups (black/brown conflict, for example) are evident in both urban and rural settings. A substantial current of social scientific analysis now
argues that Asians and Latinos are the new white ethnics, able to work toward whiteness4 at least in part, and that the black/white
bipolarity retains its distinct and foundational qualities as the mainstay of US racism (Alba and Nee 2005; Perlmann 2005; Portes and Rumbaut
2006; Waters, Ueda and Marrow 2007). We question that argument in light of the massive demographic shifts taking place in the USA.
Globalization, climate change and above all neoliberalism on a global scale, all drive migration. The country's economic capacity to absorb
enormous numbers of immigrants, low-wage workers and their families (including a new, globally based and very female, servant class)
without generating the sort of established subaltern groups we associate with the terms race and racism, may be more limited than it was
when the whitening of Europeans took place in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. In other words this argument's key precedent, the
absorption of white immigrants of a different color (Jacobson 1998), may no longer apply. Indeed, we might think of the assimilationist model
itself as a general theory of immigrant incorporation that was based on a historically specific case study one that might not hold for, or be
replicated by, subsequent big waves of immigration. Feagin and Elias's systemic racism model, while offering numerous important insights,
does not inform concrete analysis of these issues. It is important going forward to understand how groups are differentially racialized and
relatively positioned in the US racial hierarchy: once again racism must be seen as a shifting racial project. This has important consequences,
not only with respect to emerging patterns of inequality, but also in regard to the degree of power available to different racial actors to define,
shape or contest the existing racial landscape. Attention to such matters is largely absent in Feagin and Elias's account. In their view racially
identified groups are located in strict reference to the dominant white racial frame, hammered into place, so to speak. As a consequence,
they fail to examine how racially subordinate groups interact and influence each others boundaries, conditions and practices. Because they
offer so little specific analysis of Asian American, Latino or Native American racial issues, the reader finds her/himself once again in the land
(real or imaginary, depending on your racial politics) of bipolar US racial dynamics, in which whites and blacks play the leading roles, and other
racially identified groups as well as those ambiguously identified, such as Middle Eastern and South Asian Americans (MEASA) play at best
supporting roles, and are sometimes cast as extras or left out of the picture entirely. We still want to
acknowledge that blacks have been catching hell and have borne
the brunt of the racist reaction of the past several decades. For
example, we agree with Feagin and Elias's critique of the reactionary politics
of incarceration in the USA. The new Jim Crow (Alexander 2012) or even the new slavery that the present system practises
is something that was just in its beginning stages when we were writing Racial Formation. It is now recognized as a national and indeed global
scandal. How is it to be understood? Of course there are substantial debates on this topic, notably about the
nature of the prison-industrial complex (Davis 2003, p. 3) and the social and cultural effects of mass incarceration along racial lines. But
beyond Feagin and Elias's denunciation of the ferocious white racism that is
operating here, deeper political implications are worth considering. As
Alexander (2012), Mauer (2006), Manza and Uggen (2008) and movement groups like Critical Resistance and the Ella Baker Center argue,
the upsurge over recent decades in incarceration rates for black (and brown) men
expresses the fear-based, law-and-order appeals that have shaped US racial politics since the rise of Nixonland (Perlstein 2008) and the
Southern strategy. Perhaps even more central, racial repression aims at restricting the increasing
impact of voters of colour in a demographically shifting electorate.
There is a lot more to say about this, but for the present two key points stand out: first, it is not an area where Feagin and Elias and we have
for all the horrors and injustices that the new Jim
any sharp disagreement, and second,
racial conflict, both within (and against) the state and in everyday life, is a
fundamentally political process. We think that they would also accept our claim that the
ongoing political realities of race provide extensive evidence that
people of colour in the USA are not so powerless , and that whites
are not so omnipotent, as Feagin and Elias's analysis suggests them to be. Racial formation theory allows us to see
that there are contradictions in racial oppression. The racial formation approach reveals that white racism is unstable and constantly
challenged, from the national and indeed global level down to the personal and intra-psychic conflicts that we all experience, no matter what
the reforms for which they fought may be revealed as inadequate , and
indeed their leaders may be co-opted or even eliminated, but racial subjectivity and self-awareness, unresolved and
both within the individual psyche and the body politic, abides .
