Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Cover Story
The New Takeover Code
Expert Speak
IFRS
GST: An Overview European Stress Test- Finopedia
Implications, Hurdles A Futile Attempt? Literature review on
& Road Ahead Criticized widely, has the Option Pricing
test achieved its objective?
Volume 1
Edition 1
Preface Contents
Cover Story
16 New Takeover Code
Invested Interest is an attempt to develop and
communicate a perspective on relevant issues
in business and finance. It provides a collation I-2 Times
of the opinions of students, industry
professionals and academicians on diverse
issues. Market Insight
Invested Interest has been written in a lucid 05 India Inc - Cooling Down?
and easy to comprehend language so as to
appeal to a much broader student base. Along
with providing information on the latest ExpertSpeak
developments taking place in the business and 11 IFRS – The Basic Framework
financial world globally, the magazine will help
readers to build an all-roundperspective
towards the issues. FinPoint
The magazine is an endeavour of IIM Indore 19 LAF Contraction by RBI
students. The first edition presents articles
written by industry experts and student 23 GST: An Overview
community at IIM Indore. The magazine is
intended to be a confluence of ideas and 26 CDS: An Indian Perspective
opinions of finance enthusiasts. Going forward,
we plan to invite the articles from the readers 14 Need for Super Regulator
around the world on wide ranging topics to
gather a diverse set of opinions.
FinDepth
We hope your interest in the magazine remains 28 Divestment Targets - Too Ambitious?
invested.
21 Listing Norms for PSUs
FinoPedia
30 Option Pricing: A Literature Review
Crossword
1
Volume 1
Edition 1
India, on the other hand, has shown good resilience towards the global downturn. Team
Indian regulatory authorities have reacted well to the situation and have come up Invested Interest
several changes which will help India to achieve convergence with the global
standards. This will strengthen the Indian business and regulatory environment, Angad Kikla
and invite the foreign investments. The changes in takeover code, GST, IFRS etc
Anshul Bansal
are seen in positive light.
Anshuman Atri
Our first edition covers a host of articles on active issues in the financial domain Anup K Agarwal
with focus on their impact on Indian business environment. The articles collate
the insight of students and the finance professionals. Mr. Naveen Agarwal, Bharat Garg
Director, Ernst and Young India Pvt. Ltd. has given an industry opinion on Rahul Jain
changes in IFRS code in the current edition. ‗Changes in the takeover code‘ Rahul Sachdeva
suggested by Achuthan committee has been an important development in the
last month and has been included as a cover story.
Vaibhav Agarwal
Vipul Bansal
Finopedia represents a unique feature of the magazine which contains an
academic review on financial concepts. ‗Market Insight‘ covers an extensive
research on the performance of Indian business in the last quarter. A brief
overview of the business news in the last month can be referred to in the I-2
section.
We hope this edition makes for an enjoyable and informative reading. Feel free
to send your comments/feedback at investedinterest.iimi@gmail.com.
Regards
2
Volume 1
Edition 1
I2
I-2Times
Times
Vedanta eyes controlling stake in Bharti reports 32 percent decline to anchor investors a day before
Cairn’s India biz in its net profit for the April-June the IPO opens to the public.
Vedanta Resources aims to buy a quarter
controlling stake in oil explorer Bharti Airtel registered a decline of Adani buys coal mine in Australia
Cairn India in the biggest domestic 32 percent in its consolidated net Adani Enterprise (AEL), on
takeover this year, positioning itself profit at `1,682 Crore in its April- Tuesday, acquired the coal mines
as an Indian equivalent of the June quarter. the total income of of Australia's Linc Energy in a cash
world's biggest resource firm. The Bharti Airtel rose by 17.4 percent to and royalty deal worth A$2.9 billion.
London-listed Vedanta Resources `12,231 Crore in the first quarter The Adani group now plans to
will buy 51 percent stake from from `10,414 Crore in the June invest about A$6 billion to create
Cairn UK in the operator of India's quarter last fiscal. Meanwhile, the infrastructure — ports, railway and
largest onshore oil field in company also announced the development of mines — Down
Rajasthan, and offer to buy at least acquisition of Seychelles' leading Under over the next five years.
20 percent of minority holders to telecom operator Telecom
Government lines up 3 more
meet regulatory requirements, a Seychelles Ltd for `288 Crore.
selloffs
person familiar with the
June industrial growth to be in The disinvestment department is
negotiations.
single digits: Economists readying three more state-run firms
RBI issues draft paper on new Economists believe that Indian IIP for equity offers, confident that its
banking licenses growth might have slowed down to formula of attractive pricing will
In the draft guidelines for new single digits in June‘10 after ensure good investor response. It
banking licenses issued by RBI, it expanding in double digits for eight is planning to sell stakes in Coal
has hinted that it may allow months in a row. It is felt that base India Limited (CIL) followed by
industrial and business houses to effect will come in picture which is Hindustan Copper and Power Grid.
set up banks. It has laid out options likely to reduce the growth rate in
PE investment in Indian firms
for the minimum capital required the future also.
crosses $5 bn for 2010
and the extent of promoter
SBI-Macquarie buys stake in Viom Private equity firms have invested
shareholding. Further, it has once
Network over $5 billion in Indian companies
again opened the debate of
so far this year, more than what
NBFC‘s being allowed to convert to SBI-Macquarie Infra Fund has
bought about 11 percent stake in entire 2009 saw. As many as 220
bank or promote a bank.
the Viom Network, formerly known companies saw PE investment
Mahindra set to buy Ssangyong as Quippo-WTTIL, for USD 304 pouring in during the first seven
M&M is set to take control of million. Viom, which now has months of 2010, or between
troubled South Korean auto maker 37,000 towers with 80,000 tenants, January and July, while PE firms
Ssangyong Motor Co. The plans to add up to 25,000 towers in made an exit from 73 other
Company has not disclosed the bid the next two years. companies.
price. Analysts expect that
Anchor investors to buy CIL float RIL to buy 60 percent in US shale
similarities in the product range of
gas JV for $392 mn
both firms would work to M&M‘s The government plans to ask
RIL has entered into a definitive
advantage. M&M‘s immediate anchor investors to support its
share sale in Coal India Ltd, a first transaction agreement to enter into
priority after the acquisition is likely
a Marcellus Shale joint venture with
to revive Ssangyong‘s product for an initial public offering by a
state-owned company. Up to 30 United States-based Carrizo Oil &
portfolio and chalking out a
percent of the portion reserved for Gas, Inc. Reliance will acquire a 60
combined sourcing strategy for
both the firms to pare costs. institutional investors may be sold
3
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percent interest in Marcellus Shale Demographics to slow global
acreage for $392 million. economic growth: PIMCO
Decelerating global population
Stellar results of Tata Motors growth and aging populations in the
Tata Motors reported a net profit of United States and other developed
`1,988.73 Crore for the first quarter economies will slow expansion
ended June 30, 2010, against a over the next five to 10 years. The
loss of `328.78 Crore in the demographic factors will contribute
corresponding quarter last year. to a long period of more feeble
The spectacular results achieved economic growth in developed
can be attributed to turnaround of economies. PIMCO has dubbed
Jaguar Land Rover which has the outlook as "the New Normal,"
turned EBITDA positive for the first which Gross said "will likely impact
time since coming under Tata growth and financial markets for
stable. years to come.
4
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Sensex is trading at close to its 30 month high with a Profit Margin (OPM) declined to 15.3 percent in Q1
P/E close to 21 which is much higher than its long term FY11 from 17 percent Q-o-Q and 15.7 percent Y-o-Y.
average of 14-15. Economists are bullish about the Net Profit Margin (NPM) also declined to 10.5 percent
Indian economy; RBI has raised its forecast for GDP in Q1 FY11 from 11.8 percent Q-o-Q and 11.5 percent
growth this year to 8.5 percent. IMF is even more Y-o-Y.
bullish and has forecasted a GDP growth of 9.5
percent. Increasing Cost Pressures
The dip in margins has also been contributed by
Business confidence in the corporate sector is good increasing employees cost for India Inc. Though, the
which is reflected by HSBC Purchasing Managers‘ employee costs as proportion of sales is lower than
Index (PMI). HSBC PMI for the month of July that of last year, it has been increasing over the last
increased to 57.6 for India as against a drop in June three quarters.
after it touched all time high in the month of May. The
exports have registered positive growth since
48.0% 9.0%
November 2009 which augurs well for the industry.
