Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
David E. Bloom
Science 333, 562 (2011);
DOI: 10.1126/science.1209290
If you wish to distribute this article to others, you can order high-quality copies for your
colleagues, clients, or customers by clicking here.
Permission to republish or repurpose articles or portions of articles can be obtained by
following the guidelines here.
Science (print ISSN 0036-8075; online ISSN 1095-9203) is published weekly, except the last week in December, by the
American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1200 New York Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20005. Copyright
2011 by the American Association for the Advancement of Science; all rights reserved. The title Science is a
registered trademark of AAAS.
that Africa will account for 49% of global pop-
REVIEW ulation growth over the next four decades, in-
creasing its share of world population to 24%.
A B
2050 2050
2025 2025
Population (millions)
Population (millions)
200 250
150 200
2000 2000
150
100
1975 100 1975
50 50
0 1950 0 1950
-4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
0+
10 4
20 4
30 4
40 4
50 4
60 4
70 4
80 4
90 4
4
0+
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
-
10
10
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Fig. 2. (A) Age structure of East/Southeast Asia, 1950 to 2050. The Lao PDR, Macao, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore,
countries and areas of East/Southeast Asia are Brunei Darussalam, Thailand, Timor-Leste, and Vietnam. (B) Age structure of sub-Saharan
Cambodia, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea (Repub- Africa, 1950 to 2050. Sub-Saharan Africa includes 49 countries or
lic of Korea), North Korea (Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea), areas.