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Estimation of critical CO2 values when planning the power source in water
desalination: The case of the small Aegean islands
Ioannis C. Karagiannis n, Peter G. Soldatos
Department of Agricultural Economics & Rural Development, Agricultural University of Athens, 75 Iera Odos Street, GR 11855 Athens, Greece
a r t i c l e in fo abstract
Article history: Climate change is one of the most important issues our world faces today and it is responsible for a number of
Received 25 October 2009 natural disasters that threaten human life and existence. Carbon dioxide, produced from almost every energy
Accepted 3 March 2010 consuming activity, is the dominant greenhouse gas responsible for global warming. Water desalination is an
Available online 25 March 2010
energy intensive activity, and when it is powered by conventional energy sources, signicant amounts of CO2
Keywords: are released. For every cubic metre of fresh water produced, there is a 2 kg of CO2 reduction if renewable
Desalination energy sources (RES) are used instead of electricity from the local grid. On the other hand, the cost of fresh
Renewables water produced by desalination is much less if conventional sources of energy are used.
Carbon dioxide Making appropriate policy choices require information on both costs and benets. So here we estimate
the critical CO2 cost, above which desalination units should use renewable energy instead of conventional
energy sources. It was found that the critical CO2 emissions cost can be close to the CO2 capture cost and in
many cases less than the penalties imposed by the European Commission. Several case studies of water
desalination in the Aegean islands verify the conclusions.
& 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
n 1
Corresponding author. Tel. +30 210 5294768; fax +30 210 5294776. The recovery factor is the ratio of fresh water output over the volume of
E-mail address: i.karagiannis@aua.gr (I.C. Karagiannis). water input.
0301-4215/$ - see front matter & 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.009
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3892 I.C. Karagiannis, P.G. Soldatos / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 38913897
Fernandez-Alba compared two different desalination systems, one only conventional energy source is used (h/m3), c2 the CO2 cost
using brackish water and the other seawater. It was found that the valuation (h/t), qR the quantity of CO2 produced from the
one that uses brackish water has signicantly lower (almost 50%) renewable source of energy, (t/m3) and qC the quantity of CO2
environmental impact due to lower electricity requirements produced from the conventional source of energy, (t/m3).
(Munoz and Fernandez-Alba, 2008). When both environmental and nancial costs are considered,
A number of Life Cycle Assessment studies have been used to the shift from conventional to renewable energy sources is
evaluate the different impacts of polluting categories and evaluation economically feasible if the inequality holds true.
methods of different energy providing systems and desalination Therefore, one may calculate the critical CO2 value (c2), above
methods. Raluy et al. (Raluy et al., 2006; Raluy et al., 2005a, b; Raluy which RES is nancially attractive, by solving the equation
et al., 2004), compare the most commonly used desalination
CR CC
technologies (multistage ash, multieffect evaporation and reverse c2 1
qC qR
osmosis) and draw three main conclusions. First, the environmental
load associated with the operation stage is much higher than in the The higher the cost or the amount of CO2 generated by the
assembly and disposal stage, due to high energy requirements of conventional energy source, the more attractive the RES appears
desalination processes. Furthermore, reverse osmosis technology has to be. When the cost differential of renewable to conventional
a much lower environmental load due to higher efciency and 5 to 6 systems is sufciently small as compared to the difference of CO2
times lower energy consumption. Finally, the airborne emissions generated quantities by the two systems, or when the value of
obtained from an electricity production system based on renewable CO2 exceeds this ratio, RES-driven water desalination becomes
energy sources can be even 70 times lower than those obtained when economically viable.
the electricity production system is burning fossil fuels. The total annual cost of a conventional energy water
desalination system consists of the cost of the unit itself (annual
equivalent cost) plus the cost of electricity (or other form of
3. Methodology for the estimation of critical CO2 emissions energy) required for the desalination
cost
CC DC a1
n,i ce qe
Grid electricity generated mainly from coal or heavy fuel is the where DC is the purchase cost of the water desalination unit to be
dominant energy source for small desalination units in Greek used with conventional energy source, net of any associated subsidy
islands. Therefore, the consumption of a marginal unit of grid (h/m3), ce the electricity cost as charged to consumers (h/kWh), qe the
electricity is associated with signicant airborne emissions. On specic energy consumption (kWh/m3), i the interest rate, n the
the other hand, grid electricity is practically uninterruptible and number of years of the economic life of the desalination unit D and an,i
cheap in contrast with the intermittent electricity produced by the annuity present value factor 11 in =i for the estimation of
photovoltaic cells and wind mills. The solution of autonomous the annual equivalent capital cost of the desalination unit.
desalination systems based on renewable energy is more
expensive, but less harmful to the environment, and it is of
3.1. Autonomous (RES-driven) desalination systems
interest to compare costs and benets of different desalination
methods by considering the environmental implications as well.
