Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
ALZHEIMERS
PLU
S
VO LU M E 3 1 6 , N U M B E R 4
N E U R O LO G Y B I O LO G Y
38
32 A Rare Success 54 Evolution at the Limits
against Alzheimers Fishes that live in toxic springs exem-
A gold-standard clinical trial provides plify how natural selection works.
evidence that diet, exercise and ByRdiger Riesch and Martin Plath
an active social life can help prevent SOCIAL SCIENCE
cognitive decline. ByMiia Kivipelto 60 Inside the
and Krister Hkansson Echo Chamber
A STROPHYSIC S How conspiracy theories spread
38 How to Swallow a Sun onlineand what can be done
New techniques reveal how super- to stop them.
massive black holes shred entire stars. ByWalter Quattrociocchi
ByS.Bradley Cenko and Neil Gehrels
H E A LT H
64 Dont Drink the Water
More communities are emerging
SPECIAL REPORT
2017 FUTURE OF MEDICINE ashotspots for drinking water
46 Transformers tainted with perluorochemicals.
By reprogramming DNA inside ByCharles Schmidt
harmful microbes, biologists are B I O LO G I C A L W E A P O N S
ON THE C OVE r
If no new treatments succeed
turning them into patient-sav- 70 Time to Worry in delaying Alzheimers and other
ing drugs. ByMichael Waldholz about Anthrax Again dementias by 2050, more than
NASA AND JPL/CALTECH
Also: Unnatural The history of a long-ago accident 130 million people may be alicted.
Responsibilities shows just how deadly bioweapons The prospect of a dementia tsunami
has prompted a search for measures
ByKevinM. Esvelt can be. ByPaulS. Keim, DavidH. to prevent cognitive impairment.
Walker and RaymondA. Zilinskas Illustration by Jon Foster.
12 Forum
Investigate scientists results for fraud, not their e-mails.
ByKevin Cowtan and Zeke Hausfather
14 Advances
Sourcing gravitational waves. Scenarios to reverse
crop losses. Removing pollutants with window screens.
12 A new system for on-time light arrivals.
30 TechnoFiles
Learning to live without user manuals. ByDavid Pogue
76 Recommended
A collection of science explorers drawings. How symme-
try rules nature. Building a dog. ByClara Moskowitz
78 Skeptic
What is the truth about truth? ByMichael Shermer
14 80 Anti Gravity
A garden-fresh look at the ive-second rule
for dropped food. By Steve Mirsky
ON THE WEB
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BOARD OF ADVISERS
Leslie C. Aiello Kaigham J. Gabriel Christof Koch Martin A. Nowak Terry Sejnowski
President, Wenner-Gren Foundation President and Chief Executive Oicer, President and CSO, Director, Program for Evolutionary Professor and Laboratory Head
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Roger Bingham Lawrence M. Krauss of Mathematics, Harvard University Laboratory, Salk Institute for
Harold Skip Garner
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Executive Director and Professor, Director, Origins Initiative, Robert E. Palazzo
The Science Network
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Dean, University of Alabama at Michael Shermer
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and Center for Bioinformatics and Morten L. Kringelbach Publisher, Skeptic magazine
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Department of Population Health, Genetics, Edward Via College Associate Professor and Senior Michael Snyder
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Barbara (Nobel Prize in Physics, 2004)
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ASSOCIATE EDITORS
Reading, Pa. Lee Billings SPACE / PHYSICS Larry Greenemeier TECHNOLOGY Dina Fine Maron BIOLOGY / MEDICINE
Annie Sneed SUSTAINABILITY ENGAGEMENT EDITOR Sunya Bhutta COLLECTIONS EDITOR Andrea Gawrylewski
A Better
Reckoning
It is time to improve our death certiicates
By the Editors
Stay Out buoys, satellites and Argo loats. Our results suggest that the new
noaa record most likely is the most accurate of the various sea-
surface temperature reconstructions covering the past two
of Scientists decades and should help resolve some of the criticism that accom-
panied the original noaa study.
These checks took a few weeks, and we did them in our spare
E-mails time (although writing them up for publication took much lon-
ger). Compare this with the months of efort by Smith and his
lawyers, whose hourly rates are many times those of paid scien-
They are useless in evaluating whether tists and funded by the taxpayera far less eicient process even
research results are correct if it had produced scientiically meaningful results, which it could
By Kevin Cowtan and Zeke Hausfather not. Smiths actions send a disturbing message that experts
should produce results that are convenient to political narratives
Last December the Trump transition team asked the Depart rather than those that accurately relect reality.
ment of Energy for a list of employees who had worked on The balance of evidence supports the new noaa temperature
or attended meetings about how to calculate the hidden costs record. Does this mean that there never was a hiatus? That is a
of carbon pollution. The doe refused, but coming from a new diferent question and one that is still being hotly debated in the
administration whose leader has tweeted that global warming scientiic community. But the way to ind out how fast the earth
is a Chinese hoax, this sounded like the beginning of a political has been warming over the past two decades is through experi-
witch hunt. mental replicationnot a political investigation. And the best
If so, it wouldnt be the irst. In 2009, during the so-called Cli- evidence we have says that noaa got it right.
mategate afair, climate skeptics released e-mails purporting
to show that scientists were manipulating data and suppressing
J O I N T H E C O N V E R S AT I O N O N L I N E
critics (several investigations proved that these charges were Visit Scientiic American on Facebook and Twitter
groundless). In 2010 Virginias Republican attorney general tried or send a letter to the editor: editors@sciam.com
A STROPHYS ICS
Sky Is
the Limit
A third detector of gravitational
waves could soon help pinpoint
where they originate
Peggys Cove
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Day 1. Your Caravan Tour Buoys operate as todays state-of-the-art and engineer at Cardif University in Wales
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quake has occurred, but strategically placed ly interested in the acoustic gravity waves
Rocks. Observe the Bay of Fundy tides.
loating sensors often give the key warning that tsunami-generating earthquakes pro-
Day 3. Explore Prince Edward Island. if the earthquake has created a potentially duce. These underwater sound waves have
Day 4. Continue to Cape Breton Island. devastating series of waves. Even so, warn- such low frequencies that gravitational forc-
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allowing the left and began to emerge. Mean-
Just because
you cant see it
doesnt mean
its not there.
Although its more common in older women, ovarian cancer
affects women of all ages, even in their 20s. There is no early
detection test, and symptoms can be subtle. But while you
cant see it, you can take steps to get ahead of it by knowing
your risk factors. Family history of cancer and presence of
gene mutations like BRCA are risk factors, so talk to your
family and your doctor. This information makes you less
likely to ignore vague signs that could indicate disease.
Minnie Driver
Stand Up To Cancer Ambassador
Stand Up To Cancer is a program of the Entertainment Industry Foundation,
Photo by Martin Schoeller a 501(c)(3) non-prot organization.
Nearly 20 U.S. states have started imple- known. The new research estimates the ex- tax on carbon emissions, under which emis-
menting former president Barack Obamas tent to which smog, under air-pollution poli- sions fell the most. But the greatest drop in
SOURCE: ESTIMATING POTENTIAL PRODUCTIVITY COBENEFITS FOR CROPS AND TREES FROM
IN JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES, VOL. 121, NO. 24; DECEMBER 27, 2016
Clean Power Plan, which places limits on car- cies in place before the Clean Power Plan, smog-forming pollutantsand greatest gains
bon dioxide emissions from power plants in would limit production in 2020 of four major in crop yieldscame from policies such as
an efort to reduce the impacts of climate crops: corn, cotton, potatoes and soybeans. the Clean Power Plan. Ashley Braun
Scenario 1: Improve Power Plants Scenario 2: Improve Electricity Sector Scenario 3: Implement Carbon Tax
15 15 15
Relative Increase in Crop
Productivity (percent)
10 10 10
5 5 5
Corn
Soybeans
Cotton Potatoes
0 0 0
Researchers calculated how well each scenario would mitigate the potential productivity loss (PPL) of each crop. PPL is a projected value for 2020
and indicates ho much crop gro th ould sufer because of smog. Scenario 2 most closel aligns ith results e pected from the Clean Po er Plan.
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Access Scientiic A Lit for including deys moon, stretching from south
ern New Jersey through South Carolina. The
American anytime, Lichens team has already mapped possible assisted
migrations of lichens in the MidAtlantic
anywhere. Rare species threatened by Coastal Plain and has conducted some suc
cessful tests of transplant methodologies for
rising seas could be moved
a number of lichen species within the south
to higher ground ern Appalachians. Allen used forceps to care
fully remove lichens from their habitats and
As a result of climate change, saltwater place them onto surfaces such as burlap,
is predicted to soon swallow much of a gauze and plastic mesh for transport. Now
North Carolina swamp forest and its bio the team is studying ways to transplant lichen
diversity. But certain denizens of Alligator communities from imperiled habitats, among
NOW ON River National Wildlife Refuge might them the swamp forests of the MidAtlantic
ANDROID! get a ticket out in time. Some of the lichens Coastal Plain, to nearby preserves or to other
that embellish local tree bark there could parts of a species previous range. The teams
be carefully plucked and transported results were most recently detailed in the
to a new habitat under a plan
now being developed by a
team of lichenologists.
The stakes are high for some
of these unusual organisms. Al
most all the known living indi
viduals of deys moon lichen,
Sticta deyana (right), are found
within several square miles of
the refuge, and other rare and
endemic lichen species there are
in jeopardy as well. Saltwater
inundation eventually kills coast
al forests in lowlying areas such
as the swamp forests of the Alli
gator River region, so relocation
may be the only way to save
many of the resident lichens.
