Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
FH 2016-12-12
1
Contents
1 Instruments and observations 3
2 The Atmosphere 14
3 Planetary pressure and wind system 44
4 Frontal and nonfrontal systems 94
5 Tropical Revolving Storms 108
6 Synoptic charts and forecasts 126
7 Ocean currents 136
8 Climatology of the Oceans 148
9 Ice 160
10 Voyage Planning and Meteorology 176
Bibliography 185
Appendices 186
Bibliography.
Internet sites.
Wind Protractor Instructions.
Wind Wave Swell Nomogram.
2
1 Instruments and Observations
1.2.1 Thermometers
10 0 50
Temperature is measured in degrees Celsius for meteorological purposes.
The Kelvin scale is used for scientific measurements.
The Fahrenheit scale is used in certain countries.
Standard temperatures at standard pressure are:
Pure water freezes at 0 C 273 K 32 F
Pure water boils at 100 C 373 K 212 F
To measure air temperature accurately the thermometer must be shielded from direct radiation from the
sun or other heat sources.
The thermometer is placed in a Marine Screen, also known as a Stevenson Screen.
This has a solid top and bottom, and louvred sides to permit free flow of air while sheltering the
thermometer from radiant heat, rain and spray.
It is made of wood painted white, or white plastic, to reflect radiant heat.
To measure air temperature free of any influences from the ship it should be hung on the windward side
before taking a measurement.
Louvred Sides
Air Flow
Wick
4
The whirling psychrometer is used in confined spaces such as holds, or in low wind conditions in the
shade out of direct sunlight.
Frame
Wick
Handle
Funnel Inner skin
Line
Flow
5
1.2.4.2 Hull sensor
Certain ships may be fitted with a sensor attached to the inside of the ship's hull just below the water
line which gives a remote measurement of sea temperature by conduction through the hull plating.
This is only suitable for ships whose draught does not change significantly, or sensors may be fitted for
light and loaded conditions.
The cabling required makes this an expensive method.
Historically pressure was measured by mercury barometer as this method was the most accurate
available.
The aneroid barometer is relatively cheap and simple, and is used on most ships.
Subsequently the Precision Aneroid Barometer was developed and is used on Observing Ships.
Chain
Spring
Levers
Pressure Capsule
A sealed capsule of thin metal expands and contracts in response to changes in external atmospheric
pressure.
This movement is magnified mechanically to rotate a pointer.
A graduated circular scale indicates the corresponding pressure.
An adjustment is provided to set the correct pressure.
6
1.3.2.2 Precision Aneroid Barometer
Pressure capsules
Lever
Pressure Display
1013.3
Gearing
Hair
Spring Thumbwheel
Button
Switch
Battery CRT
Display
The Precision Aneroid Barometer is supplied to Selected Ships.
This instrument is more consistently accurate.
The sensing element consists of three pressure capsules.
A lever is kept in contact with the capsule by a hairspring.
A micrometer screw operates a counter and indicates the position of the lever by a magic eye indicator.
The circuit is activated when a button switch is pressed.
The display is discontinuous when the contact is open and continuous when the contact is made.
1.3.2.2.1 Procedure
Press the button switch.
Turn the knurled knob in accordance with the instructions until the Magic Eye is just continuous then
discontinuous with small adjustments of the knob.
Continuous - increase reading,
Discontinuous - decrease reading.
Release the button switch.
Read the pressure to 0.1 hPa.
0.05 is rounded to the odd tenth.
A Damping Cap, which has a small orifice and restricts air flow, may be fitted in conditions of rapidly
fluctuating pressure.
1.3.2.2.4 Maintenance
The accuracy is checked by Port Meteorological Officers against a standard instrument.
The battery is replaced when exhausted.
7
1.3.3 Recording Atmospheric Pressure
1.3.3.1 Barograph
A Barograph records changes in atmospheric pressure.
1.3.3.1.1 Operation
The aneroid mechanism is used to operate a pen drawing a trace on graduated paper on a chart on a
drum turned by clockwork.
The changes in atmospheric pressure can be readily seen and used for forecasting purposes.
The barograph supplied to Selected Ships has a cylinder filled with oil around the pressure capsule to
reduce the effects of vibration and rapid pressure fluctuations.
Barograph
Rotating Drum
with Chart
Adjustment
Levers
Pressure Capsules
Pen Arm
Oil filled
cylinder
1.3.3.1.3 Terms
The Characteristic of the Barometric Tendency describes the shape of the trace on the chart in the three
hours preceding the observation.
The Barometric Tendency is the amount of change in atmospheric pressure in the three hours preceding
the observation. It indicates the rate of change of atmospheric pressure.
8
1.4 Cloud observations
Two aspects of cloud cover are recorded and reported, the amount and type of cloud present.
1.5 Wind.
Anemometers and wind vanes may be used to measure relative wind speed and direction.
They are subject to inaccuracy due to turbulent flow around the ship's structure.
Relative wind speed and direction are indicated by anemometer and wind vane.
The movement of the vessel must be allowed for by vector analysis to find the true wind speed and
direction.
Plot the vessels movement vector WO using a suitable scale.
Plot the relative wind vector OA.
Measure the true wind vector WA.
1.6 Waves
Wave direction is the direction from which waves are approaching.
Wave height is the height from trough to crest.
Wave period is the time in seconds taken for successive waves to pass a fixed point.
9
1.6.1 Wind waves.
Wind waves are the waves being generated by the wind that in blowing at the time of the observation.
The height of the waves is recorded as a sea state.
Selected ships report actual wave heights in code, sea and swell period and swell direction.
1.7 Visibility.
When objects are in sight at known distances these can be used to estimate visibility.
The quality of the horizon may be used in the absence of other indicators.
A clear horizon indicates good visibility; an indistinct horizon indicates poor visibility.
The difficulty is exacerbated at night.
Reflection from particles in the air around the ship's lights indicates reduced visibility is likely.
The absence of shore lights when these should be visible indicates reduced visibility.
Relative Humidity may be used to distinguish between fog/mist and haze.
Low Relative Humidity, <95%, indicates haze rather than fog or mist.
1. 8 Meteorological Codes
Selected Ships are those making meteorological reports at any time of day except the North Pacific,
where reports are made on the synoptic hours of 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UT.
10
1.8.2 Coding
Coding is normally no longer performed manually as the Turbowin software is used.
The details of the codes are contained in the Ship's Code and Decode Book.
The observations are recorded in the Ship's Meteorological Logbook before being transmitted.
The Logbook is sent for analysis on completion.
Other phenomena are also recorded.
11
1.8.2.3 Other entries.
Details of observing officers are entered.
Space is provided for reporting message clearance difficulties, Meteorological service shortcomings,
Freak Waves, Sea Surface Currents and unusual phenomena.
12
13
2 The Atmosphere
2.1 Introduction
Meteorology is the science of the atmosphere and the phenomena that occur within it.
Weather describes the phenomena occurring in the atmosphere in the short term.
Climate describes the long term pattern of weather.
The atmosphere is the envelope of gases that surrounds the earth, travels with it through space, and
rotates with it.
Air is the mixture of gases comprising the atmosphere.
Turbulent mixing maintains a high degree of constancy in the composition of air.
Average values are:
Nitrogen 78.09%
Oxygen 20.95%
Argon 0.93%
Carbon Dioxide 0.03%
Traces of Neon, Helium, Methane, Krypton, Hydrogen, Nitrogen Oxide, Xenon, and Radon.
Other gases, vapours and solids are present in the atmosphere in varying concentrations in different
locations.
Ozone, O3, produced by the effect of solar radiation, is present between altitudes of approximately 12 to
49 km.
It absorbs ultraviolet light.
Carbon Dioxide tends to be concentrated near the surface due to its relatively high density. It enters the
atmosphere by animal exhalation and fuel combustion, balanced by plant absorption. There are local
concentrations in and near industrial regions.
Solid particles of dust, sand, smoke, salt, volcanic ash, meteoric debris (20 t/d) and bacteria also affect
meteorological processes by their effect on solar radiation and by providing hygroscopic nuclei for
condensation of water vapour.
2.3.1 Introduction
14
2.3.2 Troposphere
2.3.3 Tropopause
2.3.4 Stratosphere
In this layer temperature increases with altitude due to radiation absorption by ozone.
Ozone concentration is high in the stratosphere, the highest concentration being at approximately 22 km.
2.3.5 Stratopause
15
2.3.6 Mesosphere
2.3.7 Mesopause
2.3.8 Thermosphere
The thermosphere contains extremely rarefied air in which temperature rises with altitude due to the
absorption of ultraviolet radiation by oxygen.
Phenomena such as aurorae due to ionization of the gases occur at altitudes up to 1000 km.
2.4.1 Terms
16
17
2.4.2 Solar Radiation
Solar radiation from the sun provides the energy that causes meteorological phenomena on earth.
Energy
Solar
Radiation
Terrestrial
Reradiation
Wavelength
18
2.4.4 Atmospheric effects on solar radiation
Air is virtually transparent to radiation. Substances in the atmosphere have different effects on solar
radiation.
Reflection. Radiation striking clouds, earth and water is partially reflected into space.
Approximately 21% of solar radiation is reflected by clouds and 4% by the surface.
Insolation is the radiation reaching the surface and absorbed by land and water.
19
2.4.5 Terrestrial reradiation
Any body at a temperature above absolute zero radiates energy at a wavelength inversely proportional to
its temperature.
Land, water and water vapour radiate energy at long wavelengths.
This energy is reflected and absorbed by the substances in the atmosphere in a complex pattern.
The proportion of energy radiating into space varies widely.
Overall solar radiation is matched by reradiation to space and the earth's temperature remains
approximately constant, although there are cyclic variations on various time scales.
2.5.1 Conduction
Energy is conducted from land and water surfaces to air in contact with them.
2.5.2 Convection
Air heated by conduction moves vertically due to its reduced density in a convective cycle, carrying
energy upward.
2.5.3 Advection
2.5.3 Evaporation
Water vapour evaporating from bodies of water and from plants carries latent heat energy into the
atmosphere from the surface.
2.5.4 Condensation
Water vapour condensing into liquid water in the atmosphere releases latent heat energy into the air.
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2.6 Surface Temperature Variation
Unit energy is spread over a wider area when the altitude is low than when the altitude is high.
Surface albedo is generally higher at the poles than the equator, reflecting more energy.
Temperatures are low at the Poles and high at the Equator.
Land surfaces experience wider ranges of surface temperature than water surfaces.
This is modified by vegetation, which reduces the range of land surface temperatures by increasing the
specific heat of the surface and increasing the depth of material involved.
21
2.6.4 Horizontal variation
22
2.6.5 Periodic variation
Diurnal Variation
Temperature
Reradiation
Surplus
Deficit
Deficit
Insolation
00 06 12 18 24
Insolation is zero until sunrise, rises to a maximum at noon, then declines to zero at sunset.
Reradiation varies as temperature.
Temperature falls due to reradiation until insolation equals reradiation, rises while insolation exceeds
reradiation, then falls again.
Diurnal variation leads to minimum temperatures at dawn and maxima during the afternoon.
Annual Variation
Temperature
Surplus
Reradiation
Deficit
Deficit
Insolation
In the troposphere temperature decreases by 6.49/1000m with increasing altitude in the Troposhere on
average, but there are wide variations.
There are layers where temperature does not change significantly with increasing altitude, and where
temperature increases with increasing altitude.
An isothermal layer is one in which temperature does not change significantly with increasing altitude.
An inversion is a layer in which temperature increases with increasing altitude.
Actual variations are measured by radiosonde.
The Environment Curve shows actual temperature variations with altitude.
i) Temperature ii)
A
A
iii) iv)
24
25
2.7 Water vapour
2.7.1 Introduction
60
50
Vapour Concentration (Absolute Humidity) g/m3
40
30
20
10
0
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Temperature C
The diagram shows the relationship between temperature and the vapour concentration (absolute
humidity, specific humidity) required to saturate air.
2.7.2 Humidity
Vapour concentration or absolute humidity is the weight of water vapour present in unit volume of the
atmosphere.
Saturated Vapour Concentration is the maximum amount of water vapour that can be present in unit
volume of air at a particular temperature. It is directly proportional to temperature.
26
Relative Humidity is the ratio of water vapour present in unit volume of air to the quantity required to
saturate it at the same temperature, expressed as a percentage.
Relative Humidity = Vapour Concentration Saturated Vapour Concentration x 100 %.
Humidity depends on the availability of a source of water, and air temperature.
Air over an equatorial ocean will acquire high humidity, over an arctic land mass a low humidity.
Relative Humidity varies inversely as the Temperature and directly as the Absolute Humidity.
As Temperature increases Relative Humidity decreases, and conversely as Temperature decreases
Relative Humidity increases.
As Absolute Humidity increases Relative Humidity increases, and conversely as Absolute Humidity
decreases Relative Humidity decreases.
Changes of Temperature and Absolute Humidity may occur simultaneously.
Relative Humidity
Changes directly as
Absolute Humidity
(Dew Point)
Relative Humidity
Changes inversely as
Temperature
The Dew Point temperature is the temperature at which a particular sample of air becomes saturated.
It is related to the vapour concentration of the air, not its temperature.
Condensation will tend to occur if the air is cooled below its Dew Point.
Range of temperatures
Vapour Concentration
27
2.7.4 Evaporation and condensation
Evaporation is the change of state of water from liquid to vapour, transporting water from a body of
liquid water to the adjacent air as water vapour.
The rate of evaporation is directly proportional to Temperature and inversely proportional to Absolute
Humidity.
Energy as latent heat is also transferred.
60
50
Vapour Concentration (Absolute Humidity) g/m3
40
30
20
Mixing
Evaporation
10
Cooling
0
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Temperature C
28
2.8 Hydrological processes
Vertical movement of air causes temperature changes that may lead to condensation and the formation
of cloud and precipitation.
Adiabatic changes are those occurring in a body of air isolated from its surroundings.
The following statements describe adiabatic changes, which occur in the short term.
Rising air is subject to decreasing pressure, it expands, and the quantity of heat present occupies a
greater volume, leading to decreasing temperature.
Descending air is subject to increasing pressure, it contracts, and the quantity of heat present occupies a
smaller volume, leading to increasing temperature.
The Lapse Rate is the rate of change of temperature with altitude.
The Environmental Lapse Rate (ELR) is the actual rate of change of temperature with altitude as would
be measured by radiosonde.
The average Environment Lapse Rate is approximately 6.0C km-1.
The Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate (DALR) is the rate at which unsaturated air changes temperature when
forced to ascend or descend.
The DALR is nearly constant at approximately 9.8C km-1.
The Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rate (SALR) is the rate at which saturated air changes temperature when
forced to ascend or descend.
The SALR is lower than the DALR because condensation is taking place releasing latent heat into the air.
The SALR varies according to the amount of water vapour present between approximately 4C km-1 and
9C km-1.
At high temperatures air is saturated with a high vapour concentration and a large amount of Latent Heat
is released as the water vapour condenses making the SALR considerably different from the DALR.
At low temperatures air is saturated with a low vapour concentration and a small amount of Latent Heat
is released as the water vapour condenses making the SALR little different from the DALR.
29
2.9 Atmospheric stability
2.9.1 Introduction
Air with a different density from the surrounding air will ascend or descend until it reaches a level where
the surrounding air has the same density.
Air density is closely related to its temperature.
Whether a parcel of air ascends or descends when disturbed depends on the interrelationship of the Dry
and Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rates and the Environmental Lapse Rate.
Altitude ELR
SALR
SALR
SALR
DALR DALR
DALR
Temperature
Stable air tends to return to its original altitude when forced to ascend or descend.
This occurs when the Environment Lapse Rate is less than both the Dry and Saturated Adiabatic Lapse
Rates.
The temperature of an ascending or descending parcel of air changes more than that of the surrounding
air.
Air moved upward becomes cooler and denser than the surrounding air, then descends to its original level
when the upward force is removed.
Air moved downward becomes warmer and less dense than the surrounding air, then ascends to its
original level when the downward force is removed.
Associated weather
Vertical air movement is inhibited.
Clear skies are likely and any clouds are likely to be stratiform.
Precipitation is unlikely and will be light rain or drizzle if present.
Visibility is likely to be moderate, deteriorating if stable conditions persist.
Atmospheric pollution is likely to accumulate leading to haze contributing to deteriorating visibility.
Unstable air tends to move further away from its original altitude when forced to ascend or descend.
This occurs when the Environmental Lapse Rate is greater than both the Dry and Saturated Adiabatic
Lapse Rates.
The temperature of an ascending or descending parcel of air changes less than that of the surrounding
air.
Air moved upward becomes warmer and less dense than the surrounding air and continues to ascend.
Air moved downward becomes cooler and denser than the surrounding air and continues to descend.
30
Associated weather
Vertical air movement is accentuated.
Cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds are likely.
Precipitation will be in the form of heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Visibility is likely to be good except in precipitation.
Conditionally stable air is stable when unsaturated and unstable when saturated.
This occurs when the Environment Lapse Rate is less than the Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate and greater than
the Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rate.
Dry air moved upward becomes denser than the surrounding air and tends to return to its original
altitude.
Dry air moved downward becomes less dense than the surrounding air and tends to return to its original
altitude.
