Hidrologia - Metodos Estadisticos

Estaciones pluviometricas de cerro de Pasco
ALTOS
Date JAICO MACHAVADO CHALHUACOCHA
MACHAY
7/1/1965 1617.5 1681.5 1291.7 1720.3
7/1/1966 1591.8 1641.4 1437.8 1633.3
7/1/1967 1775.7 1812.0 1699.5 1880.9
7/1/1968 1789.3 1832.7 1483.0 1923.0
7/1/1969 1188.3 1340.5 1165.7 1341.0
7/1/1970 1260.1 1427.4 1062.3 1529.8
7/1/1971 1401.0 1582.3 1288.2 1745.5
7/1/1972 1317.6 1334.0 1201.8 1537.4
7/1/1973 1624.2 1610.3 1486.3 1874.5
7/1/1974 1417.2 1370.1 1130.0 1658.4
7/1/1975 1597.1 1618.7 1349.3 1801.2
7/1/1976 1279.6 1308.3 1074.5 1509.3
7/1/1977 1429.2 1505.7 1194.3 1739.6
7/1/1978 1286.5 1580.8 1135.7 1687.3
7/1/1979 1353.8 1610.1 1205.3 1631.0
7/1/1980 1286.3 1425.7 1087.3 1645.4
7/1/1981 1488.6 1722.7 1277.7 1819.7
7/1/1982 1425.4 1673.9 1279.8 1752.1
7/1/1983 1358.9 1565.6 1287.6 1720.8
7/1/1984 1864.6 1922.6 1780.8 1997.9
7/1/1985 1780.8 1768.3 1577.6 1754.1
7/1/1986 1457.3 1510.3 1331.9 1748.9
7/1/1987 1336.4 1322.9 1101.3 1365.7
7/1/1988 1316.0 1311.0 1070.0 1499.7
7/1/1989 1590.5 1618.9 1441.1 1789.2
7/1/1990 1475.9 1514.7 1346.0 1680.6
7/1/1991 1334.2 1385.7 1176.6 1630.2
7/1/1992 1231.3 1256.5 1045.3
7/1/1993 1899.9 1970.0 1653.9
7/1/1994 1493.0 1371.0 1257.4
7/1/1995 1748.8 1659.3 1516.3
7/1/1996 1663.3 1591.9 1425.6
7/1/1997 1645.6 1537.1 1371.2
7/1/1998 1699.6 1569.3 1448.8
7/1/1999 1500.7 1244.7 1317.6
7/1/2000 1568.3 1515.4 1414.6
7/1/2001 1635.5 1549.5 1539.8
7/1/2002 1420.8 1417.3 1264.2
ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (ALTOS MACHAY)
PRECIPITACION
Date
(mm)
7/1/1965 1617.5
7/1/1966 1591.8
7/1/1967 1775.7
7/1/1968 1789.3
7/1/1969 1188.3
7/1/1970 1260.1
7/1/1971 1401.0
7/1/1972 1317.6
7/1/1973 1624.2
7/1/1974 1417.2
7/1/1975 1597.1
7/1/1976 1279.6
7/1/1977 1429.2
7/1/1978 1286.5
7/1/1979 1353.8
7/1/1980 1286.3
7/1/1981 1488.6
7/1/1982 1425.4
7/1/1983 1358.9
7/1/1984 1864.6
7/1/1985 1780.8
7/1/1986 1457.3
7/1/1987 1336.4
7/1/1988 1316.0
7/1/1989 1590.5
7/1/1990 1475.9
7/1/1991 1334.2
7/1/1992 1231.3
7/1/1993 1899.9
7/1/1994 1493.0
7/1/1995 1748.8
7/1/1996 1663.3
7/1/1997 1645.6
7/1/1998 1699.6
7/1/1999 1500.7
7/1/2000 1568.3
7/1/2001 1635.5
7/1/2002 1420.8
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
Nº AÑO PRECIPITACION (mm) P^2
1 1965 1617.5 2616306.25

2 1966 1591.8 2533827.24
3 1967 1775.7 3153110.49
4 1968 1789.3 3201594.49
5 1969 1188.3 1412056.89
6 1970 1260.1 1587852.01
7 1971 1401.0 1962801
8 1972 1317.6 1736069.76
9 1973 1624.2 2638025.64
10 1974 1417.2 2008455.84
11 1975 1597.1 2550728.41
12 1976 1279.6 1637376.16
13 1977 1429.2 2042612.64
14 1978 1286.5 1655082.25
15 1979 1353.8 1832774.44
16 1980 1286.3 1654567.69
17 1981 1488.6 2215929.96
18 1982 1425.4 2031765.16
19 1983 1358.9 1846609.21
20 1984 1864.6 3476733.16
21 1985 1780.8 3171248.64
22 1986 1457.3 2123723.29
23 1987 1336.4 1785964.96
24 1988 1316.0 1731856
25 1989 1590.5 2529690.25
26 1990 1475.9 2178280.81
27 1991 1334.2 1780089.64
28 1992 1231.3 1516099.69
29 1993 1899.9 3609620.01
30 1994 1493.0 2229049
31 1995 1748.8 3058301.44
32 1996 1663.3 2766566.89
33 1997 1645.6 2707999.36
34 1998 1699.6 2888640.16
35 1999 1500.7 2252232.91
36 2000 1568.3 2459564.89
37 2001 1635.5 2674860.25
38 2002 1420.8 2018672.64
57150.6 87276739.5
N= 38 años
Pm= 1503.9643188855 mm. precipitacion media
σP= 189.1810203033 desv. Estandar Precipitacion
Yn= 0.5424 tabla 6.13
σ=N 1.1363 tabla 6.13
t= 50 años
Pmax= 2064.968207123 mm.

ᶲ= 0.98
∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.

+ Pd= 2254.7652353248 mm.
Pd= 1875.1711789211 mm.

-
t= 100 años
Pmax= 2180.3693255236 mm.

ᶲ= 0.99
∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.

+ Pd= 2370.1663537254 mm.
- Pd= 1990.5722973218 mm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 2295.7704439243 mm.

ᶲ= 0.995
∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.
Pd= 2485.5674721261 mm.

Pd= 2105.9734157224 mm.
MÉTODO DE NASH
Nº PRECIPITACION (mm) T
1 1899.9 39.00
2 1864.6 19.50
3 1789.3 13.00
4 1780.8 9.75
5 1775.7 7.80
6 1748.8 6.50
7 1699.6 5.57
8 1663.3 4.88
9 1645.6 4.33
10 1635.5 3.90
11 1624.2 3.55
12 1617.5 3.25
13 1597.1 3.00
14 1591.8 2.79
15 1590.5 2.60
16 1568.3 2.44
17 1500.7 2.29
18 1493.0 2.17
19 1488.6 2.05
20 1475.9 1.95
21 1457.3 1.86
22 1429.2 1.77
23 1425.4 1.70
24 1420.8 1.63
25 1417.2 1.56
26 1401.0 1.50
27 1358.9 1.44
28 1353.8 1.39
29 1336.4 1.34
30 1334.2 1.30
31 1317.6 1.26
32 1316.0 1.22
33 1286.5 1.18
34 1286.3 1.15
35 1279.6 1.11
36 1260.1 1.08
37 1231.3 1.05
38 1188.3 1.03
57150.6
N= 38
Pm= 1503.9631578947 mm.
r Precipitacion Xm= -0.5977728431
b= -373.2072131218
a= 1280.8700210596
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Pmax= 2048.484899755 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 50319989.4399991
Sxq= -131287.548095317
∆P= 68.2389461209 mm.

