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2010

Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline:
Demand Estimation & Tariff
Determination
GAIL (INDIA) Limited

Ankit Sethi
University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun
2010
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Project Report Approval Sheet

This is to certify that the project mentioned below, has been completed by Mr.
st st
Ankit Sethi under my guidance during the period w.e.f 1 June 2010 to 31 July
2010.

1. Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline: Demand estimation & Tariff Determination


2. Proposal for Bhatinda-Srinagar Pipeline

He has submitted this project report towards partial fulfillment of curriculum of


Master’s Degree of
Business Administration in Oil and Gas, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies,
Dehradun.

To my best knowledge, the matter presented in the project has not been

submitted anywhere else. The same is hereby approved.

Rajesh Bagaria

Senior Manager

Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL), Delhi

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Acknowledgem
ent

It gives me immense pleasure to be attached with Gas Authority of India Limited


(GAIL), Delhi which has provided me a very unmatched training in my summer
internship. I place special thanks to the Deputy General Manager Mr. G. S.
Chouhan for his continuous support.

I gratefully acknowledge my profound indebtedness towards my esteemed mentor


Mr. Rajesh Bagaria Senior Manager, GAIL (India) Ltd for his valuable
guidance, excellent supervision and constant encouragement during the entire
course of work, without which the present work would have not been possible.
A special thanks to Mr. Vivek. R. S. Neelam Senior Officer (pricing) and Mr.
V. K. Duggal, Deputy General Manager ,Business Development BPCL
Delhi for extending their support in the successful completion of my project.

I also express sincere gratitude to the faculties, UPES Dehradun for providing
pivotal study material. Last but not least, I would also like to thank the entire
team of GAIL, for their constant support.

Thanking you

Ankit Sethi

University of Petroleum & Energy Studies

Date: Dehradun, Uttrakhand

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
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CONTEN
TS

Glossary of Terms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
............... 6
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
...............7

1. Overview of Indian Economy . . . . . . . . . . .


. . . . . . . . . .9
1. 1. Demand-Supply Outlook . . . .
. . . . . . . . .10
1. 2. Company Profile . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 12
2. Prioritization of Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .14
3. The Proposal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 17
3. 1. Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline . .
. . . . . . . . 17
4. Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .18
4. 1. Basic Parameter. . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 19
4. 2. Gas Supply Scenario . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 20
4.3. Project Schedule & Cost
Estimate . . . . . 22
5. Gas Throughput for Transmission Tariffs-
JHPL. . . . . . . . 23
5. 1. Optimal Pipe Size . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 23
5. 2. Proposed Pipeline System . . .
. . . . . . . . 25
6. Project Cost. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
7. Project Financials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 34
7. 1. Total Revenue. . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . .34
7.2. Capital Expenditure . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 34
7. 3. Operating Expenditure . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 35
7. 4. Methodology for Tariff
calculation . . . 36
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
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7. 5. Transportation Tariff.
. . . . . . . . 37
8. Means of Finance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .40
9. Basic Assumption. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .42
10. Project Profitability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 44
11. SWOT Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 51
12. Risk Analysis & Mitigation Strategies. . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 52
13. Sensitivity Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 53
14. Conclusion and Recommendations. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 54

ANNEXURE-1: Envisaged Market


ANNEXURE-2: Capacity Build Up
in Phases

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Facts &
Figures

Table 1: Gas Scenario: Present & Future

Table 2: Demand

Outlook Table 3: Gas Supply

sources Table 4: Demand supply

gap Table 5: Basic

Parameters Table 6: Gas Supply

Scenario

Table 7: Projected demand year wise

Table 8: Project Schedule and Cost


Estimate

Table 9: Proposed Pipeline System

Table 10: Capital Outflow

Table 11: Total Revenues

Table 12: Transportation

Tariff Table 13: Means of

Finance Table 14: Free cash Flow

Table 15: Basic

Assumptions Table 16: Profitability

Analysis Table 17: Sensitivity

Analysis

Figure 1: Prioritization of Natural Gas

Figure 2: JHPL Map

Figure 3: Profit after Tax


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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: Glossary
DEMAND of
ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010
Terms

Abbreviation Full Form


CGD City Gas Distribution
CNG Compressed Natural Gas
CGS City Gas Station
CV Calorific Value
Capex Capital Expenditure
DSCR Debt-Service Coverage Ratio
EBIT Earnings Before Income and Tax
FCI Fertilizer Corporation of India
HOA Heads of Agreement
HSD High Speed Diesel
IDC Interest During Construction
IRR Internal Rate of Return
JHPL Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline
LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas
MS Motor Spirit
MTPA Metric Tons Per Annum
MMTPA Million Metric Tons Per Annum
MMSCMD Million Metric Standard Cubic Meters Per
Day
MoP&NG Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas
MMBtu Million British Thermal Unit
Opex Operating Expenditure
PAT Profit After Tax
PBT Profit Before Tax
P&L Acc. Profit and Loss Account
PNGRB Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory
Board
ROW Right of Way
SAIL Steel Authority of India Limited
WBPDC West Bengal Power Development
Corporation

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Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline

GAIL (India) Limited, is India's flagship Natural Gas


company, integrating all aspects of the Natural Gas value
chain (including Exploration & Production, Processing,
Transmission, Distribution and Marketing) and its related
services.

Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline (JHPL) project has been


conceptualized to cater to the gas demand of consumers in
the states of eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and
West Bengal. The gas source for the pipeline has been
considered KG Basin and ONGC Mahanadi Gas. This pipeline
shall carry gas from ONGC Mahanadi and KG Basin through
Reliance’s Kakinada- Basudevpur-Howrah pipeline. The
pipeline will start from Haldia and terminate at Phulpur.

Gas Supply Scenario


Gas source envisaged & projected available gas volume on the Jagdishpur-
Haldia pipeline system is given below:

Source Available Gas Volume(MMS


CMD
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016
KG Basin 5.1 7.1 7.8 8.6 9.0 Executive Summary
Mahanadi 0 5 10 20 20
Gas
Total 5.1 12.1 17.8 28.6 29

Projected gas demand year wise by Marketing is tabulated below:

HoA Gas In
MMSCMD
2012-2013 2013- 2014- 2015- 2016- 2017-2018
Total 8.15 15.78 18.18 20.58 22.99 24.00

Pipeline system has been designed for meeting the gas demand in
various sectors. Details are given below:
a) Fertilizers (HFC Durgapur, FCI Sindri, HFC Barauni,
FCI Gorakhpur & DIL Kanpur)
b) Power (CESC Haldia, DPL Durgapur, WBPDC Bandel, WBPDC Katwa,
WBPDC Sagardighi & Barh Power Plant)
c) Industries (SAIL Durgapur, SAIL Bokaro & Petrochemical Plant
Barauni).
d) City Gas (Kolkata, Jamshedpur, Ranchi, Patna,
Chapra, Siwan, Gopalganj, Betiah Varanasi &
Allahabad).

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Gas Source for Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline would be available


from KG Basin by Reliance, Mahanadi Basin by ONGC and KG
Basin by Gujarat state
Petroleum Corporation.

As per the authorization, the capacity of this pipeline is 16


MMSCMD (which is inclusive of 4 MMSCMD for common
carrier), however based on
prevailing gas demand and gas availability scenario, the Executive
design capacity for JHPL in first phase will be 16 MMSCMD Summary
which will be augmented in second phase from 16 to 32
MMSCMD.

As per the technical team the diameter of the pipeline is


recommended at
36” for this
project.

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1. Overview of Indian
Economy

Most agencies have projected India’s demand of natural gas to grow at a rate
higher than other fuels such as oil and coal. The future demand for natural
gas in India will be driven mainly by two factors:

 The need for new sources of energy to fuel economic growth


and improve living conditions; and
 The desire to reduce the consumption of coal and liquid fuels and
thus the level of pollution.
These drivers are, however, subject to a number of constraints in
determining the actual
level of gas demand: the price of gas and its competitiveness vis-à-vis
other fuels and the rate at which the downstream market is
developed in both power and non-power sectors.
Many uncertainties will affect the future gas demand level, particularly
with respect to
the cost of supply and India’s ability to create an integrated national
transportation and distribution network. Competitiveness of natural gas
against coal in power generation will also be a key determinant of gas-
demand growth.
India’s demand projections have been made at different points in time
using different
assumptions and for different periods. Summarizes the projections
made by different agencies for the same milestone years over
respective forecast period by adopting the process of interpolation and
extrapolation.

Gas Scenario: Present & Future


( i n b i ll i on s o f c u
b i c f e e t)
3000
2500
2000
1500 Domestic Production
1000 Net Imports
500
0
2010

2030
S o u r c e : I n f ra l
i n e . Co m
1. 1. Demand Outlook

Sector 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012


Power 100 11 12
Fertilizer 52 79 79
City gas 14 15 16
Industrial 17 18 20
Petrochemicals/ refineries/ others/ 29 31 33
internal
consumption
Sponge iron/ steel 7 7 8
Total 219 26 28
3 1

1. 1. 1. Gas Supply Sources

Sources 2009- 2010- 2011-


10 11 12
ONGC + OIL (A) 55.69 54.67 51.08
Pvt./ JVs (As Per DGH) (B) 60.28 58.42 57.22

Projected Domestic Supply 115.97 113.09 108.30


(A+B)
Additional Gas Anticipated 74 84 94
(C)
Total Projected Supply 115.97 113.09 108.30
Scenario 1 (A+B)

Total Projected Supply 189.97 197.09 202.30


Scenario 2 (A+B+C)

The estimated gap between domestic gas production and supply is mainly on
account of internal use by the producers themselves, technical flaring and gas
shrinkages.

Looking at the overall demand projections and even the most optimistic scenario of
expected domestic supplies, it is very clear that there would be a supply
shortfall. Therefore, there is a need to step up imports in the coming 5 years.
There is already an import of LNG to the tune of 18 MMSCMD by PLL at Dahej. This
is being supported by the commencement of LNG supply from the Hazira Terminal
of Shell which is, however, yet to stabilize. To augment the shortfall, the country
is already pursuing imports, both through the LNG route and the transnational
pipeline route.

