nj~jzk|csht|c|ijc|pvv|{
promising seems to be simulation modeling with Monte Carlo method. With a view
to materializing capabilities of the Monte Carlo method, procedures are developed
to improve quality of processing of source data on enclosing rocks for prompt sim-
ulation modeling, to refine standard simulation procedures and error reduction
measures and to ensure reliability of modeling.
As a result, a new approach to geomechanical analyses of mining objects is
shaped, including combination of deterministic and probabilistic calculations, con-
siderable improvement of quality of source data on enclosing rocks based on small
samplings and methods of distribution-free statistics and differential construction
of simulation models of geomechanical analysis: creation, debugging and demon-
stration in master simulator program with transition to run-time versions,
with multi-stage screening of statistical and physical nature errors, with total
number of generations up to 105106. Such performance on common computers
with small capacity of short-term memory is ensured by series implementation
from 500 to 800 generations per cycle with the accumulation of data after each
cycle completion. The time of simulation within 105 generations with plotting a bar
chart of hash output and with quantitative estimation of levels of risks and reli-
ability is no more than 25 min. The cloud simulation generator a complete an-
alog of simulation generator is nearly unlimited in the number of generations.
The high accuracy and calculating speed of the cloud computing is ensured by high
short-term memory capacity, which enables not less than 1 million cycles within
50200 s.
On the whole, the put forward approach enhances reliability of a geomechanical
analysis of mining objects in terms of estimation of risks of injuries, accidents and
reduction in cost due to surplus reserves introduced in the conventional determin-
istic and probabilistic models. Application of the obtained results is ensured by a
software system intended for mass use.
Keywords: geomechanics, object, rock mass, properties, sampling, distribution,
distribution transformation, distribution-free statistics, resources, simulation
modeling, risk, reliability.
622.831.32

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4. Marcak M., Mutke G. Seismic activation of tectonic stresses by mining // Journal

- of Seismology. 2013. Vol. 17. No 4. . 11391148.
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GORNYI ZHURNAL/MINING JOURNAL, 2016, 12, pp. 1319 acoustic activity zones are detected. The increased seismic and acoustic activity is
DOI: dx.doi.org/10.17580/gzh.2016.12.03
Rock mass geodynamics and mining-induced rockbursting
at Nikolaev complex deposit
Information about authors
I. Yu. Rasskazov1, Director, Doctor of Engineering Sciences, rasskazov@igd.khv.ru
B. G. Saksin1, Chief Researcher, Doctor of Geologo-Mineralogical Sciences
V. I. Usikov1, Senior Researcher, Candidate of Economic Sciences
M. I. Potapchuk1, Senior Researcher, Candidate of Engineering Sciences
1Institute
of mining of far Eastern branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences,
Khabarovsk, Russia
Abstract
The activation of induced seismicity at Nikolaev complex deposit in the East Primo-
rye, Russia, required more comprehensive analysis of the regional tectonics and its
influence on generation of natural-and-induced stress field.
Based on the data of the Earth radar sounding, the map of morphology and struc-
ture of the Kavalerovo-Dalnegorsk metalliferous province displays features of the
local tectonic cover and allows correlating tectonics and geodynamic events in
this area.
The analyses of factors that govern the rockburst hazard at the deposit show that
more than a half of dyanmic events due to rock pressure, recorded withing the ser-
vice life of Nikolaev Mine, occur close to the influence zone of structural geology
and tectonics of the deposit, and round 25 % of the events are recorded in the
zone of abutment pressure. In recent years, Nikolaev Mine suffers from increas-
ingly frequent geodynamic events accompanied by seismic effects and considerable
damage of underground openings. One of the main causes of the higher induced
seismicity is morphological features of large limestone plate, being the primary dis-
continuity in the geological medium of the mine field, within which anomalously high
also governed by the other rank faults at the bounds of higher order blocks.
The increment in the number of hazardous dynamic events due to rock pressure at
Nikolaev deposit is conditioned by the mining-induced disbalance of the nature-and-
technology system where the governing part belongs to the central block of steno-
liths laterally bounded by faults and dykes. Geodynamic processes run as restruc-
turing and self-organization of rock mass inside the natural and mining-induced
stress field and are accompanied by displacement and movement of rock mass
blocks along different-scale tectonic faults.
This study has been supported by the Russian Science Foundation, Grant No. 16-
17-00018. The authors appreciate contribution of S. P. Osadchiy and V. V. Popov,
Dalpolimetall Mining and Metallurgy Plant, and V. D. Baryshnikov, Institute of Min-
ing, SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia, to this study.
Keywords: geodynamics, tectonic structure, stress state, rocks mass, rock
bursts, induced seismicity, seismoacoustic activity.
References
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triggering remote seismicity in Creighton Mine, Sudbury, Canada. International
Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences. 2013. Vol. 58. pp. 166179.

18 

 



6. Wen-Xiu Li, Lei Wen, Xiao-Min Liu. Ground movements caused by deep under-
ground mining in Guan-Zhuang iron mine, Luzhong, China. International Jour-
nal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. 2010. Vol. 12(3).
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vladimir_kovalevskiy@mail.ru
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