RM as % of sales
47.0% 8.5%
We carried out a detailed analysis of earnings of 46.0% 8.0%
companies under NSE CNX 100 to evaluate the
performance of India Inc. NSE CNX 100 was chosen 45.0% 7.5%
as it represents more than 70 percent of the market 44.0% 7.0%
capitalization and average traded value is
43.0% 6.5%
approximately 70 percent of the all stocks on NSE. At
the time of writing this article, 96 out of 100 companies
have reported their Q1 numbers.
Raw material Costs as % of sales
Declining Margins Employee Costs as % of sales
Y-o-Y growth in revenues for Q1 FY11 is 22.11
percent. However, the operating and net profit margins
have declined considerably on Q-o-Q basis. Sector Perspective
Automobile companies have recorded a growth of 48
percent in revenues on y-o-y basis. However, the
500.00 18.0% margins have shrunk as auto companies have not
passed on cost increases to consumer to retain market
INR '000 Crores
460.00 16.0%
share. The net profit margins reduced to 8.3 percent
420.00 14.0%
from 9.1 percent in the last quarter. The stupendous
380.00 12.0% growth in auto sector may face deceleration in growth,
340.00 10.0% especially in commercial vehicle segment due to
impending implementation of Euro IV norms in Oct
300.00 8.0% 2010. The implementation and increase in metal prices
will put cost pressures which may force auto makers to
increase prices further and thus impacting the topline
in adverse manner.
Sales OPM NPM
The software sector was able to clock in 12 percent
Increase in raw material prices and fuel prices have growth in top line on y-o-y basis mainly due to revival
led to decline in margins for the India Inc. Operating in demand from western markets. They have been
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able to maintain their margins so far mainly by growth in double digits for eight months in a row till
controlling their personnel costs and several other cost May 2010 will impact the demand for steel.
cutting measures. However, with increase in H1B visa
fees, margins are expected to be adversely impacted. The telecom services sector recorded 16 percent
The future growth in top line will mainly depend on the growth in its revenues but there was significant margin
way in which European debt crisis pans out. erosion on y-o-y basis. The margins reduced to 18.8
percent from 24 percent a year ago. While the top line
Capital Goods sector recorded negative top line growth was driven by increasing telecom penetration
growth of 8.7 percent on y-o-y basis. The net profit in rural area, the margins were badly impacted by the
margins also shrank significantly to 11 percent mainly ongoing price war among the operators. The sector
due to increasing raw material prices. The future witnessed 3G and BWA auctions in the last quarter
growth of this sector is expected to be positive as the where the government mopped up more than `1 lakh
new stringent norms by government for equipment Crore. Telecom operators are expected to roll out 3G
import from China will help the domestic sector services by the end of this year. The growth in this
considerably. Moreover, the high economic growth and sector will mainly be driven by the success of 3G
large order books will give this sector good revenue services.
visibility in the future.
Power sector recorded a modest 6.5 percent growth in
Sales its top line. The margins declined mainly due to
Sectors Jun'09 Mar'10 Jun'10
growth increasing fuel costs over past one year. Government
Automobile 48.6% 4.2% 9.1% 8.3% has increased the prices of gas sold under
Software 12.2% 23.7% 23.3% 22.3% Administered Pricing Mechanism (APM) by more than
Capital 100 percent. This will impact several companies
-8.7% 16% 13% 11% operating gas based power plants as the cost of power
Goods
Steel 13.5% -0.70% 12.30% 8.84% generation is expected to increase by more than 33
percent. The major challenge for the sector will be to
Telecom 16% 24.0% 18.2% 18.8%
secure long term supply of coal/fuel for power plants to
Power 6.5% 18.4% 15.9% 16.6% ensure full utilization of power generation plants. The
Pharma 14.6% 30.4% 32.0% 18.9% sector is expected to have huge capacity additions as
Oil and we are in the last two years of XI five year plan.
2.7% 26.2% 21.1% 22.2%
Gas
Banks 5.2% 11.2% 11.6% 13.6% Pharmaceuticals sector witnessed 14.6 percent
Non growth in revenues in Q1 FY11 on y-o-y basis.
Ferrous 33.7% 9.5% 12.6% 11.4% However, the margins for the sector dropped to 18
Metals percent. Indian Pharmaceuticals industry is witnessing
a slew of acquisitions by major international players as
Steel sector recorded a 13.5 percent growth in they look to enhance their footprint in the country. The
revenues in Q1 FY11 on y-o-y basis. The growth was pharmaceuticals industry is expected to grow at 17-18
driven by increase in prices of steel as well as percent in the next few years which will keep this
increasing volumes. Though the prices have sector in a healthy state.
consistently decreased in the last quarter, they are still
above the last year levels. The sector profit margin Oil and Gas exploration and extraction sector had
increased from -0.7 percent last year to 8.8 percent in almost flat growth of 2.7 percent in revenues on y-o-y
this quarter. The main drivers for this sector would be basis. The major development in the last quarter for
the global economic recovery, especially the European the sector was upward revision of gas prices sold
debt crisis which has helped to limit the rise in steel under APM. This upward revision is expected to
prices. Apart from the global economic recovery, the impact bottom line of companies significantly.
domestic industrial production index which recorded Deregulation of petrol prices and increase in diesel
prices is expected to reduce the subsidy burden on
public sector oil exploration companies.
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Banks drove the performance numbers for the India further increase key policy rates and thus higher
Inc. in Q1 FY11 with sales growth of 5 percent and lending rates in the system.
profit growth of more than 27 percent. The profit
margins also improved on y-o-y and q-o-q basis mainly Secondly, even though the threats from European debt
due to decreasing cost of funds. The credit growth in crisis have receded in the past few weeks, it still poses
the quarter was led by 3G auctions and increasing significant risk to the economy and markets. The
consumer and corporate confidence. global slowdown has led to almost zero rate regime in
west which has led to a lot of speculative money in the
Non Ferrous metals witnessed a strong growth of markets. Thus, any deterioration or tightening of
33.7 percent on y-o-y basis in revenues mainly due to monetary policy in developed economies may lead to
increase in metal prices. Price of copper has increased withdrawal of funds by FIIs from the market.
by more than 30 percent in the last quarter while price
of aluminium has increased by 17 percent in the last Third factor would be the shape of government
quarter. With increasing risk appetite of investors finances. Government has already raised more than
owing to global economic recovery and receding double of the expected amount from 3G auctions and
concerns over the European debt crisis, the price plans to raise `40,000 Crore this financial year through
volatility is expected to increase. The demand for non disinvestment. Fiscal prudence by government will be
ferrous metals is also expected to be driven by one of the major factors which will drive the markets.
automobile sales, power sector, and rural housing
Fourth factor which will determine market direction is
schemes initiated by the government.
actual rainfall vs. the expected level. The met
Key Drivers for Future department has predicted 102 percent of the normal
India Inc. has shown resilience against the global monsoon for the current year. Good monsoon will help
slowdown in the past few quarters. However, there are to tame the inflation and also boost the rural demand.
several threats which are looming over India Inc. which
All the above factors will be critical in determining the
can act as party poopers. Foremost of the threat is
future course of the growth for India Inc. As the last
inflation which has been in double digits for most part
quarter‘s results have shown, all is not well with India
of this year. The persistent high inflation has led RBI to
Inc.‘s performance. The growth rates have moderated
increase repo and reverse repo rates. Though the
and margins have shrunk. With regards to market,
lending rates have not been tinkered by the banks as
investors must take a great deal of caution before
of now, persistently high inflation can push RBI to
jumping in the fray.
7
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European
EuropeanStress
Stress Test
Test –– AA Mere
FutileHogwash?
Attempt? By: Vipul Bansal
The Committee of European Banking Supervisors out of 91 banks failed the test in the sense that their
(CEBS) in cooperation with the European Central Tier 1 capital ratios fell below 6 percent, threshold
2
Bank (ECB), the European Commission and the EU defined for the test . These banks are Agricultural
national supervisory authorities conducted an EU-wide Bank of Greece Hypo Real Estate of Germany and
stress test exercise on European banks. The overall Diada, Cajasur, Unim, Banca Civica and Espiga all of
objective of the 2010 exercise was to provide policy Spain. For comparison 10 of 19 banks failed the stress
information for assessing the resilience of the EU test, when the U.S. regulatory authorities conducted
banking system to adverse economic developments stress tests in the spring 2009.
and to assess the ability of banks to absorb possible The aggregate results suggest a rather strong
shocks on credit and market risks, including sovereign resilience for the EU banking system as a whole.
risks.
