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1093/jnci/djq107 The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
Advance Access publication on May 7, 2010. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.
Article
Manuscript received May 11, 2009; revised March 8, 2010; accepted March 9, 2010.
Correspondence to: Xuehong Zhang, Department of Nutrition, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave, Boston,
MA 02115 (e-mail: pooling@hsphsun2.harvard.edu).
Background The relationships between coffee, tea, and sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink consumption and colon can-
cer risk remain unresolved.
Methods We investigated prospectively the association between coffee, tea, and sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink
consumption and colon cancer risk in a pooled analysis of primary data from 13 cohort studies. Among 731441
participants followed for up to 620 years, 5604 incident colon cancer case patients were identified. Study-
specific relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards
models and then pooled using a random-effects model. All statistical tests were two-sided.
Results Compared with nonconsumers, the pooled multivariable relative risks were 1.07 (95% CI = 0.89 to 1.30, Ptrend = .68)
for coffee consumption greater than 1400 g/d (about six 8-oz cups) and 1.28 (95% CI = 1.02 to 1.61, Ptrend = .01)
for tea consumption greater than 900 g/d (about four 8-oz cups). For sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink
consumption, the pooled multivariable relative risk comparing consumption greater than 550 g/d (about 18 oz)
to nonconsumers was 0.94 (95% CI = 0.66 to 1.32, Ptrend = .91). No statistically significant between-studies hetero-
geneity was observed for the highest category of each beverage consumed (P > .20). The observed associations
did not differ by sex, smoking status, alcohol consumption, body mass index, physical activity, or tumor site
(P > .05).
Conclusions Drinking coffee or sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks was not associated with colon cancer risk. However,
a modest positive association with higher tea consumption is possible and requires further study.
Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer worldwide (1). and tea also contain compounds with mutagenic and genotoxic
Incidence rates vary more than 25-fold across countries (1), sug- properties (6,9,10), which could increase the risk of colon cancer.
gesting that environmental and lifestyle factors such as diet may In 2007, a report by the World Cancer Research Fund and the
play a role in the development of colorectal cancer (2). Approximately American Institute for Cancer Research determined that no firm
70%80% of colorectal cancer in developed countries is colon conclusions could be reached on the associations between con-
cancer (3). We focus on colon cancer in this report because colon sumption of coffee and tea and risk of colon cancer because of
and rectal cancers may have distinct etiologies (3,4). inconsistent epidemiological evidence (2).
Coffee and tea are among the most commonly consumed bev- Worldwide, consumption of caloric sweeteners (such as glu-
erages worldwide, and they have been hypothesized to decrease the cose, fructose, sucrose, honey, and high-fructose corn syrup)
risk of colon cancer (5,6). Polyphenols present in coffee and tea increased approximately 30% from 1962 to 2000, resulting in a 74
protect against colon tumor formation in animal studies, possibly kcal/d average increase in energy intake (11). In addition, con-
through their antioxidant properties (5,6). In addition, coffee con- sumption of sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks (ie, those
sumption may reduce the synthesis and secretion of bile acids, containing caloric sweeteners) has been positively associated with