Source:
Infrraline. com
LNG/Supplies through Transnational Pipelines

LNG Supply Source 09-10 10-11 11-12


Dahej 7.5 10.00 10.00
Hazira 2.50 2.50 2.50

Dabhol 5.00 5.00 5.00

Kochi - 2.50 5.00

Mangalore - - 1.25

Total LNG Supply (MMTPA) 15.00 20.00 23.75

Total LNG Supply (MMSCMD) 52.50 70.00 83.12

1. 1. 2. Demand – Supply Gap for Natural Gas

Gap would increase steadily to 91.13 MMSCMD by 2011-12 in Scenario


I, whereas under Scenario II, the gap would by and large be bridged from
2009-10 onwards and there is expected to be a demand–supply balance
during the last 3 years of the XI Plan period. The overall demand–supply
balance is presented below:

Supply 09-10 10-11 11-12

Projected Domestic 115.97 113.09 108.30


Supply (ONGC
/JV/ PVT) (A)
Additional anticipated 74 84 94
supply (B)
LNG (C) 52.50 70.00 83.12

Total Supply (A+C) 168.47 183.09 191.42


Scenario 1
Total Supply (A+B+C) 242.47 267.09 285.42
Scenario 2

Demand (MMSCMD) 225.52 262.07 279.43


Demand Supply Gap I 57.05 78.97 88.03
Demand Supply Gap II -16.95 -5.03 -5.97

Source: Infraline.com
1. 2. Company Profile

GAIL (India) Limited, is India's flagship Natural Gas company, integrating all
aspects of the Natural Gas value chain (including Exploration & Production,
Processing, Transmission, Distribution and Marketing) and its related services. In a
rapidly changing scenario, we are spearheading the move to a new era of clean
fuel industrialization, creating a quadrilateral of green energy corridors that
connect major consumption centers in India with major gas fields, LNG terminals
and other cross border gas sourcing points. GAIL is also expanding its business to
become a player in the International Market.

th
Incorporated 16 August ,1984
Turnover (2009-10) Rs. 24,996 Crore
Net Profit (2009-10) Rs. 3,140 Crore
Employees 3,480
Market Shares 78% Market Share in Natural Gas Transmission
70% Market share in Natural Gas Marketing

Today, GAIL's Business Portfolio includes:

7,700 km of Natural Gas high pressure trunk pipeline with a capacity to


carry 157 MMSCMD of natural gas across the country
7 LPG Gas Processing Units to produce 1.2 MMTPA of LPG and other liquid
hydrocarbons
North India's only gas based integrated Petrochemical complex at Pata
with a capacity of producing 4,10,000 TPA of Polymers
1,922 km of LPG Transmission pipeline network with a capacity to transport 3.8
MMTPA of LPG
27 oil and gas Exploration blocks and 3 Coal Bed Methane Blocks
13,000 km of OFC network offering highly dependable bandwidth for telecom
service providers Joint venture companies in Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad,
Kanpur, Agra, Lucknow, Bhopal, Agartala and Pune, for supplying Piped
Natural Gas (PNG) to households and commercial users, and Compressed
Natural Gas (CNG) to the transport sector
Participating stake in the Dahej LNG Terminal and the upcoming Kochi LNG
Terminal in Kerala GAIL has been entrusted with the responsibility of reviving
the LNG terminal at Dabhol as well as sourcing LNG
GAIL Gas Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of GAIL (India) Limited, was
incorporated on May
27, 2008 for the smooth implementation of City Gas Distribution (CGD)
projects. GAIL Gas
Limited is a limited company under the Companies Act, 1956.
Established presence in the CNG and City Gas sectors in Egypt through
equity participation in three Egyptian companies: Fayum Gas Company SAE,
Shell CNG SAE and National Gas Company SAE.
Stake in China Gas Holding to explore opportunities in the CNG sector in
mainland China
Leaders in Gas

Since inception, GAIL has been the undisputed leader in the marketing,
transmission and distribution of Natural Gas in India. As India's leading
Natural Gas Major, it has been instrumental in the development of the
Natural Gas market in the country. Today, Natural Gas accounts for about
8% of the total primary commercial energy consumption in India.
Consumption has grown significantly during the past two decades. In fact,
in the 1990s, the
demand for Natural Gas far outstripped its domestic production, leading to
gas import initiatives and the subsequent development of LNG import
projects at suitable coastal locations in
Western and Southern India.
Currently, GAIL sells over 70% (excluding internal usage) of Natural Gas in the
country. Of this,
41% is to the power sector and 30% to the fertilizer sector.* Totally, they
supply 60 MMSCMD of Natural Gas from domestic sources to customers
across India basis long-term Gas Sales Agreements. These customers range
from the smallest of companies to mega power and fertilizer plants. They
have adopted a Gas Management System to handle multiple sources of
supply and delivery of gas in a co-mingled form and provide a seamless
interface between shippers, customers, transporters and suppliers. They are
present in 11 states, i.e., Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi,
Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Assam,
and Tripura.
Actively pursuing opportunities in inter-regional gas trade both in the form of
Pipeline gas and
LNG.
2. PRIORITIZATION OF

NATURAL GAS FERTILIZER

Food security as urea consist of 60% of fertilizer inputs and India must
improve the yield per acre as there is no further scope left for
increasing the crop acreage . Natural gas is considerably cheaper than
naphtha and domestic gas should be first used in existing fertilizer
units, thereafter feed the requirement of expansion and new capacity addition.

Projected Gas Demand for –


Fertilizer
400 Sect
200 or
0

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Urea Production Capacity (Lakh tones) Gas Demand (MMSCMD)

POWE
R
Most versatile form of energy: best in terms of application, pollution free
and impact the population at large. Power for all goals is to be achieved
and so in the additional power requirement to be created to sustain GDP
growth. Domestic coal, although available is large reserves, but cannot
meet this goal due to low calorific value, ash disposal, environmental
infrastructural constraints, land requirement etc. Imported coal is
constrained by limited port infrastructure and limitations of the existing
cross country transportation by rail (road is not feasible) .Nuclear power
has long gestation and fuel linkage issue. Hydel again has serious
environment, silting, social cost, seismic and long gestation period issue.

Gas Demand Projections in


power sector
150 (MMSCM
D)
100

50 Gas Demand
0
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
Renewable do hold the promise but is not economic and base load power
requirement can hardly be met. Petroleum products (FO & Naphtha) can be
an important source for generating power, yet the economic and high crude
oil prices volatilities adversely affected the power economic. So, domestic
natural gas should next best be used for creating of CCGT plant to meet the
additional power requirements. Further, the CCGT economic compares most
favorable
options with power generation based on other fossil fuels.

INDUSTRIES

Purely on economic consideration, next best use of domestic gas is in


industries – refineries, steel plant petrochemical units, small medium
enterprises etc as the alternative fuel ( FO , HSD , LDO & LSHS ) are
expensive and are not environmentally friendly . Further, coal meeting the
fuel
requirement of steel plant has serious environmental issues.

Gas Demand in
Petrochemicals/Refinerie
s and Internal
Consumption
Gas
Demand

25.37 27.14 29.04 31.07


23.71
33.25

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-20102010-11 2011-


12

Gas Demand in sponge iron/steel sector


Gas
Demand
6.42 6.87 7.86
6
7.35

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12


CITY GAS DISTRIBUTION (CGD)

Surplus domestic gas , if any could be used in CGD network for meeting
small industrial / commercial fuel requirements and if possible , replace LPG
by piped natural gas ( LPG should go rural ). CNG may be environmentally
friendly , the solution for replacement of transportation fuels ( MS / HSD )
should hardly be by CNG- certainly not as economical as perceived to be as
the indirect costs in terms of conversion have to be factored – in and
comparison should not
with an already skewed pricing of MS / HSD , but with their economic cost
of production . The best solution should be to use natural gas for
generating additional power requirements for feeding mass rapid
transportation system (MRTS) TO decrease “avoidable” per capital energy
consumption through cars and personal vehicle.

Gas Demand in city gas distribution sector


Gas Demand

14.8 15.83
12.08 12.93
11
13.83

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12


Source: oil & gas journal
3. Proposal: Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline

Source: GAIL (INDIA) Ltd


4. Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline

GAIL has already received the authorization in July, 2009 from MoP&NG for
laying Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline. The authorized capacity for the above pipeline
is 16 MMSCMD including 4.0 MMSCMD as common carrier.

Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline (JHPL) project has been conceptualized to cater to the


gas demand of consumers in the states of eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand
and West Bengal. The gas source for the pipeline has been considered KG Basin
and ONGC Mahanadi Gas. This pipeline shall carry gas from ONGC Mahanadi and
KG Basin through Reliance’s Kakinada-Basudevpur-Howrah pipeline. The pipeline
will start from Haldia and terminate at Phulpur.

JHPL will originate from Haldia and will terminate at IFFCO; Phulpur. The gas
demand of IFFCO Phulpur will be met through JHPL. This will optimize the rout for
JHPL and enhance the capacity of existing Auraiya-Jagdishpur section by utilizing
Phulpur-Thulendi-Jagdishpur pipeline section for transportation of gas in reverse
flow in future.
The demand assessed for the above pipeline is 32 MMSCMD. The gas availability from
gas supply source
as indicated above will be about 30 MMSCMD and gas volume will be build up in
phases. Based on the above, it is proposed to implement the above pipeline in
phases based on availability of gas from source and gas sourcing tie-up. The design
capacity for JHPL in first phase is 16 MMSCMD and which will be augmented in
second phase from 16 to 32 MMSCMD.

Detail of phases are as follows:

Phase-1: (1860 km)


Laying Haldia to Phulpur pipeline with spur lines/feeder lines to CGS Kolkata, HFC
Durgapur, WBDPC Sagardighi, CGS Jamshedpur, FCI Sindri, CGS Ranchi, HFC
Barauni, Power Plant Barh, CGS Patna, CGS Chapra, CGS Siwan, CGS Gopalganj,
CGS Betiah, Power Plant Betiah, CGS Varanasi, and FCI Gorakhpur; CGS
Allahabad.

Phase-2: (190 km)


Installation of Compressor at Haldia with spur lines to CSES Haldia, WBPDC
Bandel, WBPDC Katwa, DPL Durgapur, SAIL Durgapur, and SAIL Bokaro &
Petrochemical Plant Barauni.

The design capacity of Haldia to Jagdishpur section in first phase is 16 MMSCMD.


The design pressure of pipeline is 99.93 Kg/cm^2g (98 barg) and arrival pressure of
gas at Haldia has been considered 70 kg/cm^2g initially and no gas compression
facility has been considered at Haldia in first phase. Hydraulic study for Haldia-
Phulpur section has carried out In-House and the optimized size for trunk line is
found
to be 36” diameter.