The 2010 stress test exercise has been conducted on Criticism
a sample of 91 European banks. National supervisory One of the most scathing criticisms of the stress test
authorities from 20 EU Member States participated in was the treatment given to the sovereign debt of EU
the exercise. In each of the 27 countries on books of the banks.
Member States, the sample has Under the stress test, Sovereign
been built by including banks, in debt placed in the banking
descending order of size, so as to books of the banks was
cover at least 50 percent of the assumed to be held to maturity.
respective national banking Only the debt placed in the
sector, as expressed in terms of trading books was marked-to-
total assets. The exercise also market. Hence the losses got
covered subsidiaries and reflected only on the debt held in
branches of these EU banks trading books which was modest
operating in other Member States and in some cases non-existent
and in countries outside Europe. As a result, for the because most of sovereign debt was included in the
remaining 7 Member States where more than 50 banking book (80 percent). Sovereign debt concerns
percent of the local market was already covered by the so-called PIGS countries (Portugal, Italy,
through the subsidiaries of EU banks participating in Greece, and Spain) triggered the latest wave of
the exercise, no further bank was added to the financial problems. Ignoring sovereign debt in the Euro
sample. The 91 banks represent 65 percent of the total stress test would be like ignoring toxic real estate
assets of the EU banking sector as a whole. assets in the U.S.
For the stress testing of the credit risk and simulating There also exists an argument that the "sovereign
the profit and losses, two sets of macro-economic shock" scenario should really have tested a
scenarios (benchmark and adverse) were developed. government default instead of just the market risk from
The scenarios were based on extreme assumptions significant higher government bond yields. An obvious
regarding interplay of macroeconomic factors over a case would be a Greek sovereign debt default which
3
period of 2years. would most likely involve considerably higher haircut
Based on the results of the calculations, the aggregate on Greek government debt as is assumed in current
1
Tier 1 capital ratio , used as a common measure of test. In addition, a sovereign default would to a larger
banks‘ resilience to shocks, would decrease under the degree impair the sovereign debt kept in the banking
adverse scenario including sovereign shock from 10.3 book.
percent in 2009 to 9.2 percent by the end of 2011. 7
2
This threshold is not the regulatory minimum. The regulatory
minimum for the Tier 1 capital ratio is set to 4 percent
1 3
Composed of core capital which consists of common stock, haircut is a percentage that is subtracted from the par value of the
retained earnings and preferred stock. assets
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Standard haircuts have been applied on respective leading US shares in July, for that matter even the
sovereign debt (see table below) in stressed S&P500 graph has shown upward trend and the
scenarios. The haircuts used in the stress test are interbank lending has thawed following the publication
arguably not that stressed. Especially for Greece, the of stress test results. The mood in the markets is
assumed 23 percent haircut used on Greek sovereign optimistic. The risk premium investors charge to hold
debt held by the end of 2009 is actually not far from the debt of peripheral euro zone state such as Spain,
what is implied indirectly current Greek government Portugal, Italy and Ireland has shrunk to the lowest
bond yields currently trading. The prices of levels since April. It can be argued that a healthy crop
government bonds have already declined by 22.4 of first half of corporate earnings may be the reason
percent. behind the upward swing, but unfortunately the
Used % Decline in markets‘ reaction do not come with a label of reason
Country Bond haircut for prices from behind the reaction. The test did the trick by providing
stress test end-2009
detailed data to show most of the banks were in
Greece 3.7% Jul'15 23.1% 22.4%
reasonable health and could withstand the main
Portugal 3.35% Oct'15 14.1% 5.5% sovereign risks.
Ireland 4.6% Apr'16 12.8% 2.7%
Talking about the assumptions around the test, the
Spain 4.4% Jan'15 12.0% 1.2%
macroeconomic assumptions used in the ―double dip‖
Italy 3.75% Aug'15 7.4% -0.6% scenario are not unreasonable, as has been criticized.
Source: Danske Markets, CEBS It might have been mild in view of the adverse macro-
economic developments seen in 2008-2009 (EU27
In that sense there really is no additional stress
GDP falling by -4.2 percent in 2009) which led to
compared to the current situation in the "sovereign
record high loan losses reported in 2009. However the
shock" scenario.
encouraging economic data for the euro-zone recently
Overall, the stress test features as a second desperate
justify the assumptions. Early 2010 witnessed
attempt to revive the economy after the bailout did not
improved macro-economic conditions which suggest
seem to serve the purpose well. On
an increase of capital ratios
May 10, the European Union
attributed to higher retained
created a $1 trillion package to
earnings affected by lower loan
save the euro. This didn't appease
losses. Also, many of the banks in
investors much as the S&P500
the exercise have significant
dropped up to 13 percent.
operations outside the EU. Some
Something else was needed to
of these countries have weathered
shore up investor confidence in an
the crisis comparably well and
entire continent's financial system.
continue to show strong economic
'Bank stress test' became the magic
growth. Further, increased revenue streams from
phrase.
those economies positively contribute to these banks
Positives overall profitability, offsetting loan losses and building
Much of the criticism has been around the statistical sizeable retained earnings.
exercise followed during the test. However the
The critics suggest that government default should
question that needs to be asked is whether the
have been a part of scenario testing. The CEBS
exercise really achieved the objective. The stress test
argument for not stress testing a sovereign default is
was done to establish the investor confidence in
that that by setting up the European Financial Stability
European banks after the debt crisis in PIGS nations
Fund (EFSF) earlier this year, the policy strategy has
triggered the latest wave of financial problems. After
been to not allow a sovereign default and for that
the stress tests, the euro has gained 10 percent
reason it will not be logical to use public money to
against the dollar, economic recovery in the euro area
capitalize banks to be resilient to a sovereign default.
is more robust than forecasted although uneven,
European stocks outperformed the S&P500 index of
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The biggest reason to believe in the current test sector by means of periodic EU wide stress testing
results has been the amount of disclosure. Most banks exercises.
except a few German banks have released detailed
information about their sovereign debt exposure. The The majority of concern over the validity of the test has
investors now can do their own ‗stress tests‘ on the been focusing on the market‘s health forming the
banks and reassure themselves. CEBS played a major investor confidence. It misses the more important
role in this regard. It supported the greater reverse relationship between the two, where investor
transparency of this exercise and of the results of this confidence drives the market‘s health. As far as stress
stress test exercise, and published bank individual testing is concerned, it has hit the bull‘s eye. It has
results, as well as detailed information on banks‘ brought an optimistic outlook to the investor which will
exposures to EU sovereign debt. CEBS will also further improve the market health.
continue with testing the resilience of the EU banking
Crossword
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Expert
ExpertSpeak:
Speak:IFRS
IFRS –– The
The Basic Framework
Basic Framework By: Navin Agrawal
The basic concepts underlying preparation of financial currency for the primary
statements will undergo significant change upon economic environment in which it
implementation of International Financial Reporting is operating, subject to regulatory
Standards (IFRS) in India. There are three key aspects approvals. In rare circumstances,
which permeate almost each principle laid down in IFRS even allows users to adopt
IFRS. These are namely (i) substance over form, (ii) a policy that is contrary to IFRS
use of fair value, and (iii) principles if the
recognizing time value or management believes
time cost of money. that the treatment
These three items need prescribed under
to be understood IFRS would be
carefully for anyone to misleading and the
get a first cut glimpse policy proposed to be
into IFRS literature. adopted better
represents the
It is true that Indian substance of the
GAAP, like any other underlying
GAAP, also recognizes transactions. These
the importance of concepts are unheard
substance over form. of in most other GAAP
Accounting Standard 1 frameworks.
(AS-1) on 'Disclosure of
Accounting Policies'
states that substance rather than form should be the
guiding principle in selection and application of Use of fair value in measuring assets and liabilities
accounting policies. However, true application of this would increase considerably upon adoption of IFRS.
principle would be observed under IFRS. The reason IFRS will mandate use of fair value in measurement of
being that IFRS is more contemporary and therefore financial instruments, employee compensation/share
has prescribed treatment for evolving issues and based payments, and assets and liabilities acquired in
unlike Indian GAAP, it does not recognize a concept of a business combination, to name a few. It will allow
legal override. Hence, IFRS will not follow the form - it use of fair value, as opposed to cost, in relation to
will overrule the form and go by the core substance of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and
the transaction. investment properties.
