Numbers are only valuable when they serve to represent something.

I know this is mathematical

heresy, but like words they are symbolic and allow us to understand the object or quantity
they represent. Derry’s example of the mass of the elephant finds us almost visualizing the
size of something that is 1850kg. As opposed to using descriptors that are relative (elephants
are heavy), the numerical quantity of something is itself useful. This usefulness is particularly
beneficial when considering two values, as Derry adds, the “ability to make numerical
comparisons is one of the unique advantages of quantification.”

The context surrounding that which one aims to describe using numbers can provide everything
or nothing, depending on its use. There’s a common phrase or cliché with numerical references
that suggests that you can manipulate data to say what you want. By adjusting the context or
how we’re using this number we can make arguments that contradict each other using the same
data. When reading, viewing, using quantitative reasoning is “ productive when it’s used as
part of a more general approach.” This also tells us to be mindful and careful of the quantitative
reasoning we encounter.

While reading, and even more so after, I was intrigued by the title chosen for chapter 20: “The
limits of the possible”. I’m not much of a science man, or a math man, so the inherent value
in the understanding of exponential growth and decay escape me. However, I did my best
to grapple with this topic and the allusive title using the examples that I could relate to best.

While describing exponential growth through the example of population growth, Derry states
that “exponential growth can’t possibly be sustained for long periods of time.” His insistence is
supported by the fact that a world population of 750 billion is, indeed, an impossible quantity to
sustain given the current use of available resources. Even the simplest single-celled organisms
are constrained due to the nutrients available to permit growth. In cases such as these and all
others, the understanding of exponential growth allows us to discern, comprehend, and take
action on the limits of what is possible.

Derry concluded chapter 20 in an interesting way. In his description of the societal implications
of this concept he identifies two bleak, if not apocalyptic, examples of why it is so important to
fathom exponential dependence. The first is population, which he mentions before in the context
of the limits of population growth. The other is the unsustainable quantity at which we consume
limited natural resources. The way in which these exemplify the consequences of exponential
growth and our human incapacity to affect necessary change make a case for the importance of
science and understanding and to reach the capacities of what cognition is capable.