Pd= 2116.7238458759 mm.
Pd= 1980.2459536341 mm.
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Pmax= 2161.6521487579 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 50319989.4399991
Sxq= -131287.548095317
∆P= 71.1658795393 mm.

Pd= 2232.8180282972 mm.
Pd= 2090.4862692186 mm.
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Pmax= 2274.4064694787 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 50319989.4399991
Sxq= -131287.548095317
∆P= 74.4816749773 mm.

Pd= 2348.888144456 mm.
Pd= 2199.9247945014 mm.
RESUMEN TIEM
50 años
METODO Pmáx Pdiseño
GUMBEL 2064.968 2254.765
NASH 2048.485 2116.724
LEBEDIEV 1922.490 1984.240
LOG. PEARSON TIPO III 1946.093

RESUMEN
50
METODO Qmax Qdiseño
GUMBEL 2064.968207123 2254.7652353
NASH 2048.484899755 2116.7238459
LEBEDIEV 1922.4901190521 1984.2401967
RESUMEN TIEMPO DE RETORNO

50 años
METODO Pmáx Pdiseño
GUMBEL 2064.968207123 2254.7652353
NASH 2048.484899755 2116.7238459
LEBEDIEV 1922.4901190521 1984.2401967
LOG. PEARSON TIPO III 1946.0932734263
DO DE NASH
Xi Xi*P Xi^2 P^2
-1.947652 -3700.34403 3.79334831 3609620.01

-1.640869 -3059.56435 2.6924511 3476733.16
-1.4588939 -2610.39889 2.12837146 3201594.49
-1.3279339 -2364.7847 1.76340846 3171248.64
-1.224858 -2174.9804 1.50027719 3153110.49
-1.1393586 -1992.5103 1.298138 3058301.44
-1.0659329 -1811.65953 1.13621291 2888640.16
-1.0012922 -1665.44924 1.00258597 2766566.89
-0.943311 -1552.31259 0.88983566 2707999.36
-0.8905341 -1456.46859 0.79305106 2674860.25
-0.8419194 -1367.44543 0.70882821 2638025.64
-0.7966928 -1288.65059 0.6347194 2616306.25
-0.7542622 -1204.63216 0.56891147 2550728.41
-0.7141624 -1136.80372 0.51002794 2533827.24
-0.6760195 -1075.20896 0.45700231 2529690.25
-0.6395263 -1002.96911 0.4089939 2459564.89
-0.6044256 -907.061556 0.36533035 2252100.49
-0.5704975 -851.752815 0.32546743 2229049.00
-0.5375502 -800.197187 0.28896019 2215929.96
-0.5054127 -745.93862 0.25544201 2178280.81
-0.4739295 -690.657494 0.22460919 2123723.29
-0.4429554 -633.071839 0.19620947 2042612.64
-0.4123512 -587.765375 0.1700335 2031765.16
-0.3819798 -542.716893 0.14590856 2018672.64
-0.3517019 -498.431927 0.12369422 2008455.84
-0.3213712 -450.241102 0.10327947 1962801.00
-0.290829 -395.207511 0.0845815 1846609.21
-0.2598964 -351.84781 0.06754616 1832774.44
-0.228365 -305.187047 0.05215059 1785964.96
-0.1959819 -261.479018 0.0384089 1780089.64
-0.1624276 -214.014583 0.02638272 1736069.76
-0.1272806 -167.501318 0.01620036 1731856.00
-0.0899557 -115.72806 0.00809204 1655082.25
-0.0495891 -63.7864441 0.00245908 1654567.69
-0.0048017 -6.1442317 2.3056E-05 1637376.16
0.04686311 59.05219999 0.00219615 1587852.01
0.11060136 136.1834576 0.01223266 1516099.69
0.20168782 239.6656306 0.04067797 1412056.89
-22.715368 -37618.0121 22.8360489 87276607.10
TIEMPO DE RETORNO
os 100 años 200 años
Pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño
1875.171 2180.369 2370.166 1990.572 2295.770 2485.567 2105.973
1980.246 2161.652 2232.818 2090.486 2274.406 2348.888 2199.925
1860.740 1987.826 2055.222 1920.431 2049.056 2122.184 1975.928
3 2021.853 2091.145
100 200
Qmax Qdiseño Qmax Qdiseño
1875.17118 2180.369326 2370.16635 1990.5722973218 2295.77044 2485.56747 2105.97342
1980.24595 2161.652149 2232.81803 2090.4862692186 2274.40647 2348.88814 2199.92479
1860.74004 1987.826439 2055.22226 1920.4306210685 2049.05591 2122.18407 1975.92774
100 años 200 años

Pmáx Pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño
1875.17118 2180.369326 2370.16635 1990.5722973218 2295.77044 2485.56747 2105.97342
1980.24595 2161.652149 2232.81803 2090.4862692186 2274.40647 2348.88814 2199.92479
1860.74004 1987.826439 2055.22226 1920.4306210685 2049.05591 2122.18407 1975.92774
2021.853072 2091.14547
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
Nº AÑO PRECIPITACION (mm) (Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2
1 1965 1617.5 0.0754909406 0.0056988821

2 1966 1591.8 0.0584027693 0.0034108835
3 1967 1775.7 0.1806796064 0.0326451202
4 1968 1789.3 0.1897223741 0.0359945792
5 1969 1188.3 -0.2098881702 0.044053044
6 1970 1260.1 -0.1621476759 0.0262918688
7 1971 1401.0 -0.0684619426 0.0046870376
8 1972 1317.6 -0.1239153859 0.0153550229
9 1973 1624.2 0.0799458336 0.0063913363
10 1974 1417.2 -0.0576904105 0.0033281835
11 1975 1597.1 0.0619267891 0.0038349272
12 1976 1279.6 -0.1491819427 0.022255252
13 1977 1429.2 -0.0497114978 0.002471233
14 1978 1286.5 -0.1445940679 0.0209074445
15 1979 1353.8 -0.0998456659 0.009969157
16 1980 1286.3 -0.1447270498 0.0209459189
17 1981 1488.6 -0.0102158799 0.0001043642
18 1982 1425.4 -0.0522381535 0.0027288247
19 1983 1358.9 -0.096454628 0.0093034953
20 1984 1864.6 0.2397900513 0.0574992687
21 1985 1780.8 0.1840706443 0.0338820021
22 1986 1457.3 -0.0310275439 0.0009627085
23 1987 1336.4 -0.1114150893 0.0124133221
24 1988 1316.0 -0.1249792409 0.0156198107
25 1989 1590.5 0.0575383871 0.003310666
26 1990 1475.9 -0.0186602292 0.0003482042
27 1991 1334.2 -0.11287789 0.012741418
28 1992 1231.3 -0.1812970663 0.0328686263
29 1993 1899.9 0.2632613528 0.0693065399
30 1994 1493.0 -0.0072902786 5.314816202989E-05
31 1995 1748.8 0.1627935437 0.0265017379
32 1996 1663.3 0.1059437908 0.0112240868
33 1997 1645.6 0.0941748945 0.0088689108
34 1998 1699.6 0.1300800017 0.0169208068
35 1999 1500.7 -0.002141142 4.584489259842E-06
36 2000 1568.3 0.0427773986 0.0018299058
37 2001 1635.5 0.0874593097 0.0076491308
38 2002 1420.8 -0.0552967367 0.0030577291
57150.6 0.5854391817
N= 38
Pm= 1503.96432 mm.
Cv= 0.12412209
Cs= 0.32278869
Cs= 0.37236628 3 CV (avenidas producidas por tormentas)
T= 50 años
K= 2.242
El K lo sacamos del
P= 2.00% cuadro de
Cs= 0.37 probabilidad y Cs
Pmax= 1922.49012 mm.
Promedio del valor

