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1839期雙週報
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1839期雙週報
Enviado por
Antonio AzzaliniDireitos autorais:
Formatos disponíveis
ISSN 1019-2441
1839
501
(02)2316-5847
http://www.ndc.gov.tw
104101
http://www.ndc.gov.tw
()
/
2 1839
Abstract
ADB
OECD
ADB
20152016
OECD2015 OECD
Emerging East Asias bond markets came under pressure in the past quarter amidst
concerns over softer growth, depreciating currencies, and US interest rates, the Asian
Development Banks (ADBs) latest Asia Bond Monitor said.
Economic recovery is progressing in the worlds advanced economies, but stagnating
world trade and deteriorating conditions in financial markets are curbing growth prospects in
many of the major emerging economies, according to the OECDs Interim Economic Outlook.
Softer growth prospects for the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) and India, and a slow
recovery in the major industrial economies will combine to push growth in developing Asia
for 2015 and 2016 below previous projections, says a new Asian Development Bank (ADB)
report.
OECD countries are facing an unprecedented refugee crisis and the situation requires a
comprehensive and co-ordinated international response to address the immediate needs of
asylum seekers, according to two new OECD documents, the 2015 International Migration
Outlook and a Policy Brief on the Refugee Crisis.
1839 3
5
13
1. 101 11
WB
5. 119
ADB
80
OECD
ADB
80
2. 105
6. 125
/GDP
25
3. 112
UN
ADB
85.7
OECD
7. 129
4. 115
4 1839
?Korea Black Friday?
85%
5
Aa2
8. 132
8
5
9 11
9. 137
5
9
3,000
11. 153
40
155
156
10. 144
LG 2016
1839 5
1.
2.
3.
/
/
3G
4G
O2O
6 1839
WTO
Kitchen
of the World
master plan
Kitchen of
the World
master plan
1
Thai Select
Thai Premium
Blue Elephant
Center for Thailand Kitchen of the World, CTKW
National Food Institute, NFI
Global challenges, Dutch solutions
WTO
1839 7
1
master plan
National Food Institute, $$
NFI
$$
/ CTKW
Thai Select
Thai Premium
CTKW
/
Blue
Thai Select Elephant /
IEK 2008/12
fashion industry micro
cluster
WTO
2,700
250
1~2
8 1839
1.
2.
Fashion export outpost
3.
CFDK
Council of Fashion Designer of Korea
WTO
/
/
Global
challenges, Dutch solutions
/
Michael Jackson
1839 9
Super Junior
After School
29
/
/
WTO
GDP
GDP
GDP
1
/
/
10 1839
1 GDP
( task/ (3D
(
) ) )
(
)
/
(
)
( ( testbed (7-11
) ) )
(
)
)
(
(
)
/
/
/
/
1839 11
master plan
/
GDP
F1
ETC
eTag
ETC
Global challenges, Taiwanese
solutions
Promoter
12 1839
Owner
/
e-healthcare
/
/
Master plan
Master plan
Master
Master plan
plan
Master plan
/
/
1839 13
2015 Global Insight Inc.2015
2016 2.5% 2015
3.1% 2.1%
20152.5%2008
2.2%
19902007283.1%
2016
4
20163.1%
2.0%
721.556
23.5
20152.2%
0.4%0.3%
1.2%1.0%
20151.5%
1.6%4.5%
2015
0.6%
76.0%66.8%
14 1839
612.8%11.6%
62.8%78.3%
6.0%
20156.5%
201520167.5%8.0%
7
16%
2015
3.7%
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2015
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Fed9
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2015
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3.25%
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2016
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849
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2015492016
60201773
2015 2.3%0.6%
2016 2.2%
1839 15
2.8%
2015
2.2%20162.8%
1220150.50%
20161.50%20173.25%
201520161.8%
20169.7%2014
2016202514.1%2015
10.911
122.29
2015
2016
1.5%1.7% 2015
0.3%2014
0.4%2013
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0.7%
0.2%0.8%
Markit8
50
54.28
201162015
1.5%20161.7%
ECB20149
0.05%0.20%
0.30%20153
2016 9 600
2.0%
2017
811.17
93
16 1839
11.13
11.071.14
2015 4.5%
2016 1.6%
0.6%1.3%
2015
0.6%20161.3%
2014
20151020174
2020
201212
2012
1217920135100
201561125
20151122.29
2.0%
2018
( ) 2015 20154.6%2.5%
2016 2014
5.5%5.6% 2014
2015
20156.5%
20155.5%2016
5.6%
1839 17
10
20156.5% 20166.3%
2015137.5%
2015
7.7%
2015
2015
2016 0.1%
1.0%
2015 0.1%
20161.0%
2015 2.0% 2.5%
2016 0.4% 2017 1.5% 2.0%
2015
2.2%20162.5%2016
201720%
18 1839
2015 2016
2.8%3.5%
GCC
55
20152.8%
20163.5%
OPEC
2015
2.7%
2015
3.2%
2015 2015
2016 3.7%
4.3%
20153.8%
IMF
2015
3.7%20164.3%
20154.0%2005
12014
1.5%20151.9%
3.2%
1839 19
1
%
2014
2015
2016
2017
GDP
2.8
2.8 2.7
2.5 3.3
3.1 3.5
3.4
2.4
2.4 2.3
2.1 2.9
2.7 2.9
2.8
2.4
2.4 2.3
2.2 2.9
2.8 2.8
2.8
2.5
2.4 1.9
1.0 2.2
2.1 2.5
2.6
2.1
2.1 2.6
2.2 3.6
2.5 4.0
2.8
1.3
1.3 1.6
1.7 2.0
1.8 1.9
1.9
2.8
3.0 2.4
2.6 2.8
2.6 2.5
2.5
0.9
0.9 1.5
1.5 1.9
1.7 1.8
1.8
1.6
1.6 1.8
1.7 2.2
2.1 2.0
2.0
0.4
0.2 1.2
1.1 1.5
1.3 1.5
1.5
-0.4
-0.4 0.6
0.6 0.9
0.9 0.8
0.9
1.4
1.4 2.7
3.1 2.6
2.7 2.4
2.3
2.7
2.7 2.8
2.9 3.4
3.2 3.9
3.7
4.8
4.7 4.7
4.6 5.0
4.9 5.0
5.0
6.0
6.0 5.6
5.5 5.7
5.6 5.9
5.8
-0.1
-0.1 0.8
0.6 1.5
1.3 0.7
0.7
7.4
7.4 6.5
6.5 6.3
6.3 6.5
6.5
7.4
7.4 7.8
7.7 8.1
8.1 8.0
8.0
3.3
2.9 2.6
2.2 3.4
3.3 3.5
3.5
1.1
1.1 0.5
0.1 2.0
1.0 2.9
2.3
0.1
0.1 -1.4
-2.0 0.7
-0.4 1.9
2.1
2.6
2.3 2.9
2.8 3.6
3.5 4.0
4.1
3.1
2.9 2.8
2.6 3.4
3.6 3.9
4.1
1.0
0.6 3.1
3.1 4.1
3.2 4.1
4.4
4.5
4.5 3.8
3.7 4.9
4.3 5.3
4.8
2.9
2.8 2.3
1.6 3.7
2.8 3.7
3.4
4.2
3.7 1.7
1.3 3.8
1.6 3.5
3.3
0.7
0.7 1.8
1.4 2.1
1.9 1.9
1.9
0.5
0.5 2.1
1.6 2.2
2.0 1.8
1.8
5.0
5.1 4.6
3.5 5.7
5.1 5.4
4.9
2.1
2.1 1.5
-0.1 4.4
3.8 0.3
0.5
1.6
1.6 0.0
0.1 1.8
1.6 2.5
2.4
0.5
0.5 0.2
0.1 1.3
1.2 1.6
1.6
1.5
1.5 0.3
0.1 1.6
1.3 2.0
2.0
2.7
2.7 1.0
0.8 1.4
1.0 2.5
2.2
0.82 0.82 0.93 0.93 0.88 0.88 0.80
0.80
0.64 0.64 0.67 0.66 0.64 0.65 0.63
0.61
120.64
120.64 126.68
126.02 126.88
127.48 129.50
128.26
6.21 6.21 6.57 6.34 6.72 6.46 6.43
6.75
0.9
1.1 -10.9 -9.2 7.1
4.8 9.7
9.9
0.9
1.0 - 11.1 -9.8 7.2
4.1 10.1
10.2
2015
Global Insight Inc., Global Executive Summary, Third-quarter, 2015.
20 1839
GDP
2.7%
9121.126.4
3,25027.3
817.3
5.1%
GDP
2.7% 20152.7%
3.1%
5.8%
0.7% 1.5%
4.8%
3.7%
3.1%
2.15.2%0.9
2.6%
0.55.2%
2.8%0.2
8 80.9%
0.9% 81.4%
3.2%3.2%
8
2.6% 5.6%
1.7% +7.4%
+5.3% +4.8%
+3.3%+2.9%
+1.3% +1.9%
+2.8%+2.1%-6.5%
+1.1%+1.6%
+2.1% +0.4%
-2.4% +1.5%
+0.8% +0.9%
+0.5%+1.7%
1839 21
2-1
%
*
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
()
()
2004 3.8 2.4 5.5 3.6 2.7 3.25 5.25 8,219.9 12.6 14,854.9 16.9 -6,635.0
2005 3.3 3.3 5.1 4.9 3.4 5.25 7.25 9,116.9 10.9 16,924.2 13.9 -7,807.3
2006 2.7 2.2 4.6 2.9 3.2 6.25 8.25 10,259.7 12.5 19,194.3 13.4 -8,934.6
2007 1.8 2.5 4.6 3.9 2.9 4.75 7.25 11,482.0 11.9 20,204.0 5.3 -8,722.1
2008 -0.3 -3.4 5.8 6.4 3.8 0.50 3.25 12,874.4 12.1 21,694.9 7.4 -8,820.4
2009 -2.8 -11.3 9.3 -2.6 -0.3 0.50 3.25 10,560.4 -18.0 16,053.0 -26.0 -5,492.5
2010 2.5 5.6 9.6 4.2 1.6 0.75 3.25 12,784.9 21.1 19,691.8 22.7 -6,906.9
2011 1.6 3.0 8.9 6.0 3.1 0.75 3.25 14,825.1 16.0 22,658.9 15.1 -7,833.9
2012 2.2 2.8 8.1 1.9 2.1 0.75 3.25 15,457.0 4.3 23,355.4 3.1 -7,898.3
2013 1.5 1.9 7.4 1.2 1.5 0.75 3.25 15,795.9 2.2 23,290.6 -0.3 -7,494.7
2014 2.4 3.7 6.2 1.9 1.6 0.75 3.25 16,205.3 2.6 24,125.5 3.6 -7,920.2
2013
10 2.5 7.2 0.3 0.9 0.75 3.25 1,421.8 6.4 2,104.1 3.2 -682.3
11 2.5 2.3 7.0 0.8 1.2 0.75 3.25 1,362.5 4.7 1,936.5 -2.9 -574.0
12 2.3 6.7 1.5 1.5 0.75 3.25 1,319.6 0.9 1,874.6 3.1 -555.1
2014
1 2.1 6.6 1.7 1.6 0.75 3.25 1,265.2 2.8 1,909.7 0.3 -644.5
2 1.7 2.4 6.7 1.2 1.1 0.75 3.25 1,235.9 0.0 1,750.8 0.0 -514.8
3 3.1 6.6 2.0 1.5 0.75 3.25 1,421.8 4.0 1,994.7 6.9 -572.9
4 3.3 6.2 3.1 2.0 0.75 3.25 1,338.7 3.4 2,060.4 5.2 -721.7
5 2.6 3.7 6.3 2.5 2.1 0.75 3.25 1,381.2 3.8 2,056.1 1.8 -674.9
6 4.0 6.1 2.8 2.0 0.75 3.25 1,383.6 2.6 2,030.4 6.9 -646.8
7 4.8 6.2 2.7 2.0 0.75 3.25 1,332.0 4.6 2,099.0 3.6 -767.0
8 2.9 4.0 6.1 2.3 1.7 0.75 3.25 1,374.2 3.6 2,020.0 1.9 -645.8
9 3.9 5.9 2.2 1.6 0.75 3.25 1,333.6 3.8 2,083.8 5.8 -750.2
10 4.1 5.7 1.7 1.6 0.75 3.25 1,454.4 2.3 2,164.4 2.9 -710.0
11 2.5 4.7 5.8 1.1 1.3 0.75 3.25 1,347.3 -1.1 1,949.8 0.7 -602.5
12 4.6 5.6 -0.8 0.7 0.75 3.25 1,337.5 1.4 2,006.4 7.0 -669.0
2015
1 4.5 5.7 -3.2 -0.2 0.75 3.25 1,214.0 -4.0 1,855.7 -2.8 -641.7
2 2.9 3.5 5.5 -3.3 -0.1 0.75 3.25 1,183.5 -4.2 1,673.2 -4.4 -489.7
3 2.5 5.5 -3.4 0.0 0.75 3.25 1,337.8 -5.9 2,031.6 1.8 -693.7
4 2.1 5.4 -4.3 -0.1 0.75 3.25 1,285.1 -4.0 1,946.4 -5.5 -661.3
5 2.7 1.3 5.5 -2.9 0.0 0.75 3.25 1,282.6 -7.1 1,907.8 -7.2 -625.2
6 0.8 5.3 -2.5 0.2 0.75 3.25 1,309.9 -5.3 2,015.5 -0.7 -705.6
7 1.3 5.3 -2.5 0.2 0.75 3.25 1,241.7 -6.8 1,984.2 -5.5 -742.5
8 0.9 5.1 -2.9 0.2 0.75 3.25
*
1
2
3
4
5
WTO
22 1839
+1.4%
75.8%2.7
+1.3%75.8%1.1
NAIC
-6.2%3.2%
84.0%3.5
3.2% 79.2% 6.7
8
76.1%4.6
76.1%0.9
85.1% 81.57
4.126.19,403.1
62.6%
1.4919.6
59.4%802.923.7
5.1%
8
4.7%4.7%
16.9% 4.4% 9.5%
6.6%3.5%8
27218.70.7
27.2%2.7
2,624.3
181.2
62.44
12
817.3
8/
+16.4+0.8
+1.1+0.7+0.2
-0.7+1.9
+3.3+6.2
+3.3 -0.4
-2.4-1.0+0.3
-1.7
1839 23
8 34.6 0.1
40.8
/+825.09
/2.2%
8 8CPI-
CPI-U0.1% U0.1%12
0.2%
8CPI-U0.1%
0.2%2.0%
4.1%
0.5%4.1%
8.1%
0.3%1.2%
+0.2% -2.0%
-4.1% -4.1%-8.1%
+0.5%+0.3%+1.2%
+0.0%-0.4%
+0.3% +0.3%
+0.1%+0.2%-0.3%
+0.0%
CPI-U
+0.2%+1.6%-15.0%
-23.6% -23.3%
-34.6%-3.0%-0.6%
-11.5%CPI-U+1.8%
CPI-U -0.5%
+0.6%-1.5%-0.9%
+3.4%+2.6%
+3.1%+2.1%+2.2%
1
CPI-W0.3%233.3661982~84=100
0.2%
7 418.6 71,885.0
4.3%2,303.6
3.3%418.6
33.571,281.7
7.4%1,896.14.5%
614.4 603.3
3.1%407.52.6%
195.8
24 1839
7/
-9.6-57.6
-18.5-14.8
-1.9+6.6/
-2.0
-133.9-0.1
+14.6+23.2+2.3
/
-0.4-5.1+6.0
+0.9+6.4
-2.3+1.0
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/+0.9
+2.7+7.3-1.1
+0.2-2.9
-0.4+6.2
-2.8
7279.1
2.9% 353.1 3.2%
74.0
7
+26+7-3
+2-288-124
-60 -54 -38
-23 -22 -21
-20-11-5
7
GDP 982015GDP
-0.3% 0.3%-1.2%
-0.4%-1.6%
-0.8%-0.7%
-0.1%-0.9%
1839 25
GDP 0.0% 0.1%
GDP0.4%0.3%
7 7103.62010=100
97.50.8%
7
100.40.8%
96.20.4%
7115.9
2.7% 113.7
0.8%
8
2.8%
981.7%
7 7103.72010=100
0.1%0.2%
103.4
101.20.1%0.6%
7.3%1.6%
1.4%1.4%
1.3%1.2%
0.8%4.7%
2.3%0.1%
73.3% 73.3%60.1
3.5%0.1
3.2%0.17222
2662
26 1839
13213
9012
90
4
399
76,38124
83,336
291,956
171,038
201,028
8777
29
757.6%0.3
74,4668
2
7 7228471
0.2% 0.2%2
5.3%
3.9%
5.6%
3.7%3.1%
1.9% 1.8%
1.2%1.1%
7587,156
5.4%4
3.8%23.5%
15.0%7
5.4%
83.1% 858,815
3.1% 12
11.1%45.0%
3.9%8.2%
20.9%864,511
3.1%8
32.9%30.2%
33.5%53.6%8
5,697
40.2%58
61.1%8124.161
21.5%
1839 27
2-2
%
*
*
*
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
()
()
2004 2.4 4.8 4.7 1.3 0.0 0.10 1.38 5,656.7 19.9 4,551.9 15.7 1,104.8
2005 1.3 1.4 4.4 1.6 -0.3 0.10 1.38 5,948.6 5.2 5,158.1 13.3 790.5
2006 1.7 4.5 4.1 2.2 0.2 0.40 1.63 6,467.4 8.7 5,790.4 12.3 676.9
2007 2.2 2.8 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.75 1.88 7,142.1 10.4 6,221.4 7.4 920.8
2008 -1.0 -3.4 4.0 4.6 1.4 0.30 1.68 7,820.5 9.5 7,625.9 22.6 194.6
2009 -5.5 -21.8 5.1 -5.3 -1.3 0.30 1.48 5,807.2 -25.7 5,519.6 -27.6 287.6
2010 4.7 15.6 5.1 -0.1 -0.7 0.30 1.48 7,697.7 32.6 6,940.5 25.7 757.2
2011 -0.5 -2.8 4.6 1.5 -0.3 0.30 1.48 8,225.6 6.9 8,550.0 23.2 -324.3
2012 1.7 0.6 4.3 -0.9 0.0 0.30 1.48 7,986.2 -2.9 8,860.4 3.6 -874.2
2013 1.6 -0.8 4.0 1.3 0.4 0.30 1.48 7,146.1 -10.5 8,323.4 -6.1 -1,177.3
2014 -0.1 2.1 3.6 3.2 2.7 0.30 1.48 6,902.0 -3.4 8,122.1 -2.4 -1,220.1
2013
10 5.4 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.30 1.48 623.9 -4.3 736.4 1.9 -112.5
11 2.3 4.8 3.9 2.6 1.6 0.30 1.48 591.1 -4.2 721.5 -1.9 -130.4
12 7.2 3.7 2.5 1.6 0.30 1.48 590.8 -6.8 717.2 0.8 -126.4
2014
1 10.7 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.30 1.48 505.3 -6.1 774.2 7.3 -268.9
2 2.4 7.0 3.6 1.8 1.5 0.30 1.48 567.7 0.1 646.6 -0.5 -78.9
3 7.4 3.6 1.7 1.6 0.30 1.48 624.1 -5.6 765.9 9.6 -141.8
4 3.7 3.6 4.2 3.4 0.30 1.48 591.6 0.1 672.0 -1.3 -80.5
5 -0.4 1.0 3.6 4.4 3.7 0.30 1.48 550.7 -3.4 640.9 -4.1 -90.1
6 3.2 3.7 4.5 3.6 0.30 1.48 582.1 -6.5 663.8 3.6 -81.7
7 -0.5 3.7 4.4 3.4 0.30 1.48 602.4 0.9 696.5 -0.6 -94.0
8 -1.4 -3.0 3.5 4.0 3.4 0.30 1.48 554.1 -6.2 646.7 -6.3 -92.6
9 1.0 3.6 3.6 3.3 0.30 1.48 595.1 -1.1 684.8 -1.7 -89.7
10 -0.5 3.5 2.9 2.9 0.30 1.48 618.8 -0.8 687.5 -6.6 -68.6
11 -1.0 -3.7 3.5 2.6 2.4 0.30 1.48 532.4 -9.9 609.8 -15.5 -77.3
12 -0.1 3.4 1.8 2.4 0.30 1.48 577.6 -2.2 633.4 -11.7 -55.8
2015
1 -2.6 3.6 0.3 2.4 0.30 1.48 519.3 2.8 618.5 -20.1 -99.2
2 -0.8 -2.0 3.5 0.4 2.2 0.30 1.48 501.1 -11.7 537.3 -16.9 -36.1
3 -1.7 3.4 0.7 2.3 0.30 1.48 575.4 -7.8 556.9 -27.3 18.5
4 0.1 3.3 -2.1 0.6 0.30 1.48 547.9 -7.4 552.9 -17.7 -5.0
5 0.8 -3.9 3.3 -2.2 0.5 0.30 1.48 475.6 -13.6 493.9 -22.9 -18.3
6 2.3 3.4 -2.4 0.4 0.30 1.48 525.7 -9.7 531.7 -19.9 -6.0
7 0.0 3.3 -3.1 0.3 0.30 1.48 540.7 -10.3 562.5 -19.2 -21.8
8 0.2 -3.6 0.2 0.30 1.48 478.2 -13.7 524.5 -18.9 -46.3
*
1
2
3
4
5
6
WTO
28 1839
811,358
11.1%12
21.4%130.9%
18.0%
7.2%86,722
5.4% 7
41.5%80.9%60.5%
18.0%8
4,636
20.3%12
8EU5,950
0.2%9
12.0%11.2%
3.0%
36.6%87,685
21.8%5
124.6%9.3%
15.8%81,735
398.8%
832,333
1.1% 6
18.5%4.4%
31.3%30.6%
9.7%10.6%
834687.4%
348.2%
12.1%
18.3%37.9%
42.2%81,865
48.3%6
81641
4.6%6
21.2%12.6%
71.1%815,495
14.6%5
85.1%
16.0%6.7%8
4,855105.5%
1839 29
42
1.