potential promoters of colon carcinogenesis (7) and increase co- weight gain, obesity, insulin resistance, and type 2 diabetes (11), all
lonic motility (8), thus decreasing exposure of epithelial cells to of which are potential risk factors for colon cancer (2). However,
potential carcinogens in the colon (6). On the other hand, coffee the relationship between soft drink intake and colon cancer risk
Sugar-sweetened carbonated
Coffee Tea soft drinks
Median (10th, Median (10th, Median (10th,
jnci.oxfordjournals.org
Baseline No. of colon Baseline 90th percentile) 90th percentile) 90th percentile)
cohort Follow-up cancer case age range, Nondrinkers intake among Nondrinkers intake among Nondrinkers intake among
Study size* years patients years (%) drinkers, g/d (%) drinkers, g/d (%) drinkers, g/d
Men
Adventist Health Study 12368 19761982 46 2590 57 237 (17, 1066) 78 17 (17, 237)
Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene 26987 19841999 187 5069 2 600 (220, 1100) 64 157 (31, 440) 58 47 (11, 236)
Cancer Prevention Study
Cancer Prevention Study II 66068 19921999 467 5074 45 77 (18, 270)
Nutrition Cohort
Health Professionals 45128 19862000 430 4075 30 237 (33, 1066) 42 102 (19, 592) 44 88 (30, 372)
Follow-up Study
Netherlands Cohort Study 58279 19861993 393 5569 3 500 (250, 875) 15 375 (125, 625) 47 54 (6, 175)
New York State Cohort 30363 19801987 335 5093 12 710 (237, 1421) 64 237 (237, 710)
Women
Adventist Health Study 17397 19761982 60 2590 67 237 (17, 592) 74 17 (17, 237)
Breast Cancer Detection 41987 19871999 349 4093 61 47 (6, 247)
Demonstration Project
Follow-up Study
Canadian National Breast 49613 19802000 431 4059 15 448 (96, 1120) 23 336 (32, 896) 63 40 (7, 224)
Screening Study
Cancer Prevention Study II 74046 19921999 349 5074 64 29 (10, 202)
Nutrition Cohort
Iowa Womens Health Study 33844 19862001 784 5569 10 597 (191, 1421) 42 102 (19, 592) 57 58 (30, 298)
Netherlands Cohort Study 62573 19861993 353 5569 4 500 (250, 750) 11 375 (125, 750) 54 29 (6, 162)
New York State Cohort 22550 19801987 223 5093 15 474 (237, 1184) 49 474 (237, 947)
Nurses Health Study (a) 86769 19801986 155 3459 23 592 (189, 1421) 30 237 (17, 592) 45 78 (26, 422)
Nurses Health Study (b) 64449 19862000 401 4065 26 592 (102, 1066) 37 102 (19, 592) 62 52 (30, 370)
Prospective Study on Hormones, 9079 19872001 45 3470 29 320 (92, 596)
Diet and Breast Cancer
Swedish Mammography Cohort 56741 19872003 437 4074 4 443 (177, 768) 29 181 (16, 555) 60 23 (12, 75)
Womens Health Study 37649 19932002 159 4589 14 592 (189, 1189) 33 102 (19, 592) 64 82 (30, 400)
* Total cohort size = 731441. Baseline cohort size is after applying study-specific exclusion criteria and further excluding participants with energy intakes beyond 3 SDs of their loge-transformed study-specific mean
energy intake, history of cancer diagnosis at baseline (except for nonmelanoma skin cancer), and missing values for coffee, tea, and sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink intake (if the beverage was measured in
the study); the Canadian National Breast Screening Study and the Netherlands Cohort Study were analyzed as case-cohort studies, and the above exclusions were not applied to their baseline cohort size.
Total number of incident colon cancer case patients was 5604.
For coffee and tea, 8 oz weighs approximately 237 g; for sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks, 12 oz weighs approximately 355 g.
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Intake of the beverage was not assessed.
Nurses Health Study (b) was not included in the total cohort size because these participants were included in Nurses Health Study (a).
In the Prospective Study on Hormones, Diet and Breast Cancer, the consumption of espresso coffee, not regular coffee, was measured. To approximate the amount of regular coffee consumed, we multiplied the
espresso coffee intake by 4.