When comparing different energy supply sources for water The cost of an autonomous (only renewable energy) system
desalination, it is necessary to internalise the cost of CO2 has no energy consumption cost component, but it is charged
emissions in cost-benet calculations. One way of introducing with the cost of a generally more powerful desalination equip-
CO2 in the analysis is by adding the cost of pollution to the cost of ment and the cost of the RES unit (R), which is required for the
desalination process as follows: installation.
CR c2 qR o CC c2 qC CR DR a1 1
n,i R ar,i
where CR is the total fresh water desalination cost when only RES where DR is the purchase cost of water desalination unit to be
is used (h/m3), CC the total fresh water desalination cost when used with the RES, net of any associated subsidy (h/m3), R the
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I.C. Karagiannis, P.G. Soldatos / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 38913897 3893
purchase cost of RES net of any associated subsidy (h/m3), n,r are Table 1
the number of years of the economic life of the desalination and Emissions from different energy sources.
the renewable energy units, respectively.
Technology Emissions (gCO2/kWh) References
An autonomous desalination system powered only by renew-
able source(s) will have to be more powerful than the corre- Oil burning electricity 742 Hondo (2005)
sponding conventional system, if it has to deliver similar amounts generation stations
of fresh water per year. For example, if the RES is available 25% of 880 Jungbluth (2005)
942 Stoppato (2008)
the time, the desalination unit will have to be roughly four times
more powerful than the unit in a similar grid electricity-driven Photovoltaic panels 2143 Fthenakis et al. (2008)
system.2 41.7 Bernal-Agustin and
Dufo-Lopez (2006)
Both autonomous and conventional desalination systems also 2653.4 Hondo (2005)
have maintenance and other expenses, the difference of which 39110 Jungbluth (2005)
is usually small and for simplicity are omitted here.3 104 Pehnt (2006)
4
AUDESSY is a decision support tool that can estimate with some precision
2
The size of RES (solar PV or wind generator) depends upon solar and wind the water desalination unit sizing and cost for systems using renewable energy
potential. Here, we assume an appropriate size to match the capacity of the sources. The software has been developed by Agricultural University of Athens,
desalination machine. within the framework of the ADIRA project (partially funded by the EC).
3 5
The reference is for similar desalinated water quantities and site installation. The CO2-eq is calculated based on the global warming potential of
Hence, chemicals, membranes, lters, labor, insurance and any other maintenance greenhouse gases (GHG). The six GHGs considered by the UNFCC are CO2, CH4,
costs may appear slight differences. N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6.
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3894 I.C. Karagiannis, P.G. Soldatos / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 38913897
However, others found that gas emissions for an oil plant can Table 2
reach 880 gCO2-eq/kWh (Jungbluth, 2005) and other calculations CO2 emissions from a reverse osmosis desalination unit using several energy
sources
are indicating even higher values, reaching 942 gCO2/kWh
Source: (Karagiannis and Freire, 2009)
(Stoppato, 2008).
Technology CO2 emissions (kg/kWh)
Table 3
Data used for the comparison of CO2 emission values from desalination units powered by PV and grid electricity
Desalination unit Desalination unit purchase and installation cost (2.5 m3/hr) DR 35,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
net of subsidies
Desalination unit purchase and installation cost (0.6 m3/hr) DC 15,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
net of subsidies
Economic life of desalination systems n 20 yr AUDESSY (2007)
Specic energy consumption qe 4 kWh/m3 Karagiannis and Freire
(2009)
Annual water production 3500 m3
Power-generating unit 10 kW Photovoltaic purchase and installation cost net of R 50,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
subsidies (30%)
Economic life of photovoltaic cells r 25 yr AUDESSY (2007)
Interest rate i 5%
Cost of grid electricity ce 0.27 h/kWh RAE (2008)
Emissions from photovoltaic power-generation qR 150 g CO2-eq/ Karagiannis and Freire
life cycle kWh (2009)
Grid electricity emissionsa qC 925 g CO2-eq/ Karagiannis and Freire
kWh (2009)
a
such as those in the Greek islands
The different power plants in each case; Specic energy consumption (kWh/m3)
the different timescale that the plant is built;
the location; Cost of grid electricity 3 4
(h/kWh)
the different equipments that might be used;
the different contracts, guaranties and infrastructure used and 0.150 319.13 183.24
the different cost calculations, e.g. in many studies CO2 0.270 159.13 28.40
compression cost is included, but not CO2 transport and 0.292 129.80 0.02
0.390 0.84 126.43
storage costs, which are outside their scope.
7. Critical CO2 values when photovoltaic panels are used interesting results. Table 4 shows the variation in CO2 emissions
critical value when different costs of electricity and specic
energy consumptions are considered.