The capacity of Haldia to Phulpur pipeline in second phase will be augmented from
16 to 32 MSCMD by installing compressor at Haldia and no intermediate
compressor has been envisaged in Haldia-Phulpur section. The gas will be boosted
from 54 kg/cm^2g to 98 Barg (99.93 Kg/cm^2g) at Haldia compressor station.
The pipeline is designed for 32 MMSCMD, for
transportation & supply of gas at major demand 4. 1. Basic
centers enroute pipeline from Haldia to Jagdishpur. Parameters
No spur lines are considered, only tap-off
point have been considered at major demand
centers enroute
Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline. Arrival pressure of gas considered is 54-55 kg/cm^2g.
The pipeline diameter is 30” with length of 876 km. Compressor is also envisaged
at Jagdishpur for boosting pressure from 54 to 92 kg/cm^2g. Design pressure of
pipeline is 92 kg/cm^2g and has the provision for reverse flow including
augmentation of capacity in future by installing intermediate compressors on
availability of
more gas at
Jagdishpur

S.No Parameters Detail


.
1 Length-Trunk Line 800 km s
2 Trunk Line- Pipe Size 36”
3 Name of States covered Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal
4 Products to be Re-gasified LNG, Natural gas
5 transported
Delivery Pressure at 53 kg/cm^2g
6 Phulpur Pressure at
Delivery 45 kg/cm^2g
7 JagdishpurLife
Economic 25 years
8 Benefits 1. No intermediate compressor
2. Future capacity augmentation after installing
intermediate compressor, if required.
3. Can meet the gas requirement of Jagdishpur
customers.
4. Reversal Flow allowed.
5. Low Operating cost as compared to other options
explored for pipelines.
Source: GAIL (India) Ltd 6. Lowest transportation tariff.

The gas source for Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline has been considered as KG Basin by
Reliance, Mahanadi by ONGC & KG Basin by GSPC. It is envisaged that this pipeline
will originate from Haldia and terminate at IFFCO, Phulpur. The gas demand of
IFFCO Phulpur will be met through JHPL. This connectivity will optimize the route for
Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline and enhance in capacity of existing Auraiya-Jagdishpur
section and also effective utilization of Phulpur-Thulendi-Jagdishpur pipeline section
in reverse flow mode in future.

GAIL has signed MoU for formation of JV with ONGC and MoU for Joint Corporation
with RIL for natural gas transmission available from ONGC Mahanadi and Reliance
gas from KG Basin respectively. The availability of gas from KG Basin by Reliance,
Mahanadi by ONGC and KG Basin by GSPC will be from
2012 onwards at Haldia and the total volume of gas available is expected in the
range of 30 MMSCMD. The gas supply & laying of pipeline from Kakinada to Haldia
will be executed by Reliance and MoP&NG has given its authorization for the same
to Reliance.
4. 2. Gas Supply Scenario
Gas source envisaged & projected available gas volume on the Jagdishpur-Haldia
pipeline system is
given below:

Source Available Gas Volume(MMSCMD)


2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016
KG Basin 5.1 7.1 7.8 8.6 9.0
Mahanadi Gas 0 5 10 20 20
Total 5.1 12.1 17.8 28.6 29
Availability of gas from KB basin and Mahanadi

Gas from KG Basin

GAIL has signed MoU on15.03.2007 for formation of JV with RIL for natural gas
transmission available from KG Basin. RIL has already been received
authorization for laying pipeline in Kakinada- Basudevpur-Howrah section. RIL’s
production from KG Basin D6 block has been started and gas is being produced
in phases, initially 40 MMSCMD which may go up to 80 MMSCMD. This will be
used as a feeder line for supplying Reliance’s KG Basin gas from Kakinada to
Haldia. About 9.0 MMSCMD gas is expected at Haldia which will flow in Haldia-
Phulpur section to cater to the gas demand of some of the consumer enroute
Haldia-Phulpur pipeline.

Gas from ONGC Mahanadi

GAIL has signed MoU on 24.07.2007 for formation of JV with ONGC for natural
gas transmission available from ONGC Mahanadi. As per the information
gathered the availability of gas from ONGC Mahanadi will be from 2011-2012
onwards. Gas production from Mahanadi Basin is expected to be
20 MMSCMD and will flow through Haldia-Phulpur section to meet the gas demand
in the states of
West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar & Uttar Pradesh pertaining to fertilizer, power,
commercial, industrial
& city gas enroute Haldia-Phulpur pipeline.

Customer Tie-Up
GAIL has entered into HoA(s) for gas volume of about 30 MMSCMD enroute Haldia-
Phulpur pipelines which is about 93.75% of the pipeline design capacity. List of
HoA(s) is placed below. GAIL has signed MoU on 30.01.2009 with Indian Farmers
Fertilizers Corporation Limited (IFFCO) for jointly pursuing for setting up gas based
power plant at Betiah.
About five fertilizer plants (HFC Durgapur, FCI Sindri, HFC Barauni, FCI Gorakhpur
and IFFCO Phulpur) are falling enroute Haldia-Phulpur pipeline. Availability of about
9.0 MMSCMD Reliance’s KG Basin gas can
be distributed to fertilizer plants enroute HPPL.
Projected gas demand year wise by Marketing is tabulated below:

HoA(s)sign Gas In(MMSCM


ed Volume
2012-2013 D)
2013-2014 2014- 2015- 2016- 2017-
Total 8.15 15.78 18.18 20.58 22.99 24.00
Projected demand year wise
4. 3. Project Schedule and Cost Estimate
The detailed project schedule of completion of total pipeline system is 42 months from
the date of
approval of the project (36 months from the date of notification).

S.No. Description of Estimated Cost Rs Cr Completion


Pipeline system date
/Commissioning
As per As per date
DFR(excludi Financial
ng IDC & appraisal(inclu
Margin ding IDC &
Money for Margin Money
Phase-1: for WC)
16MMSCMD WC)

1.0 Laying of pipeline 6163.84 6625.32 Dec,2011


from Haldia to
Phulpur along with /
spur lines /feeder
lines to Kolkata, HFC March,20
Durgapur, WBDPC
Sagardighi, CGS 11
Jamshedpur, FCI
Sindri, CGS Ranchi,
HFC Barauni, Power
Plant Barh, CGS
Patna, CGS Chapra,
CGS Siwan, CGS
Gopalganj, CGS
Betiah, Power Plant
Betiah, CGS
Varanasi, FCI
Gorakhpur & CGS
Allahabad.

Phase-2: Capacity 16 to
32 MMSCMD
2.0 Installation of 909.42 970.86
compressor at Sept,2012
Haldia along with
spur lines to CSES Dec,2013
Haldia, WBDPC
Bandel, WBDPC
Katwa, DPL
Durgapur, SAIL
Bokaro &
Petrochemical Plant
Barauni
Total 7073.26 7596.18
The cost estimate for total project (Phase-1 +Phase-2) is Rs 7596.18 Cr (including
IDC and Margin Money for Working Capital) including Foreign Exchange component
of Rs 700 Crs.
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA
5.PIPELINE: DEMAND for
Gas Throughput ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION
Transmission Tariff-JHPL 2010

5. 1. OPTIMAL PIPE SIZE:

In order to select an optimal size of a pipeline GAIL can look into three main
possibilities mentioned below:-

Option-1:-36” pipeline with compressor station at Haldia, & with following


configuration:-

No intermediate compressor
Delivery pressure at Phulpuris 53kg/cm^2g
It can meet the requirement of Jagdishpur
Customers. Delivery pressure of Gas at
Jagdishpur 45kg/cm^2g.

Benefits/Limitation:-

No Intermediate Compressor
Future capacity augmentation after installing intermediate
compressor, if required. Can meet the gas requirement of
Jagdishpur customers.
Reversal flow
Low Operating cost
Lowest Transport Tariff

Option-2:-30” pipeline with compressor station at Haldia and with

Two intermediate compressor stations at 106 km


and 206 km. Delivery pressure at Phulpur is
78kg/cm^2g.
It can meet the requirement of 2.0MMSCMD gas flow of Indo Gulf Fertilizers
Jagdishpur.

Benefits/Limitation:-

Two intermediate compressors, one at chainage of 106 km and second at


chainage of 226 km. Can meet the requirement of Jagdishpur customers.
Reversal Flow.
Highest operating
cost. Highest
Transport Tariff.

Option-3:-36” & 30”


pipeline

36” pipeline up to Durgapur tap-off.


One intermediate compressor at chainage
23 | P a g
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of 351km. Delivery pressure at Phulpur is
86kg/cm^2g.

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION
2010

Benefits/Limitation:-

One intermediate compressor at chainage


of 351 km. No reversal flow.
High Operating cost.
Transport tariff slightly higher compare to Option-1.

Considering on technical analysis and above mentioned details, 36” pipeline size
under option-1 was selected as optimal pipeline size for transportation of gas from
Haldia to Jagdishpur, it is also having potential for further augmenting the capacity
of pipeline in future on availability of more gas at Haldia.

30” pipeline size is limited to capacity up to 30 MMSCMD with two compressors.


The operating cost will also be higher in this case due to boosting of pressure of
gas at two locations.

24 | P a g
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION
2010 5. 2. Proposed Pipeline System

Pipeline system has been designed for meeting the gas demand in various
sectors. Details are given below:
e) Fertilizers (HFC Durgapur, FCI Sindri, HFC Barauni, FCI Gorakhpur & DIL
Kanpur)
f) Power (CESC Haldia, DPL Durgapur, WBPDC Bandel, WBPDC Katwa, WBPDC
Sagardighi & Barh
Power Plant)
g) Industries (SAIL Durgapur, SAIL Bokaro & Petrochemical Plant Barauni).
h) City Gas (Kolkata, Jamshedpur, Ranchi, Patna, Chapra, Siwan,
Gopalganj, Betiah Varanasi & Allahabad).

Phase-1:-

Installation of 36”, 800 km trunk line from Haldia to Phulpur.


