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California Housing Market

Update

Monthly Sales and Price Statistics


April 2017
Sales Lost Steam after a Strong Start in Q1
California, Apr. 2017 Sales: 406,300 Units, +3.5% YTD, -1.7% YTY
700,000

600,000
Apr-16: Apr-17:
500,000 413,380 406,300

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized
California Sales Dipped in April after
Increasing 3 Consecutive Months
Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)
20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

-20%

-25%
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Bay Area Sales Declined Year Over Year
Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)
30%

20%

10%
YoY % chg.

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Southern California Saw Steep Decline in April
So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)
YoY % chg.
40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Central Valley Sales Down From Last Year
Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)
YoY % chg.
30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Sale Shares Increased in Mid to High End Markets

Apr-17 Apr-16
30%

21%
21%
20%
16% 17% 16% 16%
14% 14%
10% 11% 10% 11%
10%
10%
8%

3% 3%

0%

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Sales Improved in High-Priced Markets But
Continued to Decline in Lower-Priced Segments
(Year-to-Year)
Apr-17
15%
10% 8.6%
5.3%
5% 3.5%
0%
-5% -0.7%
-3.0%
-10%
-15% -10.9% -9.2%
-20%
-25%
-30% -26.4%

SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Median Price Continues to See Gains
California, April 2017: $536,750, +3.7% MTM, +5.4% YTY
P: May-07
$700,000
$594,530
Apr-16: Apr-17:
$600,000 $509,240 $536,750

$500,000
T: Feb-09
$245,230
$400,000 -59% from
peak
$300,000

$200,000

$100,000

$-

SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Home Price Appreciations Have
Moderated Since Mid 2013
50% Condo Single-Family Homes
40%

30%

20%
YTY% Chg. in Price

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

-40%

-50%

SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
CA Median Price (Existing SFH)
Month-to-Month % Chg
15%

10%

5%

0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Price Per Square Foot Highest since the
End of 2007
April 2017: $258, Up 2.4% MTM, Up 6.0% YTY
$400

$350 Apr-17:
Apr-16:
$258
$300 $244
PRICE PER SQ. FT.

$250

$200

$150

$100

$50

$0

SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Sales Price -to-List Price back to 2013 Level
April 2017: 100.0%, Up 0.7% MTM, Up 0.7% YTY
Apr-16: Apr-17:
99.3% 100%

100%

98%
Sales-to-List Price Ratio

96%

94%

92%

90%

88%

86%

SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Inventory Improved from March but
Declined from Last April
Apr. 2016: 3.5 Months; Apr. 2017: 3.3 Months
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0

Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined
as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, and Contingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Inventory Dropped Significantly in the Bay
Area since 2009
9.0 Bay Area So CA Central Valley

8.0

7.0

6.0

5.0

4.0
3.5
3.0 3.0
2.0 2.4
1.0

0.0

Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined
as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, and Contingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Supply and Sales Dropped in Each Region
April 2017

Sales Active Listings


0%

-4% -4%
Year-to-Year % Chg

-6%

-9%
-10% -9%

-12%

-20%
San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

SERIES: Sales and Listings of Existing Single Family Homes


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

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