Question will now be raised whether redeemable The application of these fair value principles would
preference capital is debt or equity. Under Indian require an entities management to use considerable
GAAP, Schedule VI requires these to be shown as judgment in making estimates about the future and the
part of equity; however, IFRS will require it to be role of valuation experts in the preparation of financial
treated as debt. Based on substance of terms, statements would increase significantly. Thus, IFRS
instruments such as convertible debentures are likely will be far more complex and challenging in its
to be shown partly under debt and partly under equity, application as compared to the existing regime of
since the embedded warrant option in such accounting standards. In case of derivatives, held-for-
instruments would be separately identified and trading investments and investment properties, IFRS
presented at its fair value. Contracts for supply of allows gains or losses on fair valuation to be
goods and services may get concluded (wholly or recognized in profit or loss account for the period.
partly) as leases (could be financial lease as well)! Undoubtedly, this is quite a bold move to allow even
unrealized gains to be captured in profit or loss
IFRS will bring with it the concept of functional account. In such a situation, there would be extra onus
currency. Indian entities may need to maintain their on the management to exercise better financial
books in US Dollars and to report in the same currency discipline; otherwise, the Company may end up
to NSE\ BSE if the dollar is determined to be the declaring dividends out of unrealized profits.
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IFRS recognizes that with efflux of time, the value of with such fair value gains/losses, it may be possible for
money changes. It will either be a cost or income, but companies to adjust fair value losses against their
there is a difference in 100 rupees of today and 100 taxable income, while gains would get deferred. Tax
rupees 2 years back or 3 years authorities are required to come
henceforth. Hence, IFRS requires out with new guidance on how
receivables and payable i.e.,
unrealized fair value
financial assets and liabilities or
gains/losses will be treated for
monetary items to be reflected at
current values. Hence, the value tax purposes.
of a 100 rupees payable in 3
months will be different from a It is also not clear how tax
100 rupees payable after 36 authorities will treat adjustments
months. in carrying values of financial
assets or liabilities due to i)
Consequent to the above key market linked interest rates and
aspects, IFRS will focus on ii) discounting to net present
reflecting the workings results and values if these are long term in
state of affairs of a business more
nature. Under IFRS, the
on a current state basis rather
than on a holistic long term or historical cost basis. It financial results will reflect the
will not place unduly premium on prudence, rather it substance of the transaction. Take for example, IFRIC
will push for recording of market gains and reflection of 4 on ‗Determining whether an arrangement contains a
market related realities over the reporting period. lease‘ or IFRIC 12 on ―Service Concession
Historical costs were a convenient and easily Arrangements‖. These pronouncements will have
determinable method for recording of transactions, significant impact on the revenue recognition,
assets and liabilities. IFRS being principles based will operating profits and state of affairs of dedicated
allow flexibility to the preparers in choosing the right vendors/operators and infrastructure companies. It will
accounting policy, but will also lead to enhanced be interesting to see how tax authorities react to these
disclosure requirements. Therefore estimation efforts,
new concepts, for instance whether construction
subjectivity and judgment will increase manifold in
preparing IFRS financial statements. Yes, timelines revenues recognized under IFRIC 12 during the
and costs will also go up accordingly. construction phase of the public infrastructural asset
would be liable to taxes. Similarly, one would also
Tax and Regulatory Impact need to examine what implications will arise in areas
The convergence of Indian GAAP with International of Value Added Tax (VAT) and Service Tax, wherever
Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) will revenue or cost of goods and services are
precipitate various challenges on the tax getting impacted by IFRS.
and regulatory front, which companies,
investors and regulators will have to Take another example of a tea or
grapple with. In substance, for IFRS to coffee plantation. Under IAS 41 on
become a reality in India by 2011, ‗Agriculture‘, the changes in fair value
significant changes in the regulatory of such agricultural plantation will
framework will be required. have to be recognized each year in
the income statement. In India,
Let us take the example of fair value agricultural income is exempt, but
gains /losses recognized each year in specified industries such as
the income statement for securities tea/coffee plantations have to pay tax
held for trading. Under the Indian tax on certain portion of their total income,
laws, these will be liable to tax only on which is deemed to be non-agricultural
eventual sale; therefore it will result into or business income. Plantation companies
creation of deferred tax asset/liability in the will need clarity from the tax authorities as to
books. In the absence of any specific tax laws dealing how such fair value gains/losses will be bifurcated
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between agricultural and business income, and how major overhauling, so will various other statutes such
these would be treated for tax purposes. as the IRDA Act, SEBI Act, RBI Act etc. It would be a
tall order to expect that all regulatory authorities will
One important aspect about IFRS is that it will not accept the primacy of IFRS. There are bound to be
recognize any legal override, unlike the present Indian certain exceptions and limitations and in those areas,
GAAP scenario. At present most of the financial there will be legal override, as has been the
statement presentation requirements are driven by experience worldwide in various non-European
Schedule VI of the Companies Act, 1956 (Act). countries and in Europe for some banking companies.
Similarly, managerial remuneration is determined with However, these legal overrides will distort the true
reference to the limits laid down in the Act. Under application of IFRS principles and will therefore defeat
IFRS, this may get challenged since the remuneration the basic objective and benefit of convergence. It
might get restricted and will therefore be at variance would be in the interest of India Inc, if all the regulatory
with the contracted terms and not a right benchmark authorities concerned can work in conjunction with
with other global players. ICAI, SEBI and the Ministry of Finance to bring about
the required changes to support the implementation of
Section 78 of the Companies Act, allows securities
IFRS framework in India, in its true spirit.
premium account to be used for various purposes
including expenses incurred for issue of fresh capital All that said, the benefits of IFRS convergence are
or for premium payable on redemption of debentures expected to far outweigh the costs and hassles. Firstly
and bonds. However, these would be treated as it will integrate the domestic businesses with the global
expenses or interest costs under IFRS to be charged investor and financial community increasingly so that
to the income statement. Another classic example is there is no language gap and barrier. It will enhance
when courts sanction a scheme of arrangement or the global competitiveness of Indian businesses as
merger, then the accounting treatment outlined in the well as finance professionals. IFRS literate people will
approved scheme will prevail over accounting fuel the next wave of Knowledge Processing
standards, but it will not hold water anymore under Outsourcing boom! Yes, those who are not able to
IFRS. This will be a huge challenge for India Inc on its measure up to IFRS will face the threat of knowledge
way to embracing IFRS which will need extensive obsolescence. So it is now high time to brace up for
debate and alignment of the regulatory framework with IFRS!!
the IFRS framework. The Companies Act will require a
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Need
Needfor
forSuper
Super Regulator
Regulator By: Rahul Sachdeva
The latest tussle between SEBI and IRDA over Unit- headed by the RBI governor and will be similar to the
Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs) has heated up the High-Level Committee on Capital Markets and all the
debate over the need for an apex regulatory body in regulators will be its members and would tackle the
the country. The proposal for setting up of a Financial inter regulatory issues. FSRSC will be headed by the
Stability and Development Council (FSDC) was Finance Secretary and all the regulators will be its
announced in this year‘s budget speech. The proposal members other than the RBI Governor. The Deputy
comes on the lines of Raghuram Rajan Committee‘s Governor of the RBI will be its member. The
recommendation for two distinct bodies on 18th Committee would look into issues relating to the
September 2008, one for risk assessment and co- financial stability.
ordination across regulatory spheres and another as a
working group on financial sector reforms. International Scenario
Internationally, there are examples of unified as well
Under the current set up SEBI functions in the equity as separate regulators but both kinds of models have
markets, IRDA concentrates on failed the empirical test of the
the insurance and related areas; great crisis. In UK, regulation of
RBI is responsible for monetary banks was taken away from the
policy and banking regulation Bank of England and transferred
whereas the government takes to a single (super) regulator, the
care of the fiscal policy. The High- Financial Services Authority
Level Coordination Committee on (FSA). The recent crisis
Capital and Financial Markets demonstrated the flaw of
(HLCCFM) which was formed in separating regulation of the
1992 after the securities scam, banking sector from the Bank of
manages inter regulatory issues and works for England to FSA. On the other hand regulators in US
development of Financial markets. The HLCCFM has were not unified under one council but the
not been up to the mark in inter-regulatory co- arrangement did not work for them as well. On the
ordination as well as on development of the financial contrary it collapsed more spectacularly than
markets. It again came under fire for its failure to elsewhere. However, the current regulatory setup in
resolve the turf war between SEBI and IRDA on India has responded well to the economic crisis. It
ULIPs. The setting up of FSDC, expected to have prevented the crisis from affecting the domestic market
more regulatory power, will effectively replace severely and thus the need to make drastic changes to
HLCCFM. it is unfounded.
