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APRIL 9, 2009
LYNDA M. APPLEGATE
During the late 1990s, “dot-com” executives and Wall Street analysts routinely justified high valuations by
claiming the superiority of emerging Internet business models. They maintained that new business metrics should
be applied to calculate economic value and that these business metrics would eventually drive profitability—but
only after huge amounts of capital had been invested to “get big fast.” Yet few Internet entrepreneurs could trace
the path between the new metrics they had chosen—my personal favorite was “eyeballs”—and the tangible
economic returns investors would eventually demand. The irrational exuberance for Internet stocks reached its
peak during 1999, when the number of Internet initial public offerings (IPOs) surged. During this 12-month period,
hundreds of Internet companies went public, and with these IPOs came a flood of public data that highlighted the
fatal flaws in many dot-com business models. By early 2000, concerns about the sustainability of these newly
public, and not yet profitable, Internet businesses caused stock markets to plummet.
The resulting backlash caused many to question whether the concept of a business model had been invented
simply to justify get-rich-quick Internet schemes. But this is far from accurate. While many still believe that
business models emerged with the Internet, in fact, the concept can be traced to early management thinking.
Published in the 1960s, Chandler’s Strategy and Structure provided an important foundation for defining the
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underlying economic model upon which businesses were constructed. This path-breaking book described the
importance of the alignment of an organization’s strategy with the environment within which it operates and with
the resources and capabilities required to execute the strategy. It then showed how this alignment drove capital
efficient profitable growth and created value for all stakeholders. Chandler’s work, combined with a large body of
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increasingly sophisticated 20 century management research, laid out the theory of the industrial economy
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business models that guided management practice through much of the 20 century. By the late 1990s, industrial
economy business models had become so well defined that the approach to their analysis was fairly
straightforward. Executives familiar with an industry understood the roles various firms played and the
mechanisms through which each player created and captured value or, conversely, destroyed value.
In today’s global network economy, however, new business models are emerging that are radically changing
how firms create or destroy value within an industry and across industry boundaries. Indeed, as new technologies
provide opportunities to radically change business and industry economics, the need to frame strategy and its
execution within the framework of a business model has become an increasingly important management tool—
especially for executives and entrepreneurs who are searching for opportunities to create and exploit game-
changing innovations.
This tutorial provides the basic frameworks and approaches that executives in established businesses can use
to assess their current business models and identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The same
frameworks and approaches can also be used by entrepreneurs who are searching for opportunities to launch and
Professor Lynda M. Applegate prepared this note to accompany the Crafting Business Models online tutorial.
Copyright © 2007 President and Fellows of Harvard College.
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grow successful new businesses. Companion tools are available in the Crafting Business Models Online Tutorial
(available from Harvard Business School Publishing) to assess your current business model and to forecast the
potential value of new ventures and business model innovations. These tools include the following:
The Analyzing Business Models Tool enables you to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and
threats in your current business model;
Analyzing and Pitching Opportunities provides helpful tips for conducting the analysis and collecting
the information required to develop a business plan for a new venture. It then provides the template
for a 10-slide pitch for selling your plan to investors, customers, and potential employees. The
template for an elevator pitch for a new venture is also included;
The Business Plan Assessment Tool guides analysis of a business plan that, in turn, frames the business
model for a new venture.
A business model defines how an organization interacts with its environment to define a unique
strategy, attract the resources and build the capabilities required to execute the strategy, and
create value for all stakeholders.
As such, a business model—whether it is for a publicly traded company, a new venture, a government agency,
or an educational institution—forms the foundation for how executives make decisions about opportunities to
pursue, businesses to launch or buy, activities to perform, talent to hire, and how to organize to deliver value to
stakeholders. For a new venture, the business model becomes a predictive forecasting tool that frames the
development of a business plan and the assumptions used to forecast future financial returns. The key steps in a
business model audit are presented below (see Exhibit 1.)
Competitive strategy is about being different. It is about deliberately choosing a different position and set of
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activities that enable you to deliver unique value.