conflictual
No social death
Brown 9, Prof. of History and African and African-American Studies @
Harvard Univ., December 2009, "Social Death and Political Life in the Study of
Slavery," American Historical Review, p. 1231-1249
Specters of the Atlantic is self-consciously a work of theory (despite Baucoms prodigious archival research), and social
death may be largely unproblematic as a matter of theory, or even law. In these arenas, as David Brion Davis has argued,
the slave has no legitimate, independent being, no place in the cosmos except as an instrument of her or his masters
the concept often becomes a general description of actual
will.12 But
social life in slavery. Vincent Carretta, for example, in his au- thoritative biography of the abolitionist
writer and former slave Olaudah Equiano, agrees with Patterson that because enslaved Africans and their descendants
were stripped of their personal identities and history, [they] were forced to suffer what has been aptly called social
death. The self-fashioning enabled by writing and print allowed Equiano to resurrect himself publicly from the
condition that had been imposed by his enslavement.13 The living conditions of slavery in eighteenth-century Jamaica,
one slave society with which Equiano had experience, are described in rich detail in Trevor Burnards unflinching
examination of the career of Thomas Thistle- wood, an English migrant who became an overseer and landholder in
Jamaica, and who kept a diary there from 1750 to 1786. Through Thistlewoods descriptions of his life among slaves,
Burnard glimpses a world of uncertainty, where the enslaved were always vulnerable to repeated depredations that
actually led to significant slave dehumanization as masters sought, with considerable success, to obliterate slaves
personal histories. Burnard consequently concurs with Patterson: slavery completely stripped slaves of their cultural
heritage, brutalized them, and rendered ordinary life and normal relationships extremely difficult.14 This was slavery,
after all, and much more than a transfer of migrants from Africa to America.15 Yet one wonders, after reading Burnards
indispensable account, how slaves in Jamaica or- ganized some of British Americas greatest political events during
Thistlewoods time and after, including the Coromantee Wars of the 1760s, the 1776 Hanover conspiracy, and the Baptist
War of 18311832. Surely they must have found some way to turn the disorganization, instability, and chaos of slavery
into collective forms of belonging and striving, making connections when confronted with alien- ation and finding dignity
Rather than pathologizing slaves by allowing the
in the face of dishonor.
condition of social death to stand for the experience of life in
slavery, then, it might be more helpful to focus on what the enslaved
actually made of their situation. Among the most insightful texts to explore the experiential
meaning of Afro- Atlantic slavery (for both the slaves and their descendants) are two recent books by Saidiya Hartman and
Stephanie Smallwood. Rather than eschewing the concept of social death, as might be expected from writing that begins
by considering the per- spective of the enslaved, these two authors use the idea in penetrating ways. Hart- mans Lose
Smallwoods Saltwater Slavery: A
Your Mother: A Journey along the Atlantic Slave Route and
Middle Passage from Africa to American Diaspora extend social death beyond a general
description of slavery as a condition and imagine it as an experience
of self. Here both the promise and the problem with the concept are
most fully apparent.16 Both authors seek a deeper understanding of
the experience of enslavement and its consequences for the past,
present, and future of black life than we generally find in histories of slavery. In Hartmans
account especially, slavery is not only an object of study, but also the focus of a personal memoir. She travels along a
slave route in Ghana, from its coastal forts to the backcountry hinterlands, symbolically reversing the first stage of the
she meditates on the history of
trek now commonly called the Middle Passage. In searching prose,
slavery in Africa to explore the precarious nature of belonging to the
social category African American. Rendering her re- markable facility with social theory in
elegant and affective terms, Hartman asks the question that nags all identities, but especially those forged by the
descendants of slaves: What identifications, imagined affinities, mythical narratives, and acts of re- membering and
forgetting hold the category together? Confronting her own alienation from any story that would yield a knowable
genealogy or a comfortable identity, Hartman wrestles with what it means to be a stranger in ones putative motherland,
to be denied country, kin, and identity, and to forget ones pastto be an orphan.17 Ultimately, as the title suggests, Lose
Your Mother is an injunction to accept dis- possession as the basis of black self-definition. Such a judgment is warranted, in
Hartmans account, by the implications of social death both for the experience of enslavement and for slaverys afterlife in
the present. As Patterson delineated in sociological terms the death of social personhood and the reincorporation of