Installation of dispatch terminal at Haldia for transportation and supply of gas
to customers’
enroute Haldia-Phulpur.
Installation of spur lines / feeder lines.
a) 18”, 70 km feeder line from Kolkata Tap-off (CH-40 km) to CGS Kolkata.
b) 30”, 60 km spur line from Durgapur Tap-off (CH-226 km) to HFC Durgapur.
c) 24”, 125 km spur line from Sagardighi Tap-off (HFC Durgapur) to
WBPDC Sagardighi. d) 12”, 100 km feeder line from Jamshedpur Tap-
off (CH-226 km) to CGS Jamshedpur. e) 12”, 25 km spur line from
Sindri Tap-off (CH-286 km) to FCI Sindri.
f) 12”, 90 km feeder line from Ranchi Tap-off (CH-335 km) to CGS Ranchi.
g) 24”, 60 km spur lines from Barauni Tap-off (CH-435 km near GAYA) to
CGS Patna Tap-off. h) 18”, 70 km spur lines from CGS Patna Tap-off HFC
Barauni.
i) 18”, 70 km spur lines from Barh Tap-off (at 20 km up stream of 18” spur
line to HFC Barauni)
to Barh Power Plant.
j) 18”, 60 km feeder line from Patna Tap-off (at CH-60 km in 24” spur line to
HFC Barauni) to
CGS Patna.
k) 18”, 65 km feeder line from Tap-off (CGS Patna) to
CGS Chapra. l) 18”, 65 km feeder line from Tap-off
(CGS Chapra) to CGS Siwan.
m) 18”, 30 km feeder line from Tap-off (CGS Chapra) to CGS Gopalganj.
n) 18”, 35 km feeder line from Tap-off (CGS Gopalganj) to Power Plant
Betiah and CGS Betiah. o) 12”, 25 km feeder line from Varanasi tap-off
(CH-685 km) to CGS Varanasi.
p) 18”, 140 km spur line from Gorakhpur Tap-off (CH-735 km) to FCI
Gorakhpur.
q) 12”, 40 km feeder line from Allahabad Tap-off (CH-770 km) to CGS
Allahabad.
25 | P a g
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Installation of Receiving Terminals (RTs)/Dispatch Terminals (DTs) at customer site
and also include City
Gate Station for city gas.

Phase-1:(1860 km)
Laying Haldia to Phulpur pipeline with spur lines/feeder lines to CGS Kolkata, HFC
Durgapur, WBDPC
Sagardighi, CGS Jamshedpur, FCI Sindri, CGS Ranchi, HFC Barauni, Power Plant
Barh, CGS Patna, CGS Chapra, CGS Siwan, CGS Gopalganj, CGS Betiah, CGS
Varanasi, FCI Gorakhpur & CGS Allahabad.

26 | P a g
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Phase-I: (1860 km)

Part-I A: (1410 km)

Description of Pipeline System in First Phase Pipeline Configuration Demand(MMSCMCD)


Part-I: (1410 km)
Trunk Line

• Haldia –Phulpur 36", 800 km 16


Spur lines/Feeder lines
• HFC Durgapur 30", 60 km 2.11
• FCI Sindri 12", 25 km 2.11
• CGS Patna tap-off 24", 60 km 0.25
• HFC Barauni 18", 70km 2.11
• Barh Power Plant 12", 25 km 0.50
• Patna City Gas 18", 60 km 0.25
• Chapra City Gas 18", 40 km 0.20
• Siwan City Gas 18", 65 km 0.10
• Gopalganj City Gas 18", 30 km 0.10
• City Gas & Power Plant at Betiah 18", 35 km 0.10 + 1.50
• FCI Gorakhpur 18", 140 km 2.11
• IFFCO, Phulpur Connectivity in existing 1.60
system
Note: The present IFFCO, Phulpur supply may be, swapped with new gas
demand pertaining to Auraiya-Jagdishpur Pipeline, such as DIL, Kanpur (1.9),
SIOE (1.2) etc.)

Part-IB: (450 km)

Description of Pipeline System in First Phase Pipeline Configuration Demand(MMSCMD)


Part-II: (450 km)
Spur lines/Feeder lines
• Kolkata City Gas 18", 70 km 0.50
• WBDPC Sagardighi 24", 125 km 2.20
• Jamshedpur City Gas 12", 100km 1.00
• Ranchi City Gas 12", 90 km 0.20
• Varanasi City Gas 12", 25 km 0.50
• Allahabad City Gas 12", 40 km 0.25
Total 17.69

Phase-II: (190 km)

Phase-2:-

Installation of compressors at Haldia for boosting pressure from 54


kg/cm^2g to 98 barg (99.93 kg/cm^2g).

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Installation of spur lines / feeder lines.

a) 18”, 15 km spur line Tap-off to


CSES Haldia.
b) 18”, 85 km spur line from Tap-off (CH-40 km) to
WBPDC Bandel.
c) 18”, 55 km spur line Tap-off (WBPDC Sagardighi) to
WBPDC Katwa. d) 12”, 5 km spur line from Tap-off
(HFC Durgapur) to SAIL Durgapur. e) 12”, 10 km spur
line Bokaro Tap-off (CH-335 km) to SAIL Bokaro
f) 12”, 15 km spur line from Barauni Tap-off (HFC Barauni) to
Petrochemical Plant Barauni.

Installation of Receiving Terminals (RTs) / Dispatch Terminals (DTs)

Description of Pipeline System in Second Phase Pipeline Configuration Demand(MMSCMD)


Haldia-Phulpur section Compressors

• Installation of Compressor at Haldia


Spur lines/Feeder lines
CSES, Haldia 24", 15 km 4.2*
• Kolkata City Gas Covered in PH-I 1.50
• WBPDC Bandel 18". 55 km 2.00
• WBDPC Katwa 18", 85 km 2.00
• Durgapur Projects Ltd. 18", 5.0 km 4.50
• SAIL Durgapur & Durgapur City Gas 12", 5.0 km 1.45
• SAIL Bokaro 12", 10 km 1.07
• Petrochemical Plant Barauni 12", 15 km 1.00
• Varanasi City Gas Covered in PH-I, Part-II 0.50
• Allahabad City Gas Covered in PH-I, Part-II 0.25
Total 18.47

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0
Source: GAIL (India) Ltd

29 | P a g
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: 6. PROJECT
DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010

COST

The financial appraisal of pipeline along with their spur/feeder lines has been
carried out along with tariff calculations as per PNGRB tariff regulations
guidelines. Details of methodology followed for
arriving for Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline along with spur lines as per PNGRB guidelines
are given below.

JHPL tariff has been determined considering a reasonable rate of


return on normative level of capital employed plus a normative
level of operating expenses in natural gas pipeline.
The rate of return on capital employed has been considered as 12%
(post- tax) and
pre-tax return on capital employed has been computed by
grossing up 12% which works out to 18.18%.
The total capital employed includes working capital (equal to 30 days
of operating
costs and 18 days of receivables) which has been considered for
calculating tariff.
Levelized tariff has been calculated for Main Trunk Line and Spur
Lines up to 50 Kms range of Main Line (put together) and thus
corresponding capital cost, operating cost, receivables and working
capital have been considered together for arriving at the Levelized
tariff.
The capacity utilization has been assumed as
60%,70%,80%,90%,100% in
st nd rd th th
1 ,2 ,3 ,4 & % 5 year of operations and thereafter respectively.
The economic life of the project has been considered as 25 years
of operations in case of first phase.
The levelized tariff has been arrived based on the ‘Discounted cash
Flow(DCF)
methodology’ equating the inflows from the projected revenue
earnings out of natural gas pipeline tariff with the outflows of the
capital and operating expenditures over the economic life of the
project by discounting these flows at the project’s reasonable rate
of return(viz.18.18% pre-tax).
Capital employed includes Capex for pipelines besides Margin Money
for working
capital, Line Pack and interest during construction (IDC).

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

The major factor/assumption considered in the Financial Appraisal are as follows:

Debt: Equity 70:30


Long Term Debt Interest Rate

10.25% Moratorium 1 year


Term of loan including moratorium 10
years Income Tax Rate

33.99% Volume Build Up


st
1 60%
year 70%
nd
2 80%
year 90%
rd
3 100%
year
th
4
year
th
5
year
Project life 25 years
Unaccounted Gas 0.60% of throughput
Project IRR (Post-Tax) on capital 12%
employed as per
PNGRB guidelines

Capital Outflow

Year Deb Equit Total


2009-10 t
638.0 y
273.4 911.54
2010-11 2977.7 1276.1 4253.861
2011-12 0
1063.4 6
455.7 1519.23
2012-13 6
638.0 7
273.4 911.54
Total 7
5317. 6
2278. 7596.18
33 85

Cost Estimate & Operating Cost

A detailed Capital Cost estimate (Capex) & Operating Cost (Opex) have been
prepared for the proposed pipeline system for transportation of gas to meet the
gas demand of consumers and proposed city gas projects enroute Jagdishpur-
Haldia Pipeline.

The detailed cost estimate worked out to be Rs 7073.26Cr including foreign exchange
component of Rs
726.27Cr, details are given below:-
29 | P a g
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Capex (Rs

Crores) Phase-

1:16MMSCMD
S.No Descripti Estimated Total Cost
on Cost (Rs Crores)
(Capex)
Fc (Rs Ic

1 Pipeline System: 138.77 3937.34 4076.1


Haldia to Phulpur Pipeline 1
2 Spur lines/Feeder Lines to:

CGS Kolkata 12.21 126.83 139.0


4
HFC Durgapur 13.46 229.83 243.2
9
WBPDC Sagardighi 14.66 330.15 344.8
1
CGS Jamshedpur 6.99 104.75 111.7
4
FCI Sindri 8.37 30.9 39.2
0 7
CGS Ranchi 5.82 93.9 99.7
5 7
HFC Barauni 19.97 311.44 331.4
1
Power Plant Barh 5.49 28.8 34.3
9 8
CGS Patna 15.59 99.5 115.1
2 1
CGS Chapra 4.82 82.0 86.8
4 6
CGS Siwan 4.54 75.2 79.7
0 5
CGS Gopalganj 4.64 47.6 52.3
8 2
Power Plant & CGS Betiah 9.60 57.7 67.3
1 1
CGS Varanasi 5.97 29.2 35.1
2 9
FCI Gorakhpur 12.71 244.83 257.5
4
CGS Allahabad 5.86 44.0 49.9
9 5
Total 289.47 5874.37 6163.8
4
Phase-2:-Augmentation of capacity from 16 to 32 MMSCMD