A= 1.1 maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.18 El Er lo sacamos del
P= 2.00% abaco de probabilidad
Cv= 0.1 y Cv
∆P= 61.7500777 mm.

Pd= 1984.2402 mm.
Pd= 1860.74004 mm.
T= 100 años
K= 2.592 El K lo sacamos del

P= 1.00% cuadro de
Pmax= 1987.82644 mm.
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Cv= 0.1 y Cv
∆P= 67.3958183 mm.

Pd= 2055.22226 mm.
Pd= 1920.43062 mm.
T= 200 años

P= 0.50% cuadro de
Pmax= 2049.05591 mm.
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Cv= 0.1 y Cv
∆P= 73.1281674 mm.

Pd= 2122.18407 mm.
Pd= 1975.92774 mm.
MÉTODO DE LOG. PEARSON T
((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº PRECIPITACION (mm)
0.000430214 1 1899.9
0.000199205 2 1864.6
0.0058983075 3 1789.3
0.006828977 4 1780.8
-0.0092462128 5 1775.7
-0.0042631654 6 1748.8
-0.0003208837 7 1699.6
-0.0019027236 8 1663.3
0.0005109607 9 1645.6
-0.0001920043 10 1635.5
0.0002374847 11 1624.2
-0.0033200817 12 1617.5
-0.0001228487 13 1597.1
-0.0030230924 14 1591.8
-0.0009953771 15 1590.5
-0.0030314411 16 1568.3
-1.066172161E-06 17 1500.7
-0.0001425488 18 1493.0
-0.0008973652 19 1488.6
0.0137877526 20 1475.9
0.006236682 21 1457.3
-2.9870479558E-05 22 1429.2
-0.0013830314 23 1425.4
-0.0019521521 24 1420.8
0.0001904904 25 1417.2
-6.4975693088E-06 26 1401.0
-0.0014382244 27 1358.9
-0.0059589855 28 1353.8
0.0182457334 29 1336.4
-3.8746490815E-07 30 1334.2
0.0043143118 31 1317.6
0.0011891223 32 1316.0
0.0008352287 33 1286.5
0.0022010586 34 1286.3
-9.8160427123E-09 35 1279.6
7.82786110062E-05 36 1260.1
0.0006689877 37 1231.3
-0.0001690824 38 1188.3
0.023455743 57150.6
N= 38
Log P = 3.173929305
σ Log P= 0.0542024208
Cs Log P= 0.1439320386
T= 50
K= 2.126
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.14
Log Pmáx.= 3.2891636515

Pd = Pmáx.= 1946.0932734263
T= 100
K= 2.432
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.14
Log Pmáx.= 3.3057495923

Pd = Pmáx.= 2021.8530722774
T= 200
K= 2.702
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.14
Log Pmáx.= 3.3203842459

Pd = Pmáx.= 2091.14547218
ODO DE LOG. PEARSON TIPO III
log P (LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3
3.2787 0.0109833414 0.00115107

3.2706 0.0093424548 0.0009030078
3.2527 0.00620217 0.0004884448
3.2506 0.0058807184 0.0004509678
3.2494 0.0056912373 0.0004293486
3.2427 0.0047349317 0.0003258146
3.2303 0.003182925 0.0001795724
3.2210 0.0022128823 0.0001040968
3.2163 0.0017973338 7.619791915E-05
3.2137 0.0015777772 6.26712718E-05
3.2106 0.0013476389 4.947209415E-05
3.2088 0.0012190561 4.256332592E-05
3.2033 0.0008645249 2.541945758E-05
3.2019 0.0007817166 2.185616741E-05
3.2015 0.0007620012 2.10345608E-05
3.1954 0.000462243 9.938149661E-06
3.1763 5.5912271606E-06 1.322089042E-08
3.1741 0.000000017 2.222589269E-12
3.1728 1.3254693476E-06 -1.525999999E-09
3.1691 0.00002374 -1.156701695E-07
3.1635 0.0001077515 -1.118496791E-06
3.1551 0.0003548061 -6.683233238E-06
3.1539 0.0003997021 -7.991063919E-06
3.1525 0.0004578041 -9.795339145E-06
3.1514 0.0005061673 -1.138783269E-05
3.1464 0.0007557644 -2.077684761E-05
3.1332 0.0016598948 -6.762711169E-05
3.1316 0.0017956233 -7.60891682E-05
3.1259 0.0023033125 -0.0001105425
3.1252 0.0023725052 -0.0001155609
3.1198 0.0029317589 -0.0001587422
3.1193 0.0029891824 -0.0001634288
3.1094 0.0041627677 -0.0002685798
3.1093 0.0041714851 -0.0002694239
3.1071 0.0044696009 -0.0002988155
3.1004 0.0054058217 -0.0003974592
3.0904 0.0069831803 -0.0005835524
3.0749 0.0098016352 -0.0009703933
120.6093 0.1087023895 0.0008034043
años
2.126
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
0.14 probabilidad y Cs
mm.
años
2.432 El K lo sacamos del

