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Amid the influx of bad news comes one encouraging report from hurricane- Publications 4
prone Cuba: When Hurricane Wilma struck in October 2005, this small island
evacuated 640,000 people from its path, with just one fatality. The sea went one Artificial Reefs 4
kilometer inland and flooded the capital, Havana, yet there were no deaths or even
injuries. Capt. John Smith Trail 5
(Continued, p. 7)
Changing Vieques 5
The paper quotes Richard Wetherald, a scientist who spent his career at Wilderness Gains 8
the lab and is now retired, as saying that headquarters had quashed three press
releases announcing results pointing to such links. I was telling them something z
they didnt want to hear, Wetherald told the paper. But the public is not being
informed when these things are zapped.
Recurring
Thomas Knutson, another Plainsboro specialist who concludes that global
warming may lead to a greater risk of Category 5 storms, said he had not been People; Awards; Species &
allowed to be interviewed on CNBC last October, or on a national talk TV show Habitats; Restorations;
hosted by Ron Reagan Jr., about the relationship between climate change and Report Cards; Products;
Hurricane Katrina. I am one of the leading experts in the area, Knutson told the
Funding
paper, And I should be allowed to speak about my work.
These scientists, as well as former lab director Jerry Mahlman, all reported Atlantic CoastWatch is a bimonthly
that the clampdown started in 2001, when the Bush administration rejected the nonprofit newsletter for those con-
Kyoto Protocol on climate change, and has persisted ever since. Star-Ledger efforts cerned with environmentally sound
to obtain reactions from press officials at NOAA, a division of the Commerce development between the Gulf of
Department, resulted mostly in unreturned phone calls. Maine and the eastern Caribbean.
2
Atlantic CoastWatch
Vol. 10, No. 5 Sayings
A project of the Sustainable Nearly everyone living in coastal Georgia has noted how much the area is
Development Institute, which growing. But what do we really know about population growth, which is not
necessarily increasing at the same rate as construction, subdivision, and land
seeks to heighten the environmen-
sales?
tal quality of economic develop-
ment efforts, in coastal regions, by According to a recent article in USA Today about national real estate
communicating information about activity, Nearly 28% of homes bought last year were for investment purposes, and
better policies and practices. SDI an additional 12% were vacation homes. Most of the buyers were baby boomers in
is classified as a 501(c)(3) organi- their top earning years, looking toward retirement and hoping to build wealth or
zation, exempt from federal find a more desirable place to live. More than three-fourths of the buyers had no
income tax. interest in renting their property. About 20% said it would one day be their retire-
ment home.
Board of Directors
Assuming these proportions apply here in coastal Georgia, this means that
Freeborn G. Jewett, Jr., Chair 40 out of every 100 homes being built are not the primary residence of the buyer,
Robert J. Geniesse, Chair Emeritus and, even stranger perhaps, 30 of those homes will not be rented out by their
Roger D. Stone, President owners, and therefore will be unoccupied.
Dale K. Lipnick, Treasurer
Gay P. Lord, Secretary This means that even if we assume full occupancy of all of the homes
Hart Fessenden constructed that are not bought for investment, resident population is increasing at
Nelse L. Greenway only about 70% of the rate of new housing being permitted. Another wild card is
David P. Hunt how many lots are sold and change hands before they are built upon. Although no
Simon Sidamon-Eristoff research has been done, we have heard reports of many lots in permitted subdivi-
sions standing vacant for years before they are ever needed as homesites. This
Advisers suggests that there is what might be called a ghost market for real estate, which
inflates actual demand by adding speculative investment.
William H. Draper, III
Gary Hartshorn This ghost market unnecessarily increases the area of land being pre-
Stephen P. Leatherman pared for sale, bringing a host of related adverse environmental impacts. By
Jerry R. Schubel imposing an artificially urgent demand for real estate, more erosion is being
Christopher Uhl generated, resulting in increased contamination of wetlands and waterways.
