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CUADROS RESUMENES DE LA EVALUACIN

RESULTADOS DE EVALUACION SOCIAL


Alternativa Seleccionada
Descripcin Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 2 Alternativa N 3 Alternativa N 4 Alternativa N 5 Alternativa N 3
Evaluacin Social de Alcantarillado
Valor Actual de Costos 15,344,738 17,255,045 14,176,898 17,829,141 14,075,920 14,176,898
Promedio Poblacin Beneficiaria 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 237,796 251,646
ndice Costo Efectividad 60.98 68.57 56.34 70.85 59.19 56.34

Descripcin Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 2 Alternativa N 3 Alternativa N 4 Alternativa N 5 Alternativa N 3


Evaluacin Social de Alcantarillado - PTAR
Valor Actual de Costos 76,259,978 33,715,570 88,661,473 48,782,321 52,369,283 88,661,473
Promedio Poblacin Beneficiaria 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 252,855 251,646
ndice Costo Efectividad 303.04 133.98 352.33 193.85 207.11 352.33

RESULTADOS DE EVALUACION PRIVADA -SENSIBILIDAD

Descripcin Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 2 Alternativa N 3 Alternativa N 4 Alternativa N 5 Alternativa N 3


Evaluacin Privada de Alcantarillado
Costo de Inversion 14,724,025 17,042,764 13,305,095 17,739,080 13,182,789 13,305,095
Promedio Poblacin Total 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646
Costo Per Capita 58.51 67.73 52.87 70.49 52.39 52.87
Incremento en Costos de Inversion (soporta un maximo) 197.38% 156.92% 229.09% 146.84% 232.15% 229.09%

Descripcin Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 2 Alternativa N 3 Alternativa N 4 Alternativa N 5 Alternativa N 3


Evaluacin Privada de Alcantarillado - PTAR
Costo de Inversion 43,403,268 29,610,269 73,785,556 55,119,313 52,045,934 73,785,556
Promedio Poblacin Total 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646
Costo Per Capita 172.48 117.67 293.21 219.04 206.82 293.21
Incremento en Costos de Inversion (soporta un maximo) 89.21% 177.35% 11.30% 49.29% 58.11% 11.30%
Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

PROYECCION DE LA DEMANDA DE DESAGUE

DEMANDA
DESAGUE

POBLACION
AO POBLACION SERVIDA
(hab) Qp desague
(m3/ao)

2,008 Base
2,009 0 172,714 16,725 693,953
2,010 1 187,135 187,135 7,933,953
2,011 2 202,761 202,761 8,670,422
2,012 3 207,648 207,648 8,872,926
2,013 4 212,669 212,669 9,081,205
2,014 5 217,829 217,829 9,295,445
2,015 6 223,131 223,131 9,549,298
2,016 7 228,583 228,583 9,775,461
2,017 8 234,190 234,190 10,007,958
2,018 9 239,957 239,957 10,247,163
2,019 10 245,892 245,892 10,493,260
2,020 11 252,001 252,001 10,746,995
2,021 12 258,290 258,290 11,007,995
2,022 13 264,769 264,769 11,277,007
2,023 14 271,445 271,445 11,553,470
2,024 15 278,326 278,326 11,872,899
2,025 16 285,422 285,422 12,167,433
2,026 17 292,742 292,742 12,471,282
2,027 18 300,297 300,297 12,784,445
2,028 19 308,098 308,098 13,108,228
2,029 20 316,157 316,157 13,442,629

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

CUADROS RESUMENES DE LA EVALUACIN

RESULTADOS DE EVALUACION SOCIAL


Alternativa
Seleccionada

Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 1
Alternativa N 2
Reactores de Alternativa N 3 Reactores de
Descripcin UASB + Filtro
Aereacion Lagunas Aereadas Aereacion
Percolador
Extendida Extendida

Evaluacin Social de PTAR... (2)


Valor Actual de Costos 76,259,978 33,715,570 88,661,473 76,259,978
Promedio Poblacin Beneficiaria 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646
ndice Costo Efectividad 303.04 133.98 352.33 303.04

RESULTADOS DE EVALUACION PRIVADA


Alternativa
Seleccionada

Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 1
Alternativa N 2
Reactores de Alternativa N 3 Reactores de
Descripcin UASB + Filtro
Aereacion Lagunas Aereadas Aereacion
Percolador
Extendida Extendida

Evaluacin Privada PTAR (2)


Valor Actual de Costos 91,589,087 40,723,747 107,051,140 91,589,087
Promedio Poblacin Beneficiaria 251,646 251,646 251,646 251,646
ndice Costo Efectividad 363.96 161.83 425.40 363.96

ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
Alternativa
Seleccionada
Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 1
Alternativa N 2
Reactores de Alternativa N 3 Reactores de
Descripcin UASB + Filtro
Aereacion Lagunas Aereadas Aereacion
Percolador
Extendida Extendida

Descripcin Alternativa N 1 Alternativa N 2 Alternativa N 3 Alternativa N 1


Evaluacin PTAR (3)
Incremento en Costos de Inversion (soporta un
maximo) 89.21% 177.35% 11.30% 89.21%

CONCLUSION :

LAS TRES ALTERNATIVAS SON VIABLES, SIENDO LA DE MENORES COSTOS LA ALTERNATIVA 2, PERO SE ESCOGE
LA ALTERNATIVA 1 YA QUE TECNICAMENTE Y POR EXPERIENCIAS EN LAS PLANTAS QUE OPERA SEDAPAL ES UNA
TECNOLOGIA DE TRATAMIENTO MAS EFICIENTE PARA LAS CONDICIONES DE LIMA Y PARA ALTOS CAUDALES

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 1
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 35,637,631.37 35,637,631 172,714

1 4,888,695 4,888,695 14,422 187,135

2 4,896,541 4,896,541 15,626 202,761

3 4,900,010 4,900,010 4,887 207,648

4 4,903,616 4,903,616 5,021 212,669

5 4,907,361 4,907,361 5,159 217,829

6 4,911,253 4,911,253 5,303 223,131

7 4,915,296 4,915,296 5,452 228,583

8 4,919,497 4,919,497 5,607 234,190

9 4,923,862 4,923,862 5,767 239,957

10 4254668.7 4,928,396 9,183,065 5,935 245,892

11 4,933,109 4,933,109 6,109 252,001

12 4,933,109 4,933,109 6,290 258,290

13 4,933,109 4,933,109 6,479 264,769

14 4,933,109 4,933,109 6,676 271,445

15 4,933,109 4,933,109 6,881 278,326

16 4,933,109 4,933,109 7,096 285,422

17 4,933,109 4,933,109 7,320 292,742

18 4,933,109 4,933,109 7,555 300,297

19 4,933,109 4,933,109 7,801 308,098

20 4,933,109 4,933,109 8,058 316,157

VAC = 76,259,978
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 303.04

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 1
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 43,403,268.31 43,403,268 172,714

1 5,798,010 5,798,010 14,422 187,135

2 5,807,351 5,807,351 15,626 202,761

3 5,811,481 5,811,481 4,887 207,648

4 5,815,773 5,815,773 5,021 212,669

5 5,820,232 5,820,232 5,159 217,829

6 5,824,865 5,824,865 5,303 223,131

7 5,829,678 5,829,678 5,452 228,583

8 5,834,679 5,834,679 5,607 234,190

9 5,839,875 5,839,875 5,767 239,957

10 5065081.8 5,845,274 10,910,355 5,935 245,892

11 5,850,884 5,850,884 6,109 252,001

12 5,850,884 5,850,884 6,290 258,290

13 5,850,884 5,850,884 6,479 264,769

14 5,850,884 5,850,884 6,676 271,445

15 5,850,884 5,850,884 6,881 278,326

16 5,850,884 5,850,884 7,096 285,422

17 5,850,884 5,850,884 7,320 292,742

18 5,850,884 5,850,884 7,555 300,297

19 5,850,884 5,850,884 7,801 308,098

20 5,850,884 5,850,884 8,058 316,157

VAC = 91,589,087
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 363.96

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO Alternativa N 1: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 1 Variables Principales Planta de Tratamiento
0.0% 0.0%
VAC = 43,403,268
Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS (miles
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Beneficiada Beneficiada COSTO PER CAPITA= 172.5
de S/.)
TOTAL de S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 43,403,268.31 0.0 43,403,268.3 0 172,714 Incremento en Costos de Inversin

14,422 187,135 COSTO PER


1 0.0 0.0 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. CAPITA
2 0.0 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 43,403,268 251,646 172.5
3 0.0 0.0 4,887 207,648 15% 49,856,662 251,646 198.1
4 0.0 0.0 5,021 212,669 30% 56,310,055 251,646 223.8
5 0.0 0.0 5,159 217,829 45% 62,763,448 251,646 249.4
6 0.0 0.0 5,303 223,131 59% 69,216,841 251,646 275.1
7 0.0 0.0 5,452 228,583 74% 75,670,234 251,646 300.7
8 0.0 0.0 5,607 234,190 89.2% 82,123,628 251,646 326.3
9 0.0 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 0.0 6,290 258,290
13 0.0 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 0.0 6,676 271,445
15 0.0 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 0.0 8,058 316,157
43,403,268 43,403,268 251,646 172.5
VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
S./poblador beneficiado Inversion = 43,403,268
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8) PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
Ampliacin PTAR: US $ 109 326.35 COSTO PER CAPITA = 172.48

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 2
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 24,428,238.66 24,428,239 172,714

1 976,298 976,298 14,422 187,135

2 984,353 984,353 15,626 202,761

3 987,915 987,915 4,887 207,648

4 991,616 991,616 5,021 212,669

5 995,461 995,461 5,159 217,829

6 999,456 999,456 5,303 223,131

7 1,003,607 1,003,607 5,452 228,583

8 1,007,919 1,007,919 5,607 234,190

9 1,012,400 1,012,400 5,767 239,957

10 3730893.9 1,017,055 4,747,949 5,935 245,892

11 1,021,893 1,021,893 6,109 252,001

12 1,021,893 1,021,893 6,290 258,290

13 1,021,893 1,021,893 6,479 264,769

14 1,021,893 1,021,893 6,676 271,445

15 1,021,893 1,021,893 6,881 278,326

16 1,021,893 1,021,893 7,096 285,422

17 1,021,893 1,021,893 7,320 292,742

18 1,021,893 1,021,893 7,555 300,297

19 1,021,893 1,021,893 7,801 308,098

20 1,021,893 1,021,893 8,058 316,157

VAC = 33,715,570
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 133.98

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 2
(A PRECIOS PRIVADO)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 29,610,268.69 29,610,269 172,714

1 1,166,773 1,166,773 14,422 187,135

2 1,177,220 1,177,220 15,626 202,761

3 1,181,840 1,181,840 4,887 207,648

4 1,186,641 1,186,641 5,021 212,669

5 1,191,628 1,191,628 5,159 217,829

6 1,196,811 1,196,811 5,303 223,131

7 1,202,194 1,202,194 5,452 228,583

8 1,207,788 1,207,788 5,607 234,190

9 1,213,600 1,213,600 5,767 239,957

10 4441540.3 1,219,638 5,661,179 5,935 245,892

11 1,225,914 1,225,914 6,109 252,001

12 1,225,914 1,225,914 6,290 258,290

13 1,225,914 1,225,914 6,479 264,769

14 1,225,914 1,225,914 6,676 271,445

15 1,225,914 1,225,914 6,881 278,326

16 1,225,914 1,225,914 7,096 285,422

17 1,225,914 1,225,914 7,320 292,742

18 1,225,914 1,225,914 7,555 300,297

19 1,225,914 1,225,914 7,801 308,098

20 1,225,914 1,225,914 8,058 316,157

VAC = 40,723,747
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 161.83

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO Alternativa N 2: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 2 Variables Principales Planta de Tratamiento
0.0% 0.0%
VAC = 29,610,269
Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS (miles
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Beneficiada Beneficiada COSTO PER CAPITA = 117.7
de S/.)
TOTAL de S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 29,610,268.69 0.0 29,610,268.7 0 172,714 Incremento en Costos de Inversin