1.00% cuadro de
mm.
años

0.50% cuadro de
mm.
ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (JAICO)
PRECIPITACION
Date
(mm)
7/1/1965 1681.5
7/1/1966 1641.4
7/1/1967 1812.0
7/1/1968 1832.7
7/1/1969 1340.5
7/1/1970 1427.4
7/1/1971 1582.3
7/1/1972 1334.0
7/1/1973 1610.3
7/1/1974 1370.1
7/1/1975 1618.7
7/1/1976 1308.3
7/1/1977 1505.7
7/1/1978 1580.8
7/1/1979 1610.1
7/1/1980 1425.7
7/1/1981 1722.7
7/1/1982 1673.9
7/1/1983 1565.6
7/1/1984 1922.6
7/1/1985 1768.3
7/1/1986 1510.3
7/1/1987 1322.9
7/1/1988 1311.0
7/1/1989 1618.9
7/1/1990 1514.7
7/1/1991 1385.7
7/1/1992 1256.5
7/1/1993 1970.0
7/1/1994 1371.0
7/1/1995 1659.3
7/1/1996 1591.9
7/1/1997 1537.1
7/1/1998 1569.3
7/1/1999 1244.7
7/1/2000 1515.4
7/1/2001 1549.5
7/1/2002 1417.3
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
PRECIPITACION
Nº AÑO P^2
(mm)
1 1965 1681.5 2827442.25
2 1966 1641.4 2694193.96
3 1967 1812.0 3283344
4 1968 1832.7 3358789.29
5 1969 1340.5 1796940.25
6 1970 1427.4 2037470.76
7 1971 1582.3 2503673.29
8 1972 1334.0 1779556
9 1973 1610.3 2593066.09
10 1974 1370.1 1877174.01
11 1975 1618.7 2620189.69
12 1976 1308.3 1711648.89
13 1977 1505.7 2267132.49
14 1978 1580.8 2498928.64
15 1979 1610.1 2592422.01
16 1980 1425.7 2032620.49
17 1981 1722.7 2967695.29
18 1982 1673.9 2801941.21
19 1983 1565.6 2451103.36
20 1984 1922.6 3696390.76
21 1985 1768.3 3126884.89
22 1986 1510.3 2281006.09
23 1987 1322.9 1750064.41
24 1988 1311.0 1718721
25 1989 1618.9 2620837.21
26 1990 1514.7 2294316.09
27 1991 1385.7 1920164.49
28 1992 1256.5 1578792.25
29 1993 1970.0 3880900
30 1994 1371.0 1879641
31 1995 1659.3 2753276.49
32 1996 1591.9 2534145.61
33 1997 1537.1 2362676.41
34 1998 1569.3 2462702.49
35 1999 1244.7 1549278.09
36 2000 1515.4 2296437.16
37 2001 1549.5 2400950.25
38 2002 1417.3 2008739.29
58680.1 91811256
N= 38
Pm= 1544.2131578947 mm.
σP= 179.8402762379
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Pmax= 2077.5176832083 mm.

ᶲ= 0.98
∆P= 180.4258689705 mm.

Pd= 2257.9435521788 mm.
Pd= 1897.0918142378 mm.
t= 100 años
Pmax= 2187.2209133636 mm.

ᶲ= 0.99
∆P= 180.4258689705 mm.

Pd= 2367.6467823341 mm.
Pd= 2006.795044393 mm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 2296.9241435188 mm.

ᶲ= 0.995
∆P= 180.4258689705 mm.
Pd= 2477.3500124893 mm.

Pd= 2116.4982745483 mm.
MÉTODO DE NASH
Nº PRECIPITACION (mm) T Xi Xi*P
1 1970.0 39.00 -1.947652 -3836.8744400486

2 1922.6 19.50 -1.640869 -3154.7347526736
3 1832.7 13.00 -1.4588939 -2673.7148821142
4 1812.0 9.75 -1.3279339 -2406.2162361438
5 1768.3 7.80 -1.224858 -2165.9164496593
6 1722.7 6.50 -1.1393586 -1962.7730423029
7 1681.5 5.57 -1.0659329 -1792.3661418162
8 1673.9 4.88 -1.0012922 -1676.0629331842
9 1659.3 4.33 -0.943311 -1565.235954565
10 1641.4 3.90 -0.8905341 -1461.7227443923
11 1618.9 3.55 -0.8419194 -1362.9832533707
12 1618.7 3.25 -0.7966928 -1289.6066219902
13 1610.3 3.00 -0.7542622 -1214.5884227839
14 1610.1 2.79 -0.7141624 -1149.8728906124
15 1591.9 2.60 -0.6760195 -1076.1553832418
16 1582.3 2.44 -0.6395263 -1011.9224748027
17 1580.8 2.29 -0.6044256 -955.4760492301
18 1569.3 2.17 -0.5704975 -895.2817764563
19 1565.6 2.05 -0.5375502 -841.5885498365
20 1549.5 1.95 -0.5054127 -783.1369951327
21 1537.1 1.86 -0.4739295 -728.4770698078
22 1515.4 1.77 -0.4429554 -671.254593094
23 1514.7 1.70 -0.4123512 -624.588335981
24 1510.3 1.63 -0.3819798 -576.9040848994
25 1505.7 1.56 -0.3517019 -529.5575450451
26 1427.4 1.50 -0.3213712 -458.7253024527
27 1425.7 1.44 -0.290829 -414.6348870178
28 1417.3 1.39 -0.2598964 -368.3512342381
29 1385.7 1.34 -0.228365 -316.4454434722
30 1371.0 1.30 -0.1959819 -268.6911507424
31 1370.1 1.26 -0.1624276 -222.542031413
32 1340.5 1.22 -0.1272806 -170.6196931633
33 1334.0 1.18 -0.0899557 -120.0009580611
34 1322.9 1.15 -0.0495891 -65.6014047415
35 1311.0 1.11 -0.0048017 -6.2950044984
36 1308.3 1.08 0.04686311 61.3110017009
37 1256.5 1.05 0.11060136 138.9706119648
38 1244.7 1.03 0.20168782 251.040823376
58680.1 -22.715368 -38367.596295943
N= 38
Pm= 1544.2131578947 mm.
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= -355.4150627276
a= 1331.7556853847
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Pmax= 2062.7755603226 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 45473590.0900006
Sxq= -125028.591359052
∆P= 64.0423928225 mm.

Pd= 2126.8179531451 mm.
Pd= 1998.7331675001 mm.
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Pmax= 2170.5477134025 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 45473590.0900006
Sxq= -125028.591359052
∆P= 66.4922892098 mm.

Pd= 2237.0400026122 mm.
Pd= 2104.0554241927 mm.
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Pmax= 2277.926623999 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 45473590.0900006
Sxq= -125028.591359052
∆P= 69.2800946763 mm.

Pd= 2347.2067186753 mm.
Pd= 2208.6465293227 mm.

50 años 100
METODO Pmáx Pdiseño Pmáx
GUMBEL 2077.518 2257.944 1897.092 2187.221
NASH 2062.776 2126.818 1998.733 2170.548
LEBEDIEV 1939.945 2002.256 1877.634 2002.055
LOG. PEARSON TIPO III 1958.991 2026.734
MÉT
Xi^2 P^2 Nº AÑO
3.79334831 3880900.00 1 1965

