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Summary
Background Although cannabis use after a rst episode of psychosis has been associated with relapse, little is known Lancet Psychiatry 2016;
about the determinants of this most preventable risk factor for relapse of psychosis. Here we aimed to study whether 3: 94753
the eects on outcome vary depending on the type of cannabis consumed and usage pattern. Published Online
August 22, 2016
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
Methods In this observational study, we prospectively recruited and followed up patients aged 1865 years who S2215-0366(16)30188-2
presented with their rst episode of psychosis to psychiatric services in south London, London, UK. Relapse of See Comment page 909
psychosis within 2 years after onset of psychosis was dened as risk of subsequent admission to hospital. We classied Institute of Psychiatry,
patients into dierent patterns of cannabis use based on continuity of use after onset of psychosis, potency of cannabis Psychology and Neuroscience,
consumed, and frequency of use after the onset of their illness. We used multiple regression analyses (logistic or Kings College London, London,
binominal) to compare the dierent cannabis use groups and propensity score analysis to validate the results. UK (T Schoeler MSc,
N Petros MSc, M Di Forti PhD,
E Klamerus BSc, E Foglia BSc,
Findings Between April 12, 2002, and July 26, 2013, 256 patients presented with a rst episode of psychosis. We did O Ajnakina MSc,
follow-up assessments for these patients until September, 2015. Simple analyses showed that former regular users C Gayer-Anderson PhD,
M Colizzi MD, D Quattrone MD,
of cannabis who stopped after the onset of psychosis had the most favourable illness course with regards to relapse.
I Behlke MSc, S Shetty MD,
In multiple analysis, continued high-frequency users (ie, daily use in all 24 months) of high-potency (skunk-like) P McGuire FMedSci,
cannabis had the worst outcome, indexed as an increased risk for a subsequent relapse (odds ratio [OR] 328; 95% A S David FRCPsych,
CI 122918), more relapses (incidence rate ratio 177; 95% CI 096325), fewer months until a relapse occurred R Murray FRS,
S Bhattacharyya PhD)
(b 022; 95% CI 040 to 004), and more intense psychiatric care (OR 316; 95% CI 126809) after the onset of
psychosis. Correspondence to:
Dr Sagnik Bhattacharyya,
Department of Psychosis Studies,
Interpretation Adverse eects associated with continued use of cannabis after the onset of a rst episode of psychosis Institute of Psychiatry,
depend on the specic patterns of use. Possible interventions could focus on persuading cannabis-using patients with Psychology and Neuroscience,
Kings College London,
psychosis to reduce use or shift to less potent forms of cannabis.
London SE5 8AF, UK
sagnik.2.bhattacharyya@kcl.
Funding National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). ac.uk
Copyright The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license.
Research in context
Evidence before this study distinct cannabis use proles in a large sample of rst episode
In January, 2016, we published a meta-analysis in The Lancet psychosis patients and showed that the eect on outcome
Psychiatry, wherein we studied the eect of continued cannabis varies depending on the type of cannabis consumed as well as
use on the risk of relapse in patients with psychosis. In this usage pattern, after controlling for a range of important
meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE for articles published in confounders previously not generally considered (eg,
any language until April, 2015, using a combination of search medication adherence or other illicit drug use). The results were
terms for describing the exposure (cannabis use), the outcome validated for covariate adjustment (by using propensity score
of interest (relapse of psychosis), and the study population matching) and consistency (by using dierent measures of
(patients with psychosis). Data were pooled together from relapse, including risk and number of relapses, length of relapse,
24 studies (16 565 participants) to compare relapse outcomes time until relapse, severity of relapse), and point towards
in the following groups: continued cannabis users, discontinued potential targets for intervention.