GDP
20151928
1.5%1.9%7
1.9%1.8%728
20.4%463.467.7
66.7%21.9%
81928
0.1%0.0%71928
314 129
19 GDP
28 20151928
1.5%1.9% 1.5%1.9%
1.9%1.1
1.3%0.3
1.9%0.4
5.2%
0.2
2.2%
1.31.4%
0.32.6%
0.5
5.4%5.1%0.2
719 7
28 1.9%1.8%
1.9% 0.5%2.2%
1.8% 0.3%5.1%2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
1.8%4.8%
3.0%1.3%
+17.9% +11.9%
30 1839
+8.3%+7.7%+7.2%
-5.9%
-4.4% -1.5% -1.4%
-1.4%
719 7192810.9%9.5%7
28 282,306.7623.2
10.9%9.5% 0.276.0%1,753.2
621.3
2820.4%
463.467.7
66.7% 21.9% 309.3
66.8
9.5%
10.7%9.6%11.2%
719 7
28 0.1%0.0%
0.1%0.0% +0.9%+1.0%
+2.4% +0.2%
-0.8%
+0.5% +0.6% -2.6%
-0.4%+0.6%+0.6%
+1.9%+0.9%
28
+0.9%-0.2%
+2.3%+0.2%
-0.5%+0.4%
+0.8%-2.9%-0.2%
+0.4% +3.0%
+1.9%+0.9%
719 2015719314
28314 7.0%
129 1.0%1,8521,538
2820157129
20147.0%
1,6217.0%
1.0%1,492
1
2015
1839 31
1.6% 1.6%
1.8%1.0
1.9%1.0
3.2%0.6
6.6%5.6%
0.9
7 7
0.5% 0.5%
2.9%0.3%
13.3%
-0.8%-6.1%
+8.1%-0.9%-8.2%
-2.1%-5.1%
-0.2%-0.2%
+7.6%
-0.8% -2.2%
+1.2% -2.3%
+0.1%-1.1%
-0.6% -1.4%
-0.3%+1.8%
-0.3%+5.7%
+0.3%+2.1%
74.7% 20157197
0.5%4.7%25
7.0% 5.1%
4.3% 3,987
0.1%0.2%6
8 20158
0.2% 0.2%
+0.6%+3.6%
+1.4%-0.6%
+0.8% +1.7%
-1.7%-1.2%+0.8%
-1.1% +2.7%
+0.8%
7 20157
2,080.0
13.8% 13.8%7
1,179.213.8%
32 1839
2-3-1
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
()
()
2004 1.2 4.3 10.3 2.9 1.7 2.00 2.17 9,120.3 20.1 7,180.6 17.6 1,939.7
2005 0.7 3.1 11.0 3.0 1.5 2.25 2.41 9,718.0 6.6 7,756.1 8.0 1,961.9
2006 3.7 5.3 10.0 3.5 1.6 3.50 3.64 11,088.9 14.1 9,074.5 17.0 2,014.5
2007 3.3 5.8 8.6 3.5 2.3 4.00 4.71 13,221.9 19.2 10,558.5 16.4 2,663.4
2008 1.1 0.6 7.4 5.4 2.6 2.50 2.99 14,492.7 9.6 11,857.6 12.3 2,635.1
2009 -5.6 -16.4 7.7 -6.9 0.3 1.00 0.48 11,206.1 -22.7 9,258.0 -21.9 1,948.1
2010 4.1 11.2 6.9 5.2 1.1 1.00 0.81 12,584.0 12.3 10,542.0 13.9 2,042.0
2011 3.7 7.0 5.9 5.8 2.1 1.00 1.14 14,740.4 17.1 12,550.0 19.0 2,190.3
2012 0.4 -0.8 5.4 2.1 2.0 0.75 0.11 14,056.6 -4.6 11,639.4 -7.3 2,417.1
2013 0.3 -0.1 5.2 -0.6 1.5 0.25 0.21 14,517.0 3.3 11,914.5 2.4 2,602.5
2014 1.6 1.4 5.0 -1.2 0.9 0.05 0.02 13,341.4 -8.1 10,917.4 -8.4 2,424.0
2013
10 1.5 5.2 -1.8 1.2 0.50 0.13 1,351.2 5.9 1,106.5 3.5 244.7
11 1.3 0.8 5.1 -1.6 1.3 0.25 0.13 1,275.0 6.2 1,033.4 4.9 241.7
12 5.5 5.1 -1.3 1.4 0.25 0.21 1,123.6 9.1 934.8 7.0 188.8
2014
1 2.5 5.1 -1.7 1.3 0.25 0.22 1,232.0 4.8 1,028.5 3.2 203.5
2 2.3 4.6 5.1 -1.8 1.2 0.25 0.22 1,259.0 6.8 1,034.5 7.8 224.5
3 3.8 5.0 -1.7 1.0 0.25 0.23 1,323.2 8.2 1,088.4 10.8 234.7
4 -1.8 5.0 -1.3 1.3 0.25 0.25 1,291.3 5.6 1,050.1 6.1 241.2
5 1.4 3.9 5.0 -0.9 0.9 0.25 0.26 1,259.6 10.1 1,016.2 4.9 243.4
6 -2.2 5.0 -0.8 1.0 0.15 0.15 1,267.9 4.3 1,045.2 5.3 222.7
7 3.5 5.0 -0.7 0.8 0.15 0.10 1,367.4 12.4 1,045.8 4.1 321.7
8 1.2 -5.2 5.0 -0.6 0.8 0.15 0.09 1,118.7 -1.0 930.5 -2.4 188.1
9 3.9 5.0 -0.9 0.8 0.05 0.02 1,321.7 4.8 1,034.4 4.3 287.3
10 1.4 5.0 -0.7 0.8 0.05 0.01 1,319.5 -2.3 1,035.9 -6.4 283.6
11 1.5 -1.2 4.9 -1.1 0.6 0.05 0.01 1,198.8 -6.0 972.1 -5.9 226.7
12 3.3 4.8 -2.3 0.2 0.05 0.02 1,112.1 -1.0 876.6 -6.2 235.5
2015
1 -2.4 4.8 -2.6 -0.3 0.05 0.01 1,047.3 -15.0 859.0 -16.5 188.3
2 1.1 -0.3 4.8 -2.1 0.1 0.05 0.00 1,087.0 -13.7 863.8 -16.5 223.3
3 4.9 4.8 -1.1 0.3 0.05 -0.01 1,166.9 -11.8 914.7 -16.0 252.2
4 1.4 4.7 -0.9 0.5 0.05 -0.03 1,085.2 -16.0 846.1 -19.4 239.1
5 1.6 -3.9 4.7 -0.4 0.7 0.05 -0.05 1,070.8 -15.0 849.3 -16.4 221.4
6 8.3 4.7 -0.5 0.3 0.05 -0.06 1,188.3 -6.3 914.1 -12.5 274.2
7 0.5 4.6 -0.5 0.2 0.05 -0.07 1,179.2 -13.8 900.8 -13.9 278.4
8 4.5 -1.1 0.2 0.05 -0.09
*
1
1999
1
Main
refinancing operations Minimum bid rate
2
1999
1
Prime
rate
1
2
3
4 WTO
1839 33
908.813.9%
278.4
2
2.6% ONS
20150.7%
0.4%2.6%
BCC2015
BCC20152.6%BCC 6
2.3%20162017
2.6%2.7%
BCCJohn Longworth2015
BCC2015
2.5% 2017
4.3%
7 ONS20157
0.8% 0.8%1.4%
0.4%0.1%
70.8%
0.2%0.5%
0.5%
7 ONS7
4.2% 284.2%4.3%
0.2%0.4%7
7
2015
34 1839
2-3-2
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
( )
(
2004 2.5 0.8 4.7 1.0 1.3 4.75 5.00 3,497.5 13.7 4,612.7 19.1 -1,115.2
2005 2.8 -0.7 4.8 1.9 2.0 4.50 5.00 3,845.1 9.9 5,091.8 10.4 -1,246.7
2006 3.0 0.7 5.4 2.0 2.3 5.00 5.50 4,501.7 17.1 6,119.0 20.2 -1,617.3
2007 2.6 0.3 5.3 2.3 2.3 5.50 6.50 4,420.6 -1.8 6,387.3 4.4 -1,966.6
2008 -0.3 -2.7 5.6 6.8 3.6 2.00 5.50 4,729.2 7.0 6,599.2 3.3 -1,870.0
2009 -4.3 -8.7 7.5 0.5 2.2 0.50 1.00 3,556.7 -24.8 5,194.8 -21.3 -1,638.1
2010 1.9 3.1 7.8 2.7 3.3 0.50 1.00 4,156.0 16.9 5,894.5 13.5 -1,738.5
2011 2.0 -0.8 8.1 4.7 4.5 0.50 1.00 5,056.5 21.7 6,766.5 14.8 -1,710.1
2012 1.2 -2.7 7.9 2.1 2.8 0.50 1.00 4,729.4 -6.5 6,244.6 -7.7 -1,515.2
2013 2.2 -0.6 7.6 1.3 2.6 0.50 1.00 5,404.0 14.3 6,558.9 5.0 -1,154.9
2014 2.9 1.7 6.2 0.0 1.5 0.50 1.00 5,046.3 -6.6 6,898.4 5.2 -1,852.0
2013
10 2.7 7.1 0.8 2.2 0.50 1.00 454.9 11.7 606.5 -6.4 -151.6
11 2.8 1.8 7.2 0.8 2.1 0.50 1.00 425.1 5.9 599.2 3.4 -174.1
12 1.2 7.1 1.0 2.0 0.50 1.00 429.0 13.9 519.4 -3.1 -90.4
2014
1 1.8 6.9 0.9 1.8 0.50 1.00 437.9 3.8 572.5 5.6 -134.6
2 2.8 2.8 6.7 0.6 1.8 0.50 1.00 432.3 6.7 538.2 4.2 -106.0
3 2.5 6.6 0.4 1.7 0.50 1.00 449.6 -4.0 582.9 6.2 -133.3
4 3.0 6.4 0.6 1.7 0.50 1.00 403.3 -11.2 570.9 8.5 -167.6
5 3.1 1.9 6.3 0.5 1.5 0.50 1.00 429.8 -22.7 576.5 10.5 -146.8
6 0.8 6.2 0.3 1.9 0.50 1.00 416.6 -11.6 581.8 7.2 -165.2
7 1.4 6.0 -0.1 1.6 0.50 1.00 426.3 -9.0 651.1 19.3 -224.8
8 2.9 1.4 5.9 -0.3 1.5 0.50 1.00 351.1 -15.6 536.4 4.8 -185.3
9 0.9 5.9 -0.5 1.3 0.50 1.00 426.0 -1.9 596.5 3.2 -170.4
10 1.2 5.8 -0.7 1.3 0.50 1.00 436.2 -4.1 602.2 -0.7 -166.0
11 3.0 1.6 5.6 -0.6 0.9 0.50 1.00 446.8 5.1 543.0 -9.4 -96.2
12 1.1 5.5 -1.1 0.5 0.50 1.00 390.5 -9.0 546.4 5.2 -155.9
2015
1 1.5 5.5 -1.8 0.3 0.50 1.00 345.9 -21.0 509.4 -11.0 -163.4
2 2.7 0.4 5.5 -1.7 0.0 0.50 1.00 345.9 -20.0 525.8 -2.3 -179.9
3 1.1 5.5 -1.7 -0.1 0.50 1.00 417.4 -7.1 543.8 -6.7 -126.3
4 1.0 5.6 -1.7 -0.1 0.50 1.00 385.0 -4.5 496.9 -13.0 -111.9
5 2.4 1.9 5.6 -1.6 0.2 0.50 1.00 395.9 -7.9 505.0 -12.4 -109.1
6 1.5 5.5 -1.6 -0.1 0.50 1.00 397.7 -4.5 544.6 -6.4 -146.8
7 0.8 -1.6 0.2 0.50 1.00 380.0 -10.9 545.2 -16.3 -165.3
8 -1.8 0.1 0.50 1.00
*
Bank Rate
1
2
3
4
WTO
1839 35
57 2015 5 7
5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 1
182.373
2.9%
2009
8 201582014
8
10.0%
2.1%1.8%
1.1%0.8%
0.6%(
0.4%)2.6%
2.4%0.9%
8 20158
14.1% 925.2201414.1%
380.0201410.9%
545.2 16.3% 165.3
3
INSEE
20150.2%
GDP0.4
0.9%0.1%
1.3%1.7%2011
0.2%2008
8
Michel Sapin
20151.0%GDP
36 1839
2-3-3
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
(
)
()
2004 2.8 1.2 8.9 2.1 2.00 2.17 4,263.3 13.3 4,339.2 15.6 -75.9
2005 1.6 0.4 8.9 1.7 2.25 2.41 4,435.9 4.0 4,738.0 9.2 -302.1
2006 2.4 1.2 8.8 3.2 1.7 3.50 3.64 4,957.4 11.8 5,418.1 14.4 -460.8
2007 2.4 1.2 8.0 2.1 1.5 4.00 4.71 5,598.5 12.9 6,315.3 16.6 -716.8
2008 0.2 -3.1 7.4 4.6 2.8 2.50 2.99 6,173.7 10.3 7,179.2 13.7 -1,005.4
2009 -2.9 -13.8 9.1 -4.7 0.1 1.00 0.48 4,852.2 -21.4 5,634.8 -21.5 -782.6
2010 2.0 4.9 9.3 2.5 1.5 1.00 0.81 5,236.4 7.9 6,109.1 8.4 -872.7
2011 2.1 2.4 9.2 4.6 2.1 1.00 1.14 5,963.0 13.9 7,198.9 17.8 -1,235.9
2012 0.2 -2.4 9.8 2.3 2.0 0.75 0.11 5,691.6 -4.6 6,750.2 -6.2 -1,058.5
2013 0.7 -0.6 10.3 0.0 0.9 0.25 0.21 5,808.5 2.1 6,814.1 0.9 -1,005.7
2014 0.2 -1.1 10.3 -1.4 0.5 0.05 0.02 5,823.7 0.3 6,779.3 -0.5 -955.6
2013
10 -0.2 10.1 -1.3 0.6 0.50 0.13 553.9 5.7 632.8 3.8 -78.9
11 1.0 1.9 10.1 -0.7 0.7 0.25 0.13 488.7 -1.8 574.7 0.5 -86.0
12 0.6 10.1 -0.2 0.7 0.25 0.21 475.2 9.6 560.7 8.9 -85.5
2014
1 0.2 10.2 -1.1 0.7 0.25 0.22 479.4 1.5 597.6 3.0 -118.3
2 0.7 -1.2 10.2 -1.7 0.9 0.25 0.22 494.2 4.7 560.7 -1.4 -66.5
3 -0.9 10.2 -2.0 0.6 0.25 0.23 527.8 4.7 604.9 7.1 -77.1
4 -2.4 10.1 -1.5 0.7 0.25 0.25 512.0 0.5 590.3 1.9 -78.3
5 -0.2 -3.7 10.2 -0.8 0.7 0.25 0.26 480.1 4.1 571.1 3.2 -91.0
6 -0.7 10.2 -0.4 0.5 0.15 0.15 505.1 3.3 598.3 7.0 -93.2
7 0.4 10.3 -1.2 0.5 0.15 0.10 522.6 2.5 615.0 4.1 -92.4
8 0.2 -0.3 10.4 -1.6 0.4 0.15 0.09 373.0 -4.6 460.4 -1.8 -87.4
9 -0.4 10.4 -1.3 0.3 0.05 0.02 496.2 3.0 577.1 -0.6 -80.9
10 -1.2 10.4 -0.9 0.5 0.05 0.01 519.0 -6.3 579.8 -8.4 -60.8
11 0.1 -2.7 10.5 -1.6 0.3 0.05 0.01 459.7 -5.9 513.7 -10.6 -54.0
12 -0.4 10.5 -2.3 0.1 0.05 0.02 454.6 -4.3 510.3 -9.0 -55.8
2015
1 0.9 10.4 -2.8 -0.4 0.05 0.01 403.8 -15.8 470.4 -21.3 -66.6
2 0.9 1.5 10.4 -1.7 -0.3 0.05 0.00 420.0 -15.0 464.0 -17.2 -44.0
3 1.6 10.3 -1.2 -0.1 0.05 -0.01 441.5 -16.4 504.9 -16.5 -63.5
4 -0.1 10.3 -0.9 0.1 0.05 -0.03 424.2 -17.2 467.00 -20.9 -42.8
5 1.1 2.4 10.4 -1.0 0.3 0.05 -0.05 388.5 -19.1 458.20 -19.8 -69.6
6 0.7 10.5 -1.0 0.3 0.05 -0.06 487.3 -3.5 524.80 -12.3 -37.4
7 -0.8 10.7 -1.0 0.2 0.05 -0.07 437.7 -16.2 487.6 -20.7 -49.8
8 10.8 -1.4 0.0 0.05 -0.09
*
1
1999
1
Main refinancing operations Minimum bid rate
2
1999
1
Prime
rate
1
2
INSEE
3
WTO
1839 37
7 INSEE20157
0.8% 0.8%
7
1.0%7
2.0%1.6%
2015
1.0%
60.7%
0.2%0.1%1.8%
710.4% 2015 7
10.4%303.461.8
24.1%65.46
10,00010.6%10.1%
8 201582014
0.1%
20158
8.0%0.8%0.3%
12.5%
5.1%3.8%
2.4%1.1%
0.2%1.3%
1.6%
1.5%
0.9%0.3%
8 20158
18.7% 925.3201418.7%
437.7 2014 16.2%
487.620.7%49.8
4
0.2% 2015
0.3% GDP
0.2%
2015
0.7%
38 1839
2-3-4
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
) (
( )
2004 1.6 -0.3 8.0 2.2 2.00 2.17 3,545.9 19.0 3,563.7 20.9 -17.8
2005 0.9 -0.6 7.7 2.0 2.25 2.41 3,706.4 4.5 3,824.0 7.3 -117.6
2006 2.0 3.7 6.8 5.2 2.1 3.50 3.64 4,172.2 12.6 4,426.0 15.7 -253.8
2007 1.5 1.8 6.1 3.3 1.8 4.00 4.71 5,002.4 19.9 5,118.7 15.7 -116.3
2008 -1.0 -3.7 6.8 5.8 3.4 2.50 2.99 5,446.3 8.9 5,631.1 10.0 -184.7
2009 -5.5 -18.6 7.8 -5.4 0.8 1.00 0.48 4,068.3 -25.3 4,148.6 -26.3 -80.4
2010 1.7 6.9 8.4 3.1 1.5 1.00 0.81 4,468.9 9.8 4,869.3 17.4 -400.4
2011 0.6 1.3 8.4 5.1 2.7 1.00 1.14 5,234.0 17.1 5,589.4 14.8 -355.3
2012 -2.8 -6.2 10.6 4.1 3.0 0.75 0.11 5,015.5 -4.2 4,891.1 -12.5 124.4
2013 -1.7 -3.1 12.2 -1.2 1.2 0.25 0.21 5,181.1 3.3 4,793.4 -2.0 387.7
2014 -0.4 -0.5 12.7 -1.8 0.2 0.05 0.02 5,286.0 2.0 4,719.3 -1.5 566.7
2013
10 -0.5 12.2 -2.5 0.8 0.50 0.13 494.8 5.8 442.4 1.2 52.5
11 -0.9 0.5 12.4 -2.3 0.7 0.25 0.13 439.5 1.7 399.2 -1.7 40.3
12 -1.3 12.5 -2.1 0.7 0.25 0.21 429.8 9.4 382.8 5.6 47.0
2014
1 0.3 12.8 -1.5 0.7 0.25 0.22 409.3 2.8 405.9 -4.0 3.4
2 -0.2 0.0 12.7 -1.7 0.5 0.25 0.22 434.4 5.2 398.1 -0.2 36.2
3 -0.2 12.5 -1.9 0.4 0.25 0.23 473.8 7.6 420.7 4.9 53.1
4 1.1 12.6 -1.7 0.6 0.25 0.25 448.9 7.8 400.4 2.4 48.4
5 -0.3 -1.6 12.6 -1.7 0.5 0.25 0.26 476.3 5.8 426.6 6.8 49.7
6 0.1 12.3 -1.8 0.3 0.15 0.15 456.0 3.8 410.7 4.2 45.3
7 -1.1 12.8 -1.9 0.1 0.15 0.10 522.8 4.1 429.1 0.8 93.7
8 -0.5 -0.2 12.7 -2.1 -0.1 0.15 0.09 320.5 -2.1 293.1 -7.1 27.4
9 -1.4 12.8 -2.0 -0.2 0.05 0.02 446.0 3.8 420.0 -0.2 26.1
10 -1.9 12.9 -1.5 0.1 0.05 0.01 473.1 -4.4 404.8 -8.5 68.4
11 -0.4 -1.5 13.0 -1.5 0.2 0.05 0.01 413.3 -6.0 369.2 -7.5 44.1
12 0.4 12.4 -2.1 0.0 0.05 0.02 411.6 -4.2 340.8 -11.0 70.8
2015
1 -1.9 12.3 -3.8 -0.6 0.05 0.01 334.8 -18.2 332.2 -18.2 2.7
2 0.2 -0.3 12.3 -3.2 -0.1 0.05 0.00 374.3 -13.8 334.2 -16.1 40.1
3 1.0 12.5 -3.0 -0.1 0.05 -0.01 405.3 -14.5 361.8 -14.0 43.5
4 -0.1 12.3 -3.0 -0.1 0.05 -0.03 381.5 -15.0 341.3 -14.8 40.2
5 0.7 2.5 12.4 -2.6 0.1 0.05 -0.05 394.1 -17.3 348.00 -18.4 46.2
6 -0.2 12.5 -3.0 0.2 0.05 -0.06 411.7 -9.7 380.3 -7.4 31.5
7 2.4 12.0 -3.0 0.2 0.05 -0.07 451.5 -13.7 363.2 -15.4 88.3
8 11.9 -3.6 0.2 0.05 -0.09
*
1
1999
1
Main
refinancing operations Minimum bid rate
2
1999
1
Prime
rate
1
2
ISTAT
3
WTO
1839 39
7 ISTAT20157
2.7% 1.1%
0.6%2.7%
2015
30.7%
712.0% 2015 7
12.0% 307.4 6 14.3
40.5%61.66
5,10011.5%12.7%
8 201582014
0.1% 0.1%195991.1%
20158
2.9%1.9%1.6%
0.9%
0.6%0.5%
0.3%0.2%
2.9%0.5%
0.2%
8 ISTAT20158
14.4% 814.72014
14.4%451.52014
13.7% 636.2 15.4%
88.3
2.
