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L THUYT TI CHNH
Th trng s cp v th trng th cp
CC CHNG KHON GIAO DCH
TRN TH TRNG TI CHNH
Phn ng ca chnh ph
TM LC CHNG 1
Cu ca cc chnh quyn th
Cu ca nc ngoi i vi vn vay
Mc cung ngun vn vay
Dh:Mc cu cu h gia nh
Db: Mc cu ca doanh nghip
Dg: Mc cu ca chnh ph
Dm: Mc cu ca chnh quyn th
Df: Mc cu ca nc ngoi
Tng cung ngun vn
BO
LI
SUT
TM LC CHNG 2
Li sut cn bng ph thuc vo tng cung ngun vn v
tng cu nh th no. Do cc iu kin quyt nh tng
cung v tng cu thay i nn li sut lun hng v
trng thi cn bng mi.
Cc nhn t nh hng n bin ng li sut bao gm:
thay i trong tng trng kinh t, lm pht, thm ht
ngn sch, li sut nc ngoi v cung tin. Cc nhn t
ny c th c tc ng mnh ln tng cung ngun vn
v/ hoc tng cu, v v th c th nh hng n li
sut cn bng.
Li sut cn bng c xc nh bi cc iu kin cung
v cu, nhng thay i trong li sut c th c d bo
thng qua d bo s thay i trong cung v cu ngun
vn.
MC TIU CA CHNG 3
1. M t cc c im ca chng khon n lm
thay i li sut chng khon nh th no
2. Xc nh lm cch no c tnh t sut
sinh li thch hp cho mt chng khon n
3. Gii thch cc l thuyt n cha ng sau
cu trc k hn li sut (mi quan h gia
thi gian n khi o hn v t sut sinh li
chng khon).
TI SAO LI SUT CA CHNG
KHON N THAY I?
Cc chng khon n a ra cc mc li
sut khc nhau v chng c nhng c
im khc nhau tc ng n mc li sut
a ra.
Li sut ca cc chng khon n b nh
hng bi cc c im sau y:
o Ri ro tn dng (ri ro v n)
o Thanh khon
o Tnh trng thu
o Thi gian n khi o hn
C TNH LI SUT THCH HP
M hnh c tnh li sut thch hp nh sau:
Yn = Rf,n + DP + LP + TA
Trong
Yn = li sut ca chng khon n k hn n ngy
Rf,n = li sut (t sut sinh li) ca tri phiu kho bc (phi ri ro) k hn n
ngy
DP = phn b v n b p cho ri ro tn dng
LP = phn b thanh khon b p cho tnh t thanh khon
TA = iu chnh do chnh lch v thu
VD: TRANG 58
NGHIN CU SU HN V CU TRC K
HN
V D
Xem xt mi quan h gia li sut ca chng khon 2 nm v chng
khon 1 nm sau y:
Trong :
t i2 : li sut tnh theo nm ca chng khon 2 nm ti thi im t
t i1 : li sut tnh theo nm ca chng khon 1 nm ti thi im t
t+1r1 : li sut mt nm c tnh ti thi im t+1 (mt nm ti)
2. L THUYT PHN B THANH KHON
Trong LP2 i din cho phn b thanh khon ca chng khon hai
nm. Li sut c to ra t chng khon 2 nm s vt li sut t u
t lin tip vo cc chng khon 1 nm bi mt phn b cho nh u t
t thanh khon.