14,422 187,135 COSTO PER


1 0.0 0.0 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. CAPITA
2 0.0 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 29,610,269 251,646 117.7
3 0.0 0.0 4,887 207,648 30% 38,362,495 251,646 152.4
4 0.0 0.0 5,021 212,669 59% 47,114,722 251,646 187.2
5 0.0 0.0 5,159 217,829 89% 55,866,948 251,646 222.0
6 0.0 0.0 5,303 223,131 118% 64,619,175 251,646 256.8
7 0.0 0.0 5,452 228,583 148% 73,371,401 251,646 291.6
8 0.0 0.0 5,607 234,190 177.3% 82,123,628 251,646 326.3
9 0.0 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 0.0 6,290 258,290
13 0.0 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 0.0 6,676 271,445
15 0.0 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 0.0 8,058 316,157
29,610,269 29,610,269 251,646 117.7
VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
S./poblador beneficiado Inversion = 29,610,269
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8) PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
Ampliacin PTAR: US $ 109 326.35 COSTO PER CAPITA = 117.67

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 3
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 60,583,973.33 60,583,973 172,714

1 3,093,314 3,093,314 14,422 187,135

2 3,100,209 3,100,209 15,626 202,761

3 3,103,258 3,103,258 4,887 207,648

4 3,106,427 3,106,427 5,021 212,669

5 3,109,719 3,109,719 5,159 217,829

6 3,113,139 3,113,139 5,303 223,131

7 3,116,692 3,116,692 5,452 228,583

8 3,120,384 3,120,384 5,607 234,190

9 3,124,219 3,124,219 5,767 239,957

10 9296980.1 3,128,205 12,425,185 5,935 245,892

11 3,132,347 3,132,347 6,109 252,001

12 3,132,347 3,132,347 6,290 258,290

13 3,132,347 3,132,347 6,479 264,769

14 3,132,347 3,132,347 6,676 271,445

15 3,132,347 3,132,347 6,881 278,326

16 3,132,347 3,132,347 7,096 285,422

17 3,132,347 3,132,347 7,320 292,742

18 3,132,347 3,132,347 7,555 300,297

19 3,132,347 3,132,347 7,801 308,098

20 3,132,347 3,132,347 8,058 316,157

VAC = 88,661,473
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 352.33

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 3
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 73,785,556.12 73,785,556 172,714

1 3,662,423 3,662,423 14,422 187,135

2 3,670,632 3,670,632 15,626 202,761

3 3,674,262 3,674,262 4,887 207,648

4 3,678,034 3,678,034 5,021 212,669

5 3,681,952 3,681,952 5,159 217,829

6 3,686,024 3,686,024 5,303 223,131

7 3,690,254 3,690,254 5,452 228,583

8 3,694,649 3,694,649 5,607 234,190

9 3,699,215 3,699,215 5,767 239,957

10 11067833.4 3,703,960 14,771,793 5,935 245,892

11 3,708,890 3,708,890 6,109 252,001

12 3,708,890 3,708,890 6,290 258,290

13 3,708,890 3,708,890 6,479 264,769

14 3,708,890 3,708,890 6,676 271,445

15 3,708,890 3,708,890 6,881 278,326

16 3,708,890 3,708,890 7,096 285,422

17 3,708,890 3,708,890 7,320 292,742

18 3,708,890 3,708,890 7,555 300,297

19 3,708,890 3,708,890 7,801 308,098

20 3,708,890 3,708,890 8,058 316,157

VAC = 107,051,140
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 425.40

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Ampliacin y Mejoramiento del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
para el Macro Proyecto Pachacutec del Distrito de Ventanilla

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO Alternativa N 3: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 3 Variables Principales Planta de Tratamiento
0.0% 0.0%
VAC = 73,785,556
Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS (miles
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Beneficiada Beneficiada COSTO PER CAPITA = 293.2
de S/.)
TOTAL de S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 73,785,556.12 0.0 73,785,556.1 0 172,714 Incremento en Costos de Inversin

14,422 187,135 COSTO PER


1 0.0 0.0 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. CAPITA
2 0.0 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 73,785,556 251,646 293.2
3 0.0 0.0 4,887 207,648 2% 75,175,235 251,646 298.7
4 0.0 0.0 5,021 212,669 4% 76,564,913 251,646 304.3
5 0.0 0.0 5,159 217,829 6% 77,954,592 251,646 309.8
6 0.0 0.0 5,303 223,131 8% 79,344,270 251,646 315.3
7 0.0 0.0 5,452 228,583 9% 80,733,949 251,646 320.8
8 0.0 0.0 5,607 234,190 11.3% 82,123,628 251,646 326.3
9 0.0 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 0.0 6,290 258,290
13 0.0 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 0.0 6,676 271,445
15 0.0 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 0.0 8,058 316,157
73,785,556 73,785,556 251,646 293.2
VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
S./poblador beneficiado INVERSION = 73,785,556
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8) PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
Ampliacin PTAR: US $ 109 326.35 COSTO PER CAPITA = 293.21

Consorcio Macro Proyecto Ingenieros


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 1
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 12,181,845.49 12,181,845.5 16,725

1 319,738.3 319,738.3 170,410 187,135

2 349,418.0 349,418.0 15,626 202,761

3 357,578.9 357,578.9 4,887 207,648

4 365,972.6 365,972.6 5,021 212,669

5 374,606.4 374,606.4 5,159 217,829

6 384,836.7 384,836.7 5,303 223,131

7 393,951.1 393,951.1 5,452 228,583

8 403,320.7 403,320.7 5,607 234,190

9 412,960.6 412,960.6 5,767 239,957

10 422,878.4 422,878.4 5,935 245,892

11 433,103.9 433,103.9 6,109 252,001

12 443,622.2 443,622.2 6,290 258,290

13 454,463.4 454,463.4 6,479 264,769

14 465,604.8 465,604.8 6,676 271,445

15 478,477.8 478,477.8 6,881 278,326

16 490,347.5 490,347.5 7,096 285,422

17 502,592.6 502,592.6 7,320 292,742

18 515,213.1 515,213.1 7,555 300,297

19 528,261.6 528,261.6 7,801 308,098

20 541,737.9 541,737.9 8,058 316,157

12,181,845

VAC SOCIAL = 15,344,738


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 60.98

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 1
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 14,724,024.92 14,724,024.9 16,725

1 387,970.3 387,970.3 170,410 187,135

2 423,983.6 423,983.6 15,626 202,761

3 433,886.1 433,886.1 4,887 207,648

4 444,070.9 444,070.9 5,021 212,669

5 454,547.3 454,547.3 5,159 217,829

6 466,960.7 466,960.7 5,303 223,131

7 478,020.0 478,020.0 5,452 228,583

8 489,389.2 489,389.2 5,607 234,190

9 501,086.2 501,086.2 5,767 239,957

10 513,120.4 513,120.4 5,935 245,892

11 525,528.0 525,528.0 6,109 252,001

12 538,291.0 538,291.0 6,290 258,290

13 551,445.6 551,445.6 6,479 264,769

14 564,964.7 564,964.7 6,676 271,445

15 580,584.8 580,584.8 6,881 278,326

16 594,987.5 594,987.5 7,096 285,422

17 609,845.7 609,845.7 7,320 292,742

18 625,159.4 625,159.4 7,555 300,297

19 640,992.3 640,992.3 7,801 308,098

20 657,344.6 657,344.6 8,058 316,157

14,724,025

VAC SOCIAL = 18,561,877


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 73.76

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO Alternativa N 1: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 1 Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y VAC = 14,724,025


Conexiones ( S/.) Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos Mantenimiento Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) COSTO PER CAPITA = 58.5
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 14,724,024.92 14,724,024.9 16,725 Incremento en Costos de Inversin


1 0.0 170,410 187,135 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. Costo Per Capita
2 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 14,724,025 251,646 58.5
3 0.0 4,887 207,648 33% 19,567,751 251,646 77.8
4 0.0 5,021 212,669 66% 24,411,478 251,646 97.0
5 0.0 5,159 217,829 99% 29,255,204 251,646 116.3
6 0.0 5,303 223,131 132% 34,098,931 251,646 135.5
7 0.0 5,452 228,583 164% 38,942,657 251,646 154.8
8 0.0 5,607 234,190 197.38% 43,786,384 251,646 174.0
9 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 6,290 258,290 14,724,025 251,646 58.5
13 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 6,676 271,445 VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
15 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 8,058 316,157

Inversion = 14,724,025
PROM.POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado Costo Per Capita = 58.51
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8)
Ampliacin del servicio de alcantarillado: US $ 282 (1) 846.00
Ampliacin redes y conexiones de alcantarillado: US $ 224 (2) 672.00 14,724,025
Ampliacion de Obras generales (3)=(1)-(2) 174.00

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 2
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 14,092,152.76 14,092,152.8 16,725

1 319,738.3 319,738.3 170,410 187,135

2 349,418.0 349,418.0 15,626 202,761

3 357,578.9 357,578.9 4,887 207,648

4 365,972.6 365,972.6 5,021 212,669

5 374,606.4 374,606.4 5,159 217,829

6 384,836.7 384,836.7 5,303 223,131

7 393,951.1 393,951.1 5,452 228,583

8 403,320.7 403,320.7 5,607 234,190

9 412,960.6 412,960.6 5,767 239,957

10 422,878.4 422,878.4 5,935 245,892

11 433,103.9 433,103.9 6,109 252,001

12 443,622.2 443,622.2 6,290 258,290

13 454,463.4 454,463.4 6,479 264,769

14 465,604.8 465,604.8 6,676 271,445

15 478,477.8 478,477.8 6,881 278,326

16 490,347.5 490,347.5 7,096 285,422

17 502,592.6 502,592.6 7,320 292,742

18 515,213.1 515,213.1 7,555 300,297

19 528,261.6 528,261.6 7,801 308,098

20 541,737.9 541,737.9 8,058 316,157

14,092,153

VAC SOCIAL = 17,255,045


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 68.57

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 2
(A PRECIOS PRIVADO)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 17,042,763.50 17,042,763.5 16,725

1 387,970.3 387,970.3 170,410 187,135

2 423,983.6 423,983.6 15,626 202,761

3 433,886.1 433,886.1 4,887 207,648

4 444,070.9 444,070.9 5,021 212,669

5 454,547.3 454,547.3 5,159 217,829

6 466,960.7 466,960.7 5,303 223,131

7 478,020.0 478,020.0 5,452 228,583

8 489,389.2 489,389.2 5,607 234,190

9 501,086.2 501,086.2 5,767 239,957

10 513,120.4 513,120.4 5,935 245,892

11 525,528.0 525,528.0 6,109 252,001

12 538,291.0 538,291.0 6,290 258,290

13 551,445.6 551,445.6 6,479 264,769

14 564,964.7 564,964.7 6,676 271,445

15 580,584.8 580,584.8 6,881 278,326

16 594,987.5 594,987.5 7,096 285,422

17 609,845.7 609,845.7 7,320 292,742

18 625,159.4 625,159.4 7,555 300,297

19 640,992.3 640,992.3 7,801 308,098

20 657,344.6 657,344.6 8,058 316,157

17,042,764

VAC SOCIAL = 20,880,616


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 82.98

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO Alternativa N 2: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 2 Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y VAC = 17,042,764


Conexiones ( S/.) Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos Mantenimiento Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) COSTO PER CAPITA = 67.7
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 17,042,763.50 17,042,763.5 16,725 Incremento en Costos de Inversin


COSTO PER
1 0.0 170,410 187,135 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF.
CAPITA
2 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 17,042,764 251,646 67.7
3 0.0 4,887 207,648 26% 21,500,034 251,646 85.4
4 0.0 5,021 212,669 52% 25,957,304 251,646 103.2
5 0.0 5,159 217,829 78% 30,414,574 251,646 120.9
6 0.0 5,303 223,131 105% 34,871,844 251,646 138.6
7 0.0 5,452 228,583 131% 39,329,114 251,646 156.3
8 0.0 5,607 234,190 156.92% 43,786,384 251,646 174.0
9 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 6,290 258,290 17,042,764 251,646 67.7
13 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 6,676 271,445 VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
15 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 8,058 316,157