individuals into slavery, Hartman sets out on a personal quest to retrace the process by which lives were destroyed and
When she contends with what it meant to be a slave, she
slaves born.18
frequently invokes Pattersons idiom: Seized from home, sold in the
market, and severed from kin, the slave was for all intents and
purposes dead, no less so than had he been killed in combat. No less so
than had she never belonged to the world. By making men, women, and children into commodities, enslavement
destroyed lineages, tethering people to own- ers rather than families, and in this way it annulled lives, transforming men
and women into dead matter, and then resuscitated them for servitude. Admittedly, the enslaved lived and breathed,
but they were dead in the social world of men.19 As it turns out, this kind of alienation is also part of what it presently
means to be African American. The transience of the slaves existence, for example, still leaves its traces in how black
people imagine and speak of home: We never tire of dreaming of a place that we can call home, a place better than here,
wherever here might be . . . We stay there, but we dont live there . . . Staying is living in a country without exercising any
claims on its resources. It is the perilous condition of existing in a world in which you have no investments. It is having
never resided in a place that you can say is yours. It is being of the house but not having a stake in it. Staying implies
transient quarters, a makeshift domicile, a temporary shelter, but no attachment or affiliation. This sense of not belonging
and of being an extraneous element is at the heart of slavery.20 We may have forgotten our country, Hartman writes,
Hartman sees the history of
but we havent forgotten our dispossession.21 Like Baucom,
slavery as a constituent part of a tragic present. Atlantic slavery
continues to be manifested in black peoples skewed life chances,
poor education and health, and high rates of incarceration, poverty,
and premature death. Disregarding the commonplace temporalities of professional
historians, whose literary conventions are generally predicated on a formal
distinction between past, present, and future, Hartman addresses
slavery as a problem that spans all three. The afterlife of slavery inhabits the nature of
belonging, which in turn guides the freedom dreams that shape prospects for change. If slavery persists as an issue in
the political life of black America, she writes, it is not because of an antiquated obsession with bygone days or the
burden of a too-long memory, but because black lives are still imperiled and devalued by a racial calculus and a political
arithmetic that were entrenched centuries ago.22 A professor of English and comparative literature, Hartman is in many
respects in a better position than most historians to understand events such as the funeral aboard the Hudibras. This is
because for all of her evident erudition, her scholarship is harnessed not so much to a performance of mastery over the
facts of what hap- pened, which might substitute precision for understanding, as to an act of mourning, even yearning.
She writes with a depth of introspection and personal anguish that is transgressive of professional boundaries but
one wonders how a historian could
absolutely appropriate to the task. Reading Hartman,
ever write dispassionately about slavery without feeling complicit
and ashamed. For dispassionate accountingexemplified by the ledgers of slave traders
has been a great weapon of the powerful, an episteme that made
the grossest violations of personhood acceptable, even necessary . This
is the kind of bookkeeping that bore fruit upon the Zong. It made it easier for a trader to countenance yet another dead
black body or for a captain to dump a shipload of captives into the sea in order to collect the insurance, since it wasnt
possible to kill cargo or to murder a thing already denied life. Death was simply part of the workings of the trade. The
archive of slavery, then, is a mortuary. Not content to total up the body count, Hartman offers elegy, echoing in her own
way the lamentations of the women aboard the Hudibras. Like them, she is concerned with the dead and what they mean
to the living. I was desperate to reclaim the dead, she writes, to reckon with the lives undone and obliterated in the
making of human commodities.23 It is this mournful quality of Lose Your Mother that elevates it above so many histories
the same sense of lament seems to require that Hartman overlook
of slavery, but
small but significant political victories like the one described by Butter- worth. Even as Hartman
seems to agree with Paul Gilroy on the value of seeing the consciousness of the slave as involving an extended act of
so focused on her own commemorations that her text
mourning, she remains
makes little space for a consideration of how the enslaved struggled
with alienation and the fragility of belonging, or of the mourning rites they used to
confront their condition.24 All of the ques- tions she raises about the meaning of slavery in the presentboth highly
personal and insistently politicalmight as well be asked about the meaning of slavery to slaves themselves, that is, if