Saturated air moved upward becomes less dense than the surrounding air, and continues to ascend.
Saturated air moved downward becomes denser than the surrounding air, and continues to descend.
Associated weather
This depends on the degree of uplift.
Uplifted air may be stable if uplift is weak, or unstable if uplift is strong.
A temperature inversion exists when the air temperature increases as altitude increases.
These may exist at the surface or at altitude.
The tropopause is a permanent inversion.
An inversion has the effect of suppressing ascent of unstable air when its temperature coincides with
that of the environmental lapse rate at a particular altitude.
The anvil of a cumulonimbus cloud that has ascended to the tropopause illustrates this.
SALR
ELR
CL
DALR
T
31
2.9.6 Causes of temperature inversions
Surface Inversions
Frontal Inversions
Cold
Warm
Cold
A Radiosonde graphs A
T T
Frontal inversions exist at the passage of both cold and warm fronts where warm air overlies cold air.
These are transient features lasting only while the front passes.
Subsidence Inversion
A A
ELR ELR
DALR DALR
T T
32
Subsidence is widespread descent of air, usually associated with an anticyclone.
The temperature of descending air increases at the dry adiabatic lapse rate.
When the environmental lapse rate is lower than the dry adiabatic lapse rate a mass of air which has
descended will be at a higher temperature than the air below it and an inversion will exist.
Turbulence Inversion
DALR ELR
Turbulent
Layer
2.10 Clouds
2.10.1 Introduction
VC SVC A
SALR
CL
DP
DALR
T T
Ascending air that is not saturated cools at the Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate.
As it does so its relative humidity rises until the air becomes saturated at its dew point temperature with
100% relative humidity.
Water vapour will condense into droplets of liquid water that will be visible in the atmosphere as cloud.
Condensation will be in the form of ice crystals if the dew point is below the freezing temperature.
Condensation takes place onto hygroscopic nuclei, microscopic solid particles in the atmosphere.
The condensation level is the altitude at which condensation takes place, and will be the altitude of the
cloud base.
33
2.10.2 Convection clouds
A A A
CL CL CL
T T T
Convection causes cloud formation by heating air at the surface, reducing its density.
The heated air then ascends and cools at the dry adiabatic lapse rate until it reaches its dew point.
Condensation then occurs, releasing latent heat, at the condensation level, visible as the cloud base.
Ascending further the air cools at the saturated adiabatic lapse rate.
The extent of ascent depends on the relationship between the environment lapse rate and the dry and
saturated lapse rates in the area.
Ascent will be continue as long as the temperature of the ascending air is higher than that of the
surrounding air, as it will be less dense.
Ascent may be limited by an inversion, coincidence with the environment lapse rate, or continue to the
tropopause.
Cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds are formed by convection.
Over land convection clouds form once insolation has raised surface temperatures sufficiently to initiate
the process, increase to maximum extent in the late afternoon when temperatures are highest and then
dissipate.
Over water temperature variations are less marked and a diurnal pattern is less common.
Convection clouds may form at night when the upper atmosphere cools by radiation and becomes cooler
and denser than the lower atmosphere, which then ascends through it. Subsequent heating in daylight
dissipates these clouds.
The altitude of the cloud base may be estimated by measuring the surface air temperature and its dew
point.
The difference between these in C multiplied by 125 will approximate to the condensation altitude in
metres.
Cold
Warm
Cold
A frontal zone is the area in the vicinity of a front between two air masses of dissimilar temperature.
At a cold front cold air undercuts warm air due to its higher density, uplift occurs and clouds form.
At a warm front warm air rises above cold air due to its lower density, uplift occurs and clouds form.
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2.10.4 Orographic cloud
Orographic cloud forms when air moving horizontally meets rising ground and is forced upward to a
sufficient altitude for condensation to occur.
The ascending air cools at the dry adiabatic lapse rate until its temperature reaches its dew point.
Condensation then commences releasing latent heat and cooling continues at the saturated adiabatic
lapse rate.
The vertical extent of the cloud depends on the stability of the ascending air.
Unstable air will continue to rise forming cumulus clouds downwind of the obstruction.
Stable air will descend again, warming at the saturated adiabatic lapse rate as water droplets evaporate
and absorb latent heat, then at the dry adiabatic lapse rate once the cloud has dissolved.
Unstable air will continue to ascend, forming a chain of cumulus clouds downwind of the hill.
Cloud will cover the upper parts of a hill if the condensation level is below the highest point and the air
is stable.
The condensation level will be at a higher altitude in the lee of a hill if precipitation occurs from
orographic cloud, reducing the vapour content of the air.
Orographic cloud
Stable air
Precipitation
VC SVC A
SALR
DALR
T T
A Fohn wind is a warm dry wind on the lee side of a hill occurring in these circumstances. The
temperature of the descending air will increase at the dry adiabatic lapse rate once the water droplets
have evaporated and the relative humidity will decrease.
35
Lenticular clouds will form if the condensation level is higher than the crest of the hill.
Lee clouds will form if a series of waves occur in the air stream in the lee of the hill and lift the air
above the condensation level.
Lenticular cloud
Lee cloud
In an unstable airstream turbulence may act a trigger to the formation of cumulus cloud.
When air masses converge uplift occurs and cloud will form if air ascends to the condensation level.
These clouds will be cumuliform.
The vertical extent will depend on the stability of the air, limited if stable, extensive if unstable.
The horizontal extent will depend on the area over which uplift occurs.
36
2.10.7 Dispersal of cloud
VC
SVC
Dispersal
Evaporation
Cloud
Clouds consist of water droplets and/or ice crystals varying in diameter from 0.01 to 1 millimetres.
The relevant temperatures are:
>0C Water droplets.
<0C Supercooled water droplets
<-10C Ice crystals or supercooled water droplets.
<-40C Ice crystals.
37
2.10.9 Cloud classification
Altitudes:
Low 0 - 2000m
Medium 2000 - 6000m
High 6000 - tropopause
Structure types:
Cirrus Feathery or fibrous
Cumulus Heap
Stratus Layer
Nimbus Rain
Fractus Broken
High clouds
1. Cirrus (Ci), white fibrous detached clouds usually in lines or bands, often hooked.
2. Cirrocumulus (Cc), small elements of cloud in patches or sheets.
3. Cirrostratus (Cs), thin layer of cloud which may produce halo phenomena.
Medium clouds
4. Altocumulus (Ac), globular masses of fairly small clouds in layers or patches. May produce corona
phenomena.
5. Altostratus (As), layer of grey cloud which partially or completely obscures the sun.
Low clouds
6. Cumulus (Cu), detached clouds with flat bases, vertical development and rounded tops.
7. Stratus (St), uniform layer of cloud.
8. Stratocumulus (Sc), layer of cloud with distinct elements within it.
9. Nimbostratus (Ns), layer of cloud from which precipitation is falling.
10. Cumulonimbus (Cb), Cumulus clouds with considerable vertical development, possibly to the
tropopause, and from which precipitation is falling.
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2.11 Precipitation
Precipitation is particles of liquid water or ice formed within cloud and falling toward the earth.
Particles forming clouds are small enough to be supported by ascending air because their terminal
velocity is lower than the speed of updraft.
For precipitation to occur particle size must increase until the terminal velocity of the particles is
greater than the speed of updraft.
The Bergeron theory describes ice crystal formation on freezing nuclei followed by preferential ice
deposition from supercooled water vapour leading to ice crystal growth where ice crystals and
supercooled water droplets coexist.
Once large enough to fall the ice crystals may melt in increasing air temperatures and reach the surface
as rain.
Water drops may grow to 5.5 mm diameter. This is limited by surface tension.
2.11.2 Hail
2.11.4.1 Dew consists of water droplets formed when a surface cools below the Dew Point of the Air.
The cooling surface cools the air in contact with it below its dew Point and water vapour condenses to
liquid water on the surface.
39
Ground Frost describes ground temperatures below freezing.
The air temperature may be above freezing.
Rime is ice crystals formed by the freezing of supercooled water droplets onto surfaces.
The crystals are typically globular and adhering to adjacent crystals at the point of contact only.
Rime frequently collects on the windward surfaces of objects in fog when temperatures are below
freezing.
Glaze ice is a sheet of ice formed when rain falls on a surface at a temperature below freezing. (Black
Ice)
2.12 Thunderstorms
Positive Charge + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
Ice Crystals
0 C Updraught
70 kts
Lightning and
thunder
Rain and Hail
Water Droplets
Negative Charge
Downdraft
Squall front
Hazard to
Heavy rain, hail
Small craft
Lightning and thunder
Positive Charge + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
40
2.12.2 Life cycle of a thunderstorm cell
Developing stage.
The precursor conditions exist.
An event triggers ascending air. (Local heating, orographic uplift, frontal uplift)
Ascending unstable air forms cumulus cloud.
Latent heat released by condensation accentuates the instability accelerating the ascent.
Water drop growth occurs.
Ice crystal formation and the Bergeron process occurs at altitudes where temperatures are below
freezing.
Mature stage
Water drops reach adequate size to fall through the cloud and reach the surface as rain.
Ascent and descent within the cloud may lead to hailstone growth to adequate size for hail to reach the
ground.
Lightening and thunder may occur.
Dissipation stage.
Precipitation carries energy out of the cloud.
Water vapour content is reduced by precipitation.
Descending cold air reduces instability.
Precipitation decreases.
The cell dissipates.
41
2.12.3 Lightning
2.12.4 Thunder
The rapid heating, to approximately 28,000 C, and subsequent rapid cooling of the air along the path of
a lightening discharge causes sound generation known as thunder.
2.13 Visibility
42
2.13.4 Sea smoke
Cold air flowing over warm water may become saturated close to the surface by evaporation from the
water.
2.13.6 Haze
Haze may be caused by a number of types of solid particles.
Dust from desert regions, such as the Arabian or Sahara Desert.
Smoke from industrial regions or forest fires.
Volcanic ash.
2.13.7 Vog
Smog caused by the gases erupted by a volcano.
43
3 Planetary pressure and wind system
3.1.1 Introduction
Atmospheric pressure is due to the column of air above the point considered and the force of gravity
attracting the air toward the earth.
Air is highly compressible and the density varies inversely with altitude.
50% of the mass of the atmosphere lies below 5 km.
The unit of pressure is the Pascal, (Pa).
Meteorologists use the hectoPascal (hPa) as a unit of measurement for historical reasons; it is equal to
the previously used unit, the millibar.
The standard pressure at the surface is 1013.25 hPa.
Actual surface pressure varies from 870 hPa in the eye of a tropical storm to more than 1083.8 hPa at the
centre of an anticyclone.
Pressure varies directly as the density and depth of the fluid causing it.
Density of air varies inversely as its temperature.
Depth may vary due to processes bringing air to an area or moving air away from it.
3.1.2 Definitions
An isobar is a line on a weather chart connecting places having the same atmospheric pressure.
The Pressure Gradient is the rate of change of pressure with distance, measured perpendicular to the
isobars.
The Pressure Tendency is the rate of change of atmospheric pressure with time, standardised as the
change in pressure over three hours.
Isobars
Pressure Gradient
Pressure Tendency
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3.1.3 Diurnal variation of pressure
Pressure varies through the day in a regular cycle due to tidal effects caused by heating of the upper
atmosphere.
The diagram shows typical variation from the mean pressure for the area and time of year in the tropics.
The effect is greatest in the tropics, decreases with latitude, and is masked in higher latitudes by other
changes.
3.2 Wind
The Pressure Gradient Force (pgf) is the force exerted on air particles due to the pressure gradient at a
place.
A notional cube of air has forces acting on all its faces. Pressure
The forces on top and bottom are not relevant to horizontal Low Pressure Gradient
movement. Force
The forces acting parallel to the isobars are equal.
The forces acting perpendicular to the isobars are greater on
the side nearer to high pressure.
The resultant of these is the Pressure Gradient Force.
Its magnitude is proportional to the Pressure Gradient.
It acts from high pressure toward low pressure perpendicular to
the isobars.
Air tends to flow initially directly from high pressure toward low
pressure.
High Pressure
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3.2.2 Coriolis Force (Geostrophic Force).
By Newtons first law of motion a moving body travels at a constant velocity unless acted upon by an
external force.
On the earths surface this will be toward a star on the horizon.
On the diagram on the plane of the rational horizon in a middle northern latitude all stars on the horizon
have a component of movement to the right.
An object constrained to the earths surface will travel parallel to the surface with a deflection to the
right.
Any moving body on the surface of a rotating planet experiences a deflection to one side of its direction
of movement except at the equator.
The Coriolis Force is an imaginary force used to explain and calculate the magnitude of this effect.
Coriolis Force varies as the sine of latitude from zero at the equator to maximum at the poles.
It varies directly as the speed of the moving body.
Coriolis Force acts perpendicularly to the direction of movement, to the right of the direction of
movement in the northern hemisphere and to the left in the southern hemisphere.
The term Geostrophic Effect is also used. It is a more accurate description.
The following is valid for altitudes of approximately 500m and above, where surface friction is not a
factor.
Consider a particle of air at rest in a pressure field of parallel isobars in a middle northern latitude.
The pressure gradient force will cause it to move perpendicular to the isobars.
Its movement will cause a Coriolis force perpendicular to, and to the right of, its direction of movement.
The particle will deflect to the right.
The gradient pressure force will continue to act perpendicularly to the isobars.
The coriolis force will act at right angles to the direction of movement.
Eventually a state of equilibrium will be reached with the air particle moving parallel to the isobars with
the coriolis force equal and opposite to the pressure gradient force.
This motion is called Geostrophic motion.
The resulting wind is the Geostrophic Wind.
Geostrophic Wind
PGF
988 hPa W
PGF
W CF
992 hPa
PGF CF
Pressure Coriolis
Gradient Force
1000 hPa Force
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Variation with Latitude.
The magnitude of Coriolis Force varies directly as Latitude.
In low Latitude greater speed is require to generate the balancing Coriolis Force than in high Latitude.
The speed of the Geostrophic Wind is therefore greater in low Latitude than in high Latitude for the
same Pressure Gradient.
Geostrophic Wind
High Latitude Low Latitude
Coriolis Force
Straight isobar
W W W
Gradient Wind
Gradient Wind Geostrophic Wind Subgeostrophic
Supergeostrophic
The Gradient Wind is the wind flowing in an area with curved isobars.
Air flowing parallel to curved isobars will follow a curved path.
The force causing the deflection to a curved path is the centripetal force.
This must act toward the centre of curvature of the isobars.
The pressure gradient force remains unchanged.
Air flowing around an anticyclone must increase speed in order to generate increased Coriolis Force
toward the centre of the system to achieve a curved path.
Air flowing around a depression must decrease speed in order to decrease Coriolis Force away from the
centre of the system and achieve a curved path.
Gradient wind is super-geostrophic where isobars are curved anticyclonically and sub-geostrophic where
isobars are curved cyclonically.
The amount of modification of the geostrophic wind speed depends on isobar curvature, latitude and
wind speed.
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3.2.5 Surface wind
Low Pressure
Northern Hemisphere. AoI
Low Pressure
90
Buys Ballot
Angle of Indraft
Geostrophic /
Gradient Wind
Surface Wind
Coriolis Force
High Pressure
Southern Hemisphere.
Low Pressure Low Pressure
AoI
Geostrophic /
Gradient Wind
Surface Wind
Coriolis Force
High Pressure
The direction of wind is that from which it comes, WSW in the diagram above.
Summary.
Pressure Gradient Force acts from high toward low pressure, perpendicular to the Isobars.
Air moves in response to the Pressure Gradient Force.
Coriolis Force deflects flow to the right in the Northern Hemisphere, left in the Southern Hemisphere,
Geostrophic Wind, parallel to the Isobars.
Gradient wind describes flow along curved Isobars, higher than Geostrophic if anticyclonically curved,
lower if cyclonically curved.
Surface Wind flows in toward low pressure, crossing the Isobars at the Angle of Indraft.
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3.2.6 Buys-Ballot's Law
Geostrophic Wind Scales are printed on synoptic charts to enable rapid estimation of wind speed.
The scale is appropriate for that of the chart.
Method
Measure the distance between isobars on the chart at the point of interest.
Lay that distance off from the left axis of the scale at the appropriate latitude.
Estimate the Geostrophic Wind from the curves of the chart.
Geostrophic wind 60 kn
Wind Graphs.
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The Gradient Wind Graph is calculated for Latitude 50.
It is useable over the range 40 to 80 Latitude
The theoretical maximum anticyclonic gradient wind is twice the geostrophic wind.
The wind speed around anticyclonically curved isobars may be up to twice the speed that would be
expected from the isobar spacing.
Cyclostrophic wind speed is an approximation to gradient wind speed that ignores coriolis force.
This is valid where coriolis force is small relative to pressure gradient force, as is the case in a tropical
revolving storm in low latitude.
Wind is said to be Veering when the change of direction is clockwise and Backing when the change of
direction is anticlockwise.
In the absence of a graph the Geostrophic wind in knots may be found by estimating the pressure
gradient in hectoPascals over 300 nm and multiplying by the following factors.
