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CAPTULO 1
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Also, simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations; the results do not represent actual trading. Since
many off the
th trades
t d in i this
thi series
i have
h nott been
b executed,
t d the
th results
lt may have
h under
d or over compensatedt d for
f the
th impact,
i t
if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that the systems, methods or
ideas shown in this course will produce the results that are described or illustrated.
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Page 4
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Page 5
Cada transaccin simple es tanto una compra como una venta, y por lo tanto
es neutral. La transaccin de apertura o tic, para cualquier marco de tiempo es
la ms importante para los operadores de iFund Oliver L. Velez
Versin traducida por Luis Mari G.
Page 6
La 'Apertura' es Todo
Compradores
Por encima de lo
mandan
abierto es verde
Vendedores mandan
82% del tiempo, la accin continuar o acompaar el color slido de su ltima barra
La Barra Elefante
High High
Low Low
Cada barra individual representa una batalla que fue librada por dos grupos, los
toros y los osos, los compradores y los vendedores. Cuando el cierre est muy por
encima de la apertura, los toros ganan, produciendo el color verde. Cuando el
cierre est muy por debajo de la apertura, los osos ganan, produciendo el color
rojo. Cunto gana cada lado est determinado por cunto verde o rojo producen.
En otras palabras, cuanto mayor es la distancia entre abrir y cerrar, mayor es la
ganancia. Cuando la barra es grande, en relacin con las barras recientes en el
grfico, se llama barra de "elefante".
Page 8
Barras Elefante
Ves una barra de elefante (s)? Debera
ser obvio, as que si ninguna de las
barras se destaca como barra de
elefante obvia, entonces deja de buscar
4
una, est all o no est, no se esconden.
12
13
5
6 11
10
3
2 9 14
1 8
7
Page 9
Barras Elefante
4 12
13
5
6 10 11
3
2 14
9 Ves una barra de elefante (s)? Debera
1 8 ser obvio, as que si ninguno de los
barrotes se destaca como barras de
7 elefante obvias, entonces deja de buscar
una, est all o no est, no se esconden.
Page 10
Barras de Elefante de
Ignicin o de Agotamiento
AGOTAMIENTO
EXHAUSTING
IGNICIN
IGNITING
IGNICIN
IGNITING
AGOTAMIENTO
Las barras de Elefante (tambin conocidas como barras de amplia EXHAUSTING
gama de WRB) que inician una nueva movida o activan una nueva
entrada en la continuacin de una tendencia tienden a encenderse en
la naturaleza y se espera su seguimiento. Cuando estas mismas barras
aparecen despus de que un movimiento ya ha comenzado,
representan el ltimo empujn, el ltimo hoorah, y a menudo
conducen a una pausa o cambian el impulso en la direccin opuesta
Page 11
Control Absoluto
High High
Low Low
2/3
Low
Low
Control Total
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
Buen Control
Mximo
High
High
2/3
2/3
Mnimo
Low Low
Los toros todava tienen el control Los osos todava tienen el control
Existe un buen control cuando una barra de color slido se ha movido muy lejos del extremo, pero no lo
suficiente como para justificar que la barra se haya destruido o est dbil. Cuando una barra verde se ha
alejado bastante, pero la barra sigue siendo verde, los toros tienen buen control. Cuando un rojo se ha
movido bien desde la parte baja, pero la barra sigue siendo en su mayora roja, los osos tienen buen
control. iFund Traders Tip: Esto es a menudo lo que un barra har despus de que el operador ya se
haya comprometido con una jugada. Estas barras no deberan necesariamente intimidar a los
operadores o hacerles dudar del poder del grupo que produce el color... no en este momento. Esta
barra representa tpicamente la posicin en cuclillas antes de que la bailarina vuelva a la fuerza.
Page 15
Control Dbil
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
Debilitamiento del control Debilitamiento del control
de los toros de los osos
El control dbil existe cuando una barra de color slido ha perdido aproximadamente la mitad del color
que alguna vez tuvo. Cuando una barra verde ha cado desde lo alto para eliminar aproximadamente el
50% del verde que una vez tuvo, los toros podran tener problemas. Cuando una barra roja se ha
desplazado bastante hacia arriba para eliminar aproximadamente el 50% del rojo que alguna vez tuvo,
los osos podran tener problemas. iFund Traders Tip p: Este escenario no garantiza que se materialice
una prdida total de control, pero si el mercado est detrs del movimiento del color del contador,
es probable que el control vaya a cambiar.
Page 16
Perdi el Control
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
El Retroceso 2/3
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
La idea es poder ver claramente cuando una gran barra slida ha perdido 2/3 o
ms de su color, el primer signo de ralentizacin o cambio en el impulso. Esto
debera ser obvio, no debera tomar ms de una fraccin de segundo y no
requiere que mida o calcule nada.
Page 18
Totalmente terminado!!
100%
100%
100%
Control Total
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
Buen Control
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
Sigue existiendo un buen control cuando se ha formado una barra de color slido y la barra
siguiente se mueve contra ella, pero no lo suficiente como para justificar la llamada a la
barra anterior arruinada o dbil. Tip de iFund Traders: Esto es a menudo lo que una barra
har despus de que el operador ya se haya comprometido con una jugada. Estas barras no
necesariamente deben asustar a los operadores o hacerles dudar del poder del grupo que
produce el color... no en este momento. Esta barra representa tpicamente la posicin en
p cuclillas antes de que la bailarina vuelva a la fuerza.
Page 22
Control Dbil
High High
2/3
2/3
Low Low
Perdi el Control
High High
2/3
2/3
Low
El control perdido existe cuando una barra previamente slida tiene la siguiente barra que borra 2/3 o
ms del color de la barra anterior. Cuando una barra verde muy slida tiene una barra roja siguiendo el
siguiente 2/3 o ms de la barra verde anterior, los toros han perdido su poder. Cuando una barra roja
muy slida tiene una barra verde siguiendo el siguiente 2/3 o ms de la barra roja anterior, los osos
han perdido su poder.
Page 24
High 100%
100%
Low
3) Cuanto mayor sea la barra verde o roja, mayor ser la probabilidad de continuacin,
lo que significa que usted ver la continuidad cerca del 90% de las veces
4) Una pequea cantidad de verde o rojo no le da a los iFund Traders suficiente para
continuar. Se necesita ms informacin en ese caso.
Page 27
Solo hay 13 barras que el mercado puede formar. Representan el alfabeto del
mercado. Conozca estas barras y lo que significan y podr operar el resto de
su vida (Trade for Life). Oliver L. Velez
Page 28
Alcista normal
2 Mas alcista
Alcista neutral
Menos alcista
Ms alcista
6 7 8 9 10
Menos bajista
Bajista neutral
2 Ms bajista
Bajista normal
Ms bajista
El primer grupo de barras lo ganan los toros en diversos grados, y la ltima barra es una prdida real.
El ms alcista est a la izquierda, el menos est a la derecha. Lo mismo ocurre con el oso gana. El
comienzo ms bajista a la izquierda, el ms cuestionable est en el extremo derecho.
Page 29
Tip: Si bien tcnicamente nadie gana, debido a que el abierto y el cerrador son parejos, el
ltimo grupo que tiene el control del stock se considera el ganador. Barra 1, es
completamente un empate, Barra 2 es ganado por los osos y Barra3 es ganado por los toros
dominan toda esta rea
Los vendedores
Topping Tail (TT)
Bottoming tails (BTs) and Topping Tails (TTs) ofrecen a los iFund Traders
algunas oportunidades comerciales increbles, que veremos en breve.
Page 30
Los siguientes tres marcos de tiempo son utilizados por los iFund Traders para
ganarse la vida en los mercados. Estos marcos de tiempo son generadores de
ingresos, no constructores de riqueza. Se utilizan para implementar el enfoque de
ATM de alto octanaje para ganar dinero a diario que Oliver Velez ha hecho tan
famoso.