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for itself. It believes that RBI with its access to the motivated by different sectoral considerations. Such
micro economic level data is in a better position to deal differences can be helpful in coming out with new
with financial stability. Since RBI is responsible for products as has been the case in US. The court battle
macro prudential regulation and micro prudential between SEC and the derivatives exchange led to the
supervision together with an introduction of Index
implicit mandate for Futures in US. The
systemic oversight, the Proposal ignores the need
Reserve Bank is in a better to take cognizance of the
position to track changes different compulsions
across various dimensions. governing each sector in
the Indian context.
Thus, from an effectiveness
and accountability RBI has also opposed the
perspective and for suggestion of Finance
preventing as well as Minster heading the FSDC.
managing a crisis, it is Instead it has proposed that
necessary to enjoin the executive responsibility for FDSC should operate through an empowered
financial stability to a single entity. Internationally as committee to be chaired by the RBI governor, with
well in major developed economies the central banks, other regulators and the finance secretary as
such as the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, members.
European Central Bank and Bank of France, have the
final say in their country/region over issues concerning It has been an interesting debate with both the sides
financial stability. However, the Indian government has coming out with arguments and counter arguments
argued that the final call in case of a crisis should be supporting their point of view. It is hoped that the
taken by it as it is the tax payer‘s money that is at outcome would be based on reason rather than a
stake. bulldozer approach by the government.
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Cover
CoverStory
Story––New
New Takeover
Takeover Code
Code By: Bharat Garg
The Takeover Regulations Advisory Committee 100 percent open offer is also in line with the takeover
(TRAC) headed by Mr. C. Achuthan recommended regulations in many European nations.
raising the open offer threshold to 25 percent from 15
percent and a mandatory minimum open offer of 100 The panel has suggested the overall timeline for an
percent versus the existing 20 percent. The new open offer to be brought down from 97 days to 57
takeover code came business days.
after a period of 13 The panel has also
years after Justice recommended that
Bhagwati drafted the creeping
first Takeover Code acquisition be
for India Inc. in permitted only for
1997. The 1997 acquirers who hold
takeover code has more than 25
been amended as percent of the
many as 23 times in voting capital. It
its 13 years of has, however, left
existence to the annual
accommodate creeping
specific acquisition limit
circumstances. unchanged at 5
percent.
The new takeover code has emerged as a strategic
response to the changing business environment in In order to enhance the corporate governance norms
India. ―The existing trigger threshold of 15 percent has the committee has made it mandatory for the
outlived its contextual relevance and requires an independent directors of the target company to provide
upward revision. A their view of the takeover proposal and make a
significant change in recommendation to
the shareholding the shareholders of
pattern in listed the company. The
companies has been acquirer cannot have
observed over the last its representative on
few years,‖ said the the board of the target
committee. According company. This would
to the report, the mean lessen the probability
of promoter of acquirers
shareholdings in the influencing the board
listed companies in the of the target company.
India is 48.90 percent Source: http://www.sebi.gov.in/commreport/tracreport.pdf
The changes are
with about 14.41
intended to enhance the transparency and make the
percent of the companies have promoter holdings
takeover conditions equitable for all classes of the
below the level of 25 percent.
shareholders. The panel has recommended the
The 25 percent threshold limit recommended by the mandatory minimum open offer of 100 percent to
advisory panel also converges with the limits followed provide the equal exit opportunities to the minority
globally by countries such as Hong Kong (35 percent), shareholders. The non-compete fee/control premium
the UK (30 percent), and Singapore (30 percent). The that is paid to promoters for agreeing not to enter the
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same business, would be scraped or need to be added Implications for Target Company
to offer price. Firms looking to raise more capital under the Private
Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) route will now have
The price paid in the mandatory open offer would be easier access to more funds. The current 15 percent
equal for all shareholders and would be at least as threshold restricts the quantum of capital that could be
high as is required under current rules. The price mobilized by the companies to fuel their future growth.
would be based on the highest of four different
parameters, including the market price and the highest There would be an outbreak of clandestine deals,
price paid by the acquirer to any shareholder. Lastly, where many Indian promoters with stakes between 15
the acquirers will have to make the up-front disclosure percent and 25 percent would transfer shares from
of any plans of delisting the target company. benami accounts back to their own names. Close to
300 listed companies — mostly mid and small-cap —
Implications for the Acquirer have a promoter holding of between 15 percent and 25
The takeover code will have varying implications percent.
depending on whether the acquirer wants to have
controlling stake or not or whether the acquirer is Promoters with minority stakes in their companies will
based out of India or overseas. now be exposed to significant hostile
threats, as a potential acquirer will have
The new takeover code will provide the flexibility to acquire up to 25 percent
more headroom to investors like private before having to make an open offer.
equities, hedge funds and other Nearly 584 listed companies in India
institutional investors, who want to have promoter holdings of less than 25
increase their investments in companies percent with 458 of them coming from
but do not want the controlling stake or the SME sector. The recommendations
take part in the day-to-day operations of would also ensure that the companies
the target company. The regulations operate efficiently otherwise they will
provide a good opportunity to such face acquisition threats at sub-optimal
investors to raise their stakes from 15 prices.
percent to 25 percent.
The recent mandate by the finance
On the other hand, the investors who ministry to have a minimum 25 percent
want to acquire the target company and assume full public shareholding to remain listed, would lead to a
control will now have to deal with more funding significant decrease in the promoter‘s shareholding in
requirements as the minimum open offer has been the company. It implies that the promoters would be
increased to 100 percent. Acquirers may not have the under extra pressure to keep their holdings sufficient
inclination to go for the 100 percent stake initially. enough to avoid hostile takeovers as well as ensure
Financing large takeovers with bank finance or private minimum public float requirements.
equity will be more costly. This may impede the plans
of several investors to have controlling stake in the Implications for Shareholders
target company. The advisory panel recommendations are based to
provide each shareholder an equal opportunity to exit
The foreign investors have easier access to larger his investment in the target company when a
quantum of capital at a comparatively lower cost to substantial acquisition of shares or takeover of a target
fund the acquisitions. While there is a fair amount of company takes place. The increase in the open offer
capital available to the Indian companies to support requirement for 100 percent of the shares upon
their acquisition plans within India, the debt comes at a crossing the threshold of 25 percent provides a fair
higher cost and is not readily available to all opportunity to all shareholders to exit the firm, which is
companies. Thus, it creates a non-level playing field fair and equitable for the incumbent shareholders. The
in favor of the foreign investors. non-compete fee/control premium (if paid to
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promoters) needs to be added to offer price, bringing M&A deals is a constraint, it could lead to some of
all the shareholders to an unbiased ground. these decisions being reconsidered. The number of
acquisitions may thus decline in the short term.
Financing a large takeover offer through bank finance
or private equity firms (mandatory open offer of 100 However increased cost of acquisitions will weed out
percent) is bound to make the acquirer more reckless, non-serious bidders and attract only the serious
as such financing typically increases the principal players and those who have the capability – both
agency conflict. The acquirer may be willing to take financial and strategic. As a result, the deal sizes in
extra risk with the borrowed money as compared to M&A arena would increase. Given that this model is
what he would have otherwise taken with a self being followed internationally, the proposed
financed acquisition. Large funding requirements may regulations could mean a stronger and more
significantly hinder acquisitions to a point where the robust M&A system in the longer run.
inefficient companies, with lower risk of being taken
over, would be able to rule. It is not a healthy sign as Is India ready for the new takeover code?
far as the interest of the minority shareholders is Although the objective of the new takeover regulations
concerned. is to increase transparency and equitability in the M&A
activities, the increase in minimum open offer to 100
The proposed takeover regulations also permit percent would receive the maximum resistance from
delisting of a company by an the corporate India. The
acquirer by paying the price closer inadequate availability of capital
to the market price. It is unjust for and the restrictions imposed by
the shareholders to be asked to exit. the RBI on leverage for
It is also substantially different from acquisition financing would
the present regulation which allows result in Indian companies
delisting only if the shares are taking a back seat in M&A
acquired though the reverse book activities.
building procedure, which better
takes care of the shareholder‘s There is a greater need for
interests. relaxation of some of the
borrowing caveats to ensure that the debt/bond market
By large the new regulations, if implemented, will keep in India picks up, before the proposed regulations are
incumbent managements focused on delivering value implemented.