Latitude 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Factor 11.3 7.6 5.7 4.6 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1
V = dP 2 A sin L d dD
where
V = velocity in metres per second
dP = change in pressure in Pascals
A = angular rotation of earth in radians per second
L = latitude
d = density of air in Kilograms per cubic metre. ICAO Standard Atmosphere 1.225 Kg/m3
dD = distance in metres over which change of pressure takes place.
Cyclonic.
Vgr = 1 2 x (r x f + (r2 x f2 + 4 x r x f x Vge))
Vgr = velocity of Gradient Wind. m s1
r = radius of curvature of isobars. M
f = Coriolis Parameter = 2 x 2 x Pi 24 60 60 x sin L
Vge = Velocity of Geostrophic wind.
Anticyclonic
Vgr = 1 2 x (r x f (r2 x f2 4 x r x f x Vge))
50
51
B
52
H
D E
G C
F
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3.2.11 Wind determination exercises.
Determine the wind speed from the synoptic chart in the following positions:
F 38 N 022 W (0)
G 51 N 053 W (0)
H 58 N 045 W (0)
A 51 S 143 E (90 34 34 23 W)
D 25 S 113 E (0)
E 51 S 115 E (0)
F 32 S 143 E (0)
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3.3 Waves
3.3.1 Introduction
Wind waves (sea waves) are generated by the wind blowing at the position considered.
Swell waves are former wind waves that have travelled out of the area of generation, or continue in an
area after the wind causing them has ceased.
Length
Trough
Air moving over the surface of water exerts a drag upon it.
Air movement is turbulent and the drag upon the water surface fluctuates.
Waves form in the water surface that reacts with the airflow.
The characteristics of the waves depend on the wind speed.
Period, seconds, is the time taken between passage of one crest past a point and the passage of the next
crest.
Speed, knots, is the speed of movement of the wave crest through the water.
Speed kts 3.1 x Period s.
Length, metres, is the distance from the crest of one wave to the crest of the next wave.
Height, metres, is the vertical distance between crest and trough of a wave.
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Wave heights vary in a train of waves.
The ratios of waves exceeding the average height are:
2x 1:23
3x 1:1175
4x 1:300000
Significant wave height is the average of the highest third of waves.
The greatest wave height reported is 34 metres.
The Beaufort scale gives probable and probable maximum wave heights associated with wind force.
3.3.6 Swell
Swell waves are waves that have been generated by a wind that has ceased blowing, or which is blowing
in a different place.
Swell waves are decreasing in magnitude as the viscosity of the water absorbs energy.
High waves contain most energy, and have long periods.
Swell wave height decreases and period increases.
Swell waves characteristically have low height in relation to length and period.
Steepness is characteristically low.
3.3.7 Direction
Wind waves and swell waves are named by the direction from which they come.
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Wind speed 36 kts.
Duration 24 hours.
Significant Wave Height 6.5 metres.
The Beaufort scale gives probable and probable maximum wave heights associated with wind force.
Dorresteins Nomogram gives a close approximation to the Beaufort Scale at a Duration of twelve hours.
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Beaufort Scale of Wind Force
Beaufort Wind Descriptive Sea Criterion Probable Description
scale Speed terms wave (Shipping
number Range height Forecast)
knots metres
0 <1 Calm Sea like mirror 0 Calm
(Glassy)
1 1-3 Light air Ripples with the appearance of scale are 0.1 Calm
formed but without foam crests (Rippled)
2 4-6 Light Small wavelets, still short but more 0.2 Smooth
breeze pronounced; crests have a glassy (Wavelets)
appearance and do not break.
3 7-10 Gentle Large wavelets. Crests begin to break. 0.6 Slight
breeze Foam of glassy appearance. Perhaps
scattered white horses.
4 11-16 Moderate Small waves, becoming longer; fairly 1.0 Slight /
breeze frequent white horses. Moderate
5 17-21 Fresh Moderate waves, taking a more 2.0 Moderate
breeze pronounced long form; many white horses
are formed. Chance of some spray.
6 22-27 Strong Large waves begin to form; the white 3.0 Rough
breeze foam crests are more extensive
everywhere. Probably some spray.
7 28-33 Near gale Sea heaps up and white foam from 4.0 Rough /
breaking waves begins to be blown in Very Rough
streaks along the direction of the wind.
8 34-40 Gale Moderately high waves of greater length; 5.5 Very Rough
edges of crests beginning to break into / High
spindrift. The foam is blown is well-
marked streaks along the direction of the
wind.
9 41-47 Strong gale High waves. Dense streaks of foam along 7.0 High
the direction of the wind. Crests of waves
begin to topple, tumble and roll over.
Spray may affect visibility.
10 48-55 Storm Very high waves with long overhanging 9.0 Very High
crests. The resulting foam in great patches
is blown in dense streaks along the
direction of the wind. On the whole the
surface of the sea takes on a white
appearance. The tumbling of the sea
becomes heavy and shocklike. Visibility
affected.
11 56-63 Violent Exceptionally high waves. Small and 11.5 Very High
storm medium sized ships might for a time be
lost to view behind the waves. The sea is
completely covered with long white
patches of foam lying along the direction
of the wind. Everywhere the edges of the
wave crests are blown into froth. Visibility
affected.
12 64+ Hurricane The air is filled with foam and spray. Sea >14 Phenomenal
completely white with driving spray;
visibility very seriously affected.
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3.3.8 Sea and Swell characteristics may be forecast from nomograms.
a) Is entered with wind speed against either fetch or time and the significant wave height extracted.
b) Is entered with wind speed against either fetch or time and the wave period extracted.
These nomograms give a close approximation to the Beaufort Scale at a Duration of twelve hours.
c) The swell height nomogram is entered with sea wave period against either storm distance or swell
time travel, and ratio of swell height to sea height, and swell period, extracted.
Entered with Wind Speed; Wind Wave Height and Period, corresponding to the Beaufort Scale, and Swell
Height at different distances, can be derived.
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3.3.9 Shallow water
An area subject to abnormal waves exists off the southeast coast of South Africa.
Waves generated by south west gales travelling north eastward meet the south west ward flow of the
Mozambique current, which is particularly strong near the continental shelf in depths of approximately
200m.
The effect is a steepening of the waves, deepening the trough and increasing the height.
Several vessels have suffered severe damage and warnings are given in relevant publications.
Similar waves have been experienced in other areas where large waves travel in the opposite direction to
ocean currents.
Tsunamis are waves generated by movements of the seabed during submarine earthquakes.
In deep water these waves are long and may be low.
They may pass unnoticed by vessels, or a transient acceleration and/or deceleration may be observed.
On entering shallow water the wavelength decreases and height increases with potentially catastrophic
results in coastal areas, particularly bays and inlets.
Tsunami warning systems are increasingly being deployed.
These consist of pressure sensors on the sea bed which transmit data acoustically to buoys on the surface
which then relay data ashore through satellite communication systems.
Historic reports and recent research indicate the presence of extreme single waves with particularly
deep troughs followed by extremely high crests in deep water during storm conditions.
Harmonic effects, the combination of several wave frequencies within the wave train accentuating the
trough depth and wave height, may be responsible.
Research is in progress to establish the causes and attempt to forecast the conditions leading to these
extreme single waves.
Currently an extensive field of strong winds is considered the most likely circumstance for Extreme Single
Wave generation.
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3.5 General circulation of the atmosphere.
3.5.1 Introduction
The circulation of the atmosphere is extremely complex, involving movements on scales varying widely in
distance and time scales.
The general circulation of the atmosphere describes a simplified situation in which small scale
movements are averaged to give a broad picture.
The planetary system of winds and pressure describes a planet with no landmasses or inclination of its
axis of rotation to the plane of its orbit about the sun.
This provides a basis for considering the circulation of the atmosphere.
The energy source for this circulation is the sun.
Insolation and hence heating is greatest at the equator and least at the poles.
The planet's surface temperatures are greatest at the equator and least at the poles.
Pressure zones.
Pressure is low over the equator due to the high temperature and low density of the air.
Pressure is high over the tropics because the depth of the atmosphere is similar to that at the equator,
but the temperature is lower and the density higher.
Pressure is low over the middle latitudes relative to the high pressure over the poles and the tropics.
Pressure is high over the poles due to the low temperature and high density of the air.
Wind zones.
Air flows from high to low pressure, deflected by Coriolis Force to the right in the northern hemisphere
and to the left in the southern hemisphere.
From the polar high to the mid latitude low, Polar Easterlies.
From the tropical high to the mid latitude low, Westerlies.
From the tropical High to the equatorial low, northeast and southeast trade winds.
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The jet streams are high velocity winds at high altitude between the vertical circulation cells:
the polar westerly jet;
the subtropical westerly jet;
the equatorial easterly jet.
Polar Cell
Polar Jet
High Pressure
Ferrell Cell
Low Pressure. Frontal Zone
Subtropical Jet
Hadley Cell
Low Pressure.
Inter Tropical Convergence Zone.
Equatorial Jet
High Pressure
Divergence
Polar Easterlies
Convergence Low Pressure
Southwesterlies
Divergence High Pressure
Northeast Trades
Convergence Low Pressure. Doldrums. ITCZ
Southeast Trades
Divergence High Pressure
Northwesterlies
Convergence Low Pressure
Polar Easterlies
Divergence High Pressure
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3.5.4 Modification of the General Circulation
The inclination of the earth's axis leads to a seasonal movement in latitude of the area of greatest
insolation.
The thermal equator, equatorial trough and the associated pressure belts and winds move northward and
southward to an extent through the cycle of the seasons.
For a given amount of insolation adjacent land and sea surfaces change temperature at different rates.
The land temperature rises faster than the sea temperature when there is an excess of insolation over
radiation and cools more quickly when there is a deficiency.
Large landmasses significantly modify the planetary system, leading to thermal low pressure areas in
summer in latitudes where high pressure might be expected, and conversely in winter.
This effect is most noticeable in the northern hemisphere where large land masses occur.
The general circulation is shown for the months of January and July.
These are the approximate extremes of seasonal change.
Conditions in the tropics do not vary considerably from those shown, with the exception of tropical
revolving storms.
In higher latitudes weather varies more widely from the average.
In the northern hemisphere conditions vary more widely than in the southern hemisphere due to the
greater proportion of land.
The Asian landmass in particular distorts the theoretical pattern with seasonal high and low pressure
areas.
This lies in the equatorial low pressure belt and is the zone of convergence of the northeast and
southeast trade winds.
The ITCZ moves north and south seasonally, lagging about two months behind the change in the sun's
declination.
Its latitude varies between 17 S and 08 N in January, and between 2 N and 27 N in July.
The range is greatest over land.
The ITCZ is identifiable in all oceans in January, but in July it loses its identity in the Indian Ocean and
China Seas due to the influence of the Asian monsoon pressure system.
The ITCZ is characterised by high temperature, high humidity over the oceans, and ascending air leading
to cloud formation and heavy precipitation.
The worlds heaviest rainfall areas coincide closely with this region.
Wind speeds are normally low except for squalls in the vicinity of thunderstorms.
Visibility is normally good except briefly in heavy rain.
ITCZ activity is highest when it is furthest from the equator.
The doldrums is a zone of light and variable winds with a high incidence of heavy rain and thunderstorms.
It lies in the vicinity of the equator, being most extensive in latitude on the eastern side of oceans.
This zone moves seasonally northward and southward.
In the Atlantic it does not normally move south of the equator.
The trade winds flow from the oceanic anticyclones of the North Atlantic, North Pacific and southern
oceans and the toward the low pressure zone of the ITCZ.
The monsoon regime governs the wind pattern of the north Indian Ocean.
They are extremely consistent in speed; 13-15 knots in the Atlantic and up to 18 knots in the South Indian
Ocean.
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Highest speeds occur toward the end of winter in the relevant hemisphere.
Their direction follows that of the isobars around the oceanic anticyclone.
In the northern hemisphere from northerly in latitude 30 through northeasterly to easterly near the
equator.
In the southern hemisphere direction varies from southerly near latitude 30 through southeasterly to
easterly near the equator.
These anticyclones exist throughout the year over the north Atlantic and Pacific oceans and all the
southern oceans.
They are centred in mid-ocean in approximately 30 latitude.
They are regions of subsidence, giving light winds, little precipitation and good visibility.
The temperate zones lie on the poleward side of the oceanic anticyclones and are characterised by
variable weather due to mobile anticyclones and depressions.
These depressions form on the polar front between cold polar air flowing toward the equator and warm,
humid, subtropical air carried northwards by the trade winds.
The mean pressure is low, but actual values vary widely.
Mean wind direction is westerly, again with wide variations.
Wind speed varies from calm to hurricane force.
The polar jet stream is associated with the polar front and plays a major part in the formation of polar
front depressions.
These predominantly easterly winds flow from the polar anticyclones toward the mid latitude low
pressure zones.
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3.5.5 Monsoon Areas
3.5.5.1 Introduction
A monsoon area is one that experiences a marked seasonal change of prevailing wind direction.
The true monsoon occurs over south and east Asia and north east Africa, where the wind direction
reverses.
Other areas experiencing a degree of monsoon variation are:
Southeast United States;
Brazil;
West Africa;
North Australia.
In monsoon areas a marked change of precipitation with the wind variation produces wet and dry
seasons.
In summer the temperature of large landmasses increases, heating the air over them, reducing its
density, and generating low pressure areas.
The pressure gradient from high pressure over adjacent sea to this low pressure results in winds flowing
from sea to land.
The air has high humidity from contact with warm tropical seas.
Convection and orographic ascent on crossing the land results in considerable precipitation.
In winter the temperature of the landmass falls considerably, cooling the air in contact with it,
increasing the density, and high pressure builds.
Airflow is then from the land to the relatively low pressure over the sea.
This air has low humidity and temperature leading to the dry season in the area.
3.5.5.3 The Southwest Monsoon of the North Indian Ocean. June to September.
Heating of the Asiatic landmass results in an area of low pressure centred over northwest India.
The southeast trade wind of the South Indian Ocean is drawn across the equator, deflected to the right
by coriolis force, joins the cyclonic circulation around this depression, and forms the Southwest
monsoon.
The wind force is highest in the western Arabian Sea, averaging force 6 at the height of the season and
force 7 for more than 10 days per month.
The area of greatest intensity lies approximately 250 NM east of Socotra where a heavy southwesterly
swell is also encountered.
In the north and east Arabian Sea the wind force averages force 4.
In the Bay of Bengal average strength is force 4 to 5.
In the South China Sea wind direction is between south and east and strength force 3 to 4.
Weather in the North Indian Ocean is cloudy and unsettled with particularly heavy precipitation on the
west coast of India and Burma.
Cloud cover and rainfall are less over the north and west Arabian sea, and the east coast of India.
Visibility is generally good except in rain.
Over the north and west Arabian Sea visibility may be reduced by dust haze.
Off the southern coast of Arabia sea fog may be encountered.
Over the South China Sea weather is generally fair with occasional showers.
Windward coasts experienced increased cloud cover and frequent heavy rain.
3.5.5.4 The Northeast Monsoon of the North Indian Ocean. November to March.
Cooling of the Asian landmass in winter results in an anticyclone centred over east central Asia.
Airflow from this anticyclone toward the equatorial trough produces predominantly northeast winds over
the North Indian Ocean and China seas.
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Over the North Indian Ocean wind speed averages force 3 to 4, while over the South China Sea force 5 is
experienced.
The air has low humidity initially so precipitation is light near the coasts.
The humidity increases with passage over water and cloud cover and precipitation increase over the
South China Sea.
Visibility is generally excellent.
In the north and east of the Arabian Sea dust haze may occur late in the season.
In the northern Bay of Bengal smoke haze and land mist may be carried seaward.
3.5.5.6 The Southeast Monsoon of the Southeast United States. June to September.
A thermal depression forms over the Mid-West and a pressure gradient from the north Atlantic oceanic
anticyclone generates southeasterly winds over the southeastern United States.
The warm humid air stream produces frequent heavy rain, thunderstorms, squalls and tornadoes.
Visibility is generally good but drastically reduced in heavy rain.
A summer depression over Brazil deflects the southeast trade winds of the south Atlantic, which become
northeast winds over the east coast of Brazil.
The high humidity of this airstream results in heavy rainfall in coastal regions.
In summer heating of the North African landmass produces a depression centred over North Africa.
The southeast trade wind flows across the equator, veers and becomes a southwest wind onto the coast
of West Africa, extending as far as 15N.
This season from June to mid October is one of high cloud cover and considerable rainfall, particularly
from Gambia to Liberia.
Visibility is generally good except in rain.
Violent thunderstorms called 'tornadoes', accompanied by severe squalls moving from the east, occur
toward the beginning and end of this rainy season. (April/May and October/November)
A northwestern airflow is produced over the northeastern South Indian Ocean by the southward
movement of the equatorial trough and an extension of the northeast monsoon across the equator, the
wind direction backing in the process.
Winds are light.
Weather is cloudy and unsettled with rain showers and squalls.
Visibility is good except in rain, which can be heavy on the weather coast of Australia.
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3.6 Air Masses
3.6.1 Introduction
An air mass is a body of air with similar humidity, temperature, lapse rate and stability characteristics
over an extensive area of thousands of square miles.
Air must be in contact with a surface for a considerable length of time to acquire particular
characteristics throughout.
The source regions are those which provide these conditions and generally are stable anticyclones.
These are the polar and oceanic anticyclones throughout the year, and terrestrial anticyclones over
continents in winter.