Page 31
1) 5-minute Chart Este marco de tiempo es el principal del iFund Traders. Si hubiera un solo marco de tiempo
para ganarse la vida, sera este. Se encuentra perfectamente entre los 15 minutos, que puede ser un poco demasiado
largo, y los 2 minutos, lo que puede ser un poco demasiado ruidoso a veces.
Los patrones que comercializamos en iFund Traders aparecen con la frecuencia suficiente en el intervalo de 5
minutos para mantenernos activos, aunque con la poca frecuencia suficiente para evitar que nos canjeemos en
exceso. Este es "el" uno, "el" marco de tiempo para dominar.
2) 2-minu Ch t Este grfico de movimiento rpido es un envo de dios cuando el mercado no est
i te Chart
produciendo seales claras en los 5 minutos o ms de accin deseada. Tambin es til si los puntos de entrada
y / o salida dictados por el cuadro de 5 minutos estn muy lejos o no estn claros. Bajar al grfico de 2
minutos para una entrada, salida o parada ms fina generalmente brindar la mejor alternativa. A esto lo
llamamos "caer al grfico de 2 minutos", tomar una radiografa o mirar dentro del stock.
3) 1-minute Chart Este marco de tiempo de movimiento sper rpido se convierte en un foco principal cuando
se requiere el mximo nivel de precisin. Ofrece la posibilidad de tomar una radiografa de rayos X, que a
menudo se requiere cuando las barras en el grfico de 2 minutos son demasiado anchas y se desarrolla un
mercado plano, como suele ser el caso durante el perodo de inactividad del medioda. Al reducir al 1 minuto,
los iFund Traders pueden usar periodos de temporada para generar ingresos extra, mientras que otros se
quedan sin opciones o se ven afectados en los perodos ms largos y poco confiables.
Nota: El promedio mvil de 8 periodos (8ma), el promedio mvil de 20 periodos (20ma) y el promedio mvil de 200
periodos (200ma) se utilizan en los tres cuadros de 5, 2 y 1 minuto. Tenga en cuenta que el 20ma y el 21ma son
intercambiables. Es una eleccin personal.
Page 32
El Grfico de 5-Minutos
Cuando una accin logra superar el precio promedio de sus ltimas 20 barras, es una fuerte indicacin de que la accin
est bajo enorme acumulacin institucional.
El Grfico de 2-Minutos
Gran ruptura
Page 34
El Grfico de 1-Minuto
iFund Traders Tip: Este tiempo grfico ofrece buenas oportunidades para capturar
tendencias a corto plazo completamente utilizando la 8ma para entrar o para trail.
Page 35
El Grfico Diario
Los crculos muestran cuando los iFund Traders deben tener un sesgo definido hacia
arriba. Utilizar tiempos de grficos ms grandes (diario, 60 min y 15 min) para
determinar su "sesgo" (bias) te da habilidad y confianza en tomar las seales en los
tiempos grficos ms pequeos cuando estn en sintona con ese sesgo.
Page 38
El Grfico de 60-minutos
El Grfico de 15-minutos
Cuando una accin es capaz de consistentemente superar el precio promedio de sus ltimas 20 barras,
es una fuerte indicacin de que
la accin est bajo enorme
acumulacin institucional.
Page 40
Hay tres medias mviles que los iFund Traders monitorean todo el tiempo. "Los
promedios mviles forman la base de muchas de nuestras estrategias que ms
dinero hacen - Oliver L. Velez
Page 41
2) 20-period Moving Average (20ma) Este promedio mvil simple es el elemento bsico
nmero uno para iFund Traders. No se mira ningn grfico sin la ayuda del 20ma. De hecho, no
considero que un grfico sea vlido a menos que est acompaado por el 20ma. Revela el sesgo
direccional de una accin, acta como un imn y le dice al trader dnde se encuentran reas
significativas de soporte y resistencia. Tenga en cuenta que el ms puro usara un MA de 21
perodos. Llegamos a 20, sabiendo que los promedios mviles son simplemente reas, no precios
especficos.
3) 200-period Moving Average (200ma) Este promedio mvil simple pero importante es el
abuelo de todos ellos. Es casi mgico con qu frecuencia las acciones y el mercado en general
obedecen a esta lnea de movimiento lento. Muchos de los intercambios ms exitosos de iFund
Traders tienen su origen en el 200ma. Siempre est a la vista y se le da el mayor respeto.
Page 42
a) Opere con las medias 8ma y 20ma, no contra ellas:- La mayor parte de sus operaciones deben estar en
sincrona con la 20ma. Si las 8 & 20ma suben de forma suave, su enfoque debe ser casi siempre buscar compras. Por
el contrario, si las 8 & 20ma estn declinando suavemente, su foco debe ser casi siempre buscar ventas. Si la 20ma
es plana (flat - f20ma), su enfoque debe ser en tradiciones de liquidez con el enfoque de "bid y oferta" (ofertas de
compra y venta - comprar debajo de la 20ma y la venta por encima de la 20ma).
b) Utilice las las medias de 8ma y 20ma como soporte y resistencia Si y cuando la(s) medias de 8 y / o el 20ma
estn subiendo, le servir como soporte fuerte. Si la(s) medias de 8 y / o el 20ma estn disminuyendo, servir como
una fuerte resistencia area. Busque compras en o cerca de un r8ma o r20ma. Busque ventas / cortos en o cerca de
un 8ma o 20ma.
c) Utilice la media de 20ma como una lnea mediana: cuando una accin se est consolidando en un patron de
lado, la 20ma ser plana y normalmente se colocar justo en el medio de la tendencia lateral. Si y cuando es el caso,
colocar rdenes de compra en un rango por debajo de la 20ma y colocar rdenes de venta en un rango por encima de
la 20ma es el siguiente plan. Siempre est atento a qu lado el 20ma eventualmente detiene el stock o accin.
d) Utilice la media de 20ma como un imn Las acciones no pueden permanecer extendidas muy por encima o por
debajo de la 20ma durante mucho tiempo. Si y cuando la accin queda muy distante, una reversin violenta para la
20ma es inminente. Es cuando el iFund Trader puede inteligentemente buscar sacar ventaja de un movimiento contra
la tendencia. Tendremos ms de ese concepto "contra las reglas" ms adelante en el curso.
Page 43
Si bien los iFund Traders no intercambian el diario, lo usan todas las noches para compilar una lista
corta de acciones que deberan tener sesgos alcistas o bajistas para el da o la semana siguiente.
The stock is held in check by the 20ma here for the first time.
iFund Traders would look for several more successful retests.
a) Flatness is king: - While the 20ma is most powerful when it is rising and
declining (trending), the 200ma is most powerful when it is flat (trend-less).
d) Use as a magnet a) If a stock gets too far above or below its 20ma, and b)
its 20ma gets too far above or below the 200ma, then c) a major reversal is usually
very close at hand. This is when the iFund Traders Trader can look to
take advantage of a counter trend move. In other words, its this scenario that
allows
ll for
f iintelligently
t lli tl goingi against
i t the
th prevailing
ili trend.
t d There
Th will ill be
b more
on this rule-breaking concept later.
Trading Tip: iFund Traders know that flat 200ma plays call for bigger positions
Page 53
200ma Resistance
Page 55
200ma Resistance
Page 56
200ma Resistance
Page 57
iFund Traders Quote: All markets have statistical limits. The trader who
thoroughly understands when markets are statistically at or near the outer
bounds of their norms will become a master, and possibly even rich!
- Oliver L. Velez
Page 61
2) Neither the bulls nor the bears can consistently win more than 5 battles
(bars) in a row. After a sharp 3 to 5 bar rally, the bears usually
quickly regain control. After a sharp 3 to 5 bar decline, the bulls
usually quickly regain control. These moves can move to the 5 to 8 bar
zone at times.