Articles 773
study-specific serving size for each food item. We calculated the cancer, death, loss to follow-up (if applicable), or end of the fol-
consumption of coffee, tea, and sugar-sweetened carbonated soft low-up, whichever came first. The person-time for participants
drinks by summing up the related individual beverages listed in diagnosed with rectal cancer was censored at their date of diagno-
each study. Each study also provided intake data for caffeine and sis. Age at baseline (in years) and year of questionnaire return were
energy. Caffeine intake was calculated by multiplying the frequency entered as stratification variables. Thus, we created a time metric
of consumption of each food item, the portion size of the food, and simultaneously accounting for age, calendar time, and time since
the caffeine content of the portion. entry into the study (12). We also conducted multivariable analyses
The food-frequency questionnaire used in each study or a to adjust for other established and potential colon cancer risk fac-
closely related instrument was evaluated in a validation study tors, including family history of colorectal cancer, education,
(16,23,2632) (V.K., personal communication, 2005). However, physical activity, body mass index, height, smoking habits, alcohol
we were unable to conduct measurement error correction analyses intake, red meat intake, dietary folate intake, total energy intake,
because only a few studies assessed the validity of specific foods or total milk consumption, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory
food groups (23,27,29). Among these studies, the correlation coef- drugs and multivitamins, and, in women, use of oral contraceptives
ficient comparing intakes assessed by the food-frequency question- and postmenopausal hormones (see Table 2 for categories). We
naire with intakes assessed by multiple dietary records or 24-hour conducted additional analyses in which we mutually adjusted for
recalls generally exceeded 0.5 for coffee, tea, and sugar-sweetened tea and coffee drinking. Furthermore, we conducted analyses by
carbonated soft drinks. excluding body mass index from the multivariable model to eval-
uate whether body mass index is in the causal pathway of beverage
Statistical Analyses intakes and colon cancer risk. Because the proportion of partici-
Studies that enrolled both women and men were analyzed sepa- pants with missing data for the covariates was generally low in
rately as sex specific cohorts. To take advantage of the more these studies, we created an indicator variable for missing data
detailed dietary assessment available in 1986, we analyzed the where applicable (12).
Nurses Health Study as two different cohorts (19801986, Nurses In the second stage of the analyses, we combined the study-
Health Study[a]; 19862000, Nurses Health Study[b]) because specific relative risks using a random-effects model (38,39). The
blocks of person-time, derived from the same participants, are as- individual studies were weighted by the inverse of their variance.
ymptotically uncorrelated according to the underlying theory of We tested for heterogeneity across studies using the Q statistic
survival analysis (33). We analyzed the Canadian National Breast (39,40), which follows an approximate x2 distribution. All statistical
Screening Study and Netherlands Cohort Study as case-cohort analyses were two-sided, and a P less than .05 was considered statis-
studies (34) because these two studies had each processed dietary tically significant. To verify the assumption of proportional hazards,
questionnaires for only a sample of their noncase participants. We we constructed models for each beverage that included an interac-
applied the exclusion criteria used by each study and further ex- tion term between age and intake of that beverage. We pooled the
cluded participants with a history of cancer at baseline (except for study-specific parameter estimates for these interaction terms using
nonmelanoma skin cancer) and with energy intakes beyond 3 SDs the random-effects model and used a Wald test to evaluate the sta-
from their study-specific loge-transformed mean energy intake. tistical significance of the pooled interaction term. We observed no
We additionally excluded participants with missing data on coffee, evidence of violation of the proportional hazards assumption.
tea, or sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks. To evaluate whether the associations between coffee, tea, and
We conducted all analyses using the Statistical Analysis System sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink intakes and colon cancer
(SAS) software (SAS Institute, Inc, Version 9; Cary, NC). We risk were linear, we conducted nonparametric regression analyses
modeled intake of each beverage as a categorical variable across using restricted cubic splines (41). For these analyses, studies were
studies; the cut points used to categorize intakes captured approx- combined into one dataset. The participants were stratified by age,
imate multiples of 8 oz (1 fl oz = 30 mL) servings of coffee and tea year of questionnaire return, and study, and the risk estimates were
and 12-oz servings of sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks (35). adjusted for other covariates. We excluded participants with ex-
If there were no case patients in the highest category in a study, the tremely high intakes of each beverage (approximately the highest
relative risk of that category could not be estimated in that study, 1%) to reduce the influence of outliers in the nonparametric re-
and the person-time and noncase participants in the highest cate- gression analyses. We used a likelihood ratio test to compare the
gory were then included in the second highest category. To calcu- model with linear and cubic spline terms selected by a stepwise
late P for the test for trend, we assigned the median value for each regression procedure to the model with only the linear term for
intake category and modeled that variable as a continuous term. the beverage of interest. If linearity in the association between
Given that coffee and tea are good sources of caffeine (5,6), we intake of a beverage and colon cancer risk was suggested, we fur-
analyzed caffeine intake using study-specific quintiles. ther analyzed that beverage as a continuous variable.