(to avoid hostile takeovers) to stakeholders and hence
benefit shareholders, particularly the minority ones. Conclusion
The takeover proposal successfully addresses some
Impact on M&A of the key issues raised in past by practitioners. The
Although, the M&A market in India has grown code is certainly a positive step towards improving the
drastically in the recent years – the domestic efficiency of capital markets in India by incorporating
transactions increased from $4.9 billion in 2006 to $6.7 best practices from the developed markets. The
4
billion in 2009 and $16.5 billion in first half of 2010 , it proposal clearly indicates the growth mindset of Indian
is still less than 1 percent of the global M&A activities. regulator, SEBI, to make the market more robust and
more efficient M&A market.
The TRAC proposal could mean that cost of an M&A
transaction may significantly increase, particularly in Overall, the TRAC proposal is comprehensive in
case of widely-held companies. The takeover financing nature and would play a deterministic role in
cost may go up by three folds. M&A deals may also shaping the future M&A market in the country. It
become expensive due to proposed changes in the would help in aligning the takeover regulations with
calculation of offer price. In scenarios where budget for those of the developed markets across the world.
4
Source: Grant Thornton Dealtracker
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LAF
LAFContraction
Contraction by
by RBI
RBI By: Kikla Angad Vinod
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Impact increased WPI forecast. Therefore tighter monetary
The obvious impact of LAF contraction is reduced policy is expected to continue till inflation is
volatility in the call rates leading to lower fluctuations in successfully tamed.
the interest rates. With reduced volatility in interest
rates and increases in the policy rates, the shorter What Can Go Wrong
ends of the yield curve are expected to stay up. Banks Major question that needs to be asked at this point is
with surplus cash will gain more by depositing it with whether there is a realistic threat of overheating in the
RBI than in call money market. RBI will also achieve economy. During the growth years of 2006, 2007 &
its objective of tightening. Current M3 growth rate at 2008, the economy was growing at a similar rate of
15.2 percent against a credit growth around 9 percent. The domestic
at 22 percent indicates demand drivers of the economy currently
side inflation. To incentivize banks look strong. The difference in the
to park their excesses, RBI has present situation though is the
narrowed the LAF corridor. global outlook. With Chinese
economy cooling down due to
Increase in repo rate and a increase in lending rate,
narrower LAF corridor will increase commodity prices still remaining
the short term lending rate. This will soft and possibility of a double dip
put a break on the overheating of in the western world, and
the economy and eventually the demand side inflation. uncertainty in capital inflows, demand side inflation is
still questionable.
When the liquidity again gets back in surplus, with
narrower LAF corridor RBI has ensured that short term Also monsoons this year have been relief on food
interest rates are still higher anchored at Reverse prices. Lastly, the lagged effect of the monetary
Repo Rate. tightening initiated earlier may lead to moderate
inflation.
RBI has also revised GDP growth rate projections from
8 percent to 8.5 percent. This shows that RBI expects With these uncertainties, is it the right time for
higher growth and potential overheating due to monetary tightening and LAF contraction as we may
demand side pressures. This is manifested by its be risking growth to curtail inflation?
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Listing
ListingNorms
Norms for
for the
the PSUs
PSUs By: Vaibhav Agarwal
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dispensing the 5 percent annual floor rule for The latest amendment would go a long way in the
companies with float below 25 percent. Under the new government realizing high premium for the PSUs in the
rules, government as well as private companies can event of an IPO/FPO in future and thus fulfill its
raise the public shareholding level within three years disinvestment targets. It will also ensure that there is
without any annual floor. no stampede of new issues
causing enormous stress on
“The biggest
The changes could have been a result of the lukewarm
primary and secondary beneficiary is the
response that the government received to the
IPOs/FPOs of PSUs this year. markets. But while the focus government
of this exercise was to get
After this latest amendment, it is estimated that only 15 because by
public ownership, it is strange
PSUs will be subjected to the requirement of FPOs as that the stipulated public divesting 10
against 35 estimated earlier. The cumulative value of shareholding of a public percent, it really
stake sales from these 15 PSUs would be of the order sector company is less than
of about `20,404 crore. The PSUs that now need not gets the market
the stipulated public
shareholding of a private valuation for the
sector company. 90 percent stock
There has been criticism from it holds.”
various quarters. Experts have called it a mockery in
the sense that the whole objective behind PSU
divestment of having a share of a PSU in each
household has been forgotten. For the above objective
Source: The Telegraph to materialize, a large chunk of PSU divestment should
come out with an FPO to meet the minimum public have been earmarked for the retail, against the
shareholding norm include, among others, SJVNL (90 present norms (around 65 percent for FIIs or for the
percent promoter holding), Power Finance Corporation corporates, and about 35 percent for retail)
“After this latest (90 percent), National accompanied by an aggressive discounting policy.
Aluminum (87 percent),
amendment, it is NHPC (86 percent), SAIL (86 The investor base is stuck at 1 Crore whereas it
should be at about 5 Crore to achieve the objective.
estimated that percent), NTPC (85 percent)
The government has demonstrated in the last one year
only 15 PSUs will and Shipping Corporation (80 that while it talks of PSU share ownership by every
percent), analysts said. The
be subjected to the 15 PSUs that still need to household, when it comes to pricing it is looking at the
requirement of institutional investors to give it the maximum price.
comply with the guideline
And retail gets only 5 percent discount to the
FPOs as against include, among others,
institutional price.
MMTC (99.33 percent),
35 estimated As a result, the retail investors have become
Neyveli Lignite (93.56
earlier.”
percent), Hindustan Copper (99.59 percent) and apprehensive about investing in a PSU which is
National Fertilizers (97.64 percent). evident from the response to some of the IPOs and
FPOs this year. The biggest beneficiary of divestment
Before and After Amendment
is actually the government because by divesting 10
Before After percent, it really gets the market valuation for the 90
Issue Size Issue Size percent stock it holds.
Cos. Cos.
(`Cr) (`Cr)
So while amending the free float norms for PSUs do
PSU 35 124,547 15 20,404 make sense in a way, there is still a need to refocus on
Private 148 25,981 148 25,981 the PSU divestment by looking at the retail segment,
Total 183 150,528 163 46,385 the pricing, and also the distribution.
Source: SMC Capital
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GST:
GST:An AnOverview
Overview By: Anup Agrawal & Bharat Garg
The current machinery of indirect taxes requires The old system was a production based tax i.e. the
separate registration and compliance for each of producer state receives the revenue of sales tax.
Service tax, Excise duty, State VAT, Central Sales tax Under GST, which is a destination based tax; the state
and the like. GST will make the compliance easy for consuming the good will receive the revenue. Also,
the industry as it requires a single registration and all under the GST, the state governments would for the
the duties and taxes (merged into a single tax) will be first time levy taxes on services.
deposited together. Moreover, it will reduce paperwork
and physical visits to tax offices as most of the State governments fear that the GST implementation
processes like registration & return filing will go online, would result in loss of their tax revenues and would
the funds will be transferred electronically making the reduce their fiscal autonomy (deciding the tax
tax regime simplified and less costly to comply with. structure). To counter that, Finance Minister has
proposed to compensate the states for any loss of
The GST regime will induce efficiency into the system revenue in the transition phase. Also to make GST
and make the Indian goods and services more more acceptable to the states, petroleum products,
competitive with that of rest of the world. The exports electricity and alcohol, which make one third of state
are expected to gain from 3.2 percent to 6.3 percent revenues, have been kept out of ambit of GST.
while imports are expected to gain from 2.4 percent to
4.7 percent. What remains to be done
The GST rollout, earlier scheduled to be on April 01,
Impact on Consumers 2010 and later revised to April 01, 2011, has met with
The net incidence of the indirect taxes (both central hurdles time and again. Firstly, the consent of all the
and state) on the ultimate consumer comes to be states is required to go forward with an agreement on
around 20-25 percent. The benefits of the proposed tax rates, control, exemption and revenue sharing for
GST structure would reach the consumers in two folds which consensus is required between both the houses.
– price reduction due to lower indirect tax incidence Secondly, a lot depends on the quality of the IT system
and the decreased cost of production coming from the – crucial for both governance and compliance. The
efficient resource allocation. system is required to be in place at least 3 months
However the single GST rate at before the
16 percent would have the implementation for
inflationary effect on services. testing and training.