Strategy is a series of choices that determine the opportunities you pursue and the market potential of those
opportunities. It involves choices concerning products to sell, markets to enter, and how you differentiate your
offerings from other alternatives. From a business model perspective, decisions concerning your strategy define
the revenue drivers of your business and its potential for growth over time. These decisions also determine
proprietary assets you will keep inside the walls of your firm and those you will leverage on the outside.
In his best-selling article, Michael Porter stresses that successful strategies define how a company plans to
achieve a distinctive and unique position that “woos customers from established players or draws new customers
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into the market.” But successful strategic positions often attract imitation. Sustainable advantage occurs when
barriers exist that make it difficult for competitors to imitate your actions or for customers to switch. A business
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model strategy audit includes analysis in the four areas discussed below. Refer back to Exhibit 1 and be sure to
review page 2 of the exhibit, which provides a suggested approach and questions for conducting a strategy audit.
Assess your business context. Begin by asking: “What business are we in?” Examine industry and competitive
dynamics and consider relevant demographic, economic, political, regulatory, and societal factors that influence
(or could influence) your business. Identify key trends that will either positively or negatively impact your industry
and any disruptors—for example, technologies, globalization, new business models, or regulatory changes—that
could be a source of opportunity or threat. Identify specific opportunities you’d like to pursue and, most
importantly, those opportunities you will NOT pursue. Analysis of your business context defines your business
boundaries and associated opportunities and risks.
Analyze your customers. Once you’ve looked broadly at your industry, turn your attention to current (and
future) customers. Identify pressing problems your customers face and evaluate how your current products and
services and those under development address those problems. While both market research and internal
customer information are critical to your analysis, be sure to get a first-hand perspective by talking with and
observing customers. Watch them work and consider how easy or hard it is for them to use your offerings.
Whenever possible, involve them in designing and developing products and services.
Analyze competitors and substitutes. Now that you understand what customers want, turn your attention to
the alternatives those customers have for meeting their needs. Evaluate your product and service offerings against
these alternatives. What makes you different in ways that matter to customers? Do you possess proprietary
knowledge, assets, or intellectual property that will serve as a barrier to entry? Will customers pay the price you
must charge to make the economics of your business work? Are your offerings gaining or losing share? Are they
competitively priced?
Assess your business network. To complete your business model strategy audit, turn your attention to the
network of suppliers, distributors, and other partners needed to execute your strategy. Do you have access to the
external resources and capabilities you need? How does the quality and cost of outsourced activities compare to
what could be provided if those same activities were performed inside your organization? How powerful are
individuals and organizations that control key activities, resources, or capabilities that you require to execute your
strategy? This high level analysis of your business network serves as an excellent transition to your business model
capability audit.
The purpose of organization is to reduce the friction that comes when people— both inside and outside
your organization— work together to accomplish shared goals.
Once you’ve defined your strategic direction and goals, the next step is to assemble the resources and build the
capabilities required to achieve those goals. Your capabilities enable you to execute your current strategy while
also providing a platform for future growth. The capability dimension of a business model defines the cost model
of your business and the value of your operating assets (both tangible and intangible). The alignment and links
among your strategy and capabilities ultimately specify how you will generate profitable growth and increase
returns for all stakeholders. A business model capability audit frames analysis in the four areas discussed below
(refer back to Exhibit 1 paying special attention to the suggested approach and questions for conducting a
capability audit).
Analyze processes and infrastructure. Begin your capability audit by evaluating core processes that enable you
to produce products, deliver services, acquire and serve customers, manage relationships with key stakeholders,
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and deliver a continuous stream of new products, services, and innovations. Once you’ve evaluated these core
operating processes, do the same for supporting processes such as payroll, finance, and data center management.
Do your processes enable end-to-end coordination and control of operations? Do people and partners at all levels
have the information needed to coordinate and control processes and infrastructure? Are you best-in-class in
terms of speed, quality, cost, and productivity?