INVERSION = 17,042,764
PROM.POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado COSTO PER CAPITA = 67.73
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8)
Ampliacin del servicio de alcantarillado: US $ 282 (1) 846.00
Ampliacin redes y conexiones de alcantarillado: US $ 224 (2) 672.00 17,042,764
Ampliacion de Obras generales (3)=(1)-(2) 174.00

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 3
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 11,014,005.13 11,014,005.1 16,725

1 319,738.3 319,738.3 170,410 187,135

2 349,418.0 349,418.0 15,626 202,761

3 357,578.9 357,578.9 4,887 207,648

4 365,972.6 365,972.6 5,021 212,669

5 374,606.4 374,606.4 5,159 217,829

6 384,836.7 384,836.7 5,303 223,131

7 393,951.1 393,951.1 5,452 228,583

8 403,320.7 403,320.7 5,607 234,190

9 412,960.6 412,960.6 5,767 239,957

10 422,878.4 422,878.4 5,935 245,892

11 433,103.9 433,103.9 6,109 252,001

12 443,622.2 443,622.2 6,290 258,290

13 454,463.4 454,463.4 6,479 264,769

14 465,604.8 465,604.8 6,676 271,445

15 478,477.8 478,477.8 6,881 278,326

16 490,347.5 490,347.5 7,096 285,422

17 502,592.6 502,592.6 7,320 292,742

18 515,213.1 515,213.1 7,555 300,297

19 528,261.6 528,261.6 7,801 308,098

20 541,737.9 541,737.9 8,058 316,157

11,014,005

VAC SOCIAL = 14,176,898


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 56.34

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 3
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 13,305,094.76 13,305,094.8 16,725

1 387,970.3 387,970.3 170,410 187,135

2 423,983.6 423,983.6 15,626 202,761

3 433,886.1 433,886.1 4,887 207,648

4 444,070.9 444,070.9 5,021 212,669

5 454,547.3 454,547.3 5,159 217,829

6 466,960.7 466,960.7 5,303 223,131

7 478,020.0 478,020.0 5,452 228,583

8 489,389.2 489,389.2 5,607 234,190

9 501,086.2 501,086.2 5,767 239,957

10 513,120.4 513,120.4 5,935 245,892

11 525,528.0 525,528.0 6,109 252,001

12 538,291.0 538,291.0 6,290 258,290

13 551,445.6 551,445.6 6,479 264,769

14 564,964.7 564,964.7 6,676 271,445

15 580,584.8 580,584.8 6,881 278,326

16 594,987.5 594,987.5 7,096 285,422

17 609,845.7 609,845.7 7,320 292,742

18 625,159.4 625,159.4 7,555 300,297

19 640,992.3 640,992.3 7,801 308,098

20 657,344.6 657,344.6 8,058 316,157

13,305,095

VAC SOCIAL = 17,142,947


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 68.12

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO Alternativa N 3: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 3 Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y VAC = 13,305,095


Conexiones ( S/.) Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos Mantenimiento Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) COSTO PER CAPITA = 52.9
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 13,305,094.76 13,305,094.8 16,725 Incremento en Costos de Inversin


COSTO PER
1 0.0 170,410 187,135 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF.
CAPITA
2 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 13,305,095 251,646 52.9
3 0.0 4,887 207,648 38% 18,385,310 251,646 73.1
4 0.0 5,021 212,669 76% 23,465,524 251,646 93.2
5 0.0 5,159 217,829 115% 28,545,739 251,646 113.4
6 0.0 5,303 223,131 153% 33,625,954 251,646 133.6
7 0.0 5,452 228,583 191% 38,706,169 251,646 153.8
8 0.0 5,607 234,190 229.09% 43,786,384 251,646 174.0
9 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 6,290 258,290 13,305,095 251,646 52.9
13 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 6,676 271,445 VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
15 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 8,058 316,157

INVERSION = 13,305,095
PROM.POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado COSTO PER CAPITA = 52.87
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8)
Ampliacin del servicio de alcantarillado: US $ 282 (1) 846.00
Ampliacin redes y conexiones de alcantarillado: US $ 224 (2) 672.00 13,305,095
Ampliacion de Obras generales (3)=(1)-(2) 174.00

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 4
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 14,666,249.10 14,666,249.1 16,725

1 319,738.3 319,738.3 170,410 187,135

2 349,418.0 349,418.0 15,626 202,761

3 357,578.9 357,578.9 4,887 207,648

4 365,972.6 365,972.6 5,021 212,669

5 374,606.4 374,606.4 5,159 217,829

6 384,836.7 384,836.7 5,303 223,131

7 393,951.1 393,951.1 5,452 228,583

8 403,320.7 403,320.7 5,607 234,190

9 412,960.6 412,960.6 5,767 239,957

10 422,878.4 422,878.4 5,935 245,892

11 433,103.9 433,103.9 6,109 252,001

12 443,622.2 443,622.2 6,290 258,290

13 454,463.4 454,463.4 6,479 264,769

14 465,604.8 465,604.8 6,676 271,445

15 478,477.8 478,477.8 6,881 278,326

16 490,347.5 490,347.5 7,096 285,422

17 502,592.6 502,592.6 7,320 292,742

18 515,213.1 515,213.1 7,555 300,297

19 528,261.6 528,261.6 7,801 308,098

20 541,737.9 541,737.9 8,058 316,157

14,666,249

VAC SOCIAL = 17,829,141


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 70.85

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 4
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 17,739,079.97 17,739,080.0 16,725

1 387,970.3 387,970.3 170,410 187,135

2 423,983.6 423,983.6 15,626 202,761

3 433,886.1 433,886.1 4,887 207,648

4 444,070.9 444,070.9 5,021 212,669

5 454,547.3 454,547.3 5,159 217,829

6 466,960.7 466,960.7 5,303 223,131

7 478,020.0 478,020.0 5,452 228,583

8 489,389.2 489,389.2 5,607 234,190

9 501,086.2 501,086.2 5,767 239,957

10 513,120.4 513,120.4 5,935 245,892

11 525,528.0 525,528.0 6,109 252,001

12 538,291.0 538,291.0 6,290 258,290

13 551,445.6 551,445.6 6,479 264,769

14 564,964.7 564,964.7 6,676 271,445

15 580,584.8 580,584.8 6,881 278,326

16 594,987.5 594,987.5 7,096 285,422

17 609,845.7 609,845.7 7,320 292,742

18 625,159.4 625,159.4 7,555 300,297

19 640,992.3 640,992.3 7,801 308,098

20 657,344.6 657,344.6 8,058 316,157

17,739,080

VAC SOCIAL = 21,576,932


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 85.74

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO Alternativa N 4: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 4 Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y VAC = 17,739,080


Conexiones ( S/.) Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos Mantenimiento Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) COSTO PER CAPITA = 70.5
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 17,739,079.97 17,739,080.0 16,725 Incremento en Costos de Inversin


COSTO PER
1 0.0 170,410 187,135 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF.
CAPITA
2 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 17,739,080 251,646 70.5
3 0.0 4,887 207,648 24% 22,080,297 251,646 87.7
4 0.0 5,021 212,669 49% 26,421,515 251,646 105.0
5 0.0 5,159 217,829 73% 30,762,732 251,646 122.2
6 0.0 5,303 223,131 98% 35,103,949 251,646 139.5
7 0.0 5,452 228,583 122% 39,445,166 251,646 156.7
8 0.0 5,607 234,190 146.84% 43,786,384 251,646 174.0
9 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 6,290 258,290 17,739,080 251,646 70.5
13 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 6,676 271,445 VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
15 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 8,058 316,157

INVERSION = 17,739,080
PROM.POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado COSTO PER CAPITA = 70.49
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8)
Ampliacin del servicio de alcantarillado: US $ 282 (1) 846.00
Ampliacin redes y conexiones de alcantarillado: US $ 224 (2) 672.00 17,739,080
Ampliacion de Obras generales (3)=(1)-(2) 174.00

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 4
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 45,571,335.66 45,571,336 172,714

1 367,962 367,962 14,422 187,135

2 377,833 377,833 15,626 202,761

3 383,377 383,377 4,887 207,648

4 389,056 389,056 5,021 212,669

5 394,872 394,872 5,159 217,829

6 400,834 400,834 5,303 223,131

7 406,945 406,945 5,452 228,583

8 413,213 413,213 5,607 234,190

9 419,642 419,642 5,767 239,957

10 426,239 426,239 5,935 245,892

11 433,013 433,013 6,109 252,001

12 433,013 433,013 6,290 258,290

13 433,013 433,013 6,479 264,769

14 433,013 433,013 6,676 271,445

15 433,013 433,013 6,881 278,326

16 433,013 433,013 7,096 285,422

17 433,013 433,013 7,320 292,742

18 433,013 433,013 7,555 300,297

19 433,013 433,013 7,801 308,098

20 433,013 433,013 8,058 316,157

VAC = 48,782,321
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 193.85

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 4
(A PRECIOS PRIVADO)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 55,119,312.50 55,119,313 172,714

1 454,835 454,835 14,422 187,135

2 467,037 467,037 15,626 202,761

3 473,890 473,890 4,887 207,648

4 480,909 480,909 5,021 212,669

5 488,099 488,099 5,159 217,829

6 495,469 495,469 5,303 223,131

7 503,023 503,023 5,452 228,583

8 510,770 510,770 5,607 234,190

9 518,717 518,717 5,767 239,957

10 526,872 526,872 5,935 245,892

11 535,244 535,244 6,109 252,001

12 535,244 535,244 6,290 258,290

13 535,244 535,244 6,479 264,769

14 535,244 535,244 6,676 271,445

15 535,244 535,244 6,881 278,326

16 535,244 535,244 7,096 285,422

17 535,244 535,244 7,320 292,742

18 535,244 535,244 7,555 300,297

19 535,244 535,244 7,801 308,098

20 535,244 535,244 8,058 316,157

VAC = 59,088,392
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
ICE = 234.81

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO Alternativa N 4: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 4 Variables Principales Planta de Tratamiento
0.0% 0.0%
VAC = 55,119,313
Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS (miles
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Beneficiada Beneficiada COSTO PER CAPITA = 219.0
de S/.)
TOTAL de S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 55,119,312.50 0.0 55,119,312.5 0 172,714 Incremento en Costos de Inversin

14,422 187,135 COSTO PER


1 0.0 0.0 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. CAPITA
2 0.0 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 55,119,313 251,646 219.0
3 0.0 0.0 4,887 207,648 8% 59,647,461 251,646 237.0
4 0.0 0.0 5,021 212,669 16% 64,175,610 251,646 255.0
5 0.0 0.0 5,159 217,829 25% 68,703,758 251,646 273.0
6 0.0 0.0 5,303 223,131 33% 73,231,907 251,646 291.0
7 0.0 0.0 5,452 228,583 41% 77,760,055 251,646 309.0
8 0.0 0.0 5,607 234,190 49.3% 82,288,204 251,646 327.0
9 0.0 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 0.0 6,290 258,290
13 0.0 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 0.0 6,676 271,445
15 0.0 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 0.0 8,058 316,157
55,119,313 55,119,313 251,646 219.0
VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
S./poblador beneficiado INVERSION = 55,119,313
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8) PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
Ampliacin PTAR: US $ 109 327.00 COSTO PER CAPITA = 219.04

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 5
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 10,913,027.94 10,913,027.9 131,600

1 319,738.3 319,738.3 16,717 148,316

2 349,418.0 349,418.0 7,497 155,813

3 357,578.9 357,578.9 7,856 163,669

4 365,972.6 365,972.6 8,231 171,900

5 374,606.4 374,606.4 8,625 180,525

6 384,836.7 384,836.7 9,036 189,561

7 393,951.1 393,951.1 7,393 196,954

8 403,320.7 403,320.7 7,681 204,635

9 412,960.6 412,960.6 10,219 214,854

10 422,878.4 422,878.4 8,380 223,234

11 433,103.9 433,103.9 8,706 231,940

12 443,622.2 443,622.2 9,045 240,985

13 454,463.4 454,463.4 9,398 250,383

14 465,604.8 465,604.8 9,765 260,148

15 478,477.8 478,477.8 10,145 270,294

16 490,347.5 490,347.5 10,542 280,836

17 502,592.6 502,592.6 10,953 291,788

18 515,213.1 515,213.1 11,380 303,168

19 528,261.6 528,261.6 11,823 314,991

20 541,737.9 541,737.9 12,285 327,276

10,913,028

VAC SOCIAL = 14,075,920


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 237,796
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 59.19