7 2015
5.5% 762.3%2014
2.3% 5.5%
2015
20142.5%~3%
7 7
33.6% 201573,211
33.6%2,10230.3%
1,10939.2%9922014
1,192
71,362.3
65.2%72%37.3%
562.326.9%42%
40 1839
251.2312%32.9%
7449.5743.9%
48.1%45%7360.08
11.6%32.9%
2015
1.3% 6 2.64
1.3% 6 4,380 1.5%
3%1.41.8%6
2,360 5.2% 4% 1.21
45.6% 9.8% 6 1,930
14.4%9.5%
26.5%6427.9
50.8%
8 20158
18% 201418%8
18.6%51.2%
5.7%8.2%
13.7%
82.6%
12.0%3.5%
18.6%22.5%
9.0%7.3%
12.3%22.3%
14.5%
1.
8
8 201586.1%7
6.1% 0.18
0.53%86.3%
84.0%
6.8%
1.9%
80.6%
0.4%7.6%
1839 41
2.8%
84139
7.1%
7.6%10.3%
7.7%5.4%
11.7%
3.8% 5.2%
0.2%
5.1%6.9%
11.1%
1.5%
86.2%
8.2%7.7%0.4%
8565278
9,4490.4%21,499 4.2%
441 9.4% 151
4.9% 162.8 6.5% 72.9
23.3% 5,155 1.0%
4,4346.5%
897.9 %0.2
9,665
3.1%
8 20158338,977
10.9%70.3
10.9% 80.73%
8 9,389
28.5% 7 0.3
139,7268.5%0.5
189,86211.9%0.2
137,0878.7%
70.38,004
7.6% 1.1 113,313
8.9%0.3
15,77017.1%
0.3
59,164
18.4%70.2
20.4%3.8
19.8%1.5
18.4%1.5
42 1839
9.9%1
8 155,091
9.5%70.297,812
14.4%0.3
83,6299.3%0.2
8323,243
11.4%70.2
7,6183.7%3.2
6,8880.7%71.4%
814,429
2.7%71.2
324,54911.2%0.3
8
849,974 5.1% 7 0.9
263,2342.7%
0.3
8
363,1416.8%7
21.1%0.9
5.3%1.18.4%
0.225.7%1.8
6.5%2
8 201585.9%
5.9% 0.8%6.6%0.7%
84.9%
5.7%
7.7%
5.8
20.9%
11.1%4.9%0.3%
0.1
0.1%0.6%
1.1%0.8%
8-5.9%
-1.8
-4.1
12.4%11.8%
9.4%7.0%
1839 43
2-4-1
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
()
()
2004 10.1 16.2 4.2 6.1 3.9 3.24 5.22 5,933.3 35.4 5,612.3 36.0 321.0
2005 11.3 16.4 4.2 4.9 1.8 3.24 5.22 7,619.5 28.4 6,599.5 17.6 1,020.0
2006 12.7 16.6 4.1 3.0 1.5 3.24 5.58 9,693.2 27.2 7,917.9 20.0 1,775.3
2007 14.2 18.5 4.0 3.1 4.8 3.24 6.57 12,186.4 25.7 9,559.5 20.7 2,626.9
2008 9.6 12.9 4.2 6.9 5.9 1.80 4.86 14,306.9 17.4 11,325.7 18.5 2,981.3
2009 9.2 11.0 4.3 -5.4 -0.7 1.80 4.86 12,016.1 -16.0 10,059.2 -11.2 1,956.9
2010 10.4 15.7 4.1 5.5 3.3 2.25 5.35 15,777.5 31.3 13,962.5 38.8 1,815.1
2011 9.2 13.9 4.1 6.0 5.4 2.25 6.10 18,983.8 20.3 17,434.8 24.9 1,549.0
2012 7.8 10.0 4.1 -1.7 2.7 2.25 5.60 20,487.1 7.9 18,184.1 4.3 2,303.1
2013 7.7 9.7 4.1 1.9 2.6 2.25 5.60 22,090.1 7.8 19,499.9 7.2 2,590.2
2014 7.4 8.3 4.1 -1.9 2.0 2.25 5.60 23,422.9 6.0 19,592.3 0.5 3,830.6
2013
10 10.3 -1.5 3.2 2.25 5.60 1,852.9 5.6 1,542.6 7.5 310.4
11 7.6 10.0 4.1 -1.4 3.0 2.25 5.60 2,020.8 12.7 1,683.3 5.3 337.5
12 9.7 -1.4 2.5 2.25 5.60 2,073.7 4.1 1,821.4 8.3 252.3
2014
1 -1.6 2.5 2.25 5.60 2,070.4 10.5 1,750.1 9.9 320.2
2 7.3 4.1 -2.0 2.0 2.25 5.60 1,140.5 -18.1 1,366.2 9.8 -225.7
3 8.8 -2.3 2.4 2.25 5.60 1,700.0 -6.6 1,620.2 -11.5 79.8
4 8.7 -2.0 1.8 2.25 5.60 1,884.5 0.8 1,697.9 0.7 186.6
5 7.4 8.8 4.1 -1.4 2.5 2.25 5.60 1,956.0 7.1 1,593.6 -1.6 362.4
6 9.2 -1.1 2.3 2.25 5.60 1,867.6 7.2 1,548.6 5.4 318.9
7 9.0 -0.9 2.3 2.25 5.60 2,127.4 14.4 1,653.9 -1.6 473.5
8 7.2 6.9 4.1 -1.2 2.0 2.25 5.60 2,083.3 9.4 1,584.5 -2.4 498.8
9 8.0 -1.8 1.6 2.25 5.60 2,135.6 15.2 1,823.5 6.9 312.1
10 7.7 -2.2 1.6 2.25 5.60 2,067.7 11.6 1,610.7 4.4 457.0
11 7.2 7.2 4.1 -2.7 1.4 2.25 5.60 2,115.6 4.7 1,568.0 -6.9 547.7
12 7.9 -3.3 1.5 2.25 5.60 2,274.3 9.7 1,775.1 -2.5 499.2
2015
1 -4.3 0.8 2.25 5.60 1,999.6 -3.4 1,398.6 -20.1 601.0
2 7.0 4.1 -4.8 1.4 2.25 5.60 1,690.2 48.2 1,084.6 -20.6 605.6
3 5.6 -4.6 1.4 2.25 5.60 1,444.0 -15.1 1,412.6 -12.8 31.3
4 5.9 -4.6 1.5 2.25 5.60 1,760.1 -6.6 1,420.7 -16.3 339.4
5 7.0 6.1 4.0 -4.6 1.2 2.25 5.10 1,896.6 -3.0 1,310.0 -17.8 586.6
6 6.8 -4.8 1.4 2.25 4.85 1,906.8 2.1 1,449.1 -6.4 457.7
7 6.0 -5.4 1.6 2.25 4.85 1,951.0 -8.3 1,520.7 -8.1 430.3
8 6.1 -5.9 2.0 2.25 4.60 1,968.8 -5.5 1,366.5 -13.8 602.4
*
1
2
3
WTO
44 1839
8 201582.0%
2.0% 2.0%1.8%3.7%
1.1%1.8%2.2%8
1.4%
80.5%
0.4%0.6%1.6%
0.1%0.7%0.1%
83.7%
1.2315.9%
0.469.3%
0.6919.6%
0.592.4%
0.061.7%
0.058.1%
0.1811.2%0.11
81.1%
3.8% 2.9%
1.9%1.8%1.0%0.8%2.1%
82.0%
20140.7
1.3
8 2015815.677.7%
15.67 8.951.6%6.7214.6%
2.2380.8%
82.049.7%1.2
6.1% 8,361 14.3%
3,680.320.1%
88.637.3%
55.1%0.24.87
2.6%54.4%3.76
17.6% 56.1% 1.11
1,769.9
4.859.3%
30.9%0.53.1
8.5%34.5%1.75
10.7% 26.1% 1.35
5.4%1.68
8.7%10.7%6,077.9
1839 45
6.2%6.8%1.07
10.1%16%
8 2.27
8.4%14.5%
1.41 4.9% 8,598.7
13.7%5,521.513.1%
2.222.0%
14.1%1.625.9%
5,967.87.4%1.02
15.6%
81.86
0.4%11.8%1.1
6.1%7,506.76.9%
3,540.150.7%
1.11 11.1% 7.1%
5,383.1 10.5%
5,757.511.6%374.4
24.9%
85.712%
36.4%2.14.02
3.4%44.9%1.69
12.9%25.2%
7.36.1%46.6%3.96
5.3%44.2%3.34
7.1%49.7%
2.6613.6%
17%9,753.55.1%
10.9%1.6817.9%
25.1%
85.110.7%
57%2.244.1%
1.477.3%6,876.9
6.7% 4,420.8 1.8%
2,222.63.4%2,127.25.1%
1,496.4 1.8% 1142
5.9%582.711.1%7
1.892.1%21.1%
2,226.1 41.2% 7186.6
26.5%50.214.1%
86.130.2%
46 1839
385.743.0%2.219.8%
2,626.7 45.3% 1.39
31.3% 382.4 20.5%
2,048.64.1%3,073.4
38.1%1,735.82%
1.0813.5%872.29.6%
7,082.37.6%294
8.1%3.9214.1%
8,350 24.4%
5,239.3 9.8% 2,697
25.4%3.175.5%70.9
25.6%
8 8 M2 135.69
13.3% 13.3%0.5
9.3% M136.289.3%
2.73.6M0
5.911.8%51
897.0514.7%
91.0815.4%0.1
2.1
8,096490
3,530675
2,8554,210
2891,217
2,457546
9,3481.2%
20
8138.3212.8%
134.0513.0%
0.40.7
532 3,723 1,865
6,6731,590
7,956
6,6741.8%270
8
53.282.54
103.8%
118.2%138.9%96.7%
1.79%0.28
1839 47
1.38
1.79%0.361.32
2.
2015
2.8%2.4%
20152%~3%
2.8% 20152.8%
2.4%
0.4%0.7%
2015
3.6%
1.0%
6.0%
6.5%
2015
2.6%
2015
51%~3%2%~3%
7 20157
2.8% 37620142.8%2015
60.4%
201420157
1.8%
20157
48 1839
1.9%20156
4.3%20142015
71.7%
20157
20147
5.0%13.0%
7.3%5.4%
8.1%
3.2%9.6%
7.9%6.4%
8.5%6.1%
5.9%
20157
0.4%
7.0%4.9%
67.0%
7
7 20157
2.5% 2.5%201563.1%
2015620146
20147
20157
2.6%20156
20157
4.4%
4.3%4.3%
1.0%1.0%
0.6%0.4%
20157
5.6%2.9%
0.5%
7
71.6% 20157
1.6%5.2%201563.1%2015
73,209
1839 49
2-4-2
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
(
2004 8.7 6.9 -0.4 5.00 2,594.2 15.8 2,714.6 16.7 -120.4
2005 7.4 5.7 0.9 7.75 2,895.1 11.6 2,999.7 10.5 -104.6
2006 7.0 2.2 4.8 2.0 7.75 3,226.6 11.5 3,357.5 11.9 -130.9
2007 6.5 -1.5 4.1 2.0 6.75 3,496.6 8.4 3,707.3 10.4 -210.7
2008 2.1 -6.7 3.5 4.3 5.00 3,706.5 6.0 3,934.4 6.1 -227.9
2009 -2.5 -8.3 5.2 0.6 5.00 3,297.4 -11.0 3,526.9 -10.4 -229.5
2010 6.8 3.5 4.4 2.3 5.00 4,010.2 21.6 4,420.4 25.3 -410.1
2011 4.8 0.7 3.5 5.3 5.00 4,556.6 13.6 5,112.9 15.7 -556.3
2012 1.7 -0.8 3.3 4.1 5.00 4,933.7 8.3 5,542.2 8.4 -608.6
2013 3.1 0.1 3.4 4.3 5.00 5,355.5 8.5 6,222.8 12.3 -867.3
2014 2.5 -0.4 3.2 4.4 5.00 5,241.3 -2.1 6,007.7 -3.5 -766.4
2013
10 3.3 4.3 5.00 485.0 16.7 540.4 15.2 -55.4
11 2.8 0.5 3.4 4.3 5.00 471.9 5.1 551.5 11.1 -79.6
12 3.2 4.3 5.00 455.3 -3.0 535.6 1.6 -80.3
2014
1 3.2 4.6 5.00 437.1 2.4 505.8 7.6 -68.7
2 2.7 2.1 3.1 3.9 5.00 328.7 -2.0 414.3 8.7 -85.7
3 3.1 3.9 5.00 439.3 -11.7 514.6 -9.6 -75.3
4 3.2 3.6 5.00 408.1 -8.2 483.5 -4.1 -75.4
5 2.0 2.2 3.1 3.7 5.00 428.1 -3.1 486.4 -6.9 -58.3
6 3.2 3.6 5.00 426.6 2.7 486.5 -4.4 -59.9
7 3.3 4.1 5.00 442.9 -2.5 494.9 -6.3 -51.9
8 2.9 -1.7 3.3 3.9 5.00 442.1 -4.2 478.3 -16.6 -36.2
9 3.3 6.6 5.00 471.3 1.0 527.2 -2.0 -56.0
10 3.3 5.2 5.00 477.4 -1.6 534.0 -1.2 -56.6
11 2.4 -3.6 3.3 5.1 5.00 484.8 2.8 545.2 -1.1 -60.3
12 3.3 4.8 5.00 455.0 -0.1 537.0 0.3 -82.0
2015
1 3.3 4.1 5.00 438.0 0.2 484.2 -4.3 -46.2
2 2.4 -1.6 3.3 4.6 5.00 327.8 -0.3 380.1 -8.3 -52.2
3 3.3 4.6 5.00 416.2 -5.3 470.8 -8.5 -54.6
4 3.2 2.8 5.00 401.4 -1.7 457.1 -5.5 -55.8
5 2.8 -1.3 3.2 3.1 5.00 408.5 -4.6 444.4 -8.6 -35.9
6 3.2 3.2 5.00 407.4 -4.5 465.6 -4.3 -58.2
7 3.3 2.5 5.00 453.2 2.3 475.9 -3.8 -22.8
8 3.3 2.5 5.00 426.6 -3.5 456.0 -4.7 -29.4
*
1
2
3
WTO
50 1839
20141.6%73,167
1.3%41
19.0%201562.0%20157
3,4935.2%2015
7 284
8.1%
2.1%
25.9%24.8%
10.0%9.8%8.2%
4.4%2.5%
33.5%
26.2%
3.5%
9.1%
0.4%
23.7%14.2%
11.7%7.8%5.2%
4.5%1.5%
3.0%
7
1.
MERS
8BSI 20158BSI68
682P 2P9BSI711P
1839 51
3P1P
5P1P
BSI8792P9
824PBSI885
2P9881PBSI
8841P984
1P
24.7%
19.2%
20158BSI701P9
BSI732P
BSI8773P9
801PBSI883
4P9861P
BSI8852P988
24.8%
15.1%
BSICSI
8 ESI 93
1P
8 20158
102 CSI1022P
CSI
901PCSI981P
CSI 100 CSI
1061P
CSI
718PCSI871P
CSICSI88104
5P
CSI
CSI8793CSI
1031PCSI98
CSI132
1P CSI CSI
1163P
1
2.5% 1
52 1839
2.5%0.1
1
61.0% 43.1%
31.2%
7 20157
0.5% 0.5%
0.2%
7 4.9%
6.3%-8.2%
-5.2%0.5%
8.5% 4.8%
-29.4%-8.0%
3.3%
0.6%4.8%
74.7%0.5
7-3.3%
-0.6%
6.9% 2.0%
1.7%-5.4%
-2.2%11.7%
9.9%2.2%
7.0%
1.2%
0.4%1.9%
-3.4%
6.9%1.0%
1.9%
8.5% 8.2%
7.7%-5.6%
-3.1%-1.1%
1.3%
6.9%
13.2%
0.8%1.0%
1839 53
22.5%
0.2
8 20158 2,614.1
25.6 25.6
25.6
860.7%0.1
OECD156465.9%
0.2
152942.0%0.4
15.6
3.6%10.24.8%
8.111.5%
-11.5 -7.2%
-7.4-1.9%-4.7-5.7%
51
4.2% 2.4 1.6% 2
0.0%18.3
-3.1%9.7-7.4%
892.33.3
403.4%
0.1 1529
8.0%0.4
8 -11.1
-2.6%14.29.8%
10.2 5.3% 1.6 0.3%
1.2 0.8% 22.5
53.9
8 20158110.222010=100
0.2% 0.2% 0.7%
0.7%
54 1839
0.2%2.1%
0.2%2.5%
0.1%
0.1%0.6%3.0%
0.1%1.4%
0.1%0.3%
2.1%
4.0% 2.2%
0.1%5.4%8.9%
1.7%0.5%
2.9%30.4%
8 201580.5%
0.5% 4.4%
0.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.7%2.1%IT
0.2%0.4%
80.3%
6.0%0.2%
3.6%
8392 2015814.9%392
350 18.3% 350 43
4.0%37.9%
-41.3%-9.4%
-12.3% -18.0%
-52.6%-5.3%
9.6%
-9.1%-4.6%-20.8%
-21.2%-19.2%-24.7%
10.0% 3.4%
-45.4% -9.8%
-22.8%-35.5%
3.0%9.7%-34.3%
1839 55
2-5-1
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
* *
(
)
)
(
2004 4.9 10.4 3.7 6.1 3.6 3.25 5.52 2,538.4 31.0 2,244.6 25.5 293.8
2005 3.9 6.3 3.8 2.1 2.8 3.75 5.74 2,844.2 12.0 2,612.4 16.4 231.8
2006 5.2 8.4 3.4 0.9 2.2 4.50 6.19 3,254.6 14.4 3,093.8 18.4 160.8
2007 5.5 6.9 3.2 1.4 2.5 5.00 7.08 3,714.9 14.1 3,568.5 15.3 146.4
2008 2.8 3.4 3.2 8.5 4.7 3.00 6.89 4,220.1 13.6 4,352.7 22.0 -132.7
2009 0.7 -0.1 3.6 -0.2 2.8 2.00 5.81 3,635.3 -13.9 3,230.8 -25.8 404.5
2010 6.5 16.3 3.7 3.8 2.9 2.50 5.40 4,663.8 28.3 4,252.1 31.6 411.7
2011 3.7 6.0 3.4 6.7 4.0 3.25 5.69 5,554.1 19.1 5,243.5 23.3 310.6
2012 2.3 1.4 3.2 0.7 2.2 2.75 4.84 5,478.7 -1.4 5,195.9 -0.9 282.9
2013 2.9 0.7 3.1 -1.6 1.3 2.50 4.52 5,596.3 2.1 5,155.8 -0.8 440.5
2014 3.3 0.1 3.5 -0.5 1.3 2.00 3.91 5,726.6 2.3 5,255.1 1.9 471.5
2013
10 4.1 3.0 -1.4 0.9 2.50 4.46 504.8 7.2 456.1 5.1 48.8
11 3.5 -0.4 3.0 -0.9 1.2 2.50 4.50 479.1 0.2 431.1 -0.6 48.0
12 2.8 3.1 -0.4 1.1 2.50 4.52 479.8 6.9 443.5 3.0 36.3
2014
1 -4.5 3.2 -0.3 1.1 2.50 4.53 455.6 -0.2 447.5 -1.2 8.1
2 3.9 3.8 3.9 -0.9 1.0 2.50 4.45 429.1 1.4 420.6 4.0 8.5
3 3.0 3.5 -0.5 1.3 2.50 4.46 490.6 3.7 455.6 3.6 35.1
4 2.6 3.7 -0.3 1.5 2.50 4.42 502.7 8.9 458.7 5.1 43.9
5 3.4 -2.0 3.7 0.0 1.7 2.50 4.40 475.8 -1.5 426.1 0.5 49.7
6 0.6 3.6 0.1 1.7 2.50 4.40 478.3 2.4 424.8 4.3 53.5
7 4.0 3.4 0.2 1.6 2.50 4.39 482.1 5.2 458.6 5.7 23.4
8 3.3 -2.6 3.5 -0.2 1.4 2.25 4.18 461.1 -0.4 427.9 2.9 33.2
9 2.0 3.5 -0.5 1.1 2.25 4.14 474.5 6.3 441.9 7.6 32.6
10 -3.1 3.5 -0.8 1.2 2.00 4.00 516.3 2.3 441.0 -3.3 75.3
11 2.7 -3.5 3.4 -0.9 1.0 2.00 3.88 466.1 -2.7 413.4 -4.1 52.6
12 1.1 3.5 -2.1 0.8 2.00 3.91 494.6 3.1 439.1 -1.0 55.5
2015
1 1.8 3.4 -3.6 0.8 2.00 3.90 451.1 -1.0 394.4 -11.9 56.7
2 2.5 -5.0 3.9 -3.6 0.5 2.00 3.86 414.8 -3.3 339.2 -19.3 75.6
3 0.1 3.7 -3.7 0.4 1.75 3.61 468.5 -4.5 384.8 -15.5 83.7
4 -2.6 3.7 -3.6 0.4 1.75 3.36 462.4 -8.0 377.8 -17.6 84.6
5 2.2 -3.0 3.9 -3.5 0.5 1.75 3.56 423.3 -11.0 360.8 -15.3 62.5
6 1.4 3.9 -3.6 0.7 1.50 3.49 465.7 -2.6 366.9 -13.6 98.9
7 -3.2 3.7 -4.0 0.7 1.50 3.43 457.4 -5.1 388.3 -15.3 69.1
8 0.3 3.6 -4.4 0.7 1.50 3.4 392.4 -14.9 349.7 -18.3 42.7
*
1
2
3
WTO
56 1839
5.7%
14.8% -50.3%
-3.4% -17.9% -19.9%
-37.2%
4320122
43
2015183,536
6.3%2,96215.8%574
8 20158
0.7% 0.7%1.5%
0.3% 3.2%
0.7%
20158
0.3%13.6%
0.8%
0.8%3.2%
2.5%
2.