Likewise, more natural landscape and drainage features are being altered in ways
Staff that cause flooding of properties already developed.
Roger D. Stone, Director & President But even to the less environmentally conscious, there may be unsettling
Shaw Thacher, Project Manager issues raised by speculation. For instance, of all the apparent demand for roads,
Robert C. Nicholas III, Contr. Editor sewers, and water supply, how much is really needed, where, and when? Providing
Anita Herrick, Correspondent these amenities prematurely can induce still more speculation, since areas served by
public facilities tend to gain greater market value. Thus, a disturbing share of develop-
Foundation Donors ment may be driven as much by financial gaming as by real population growth and
related needs. Much of this imprudent activity is no doubt unintentionally subsidized
Avenir Foundation and condoned by tax-payers when their local governments indulge speculation, or
The Fair Play Foundation even promote it, by readily approving development and new infrastructure.
The Madriver Foundation
The Moore Charitable Foundation As a matter of public policy, elected officials need to give this issue thoughtful
The Curtis and Edith Munson consideration and try to come to grips with their obligation to serve coastal citizens.
Foundation To do this will require the means to carefully distinguish between well-planned growth
The Summit Fund of Washington and unbridled speculation.
Sponsored Project To the greatest extent possible, decisions about land use and the public
infrastructure that supports it need to be guided by improved methods of analysis
15th Annual Environmental Film that avoid the pitfalls of the ghost market. Unless new policy is adopted to control
Festival in the Nations Capital speculation and its consequences, we can expect still more casual approval of
March 15 - 25, 2007 projects that produce quick profits at the publics expense.
While debate about the plan continues, Schoonmaker knows where she For decades, officials in New York
stands. The Vieques that charmed us is overgrown and lush with flowers and States Westchester County have
birds, she wrote. Coquis, the musical tree frogs, perform nightly symphonies. sought ways to make better use of the
The island is quiet and rural. Horses roam free, along with roosters and iguanas. 78-acre Davids Island in western Long
You can have traditional rice and beans and plantains, or the same food taken to a Island Sound off the town of New
gourmet level by a Puerto Rican chef who has worked in Paris, Bali and Miami but Rochelle. Currently the former US
chose to come home and open a tiny restaurant. What happens in the next few Army post consists of derelict build-
years could decide the islands future. May it never turn into another St. Barts. ings and grounds. Now, with a new
commitment of $9 million in federal
6
money arranged with leadership from
Rep. Nita Lowey (D-NY), local officials
say they have almost all the money to
complete the cleanup and create a Big Maryland Project Trimmed
new park for the county.
On the Chesapeakes Eastern Shore near the town of Cambridge, Mary-
Report Cards land, developer Duane Zentgraf has long sought clearance to proceed with the $1
billion Blackwater Resort project. On 1,080 acres of rural land recently annexed by
Recently a cluster of environmental the city, including farmland and wetlands, Zentgraf proposed to install a hotel and
groups released report cards on how golf complex, 2,700 homes, a conference center and retail shopping facilities. The
much 5 Canadian provinces and project would attract some 10,000 people, nearly doubling the towns population.
adjacent US states have done to meet
greenhouse gas emissions targets set Opposition surged from many quarters. An aroused Chesapeake Bay
5 years ago. Highest ranking went to Foundation noted that one-third of the land is located in a state-designated re-
Quebec with a B+. New Hampshire source conservation area and that the project threatened to do severe damage to
won the lowest score, a D+. Prince the adjacent Little Blackwater River, which feeds into the major Blackwater
Edward Island (B-) received praise for National Wildlife Refuge, and the bay itself. Farmers on adjacent lands expressed
a new public transportation system concern about pollution affecting their livelihoods. Demonstrators waved Stop
and increasing use of windpower. the Resort placards. One poll showed more than 70% against it.