Other areas may provide suitable conditions for an air mass to form, such as continental deserts.
Air masses are modified by contact with the surface over which they move after leaving their source
regions.
The degree of modification varies with the speed of movement and distance travelled over the modifying
surface.
Slow movement over a long distance will produce more modification than fast movement over a short
distance.
The history of an air mass is important to forecasters.
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3.6.4.1 Temperature
Air colder than the surface over which it is flowing increases in temperature and tends to become less
stable.
Convection can distribute the heat acquired through a significant depth.
It is subclassified k. kPm is polar maritime air flowing over a warm surface.
Air warmer than the surface over which it is flowing will decrease in temperature and tends to become
more stable.
Cooling tends to be limited to the surface layers, leading to an inversion.
It is subclassified w. wTm is tropical maritime air flowing over a cold surface.
3.6.4.2 Humidity
Humidity increases when unsaturated air flows over water, particularly when temperature increases
simultaneously.
Cold continental air flowing over a warm sea can acquire maritime characteristics within a few hundred
miles.
Humidity decreases when precipitation occurs.
A warm humid maritime air mass flowing over cold land will produce precipitation if cooled below its
dew point temperature and its absolute humidity will fall.
3.6.5.1 Introduction
The air masses affecting any place will depend on the nature of adjacent source regions, the synoptic
patterns causing air mass movement and the nature of the intervening surfaces causing air mass
modification.
Britain lies on the interfaces between a continent and an ocean, and Polar and Tropical regions.
Synoptic patterns can produce airflow from any direction, leading to a wide variety of weather.
Other places in similar circumstances experience a similar variety of weather; Japan, Vancouver, and
Newfoundland.
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Ac Ac Winter, Am Summer
Pc
Pm
Tc
Tm
Tc
Arctic continental air travels for considerable distances over the continent before reaching Britain and
acquires the same characteristics as Polar continental air.
Cold, stable and dry at source, warms, destabilises and may humidify over the North Sea.
Winter.
A very cold (<0C), stable air stream with low humidity in its source region.
Humidity increases during the passage over the North Sea and cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds form
over the east coast with rain and snow showers, particularly in the southeast.
Showers are normally limited to daytime inland.
This airstream brings the most severe winter weather if it persists for a few days, particularly if the
easterly winds are strong.
Summer.
The air reaches Britain warm and dry after crossing the continental landmass.
Passage over the North Sea may decrease the temperature and increase the humidity.
Advection fog and stratus cloud may form over the east coast.
Arctic air flows over a sea track becoming arctic maritime air.
Cold, stable, with low humidity; warms, destabilises and humidifies.
Cold/cool showery weather results.
Winter.
Instability produces showers that are frequent, heavy and usually of snow, over the north, east and west
coasts, and high ground.
Inland the frequency of showers decreases with distance from the coast.
Very low temperatures (-10C) may occur at night in sheltered places.
Summer.
Arctic maritime air gives low temperatures with frequent heavy showers.
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3.6.5.4 Polar maritime air (Pm)
Winter.
Over open sea and windward coasts, by day and night, convective clouds and showers are widespread.
The showers may be frequent and heavy with lightening, thunder and hail.
Cloud development and the intensity of the showers is greatest near depressions.
In the vicinity of anticyclones a subsidence inversion limits development and cumulus cloud and scattered
showers occur.
Snow showers may occur if the air stream is flowing rapidly enough for the temperature to remain low.
This is more common over high ground, and northern Britain where the distance travelled over the sea is
shorter.
Over land radiation cooling at night produces a surface inversion that prevents convective cloud
formation.
Air frost and radiation fog are common.
By day convection is weak giving limited cloud and scattered showers.
Summer.
Polar maritime air is warmer and less unstable, although more humid.
Over open sea and windward coasts convection cloud and showers are less pronounced.
Over land insolation raises surface temperatures leading to local heating and convection with heavy
showers of rain and thunderstorms with hail.
Warm, unstable and humid; cools, stabilises and may become saturated.
Warm, wet weather with advection fog is typical.
Winter.
Stratus cloud with drizzle and advection fog are commonly experienced at sea.
Fog and drizzle are common over high ground inland.
Low insolation in winter will provide little heat to raise the temperature and hence the cloud base
remains low.
In general conditions are mild and damp.
Summer.
Similar conditions prevail in summer over open sea and windward coasts, although temperatures are
higher.
Higher insolation may raise temperatures sufficiently to disperse the cloud inland leaving clear skies or
small cumulus.
Radiation fog may form briefly inland at night.
Winter
Tropical continental air rarely reaches Britain in winter as prolonged southeasterly winds seldom occur.
The degree of modification of air from Africa is such that Tropical continental air resembles mild Polar
continental air by the time it reaches Britain.
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Summer
European tropical continental air reaches Britain with high temperature and low humidity.
It is unstable but because of the low humidity frequently cloudless.
This air mass produces heat wave weather and is often dusty and hazy.
3.6.5.7 Returning Polar maritime air (rPm) (Warm Polar maritime air (wPm))
Cold, stable and humid; warms, destabilises and humidifies, then cools, stabilises and may become
saturated.
Polar maritime air which has flowed for a considerable distance over the sea round a slow moving
depression west of Britain to latitudes south of 50N and approaches from the southwest.
Warm and humid, decreasing temperature in the lower layers increases stability.
Cool conditions with rain and perhaps fog are typical.
Winter.
Stratocumulus cloud at approximately 500m predominates in the lower layer.
Cumulonimbus cloud and showers may develop if the unstable upper layer ascends due to orographic
uplift, particularly in the west.
Summer.
Surface heating inland disperses the stratocumulus cloud and thermal uplift produces cumulonimbus
cloud with squally showers and severe thunderstorms.
a) Arctic Continental (Ac) and Polar Continental (Pc) from the east
b) Arctic maritime air (Am) from the north
c) Polar maritime air (Pm) from the west
d) Returning polar maritime air (rPm) (Warm polar maritime air (wPm)) from the southwest
e) Tropical maritime (Tm) from the southwest
f) Tropical continental (Tc) from the southeast
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3.7 Local Winds
3.7.1 Introduction.
Local effects such as surface heating and cooling, and topographical effects, influence the general
pattern of wind circulation and produce local winds over relatively small areas and for limited time
spans.
These are thermally induced winds in coastal regions due to differential heating and cooling of land
and sea.
During the day the surface temperature of land rises faster than that of the adjacent sea due to the
lower specific heat, and shallower penetration of solar insolation.
The air in contact with the land is heated by conduction and its density decreases.
Air rises above the land and is replaced by air flowing from the sea as the Sea Breeze.
This air is heated in turn and rises.
Above the surface a seaward movement occurs at an altitude above approximately 1000m.
This air cools once removed from the source of heating, its density increases and it descends,
completing the convection cycle.
The intensity of the effect reaches a maximum in mid afternoon.
Wind speed is typically approximately 13 kts.
The horizontal extent of the effect can be approximately 30 miles on either side of the coast.
Air heated
Density decreases Seaward movement
Air rises
Insolation Cooling air descends
Sea Breeze
Land temperature increases
faster than sea temperature
Land Breeze
Land temperature decreases
faster than sea temperature
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3.7.3 Anabatic and Katabatic Winds.
3.7.3.1 Introduction.
These are winds flowing up (ana-) or down (kata-) slopes over land.
The mechanism of generation is similar to that of sea and land breezes, thermal changes leading to
density changes and the resulting convection flow.
These are found on steep slopes devoid of vegetation in low latitudes during calm, sunny,
conditions.
The land surface heats rapidly.
The air in contact with the land is heated by conduction and its density decreases.
The low density air flows up the slope as an Anabatic Wind.
Clouds and precipitation may occur.
Air cooled
Anabatic
by conduction
wind
Density increased
Insolation
Radiation
3.7.4.1 Introduction.
Abroholos A squall frequent from May through August between Cabo de Sao Tome and Cabo Frio on the
coast of Brazil.
Auster Same as OSTRIA
Austru An east or southeast wind in Rumania. They are cold in winter and may be a local name for a
foehn wind.
Bali wind A strong east wind at the eastern end of Java.
Barat A heavy northwest squall in Manado Bay on the north coast of the island of Celebes, prevalent from
December to February.
Barber A strong wind carrying damp snow or sleet and spray that freezes upon contact with objects,
especially the beard and hair.
Bayamo A violent wind blowing from the land on the south coast of Cuba, especially near the Bight of
Bayamo.
Bentu de Soli An east wind on the coast of Sardinia.
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Bora A cold, northerly wind blowing from the Hungarian basin into the Adriatic Sea. See also FALL WIND.
Borasco A thunderstorm or violent squall, especially in the Mediterranean.
Boreas An ancient Greek name for north winds. (also borras) The term may originally have meant "wind
from the mountains" and thus the present term BORA.
Brickfielder: A wind from the desert in Southern Australia. Precedes the passage of a frontal zone of a
low passing by. Has the same dusty character as the Harmattan.
Brisa, Briza 1. A northeast wind which blows on the coast of South America or an east wind which blows
on Puerto Rico during the trade wind season. 2. The northeast monsoon in the Philippines.
Brisote The northeast trade wind when it is blowing stronger than usual on Cuba.
Brubu A name for a squall in the East Indies.
Bull's Eye Squall A squall forming in fair weather, characteristic of the ocean off the coast of South
Africa. It is named for the peculiar appearance of the small isolated cloud marking the top of the
invisible vortex of the storm.
Cape Doctor The strong southeast wind which blows on the South African coast. Also called the DOCTOR.
Caver, Kaver A gentle breeze in the Hebrides.
Chinook A type of foehn wind. Refers to the warm downslope wind in the Rocky Mountains that may
occur after an intense cold spell when the temperature could rise by 20 to 40 degrees Fahrenheit in a
matter of minutes. Also known as the Snow Eater.
Chubasco A violent squall with thunder and lightning, encountered during the rainy season along the west
coast of Central America.
Churada A severe rain squall in the Mariana Islands during the northeast monsoon. They occur from
November to April or May, especially from January through March.
Cierzo See MISTRAL.
Contrastes Winds a short distance apart blowing from opposite quadrants, frequent in the spring and fall
in the western Mediterranean.
Cordonazo The "Lash of St. Francis." Name applied locally to southerly hurricane winds along the west
coast of Mexico. It is associated with tropical cyclones in the southeastern North Pacific Ocean. These
storms may occur from May to November, but ordinarily affect the coastal areas most severely near or
after the Feast of St. Francis, October 4.
Coromell A night land breeze prevailing from November to May at La Paz, near the southern extremity of
the Gulf of California.
Cyclone A severe tropical storm (i.e., winds >64 knots) in the Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal. See also
Hurricane and Typhoon. The term is also applied to closed circulations in the mid latitudes and also
popularly to small scale circulations such as tornadoes.
Diablo Northern California version of Santa Ana winds. These winds occur below canyons in the East Bay
hills (Diablo range) and in extreme cases can exceed 60 mph. They develop due to high pressure over
Nevada and lower pressure along the central California coast.
Doctor 1. A cooling sea breeze in the Tropics. 2. See HARMATTAN. 3. The strong SE wind which blows on
the south African coast. Usually called CAPE DOCTOR.
Elephanta A strong southerly or southeasterly wind which blows on the Malabar coast of India during the
months of September and October and marks the end of the southwest monsoon.
Etesian A refreshing northerly summer wind of the Mediterranean, especially over the Aegean Sea.
Euros The Greek name for the rainy, stormy southeast wind.
Foehn A warm dry wind on the lee side of a mountain range, whose temperature is increased as the wind
descends down the slope. It is created when air flows downhill from a high elevation, raising the
temperature by adiabatic compression. Examples include the Chinook wind and the Santa Ana wind.
Classified as a katabatic wind.
Fremantle Doctor A cooling seabreeze in Western Australia,often made note of during hot summer-time
cricket matches.
Gregale A strong northeast wind of the central Mediterranean.
Haboob A strong wind and sandstorm (or duststorm) in the northern and central Sudan, especially around
Khartum, where the average number is about 24 per year. The name come from the Arabic word, "habb",
meaning wind.
Harmattan The dry, dusty trade wind blowing off the Sahara Desert across the Gulf of Guinea and the
Cape Verde Islands. Sometimes called the DOCTOR, because of its supposed healthful properties.
Hurricane A severe tropical storm (i.e., winds >64 knots) in the Atlantic, Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and
Eastern Pacific. The word is believed to originate from the Caribbean Indian storm god "Huracan". See
also Typhoon and Cyclone.
Knik Wind A strong southeast wind in the vicinity of Palmer, Alaska, most frequent in the winter.
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Kona Storm A storm over the Hawaiian Islands, characterized by strong southerly or southwesterly winds
and heavy rains.
Leste A hot, dry, easterly wind of the Madeira and Canary Islands.
Levanter A strong easterly wind of the Mediterranean, especially in the Strait of Gibraltar, attended by
cloudy, foggy, and sometimes rainy weather especially in winter.
Levantera A persistent east wind of the Adriatic, usually accompanied by cloudy weather.
Levanto A hot southeasterly wind which blows over the Canary Islands.
Leveche A warm wind in Spain, either a foehn or a hot southerly wind in advance of a low pressure area
moving from the Sahara Desert. Called a SIROCCO in other parts of the Mediterranean area.
Maestro A northwesterly wind with fine weather which blows, especially in summer, in the Adriatic. It is
most frequent on the western shore. This wind is also found on the coasts of Corsica and Sardinia.
Maria A fictional wind popularized in "Paint Your Wagon" (Lerner and Lowe, 1951) and by the Kingston
Trio (1959), whose name may have originated with the 1941 book "Storm" by George R. Stewart.
Matanuska Wind A strong, gusty, northeast wind which occasionally occurs during the winter in the
vicinity of Palmer, Alaska.
Mistral A cold, dry wind blowing from the north over the northwest coast of the Mediterranean Sea,
particularly over the Gulf of Lions. Also called CIERZO. See also FALL WIND.
Nashi, N'aschi A northeast wind which occurs in winter on the Iranian coast of the Persian Gulf, especially
near the entrance to the gulf, and also on the Makran coast. It is probably associated with an outflow
from the central Asiatic anticyclone which extends over the high land of Iran. It is similar in character
but less severe than the BORA.
Norte A strong cold northeasterly wind which blows in Mexico and on the shores of the Gulf of Mexico. It
results from an outbreak of cold air from the north. It is the Mexican extension of a norther.
Nor'easter A northeast wind, particularly a strong wind or gale; an unusually strong storm preceded by
northeast winds off the coast of New England. Also called Northeaster. (Glossary of Weather and Climate)
Nor'wester This is a very warm wind which can blow for days on end in the province of Canterbury New
Zealand. The effect is especially felt in the city of Christchurch. The wind comes in from the Tasman
Sea, drys as it rises over the Southern Alps, heats as it decends, crosses the Canterbury Plains, then
blows through Christchurch.
Norther A cold strong northerly wind in the Southern Plains of the United States, especially in Texas,
which results in a drastic drop in air temperatures. Also called a Blue Norther.
Ostria A warm southerly wind on the Bulgarian coast; considered a precursor of bad weather.
Pali A local name for strong winds which blow through the Pali Pass above Honolulu, HI. (Michael
Polansky, San Francisco)
Pampero A west or southwest wind in Southern Argentina. This wind (often violently) picks up during the
passage of a cold front of an active low passing by.
Papagayo A violet northeasterly fall wind on the Pacific coast of Nicaragua and Guatemala. It consists of
the cold air mass of a norte which has overridden the mountains of Central America. See also
TEHUANTEPECER.
Santa Ana A strong, hot, dry wind blowing out into San Pedro Channel from the southern California desert
through Santa Ana Pass.
Shamal A summer northwesterly wind blowing over Iraq and the Persian Gulf, often strong during the
day, but decreasing at night.
Sharki A southeasterly wind which sometimes blows in the Persian Gulf.
Sirocco A warm wind of the Mediterranean area, either a foehn or a hot southerly wind in advance of a
low pressure area moving from the Sahara or Arabian deserts. Called LEVECHE in Spain.
Squamish A strong and often violent wind occurring in many of the fjords of British Columbia. Squamishes
occur in those fjords oriented in a northeast-southwest or east-west direction where cold polar air can be
funneled westward. They are notable in Jervis, Toba, and Bute inlets and in Dean Channel and Portland
Canal. Squamishes lose their strength when free of the confining fjords and are not noticeable 15 to 20
miles offshore.
Suestado A storm with southeast gales, caused by intense cyclonic activity off the coasts of Argentina and
Uruguay, which affects the southern part of the coast of Brazil in the winter.
Sumatra A squall with violent thunder, lightning, and rain, which blows at night in the Malacca Straits,
especially during the southwest monsoon. It is intensified by strong mountain breezes.
Sundowner Warm downslope winds that periodically occur along a short segment of the Southern
California coast in the vicinity of Santa Barbara. The name refers to their typical onset (on the populated
coastal plain) in the late afternoon or early evening, though they can occur at any time of the day. In
extreme cases, wind speeds can be of gale force or higher, and temperatures over the coastal plain and
even at the coast itself can rise significantly above 37.8 degrees C
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Taku Wind A strong, gusty, east-northeast wind, occurring in the vicinity of Juneau, Alaska, between
October and March. At the mouth of the Taku River, after which it is named, it sometimes attains
hurricane force.
