B.C.

JUNE 26-27, 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
6 AM PST, JUNE 29, 2017
PRINT EXCLUSIVE:
POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
1,650 British Columbians from June 26-27, 2017
through Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened
to conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the
2011 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 2.41
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Greater
Vancouver specic results, the margin of error is
3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For
Vancouver Island specic results, the margin of
error is 4.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
For Rest of BC results, the margin of error is 4.64
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montreal: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
LIBERALS LEAD POST THRONE SPEECH

June 29, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds the BC Liberals in the lead with only
11% of B.C. Voters saying they are undecided - a number that drops to just 7% when leaning voters are
re-assigned. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.41 percentage points, 19 times out
of 20.

It appears that Christy Clark and the BC Liberals are enjoying a throne speech bump. said Quito Maggi,
President of Mainstreet Research. Two thirds (66%) of B.C. residents told us they followed coverage of the
Throne Speech including 35% who said they followed it very closely. Just 9% said they were not aware of
the Throne Speech at all.

We asked BC residents about a number of the measures contained in the BC Liberal Government Throne
Speech and all of them have a majority approval. When asked how the Throne Speech had aected their
view of the BC Liberals, 30% of respondents said they had a more favourable view compared to 27% who
said they had a less favourable view. 34% of respondents said the throne speech had not aected their
opinion of the BC Liberals.

Approval for the Throne Speech has seen a signicant bump in support for the BC Liberals since our last
poll on May 17th. At that time we found a stalemate that would produce similar results to those on election
day, with the BC NDP at 39%, the BC Liberals at 38% and the BC Greens at 22%. The BC NDP is down now
to 34% (-5) while the BC Greens are down to 17% (-5) and the BC Liberals appear to be beneting directly
from the drop in Green support, they are up to 45% (+7).

The Throne Speech measures and their approvals alone may not be driving these numbers. We found in
our last poll (May 17th) that a signicant majority (58%) wanted the Green Party to support the
Government on a vote by vote basis, and not a formal coalition or collaboration arrangement with any
party. There has been heightened interest in BC politics which is evident from the low rate of undecided
voters. Its possible that the greatest driver of votes at the moment in the perceived instability in British
Columbia, nished Maggi.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
Decided & Leaning Voters

LIBERALS LEAD - BUT WILL ELECTION TAKE

PLACE?

Among Decided & Leaning voters the Liberals are

leading just days before a snap election could take
place.

Most of their lead is built in the Rest of B.C. but

they are also posting a 6 point lead in Greater
Vancouver and are essentially tied on Vancouver
Island.

Perhaps the most interesting number however is

not in decided & leaning categories but in the
undecided rate: just 11%. That number drops to just
7% when you re-assign leaning voters.

It looks like many voters are tuning into provincial

politics right now and the constant drama may be
feeding into the current numbers and a desire for
stability.

Where the undecided rate is highest, 14% in the

Rest of B.C., is unlikely to help either the Greens or
NDP. Only 10% of Greater Vancouver residents are
undecided.
Among All Voters