Without help, about half the
areas lichen population will likely be lost October 2016 issue of Biological Conservation.
within ive decades; the rest could disappear Lichenologists have transplanted indi
in the ive decades after that under a worst- vidual specimens in the pastbut eforts to
case climate scenario. In an efort to inter relocate entire lichen communities repre
vene, James Lendemer, an assistant curator sent a new conservation approach for these
and lichenologist at the New York Botanical organisms, says Christopher Ellis, a lichenol
Garden, and a colleague are mapping out ogist at the Royal Botanic Garden Edin
Download the App for an ambitious plan for physically relocating burgh. Lichens beneit collectively from
iOS and Android entire communities of the areas lichens.
Lichens comprise a symbiotic partner
each individuals work to establish ideal
conditions, such as a certain humidity level.
ship involving fungi, algae and sometimes Thus, moving multiple species that belong
cyanobacteria. They provide shelter for spi to a community is key to their longterm
ders, nematodes and moths, as well as food survival. Progress with collective transplants
for voles, caribou and other ungulates. They in North America might inspire similar ef
also help to regulate microclimates and keep forts along parts of Scotlands coast. Con
humidity levels steady by absorbing the servation biologists could move coastal
water from fog, dew and rain, then later lichens from shorelines to restored habitats,
JASON HOLLINGER
Screen Grab
A nanoiber coating on window
screens puriies incoming air
New window screens with pollutant-
trapping nanoibers may allow residents
of smog-choked cities to breathe easier.
The ibers are made of nitrogen-containing
polymers and are sprayed onto screens in
a technique called blow-spinning, in which
a stream of air stretches out droplets of
polymer solution in midspray to form an
extremely thin layer of nanoibers. SOLO OR 2 DEVELOPS
Scientists at Stanford University and PERSON PLAY! SPATIAL SKILLS!
at Tsinghua University in Beijing recently
reported in Nano Letters that they have
developed a variety of blow-spun polymers
(materials commonly used in rubber gloves
and tents) capable of iltering more than
ZOBRIST CUBE
TM
90 percent of the hazardous, lung-pene-
trating particulate matter that typically
passes through standard window screens.
The pollutant-absorbing nanoibers were 20,000 Puzzles in a Box!
sprayed onto rolling lexible nylon mesh at 33 POLYCUBE PIECES & 52 PAGE CODE BOOK
a rate of almost one meter per minute.
Researchers also deposited the ibers onto
metal-coated mesh and wiped of the ilm Never get bored by a cube assembly puzzle
with tissues after heavy absorption. again. Each code in the code book species
In a 12-hour ield test on a window in a different set of pieces that assemble into
Beijing under severely hazy air conditions, a cube. The codes are sorted by difculty
from easy to hard. There are even two
a window screen coated with the so-called
sections of simple puzzles for children.
polyacrylonitrile nanoibers iltered out
Extra pieces allow two player competition,
90 percent of harmful particulate matter, all packed in a beautiful box.
which can cause lung cancer and heart
disease. Now thats a breath of fresh air.
Tien Nguyen 1 (855) 962-7478 www.ZobristCube.com Ages 6 - Adult
Is the U.S.
Ready for
Future
Disease
Threats?
The cdc lacks the authority
to direct funding in response
to emergencies and outbreaks
During Tom Friedens seven
and a half years as director
of the U.S. Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, his
1
agency was bufeted by crises
that included government furloughs, H1N1 Fumigation for mosquitoes was undertaken
lu, laboratory safety issues, an earthquake in in Lhokseumawe, Indonesia, in September
Haiti, and outbreaks of Ebola and Zika virus. 2016 to help prevent the spread of Zika
To better manage emerging diseasesand virus (1). A technician packages a urine
to detect them before they spread global sample for Zika testing (2).
lythe agency is now working with dozens
of countries to boost diagnostic and testing
capabilities. Frieden spoke with Scientific diedwhen the hotel she was staying in in
AmericAn during his last week on the job Haiti collapsedI certainly will never for
about some of the nations future health get sitting down with her husband and
2
challenges, as well as his most memorable father to tell them that she had passed
moments as director. An edited excerpt of away and been killed there. But there have
that conversation follows. Dina Fine Maron emerging threat, we are not able to surge also been very encouraging moments: the
or work as rapidly as we should, as a result moment we knew we had broken the back
Scientific American: What of a lack of additional funding and legisla of the epidemic of Ebola in West Africa, the
immediate health issues are facing tive authority. When there is an earthquake, moment when we were able to see rigor
the Trump administration? the Federal Emergency Management Agen ously that our antismoking campaign had
Tom Frieden: Zika is not over. It is likely to cy doesnt have to go to Congress and say, saved more than 10,000 lives, the moment
spread in Latin America and the Caribbean Will you give us money for this? But the when we were able to deinitively say that
for months and years to come, and we still cdc does. We have made a really good Zika causes microcephaly and other birth
dont fully understand the range of birth de start working with 70 countries to strength defects, and the moment when the data
BILL OLEARY Getty Images (Frieden); FACHRUL REZA Getty Images (1); JOE RAEDLE Getty Images (2)
fects it causes. Antibiotic resistance in the en lab systems, rapid-response and ield- came back on teen pregnancy showing
U.S. is something that threatens to under monitoring systems, but it is going to take that the programs we and others had run
mine modern medicine. The opioid epi a while before countries around the world had driven it down. Teen pregnancy is really
demic is something that has quadrupled are adequately prepared. A blind spot any a perpetuation of poverty, and by reducing
[overdose deaths] in the U.S. And we are where puts any of us at risk. teen pregnancy we have been able to
always concerned about an inluenza epi reduce poverty.
demic. We have also identiied new patho What was an experience that
gens and pathogens in new placesso we really stuck with you during your What do you consider uninished
know that tickborne pathogens are more tenure at the cdc? business or a regret?
widespread around the world than previ Certainly during the shutdown of the feder I hoped that we would be over the inish
ously thought, including CrimeanCongo al government, when we had to furlough line on polio [eradication] by now. In Nige
hemorrhagic fever. [about] 8,500 staf and couldnt protect ria, we thought we were over the inish
Americans as efectively because of that linebut [Islamic extremist group] Boko
How prepared is the cdc to deal that was a terrible time. During the Haiti Haram is partly in control where polio is
with these problems? earthquake, when Diane Caves, a 31-year- circulating, and that was an issue. So we
Its a big problem that when there is an old public health employee at the cdc, have further to go.
HOW IT WORKS
Runway
GPS signal
Ideal routes
Less
Lessfuel-eicient
fuel-eicient
routes
Air traic controllers typically assign ideal routes (white) to each By comparison, the next-generation air traic control system could enable
incoming aircraft. As more aircraft approach for landing, pilots are incoming aircraft to continue lying the most fuel-eicient landing routes
assigned longer, less fuel-eicient routes (gray) to ensure that (white) even during heavy traic conditions. This is because nasas
a safety bufer exists between planes. The longer routes give air FIM technology can provide constant, automatic speed commands to
traic controllers time to relay speed adjustments as necessary. pilotsno back-and-forth communication, or extra padding, needed.
Epilepsy specialists such as Devinsky decide which of the many ber 2016, participants who took the drug (along with their other
drugs to prescribe for patients based on the type of seizure they epilepsy medications) reduced their nonstop seizures by 42per
are experiencing, their medical history, and other details such as cent, compared with 17percent for those taking a placebo.
age, gender and body weight. The drugs act on multiple molecu Other groups have taken a page from history to develop a
lar targets in the brain, including specialized molecules located in nutritional approach to treating epilepsy. A socalled ketogenic
neurons that help them communicate with other neurons by trans diet (high in fats and low in carbohydrates) was widely used in
ferring sodium, calcium and potassium ions in and out of the cells. the 1920s to lessen seizures, particularly in children. Recent stud
Unfortunately, for people who do not respond to existing drugs, ies have conirmed that it ofers some antiseizure beneits,
new ones that might help will not be coming soon. There arent although 90 percent of children in one study found the diet so
any major drugs in the pipeline at the moment, Rogawski says. A unpalatable that they eventually dropped it.
2013 joint report from epilepsy research organizations explained Given how long it is likely to take for new medications against
that because the marketplace is already awash with [antiseizure epilepsy to be tested and approved, some experts argue that more
drugs], many pharmaceutical companies now refrain from the patients with relentless epilepsy could beneit from recent advanc
expensive enterprise of developing new compounds. es in surgical techniques and various methods for stimulating
neurons in ways that make them behave less erratically. Devin
sky estimates that up to 20percent of such patients are candidates
for surgery because they have focal seizures that can be traced to
a speciic and surgically approachable site in the brain.
Another option that has been around for two decades consists
of a kind of pacemaker for the brain. The idea is to prevent sei
zures by stimulating the vagus nerve in the neck, via electrodes
attached to a battery pack implanted in the chest. A programmed
pattern of mild electric current overrides and calms the abnormal
activity in the brain. A 2011 metaanalysis of 74 clinical trials involv
ing more than 3,300 subjects found that vagus nerve stimulation
reduced seizures by more than half in 50percent of the patients.
A newer device, NeuroPaces RNS System, approved by the
fda in 2013, has a neurostimulator that is implanted in the skull,
under the scalp. When it detects unusual electrical activity in the
brain, it sends a charge through two electrodes to stop or even
prevent a seizure. According to Devinsky, 10 to 15 percent of
patients with otherwise unmanageable epilepsy are potential
candidates for the treatment; clinical trials have shown that the
implants reduce seizures in the treated group by an average of
as much as 66percent after three to six years of followup.