5.6%2.8%
3%~4%
4.9%7
0.8%715.5%
1
7 20157
6.1% 6.1%
4.1% 7 6
1.0%1.2%
4.4%
8.6%5.9%20157
3.7%
3.2%
1.0%3.1%4.6%2015
71.9%
5.8%
1839 57
34.2%30.2%
12.0%33.3%20157
2.3%
6.1%
4.3%10.220157
9.2%
6.2%
2.7%8.9%20157
2.4%
13.4%
10.0%18.1%20157
8.5%
7 2015 7
0.4% Consumer Price IndexCPI0.4%
60.3%201411
8
COE7
0.1%61.2%
2.8%62.6%
1.9%0.6%
0.6%
20157
core inflation0.4%
60.2%
2015
20162015
0.5%~0%0.5%~1.5%
7 20157
0.8% NODX 0.8% 6
4.5%2.1%
7NODX
10.2%3.5%
1.6%
767.6%
2.3%
58 1839
2-5-2
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
(
2004 9.5 13.9 3.4 1.7 5.30 1,986.3 24.2 1,735.8 27.4 250.5
2005 7.5 9.5 3.1 0.5 5.30 2,296.5 15.6 2,000.5 15.2 296.0
2006 8.9 11.9 2.7 1.0 5.33 2,718.1 18.4 2,387.1 19.3 331.0
2007 9.1 5.9 2.1 2.1 5.33 2,993.0 10.1 2,631.5 10.2 361.4
2008 1.8 -4.2 2.3 6.6 5.38 3,381.8 13.0 3,197.8 21.5 184.0
2009 -0.6 -4.2 3.0 0.6 5.38 2,698.3 -20.2 2,457.8 -23.1 240.5
2010 15.2 29.7 2.2 2.8 5.38 3,518.7 30.4 3,107.9 26.4 410.8
2011 6.2 7.8 2.0 5.2 5.38 4,095.0 16.4 3,657.7 17.7 437.3
2012 3.4 0.3 2.0 4.6 5.38 4,083.9 -0.3 3,797.2 3.8 286.7
2013 4.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 5.38 4,102.5 0.5 3,730.2 -1.8 372.3
2014 2.9 2.7 2.0 1.0 5.35 4,097.7 -0.1 3,408.3 -8.6 689.3
2013
10 8.4 2.0 5.38 383.0 6.4 340.0 2.7 43.0
11 5.4 6.8 1.9 2.6 5.38 337.7 -1.0 308.9 -5.1 28.8
12 6.4 1.5 5.38 332.9 5.6 299.3 0.3 33.6
2014
1 3.5 1.4 5.35 338.8 0.6 307.8 -4.4 31.0
2 4.6 13.1 2.0 0.4 5.35 318.5 8.6 284.9 4.2 33.5
3 12.2 1.2 5.35 351.8 5.6 335.6 13.4 16.2
4 5.3 2.3 5.35 367.7 4.1 334.1 4.3 33.6
5 2.3 -1.9 2.0 2.3 5.35 348.4 -1.5 324.3 1.8 24.1
6 0.7 1.9 5.35 347.8 4.7 300.7 1.6 47.1
7 2.6 1.3 5.35 351.4 0.4 318.5 -1.6 32.9
8 2.8 3.8 1.9 1.0 5.35 343.2 0.8 288.4 -6.8 54.8
9 -1.2 0.7 5.35 350.9 -1.5 306.8 -5.0 44.1
10 0.3 0.2 5.35 347.8 -9.2 314.5 -7.5 33.3
11 2.1 -1.9 1.9 -0.3 5.35 315.2 -6.7 264.4 -14.4 50.8
12 -1.8 -0.1 5.35 316.2 -5.0 282.3 -5.7 33.9
2015
1 1.0 -0.4 5.35 317.0 -6.4 253.7 -17.6 63.3
2 2.8 -3.3 1.8 -0.3 5.35 249.9 -21.5 211.8 -25.7 38.1
3 -5.0 -0.3 5.35 325.7 -7.4 263.2 -21.6 62.4
4 -8.8 -0.5 5.35 309.9 -15.7 266.4 -20.3 43.5
5 1.8 -1.7 2.0 -0.4 5.35 293.9 -15.7 244.6 -24.6 49.3
6 -3.9 -0.3 5.35 304.8 -12.4 268.1 -10.8 36.6
7 -6.4 -0.4 5.35 308.0 -12.3 264.2 -17.0 43.8
8 -7.0 -0.8 5.35 273.2 -20.4 254.3 -11.8 19.0
*
1
2
3
4
WTO
1839 59
7 20157
5.2% 2.2%
1%5.2%
5%7
0.8%2.6%
2
5.6% 2015
5.6% 5.7%
5.0%20166
201520167%
Jay Peiris
Gundy Cahyadi
1.8%0.4%
1.7%
71.8% 7 53.3
1.8%201574.1%
108
7
2015
622.6% 20156
22.6%35
18
48.259.2
21.9%2015
307.3 336.1
2.8%
60 1839
2-5-3
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
( )
( *
) *
2004 6.7 -2.5 11.8 12.0 4.8 8.36 9.00 396.8 9.5 440.4 8.8 -43.6
2005 4.8 1.0 11.4 9.0 6.6 5.70 9.75 512.5 29.2 474.2 7.7 38.3
2006 5.2 -8.5 8.0 11.2 5.5 5.04 9.75 474.1 -7.5 537.5 13.3 -63.4
2007 6.6 -2.7 7.3 -0.7 2.9 4.28 7.25 504.7 6.4 577.1 7.4 -72.4
2008 4.2 0.3 7.4 4.1 8.2 6.00 8.00 490.3 -2.9 602.1 4.3 -111.8
2009 1.1 -11.9 7.5 -1.4 4.2 3.50 6.00 384.4 -21.6 458.4 -23.9 -74.1
2010 7.6 23.2 7.3 -4.9 3.8 4.00 6.00 515.0 34.0 584.7 27.5 -69.7
2011 3.7 1.1 7.0 1.0 4.7 4.50 6.50 483.1 -6.2 641.0 9.6 -157.9
2012 6.7 7.7 7.0 -0.6 3.2 3.50 5.50 521.0 7.9 585.1 -8.7 -64.1
2013 7.1 13.9 7.1 -7.6 2.9 3.50 5.50 567.0 8.8 657.4 12.4 -90.4
2014 6.1 7.3 6.8 -0.9 4.2 4.00 6.00 621.0 9.5 677.0 3.0 -56.0
2013
10 21.1 -5.7 2.9 3.50 5.50 50.3 14.0 51.0 -8.7 -0.7
11 6.1 18.8 -4.8 3.3 3.50 5.50 43.3 19.8 58.7 7.1 -15.5
12 22.8 7.5 -4.1 4.1 3.50 5.50 49.6 24.9 57.0 1.7 -7.4
2014
1 4.4 -1.0 4.2 3.50 5.50 43.6 -3.5 62.3 23.1 -18.7
2 5.6 5.9 -0.8 4.1 3.50 5.50 46.5 11.4 50.2 1.4 -3.7
3 0.0 0.1 3.9 3.50 5.50 52.7 12.1 57.3 9.3 -4.6
4 10.8 7.0 0.0 4.1 3.50 5.50 45.6 1.2 55.9 3.3 -10.3
5 6.7 12.7 -1.1 4.5 3.50 5.50 59.3 15.6 52.9 -4.9 6.5
6 12.6 -2.3 4.4 3.50 5.50 54.6 21.6 50.5 -2.4 4.1
7 7.6 6.7 -1.5 4.9 3.50 5.50 54.3 11.6 57.9 -0.1 -3.6
8 5.5 5.7 -1.1 4.9 3.50 5.50 54.7 10.4 59.1 0.6 -4.4
9 4.7 0.8 4.4 4.00 6.00 58.5 15.6 59.4 -1.0 -1.0
10 8.7 6.0 -0.7 4.3 4.00 6.00 51.5 2.4 56.6 11.0 -5.2
11 6.6 9.1 -2.0 3.7 4.00 6.00 51.8 19.7 58.0 -1.1 -6.3
12 4.6 -1.4 2.7 4.00 6.00 48.0 -3.2 57.0 0.0 -9.0
2015
1 2.7 6.6 -3.7 2.4 4.00 6.00 43.6 0.0 55.5 -10.8 -12.0
2 5.0 -2.0 -5.6 2.5 4.00 6.00 45.1 -3.0 56.4 12.5 -11.3
3 14.8 -5.5 2.4 4.00 6.00 53.8 2.1 54.5 -4.8 -0.8
4 1.8 6.4 -8.0 2.2 4.00 6.00 43.8 -4.1 50.1 -10.3 -6.3
5 5.6 -0.9 -7.1 1.6 4.00 6.00 49.0 -17.4 46.7 -11.6 2.3
6 -1.6 -6.3 1.2 4.00 6.00 53.6 -1.8 62.9 24.6 -9.3
7 -0.5 6.5 -6.5 0.8 4.00 6.00 53.3 -1.8 69.1 19.4 -15.8
8 0.6 4.00 6.00
*
1
NSCB
2
3
4
WTO
1839 61
7
0.8% 70.8%
70.5%~1.3%
61.2%7
1.1%0.5%
1.3%
2015
2.0%~4.0%
7 20157
0.5% 67
2322.90.5%
7.3%
20151
0.2%24.0%311%44.9%5
5.5%65.8%
20157
157149.94.6%
3
2.8% 2015 2.8%
0.4% 0.2%
0.3%53%~4%
2.7%~3.2%
7
83 3
Tier 3201576
848374
3101.26
99
SME
62 1839
7 20157
5.3% MPI5.3%
67.7%
6.1%58.7%
657.1%
72.8%2015
72.9%7
4.7%
8 8106.3
1.2% 1.2%20158
1.3%
2.5%
24.7%
8148
/
191111
80.9%
73.6% 2015 7 182
3.6% 7 175
12.7%7.7
201574.7%8.6%
42.42015
3% 2,207
1.2%7
7
1839 63
2-5-4
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
( )
(
2004 6.3 11.6 2.1 2.8 1.79 5.75 949.4 21.5 934.8 25.7 14.6
2005 4.2 9.7 1.9 4.5 3.80 6.75 1,093.6 15.2 1,176.2 25.8 -82.6
2006 5.0 5.9 1.5 4.6 4.85 7.75 1,297.2 18.6 1,287.7 9.5 9.5
2007 5.4 8.4 1.4 2.2 3.20 7.10 1,538.7 18.6 1,399.7 8.7 139.0
2008 1.7 4.7 1.4 5.5 2.71 7.00 1,777.8 15.5 1,792.2 28.0 -14.5
2009 -0.7 -7.0 1.5 -0.9 1.00 6.13 1,524.2 -14.3 1,337.1 -25.4 187.1
2010 7.5 14.2 1.1 3.3 1.80 6.38 1,933.1 26.8 1,829.2 36.8 103.8
2011 0.8 -8.5 0.7 3.8 3.15 7.50 2,225.8 15.1 2,287.9 25.1 -62.1
2012 7.3 2.2 0.7 3.0 2.69 7.38 2,291.1 2.9 2,491.2 8.9 -200.1
2013 2.8 -3.2 0.7 2.2 2.20 7.38 2,285.0 -0.3 2,504.1 0.5 -219.0
2014 0.9 -4.6 0.8 1.9 1.96 7.38 2,275.2 -0.4 2,277.5 -9.0 -2.2
2013
10 -4.0 0.6 1.5 2.46 7.38 193.9 -0.7 211.6 -5.4 -17.7
11 0.7 -10.7 0.7 1.9 2.46 7.38 187.6 -4.1 193.1 -4.7 -5.6
12 -6.3 0.7 1.7 2.20 7.38 184.4 1.9 188.5 -9.3 -4.1
2014
1 -5.6 0.9 1.9 2.20 7.38 178.6 -2.2 204.3 -15.5 -25.6
2 -0.4 -4.5 0.9 2.0 2.19 7.38 183.6 2.4 166.0 -16.6 17.6
3 -10.5 0.9 2.1 2.05 7.25 197.7 -4.0 184.8 -14.2 12.8
4 -4.1 0.9 2.4 1.95 7.38 171.9 -1.2 187.0 -14.5 -15.1
5 0.9 -4.0 0.9 2.6 1.93 7.38 194.0 -2.1 200.1 -10.2 -6.1
6 -6.3 1.1 2.4 1.96 7.38 197.1 3.2 180.5 -14.0 16.6
7 -5.3 1.0 2.2 1.95 7.38 188.9 -0.9 200.0 -2.9 -11.0
8 1.0 -2.6 0.7 2.1 1.96 7.38 189.4 -7.4 178.0 -14.2 11.4
9 -3.9 0.8 1.8 1.96 7.38 199.1 3.2 217.1 14.4 -18.0
10 -3.0 0.8 1.5 1.97 7.38 202.1 4.2 201.3 -4.9 0.7
11 2.1 -3.7 0.5 1.3 1.95 7.38 185.4 -1.1 186.5 -3.5 -1.0
12 -0.1 0.6 0.6 1.96 7.38 187.4 1.6 172.0 -8.7 15.4
2015
1 -0.8 1.1 -0.4 1.96 7.38 172.5 -3.4 177.1 -13.3 -4.6
2 3.0 3.0 0.8 -0.5 1.96 7.38 172.3 -6.1 168.4 1.5 3.9
3 -1.7 1.0 -0.6 1.78 7.38 188.9 -4.4 173.9 -5.9 15.0
4 -7.1 0.9 -1.0 1.68 7.38 169.0 -1.7 174.2 -6.8 -5.2
5 2.8 -7.6 0.9 -1.3 1.45 7.37 184.3 -5.0 160.1 -20.0 24.2
6 -7.7 0.8 -1.1 1.46 7.37 181.6 -7.9 180.1 -0.2 1.5
7 -6.3 1.0 -1.0 1.46 7.37 182.2 -3.6 174.5 -12.7 7.7
8 -8.3 1.0 -1.2 1.46 7.37
*
1
2
3
4
WTO
64 1839
2.5%
2015
2015
4.0%1.7%
4
4.9% 2015
4.9%20146.5%
5.6%6.0%
5.6%5.0%4.6%
4.2%
2015 4.9% 4.6%
7.9%6.4%
8.8%3.9%11.7%
6.8%4.1%
8%
0.5%
3.7% 0.6%
2.8%1.0%
6.0%
9.6%
5.6%
9.7%
ICT9.3%
6.8%5.9%
5.0%6.4%
4.6% 4.7%
4.2%5.6%
4.5%
3.5%
2015
1839 65
201521353.2
2042015715
9677.6
1.1
7 20157
6.1% 20146.1%4.8%
14.0%4.2%1.2%
8.8%
7.2%3.3%
6201570.1%
2.3% 0.7%
2.4%
20157
14%4.2%
1.2%
2015720145.5%
8.3%4.7%1.7%
7 7542
1.2% 125.120141.2%6
0.1%
13852
30.8%
24.6%19.1%18.5%
3.9%201516
3,798.820140.1%
20157102.4
20140.7%0.04%2015
729.72014
66 1839
3.4%1.9%20156
209.4 2014
5.0%
7 20157
3.3% 3.3%2.9%7
3.3%41
6%
7
13.3%4.8%
4.7%
4.6%3.9%
3.8%2.8%
2.4%
2.5% 1.9%
1.6%0.9%
201572014
1.7%
73.5% 20157
1,240.8293.452014
4.6% 632.3 3.5%
608.5 5.9% 23.8
34.5%
73.5%
3.2%61.6%7
32.8%20.2%13.5%9.5%
4.4%3.9%1.7%
12.5%7.8%
5.5%
36.9%23.4%19.9%12.1%5.4%
34.4%25.1%23.6%2.8%
732.8%
23.7%42.2
7
23136.5%
48.5
43.540.6
30.928.3
1839 67
2-5-5
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
(
2004 11.3 5.98 1,266.5 21.0 1,051.7 26.3 214.8
2005 3.6 6.20 1,416.3 11.8 1,143.2 8.7 273.1
2006 5.6 4.8 3.6 6.72 1,607.5 13.5 1,304.4 14.1 303.1
2007 6.3 2.3 2.0 6.72 1,759.7 9.5 1,461.7 12.1 298.0
2008 4.8 0.8 5.4 6.48 1,994.1 13.3 1,563.5 7.0 430.7
2009 -1.5 -7.6 3.6 0.6 5.51 1,572.4 -21.1 1,237.6 -20.8 334.9
2010 7.2 0.1 3.2 1.7 6.27 1,986.1 26.3 1,646.2 33.0 339.9
2011 5.3 2.4 3.1 3.2 6.53 2,280.9 14.8 1,874.7 13.9 406.1
2012 5.5 4.2 3.0 1.7 6.53 2,275.4 -0.2 1,963.9 4.8 311.5
2013 4.7 3.4 3.1 2.1 6.53 2,283.3 0.3 2,059.0 4.8 224.3
2014 6.0 5.1 2.9 3.1 6.79 2,341.4 2.5 2,088.6 1.4 252.7
2013
10 2.1 3.3 2.8 6.53 211.4 5.6 184.2 9.0 27.2
11 5.0 1.4 3.4 2.9 6.53 195.0 2.3 164.1 1.6 30.9
12 5.2 3.0 3.2 6.53 202.9 7.8 172.8 7.7 30.1
2014
1 3.1 3.3 3.4 6.53 193.6 3.1 174.4 -1.4 19.2
2 6.3 6.7 3.2 3.5 6.53 178.1 5.1 146.5 2.6 31.5
3 4.3 3.0 3.5 6.53 197.9 2.4 168.9 -4.8 29.0
4 4.7 2.9 3.4 6.53 203.3 11.1 176.5 -1.7 26.8
5 6.5 5.9 2.9 3.2 6.53 200.8 8.8 183.3 4.5 17.5
6 6.9 2.8 3.3 6.53 190.2 5.7 177.5 6.6 12.8
7 0.6 2.8 3.2 6.78 191.9 1.0 180.5 -0.5 11.4
8 5.6 6.5 2.7 3.3 6.79 201.0 5.0 188.8 11.1 12.2
9 5.4 2.7 2.6 6.79 200.5 3.0 171.5 2.1 29.0
10 5.2 2.7 2.8 6.79 199.0 -5.9 195.5 6.1 3.5
11 5.7 4.8 2.7 3.0 6.79 190.6 -2.3 157.3 -4.2 33.3
12 7.4 3.0 2.7 6.79 194.5 -4.1 168.0 -2.8 26.5
2015
1 7.0 3.1 1.0 6.79 177.5 -8.3 152.5 -12.5 25.0
2 5.6 5.1 3.2 0.1 6.79 148.0 -16.9 135.3 -7.7 12.7
3 7.2 3.0 0.9 6.79 180.6 -8.7 159.3 -5.6 21.2
4 4.1 3.0 1.8 6.79 166.1 -18.3 147.2 -16.6 18.9
5 4.9 4.5 3.1 2.1 6.79 167.8 -16.4 152.5 -16.8 15.3
6 4.4 3.1 2.5 6.79 171.9 -9.7 150.5 -15.2 21.3
7 6.1 3.2 3.3 6.79 166.4 -13.3 160.1 -11.3 6.3
8 3.1 6.79
*
1
2
3
WTO
68 1839
2-5-6
%
* *
(+)
GDP (-)
*
*
)
(
2004 5.0 3.3 9.9 13.41 715.8 17.2 465.2 42.9 250.6
2005 5.7 1.3 11.2 16.23 856.6 19.7 577.0 24.0 279.6
2006 5.5 -1.6 10.3 15.07 1,035.3 20.9 806.6 39.8 228.7
2007 6.3 5.6 9.1 13.00 1,180.1 14.0 931.0 15.4 249.1
2008 213.7 3.0 8.4 9.8 15.22 1,396.1 18.3 1,276.0 37.1 120.0
2009 4.7 1.3 7.9 -20.9 13.69 1,196.5 -14.3 945.5 -25.9 251.0
2010 6.4 4.4 7.1 5.1 12.83 1,577.8 31.9 1,356.6 43.5 221.2
2011 6.2 4.1 6.6 5.3 12.16 2,035.0 29.0 1,774.4 30.8 260.6
2012 6.0 4.1 6.1 4.0 11.49 1,900.3 -6.6 1,916.9 8.0 -16.6
2013 5.6 6.0 6.3 6.4 12.12 1,825.5 -3.9 1,866.3 -2.6 -40.8
2014 5.0 4.8 5.9 6.4 12.79 1,762.9 -3.4 1,781.8 -4.5 -18.9
2013
10 -0.1 7.9 11.93 157.0 2.4 156.7 -8.9 0.2
11 5.6 1.8 8.1 12.06 159.4 -2.3 151.5 -10.5 7.9
12 2.8 8.1 12.12 169.7 10.2 154.6 -0.8 15.1
2014
1 3.0 8.2 12.23 144.7 -5.9 149.2 -3.5 -4.4
2 5.1 3.8 5.7 7.7 12.33 146.3 -2.5 137.9 -9.9 8.4
3 3.7 7.3 12.37 151.9 1.1 145.2 -2.4 6.7
4 2.7 7.3 12.38 142.9 -3.2 162.5 -1.3 -19.6
5 5.0 3.8 7.3 12.63 148.2 -8.1 147.7 -11.3 0.5
6 6.1 6.7 12.63 154.1 4.4 157.0 0.4 -2.9
7 1.5 4.5 12.70 141.2 -6.4 140.8 -19.1 0.4
8 4.9 6.0 5.9 4.0 12.76 144.8 10.7 147.9 13.7 -3.1
9 9.8 4.5 12.78 152.8 3.9 155.5 0.2 -2.7
10 5.3 4.8 12.82 153.5 -2.2 153.3 -2.2 0.2
11 5.0 4.8 6.2 12.84 136.2 -14.6 140.4 -7.3 -4.3
12 6.5 8.4 12.79 146.2 -13.8 144.3 -6.6 1.9
2015
1 5.4 7.0 12.76 132.4 -8.5 126.1 -15.4 6.3
2 4.7 3.1 5.8 6.3 12.74 121.7 -16.8 115.1 -16.5 6.6
3 6.7 6.4 12.82 136.3 -10.3 126.1 -13.2 10.3
4 8.4 6.8 12.75 131.0 -8.3 126.3 -22.3 4.8
5 4.7 2.2 7.1 12.72 126.9 -14.4 116.1 -21.4 10.8
6 5.8 7.3 12.70 135.1 -12.4 129.8 -17.3 5.3
7 5.7 7.3 12.65 114.7 -18.8 100.8 -28.4 13.8
8 7.2 12.6 127.0 -12.3 122.7 -17.1 4.3
*
1
2
3
WTO
1839 69
26.220.9
1915.0
93.886.5
61.0 58.0 32.2
29.7
7173.5
73.8
54.751.1
38.7 27.6
19.018.8
16.914.6
112.574.8
46.444.7
34.9
5
715.5% 20157114.1
15.5%100.81.3%
13.319
8 1,053 201581,053
7 1,076 Tirta
Segara
Tirta67
3
7.5%
2
125
17
4.7%6
2015814
9 25 1
70 1839
2015814
92528.401,1011,167.00
9251,146.65
8149 2015 8 14 9 25 1
251 124.27124.27123.24124.901
0.64000.65910.6357
0.659110.90010.8935
0.86360.9068
820098
0.1%81.8%8
20150.1%CPI
0.1%8
5314.8%7
-2%70.2%8
10 8
5.7%70.1%GDP
3.9%PCE
3.6%3.1%815
4,000277,000
956,000
27.5817.3
22.05
921
10
2%
1839 71
7
0.2%72014
0.2% 60.1%20146
2%
98
10
916
1AA-A+
2%
65%
72 1839
0.1%80.2%
93
2016
9
920
923
GDP
0.7%851.5
52.080.1%4
9
10
8
1%
9
18
3
921 Fed9210.00~0.25%
FOMC
0~0.25%
99
2016
0.50% 0.12%2016
1.4%20183.4%
1839 73
99
0.50%0.25%0.75%
7
GDP
7
1021
9318
0.05% 0.05%
0.30%-0.20%
0.5%
60020169
2.75%
2.00% 10 22
1.50%
9100.5%
7.50% 3,750
MPC0.75%
1.50%
0.1%
74 1839
RBNZ910
OCR2.75%
1010
RBA912.00%
106
91634
111.50%
2015114126
9177.50%
5.50%
8.00%
41
9111.50%
101511121210
8781
0~0.1%80
10
1839 75
8:1
814 2015 8 14 1,118.25
9 25 28.40 1,120917
1,101 8 14 9 25 8 24
1,167.00 1,166.509111,101.259
9 251,146.6528.40
251,146.65
5.3%
7FOMC
9
8
820153
76 1839
EIA9
Short-Term Energy Outlook
2015
2901902015
2016180
110
8 20158
(1) OPEC
(2)
2%OPEC
2015OPEC
(3) OPEC7
3.23 2012 6
OPEC3EIA
5
(4) 9
(5) OPEC
920%EIA
10
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9)
9 20159
(1) OPEC
(2) OPEC8
10.83,231.67
10.13,220.8
(3) OPEC
(4)
1839 77
(5) EIA
(6) Mohammed al-Sada
OPECOPEC
(7)
40
(8) 6
EIA
4961.2631.6(9)
OPEC
(10) Colonial
85
EI20159
OMI856
60
OPEC
8OPEC3,200
OPEC200
8
1,0001,026.5
3.4300
7289OPEC
OPECT
31.45,9445.4
26OPEC
82.0%9,540
678
2007932
12.0%8
OECD1.6%
78 1839
4-1
/%
OPEC
*
2008 93.27 96.99 99.67 93.61
2009 61.00 61.48 61.64 61.68
2010 77.38 79.53 79.41 78.14
2011 107.44 111.33 95.08 106.18
2012 109.50 111.67 94.19 109.09
2013 105.94 108.74 97.88 105.56
2014 96.24 99.20 93.24 96.99
08
2014 100.75 101.51 96.54 101.80
09 95.98 97.02 93.21 96.59
10 84.82 87.96 84.37 87.43
11 75.57 79.28 75.74 80.29
12 60.20 62.55 59.24 60.35
01
2015 44.17 47.85 47.18 45.73
02 54.06 57.96 50.53 55.50
03 52.47 56.30 47.77 54.79
04 57.27 59.32 54.39 58.58
05 62.07 63.76 59.22 63.60
06 60.15 60.53 59.77 61.94
07 54.14 56.48 50.85 56.32
08 45.38 46.43 42.50 47.78
2015 %
8
-16.18 -17.79 -16.42 -15.16
8
2015 %
-54.96 -54.26 -55.98 -53.06
*
Saharan Blend
Minas
Iran
Heavy Basra
Light
Kuwait Export
Es
Sider Bonny
Light Qatar
Marine
ArabLight
Murban
BCF17
11
Energy Intelligence Group,Oil Market Intelligence, September 2015.