3)) Lastly,
y this law can be said this way:
y After 3 to 5 ggreen
bars in a row, the iFund Trader should look to take advantage
of an upcoming series of red bars. After 3 to 5 red bars in a
row, the iFund Trader should look to take advantage of an
upcoming series of green bars.
Page 62
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the upside, once the
high of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions such as: a) is the 3-5 bar dip occurring in an up trend, down trend or sideways trend; b) are any of the
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of resistance; d) was there a volume
surge that took place toward the end of the decline; e) where is the dip in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the
current decline potentially bottoming at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these
questions are covered in the many trading concepts taught in upcoming chapters and through out our 5-day live
trading labs
Page 63
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the upside, once the
high of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions such as: a) is the 3-5 bar dip
q p occurring
g in an up
p trend, down trend or sidewaysy trend; b) are any y of the
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of resistance; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the decline; e) where is the dip in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current
decline potentially bottoming at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are
covered in the many trading concepts taught in the future chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 64
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the upside, once the
high of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions such as: a) is the 3-5 bar dip
q p occurring
g in an up
p trend, down trend or sidewaysy trend; b) are any y of the
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of resistance; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the decline; e) where is the dip in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current
decline potentially bottoming at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are
covered in the many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 65
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the upside, once the
high of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions such as: a) is the 3-5
3 5 bar dip occurring in an up trend, down trend or sideways trend; b) are any of the
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of resistance; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the decline; e) where is the dip in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current
decline potentially bottoming at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are
covered in the many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 66
To find stocks in play throughout the day, iFund Trader would first look for sectors experiencing
the picture of strength, then delve into those sectors to find the top stocks with the same picture.
Page 67
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the down side, once
the low of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions
ques o s such
suc as:
s a)) iss thee 33-5
5 bar
b rally
y occu
occurringg in an up trend,
e d, down
dow trend
e d oor ssideways
dew ys trend;
e d; b) aree any
y oof thee
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of support; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the rally; e) where is the rally in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current rally
potentially topping at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are covered in
the many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 68
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the down side, once
the low of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions such as: a) is the 3-5
3 5 bar rally occurring in an up trend, down trend or sideways trend; b) are any of the
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of support; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the rally; e) where is the rally in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current rally
potentially topping at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are covered in the
many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 69
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the downside, once
the low of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions
ques o s such
suc as:
s a)) iss thee 33-5
5 bar
b rally
y occu
occurringg in an up trend,
e d, down
dow trend
e d oor ssideways
dew ys trend;
e d; b) aree any
y oof thee
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of support; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the rally; e) where is the rally in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current rally
potentially topping at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are covered in
the many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 70
In each of the scenarios above, the iFund Trader would be looking for a tradable rebound to the downside, once the
low of a prior bar has been taken out. How much of a rebound would depend on the answers to several key
questions
ques o s such
suc as:
s a)) iss thee 33-5
5 bar
b rally
y occu
occurringg in an up trend,
e d, down
dow trend
e d oor ssideways
dew ys trend;
e d; b) aree any
y oof thee
most powerful reversal signs present; c) how far away is the nearest area of support; d) was there a volume surge
that took place toward the end of the rally; e) where is the rally in relation to the 20ma; and f) is the current rally
potentially topping at or around one of the key reversal times? The answers to all these questions are covered in
the many trading concepts taught in up coming chapters and through out our 5-day live trading labs
Page 71
Quote: Market failures tend to cause major problems for most ordinary traders,
but they can serve as major money making opportunities for well trained iFund
Traders! In other words,
words we are always prepared to profit from the markets
market s
failed attempt to do something highly expected.
- Oliver L. Velez
Page 73
3) The first failed attempt to make a new high or low in a well established
trend is the first sign that the back of the existing trend has been broken and
the opposing side is ready to regain control.
Page 74
iFund
iFund Traders
Traders
The Three Major
g Stop
Trailing p Methods
CHAPTER 10
The idea is to get out fast when a trade goes against you.
- Jesse Livermore
Page 77
Once the iFund Trader has entered his long, and placed his initial stop, its a boom or bust scenario, meaning that
either the trader will hit his anticipated target or get out at his initial stop. Once there is a two bar lift (this includes
th entry
the t bbar if it ends
d hi
higher
h ththan th
the bbuy price),
i ) ththe ttrader
d would ld llaunch
h iinto
t TRAILING STOP mode. d During
D i
which, the trader maintains a mental stop $0.01 below the prior bars low at all times. As each new bar begins, the
TRAILING STOP is moved up, always staying only one bar behind the bar currently trading. The same would
apply in reverse, as evidenced by Figure 2.
Page 78
Bar-by-Bar
y Trailing
g Stop
p
Page 79
The numbers show each one of the TRAILING STOP moves made by
the iFund Trader.
Tip: Remember, begin TRAILING STOP mode only AFTER you have
two bars of profitability.
Before that, its the initial stop(s) that serves as your line in the sand.
iFund Traders
Trailing Stop Method 2
2) iFund Traders 8ma Momentum Stop Method This is by far the most dynamic TRAILING STOP method we deploy, but
requires nerves of steel to put into practice. It represents one of my personal favorites because of its superior ability to keep the
trader in a trade during the sweetest (strongest) part of the move. Bar-by-bar noise is eliminated, allowing the trader to focus on
what counts
counts, the force of the trend
trend. What must be kept in mind is that when stocks are not in a trending mode,
mode this stop method
will result in frequent whip-saws. But, with proper timing, it (like its bigger brother, the 20ma trailing stop method) is unrivaled
when it comes to milking the best part of a stocks move. Note: We allow iFund Traders to use this stop method right from the
beginning stages of their trading.
Figure 2
a
Buy (1)
B (2)
Buy
Short (2)
8ma Short (1)
a
8ma
Figure 1
In the above Figure 1, the iFund Trader would simply buy at point 1, and sell into the initial rise, anticipating a
pullback
llb k before
b f the
th secondary
d leg.
l At buy
b point i t 2,
2 the
th iFund
iF d Trader
T d could ld try
t andd hold
h ld on tot the
th stock
t k as long
l as
it remained above the r8ma. Essentially, at that point, the 8ma would become the iFund Traders TRAILING
STOP. Everything would be handled in reverse for Figure 2. The method applied to 1- 2- and 5-minute charts
works extremely well.
Page 81
Tip: iFund Traders add to winning plays by buying at each iFund Trader Buy Tactic.
Page 83
Taking
g the 8 Train
iFund Traders Tip: The 8ma is an iFund Traders number one trailing stop guide.
Circles
Ci l show
h wellll d
defined
fi d entries
t i ffor th
the iF
iFund
d
Trained Trader.
iFund Traders
Trailing Stop Method 3
3) iFund Traders 20ma TRAILING STOP Method This is by far the most basic TRAILING STOP method we
deploy, and the easiest to put into practice. In many ways, it is the most superior method of all, as it forces the trader to
focus on the trend, instead of the bar-by-bar noise, which can be quite confusing at times. However, its superior nature
only works in trending stocks and markets and it loses all of its luster when stocks and markets are not trending. But,
with proper timing, it is unrivaled when it comes to milking a stocks move for all its worth. Note: We ONLY allow
iFund Traders to use this method AFTER they have graduated to level 4.
Figure 2
a
Buy (1)
Buy (2)
Short (2)
20ma Short (1)
a
20ma
Figure 1
In the above Figure 1, iFund Traders would simply buy at point 1, and sell into the initial rise, anticipating a
pullback
llb k before
b f the
th secondary
d leg.
l At buy
b point i t 2,
2 iFund
iF d Traders
T d could ld try
t andd hold
h ld on tot the
th stock
t k as long
l as it
remained above the r20ma. Essentially, at that point, the 20ma would become the iFund Traders TRAILING
STOP. Everything would be handled in reverse for Figure 2. The method applied to 2- and 5-minute charts
works extremely well.