In the laboratory, meanwhile, researchers are working with
mice, fruit lies, worms and computers to develop new and bet
ter models of epilepsy in animals, in an efort to speed drug dis
covery. In 2016, for example, scientists at Florida Atlantic Uni
versity and the Scripps Research Institute for the irst time
Faced with this roadblock, many patients and families have induced seizures in nematodes, microscopic worms with just 302
opted to conduct their own experiments. In recent years, for ex brain cells. They then successfully treated the creatures with
ample, as marijuana was approved for medical uses in Colorado existing antiepileptic drugs, suggesting the worms could poten
and other states, parents of children with Dravet syndrome have tially serve as fast and eicient tools for testing new medicines.
started giving their sons and daughters doses of cannabidiol, a As for Richard Shane, who now owns his own travel compa
nonpsychoactive component of the plant, prepared as an oil. In ny, epilepsy is still part of his life. He no longer has seizures, but
anecdotal reports online and in the media, some families de there is something else that nags at him: I wonder sometimes
scribed a dramatic reduction in seizures. Since then, a few clin who I would have been if I never had all this electrical activity in
ical studies of cannabidiol have also supported its potential as my brain. How did it change who I am?
an efective treatment for some forms of epilepsy. It is a question without an answer, another unknown in the
In 2014 GW Pharmaceuticals, a British drug company, re swirl of unknowns around drugresistant epilepsy. But doctors
ceived special permission from the U.S. Food and Drug Admin such as Gregory Bergey, director of the Johns Hopkins Epilepsy
istration to test its pharmaceutical version of cannabidiol, called Center, try to ofer encouragement as they confront the disorders
Epidiolex. In a recent trial of 225 patients, completed in Septem myriad riddles: I always tell my patients, we never give up.
What Happened dreds of thousands of copies. The business was practically like
printing money. And then Google happened.
Online, you can search for certain terms, ind topics faster and
to User Manuals? post questions for other people. Online communities and answer
sites sprouted up. Mini tutorials on YouTube began showing you
how to perform a task. And its all free.
Google happened, and something Meanwhile the kind of technologies we use has changed. Peo-
important was lost ple increasingly spend time in apps and social sites that have a
fairly simple interface, Tim OReilly told me. (Hes founder of
By David Pogue
OReilly Media, which publishes my own how-to books.) You dont
In the olden dayssay, the 1980sif you bought a piece of tech need a book to use Facebook.
nology, a paperback user guide came with it. It was the manufac That was the beginning of the end for computer books. Small
turers one big chance to explain its engineers thinking to you, independent publishers closed their doors or got folded into big-
to communicate what the designers and marketers had in mind. ger publishers. Many of the old imprints [publishing brands] still
Supplying documentation seemed, at the time, like a good exist under the big publishers, but there have been tremendous
idea all around. Mastery made customers happy, and happy cus layofs of editors. In short, the people who made the imprints
tomers meant repeat sales. But there were other forces at play. unique are long gone, Rogelberg says.
Printing and binding took time and moneyand customers According to OReillys research department, computerbook
didnt seem to be reading user manuals. sales have dropped 54percent since 2007. In principle, the demise
Over time, therefore, physical manuals began disappearing of professionally prepared support materials shouldnt be any
from our hardware and software boxes. Maybe youd get a Quick cause for concern. Its just another sea change unleashed by the
Start lealet, but the rest was online. Internet, another in the list of casualties, such as printed encyclo-
To take up the slack, independent publishers began creating pedias, newspaper classiied ads and music on discs.
their own books. Bookstores had huge computer-book depart- In reality, though, none of the tech industrys teaching chan-
ments. For a while theresay, in the 1990sthat was a very good nelsmanuals, computer books, online sourcesis universal and
business indeed. efective. To this day, its astonishing how little we know about our
In those days, says my own tech-book agent David Rogelberg, phones, computers and software. How many times have you heard
almost any book published would sell 7,000 copieseven the people sheepishly admit to knowing only 10 percent of their
really bad books. A computer book best seller could sell hun- phones or computers features?
A Microsoft product manager once told me, with exasperation,
that most feature requests the company gets for Microsoft Oice
are, in fact, already features of Microsoft Oice.
And seeking help online is often frustrating. The posts you ind
may not cover the right software version or product model. Or
they dont quite describe your problem. Above all, they fail in
teaching what OReilly calls structural literacy. Thats the art of
knowing what to look for. At the consumer level, this means that
a new system may move around the knobs and levers, but you
know what they do and how to look for them. You see the same
thing in a car: Where is that damn lever to open the gas cap?
Hardware and software makers still operate with their tradi-
tional business model: Every year or so they sell us a new version,
whose appeal is supposed to be more features. And so, as time goes
by, our gadgets and apps become more and more complexbut
access to documentation remains scattershot and incomplete.
In the fantasy version of our world, designers would make
our tech products simple enough, their important features obvi-
ous enough, for the masses to igure out on their own. Until then,
there will be a growing information gulf between the features
we want and the engineering work thats already been done.
A RARE
SUCCESS
AGAINST
ALZHEIMERS
A gold-standard clinical trial provides
evidence that diet, exercise and an active social
life can help prevent cognitive decline
By Miia Kivipelto and Krister Hkansson
IN BRIEF
Two hundred experimental drugs in- A ray of hope has come recently from Participants in the study who followed Results of this research suice for health
DAN SAELINGER Trunk Archive
tended to treat Alzheimers disease have a clinical trial that showed that de- a regimen of health-related steps regis- care professionals to begin making a se-
failed in the past 30 years. Without new mentias cognitive impairment might tered improvements on cognitive mea- ries of recommendations to patients on
therapies, the number of patients world- be prevented by paying close attention sures such as memory and mental-pro- diet, exercise and levels of social engage-
wide will increase dramatically by 2050. to various health factors. cessing speed. ment that may help prevent dementia.
HOW WE LIVE
and controlling many of these conditions, but a few common during the past 10 to 15 years association studies have indicated
age-related diseases have deied attempts to ind preventive ther- that maintaining cardiovascular health and adopting certain
apies or curesmost notably, Alzheimers disease, the leading measuresgood diet, exercise, an active social life and the
cause of dementia. Alzheimers follows a merciless course that achievement of higher educational levelsmay diminish the risk
progressively deprives a person of memories and a sense of self- of both Alzheimers and other dementias later in life, even for
identity, losses that have devastating consequences for relatives those who carry genes that place them at increased risk. Epide-
and friends as well. miologists have also increasingly begun to discover speciic fac-
In the U.S., around 32 percent of people older than 85 have tors that may be protectivefor instance, living with a partner or
received an Alzheimers diagnosis, often combined with other consuming a Mediterranean diet (mainly based on ish, vegeta-
types of dementia, such as that caused by vascular disease. Esti- bles, fruit and olive oil). Some studies suggest that controlling,
mates put the number worldwide with any kind of dementia at for example, blood pressure and diabetes may constitute prima-
about 50million. By 2050 if no new treatments succeed in delay- ry preventionprotections against the onset of a disease. They
ing the condition, more than 130 million may sufer with some might also aford secondary prevention, slowing memory loss
form of the disease. About 60to 70percent of these patients will and other symptoms in the earliest stages of illness.
have Alzheimers dementia, and around 20 to 25 percent will be Although association studies can lag a purported protective
classiied as sufering from the vascular form of the illness. factor, they unfortunately cannot prove that taking these steps
In spite of more than 100 ongoing clinical trials, no cure or will actually prevent dementia. People who eat a Mediterranean
drug has been able to halt the course of Alzheimers. More than diet or exercise three times a week may avoid disease because of
200 experimental drugs intended to treat it have failed during some other variable ignored by epidemiological sleuths.
the past 30 years. But all is not grim. New indings from a gold- Epidemiologists try to deal with this problem by making sta-
standard clinical trial the two of us have been involved in indi- tistical adjustments, but it is virtually impossible to discount
cate that cognitive impairment can be prevented or delayed even every aspect of a persons life that could confound a studys con-
in the absence of new drugs by promoting changes in behavior clusions. They can never be sure that they have succeeded, and
and by managing vascular risk factors. sometimes the relevant data may not even exist. Obtaining reli-
The study we conducted took its inspiration from epidemiolog- able data on early childhood experiences is extremely diicult,
ical research that sought ways to reduce the risk of Alzheimers. although what happens during the irst years might inluence
Such investigations, called association studies, measure, at difer- development of high blood pressure or some other aspect of
FINGERing Screening
21
24
health that contributes to the development of Alzheimers late in pants know which individuals are assigned to a particular group.
life. Lacking all the necessary data can produce spurious associa- In the past investigators have undertaken relatively few long-
tions among variables that lead to the wrong conclusions. Statis- term randomized controlled trials of whether lifestyle changes
tical equations, moreover, all but collapse under their own weight can improve health because accurately monitoring day-to-day
if too many variables are considered at the same time. behavior is challenging. But the nih conference experts still rec-
In 2010 the problem of establishing causality from associa- ommended them as the best way to proceed because of the need
tion studies prompted a U.S. National Institutes of Health con- for substantive data and because past randomized controlled tri-
ference to conclude that not enough evidence existed to make als looking at only a single variable had failed or produced mixed
irm recommendations on whether a given factor might dimin- results. Moreover, Alzheimers researchers had come to recog-
ish the risk of cognitive decline. To overcome this diiculty, a sys- nize the need to learn from successes in advancing prevention
tematic review article from the nih conference suggested that strategies for heart disease and diabetes, which relied on studies
Alzheimers researchers launch randomized controlled trials that looked at multiple risk factors.
and that any study undertaken examine not one but multiple
factors that might prove to be pivotal in preventing dementia. THE STUDY
The randomized controlled trial is the gold standard that since 2010 several long-term, randomized controlled studies have
science uses to determine whether a treatment is in fact efec- progressed, and indings are now being reported. Our project
tivein this case, whether a true cause-and-efect relation links the Finnish Geriatric Intervention Study to Prevent Cognitive
variablesperhaps diet and exercisewith outcomes such as Impairment and Disability (FINGER)was the irst to publish.
avoiding cognitive decline. Participants in these trials are ran- FINGERs goal was to assess the efect on cognitive health of im-
domly assigned to either a treatment or a control group. To avoid proved diet, physical exercise and mental training while provid-
biasing results, neither the researchers nor the study partici- ing regular health advice and cardiovascular health monitoring.