S.No Descripti Estimated Total Cost


on Cost (Rs Crores)
(Capex)
Fc (Rs Ic

1 Pipeline System: 379.27 135.94 515.2


Compressor 1
Haldia
2 Spur Lines/Feeder Lines to:

CSES Haldia 10.36 32.2 42.6


5 1
WBPDC Bandel 10.82 148.32 159.1
4
WBPDC Katwa 7.77 97.4 105.1
0 7
DPL Durgapur 11.79 16.5 28.3
6 5
SAIL & CGS Durgapur 4.99 8.64 13.6
3
SAIL Bokaro 7.99 15.7 23.7
3 2
Petrochemical Plant Barauni 3.80 17.7 21.5
7 7
Total 436.79 472.61 909.4
0

Grand Total(Phase-1 +Phase-2) 726.27 6346.99 7073.2


6
Operating Cost(Rs
Crores/Annum) Phase-1:-
16MMSCMD

S.No Descripti Estimated Total Cost Ope


on Cost (Rs Crores) x
(Capex) (Rs
Fc (Rs Ic Cr/Annum)

1 Pipeline System: 138.77 3937.34 4076.1 69.3


Haldia to Phulpur Pipeline 1 5
2 Spur Lines/Feeder Lines to:

CGS Kolkata 12.21 126.83 139.0 2.63


4
HFC Durgapur 13.46 229.83 243.2 4.54
9
WBPDC Sagardighi 14.66 330.15 344.8 6.08
1
CGS Jamshedpur 6.99 104.75 111.7 2.21
4
FCI Sindri 8.37 30.9 39.2 1.43
0 7
CGS Ranchi 5.82 93.9 99.7 1.94
5 7
HFC Barauni 19.97 311.44 331.4 6.25
1
Power Plant Barh 5.49 28.8 34.3 0.94
9 8
CGS Patna 15.59 99.5 115.1 2.17
2 1
CGS Chapra 4.82 82.0 86.8 1.74
4 6
CGS Siwan 4.54 75.2 79.7 1.60
0 5
CGS Gopalganj 4.64 47.6 52.3 1.21
8 2
Power Plant & CGS Betiah 9.60 57.7 67.3 2.12
1 1
CGS Varanasi 5.97 29.2 35.1 0.95
2 9
FCI Gorakhpur 12.71 244.83 257.5 4.76
4
CGS Allahabad 5.86 44.0 49.9 1.18
9 5
Total 289.47 5874.37 6163.
84
Phase-2:-Augmentation of capacity from 16 to 32 MMSCMD

S.No Descripti Estimated Total Cost Ope


on Cost (Rs Crores) x
(Capex) (Rs
Fc (Rs Ic Cr/Annum)

1 Pipeline System: 379.27 135.94 515.2 147.6


Compressor 1 6
Haldia
2 Spur line/Feeder Lines to:

CSES Haldia 10.36 32.25 42.6 1.48


1
WBPDC Bandel 10.82 148.32 159.1 3.26
4
WBPDC Katwa 7.77 97.40 105.1 2.43
7
DPL Durgapur 11.79 16.56 28.3 1.26
5
SAIL & CGS Durgapur 4.99 8.64 13.6 1.04
3
SAIL Bokaro 7.99 15.73 23.7 1.18
2
Petrochemical Plant 3.80 17.77 21.5 1.16
Barauni 7
Total 436.79 472.61 909.4
0

Grand Total(Phase-1 726.27 6346.99 7073.


+Phase-2) 26

Source: GAIL (India) Ltd


JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION
2010 7. PROJECT
FINANCIALS

7. 1. Total Revenues

Revenue details of the trunk line and other spur line has been arrived on the
demand estimated provided by technical team of GAIL (India) Ltd. and PNGRB
guidelines of capacity utilization, following table gives year wise revenues till year
10 for trunk line and spur lines which are above 50 km in length.

The revenues for the project life are based on the estimated tariff/MMBTU.
Following table indicates revenue details of the project till year 10.

Revenue Details of Volume Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9 Year10
Pipeline
MMSCM ------------------------------------------------------------Rs
D Cr----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
Trunk line and Spur 28. 00 1289. 1504. 1719. 1934. 2149. 2149. 2149. 2149. 2149. 2149.
lines which are 95 95 94 93 92 92 92 92 92 92
under the corridor
of 50 km range
HFC Durgapur-SAIL 10. 26 91. 97 107. 29 122. 62 137. 95 153. 28 153. 28 153. 28 153. 28 153. 28 153. 28
Durgapur-DPL
Durgapur- WBPDC
Sagardighi
WBPDC-Katwa 2. 00 22. 45 26. 20 29. 94 33. 68 37. 42 37. 42 37. 42 37. 42 37. 42 37. 42

CGS Patna to Betiah 2. 25 84. 92 99. 07 113. 22 127. 38 141. 53 141. 53 141. 53 141. 53 141. 53 141. 53
WBPDC-Bandel 2. 00 15. 87 18. 51 21. 16 23. 80 26. 44 26. 44 26. 44 26. 44 26. 44 26. 44

HFC Barauni to Barah 3. 61 21. 55 25. 14 28. 74 32. 33 35. 92 35. 92 35. 92 35. 92 35. 92 35. 92

CGS Kolkata 2. 00 11. 43 13. 43 15. 24 17. 15 19. 06 19. 06 19. 06 19. 06 19. 06 19. 06
CGS Ranchi 0. 20 10. 31 12. 03 13. 75 15. 47 17. 19 17. 19 17. 19 17. 19 17. 19 17. 19

FCI Gorakhpur 2. 11 35. 62 41. 56 47. 49 53. 43 59. 37 59. 37 59. 37 59. 37 59. 37 59. 37

CGS Jamshedpur 1. 00 13. 19 15. 39 17. 59 19. 79 21. 99 21. 99 21. 99 21. 99 21. 99 21. 99
Total Revenue 1597. 1863. 2129. 2395. 2662. 2662. 2662. 2662. 2662. 2662.
27 48 70 91 12 12 12 12 12 12

7. 2. Capital Expenditure

The capital expenditure of the project is computed based on the cost estimates provided by
the GAIL
technical team.

Cost of Compressor:

Total cost of the compressor is computed at Rs 490. 84 Crores which includes


compressor cost, compressor cooler, scrubber, fuel gas conditioning skid,
compressor valves & accessories, compressor piping, fitting and equipment,
electrical & instrumental items, utility items, compressor station construction cost
.
34 | P a g
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Below mentioned table provides phase wise details of capital expenditure:

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION
2010

Particulars Phase-1 Phase-2 Total (Rs. Crs)


Haldia to Phulpur 3974. 14 0. 00 3974. 14
Pipeline
Compressor 0. 00 490. 84 490. 84
Survey 5. 35 0. 98 6. 33
Land and ROW 51. 61 9. 13 60. 74
PMC 54. 74 10. 36 60. 74
Plant & Machinery 1767. 97 335. 72 2103. 69
Owners Expenses 54. 74 10. 36 65. 10
Contingencies 96. 89 18. 28 115. 17
Line Pack 8. 91 1. 68 10. 59

TOTAL 6014. 36 877. 35 6891. 71

Total Interest 720. 15


during
construction
Total working capital 25. 47
margin

Total 745. 62

GRAND TOTAL 7637. 33

7. 3. Operating Expenditure:

Operating cost required for the operation and maintenance of the project of the
proposed Jagdishpur- Haldia Pipeline Project over its economic life is computed and
following table provides costs for various functional heads in phased manner.

In
Crore
Total Operating expenditure
S. No. Description Total Phase-1 Phase-2
1 Trunk line 86. 84 86. 84 0. 00
2 Compressor 126. 38 0. 00 126. 38
3 Repair & 36. 40 30. 60 5. 80
Maintenan
4 ce
Manpower 9. 20 6. 00 3. 20
5 Security 0. 00 0. 00 0. 00
6 O&M Contract 0. 00 0. 00 0. 00
7 Insurance 11. 96 10. 03 1. 93
8 Overheads of GAIL 9. 20 6. 00 3. 20
9 Fuel cons 0. 00 0. 00 0. 00
10 Power (75KW) 1. 14 0. 73 0. 41

TOTAL 281. 13 140. 20 140. 93

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7. 4. Methodology
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE:for DEMAND
Tariff Calculation
ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010

The natural gas pipeline tariff shall be determined by considering a reasonable


rate of return on normative level of capital employed plus a normative level of
operating expenses in the natural gas pipeline

The unit rate of natural gas pipeline tariff to be charged for a period shall
be the calculated based on the Discounted Cash Flow ”DCF”
methodology considering the reasonable rate of return as specified in the
regulation to be considered as projects internal rate of return.
The rate of return on capital employed shall be the rate of return on capital
employed equal to
percentage post-tax. The rate of return on capital employed once applied
to a natural gas pipeline project shall remain fixed for the entire economic
life of the project.
The total capital employed shall be equal to the grossed fixed assets
in the project less
accumulated depreciation plus normative working capital (equal to thirty
days of operating cost excluding depreciation and eighteen days of natural
gas pipeline receivables).
The volumes of natural gas to be considered as divisor in the determination of
unit natural gas
pipeline tariff over the economic life of the project shall be computed on a
normative basis as indicated below.
The divisor for each of the first five years of operation of the natural gas
pipeline shall be arrived
by multiplying the applicable percentage utilization for the year, as per
the basis indicated below, with the sum of the capacity requirement of
the entity and the firmed up contracted
capacity with other entities as specified under the PNGRB Regulations 2008.