2.6924511 3696390.76 2 1966
2.12837146 3358789.29 3 1967
1.76340846 3283344.00 4 1968
1.50027719 3126884.89 5 1969
1.298138 2967695.29 6 1970
1.13621291 2827442.25 7 1971
1.00258597 2801941.21 8 1972
0.88983566 2753276.49 9 1973
0.79305106 2694193.96 10 1974
0.70882821 2620837.21 11 1975
0.6347194 2620189.69 12 1976
0.56891147 2593066.09 13 1977
0.51002794 2592422.01 14 1978
0.45700231 2534145.61 15 1979
0.4089939 2503673.29 16 1980
0.36533035 2498928.64 17 1981
0.32546743 2462702.49 18 1982
0.28896019 2451103.36 19 1983
0.25544201 2400950.25 20 1984
0.22460919 2362676.41 21 1985
0.19620947 2296437.16 22 1986
0.1700335 2294316.09 23 1987
0.14590856 2281006.09 24 1988
0.12369422 2267132.49 25 1989
0.10327947 2037470.76 26 1990
0.0845815 2032620.49 27 1991
0.06754616 2008739.29 28 1992
0.05215059 1920164.49 29 1993
0.0384089 1879641.00 30 1994
0.02638272 1877174.01 31 1995
0.01620036 1796940.25 32 1996
0.00809204 1779556.00 33 1997
0.00245908 1750064.41 34 1998
2.3056E-05 1718721.00 35 1999
0.00219615 1711648.89 36 2000
0.01223266 1578792.25 37 2001
0.04067797 1549278.09 38 2002
22.8360489 91811256.0
N= 38
Pm= 1544.21316
Cv= 0.11491819
Cs= 0.35498607
Cs= 0.34475457
T= 50
K= 2.23
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.35
Pmax= 1939.9449
A= 1.1
Er= 0.18
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 62.3107225
Pd= 2002.25562
Pd= 1877.63418
T= 100
K= 2.58
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.35
Pmax= 2002.05526
A= 1.1
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 67.8782363
Pd= 2069.9335
Pd= 1934.17703
T= 200
K= 2.9
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.35
Pmax= 2058.84188
A= 1.1
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 73.4774163
Pd= 2132.3193
Pd= 1985.36447
TIEMPO DE RETORNO
años 200 años
Pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño
2367.647 2006.795 2296.924 2477.350 2116.498
2237.040 2104.055 2277.927 2347.207 2208.647
2069.934 1934.177 2058.842 2132.319 1985.364
2026.734 2091.008
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
PRECIPITACION (Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3

(mm)
1681.5 0.0889040748 0.0079039345 0.000702692
1641.4 0.0629361572 0.0039609599 0.0002492876
1812.0 0.1734131332 0.0300721148 0.0052148996
1832.7 0.1868180184 0.034900972 0.0065201304
1340.5 -0.1319203614 0.0174029818 -0.0022958076
1427.4 -0.075645747 0.005722279 -0.0004328661
1582.3 0.0246642388 0.0006083247 1.50038650912E-05
1334.0 -0.1361296249 0.0185312748 -0.0025226555
1610.3 0.0427964506 0.0018315362 7.8383247739E-05
1370.1 -0.1127520233 0.0127130187 -0.0014334186
1618.7 0.0482361141 0.0023267227 0.0001122321
1308.3 -0.152772405 0.0233394077 -0.0035656174
1505.7 -0.024940312 0.0006220192 -1.5513351917E-05
1580.8 0.0236928703 0.0005613521 0.0000133
1610.1 0.0426669348 0.0018204673 7.76737606005E-05
1425.7 -0.0767466313 0.0058900454 -0.0004520411
1722.7 0.1155843293 0.0133597372 0.0015441763
1673.9 0.0839824745 0.007053056 0.0005923331
1565.6 0.0138496696 0.0001918133 2.65655152356E-06
1922.6 0.2450353697 0.0600423324 0.0147124951
1768.3 0.1451139313 0.0210580531 0.0030558169
1510.3 -0.0219614486 0.0004823052 -1.05921214E-05
1322.9 -0.1433177517 0.0205399779 -0.0029437435
1311.0 -0.1510239417 0.022808231 -0.0034445889
1618.9 0.0483656299 0.0023392342 0.0001131385
1514.7 -0.019112101 0.0003652724 -6.9811231293E-06
1385.7 -0.102649791 0.0105369796 -0.0010816188
1256.5 -0.1863169967 0.0347140233 -0.0064678126
1970.0 0.275730614 0.0760273715 0.0209630738
1371.0 -0.1121692022 0.0125819299 -0.001411305
1659.3 0.0745278212 0.0055543961 0.000413957
1591.9 0.0308809971 0.000953636 2.94492300922E-05
1537.1 -0.0046063316 2.1218290979E-05 -9.7738484623E-08
1569.3 0.0162457119 0.0002639232 4.28761955745E-06
1244.7 -0.1939584288 0.0376198721 -0.0072966913
1515.4 -0.0186587957 0.0003481507 -6.4960720248E-06
1549.5 0.0034236479 1.1721364811E-05 4.01298257916E-08
1417.3 -0.0821862948 0.0067545871 -0.0005551345
58680.1 0.5018352325 0.0204720456
mm.
años
2.23
2.00% El K lo sacamos del cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
0.35
mm.
Promedio del valor

maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)
0.18
El Er lo sacamos del abaco de
2.00% probabilidad y Cv
0.1
mm.
mm.
mm.
años
2.58
El K lo sacamos del cuadro de
1.00% probabilidad y Cs
0.35
mm.
Promedio del valor
maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)
0.19
0.1
mm.
mm.
mm.
años
2.9
0.35
mm.
Promedio del valor

maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)
0.2
0.1
mm.
mm.
mm.
MÉTODO DE LOG. PEARSON TIPO III
Nº PRECIPITACION (mm) log P
1 1970.0 3.294466
2 1922.6 3.283889
3 1832.7 3.263091
4 1812.0 3.258158
5 1768.3 3.247556
6 1722.7 3.236210
7 1681.5 3.225697
8 1673.9 3.223730
9 1659.3 3.219925
10 1641.4 3.215214
11 1618.9 3.209220
12 1618.7 3.209166
13 1610.3 3.206907
14 1610.1 3.206853
15 1591.9 3.201916
16 1582.3 3.199289
17 1580.8 3.198877
18 1569.3 3.195706
19 1565.6 3.194681
20 1549.5 3.190192
21 1537.1 3.186702
22 1515.4 3.180527
23 1514.7 3.180327
24 1510.3 3.179063
25 1505.7 3.177738
26 1427.4 3.154546
27 1425.7 3.154028
28 1417.3 3.151462
29 1385.7 3.141669
30 1371.0 3.137037
31 1370.1 3.136752
32 1340.5 3.127267
33 1334.0 3.125156
34 1322.9 3.121527
35 1311.0 3.117603
36 1308.3 3.116707
37 1256.5 3.099162
38 1244.7 3.095065
58680.1 121.063081
N= 38
Log P = 3.1858705566
σ Log P= 0.050218523
Cs Log P= 0.1108459387
T= 50 años
K= 2.114
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.11
Log Pmáx.= 3.2920325143 mm.

Pd = Pmáx.= 1958.9913315864 mm.
T= 100 años
K= 2.408
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.11
Log Pmáx.= 3.30679676 mm.

Pd = Pmáx.= 2026.7340320416 mm.
T= 200 años
K= 2.678
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.11
Log Pmáx.= 3.3203557613 mm.