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


ALTERNATIVA N 5
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y Costos


Conexiones Incrementales Poblacin
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos (miles de S/.) Operacin y Beneficiada Poblacin Beneficiada TOTAL
( S/.)
Mantenimiento Incrementada
(miles de S/.)
INVERSION TOTAL

0 13,182,788.90 13,182,788.9 131,600

1 387,970.3 387,970.3 16,717 148,316

2 423,983.6 423,983.6 7,497 155,813

3 433,886.1 433,886.1 7,856 163,669

4 444,070.9 444,070.9 8,231 171,900

5 454,547.3 454,547.3 8,625 180,525

6 466,960.7 466,960.7 9,036 189,561

7 478,020.0 478,020.0 7,393 196,954

8 489,389.2 489,389.2 7,681 204,635

9 501,086.2 501,086.2 10,219 214,854

10 513,120.4 513,120.4 8,380 223,234

11 525,528.0 525,528.0 8,706 231,940

12 538,291.0 538,291.0 9,045 240,985

13 551,445.6 551,445.6 9,398 250,383

14 564,964.7 564,964.7 9,765 260,148

15 580,584.8 580,584.8 10,145 270,294

16 594,987.5 594,987.5 10,542 280,836

17 609,845.7 609,845.7 10,953 291,788

18 625,159.4 625,159.4 11,380 303,168

19 640,992.3 640,992.3 11,823 314,991

20 657,344.6 657,344.6 12,285 327,276

13,182,789

VAC SOCIAL = 17,020,641


PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 237,796
S./poblador beneficiado ICE = 71.58

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO Alternativa N 5: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N 5 Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Inversin en Redes y VAC = 13,182,789


Conexiones ( S/.) Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS
Aos Mantenimiento Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) COSTO PER CAPITA = 52.4
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 13,182,788.90 13,182,788.9 16,725 Incremento en Costos de Inversin


COSTO PER
1 0.0 170,410 187,135 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF.
CAPITA
2 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 13,182,789 251,646 52.4
3 0.0 4,887 207,648 39% 18,283,388 251,646 72.7
4 0.0 5,021 212,669 77% 23,383,987 251,646 92.9
5 0.0 5,159 217,829 116% 28,484,586 251,646 113.2
6 0.0 5,303 223,131 155% 33,585,185 251,646 133.5
7 0.0 5,452 228,583 193% 38,685,785 251,646 153.7
8 0.0 5,607 234,190 232.15% 43,786,384 251,646 174.0
9 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 6,290 258,290 13,182,789 251,646 52.4
13 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 6,676 271,445 VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
15 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 8,058 316,157

INVERSION = 13,182,789
PROM.POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
S./poblador beneficiado COSTO PER CAPITA = 52.39
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8)
Ampliacin del servicio de alcantarillado: US $ 282 (1) 846.00
Ampliacin redes y conexiones de alcantarillado: US $ 224 (2) 672.00 13,182,789
Ampliacion de Obras generales (3)=(1)-(2) 174.00

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


0%

Page 31
10%

0.1

Page 32
20%

0.2

Page 33
Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 5
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 43,084,868.71 43,084,869 158,611

1 1,111,594 1,111,594 6,185 164,796

2 1,126,103 1,126,103 6,427 171,223

3 1,134,878 1,134,878 6,678 177,901

4 1,143,830 1,143,830 6,938 184,839

5 1,152,966 1,152,966 7,209 192,048

6 1,162,294 1,162,294 7,490 199,538

7 1,171,820 1,171,820 7,782 207,320

8 1,181,553 1,181,553 8,085 215,405

9 1,191,500 1,191,500 8,401 223,806

10 1,201,671 1,201,671 8,729 232,535

11 1,212,074 1,212,074 9,069 241,604

12 1,212,074 1,212,074 9,422 251,026

13 1,212,074 1,212,074 9,790 260,816

14 1,212,074 1,212,074 10,172 270,988

15 1,212,074 1,212,074 10,568 281,556

16 1,212,074 1,212,074 10,981 292,537

17 1,212,074 1,212,074 11,409 303,946

18 1,212,074 1,212,074 11,854 315,800

19 1,212,074 1,212,074 12,316 328,116

20 1,212,074 1,212,074 12,797 340,913

VAC = 52,369,283
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 252,855
ICE = 207.11

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

INDICE COSTO EFECTIVIDAD DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO


PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO
ALTERNATIVA N 5
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)

Operacin Y
TOTAL COSTOS Poblacin total
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Poblacin TOTAL
( S/.) Incrementada
TOTAL de S/.)

0 52,045,933.71 52,045,934 158,611

1 1,374,034 1,374,034 6,185 164,796

2 1,391,970 1,391,970 6,427 171,223

3 1,402,815 1,402,815 6,678 177,901

4 1,413,882 1,413,882 6,938 184,839

5 1,425,174 1,425,174 7,209 192,048

6 1,436,704 1,436,704 7,490 199,538

7 1,448,480 1,448,480 7,782 207,320

8 1,460,510 1,460,510 8,085 215,405

9 1,472,806 1,472,806 8,401 223,806

10 1,485,378 1,485,378 8,729 232,535

11 1,498,238 1,498,238 9,069 241,604

12 1,498,238 1,498,238 9,422 251,026

13 1,498,238 1,498,238 9,790 260,816

14 1,498,238 1,498,238 10,172 270,988

15 1,498,238 1,498,238 10,568 281,556

16 1,498,238 1,498,238 10,981 292,537

17 1,498,238 1,498,238 11,409 303,946

18 1,498,238 1,498,238 11,854 315,800

19 1,498,238 1,498,238 12,316 328,116

20 1,498,238 1,498,238 12,797 340,913

VAC = 63,522,342
PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 252,855
ICE = 251.22

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO PLANTA DE TRATAMIENTO Alternativa N 5: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA N5 Variables Principales Planta de Tratamiento
0.0% 0.0%
VAC = 52,045,934
Operacin Y Poblacin Poblacin PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
TOTAL COSTOS (miles
Aos INVERSION Mantenimiento (miles Beneficiada Beneficiada COSTO PER CAPITA = 206.8
de S/.)
TOTAL de S/.) Incrementada TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD

0 52,045,933.71 0.0 52,045,933.7 0 172,714 Incremento en Costos de Inversin

14,422 187,135 COSTO PER


1 0.0 0.0 Incremento VAC POBL. BENEF. CAPITA
2 0.0 0.0 15,626 202,761 0% 52,045,934 251,646 206.8
3 0.0 0.0 4,887 207,648 10% 57,086,312 251,646 226.9
4 0.0 0.0 5,021 212,669 19% 62,126,690 251,646 246.9
5 0.0 0.0 5,159 217,829 29% 67,167,069 251,646 266.9
6 0.0 0.0 5,303 223,131 39% 72,207,447 251,646 286.9
7 0.0 0.0 5,452 228,583 48% 77,247,826 251,646 307.0
8 0.0 0.0 5,607 234,190 58.1% 82,288,204 251,646 327.0
9 0.0 0.0 5,767 239,957
10 0.0 0.0 5,935 245,892
11 0.0 0.0 6,109 252,001
12 0.0 0.0 6,290 258,290
13 0.0 0.0 6,479 264,769
14 0.0 0.0 6,676 271,445
15 0.0 0.0 6,881 278,326
16 0.0 0.0 7,096 285,422
17 0.0 0.0 7,320 292,742
18 0.0 0.0 7,555 300,297
19 0.0 0.0 7,801 308,098
20 0.0 0.0 8,058 316,157
52,045,934 52,045,934 251,646 206.8
VAC POBL. BENEF. ICE
S./poblador beneficiado INVERSION = 52,045,934
COSTOS REFERENCIALES (ANEXO SNIP 8) PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 251,646
Ampliacin PTAR: US $ 109 327.00 COSTO PER CAPITA = 206.82

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Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

PROYECCION DE LA DEMANDA DE DESAGUE

DEMANDA
DESAGUE

POBLACION
AO POBLACION SERVIDA
(hab) Qp desague
(m3/ao)

2,008 Base 152,657 117,241 4,682,970


2,009 0 158,611 131,600 4,994,859
2,010 1 164,796 148,316 5,444,522
2,011 2 171,223 155,813 5,680,585
2,012 3 177,901 163,669 5,927,876
2,013 4 184,839 171,900 6,187,553
2,014 5 192,048 180,525 6,459,044
2,015 6 199,538 189,561 6,743,420
2,016 7 207,320 196,954 6,977,579
2,017 8 215,405 204,635 7,219,555
2,018 9 223,806 214,854 7,541,367
2,019 10 232,535 223,234 7,805,093
2,020 11 241,604 231,940 8,079,392
2,021 12 251,026 240,985 8,364,099
2,022 13 260,816 250,383 8,660,182
2,023 14 270,988 260,148 8,967,632
2,024 15 281,556 270,294 9,287,436
2,025 16 292,537 280,836 9,619,265
2,026 17 303,946 291,788 9,964,038
2,027 18 315,800 303,168 10,322,430
2,028 19 328,116 314,991 10,695,634
2,029 20 340,913 327,276 11,082,619

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 33,934 27,966 0 33,934 27,966
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 387,970 319,738 1 387,970 319,738
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 423,984 349,418 2 423,984 349,418
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 433,886 357,579 3 433,886 357,579
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 444,071 365,973 4 444,071 365,973
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 454,547 374,606 5 454,547 374,606
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 466,961 384,837 6 466,961 384,837
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 478,020 393,951 7 478,020 393,951
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 489,389 403,321 8 489,389 403,321
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 501,086 412,961 9 501,086 412,961
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 513,120 422,878 10 513,120 422,878
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 525,528 433,104 11 525,528 433,104
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 538,291 443,622 12 538,291 443,622
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 551,446 454,463 13 551,446 454,463
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 564,965 465,605 14 564,965 465,605
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 580,585 478,478 15 580,585 478,478
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 594,987 490,348 16 594,987 490,348
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 609,846 502,593 17 609,846 502,593
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 625,159 515,213 18 625,159 515,213
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 640,992 528,262 19 640,992 528,262
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 657,345 541,738 20 657,345 541,738
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 41,568 34,142 0 41,568 34,142
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 475,244 390,350 1 475,244 390,350
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 519,358 426,585 2 519,358 426,585
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 531,488 436,548 3 531,488 436,548
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 543,964 446,795 4 543,964 446,795
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 556,797 457,336 5 556,797 457,336
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 572,003 469,825 6 572,003 469,825
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 585,550 480,953 7 585,550 480,953
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 599,477 492,392 8 599,477 492,392
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 613,805 504,160 9 613,805 504,160
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 628,546 516,268 10 628,546 516,268
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 643,745 528,752 11 643,745 528,752
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 659,379 541,593 12 659,379 541,593
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 675,493 554,829 13 675,493 554,829
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 692,053 568,431 14 692,053 568,431
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 711,187 584,147 15 711,187 584,147
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 728,829 598,638 16 728,829 598,638
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 747,030 613,587 17 747,030 613,587
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 765,788 628,995 18 765,788 628,995
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 785,183 644,925 19 785,183 644,925
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 805,213 661,377 20 805,213 661,377
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 31,228 25,746 0 31,228 25,746
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 357,028 294,350 1 357,028 294,350
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 390,169 321,673 2 390,169 321,673
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 399,282 329,186 3 399,282 329,186
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 408,654 336,913 4 408,654 336,913
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 418,295 344,861 5 418,295 344,861
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 429,718 354,279 6 429,718 354,279
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 439,896 362,670 7 439,896 362,670
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 450,358 371,295 8 450,358 371,295
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 461,122 380,170 9 461,122 380,170
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 472,197 389,300 10 472,197 389,300
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 483,615 398,714 11 483,615 398,714
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 495,360 408,397 12 495,360 408,397
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 507,465 418,377 13 507,465 418,377
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 519,906 428,634 14 519,906 428,634
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 534,280 440,485 15 534,280 440,485
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 547,534 451,412 16 547,534 451,412
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 561,208 462,685 17 561,208 462,685
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 575,300 474,303 18 575,300 474,303
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 589,870 486,315 19 589,870 486,315
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 604,918 498,722 20 604,918 498,722
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 46,981 38,723 0 46,981 38,723
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 537,129 442,715 1 537,129 442,715
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 586,988 483,810 2 586,988 483,810
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 600,697 495,109 3 600,697 495,109
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 614,798 506,731 4 614,798 506,731
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 629,302 518,686 5 629,302 518,686
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 646,487 532,851 6 646,487 532,851
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 661,799 545,471 7 661,799 545,471
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 677,539 558,444 8 677,539 558,444
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 693,733 571,792 9 693,733 571,792
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 710,394 585,524 10 710,394 585,524
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 727,572 599,682 11 727,572 599,682
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 745,241 614,246 12 745,241 614,246
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 763,453 629,257 13 763,453 629,257
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 782,170 644,684 14 782,170 644,684
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 803,795 662,508 15 803,795 662,508
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 823,735 678,943 16 823,735 678,943
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 844,306 695,898 17 844,306 695,898
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 865,507 713,372 18 865,507 713,372
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 887,427 731,439 19 887,427 731,439
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 910,066 750,099 20 910,066 750,099
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC

Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 41,568 34,142 0 41,568 34,142
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 475,244 390,350 1 475,244 390,350
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 519,358 426,585 2 519,358 426,585
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 531,488 436,548 3 531,488 436,548
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 543,964 446,795 4 543,964 446,795
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 556,797 457,336 5 556,797 457,336
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 572,003 469,825 6 572,003 469,825
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 585,550 480,953 7 585,550 480,953
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 599,477 492,392 8 599,477 492,392
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 613,805 504,160 9 613,805 504,160
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 628,546 516,268 10 628,546 516,268
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 643,745 528,752 11 643,745 528,752
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 659,379 541,593 12 659,379 541,593
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 675,493 554,829 13 675,493 554,829
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 692,053 568,431 14 692,053 568,431
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 711,187 584,147 15 711,187 584,147
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 728,829 598,638 16 728,829 598,638
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 747,030 613,587 17 747,030 613,587
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 765,788 628,995 18 765,788 628,995
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 785,183 644,925 19 785,183 644,925
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 805,213 661,377 20 805,213 661,377
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 0 0 0 0 0
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 1,374,034 1,111,594 1 1,374,034 1,111,594
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 1,391,970 1,126,103 2 1,391,970 1,126,103
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 1,402,815 1,134,878 3 1,402,815 1,134,878
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 1,413,882 1,143,830 4 1,413,882 1,143,830
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 1,425,174 1,152,966 5 1,425,174 1,152,966
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 1,436,704 1,162,294 6 1,436,704 1,162,294
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 1,448,480 1,171,820 7 1,448,480 1,171,820
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 1,460,510 1,181,553 8 1,460,510 1,181,553
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 1,472,806 1,191,500 9 1,472,806 1,191,500
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 1,485,378 1,201,671 10 1,485,378 1,201,671
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 1,498,238 1,212,074 11 1,498,238 1,212,074
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 1,498,238 1,212,074 12 1,498,238 1,212,074
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 1,498,238 1,212,074 13 1,498,238 1,212,074
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 1,498,238 1,212,074 14 1,498,238 1,212,074
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 1,498,238 1,212,074 15 1,498,238 1,212,074
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 1,498,238 1,212,074 16 1,498,238 1,212,074
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 1,498,238 1,212,074 17 1,498,238 1,212,074
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 1,498,238 1,212,074 18 1,498,238 1,212,074
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 1,498,238 1,212,074 19 1,498,238 1,212,074
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 1,498,238 1,212,074 20 1,498,238 1,212,074
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-AGUA
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF! #REF! 1 #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF! #REF! 2 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF! #REF! 3 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF! #REF! 4 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF! #REF! 5 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF! #REF! 6 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF! #REF! 7 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF! #REF! 8 #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF! #REF! 9 #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF! #REF! 10 #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF! #REF! 11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF! #REF! 12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF! #REF! 13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF! #REF! 14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF! #REF! 15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF! #REF! 16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF! #REF! 17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF! #REF! 19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF! #REF! 20 #REF! #REF!

COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO COSTOS INCREMENTALES-ALC
Incrmentales
Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Demanda de Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios Costos a Precios
Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Agua Potable Privados (1) Sociales(2) Ao Privados (1) Sociales(2)
(m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (m3/ao) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.) (S/.)
0 693,953 0 0 0 693,953 0 0 0 0 0
1 7,933,953 0 0 1 7,933,953 454,835 367,962 1 454,835 367,962
2 8,670,422 0 0 2 8,670,422 467,037 377,833 2 467,037 377,833
3 8,872,926 0 0 3 8,872,926 473,890 383,377 3 473,890 383,377
4 9,081,205 0 0 4 9,081,205 480,909 389,056 4 480,909 389,056
5 9,295,445 0 0 5 9,295,445 488,099 394,872 5 488,099 394,872
6 9,549,298 0 0 6 9,549,298 495,469 400,834 6 495,469 400,834
7 9,775,461 0 0 7 9,775,461 503,023 406,945 7 503,023 406,945
8 10,007,958 0 0 8 10,007,958 510,770 413,213 8 510,770 413,213
9 10,247,163 0 0 9 10,247,163 518,717 419,642 9 518,717 419,642
10 10,493,260 0 0 10 10,493,260 526,872 426,239 10 526,872 426,239
11 10,746,995 0 0 11 10,746,995 535,244 433,013 11 535,244 433,013
12 11,007,995 0 0 12 11,007,995 535,244 433,013 12 535,244 433,013
13 11,277,007 0 0 13 11,277,007 535,244 433,013 13 535,244 433,013
14 11,553,470 0 0 14 11,553,470 535,244 433,013 14 535,244 433,013
15 11,872,899 0 0 15 11,872,899 535,244 433,013 15 535,244 433,013
16 12,167,433 0 0 16 12,167,433 535,244 433,013 16 535,244 433,013
17 12,471,282 0 0 17 12,471,282 535,244 433,013 17 535,244 433,013
18 12,784,445 0 0 18 12,784,445 535,244 433,013 18 535,244 433,013
19 13,108,228 0 0 19 13,108,228 535,244 433,013 19 535,244 433,013
20 13,442,629 0 0 20 13,442,629 535,244 433,013 20 535,244 433,013
Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

HOJA DE INGRESO DE DATOS

Registrar la informacin solicitada en los siguientes cuadros (celdas en amarillo):


a) Informacin base y parmetros

Localidad LURIN Sin Proyecto Con Proyecto


POBLACIN ACTUAL (habitantes) 22,011 #REF!
NUMERO DE VIVIENDAS 4,753 #REF!
TASA CRECIMIENTO ANUAL DE POBLACION (%) (1) 2.40 2.40
DENSIDAD POR LOTE (hab/lote) (2) 4.631 4.631
PORCENTAJE DE PRDIDAS (3) 40% 25%
MICROMEDICIN DOMESTICO (%) (4) 14.90% 100%
MICROMEDICIN COMERCIAL INDUSTRIAL (%) 39.85% 100%
POBLACIN ACTUAL CON CONEXIONES AGUA (red pblica) 12,907 ( 1 al ao )
POBLACIN ACTUAL CON CONEXIONES DESAGUE (red pblica) 4,617
( 2787 x 4.63 = 12907 )
(1) (Proyeccin INEI)
(2) (Determinado por la Encuesta)
(3) (Localidades Similares)
(4) (Estimado)

b) Informacin de proyeccin de cobertura de los servicios

MICROMEDICION (%)

COBERTURA COBERTURA PRDIDAS DE COMERCIAL


AO
AGUA (%) DESAGUE (%) AGUA (%) INDUSTRIAL
DOMESTICO
SOCIAL
ESTATAL

2006 Base 58.6% 21.0% 40.0% 71.69% 69.23%


2007 A 58.6% 21.0% 40.0% 71.69% 69.2%
2008 0 95.7% 21.0% 40.0% 71.7% 69.2%
2009 1 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2010 2 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2011 3 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2012 4 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2013 5 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2014 6 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2015 7 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2016 8 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2017 9 95.7% 87.0% 25.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2018 10 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2019 11 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2020 12 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2021 13 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2022 14 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2023 15 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2024 16 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2025 17 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2026 18 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2027 19 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2028 20 95.7% 90.0% 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Notas:
Corresponden a valores proyectados por la UF
* Informacin actual (ao cero del proyecto)

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Elaboracin del Proyecto: Gestin Integral para la Recoleccin. Tratamiento
y Disposicin Final de los Residuos Lquidos

c) Informacin de conexiones existentes al ao 2006 por categorias (celdas en amarillo)

CONEXION POR TIPO DE AGUA POTABLE DESAGUE


TIPO DE USUARIO MEDICION No. De Conex. TOTAL Conex. TOTAL Conex.
Domstico Con Medidor 1,985 983
2,769
Sin Medidor 784 0
Comercial Con Medidor 1 1
1
Sin Medidor 0 0
Industrial Con Medidor 0 0
0
Sin Medidor 0 0
Estatal Con Medidor 8 8
12
Sin Medidor 4 0
Social Con Medidor 3 5
5
Sin Medidor 2 0
TOTAL 2,787 997

d) Informacin de consumos percapita por conexion (celdas en amarillo)

DATOS DE CONSUMO POR CONEXIN SEGN CATEGORIAS


(m3/mes/cnx)
DOMESTICO
CONSUMO UNITARIO C/MEDIDOR 17.930
CONSUMO UNITARIO S/MEDIDOR 23.140
COMERCIAL
CONSUMO UNITARIO C/MEDIDOR 54.69
CONSUMO UNITARIO S/MEDIDOR 65.63
INDUSTRIAL
CONSUMO UNITARIO C/MEDIDOR 96.00
CONSUMO UNITARIO S/MEDIDOR 115.20
ESTATAL
CONSUMO UNITARIO C/MEDIDOR 192.80
CONSUMO UNITARIO S/MEDIDOR 231.36
SOCIAL
CONSUMO UNITARIO C/MEDIDOR 130.60
CONSUMO UNITARIO S/MEDIDOR 156.72
CONSUMO DE LOS NO CONECTADOS
CONSUMO DE LOS NO CONECTADOS

e) Parmetros de Diseo (celdas en amarillo)

Caudal Promedio (Qp)

Caudal Mximo Diario (Qmd = K1 * QP) K1 = 1.3

Caudal Mximo Horario (Qmh = K2 * QP) K2 = 2.5

Caudal Bombeo (Qb = Qmd * 24/ # Hb) # Hb = 18

Caudal Promedio Desage (Qpd = K3 * Qp) K3 = 0.8


Caudal Desage (Qd = K3 * Qmh, Qd = K2 * Qpd)

CADUCEO Consultores S.A


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 7

Caudal Promedio Desage ( Qpd lps ) por Area de

Area Area
A 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Drenaje (Ha)

AD-01 107.29 7.88 7.97 8.43 9.07 9.73 10.43 11.12 11.24 11.37 11.50
AD-02 y
394.17 20.61 20.72 18.87 18.98 19.08 19.18 19.31 19.48 19.59 19.70
AD-03
AD-04 144.76 2.48 2.53 2.31 2.51 2.71 2.92 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.29

TOTAL 646.21 30.97 31.22 29.61 30.56 31.52 32.53 33.57 33.92 34.20 34.49

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 7

dio Desage ( Qpd lps ) por Area de Drenaje

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

11.64 11.83 11.96 12.09 12.22 12.38 12.51 12.64 12.77 12.90 13.03

19.80 19.94 20.05 20.15 20.26 20.38 20.52 20.62 20.74 20.85 20.99

3.34 3.39 3.44 3.49 3.54 3.59 3.64 3.69 3.74 3.79 3.84

34.78 35.16 35.45 35.73 36.02 36.35 36.67 36.96 37.25 37.54 37.86

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 5

Cuadro de Demanda de Volumen de Almacenami

Sector Datos / Ao Base 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Sector 01 Area (Ha) 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99
RP-01 Poblacin (hab) 10,776 10,928 11,079 11,230 11,381 11,532 11,683 11,835 11,986
Qp (lps) 16.50 16.83 17.03 15.83 16.38 16.95 17.56 18.15 18.74
Qmd (lps) 21.45 21.88 22.14 20.58 21.29 22.04 22.83 23.60 24.36
Qmh (lps) 33.00 33.66 34.06 31.66 32.76 33.90 35.12 36.30 37.48
Volumen (m3) 406 414 418 392 404 416 429 442 455