Nova Scotia rated only a C, but could,
said environmentalists, still meet 2010 Nonetheless, with an eye to the increase in the tax base that the project
goals by investing in public transporta- would bring, and support from some businesspeople and job-hungry citizens, local
tion and offering incentives for politicians ignored the pleas of those Zentgrafs lawyer referred to as Birkenstock
energy-efficient vehicles. knuckleheads and rubber-stamped their approval in August.
Gloomy Mainers have few positive Accusing the town of selling its soul, the Baltimore Sun also noted that the
things to say about their states and project still needed approval from the states Critical Area Commission, which is
the planets environmental condition, empowered to review projects in sensitive waterfront locations. In a recent ruling,
according to poll results released by that commission warmed many hearts by voting 22-0 to block a growth allocation
the Portland-based firm Market designation for 313 acres of the land near the refuge. The decision means that
Decisions. 61% of them find the Zentgraf would need to scale down many aspects of his project and redesign or
Maine environment much worse or even scrub the golf course. Meanwhile, given the resort projects unpopularity
somewhat worse than 10 years among locals in an election year, rumors swirled about the possibility of a buyout of
ago. 85% agree that global warming the land that would involved state-provided funds.
is probably happening, and 47% (vs.
40% nationally) find this to be ex-
tremely important. 78%, again a Pilkey Soldiers On
higher number than nationally, feel
that global weather patterns have
In Machipongo on Virginias Eastern Shore to promote his 24th and latest
become less stable during the past
book, veteran coastal geologist Orrin Pilkey Jr. did not fail to take the opportunity to
three years. A reason underlying
preach his gospel as stridently as ever. An ardent believer in leaving barrier
these pointed reactions, suggested
islands and shorelines alone and letting them wander as they will, Pilkey scorns
local climatologist Greg Zielinski in a
efforts at coastal armoring efforts. He favors sharp restrictions on shorefront
Bangor Daily News interview, may be
development. If I were king of Virginia, youd all move back, he told a silent
that Mainers as a whole tend to be
audience. But Im not the king, so dont worry.
more interested in or in touch with the
natural world than many people in
Interviewed by Virginian-Pilot reporter Scott Harper, Pilkey unleashed
other areas of the country.
some trademark barbs. Among them:
According to a new report from the
z Seawalls are evil.
Natural Resources Council of Maine
z The US Army Corps of Engineers is stupid and destructive.
(NRCM), the states residents indeed
z Coastal engineers who design seawalls and other such structures are
have a lot to worry about if major sea-
deceitful and pretty despicable.
level rise occurs. Working in partner-
z New inlets created during storms, such as those which opened up along
ship with the geographic information
North Carolinas Outer Banks during Hurricane Isabel in 2003, should be
systems department at Colby College,
allowed to remain open rather than be plugged up.
NRCM analyzed the prospective
z Beach nourishment should be funded locally with no federal input.
consequences of a 3-foot rise scenario
during the current century, and of a
At 71, Harper reports, Pilkey shows no sign of slowing down and contin-
20-foot rise. Just the more modest
ues to travel the globe, write, research, and lobby governments. He is planning to
projection of 3 feet, now set as what
publish his next book in December. Concerning the feasibility studies that advance
NRCM energy project director Dylan
shore stabilizing projects, the book is tentatively titled Useless Arithmetic.
7
Voorhees called the middle range of
what might occur due to global
warming, would inundate more than
Caribbean Storm Stress, contd from p. 1 20,000 acres of coastal Maine. The
20-foot rise would flood more than
This is the latest example of a stellar Cuban disaster-reduction perfor- 128,000 acres including 1,000 acres of
mance record built up over many years, the report continues. The achievements downtown Portland. NRCM says that
are based on numerous tangible assets including a strong, well organized civil its findings represent a conservative
defense, an efficient early warning system, well equipped rescue teams, emer- estimate of impact.