KT HP CC L THUYT CU TRC K HN
hiu c lm th no tt c ba l thuyt c th tc ng
ng thi ln ng cong li sut, trc tin gi nh cc
iu kin sau y:
3. T l tht nghip
4. Cc ch bo kinh t
XC NH LI SUT LIN NGN HNG MC
TIU
HN CH CA CHNH SCH TIN T
TR CA CHNH SCH TIN T
TC NG CA CS TIN T M RNG LN
LM PHT
S NH I TRONG VIC S DNG CHNH
SCH TIN T
S THAY I CHNH SCH TIN T THEO
THI GIAN
CHNH SCH TIN T THAY I THEO
CHNH SCH TI KHA NH TH NO
Tc ng ln th trng TC
Tc ng ln cc nh ch
TC
TC NG LN TH TRNG TC
NH
LS V
CST GI
TNG
T TRNG
CHNG
KHON
TM LC CHNG 5
TM LC CHNG 5
3. Do chnh sch tin t nh hng ln li sut v tng
trng kinh t, n nh hng n vic nh gi hu ht cc
chng khon c giao dch trn th trng. Cc thnh phn
tham gia th trng ti chnh s c gng d bo chnh sch tin t
ca FED trong tng lai v cc tc ng ca cc chnh sch ny
ln cc iu kin kinh t. Khi FED thc hin chnh sch tin t, cc
thnh phn tham gia th trng ti chnh s c gng nh gi
nn kinh t s b tc ng nh th no iu chnh danh mc
u t ca mnh cho ph hp.
4. Chnh sch tin t ca Fed phi da vo nhng iu kin
kinh t ton cu. Vic ng USD yu c th tng xut khu ca
M v kch thch nn kinh t M tng trng. iu ny s lm tng
xut khu ca M v thc y kinh t M pht trin. Nh vy, FED
c th khng phi thc hin chnh sch tin t m rng. Ngc li,
FED c th phi xem xt chnh sch tin t tch cc hn kch
thch mt nn kinh t M v trong mt s trng hp, FED khng
th da vo cc nn kinh t khc thc y kinh t M.
NI DUNG CHNG 6
49
KIN THC NN TNG V TRI PHIU
c im tri phiu
Phn loi tri phiu
S tham gia ca cc nh ch trn th
trng tri phiu
T sut sinh li tri phiu
50
PHN LOI TRI PHIU
51
TRI PHIU CNG TY
CC C IM TRI PHIU CNG TY
1. iu khon qu chm
2. Tha thun bo v
3. iu khon mua li (thu hi) tri phiu
4. Th chp tri phiu
5. Tri phiu c li coupon thp v tri phiu
Zero-Coupon
6. Tri phiu c li sut kh bin
7. Tnh chuyn i
8. T l v n
9. Xp hng tri phiu
52
TRI PHIU CNG TY
TRI PHIU U C
Phn b ri ro tri phiu u c
Tri phiu u c cung ng t sut sinh li cao do c cha
trong phn b ri ro b p li phn ri ro cao m nh
u t gnh chu.
Thng th phn b ri ro dao ng khong 3 n 7 im
phn trm cao hn so vi tri phiu chnh ph, vi cng thi
gian o hn. Chnh lch s ln hn trong sut giai on nn
kinh t ri vo suy thoi.
Mc d cc nh u t lun i hi tri phiu u c cung
ng mc sinh li cao hn cc tri phiu khc, h vn i hi
mt phn b ri ro cao hn khi nn kinh t suy thoi bi v c
mt kh nng ln l cc nh pht hnh s khng to ra
lng tin mt thanh ton cc khon n.
53
Tri phiu s dng nh th no
ti tr cho ti cu trc
54
CC LOI CHNG KHON N
DI HN KHC
Tn phiu cu trc
Tn phiu h tng - (ETN)
Chng khon u gi li sut
55
TM LC CHNG 7
Tri phiu c pht hnh ti tr cho chi tiu chnh ph, mua
nh v chi tiu vn ca cc cng ty. Nhiu nh ch ti chnh, chng
hn nh cc ngn hng thng mi, pht hnh tri phiu ti tr cho cc
hot ng ca mnh.
Tri phiu c th phn loi thnh bn nhm da theo nh pht
hnh: Tri phiu chnh ph, tri phiu cc t chc lin bang, tri phiu
th v tri phiu cng ty. Mi nh pht hnh c mc ri ro tn
dng khc nhau. Ngoi ra cc tri phiu u c mc thanh khon v
cc iu khon khc nhau. Do vy t sut sinh li nim yt vo bt
k thi im no cng thay i ty theo tng loi tri phiu.