Page 89
iFund
iFund Traders
Traders
The Markets
Three Trends
CHAPTER 11
You can beat a horse race, but you cant beat the races.
- Unknown
Page 92
2) The Down Trend The down trend, by far the most feared of all, is usually defined by a
series of lower highs and lower lows. Our definition is a bit more involved. In addition to lower
highs and lows, we want a down trend to posses a smooth declining 20ma below a 200ma.
1) The Regular Up Trend This uptrend, defined as a rising stock above a smooth rising 20ma,
is a iFund Traders bread and butter trend. This trend will be played more than an other.
2) The Power Uptrend This uptrend, defined as a rising stock above a rising 20ma which is
also above the 200ma, is a step above the regular uptrend. An overhead 200ma represents
clouds in the sky, somewhat. When the 200ma is below all the action, its typically clearer
sailing for the stock.
2) Power Uptrend
20ma Tip: In Power up trends, dips are no
concern and can be used to
g positions.
accumulate larger p
200ma
3) The Super Uptrend The uptrend, defined as a rising stock above a rising 8ma, which is also
above a rising 20ma, is the most powerful one in existence. Its emergence signifies pure
unadulterated buying power that one can trust absolutely. It does not get better than this!
3) Super Uptrend 8ma Tip: In
Ti I SSuper up ttrends,
d
buying anywhere and anytime
during the trend works
20ma amazing well.
Page 94
2) The
Th Power
P D
Downtrend d This
Thi downtrend,
d d defined
d fi d as a declining
d li i stockk below
b l a declining
d li i
20ma which is also below the 200ma, is a step above the regular downtrend. A 200ma below
the stock represents a floor of support. When the 200ma is above all the action, the stock is
typically freer to fall.
200ma
2) Power Downtrend 20ma
Tip: In Power downtrends, rallies
are no concern and can be used to
build larger short positions.
3) The Super Downtrend The downtrend, defined as a declining stock below a declining 8ma,
which is also below a declining 20ma, is the most powerful one in existence. Its emergence
signifies pure unadulterated selling power that one can trust absolutely. It does not get better
than this for bears!
20ma
Tip: In Super downtrends,
shorting anywhere and
8ma anytime during the trend
works amazing well.
Page 95
iFund Traders
Super Uptrend
15-Minute Up Trend
When stocks are in strong up trends on the 15-minute chart, buying dips and
breakouts on the 2-minute and 5-minute charts have better odds of working.
Charts Courtesy of Realtick
Page 97
When stocks are in strong down trends on the 15-minute chart, shorting rallies and
breakdowns on the 2-minute and 5-minute charts have better odds of working.
5-Minute Up Trend
5-Min Downtrend
VBSs
2-min Up Trend
Come back after the course to name these iFund Traders Trades
2-min Downtrend
Section
S i III
The Trading Patterns
CHAPTER 12
iFund Traders
Sell/Short Tactic
1) iFund Traders Sell Set-up: VSS This is the main sell set-up we use at iFund and it will represent anywhere
from 65% to 80% of your shorts. It is comprised of only a few basic criteria and can be used in all time frames. To
make it as a iFund Trader
Trader, this tactic must be mastered
mastered.
200ma 200ma
d20ma d20ma
Stop
Alert Short
T1
T2
Trading Note: The location and time of occurrence of this main stay trading pattern are the major keys. The iFund
Trader wants to essentially focus on the Sell Set-ups that occur at or near multiple support levels and key reversal
times. The ones accompanied by NRBs are my personal favorite. Well talk more about these as we move forward.
Page 117
iFund Traders
Sell Set
Set-up
up (VSS)
iFund Traders
Sell Set
Set-up
up (VSS)
Page 119
iFund Traders
Sell Set
Se Set-up
up ((VSS)
SS)
iFund Traders Sell
Opportunities
iFund Traders
Sell Set-up
p ((VSS))
THE GIFT
The GIFT Buyy
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Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The GIFT Buyy
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Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The GIFT Buyy
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The GIFT Buyy
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The GIFT Buyy
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Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The GIFT Sell
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The GIFT Sell
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The GIFT Sell
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The GIFT Sell
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Pg 127
IGNITING BARS
THE MOMENTUM BUY
AND MOMENTUM SELL
Do y
you know what yyou are supposed
pp to do, and iff so, do y
you actually
y do what
you are supposed to do when you are supposed to do it?
- Dr. Daniel Mielcarski
The Momentum Buyy
Once you have indentified an igniting bar, the momentum buy is made
once the high of the igniting bar is cleared and a stop is placed under
the low of the igniting
g g bar.
The best igniting bars most closely resemble those with Absolute
Control and also have a price void (empty space) above on the current
time frame and the larger
g time frames.
In other words we do not want to buy right into the face of immediate
or very near by resistance. In that instance it is better to wait for the
resistance to be cleared and retested,, as support,
pp , or cleared and another
buy trigger forms to confirm the follow through of momentum.
Only a one bar lift is needed to begin using a Bar-By-Bar trailing stop .
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Buyy
Igniting Bar
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Buyy
Entry
Igniting Bar
Stop
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Buyy
Trailing Stop
Igniting Bar
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Buyy
Current bar still forming
Trailing Stop
Igniting Bar
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Sell
Once you have indentified an igniting bar, the momentum sell is made
once the low of the igniting bar is cleared and a stop is placed above the
high
g of the igniting
g g bar.
The best igniting bars most closely resemble those with Absolute
Control and also have a price void (empty space) below on the current
time frame and the larger
g time frames.
In other words we do not want to sell right into the face of immediate
or very near by support. In that instance it is better to wait for the
support
pp to be cleared and retested,, as resistance,, or cleared and another
sell trigger forms to confirm the follow through of momentum.
Only a one bar lift is needed to begin using a Bar-By-Bar trailing stop .
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Sell
Igniting Bar
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Sell
Stop
Igniting Bar
Entry
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Sell
Igniting Bar
Trailing Stop
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
The Momentum Sell
Igniting Bar
Trailing Stop
Copyright 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
Page 142
iFund
iFund Traders
Reversal Signs
Bottoming Signals & Topping Signals
CHAPTER 13
I learned very
y early
y on that brokers are always
y wrong;
g analysts
y are always
y
wrong; and clients are always wrong. But the tape is never wrong.
- Jesse Livermore
Page 143
20ma
RBR
3-5 Bar Decline w/ GRB
20ma
2) Red
R dB Bar R
Reversall (RBR) This
Thi topping
t i sign
i isi one off the
th mostt obvious
b i in
i existence
it from
f the
th sell
ll side.
id Tip:
Ti
Whenever a RBR forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar Rally, the odds of a top are greatly increased. iFund Traders would
look to Short the red bar if and when it retraces the prior green bar, and/or when the low of the red bar is violated by the
next bar, or the very next time a previous bars low is violated. Stops are placed above the entry bars or prior bars high.
Page 144
Alternate Stop
Entry
Stop
3-5 Bar Rally w/ RBR
Alternate Stop
2) Red Bar Reversal (RBR) This topping sign is one of the most obvious in existence from the
sell
ll side.
id Tip:
Ti Whenever
Wh a RBR forms
f after
ft a steady
t d 3 tot 5 bar
b Rally,
R ll theth odds
dd off a ttop are greatly
tl
increased. iFund Traders would look to Short the red bar if and when it retraces the prior green
bar, and/or when the low of the red bar is violated by the next bar, or the very next time a previous
bars low is violated. Stops are placed above the entry bars or prior bars high.