COURTESY OF FINNISH GERIATRIC INTERVENTION STUDY TO PREVENT COGNITIVE IMPAIRMENT AND DISABILITY
the remaining 18 months. In addition, subjects received advice ing our results, we did not lose conidence that it represented a
to perform aerobic training twice a week and increase their regi- real efect, because the treatment group improved by a signii-
men gradually to three to ive times a week. Based on individual cantly higher degree than the control group did.
preferences, they could choose to engage in Nordic walking, Participants in the treatment group also registered signi-
aqua gym, jogging or calisthenics as part of the aerobic compo- icant gains in other areas as well. They improved in speciic cog-
nent of the intervention. nitive domains that help people in daily activities that often de-
The intervention group also used a computer program to train cline with aging. The intervention group logged an 83 percent
on diferent cognitive tasks to enhance executive function (plan- improvement over the control group in executive function, a 150
ning and organizing), memory improvement and mental speed. percent better score in speed of processing (time required to per-
After six introductory group lessons led by a psychologist, group form mental tasks) and a 40 percent performance increase in
members trained on their own two to three times a week in 10- to complex memory tasks (remembering long lists, for instance).
15-minute sessions during two six-month periods. Four group Delving further into our data, we found that participants
reviews monitored progress along the way and discussed topics with a gene variant (APOE e4) that puts them at higher risk for
such as age-related cognitive changes. Alzheimers seemed to receive somewhat more beneit from the
The participants also had regular checkups of metabolic speciied changes than others without it, more proof of the
and vascular health. They met with a study nurse on six occa- interventions efectiveness. Those in the treatment group who
sions to measure weight, blood pressure, and hip and waist cir- carried the risk gene had a slower rate of cellular aging, as mea-
cumference. Physicians also reviewed these and other laborato- sured by biological markers called telomeres, caps at the end of
ry results with subjects ive times during the two-year trial peri- a chromosome.
postmortem brains of Alzheimers patients. indicating a decreasing rate of Alzheimers in the U.S. and for all
COGNITIVE DECLINE IN AT-RISK ELDERLY PEOPLE (FINGER): A RANDOMISED CONTROLLED TRIAL, BY TIIA NGANDU ET AL., IN LANCET, VOL. 385; JUNE 6, 2015
We are also working with various research teams to bring forms of dementia in both the U.S. and several European coun-
together indings from studies similar to our own conducted in tries. This decline may stem from behavioral changes people
other countries. The comparisons can help determine whether have implemented on their own after hearing about scientiic
our discoveries generalize to diferent populationscombining studies on such changes that can beneit cognitive health.
results can also increase the statistical power of the research and In the face of a multitude of drug failures, prevention may
enable more detailed analyses of timely interventions. We could, prove the best way to manage the dementia epidemic, as it has
for instance, compare the levels of physical training among for many other chronic diseases. The take-home message from
intervention groups from the various studies to identify optimal FINGER is that it may never be too early to take measures to pre-
levels to preserve brain health. vent Alzheimersand fortunately, it may never be too late,
What we have learned from FINGER can also serve as a mod- either: changes to the way one lives seem to help some people
el for similar studies that attempt to mine the epidemiology liter- even after cognitive decline has already begun.
ature to extrapolate multiple risk factors that can then be exam-
ined in a randomized controlled trial. We are now collaborating
M O R E TO E X P L O R E
on two such projects: the European Unions Healthy Aging
through Internet Counseling in the Elderly and the Multimodal A 2 year Multidomain Intervention of Diet, Exercise, Cognitive Training, and
Strategies to Promote a Healthy Brain in Aging. Vascular Risk Monitoring versus Control to Prevent Cognitive Decline in
At-Risk Elderly People (FINGER): A Randomised Controlled Trial. Tiia Ngandu
It will not be necessary to wait another decade for health care et al. in Lancet, Vol. 385, pages 22552263; June 6, 2015.
professionals to start making recommendations to their patients. Defeating Alzheimers Disease and Other Dementias: A Priority for European
Already FINGER has provided enough evidence to start suggest- Science and Society. Bengt Winblad et al. in Lancet Neurology, Vol. 15, No. 5,
ing that patients take up the health measures we investigated. If pages 455532; April 2016.
the nih decides to convene a new conference, it might now come FROM OUR ARCHIVES
to a more optimistic conclusion than the one held seven years
Alzheimers: Forestalling the Darkness. Gary Stix; June 2010.
ago that was unable to endorse any preventive steps.
The agency might also take assurances from recent reports s c i e n t i f i c a m e r i c a n . c o m /m a g a z i n e /s a
How to
Sun
Illustration by Ron Miller
Swallow a
IN BRIEF
A star passing too close to a super- New wide-ield telescopes are allow- The result is a dramatic improvement material to velocities approaching the
massive black hole will be ripped apart ing astronomers to study these cata- in our understanding of how black speed of light and how their growth
by tidal forces and consumed. clysmic events in ine detail. holes feed, how they can accelerate shapes their surrounding galaxies.
brief, bright lares of light from a black holes vicinity. Called tid- caused by the gravitational tug of the moon, which pulls more
al disruption events (TDEs), these outbursts occur when a super- strongly on the side of Earth closest to it. This diference between
ILLUSTRATION COURTESY OF NASA AND JPL/CALTECH
massive black hole consumes an unlucky star. Unfolding over the moons gravitational pull on the far and near sides of Earth
months rather than millennia, they allow researchers to track is called a tidal force. That tidal force raises a bulge, or high tide,
the feeding process from beginning to end and are bright enough both on the moon-facing side of Earth and, somewhat paradox-
to be observed in galaxies both near and far. ically, on the opposite face as well, which also creates a corre-
sponding low tide, oriented 90 degrees from the Earth-moon
HOW TO DESTROY A STAR axis. When a star is in the vicinity of a supermassive black hole
a tidal disruption event is far more dramatic than the gentle perhaps pushed there by the gravitational nudging of another
tides that can wash your beach towels away at the seashore, but nearby starthe intense tidal forces can rip it to shreds.
it is not all that diferent in principle. Earths tides are chiely The details of the stars demise depend on the sizes of both
. .. OF THE END
The tidal forces increase as the star
gets closer to the black hole, until
they overcome the stars self-gravity
and rip it apart into arcing ilaments
of gas. Half the ilaments are lung
away from the black hole, never to
return. The rest swirls into decaying
orbits, forming a white-hot accretion
disk that funnels the stellar debris
into the black hole. Astronomers
detect TDEs via the glowing
accretion disks left in their wake.
1
2 Jet
3
not only about black holes temperatures. This veil would have
the added bonus of clarifying the
apparent absence of hydrogen
but also about stars being without the need for an exotic,
helium-rich core as the TDEs pro-
genitor. Given the right tempera-
RM SPECIAL REPORT
By reprogramming
DNA inside harmful
microbes, biologists
are turning them into
patient-saving drugs
By Michael Waldholz
IN BRIEF
By taking control of a microbes genetic circuitry, The change involves connecting protein-coding Bacteria are now being modiied with new circuits
biologists can turn it into a medical treatment that genes and switches, in the way electrical circuits link that let them treat genetic diseases, attack tumors
switches on and of in particular situations. conductors, resistors and capacitors. and detect antibiotics.
Living Circuits
Genesand other segments of DNA that switch genes on and can be placed within living organisms like bacteria to control the
ofcan be wired together in novel ways. They work like electrical microbes behavior. With that control, synthetic biologists can turn
circuits that run household gadgets. These DNA circuits, though, the organisms into living medicine.
A Simple Switch
In a basic circuit, a gene can be turned on by a particular signal to produce a useful substance. The gene ( orange) is linked to a regulatory
region (red). When that region has no input, the circuit is of and produces nothing. But if that region is stimulated by an input molecule
( gray), it turns the gene on and makes a desired output molecule.
OFF ON
1st input molecule 1st output molecule 2nd output molecule Desired product
2nd input molecule
ON ON ON
Conversion pathway
Synthetic genetic circuit Drug
Ammonia
Arginine
FNR
Large intestine (low- molecule
oxygen environment)
Gene that inhibits arginine production
ENGINEERING BIOLOGY
for the past 40 years scientists have used genetic engineering to about 17 years ago, he and like-minded biologists, fueled by ad-
discover and manipulate genes to reveal the intricate machin- vances in sequencing and synthesizing DNA, have been employ-
ery that rules all life. But they were limited in their understand- ing the newly discovered genes and other DNA elements as
ing of how the diferent parts it together and worked in real interchangeable components to design and build medical appli-
life. Things that looked good in a test tube fell apart when tried cations that actually work outside a glass dish.
in a real cell or animal. When synthetic biology got started, Part of the change has come from scientists with a bent for
there was a lot of early hype, Collins admits. But beginning tinkering like engineers. Theres been a convergence of new
molecule for manufacturing the drug was extracted by hand bioilm-degrading enzyme. Lus circuit also programmed the bac-
from sweet wormwood plants native to Asia, a costly process terial viruses to sense the presence of bioilm, iniltrate its defens-
that made the drug too expensive for use in poor regions where es and respond by of-loading the ilm-busting enzyme.
malaria is rampant. It was a breakthrough, Collins says. It was Lu and Collins realized it might take years to perfect their
the irst time a network of genetic material, not just one gene at infection ighters. But they also thought their bacteria might be
a time, was used to transform a microbethe yeastinto a solu- ready sooner for another commercial use. In a meeting in 2013,
tion for an important real-world problem. Lu and Collins told a gathering of biotech funders at Atlas Ven-
ture in Cambridge that their labs genetically enhanced microbes
BROKEN CIRCUITS could be transformed into living sentinels able to provide early
But it did not launch a revolution. At about that time, J. Craig detection of disease within the human body or contaminants in
Venter, a famous genome scientist and co-founder of Synthetic the air or water.