1839 79
4-2
/
2015
2014
2014
2014
2015
6
7
8
8
OECD 46.1 46.5 46.3 45.6 45.9 45.7 46.3
OECD 51.1 49.2 49.2 47.9 47.9 47.7 49.2
97.2 95.8 95.5 93.5 92.4 92.6 95.5
OPEC 32.0 31.7 31.9 30.5 30.4 29.8 31.9
OPEC 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.8
OPEC 56.6 56.8 57.1 54.6 54.7 55.4 57.0
2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
97.5 97.5 98.2 94.0 94.1 94.2 97.9
0.3 1.7 2.7 0.5 0.3 0.9 2.4
OECD 2,905 2,923 2,953 2,739
5,485 5,551 5,623 5,080
4-1
4-3
/
2015
a
b
6
7
8
1
OPEC
10,564 10,361 10,265 12,225 8,984
2,795 2,825 2,855 3,500 3,324
4,260 4,322 4,187 4,187 4,187
2,825 2,820 2,890 3,100 2,466
2,974 3,061 3,027 3,150 2,354
664 613 643 715 765
0 0 0 400 na
2,410 2,397 2,394 2,450 2,209
1,798 1,615 1,856 2,100 1,943
425 390 434 434 434
1,092 1,080 1,129 1,150 1,159
1,647 1,649 1,729 1,900 1,715
541 538 537 565 459
OPEC 31,994 31,670 31,945 35,876 30,000
OPEC 6,509 6,535 6,609
OPEC 38,670 38,369 38,723
2
OPEC
9,649 9,709 9,763
3,643 3,691 3,841
2,247 2,272 2,259
2,396 2,466 2,566
1,569 1,561 1,563
10,774 10,765 10,624
1,328 1,363 1,393
4,335 4,262 4,215
769 761 734
756 765 761
19,094 19,227 19,398
OPEC
56,560 56,842 57,117
95,230 95,210 95,840
a.
30
3
b.
2007
11
1
OPEC
2006
10
20
120
/
2007 2
1
2007
11
2008
1 9 10
2008
12 31
OPEC
c.na
4-1
80 1839
8 20158RJ/CRBBCOM
Reuters
202.0990.932,224.36
0.24%0.93%3.38%
8
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
78
(5)
2011
(6) GDP3.7%
12.56-1.11%
1,117.48 0.13 -0.86% 14.94
29.20-2.88%983.20
47.20-7.35%595.40
(1) 710
(2)
6(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
76%
1839 81
5-1
RJ/CRB BCOM Reuters
1967=100
1991=100
9/18/1931=100
2008 229.54 117.24 1,746.52
2009 283.38 139.19 2,321.27
2010 332.80 162.39 3,174.42
2011 305.30 140.68 2,695.51
2012 295.01 139.07 2,974.81
2013 280.17 125.75 2,630.96
2014 229.96 104.33 2,393.82
08
2014 292.75 126.57 2,499.54
09 278.55 118.69 2,367.78
10 271.96 117.74 2,410.93
11 254.37 112.95 2,417.69
12 229.96 104.33 2,393.82
01
2015 218.84 100.84 2,341.87
02 224.08 103.44 2,357.73
03 211.86 98.12 2,370.47
04 227.48 103.75 2,392.80
05 223.18 100.95 2,379.12
06 227.17 102.69 2,451.80
07 202.57 91.78 2,302.21
08 202.09 90.93 2,224.36
%
-0.24 -0.93 -3.38
%
-30.97 -28.16 -11.01
RJ/CRB=Reuters/JefferiesCRBIndex
BCOM= Bloomberg Commodity Index
Reuters=
1.78%
15,228.50 3.94%
1,692.906.0%1,539.80
6.74%5,088.90
9.17%10,342.309.60%
1,809.90
USDA
82 1839
1.
USDA201592015/16
4.65 2,5009
5.55 8.75
09/102015/16
204.65
5.35
2015/16670
230
7.3163
160
150
5070
50
305030
160
510
2.2665-2
2.
201591.01
3.45 167.5
4.05 81.3
4,0002014/15
2015/16
2015/162,000
2015/16
2,5002015/16
2015/161.212015/16
1839 83
5-2
*
2013/14
177.10 715.11 158.36 126.81 698.65 165.90 193.56
19.54 58.11 4.71 6.20 34.29 32.00 16.07
157.56 657.01 153.65 120.61 664.37 133.90 177.49
20.80 217.75 4.58 56.90 139.61 76.17 27.35
0.29 10.50 0.00 0.10 6.05 2.25 2.49
4.66 25.30 0.16 3.60 6.95 18.62 4.56
5.14 37.53 0.45 4.20 9.41 23.27 10.44
10.71 144.42 3.97 49.00 117.20 32.03 9.87
83.62 194.11 87.36 28.30 259.83 5.19 100.08
1.00 5.30 7.07 0.60 11.40 0.08 1.89
53.96 121.93 6.77 16.00 116.50 0.89 65.27
8.94 18.97 20.69 4.92 36.12 0.49 11.99
11.49 19.72 25.27 2.68 42.42 0.50 13.55
2.62 24.00 0.40 0.60 24.10 0.75 2.17
3.78 0.00 16.41 2.46 15.76 0.89 3.55
24.20 93.51 0.03 4.80 93.85 6.05 17.83
13.92 103.87 7.41 22.75 72.94 37.15 15.12
4.95 52.09 0.80 12.50 34.10 18.57 5.18
2.94 13.94 0.01 2.00 6.80 8.10 1.99
2.58 22.28 0.07 3.40 11.50 9.76 3.67
2014/15
193.56 725.24 159.61 132.76 707.49 164.89 211.31
16.07 55.13 4.07 3.26 31.53 23.25 20.48
177.49 670.11 155.54 129.50 675.96 141.64 190.82
27.35 221.91 6.65 62.55 146.73 81.71 27.46
2.49 12.50 0.04 0.30 6.35 5.50 3.18
4.56 23.67 0.16 4.10 7.50 16.70 4.18
10.44 29.28 0.48 3.65 8.98 24.12 7.11
9.87 156.46 5.97 54.50 123.90 35.40 13.00
100.08 196.47 85.35 30.63 263.84 7.63 110.43
1.89 6.00 6.00 0.30 11.10 1.70 1.09
65.27 126.17 1.93 17.00 118.00 0.80 74.57
11.99 17.37 21.23 4.55 36.13 1.53 12.93
13.55 16.90 25.20 2.48 42.70 0.59 12.36
2.17 25.50 0.75 1.00 24.50 0.70 3.22
3.55 0.00 19.92 4.51 18.27 0.94 4.26
17.83 95.85 0.05 4.50 93.13 3.40 17.20
15.12 112.73 7.67 24.60 75.84 40.70 18.97
5.18 59.08 0.33 13.00 35.50 22.80 6.28
1.99 13.00 0.60 2.00 6.80 6.00 2.78
3.67 24.75 0.03 4.00 12.00 11.27 5.18
*
USDA,WorldAgriculturalSupplyandDemandEstimates, September. 11, 2015.
84 1839
5-2
*
2015/16
9 211.31 731.61 156.24 138.08 716.36 157.58 226.56
9 20.48 58.13 3.40 5.44 33.72 24.49 23.81
9 190.82 673.48 152.84 132.64 682.64 133.08 202.75
9 27.46 216.13 6.67 64.80 148.33 74.50 27.43
9 3.18 11.00 0.03 0.10 6.15 5.50 2.56
9 4.18 26.00 0.15 3.90 7.33 18.50 4.50
9 7.11 25.00 0.49 3.80 9.00 18.00 5.59
9 13.00 154.13 6.00 57.00 125.85 32.50 14.78
9 110.43 202.92 84.00 29.62 266.53 6.36 124.45
9 1.09 6.00 7.00 0.60 11.50 1.00 1.59
9 74.57 130.00 2.20 15.00 116.50 1.00 89.27
9 12.93 17.86 19.70 4.85 37.56 0.83 12.10
9 12.36 19.56 25.60 2.88 44.33 0.63 12.57
9 3.22 25.00 0.10 1.00 24.60 0.60 3.12
9 4.26 0.00 19.20 4.49 18.75 0.94 3.77
9 17.20 88.94 0.80 4.80 94.74 0.30 11.90
9 18.97 117.03 7.09 25.83 78.13 42.91 22.06
9 6.28 61.00 0.35 14.00 37.00 23.00 7.63
9 2.78 14.00 0.03 2.00 6.80 6.00 4.01
9 5.18 26.50 0.05 4.50 12.70 13.50 5.53
*
5-2
3.454.05
10
2014/15
430
230
100 2015/16 200
2015/162014/15
10020162
2015/16
2015/16540
1.8972014/15750
5-3
1839 85
5-3
*
2013/14
137.95 991.45 123.93 574.26 953.48 131.10 175.93
20.86 351.27 0.91 128.04 292.97 48.78 31.29
117.10 640.18 123.02 446.22 660.51 82.32 144.64
16.12 120.98 0.86 57.20 75.30 40.03 22.64
1.31 26.00 0.00 5.80 8.80 17.10 1.41
14.15 80.00 0.79 46.00 55.00 20.97 18.97
0.66 14.98 0.07 5.40 11.50 1.96 2.26
12.27 120.23 76.03 133.46 185.52 4.44 18.58
1.08 5.80 8.73 11.00 13.20 0.00 2.40
5.15 64.62 15.92 58.00 76.50 2.40 6.78
0.52 0.00 15.12 10.70 15.10 0.00 0.55
1.06 22.88 10.95 15.20 31.70 0.50 2.69
2.82 26.78 10.72 26.80 34.90 1.53 3.89
1.27 0.08 10.41 7.76 9.89 0.00 1.86
1.55 14.19 0.51 7.52 12.70 1.95 1.60
67.57 218.49 3.28 154.00 212.00 0.02 77.32
2.00 46.90 0.46 18.37 21.14 24.81 3.42
1.19 30.90 0.07 8.30 9.70 20.00 2.45
2014/15
175.93 1007.47 121.60 598.94 986.19 131.71 197.21
31.29 361.09 0.76 134.63 301.51 47.63 44.01
144.64 646.38 120.84 464.32 684.68 84.08 153.21
22.64 121.80 0.86 59.50 77.80 45.70 21.79
1.41 26.50 0.01 6.10 9.40 17.00 1.51
18.97 84.00 0.60 48.00 57.00 28.00 18.57
2.26 11.30 0.25 5.40 11.40 0.70 1.71
18.58 133.69 67.98 139.70 192.48 5.16 22.62
2.40 5.96 7.50 11.50 13.90 0.01 1.95
6.78 75.29 9.00 59.00 78.00 3.80 9.27
0.55 0.00 14.70 10.40 14.70 0.00 0.55
2.69 25.00 11.00 17.50 34.25 0.50 3.94
3.89 27.24 11.58 29.20 37.20 0.85 4.67
1.86 0.08 10.00 8.00 10.10 0.00 1.84
1.60 11.49 1.50 7.50 12.80 0.50 1.29
77.32 215.67 5.50 157.00 217.00 0.03 81.46
3.42 43.47 0.47 18.72 21.54 22.70 3.12
2.45 28.45 0.05 8.00 9.40 19.50 2.05
5-2
86 1839
5-3
*
2015/16
978. 123 604.8 985. 123 189.6
9 197.21
10 .66 4 62 .48 9
9 44.01 345.07 0.76 133.99 302.40 46.99 40.45
9 153.21 633.03 122.90 470.85 683.22 76.49 149.24
9 21.79 117.50 0.63 62.00 80.40 41.00 18.52
9 1.51 25.00 0.01 6.50 10.00 15.50 1.02
9 18.57 79.00 0.60 50.00 59.00 24.00 15.17
9 1.71 13.50 0.03 5.50 11.40 1.50 2.33
9 22.62 116.07 74.30 140.40 193.33 2.15 17.51
9 1.95 6.00 8.00 12.10 14.50 0.01 1.44
9 9.27 58.00 16.00 58.00 77.00 1.00 5.27
9 0.55 0.00 14.80 10.50 14.80 0.00 0.55
9 3.94 23.50 10.50 17.20 34.00 0.50 3.44
9 4.67 28.36 10.70 30.40 38.50 0.64 4.59
9 1.84 0.08 10.00 8.00 10.10 0.00 1.82
9 1.29 12.30 1.50 8.00 13.35 0.50 1.24
9 81.46 225.00 3.00 157.00 219.00 0.05 90.41
9 3.12 43.76 0.49 19.14 22.01 22.63 2.74
9 2.05 27.00 0.05 7.50 8.90 18.50 1.70
*
5-2
3.
201592015/16
8.40 39.351,900
9.90 1,00018.70
2014/15
4.52,000
2014/15
78
1,00018.35
2,50018.70
2.1
3,000
1839 87
5-4
*
2013/14
56.17 283.15 111.28 241.08 275.25 112.64 62.70
3.83 91.39 1.95 47.19 50.09 44.57 2.50
52.34 191.76 109.33 193.89 225.16 68.07 60.20
36.46 151.69 0.63 76.47 84.04 62.66 42.09
20.96 53.50 0.00 36.17 40.57 7.84 26.05
15.33 86.70 0.61 36.86 39.86 46.83 15.95
0.13 8.19 0.01 3.35 3.45 4.80 0.07
13.33 14.73 96.22 91.39 108.45 0.30 15.51
12.38 12.20 70.36 68.85 80.30 0.22 14.43
0.30 1.21 12.99 13.44 14.20 0.06 0.25
0.18 0.20 2.89 1.97 3.05 0.00 0.23
0.10 0.24 3.84 4.03 4.07 0.00 0.12
2014/15
62.70 319.37 119.82 259.64 298.28 124.88 78.73
2.50 108.01 0.90 50.89 55.76 49.94 5.71
60.20 211.35 118.92 208.75 242.52 74.94 73.01
42.09 167.20 0.30 82.78 91.11 67.43 51.05
26.05 60.80 0.00 39.48 44.48 9.60 32.78
15.95 94.50 0.28 39.40 42.55 50.00 18.17
0.07 8.40 0.01 3.70 3.80 4.60 0.08
15.51 15.45 103.84 97.78 115.46 0.37 18.96
14.43 12.35 77.00 74.20 86.05 0.18 17.55
0.25 1.69 13.45 13.90 14.72 0.12 0.54
0.23 0.23 2.90 2.05 3.12 0.00 0.23
0.12 0.36 4.03 4.28 4.32 0.00 0.18
2015/16
9 78.73 319.61 123.22 271.79 310.10 126.48 84.98
9 5.71 107.10 0.82 50.89 54.43 46.95 12.26
9 73.01 212.51 122.40 220.90 255.67 79.53 72.72
9 51.05 166.30 0.27 85.35 93.86 72.08 51.69
9 32.78 57.00 0.00 41.50 46.60 9.75 33.43
9 18.17 97.00 0.25 39.55 42.77 54.50 18.15
9 0.08 8.80 0.01 4.10 4.20 4.60 0.09
9 18.96 14.86 106.15 103.86 122.05 0.33 17.59
9 17.55 11.50 79.00 79.50 91.70 0.20 16.15
9 0.54 1.95 13.50 14.50 15.33 0.10 0.56
9 0.23 0.22 2.85 1.97 3.05 0.00 0.25
9 0.18 0.36 4.05 4.35 4.39 0.00 0.20
*
5-2
2015/16
8.409.90
short ton=0.907 310.0 350.0
88 1839
27.530.5
20
2015/168
2015/16
5-4
4.
201592015/16
90,291 90,2912014/15
119,000 35,000
2015/16873.46.6
2015/16339.424,959
164.8
13.5%
2015/16799,975
36,7992015/16600
2015/16 450.1
2014/152015/16144.6
26,000 131.8
7,27810
2015/16802,647
17.8%
5.