Evaluate people and partners. Armed with an understanding of end-to-end processes, evaluate whether you
have the expertise needed to perform these processes. How easy or difficult is it (or will it be) to attract, develop,
motivate, and retain the expertise needed to carry out specific activities and coordinate and control your
operations? Does your company have the reputation and image required to attract and retain top talent? Do your
culture and incentives enable you to engage and inspire? Have you developed clear performance targets,
measurement systems, rewards, and boundaries that ensure transparency and fairness? Keep in mind that
performance measures for people and partners are often specific to the roles they have been hired to perform. For
example, sales force quality and productivity are often measured in terms of sales per employee, customer
retention per employee, and customer profitability per employee while manufacturing employees may be
measured using production quality and efficiency measures.
Assess organization and culture. Once you’ve evaluated your processes and the people needed to carry them
out, assess whether your organization design makes it easier or harder for people to make decisions and get work
done. Have you grouped people into work units and provided them with the accountability and decision-making
authority they need to do their work, make decisions, and meet performance targets? Have you developed
approaches for coordinating work across units? These coordinating mechanisms may include formal reporting
relationships, steering committees, and liaison positions. Does the informal culture support or hinder individuals
and groups as they attempt to fulfill their roles and responsibilities? Does shared vision and values enable people
and partners to work together to achieve shared goals? Does everyone understand the boundaries for decision
making and action beyond which they must not cross?
Evaluate leadership and governance. Success over time demands strong leadership. Effective leaders use
governance structures and systems to balance the creativity and vision needed to set goals and prioritize
investments with the discipline needed to execute and deliver results. Governance systems include: strategic
controls (scanning the environment, defining strategic position, setting goals, and prioritizing projects and
investments); operating controls (defining short-term objectives and controlling current business operations and
projects); effective risk management (identification and management of key risks); and effective development and
management of the shared values and culture that guide decisions and actions. Have your leaders communicated a
compelling and clear vision for the future that unites people and partners around common goals? Do leaders at all
levels balance creativity and innovation with disciplined execution? Can they set goals and deliver results? Are
leaders well connected and have they demonstrated a track record of success? Do you have a high performing
board of directors and executive team that closely monitors strategic and operating performance? Do the board
and executive team have systems in place to identify and manage risks while also ensuring that the organization’s
culture and values guide decisions and behavior at all levels?
The final component of your business model identifies value delivered to all stakeholders. Most executives of
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publicly traded for profit firms begin their analysis of business value by looking at company financials. These
measures of economic value define the financial returns for business owners and investors, which, in turn,
influence stock price and market value.
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Given that financial analysis often involves comparisons with other companies or with historical performance
over time, financial ratios are often used. While specific financial ratios (see Appendix A) provide answers to
questions about the economics of your business model, multiple ratios and measures are often required to
understand the impact of strategic decisions or investments on economic value. For example, the decision to
acquire a company or enter a new international market may involve new revenue streams and costs that change
your profit margin while also decreasing cash, increasing debt, or increasing the value of assets on your balance
sheet. Executives must be able to analyze the interaction of these financial metrics to make sound business
decisions.
The DuPont Formula, created by financial analysts at E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company in the 1920s,
enables comparison of multiple ratios to assist in strategic decision making. This financial metric (see Exhibit 2)
relates three different ratios—profit margin, asset turnover (efficiency), and leverage—that combine to determine
return on equity (ROE).
While the expanded ROE definition helps analyze key components of economic value, simply looking at
financial returns is not enough. This is especially true when the business is growing quickly or you are launching
new businesses where financial returns are speculative at best. When the business environment is rapidly changing
and highly uncertain, it’s essential that you understand the drivers of value creation. These drivers are identified
during your strategy and capability audit. For example, during your strategy audit, you may learn that your current
market is mature and does not provide sufficient revenue growth potential to enable you to meet your growth
goals. Given this analysis, your ability to offer value-added services to customers in your current market may be a
key driver for revenue growth. But the decisions to invest in building and launching these value-added services
would need to consider assumptions about potential revenues, estimated costs and the time to achieve expected
returns, your ability to differentiate the services over time, other opportunities you will not pursue, and a host of
other factors.