Pd = Pmáx.= 2091.0083219496 mm.
DE LOG. PEARSON TIPO III
(LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3
0.0117930194 0.0012806708
0.0096076031 0.0009417217
0.0059630555 0.0004604721
0.0052255024 0.0003777392
0.0038050874 0.0002347183
0.0025340247 0.0001275605
0.0015861354 6.31699269713557E-05
0.0014333003 5.42632485172003E-05
0.0011596992 3.94928101781666E-05
0.0008610629 2.52669185444265E-05
0.0005451976 1.27300727064157E-05
0.0005426948 1.26425142872799E-05
0.0004425232 0.000009309
0.0004402566 9.23759392134406E-06
0.0002574493 4.13083194669052E-06
0.00018005 0.000002416
0.0001691657 2.2002314985353E-06
9.67354500963554E-05 9.51433601188466E-07
7.76206116370037E-05 6.83857463149406E-07
1.8671248181113E-05 8.06789110091092E-08
6.91501951616753E-07 5.75029486643792E-10
2.85505737071431E-05 -1.52553529272747E-07
3.07351730003541E-05 -1.70393684118324E-07
4.63397990009203E-05 -3.15450498867886E-07
6.61311512464992E-05 -5.37785545058372E-07
0.0009812471 -3.07374326345389E-05
0.0010139389 -3.2286254598451E-05
0.0011839634 -4.07387242830815E-05
0.0019537584 -8.63587397339558E-05
0.0023846718 -0.0001164509
0.0024126064 -0.0001185031
0.0034343981 -0.0002012686
0.0036862781 -0.0002238114
0.0041400912 -0.0002663881
0.0046605014 -0.0003181625
0.0047835503 -0.0003308457
0.0075182883 -0.0006518962
0.0082457055 -0.0007487584
0.093310302 0.000492076

probabilidad y Cs

probabilidad y Cs

probabilidad y Cs
ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (MACHAVADO)
PRECIPITACION
Date
(mm)
7/1/1965 1291.7
7/1/1966 1437.8
7/1/1967 1699.5
7/1/1968 1483.0
7/1/1969 1165.7
7/1/1970 1062.3
7/1/1971 1288.2
7/1/1972 1201.8
7/1/1973 1486.3
7/1/1974 1130.0
7/1/1975 1349.3
7/1/1976 1074.5
7/1/1977 1194.3
7/1/1978 1135.7
7/1/1979 1205.3
7/1/1980 1087.3
7/1/1981 1277.7
7/1/1982 1279.8
7/1/1983 1287.6
7/1/1984 1780.8
7/1/1985 1577.6
7/1/1986 1331.9
7/1/1987 1101.3
7/1/1988 1070.0
7/1/1989 1441.1
7/1/1990 1346.0
7/1/1991 1176.6
7/1/1992 1045.3
7/1/1993 1653.9
7/1/1994 1257.4
7/1/1995 1516.3
7/1/1996 1425.6
7/1/1997 1371.2
7/1/1998 1448.8
7/1/1999 1317.6
7/1/2000 1414.6
7/1/2001 1539.8
7/1/2002 1264.2
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
PRECIPITACION
Nº AÑO P^2
(mm)
1 1965 1291.7 1668488.89
2 1966 1437.8 2067268.84
3 1967 1699.5 2888300.25
4 1968 1483.0 2199289
5 1969 1165.7 1358856.49
6 1970 1062.3 1128481.29
7 1971 1288.2 1659459.24
8 1972 1201.8 1444323.24
9 1973 1486.3 2209087.69
10 1974 1130.0 1276900
11 1975 1349.3 1820610.49
12 1976 1074.5 1154550.25
13 1977 1194.3 1426352.49
14 1978 1135.7 1289814.49
15 1979 1205.3 1452748.09
16 1980 1087.3 1182221.29
17 1981 1277.7 1632517.29
18 1982 1279.8 1637888.04
19 1983 1287.6 1657913.76
20 1984 1780.8 3171248.64
21 1985 1577.6 2488821.76
22 1986 1331.9 1773957.61
23 1987 1101.3 1212861.69
24 1988 1070.0 1144900
25 1989 1441.1 2076769.21
26 1990 1346.0 1811716
27 1991 1176.6 1384387.56
28 1992 1045.3 1092652.09
29 1993 1653.9 2735385.21
30 1994 1257.4 1581054.76
31 1995 1516.3 2299165.69
32 1996 1425.6 2032335.36
33 1997 1371.2 1880189.44
34 1998 1448.8 2099021.44
35 1999 1317.6 1736069.76
36 2000 1414.6 2001093.16
37 2001 1539.8 2370984.04
38 2002 1264.2 1598201.64
50217.8 67645886.2
N= 38
Pm= 1321.5210526316 mm.
σP= 186.141929514
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Pmax= 1873.512716774 mm.

ᶲ= 0.98
∆P= 186.7480415787 mm.

Pd= 2060.2607583528 mm.
Pd= 1686.7646751953 mm.
t= 100 años
Pmax= 1987.0599786121 mm.

ᶲ= 0.99
∆P= 186.7480415787 mm.

Pd= 2173.8080201909 mm.
Pd= 1800.3119370334 mm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 2100.6072404502 mm.

ᶲ= 0.995
∆P= 186.7480415787 mm.
Pd= 2287.3552820289 mm.

Pd= 1913.8591988714 mm.
MÉTODO DE NASH
PRECIPITACION
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(mm)
1 1780.8 39.00 -1.947652 -3468.3787 3.79334831
2 1699.5 19.50 -1.640869 -2788.6569 2.6924511
3 1653.9 13.00 -1.4588939 -2412.8646 2.12837146
4 1577.6 9.75 -1.3279339 -2094.9485 1.76340846
5 1539.8 7.80 -1.224858 -1886.0364 1.50027719
6 1516.3 6.50 -1.1393586 -1727.6094 1.298138
7 1486.3 5.57 -1.0659329 -1584.296 1.13621291
8 1483.0 4.88 -1.0012922 -1484.9163 1.00258597
9 1448.8 4.33 -0.943311 -1366.669 0.88983566
10 1441.1 3.90 -0.8905341 -1283.3488 0.79305106
11 1437.8 3.55 -0.8419194 -1210.5117 0.70882821
12 1425.6 3.25 -0.7966928 -1135.7652 0.6347194
13 1414.6 3.00 -0.7542622 -1066.9793 0.56891147
14 1371.2 2.79 -0.7141624 -979.25949 0.51002794
15 1349.3 2.60 -0.6760195 -912.15306 0.45700231
16 1346.0 2.44 -0.6395263 -860.80241 0.4089939
17 1331.9 2.29 -0.6044256 -805.03451 0.36533035
18 1317.6 2.17 -0.5704975 -751.68755 0.32546743
19 1291.7 2.05 -0.5375502 -694.35356 0.28896019
20 1288.2 1.95 -0.5054127 -651.07265 0.25544201
21 1287.6 1.86 -0.4739295 -610.23165 0.22460919
22 1279.8 1.77 -0.4429554 -566.8943 0.19620947
23 1277.7 1.70 -0.4123512 -526.86111 0.1700335
24 1264.2 1.63 -0.3819798 -482.89886 0.14590856
25 1257.4 1.56 -0.3517019 -442.22996 0.12369422
26 1205.3 1.50 -0.3213712 -387.34875 0.10327947
27 1201.8 1.44 -0.290829 -349.51828 0.0845815
28 1194.3 1.39 -0.2598964 -310.39433 0.06754616
29 1176.6 1.34 -0.228365 -268.69431 0.05215059
30 1165.7 1.30 -0.1959819 -228.45607 0.0384089
31 1135.7 1.26 -0.1624276 -184.46901 0.02638272
32 1130.0 1.22 -0.1272806 -143.82712 0.01620036
33 1101.3 1.18 -0.0899557 -99.068257 0.00809204
34 1087.3 1.15 -0.0495891 -53.918216 0.00245908
35 1074.5 1.11 -0.0048017 -5.1594068 2.3056E-05
36 1070.0 1.08 0.04686311 50.1435235 0.00219615
37 1062.3 1.05 0.11060136 117.491827 0.01223266
38 1045.3 1.03 0.20168782 210.824273 0.04067797
50217.8 -22.715368 -33446.854 22.8360489
N= 38
Pm= 1321.5210526316 mm.
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= -370.2994365809
a= 1100.1661056462
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Pmax= 1861.8002517668 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 48716238
Sxq= -130264.644895601
∆P= 63.0041619424 mm.