Page 145
Stop
Entry
Entry
2) Red Bar Reversal (RBR) This topping sign is one of the most obvious in existence from the
sell
ll side.
id Tip:
Ti Whenever
Wh a RBR forms
f after
ft a steady
t d 3 tot 5 bar
b Rally,
R ll theth odds
dd off a ttop are greatly
tl
increased. iFund Traders would look to Short the red bar if and when it retraces the prior green
bar, and/or when the low of the red bar is violated by the next bar, or the very next time a previous
bars low is violated. Stops are placed above the entry bars or prior bars high.
Page 146
VBS w/
/ GBR
Page 147
Narrow Body
y ((NB))
1) Narrow Body Bottom (NBB) This bar, as a bottoming sign is not quite a potent as its former brother, but its
significant
g enough
g to take notice when it does form. The narrow nature of the colored ppart of the bar ((either ggreen or
red) signifies that a change or shift in the balance of power is nearly complete. Tip: Whenever a NB forms after a
steady 3 to 5 bar Decline, the odds of a Rally are increased. iFund Traders would look to Buy the very next time
a previous bars high is violated. Stops are always placed just below the entry bar or the prior bars low.
20ma
RBR & NB
3-5 Bar Decline w/ GRB & NB Would be the
same if it was
a Green body
Narrow Body
y ((NB))
1) Narrow Body Bottom (NBB) This bar, as a bottoming sign is not quite a potent as its former brother, but its
significant
g enough
g to take notice when it does form. The narrow nature of the colored ppart of the bar ((either ggreen or
red) signifies that a change or shift in the balance of power is nearly complete. Tip: Whenever a NB forms after a
steady 3 to 5 bar Decline, the odds of a Rally are increased. iFund Traders would look to Buy the very next time
a previous bars high is violated. Stops are always placed just below the entry bar or prior bars low.
20ma
Alternate Stop
RBR & NB
Stop
3-5 Bar Decline w/ GRB & NB
Entry
y
Entry
Stop
3 5 Bar Rally w/ RBR & NB
3-5
GBR & NB
20ma Alternate Stop
2) Narrow Body Top (NBT) This bar, as a topping sign is not quite as potent as its former brother, but its significant
enough to take notice when it does form. The narrow nature of the colored part of the bar (either green or red) signifies
that a change or shift in the balance of power is nearly complete. Tip: Whenever a NBT forms after a steady 3 to 5
bar Rally, the odds of a Decline are increased. iFund Traders would look to Short the very next time a previous
bars low is violated. Stops are always placed just above the entry bar or prior bars high.
Page 149
Narrow Range
g Bar ((NRB))
1) Narrow Range Bottoming Bar (NRB) This bottoming sign is one of my personal favorites. Firstly, the narrow
range nature of the bar makes for the lowest risk possible with this trade. The NRB makes for very tight stops.
Secondly, the markets biggest moves tend to ignite from its smallest bars. Remember this. Tip: Whenever a NRB
forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar Decline, the odds of an explosive rally are greatly increased. iFund Traders would
look to buy the very next time a previous bars high is violated. Stops are placed just below the low of the NRB.
Stop
3-5 Bar Decline w/ GRB & NRB
Entry
Entry
3-5 Bar Rally w/ RBR & NRB
Stop
2) Narrow Range Topping Bar (NRB) This topping sign is one of my personal favorite. Firstly, the narrow range
nature of the bar makes for the lowest risk possible with this trade
trade. The NRB makes for very tight stops.
stops Secondly,
Secondly the
markets biggest moves tend to ignite from its smallest bars. Remember this. Tip: Whenever a NRB forms after a
steady 3 to 5 bar Rally the odds of a violent Decline are greatly increased. iFund Traders would look to Short the
very next time a previous bars low is violated. Stops are always placed just above the high of the NRB.
Page 151
If
If you think education is expensive,
expensive try ignorance
ignorance.
- Unknown
Page 152
1)) Explosive
l i moves almost
l always
l originate
i i from
f narrow range bars.
b
3) A cluster
l t off smallll bars
b signifies
i ifi the
th calm
l before
b f the
th storm,
t th
the
sleep before the awakening.
4)) The iFund Traders Trader will look to commit more to trades that
involve NRBs. The combination of lower risk and bigger potential
reward warrants it.
Page 153
1) Bottoming Tail (BT) This bottoming sign is one of the most compelling in existence.
Whenever a BT forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar decline, a bottom is almost eminent. iFund
Traders would look to buy if the tail represents 2/3 or more of the bar
barss range and/or the very
next time a previous bars high is violated.
TT makes up
2/3 or more of
20ma
the bars range
2) Topping Tail (TT) This topping sign is one of the most compelling in existence from the
sell side. Whenever a TT forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar rally, a top is almost eminent. iFund
Traders would look to short if the tail represents 2/3 of the bars range and/or the very next
time a previous bars low is violated.
Page 155
1) Bottoming Tail (BT) This bottoming sign is one of the most compelling in existence.
Whenever a BT forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar decline, a bottom is almost eminent. iFund Traders would look to buy if
the tail represents 2/3 or more of the bars range and/or the very next time a previous bars high is violated.
Alternate Stop
20ma
Stop
p
Entry Point
20ma
Alternate Stop
2) Topping Tail (TT) This topping sign is one of the most compelling in existence from the sell side. Whenever a TT
forms after a steady 3 to 5 bar rally, a top is almost eminent. iFund Traders would look to short if the tail represents
2/3 of the bars range and/or the very next time a previous bars low is violated.
Page 156
A B C
Example C : When the BT has cleared a prior bars high the rules for TIME IN FORMATION can be
ignored
Page 157
Examples A and B : When the TT bar is going to be used as a trigger and is somewhere in formation
between the 2/3 retracement up to and including 100% or more retracement, but has not yet cleared the
prior
i bars
b low,
l the
th rules
l for
f TIME IN FORMATION mustt be b ffollowed.
ll d
Example C : When the BT has cleared a prior bars low the rules for TIME IN FORMATION can be
ignored
Page 158
One Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Two Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Fi Minute
Five Mi t The
Th bar
b mustt beb 4:52
4 52 or more b
before
f
a TIF entry can be taken
VBS with BT
The flat 200 ma offers iFund Traders some of the most reliable opportunities in existence. When the 200
ma is flat, its power as support or resistance is unrivaled. Note the BT on the VBS.
Prior
i Days Close
l (PDC)
( )
20ma
VSS w/ RBR
4 Red Bars
This chart demonstrates the power of the bottoming tail (BT), even in the midst of a
strong downtrend. Later in the course, you will come to learn that this set-up is a near
perfect countertrend CLIMATIC DECLINE BUY.
Chart Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro
Page 161
The Bottoming
g Tail (BT) puts in the final low of the day.
y
WRB
20ma
BT
Big Volume
Page 162
7 Buy
y Reversal Signs
g
BT Bottoming Tail
r20ma
Page 166
BT Bottoming
B tt i Tail
T il
r20ma
Page 167
GBR Green
G Bar
B Reversal
R l
r20ma
Page 168
NBB Narrow
N B
Body
d BBar
r20ma
Page 169
NBB Narrow
N B
Body
d BBar
r20ma
Page 170
r20ma
Page 171
NRB Narrow
N R
Range B
Bar
r20ma
Page 172
d20ma
d20
TT Topping
opp g Tail
Page 173
d20ma
d20
TT Topping
T i Tail
T il
Page 174
d20ma
d20
d20ma
d20
d20ma
d20
d20ma
d20
d20ma
d20
iFund Traders
Buy Set-up (VBS)
Section IV
The Location Items
CHAPTER 15
Page 182
iFund Traders
Support &
Resistance Points
Prior High 40
38
2) Prior Low Support This form of support occurs when a current low (dip) revisits or retests a
prior low
low. In essence
essence, this is a 100% retracement of the prior rally.
rally
24 24
22
iFund Traders Buy Rule #1: Any of the four iFund Traders Bottoming Signs that
occur at or near these support points have very high odds of success. Limit all your
buys to some area of price support.