Identify internal and external stakeholders. Begin your value audit by identifying internal and external
stakeholders. Assess their interests and expectations. What do they require from you and what are they able (and
willing) to provide to you? Can you attract, retain, and motivate key customers and are they willing and able to
pay? How do the interests of other stakeholder groups (e.g., employees, partners, government, society) influence
your ability to attract and serve customers? What are the objective and subjective benefits that each of the key
stakeholders (or stakeholder groups) receive from doing business with you?
Identify business model drivers. When you are done analyzing each component of your business model, take a
moment to review what you have learned. What are the key opportunities and threats identified during your
strategy audit? What are the key strengths and weaknesses identified during your capability audit? From these
lists, identify key revenue, cost, and asset efficiency drivers.
Develop your financial model and determine financing needs. Once you understand your business model
drivers and the value delivered (or to be delivered) to key stakeholders, develop your financial model. What
assumptions have you made about the drivers of revenue, costs, and asset efficiency? How much uncertainty is
there in these assumptions? How do changes in these assumptions based on best-case / worst-case scenarios
change the economics in your business? In for-profit firms, calculate ROE. (Note: You may also use other measures
such as return on invested capital, for example, ROIC.) Do shareholder/business owner returns meet
expectations? Are there any fatal flaws in your business model? If so, how should you address them?
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The power of the business model audit described above does not come from collecting and analyzing
independent “buckets” of data. Instead, it’s helpful to step back and consider what you have learned about key
strategy, capability, and value linkages. Exhibit 3 highlights key questions you can ask to identify drivers of business
model economic performance. Appendix B shows how information collected during your strategy and capability
audit can serve as performance metrics for your business. Finally, Exhibit 4 presents a sample business model
dashboard that can be used to visually depict the relationships among strategy and capability drivers and
economic returns. Similar to a balanced scorecard, a business model dashboard is especially useful for forecasting
and measuring performance when launching new ventures and business model innovations. The business model
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audit described here can also be a first step in identifying key performance metrics in a balanced scorecard.
Expand: Launch new product categories, enter new markets, or expand capabilities.
The Product-Market Matrix in Exhibit 5 shows how these four approaches to business model evolution can be
framed within familiar strategic positioning choices. The evolution of the Amazon.com business model illustrates
the choices made by CEO and founder, Jeff Bezos, as he built the company from its first product in 1995 through
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2006. Many business model shifts—for example, the decision to enhance a product or improve a process—
represent incremental adjustments to your business model. At times, however, you might follow a more
revolutionary path and choose to launch—not just a product, market, or channel—but a new business. These
radical business model innovations often involve more than just a change to product-market positioning but also
involve entering a brand new industry with new competitors and a new business network. The decision in 2000 by
Amazon.com executives to exit their retail toy business and become a logistics services provider for Toys“R”Us
marked a radical shift in its business model that enabled the company to, not only survive, but also thrive.
Summary
In turbulent times an enterprise has to be able to withstand sudden blows and avail itself of unexpected
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opportunities. This means that in turbulent times the fundamentals must be managed and managed well.
It’s tough to build a business when the world is changing at warp speeds. We knew how to identify
opportunities, launch new ventures, and build them into successful companies during the industrial economy but
we are just beginning to rewrite the rules for success in the network economy. While many long for more stability,
savvy entrepreneurs and executives know that it is in just such times of turbulence that opportunities for creating
value can be identified and exploited.
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Building businesses in these challenging times requires that executives understand how to define and execute
strategy, develop and leverage capabilities, and create value for all stakeholders. An enterprise’s business model
frames these “fundamentals.” But these components are not created in a vacuum. When your strategy,
capabilities, and value are aligned with each other and with the external environment, a business model creates
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what economists call a “virtuous cycle” of innovation, productivity, and increasing returns. In contrast, a poorly
aligned business model creates a “vicious cycle” that can quickly spin out of control, destroying value. And, the
more turbulent the business environment, the faster a vicious cycle can destroy your business. The problem,
however, is that tightly aligned business models are tough to change. In today’s turbulent times, business models
must be aligned, yet flexible, requiring even more skill and deep understanding of—not just the components of
your business model—but also the linkages among those components as your business evolves and grows.