We used a two-stage analysis strategy to estimate pooled rela- To assess whether the association for each beverage varied by
tive risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) (12). First, a alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, and post-
Cox proportional hazards model (36) using the SAS proportional menopausal hormonal use among postmenopausal women, we
hazards regression procedure (PROC PHREG) (37) was used to used a two-sided Wald test of the cross product term between
estimate study- and sex-specific relative risks and 95% confidence consumption of the beverage of interest and the potential effect
intervals. Person-years of follow-up were calculated from the date modifiers, each modeled as a continuous or binary variable. We
of questionnaire return to the date of diagnosis of incident colon examined potential heterogeneity of the effect of each beverage by
Pbetween-studies Pbetween-studies
heterogeneity, heterogeneity due to
Beverages Categories of beverage intake Ptrend highest category sex, highest category
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Coffee*
Intake category, g/d Nondrinkers >0150 >150400 >400900 >9001400 >1400,
Median intake, g/d 0 59 237 592 1066 1421
No. of case patients 416, 197 205, 111 591, 310 1413, 593 290, 131 133, 49
(women, men)
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI)
Total 1 1.00 (0.87 to 1.16) 1.06 (0.94 to 1.19) 1.05 (0.93 to 1.17) 1.00 (0.87 to 1.16) 1.13 (0.94 to 1.36) .64 .93 .22
Women 1 0.96 (0.81 to 1.15) 1.03 (0.90 to 1.18) 1.04 (0.90 to 1.21) 0.99 (0.84 to 1.16) 1.05 (0.84 to 1.31) .64 .81
Men 1 1.09 (0.85 to 1.40) 1.13 (0.92 to 1.39) 1.06 (0.87 to 1.30) 1.05 (0.81 to 1.37) 1.36 (0.96 to 1.92) .85 .98
Multivariable RR (95% CI)
Total 1 0.97 (0.84 to 1.12) 1.02 (0.91 to 1.15) 0.99 (0.86 to 1.15) 0.95 (0.82 to 1.09) 1.07 (0.89 to 1.30) .68 .97 .35
Women 1 0.95 (0.80 to 1.14) 1.01 (0.88 to 1.16) 1.01 (0.85 to 1.21) 0.95 (0.80 to 1.12) 1.01 (0.81 to 1.27) .77 .84
Men 1 1.01 (0.78 to 1.30) 1.00 (0.75 to 1.34) 0.92 (0.66 to 1.27) 0.95 (0.72 to 1.25) 1.24 (0.87 to 1.77) .69 .99
Tea*
Intake category, g/d Nondrinkers >0150 >150400# >400900#,** >900#,**
Median intake, g/d 0 33 237 592 1066
No. of case patients 1021, 578 772, 256 618, 309 483, 223 109, 25
(women, men)
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI)
Total 1 0.97 (0.89 to 1.06) 0.99 (0.89 to 1.11) 1.02 (0.91 to 1.15) 1.26 (1.00 to 1.58) .10 .21 .73
Women 1 0.93 (0.84 to 1.03) 0.98 (0.88 to 1.09) 0.96 (0.83 to 1.12) 1.28 (0.99 to 1.66) .29 .21
Men 1 1.11 (0.93 to 1.31) 1.05 (0.80 to 1.37) 1.16 (0.95 to 1.40) 1.17 (0.67 to 2.06) .23 .21
Multivariable RR (95% CI)
Total 1 0.99 (0.91 to 1.08) 1.02 (0.92 to 1.12) 1.05 (0.94 to 1.18) 1.28 (1.02 to 1.61) .01 .23 .63
Women 1 0.95 (0.86 to 1.05) 1.01 (0.90 to 1.13) 1.01 (0.88 to 1.15) 1.32 (1.02 to 1.71) .08 .24
Men 1 1.12 (0.94 to 1.33) 1.05 (0.81 to 1.35) 1.17 (0.96 to 1.42) 1.17 (0.66 to 2.06) .24 .22
Sugar-sweetened carbonated
soft drinks*
Intake category, g/d Nondrinkers >0250 >250550 >550
Median intake, g/d 0 50 349 925
No. of case patients 2119, 729 1191, 641 87, 91 21, 16
(women, men)
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI)
Total 1 0.96 (0.91 to 1.02) 1.12 (0.90 to 1.40) 0.98 (0.71 to 1.37) .61 .81 .35
Women 1 0.96 (0.89 to 1.03) 1.01 (0.76 to 1.34) 1.13 (0.73 to 1.76) .97 .55
Men 1 0.97 (0.87 to 1.08) 1.29 (0.90 to 1.86) 0.82 (0.50 to 1.36) .48 .93
Multivariable RR (95% CI)
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(Table continues)
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Table 2 (continued).