cannabis users, and non-users. Continued cannabis users had
Implications of all the available evidence
more relapses and longer stays in hospital compared with
Continued cannabis use (at least monthly use) after the onset
non-users. These adverse eects were not recorded in patients
of psychosis, especially use of high-potency cannabis, is
who discontinued cannabis use after the onset of psychosis. An
associated with a signicantly worse outcome in individuals
update of the search (April 11, 2016, 129 included studies)
with rst episode psychosis. In our study, outcomes were
identied two additional studies (appendix p 4), which
better in those who used cannabis in smaller doses (reduced
conrmed an increased risk for relapse related to cannabis use
frequency, lower potency, and shorter duration of
in rst episode psychosis and hospital admissions in patients
continuation) after onset, which suggests that interventions
with established schizophrenia.
should aim to reduce frequency of use or shift to less potent
Added value of this study forms of cannabis when complete cessation of cannabis use
Our ndings add to the evidence on cannabis use and relapse in might not be a realistic goal.
psychosis. For the rst time, we used a detailed assessment of
preventable risk factors of psychosisie, cannabis use psychosis onset. The study was approved by South
and its determinants and the risk of relapse in psychosis. London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and
Understanding the role of cannabis in relapse of Institute of Psychiatry Local Research Ethics Committee.
psychosis is important not just because prevention of All participants included in the study gave written
relapse is crucial for improved long-term outcome in informed consent.
psychosis,11 but also because of the substantial nancial
implications associated with need for hospital care in Outcomes
those who relapse;12 up to 50% of rst-episode psychosis We assessed cannabis use with a modied version of the
patients experience a relapse that results in hospital Cannabis Experience Questionnaire (CEQmv),10 and
admission within the rst 2 years of illness, with the collected data for premorbid cannabis use, and use in
risk increasing to more than 80% by the eighth year.13 the rst 2 years after onset of psychosis. Cannabis users
Here we investigate the eects of continued cannabis were classied into dierent cannabis use proles based
use on risk of relapse as indexed by hospital admission on their pattern of use depending on continuity and
over the rst 2 years after the onset of psychosis. frequency of cannabis use after onset of psychosis. Type
of cannabis (hash-like vs skunk-like) used was assessed
Methods by asking participants to describe their preferred type of
Participants cannabis. Based on this information, grouping was done
We recruited patients with rst-episode non-organic in the same way as reported previously,10 Information
(non-aective [ICD10 codes F20F29]) or aective about service use, number, duration and legal status
[F30F33]) psychosis,14 aged 1865 years who had been (voluntary or involuntary) of inpatient admissions,
admitted to psychiatric services in South London, referral to crisis intervention team or standard treatment
London, UK. Participants were assessed twice, rst by a community mental health team was obtained from
close to the onset of their illness using face-to-face electronic patient records using established methods
See Online for appendix interviews and subsequently for follow up, using either (appendix). Relapse was dened as admission to a
a face-to-face or a telephone interview (if the individual psychiatric inpatient unit because of exacerbation of
was unable to attend interviews in person). Data from psychotic symptoms within 2 years of rst presentation
clinical records regarding hospital admissions were to psychiatric services and diagnosis of psychosis. If the
collected for participants who refused to take part in the patient was admitted to hospital upon rst presentation
follow-up interview (n=133) during the 2 years after to psychiatric services with a diagnosis of psychosis, this
was not considered as a relapse event. Alcohol use, other done by calculating propensity scores to validate the results
illicit drug use, and cigarette use, care intensity at onset and to address the limitations by confounding adjustment
(as a proxy measure of illness severity based on a rating in regression analysis (appendix).15 We included anti-
of intensity of service use for each subject at onset; psychotic medication adherence in a separate regression
appendix p 7), and medication adherence were assessed model because these data were available for only a subset
and included in the analysis as potential confounders of cases, considering that antipsychotic medications were
based on previous scientic literature. The appendix not prescribed for all participans after the onset of illness.
describes estimated measurements of cannabis use,
relapse, and confounders. Role of the funding source
The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the
Statistical analysis study; collection, management, analysis, and inter-
Data analysis was done with R. We modelled follow-up pretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of For R software see http://
data for 2 years after the onset of psychosis for every the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript www.R-project.org/
participant. The cannabis prole variable was coded as an for publication. The corresponding author had full access
ordered categorical variable, with the former (regular) user to all the data in the study and had nal responsibility for
group acting as the reference group (appendix). First, the decision to submit for publication. All authors have
exploratory simple analyses, including test for categorical approved the nal version of the paper.