Year of Natural Gas Pipeline Percentage Utilization


Utilization
First 60%
Second 70%
Third 80%
Fourth 90%
Fifth 100%

The divisor for the sixth and the subsequent years of operations of the
natural gas pipeline be equal to one hundred percent of the sum of the
capacity requirement of the entity or the actual
volume of the natural gas transported on common carriers

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Considering the present project configuration, the subsequent
capital cost and the profitability projections, the line wise transportation for 12%
(post-tax) return on capital employed are given in the following table:

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

7. 5. Transportation Tariffs for Trunk Lines

Description Transportation Tariff

(Rs/MSC (INR/MMBTU)
M)
Base Case: Gas volume,24 MMSCMD, excluding 8 MMSCMD as common carrier
Tariff for mainline and spur lines within the corridor up to 50 km
Main Trunk 2771. 83.1
Line 42 5
(Haldia to
Phulpur)
and spur lines
/feeder lines
within and up
to 50km (CSES
Haldia,
WBPDC Bandel,
HFC Durgapur,
CGS
Jamshedpur, FCI
Sindri, CGS
Ranchi, SAIL
Bokaro, HFC

Transportation Tariffs for Spur lines

Description Transportation Tariff

(Rs/MSCM) (INR/MMBTU)
Base Case: Gas volume,24 MMSCMD, excluding 8 MMSCMD as common carrier
Tariff for spur lines/feeder lines to beyond 50 km
Spur lines to:

-CGS Kolkata 348.03 10.44


-WBPDC Bandel 483.06 14.49
-HFC Durgapur 545.51 16.37
-SAIL Durgapur 545.51 16.37
-DPL Durgapur 545.51 16.37
-WBPDC 545.51 16.37
Sagardighi 683.23 20.50
-WBPDC Katwa 803.24 24.10
-CGS Jamshedpur 3139.37 94.19
-CGS Ranchi 363.22 10.90
-HFC Barauni 363.22 10.90
-PE Plant 363.22 10.90
Barauni 2266.76 68.01
-Power Plant 2266.76 68.01
Barh
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

-CGS Siwan 2266.76 68.01


-CGS Gopalganj 2266.76 68.01
-CGS Betiah 2266.76 68.01
-Power Plant 2266.76 68.01
Betiah
-FCI Gorakhpur 1029.24 30.88
(Conversion Factor: 33.3330 for CV of 84, 00 kcal/SCM; 1USD=48)

Levelized Transportation tariff

Transportation Tariff
(Mainline with tariff of spur line up to 50 km
Description of /Mainline tariff and additional tariff for spur
Consumers lines beyond 50 km)
Transportation Tariff
(Rs/MSCM) (INR/MMBTU)
CSES Haldia 2771.42 83.15
CGS Kolkata 3119.45 93.59
WBPDC Bandel 3254.48 97.64
HFC Durgapur 3316.93 99.52
SAIL Durgapur 3316.93 99.52
DPL Durgapur 3316.93 99.52
WBPDC Sagardighi 3316.93 99.52
WBPDC Katwa 3454.65 103.65
CGS Jamshedpur 3574.66 107.25
FCI Sindri 2771.42 83.15
SAIL Bokaro 2771.42 83.15
CGS Ranchi 5910.78 177.34
HFC Barauni 3134.64 94.05
Petrochemical Plant 3134.64 94.05
Barauni
Power Plant Barh 3134.64 94.05
CGS Patna 5038.18 151.16
CGS Chapra 5038.18 151.16
CGS Siwan 5038.18 151.16
CGS Gopalganj 5038.18 151..16
CGS Betiah 5038.18 151.16
Power Plant Betiah 5038.18 151.16
CGS Varanasi 2771.42 83.15
FCI Gorakhpur 3800.66 114.03
CGS Allahabad 2771.42 83.15
The Levelized Tariff in respect of the consumers(trunk line tariff/zonal
tariff + customer connectivity tariff) of Dabhol-Bangalore pipeline for 12%
project IRR on capital employed(at,8400 kcal/SCM) as per PNGRB
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: are given above.
guidelines DETERMINATION 0

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Applicable transportation tariff for pipeline for consumers enroute Haldia-Phulpur
pipeline will be in the tune of 83.15-177.34 INR/MMBTU, as tabulated above and the
tariff applicability will be subject to approval of the regulatory authority.

Marketing group confirms that the above tariff is applicable to gas consumers
and contract will be executed at this tariff.

The committee deliberated on tariff, it has emerged that presently tariff has been
worked out for 24
MMSCMD without considering common carrier gas volume i.e.8 MMSCMD. The
tariff calculated above will proportionally reduce on availability of common carrier
gas volume for transportation.

.
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: 8. MEANS
DEMAND OF
ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010
FINANCE

The project is proposed to be funded by term loans from Banks/Financial


Institutions and equity contribution from internal resources in the ratio of 70:30.
The proposal means of finance for the project will be as under
Means of Finance

Means of Finance Total


Rupee Term Loan proposed @ 70% 5346. 13
Promoter’s Contribution through Internal 2291. 20
accruals @ 30%
TOTAL 7637. 33

Equity Contribution:

The total amount of promoter’s contribution for the proposed expansion project is
estimated at Rs.
2291. 20 Crores, which can be met from internal accruals.

Term Loan

The company proposes to raise Rupee term loans to the extent of Rs. 5346. 13
Crores from Banks & Financial Institutions to part finance the project.

The broad terms of the proposed loan is as given below

Nature of borrowing Rupee term Loan


Loan Amount Rs. 5346. 13 Crore
Interest Rate 10. 25%
Moratorium period 1 year
Tenor 8 years
Installments per year 4

Free Cash Flow Available

Based on the cash flow projection of GAIL for the next five years the free cash flow
available with GAIL
for future projects has been arrived as detailed below (Assuming Debt Equity Ratio of
70:30).

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Free Cash Flow

S. No. Particulars 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

1. Funds Available 5624 2980 3185 3027 2676

Total Capex 7957 9605 11412 7377 3509


Pipeline Project(Future Project ) 553 2463 6405 5310 1905
2. Total Capex (Excluding future Pipelines) 7404 7142 5007 2067 1604
3. Fund Commitment for equity excluding future Projects 2221. 20 2142. 60 1502. 02 620. 10
4. 481. 2
Availability of funds for future projects 3402. 80 837. 40 1682. 90 2406. 90 2194. 8
5. Requirement of fund for future project(JHPL) 278. 78 1321. 92 584. 83 274. 52
6. Cumulative Availability of funds for future projects 3402. 80 4240. 20 5923. 10
7. 8330. 00
Cumulative Requirement of funds for future projects 278. 78 1600. 70 2185. 53
8. 2460. 05
Surplus after meeting fund for future projects 3124. 02 2639. 50 3737. 57 5869. 95

Source: GAIL (India) Ltd.

It is observed that GAIL has sufficient cash to meet its equity obligation for the
proposed JHPL project. However GAIL have other pipeline projects which are in
process of approvals, it is therefore recommended to have check on the fund
availability for its equity contribution before the projects commissioned.

Source: GAIL (India) Ltd

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

9. Basic
Assumption
Broad Assumptions:
Capital cost estimates for Jagdishpur-Haldia
pipeline project system have been provided by technical consultants of GAIL and as
on 2010. Further no escalation has been considered. However appropriate inflation
has been taken into account for overall
project development.

Construction Period 36 months


Interest rate on loans 10.25%
Debt: Equity ratio 70:30
Moratorium period 2 years of commissioning of
project
Project life 25 years
Corporate tax 33.99%
Depreciation method 3.17% p.a. Straight line method
IDC 720.15
Unaccounted gas 0.60%

Statutory and Indirect costs including taxes and duties

Parameter Corresponding
Values
Ocean Freight 5%
Inland Insurance 1%
Port handling charges 1.5%
Excise duty 8.24%
Service tax 10.3%
WCT 4.00%
Basic custom duty + additional CD in Cess 25.58%
No. of working days 365

Design Capacity:
As per authorization, the capacity of this pipeline is 16 MMSCMD (which is inclusive
of 4 MMSCMD for common carrier), however based on prevailing gas demand and
gas availability scenario, the design capacity for JHPL in first phase will be 16
MMSCMD and which will be augmented in second phase from
16 to 32 MMSCMD.

Line Pack:
Line pack has been estimated by GAIL and technical consultants of GAIL for JHPL
project. Total Line pack of Rs. 10.59 Crore has been considered with Rs. 8.91
42 Crore
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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
inPIPELINE: DETERMINATION
Phase-1 and Rs. 1.68 Crore in Phase-2. 0
Line pack has been considered as part of capital cost and assumed to be
financed in the same proportion as the capital cost.

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Unaccounted Gas Losses:


A provision of 0.6% of the annual throughput has been assumed towards Unaccounted
Gas Losses.

Variable Costs:
Various variable costs incurred due to JHPL project has been considered.

Fixed Operating Costs:


Fixed operating expenses like: salaries & wages, Plan & Administrative overheads,
insurance, repairs and maintenance.

Escalation in operating costs:


The operating costs have been escalated at 5% per annum during operations
period to account for any increase due to inflation and other factors.

Operational life of project:


For the purpose of profitability projection, the operational life of the project has
been considered as 25 years from the date of commencement of commercial
operations.

Compressor replacement:
A provision of RS 490.84 Crore has been considered on the present cost of
compressor for 15 years.

Depreciation Rates:
Depreciation has been considered at 3.17% (including for compressor) and
straight line method has been used to compute the depreciation.

Salvage value:
The salvage at the end of 25 years has been assumed. For working capital it has been
assumed at 100%
and total line pack is added into total salvage value.

Income tax Rates:


Income tax estimation is based on corporate tax of 33.99%

Conversion Factor for transportation tariff

1 MMBtu 251996 kCal


CV 8400 kCal/ SCM
1 MMBtu 28 SCM
1 MMSCMD 35715 MMBtu

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010
10.Profitab
ility Analys Below mentioned tables would provide
is estimated profit margins for the proposed
project. Separate profitability
details have been provided for Main line and
Spur Lines

 Key Project Financials for Trunk line till Year 10

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 1,290 1,505 1,720 1,935 2,150 2,150 2,150 2,150 2,150 10 2,150

Opex 248 262 276 290 305 320 335 351 368 386

Operating Margin 1,042 1,243 1,444 1,645 1,845 1,830 1,815 1,799 1,782 1,764

Depreciation 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172
Amortization 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

EBIT 868 1,069 1270 1,471 1,671 1,656 1,641 1,624 1,608 1,590

Interest on Term 417 436 416 361 307 252 198 143 89 34
Loan
Interest on WC 8 9 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14
loan
PBT 443 624 844 1,098 1,350 1,390 1,429 1,467 1,505 1,541

Tax(@)33.99% - 91 193 302 407 437 464 489 512 533


PAT 443 533 651 796 943 953 965 978 993 1,008

 HFC Durgapur-SAIL Durgapur-DPL Durgapur-WBPDC Sagardighi

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 92 107 123 138 153 153 153 153 153 10
153

Opex 12 12 13 14 14 15 16 16 18 18

Operating Margin 80 95 110 124 139 138 137 137 136 135

Depreciation 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Amortization 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