201592015/16
56.068.0 134
45.8
1,020
32023.0%
56683
915NASS
2014/15
370
2015/16
1839 89
5-5
480
2013/14
91.80 120.46 41.31 110.08 40.87 -0.38 103.00
3.80 12.91 0.01 3.55 10.53 0.29 2.35
88.00 107.55 41.29 106.53 30.34 -0.68 100.65
27.41 57.03 1.36 32.11 26.59 -0.83 27.93
4.20 6.60 3/ 2.35 5.05 0.00 3.40
1.30 4.36 3/ 0.15 4.13 0.00 1.38
9.78 14.04 0.29 5.26 7.76 -0.34 11.42
2.40 4.10 3/ 0.04 4.85 -0.20 1.81
5.80 8.00 0.15 4.20 2.23 -0.15 7.67
11.80 31.00 0.68 23.35 9.26 -0.50 11.37
*
58.77 47.23 37.58 69.98 2.64 0.15 70.81
0.65 0.93 1.04 1.85 0.16 0.03 0.58
50.36 32.75 14.12 34.50 0.03 0.00 62.71
0.55 1.60 0.87 0.85 1.60 0.03 0.53
1.32 2.30 4.25 6.30 0.20 0.00 1.36
2.71 9.50 1.20 10.40 0.51 0.03 2.48
0.54 0.03 2.99 3.05 0.01 0.00 0.50
0.24 3/ 1.55 1.55 0.00 0.03 0.22
1.17 0.12 5.30 5.30 0.00 0.01 1.27
0.49 0.01 3.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.50
2014/15
103.00 118.94 36.01 111.53 35.41 0.09 110.91
2.35 16.32 0.01 3.58 11.25 0.16 3.70
100.65 102.62 35.99 107.96 24.16 -0.07 107.21
27.93 52.55 1.70 32.60 20.61 -0.23 29.19
3.40 6.23 3/ 2.46 4.69 0.00 2.48
1.38 4.98 3/ 0.14 4.52 0.00 1.70
11.42 11.02 0.16 4.64 7.05 -0.24 11.14
1.81 2.30 3/ 0.04 2.39 -0.10 1.78
7.67 7.00 0.02 3.60 3.91 -0.15 7.33
11.37 29.50 1.20 24.50 4.00 0.00 13.57
*
70.81 46.94 32.21 70.98 2.60 0.15 76.22
0.58 1.37 0.83 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.73
62.71 30.00 8.28 34.00 0.07 0.00 66.92
0.53 1.63 0.87 0.87 1.62 0.03 0.51
1.36 3.20 3.68 6.40 0.24 0.00 1.60
2.48 10.60 0.90 10.60 0.48 0.03 2.88
0.50 0.02 3.50 3.40 0.01 0.00 0.61
0.22 3/ 1.47 1.45 0.00 0.03 0.21
1.27 0.12 5.40 5.50 0.00 0.01 1.28
0.50 0.01 4.40 4.05 0.00 0.00 0.85
3/
5,000
*
5-2
90 1839
5-5
480
2015/16
9 110.91 108.74 34.24 113.44 34.26 -0.07 106.26
9 3.70 13.43 0.01 3.70 10.20 0.04 3.20
9 107.21 95.31 34.23 109.74 24.06 -0.11 103.06
9 66.92 26.00 5.75 34.00 0.05 0.00 64.62
5-2
1.0635-5
6.
6.0% COMEX20158
233.32248.23
6.0%
1839 91
2005 5.4 3.3 1.3 0.7 2.8 1.6 3.9
2006 5.6 2.7 1.7 3.7 3.0 2.4 5.2
2007 6.5 1.8 2.2 3.3 2.6 2.4 5.5
2008 0.7 -0.3 -1.0 1.1 -0.3 0.2 2.8
2009 -1.6 -2.8 -5.5 -5.6 -4.3 -2.9 0.7
2010 10.6 2.5 4.7 4.1 1.9 2.0 6.5
2011 3.8 1.6 -0.5 3.7 2.0 2.1 3.7
2012 2.1 2.2 1.7 0.4 1.2 0.2 2.3
2013 2.2 1.5 1.6 0.3 2.2 0.7 2.9
2014 3.8 2.4 -0.1 1.6 2.9 0.2 3.3
2012 4
4.6 1.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.0 2.2
2013
1
1.4 1.1 0.4 -0.5 1.4 0.1 2.1
2
2.6 0.9 1.4 0.3 2.2 1.1 2.7
3
1.4 1.5 2.2 0.5 2.1 0.8 3.2
4
3.4 2.5 2.3 1.3 2.8 1.0 3.5
2014
1
3.4 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.8 0.7 3.9
2
3.9 2.6 -0.4 1.4 3.1 -0.2 3.4
3
4.3 2.9 -1.4 1.2 2.9 0.2 3.3
4
3.5 2.5 -1.0 1.5 3.0 0.1 2.7
2015
1
3.8 2.9 -0.8 1.1 2.7 0.9 2.5
2
0.5 2.7 0.8 1.6 2.4 1.1 2.2
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.Statistischeo Bundesamt
7.UK National Statistics
8.France INSEE
92 1839
2003 9.1 1.3 3.0 0.5 -0.7 -1.1 5.5
2004 9.3 2.4 4.8 4.3 0.8 1.2 10.4
2005 3.3 3.3 1.4 3.1 -0.7 0.4 6.3
2006 4.8 2.2 4.5 5.3 0.7 1.2 8.4
2007 7.8 2.5 2.8 5.8 0.3 1.2 6.9
2008 -1.1 -3.4 -3.4 0.6 -2.7 -3.1 3.4
2009 -7.9 -11.3 -21.8 -16.4 -8.7 -13.8 -0.1
2010 24.2 5.6 15.6 11.2 3.1 4.9 16.3
2011 4.4 3.0 -2.8 7.0 -0.8 2.4 6.0
2012 -0.2 2.8 0.6 -0.8 -2.7 -2.4 1.4
2013 0.7 1.9 -0.8 -0.1 -0.6 -0.6 0.7
2014 6.4 3.7 2.1 1.4 1.7 -1.1 0.1
2013
10 0.8 2.5 5.4 1.5 2.7 -0.2 4.1
11 -0.2 2.3 4.8 0.8 1.8 1.9 -0.4
12 5.6 2.3 7.2 5.5 1.2 0.6 2.8
2014
1 -1.5 2.1 10.7 2.5 1.8 0.2 -4.5
2 7.4 2.4 7.0 4.6 2.8 -1.2 3.8
3 3.9 3.1 7.4 3.8 2.5 -0.9 3.0
4 5.7 3.3 3.7 -1.8 3.0 -2.4 2.6
5 5.8 3.7 1.0 3.9 1.9 -3.7 -2.0
6 8.6 4.0 3.2 -2.2 0.8 -0.7 0.6
7 6.3 4.8 -0.5 3.5 1.4 0.4 4.0
8 6.9 4.0 -3.0 -5.2 1.4 -0.3 -2.6
9 9.9 3.9 1.0 3.9 0.9 -0.4 2.0
10 9.2 4.1 -0.5 1.4 1.2 -1.2 -3.1
11 6.8 4.7 -3.7 -1.2 1.6 -2.7 -3.5
12 7.8 4.6 -0.1 3.3 1.1 -0.4 1.1
2015
1 7.6 4.5 -2.6 -2.4 1.5 0.9 1.8
2 2.7 3.5 -2.0 -0.3 0.4 1.5 -5.0
3 6.7 2.5 -1.7 4.9 1.1 1.6 0.1
4 1.3 2.1 0.1 1.4 1.0 -0.1 -2.6
5 -3.5 1.3 -3.9 -3.9 1.9 2.4 -3.0
6 -1.2 0.8 2.3 8.3 1.5 0.7 1.4
7 -2.7 1.3 0.0 0.5 0.8 -0.8 -3.2
8 -5.5 0.9 0.2 0.3
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
1839 93
3
2003 5.0 6.0 5.2 9.7 5.0 8.5 3.6
2004 4.4 5.5 4.7 10.3 4.7 8.9 3.7
2005 4.1 5.1 4.4 11.0 4.8 8.9 3.8
2006 3.9 4.6 4.1 10.0 5.4 8.8 3.4
2007 3.9 4.6 3.8 8.6 5.3 8.0 3.2
2008 4.1 5.8 4.0 7.4 5.6 7.4 3.2
2009 5.8 9.3 5.1 7.7 7.5 9.1 3.6
2010 5.2 9.6 5.1 6.9 7.8 9.3 3.7
2011 4.4 8.9 4.6 5.9 8.1 9.2 3.4
2012 4.2 8.1 4.3 5.4 7.9 9.8 3.2
2013 4.2 7.4 4.0 5.2 7.6 10.3 3.1
2014 4.0 6.2 3.6 5.0 6.2 10.3 3.5
2013
10 4.2 7.2 4.0 5.2 7.1 10.1 3.0
11 4.2 7.0 3.9 5.1 7.2 10.1 3.0
12 4.1 6.7 3.7 5.1 7.1 10.1 3.1
2014
1 4.0 6.6 3.7 5.1 6.9 10.2 3.2
2 4.1 6.7 3.6 5.1 6.7 10.2 3.9
3 4.0 6.6 3.6 5.0 6.6 10.2 3.5
4 3.9 6.2 3.6 5.0 6.4 10.1 3.7
5 3.9 6.3 3.6 5.0 6.3 10.2 3.7
6 3.9 6.1 3.7 5.0 6.2 10.2 3.6
7 4.0 6.2 3.7 5.0 6.0 10.3 3.4
8 4.1 6.1 3.5 5.0 5.9 10.4 3.5
9 4.0 5.9 3.6 5.0 5.9 10.4 3.5
10 4.0 5.7 3.5 5.0 5.8 10.4 3.5
11 3.9 5.8 3.5 4.9 5.6 10.5 3.4
12 3.8 5.6 3.4 4.8 5.5 10.5 3.5
2015
1 3.7 5.7 3.6 4.8 5.5 10.4 3.4
2 3.7 5.5 3.5 4.8 5.5 10.4 3.9
3 3.7 5.5 3.4 4.8 5.5 10.3 3.7
4 3.6 5.4 3.3 4.7 5.6 10.3 3.7
5 3.6 5.5 3.3 4.7 5.6 10.4 3.9
6 3.7 5.3 3.4 4.7 5.5 10.5 3.9
7 3.8 5.3 3.3 4.6 10.7 3.7
8 3.9 5.1 4.5 10.8 3.6
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
94 1839
2003 2.5 -0.3 3.2 2.3 -0.9 -0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.2 3.5
2004 7.0 1.6 3.6 2.7 1.3 0.0 2.9 1.7 1.0 1.3 2.1 6.1 3.6
2005 0.6 2.3 4.9 3.4 1.6 -0.3 3.0 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.1 2.8
2006 5.6 0.6 2.9 3.2 2.2 0.2 3.5 1.6 2.0 2.3 3.2 1.7 0.9 2.2
2007 6.5 1.8 3.9 2.9 1.8 0.1 3.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.4 2.5
2008 5.1 3.5 6.4 3.8 4.6 1.4 5.4 2.6 6.8 3.6 4.6 2.8 8.5 4.7
2009 -8.7 -0.9 -2.6 -0.3 -5.3 -1.3 -6.9 0.3 0.5 2.2 -4.7 0.1 -0.2 2.8
2010 5.5 1.0 4.2 1.6 -0.1 -0.7 5.2 1.1 2.7 3.3 2.5 1.5 3.8 2.9
2011 4.3 1.4 6.0 3.1 1.5 -0.3 5.8 2.1 4.7 4.5 4.6 2.1 6.7 4.0
2012 -1.2 1.9 1.9 2.1 -0.9 0.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.3 2.0 0.7 2.2
2013 -2.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.4 -0.6 1.5 1.3 2.6 0.0 0.9 -1.6 1.3
2014 -0.6 1.2 1.9 1.6 3.2 2.7 -1.2 0.9 0.0 1.5 -1.4 0.5 -0.5 1.3
2013
10 -1.8 0.6 0.3 0.9 2.5 1.1 -1.8 1.2 0.8 2.2 -1.3 0.6 -1.4 0.9
11 -0.9 0.7 0.8 1.2 2.6 1.6 -1.6 1.3 0.8 2.1 -0.7 0.7 -0.9 1.2
12 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.5 2.5 1.6 -1.3 1.4 1.0 2.0 -0.2 0.7 -0.4 1.1
2014
1 0.6 0.8 1.7 1.6 2.5 1.4 -1.7 1.3 0.9 1.8 -1.1 0.7 -0.3 1.1
2 -0.4 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.8 1.5 -1.8 1.2 0.6 1.8 -1.7 0.9 -0.9 1.0
3 0.0 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.6 -1.7 1.0 0.4 1.7 -2.0 0.6 -0.5 1.3
4 0.1 1.7 3.1 2.0 4.2 3.4 -1.3 1.3 0.6 1.7 -1.5 0.7 -0.3 1.5
5 1.1 1.6 2.5 2.1 4.4 3.7 -0.9 0.9 0.5 1.5 -0.8 0.7 0.0 1.7
6 0.8 1.6 2.8 2.0 4.5 3.6 -0.8 1.0 0.3 1.9 -0.4 0.5 0.1 1.7
7 0.9 1.8 2.7 2.0 4.4 3.4 -0.7 0.8 -0.1 1.6 -1.2 0.5 0.2 1.6
8 0.0 2.1 2.3 1.7 4.0 3.4 -0.6 0.8 -0.3 1.5 -1.6 0.4 -0.2 1.4
9 -0.8 0.7 2.2 1.6 3.6 3.3 -0.9 0.8 -0.5 1.3 -1.3 0.3 -0.5 1.1
10 -1.4 1.1 1.7 1.6 2.9 2.9 -0.7 0.8 -0.7 1.3 -0.9 0.5 -0.8 1.2
11 -2.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 2.6 2.4 -1.1 0.6 -0.6 0.9 -1.6 0.3 -0.9 1.0
12 -4.8 0.6 -0.8 0.7 1.8 2.4 -2.3 0.2 -1.1 0.5 -2.3 0.1 -2.1 0.8
2015
1 -7.9 -0.9 -3.2 -0.2 0.3 2.4 -2.6 -0.3 -1.8 0.3 -2.8 -0.4 -3.6 0.8
2 -8.8 -0.2 -3.3 -0.1 0.4 2.2 -2.1 0.1 -1.7 0.0 -1.7 -0.3 -3.6 0.5
3 -8.8 -0.6 -3.4 0.0 0.7 2.3 -1.1 0.3 -1.7 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1 -3.7 0.4
4 -9.1 -0.8 -4.3 -0.1 -2.1 0.6 -0.9 0.5 -1.7 -0.1 -0.9 0.1 -3.6 0.4
5 -9.7 -0.7 -2.9 0.0 -2.2 0.5 -0.4 0.7 -1.6 0.2 -1.0 0.3 -3.5 0.5
6 -9.5 -0.6 -2.5 0.2 -2.4 0.4 -0.5 0.3 -1.6 -0.1 -1.0 0.3 -3.6 0.7
-10.2
7 -0.6 -2.5 0.2 -3.1 0.3 -0.5 0.2 -1.6 0.2 -1.0 0.2 -4.0 0.7
-9.2
8 -0.4 -2.9 0.2 -3.6 0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.8 0.1 -1.4 0.0 -4.4 0.7
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
1839 95
5
2003 1,506.0 11.3 1,280.1 13.0 225.9 7,298.2 4.6 12,702.3 8.4 -5,404.1
2004 1,823.7 21.1 1,687.6 31.8 136.1 8,219.9 12.6 14,854.9 16.9 -6,635.0
2005 1,984.3 8.8 1,826.2 8.2 158.1 9,116.9 10.9 16,924.2 13.9 -7,807.3
2006 2,240.2 12.9 2,027.0 11.0 213.2 10,259.7 12.5 19,194.3 13.4 -8,934.6
2007 2,466.8 10.1 2,192.5 8.2 274.3 11,482.0 11.9 20,204.0 5.3 -8,722.0
2008 2,556.3 3.6 2,404.5 9.7 151.8 12,874.4 12.1 21,694.9 7.4 -8,820.5
2009 2,036.7 -20.3 1,743.7 -27.5 293.0 10,560.4 -18.0 16,053.0 -26.0 -5,492.6
2010 2,746.0 34.8 2,512.4 44.1 233.6 12,784.9 21.1 19,691.8 22.7 -6,906.9
2011 3,082.6 12.3 2,814.4 12.0 268.2 14,825.1 16.0 22,658.9 15.1 -7,833.8
2012 3,011.8 -2.3 2,704.7 -3.9 307.1 15,457.0 4.3 23,355.4 3.1 -7,898.4
2013 3,054.4 1.4 2,699.0 -0.2 355.4 15,795.9 2.2 23,290.6 -0.3 -7,494.7
2014 3,137.0 2.7 2,740.3 1.5 396.7 16,205.3 2.6 24,125.5 3.6 -7,920.2
2013
10 267.1 0.7 225.9 -2.9 41.2 1,421.8 6.4 2,104.1 3.2 -682.3
11 257.3 3.4 213.8 -0.5 43.5 1,362.5 4.7 1,936.5 -2.9 -574.0
12 263.8 1.2 241.6 10.0 22.2 1,319.6 0.9 1,874.6 3.1 -555.0
2014
1 242.9 -5.4 213.3 -15.2 29.6 1,265.2 2.8 1,909.7 0.3 -644.5
2 212.8 7.8 197.1 4.8 15.7 1,235.9 0.0 1,750.8 0.0 -514.9
3 277.4 1.9 257.8 7.4 19.6 1,421.8 4.0 1,994.7 6.9 -572.9
4 265.9 6.2 240.5 5.7 25.4 1,338.7 3.4 2,060.4 5.2 -721.7
5 266.5 1.4 213.7 -2.3 52.8 1,381.2 3.8 2,056.1 1.8 -674.9
6 267.9 1.2 249.0 7.4 18.9 1,383.6 2.6 2,030.4 6.9 -646.8
7 267.4 5.7 241.3 9.3 26.1 1,332.0 4.6 2,099.0 3.6 -767.0
8 280.7 9.5 239.7 13.9 41.0 1,374.2 3.6 2,020.0 1.9 -645.8
9 264.1 4.6 228.7 -0.1 35.4 1,333.6 3.8 2,083.8 5.8 -750.2
10 268.8 0.6 222.6 -1.5 46.2 1,454.4 2.3 2,164.4 2.9 -710.0
11 266.4 3.5 224.6 5.0 41.8 1,347.3 -1.1 1,949.8 0.7 -602.5
12 256.1 -2.9 212.0 -12.3 44.1 1,337.5 1.4 2,006.4 7.0 -668.9
2015
1 251.1 3.4 203.3 -4.7 47.8 1,214.0 -4.0 1,855.7 -2.8 -641.7
2 198.6 -6.7 153.0 -22.4 45.6 1,183.5 -4.2 1,673.2 -4.4 -489.7
3 252.7 -8.9 212.1 -17.7 40.6 1,337.8 -5.9 2,031.6 1.8 -693.8
4 234.9 -11.7 187.4 -22.1 47.5 1,285.1 -4.0 1,946.4 -5.5 -661.3
5 256.3 -3.8 202.1 -5.4 54.2 1,282.6 -7.1 1,907.8 -7.2 -625.2
6 230.6 -13.9 208.8 -16.1 21.8 1,309.9 -5.3 2,015.5 -0.7 -705.6
7 235.2 -12.0 199.1 -17.5 36.1 1,241.7 -6.8 1,984.2 -5.5 -742.5
8 239.3 -14.8 199.7 -16.7 39.6
96 1839
5 (1)
2003 4,718.2 13.2 3,933.0 16.5 785.2 7,593.5 22.5 6,107.9 23.7 1,485.6
2004 5,656.7 19.9 4,551.9 15.7 1,104.8 9,120.3 20.1 7,180.6 17.6 1,939.7
2005 5,948.6 5.2 5,158.1 13.3 790.5 9,718.0 6.6 7,756.1 8.0 1,961.9
2006 6,467.4 8.7 5,790.4 12.3 677.0 11,088.9 14.1 9,074.5 17.0 2,014.4
2007 7,142.1 10.4 6,221.4 7.4 920.7 13,221.9 19.2 10,558.5 16.4 2,663.4
2008 7,820.5 9.5 7,625.9 22.6 194.6 14,492.7 9.6 11,857.6 12.3 2,635.1
2009 5,807.2 -25.7 5,519.6 -27.6 287.6 11,206.1 -22.7 9,258.0 -21.9 1,948.1
2010 7,697.7 32.6 6,940.5 25.7 757.2 12,584.0 12.3 10,542.0 13.9 2,042.0
2011 8,225.6 6.9 8,550.0 23.2 -324.4 14,740.4 17.1 12,550.0 19.0 2,190.4
2012 7,986.2 -2.9 8,860.4 3.6 -874.2 14,056.6 -4.6 11,639.4 -7.3 2,417.2
2013 7,146.1 -10.5 8,323.4 -6.1 -1,177.3 14,517.0 3.3 11,914.5 2.4 2,602.5
2014 6,902.0 -3.4 8,122.1 -2.4 -1,220.1 13,341.4 -8.1 10,917.4 -8.4 2,424.0
2013
10 623.9 -4.3 736.4 1.9 -112.5 1,351.2 5.9 1,106.5 3.5 244.7
11 591.1 -4.2 721.5 -1.9 -130.4 1,275.0 6.2 1,033.4 4.9 241.6
12 590.8 -6.8 717.2 0.8 -126.4 1,123.6 9.1 934.8 7.0 188.8
2014
1 505.3 -6.1 774.2 7.3 -268.9 1,232.0 4.8 1,028.5 3.2 203.5
2 567.7 0.1 646.6 -0.5 -78.9 1,259.0 6.8 1,034.5 7.8 224.5
3 624.1 -5.6 765.9 9.6 -141.8 1,323.2 8.2 1,088.4 10.8 234.8
4 591.6 0.1 672.0 -1.3 -80.4 1,291.3 5.6 1,050.1 6.1 241.2
5 550.7 -3.4 640.9 -4.1 -90.2 1,259.6 10.1 1,016.2 4.9 243.4
6 582.1 -6.5 663.8 3.6 -81.7 1,267.9 4.3 1,045.2 5.3 222.7
7 602.4 0.9 696.5 -0.6 -94.1 1,367.4 12.4 1,045.8 4.1 321.6
8 554.1 -6.2 646.7 -6.3 -92.6 1,118.7 -1.0 930.5 -2.4 188.2
9 595.1 -1.1 684.8 -1.7 -89.7 1,321.7 4.8 1,034.4 4.3 287.3
10 618.8 -0.8 687.5 -6.6 -68.7 1,319.5 -2.3 1,035.9 -6.4 283.6
11 532.4 -9.9 609.8 -15.5 -77.4 1,198.8 -6.0 972.1 -5.9 226.7
12 577.6 -2.2 633.4 -11.7 -55.8 1,112.1 -1.0 876.6 -6.2 235.5
2015
1 519.3 2.8 618.5 -20.1 -99.2 1,047.3 -15.0 859.0 -16.5 188.3
2 501.1 -11.7 537.3 -16.9 -36.2 1,087.0 -13.7 863.8 -16.5 223.2
3 575.4 -7.8 556.9 -27.3 18.5 1,166.9 -11.8 914.7 -16.0 252.2
4 547.9 -7.4 552.9 -17.7 -5.0 1,085.2 -16.0 846.1 -19.4 239.1
5 475.6 -13.6 493.9 -22.9 -18.3 1,070.8 -15.0 849.3 -16.4 221.5
6 525.7 -9.7 531.7 -19.9 -6.0 1,188.3 -6.3 914.1 -12.5 274.2
7 540.7 -10.3 562.5 -19.2 -21.8 1,179.2 -13.8 900.8 -13.9 278.4
8 478.2 -13.7 524.5 -18.9 -46.3
1839 97
5 (2)
2003 1,938.2 19.3 1,788.3 17.6 149.9 1,599.6 27.8 1,362.6 17.0 237.0
2004 2,538.4 31.0 2,244.6 25.5 293.8 1,986.3 24.2 1,735.8 27.4 250.5
2005 2,844.2 12.0 2,612.4 16.4 231.8 2,296.5 15.6 2,000.5 15.2 296.0
2006 3,254.6 14.4 3,093.8 18.4 160.8 2,718.1 18.4 2,387.1 19.3 331.0
2007 3,714.9 14.1 3,568.5 15.3 146.4 2,993.0 10.1 2,631.5 10.2 361.5
2008 4,220.1 13.6 4,352.7 22.0 -132.6 3,381.8 13.0 3,197.8 21.5 184.0
2009 3,635.3 -13.9 3,230.8 -25.8 404.5 2,698.3 -20.2 2,457.8 -23.1 240.5
2010 4,663.8 28.3 4,252.1 31.6 411.7 3,518.7 30.4 3,107.9 26.4 410.8
2011 5,554.1 19.1 5,243.5 23.3 310.6 4,095.0 16.4 3,657.7 17.7 437.3
2012 5,478.7 -1.4 5,195.9 -0.9 282.8 4,083.9 -0.3 3,797.2 3.8 286.7
2013 5,596.3 2.1 5,155.8 -0.8 440.5 4,102.5 0.5 3,730.2 -1.8 372.3
2014 5,726.6 2.3 5,255.1 1.9 471.5 4,097.7 -0.1 3,408.3 -8.6 689.4
2013
10 504.8 7.2 456.1 5.1 48.7 383.0 6.4 340.0 2.7 43.0
11 479.1 0.2 431.1 -0.6 48.0 337.7 -1.0 308.9 -5.1 28.8
12 479.8 6.9 443.5 3.0 36.3 332.9 5.6 299.3 0.3 33.6
2014
1 455.6 -0.2 447.5 -1.2 8.1 338.8 0.6 307.8 -4.4 31.0
2 429.1 1.4 420.6 4.0 8.5 318.5 8.6 284.9 4.2 33.6
3 490.6 3.7 455.6 3.6 35.0 351.8 5.6 335.6 13.4 16.2
4 502.7 8.9 458.7 5.1 44.0 367.7 4.1 334.1 4.3 33.6
5 475.8 -1.5 426.1 0.5 49.7 348.4 -1.5 324.3 1.8 24.1
6 478.3 2.4 424.8 4.3 53.5 347.8 4.7 300.7 1.6 47.1
7 482.1 5.2 458.6 5.7 23.5 351.4 0.4 318.5 -1.6 32.9
8 461.1 -0.4 427.9 2.9 33.2 343.2 0.8 288.4 -6.8 54.8
9 474.5 6.3 441.9 7.6 32.6 350.9 -1.5 306.8 -5.0 44.1
10 516.3 2.3 441.0 -3.3 75.3 347.8 -9.2 314.5 -7.5 33.3
11 466.1 -2.7 413.4 -4.1 52.7 315.2 -6.7 264.4 -14.4 50.8
12 494.6 3.1 439.1 -1.0 55.5 316.2 -5.0 282.3 -5.7 33.9
2015
1 451.1 -1.0 394.4 -11.9 56.7 317.0 -6.4 253.7 -17.6 63.3
2 414.8 -3.3 339.2 -19.3 75.6 249.9 -21.5 211.8 -25.7 38.1
3 468.5 -4.5 384.8 -15.5 83.7 325.7 -7.4 263.2 -21.6 62.5
4 462.4 -8.0 377.8 -17.6 84.6 309.9 -15.7 266.4 -20.3 43.5
5 423.3 -11.0 360.8 -15.3 62.5 293.9 -15.7 244.6 -24.6 49.3
6 465.7 -2.6 366.9 -13.6 98.8 304.8 -12.4 268.1 -10.8 36.7
7 457.4 -5.1 388.3 -15.3 69.1 308.0 -12.3 264.2 -17.0 43.8
8 392.4 -14.9 349.7 -18.3 42.7 273.2 -20.4 254.3 -11.8 18.9
1.