Tehuantepecer A violent squally wind from north or north-northeast in the Gulf of Tehuantepec (south of
southern Mexico) in winter. It originates in the Gulf of Mexico as a norther which crosses the isthmus and
blows through the gap between the Mexican and Guatamalan mountains. It may be felt up to 100 miles
out to sea. See also PAPAGAYO.
Tramontana A northeasterly or northerly winter wind off the west coast of Italy. It is a fresh wind of the
fine weather mistral type.
Typhoon A severe tropical storm (i.e., winds >64 knots) in the Western Pacific. The word is believed to
originate from the Chinese word "ty-fung". See also Hurricane and Cyclone.
Vardar A cold fall wind blowing from the northwest down the Vardar valley in Greece to the Gulf of
Salonica. It occurs when atmospheric pressure over eastern Europe is higher than over the Aegean Sea, as
is often the case in winter. Also called VARDARAC.
Warm Braw A foehn wind in the Schouten Islands north of New Guinea.
White Squall A sudden, strong gust of wind coming up without warning, noted by whitecaps or white,
broken water; usually seen in whirlwind form in clear weather in the tropics.
Williwaw A sudden blast of wind descending from a mountainous coast to the sea, in the Strait of
Magellan or the Aleutian Islands.
Willy-willy A tropical cyclone (with winds 33 knots or greater) in Australia, especially in the southwest.
More recent common usage is for dust-devils.
Zephyros The ancient Greek name for the west wind, which generally light and beneficial. It has evolved
into "zephyr" which denotes a soft gentle breeze.
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4 Frontal and non-frontal systems
4.1.1 Introduction
The theory of the development of depressions was largely developed by a group of Norwegian
meteorologist headed by Bjerkenes shortly after the First World War.
It is being refined with information from modern research.
4.1.2 Fronts
The principal frontal zones exist where air masses of differing characteristics converge.
These are:
Arctic fronts, between arctic air and polar maritime air masses.
Polar fronts, between polar air and tropical air masses.
(There is a close association between the Polar Front at the surface and the Polar Jet Stream at
altitude.)
The Mediterranean front that exists in winter between polar continental air from Europe and tropical
continental air from North Africa.
The InterTropical Convergence Zone was formerly known as the InterTropical Front, but as the air masses
converging in this area are similar the term front is not appropriate.
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4.1.4 Frontogenesis
The cold, denser, air mass undercuts the warm air mass forming a frontal zone with a gradient of
approximately 1:100 extending from the surface to the tropopause.
The vertical extent of the frontal zone is approximately 1-2 km, and the horizontal extent at the surface
100-200 km.
Frontal zones are described as sharp when the temperature gradient is well defined and diffuse when the
temperature gradient is ill defined.
The ascent of warm air over cold leads to cloud formation and precipitation.
The type of cloud and intensity of precipitation depends on the gradient of the frontal zone.
A moving front is named as the direction of temperature change at the surface as the front passes:
A warm front is one where cold air is replaced by warm air.
A cold front is one where warm air is replaced by cold air.
A quasistationary front is one that is not moving significantly.
The gradient of the frontal zone is generally steeper at a cold front than a warm front.
4.1.6 Frontolysis
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4.1.7 Polar frontal depressions
Frontal depressions are most likely to form where the temperature difference across the front is highest.
In the North Atlantic in winter favourable conditions exist along the polar front over the western part of
the ocean where cold air from the North American mainland meets warm air from the oceanic
anticyclone.
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98
99
100
101
4.1.7.2 Sequence of meteorological phenomena during the passage of a depression.
Sequence of weather during passage of a warm front, Northern hemisphere, (Southern hemisphere)
Element Advance of warm front Passage of warm front Warm sector, rear of warm
front
Pressure Falling Stops falling Steady
Wind Steady Veers, Northern Steady
direction Hemisphere.
(Backs, Southern
Hemisphere)
Wind force Increasing Steadies Steady
Temperature Steady Rises Steady
Dew Point Steady Increases. Steady.
Cloud Increasing. Nimbostratus Stratus or stratocumulus
Cirrostratus, altostratus
Stratus, nimbostratus.
Significant Light rain increasing to Rain stops or Fair, drizzle or advection
weather. moderate. Changes to drizzle fog.
Visibility Deteriorating Poor, mist or fog, Moderate or poor, mist or
fog.
Sequence of weather during passage of a cold front, Northern hemisphere, (Southern hemisphere)
Element Warm sector, in advance of Passage of cold front Rear of cold front
cold front
Pressure Steady Starts rising Rising
Wind Steady Veers, Northern Steady
direction Hemisphere.
(Backs, Southern
Hemisphere)
Wind force Steady, squally near cold Increases Decreasing
front.
Temperature Steady Falls Steady
Dew Point Steady Decreases Steady
Cloud Stratus or stratocumulus Cumulonimbus Altostratus Cirrostratus,
then Nimbostratus possibly Cumulonimbus,
cumulus or cumulonimbus clearing.
Significant Fair, drizzle, advection fog. Heavy rain, possibly Possibly showers
weather Heavy rain near cold front hail, lightening
and thunder.
Visibility Moderate or poor, perhaps Poor Good
fog.
An occlusion forms when the cold front overtakes the warm front, lifting the warm sector above the
surface.
A warm occlusion occurs when the overtaking air is less cold than the retreating air.
A cold occlusion occurs when the overtaking air is colder than the retreating air; this is more common.
The sequence of weather is that of the approach of a warm front, passage of a warm and then a cold
front without the intervening warm sector, then to the rear of a cold front.
On passage of an occlusion wind backs in the northern hemisphere, (veers in the southern hemisphere).
Temperature decreases or increases according to the nature of the occlusion.
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4.1.7.4 Families of depressions
A family of depressions may follow each other along the polar front when conditions are favourable.
Each depression forms on the cold front trailing from its predecessor.
Successive depressions are closer to the equator.
Eventually surface heating decreases the thermal contrast of the polar front, which dissipates.
A secondary depression lies within the circulation of another, the primary depression.
Secondary depressions may form on the trailing cold front of the primary depression.
When the primary depression is occluding secondary depressions may form at the tip of the warm sector
or on the warm front.
The secondary depression moves in the circulation of the primary.
Initially the primary is larger or more vigorous, but may fill and allow the secondary depression to
become dominant.
The secondary depression may become absorbed by the primary.
The primary and secondary depressions may achieve similar size and circulate in a dumbbell formation.
4.2.1 Introduction
The resulting weather depends on the nature of the air mass within which the thermal depression forms.
Humid, unstable air will lead to showery precipitation perhaps with thunderstorms, conversely if
humidity is low fair weather will prevail.
Polar depressions form when polar maritime air flows over a warm sea surface toward the equator.
A similar mechanism to that described above operates to form a depression with cyclonic wind
circulation.
This is most common in winter when the temperature difference between air and sea is highest.
Polar depression often form in the rear of an occluding depression.
Weather associated with a Polar depression is typical of unstable air, heavy, squally showers which may
merge to give longer outbreaks of rain or snow.
A polar depression moves with the polar maritime airstream in which it has formed, often avoiding land
in winter due to the lack of temperature difference.
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4.2.4 Orographic depression
An orographic depression or lee depression forms when an air stream flows across a mountain range.
Air converges vertically on the weather side of the range increasing pressure, and the divergence on the
lee side reduces pressure.
The pressure difference is slight, but can be sufficient to trigger formation of a depression in an unstable
air mass.
The depression normally remains in position in the lee of the range, but may intensify and move away in
the air stream.
Areas where these occur are in the lee of mountain ranges such as the Rockies, Alps, Atlas Mountains,
those in China, and the Southern Alps of New Zealand.
The Fohn effect in the descending air on the lee side of a mountain range may lead to fair weather,
though with radiation fog in winter.
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4.2.5 Trough
4.2.6 Anticyclone
Anticyclones form when the density and/or depth of air above an area increases.
Cold anticyclones form when surface air is cooled, decreasing its volume and air flows into the region at
upper levels to compensate. Examples are the polar anticyclones and anticyclones forming over
continents in winter.
Warm anticyclones form when air converges at upper levels as in the case of the subtropical
anticyclones.
4.2.8 Col
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Anticyclone
Non-Frontal Trough
Ridge
Depression
Col
Depression
Frontal Trough
Ridge
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Anticyclone
5 Tropical Revolving Storms
5.1 Introduction
Characteristics:
smaller size than temperate depressions;
nearly circular isobars
no fronts
very steep pressure gradient
great intensity;
Synonyms:
Cyclone Indian Ocean.
Hurricane North Atlantic, Caribbean, central and east North Pacific, and South Pacific.
Typhoon Western North Pacific and South China Sea.
Tropical storms are potentially capable of overwhelming the largest and most seaworthy vessels and
should be avoided if at all possible.
The area of greatest danger is the eye where swell waves are both extremely high and approach from all
directions.
Considerable energy is required for the formation and development of a tropical revolving storm.
This is derived from energy contained in water vapour and particularly latent heat released by
condensation.
The following conditions are required:
Sea temperature greater than 26C over a large area raising air temperature and humidity.
Atmospheric instability due to high Environment Lapse Rate.
Instability accentuated by high humidity increasing Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rate.
Latitude greater than 5 where the Coriolis Force is sufficient to provide vorticity, cyclonic
circulation.
Low wind shear (change of wind speed with altitude) in the troposhere permitting vertical
development.
Conditions permitting divergence of airflow at altitude, removing air from the area and reducing
atmospheric pressure.
A tropical disturbance to initiate the process. This is likely to be convection associated with an
easterly wave, the InterTropical Convergence Zone.
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5.2.2 Tropical Revolving Storm areas and seasons
Areas of tropical revolving storm genesis are in approximately 10 latitude in the warmest areas of the
oceans.
These, with months of highest occurrence and average annual frequency, are:
North Atlantic August - October 9
North Indian Ocean May - June, October - November 6
North Pacific West July - October 26
North Pacific East August - September 13
South Atlantic One Tropical Revolving Storm has been recorded, in 2004 March.
South Indian Ocean West January - March 8
South Indian Ocean East January - March 10
South Pacific West January - March 6
South Pacific East None 0
Global total 79
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5.2.5 Movement
Tropical revolving storms move approximately with the flow of air in the troposphere in their vicinity.
A high proportion of storms move around the oceanic anticyclone into higher latitudes, moving westward
with a degree of poleward movement and then recurving into higher latitude.
Movement may be highly erratic within the broad pattern.
Speed varies from approximately 10 kts near the equator to 25 knots in higher latitudes.
5.2.6 Decay
Tropical Revolving Storms endure as long as conditions lie within the necessary parameters.
Decay occurs when the energy required for sustained activity is no longer available.
This occurs when the storm moves over an area where temperature and / or humidity are reduced.
This may be a sea surface in the tropics or higher latitudes where temperatures are lower or a land
surface in the tropics or higher latitudes.
A Tropical Revolving Storm may cross a landmass, decreasing in intensity, then regenerate over a warm
sea surface again.
Tropical Revolving Storms cross the Central American isthmus, the Philippines archipelago, Taiwan, the
Malaysian peninsula, Madagascar and Australia in this way.
A Tropical Revolving Storm may decrease in intensity and lose its tropical characteristics in middle
latitudes and become a middle latitude depression.
In the eye:
Pressure steadies.
Wind speed may be low or calm.
Sea waves may be low.
Swell waves are extremely high and moving in all directions.
Cloud cover may be absent.
Precipitation may be absent.
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From the eye wall to the annular zone
Pressure increases.
Wind speed immediately rises to maximum, then decreases.
Wind direction is opposite to the original.
Angle of Indraft is zero then increases.
Sea wave height is maximum, then decreases.
Swell wave direction is from opposite wind field near eye.
Swell wave height decreases.
Cloud cover is total.
Precipitation is intense then decreases.
Hurricane Irene
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113
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5.3 Avoidance of Tropical Revolving Storms
Comprehensive warnings are broadcast by radio and telex of known storms and these sources should be
closely monitored when navigating in areas prone to Tropical Revolving Storms in the appropriate
seasons.
GMDSS radio installations receive navigation warnings, including Tropical Revolving Storm warnings,
automatically.
Other sources are listed in the Admiralty List of Radio Signals, Volume III, and similar publications.
5.3.2 Detection
Not all storms are detected by shore based meteorological services, and shipboard instruments and
observation of meteorological phenomena should be used to detect the presence of a Tropical Revolving
Storm.
5.3.2.1 Swell
In open waters, with no intervening land, a swell generated by the high seas within a Tropical Revolving
Storm may be the earliest warning of a storm.
The swell approaches from the direction of the storm.
In the tropics the diurnal variation of atmospheric pressure is marked and a normal feature.
Falling pressure in the area affected by a Tropical Revolving Storm initially damps the diurnal variation,
and the disappearance of this feature is an early warning sign of Tropical Revolving Storm development.
A barograph trace indicates this clearly.
In the absence of a barograph atmospheric pressure should be noted at hourly intervals and the
observations plotted so that changes can be easily observed.
The atmospheric pressure in the tropics varies little from the seasonal average.
The seasonal average pressure appears in publications such as Routeing Charts and Sailing Directions.
Observed atmospheric pressure should be corrected for Index Error of the instrument, if relevant,
altitude above Sea Level to obtain Sea Level Pressure, and for Diurnal Variation.
Altitude correction tables are provided to observing ships.
(At 25C the rate of change of pressure with altitude is approximately 0.11 hPa per metre.)
Diurnal Variation Tables are contained in Sailing Directions.
Then, comparing the seasonal average with the corrected pressure:
A decrease of 3 hPa below the seasonal average for the area indicates the probable development of a
Tropical Revolving Storm in the vicinity.
A decrease of 5 hPa below the seasonal average for the area indicates the presence of a Tropical
Revolving Storm, probably within 200 NM.
Atmospheric pressure recorded in logbooks and transmitted to meteorological services should be Sea
Level Pressure corrected for altitude only, not for diurnal variation.
5.3.2.3 Wind
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5.3.2.4 Clouds
Vivid colouring of the sky at sunrise and sunset may be a precursor of a Tropical Revolving Storm.
Cirrus clouds increasing in density may be visible 300 to 600 NM from the storm and are followed by
lower clouds increasing in coverage as it approaches.
5.3.2.5 Visibility
Exceptionally good visibility frequently exists in the vicinity of a Tropical Revolving Storm.
5.3.2.6 Radar
5.3.2.7 Reporting
The Master is required by SOLAS Chapter V Regulation 31 to inform the nearest authority and shipping in
the vicinity if winds of Beaufort force 10 and above are encountered and no storm warning has been
received.
Similar warnings are required if the presence of a Tropical Revolving Storm is suspected or established.
Subsequently similar messages should be transmitted at hourly intervals if possible, not greater than
three hourly intervals, while the vessel is in the vicinity of the storm.
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117
5.3.3 Avoidance
Vertex
Advance
Trough Line
Rear
Right
Dangerous
Quadrant
Left Eye
Path
Vortex
Track
Tropical Revolving Storm
Northern Hemisphere
Navigable Semicircle
The Dangerous Quadrant is the Advance Right Quadrant of the storm in the Northern Hemisphere, and
the Advance Left Quadrant in the Southern Hemisphere.
This is because:
The navigable Semicircle is the Left Semicircle in the Northern Hemisphere, and the Right Semicircle in
the Southern Hemisphere.
The storm is unlikely to move into this area.
Winds tend to drive the vessel out of the path of the storm in the advance quadrant.
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Navigable Semicircle
Left
Rear
Trough Line
Advance
Vertex
The vessel should heave to so that the vessel's movement does not modify changes in the elements that
will then be due to the storms movement.
Buys-Ballots law together with the angle of indraft is used to establish the direction of the centre of the
storm.
The following description and table may be used to establish the observers position relative to the
storm.
These are true for both northern and southern hemispheres.
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Pressure:
Falling. Advance. Wind Veering
Steady. Trough line or stationary storm.
Rising. Rear.
Wind force:
Increasing. Advance.
Wind Backing
Steady. Trough line.
Decreasing. Rear.
Northern Hemisphere
Dangerous Quadrant
Steer a course with the wind ahead or on the starboard bow and proceed at maximum practicable speed.
Alter course to maintain the relative wind direction as the wind veers.
(From a position close to the Path it may be practicable to cross the path into the Navigable Semicircle
as below.)
In the Path
Steer a course with the wind on the starboard quarter and proceed with maximum practicable speed into
the Navigable Semicircle, then continue as for Navigable Semicircle.
Navigable Semicircle
Steer a course with the wind on the starboard quarter and proceed with maximum practicable speed
away from the path.
Alter course to maintain the relative wind direction as the wind backs.
Rear
Heave to, or steam, with the wind on the starboard bow.
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Southern Hemisphere
Dangerous Quadrant
Steer a course with the wind ahead or on the port bow and proceed at maximum practicable speed.
Alter course to maintain the relative wind direction as the wind backs.
(From a position close to the Path it may be practicable to cross the path into the Navigable Semicircle
as below.)
In the Path
Steer a course with the wind on the port quarter and proceed with maximum practicable speed into the
Navigable Semicircle then continue as for Navigable Semicircle.