EBIT 67 82 96 111 126 125 124 123 122 122

Interest on Term 32 34 32 28 24 19 15 11 7 3
Loan
Interest on WC 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
loan
PBT 34 47 64 82 101 105 108 111 115 118

Tax(@)33.99% - 7 15 23 31 33 35 37 39 41
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PAT 34 40 49 59 70 72 73 74 76 77

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

 WBPDC-Katwa

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 22 26 30 34 37 37 37 37 37 10
37

Opex 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5

Operating Margin 20 23 27 30 34 34 34 33 33 33

Depreciation 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 16 20 24 27 31 31 30 30 30 30

Interest on Term 8 8 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 8 12 16 20 25 26 26 27 28 29

Tax(@)33.99% - 2 4 6 8 8 9 9 10 10
PAT 8 10 12 15 17 17 18 18 18 19

 CGS Patna to Betiah

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 85 99 113 127 142 142 142 142 142 10
142

Opex 11 11 12 12 13 14 14 15 16 17

Operating Margin 74 88 101 115 129 128 127 126 126 125

Depreciation 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Amortization 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

EBIT 62 76 89 103 116 116 115 114 113 113

Interest on Term 30 31 30 26 22 18 14 10 6 2
Loan
Interest on WC 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
loan
PBT 32 44 59 76 94 97 100 103 106 109

Tax(@)33.99% 0 6.906 13.773 21.191 28.371 30.565 32.585 34.453 36.19 37.813
PAT 32 37 45 55 65 66 67 69 79 5
72
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

 WBPDC-Bandel

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 16 19 21 24 26 26 26 26 26 10
26

Opex 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4

Operating Margin 14 16 19 21 24 24 23 23 23 23

Depreciation 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 12 14 17 19 22 22 21 21 21 21

Interest on Term 5 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 0
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 6 8 11 14 17 18 18 19 20 20

Tax(@)33.99% 0 1.2935 2.5606 3.9281 5.2522 5.6454 6.0064 6.3395 6.6484 6.9362
PAT 6 7 8 10 12 12 12 13 13 9
13

 HFC Barauni to Barah

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 22 25 29 32 36 36 36 36 36 10
36

Opex 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5

Operating Margin 19 21 25 28 32 32 31 31 31 31

Depreciation 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 15 19 22 26 29 29 29 28 28 28

Interest on Term 7 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 1
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 8 11 15 19 23 24 25 26 26 27

Tax(@)33.99% - 2 4 5 7 8 8 9 9 9
PAT 8 9 11 14 16 17 17 17 17 18
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

 CGS Kolkata

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 11 13 15 17 19 19 19 19 19 10
19

Opex 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3

Operating Margin 9 11 13 15 17 17 17 16 16 16

Depreciation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 8 10 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 15

Interest on Term 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 4 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 14 14

Tax(@)33.99% - 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5
PAT 4 5 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 9

 CGS Ranchi

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 10 12 14 15 17 17 17 17 17 10
17

Opex 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Operating Margin 9 11 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 15

Depreciation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 8 10 11 12 14 14 14 14 14 14

Interest on Term 4 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 4 5 7 9 11 12 12 12 13 13

Tax(@)33.99% - 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 5
PAT 4 4 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 9
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

 FCI Gorakhpur

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 36 42 48 53 59 59 59 59 59 10
59

Opex 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6

Operating Margin 32 37 43 49 54 54 54 54 53 53

Depreciation 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 27 32 38 43 49 49 49 48 48 48

Interest on Term 13 13 13 11 9 8 6 4 3 1
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 14 19 25 32 40 41 42 44 45 46

Tax(@)33.99% - 3 6 9 12 13 14 15 15 16
PAT 14 16 19 23 28 28 29 29 30 30

 CGS Jamshedpur

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 13 15 18 20 22 22 22 22 22 10
22

Opex 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3

Operating Margin 11 13 16 18 20 19 19 19 19 19

Depreciation 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

EBIT 9 11 14 16 18 17 17 17 17 17

Interest on Term 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 0
Loan
Interest on WC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
loan
PBT 5 7 10 12 15 15 15 15 16 17

Tax(@)33.99% - 1 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 6
PAT 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 11 11
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

 Combined P&L Account Statement

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year
Revenue 1,597 1,863 2,130 2,396 2,662 2,662 2,662 2,662 2,662 2,662 10

Opex 289 304 320 337 355 372 390 408 428 449

Operating Margin 1,308 1,559 1,809 2,059 2,308 2,290 2,272 2,254 2,234 2,213

Depreciation 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212
Amortization 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

EBIT 1,091 1,341 1,592 1,841 2,090 2,073 2,055 2,036 2,016 1,995

Interest on Term 524 548 522 454 385 317 248 180 111 43
Loan
Interest on WC 9 11 13 15 16 17 17 17 17 17
loan
PBT 557 782 1,056 1,373 1,688 1,739 1,790 1,839 1,888 1,935

Tax(@)33.99% - 116 243 378 510 547 582 614 643 669
PAT 557 666 814 994 1,178 1,192 1,208 1,226 1,245 1,266

It is observed that if the project is executed as per the time lines defines and if
GAIL secures itself with marketing and distribution of the gas to defined capacity
then the estimated profit margins can be met easily. Below mentioned picture
reflects the projected profit margin for 10 years from the
commissioning of the project.

Profit After Tax (PAT)-


Combined P&L
PAT in Rs Crore
1600

1400

1200

1000

80
0 PAT in Rs Crore

60
0

400

200
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE:
0 DETERMINATION 0
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
 Projected Financial

Project IRR Project IRR Equity IRR


Equity IRR
Pre-Tax
Trunk line and Spur lines which are under the corridor of 50 km Post-Tax
range Pre-Tax
17.24% Post-Tax
12.00%
35.20%
HFC Durgapur-SAIL Durgapur-DPL Durgapur-WBPDC Durgapur 27.81%
17.18% 12.00% 34.40%
WBPDC Katwa 26.95%
17.21% 12.00% 34.53% 27.02%
CGS Patna to Betiah 17.19% 12.00% 34.41% 26.95%
WBPDC Bandel 17.22% 12.00% 34.61% 27.09%
HFC Barauni to Barah 17.36% 12.00% 35.21% 27.46%
CGS Kolkata 17.22% 12.00% 34.67% 27.15%
CGS Ranchi 17.23% 12.00% 34.62% 27.08%
FCI Gorakhpur 17.19% 12.00% 34.43% 26.95%
CGS Jamshedpur 17.25% 12.00% 34.78% 27.20%

As per the PNGRB Guidelines, 12% post IRR for the project has been fixed through-
out all the spur lines and Main line to arrive at the tariff.
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: 11. SWOT
DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010
ANALYSIS

Strengths:
1. The project is being executed by GAIL, which is an existing profit making
company having a good track record and credibility.
2. GAIL is India’s largest gas transmission company with almost 80% market
share.
3. The company is in complete value chain of gas business.
4. GAIL is also present in overseas for exploration business.
5. GAIL has market share of around 80% in natural gas market.
6. GAIL is supported by Government of India.

Weakness:
1. As a Public Sector Organization, GAIL has the obligation to work within
the parameters of the policies and directions of the Government of India.
2. GAIL has to meet all their statutory requirements before a
commencement of commercial operations.

Opportunities:
1. Resources in KG Basin and Mahanadi Basin ha increased the availability of
natural gas.
2. There is a steady growth in demand for petroleum products.
3. Pipelines projects can be leveraged for telecom business.
4. There is potential in cross country pipeline business.

Threat:
1. GAIL is subject to threat of subsidy and pricing policy of ministry of petroleum
and natural gas.
2. Raise in natural gas prices can lead to reduction in margin in petrochemical
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business.

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

The major risk identified are delay in execution, increase in


project cost, firm gas tie -up with stream and downstream
agencies.

Investment Committee has deliberated on the above Risk


Analysis and is of the opinion that considering the past track 12
record of GAIL in executing the pipeline projects , timely
pipeline completion can be achieved by having regular
.
project review at site, corporate and Management level.
However, committee felt that considering large Capex
involvement and debt services required, firm gas tie-up
with upstream and downstream consumer / transmission
RISK
agreement is critical for meeting the required level
revenue generation to maintain financial viability of the
ANALYS
project and liquidity of the company.
IS
In absence of firm gas supply agreement before
commissioning the project and clear indication of likely
availability of gas and the time line of such gas availability &
and completion of RIL's Kakinada-Basudevpur-Howrah pipeline
will affect the project IRR and the return on investment to
GAIL. Availability of KG Basin/ONGC Mahanadi at Haldia is
depending upon the laying of Kakinada- Basudevpur-Howrah MITIGATIO
pipeline by Reliance. However, GAIL has signed MoU with RIL
for transmission of KG Basin gas and ONGC for N
transportation of ONGC Mahanadi gas. Any failure or delay
on the part of instillation of Kakinada- Basudevpur-Howrah STRATEGI
pipeline and availability of low gas volume will affect the
project IRR and return on investment to GAIL. If the 60 % (1st ES
year) to 100 % (6th year) capacity is not achieved due to gas
sourcing tie-up, GAIL will not achieve the minimum 12% IRR
on the project

GAIL is currently executing DVPL-GREP expansion and laying


DBNPL and CJHPL pipeline projects worth of Rs 14,500 Crore.
In addition, it is proposed to take up three new pipeline
projects at a cost of Rs 15,243 Crore. To finance these
existing and new projects, GAIL has to resort to large debt.
The total debt burden on GAIL will increase to estimated level
of Rs 20,000 Crore by 2012-13 from the current level of Rs
1,100 Crore. Any mismatch due to lower capacity utilization of
the pipeline due to non availability of sufficient gas or
consumers will result in reduced cash inflow/revenue and thus
impact the financial health and the liquidity of the company.
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13. Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis has been carried out to ascertain the effect of the
following scenarios on the major financial parameters for the Main line / Trunk
Line. Following Table provides the analysis for parameter like Project IRR post
tax, Minimum DSCR and the
Average DSCR.
Sensitivity analysis has been
carried out to assess the
impact of changes in the
operating environment of
the project on its viability.
The following
parameters were considered
for this:

DSC
Descripti R
Particula on Project Minimum Avera
rs IRR ge
Base (%)
12 1.31 1.83
Case 1 Case
Increase in the project cost by 5% 11.55 1.26 1.76
Case 2 Increase in the variable cost of the company by 5% 11.87 1.30 1.81
Case 3 Increase in term loan interest by 1% & WC interest 12.20 1.27 1.77
Case 4 by 1%
Benefit under income tax section 80(IA) 17.42 1.31 2.10
Case 5 Increase in Tariff Price by 10% 13.25 1.42 2.02
Case 6 Decrease in Tariff Price by 10% 10.69 1.19 1.64
Case 7 Increase in revenue by 10% 13.25 1.42 2.02
Case 8 Decrease in revenue by 10% 10.69 1.19 1.64
Case 9 Change in gearing to 60:40 11.69 1.50 2.11
Case 10 Decrease in interest rate for term loan by 1% & WC 11.79 1.35 1.89
loan by 1%
It is observed that availing benefit of Section 80 IA has a greater impact on the IRR of the
proposed JHPL
project with Project IRR Post Tax at 17.40% as compared to Base case Project IRR post tax
at 12%.