2.WTO
98 1839
()
2006 32.53 1.2545 1.8426 1.245 1.1344
2007 32.84 1.3687 2.0017 1.194 1.0741
2008 31.52 1.4648 1.8532 1.079 1.0670
2009 33.05 1.3892 1.5645 1.086 1.1431
2010 31.64 1.3244 1.5461 1.038 1.0302
2011 29.46 1.3901 1.6036 0.873 0.9895
2012 29.61 1.2849 1.5853 0.933 0.9992
2013 29.77 1.3277 1.5645 0.924 1.0298
2014 30.37 1.3277 1.6467 0.917 1.1065
2013
11 29.59 1.3493 1.6079 0.905 1.0481
12 29.81 1.3704 1.6375 0.890 1.0640
2014
1 30.26 1.3610 1.6474 0.905 1.0939
2 30.38 1.3659 1.6541 0.881 1.1055
3 30.45 1.3823 1.6624 0.884 1.1111
4 30.27 1.3813 1.6738 0.880 1.0991
5 30.18 1.3732 1.6850 0.894 1.0896
6 30.04 1.3592 1.6904 0.892 1.0843
7 30.00 1.3539 1.7072 0.909 1.0890
8 30.04 1.3316 1.6703 0.917 1.0927
9 30.15 1.2901 1.6297 0.917 1.1012
10 30.43 1.2673 1.6066 0.962 1.1212
11 30.79 1.2472 1.5776 0.966 1.1326
12 31.45 1.2331 1.5646 0.993 1.1529
2015
1 31.69 1.1621 1.5137 0.921 1.2143
2 31.57 1.1350 1.5327 0.951 1.2505
3 31.53 1.0838 1.4979 0.971 1.2619
4 31.13 1.0779 1.4946 0.941 1.2331
5 30.72 1.1150 1.5475 0.940 1.2179
6 31.11 1.1213 1.5555 0.935 1.2361
7 31.34 1.0996 1.5557 0.964 1.2886
8 32.39 1.1139 1.5599 0.968 1.3143
8
-3.22 1.30 0.27 -0.41 -1.96
%
8
-7.26 -16.35 -6.61 -5.27 -16.86
%
1.
1
2.
CEIC
LBMA
1839 99
6 ()
(
( )
2006 0.7530 116.30 1.5889 7.7678 954.79 603.77
2007 0.8368 117.75 1.5071 7.8014 929.26 695.39
2008 0.8388 103.36 1.4149 7.7868 1,102.05 871.96
2009 0.7799 93.57 1.4545 7.7518 1,276.93 972.35
2010 0.9173 87.78 1.3635 7.7692 1,156.06 1,224.52
2011 1.0315 79.81 1.2578 7.7840 1,108.29 1,571.52
2012 1.0354 79.79 1.2497 7.7564 1,126.47 1,668.60
2013 0.9654 97.60 1.2513 7.7560 1,094.85 1,411.23
2014 0.9020 105.81 1.2670 7.7542 1,052.28 1,266.08
2013
11 0.9331 99.79 1.2474 7.7520 1,062.70 1,275.82
12 0.8983 103.41 1.2588 7.7530 1,056.10 1,222.76
2014
1 0.8862 103.94 1.2725 7.7570 1,065.80 1,244.80
2 0.8966 102.16 1.2667 7.7570 1,070.97 1,300.98
3 0.9071 102.27 1.2674 7.7610 1,070.69 1,336.08
4 0.9313 102.56 1.2557 7.7540 1,042.75 1,299.00
5 0.9309 101.79 1.2517 7.7520 1,023.99 1,287.53
6 0.9367 102.05 1.2514 7.7510 1,018.70 1,279.10
7 0.9392 102.78 1.2430 7.7500 1,020.60 1,310.97
8 0.9303 102.96 1.2485 7.7500 1,024.61 1,295.99
9 0.9062 107.24 1.2628 7.7520 1,035.80 1,238.82
10 0.8784 108.06 1.2738 7.7570 1,060.91 1,222.49
11 0.8650 116.21 1.2956 7.7540 1,097.11 1,176.30
12 0.8243 119.31 1.3155 7.7540 1,103.60 1,200.94
2015
1 0.8061 118.31 1.3374 7.7530 1,088.48 1,251.85
2 0.7790 118.56 1.3544 7.7540 1,098.38 1,227.19
3 0.7731 120.39 1.3771 7.7570 1,113.05 1,178.63
4 0.7726 119.55 1.3500 7.7500 1,085.90 1,197.91
5 0.7902 120.69 1.3347 7.7520 1,093.03 1,199.05
6 0.7722 123.75 1.3457 7.7520 1,112.44 1,181.50
7 0.7423 123.24 1.3608 7.7510 1,144.13 1,130.04
8 0.7295 123.16 1.3981 7.7527 1,179.71 1,117.48
8
-1.72 0.07 -2.67 -0.02 -3.02 -1.11
%
8
-21.58 -16.40 -10.70 -0.03 -13.15 -13.77
%
1.
1
2.
CEIC
LBMA
100 1839
7
2003 1.38 3.43 2.00 4.00 0.10 1.38 2.00 2.13 3.50 3.75 6.20
2004 1.75 3.52 3.25 5.25 0.10 1.38 2.00 2.17 5.00 3.25 5.52
2005 2.25 3.85 5.25 7.25 0.10 1.38 2.25 2.41 5.00 3.75 5.74
2006 2.75 4.12 6.25 8.25 0.40 1.63 3.50 3.64 5.50 4.50 6.19
2007 3.38 4.31 4.75 7.25 0.75 1.88 4.00 4.71 6.50 5.00 7.08
2008 2.00 4.21 0.50 3.25 0.30 1.68 2.50 2.99 5.50 3.00 6.89
2009 1.25 2.56 0.50 3.25 0.30 1.48 1.00 0.48 1.00 2.00 5.81
2010 1.63 2.68 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 1.00 0.81 1.00 2.50 5.40
2011 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 1.00 1.14 1.00 3.25 5.69
2012 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.75 0.11 1.00 2.75 4.84
2013 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.21 1.00 2.50 4.52
2014 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.02 1.00 2.00 3.91
2013
10 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.50 0.13 1.00 2.50 4.46
11 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.13 1.00 2.50 4.50
12 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.21 1.00 2.50 4.52
2014
1 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.22 1.00 2.50 4.53
2 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.22 1.00 2.50 4.45
3 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.23 1.00 2.50 4.46
4 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.25 1.00 2.50 4.42
5 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.25 0.26 1.00 2.50 4.40
6 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.15 0.15 1.00 2.50 4.40
7 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.15 0.10 1.00 2.50 4.39
8 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.15 0.09 1.00 2.25 4.18
9 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.02 1.00 2.25 4.14
10 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.01 1.00 2.00 4.00
11 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.01 1.00 2.00 3.88
12 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.02 1.00 2.00 3.91
2015
1 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.01 1.00 2.00 3.90
2 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.86
3 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.01 1.00 1.75 3.61
4 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.03 1.00 1.75 3.36
5 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.05 1.00 1.75 3.56
6 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.06 1.00 1.50 3.49
7 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.07 1.00 1.50 3.43
8 1.88 2.88 0.75 3.25 0.30 1.48 0.05 -0.09 1.00 1.50 3.44
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.ECB Monthly Bulletin
1839 101
1.
WB
WB
2008
WB
1991
2013
15
70%
Kaushik Basu
WB
21%
2.4%
2.3%
23.3
58.7
8
4.4
ADB
ADB
ADB
102 1839
Fed
Fed
9
1
6 8
14
3.1%
6.3%
10.7% 4.5%
3
8.3
6
8.6
GDP
3
GDP 57.7%
6
59.5%
9,580
1.4
2015
2015
6
1,863
12
2014 6%
2008
19%
2014
785
2012
897
Fed
ADB
2015
9
16
OECD
OECD
Interim Economic Outlook
1839 103
Catherine L. Mann
OECD
2015
OECD 2.4%
2016
2.6%
2015
2.4%
2016
2.3%
2015
1.1%
2016
2.1%
2015
2016
0.6%
1.2%
2015
2016
1.6%
1.9%
2015
2016
1.6%
2.0%
2016
2015 1.0%
1.4%
2015
2016
0.7%
1.3%
2015
2016
6.7%
6.5%
7.2%
7.3%
2015
2.8%
2016
0.7%
OECD
Fed
OECD
104 1839
OECD
2015
9
16
ADB
ADB
2015
2016
2015
ADB
2016
2015 GDP
5.8%
6.0%
3
6.3%
ADB
2015
1.9%
3
2.2%
2015
8
2015
6.8%
2014
7.2% 7.3%
2015
7.4%
7.8%
2015
4.4%
2016
4.9%
2014
3.0%
2.3%
2016
1839 105
65%
ADB
2015
9
22
2.
9
2015 14
25
1
/
120.18
0.03%
0.8938
/ 0.22%
/
0.6534
0.38%
0.9712
/ 0.47%
1
9
14
18
9
21
25
2-1
8
CPI
2015
0.1%
CPI
0.1%
9
21
3
GDP
10
2%
9
17
13
8
531
4.8%
551 7
-2%
8
5.7%
2008
2
GDP
3.7%
3.9% PCE
3.6%
3.2%
3.1%
9
7
16
9
1
AA-
106 1839
A+
2%
7
0.6%
0.3%
1.9%
0.7%
9
23
9
20
8
CPI
1%
1.2%
1.2%
0.9%
8
9
18
3
8
2015
3
2015
9
11
1,101.25
2015
9
25
1,146.65
45.40
1,101
1,155
2015
9
14
9
27
1839 107
2-1
(1)
(2) (2)
(1) %
9/25
9/21 9/18
9/14 +
-
120.18 120.32 -0.1147
0.8938 0.8843 +1.0731
0.6534 0.6464 +1.0813
0.9712 0.9715 -0.0329
1.3266 1.3233 +0.2509
1.4198 1.3973 +1.6054
1.4152 1.4037 +0.8179
7.7500 7.7500 -0.0008
1183.78 1175.00 +0.7476
32.644 32.462 +0.5607
CEIC 2015 9 27
2-2
10 1.114 0.619 0.698 1.036 1.046 1.404 93.080 7.754 1,163.65 31.950
11 0.976 0.644 0.771 0.937 1.017 1.295 76.980 7.766 1,158.50 30.270
12 0.962 0.615 0.758 0.916 0.996 1.221 86.640 7.751 1,063.24 29.050
13 1.120 0.603 0.726 0.890 1.064 1.262 105.250 7.754 1,055.25 29.830
14 1.224 0.642 0.826 0.993 1.160 1.324 119.850 7.753 1,090.89 31.600
14 -05 1.076 0.597 0.733 0.894 1.087 1.254 101.770 7.752 1,020.30 30.010
14 -06 1.062 0.588 0.734 0.892 1.068 1.250 101.390 7.752 1,013.30 29.870
14 -07 1.075 0.592 0.747 0.909 1.089 1.247 102.750 7.750 1,027.75 30.060
14 -08 1.070 0.603 0.760 0.917 1.086 1.249 104.000 7.750 1,013.85 29.880
14 -09 1.070 0.603 0.760 0.917 1.086 1.249 104.000 7.750 1,013.85 29.880
14 -10 1.138 0.625 0.798 0.962 1.127 1.285 112.090 7.755 1,073.07 30.450
14 -11 1.173 0.639 0.804 0.966 1.143 1.304 118.700 7.755 1,112.06 30.990
14 -12 1.224 0.642 0.826 0.993 1.160 1.324 119.850 7.753 1,090.89 31.600
15 -01 1.288 0.666 0.886 0.921 1.272 1.354 117.440 7.753 1,104.30 31.750
15 -02 1.280 0.648 0.893 0.951 1.251 1.361 119.720 7.756 1,100.65 31.440
15 -03 1.311 0.673 0.931 0.971 1.268 1.372 119.960 7.754 1,107.71 31.240
15 -04 1.271 0.652 0.896 0.941 1.212 1.326 119.860 7.751 1,076.74 30.640
15 -05 1.306 0.654 0.910 0.940 1.247 1.348 123.980 7.754 1,111.99 30.810
15 -06 1.298 0.636 0.897 0.935 1.247 1.347 122.100 7.751 1,117.34 30.880
15 -07 1.364 0.640 0.907 0.964 1.305 1.369 123.940 7.751 1,159.70 31.590
15 -08 1.408 0.651 0.893 0.968 1.322 1.412 121.260 7.750 1,182.54 32.490
15 -09 18 1.385 0.642 0.880 0.961 1.315 1.396 119.850 7.750 1,164.13 32.310
15 -09 25 1.426 0.659 0.893 0.976 1.332 1.423 120.740 7.750 1,190.14 33.070
CEIC
108 1839
2-3 3
/GDP
2006 5.360 5.320 0.568 3.723 2.103
2007 4.703 5.994 0.895 4.679 2.757
2008 1.425 2.770 0.833 2.894 0.662
2009 0.251 0.605 0.251 0.655 0.252
2010 0.303 0.758 0.188 0.937 0.170
BIS
9
13
2011 0.581 1.080 0.196 1.292 0.052
2012 0.306 0.515 0.176 0.129 0.012
2013 0.246 0.525 0.148 0.266 0.023
2014 0.256 0.564 0.112 0.059 -0.063
14 -05 0.227 0.531 0.135 0.287 0.012
14 -06 0.235 0.552 0.133 0.174 0.008
/GDP
--
14 -07 0.239 0.560 0.130 0.177 0.018
14 -08 0.234 0.560 0.128 0.126 0.018
/GDP 14 -09 0.235 0.565 0.116 0.057 0.006
14 -10 0.232 0.553 0.112 0.062 0.015
10% 14 -11 0.234 0.553 0.106 0.062 0.001
14 -12 0.256 0.564 0.112 0.059 -0.063
15 -01 0.253 0.563 0.104 0.032 -0.854
15 -02 0.262 0.564 0.096 0.025 -0.850
15 -03 0.271 0.570 0.101 0.018 -0.814
15 -04 0.279 0.569 0.094 -0.008 -0.794
15 -05 0.284 0.567 0.096 -0.016 -0.788
25.4% 15 -06 0.283 0.579 0.099 -0.012 -0.789
15 -07 0.309 0.582 0.096 -0.017 -0.739
15 -08 0.329 0.587 0.089 -0.030 -0.724
16.6% 15 -09 18 0.319 0.586 0.078 -0.040 -0.727
15 -09 25
15.7% 0.326 0.583 0.084 -0.041 -0.727
CEIC
10%
/GDP
3
BIS
BIS
2009
3
9
2015 13
1839 109
FOMC
9
21
Phil Camporeale
10
2015 0.25%
2016
0.50% 1.50%
2015
12
Jan Hatzius
10
10
10
10
12
16% 42% 2016 1
52% 2015
9
22
9
21
25
69.91
0.4%
16,314.67
500
26.69
1.4%
1,931.34
140.73
2.9%
4,686.50
8
/
%/
+4.90
/+0.1%/6,109.00
DAX
-227.63 /-2.3%/9,688.53 -55. 19
/-1. 2%/4,4 80. 66 225
-189.70
/-1.0%/17,880.51
GDP
3.9% 9
Markit
8
53 2%
8
4.8%
531
5.7%
7
7
/
20
5.0%
500
0.7%
8.6%
6.8%
110 1839
2-4
DAX
225 100
09
2015 21
16,510.19 21,756.93 6,108.70 9,948.51
09
2015 22
16,330.47 21,796.58 5,935.80 9,570.66
09
2015 23
16,279.89 21,302.91 6,032.20 9,612.62
09
2015 24
16,201.32 17,571.83 21,095.98 5,961.50 9,427.64
09
2015 25
16,314.67 17,880.51 21,186.32 6,109.00 9,688.53
(1)
(2015 09 16,384.58 18,070.21 21,920.83 6,104.10 9,916.16
18 )
(+)
(2) (-) -69.91 -189.70 -734.51 +4.90 -227.63
(%)
(3) -0.4 -1.0 -3.4 +0.1 -2.3
2015 9 19 2015 9 26
16%
Mosaic
Williams
CONSOL Energy
Atmel
3.4% Dialog Semiconductor
46 Red
Hat iPhone 6s
Lam Research
12%
8.7%
4
1
Joy Global
14.5%
3.3%
BorgWarner
5%
9
Markit
52.3
52.0
52.5
9
IFO
108.5
9
1.1%
9
2015 30
1839 111
2-1
DRI Asia Database.