Pd= 1924.8044137092 mm.
Pd= 1798.7960898244 mm.
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Pmax= 1974.085778605 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 48716238
Sxq= -130264.644895601
∆P= 64.1669919541 mm.

Pd= 2038.252770559 mm.
Pd= 1909.9187866509 mm.
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Pmax= 2085.9615944171 mm.
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 48716238
Sxq= -130264.644895601
∆P= 65.5166382302 mm.

Pd= 2151.4782326473 mm.
Pd= 2020.4449561869 mm.

50 años 100 años
METODO Pmáx pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño
GUMBEL 1873.513 2060.261 1686.765 1987.060 2173.808
NASH 1861.800 1924.804 1798.796 1974.086 2038.253
LEBEDIEV 1746.548 1802.647 1690.449 1815.243 1876.788
RESUMEN
50 100
METODO Qmax Qdiseño Qmax Qdiseño
GUMBEL 1873.512716774 2060.26076 1686.76468 1987.05998 2173.80802
NASH 1861.8002517668 1924.80441 1798.79609 1974.08578 2038.25277
LEBEDIEV 1746.548160395 1802.64701 1690.44931 1815.24312 1876.78763
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
PRECIPITACION
P^2 Nº AÑO (mm)
3171248.64 1 1965 1291.7
2888300.25 2 1966 1437.8
2735385.21 3 1967 1699.5
2488821.76 4 1968 1483.0
2370984.04 5 1969 1165.7
2299165.69 6 1970 1062.3
2209087.69 7 1971 1288.2
2199289.00 8 1972 1201.8
2099021.44 9 1973 1486.3
2076769.21 10 1974 1130.0
2067268.84 11 1975 1349.3
2032335.36 12 1976 1074.5
2001093.16 13 1977 1194.3
1880189.44 14 1978 1135.7
1820610.49 15 1979 1205.3
1811716.00 16 1980 1087.3
1773957.61 17 1981 1277.7
1736069.76 18 1982 1279.8
1668488.89 19 1983 1287.6
1659459.24 20 1984 1780.8
1657913.76 21 1985 1577.6
1637888.04 22 1986 1331.9
1632517.29 23 1987 1101.3
1598201.64 24 1988 1070.0
1581054.76 25 1989 1441.1
1452748.09 26 1990 1346.0
1444323.24 27 1991 1176.6
1426352.49 28 1992 1045.3
1384387.56 29 1993 1653.9
1358856.49 30 1994 1257.4
1289814.49 31 1995 1516.3
1276900.00 32 1996 1425.6
1212861.69 33 1997 1371.2
1182221.29 34 1998 1448.8
1154550.25 35 1999 1317.6
1144900.00 36 2000 1414.6
1128481.29 37 2001 1539.8
1092652.09 38 2002 1264.2
67645886.18 50217.8
N= 38
Pm= 1321.52105 mm.
Cv= 0.1389886
Cs= 0.50524474
Cs= 0.41696581
T= 50 años
K= 2.314
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.51
Pmax= 1746.54816 mm.
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.18
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 56.0988499 mm.

Pd= 1802.64701 mm.
Pd= 1690.44931 mm.
T= 100 años
K= 2.688
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.51
Pmax= 1815.24312 mm.

Promedio del valor
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 61.5445056 mm.

Pd= 1876.78763 mm.
Pd= 1753.69862 mm.
T= 200 años
K= 3.048
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.51
Pmax= 1881.36661 mm.
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 67.1435524 mm.

Pd= 1948.51016 mm.
Pd= 1814.22306 mm.
O DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
1800.312 2100.607 2287.355 1913.859
1909.919 2085.962 2151.478 2020.445
1753.699 1881.367 1948.510 1814.223
1849.279 1929.343
200
Qmax Qdiseño
1800.311937033 2100.60724 2287.35528 1913.8592
1909.918786651 2085.96159 2151.47823 2020.44496
1753.69861515 1881.36661 1948.51016 1814.22306
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV MÉTODO
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
-0.0225657038 0.000509211 -1.14907E-05 1

0.0879887211 0.007742015 0.00068121 2
0.2860181051 0.0818063565 0.0233980991 3
0.1221917328 0.0149308196 0.0018244227 4
-0.1179103824 0.0139028583 -0.0016392913 5
-0.1961535551 0.0384762172 -0.0075472468 6
-0.0252141671 0.0006357542 -0.00001603 7
-0.0905933753 0.0082071596 -0.0007435143 8
0.1246888553 0.0155473106 0.0019385764 9
-0.144924708 0.021003171 -0.0030438784 10
0.021020435 0.0004418587 9.2880618E-06 11
-0.1869217688 0.0349397476 -0.0065309994 12
-0.0962686537 0.0092676537 -0.0008921845 13
-0.1406114963 0.0197715929 -0.0027801133 14
-0.087944912 0.0077343075 -0.000680193 15
-0.1772359602 0.0314125856 -0.0055674398 16
-0.033159557 0.0010995562 -3.64608E-05 17
-0.031570479 0.0009966951 -3.146614E-05 18
-0.0256681894 0.0006588559 -1.691164E-05 19
0.3475381239 0.1207827476 0.0419766095 20
0.1937759121 0.0375491041 0.0072761119 21
0.0078537889 0.000061682 4.8443741E-07 22
-0.166642107 0.0277695918 -0.0046275833 23
-0.1903269359 0.0362243425 -0.0068944681 24
0.0904858437 0.0081876879 0.0007408698 25
0.0185233125 0.0003431131 6.3555912E-06 26
-0.109662311 0.0120258224 -0.0013187795 27
-0.2090175197 0.0436883235 -0.009131625 28
0.2515124119 0.0632584934 0.0159102962 29
-0.0485206441 0.0023542529 -0.0001142299 30
0.1473899693 0.021723803 0.0032018707 31
0.0787569348 0.0062026548 0.0004885021 32
0.0375922482 0.0014131771 5.3124505E-05 33
0.0963124629 0.0092760905 0.0008934031 34
-0.0029670754 8.80353654E-06 -2.612076E-08 35
0.070433193 0.0049608347 0.0003494074 36
0.1651725086 0.0272819576 0.0045062294 37
-0.0433750582 0.0018813957 -8.160565E-05 38
0.7340776046 0.0515493232
N=
Log P =
σ Log P=
Cs Log P=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
probabilidad y Cs Cs=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
El Er lo sacamos del T=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv K=
P=
Cs=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
T=
El K lo sacamos del K=
cuadro de P=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
El Er lo sacamos del
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
PRECIPITACION log P (LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3