variables and Kruskal-Wallis test and Mann-Whitney
U (two-sided) test for continuous outcomes were used to Results
compare the dierent cannabis use groups. Following Between April 12, 2002, and July 26, 2013, we recruited
common practice,2 we generated Kaplan-Meier curves and 256 rst episode psychosis patients and did follow-up
compared the dierent cannabis use groups using log- assessments until September, 2015. The two groups
rank tests. Pairwise comparisons were adjusted with (completers and refusers) did not dier signicantly in
Bonferroni correction to account for multiple testing. their risk of relapse (36% vs 38% relapsed, = 015;
Multiple logistic regression analyses were employed to p=070) and baseline characteristics (appendix p 6).
compute the odds ratio (OR) and 95% CIs, using binary Most patients (200 [78%]) were admitted to hospital
logistic regression for binary outcomes (risk of relapse) around the onset of illness; more than half of those (119
and ordinal logistic regression analysis for ordered [60%]) experienced involuntary admission. Within the
categorical outcome (care intensity at follow up). We used rst 2 years after onset of psychosis, 93 (36%) patients
multiple negative binominal regression models for experienced a relapse leading to hospital admission. The
continuous outcomes (number of relapses, length of highest number of relapses recorded was three, and the
relapse, time to relapse; appendix). Sensitivity analysis was longest hospital stay recorded was 148 months within
Data are n (%) or mean (SD). *p value estimates from Kruskal-Wallis test for means and tests for independence for percentages to compare all cannabis groups. Missing
data for three participants.
Data are n (%) or mean (SD). * test for independence to compare all groups for risk of relapse (p=0009, =1533) and care intensity at follow up (p=0004, =3349)
Kruskal-Wallis test to compare all groups in number of relapses (p=001), length (months) of relapses (p=0009), time (months) to relapse (p=002). Median and IQR are
reported in the appendix (p 17). Care intensity at follow up: 0=required only community treatment without crisis intervention; 1=required crisis intervention without hospital
admission; 2=required hospital admission without compulsory admission; 3=required compulsory hospital admission.
Risk of relapse Number of relapses Length of relapses Time to relapse Care intensity at follow-up
OR 95% CI p value IRR 95% CI p value b 95% CI p value b 95% CI p value OR 95% CI p value
Model 1* (n=256)
Never (regular) 124 053 to 303 063 127 070 to 229 043 001 081 to 079 099 001 015 to 013 092 2.01 091 to 460 009
user
Intermittent 176 067 to 464 025 122 064 to 234 054 078 009 to 166 007 006 023 to 010 046 2.78 114 to 691 003
user
Continued user 182 036 to 876 045 113 043 to 297 080 033 184 to 125 065 007 020 to 035 060 2.40 051 to 1044 025
(hash-like)
Continued user 242 080 to 752 012 111 054 to 231 077 041 064 to 149 041 005 014 to 025 060 3.12 109 to 908 003
(skunk-like/low
frequency)
Continued user 328 122 to 918 002 177 096 to 325 007 061 031 to 155 017 022 040 to 004 002 3.16 126 to 809 001
(skunk-like/high
frequency)
Ethnic origin 236 123 to 469 001 182 116 to 285 001 097 035 to 159 0002 012 023 to 001 003 1.94 108 to 354 003
(non-white)
Women 142 078 to 260 026 120 082 to 174 035 027 083 to 030 033 004 014 to 006 044 1.51 088 to 261 013
Other illicit drug 179 068 to 476 024 179 105 to 304 003 070 017 to 160 010 011 028 to 007 023 1.43 060 to 341 042
Cigarette use 149 078 to 283 023 173 112 to 267 001 037 017 to 092 020 007 018 to 004 024 1.66 092 to 302 009
Age of onset 101 097 to 104 078 100 097 to 102 082 002 005 to 001 030 000 001 to 000 042 0.99 096 to 103 071
Alcohol use 172 075 to 394 020 114 069 to 188 060 009 085 to 069 081 001 015 to 014 090 1.96 095 to 408 007