gency stockpiles and other resources, and intangible assets such as effective
local leadership, community mobilization, and a disaster-aware population. Products
Explained civil defense official Jose Castro: Any child in school can give A green car does not have to be a
you an explanationhow you prepare, what you do in each phase, how to gather hybrid, says the 2006 Alternative
things in the house and put them away, shut off the water and electricity. All Powertrain Study recently issued by
students, workers and campesinos get this training. Each year the entire nation the research firm J.D. Power and
participates in a two day hurricane risk reduction exercise. Associates. Its report lists the 30 most
environmentally friendly vehicles,
It is remarkable, adds the report, That Cubas economic crisis and the ranked according to EPA data on fuel
embargo by the US have not noticeably increased its peoples vulnerability to economy, air pollution, and green-
hazards. In many other countries, as witnessed when Hurricane Katrina devastated house emissions. It does indeed
New Orleans, hazards like hurricanes and earthquakes only turn into disastersthe include 8 hybrids: Ford Escape Hybrid;
large-scale loss of lives and livelihoodsbecause of inequity, because the poorest Honda Accord Hybrid, Civic Hybrid
and most vulnerable are left to fend for themselves. and Insight; Lexus RX400h; Mercury
Mariner Hybrid; and Toyota High-
lander Hybrid and Prius. But, to
Tropics Approach Maine reassure green consumers worried
about paying $3,000 to $10,000 more
for a hybrid than for a comparable
Adding to the pleasures for sport fishermen is the appearance in Rhode
conventional car, the study offers
Island waters of schools of tarpon, a hard-fighting game species that usually
consolation. Also among the top-30
frequent the waters of Florida and points south. Last summer water temperatures
are these traditional gas powered
in the high 70s brought with them not only tarpon, but numerous other tropical fish
models: Acura RSX; Chevrolet Aveo
species including cobia and triggerfish.
and Cobalt; Ford Focus and Focus
wagon; Honda Accord and Civic;
Maine fishermen hope the trend will continue northward. In the Kennebec
Hyundai Accent and Elantra; Kia Rio
Journal, angler Ken Allen noted the growing presence in Maine of many bird and
and Spectra; Mazda3 and MazdaMX-5;
animal species that had been all but absent until recently. But, he added, Out of all
Nissan Sentra; Saturn Ion; Scion xA;
these newcomers to New England, the one that excited me most is tarpon. Anyone
Suzuki Reno; Toyota Camry and
who tangles with tarpon no longer looks at striped bass in the same manner.
Corolla; and Volkswagen Golf, Jetta,
Tarpon have rocket-boosters for fins that routinely take them 10 feet into the air,
and New Beetle.
and they can swim a quarter mile in a flash. This species is the real deal.
Further positive news for Maine anglers is the opening of the Penobscot Funding
River, for the first time in 7 years, to salmon fishing. The entire population there is
only about 1000 fish, but that is up from a low of 530 Penobscot salmon in 2000 and The Gulf of Maine Research Institute
deemed sufficient to justify a brief catch-and-release season limited to barbless (GMRI), which seeks to improve
hooks and other restrictions. knowledge and understanding of that
ecosystem, recently received a
research grant of $486,819 from the
Courts & the Seashore states Maine Marine Research Fund.
Monies from this source, as well as
from a $500,000 grant from the Libra
In what the Philadelphia Inquirer calls one of the most important cases Foundation, will enable GMRI to build
ever to come before the court, the US Supreme Court on November 29 will hear an international marine research and
arguments leading to a decision as to whether the EPA has the authority to education center on Portlands
regulate greenhouse gases. The case, Massachusetts vs. EPA, challenges the working waterfront and thus also
agencys refusal to enforce sections of the Clean Air Act having to do with pollut- increase the viability of the waterfront
ants affecting weather and the climate. The dangers mentioned include sea level itself.
rise leading to permanent loss of coastal land and more frequent and severe
storm surge flood events. Environmentalists, climatologists, and some energy Long Island Sound conservation got a
companies hoping for consistency rather than the emerging patchwork of state big boost in the waning days of the
regulations, eagerly await the courts ruling in several months. current US Congress when both
Atlantic CoastWatch
Sustainable Development Institute
3121 South St., NW
Washington, D.C. 20007