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1.62
1.6
61.8
1.58
1.56
50.0
1.54
38.2
1.52
1.5
1.48
1.46
1.44
1.42
Aug09 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan10 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan11 Feb
Comment: Retracing over 61% of this year’s decline, a particularly impressive move considering the massive
weekly Ichimoku ‘cloud’ which looks set to be tested imminently. Sterling is more overbought than it has been since
June 2009 and likewise bullish momentum. On the Bank of England’s Trade Weighted basis sterling is still at the
same sort of level it has been since January 2009 underlining the fact that the move is caused predominantly by US
dollar weakness.
Strategy: Attempt small longs at 1.5930 adding to 1.5860; stop well below 1.5695. First target 1.6000/1.6070,
then 1.6450.
Chart Levels:
Support Resistance Direction of Trade
1.5900 1.5907
1.5860 1.5950
1.5800 1.6000
1.5695 1.6070
1.5545* 1.6125