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Source: Author.
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Source: Author.
Profit Margin is a measure of a company’s success at turning revenues into profits. It answers the question:
For every dollar of revenue that we generate, how much of that dollar goes to net income (also called
profit)? In its most basic form, net income is calculated by subtracting expenses from revenues. As a result,
anything that lowers expenses and increases revenues improves profit margin.
Asset Turnover measures the efficiency with which an organization utilizes its assets by answering the
question: How many dollars of revenue do we generate for each dollar of assets on our books? Of course,
traditional financial measures of asset efficiency often don’t reflect the value of intangible assets such as the
skills and knowledge of your employees, the value of information and know-how captured in your databases
and computer applications, the value of your company’s brand and reputation, or the value of your network
of business partners and customers. In today’s global network economy, these “intangible assets” become
even more important as sources of asset value. As a result, forward-thinking executives are expanding the
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way they calculate the value of their assets to include financial surrogates for intangible assets.
Leverage measures the percentage of your company’s assets that would be available to shareholders if your
firm was sold, after first subtracting how much of your assets would be needed to pay off creditors.
Understanding a company’s leverage enables executives to answer the question: For every dollar of value
that I create, how much goes to increasing shareholder value?
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Source: Author.
See Appendix B for sample business model drivers and metrics corresponding to each of the above questions.
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Source: Author.
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Begin by identifying opportunities to evolve your strategy. While not shown, don’t forget the fourth option for
business model evolution, Exit.
Radical
Innovation
Markets
Enhance current Expand into new
products or markets product lines
Same
improve current products, add add services or solutions that can
features and/or improve sales or be sold to the same market
channels to penetrate existing
markets
Source: Author.
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Once you have plotted your strategy evolution, consider the capabilities required to execute strategy and plot
your path through the Business Model Innovation Matrix below.
Then id entify the ap p rop riate categories of p erform ance m etrics need ed to m on itor p erform ance as you
evolve. Use the bu siness m od el d river tables in Ap p end ix B to choose sp ecific m etrics.
Source: Author.
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1995: Between July 1994, when the company was incorporated, and July 1995 when the Amazon.com online
bookstore was officially launched, Bezos and a few employees built the software that powered the website. By
September 1995, the company was selling over $20,000 per week out of the founder’s garage. During the first
quarter of 1996, the company had over $875,000 in sales.
1996: Amazon.com focused on enhancing its product and service offerings and capabilities with increasingly
sophisticated browsing and focused search capabilities, personalized store layout and recommendations, shopping
carts, 1-Click shopping (which was later patented), wish lists, and greeting cards. Efforts to redefine and enhance
the online shopping experience continued and, in 1999, Amazon.com was one of the first online retailers to enable
shopping through wireless devices.
1997: By the first quarter of 1997, Amazon.com revenues had increased to $16 million (which was equivalent to
the company’s yearly revenues in 1996). Amazon.com went public on May 15, 1997.
1998: Beginning in 1998, Amazon.com began aggressively expanding into new product categories and into
international markets. By early 2001, the company was not just an online bookstore, it was an online superstore
selling a wide variety of products in over 160 different countries.
1999: During 1999, Amazon.com began exploring new business models including, auctions (low-end and high-end)
and marketplaces (zShops). For these businesses, Amazon.com provided software and services but did not assume
control of inventory. As such, rather it acted as an agent—not a retailer.