T sut sinh li tri phiu thay i khc nhau cc quc gia.
Quc gia no c tri phiu t sut sinh li cao s thu ht cc nh u t
nc ngoi v iu ny s lm cho dng vn chy vo cc quc gia ny.
Kt qu l cc th trng tri phiu ngy cng tr nn hi nhp ton
cu.
Tn phiu cu trc & Tn phiu h tng (ETN)
Ni dung chng 10
TI TR BI QU U T MO HIM
Th trng vn mo him
Cc iu khon ca hp ng vn mo him
Chin lc rt vn
58
VN C PHN T NHN
TI TR BI QU VN C PHN T NHN
Qu vn c phn t nhn tp hp tin t
nhng nh u t t chc (nh qu hu tr v
cng ty bo him) v u t vo doanh
nghip.
Qu vn c phn t nhn thng tip qun v
qun l doanh nghip. Cc nh qun l qu
thng trch mt phn li nhun t d n u
t bo m hot ng ca qu. H cng thu
ph qun l thng nin.
59
VN C PHN I CHNG
62
SN GIAO DCH CHNG KHON
SN GIAO DCH TP TRUNG
Nh mi gii trn sn bao gm nh mi gii
hng hoa hng v nh mi gii c lp.
Cc chuyn gia l ngi khp lnh mua v bn.
Tiu chun nim yt
T NHN HA
CC TH TRNG CHNG KHON MI
NI
TON CU HA TH TRNG
CHNG KHON
S khc bit gia cc th trng chng khon
cc quc gia:
Hp ng k hn (Forward)
Hp ng hon i (Swap)
6/13/2017
HP NG K HN V GIAO SAU
6/13/2017
TH TRNG K HN
6/13/2017
C ch giao dch giao sau
6/13/2017
C ch giao dch giao sau
6/13/2017
HP NG QUYN CHN
6/13/2017
Th trng quyn chn phi tp trung
Cc li th
Quyn chn c thit k ph hp vi nhu cu ca c hai pha
L th trng t nhn - cng chng hay cc nh u t khc,
bao gm c cc i th cnh tranh khng c bit v cc giao
dch hon tt.
Giao dch phi tp trung v bn cht khng b kim sot. Cc qui
nh ca giao dch ny thuc v tnh trung thc v php c x
thng thng trong kinh doanh. Cc t chc khng tun th s
khng th tm c i tc giao dch.
Cc hn ch
Ri ro tn dng tn ti v loi tr nhiu khch hng vn khng
th thit lp tn nhim cho mnh ra khi th trng ny
Qui m ca cc giao dch trn th trng phi tp trung ln hn
kh nng ca nhiu nh u t.
6/13/2017
Th trng quyn chn tp trung
6/13/2017
Th trng quyn chn tp trung
iu kin nim yt
Qui m hp ng
Gi thc hin
Ngy o hn
Hn mc v th v hn mc thc hin
6/13/2017
Th trng quyn chn tp trung
6/13/2017
Hp ng hon i
Cc loi hon i:
Hon i tin t
Hon i li sut
Hon i hng ha
6/13/2017
Hp ng hon i
Ngy bt u
Ngy kt thc
Ngy thanh ton l ngy m vic thanh ton c
thc hin
K thanh ton l khong thi gian gia cc ln thanh
ton
Khng c cc khon thanh ton trc t bn ny
cho bn kia
Ri ro nu mt bn b v n (credit risk)
6/13/2017
Hon i li sut
6/13/2017
Hon i tin t
6/13/2017
NI DUNG CHNG 17
Vn t c
Vn di hn: vn t c
TC NG CA NG EURO N CNH
TRANH TON CU
TM LC CHNG 17