Genomics in La Jolla, Calif., joined the synthetic biology fray, giv- The Atlas executives, however, were taken by another, related
ing the technology its irst public star. His
highly publicized objective, which garnered a
whopping $300-million investment from
Exxon in 2009, was to make gasoline from
algae found in pond scum. In 2010 Keasling
received a $134-million grant from the De-
partment of Energy to fund research aimed at
The circuit is designed to irst
coaxing yeast cells to synthesize diesel from
chemicals in sugar plants. Earlier that decade
fabricate a cancer drug inside
Keasling had co-founded Amyris, a biotech
company in Emeryville, Calif., to commercial-
the bacterium. It then directs the
ize the alternative fuel technology. microbe to slip into the interior
Both projects wound up giving synthetic
biology a bad rap. After four years, Exxon and of a tumor, carried by the blood
Venter, as well as Amyris, essentially gave up
the synthetic oil project. The cost of scaling stream, and selfdestruct. When
up commercial production, as compared with
the current low price of oil and natural gas,
the microbe bursts apart, it
has forced Amyris and several other biofuel-
from-microbes start-ups to put the venture
releases its payload of drugs.
on hold. These companies were disasters for
investors. Amyris and diferent synthetic bio-
tech companies launched between 2005 and
2010 on the promise of making oil from bugs
continue to produce notable advances in biocircuitry design. But idea. They envisioned greater proits if the bacteria could be
their new genetic circuits are not as widely celebrated. Instead wired not simply to act as sentinels but to sense a health prob-
these one-time rock stars of synthetic biology are reconstructing lem within the human gutand then generate a therapy to treat
microbes to fabricate chemicals used in manufacturing solvents it. The idea for Synlogic was born. In early 2015, about six months
and lubricants, as well as the principal ingredients for cosmetics, after the company hired its irst researchers, it used Collins and
fragrances, detergents and over-the-counter health products. Lus inventions to create an early version of the UCD therapy.
While Wall Street investors and the science media largely Ive been in the pharmaceutical industry a long time, and
focused on the headline-grabbing dreamsand the less dreamy Ive never seen a pharmacologic go from a scientists idea to
waking realityof biofuels from bugs, without fanfare Collins and clinical testing in so short a time, says Bharatt Chowrira, a con-
his colleagues spent much of the new centurys irst decade work- sultant to Synlogic.
ing out technical hurdles for what was to come next: better medi-
cine. After years of tedious experiments, in 2010 Collins engi- REPURPOSED PARTS
neered a bacterium that, in lab tests, weakened drug-resistant the treatments component is an especially clever circuit assem-
germs enough to make them vulnerable to existing antibiotics. bled with genetic parts that biologists uncovered during
At about the same time, Tim Lu, another Collins postdoctoral decades of E. coli research. The Synlogic circuit changes the
protg (with a Ph.D. in electrical engineering and computer sci- bacteriums usual ammonia-to-nitrogen-to-cell growth mecha-
ence from M.I.T., as well as a medical degree from Harvard Uni- nism into a factory to churn out an amino acid called arginine.
versity), embedded circuits into a diferent kind of microbe, a The researchers chose arginine because its cellular manufactur-
virus that infects bacteria. Certain hard-to-treat infections arise ing demands more nitrogen than other amino acids. The need
when bacterial colonies encircle themselves within a gooey, pro- to make arginine turned the bacterium into an ammonia-gulp-
tective bioilm. These bacteria may have evolved the bioilm to ing organism because it was desperate to take in nitrogen. With
fend of the marauding viruses, which are called bacteriophages. the circuit embedded into its genome, the microbe winds
Lu designed his circuit in the virus with a gene that codes for a up producing 5,000 times more arginine than the normal
LUTION
AT THE LIMITS
Studies of ishes that inhabit toxic sulide springs
reveal mechanisms of natural selection
By Rdiger Riesch and Martin Plath
Illustration by Mark Ross
O
Martin Plath is a professor of basic and applied zoology at
Northwest A&F University in Yangling, China. He studies behavior,
behavioral evolution, local adaptation and speciation.
For a moment, we remembered with longing our ieldwork it, we had inally arrived at our ield site for the day: El Azufre,
during the previous days, when we had studied Atlantic mollies a small creek with naturally toxic levels of hydrogen sulide (H2S)
at a locale only few kilometers away, a site we call Arroyo Cris- and Atlantic mollies that have evolved to survive in them.
tal for its crystal-clear waters. Our research there had been a H2S-rich environments can kill most nonadapted organisms,
pleasurewe could sit on large stones and logs, dangling our including humans, within minutes or seconds. Given the toxici-
legs in the water to cool of while our study species swam right ty of sulide waters, it should come as no surprise that scientists
between our feet. have long been fascinated with the organisms that inhabit them.
Fieldwork on this particular day was bound to be diferent, Indeed, researchers have been studying sulide-adapted poecili-
however. Long before we actually reached our destination, the id ishes since the 1960s. But the past 15 years have seen a surge
smell of rotten eggs illed the air, and the waters that now slow- of scientiic studies on the ecology and evolution of these crea-
ly came into view were hardly clear. Instead they were turbid tures, thanks in large part to advances in genome-sequencing
and milky-white from the high concentration of sulfur particles technology that have enabled investigators to see, at a molecular
suspended in them. Reaching the waters edge, we saw that all level, how organisms adapt to environmental challenges. By com-
the submerged rocks were coated in slimy sulfur bacteria, and bining ield observations of these ishes with analyses of their
the many ish in the smelly waters were hanging out at the sur- DNA, we and our collaborators have gained fascinating new
face with their mouths agape, seeming to gasp for air. insights into the inner workings of natural selection, a key mech-
A newcomer would have found it hard to believe we were anism of evolution. In addition to pulling back the curtain on nat-
looking at the same species we had observed in Arroyo Cristal ural selection, this research is allowing scientists to explore the
the day before. After all, the habitat here was drastically difer- limits of adaptation in ishes. Armed with that information, we
ent, and these ish had far larger heads and showed that distinc- might one day be able to forecast the fate of species in the face of
tive surface-breathing behavior. But there was no doubt about pollution and other human-mediated habitat alterations.
IN BRIEF
Several species in the family of poeciliid ishes have The ish share traits such as a large head and big of- they acquired these similar adaptations via diferent
managed to colonize creeks and rivers containing spring that aid survival in their deadly environment. molecular pathways.
toxic levels of hydrogen sulide. Analyses of the DNA of these species indicate that The extreme environment may spur speciation.
P. limantouri
Yet various members of the teleost group of ishesthe dom- Suldic water
inant group in todays oceans and freshwater habitats and the a
group to which the poeciliids belonghave adapted to environ-
mental H2S. Some of the most intriguing of these species, includ-
ing sinuous eelpouts and lounderlike latish, live around hydro-
b
P. sulphuraria
thermal vents and cold vents on the ocean loor. Reaching these
animals is diicult and expensive, however, requiring the use of
Likely
BY MARKUS PFENNINGER ET AL., IN NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, VOL. 5, ARTICLE NO. 3873. PUBLISHED ONLINE MAY 12, 2014
environment of c
work we are interested in. Our own research has therefore fo- common ancestor
cused on the more readily reachable poeciliids, particularly the
more than 10 diferent species of mollies, guppies, swordtails and
mosquitoish that have independently colonized dozens of toxic d
sulide springs in small creeks and rivers across the New World.