Sector 02 y 03 Area (Ha) 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48
RE-01 Poblacin (hab) 18,192 18,299 18,406 18,513 18,621 18,730 18,840 18,950 19,061
Qp (lps) 43.37 43.54 43.78 32.91 33.09 33.28 33.46 33.69 33.98
Qmd (lps) 56.38 56.60 56.91 42.78 43.02 43.26 43.50 43.80 44.17
Qmh (lps) 86.74 87.08 87.56 65.82 66.18 66.56 66.92 67.38 67.96
Volumen (m3) 987 990 996 761 765 769 773 778 784

Sector 04 Area (Ha) 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19
RE-02 Poblacin (hab) 3,122 3,180 3,239 3,297 3,355 3,413 3,472 3,530 3,588
Qp (lps) 5.28 5.38 5.46 4.37 4.55 4.74 4.93 5.12 5.31
Qmd (lps) 6.86 6.99 7.10 5.68 5.92 6.16 6.41 6.66 6.90
Qmh (lps) 10.56 10.76 10.92 8.74 9.10 9.48 9.86 10.24 10.62
Volumen (m3) 164 166 168 144 148 152 156 161 165

TOTAL Area (Ha) 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66
SECTORES Poblacin (hab) 32,090 32,407 32,724 33,040 33,357 33,675 33,995 34,315 34,635
01, 02, 03 y 04 Qp (lps) 65.15 65.75 66.27 53.11 54.02 54.97 55.95 56.96 58.03
Qmd (lps) 84.70 85.48 86.15 69.04 70.23 71.46 72.74 74.05 75.44
Qmh (lps) 130.30 131.50 132.54 106.22 108.04 109.94 111.90 113.92 116.06
Volumen (m3) 1557 1570 1582 1297 1317 1337 1358 1381 1404
Oferta (m3) #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Dficit / Supervit #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 5

nda de Volumen de Almacenamiento por Sectores

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99
12,137 12,288 12,439 12,591 12,742 12,893 13,044 13,195 13,346 13,498 13,649 13,800
19.34 19.96 20.38 20.71 20.94 21.17 21.40 21.67 21.91 22.13 22.36 22.59
25.14 25.95 26.49 26.92 27.22 27.52 27.82 28.17 28.48 28.77 29.07 29.37
38.68 39.92 40.76 41.42 41.88 42.34 42.80 43.34 43.82 44.26 44.72 45.18
468 481 490 497 502 507 512 518 523 528 533 538

478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48
19,172 19,284 19,397 19,510 19,624 19,739 19,854 19,971 20,087 20,205 20,323 20,442
34.16 34.36 34.54 34.78 34.96 35.16 35.35 35.55 35.78 35.97 36.17 36.37
44.41 44.67 44.90 45.21 45.45 45.71 45.96 46.22 46.51 46.76 47.02 47.28
68.32 68.72 69.08 69.56 69.92 70.32 70.70 71.10 71.56 71.94 72.34 72.74
788 792 796 801 805 809 814 818 823 827 831 836

150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19
3,646 3,705 3,763 3,821 3,879 3,938 3,996 4,054 4,112 4,171 4,229 4,287
5.51 5.72 5.86 5.96 6.04 6.13 6.22 6.30 6.39 6.48 6.57 6.66
7.16 7.44 7.62 7.75 7.85 7.97 8.09 8.19 8.31 8.42 8.54 8.66
11.02 11.44 11.72 11.92 12.08 12.26 12.44 12.60 12.78 12.96 13.14 13.32
169 174 177 179 180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194

734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66
34,955 35,277 35,599 35,922 36,245 36,570 36,894 37,220 37,545 37,874 38,201 38,529
59.01 60.04 60.78 61.45 61.94 62.46 62.97 63.52 64.08 64.58 65.10 65.62
76.71 78.05 79.01 79.89 80.52 81.20 81.86 82.58 83.30 83.95 84.63 85.31
118.02 120.08 121.56 122.90 123.88 124.92 125.94 127.04 128.16 129.16 130.20 131.24
1425 1447 1463 1477 1487 1498 1510 1522 1534 1545 1556 1568
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 2 no imprimir

CALCULO DE LA TARIFA PROMEDIO DE LARGO PLAZO


ALTERNATIVA 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Inversin Factor de
Total a Actualizacin
Poblacin Produccin de % de Consumo Costos de OM a Total Costos a
Aos precios
Total agua (m3/ao) Prdidas (m3/ao) precios privados precios privados
privados
(S/.) 11%

0 #REF! 40% #REF! 5,537,052 0 5,537,052 1.000


1 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 1,409,985 4,896,541,054 4,897,951,039 0.901
2 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 413,530 #REF! #REF! 0.812
3 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 419,588 #REF! #REF! 0.731
4 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 421,820 #REF! #REF! 0.659
5 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 394,084 #REF! #REF! 0.593
6 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 165,485 #REF! #REF! 0.535
7 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 170,681 #REF! #REF! 0.482
8 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 176,550 #REF! #REF! 0.434
9 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 182,083 #REF! #REF! 0.391
10 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 134,101 #REF! #REF! 0.352
11 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1,206,106 #REF! #REF! 0.317
12 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 187,841 #REF! #REF! 0.286
13 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 152,311 #REF! #REF! 0.258
14 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 77,708 #REF! #REF! 0.232
15 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 78,074 #REF! #REF! 0.209
16 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 78,074 #REF! #REF! 0.188
17 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 46,760 #REF! #REF! 0.170
18 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 47,279 #REF! #REF! 0.153
19 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 47,279 #REF! #REF! 0.138
20 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! 0.124
11,346,390 #REF! VALOR ACTUAL

CIP (I+OM ) #REF! '= S/ #REF! por M3 1.70


#REF!

CIP ( OM ) #REF! = S/ #REF! por M3 0.22


#REF!

ANALISIS DE LA CAPACIDAD DE PAGO Y REQUERIMIENTOS DE SUBSIDIOS

Limite de Esta dentro


'Pago / conex./mes por
Soles por
COSTOS UNITARIOS/M3 consumo de 17.93 m3 Capacidad de Capacidad
M3
(Soles)** Pago (Soles)*** Pago ??

Costo Unitario de O & M #REF! #REF! 18 #REF!


Costo Unitario de Inv + O & M #REF! #REF! 18 #REF!
** El consumo de 17.93 m3 corresponde al consumo/mes familia con micromedicin segn el estudio de demanda del caso
*** Lmite de capacidad de pago / conexin: S/ 600 x 0.05 = S/ 18
**** Lmite de capacidad de pago / conexin: S/ m3 1.00

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 2 no imprimir

DE LA TARIFA PROMEDIO DE LARGO PLAZO


ALTERNATIVA 1

10 11 12
ValorPrivados
Precios Actual
Costos de
Inversin OM Consumos
Precios Privados (Soles)
(Soles)

5,537,052 0 #REF!
4,412,568,504 4,411,298,247 #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF!

Subsidio
(S/mes)
por conexin

#REF!

#REF!
omedicin segn el estudio de demanda del caso

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


HASTA AQU
Cuadro N 1

CUADRO PARA EL INGRESO DE INFORMACION BASE PARA REALIZAR LA EVALUACION ECONOMICA DE


SISTEMA DE AGUA POTABLE - ALTERNATIVA 1

Ingresar slo la informacin a) y b) en base a los resultados del Estudio de mercado contenido en el perfil del proyecto:

a) Datos de la situacin sin proyecto

Consumo de los no conectados al sistema


6.00
(m3/mes/vivi.)

Precio econmico del agua para los no


10.00
conectados al sistema (S/./m3)

N de familias actualmente conectadas al glopez:


#REF! Produccin planta existente 30 lps, se
sistema de agua potable
quita las perdidas (1-45%), repartidos
con los 3420 usuarios
Consumo con racionamiento (c medidor) de los =30*86400/1000*30/3420*0,55 =
10.13 12,51 m3/mes/cnx
conectados al sistema (m3/mes/vivi.)

Costos de operacin y mantenimiento de los


sistemas actuales de agua y alcantarillado #REF!
(S/./ao)

Tarifa marginal de la EPS (usuarios sujetos a


1.06
medicin) S/m3
Consumo de saturacin con tarifa marginal cero
(m3/mes/conex) 19.34 OK
19.34 1.33

b) Datos de la situacin con proyecto (donde no corresponda colocar cero)

N de Familias conectadas al servicio Costos de Operacin y


Poblacin Inversin Total a Consumo de Produccin de
Aos Poblacin Total mantenimiento a
Conectada (%) precios privados (S/.) agua (m3/ao) agua (m3/ao)
Total Antiguas Nuevas precios privados

#REF! 0
#REF! #REF! 58.6% #REF! #REF! #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! 0 ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 6,644,380.2 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 101,700.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 105,300.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 108,900.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 108,900.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 113,400.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 114,300.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 119,700.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 121,500.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 125,100.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 126,900.0 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 130,500 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 132,300 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 137,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 138,600 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 144,000 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 146,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 149,400 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 154,800 #REF! #REF! #REF! ###
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 155,700 #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! 162,000 #REF! #REF! #REF!

INGRESO MINIMO FAMILIAR 600 Soles PRODUC PROMEDIO (M3) #REF!


3.00% COSTO PROM.DE O&M C-P #REF!
DISPOSICION A PAGAR LOS SERVICIOS
18.00 Soles COSTO (S/M3) DE AGUA PRODUC. #REF!
Cuadro N 3
ALTERNATIVA UNICA

I + II ETAPA
I. Curva de la Demanda y Beneficios Econmicos para NUEVOS USUARIOS

1. Estimacin de la curva de demanda de agua

nuevos usuarios
Variable cantidad Variable precio
cantidad (S/.) Precio (S/./m3)

Precio mximo al cual no se


0 14.50 demandaria agua potable
curva:
Precio econmico del agua
Consumo de los no conectados
al sistema (m3/mes/vivi.)
6.00 10.00 para los no conectados al Q = 19.34 -1.33 P
sistema (S/./m3)
Consumo segn tarifa de EPS o
propuesta (m3/mes/vivi.)
17.93 1.060 Tarifa de la EPS o propuesta

Consumo de saturacin con


tarifa marginal cero 19.34 0.0
(m3/mes/vivi.)