Care intensity at 137 105 to 184 003 132 108 to 160 001 059 032 to 087 <0001 003 007 to 002 022 1.33 103 to 173 003
onset
Model 2|| (n=236)
Never (regular) 128 058 to 288 055 113 065 to 198 065 020 055 to 094 059 001 015 to 012 083 180 088 to 386 012
user
Intermittent 157 058 to 429 037 122 062 to 242 056 078 014 to 174 009 006 023 to 012 053 247 100 to 620 005
user
Continued user 254 050 to 1298 025 174 067 to 452 025 057 080 to 223 045 004 025 to 033 080 330 070 to 1476 012
(hash-like)
Continued user 263 091 to 791 008 134 066 to 27 042 089 006 to 191 008 003 016 to 023 074 323 117 to 907 002
(skunk-like/low
frequency)
Continued user 273 102 to 756 005 174 094 to 324 008 098 009 to 190 004 020 038 to 001 003 293 117 to 747 002
(skunk-like/high
frequency)
Medication non- 325 179 to 609 <0001 229 146 to 357 <0001 057 001 to 115 005 015 025 to 005 001 336 193 to 600 <0001
adherence
Reference group refers to former (regular) users. OR=odds ratio. IRR=incidence rate ratio. *Medication non-adherence not included as a covariate. Estimated from multiple logistic regression analysis. Estimated
from negative binomial regression. Coecient estimate from negative binomial regression. Estimated from multiple ordinal regression analysis. ||Only medication non-adherence included as a covariate.
Table 3: Multiple regression analyses of cannabis use pattern and relapse outcome
considering all covariates (appendix), the eect of high- Further analyses using the continued user group
frequency skunk-like use was reduced in its magnitude (skunk-like/high-frequency) as the reference group
but remained a signicant predictor for risk of relapse showed that this group relapsed earlier than did the
and care intensity at follow up. continued user (hash-like; b=029; 95% CI 001058)
Several other predictors were signicantly linked to and continued user (skunk-like/low frequency; b=027,
relapse in the multiple regression analyses (table 3). 95% CI 006048) and never (regular) user groups
Ethnic origin and medication non-adherence remained (b=021, 95% CI 004039; appendix).
signicant predictors in all models, including risk of
relapse, number and length of relapses, time to relapse, Discussion
and care intensity at follow up. Number of relapses was For the rst time, this study of outcome in patients after
predicted by cigarette use and other illicit drug use. Finally, their rst episode of psychosis investigated the eect of
higher care intensity at onset was associated with risk of dierent patterns of cannabis use on risk of relapse by
relapse, an increase in number of relapses and increase of incorporating information about continuation, frequency,
length of relapse, as well as a higher care intensity and type of cannabis used. Our results suggest that eects
throughout the 2 years following the onset of illness. of cannabis use on outcome vary, depending on specic
cannabis use prole. Whereas former regular cannabis group suggests that the eects of previous cannabis use
users who stopped using the substance regularly after the on outcome in psychosis are not irreversible7 and that
onset of psychosis had the lowest risk of relapse, those investigations need to move beyond the eects of lifetime
who continued to use at least on a monthly basis were cannabis use or cannabis use assessed at onset only.23
most likely to experience a relapse. More specically, Future investigations should focus on changes in pattern
continued users of high-potency (skunk-like) cannabis of use and type of cannabis used after psychosis onset
who were using on a daily basis had the highest risk of because these might be the key factors driving adverse
relapse of psychosis when compared to former cannabis outcomes associated with cannabis use in patients with
users. This eect was independent of other putative risk psychosis.