one begins by closely examining their social and political lives rather than assuming their lack of social being. Here
undone by her reliance on Orlando Pattersons totalizing definition
Hartman is
of slavery. She asserts that no solace can be found in the death of the slave, no higher ground can be located, no
perspective can be found from which death serves a greater good or becomes any- thing other than what it is.25 If she is
correct, the events on the Hudibras were of negligible importance. And indeed, Hartmans understandable
emphasis on the personal damage wrought by slavery encourages
her to disavow two generations of social history that have
demonstrated slaves remarkable capacity to forge fragile com-
munities, preserve cultural inheritance, and resist the predations of
slaveholders. This in turn precludes her from describing the ways that violence, dislocation, and death actually
generate culture, politics, and consequential action by the enslaved.26 This limitation is particularly evident in a stunning
chapter that Hartman calls The Dead Book. Here she creatively reimagines the events that occurred on the voyage of
the slave ship Recovery, bound, like the Hudibras, from the Bight of Biafra to Grenada, when Captain John Kimber hung an
enslaved girl naked from the mizzen stay and beat her, ultimately to her death, for being sulky: she was sick and could
not dance when so ordered. As Hartman notes, the event would have been unre- markable had not Captain Kimber been
tried for murder on the testimony of the ships surgeon, a brief transcript of the trial been published, and the womans
death been offered up as allegory by the abolitionist William Wilberforce and the graphic satirist Isaac Cruikshank.
Hartman re-creates the murder and the surge of words it inspired, representing the perspectives of the captain, the
surgeon, and the aboli tionist, for each of whom the girl was a cipher outfitted in a different guise, and then she puts
herself in the position of the victim, substituting her own voice for the unknowable thoughts of the girl. Imagining the
experience as her own and wistfully representing her demise as a suicidea final act of agencyHartman hopes, by this
bold device, to save the girl from oblivion. Or perhaps her hope is to prove the impossibility of ever doing so, because by
failing, she concedes that the girl cannot be put to rest. It is a compelling move, but there is something missing. Hartman
discerns a convincing subject position for all of the participants in the events sur- rounding the death of the girl, except for
the other slaves who watched the woman die and carried the memory with them to the Americas, presumably to tell
others, plausibly even survivors of the Hudibras, who must have drawn from such stories a basic perspective on the
history of the Atlantic world. For the enslaved spectators, Hartman imagines only a fatalistic detachment: The women
were assembled a few feet away, but it might well have been a thousand. They held back from the girl, steering clear of
her bad luck, pestilence, and recklessness. Some said she had lost her mind. What could they do, anyway? The women
danced and sang as she lay dying. Hartman ends her odyssey among the Gwolu, descendants of peoples who fled the
slave raids and who, as communities of refugees, shared her sense of dispos- session. Newcomers were welcome. It
didnt matter that they werent kin because genealogy didnt matter; rather, building community did. Lose Your Mother
con- cludes with a moving description of a particular one of their songs, a lament for those who were lost, which resonated
deeply with her sense of slaverys meaning in the present. And yet Hartman has more difficulty hearing similar cries
intoned in the past by slaves who managed to find themselves.27 Saltwater Slavery has much in common with Lose Your
Mother. Smallwoods study of the slave trade from the Gold Coast to the British Americas in the late seventeenth and
early eighteenth centuries likewise redeems the experience of the people traded like so many bolts of cloth, who were
represented merely as ciphers in the political arithmetic, and therefore feature in the documentary record not as
subjects of a social history but as objects or quantities.28 Each text offers a penetrating analysis of the market logic that
turned people into goods. Both books work with the concept of social death. However, Smallwood examines the problem
of social death for the enslaved even more closely than Hartman does.29 Like Hartman, Smallwood sees social death as a
by-product of commodification. If in the regime of the market Africans most socially relevant feature was their
exchangeability, she argues, for Africans as immigrants the most socially relevant feature was their isolation, their
desperate need to restore some measure of social life to counterbalance the alienation engendered by their social death.
But Small- woods approach is different in a subtle way. Whereas for Hartman, as for others, social death is an
social death as an actual
accomplished state of being, Smallwood veers between a notion of
condition produced by violent dislocation and social death as a
compelling threat. On the one hand, she argues, captivity on the Atlantic littoral was a social death.