Page 184
MA Support Types
3) Trending Moving Average Support This form of support occurs when an up trending stock
pulls back to or near the rising 20ma or 8ma and stabilizes (forms one of the four bottoming signs).
Often this support point becomes stronger after the first successful rebound off the r20ma.
Often, r20ma
20ma
20ma Retests
4) Flat Moving Average Support This form of support usually occurs when there is a flat 200ma
beneath the price. It is not often that a stock falling back to a flat 200ma fails to at least stall for a
period of time. The first move to a flat 200ma will usually result in some form of rebound, if only
temporarily.
Flattish 200ma
Fl 200ma
Flat 200 S
Support
iFund Traders Buy Rule #2: Any of the four iFund Traders Bottoming Signs that occur at or
near these MA support points have very high odds of success. Limit your Buys to some form of
MA support.
Page 185
$38
$36
50% Support Level
6) 33% Retracement Support This form of support occurs when an up trending stock mildly
gives
i back
b k only
l 1/3 off it
its recentt gain,
i then
th stabilizes
t bili (forms
(f one off the
th four
f bottoming
b tt i signs).
i ) Tip:
Ti
The 33% Retracement Level, while more minor than its 50% brother, it signifies that there is
very high demand for the shares..
$40
iFund Traders Buy Rule #3: Any of the four iFund Traders Bottoming Signs that occurs at or near these
Retracement areas have very high odds of success. Limit your Buys to one of them.
Page 186
PDC $38
$36
Prior Days Close (PDC)
8) Far Below 20ma Support This form of support is powerful but somewhat subjective
subjective. If a stock gets extended
too far below the 20ma, the odds of a strong rebound become very high. If any one of the four reversal/bottoming
signs occur after a stock has dropped far below its 20ma, iFund Traders look for a sharp Rally. We cover more of
this concept in a future chapter.
20ma
20
Prior Low
2) Prior High Resistance This form of support occurs when a current high (Rally) revisits or
retests a prior high. In essence, this is a 100% retracement of the prior Decline
iFund Traders Short Rule #1: Any of the four iFund Traders Topping Signs that
occur at or near these resistance points have very high odds of success. Limit your
Shorts to some form of Price Resistance.
Page 188
MA Resistance Types
3) Trending Moving Average Resistance This form of resistance occurs when a down trending
stock Rallies back to or near the Declining 20ma or 8ma and stabilizes (forms one of the four
topping signs). Often, this resistance point becomes stronger after the first successful Decline off
the d20ma.
20ma Retests
20ma
4) Flat Moving Average Resistance This form of resistance usually occurs when there is a flat
200ma above the price
price. A stock that rises to a flat 200ma will rarely fail to experience some form of
resistance. The first move to a flat 200ma will usually result in some form of price lapse, if only
temporarily.
Flat 200ma Resistance
Flattish 200ma
iFund Traders Short Rule #2: Any of the four iFund Traders Topping Signs that occur
at or near these MA resistance points have very high odds of success. Limit your Shorts to
these MA areas.
Page 189
% Resistance Types
5) 55% Retracement Resistance This form of resistance occurs when a down trending stock
Rallies back about up its recent decline, then stabilizes (forms one of the four topping signs).
Tip: The 55% Retracement Level often coincides with Prior Low Price Resistance. When it
does, the 55% Resistance Level is even more solid.
$38
$36
6) 33% Retracement Resistance This form of resistance occurs when a down trending stock
rallies back to its down trend line and stabilizes.
stabilizes The down trend line often coincides with 20ma
resistance, and like many other forms of resistance, it can coincide with other forms of resistance,
like Prior Low, Moving Average and the 50% level.
$36
iFund Traders Buy Rule #3: Any of the four iFund Traders Topping Signs that occur at
or near these Retracements areas have very high odds of success. Limit your Shorts to
one of them.
Page 190
PDC $38
$36
8) Far Above 20ma Resistance This form of resistance is powerful but somewhat subjective. If a
stock
t k getst extended
t d d too
t far
f above
b the
th 20ma,
20 the
th odds
dd off a strong
t sett back
b k becomes
b very high.
hi h If any
one of the four reversal/topping signs occurs after a stock has rallied far above its 20ma, iFund
Traders look for a sharp decline. We cover more of this concept in a future chapter.
Far above 20ma
20ma
iFund Traders Sell Rule #4: Any of the four iFund Traders Topping Signs that occurs at or
near these locations/areas have very high odds of success. Limit your Sells to one of them.
Page 191
Major
j Price Resistance
Prior High
g Resistance ((PHR))
Section
S ti V
Micro Reversal Times
CHAPTER 16
iFund Traders Quote: II am one of the few speculators who has never cared in
which direction a stock is going. I simply go with the line of least resistance.
- Jesse Livermore
Page 203
2) 11:15 ET Reversal Time This marks another major reversal time, as it denotes
the end of the markets first phase and kicks off its second. It is around this time
that the number of active market players dwindles as many start leaving for their
lunch break. We call the second phase of the day, the Mid
Mid-day
day Doldrums. During
this period many stocks begin to go flat and sluggish due to the growing lack of
participation created by the lunch phase. The iFund Traders Trader would look
for major stoppages of up and down trends to occur around this time.
3) 2:15 ET Reversal Time This time marks the end of the Mid-day Doldrums
period and kicks off the start of the markets third and final phase. In some
markets, the third phase is the most lucrative. The directional bias of the day is
often
ft already
l d established,
t bli h d resulting
lti ini truer
t patterns
tt andd trends.
t d It isi aroundd 2:15
2 15
or so that the market will often begin to pick up steam (volume) and volatility.
Stocks and the overall market will also tend to continue the move they began in
phase one if a trending phase is being experienced.
Page 204
1) 10:30 ET Reversal Time Individual stocks as well as the market as a whole can experience
some form of reaction around the 10:30 time period. Pullbacks to major areas of support that
coincide with this time frame offer nice buy opportunities. The same works in reverse.
2) 12:00 ET Reversal Time This marks another minor time at which stocks can either stall or
reverse. If 11:15 kicks off the start of lunch for some, 12:00 officially begins it for all. All
stocks which have not be affected by the first phase of lunch, will usually begin to go dead at
this time period.
3) 1:30 ET Reversal Time This time marks a period that can occasionally be quite significant.
Every now and then a stock or the market can turn or get kick started around 1:30 ET. It does
nott always
l happen,
h but
b t when
h it does,
d its
it normally
ll significant,
i ifi t whichhi h calls
ll for
f my mention
ti off it.
it
4) 3:00 ET Reversal Time This time denotes when the bond market closes. There are days
during which bonds are the major support for equities. When bonds are stock friendly and the
stock market loses its friend at 3:00, a change
g for the worse can be ignited.
g Conversely,
y there
are days during which bonds are a major nemesis for equities. When bonds, which were
proving to have a bearish effect on stocks, close at 3:00, a turn for the better can material.
5) 3:30 ET Reversal Time This time marks the final boarding call for all who either want to
get
get in
in or get
get out.
out Consider it the last
last call
call for market players
players, or the last chance to make or
remove a significant position. Many stocks, and at times the entire market, can experience
either an abrupt halt, reversal or acceleration of what it was doing before around 3:30 ET.
Page 205
Buy Here
Section
Section VI
VI
Climactic Buys
& Climactic Sells
CHAPTER 17
BUY ACTION
Buy .01 above the prior bars high or drop to the next lower time frame. Note: Only
use the next lower time frame if prior bars high is too far away. Keep in mind that
this alternative entry does increase the odds of premature stop outs.
Place a stop .01
01 below the entry bar
barss low
low, or the prior bar
barss low
low.
Set minimum target at 20ma or the 50% Retracement Level.
After 2 bars, place a trailing stop .01 under each prior bars low until
a) Price objective is met; or b) a major RBR has occurred.