CURVA DE DEMANDA Y BENEFICIOS ECONOMICOS PARA NUEVOS USUARIOS

16.00
Recursos
14.50
14.00 liberados

12.00

10.00 10.00
Area de beneficios
P (S/./m3)

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00
1.06
0.00 0.00
0 5 6.0 10 15 20 usuario no sujeto
25
Q (m3/usuario/mes) a medicin=19.34
usuario sujeto a
medicin=17.93

2. Estimacin de los beneficios de nuevos usuarios


2.1 Usuarios sujetos a micromedicin
a. Beneficios por recursos liberados 60.00 (S/. / fam/mes)
b. Beneficios por incremento del consumo de agua 65.97 (S/. / fam/mes)
c. Beneficios brutos totales 125.97 (S/. / fam/mes)
Cuadro N 4
ALTERNATIVA UNICA

I + II ETAPA
II. Curva de la Demanda y Beneficios Econmicos para USUARIOS ANTIGUOS

1. Estimacin de la curva de demanda de agua

nuevos usuarios
Variable cantidad Variable precio
cantidad (S/.) Precio (S/./m3)
Precio mximo al cual no se
0 14.50 demandaria agua potable
(S/./m3)
Precio econmico del agua
Consumo de los conectados al
sistema (m3/mes/vivi.)
10.1 6.90 para los conectados segn
curva de demanda (S/./m3)
Consumo segn tarifa de EPS o Tarifa de la EPS o propuesta
propuesta (m3/mes/vivi.)
17.9 1.060 (S/./m3)

Consumo de saturacin con tarifa


marginal cero (m3/mes/vivi.)
19.34 0

CURVA DE DEMANDA Y BENEFICIOS ECONOMICOS PARA USUARIOS ACTUALES

16.00
14.50
14.00

12.00
Area de
beneficios
10.00
P (S/./m3)

8.00
6.90
6.00

4.00

2.00
1.06
0.00 0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25
Q (m3/usuario/mes) 10.13 17.34

2. Estimacin de los beneficios usuarios antiguos


2.1 Beneficios por incremento del consumo de agua 31.04 (S/. / fam/mes)
Cuadro N 2

CALCULO DE LA TARIFA PROMEDIO DE LARGO PLAZO


ALTERNATIVA 2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Valor Actual
Factor de Precios Privados
Inversin Actualizacin
Poblacin Produccin de % de Consumo Costos de OM a Total Costos a Costos de Inversin
Aos Total a precios Consumos
Total agua (m3/ao) Prdidas (m3/ao) precios privados precios privados OM Precios
privados (S/.) (Soles)
9% Privados (Soles)

0 #REF! 40% #REF! 18,853,897 #REF! #REF! 1.000 #REF! #REF! #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 196,620 #REF! #REF! 0.917 #REF! #REF! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 203,580 #REF! #REF! 0.842 #REF! #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 210,540 #REF! #REF! 0.772 #REF! #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 210,540 #REF! #REF! 0.708 #REF! #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 219,240 #REF! #REF! 0.650 #REF! #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 220,980 #REF! #REF! 0.596 #REF! #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 231,420 #REF! #REF! 0.547 #REF! #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 234,900 #REF! #REF! 0.502 #REF! #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 241,860 #REF! #REF! 0.460 #REF! #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 245,340 #REF! #REF! 0.422 #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 252,300 #REF! #REF! 0.388 #REF! #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 255,780 #REF! #REF! 0.356 #REF! #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 266,220 #REF! #REF! 0.326 #REF! #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 267,960 #REF! #REF! 0.299 #REF! #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 278,400 #REF! #REF! 0.275 #REF! #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 283,620 #REF! #REF! 0.252 #REF! #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 288,840 #REF! #REF! 0.231 #REF! #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 299,280 #REF! #REF! 0.212 #REF! #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 301,020 #REF! #REF! 0.194 #REF! #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 313,200 #REF! #REF! 0.178 #REF! #REF! #REF!
23,875,537 #REF! VALOR ACTUAL #REF! #REF! #REF!

CIP (I+ OM ) #REF! '= S/ #REF! por M3


#REF!

CIP ( OM ) #REF! = S/ #REF! por M3


#REF!

ANALISIS DE LA CAPACIDAD DE PAGO Y REQUERIMIENTOS DE SUBSIDIOS


ALTERNATIVA 2

'Pago / conex./mes por Limite de Esta dentro Subsidio


Soles por
COSTOS UNITARIOS/M3 consumo de 17.93
M3
m3 (Soles)**
'Pago / conex./mes por
Soles por
COSTOS UNITARIOS/M3 consumo de 17.93 Capacidad de Capacidad (S/mes)
M3
m3 (Soles)** Pago (Soles)*** Pago ?? por conexin

Costo Unitario de O & M #REF! #REF! 18.00 #REF! #REF!


Costo Unitario de Inv + O & M #REF! #REF! 18 #REF! #REF!
** El consumo de 17.93 m3 corresponde al consumo/mes familia con micromedicin segn el estudio de demanda del caso
*** Lmite de capacidad de pago / conexin: S/ 600 x 0.03 = S/ 18
**** Lmite de capacidad de pago / conexin: S/ m3 1.004
EVALUACION ECONOMICA DE SISTEMA DE AGUA POTABLE
ALTERNATIVA 1

1 2 3 4a 4b 4c 5a 5b 5c 6 7 8 9 10 11
N Familias Conectadas al Servicio Beneficios Brutos (S/.ao) Costos de
Poblacin Inversin Total Produccin Factor de Valor actual del
Poblacin Operacin y Flujo neto a descuento
Aos Conectada a precios de agua flujo neto a
Total Antiguas Nuevas Total Antiguas Nuevas Total mantenimiento precios sociales
(%) sociales (S/.) (m3/ao) precios sociales
incrementales 11%

0 4,719,003 0 -4,719,003 1.000 -4,719,003

1 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 99,853 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.901 #REF!

2 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 103,387 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.812 #REF!

3 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 106,922 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.731 #REF!

4 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 106,922 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.659 #REF!

5 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 111,340 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.593 #REF!

6 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 112,224 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.535 #REF!

7 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 117,526 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.482 #REF!

8 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 119,293 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.434 #REF!

9 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 122,828 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.391 #REF!

10 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 124,595 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.352 #REF!

11 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 128,130 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.317 #REF!

12 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 129,897 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.286 #REF!

13 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 135,199 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.258 #REF!

14 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 136,083 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.232 #REF!

15 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 141,385 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.209 #REF!
16 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 144,035 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.188 #REF!
17 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 146,686 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.170 #REF!
18 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 151,988 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.153 #REF!
19 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 152,872 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.138 #REF!
20 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 159,058 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.124 #REF!

#REF! VAN SOCIAL #REF!


TIR SOCIAL #REF!
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliacin
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junn

Cuadro N 7

ANALISIS DE RIESGO - EVALUACION FINANCIERA


ALTERNATIVA 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Inversin Costos de
Produccin Volumen Tarifa Total a Operacin y
Poblacin Porcentaje Beneficios Total Costos a Beneficio
Aos de agua Facturado 1.41 precios mantenimiento
Total de Prdidas Financieros precios privados Financiero Neto
(m /ao)
3
(m3/ao) privados a precios
(S/. m3) (S/.) privados
0 4,795,729 4,795,729 -4,795,729
1 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 1,004,354 4,896,541,054 4,897,545,408 #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 767,875 #REF! #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 683,623 #REF! #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 364,575 #REF! #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 370,445 #REF! #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 214,539 #REF! #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 221,704 #REF! #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 228,924 #REF! #REF! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 200,309 #REF! #REF! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 174,360 #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 907,453 #REF! #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 163,538 #REF! #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 164,058 #REF! #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 97,508 #REF! #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 98,294 #REF! #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 98,294 #REF! #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 46,760 #REF! #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 47,279 #REF! #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!

VAN (f) #REF!


TIR (f) #REF!

Consorcio Tres C
Cuadro N 5

EVALUACION ECONOMICA DE SISTEMA DE AGUA POTABLE


ALTERNATIVA 1

1 2 3 4a 4b 4c 5a 5b 5c 6 7 8 9 10 11
N Familias Conectadas al Servicio Beneficios Brutos (S/.ao) Costos de
Poblacin Inversin Total Produccin Factor de Valor actual del
Poblacin Operacin y Flujo neto a descuento
Aos Conectada a precios de agua flujo neto a
Total Antiguas Nuevas Total Antiguas Nuevas Total mantenimiento precios sociales
(%) privados (S/.) (m3/ao) precios sociales
incrementales 9%

0 6,644,380 0 -6,644,380 1.000 -6,644,380

1 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 101,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.917 #REF!

2 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 105,300 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.842 #REF!

3 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 108,900 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.772 #REF!

4 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 108,900 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.708 #REF!

5 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 113,400 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.650 #REF!

6 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 114,300 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.596 #REF!

7 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 119,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.547 #REF!

8 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 121,500 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.502 #REF!

9 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 125,100 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.460 #REF!

10 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 126,900 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.422 #REF!

11 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 130,500 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.388 #REF!

12 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 132,300 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.356 #REF!

13 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 137,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.326 #REF!

14 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 138,600 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.299 #REF!

15 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 144,000 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.275 #REF!
16 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 146,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.252 #REF!
17 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 149,400 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.231 #REF!
18 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 154,800 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.212 #REF!
19 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 155,700 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.194 #REF!
20 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 162,000 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.178 #REF!

#REF! VAN PRIVADO #REF!


TIR PRIVADO #REF!
Cuadro N 6 Cuadro N 6

ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD DEL SISTEMA DE AGUA POTABLE Alternativa 1: Anlisis de S


Prin
ALTERNATIVA 1

1 2 3 4a 4b 4c 5a 5b 5c 6 7 8 9 10 11 VAN (s)
N Familias Conectadas al Servicio Beneficios Brutos (S/.ao) #REF!
Costos de Factor de
Poblacin Inversin Total a descuento Valor actual del
Poblacin Produccin de Operacin y Flujo neto a precios
Aos Conectada precios sociales flujo neto a
Total agua (m3/ao) mantenimiento sociales ESCENARIOS D
(%) Antiguas Nuevas Total Antiguas Nuevas Total (S/.) precios sociales
incrementales
11% Escen. 1.-Incremento

0 4,719,003 0 -4,719,003 1.000 -4,719,003 Incremento

1 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 99,853 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.901 #REF! 0.00%
2 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 103,387 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.812 #REF! #REF!
3 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 106,922 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.731 #REF! #REF!
4 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 106,922 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.659 #REF! #REF!
5 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 111,340 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.593 #REF! #REF!
6 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 112,224 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.535 #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 117,526 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.482 #REF! #REF!
8 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 119,293 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.434 #REF! Escen. 2.- Dismin
9 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 122,828 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.391 #REF! Disminucin

10 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 124,595 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.352 #REF! 0.00%
11 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 128,130 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.317 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 129,897 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.286 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 135,199 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.258 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 136,083 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.232 #REF! Escen. 3.- Incremento
15 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 141,385 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.209 #REF! Incremento
16 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 144,035 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.188 #REF! 0.00%
17 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 146,686 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.170 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 151,988 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.153 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 152,872 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.138 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! 95.7% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 159,058 #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.124 #REF! #REF!
#REF! 5,657,554.7 #REF! #REF!
#REF!
#REF! VAN SOCIAL #REF! #REF!
#REF! TIR SOCIAL #REF! FUENTE: Elaboracin del
#REF! MAX INCR DE INVERSION
#REF! #REF! MAX REDUCCION DE BENEFICIOS #REF!
Cuadro N 6A

Alternativa 1: Anlisis de Sensibilidad en las Variables


Principales

TIR (s)
#REF!

ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD
Escen. 1.-Incremento de Costos de Inversin

VAN (s) TIR (s)

#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
0 11.0%
Escen. 2.- Disminucin de Beneficios
VAN (f) TIR (f)

#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
0 11.0%
Escen. 3.- Incremento Costos de Oper. y Mant.
VAN (f) TIR (f)

#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF!
#REF! #VALUE!
#REF! #VALUE!
0 11.0%
FUENTE: Elaboracin del Consultor
#REF! #REF!
VAN (f) TIR (f)
Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 8 no imprimir

FLUJO DE CAJA PROYECTADO - EVALUACION FINANCIERA


ALTERNATIVA 1

MUNICIPIO: SERVICIO DE AGUA POTABLE Y ALCANTARILLADO **

RUBROS 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

I INGRESOS DE OPERACION #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Volumen Consumido (m3/ao) #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Tarifa /S/ m3) 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.06 1.06

% Morosidad 55% 49% 43% 37% 25% 24% 23%

Ingresos por Tarifas #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Otros

II EGRESOS DE OPERACION 0 4,896,541,054 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Costos de O y M situacin con proyecto 4,896,541,054 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

III SALDO OPERATIVO 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

IV GASTOS DE CAPITAL 5,537,052 1,963,610 967,155 973,213 975,444 947,709 719,109 724,305

Presupuesto de inversiones 5,537,052 1,409,985 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681

Reposicin activos existentes*** 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625

V INGRESOS DE CAPITAL 4,983,347 1,268,987 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681

Fondos Electroandes y otros 4,983,347 1,268,987 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681

0 SALDO**** -553,705 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!


Nota: Si no existe una Unidad de gestin independiente para los servicios de agua y alcantarillado se requiere efectuar una estimacin de las cifras para este
Flujo de caja proyectado, Tasa VAN (9 %)
** Este formato ser utilizado tambin para el flujo de caja de cada uno de los proyectos cuya operacin
y mantenimeinto estar a cargo de la EPS, una vez ejecutada las inversiones..
*** Fondo para reponer los activos existentes
**** Aportes de la Municipalidad

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N 8 no imprimir

CAJA PROYECTADO - EVALUACION FINANCIERA


ALTERNATIVA 1

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06

22% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 16%

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

730,175 735,707 687,726 1,759,730 741,465 705,935 631,333 631,698 631,698

176,550 182,083 134,101 1,206,106 187,841 152,311 77,708 78,074 78,074

553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625

176,550 182,083 134,101 1,206,106 187,841 152,311 77,708 78,074 78,074

176,550 182,083 134,101 1,206,106 187,841 152,311 77,708 78,074 78,074

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

VANP #REF!
TIR #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliacin
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junn

Cuadro N 14

ANALISIS DE RIESGO - EVALUACION FINANCIERA


ALTERNATIVA 2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Inversin Costos de
Produccin Volumen Tarifa Total a Operacin y
Poblacin Porcentaje Beneficios Total Costos a Beneficio
Aos de agua Facturado 1.46 precios mantenimiento
Total de Prdidas Financieros precios privados Financiero Neto
(m3/ao) (m3/ao) privados a precios
(S/. m3) (S/.) privados
0 9,595,048 9,595,048 -9,595,048
1 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! 40% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! 2,611,478 #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! 20% #REF! 1.46 #REF! #VALUE! #VALUE! #REF!