Pbetween-studies Pbetween-studies
heterogeneity, heterogeneity due to
Beverages Categories of beverage intake Ptrend highest category sex, highest category
Total 1 0.96 (0.90 to 1.02) 1.08 (0.87 to 1.34) 0.94 (0.66 to 1.32) .91 .64 .33
Women 1 0.96 (0.89 to 1.03) 0.98 (0.76 to 1.26) 1.08 (0.67 to 1.73) .89 .39
Men 1 0.96 (0.85 to 1.07) 1.24 (0.86 to 1.79) 0.77 (0.46 to 1.29) .74 .85
* The Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project Follow-up Study and Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort were not included in the analyses on coffee and tea consumption because coffee and tea
consumption was not measured in these studies; the Prospective Study on Hormones, Diet and Breast Cancer was excluded from the analyses on tea and sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks because intake
of these beverages was not measured in this study. The Adventist Health Study and New York State Cohort were not included in the analyses on sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink because this variable was
not measured.
For coffee and tea, 8 oz weighs approximately 237 g; for sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks, 12 oz weighs approximately 355 g.
The New York State Cohort was excluded from this category because there were no participants in this category based on how frequency of intake of this beverage was assessed on the food-frequency
questionnaire.
The female cohort of the Adventist Health Study and the Swedish Mammography Cohort were excluded from the >9001400 and >1400 g/d categories because there were no cases in these categories. The
participants who were not cases and who would have been in these categories were included in the >400900 g/d category.
The Prospective Study on Hormones, Diet and Breast Cancer was excluded from the >1400 g/d category because there were no cases in this category. The participants who were not cases and who would have
been in this category were included in the >9001400 g/d category.
Adjusted for education (<high school graduate, high school graduate, >high school graduate); smoking habits (never, past [<20, 20 to <40, 40 years], current [<25 cigarettes per day and <40 years, 25 cigarettes
per day and <40 years, <25 cigarettes per day and 40 years, 25 cigarettes per day and 40 years]); height (women: <1.60, 1.60 to <1.65, 1.65 to <1.70, 1.70 to <1.75, 1.75 m; men: <1.70, 1.70 to <1.75, 1.75
to <1.80, 1.80 to <1.85, 1.85 m); body mass index (<23, 23 to <25, 25 to <30, 30 kg/m2); physical activity (low, medium, high); family history of colorectal cancer (no, yes); use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory
drugs (no, yes; only five out of 13 cohorts have this information); multivitamin use (no, yes <6 times/wk, yes 6 times/wk, yes missing dose for the Adventist Health Study, Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration
Project Follow-up Study, Health Professionals Follow-up Study, Iowa Womens Health Study, Nurses Health Study [a and b], and Womens Health Study; no, yes, for the Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene Cancer
Prevention Study, Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort, Netherlands Cohort Study, and New York State Cohort); red meat intake (quintiles); total milk consumption (quartiles); alcohol consumption (0, >0 to
<5, 5 to <15, 15 to <30, 30 g/d); dietary folate intake (quintiles); total energy intake (continuous); and in women, oral contraceptive use (never, ever); and postmenopausal hormone use (premenopausal, never,
ever). Age in years and questionnaire return year were included as stratification variables.
# The male cohort of the Adventist Health Study was excluded from the >150400, >400900, and >900 g/d categories because there were no cases in this category. The participants who were not cases and who
would have been in these categories were included in the >0150 g/d category.
** The female cohort of the Adventist Health Study was excluded from the >400900 and >900 g/d categories because there were no cases in these categories. The participants who were not cases and who would
have been in these categories were included in the >150400 g/d category.
The Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project Follow-up Study, the Canadian National Breast Screening Study, and the Swedish Mammography Cohort were excluded from the >550 g/d category because
there were no cases in this category. The participants who were not cases and who would have been in this category were included in the >250550 g/d category.