20ma Target
T2
T1
Alert
Entry
Volume Surge
g Stop
Climactic drops that pull far below the 20 and 200mas tend to result in a violent rebound. Any reversal
sign (BT, GBR, NRB, NB) provides the signal to strike. The 20ma is your first target, but keep in mind
that instituting a trailing stop once the 20ma is met could lead to additional gains.
Page 214
PATTERN SETUP
1
1. 5 or more consecutive Higher Lows or,or 5 or more Green Bars.
Bars
Note: Having both makes the setup more potent.
2. TT, RBR, NRB, or NB (one or more of the four reversal signs)
3. Far above 20ma or prior resistance area (this is visual)
4. g ((this is not a requirement)
Volume Surge q )
5. Reversal Time: 10:00; 10:30; 11:15; 12:00; 1:30; 2:15-2:30; 3:00; 3:30
ACTION
1. Short .01 below the prior bars low or drop to the next lower time frame.
Note: Only use the next lower time frame if prior bars low is too far away.
Keep in mind that this alternative entry does increase the odds of premature stop outs.
2. Place a stop .01 above the entry bars high, or the prior bars high.
3. Set minimum target at 20ma or the 50% Retracement Level.
4. After 2 bars, place a trailing stop .01 above each prior bars high until
a) Price objective is met; or b) a major GBR has occurred.
Stop
Alert Entry
T1
20ma Target
20ma Target T2
T3 Area
stop
5 or more Green Bars
Far from the 20ma
Far from the 8ma Enter
Biggest bars at the end
Volume surge
Key reversal time
RBR
Section VII
The Sideways
Break Strategies
CHAPTER 18
iFund Traders Quote: There are times when your trading money should be
i
inactive.
i In
I the
h market,
k time
i is
i not money time
i is
i time
i and
d money is
i money.
- Jesse Livermore
Page 219
Fact 1:
Breakouts
B k t are amongstt some off
the most ppowerful, pprofitable
plays in existence
Fact 2:
72% of all Breakouts Fail
Page 220
Breakout Question 1
Question 1:
So how can breakouts be so
powerful and profitable if most dont
work?
k?
Answer:
The 28% that do work do so in a
major way. Big Profits!
Page 221
Breakout Question 2
Question 2:
So how can one distinguish between those
breakouts that are likely to fail, versus those
which will likely soar?
Answer:
By the end of this educational session, youll
know which breakouts to buyy and which to by- y
pass.
Page 222
Stop Here
Page 224
Stopped
Out Here
BUY ACTION
1. Buy the bar that breaks above the last 2/3s of the base
2. Place a stop .01 below the breakout bar (the entry bars low).
3. Project the length of the base upward for target, if there is no prior reference point.
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. The best breakouts occur at or near the point of contact with the rising 20ma/8ma
2. A iFund Traders buyy Set-upp at the bottom of a base can be an earlyy buy
y opportunity
pp y
for the watchful trader, if the VBS is occurring at or the rising moving average.
3. We play BOPs more on 2- and 5-minute charts when scalping
4. A Pause (Base) VS a Top When a Base Is a Top and not a Pause:
a. Pauses ((bases)) are narrow; Tops
p are wide and whippyppy
b. Pauses (bases) have small bars; Tops have big wide range bars
c. Pauses (bases) have light volume; Tops have big volume
d. Pauses usually dont cross the 20ma by much; Tops cross below it.
Page 228
iFund Traders Breakout Play This buy tactic will be the iFund Traders second most frequently
traded event. On many days, it will be the only pattern traded, as stocks tend to spend the majority
of their intra-day time drifting sideways in bases. Therefore, this is a tactic that must be mastered..
b
Tip Top
a
Buy
Alert Buy
Higher lows
iFund Traders Tip
The second move, after a normal
dip, will often be the biggest one.
Volume Decline
Pattern Set-up
Buy Action
Trading Note: Bases that are tight and narrow with declining volume, rising lows and a rising 8ma and/or
20ma produce the highest odds of exploding to the upside
upside, once they clear the over head resistance.
resistance Keep in
mind that these pauses are not negative, despite the apparent loss of momentum. They simply serve as pit
stops on the way to higher ground. In essence, they give the stock the ability to rest and rejuvenate before
another big advance begins. The iFund Traders Breakout Play is a staple amongst our traders.
Page 229
Breakout Play
y ((BOP))
Dont buy
y above this high
g
B Here
Buy
Buy here
h
Last 2/3s
20ma
200ma
A tight sideways pause (time consolidation) into a rising 20ma will tend to blast off right at or near the point of the
contact with the r20ma. If the price were to go beyond the 20ma, and the 20ma were to go flat, the odds increase that
the base is a stage 3, not a pause.
Chart Courtesy of Realtick
Page 231
Breakout Play
y ((BOP))
Buy
Stop
Page 232
Buy Here
Buy
Stop
Breakout @ 8ma
Stop Here
Buy BOP
Here
Buy Here
Page 239
Buy Here
Buy Here
Stop Here
Breakout Play
y ((BOP))
Target
g Area
200
200ma
Buy Here
Buy here
S
20ma
Tight sideways patterns above the 20ma during midday doldrums often
lead to breakouts that run to overhead resistance points, such as the
200ma. Chart Courtesy of Realtick
Page 242
SELL/SHORT ACTION
1. Short the bar that breaks below the last 2/3s of the base.
2. Place stop .01 above the breakdown bar or above the entire base. This is your choice.
3. Project the length of the base downward for target, if there is no prior reference point.
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. The best breakdowns often occur at or near the point of contact with the d20ma
2. A iFund Traders Sell Set-up at the top of a base can be an early short opportunity for the
watchful trader, if the base is wide enough.
3. We play BDPs more on 2 and 5-minute charts when scalping
4. A Pause (Base) VS a Bottom:
a. Pauses (bases) are narrow; Bottoms are wide, whippy and long
b
b. Pauses usually
usually dondontt cross the 20ma by much; Bottoms cross below the
20ma, and eventually become one with the flat 20ma (f20ma)
c. Pauses dont tend to form too far below the 200ma, while Bottoms do.
d. Bottoms often bring the 20ma and the 8ma together to form one MA; Pauses dont.
Page 244
Trading Note: Bases that are tight and narrow with declining volume, declining highs and a declining 20ma,
produce the highest odds of collapsing to the downside
downside, once they clear the support
support. Keep in mind that these
pauses are not Bullish , despite the apparent loss of momentum. They simply serve as rest stops on the
way to lower ground. In essence, they give the stock the ability to relax and rejuvenate before another big
collapse begins. The iFund Traders Breakdown Play is a staple amongst our traders.
Page 245
Short Here
200ma
Stop
c) Short
c) Short VSS
VSS
a) Short
S o t BDP
Short BDP
b) Cover
d) Cover
Most breakdowns occur in three parts: 1) The initial break; 2) the first pullback; 3) the secondary break. Our traders
look to take the following actions: a) short the initial break (BDP); b) cover before the first pullback materializes; c)
short the iFund Traders Sell Set-up (SS) at the top of the rally; d) cover on the secondary break.
Chart Courtesy of Realtick
Page 248
Breakdown Play
y ((BDP))
Sell / Short
Buy Breakout
Short GBI
Buy Breakout
Short Breakdown
Section VIII
One Bar Strategies
CHAPTER 19
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. Works accurately on stocks in all price ranges.
2. Works best as a multi-bar trading tactic and can often result in healthy gains.
3
3. Properly used this tactic can enjoy an incredible accuracy rate.
rate
4. When youve found a Bull 180, know that you have just grabbed the absolute
low for a very long period time, relative to the time period.
BUY ACTION
1. Buy the stock $0.01 above the high of the red bar if and when its violated. Tip:
Some traders may prefer to use the 2/3 or greater rule if prior red bars exist
before the most current one, the TIF rules apply in this situation. If the
current red bar is the only red one, however, the trader must use the 100%
entry method.