Navigable Semicircle
Steer a course with the wind on the port quarter and proceed with maximum practicable speed away
from the path.
Alter course to maintain the relative wind direction as the wind veers.
Rear
Heave to, or steam, with the wind on the port bow.
In the Dangerous Quadrant a slow change of wind direction may indicate that the vessel is close to the
Path; or in the Path with the change due to the changing Angle of Indraft.
It may then be practicable to cross the Path into the Navigable Semicircle, steering a course with the
wind on the appropriate quarter.
All parameters must be monitored to assess the movement of the storm, and the action taken modified
accordingly.
When reports of the storm's position and forecast movement are available Danger Sectors may be
plotted.
The position of the storm is plotted.
The forecast path is plotted.
A sector is plotted centred on the position, 40 on either side of the forecast path, radius the forecast
movement with an allowance for greater speed than forecast.
The Danger Sector is expanded by the radius of the storm field.
The vessel is manoeuvred to avoid the Danger Sector.
The process is repeated with each forecast received.
The forecast movement for the whole forecast period should be plotted and an assessment made of the
appropriate action to take.
The actions above may have to be modified due to factors such as the proximity of land or shallow water.
Storms have developed in latitudes as low as two degrees from the equator.
Storms may move erratically in directions widely different from those described above, including
travelling in circular paths.
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5.4 Typhoon Account
On 18th December 1944 the US Pacific Fleet, operating in support of the invasion of the Philippines, were
caught near the centre of a Typhoon. Three destroyers capsized and sank with practically all hands. A
cruiser, six light aircraft carriers and three destroyers were seriously damaged, nineteen other vessels
sustained lesser damage. Fires broke out in three aircraft carriers, 146 aircraft were smashed or lost
overboard and approximately 790 officers and men killed.
The CO of USS "Dewey" noticed increasing sea at dusk and ordered FW and FO to be shifted from high to
low tanks and ready-use ammunition moved down to magazines. By dawn, mountainous seas were
running and the ship was pitching so heavily as to expose the keel as far aft as the bridge then the
propellers and half the bottom were visible.
The low visibility conditions increased the risk of collision and ships often would not answer their helms.
The high wind speeds caused spray to peel off paintwork and to penetrate watertight instruments.
Rolling was so heavy that lubricating oil suction was lost and turbines had to be stopped at the beginning
of each roll. Stokers were often shoulder deep in water, hanging on to anything available and swinging
out nearly parallel to the deck. When the funnel guys parted, the funnel went over the side and
improved the stability. After five hours the destroyer came out of the murk and spume into clear sky, the
wind dropped to 50 knots and the ship was got under control again.
The Admiral drew attention to the fact that in the days of sail a ships survival ... depended almost solely
on the competence of the master and on his constant alertness to every hint of change in the weather ...
a seaman was culpable who regards personal weather estimates as obsolete and assume that if no radio
storm warning has been received then all is well and no local signs need cause him concern'.
He stressed that each CO should refresh himself on 'Knight' and 'Bowditch', not only as to the 'Law of
Storms' but also as to Ship Handling in Heavy Weather.
These experiences brought a suggestion from the C. in C. British Pacific Fleet that when destroyers with
only 50% FO were in the vicinity of a Tropical Revolving Storm, the tanks should be flooded with sea
water as had, up till then, only been permitted in exceptional circumstances, eg in Arctic waters.
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5.5 Tropical Revolving Storm Forecasts
The following is the text of a warning that illustrates the format and type of information given.
Different authorities warnings differ in presentation.
123
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 18.2N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.8N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 19.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
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LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 22.8N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 27.9N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 14.9N 140.4E.
SUPER TYPHOON 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF
SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 44 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN
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6 Synoptic Charts and Forecasts
6.1 Introduction
The process of preparing synoptic charts and forecasts is a worldwide activity involving international
cooperation.
The World Meteorological Organization is a United Nations organization created by the World
Meteorological Convention which came into force in 1950.
It is based in Geneva and consists of 185 member nations, which maintain their own Meteorological and
Hydrological Services.
The purposes of WMO are to facilitate international cooperation in the establishment of networks of
stations for making meteorological, hydrological and other observations; and to promote the rapid
exchange of meteorological information, the standardization of meteorological observations and the
uniform publication of observations and statistics. It also furthers the application of meteorology to
aviation, shipping, water problems, agriculture and other human activities, promotes operational
hydrology and encourages research and training in meteorology.
The Meteorological Office was formed as a department of the Board of Trade in 1854, to provide
meteorological and ocean current information to mariners.
The modern era arrived in 1962 when an electronic computer was installed at the HQ in Bracknell.
In 1964 the first operational cloud pictures from satellites became available.
Current computers IBM supercomputers.
Their particular feature is parallel processing.
The Met. Office aspires to be a centre of excellence for the development of the science of meteorology
and the provision of weather-related services to a wide range of customers.
The Meteorological Office relocated to Exeter in 2004.
6.2.1 Introduction
6.2.2 Observations
Data sources include vessels, aircraft, oil rigs, buoys, balloons, and manned land stations around the
world.
Automation is often used to assist or replace the human observer and can provide information from
inhospitable and remote areas.
Information from remote-sensing equipment, both on the ground and in space, increasingly supplements
and complements conventional systems.
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6.2.2.1 Surface Observations
Traditionally, meteorologists have relied upon observations taken near the Earth's surface using
instruments (barometers, thermometers, anemometers and rain gauges) and visual observations (cloud
and weather type). These surface observations are made at approved sites over the land and from vessels
at sea.
Standard types of instruments are used and observations are usually made at least every three hours, and
in many cases hourly.
Over land in the UK there are 30 key observing stations manned by professional meteorologists who make
observations every hour.
Additional sites are also manned by Meteorological Office staff, but over 100 are manned by auxiliary
observers such as coastguards.
There are also more than 50 fully automated sites.
In all there are about 200 observing sites in the UK providing surface observations.
Weather observations at sea are made by the crews of over 6700 vessels of 52 nations, including
approximately 460 vessels and rigs of the UK Voluntary Observing Fleet.
Dedicated weather ships have been replaced by bouys.
Moored buoys are positioned to the west of Ireland; other buoys drift in the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific
Oceans.
6.2.2.2 Radar
Radiosondes, balloon-borne instruments, are important sources of upper-air information about pressure,
temperature and humidity through the atmosphere.
The wind direction and speed can be deduced from the track of the radiosonde.
Radiosondes are released at 00:00 and 12:00 UT worldwide and can reach a height of over 20 km.
Within the global network the Meteorological Office maintains eight sites in the UK and sites in Gibraltar,
St Helena, and the Falkland Islands.
A minisonde system has been set up to supplement the main radiosonde network.
These radiosondes are released when required and provide information up to a height of about 5 km.
At sea there are a few weather ships that provide upper-air information and progress is being made with
automatic systems that release radiosondes from the decks of merchant ships.
Dropsondes are released from aircraft, particularly through Tropical Revolving Storms.
Aircraft reports (PIREPs) of wind and temperature along their routes are also used.
6.2.2.4 Satellites
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Observations assimilated for a single analysis (2006-07-03 00:00), supplemented by satellite imagery and
radar data by forecaster.
Satellites, 19682
Sonde, upper air, 1581
Aircraft, 14686
Land stations, 5257
Ships, 1854
Buoys, 4963
6.2.2.5 Communications
The Global Telecommunication System (GTS) transfers weather observations and forecasts around the
world using high-speed computer-to-computer links via satellites and landlines.
6.2.3 Analysis
The observations taken from the GTS are stored on computer and are analysed in two different ways.
1. The observations at a specific time are plotted on synoptic charts.
Isobars are drawn which identify weather features such as depressions, anticyclones and fronts.
These charts are then analysed by the forecasters (with the aid of satellite and radar information) to
make short-term local forecasts.
2. The observations are used to define the starting conditions for a computer forecast.
Weather forecasts are based on the solution of a set of mathematical equations, which describe certain
physical processes in the atmosphere.
The atmosphere is divided into gridpoints and the properties of the atmosphere represented at each
gridpoint.
In the global model used by The Meteorological Office there are 325 gridpoints on each meridian, and 432
points on each parallel of latitude and 38 levels in the vertical.
The gridpoint separation is about 60 km near the UK.
The observations are used to compute the gridpoint values of pressure, temperature, humidity and wind.
This computer analysis represents the atmosphere at the start of the forecast.
A 15-minute forecast is made of the pressure, temperature, humidity and wind.
The process is repeated until a global six days forecast has been built up, taking about 70 minutes.
The global forecast is produced twice a day using the 00:00 and 12:00 observations
Other models using smaller distances between gridpoints are used for smaller areas.
6.2.4 Forecasting
Computers play a key role in improving the accuracy and detail of weather forecasts, and in lengthening
the period for which useful guidance can be given.
The calculations involved are both numerous and complex and some of the most powerful computers in
the world are used.
6.2.4.1 Forecasters
Forecasters modify the computer output for known weaknesses in the models and additional data such as
satellite pictures and radar information in producing the final forecast for publication.
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6.2.4.2 Value and limitations of Synoptic and Prognostic charts.
Weather may be estimated for the vessels intended route and operations planned accordingly, or the
route modified if necessary.
In particular:
Wind direction and force, and changes.
Wind wave direction and height.
Swell direction and height.
Cloud cover and precipitation.
Visibility.
6.3.1 Introduction
Most meteorological information for shipping is received by radio; telex over radio, telephony, facsimile,
telex over satellite, and high speed data transmission over satellite.
The use of computer programs on board for receiving, processing and presenting information is
increasing.
Details of meteorological information available are published in the Admiralty List of Radio Signals,
Volume 3, (ALRS V3) and equivalent publications of other administrations.
Details of information available from the Meteorological Office are contained in the Marine Weather
Services booklet.
The Shipping forecast is broadcast at specific times (00:48 05:20 12:01 17:54) on Radio 4.
It contains:
Gale Warnings. Warnings of gales for the sea areas around Britain.
General synopsis. Positions of pressure systems and fronts, and forecast movement.
Area forecasts. Forecasts of wind direction, force and changes; sea state; weather; and visibility; for
the sea areas.
Station reports. Observations of wind, weather, visibility, atmospheric pressure and change; from
stations around Britain.
The format is concise and the language used is specific.
The International Analysis Code is used by National Meteorological Stations to transmit detailed synoptic
analyses in code form by telegraphy or telex.
A synoptic chart may be plotted using the ALRS V3 or the Ship's Code and Decode Book.
The Maritime Forecast Code (MAFOR) is used to transmit weather bulletins by administrations where
there are difficulties in the use of English.
The information is approximate and the range of values should be borne in mind.
These may be decoded using information in ALRS V3 or the Ship's Code and Decode Book.
129
6.3.5 Facsimile
Systems have been developed which receive data directly from satellites for processing on board.
These may be combined with weather routeing software.
130
131
6.4 Forecasting
6.4.1 Introduction
6.4.2 Persistence
Recent movement of systems and changes in intensity can be assumed to continue in the immediate
future.
This extrapolation can be improved by considering the climatic background of the area and overall
features of the synoptic chart.
6.4.3 Depressions
6.4.3.1 Movement.
6.4.3.2 Development.
A secondary depression tends to move cyclonically around the primary depression in the main circulation
at a speed similar to the geostrophic wind speed.
Two depressions of similar size and intensity in close proximity tend to move cyclonically around a
common centre.
Tropical Revolving Storms behave in a similar fashion, the Fujiwhara effect.
A deepening secondary depression tends to approach the centre of the primary and eventually merge
with it.
6.4.4 Fronts
6.4.4.1 Movement
Fronts move at a speed proportional to the component of wind speed perpendicular to the front.
Isobars close together crossing a front indicate a high rate of movement.
A front nearly parallel to the isobars will be slow moving.
A slow moving front tends to move toward an area of falling pressure.
The speed of a warm front is approximately 70% of the geostrophic wind speed perpendicular to it.
132
The speed of a cold front is approximately equal to the geostrophic wind speed perpendicular to it.
The speed of an occluded front is approximately equal to the geostrophic wind speed perpendicular to it.
6.4.5 Anticyclones
6.4.5.1 Development
6.4.5.2 Movement
6.4.5.1 Introduction
Winds above approximately 500 m altitude (Geostrophic / Gradient winds) are not subject to surface
friction and differ in direction and speed from surface winds.
Upper air charts show contours of the altitude at which atmospheric pressure has a particular value.
The 500 hPa contour chart shows contour lines of the altitudes at which the pressure is 500 hPa.
The winds at this level flow in the direction of the contour lines.
Appropriate scales may be printed for determining the geostrophic wind speed.
6.4.5.3 Application
Small scale surface pressure systems move approximately in the direction of the upper air contours and
winds, at approximately 50% of the geostrophic wind speed.
6.4.6.1 Introduction
Local forecasts can be prepared with a knowledge of local conditions and observations of atmospheric
pressure, wind direction and speed, cloud types, sea and swell waves, air and sea temperatures, and the
changes in these elements.
Direct observation of meteorological elements is a valuable check on forecasts and may detect changes
that have not been forecast.
Skill can be improved by practising forecasting and comparing personal forecasts with official ones, and
with subsequent weather.
Atmospheric pressure compared to the seasonal mean for the area can indicate the probability of foul
weather.
In particular low pressure in the tropics is a warning of Tropical Revolving Storms.
Changes in atmospheric pressure indicate the movement of systems and can be used to forecast the
passage of anticyclones, depressions and the associated fronts, troughs and ridges.
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6.4.6.3 Wind
Wind direction can be used to determine the direction of the pressure gradient and the probable
direction of the depression causing it, using Buys Ballots Law.
Change of wind direction indicates the direction of movement of the depression.
Wind speed indicates the pressure gradient and the proximity of the depression can be estimated.
Change of wind speed indicates the direction of movement of the depression.
6.4.6.4 Waves
6.4.6.5 Cloud
Cloud types indicate atmospheric stability and the presence of particular weather systems.
Cumuliform clouds indicate unstable air and are associated with cold fronts and moderate to heavy
precipitation.
Stratiform clouds indicate stable air and are associated with warm fronts and light precipitation.
High clouds are associated with the periphery of depressions.
Low dense clouds are associated with the central regions of depressions.
Low light clouds are associated with anticyclones.
Changes of cloud types and cover indicate the movement of weather systems.
Temperature of the air and humidity indicate the type of air mass present.
Air temperature lower than 0C combined with high wind carries a risk of ice accretion.
Air temperature lower than 3C and a high probability of precipitation indicates a probability of snow
and poor visibility.
Sea temperature indicates the type of water present, and the type of air mass modification likely.
Sea temperature higher than air temperature will increase air temperature and absolute humidity.
Sea temperature lower than air temperature will lower air temperature and increase relative humidity.
Sea temperature together with air temperature and dew point indicates the probability of fog.
Sea temperature less than dew point indicates a high probability of fog.
Sea temperature significantly higher than air temperature may lead to sea smoke.
Relative humidity can be used to differentiate between fog/mist and haze. Haze if relative humidity less
than 95%.
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6.4.6.7 Forecasting sea fog
Recording and graphing dew point and sea temperature gives and indication of the probable time of fog
formation.
The values converging indicate a high probability, and the graphs projected give an indication of
timescale.
Fog is likely when the sea temperature is below the dewpoint of the air.
Temperature
Sea Temperature
Fog probable
Dew Point
Time
Fog is likely when dry and wet bulb temperatures are equal.
Recording and graphing these may be a simpler method of predicting the onset of fog.
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7 Ocean Currents
7.1 Introduction
Accuracy of data on ocean currents is largely dependent on observations by merchant shipping reported
to meteorological offices.
Ocean currents are important both for their effect on vessels directly and their transport of water of
different characteristics which affects air above the surface.
Two main causes of ocean currents can be identified, wind stress and surface gradient.
These effects are further modified by shallow water and landmasses.
The moving surface layer exerts a force on the layer beneath it, which moves at a lower speed due to
frictional loss.
Coriolis force deflects this layer in the same way that the surface layer is deflected.
Successively deeper layers are similarly affected until the water is moving in a reciprocal direction to the
surface current, at negligible speed, at a depth of approximately 100 m.
This effect produces a pattern known as an Ekman Spiral.
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Wind
Wind Drift Current
Mass Transport
Gradient Current
Northern Hemisphere Southern Hemisphere
The major current circulations of the oceans are wind drift currents.
The winds circulating around the oceanic anticyclones in all oceans, and the westerly wind circulation
around Antarctica drive wind drift currents which circulate around the oceans, clockwise in the northern
hemisphere and anticlockwise in the southern hemisphere.
These currents are modified by landmasses to produce secondary currents.
The monsoon winds of the North Indian Ocean produce wind drift currents that reverse their circulation
with the reversal of wind direction of the monsoons.
137
138
139
140
7.3 Gradient currents
7.3.1 Causes
Gradients in the water surface may be caused by water movement in response to wind, or differences in
density of adjacent water masses due to salinity or temperature differences.
When a gradient has developed water flows down the slope.
This water flow is affected by the coriolis force and deflected accordingly.
A current flowing perpendicular to the direction of the gradient results.