COPING MECHANISMS
e
Sulfide-adapted poeciliidS have evolved a number of traits that
Poecilia mexicana
populations by natural selectionthat is, by aiding survival and board. This pattern of gene activity mirrors what we see in the
reproductionas opposed to becoming abundant by chance. gene sequences themselves: the ish have followed diferent
We found that the genomic changes in one sulfur-adapted molecular paths to the same solutions to the problem of living
population tended to be unique to that population and not in toxic waters.
shared with the other. We then ran the genes that difered be- Studies of sulfur-adapted poeciliids also bear on another fun-
tween the two sulide-adapted populations through a database damental question in evolutionary biology. Whereas some spe-
lations, known as ecotypes, meet in mixing zones between sulid- Colonisation of Toxic Environments Drives Predictable Life-History Evolution
ic and nonsulidic habitats, the ishes will not interbreed. Mate in Livebearing Fishes (Poeciliidae). Rdiger Riesch et al. in Ecology Letters, Vol. 17,
choice experiments have revealed that females in nonsulidic No. 1, pages 6571; January 2014.
waters prefer to mate with males of their own ecotype. Whether Parallel Evolution of COX Genes in H2S-Tolerant Fish as Key Adaptation to a Toxic
Environment. Markus Pfenninger et al. in Nature Communications, Vol. 5, Article
or not (and to what degree) females exhibit such a preference No. 3873. Published online May 12, 2014.
seems to depend on the strength of natural selection: we found Unique Evolutionary Trajectories in Repeated Adaptation to Hydrogen Sulphide-
that females preferences for their own ecotype were stronger Toxic Habitats of a Neotropical Fish (Poecilia mexicana). Markus Pfenninger
when natural selection against migrating sulide-adapted males et al. in Molecular Ecology, Vol. 24, No. 21, pages 54465459; November 2015.
was weak. It seems that when females had a higher likelihood of FROM OUR ARCHIVES
encountering alien malesand thus of producing unit hybrid of-
Extreme Evolution. Axel Meyer; April 2015.
springthey evolved a stronger aversion to the outsiders. In con-
trast, when natural selection against migrants was strong, and s c i e n t i f i c a m e r i c a n . c o m /m a g a z i n e /s a
INSIDE
THE ECHO
CHAMBER
COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SCIENTISTS ARE
STUDYING HOW CONSPIRACY THEORIES
SPREAD ONLINEAND WHAT, IF ANYTHING,
CAN BE DONE TO STOP THEM
By Walter Quattrociocchi
IN BRIEF
Despite optimistic talk about collective intelligence, the Web established that users happily embrace false information as long
has helped create an echo chamber where misinformation as it reinforces their preexisting beliefs.
thrives. Indeed, the viral spread of hoaxes, conspiracy theories, Faced with complex global issues, people of all educational lev-
and other false or baseless information online is one of the most els choose to believe compactbut falseexplanations that
disturbing social trends of the early 21st century. clearly identify an object of blame. Unfortunately, attempts to
Social scientists are studying this echo chamber by applying debunk false beliefs seem only to reinforce them. Stopping the
computational methods to the traces people leave on Facebook, spread of misinformation is thus a problem with no apparent
Twitter and other such outlets. Through this work, they have simple solutions.
WATER
IN BRIEF
More communities are inding high levels of perluo- down. They accumulate in the human bloodstream. levels may be dangerous because potential health ef-
rochemicals (PFCs) in drinking water. The epa recom- Studies show possible correlations between high PFC fects vary among species in animal studies and are hard
mends concentrations stay below 70 parts per trillion. levels and weakened immune systems, enlarged livers, to isolate in human studies. No unsafe limits have been
PFCs, used to manufacture many consumer products, and more, but no direct causation has been shown. declared, leaving residents and municipalities uncertain
are everywhere because they do not readily break Scientists are having a diicult time determining what whether to take corrective actions.
More communities
are emerging
ashotspots for
drinking water
tainted with PFCs,
but scientists and
regulators are
struggling to
determine how
much is unsafe
By Charles Schmidt
OVER A
MANICURED ucts. Between 2013 and 2015 the epa looked for PFCs in every wa-
ter utility around the country that served more than 10,000 peo-
ple, along with a sample of 800 water systems that served fewer.
SUBURBAN
Sixty-six utilities serving a combined six million Americans had
on at least one occasion detected PFCs in their water at levels
over the epas new threshold.
Many states are taking action. This past summer health oi-
LANDSCAPE
cials advised 100,000 residents in northern Alabama to avoid PFC-
contaminated tap water until a temporary supply was brought on-
line. In Bucks and Montgomery counties in Pennsylvania, oicials
had as of October closed 22 public and 150 private drinking-water
wells serving 100,000 people. In Ohio and West Virginia, 3,500
in Portsmouth, N.H., the Pease International Tradeport oice people have sued DuPont, a major PFC manufacturer, claiming
park encompasses 250 companies, a golf course and a pair of day that releases from its Washington Works chemical plant on the
care centers. Nearly 10,000 people arrive here for work every day. states common border drove up rates of cancer and other illness-
But belowground lies a toxic legacy. Until 1988, the site was a U.S. es. More than a year ago state oicials told residents in Hoosick
Air Force base, where ire crews, during routine training exercis- Falls, N.Y., not to drink the water but have not yet fully resolved the
es, would torch old planes in a ield, then douse the lames with problem. We think were just scratching the surface in terms of
chemical foam. At the time, it did not seem to matter that the how many communities are afected by PFCs, says David An-
foam sank into the soil. But it contaminated groundwater Pease drews, a senior scientist at the Environmental Working Group in
workers and their children have been drinking for decades. Washington, D.C. We expect the numbers are enormous.
Three years ago scientists sampled the drinking water at High PFC levels in blood raise health fears not just for cancer
Pease and detected perluorochemicals, or PFCscompounds in but also for immune system suppression and reproductive prob-
the foam that could snuf out fuel ires. The concentrations were lems. But precisely how particular levels afect human health is
up to 35 times higher than what the U.S. Environmental Protec- not clear, and that is driving pitched debates over the amounts
tion Agency says is okay to drink. PFCs have been used for de- that people can consume safely.
cades in hundreds of products, and they are now widely dis-
persed in soils and groundwater around the planet. Virtually ev- INDESTRUCTIBLE MOLECULES
eryone in the industrial world has some of the particles in their Manufactured for decades in large quantities, PFCs were devel-
blood from drinking water or eating crops, meat and ish. Of oped commercially in the 1940s by the Minnesota Mining and
even more concern, the chemicals can accumulate at high levels Manufacturing Company, now 3M. PFC molecules look like a zip-
in local environments where they were manufactured or used to per, with a backbone of carbon atoms interlaced with luorine at-
make products. People who live in these hotspots can have con- oms, and they form durable and impenetrable ilms. When ap-
centrations in their bodies that are much higher than average. plied as a coating, say, on rain jackets, carpets and even computer
The number of hotspots is rising. In May 2016, citing emerg- microchips, the hard but slick ilms helped water, oils and dirt
ing evidence that the compounds are especially toxic to children slide of. They were also used as manufacturing aids in making
developing in the womb and to breastfeeding infants, the epa products for cooking and food storage, such as nonstick pans, piz-
dropped its health advisory level for PFCs in drinking water to a za box liners and popcorn bags. The chemicals allowed other coat-
new low: 70 parts per trillion, or a little more than half a tea- ings, such as Telon, for instance, to spread evenly over surfaces
spoon in 20 Olympic-sized swimming pools. Communities in that would come into contact with food. Companies tried to re-
more than two dozen states have since reported PFCs exceeding move PFCs after the coatings were applied, but studies disagree
the new threshold. With all this attention, more towns are look- over whether the removal processes were successful, meaning
ing and inding they have a problem. PFCs could have remained in coatings of nonstick pans, for exam-
The discoveries are fueling fears that the nations drinking ple, and been released when the pans were heated on home stoves.
water, already threatened in many places by lead and other Over time many companies made and used the chemicals.
chemicals, is not adequately protected. PFCs are a rising concern More than 3,000 varieties remain on world markets today. But
because they are still being discovered widely and because the the structural stability that makes PFC-based coatings so useful
amounts ingested in drinking water add to the accumulated ex- to industry also has a health and environmental downside. Car-
posures from other sources, such as food and consumer prod- bon-luorine bondswhich are wholly unnaturalare not read-
BY XINDI C. HU ET AL., IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY LETTERS, VOL. 3, NO. 10; OCTOBER 11, 2016
LINKED TO INDUSTRIAL SITES, MILITARY FIRE TRAINING AREAS, AND WASTEWATER TREATMENT PLANTS,
But thats a far cry from saying that PFOA actually causes any of limited to mice; neither rats nor monkeys experience that efect
SOURCE: DETECTION OF POLY- AND PERFLUOROALKYL SUBSTANCES (PFASS) IN U.S. DRINKING WATER
those conditions, he adds. Our data are fairly strong, but one when dosed with PFCs. Scientists from the C8 study looked for ev-
large study isnt deinitive. We need to establish the links in oth- idence of antibody suppression in the highly exposed communi-
er populations to reach more convincing conclusions. ties in Ohio and West Virginia and found that antibody levels
More study may also be needed to determine harmful efects were slightly suppressed for one of three lu strains that were
of even low exposure to childrens developing immune systems. evaluated, but they could not detect any evidence of increased
When a child is inoculated with a vaccine intended to ight a dis- colds or lu in the population. Tony Fletcher, an epidemiologist at
ease such as measles, the body reacts by producing antibodies the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and a C8
foot soldiers that learn to recognize the pathogen. If, later, the study co-director, says it is unclear why the C8 and Grandjean
child contracts the actual pathogen, his or her immune system is studies produced such divergent indings. You would expect a
already prepared to ight it and can rapidly build up a counter- greater response when the exposure levels are high, he says.
attack. Evidence suggests that PFCs might impede the bodys re- Epidemiology is a slow process. Steenland says results trick-
sponse to vaccines, rendering them less efective. In 2012 ling in from other studies around the world will lend clarity. But
Harvard University scientists reported in a high-proile study health oicials trying to set exposure levels can work only with
that antibody levels mobilized by diphtheria and tetanus vac- the data they have, and they often disagree over interpretation.
cines dropped of steadily with increasing PFC exposures. They New Jersey oicials, for instance, recently undercut the epa by
conducted the study in the Faroe Islands, where the population proposing a much lower drinking-water standard for PFOA of 14
gets most of its PFCs from a marine diet that includes whale rather than 70 parts per trillion. They argued that the lower stan-
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN ONLINE For more on possible PFC links to infertility, go to ScientiicAmerican.com/apr2017/schmidt Map by Mapping Specialists
TIME TO
WORRY
ABOUT
ANTHRAX
AGAIN
Recent insights into a long-ago accident
show just how deadly bioweapons can be
By Paul S. Keim, David H. Walker
and Raymond A. Zilinskas
IN BRIEF
Dozens of people died of anthrax in in a secret Soviet bioweapons facility. al weapons. Some parts of the former concerns that the Russian government
a Central Asian city in 1979. Only later The bacterium that causes anthrax, Soviet program were veriiably disman- may be relaunching its bioweapons pro-
did it become clear that the outbreak known as Bacillus anthracis, is particular- tled in the 1990s. gram, which would be a violation of an
had occurred because of an accident ly well suited for arming unconvention- Recent revelations underscore new international treaty irst signed in 1972.