112 1839
6.0%
4.1%
6.6%
-53.10
/-2.7%/1,942.85
-13.49
/-1.0%/1,376.83
BSE30 -355.41
/-1.4%/25,863.50
/
%/
-734.51
/-3.4%/21,186.32
-4 6 . 9 5
/-1.6%/2, 832 .6 4 -214. 36 /-3.0%/6, 917 .55
-54.4 4 /-3 .3 %/1,615 .01
-170 .88 /-3. 9%/4,20 9.4 4 2015
9
30
3.
UN
57%
2014
29
32
43%
35%
48
90%
10
1839 113
98.5%
94%
98%
98.2%
96.3%
96%
46.8%
46%
79
10
2%
1.7%
1.6%
1.4%
1.1%
1.0%
2015
UN 9
21
ADB
ADB
ADB
30%
1990
56%
2013
49%
114 1839
ADB
2015
9
22
OECD
OECD
2015 International Migration Outlook
Policy Brief on the
OECD
Refugee Crisis
Angel Gurria
OECD
FRONTEX
8
50
28
2014 2015
100
45
Humanitarian migrant
Gurria
OECD
OECD
2015
9
22
1839 115
4.
9
14
18
Brent
14
48.02
18
49.17
WTI
14
44.0
16
47.15
18
44.68
(1) Genscape
180
Brent
(2) 40
(3)
EIA 9
11
210
2014
190 2
(4) 6
EIA
4
961.2
31.6
6
(5) Baker Hughes
8
3
7
(6) OPEC
(7) OPEC
5
2020
80
OPEC
9
21
25
Brent
21
48.36
25
47.96
WTI
21
46.68
25
45.70
(1) 2015
25
(2) Wood Mackenzie
50
1.5
(3) Colonial
85
(4) EIA
140
5,900
2011
(5) Baker
4
Hughes
9
21
25
OPEC
Brent
WTI
Fateh
116 1839
43.83
47.43
45.74
44.47 9
14
18
-0.84%
0.68%
0.21% -0.09%
4-1
2015
9
30
4-1
/
9/14
9/18 9/21
9/25
2 1 %
44.20 43.83 -0.8
OPEC7
4
Brent
47.33 47.43 0.21
WTI
45.43 45.74 0.68
Fateh 44.51 44.47 -0.09
Petroleum Intelligence Weekly 2015 9 30
4-1 2015/5/8 2015/9/25
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
5/8 5/22 6/5 6/19 7/3 7/17 7/31 8/14 8/28 9/11 9/25
Energy I nf ormati on A d mi ni st rati on U.S. D ept . of E nergy.
htt p://w w w .eia. doe.gov/ e meu/i nt ernati onal/ Crude1.x ls
Islamic State
2016
9
6
2015 400
Eni SpA
OPEC
1839 117
Lukoil Holdings
Royal
Dutch Shell PLC BP PLC
2016
Abdul Mahdy al-Ameedi
Iraqi State Organization for the Marketing of Oil
8
7
10
38
7
6
49
53
2016
Rumaila
210
Wall Street Journal
9
2015 14
10
2015
INE
2015
OPEC
2015
8
118 1839
Brent WTI Brent
IntercontinentalExchange
WTI
CME
100
Brent
WTI
1,000
Dubai
Owain Johnson
Mercantile Exchange
90% PetroChina
ChinaOil
Owain
Johnson
Financial Times
2015
9
16
11
11
12
50
Ali Kardor
National Iranian Oil Company 2016
100
Kardor
Kardor
OPEC
2016
7
Ali Kardor
1839 119
Kardor
100
Kardor
3
4
OPEC
12
300
400
2015
12
2016
2
Wall Street Journal
2015
9
24
5.
9
21
25
RJ/CRB
Reuters
BCOM
194.67
87.96
2,219.11
9
14
18
1.0%
0.81%
0.87%
5-1
2015
9
25
18
(1) 8
120
(2)
40%
(3) 17
(4)
19
(5)
Atlatsa Resources
9
16
Bokoni
120 1839
5-1
RJ/CRB BCOM Reuters
(1967=100) (1991=100) (9/18/1931=100)
2012 295.01 139.07
(6)
2013
280.17 125.75
18
2014 299.96 104.33 2,393.82
09
2014 278.55 118.69
10 271.96 117.74 2,410.93
7 4,140 11 254.37 112.95 2,417.69
12 299.96 104.33 2,393.82
4,240
01
2015 218.84 100.84 2,341.87
30.5 3 02 224.08 103.44 2,357.73
03 211.86 98.12 2,370.47
04 227.48 103.75
2005 05 223.18 100.95 2,379.12
06 227.17 102.69 2,451.80
07 202.57 91.78 2,302.21
(7) 08 202.09 90.93
09
2015 14 195.80 88.57 2,223.46
09 15 196.02 88.57 2,220.44
Impala 09 16 198.98 89.46 2,256.34
Platinum Holdings Ltd., 09 17 198.22 89.03 2,251.08
09 18 194.18 87.73 2,241.87
Implats Johan
09 21 196.85 88.56 2,227.72
Theron 09 22 194.82 87.67 2,215.75
09 23 192.38 87.19 2,214.21
1,600
09 24 193.58 87.87 2,202.67
09 25 195.71 88.49 2,235.20
(1)
(8) 194.67 87.96 2,219.11
09/21-09/25
(2)
196.64 88.67 2,238.64
09/14-09/18
Volkswagen
(2)
(1) % -1.00 -0.81 -0.87
R J / C R B = R e u t e r s / J e f f e r i e s C R B I n d e x
B COM =B loo mberg
Commodity Index Reuters=
1,100
5-2 LME
2015/ 0 9/ 14 2 015/ 09/ 25
15/09/18
15/09/25
12,740 12,340 -400
2.0 3,232,950 3,189,425 -43,525
335,200 325,275 -9,925
164,975 164,900 -75
453,000 454,812 1,812
5.15 5,140 5,100 -40
1,146.65 608,875 595,600 -13,275
LME
1839 121
0.27
0.45% 14.99
1.77%
9455.0
43.0 4.35%
61.0
672.0
9.98%
5-3
2015
9
25
18
(1) 8
8
6.1%
6.4%
(2) Alcoa Inc.
88.7
Suralco 11
30 (3)
AETI
JabinSufianto
2016
50,000~60,000
2015
6.5
11
1
(4)
Glencore
7
100
(5)
PT Timah
Agung Nugroho
(6) 17
80
(7) Rio
Craig Kinnell
Tinto 42
Oyu Tolgoi
(8) 8
12%
8
115%
20,615
(9) LME
6
1,475
(10)
Glencore
7
40
LME
5%
(11) LME
8
40%
1.83%
15,325.0
0.61%
9,820.0
0.53%
1,681.0
3.09%
1,645.5
3.57%
1,566.5
4.85%
5,098.0
5-3
122 1839
5-3
/
/
09 1,104.00 16.99 1,466.0 402.0 2,208.0 7,346.0 2,395.0 18,480.0 16,725.0 2,570.0
10 1,410.25 30.63 1,731.0 791.0 2,461.0 9,739.5 2,587.0 24,960.0 26,945.0 2,432.5
11 1,574.50 28.18 1,381.0 636.0 1,970.5 7,554.0 1,980.0 18,280.0 18,950.0 1,828.0
12 1,664.00 29.95 1,523.0 699.0 2,040.0 7,915.0 2,340.0 17,085.0 23,500.0 2,034.5
13 1,201.50 19.50 1,358.0 711.0 1,764.5 7,394.5 2,206.0 13,970.0 22,550.0 2,085.5
14 1,199.25 15.97 1,210.0 798.0 1,831.5 6,359.0 1,853.0 14,935.0 19,500.0 2,167.0
14-07 1,310.97 20.92 1,492.7 871.7 1,945.4 7,104.5 2,189.3 19,050.4 22,382.8 2,311.0
14-08 1,295.99 19.80 1,447.9 875.8 2,030.2 7,000.6 2,236.6 18,575.8 22,294.0 2,329.2
14-09 1,238.82 18.49 1,362.4 841.8 1,992.5 6,872.2 2,122.3 18,079.3 21,124.5 2,294.0
14-10 1,222.49 17.19 1,259.8 778.3 1,938.2 6,739.2 2,038.1 15,770.4 19,909.1 2,272.7
14-11 1,176.30 15.97 1,208.9 780.8 2,053.9 6,701.1 2,023.7 15,706.3 19,969.0 2,259.4
14-12 1,200.94 16.24 1,215.7 805.5 1,913.2 6,423.0 1,936.1 15,918.6 19,825.7 2,171.7
15-01 1,251.85 17.10 1,243.5 784.3 1,808.4 5,815.8 1,829.2 14,771.0 19,463.1 2,110.6
15-02 1,227.19 16.84 1,197.6 786.3 1,821.9 5,689.8 1,807.1 14,541.6 18,302.1 2,104.7
15-03 1,178.63 16.22 1,138.6 786.3 1,772.6 5,925.8 1,785.0 13,745.7 17,460.5 2,029.0
15-04 1,197.91 16.32 1,150.1 768.8 1,817.1 6,028.5 1,999.8 12,782.8 15,985.5 2,206.9
15-05 1,199.05 16.80 1,140.3 784.4 1,805.1 6,300.6 2,003.8 13,509.5 15,827.4 2,289.6
15-06 1,181.50 16.10 1,088.8 726.8 1,683.5 5,833.6 1,836.3 12,779.8 15,015.2 2,087.5
15-07 1,130.04 15.07 1,012.4 642.6 1,638.1 5,456.9 1,762.3 11,385.9 14,962.0 2,002.1
15-08 1,117.48 14.94 983.2 595.4 1,539.8 5,088.9 1,692.9 10,342.3 15,228.5 1,809.9
15-09 18
1,141.50 15.26 988.0 611.0 1,624.5 5,358.0 1,690.0 9,760.0 15,050.0 1,698.0
15-09 25
1,146.65 14.99 945.0 672.0 1,566.5 5,098.0 1,681.0 9,820.0 15,325.0 1,645.5
LBMA
LPPM
LME
5-4
/ / / / / / /
Metricton lbs lb lb bushel bushel bushel
09 3,289 135.95 26.95 75.60 10.40 5.42 4.15
10 3,035 240.50 32.12 144.81 13.94 7.94 6.29
11 2,109 226.85 23.30 91.80 11.99 6.53 6.47
12 2,236 143.80 19.51 75.14 14.19 7.78 6.98
13 2,709 110.70 16.41 84.64 13.13 6.05 4.22
14 2,910 166.60 14.52 60.27 10.19 5.90 3.97
14-07 3,142 171.14 17.13 69.44 12.61 5.38 3.83
14-08 3,217 187.57 15.89 65.00 11.78 5.46 3.59
14-09 3,131 185.80 14.60 66.12 10.04 5.00 3.35
14-10 3,061 205.05 16.48 63.90 9.65 5.11 3.49
14-11 2,871 188.18 15.88 61.13 10.32 5.42 3.73
14-12 2,937 174.97 14.99 60.86 10.31 6.15 3.96
15-01 2,872 169.24 15.06 59.32 10.00 5.44 3.88
15-02 2,894 156.68 14.48 63.17 9.94 5.16 3.88
15-03 2,836 136.95 12.84 62.54 9.81 5.07 3.86
15-04 2,829 139.17 12.92 65.05 9.72 5.03 3.77
15-05 3,051 132.62 12.70 65.13 9.54 4.92 3.61
15-06 3,197 132.51 11.95 64.82 9.59 5.21 3.67
15-07 3,276 125.62 11.88 65.57 9.99 5.47 4.09
15-08 3,107 127.32 10.67 65.14 9.21 5.01 3.74
15-09 18
3,311 118.35 11.70 59.85 8.67 4.87 3.77
15-09 25
3,276 122.70 12.41 60.64 8.89 5.08 3.89
CBOT
NYBOT
CSCE
1839 123
2015
9
25
18
9
168
100
48.768
11
10
10
150
26
2015/16
5-4
2015
9
30
80
PT Timah
Agung Nugroho
80
1,600
80
50
90%
750
Adhi
Timah
Wibowo
ITRI
2015
88,000
78,000
AETI
Jabin Sufianto
2016
50,000~60,000
6.5
Sufianto
11
1
2015
9
16
124 1839
80
19
Balvinder
2~3
Kumar 80
Karnataka
Kolar
39
1,000
2015
8
120
3
Hutti Gold Mines Limited
9
10
GMS
SGB
MINING.com
2015
9
16
8.3
Aurora Williams
50,000
20
100
2015
9
22
1839 125
6.
40
10
Obama
12
Kevin McCarthy
Houston-area Chamber of Commerce
9
McCarthy
Josh Earnest
McCarthy
Wall Street Journal
2015
9
15
2015
6
17
15
2015
17
2015
13
2015
126 1839
2008
12
2015
8
5.1%
3
2.0%
2015
2.0%
17
27.0%
12
64.0%
17
13
2015
6 17 15 2015 2015
2015
6
0.625% 0.375% 2016 6 1.625%
2017
1.375% 6
2.875%
2.625%
3.5%
3.75%
2015
2016
1.8%~2.2%
6
2.0%~2.3%
2015
5.0%
2016
4.8%
5.3%
5.1%
2018
1839 127
2.0%
9
Wall Street Journal
2015
9
16
25
2015
2015
25
8
GDP
GDP
2.6%
1.9%
2015 2.6%
2.4%
2016
0.5%
0.6%
9
9
2.6%
2015 0.1
2015
9 25
4.4%
1990 2016
1931
7.5%
2015
9.6%
2015
25.0%
7.5%
11.7%
Baa3
Baa3
2015
12.0%
7.5%
2010
25
CNNMoney
Petrobras
2015
128 1839
2015
29.7%
2015
Petrobras
2015
6
20
2006
9
2015 17
8
NAR
8
531
4.8% 551
Lawrence Yun
NAR
8
8
22.9
4.7%
2014
8
7.1%
2015
9
21
141
79
42
51
57
62
68
132
2015
9
11
1839 129
85.7
85.7
2015
Fed
85.7
6,950
100
24.6
21.8
21.1
14.3
2015
9
19
21
7.
ESMA
EIOPA
EBA
2007
2009
ESMA
Steven Maijoor
2013
2014
2020
Reuters
2015
9
14
Cecilia Malmstrom
130 1839
-
investor-state dispute settlement, ISDS
10
ISDS
Cecilia Malmstrom
Wall Street
2015
Journal 9
16
BOE
Andrew Haldane
2015
8
1
Andrew Haldane
Reuters
2015
9
18
85%
2015 EU
85%
15%
21.3
15%
1839 131
8%
100
3,317
100
2,026
100
1,467
100
997
2015
9
18
Aa2
Aa2
10
1.5%
Michel Sapin
2015
9
18
2015
5
10%
1,200
5%
1.5%
19.5%
60%
2015
9
23
132 1839
IMF
2014
1
1.1
2009
IMF
2014
40%
2014
35%
2015
9
24
9
24
1%
8
0.75% 27
0.5%
2016
2017
12
2016
3
2015
9
25
8.
8
8
10
1839 133
500
IT
8
2016
2012
3
5
8
212
2014
2012
3
5
10
5
8
130
13,000
2014
2016
134 1839
60
2020
2014
400
2015
9
10
911
9
11
9
30
26
3
3
3
Temp
White color
exception
9
2015 12
1839 135
9
14
9 16 2016
2016
4
LED
2000
136 1839
2015
9
15
2017
4
10%
2%
4,000
4,000
9
8
2017
4
10%
9
15
4,000
1
22
4,000
12,000
2%
10%
10%
1839 137
10%
9
15
10%
8%
2015
10
6,000
10%
2015
2015
9
16
9.
2015
8
7
8
6.1%
7
0.1
2014
8
7
2.1
6.9%
2015
7
8
138 1839
8
8
8
0.2
10.4%
8
7
0.3
8
18.4% 7
0.2 7.5
5.7
2014
8
2.7%
7
0 .3
4
17%
0.7
2015
9
15
5 93,000
9
11
14
5
3
1489. 53
13
9 3,000
1839 139
1,180.42
155.3
92
57.05
4.76
2015
9
15
19
2016
9
2015 21
2015
2014
7
140 1839
2008
10
2014
120
100
2015
5
1.5
8
460
2020
2,000
42%
2010
2013
1%
80%
1994
28
5
3
1839 141
11%
2013
21
CFIUS
CFIUS
2015
9
22
9
14
2015
110
7
2014
142 1839
2015
3
2015
5
30%
2015
9
25
2015
42
2015
10
26
6
42
2
5
10
16
10
1839 143
1
25
1
6
2015
2
3
2015
2
9
10
26
2015
26
10 19
2015
1
2
2015
7%
2015
9
16
71
122
9
iPhone
iPhone6
164 54
144 1839
7
10
3
2015
9
18
10.
LG2016
LG 15 2016 2015
2016
2.6% 2.7%
2015
2016
3.1%
3.3%
LG 2015
25%
1
7
7,000
0.1
MERS
0.9
0.1
LG
GNI
2015 2
7,100
2014
2
8,200
2016
2
7,000
2014
2015
3
LG
2015
1
1,135
2016
1
1,175
2006
2
2
3
5
LG
1839 145
2015
9
16
BOK
17
2016
2015
2.5%
3.5%
2010
2012
3.0%+1.0%
2013
2015
9
17
Korea Black Friday
22 Korea Black
Friday
200
16
27,000
10
1
70%
50
Korea Grand Sale
146 1839
Korea Black Friday
2015
9
23
2020
2016
Research, Innovation and Enterprise
5
RIE
2011
2015
5
161
5
200
5
2020 RIE
1839 147
Fusionopolis 2
2015
9
17
10
5 15
2004
10
15
2%
3%
1985
5
10
2009
2010
2
2015
9
20
6
148 1839
2.5
2015
120
2015
9
16
2015
9
23
2016
SME
2016
2.1
2,500
252
2016
62
3%~5%
2
IT
2015
9
10
1839 149
12
5
2017~2021
12
5
10
5%
5%
5%~10%
2015
9
16
1997/98
120
2014
9
280
1,180
2009
2014
600
150 1839
2000
4,000
1
2015
9
17
E-trade
eBay
Lazada
Rakuten
IndiaMart
2014
10
B2B
210
Alibaba.com
Malaysian Kitchen Programme
Ocado
Amazon
Zhongdamen.com
1839 151
9
2015 20
2015
Prolegnas
OJK
2009
6
1999
23
8
4
10
The Indonesia Economic Intelligence
Sunarsip
2015
9
15
Arlinda
32
30
2
32
8
24
152 1839
121
74
20
38
31.4%
4
21
13
9
2015 22
USAID
-
US-ABC
VCCI
9
17
2015
9
18
56
3
14
1.8
200
170
2014
3.3%~3.5%
5.2%
1839 153
56
9
2015 24
11.
11
2015
22
9
40
40
2,650 2015
26%
5%
6%
2015
9
20
26
500
10
100
20 120
154 1839
WTO
(GPA)
1.7
9
15
10
2015
9
28
1839 155
1.
2.
1.0 3.8
3.6
0.8
3.4
0.6
%
0.4 3.2
0.2 3.0
2014 2015 ` 2014 2015
0.8 1.8
0.6 1.7
1.6
0.4
% %
0.2 1.5
0.0 1.4
2014 2015 ` 2014 2015
0.5 0.3
0.4
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.2
%
0.1 0.0
0.0 -0.1
2014 2015 2014 2015
2.5 4.6
2.2 4.2
1.9 3.8
1.6 3.4
1.3 3.0
2014 2015 2014 2015
156 1839
1. %
2001 2.13 3.25 0.10 3.25 4.00
2002 1.63 2.25 0.10 2.75 4.25
2003 1.38 2.00 0.10 2.00 3.75
2004 1.75 3.15 0.10 2.00 3.25
2005 2.25 5.15 0.10 2.25 3.75
2006 2.75 6.25 0.40 3.50 4.50
2007 3.38 4.83 0.75 4.00 5.00
2008 2.00 0.86 0.30 2.50 3.00
2009 1.25 0.50 0.30 1.00 2.00
2010 1.63 0.75 0.30 1.00 2.50
2011 1.88 0.75 0.30 1.00 3.25
2012 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.75 2.75
2013 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.25 2.50
2014 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 2.00
2014
11 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 2.00
12 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 2.00
2015
1 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 2.00
2 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 2.00
3 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.75
4 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.75
5 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.75
6 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.50
7 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.50
8 1.88 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.50
9 1.75 0.75 0.30 0.05 1.50
ECB Monthly Bulletins
(1) (2) 1999 1
2. %
*
2001 7.38 4.75 1.38 3.42 6.84
2002 7.10 4.25 1.38 2.98 6.58
2003 3.43 4.00 1.38 2.13 6.20
2004 3.52 5.25 1.38 2.17 5.52
2005 3.85 7.15 1.38 2.41 5.74
2006 4.12 8.25 1.63 3.64 6.19
2007 4.31 7.33 1.88 4.71 7.08
2008 4.21 3.25 1.68 2.99 6.89
2009 2.56 3.25 1.48 0.48 5.81
2010 2.68 3.25 1.48 0.81 5.40
2011 2.88 3.55 1.48 1.14 5.69
2012 2.89 3.25 1.48 0.11 4.84
2013 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.21 4.52
2014 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.02 3.91
2014
11 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.01 3.88
12 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.02 3.91
2015
1 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.01 3.90
2 2.88 3.25 1.48 0.00 3.86
3 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.01 3.61
4 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.03 3.36
5 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.05 3.56
6 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.06 3.49
7 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.07 3.43
8 2.88 3.25 1.48 -0.09 3.44
9 3.25 1.48
ECB Monthly Bulletins
* 200 2 1
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