Figure 1.Forest plot of coffee drinking (increment, 250 g/d; 8-oz cup is Cancer Prevention Study (men); CNBSS = Canadian National Breast
about 237 g) and relative risk (RR) of colon cancer. The black squares Screening Study (women); HPFS = Health Professionals Follow-up
and the horizontal lines represent the study-specific relative risk and Study (men); IWHS = Iowa Womens Health Study (women); NHSa =
corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs), respectively. The area of Nurses Health Study (a) (women); NHSb = Nurses Health Study (b)
the black square reflects the weight of each study, measured by the (women); NLCS_f = Netherlands Cohort Study (women); NLCS_m =
inverse of the variance. The diamond represents the pooled multivari- Netherlands Cohort Study (men); NYS_f = New York State Cohort
able relative risk with 95% confidence interval. The vertical dashed line (women); NYS_m = New York State Cohort (men); ORDET = Prospective
provides a visual comparison of the pooled relative risk with the study- Study on Hormones, Diet and Breast Cancer (women); SMC = Swedish
specific relative risk. AHS_f = Adventist Health Study (women); AHS_m = Mammography Cohort (women); WHS = Womens Health Study
Adventist Health Study (men); ATBC = Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene (women).
JNCI
Coffee (increment, 250 g/d) Tea (increment, 250 g/d) (increment, 375 g/d)
Tumor site, sex, No. of case No. of case No. of case
Pbetween-studies Pbetween-studies Pbetween-studies
and risk factors patients RR* (95% CI) heterogeneity Pinteraction patients RR* (95% CI) heterogeneity Pinteraction patients RR* (95% CI) heterogeneity Pinteraction
Total colon 4439 0.99 (0.97 to 1.02) .45 4394 1.04 (1.00 to 1.07) .50 4895 1.00 (0.91 to 1.10) .57 .37
Women 3048 0.99 (0.97 to 1.02) .68 .97 3003 1.03 (0.99 to 1.08) .23 .82 3418 0.96 (0.84 to 1.09) .44
Men 1391 0.98 (0.92 to 1.04) .12 1391 1.03 (0.96 to 1.09) .78 1477 1.05 (0.91 to 1.22) .62
Proximal colon 2295 0.99 (0.96 to 1.02) .98 2277 1.04 (1.00 to 1.09) .64 2626 1.01 (0.88 to 1.15) .80 .13
Women 1625 0.99 (0.95 to 1.02) .91 .87 1605 1.04 (0.99 to 1.09) .49 .80 1846 0.91 (0.76 to 1.10) .79
Men 670 0.98 (0.92 to 1.04) .82 670 1.05 (0.96 to 1.15) .53 780 1.13 (0.93 to 1.36) .87
Distal colon 1820 0.99 (0.96 to 1.03) .71 1795 1.04 (0.99 to 1.10) .34 1939 1.01 (0.88 to 1.17) .81 .68
Women 1195 1.00 (0.96 to 1.04) .83 .70 1169 1.05 (0.98 to 1.12) .26 .40 1283 1.04 (0.86 to 1.25) .73
Men 625 0.98 (0.90 to 1.06) .24 626 1.01 (0.92 to 1.11) .44 656 0.97 (0.76 to 1.24) .53
Smoking status
Never 1674 1.00 (0.96 to 1.03) .75 .54 1674 1.07 (1.00 to 1.14) .06 .51 1972 0.98 (0.80 to 1.18) .17 .97
Past 1354 1.02 (0.97 to 1.06) .34 1354 1.04 (0.98 to 1.10) .88 1619 1.10 (0.93 to 1.30) .68
Current 775 0.99 (0.92 to 1.06) .08 775 1.01 (0.93 to 1.10) .34 837 1.02 (0.81 to 1.29) .31
Alcohol consumption
Nondrinkers 1397 0.98 (0.94 to 1.02) .33 .33 1397 1.05 (0.98 to 1.11) .23 .59 1813 1.07 (0.93 to 1.22) .43 .87
<15 g/d 2117 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) .59 2117 1.04 (0.99 to 1.08) .67 2227 0.94 (0.80 to 1.10) .47
15 g/d 761 0.99 (0.94 to 1.04) .64 761 1.03 (0.93 to 1.13) .23 845 1.14 (0.89 to 1.47) .26
Physical activity
Low 1499 1.00 (0.97 to 1.04) .81 .44 1499 1.03 (0.97 to 1.09) .61 .83 1926 0.94 (0.82 to 1.09) .94 .09
Medium 1127 0.99 (0.95 to 1.03) .56 1127 1.07 (1.01 to 1.13) .86 1482 0.94 (0.75 to 1.19) .16
High 614 0.97 (0.88 to 1.06) .03 614 1.04 (0.95 to 1.13) .62 930 1.21 (0.99 to 1.48) .99
Body mass index
<25 kg/m2 1985 0.99 (0.95 to 1.02) .44 .40 1985 1.02 (0.98 to 1.07) .43 .56 2254 0.94 (0.77 to 1.14) .23 .40