2. Place a protective stop $0.01 below the entry bars low. If that is too far away,
use the 2/3 stop loss method. Trail after a two bar lift.
Page 252
Triggered Entry
100% Entry
2/3 Entry
A) When a Bull 180 clears the prior bars high the entry can be made before the bar is complete and
without regard to the TIF Rules
B&C) When a Bull 180 is forming and is between the 100% and 2/3 retracement of the prior
bars high, the TIF Rules must be followed if an entry is to be made before the bar is complete.
Page 253
One Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Two Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Fi Minute
Five Mi t The
Th bar
b mustt beb 4:52
4 52 or more b
before
f
a TIF entry can be taken
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. Works accurately on stocks in all price ranges.
2. Works best as a multi-bar trading tactic and can often result in healthy gains.
3. Properly used this tactic can enjoy an incredible accuracy rate.
4. When youve found a Bear 180, know that you have just grabbed the absolute
top for a very long period time, relative to the time period.
SHORT ACTION
1. Short the stock $0.01 below the low of the green bar if and when its violated.
Tip: Some traders may prefer to use the 2/3 entry rule if prior green bars exist
before the most current one, the TIF rules apply in this situation. If the
current green bar is the only green one, however, the trader must use the
100% entry method.
2. Place a protective stop $0.01 above the entry bars high. If that is too far away,
use the 2/3 stop loss method. Trail after a two bar drop.
Page 260
2/3 Entry
Triggered Entry 100% Entry
A) When a Bear 180 clears the prior bars low the entry can be made before the bar is complete and
without regard to the TIF Rules
B&C) When a Bear 180 is forming and is between the 100% and 2/3 retracement of the prior
bars high, the TIF Rules must be followed if an entry is to be made before the bar is complete.
Page 261
One Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Two Minute There is no early entry for TIF, the bar must be completed
Fi Minute
Five Mi t The
Th bar
b mustt beb 4:52
4 52 or more b
before
f
a TIF entry can be taken
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. This tactic works amazingly on all times frames, but is even more powerful when used on
th 5-min,
the 5 i 2-min
2 i andd 1-min
1 i time
ti frames.
f
2. Works accurately on stocks in all price ranges.
3. This tactic has an amazing accuracy rate.
4. This buy tactic helps traders jump on board strong trending stocks already in motion.
BUY ACTION
1. Immediately buy when Bar 3 (or 4) trades $0.01 above the highs of Bar 2 (red bar). Note:
This signifies that the very brief negativity of the red bar was nothing more than a breather
for the stock. When red bars are ignored,
g , explosive
p moves tend to follow.
2. Place your stop $0.01 below the low of your entry bar. Note: This makes this tactic very
low risk, especially when the red bar is of the narrow range variety.
3. Use a trailing stop strategy until
a. Your objective has been met
b. The low of a reversal bar has been violated, or
c. Your incremental sell approach has led to you running out of shares to sell.
Page 267
Buy
RBI Buy
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. This tactic works amazingly on all times frames, but is even more powerful when
used on the 5-min, 2-min and 1-min time frames.
2. Works accurately on stocks in all price ranges.
3. This tactic has an amazing accuracy rate.
4. This short tactic helps traders jump on board strong trending stocks already in motion
and not deli
delivering
ering sellable rallies
rallies.
SHORT ACTION
1. Immediately short when Bar 3 (or 4) trades $0.01 below the lows of Bar 2 (green
bar) Note: This signifies that the very brief bullishness of the green bar was nothing
bar).
more than a breather for the weak stock. When green bars are ignored, explosive
moves to the downside tend to follow.
2. Place your stop $0.01 above the high of your entry bar. Note: This makes this tactic
very low risk, especially when the green bar is of the narrow range variety.
3. Use a trailing stop strategy until
a. Your objective has been met
b. The high of a reversal bar has been violated, or
c. Your incremental cover approach has led to you running out of shares to cover.
Page 274
Section
Section IXIX
Gap Strategies
& How to Profit from Them
CHAPTER 20
What
What the tape says is far more important than why its
it s saying it.
it
- Jesse Livermore
Page 279
After a gap up in the morning off prior days close support, the stock pulls back to give a near perfect
VBS right around the 10:00 RT. A long bias causes the iFund Trader to wait for a buy set-up.
Chart Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro
Page 281
Buy
Tip: BUY VBS inside the gap
Page 282
SETUP
1. Bar 1 must be a relatively solid red bar. This is the bar that indicates the a
large number of traders have sold already. Note: The smaller the upper and
l
lower tails
il on Bar
B 1 the
h better.
b
2. Bar 2 must open above the high of Bar 1. Note: This signifies that now every
hedge fund, mutual fund, trader and investor who sold short during Bar 1 is
now in negative territory. All shorts are thrown for a loop and a short squeeze
is underway. y
IMPORTANT POINTS
1. This tactic has a high
g accuracy y rate and usuallyy produces
p an upside
p bias for the
stock over the next (3 to 8 days), but will deliver huge losses when it fails.
2. This long tactic is a derivative of the Gap Up Surprise (GUS).
ACTION
1. Buy .01 (one penny) above the high of the first 2 or 5-minute bar. Place your
stop just below the low of the entry bar.
2. Use the Bar-by-Bar Stop Method or use the 8ma or 20ma trailing stop method
on the 2-minute chart to ride part of the trade for all its worth. The 20ma on
the 55-minute
minute chart can be used to the ride the play once the move has matured.
3. If the stock does not trade up at first, but rather immediately trades down, look
for a VBS on the 2 or 5-minute chart to buy before the 10:00 Reversal Time.
Page 285
Bear MG
Bull MG
Page 287
RBI
+MG
Major Price Support
SETUP
1. Bar 1 must be a relatively solid green bar. This is the bar that indicates the a
large number of traders have bought already. Note: The smaller the upper and
lower tails on Bar 1 the better.
2. Bar 2 must open below the low of Bar 1. Note: This signifies that now every
hedge fund, mutual fund, trader and investor who bought during Bar 1 is now
in negative territory.
territory All longs are thrown for a loop and a shake out is
underway.
IMPORTANT POINTS
1
1. This tactic has a high accuracy rate and usually produces a downside bias for
the stock over the next (3 to 8 days), but will deliver huge losses when it fails.
2. This short/sell tactic is a derivative of the Gap Down Surprise (GDS).
ACTION
1. Short .01 (one penny) below the low of the first 2 or 5-minute bar. Place your
stop just above the high of the entry bar.
2. Use the Bar-by-Bar Stop Method or use the 8ma or 20ma trailing stop method
on the 2-minute chart to ride part of the trade for all its worth. The 20ma on
the
h 5-minute
5 i chart
h can be b usedd to the
h ride
id the
h play
l once the h move has
h matured.d
3. If the stock does not trade down at first, but rather immediately trades up, look
for a VSS on the 2 or 5-minute chart to sell before the 10:00 Reversal Time.
Page 293
Action: Short below the 5-minute low or short the VSS, whichever happens first.
Page 294
Section X
Trading Tactics:
Putting It all Together
CHAPTER 21
Breakout
BUY
Wide Range
g Bar
Putting
g It All Together
g
Bear 180
Putting
g It all Together
g
Sell Here
Buy Here
Anatomy
y of a Bottom
Anatomy
y of a Bottom
Buy 2
Buy 1: Breakout
Page 308
1 - BUY above the first 5-minute high, place stop below the days low.
2 SHORT the
th break
b k off a previous
i bars
b low
l aroundd the
th 10:00
10 00 h
hour.
3 BUY the dip, once the stock trades above a previous bars low.
1 Buy
1.
Page 309
Buy
Buy Dip
Buy Breakout
15-minute Trading
g
iFund Traders
Appendix Section
CHAPTER 22
Page 314
Stay
y In Touch