The exempted goods list is also Thirdly, the existing
shortened and thus would infrastructure of excise
increase the prices of some and state tax, from
goods. Though the prices of commissioners and
certain goods and services officers to tribunals needs
are likely to increase but certain to be overhauled to make it
products become cheaper for the common man suitable for GST and also
and based on GST implementation experience the existing staff needs to be trained to the new
worldwide, it is not likely to have an overall inflationary system. Lastly, a clearing house needs to be set up for
or deflationary effect on price level. online payment of taxes and many finer details like
credit on existing stock, accumulated credit of old
Central v/s State Government system, etc. are required to be carved out and
Indirect taxes contribute around 60 percent of total tax discussed before transition. The NSDL (National
revenues of the government (central and states). The Securities Depository Limited) has the required
objective of GST rollout is not to increase the experience in implementing the tax information system
government revenues. However, wider tax base, and
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and is expected to help in setting up the clearing In sum, implementation of a comprehensive GST in
house. India is expected to lead to efficient allocation of
factors of production thus leading to gains in GDP and
Conclusion exports. This would translate into enhanced economic
The Central Government seems to have put GST back welfare and returns to the factors of production, viz.
on the fast-track mode, and the efforts to make it land, labor and capital. Moreover the GST
happen on time are apparent. implementation would propel the Indian economy to
the $2 trillion mark in a shorter than expected span of
time.
GST: An Overview
Crossword Solution
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GST:
CDS:An
AnOverview
Indian Perspective By: Anshul Bansal
Credit Default Swaps (CDS), the derivative instrument Salient Features of Guidelines
which has been blamed as the single largest reason RBI has tried to regulate the CDS instruments to a
for the recent financial crisis is likely to find its home in
large extent by allowing CDS on the corporate bonds
India. RBI has issued draft guidelines for introducing only. It has
CDS in the proposed to
Indian markets. introduce Plain
To put in simple Vanilla CDS
terms, CDS is instruments
insurance to the only with no
debt holder naked
against the positions (i.e.
default by the any entity not
issuer of debt. holding the
Against this underlying
insurance the cannot buy a
buyer pays CDS). It has
regular made it
payments to the mandatory that
seller of CDS can only
insurance. be issued on
the rated
It is important to bonds. The
point out that only exception
RBI had issued being unrated
guidelines on bonds issued
introduction of by a Special
CDS way back Purpose Vehicle (SPV set up by rated infrastructure
in 2007 but due to financial crisis RBI postponed the companies. Currently, only Banks, NBFCs and
process. Now that the storm created by the financial Primary Dealers (PDs) can sell the CDS. It has also
crisis is beginning to settle, RBI has once again got recommended a
into action and has come centralized trade
Guidelines Summary
up with the fresh repository and mandatory
guidelines. RBI‘s critiques CDS on Corporate bonds only
trade reporting within 30
have been arguing that it Plain Vanilla CDS with no naked positions
minutes of transaction.
has ignored the lessons CDS on rated bonds only Further, RBI has
taught by the financial recommended setting up a
crisis. However, it is important to note that RBI has central counterparty (CCP) system, where trades will
taken a very calculated approach and the proposed be guaranteed by a third party.
guidelines take due care of the risks arising out of the
CDS market. It cannot be said conclusively that the It is expected that going forward the financial
mere existence of CDS was primarily responsible regulators across the globe want CDS trades to have a
for the financial meltdown. Instead, it was the lack of standardized format which can be easily monitored.
regulation which led to creation of complex Since RBI is planning to allow only the plain vanilla
instruments and the complex transactions undertaken CDS, which can be easily standardized, this could be
by financial institutions which added to the chaos. a good opportunity for starting an exchange traded
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platform for CDS. However, it seems to be a wasted bonds. Since CDS will provide protection against the
opportunity as the guidelines are silent on this issue. default by the issuing entity, greater number of
participants will now be willing to trade in lower rated
Issues of Contempt bonds. RBI has further indicated its desire to support
An issue of contempt for the financial services industry the growth of bond market by banning the writing of
is the ban on naked positions. Industry experts feel CDS on issues with original maturity up to one year
that presence of naked positions make the CDS e.g., Commercial Paper, Certificate of Deposits etc.
market liquid and also help in price discovery. Further, This seems to be a step in the right direction as India
it reduces the cost of hedging for the bearer of the needs a developed bond market which will further help
underlying. Though the in improving the efficiency of
arguments put forward by financial markets.
industry experts are valid but
one must remember that Impact on Infrastructure
these naked positions were Financing
primarily responsible for the Given that RBI has given
global financial meltdown. In exemption to bonds issued
addition to this, naked by SPVs of rated
positions start acting as an infrastructure companies, it
effective tool for is being speculated that this
speculators (e.g., a single or can provide a much needed
a group of market participants boost to infrastructure
can buy huge amount of CDS financing in the country.
protection on a reference However, the general feeling
entity which may lead to perception in the market that is that there is still some time before the impact of
reference entity is vulnerable). In lieu of arguments CDS on this sector can be felt. As the time
given above, it is felt that RBI is correct in banning the progresses and infrastructure projects turn cash
naked positions in CDS market. positive, the number of participants willing to take
risk on them will increase. This will primarily be
RBI has mandated that one party in a CDS transaction because of the insurance which CDS will provide. But
should be a RBI regulated entity. This limits the for the projects which are yet to turn cash positive the
number of participants in the market as large corporate door for financing still remains shut.
houses as well as other financial institutions such as
hedge funds and private equity firms will not be able to Concluding Remarks
sell CDS to other parties. Given the cautionary It is felt that RBI has been over regulative in its
environment market currently operates in; this step is guidelines and as a result CDS markets may suffer the
to ensure that the systemic risk remains at a minimal same fate as the interest rate futures market. This
level. Regulated institutions face lower risk as situation becomes inevitable when a regulator designs
compared to shadow banking system (Hedge funds a financial product. World over, it is observed that
and PEs). regulators are not involved in the nitty-gritty of
product development. Nevertheless, RBI has taken a
Support to Bond Markets step in the right direction of promoting Indian financial
Experts feel that the introduction of CDS can provide a markets. It now has to strike a right balance between
fillip to bond markets in India. The argument put the regulatory vigilance and the incentives to market
forward is that currently the bond market in India is participants in order to grow this market in India.
only for AAA rated bonds or for some of the AA rated
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GST: An Overview
Divestment Targets – Too Ambitious? By: Ansuhman Atri
According to new divestment policy cleared by CCEA done through FPO of 20 percent paid up capital with
th
(Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs) on 6 Nov 10 percent as fresh issue and 10 percent as
2009, 60 PSUs (Public Sector Undertaking) are divestment of stake by selling shareholder (The
eligible for stake dilution. This policy mandates a President of India).
minimum public float of 10 percent in profitable PSUs.
Currently 10 PSUs are already listed on exchange and Issues to ponder over
other 50 will follow the suit in coming years at
opportune moments. 25 percent mandatory float
SEBI has mandated a minimum float of 25 percent for
GOI (Government of India) was able to garner all the listed companies. According to CRISIL, there
`23,552 Crore last year through stake sale in OIL (Oil are 179 listed companies with public holdings of less
India Ltd, `2,247 Crore), NHPC (`2,012 Crore), REC than 25 percent. These companies will raise
(Rural Electrification Corporation, `882 Crore) and `1,600,000 Crore if they opt for sale of shares and
NTPC (`8,480 Crore), NMDC (`9,930 Crore). `2,100,000 Crore if they opt for issue of new shares.
The amount to be raised due to 25 percent stake
GOI has setup aggressive revenue target of `40,000 dilution is greater than total money raised using public
Crore for the current fiscal year through divestment. offerings during 2004-2010. Thus there will be
PSUs which are expected to be divested in the current downward pressure on prices and valuation for new
year are Coal India Ltd., Hindustan Copper Ltd., SAIL, public offerings considering the short time span in
Power Grid Corporation, Indian Oil Corporation, which companies have to obtain mandatory float
Manganese Ore India Ltd., MMTC and Shipping target.
Corporation of India Ltd. FPO (Follow-on Public Offer)
of Engineers India Ltd. has already fetched `977 Crore Low Staff Participation in PSU Divestment
while SJVNL‘s (Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Ltd) IPO has Companies Employee portion
fetched over `1,000 Crore in the current year. subscribed (%)
REC 75%
United Bank of India 68%
Road Ahead
Engineers India Ltd 60%
Total divestment revenue earned currently stands at SJVNL 26%
`2,000 Crore. GOI has planned to divest 5 percent NTPC 44%
stake in ONGC and 10 percent stake in IOL, which NMDC 05%
together may earn `21,000 Crore this year. Coal Source: Hindu Business Line
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Volume 1
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looking at current response from employees, this might Positives for current year target
not act as a positive signal.