25 kg/m2 2210 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) .78 2210 1.04 (0.99 to 1.09) .42 2519 1.03 (0.91 to 1.17) .56
Postmenopausal
hormone use
Never 1343 0.99 (0.95 to 1.03) .40 .24 1343 1.02 (0.96 to 1.08) .73 .60 1686 1.11 (0.94 to 1.31) .64 .13
Ever 677 1.00 (0.94 to 1.07) .28 677 1.06 (0.96 to 1.17) .18 1001 0.72 (0.48 to 1.08) .11
* The relative risks were adjusted for the covariates listed in Table 2. The Adventist Health Study and the Prospective Study on Hormones, Diet and Breast Cancer were excluded from all interaction analyses except
for sex because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.
The Swedish Mammography Cohort was not included in this analysis because smoking habits were not measured at baseline.
The Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study was excluded from the never and past smoker strata because all participants were current smokers.
The New York State Cohort and the Swedish Mammography Cohort were not included in this analysis because physical activity was not measured in these studies.
Among postmenopausal women. The New York State Cohort was not included in the analysis because this variable was not measured.
(P, test for nonlinearity = .31). The pooled multivariable relative sponding 95% confidence intervals for coffee, tea, and sugar-
risk for an increment of 375 g/d (355 g is about 12 oz or 0.36 L) sweetened carbonated soft drink consumption did not change
was 1.00 (95% CI = 0.91 to 1.10) (Table 3 and Figure 3). When we materially after exclusion of body mass index from the multivari-
examined diet carbonated soft drinks, the pooled multivariable able model.
relative risk for a 375 g/d increment was 1.01 (95% CI = 0.94 to Caffeine intake (measured in six studies, n = 2886 case patients)
1.08; measured in four studies, n = 1928 case patients). We further was not associated with colon cancer risk (pooled multivariable
divided sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks into cola and non- RR = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.91 to 1.19, comparing the highest to lowest
cola beverages, and neither was associated with risk of colon cancer quintile, P, test for between-studies heterogeneity = .63; data not
(data not shown). Moreover, the point estimates and the corre- shown).
Figure 3. Forest plot of sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drink con- (men); BCDDP = Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project
sumption (increment, 375 g/d; 12-oz cup is about 355 g) and relative risk Follow-up Study; CNBSS = Canadian National Breast Screening Study
(RR) of colon cancer. The black squares and the horizontal lines repre- (women); CPSII_f = Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort
sent the study-specific relative risk and the corresponding 95% confi- (women); CPSII_m = Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort (men);
dence intervals (CIs), respectively. The area of the black square reflects HPFS = Health Professionals Follow-up Study (men); IWHS = Iowa
the weight of each study, measured by the inverse of the variance. The Womens Health Study (women); NHSa = Nurses Health Study (a)
diamond represents the pooled multivariable relative risk with 95% (women); NHSb = Nurses Health Study (b) (women); NLCS_f =
confidence interval. The vertical dashed line provides a visual compar- Netherlands Cohort Study (women); NLCS_m = Netherlands Cohort
ison of the pooled relative risk with the study-specific relative risk. Study (men); SMC = Swedish Mammography Cohort (women); WHS =
ATBC = Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Womens Health Study (women).