The Soviets equipped a four-story building at Sverdlovsk with lovsk tragedy. In the 1990s, for example, Harvard University
fermenting vats for growing B. anthracis and drying equipment researcher Matthew Meselson led a team of experts on two difer-
to force the bacteria to generate sporespretty standard steps for ent medical and epidemiological investigations to Sverdlovsk.
any industrial facility dedicated to the production of living organ- Advances in biotechnology have also allowed researchers
isms. The real innovation lay in the next few stages. Certain chem- to more fully analyze autopsy samples that Russian physicians
shared with international teams during the more cooperative 1990s. in 2016, showed that the strain was a member of the well-known
One of us (Walker) accompanied Meselson on the irst trip and Trans Eurasia group. In addition, the authors found no evidence
met with local pathologists to better understand the event. Later of genetic engineering to enhance virulence, resist antibiotics or
one of them, Lev Grinberg, brought autopsy samples (safely ixed foil vaccine protection. In other words, Soviet military scientists
in formalin and embedded in parain) from the victims to the U.S. had found and developed a highly suitable bacterium that was
for further study. Another of us (Keim) worked with Paul Jackson, already lethal enough in its natural state to be used as a weapon.
then at Los Alamos National Laboratory, to extract DNA from the Everything we have learned about the Sverdlovsk matter also
samples, which conirmed that the patients had died of anthrax. serves as a sobering reminder that the best way to minimize the
Later research by other scientists revealed a unique genetic sig- casualties from an anthrax attack is to act before the spores have
nature for the Sverdlovsk strain, also known as B. anthracis 836. been dispersed. Despite spending billions of dollars on biodefense
With this molecular ingerprint in hand, scientists can now research, the U.S. government still struggles to coordinate and pri-
track the strain on a global basis. Critically, in 2001 researchers oritize its activities across multiple agencies with diferent mis-
(including Keim) determined that the anthrax letter attacks in the sions and goals. The only vaccine available in the U.S., which tests
U.S., which killed ive people, did not use the Sverdlovsk strain. But show can prevent illness after exposure to B. anthracis, requires
still, only small portions of the accident genome were known, and multiple shots over several months, followed by regular boosters.
many questions remained. No one knows whether any of the B. anthracis produced by
Finally, in 2015, technology had advanced to the point that Keim the former Soviet Union still exist. Under agreements between
and others were able to re-create the entire genetic sequence of the the U.S., Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, many tons of spore-contain-
B.anthracis in the autopsy samples of two Sverdlovsk anthrax vic- ing material were rendered inert and some production facilities
tims. Both bacteria samples proved to be identical to each other were converted to civilian use in these former Soviet republics in
and to B. anthracis 836; the genetic analysis, which was published the 1990sand under the watchful eye of international scientists.
Capillary
Lymphatic
vessel
Alveoli
2 Bacilli some-
times spread
3 Anthrax bacilli drain from
beyond the gas-
lymphatic vessels into the
trointestinal
bloodstream and spread
tract through
throughout the body.
lymphatic 2 Once the spores
vessels. reach lymph nodes
in the chest, they
germinate into bacil-
li, which multiply
and secrete toxins.
Cecum Terminal ileum Blood vessel
Lymphatic
capillary
But no foreign groups have been allowed to visit, let Despite these worrisome public signals (and
alone inspect, the three Ministry of Defense or ive whatever top-secret information is possessed by
civilian antiplague institutes in Russia that played a role Western governments), recent administrations, as far as
in researching and producing the agents for bioweapons. can be discerned, have not confronted the Russian government
Since 2003 the U.S. Department of State has issued nine arms- on possible violations of the bioweapons treaty. Nor does the cur-
control reports, and all contain statements that Russia might be rent administration appear likely to do so. By its inactivity, how-
supporting activities that violate the bioweapons treaty of 1972. ever, the U.S. government may be, in efect, giving Russia a green
The reports ofer no details to support these allegations (presum- light to develop advanced biological weapons against which oth-
ably, the information is classiied). But there are plenty of known er countries would be ill prepared to defend themselves.
reasons for concern. Among them, public satellite photographs
show that certain buildings in Compound 19 have been upgraded M O R E TO E X P L O R E
with new equipment, which appear to be ventilation units, and
The Soviet Biological Weapons Program: A History. Milton Leitenberg and
that new buildings have been added. In addition, in 2012 Putin
Raymond A. Zilinskas. Harvard University Press, 2012.
wrote an essay in a Russian newspaper saying that weapon sys- Assessing the Bioweapons Threat. Crystal Boddie et al. in Science, Vol. 349,
tems based on new principles (beam, geophysical, wave, genetic, pages 792793; August 21, 2015.
psychophysical and other technology) were likely to appear in the A History of Anthrax. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Published online
future; the minister of defense later proclaimed his department August 15, 2016. www.cdc.gov/anthrax/resources/history
was making progress on these goals. Finally, in a related move, FROM OUR ARCHIVES
Putin allowed a nearly 25-year-old partnership between the U.S.
Attacking Anthrax. John A. T. Young and R. John Collier; March 2002.
and Russia to actively dismantle some of their nuclear stockpiles
to lapse in 2015. s c i e n t i f i c a m e r i c a n . c o m /m a g a z i n e /s a
Explorers
Sketchbooks:
The Art of Discovery
& Adventure
by Huw Lewis-Jones and Kari
Herbert. Chronicle Books, 2017 ($40)
Alexander von Humboldt, one of the founding fathers of the natural sciences, traveled the world in the late 18th and early 19th centuries, recording
his observations as sketches of everything from the stars to plant distribution on a mountainsidesome of which appear in this collection of adventurers
drawings, compiled by writers and explorers Lewis-Jones and Herbert. Also here are drawings by Charles Darwin, father of modern taxonomy Carl
Linnaeus and fearless lower hunter Margaret Mee. Each braved the unknown to discover the world at large. As 20th-century travel writer Freya Stark
(whose work is featured in the collection) quoted a man she met on one of her journeys as saying, I have no reason to go, except that I have never been,
and knowledge is better than ignorance. Andrea Gawrylewski
The Greatest Story Ever Told Not a Scientist: How Politicians How to Tame a Fox (and Build
So Far: Why Are We Here? Mistake, Misrepresent, and Utterly a Dog): Visionary Scientists and a
by Lawrence M. Krauss. Atria Books, 2017 ($27) Mangle Science Siberian Tale of Jump-Started Evolution
by Dave Levitan. W. W. Norton, 2017 ($15.95) by Lee Alan Dugatkin and Lyudmila Trut.
The story of the past 50 years
University of Chicago Press, 2017 ($26)
of physics has been a slow Im not a scientist is a line
realization that symmetry oicials love to use to avoid Our furry companions evi-
rules the particles and forces having to acknowledge that dently descended from wild
that make up our universe. what actual scientists say is wolvesresulting from thou-
Symmetry, in this case, refers to properties of truefor example, that sands of years of human se-
nature that do not change when our perspective human-caused climate change is ravaging the plan- lection. Nearly 60 years ago
or mathematical descriptions of them alter et. It is a dodge, journalist Levitan writes, a bit of Russian researchers Trut and Dmitri Belyaev de-
for instance, rotating a sphere does not modify down-home hucksterism designed to marginalize cided to domesticate wild foxes to learn in detail
JAN BRANDES FROM EXPLORERS SKETCHBOOKS
its shape. Theoretical physicist (and Scientiic those eggheads over there who actually are scien- how the journey from wild beast to household
American advisory board member) Krauss makes tists as somehow out of touch or silly. He identi- pet happens. They set up their experiment on a
the concept of scientiic symmetry accessible and ies several ways politicians misrepresent science, farm in Siberia and over the following decades
shows how it allowed physicists to put together such as the certain uncertainty, in which they mated the tamest animals from each successive
a coherent description of the fundamental parti- argue that since we dont know it all, we dont generation. In this book, biologist and science
cles and forces of nature. One type of symmetry, know anything. This well-argued guide should writer Dugatkin and Trut recount this grand ex-
he writes, called gauge symmetry, has allowed help readers see through such smoke screens and periment. The result: a host of docile foxes and
us to discover more about the nature of reality at encourage lawmakers to be more accountable the identiication of the genetic underpinnings for
its smallest scales than any other idea in science. and accurate when it comes to science. their domestication. A.G.