2000: During early 2000, Amazon.com expanded its marketplace business model through a series of equity
partnerships with leading online retailers (Drugstore.com, living.com, pets.com). By late 2000, living.com and
Pets.com had succumbed to the dot-com crash and had declared bankruptcy. This caused Amazon.com executives
to re-evaluate the company’s business model. Rather than partner with dot-com retailers, attention shifted to
traditional retailers that wished to develop online retailing capabilities and to upgrade their traditional distribution
and fulfillment capabilities to enable the end-to-end visibility and speed required when doing business online. In
August 2000, Amazon.com’s partnership with Toys“R”Us enabled the company to explore a new business model
as a logistics services provider as it simultaneously expanded into a new market (traditional retailers) with its
existing online retail product. This partnership formed the foundation for a new business that revitalized the
company and positioned it for success between 2002 and 2006.
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Source: Author.
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Profitability measures enable you to answer the question: How many dollars of sales does it take to generate
one dollar of profit? Three common approaches are used to analyze profits.
Productivity measures enable you to answer the question: How many dollars of sales or assets are required to
generate one dollar of profit? Productivity can also be measured using ratios that show the efficiency of your
assets or working capital in generating sales. If your company stores physical goods as inventory, you may wish to
also know how quickly you are able to turn inventory into cash.
Solvency measures enable you to answer the question: Do I have the assets needed to cover my liabilities and
what percent of my assets are available to shareholders after I pay off debt? Short-term solvency can be analyzed
by measuring the percentage of current assets needed to cover current liabilities or, in cases where it is important
to retire debt quickly, only “quick” assets (e.g., cash and marketable securities) can be used in the calculation of
current assets. Long-term solvency can be analyzed using the debt-to-equity ratio.
Business value can be analyzed in multiple ways. Book value reflects the value of balance sheet assets. If your
firm is publicly traded, its market value reflects the price that shareholders currently pay for equity in your firm
and the Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio enables comparison of the value of a firm over time, comparisons with
comparable companies, or cross-industry comparisons.
Privately held businesses are often valued based on what a “comparable company” would sell for in the open
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market. These “market comps” are often based on stock price multiples, such as the P/E ratio, or they may reflect
the price per share paid during comparable transactions, such as the price paid for similar acquisitions.
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End Notes
1
Malone, T. et. al., “Do some business models perform better than others?” MIT Sloan Working Paper, 4615-06, May 2006.
©2006, Thomas Malone, Peter Weill, Richard Lai, Victoria D’Urso, George Herman, Thomas Apel, Stephanie Woerner.
2
Chandler, A. Strategy and Structure: Chapters in the History of the American Industrial Enterprise, Cambridge: MIT Press,
(reprint edition August 1969).
3
For a summary of the strategy research that formed the backbone of business model research, see Chesbrough, H. and
Rosenbloom, R., “The role of the business model in capturing value from innovation,” Industrial and Corporate Change, June
2002.
4
Porter, M., “What is Strategy?” Harvard Business Review, November-December 1996, pg. 64.
5
Porter, M., op cit., pg. 65.
6
See Bruns, W., “Financial Ratio and Financial Statement Analysis,” (HBS No. 193-029).
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Kaplan, R. and Norton, The Strategy-Focused Organization: How Balanced Scorecard Companies Thrive in the New Business Environment,
Boston: HBS Press, 2000.
8
See Applegate, L.M., Amazon.com: The Brink of Bankruptcy (HBS No. 809-014). The case covers events in the company’s
evolution from 1994 – 2000. An update is available from HBS Publishing in the Crafting Business Models CD (HBS No. 808-705)
that describes events from 2001 – 2006.
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Drucker, P., Managing in Turbulent Times, NY: Harper & Row, 1980.
10
A summary of the theory of “virtuous” and “vicious” cycles can be found in: Shapiro, C. and Varian, H., Information Rules: A
Guide to the Network Economy, Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1998.
11
Kalplan, R. and Norton, D., Measuring the Strategic Readiness of Intangible Assets,” The Tangible Power of Intangible Assets,
Harvard Business Review On-Point Collection, (HBS No. 7006).
12
See Roberts, M., “Note on Valuing Private Businesses,” (HBS No. 201-060).
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