Exchangeable persons inhabited a new category of mar- ginalization, one not of extreme alienation within the
seems to accept the idea of
community, but rather of ab- solute exclusion from any community. She
enslaved commodities as finished products for whom there could be
no socially relevant relationships: the slave cargo constituted the antithesis of community. Yet
elsewhere she contends that captives were only menaced with social death. At every point along the passage from
African to New World markets, she writes, we find a stark contest between slave traders and slaves, between the
traders will to commodify people and the captives will to remain fully recognizable as human subjects.30 Here, I think,
Smallwood captures the truth of the idea: social death was a receding ho- rizonthe farther slaveholders moved toward
the goal of complete mastery, the more they found that struggles with their human property would continue, even into
the most elemental realms: birth, hunger, health, fellowship, sex, death, and time. If social death did not define the
slaves condition, it did frame their vision of apocalypse. In a harrowing chapter on the meaning of death (that is, physical
death) during the Atlantic passage, Smallwood is clear that the captives could have no frame of reference for the
experience aboard the slave ships, but she also shows how des- perate they were to make one. If they could not
reassemble some meaningful way to map their social worlds, slaves could foresee only further descent into an endless
The women aboard the Hudibras were not in fact the living
purgatory.
dead; they were the mothers of gasping new societies. Their view of
the danger that confronted them made their mourning rites vitally
important, putting these at the center of the womens emerging
lives as slavesand as a result at the heart of the struggles that
would define them. As Smallwood argues, this was first and foremost a battle over their presence in time,
to define their place among ancestors, kin, friends, and future progeny. The connection Africans needed was a narrative
continuity between past and presentan epistemological means of connecting the dots between there and here, then and
now, to craft a coherent story out of incoherent experience. That is precisely what the women on the Hudibras fought to
accomplish.31
Psychos made up
Tuck 14 B.S. from University of Michigan, (Andrew, Why Did American
Psychiatry Abandon Psychoanalysis?,
http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/107788/antuck.pdf?
sequence=1)
To say that psychoanalysis has grown stagnant as a scientific field may at first seem a sweeping and completely
unwarranted claim. After all, in terms of producing new branches of thought, psychoanalytic theory has undoubtedly
proven an expansive and fruitful domain; to argue that psychoanalytic progress suddenly stopped after Freud would
require answering to object relations theory, ego psychology, self psychology, and Lacanian psychoanalysis, to name but
a few. Furthermore, rather than dying with Freud in 1939, psychoanalysis produced these subfields through a variety of
different thinkersthe role of Melanie Klein, Anna Freud, Heinz Kohut, and Jacques Lacan in their respective theories
above seem to demonstrate that psychoanalysis was not a one-man show after all. In fact, it was during the decades
immediately following Freuds death that dynamic psychiatry was at the peak of its influence in the United States. 11,12
Given the proliferation of new models and theories of psychoanalytic thought
under an equally diverse group of psychoanalysts, on what grounds could the
argument that psychoanalysis failed to produce visible and useful knowledge
possibly possess any merit? The answer is in the question: it was precisely
the sheer amount and diversity of psychoanalytic subfields that delegitimized
psychoanalysis as a whole: the presence of such diversity of opinion within
the same field undermined the authority of any one subfield. Rather than
adding to a collective fund of psychoanalytic knowledge, each of these
different subfields took a different approach to psychoanalytic theory and
practice. Former American Psychiatric Association president Alan Stone said: Today, at least in my opinion, and I am
not entirely alone in thinking this, neither Anna Freud's Ego Psychology nor Melanie Klein's
Object Relations Theory seem like systematic advances on Freud's ideas.
Rather they seem like divergent schools of thought, no closer to Freud than
Karen Horney who rebelled against Freudian orthodoxy. 1 3 The frequent
emergence of these competing divergent schools of thought and their
dissenting followers, then, made any developments in psychoanalysis seem
to other scientists less like legitimate scientific discoveries and more like
competing hypotheses. In contrast with more established fields like biology, innovations in
psychoanalysis often seemed to contradict earlier psychoanalytic ideas as
well as one another, frequently forming branches and sub-branches without
regard to maintaining any sort of continuity or internal consistency in
psychoanalysis as a whole. 14,15 In fact, many of these developments were reactionary in nature,
responding to other trends in psychoanalysis rather than to new clinical data. This is the case of Heinz Kohuts
development of self psychology, which was a reaction against the subfields of ego psychology and classical drive theory.