factors for poor outcome, including ethnic origin, sex, age Our data suggest that high-frequency use of potent
of onset, alcohol, cigarette and illicit drug use, and care forms of cannabis will adversely aect outcome even in
intensity at onset (appendix). Furthermore, high- treatment-adherent patients, perhaps by reducing the
frequency skunk-like users had more relapses, longer eectiveness of antipsychotics.3 Together, these results
durations of hospital stay, shorter times to relapse, and are opposed to non-causal explanations for the association
more severe (as indexed by care intensity at follow up) between frequent (daily) use of high-potency skunk-like
relapses, when compared with former users. More cannabis and outcome, such as reverse causation or
rigorous adjustment for confounders using propensity confounding, and suggest that change in cannabis use
score matching showed similar results, with high- after the onset of psychosis is an important determinant
frequency users having a 19 times higher risk of relapse for outcome in psychosis. In view of the lack of eective
of psychosis. This eect is similar in its magnitude, albeit psychological24 or pharmacological25 treatments for
in the opposite direction, to the eect of antipsychotic comorbid cannabis users with psychosis, our results
medication treatment on risk of relapse in psychosis (eg, suggest that reducing frequency of use or shifting to less
24 times higher risk for placebo vs drug-treated patients16). potent forms might be useful intervention strategies in
High-frequency skunk-like users also relapsed earlier psychotic patients who are otherwise unable to stop
than hash-like and low-frequency skunk-like continued using cannabis.
cannabis users and never (regular) users. Together, these This study has certain limitations, such as comprising a
results extend previous observational2,17 and experimental selective subset of inner city, rst episode of psychosis
evidence9 of doseresponse eects of cannabis in patients patients more likely to engage with community mental
with psychosis to demonstrate that the eects of cannabis health services and having less severe psychopathology,
use on outcome in psychosis depend on the type of bias from refusal to take part in the study, use of
cannabis consumed as well as frequency of use. retrospective self-report measures of cannabis and other
This nding is consistent with similar evidence on the substance use leading to under-reporting, modest sized
onset of psychosis.10 High-potency cannabis has become (n=8) continued hash-like (resin) user group, and not
dominant in the UK.18 It has higher levels of controlling for the eect of migrant status, or the eect of
delta-9-tetrahydrocannabiniol (THC), the main psycho- type and dose of antipsychotic medication on relapse.
togenic ingredient in cannabis, which modulates the However, as discussed in greater detail in the appendix,
neural substrates implicated in psychosis.8,19 Furthermore, these factors are unlikely to have aected the direction of
high-potency cannabis has minimal concentrations of our results.
cannabidiol (CBD),18 which ameliorates some of the Nevertheless, this is the rst study that suggests that
eects of THC20 and might have antipsychotic those who continue to use high-potency cannabis even
properties.21 High relapse rates and short time to relapse after the onset of their psychosis are at the greatest risk of
in high-frequency skunk users might be the result of a relapse of their illness and of experiencing more frequent
failure to respond to antipsychotic treatment4 either on and earlier relapses that require more intensive psychiatric
its own or in combination with an increase in the severity care than those who do not continue cannabis use.
of psychotic symptoms in those frequently exposed to a Contributors
higher dose of THC,9 which were not investigated in the SB and TS had full access to all the data in the study and take full
present study. This result might explain why some responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data
analysis. SB designed the study and supervised the data collection and
previous studies that did not dierentiate between the analysis, TS analysed the data and wrote the rst draft with SB. All other
type of cannabis did not report an association between authors provided data, reviewed the results, and contributed to the nal
cannabis use and relapse.22 It might also explain why the draft of the report.
risk estimate noted in our study for the high-dose group Declaration of interests
(high-frequency/skunk-like) was substantially higher RM has received honoraria giving lectures and seminars at meetings
compared with the pooled odds from previous studies supported by Janssen, Sunovian, Otsuka, and Lundbeck. SB is funded
through a National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Clinician
that investigated the risk of cannabis on relapse Scientist award (NIHR-CS-011-001). All other authors declare no
(ORsimple 437 vs ORsimple 197).7 The nding of no dierence competing interests. This article presents independent research funded
in outcome between cannabis users who remained by the NIHR. The views expressed are those of the authors and not
abstinent after the onset of psychosis and the non-user necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health.