Trade winds in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and the North East Monsoon and South East Trades in the
Indian Ocean, propel water westward against the bordering land masses.
A raised water level results on the western side of the ocean basin.
An hydraulic gradient exists from the western side of these oceans toward the east.
A narrow current flows down the hydraulic gradient eastward between the westbound wind drift
currents.
Due to the low latitude no coriolis effect occurs and the currents flow directly down the gradient.
The Atlantic Equatorial Counter Current varies seasonally in extent from a maximum westerly origin of
60 W in September to a minimum 20 W in March, due to the seasonal movements of the
pressure/wind/current systems.
The Indian Ocean Equatorial Counter Current is absent during the South West Monsoon due to the
northward current generated in the western North Indian Ocean preventing the development of the
hydraulic gradient.
The easterly trade winds of the equatorial Atlantic produce the North and South Equatorial Currents
flowing westward.
Part of the flow of the South Equatorial Current is diverted into the Northern Hemisphere by the South
American landmass.
A strong flow enters the Caribbean Sea, raising the level and producing a gradient flow into the Gulf of
Mexico.
The level here rises, and a gradient results across the Florida Strait to the Atlantic.
The water flows strongly eastward and northward through the strait as the Florida Current and then
forms the Gulf Stream.
7.3.2.3 Mediterranean
The Mediterranean experiences a high level of insolation with little precipitation and little inflow of
water from rivers.
The resulting imbalance of evaporation over precipitation lowers the level and a gradient forms from the
Atlantic to the Mediterranean.
Surface water flows through the Straits of Gibraltar eastward.
Coriolis force deflects this flow to the right, against the North African coast.
The current flows along the North African Coast and into the eastern basin of the Mediterranean..
A gradient also exists from the Black Sea, which receives significant river flow, to the Mediterranean.
Water flows through the Bosphorus as a result.
A less well defined flow occurs westward along the northern shores.
141
Radiation
A further effect of the excess of evaporation is an increase in salinity and therefore density of
Mediterranean water.
At the Strait of Gibraltar a density pressure exists from the Mediterranean toward the Atlantic and a
deep westward flow takes place.
During the northeast monsoon the water at the head of the Bay of Bengal is progressively cooled and
becomes denser.
A gradient forms between this cool water and warm water to the south.
A gradient current forms during the latter part of the season, in February, flowing northwards and
deflecting eastward to form a clockwise circulation against the prevailing wind.
7.4.1 Introduction
Wind drift currents can combine with gradient effects to produce complex effects.
Currents flowing latitudinally, East or West, generally acquire the temperature characteristics of their
latitude.
Currents flowing longitudinally, North or South, transport water to areas of different temperature
characteristics and are colder or warmer than the surrounding water.
This can lead to sharp interfaces between water masses and meteorological effects as air flows across
these interfaces.
For example the Gulf Stream transports warm water northward into the North Atlantic, while the
Labrador Current transports cold water southwards, the two water masses meeting off Newfoundland.
7.6.1 Introduction
The vector mean is the mean of all observed current directions and speeds for a place and time interval.
Currents flowing in opposite directions negate each other.
Observations well distributed around the compass may have a small vector mean even if individual
observation speeds are large.
The vector mean represents movement over a considerable time and is valid for estimating the average
drift of objects such as boats, derelicts and icebergs.
143
7.6.4 Current rose charts
144
Ocean Currents
No Name NM / Day Remarks
Atlantic Ocean
1 North Equatorial 10-40 Neutral temperature
2 Bahama 10-50 Neutral temperature
3 Caribbean Counter Current 10 (average) Neutral temperature
4 Gulf Stream 10-70 Warm at northern limit
5 North Atlantic Drift 10-25 Warm
Considerable modifying effect on climate of Western Europe and the UK
6 Norwegian Warm
7 lrminger 9 (average) Neutral temperature
8 E Greenland 6-12 Neutral-source of N. Atlantic icebergs.
W Greenland 6-12
9 Labrador 5-20 Cold. Source of fog and icebergs on the Grand
Banks
10 Canary 10-35 Cold-associated with upwelling
11 Azores 11 (average) Neutral temperature
12 Portuguese 10 (average) Cold to neutral
13 Counter Equatorial 10-30 Neutral temperature
14 S. Equatorial 10-45 Neutral temperature
15 Guinea 10-60 Neutral temperature
16 Brazil 10-35 Warm
17 Falkland 10-40 Cold
18 Brazil Inshore Counter Current 15 (average) Cold
An extension of the Falkland Current-may reach as far north as Rio de Janeiro in May to July
19 Southern Ocean 0-30 Neutral
Carries South Atlantic icebergs-common to South Atlantic, South Pacific and South Indian Ocean
20 Benguela 10-50 Cold. Associated with upwelling
Indian Ocean
Note the change in direction with the change of the monsoon in the Red Sea, Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal
and the China Sea. (See inset on chart for N.E. monsoon).
19 Southern Ocean Drift 0-30 Neutral
Carries S. Atlantic icebergs. Common to South Atlantic, South Pacific and South Indian Ocean.
21 West Australian 14 (average) Inshore current sets south from March to
August
22 Equatorial Do not reverse their directions
23 Counter Equatorial 24 (average) with change of monsoon
24 Mozambique 0-30 Neutral temperature
25 East African coast (Somali) Neutral.
Average daily drift: November to January 16 miles
February to March 48 miles
May to September 48 miles
From July to September the daily drift may reach 170 miles South of Socotra.
26 Agulhas 10-40 Warm. A counter current is found close
inshore.
Pacific Ocean
27 N. Equatorial 0-40 Neutral temperature
28 Counter Equatorial
29 South Equatorial 24 (average)
30 Kuro Shio 10-50 Warm. The "Gulf Stream" of the Pacific
31 Oya Shio 15-30 Cold
32 Tsushima Warm
33 Liman Cold
34 Kamchatka 5-10 Cold
35 North Pacific Drift 10-20 Warm
36 Aleutian 3-7 Neutral temperature
37 Alaskan 6 (average) Neutral temperature
145
38 Californian 10-30 Upwelling occurs off the coast of California.
Between November and December the Davidson current sets northward close inshore.
39 East Australian Very variable Warm
0-25
40 Peru 0-30 Cold. Upwelling along the coast
41 El Nino (Holy Child) Variable Warm. Flows from January to March but is rather
irregular.
146
147
8 Climatology of the Oceans.
Climatology describes the long term factors of meteorology, the average of weather.
The Atlantic, South Indian, and Pacific Oceans have similar climatic zones.
Equatorial, Tropical, Midlatitudes and Polar (Arctic and Antarctic are ice covered and not
navigable)
Equatorial 0 20
Temperature.
High, due to concentration of insolation.
Pressure.
Low, due to high temperature and low density of air mass. Inter Tropical Convergence Zone
Winds.
Light near Equator where pressure gradient is low.
Trade Winds in higher latitudes flowing from tropical anticyclone.
Humidity.
Absolute Humidity, high, due to high temperature and water surface.
Relative Humidity, high, due to presence of water surface.
Stability.
Unstable, due to high Environment Lapse Rate, due to high surface temperature.
Precipitation.
Generally high, intense in thunderstorms, due to high humidity and instability.
Extreme events.
Tropical Revolving Storms, due to high temperature, humidity, and instability.
No TRSs in South Atlantic (One in March 2004) or Southeast Pacific.
Tropical 20 40
Temperature.
High/Moderate, proportional to concentration of insolation due to angle of incidence of radiation.
Pressure.
High. Oceanic Anticyclone due to deep warm air column of the descending part of the Hadley
Cell.
Winds.
Light in mid ocean, anticyclonic around the anticyclone.
Trade Winds to Equatorial Low.
Westerlies to Mid-latitude low.
Humidity.
Absolute Humidity, high to moderate, proportional to temperatures.
Relative Humidity, high, due to water surface.
Stability.
Moderately unstable, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate which is proportional to surface
temperature.
Anticyclonic inversion may exist near centre of area.
Precipitation.
Light, due to atmospheric subsidence in anticyclone, descending part of Hadley Cell.
Adiabatic warming minimises cloud and precipitation.
Extreme events.
Tropical Revolving Storms on western side.
No TRSs in South Atlantic. (One in March 2004) or Southeast Pacific.
Polar Frontal Depressions may encroach from midlatitudes.
148
Midlatitudes 40 60
Temperature.
Cool, proportional to concentration of insolation due to angle of incidence of radiation.
Pressure.
Low, by contrast with higher pressure of Polar and Tropical Zones.
Winds.
Cyclonic due to Polar Frontal Depressions.
Predominantly Westerly from Tropical Anticyclone.
Humidity.
Absolute Humidity moderate to low proportional to temperature.
Relative Humidity high due to presence of water surface.
Stability.
Moderately stable, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate, which is proportional to surface
temperature.
Precipitation.
Moderate, due to humidity levels.
Rain or snow associated with Polar Frontal Depressions.
Extreme events.
Intense Polar Frontal Depressions.
TRSs may encroach in southwest.
NoTRSs in South Atlantic (One in March 2004) or Southeast Pacific.
Polar >60
Temperature.
Low, proportional to concentration of insolation due to angle of incidence of radiation.
Pressure.
High in anticyclone over poles.
Pressure Gradient from Polar Anticyclone toward Polar Front in Mid-latitudes.
Winds.
Easterly, from anticyclone over poles.
Humidity.
Absolute Humidity, low, proportional to temperature.
Relative humidity, high due to presence of water surface.
Stability.
Low, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate, which is proportional to surface temperature.
Precipitation.
Light, due to low humidity levels and atmospheric stability.
Snow or rain associated with Polar Frontal Depressions.
Extreme events.
Intense Polar Depressions and Polar Frontal Depressions.
Strong katabatic winds from ice caps, due to low surface temperatures and slope of land.
Temperature.
High in summer, due to flow of Equatorial air.
Moderate in winter, due to warming Polar Continental air mass.
Pressure.
Gradient south to north, in the summer.
From southern tropical anticyclone to thermal low pressure over land to the north.
Gradient from north to south in the winter.
From the cold anticyclone over the land to the low pressure of the Inter Tropical Convergence
Zone.
149
Winds.
Southwesterly in summer. Strongest on west side.
Northeasterly in winter. Strongest in the South China Sea.
Humidity.
Absolute and Relative Humidity high in summer due to high temperature and water surface.
Absolute and Relative Humidity low to moderate in winter due to warming Polar Continental air
mass.
Stability.
Unstable in summer, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate, which is proportional to surface
temperature.
Stable in winter, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate, which is proportional to surface
temperature.
Precipitation.
Intense in summer, due to high humidity and unstable air mass.
Low in winter, due to low humidity and predominantly stable air mass.
Extreme events.
Tropical revolving storms in summer. Less likely during Southwest Monsoon due to wind shear.
None in winter.
Mediterranean
Temperature.
Moderate.
Variable, depending on wind direction and season.
Pressure.
Moderate.
Variable, depending on position of Polar Front.
Winds.
Variable, depending on position of Polar Front.
Many local winds due to islands and adjacent continents.
Humidity.
Absolute Humidity low, due to predominance of Continental air masses from surrounding areas.
Relative Humidity moderate due to presence of water surface.
Stability.
Moderate, proportional to Environment Lapse Rate, which is proportional to surface temperature.
Precipitation.
Seasonal.
Low in summer due to northerly position of Polar Front.
Moderate in winter when Polar Front moves further southward.
Extreme events.
Intense Polar Frontal depressions.
Strong local winds due to surrounding land masses, mountain ranges, islands and headlands.
Some katabatic winds in winter.
150
Atlantic, Pacific and South Indian Oceans.
Tropical Revolving Storms are extremely unlikely in the South Atlantic Ocean and Southeast Pacific.
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
9 Ice
9.1 Introduction
Ice affects navigation principally in the coastal regions bordering the Arctic where sea ice makes
navigation without icebreaker assistance impossible or closes ports completely, and in the northwest
Atlantic where icebergs present a hazard to shipping on routes between northwest Europe and North
America.
Icebergs and sea ice also affect access to Antarctica, but relatively few trade routes in the southern
hemisphere are affected.
9.2 Icebergs
9.2.1 Introduction
Icebergs are large masses of floating ice derived from floating ice tongues or ice shelves.
An ice shelf is a large area of floating sea ice.
An ice tongue is the extension of a glacier floating on water.
Approximately 90% of the mass of floating ice is submerged.
The relative heights and depths vary widely with the shape of the berg from 1:5 for a blocky berg with
precipitous sides to 1:1 for a heavily eroded berg with horns and wings.
160
Shape classification
Tabular berg. Steep sides with flat top. Height to length ratio greater than 1:5.
Non-tabular berg. All other bergs, including dome-shaped, sloping, blocky and pinnacle.
In the North Atlantic the majority of bergs are calved from the glaciers of Greenland.
Snow falling on Greenland forms an ice cap covering 1 800 000 km2 and up to 3 km thick.
This flows in glaciers to the sea on both east and west coasts.
On meeting the sea the glacier tongues float on the water to an extent, then break off, calving icebergs.
Glacier bergs are normally irregularly shaped and up to 500 m in diameter.
The largest ice tongues may calve tabular bergs which are flat topped with perpendicular sides.
These bergs are carried by the prevailing currents of the area, the southward flowing East Greenland
Current, the northward flowing West Greenland Current and the southward flowing Labrador Current.
161
MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THERE IS AN UNUSUALLY HIGH NUMBER OF ICEBERGS THIS YEAR AND THEY
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACCORDINGLY.
ICEBERGS MAY BE PRESENT OUTSIDE THE ADVERTISED BERG LIMIT.
MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO NAVIGATE WITH EXTREME CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF AND IN ICE INFESTED
WATERS AS ICE CONDITIONS MAY BE MORE EXTENSIVE AND/OR SEVERE THAN REPORTED.
162
Bergs from the east coast (5 - 7000) are carried southwestward along the Greenland coast.These bergs
are melting throughout their journey, some surviving into the Davis Strait between Greenland and
Newfoundland, some moving southward from Greenland and melting in the North Atlantic.
Bergs from the west coast (10 - 15000) are carried northwestward by the West Greenland Current.
They may overwinter in sea ice in Baffin Bay and then are carried southward by the Labrador Current.
The majority of icebergs melt during this journey and do not reach the Grand Banks or the trans Atlantic
shipping lanes
On average 484 bergs cross 48N per year, but the actual number varies widely, 0 to 2202.
Bergs rarely travel South of 40N or East of 040W, but have been known to approach Bermuda and the
Azores.
Icebergs are held by sea ice during the winter and released in the spring thaw.
The iceberg season is from February to July, with a maximum number present in May.
In the southern oceans the majority of bergs calve from ice shelves extending from the Antarctic
continent, mainly in the Ross and Wedell Seas.
A number of glacier bergs also calve from the glaciers moving seaward from the ice cap.
The majority are tabular bergs, having flat tops and steep sides with a height to breadth ratio of
approximately 1:5.
Many may reach 30 miles in length and 50 metres above the sea.
Exceptionally bergs approximately 180 NM long have been reported.
These bergs may last for considerable periods near the Antarctic continent due to low sea temperatures.
They melt once they move into lower latitudes.
The average maximum limit of icebergs lies between 50S and 60S.
The extreme maximum limit encloses the southern extremity of South America, and passes close to South
Africa, Australia and New Zealand.
Ice bergs are normally decaying when in navigable water and/or air temperatures above 0C.
Above the surface the ice is melting, reducing in strength and pieces will be calving from the berg, some
of which may be large and cause waves.
Below the surface the ice is melting, changing the underwater shape of the berg so that instability may
result and the berg may capsize.
Wave action will selectively melt ice at the waterline, leading to calving above, and the formation of
rams projecting from the berg below the waterline.
Ice calved from the berg will tend to drift down wind in the surface current faster than the berg, and
spread over an extensive area to leeward.
9.3.1 Introduction
Water of salinity less than 24.7 ppt will reach maximum density before freezing.
Convection in lower salinity water will cease before freezing occurs.
Water of salinity greater than 24.7 ppt will freeze before reaching maximum density.
Convection in higher salinity water will normally continue until the freezing temperature is reached.
Shallow water freezes more easily than deep water because heat loss takes place from a smaller body of
water.
Low salinity water freezes more easily than high salinity water because convection continues to lower
temperatures and the freezing temperature is lower in high salinity water.
The Baltic, low salinity and shallow, freezes more readily than the adjacent Atlantic, high salinity and
deep.
Ice grows further by heat loss through the existing ice freezing water in contact with the lower surface.
The growing ice sheet acts as an insulator, reducing the rate of growth.
164
Fresh Water Sea Water 35ppt
Density and Temperature Density and Temperature
1000 1029
1028
Density
Density
1027
999 1026
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Temperature Temperature
Water.
Maximum Density. Freezing Point.
2
Temperature
-1
-2
-3
-4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Salinity
165
9.3.3 Sea ice deformation
9.3.4 Topography
9.3.5.1 Concentration
Ice strengthened ships with adequate power can work through 6/10 first year ice.
Unstrengthened ships should avoid concentrations greater than 4/10.
Unstrengthened ships can make progress through ice up to 100 mm thick, up to 10/10 concentration.
9.3.5.2 Size
9.3.5.3 Age
166
167
168
9.3.6 Areas and seasons
Ice cover increases during the winter as temperatures fall with the maximum extent occurring in March
and April.