The revival of American interest in the work of Melanie Klein in the second half of the twentieth century has also been
never did one of these new theories
described as a reaction against ego psychology. 16 Furthermore,
thoroughly abrogate and replace a previous one in the way that, for example,
Einsteins theory of general relativity transformed Newtonian physics. This is
not to say that a new idea in psychoanalysis would not have been met with
resistance upon its introduction; however, it soon proved that psychoanalysis
on the whole lacked the tools that other disciplines had to debunk or prove
new theories. By what criteria could psychoanalysts reject or accept a new hypothesis? In physics, a new model
was expected to be compatible with currently available data, as well as able to make predictions to be confirmed by
observation17; similarly, a new pharmaceutical drug was expected to prove itself by beating a control in a double-blind
But such criteria, even if psychoanalysts wanted to use them, were not as
trial.
conveniently applied to unconscious phenomena proposed by
psychoanalysis. Even the gathering of data from clinical psychotherapy was
typically unable to resolve the conflict between two competing subfields;
problematically, any clinical data that could potentially prove the efficacy of
one psychoanalytic school could be interpreted to support others as well. 18 In
an article for Psychoanalytic Psychology, psychologist Robert Holt, even as he argued for the validity of psychoanalysis as
a testable scientific theory,19 admitted the difficulty of producing data that could settle disputes between
psychoanalytic and non-psychoanalytic theories, let alone between schools within psychoanalysis:
White Supremacy DA
The alt feeds white supremacy
Massa 14- speaking of Frank Wilderson and Bell Hooks Implications of Wildersons Afro-
Pessimism http://thehistoricalnerds.com/2014/12/16/implications-of-wildersons-afro-
pessimism/#comments
Bell Hooks avoids falling into the colonial trap of Wilderson by speaking for herself and her own experiences. By
acknowledging that there are many anti-racist whites, she has
created a space where Black folk who believe that they have a future
can speak of their own experiences and contribute to meaningful
dialogue about how Black folk should take steps forward in the
context of legal reform. Unlike Wilderson who universalizes the Black experience, Bell Hooks
acknowledges that internalizing racist assumptions of the Black
Body, or in the context of Wilderson, their own ontological
construction, will only give into White supremacy because the cycle
of self-hatred creates a sense of powerlessness that prevents the
Black Body from ever getting out in the first place. Furthermore, Wildersons
ontological absolutism is a tactic of White supremacy , because, as pointed out
by Bell Hooks, it creates a sense of distrust that plays into the divide and
conquer mentality that is crucial to White supremacys grip on
society. For Bell Hooks, when the Black community gives into its own
pessimism, White supremacists win because there is no motivation
for resistance. In the wake of recent events, embracing a politics of hope and solidarity is more important than
ever as racism begins to become more apparent. Hope offers the crucial first step towards encouraging the first steps
Instead of
towards resistance, a step that Wildersons extreme negativity prevents from ever been taken.
imagining the end of the world, we must imagine a world with a
better future.
1ar EXT Reform Good
Our methods arent mutually exclusive reform is
possible
Delgado 9 [Richard, self-appointed Minority scholar, Chair of Law at the
University of Alabama Law School, J.D. from the University of California,
Berkeley, his books have won eight national book prizes, including six
Gustavus Myers awards for outstanding book on human rights in North
America, the American Library Associations Outstanding Academic Book, and
a Pulitzer Prize nomination. Professor Delgados teaching and writing focus
on race, the legal profession, and social change, 2009, Does Critical Legal
Studies Have What Minorities Want, Arguing about Law, p. 588-590 ]
CLS critique of piecemeal reform Critical scholars reject the idea
2. The
abandon the case method, give up the effort to find rationality and order in the case law, and teach in an unabashedly political fashion. The CLS critique
of piecemeal reform is familiar, imperialistic and wrong . Minorities know from bitter
. The critique is imperialistic in that it tells
experience that occasional court victories do not mean the Promised Land is at hand
Unlike
in order to later become subjects (1989: 29). Part of my friendly disagreement with Wilderson is ontological, or, I readily admit, spiritual.