VAN (f) #REF!


TIR (f) #REF!

Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliacin
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junn

Cuadro N27

ANALISIS DE RIESGO A PRECIOS SOCIALES - ALTERNATIVA N1


FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
A. Total de Beneficios 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
B. Total de costos de inversin 4,719,003 99,853 103,387 106,922 106,922 111,340 112,224 117,526 119,293 122,828 124,595 128,130 129,897 135,199 136,083 141,385 144,035
C. Total de costos de operacin y manten incr. 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Flujo de caja social (A - B - C ) -4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Factor de Actualizacin 1.000 0.877 0.769 0.675 0.592 0.519 0.456 0.400 0.351 0.308 0.270 0.237 0.208 0.182 0.160 0.140 0.123
Tasa de descuento 0.14
VP de los flujos - 4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

VAN #REF!
TIR #REF!
ANALISIS DE RIESGO

ESPERANZA, DESVIACION ESTANDAR Y COEFICIENTE DE VARIABILIDAD

SIMULACIN DE MONTECARLO

incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%

INCREMENTO DE NIVEL DE INVERSION


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.30 0 29
10% 0.50 0.80 30 79
6% 0.20 1.00 80 99

INCREMENTO COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.3 0 29
10% 0.50 0.8 30 79
4% 0.20 1 80 99

COSTOS
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Inversin -4,719,003 -99,853 -103,387 -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595 -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035
Costos de operacin y mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
-4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliacin
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junn

Cuadro N28

ANALISIS DE RIESGO SIMULACIN DE MONTECARLO A PRECIOS SOCIALES - ALTERNATIVA N 1


20

% Increm. Inversin % Inc.P:C.Agua % Inc. Costos Oper. Comerc.


COSTOS AO
N Experimento COSTOS AO 0 COSTOS AO 1 COSTOS AO 2 COSTOS AO 3 COSTOS AO 4 COSTOS AO 5 COSTOS AO 6 COSTOS AO 7 COSTOS AO 8 COSTOS AO 9
N. Aleat Valor N Aleator Valor N Aleator Valor 10
1 18 8% 29 8% 9 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
2 96 6% 81 4% 63 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
3 77 10% 29 8% 24 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
4 58 10% 29 8% 79 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
5 49 10% 91 4% 84 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
6 55 10% 89 4% 23 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
7 47 10% 69 10% 24 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
8 9 8% 27 8% 2 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
9 14 8% 8 8% 10 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
10 95 6% 1 8% 35 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
11 83 6% 90 4% 47 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
12 34 10% 92 4% 40 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
13 68 10% 26 8% 2 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
14 1 8% 55 10% 70 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
15 78 10% 10 8% 15 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
16 92 6% 69 10% 91 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
17 4 8% 93 4% 75 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
18 77 10% 97 4% 42 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
19 11 8% 29 8% 95 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
20 70 10% 27 8% 80 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
21 80 6% 11 8% 63 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
22 32 10% 3 8% 17 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
23 43 10% 66 10% 74 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
24 15 8% 4 8% 30 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
25 58 10% 50 10% 71 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
26 53 10% 47 10% 54 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
27 28 8% 41 10% 14 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
28 82 6% 49 10% 27 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
29 61 10% 68 10% 88 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
30 93 6% 59 10% 43 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
31 66 10% 50 10% 61 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
32 25 8% 42 10% 43 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
33 38 10% 45 10% 36 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
34 74 10% 99 4% 62 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
35 19 8% 95 4% 80 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
36 82 6% 80 4% 81 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
37 17 8% 88 4% 61 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
38 24 8% 12 8% 73 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
39 40 10% 99 4% 95 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
40 89 6% 16 8% 18 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
41 16 8% 48 10% 11 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
42 47 10% 3 8% 57 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
43 25 8% 13 8% 78 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
44 36 10% 31 10% 26 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
45 94 6% 35 10% 12 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
46 81 6% 58 10% 66 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
47 59 10% 39 10% 77 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
48 72 10% 58 10% 58 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
49 78 10% 29 8% 58 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
50 17 8% 75 10% 59 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
51 42 10% 33 10% 60 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
52 21 8% 95 4% 32 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
53 50 10% 49 10% 78 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
54 11 8% 97 4% 40 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
55 54 10% 93 4% 25 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
56 66 10% 74 10% 9 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
57 70 10% 35 10% 46 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
58 18 8% 40 10% 89 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
59 60 10% 95 4% 88 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
60 62 10% 21 8% 62 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
61 63 10% 39 10% 95 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
62 77 10% 88 4% 88 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
63 40 10% 90 4% 83 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
64 60 10% 82 4% 10 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
65 42 10% 80 4% 48 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
66 100 6% 26 8% 78 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
67 68 10% 65 10% 100 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
68 34 10% 10 8% 93 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
69 17 8% 62 10% 89 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
70 66 10% 41 10% 94 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
71 32 10% 32 10% 70 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
72 3 8% 94 4% 76 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
73 86 6% 30 10% 61 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
74 65 10% 39 10% 82 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
75 73 10% 17 8% 69 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
76 79 10% 97 4% 64 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
77 68 10% 19 8% 52 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
78 41 10% 42 10% 19 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
79 44 10% 58 10% 32 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
80 78 10% 58 10% 14 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
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84 46 10% 98 4% 67 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
85 24 8% 49 10% 99 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
86 40 10% 45 10% 20 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
87 92 6% 63 10% 4 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
88 74 10% 46 10% 92 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
89 51 10% 47 10% 58 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
90 93 6% 10 8% 25 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
91 89 6% 49 10% 79 0% -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
92 73 10% 37 10% 77 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
93 64 10% 75 10% 79 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
94 72 10% 92 4% 24 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
95 67 10% 46 10% 41 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
96 74 10% 65 10% 9 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
97 26 8% 83 4% 74 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
98 53 10% 98 4% 41 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
99 60 10% 40 10% 21 0% -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
100 1 8% 54 10% 77 0% -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! -106,922 -106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595

TABLA DE FRECUENCIAS

Frecuencia
Limite Inferior Lmite Superior Marca de Clase Frecuencia Probabilidad Promedio del Rango (Marca Clase-Van)2 F*(Marca Clase-Van)2
Acumulada
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! n=numero de datos 100
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! rango=Lmax-Lmin #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! c=numero de intervalos 5
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! amplitud= #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

ESPERANZA VAN #REF!


DESVIACION ESTANDAR #REF!
COEF.DE VARIABILIDAD #REF!

INTERVALO AL 95% DE CONFIANZA


VAN 1 #REF! LIMITE INFERIOR
VAN 2 #REF! LIMITE SUPERIOR

Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliacin
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junn

Cuadro N28

ANALISIS DE RIESGO SIMULACIN DE MONTECARLO A PRECIOS SOCIALES - ALTERNATIVA N 1

FLUJOS DE CAJA ANUALES


COSTOS AO COSTOS AO COSTOS AO COSTOS AO COSTOS AO COSTOS AO
VAN
11 12 13 14 15 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
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-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,002,143 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,190,903 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 -5,096,523 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! -128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035 #REF!

Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

A
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3
A. Total deBeneficios 4,983,347 #REF! #REF! #REF!
B. Total de costos de inversin 5,537,052 1,963,610 967,155 973,213
C. Total de costos de operacin y manten incr. 0 4,896,541,054 #REF! #REF!
Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento 0 4,896,541,054 #REF! #REF!

Flujo de caja privado (A - B - C ) -553,705 #REF! #REF! #REF!


Factor de Actualizacin 1.000 0.917 0.842 0.772
Tasa de descuento 0.09
VP de los flujos - 553,705 #REF! #REF! #REF!

VAN #REF!
TIR #REF!
ANALISIS DE RIESGO

ESPERANZA, DESVIACION ESTANDAR Y COEFICIENTE DE VARIABILIDAD

SIMULACIN DE MONTECARLO

incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%

INCREMENTO DE NIVEL DE INVERSION


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.30 0 29
10% 0.50 0.80 30 79
6% 0.20 1.00 80 99

INCREMENTO COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.3 0 29
10% 0.50 0.8 30 79
4% 0.20 1 80 99

COSTOS
0 1 2 3
Inversin -5,537,052 -1,963,610 -967,155 -973,213
Costos de operacin y mantenimiento 0 -4,896,541,054 #REF! #REF!
-5,537,052 -4,898,504,663 #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N25

ANALISIS DE RIESGO A PRECIOS PRIVADOS - ALTERNATIVA N1

4 5 6 7 8 9 10
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
975,444 947,709 719,109 724,305 730,175 735,707 687,726
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!


0.708 0.650 0.596 0.547 0.502 0.460 0.422

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-975,444 -947,709 -719,109 -724,305 -730,175 -735,707 -687,726
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

11 12 13 14 15 16
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
1,759,730 741,465 705,935 631,333 631,698 631,698
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!


0.388 0.356 0.326 0.299 0.275 0.252

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

11 12 13 14 15 16
-1,759,730 -741,465 -705,935 -631,333 -631,698 -631,698
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

A
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3
A. Total de Beneficios 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
B. Total de costos de inversin 4,719,003 99,853 103,387 106,922
C. Total de costos de operacin y manten incr. 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
Costos de Operacin y Mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!

Flujo de caja social (A - B - C ) -4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF!


Factor de Actualizacin 1.000 0.877 0.769 0.675
Tasa de descuento 0.14
VP de los flujos - 4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF!

VAN #REF!
TIR #REF!
ANALISIS DE RIESGO

ESPERANZA, DESVIACION ESTANDAR Y COEFICIENTE DE VARIABILIDAD

SIMULACIN DE MONTECARLO

incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%

INCREMENTO DE NIVEL DE INVERSION


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.30 0 29
10% 0.50 0.80 30 79
6% 0.20 1.00 80 99

INCREMENTO COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO


Distribucin de Probabilidad
% DE INCREMENTO Numeros representativos
Probabilidad Acumulada
8% 0.30 0.3 0 29
10% 0.50 0.8 30 79
4% 0.20 1 80 99

COSTOS
0 1 2 3
Inversin -4,719,003 -99,853 -103,387 -106,922
Costos de operacin y mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
-4,719,003 #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

Cuadro N27

ANALISIS DE RIESGO A PRECIOS SOCIALES - ALTERNATIVA N1

4 5 6 7 8 9 10
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
106,922 111,340 112,224 117,526 119,293 122,828 124,595
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!


0.592 0.519 0.456 0.400 0.351 0.308 0.270

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-106,922 -111,340 -112,224 -117,526 -119,293 -122,828 -124,595
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007


Estudio de Factibilidad Mejoramiento y Ampliacin del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja

11 12 13 14 15 16
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
128,130 129,897 135,199 136,083 141,385 144,035
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!


0.237 0.208 0.182 0.160 0.140 0.123

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

11 12 13 14 15 16
-128,130 -129,897 -135,199 -136,083 -141,385 -144,035
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

Consorcio V B Febrero - 2007

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