Under Greek weather conditions, 10 kWp of photovoltaic cells
In medium to large size Greek islands, where the cost of
will generate an average of 15,000 kWh per year (EC, 2009).
generating grid electricity is 0.15 h/kWh, the critical CO2 emis-
Taking into consideration that the energy requirement for the
sions cost is 183 h/t. On the other hand for smaller islands with
production of 1 m3 is 4 kWh, the nominal amount of fresh water
higher cost of power generation, 0.27 h/kWh, the CO2 emissions
that can be produced is 15,000/4 3750 m3 or, allowing for
critical values drop down to 28 h/t. At an electricity cost higher
breakage and availability, 3500 m3. In this case the required
than 0.29 h/kWh, PV-powered desalination is economic even
autonomous (RES only driven) desalination unit should have a
without considering the benet from the reduction in CO2
capacity of producing at least 2.5 m3/h. In case of a grid connected
emissions. The zero and negative values in both the specic
or hybrid desalination system, the same amount of water can be
energy consumption columns, highlight this point.
produced with a smaller desalination system, with capacity
around 0.6 m3/h, because in this case, the system may operate
almost 24 h a day. Table 3 shows the values used for the
calculation of CO2 emissions critical cost. 8. Estimation of critical CO2 value when wind turbines
Substituting the above values in the previous inequality (2), it are used
is found that in order to operate protably an energy autonomous
system powered by photovoltaic cells instead of grid electricity, Greek wind potential is signicant. In the coastal areas average
the value of CO2 should be higher than 28 h/t. This calculation wind speed is usually around 45 m/s, while in many islands it
includes a 30% subsidy for the RES system (Law3299/2004). can be over 7.5 m/s (Kaldellis and Zarakis, 2007). With the use of
This value is much lower than the nancial penalty that specialised software for the estimation of the amount of
European Commission imposes (100 h/t) on each tonne of CO2-eq electricity that can be produced from the wind, it was found that
that exceeds the annual sum of allowances (EC, 2003). It is also the average electricity production at wind speeds around 4.5 m/s
much lower than the CO2 capture cost, which according to the U.S. is about the same as that from photovoltaics, about 1570 kWh per
Department of Energy (2007), is estimated in the order of 150$ kW of installed capacity (WindCad, 2000). Table 5 shows the
per tonne of CO2. values used for the calculation of CO2 emissions critical cost.
The Greek Regulatory Authority of Energy (RAE, 2008) quotes Application of formula (2) shows that the critical value of CO2
the cost of electricity production, transmission and distribution in is negative for all cases where the cost of electricity is higher than
0.27 h/kWh with regard to local generation of small size islands. 0.16 h/kWh, indicating that wind turbines is already an economic
Other estimations for medium and small size islands are in the proposition for electricity production even if we do not take into
range 0.150.40 h/kWh (Kaldellis and Zarakis, 2007). In order to consideration the signicant environmental gain. This can be
explore different scenarios, the use of different parameters gives attributed mainly to the low capital cost of wind turbines and is
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3896 I.C. Karagiannis, P.G. Soldatos / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 38913897
Table 5
Data used for the comparison of CO2 emission values from desalination units powered by wind turbines and grid electricity
Desalination unit Desalination unit purchase and installation cost (2.33 m3/hr) net of DR 35,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
subsidies
Desalination unit purchase and installation cost (0.58 m3/hr) net of DC 15,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
subsidies
Economic life of desalination systems n 20 yr AUDESSY (2007)
Specic energy consumption qe 4 kWh/m3 Karagiannis and Freire
(2009)
Annual water production 3500 m3
Power-generating unit 9 kW wind turbine purchase and installation cost net of subsidies (30%) R 12,000 h AUDESSY (2007)
Economic life of wind turbines r 20 yr AUDESSY (2007)
Yearly hours of operation 1570 h WindCad (2000)
Interest rate i 5%
Average wind speed 5.3 m/s Kaldellis and Zarakis
(2007)
Cost of grid electricity ce 0.27 h/kWh RAE (2008)
Emissions from wind turbines life qR 24 gCO2-eq/ Karagiannis and Freire
cycle kWh (2009)
Grid electricity emissions qC 925 gCO2-eq/ Karagiannis and Freire
kWh (2009)
fairly high, this is not reected in grid electricity bills, because the
Table 6
Critical values of CO2 emissions of autonomous desalination wind-powered units at PPC is subsidising the cost of electricity to local consumers, thus
different costs of grid electricity making wind electricity less nancially attractive.
In the case of photovoltaic energy, the critical CO2 emissions
Specic energy consumption (kWh/m3)
cost can be close to its price in the carbon market and less than
Cost of grid electricity 3 4 the penalties imposed from the European Commission. In cases of
(h/kWh) high electricity production cost (more than 0.29 h/kWh) as is the
case in many Greek islands, the choice of renewable energy
0.150 74.40 14.18 sources for the production of fresh water is obvious even before
0.163 59.97 0.25
considering the environmental advantage.
0.217 0.04 60.18
0.270 58.78 119.00
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