What Is Truth, What about religious truths? The proposition that Jesus was
cruciied may be true by historical validation, inasmuch as a man
whom we refer to as Jesus of Nazareth probably existed, the
Anyway? Romans routinely cruciied people for even petty crimes, and
most biblical scholarseven those who are atheists or agnostics,
How to think about claims, such as renowned religious studies professor Bart Ehrman of the
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hillassent to this fact.
even the Resurrection The proposition that Jesus died for our sins, in contrast, is a faith-
By Michael Shermer based claim with no purchase on valid knowledge. In between
these is Jesuss Resurrection, which is not impossible but would
According to the Oxford English Dictionarys irst deinition, a be a miracle if it were true. Is it?
skeptic is one who holds that there are no adequate grounds The principle of proportionality demands extraordinary evi-
for certainty as to the truth of any proposition whatever. This is dence for extraordinary claims. Of the approximately 100 billion
too nihilistic. There are many propositions for which we have people who have lived before us, all have died and none have
adequate grounds for certainty as to their truth: returned, so the claim that one (or more) of them rose from the
There are 84 pages in this issue of Scientific American. True dead is about as extraordinary as one will ever ind. Is the evi-
by observation. dence commensurate with the conviction? According to philoso-
Dinosaurs went extinct around 65 million years ago. True by pher Larry Shapiro of the University of WisconsinMadison in
veriication and replication of radiometric dating techniques for his 2016 book The Miracle Myth (Columbia University Press),
volcanic eruptions above and below dinosaur fossils. evidence for the resurrection is nowhere near as complete or
The universe began with a convincing as the evidence on
big bang. True by a convergence which historians rely to justify
of evidence from a wide range belief in other historical events
of phenomena, such as the cos- such as the destruction of Pom-
mic microwave background, peii. Because miracles are far
the abundance of light ele- less probable than ordinary
ments (such as hydrogen and historical occurrences, such as
helium), the distribution of gal- volcanic eruptions, the evi-
axies, the large-scale structure dence necessary to justify be-
of the cosmos, the redshift of liefs about them must be many
most galaxies and the expan- times better than that which
sion of space. would justify our beliefs in run-
These propositions are true of-the-mill historical events.
in the sense that the evidence is But it isnt.
so substantial that it would be What about the eyewitness-
unreasonable to withhold ones es? Maybe they were super-
provisional assent. It is not im- stitious or credulous and saw
possible that the dinosaurs died what they wanted to see, Sha-
a few thousand years ago (with the universe itself having been piro suggests. Maybe they reported only feeling Jesus in spirit,
created 10,000 years ago), as Young Earth creationists believe, and over the decades their testimony was altered to suggest that
but it is so unlikely we need not waste our time considering it. they saw Jesus in the lesh. Maybe accounts of the resurrection
Then there are negative truths, such as the null hypothesis in never appeared in the original gospels and were added in later
science, which asserts that particular associations do not exist centuries. Any of these explanations for the gospel descriptions
unless proved otherwise. For example, it is telling that among of Jesuss resurrection are far more likely than the possibility that
the tens of thousands of government e-mails, documents and Jesus actually returned to life after being dead for three days.
iles leaked in recent years, there is not one indication of a UFO The principle of proportionality also means we should prefer the
cover-up or faked moon landing or allegation that 9/11 was an more probable explanation over less probable ones, which these
inside job by the Bush administration. Here the absence of evi- alternatives surely are.
dence is evidence of absence. Perhaps this is why Jesus was silent when Pontius Pilate asked
Other propositions are true by internal validation only: dark him (John 18:38), What is truth?
chocolate is better than milk chocolate; Led Zeppelins Stairway
to Heaven is the greatest rock song; the meaning of life hinges on
J O I N T H E C O N V E R S AT I O N O N L I N E
the number 42. These types of truth are purely personal and thus Visit Scientiic American on Facebook and Twitter
unveriiable by others. In science, we need external validation. or send a letter to the editor: editors@sciam.com
Floor Plan came out online in September 2016 in the journal Applied and
Environmental Microbiology.
That work, by scientists at Rutgers University, tracked Entero-
Lets take a time-out to review bacter aerogenes transfer from various surfaces to diferent foods.
the ive-second rule And the researchers state: Although we show that longer contact
times result in more transfer, we also show that other factors, in-
By Steve Mirsky cluding the nature of the food and the surface, are of equal or
greater importance. Some transfer takes place instantaneously
Comedian Elayne Boosler touched on a great deal of the human at times [less than one second], disproving the ive second rule.
experience thusly: My mother was so proud of her houseclean- And thats how the Rutgers study was reported by numerous
ing. She always said, You could eat of my loor. You can eat of news outletsas the debunking of the ive-second rule. But what
my loor, too. Therere thousands of things down there. Homer is fascinating to this observer is that both studies basically found
Simpson, spotting a piece of pie on the loor, said, Mmmm, loor the same thing: the degree of bacterial contamination is dependent
pie! And then there was the episode of Friends where Rachel on contact time, surface type and what well call food Elmeritude,
and Chandler are picking at a slab of cheesecake thats fallen on or glueyness. The coverage echoed the diferent ways the two stud-
the hallway loor when Joey walks inand sits down, pulls a ies conclusions were couched. (Dont drop food on the couch.)
fork out of his pocket and says, Alright, what are we having? But whats truly bothering me is, When did the ive-second
As these three popular culture examples clearly show, peo- rule come to pertain to bacterial transfer? Unless Im misremem-
ple often eat food that has fallen on the loor. Of course, most bering my misspent youth, the key factor in edibility of fallen
people try to pick the food up as quickly as possible after it has food was whether it had schmutz all over it. If you picked it up
hit the deck. That practice has been codiied as the ive-second and it was free of dust bunnies or cat hair, bombs away for your
rule: its safe to eat any comestibles retrieved from the loor with- stomach acid and immune system to deal with. Anyway, thats
in ive seconds. Actually, I remember it from when I was a kid the side my bread is buttered on.
as the 15-second rule, but we were on a budget.
Back in March 2014, my Scientific American colleague Larry
J O I N T H E C O N V E R S AT I O N O N L I N E
Greenemeier wrote a Web story about research at Aston Univer- Visit Scientiic American on Facebook and Twitter
sity in England that appeared to conirm the ive-second rule. or send a letter to the editor: editors@sciam.com
APRIL
1967 Race
Relations
The concept of black power is
Presidents address in which he
makes it clear that we enter, not
as a struggle against the German
upon the color of your pages?
Scientiic Americans editors replied
in 1917: the above communication
aninlammatory one. It was intro- people, but against that military comes from mexico, and was written
duced in an atmosphere of mili- clique which has led them, delud- in faultless German. As a sample of
tancy (during James Merediths ed and unsuspecting, into a war teutonic thought and argument it
march through Mississippi last of aggression and attempted should take a leading rank.
June) and in many quarters it has 1967 world conquest.
been equated with violence and Opinion in the U.S. about participation Tractor Treads
riots. The fact is that a form of in the war can be sampled in editorials It was over four years ago that the
black power may be absolutely and readers letters at www.Scientiic irst attempt was made to apply the
essential. The experience of Negro American.com/apr2017/war-opinions principle of the ball bearing to the
Americans, supported by numer- endless tread of atractor. For some
ous historical and psychological Readers Complaint three years the ball-tread tractor
studies, suggests that the pro- For over ten years I have been has been made commercially
found needs of the poorest and reading your papers. Especially ample evidence of the practicabili-
most alienated Negroes cannot be 1917 welcome was your impartiality in ty of the invention. The advantage
metand that there can therefore all matters, scientiic and political of a track of this kind consists in
be no end to racial unrestexcept alikeuntil the outbreak of the reduction of friction. Experiments
through the inluence of a uniied, European war. Unfortunately you were conducted by the College of
organized Negro community with appear to believe that your articles Agriculture ofthe University
genuine political and economic must be tinged with sympathy for of California [see illustration].
power. The traumatic efects of the Allies, since the greater part
separation from Africa, slavery
and the denial of political and eco-
nomic opportunities after the 1867
ofyour readers presumably con-
sist of persons born in these coun-
tries. Or is it to be inferred that
1867 Cause of
Milk Sickness
This pernicious afection of
abolition of slavery created divi- Wall Street and the munitions domestic animals is suiciently
sive psychological and social makers exercise, through your mysterious and important to have
forces in the Negro community. patent department, an inluence induced the Legislature of Illinois,
JamesP. Comer some years since, to vote a hand-
comer has been a full professor of psy- some reward to anyone who
chiatry at Yale University since 1975. should discover its cause. The Med-
ical and Surgical Reporter gives
Flight Patterns
Over southern Britain, the most bug movement occurs in late May and June toward the northwest and in late August and September
toward the southeast (arrows). Many insects do not live long and struggle to survive the cold, so it may take up to six generations for
one famil , l ing in slightl diferent directions from one breeding area to the ne t, to complete an annual migration.
How to Read
May June July August September This Graphic
More than 70 percent of
migrations occur during
daytime (top two rows); fewer
are at night (bottom two rows).
Day
Migration Direction
Medium Arrows depict the overall
insects
direction of insect light.
A longer arrow means more
insects stick close to that path.
North
Day
Large West East
insects
South
Medium
insects
SUZANNE J. CLARK, DON R. REYNOLDS, NIR SAPIR AND JASON W. CHAPMAN, IN SCIENCE, VOL. 354; DECEMBER 23, 2016
SOURCE: MASS SEASONAL BIOFLOWS OF HIGH-FLYING INSECT MIGRANTS, BY GAO HU, KA S. LIM, NIR HORVITZ,
Surprising data show many species make annual treks
Some butterlies migrate thousands of miles a year, yet scientists England. That is absolutely not the case. Insects make active
have conjectured that most other insects spend their lives pretty choices about when to migrate and how to use the winds, often
much in one place. Not so. A 10-year study found that more than moving fast and over long distances, in beneicial directions
3.3trillion insects migrate high above southern Britain every year, (above). What they are looking for, he surmises, is greener vege-
especially in spring and fall (graphic below). People thought tation and better weather for breeding. Initial studies in Texas,
insects were passive and just got accidentally blown about, says India and China are showing similar patterns. Insect migration,
researcher Jason W. Chapman of the University of Exeter in Chapman says, is starting to look universal. Mark Fischetti
South North
84 Scientiic American, April 2017 Graphic by Jan Willem Tulp, Illustrations by Jessica Huppi