Further it is observed that change in tariff price and / or revenue has good
amount of impact on the project IRR at 13.25%.

It is also evident that, project is highly sensitive to the volume. It is therefore


recommended that GAIL Marketing team should be ready with all consumer tie
ups before the start of the project.
The sensitivity analysis shows that project IRR and DSCR levels are good in respect
to JHPL Project. However, the base case IRR and DSCR levels are robust enough to
withstand adverse variations in critical parameters, as stated above.
JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA PIPELINE: DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF DETERMINATION 2010

14. Conclusion
&
Recommendati
ons
GAIL (India) Limited, is India's flagship Natural Gas company with a turnover of over
Rs 24,996/- Crores

As part of National Gas Grid (India) Limited now wishes to undertake Jagdishpur-
Haldia Pipeline Project with total investment of around Rs 7637.33 Crore proposed
to be funded at debt equity ratio of 70:30. The proposed Project loan is estimated
at Rs 5346.13 Crore, for which GAIL will approach Banks and Financial Institutions
to finance the proposed project. GAIL’s free cash flow is adequate to support the
required equity contribution.

GAIL (India) Limited have received authorization from Ministry of Petroleum &
Natural Gas (MoP&NG) for installation of Jagdishpur-Haldia Pipeline System for
transportation and distribution of gas from various sources like Reliance, ONGC
from KG Basin & Mahanadi Basin respectively for meeting the gas demand of
customers in this sector. The capacity available for this pipeline would be 32
MMSCMD (this includes 4 MMSCMD for common carrier).

In addition to this, as per the market projections and as estimated by GAIL, major
customer tie ups are done in this corridor to maintain the stability and there also
exists demand potential from various small and medium scale industrial units in
and around the corridor of JHPL.

It is recommended that GAIL should enter into long-term Take or Pay contracts
with its prospective consumers for sale of natural gas with provision to cover
fixed cost in case of no off-take.

The consumer transportation tariff works out to Rs 2103.40/-MSCM to Rs


4457.92/-MSCM (Rs 63.11/- MMBTU to Rs 133.75/-MMBTU) which is in the
acceptable range for the consumers.

Since gas supply arrangements for the projects are not entirely in place, it is
suggested that GAIL enter into firm agreements before the commencement of the
project.

Timely completion of the project is must to avoid undue cost and to improve the
profitability of GAIL.

GAIL will be engaging respected EPC contractors and credible suppliers for
various equipments and other components of the project as to make the
project a viable one and complete in time.
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The economic viability of JHPL project has been examined as

envisaged by GAIL. The tariff has been calculated based on

PNGRB guidelines.

Based on the appraisal exercise, it may be concluded that:

Considering GAIL’s past and projected performance, the company is expected


to meet its debt
serving obligations towards the project.
The overall financial, liquidity and profitability parameters of the
project are considered reasonable and satisfactory.

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Subject to

1. Weakness and threats encountered and impact of the various scenarios as


analyzed under the sensitivity analysis.
2. Availability of consumers and gas from the proposed sources
3. Volume of gas availability based on the project requirement
4. Meeting time lines of availability of gas with respect to project completion
5. Laying & availability of Reliance pipeline from Kakinada to Haldia.

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

ANNEXURE-1: ENVISAGED MARKET

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

Jagdishpur-
Haldia
Capacity as per authorization: 16 MMSCMD
Envisaged Market:
S.No Custom Sector Location State 2011-12 (Gas V
2012-13 olume
2013-14in2014-15
MMSCMD)2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Phase 1 er
1 FCI Gorakhpur Fertilizer Gorakhpur UP 1.015 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03
HFC Barauni s
Fertilizer Barauni Bihar 1.015 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03
2
FCI Sindhri s
Fertilizer Sindri Bihar 1.015 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03
3
HFC Durgapur s
Fertilizer Durgapur WB 1.015 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03
4
West Bengal Power s
Power Sagardighi WB 1.000 2.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000
5
Dev.
6 Corp
DIL Fertilizer Kanpur UP 0.950 0.950 1.900 1.900 1.900 1.900 1.900
Bhushan Steel s
Steel Jharkhand Jharkhand 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009
7
8 JMT Auto Others Jamshedp Jharkhand 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012
9 Dina Iron & steel Ltd Others ur
Patna Bihar 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004
Didargange
10 Dadiji’s Steels Ltd Steel Patna Bihar 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011
11 Balmukund Concast Others Bihita Bihar 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003
12 Patwari Udyog , Patna Others Patliputra Bihar 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004
13 Patwari Steel Pvt Ltd Steel Fatoah Bihar 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
14 Patwari Forgings Pvt Steel Patliputra Bihar 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
15 Ltd Iron (India) Ltd
Sai Steel Patna Bihar 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005
16 Shriya International Oil Power Rai Bareily UP 1.214 1.214 1.214 1.214 1.214 1.214 1.214
&
17 Energy Ltd
Bawani Paper Mills Others Rai Bareily UP 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012
18 Anjali Steels Steel Jaunpur UP 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011
19 Rania Industrial Area Others Rania UP 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.083
20 Triveni Sheet Glass Others Allahabad UP 0.081 0.081 0.081 0.081 0.081 0.081 0.081
21 UP Rajya Vidyut Nigam Power Kanpur UP 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750
22 Ltd
Mohan steels Steel Unnao UP 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500
23 Hindustan National Others Rishra WB 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.090
Glass
24 & Industries
Exide Industries Ltd Others Haldia WB 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005
25 Hindustan Lever Ltd Others Haldia WB 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005
26 ALSTOM Others Durgapur WB 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003
27 Reckitt Benkeiser Ltd Others Asansol WB 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007
28 Durgapur Chemicals Power Durgapur WB 0.059 0.117 0.117 0.117 0.117 0.117 0.117
29 LtdOpela RG Ltd
La Others Madhupur WB 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.013
City Gas Projects 0.500 0.500 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Sub Total(1) 9 15 19 19 19 19 19

Phase 2
1 SAIL Steel Bokaro Jharkhand 0 1.067 1.067 1.067 1.067 1.067 1.067
2 WBPDC Power Katwa WB 0 1.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000
3 SAIL Steel Durgapur WB 0 0.578 0.578 1.156 1.156 1.156 1.156
4 WBPDC Power Bandel WB 0 1.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000
5 Culcutta Electric Power Kolkata WB 0 2.000 3.000 3.000 3.000 3.000 3.000
6 Supply CoProjets Ltd
Durgapur Power Durgapur WB 0 2.980 2.980 2.980 2.980 2.980 2.980
7 SAIL Steel Rourkela Orissa 0 0.214 0.427 0.427 0.427 0.427 0.427
Sub Total(2) 0 9 12 13 13 13 13

Total(1+2) 9 24 31 32 32 32 32

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

ANNEXURE-2: CAPACITY BUILD UP FOR JHPL IN PHASES

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0
Capacity Build Up for JHPL in Phases
S.No Description Volum
of e Completion Schedule Capacity build up year wise as per PNGRB
Pipelin (MMSCM regulations
e D)
60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 100%
Mechanic Commissionin
al g 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Phase- 1:- Dec, 2001 Mar,2012
1 Laying pipeline
from Haldia to
Phulpur with
spur lines to :-

-CGS Kolkata 1.50 0.90 1.05 1.2 1.35 1.5 1.50


-HFC Durgapur 1.58 0.95 1.11 1.27 1.42 1.58 1.58
-WBPDC 1.65 0.99 1.16 1.32 1.49 1.65 1.65
Sagardighi
-CGS Jamshedpur 0.75 0.45 0.53 0.60 0.68 0.75 0.75
-FCI Sindri 1.58 0.95 1.11 1.27 1.42 1.58 1.58
-CGS Ranchi 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.15
-HFC Barauni 1.58 0.95 1.11 1.26 1.42 1.58 1.58
-Power Plant Barh 0.38 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.38

-CGS Patna 0.19 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.19


-CGS Chapra 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.15
-CGS Siwan 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08
-CGS Gopalganj 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08
-CGS Betiah 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08

-Power Plant 1.13 0.68 0.79 0.90 1.02 1.13 1.13


Betiah
-CGS Varanasi 0.75 0.45 0.53 0.60 0.68 0.75 0.75
-FCI Gorakhpur 1.58 0.95 1.11 1.26 1.42 1.58 1.58
-CGS Allahabad 0.38 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.38

Sub-Total 13.59 8.17 9.56 10.85 12.24 13.59 13.59

Phase-2:- Sep,2012 Dec,2012


2 Installation of 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
compressor at
Haldia and Spur 2011-12 2012-13 2013- 2014- 2015- 2016- 2017-18
14 15 16 17
lines to:-
1.50 1.50
-WBPDC Bandel
-SAIL & CGS 1.09 0.90
0.65 1.05
0.76 1.20
0.87 1.35
0.98 1.09
Durgapur
-DPL Durgapur 3.38 2.03 2.37 2.70 3.04 3.38
-WBPDC Katwa 1.50 0.90 1.05 1.20 1.35 1.50
-SAIL Bokaro 0.80 0.48 0.56 0.64 0.72 0.80
-Petrochemical 0.75 0.45 0.53 0.60 0.68 0.75
Barauni
-Others 1.42 0.85 0.99 1.14 1.28 1.42

Sub Total 10.44 6.26 7.30 8.35 9.39 10.44

Grand 8.15 15.78 18.18 20.58 22.99 24.03


Total(P1+P2)

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JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA DEMAND ESTIMATION & TARIFF 201
PIPELINE: DETERMINATION 0

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