I-Bankers to Speedup Divestment
Cumulative Divestment at `76,975 Crores in In order to speed up divestment process, CCEA has,
th
1992-2010 on 26 May 2010, approved appointment of merchant
Looking at the cumulative divestment over the past 19 bankers and other intermediaries of merchant bankers.
years, government was able to collect `76,975 Crore, Thus, approval for divestment and appointment of
with `23,552 Crore in last year. This year government merchant bank will now be done simultaneously,
wants to generate an amount that is more than half of thereby speeding up the divestment process.
total amount generated in past 19 years. Looking at
Divestment of Crown Jewels of India
past figures, current divestment target looks very
Coal India, ONGC, OIL and SAIL are big ticket
aggressive. But on the other hand, we can say that
enterprises and government will not have much
divestment as a policy has got fillip only in past few
years. Further, high fiscal deficit has accelerated the difficulty in selling stake in these companies.
divestment process. Divestment target in these four would together fetch
more than `40,000 Crore provided that there is
appetite for these issues in stock market.
25 80
70
20 60 Though the current target level is very ambitious,
15 50 government should be able to achieve it considering
40 the companies that are to be divested. Government
10 30
needs to carefully tread over the tradeoff between
5 20
10 large number of divestments and high valuation of
0 0 companies. If large numbers of companies are
divested, then these companies will not get a premium
on listing. So, government should not hasten the
divestment process at the cost of lower valuation of
Divestment (Rs. Thousand Crore) these PSUs.
Cumulative Divestment (Rs.Thousand Crores)
Source: http://www.divest.nic.in/
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Volume 1
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GST: An Overview
Finopedia: Option Pricing Models By: Vaibhav Agarwal
Options are financial instruments that convey the It is possible to borrow and lend cash at a constant
right, but not the obligation, to engage in a future risk-free interest rate.
transaction on some underlying security, or in a futures The stock does not pay a dividend.
contract. In other words, the holder does not have to
The above assumptions lead to the following formula
exercise this right, unlike a forward or futures. For
for a European call option with price c, exercise price
example, buying a call option provides the right to buy
K & maturity T, on a stock currently trading at price S,
a specified quantity of a security at a set strike price at
(i.e., the right to buy a share of the stock at price K
some time on or before expiration, while buying a put
after T years). The constant interest rate is r, and the
option provides the right to sell. Upon the option
constant stock volatility is σ.
holder's choice to exercise the option, the party who
sold, or wrote, the option must fulfill the terms of the -rt
c = SΦ(d1) – Ke Φ(d2)
contract. where
d1 = [ ln(S/K) + (r + σ /2)T ] / σT
2
The theoretical value of an option can be determined
d2 = [ ln(S/K) + (r - σ /2)T ] / σT
2
by a variety of techniques. These models, which are
Here Φ is the standard normal cumulative distribution
developed by quantitative analysts, can also predict
function.
how the value of the option will change in the face of
changing conditions. Hence, the risks associated with Intuitively, Φ(d1) represents non-discounted delta
trading and owning options can be understood and hedge ratio in the underlying asset; and Φ(d2) gives
managed with some degree of precision compared to the unit price of a binary call option, (the conditional
some other investments. likelihood that S > K at expiry).
The most popular model for pricing options, both in The price of a put option may be computed from this
financial literature as well as in practice has been the by using put-call parity equation and it simplifies to
one developed by Fischer Black & Myron Scholes.
P(S,T) = Ke-rtΦ(-d2) - SΦ(-d1)
Black Scholes Model
The payoff of a call option with strike K on an Limitations of B-S formula
underlying asset whose price at expiry is S is max(S − It is observed that BS Formula:
K,0). At any time before expiry, the market price of the Under-prices deep-in-the-money or deep-out-of-
call, c, must satisfy the equation c = E [ max(St-K, 0) ]. the-money options
The Black-Scholes model rationalizes the market Over-prices at-the-money options
price, c, in terms of S, under the following
assumptions: Consider put or call options on a given underlying
security, having different strikes but the same
The price of the underlying instrument St follows a expiration. If we obtain market prices for these options,
Brownian motion Wt with constant mean μ and we can apply the Black-Scholes model to find-out
volatility σ, and the price changes are log-normally
implied volatilities. The implied volatility of an option
distributed:
St = μSt dt + σSt dWt contract is the volatility implied by the market price of
It is possible to short sell the underlying stock. the option based on an option pricing model (BS
There are no arbitrage opportunities. model in this case). In other words, it is the volatility
Trading in the stock is continuous. that, given a particular pricing model, yields a
There are no transaction costs or taxes. theoretical value for the option equal to the current
All securities are perfectly divisible (e.g. it is market price. Intuitively, we might expect the implied
possible to buy any fraction of a share). volatilities to be identical. In practice, it is likely that
they will not be.
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The pattern of implied volatilities forms a "smile" Another dimension to the problem of volatility skew is
shape, which is called a volatility smile. Such a smile that of volatilities varying by expiration. It indicates
persists over time in the options markets with in-the- what is known as a volatility surface—a three-
money and out-of-the-money volatilities generally
higher than at-the-money volatilities.
Most derivatives markets exhibit persistent patterns of dimensional graph indicating implied volatilities by both
volatilities varying by strike. In some markets, those strike and expiration.
patterns form a smile. In others, such as equity index Source: www.hoadley.net
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Volume 1
Edition 1
The Team
Angad Kikla is a second year student at IIM Indore. Rahul Jain is a second year student at IIM Indore.
He graduated with a Dual Degree in Chemical He graduated from IIT Delhi with a B. Tech. in
Engineering from IIT Delhi. A CFA Level 2 candidate, Mechanical Engineering. A CFA Level 3 candidate, he
he has worked as a Management Trainee with ICI has worked as Senior Investment Analyst with
India Ltd. and interned with SAB Miller. He is a Evalueserve Ltd. and interned with the Corporate
national level table tennis player. Finance unit of PepsiCo India. He is an avid follower of
English Premier League.
Anshul Bansal is a second year student at IIM
Indore. He graduated from IIT Bombay with a B. Tech. Rahul Sachdeva is a second year student at IIM
in Mechanical Engineering. A CFA Level 3 candidate, Indore. He graduated from IIT Roorkee with a B. Tech.
he has worked as a Telecom Analyst with BDA in Industrial Engineering. A CFA Level 1 candidate, he
Connect India and has worked as
interned with the Credit Software Engineer
Analysis Unit of J.P. with CSC India and
Morgan India Pvt. Ltd. interned with Astro
He likes to play with Overseas Ltd. He is a
numbers. food connoisseur and
a budding
Anshuman Atri is a photographer.
second year student at
IIM Indore. He graduated Vaibhav Agarwal is
from BMSCE, Bangalore a second year student
with a B. E. in ISE. A at IIM Indore. He
CFA Level 3 candidate, graduated from IIT
he has worked as Senior Delhi with an
Software Engineer (Behind L to R) Rahul Jain, Anshul Bansal, Vaibhav Agarwal, Vipul Bansal, Anshuman Atri integrated M. Tech. in
(Front L to R) Rahul Sachdeva, Bharat Garg, Anup K Agarwal, Angad Kikla
with SAP Labs India. Mathematics and
His interests include technical analysis and reading. Computing. A CFA Level 2 candidate, he has interned
with Bloomberg and Ernst & Young. He is passionate
Anup K Agarwal is a second year student at IIM about football and is a staunch Manchester United
Indore. He graduated with a B.Com. Hons. in supporter.
Accounting and Finance from St. Xavier's College,
Calcutta. He has cleared C.A. Intermediate and has Vipul Bansal is a second year student at IIM Indore.
interned with Unicon Investments in the area of Wealth He graduated from Thapar University with a B.E. in
Management. He is passionate about data analysis. ECE. A CFA Level 2 and CAIA Level 1candidate, he
has worked as an Analyst with Inductis and interned
Bharat Garg is a second year student at IIM Indore. with Credit Risk Division of Deutsche Bank India. He
He graduated from Thapar University with a B.E. in likes to solve puzzles.
ECE. A CFA Level 2 candidate, he has worked as a
Software Engineer with Infosys Tech. Ltd. and interned
with Corporate Finance in Water division of HUL. His
interests include playing Snooker.
32