positions that deny notions of a deep psychic self, I want to affirm the
inherence of inalienable innate human dignity, and what I might gloss here as spirit, which
is offended not only by force but by any extrinsic practice that threatens the
individuals sense of personhood. On another score, Wildersons stress on objective
contradictions, impersonal structures and processes that work behind
mens backs, as Stuart Hall describes the conventional culture and discourses of the left, disable[s] us from
confronting the subjective dimension in politics in any coherent way (Hall, Morley, and
Chen 1996: 226). Thus, in some ways Wilderson takes us back to the old Marx that Gramsci,
Hall, and others attempted to rethink apropos of our new times , even as he points out the limits
of Gramsci to contend with these social and historical facts of blackness. This orientation leaves no air for black
domestic surveillance , and port security have made it too easy for politicians to
disguise pork barrel spending in red, white, and blue. Politicians want to bring money home to their
districts, and as a result, DHS appropriations too often differ from what ought to be DHS priorities.
Substantial
2ac at: percentage
Prefer it
Prefer it
We meet
Prefer it
We meet
Prefer it
a) Neg ground they get case specific PICs and the ability
to say the program we cut is good otherwise affs will
always be written to cut trival parts of programs to solve
unpredictable perception advantages
We meet
Reasonability
We meet
Department of Homeland Security still conscripts ordinary people to be the 'eyes and ears' of
government, and some non-professional citizen-observers in Durban, South Africa have been described by a
security manager (without irony) as 'living cameras' (Hentschel 2006).
Prefer it
of air carriers' internal maintenance oversight systems. Also, FAA inspectors needed better training
on how to evaluate these systems. In addition, we found that inspectors needed to better document their inspections so
they could perform trend analysis on the inspection results and ensure that identified deficiencies are corrected. FAA
agreed to implement the recommendations we made in these areas. FAA Must Correct Persistent Problems in Its Oversight
Process In reviewing reports prepared as far back as 1987 by our office and the General Accounting Office (GAO), we
found three common threads limiting FAA's ability to improve its oversight. These problems center on collection and use of
safety data, inspector training, and follow-up on previously identified safety problems. In these reports, recommendations
were made to address the problems and FAA promised to take corrective action. Yet, a recent FAA study, issued in March
2002, shows problems persist. For example, this study, which was a combined industry and FAA review of certification,
operations and maintenance processes concluded that FAA's data analysis efforts had been hampered by a lack of quality
data, in part stemming from an inability to compare and combine data from existing databases. Despite the fact that FAA
has devoted an inordinate amount of resources to improving its collection and use of data, FAA has been unable to correct
long standing problems in this area. These problems severely hinder FAA's ability to use data for analysis, conclusions,
and identifying accident precursors; effectively steer its inspections to the areas where they are needed most; and follow
up to ensure identified deficiencies have been corrected. To its credit, within the last year, FAA has taken steps to address
problems in ATOS and has made progress in generally improving its oversight of air carriers. FAA recently put a new
management team in place that seems committed to improving ATOS and correcting past program problems and delays.
FAA has agreed to implement recommendations we made in both our ATOS and aircraft maintenance reports. To make
material progress on these long-standing concerns, the key now is follow?through on a number of steps. - First, FAA needs
to strengthen its process for collecting and analyzing inspection results. - Second, FAA must improve training for
inspectors in the concepts and skills needed to effectively carry out safety inspections. - Third, FAA must develop a system
to effectively follow up on deficiencies identified during air carrier inspections.
2ac at: excludes places
We meet
Prefer it
a) Aff ground they exclude non-targeted internet
surveillance which is the vast majority of the NSAs
activities perception advantages are weak enough
without interpretations that force the aff to find
We meet
Department of Homeland Security still conscripts ordinary people to be the 'eyes and ears' of
government, and some non-professional citizen-observers in Durban, South Africa have been described by a
security manager (without irony) as 'living cameras' (Hentschel 2006).
Prefer it
We meet
Prefer it
We meet
Prefer it