Rising temperatures in summer cause melting and cover decreases to a minimum in August and
September.
At the maximum extent the following areas are covered:
The Arctic Ocean and Barents Sea to all the land borders.
Baffin Bay, Hudson Bay and the sea east of Labrador.
The Greenland Sea and the west part of the Denmark Strait, to Cape Farewell.
The Gulf of St Lawrence, the St Lawrence Seaway and the Great Lakes.
The Baltic Gulfs of Bothnia, Finland and Riga.
The north part of the Black Sea.
The Sea of Okhotsk is covered except for the southern part.
The Asian mainland coast to approximately 47N
The northern part of the Bering Sea.
At the minimum extent the ice retreats to 70-80N clearing all land borders of the Arctic Ocean except
northern Canada and Greenland.
9.4.1 Introduction
Ice is a severe hazard to navigation, having caused significant losses in the past, and stimulating
considerable expenditure on detection and dissemination of information to prevent casualties.
Regulation 31
Danger messages.
a) The Master of every ship which meets with dangerous ice ...or encounters sub-freezing air
temperatures associated with gale force winds causing severe ice accretion on superstructures...is bound
to communicate the information by all means at his disposal...
Regulation 32
Information required in danger messages
1 Ice...
1.1 The kind of ice...
1.2 The position of the ice...
1.3 The time and date UT when danger last observed.
5 Sub-freezing air temperatures...
5.1 Time and date UCT
5.2 Air temperature
5.3 Sea temperature if practicable
5.4 Wind force and direction.
169
Speed near ice
When ice is reported on or near his course the Master of every ship at night is bound to proceed at a
moderate speed or to alter his course so as to go well clear of the danger zone.
9.4.3.1 General
When steaming downwind large ice formations may be approached directly without forewarning.
When steaming upwind small pieces of ice may forewarn of larger formations to windward.
Sea and swell lower than expected for the wind speed may indicate the presence of significant ice to
windward.
Air and sea surface temperatures may be reduced in the vicinity of ice formations.
Animals and/or birds far from land may indicate the presence of large ice sheets.
The odour of penguins is said the be detectable offshore from large colonies.
9.4.3.1 Radar
9.4.3.2 Visual
9.4.3.3 Aural
The sound of icebergs calving, waves breaking on ice, or the grinding of ice floes against each other may
be the first warning.
The sound detection system of a vessel with an enclosed bridge may be used.
Draughts should give adequate coverage to rudder and propeller to minimise damage.
Vessels with an Ice Belt, a strengthened section of the hull, must have this at the waterline to provide
protection.
Watchkeeping personnel should be aware of the factors involved in ice navigation.
Speed should be reduced in proportion to the density of ice, although a certain minimum is required to
maintain way through a sheet of ice.
Engines ready for manoeuvring.
Adequate personnel to keep a visual lookout and enable hand steering at short notice.
Searchlights available at night.
Monitor communications for ice information.
170
Give icebergs wide clearance due to the possibility of rams extending from the visible ice below the
water.
Withdraw stabilizers and other projections before entering ice.
Enter ice at right angles, and reduced speed.
9.4.4.2 Navigation.
These are long distance Pilots trained and experienced in ice navigation techniques.
Their use may be compulsory for inexperienced Masters.
Icebreaking services are maintained by the states adjacent to affected seas, particularly the Baltic
countries and Canada.
Details of contact and reporting requirements are contained in ALRS V6 and equivalent publications.
A vessel being assisted must follow the instructions of the icebreaker closely.
Vessels are frequently assisted in convoys.
The ice service has discretion whether or not to provide assistance.
9.4.7.1 General
The states bordering waters subject to ice maintain services giving information about ice in their areas
by Navtex, telex, fax, radiotelephony and VHF.
Details are published in ALRS V3 and equivalent publications.
Information is available on the Internet. Search for 'icebergs' and 'sea ice' and follow links.
The North American Ice Service (NAIS), a partnership comprised of the International Ice Patrol (IIP), the
Canadian Ice Service (CIS), and the U.S. National Ice Center (NIC), provides year-round maritime safety
information on iceberg and sea ice conditions in the vicinity of the Grand Banks of Newfoundland and the
east coast of Labrador, Canada.
The daily NAIS Iceberg Limit, valid at 0000Z, along with the daily Sea Ice Limit, valid for 1100 EST the
previous day, is distributed as a NAVAREA IV warning in the format of a text Iceberg Bulletin and as a
graphic Iceberg Chart
Ships are encouraged to immediately report sightings of icebergs or stationary radar targets that may
likely be icebergs to the nearest Canadian Coast Guard MCTS Station or through INMARSAT using Service
Code 42.
Vessels participating in a Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS) program should continue to report weather and
sea surface temperature (SST) to their respective programs.
171
When making iceberg reports, please include SHIP NAME and CALL SIGN, ZULU TIME, SHIP POSITION
(latitude, longitude), COURSE, SPEED, VISIBILITY, ICEBERG/RADAR TARGETS POSITION (Specify either
the geographic coordinates or range/bearing from ships position), ZULU TIME OF SIGHTING, METHOD
OF DETECTION (Visual, Radar, or Both), LENGTH (in meters), SHAPE OF ICEBERG (See Table 3), and
VESSEL CONTACT INFORMATION.
Example message.
NAVAREA IV
NORTH AMERICAN ICE SERVICE (NAIS) ICEBERG BULLETIN
1. 110000Z JUL ICEBERG LIMIT:
48-10N 52-55W, 48-30N 51-30W, 55-30N 51-00W, 60-00N 56-00W.
2. WESTERN ICEBERG LIMIT:
51-25N 57-40W, 50-50N 57-00W.
3. SEA ICE LIMIT:
A. 60-30N 64-50W, 60-30N 65-25W, 59-50N 66-35W, 59-15N 66-45W, 59-20N 67-35W, 58-55N 68-40W.
B. 63-30N 80-50W, 63-25N 80-00W, 64-25N 79-40W, 63-25N 75-10W, 62-25N 71-40W, 61-35N 68-25W,
61-05N 63-45W, 62-00N 64-00W, 64-45N 56-30W, 72-45N 60-00W, 75-00N 66-30W, 74-00N 70-00W,
75-00N 77-00W, 77-30N 73-45W, 75-30N 69-00W, 75-00N 62-00W, 75-15N 58-15W.
4. NOTE THE SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION OF THE ICEBERG LIMIT SINCE 10000Z JUL BULLETIN DUE TO
RECENT RECONNAISSANCE AND PREDICTED DETERIORATION.
5. REPORT POSITION AND TIME OF ANY ICEBERGS OR STATIONARY RADAR TARGETS THAT MAY LIKELY BE
ICEBERGS TO THE NEAREST CANADIAN COAST GUARD MARINE COMMUNICATIONS AND TRAFFIC SERVICE
STATION
OR USING INMARSAT CODE 42.
6. CANCEL THIS MESSAGE 120000Z JUL 12.
The Baltic Sea Ice Code is used in Denmark, Estonia, Germany, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, The
Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Russia and Sweden.
The code is used for reporting and describing of ice conditions in fairways, harbour areas, coastal sectors
and sea routes.
Considerable detail about the ice conditions at a port can be extracted from a compact numerical
message.
Details are published in ALRS 3(1).
9.4.8.1 Introduction
Ice accretion is the formation of ice on vessels superstructure or deck by freezing of precipitation or
spray.
9.4.8.2 Conditions
Fresh Water Accretion. Air temperature <0C and fog and/or precipitation.
Salt Water Accretion. Air temperature < -2C and wind > force 6, causing spray.
Ice accretion from fog, rain or snow is unlikely to accumulate sufficient weight of ice to affect stability.
Aerials of radar, radio and navigation aids may be affected.
Radar aerials may be prevented from turning, particularly if stopped, in port.
Communications aerials may fracture due to weight of accumulated ice.
Reception of radio signals may be adversely affected by ice accumulation on aerials.
Navigation aid aerials may be damaged by accumulated ice or personnel clearing ice.
GPS signals may be attenuated below the threshold of detection.
172
Navigation lights may be obscured by accumulated ice, altering range and arcs of visibility of own and
other vessels.
Stability and freeboard may be improved by lowering Centre of Gravity and counteracting list and trim:
Discharging weights from high and under ice.
Transferring weight downward and away from ice.
Ballasting low and opposite ice.
Minimising free surface.
9.4.8.4 Communications
The Master is required by SOLAS Chapter V Regulation 31 to report conditions leading to ice accretion.
Early communication with rescue services in the event of severe icing likely to lead to abandonment of
the vessel is advisable, as survival times in these conditions are low.
173
174
175
10 Voyage Planning and Meteorology
10.1 Introduction
Generally the shortest route with adequate margins of safety is the first approximation.
The optimum route may involve a longer distance in order to avoid adverse elements such as high waves
or use favourable elements such as currents.
10.2 Objectives
Weather
High waves
Ocean currents, adverse and favourable
Ice
Fog
Availability of forecasts
Vessel
Vessel type
Speed
Draft
Freeboard
Stability
Performance curves
Navigation aids
Cargo
Sensitivity to temperature and humidity
Deck cargo
Voyage
Destination and range of routes available
Distance. Long voyages are more likely to offer alternatives
Navigation hazards
Scheduling requirements
Legal requirements and restrictions, Charter Party, Crew Agreement, Loadline Zone limits
Communications. GMDSS Sea Areas may be relevant.
10.4 Procedure
176
10.5 Effects of waves on vessels
10.5.1 Introduction
Performance Curve
Service Speed 15 kts.
15
14
13
12
11
10
000
9
045
Speed
8
090
7
135
6
180
5
4
3
2
1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Wave Height
Performance data quantifies the reduction in speed due to the effects of waves.
The data relates:
Calm water speed
Height of waves
Relative direction of waves
Draught and Trim
Data may be
Empirical, based on analysis of historical data from log books
Computer generated, based on the hull form
177
From points on this isochrone a further isochrone is constructed.
This process is repeated until an isochrone reaches the destination or forecast information is exhausted.
The least time track reaches the destination first, or achieves the least distance to go toward the
destination at the end of the forecast period.
10.6.1 Principle
10.6.2 Information
10.7.1 Principle
10.7.2 Information
178
179
180
181
182
10.7.3 Procedures
10.7.3.1 Routeing may be performed on board using forecasts received by fax and telex.
Elements may have to be deduced from charts, wind from isobar spacing and direction.
Data may have to be drawn from climatological sources, currents.
10.7.3.2 The vessel may have a computer program processing meteorological data received from ashore
and presenting information for the vessels staff to use.
The program may interface with GPS and communications equipment.
The program contains information about the vessel.
This may include maximum tolerable wave heights and/or wind speeds.
Meteorological forecast data for up to 10 days is received by satellite link.
The software generates an optimum route.
The display shows the route and weather elements with forecast positions for the vessel based on the
vessel and meteorological data.
The weather conditions are forecast for the period covered by the data received.
The process is repeated, probably daily.
Alternative routes may be entered and the results considered.
Hindcasts can be generated recording performance.
10.7.3.3 Routeing Officers ashore may advise the vessel on routeing and provide forecasts.
The vessels data is sent to the service provider.
Data is entered into the computer.
A program using available meteorological data carries out the same functions as above.
The Routeing Officers use their experience and expertise together with the output from the computer
program in advising the Master.
A provisional route is advised before the vessel sails.
A forecast is issued immediately before the ETD.
The advised route is reviewed when the vessel sails and any changes advised.
The advised route is reviewed daily and any changes recommended.
Forecasts are issued at appropriate intervals. 48 hourly in normal conditions, 6 hourly if the vessel is in
the vicinity of a Tropical Revolving Storm.
The vessel is required to report position and weather conditions regularly so that the computer program
can be updated and operate efficiently.
Hindcasts and other reports are generated for the Master and Management Company on completion of
the voyage.
These reports may be used in defence against claims if adverse weather has caused delays.
10.8 Monitoring
Throughout the voyage forecasts are obtained and the vessels own meteorological observations used to
monitor conditions.
Unpredicted conditions such as Tropical Revolving Storms can then be detected and the route reviewed
and amended if necessary.
10.9.1 Introduction
183
10.9.2 Climatological routeing.
Advantages
Easily performed with limited meteorological knowledge.
Can be performed with books and charts held on board.
Effective in tropical and subtropical latitudes where climatological data is a relatively reliable guide to
conditions.
Least expensive.
Limitations
Least effective in temperate latitudes where conditions are variable in all seasons.
May depend on single observer forecasting for transient weather phenomena, particularly Tropical
Revolving Storms.
Advantages.
Takes account of real time weather conditions.
Most effective in temperate latitudes where conditions are variable in all seasons.
Limitations
Requires communication facilities to acquire data for forecasting.
Forecasts of limited range, 10 days maximum.
Advantages
Cost is probably lower.
Directly involves vessels staff.
Limitations
Depends on skill of vessels staff.
Time consuming for vessels staff.
Reduced access to wider expertise.
Advantages
High skill level of personnel
Access to wider expertise of meteorologists
Powerful computer facilities.
Limitations
Routeing officers not on site and depend on position reports from vessels.
Small scale features and local conditions may not be accurately forecast.
Programs exist to enable shore management to track vessels and determine the weather conditions being
experienced and forecast.
These may link to programs on board or to shore routeing services.
184
Bibliography
Atmosphere, Weather and Climate. Routledge. ISBN 0 415 07761 3
Handling Ships in Ice. Nautical Institute. ISBN 1 870077 84 9
Marine Observers Handbook. HMSO. ISBN 0 11 400367 X
Maritime Meteorology. Thomas Reed Publications. ISBN 0 901281 67 0
Maritime Weather and Climate. Witherby. ISBN 1 85609 166 X
Meteorology for Mariners. HMSO. ISBN 0 11 4003 11 4
Meteorology for Seafarers. Brown , Son and Ferguson Ltd. ISBN 978-1-84927-056-4
Polar Ship Operations. Nautical Institute. ISBN 978 1 906915 18 6
Reeds Maritime Meteorology. Adlard Coles Nautical. ISBN 978-1-4081-1206-9
Sailing Directions. HMSO.
SOLAS Chapter V
The Mariners Handbook. HMSO. NP100.
The Preparation and use of Weather Maps by Mariners. WMO. ISBN 92 63 10595 2
Internet sites
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_daily_concentration_hires.png
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_daily_concentration_hires.png
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png
http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/
http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/uamap.html
http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/abin/geobrowse
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
http://www.ukho.gov.uk/easytide
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html
http://nsidc.org/greenland-today/
http://www.smhi.se/oceanografi/iceservice/is_prod_en.php
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/indian_ocean.shtml
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
https://metoc.ndbc.noaa.gov/JTWC/#_48_INSTANCE_0SiamlX2KcM6_=https%3A%2F%2Fmetoc.ndbc.noaa.
gov%2FProductFeeds-portlet%2Fimg%2Fjtwc%2Fhtml%2Fcoop.jsp%3F
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=fax;sess=
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/marine-printable/shipping-forecast.html
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcp185f25
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-
pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureBW&fcTime=1445904000
http://www.navcen.uscg.gov/?pageName=iipProducts
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html
http://weather.noaa.gov/fax/marsh.shtml#WIND
http://weather.noaa.gov/fax/gulf.shtml
http://weather.noaa.gov/fax/ptreyes.shtml
http://metservice.com/maps-radar/maps/tasman-sea-nz
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/pacific_ocean.shtml
http://ptwc.weather.gov/
http://www.weathersa.co.za//media/data/observation/synoptic/ma_sy.gif
http://www.weathersa.co.za/media/data/marine/ma_cw.pdf
http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDY65100.pdf
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/
http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/details.cgi?aid=4404
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/full.html
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
185
Weather Fronts, Centres and Isobars found on a Synoptic Chart
Cold-Front Cold-Front
Frontogenesis The Frontolysis The
Cold Front at the development or disappearance or
Surface marked marked weakening
intensification of a of a front
front
Warm-Front Warm-Front
Frontogenesis The Frontolysis The
Warm Front at the development or disappearance or
Surface marked marked weakening
intensification of a of a front
front
Trough Line
Convergence Line Ridge Axis
1024
Centre of tropical
cyclonic circulation
L H (maximum winds of
Low Pressure centre High Pressure centre 64 knots or more)
x with value in x with value in
978 hectoPascals 1024 hectoPascals. Centre of tropical
cyclonic circulation
(maximum winds of
34 to 63 knots)
186
Beaufort Notation
Repeated. Continuous.
Capital letter. Accentuated. Heavy, dense.
Present weather. Letters combined. ltrhs, lightning, thunder, rain, hail and snow.
Past weather. Letters in chronological sequence.
187
Wind Protractor.
Surface
Wind.
Angle of
Indraft.
Geostrophic
Wind.
188
Examples.
Chart 04 12.
Radius of Curvature.
Wind Protractor position adjusted until circles match curvature of isobars at Position.
Higher pressure toward centre of curvature, Anticylonically curved.
Circle 180 NM fits curvature of isobars.
Chart 02 12
FH 2016-03-03
189
Wind Direction.
190
Radius of Curvature. Anticyclonic 180 NM.
191
03 12 Swell Source.
192
193