(mm)
1780.8 3.2506 0.0178586372 0.0023865606
1699.5 3.2303 0.012846462 0.0014560467
1653.9 3.2185 0.0103084043 0.0010466155
1577.6 3.1980 0.0065639103 0.0005317946
1539.8 3.1875 0.0049681889 0.0003501847
1516.3 3.1808 0.0040712312 0.0002597698
1486.3 3.1721 0.003039046 0.0001675351
1483.0 3.1711 0.0029335457 0.0001588873
1448.8 3.1610 0.0019385971 8.5355465088E-05
1441.1 3.1587 0.0017401565 7.2590948169E-05
1437.8 3.1577 0.0016580813 6.7516315003E-05
1425.6 3.1540 0.001370388 5.0730052789E-05
1414.6 3.1506 0.0011326401 3.8118684256E-05
1371.2 3.1371 0.0004048896 8.1471365991E-06
1349.3 3.1301 0.000172386 2.2633569255E-06
1346.0 3.1290 0.0001455914 1.7567237092E-06
1331.9 3.1245 5.61403143214E-05 4.2064163786E-07
1317.6 3.1198 7.86606888897E-06 2.2061580299E-08
1291.7 3.1112 3.38406917843E-05 -1.968606201E-07
1288.2 3.1100 0.000048939 -3.423594859E-07
1287.6 3.1098 5.18107268124E-05 -3.729318942E-07
1279.8 3.1071 9.67632054283E-05 -9.518431085E-07
1277.7 3.1064 0.0001113033 -1.174254756E-06
1264.2 3.1018 0.0002299211 -3.486327623E-06
1257.4 3.0995 0.0003064418 -5.364410271E-06
1205.3 3.0811 0.0012876455 -4.620558729E-05
1201.8 3.0798 0.0013798799 -0.000051258
1194.3 3.0771 0.0015892583 -6.335658061E-05
1176.6 3.0706 0.0021483309 -9.957533317E-05
1165.7 3.0666 0.0025393676 -0.0001279642
1135.7 3.0553 0.0038087794 -0.00023506
1130.0 3.0531 0.0040832728 -0.0002609231
1101.3 3.0419 0.0056359997 -0.0004231131
1087.3 3.0363 0.0065011238 -0.0005241827
1074.5 3.0312 0.0073569243 -0.0006310219
1070.0 3.0294 0.0076729116 -0.0006721099
1062.3 3.0262 0.0082322511 -0.0007469266
1045.3 3.0192 0.0095527136 -0.000933663
50217.8 118.4452 0.1338836403 0.0018570669
38
3.1169789349
0.060153776
0.2433986917
50 años
2.176
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
3.2478735514 mm.
1769.5936508325 mm.
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
3.2670024522 mm.
1849.2790606115 mm.
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
3.2854095076 mm.
1929.343284011 mm.
ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (CHALHUACOCHA)
PRECIPITACION
Date
(mm)
7/1/1965 1720.3
7/1/1966 1633.3
7/1/1967 1880.9
7/1/1968 1923.0
7/1/1969 1341.0
7/1/1970 1529.8
7/1/1971 1745.5
7/1/1972 1537.4
7/1/1973 1874.5
7/1/1974 1658.4
7/1/1975 1801.2
7/1/1976 1509.3
7/1/1977 1739.6
7/1/1978 1687.3
7/1/1979 1631.0
7/1/1980 1645.4
7/1/1981 1819.7
7/1/1982 1752.1
7/1/1983 1720.8
7/1/1984 1997.9
7/1/1985 1754.1
7/1/1986 1748.9
7/1/1987 1365.7
7/1/1988 1499.7
7/1/1989 1789.2
7/1/1990 1680.6
7/1/1991 1630.2
7/1/1992
7/1/1993
7/1/1994
7/1/1995
7/1/1996
7/1/1997
7/1/1998
7/1/1999
7/1/2000
7/1/2001
7/1/2002
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
PRECIPITACION
Nº AÑO P^2
(mm)
1 1965 1720.3 2959432.09
2 1966 1633.3 2667668.89
3 1967 1880.9 3537784.81
4 1968 1923.0 3697929
5 1969 1341.0 1798281
6 1970 1529.8 2340288.04
7 1971 1745.5 3046770.25
8 1972 1537.4 2363598.76
9 1973 1874.5 3513750.25
10 1974 1658.4 2750290.56
11 1975 1801.2 3244321.44
12 1976 1509.3 2277986.49
13 1977 1739.6 3026208.16
14 1978 1687.3 2846981.29
15 1979 1631.0 2660161
16 1980 1645.4 2707341.16
17 1981 1819.7 3311308.09
18 1982 1752.1 3069854.41
19 1983 1720.8 2961152.64
20 1984 1997.9 3991604.41
21 1985 1754.1 3076866.81
22 1986 1748.9 3058651.21
23 1987 1365.7 1865136.49
24 1988 1499.7 2249100.09
25 1989 1789.2 3201236.64
26 1990 1680.6 2824416.36
27 1991 1630.2 2657552.04
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
45616.8 77705672.4
N= 27
Pm= 1689.5111111111 mm.
σP= 156.350435618
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Pmax= 2153.1580571353 mm.

ᶲ= 0.98
∆P= 156.8595411463 mm.

Pd= 2310.0175982816 mm.
Pd= 1996.298515989 mm.
t= 100 años
Pmax= 2248.532398091 mm.

ᶲ= 0.99
∆P= 156.8595411463 mm.

Pd= 2405.3919392373 mm.
Pd= 2091.6728569447 mm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 2343.9067390467 mm.

ᶲ= 0.995
∆P= 156.8595411463 mm.
Pd= 2500.766280193 mm.

Pd= 2187.0471979004 mm.
MÉTODO DE NASH
PRECIPITACION
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(mm)
1 1997.9 28.00 -1.8015005 -3599.2179 3.24540412
2 1923.0 14.00 -1.4923508 -2869.7905 2.22711079
3 1880.9 9.33 -1.3078758 -2459.9837 1.71053921
4 1874.5 7.00 -1.1742702 -2201.1696 1.37891061
5 1819.7 5.60 -1.0683886 -1944.1467 1.1414542
6 1801.2 4.67 -0.9799067 -1765.008 0.96021716
7 1789.2 4.00 -0.9033029 -1616.1895 0.81595611
8 1754.1 3.50 -0.8352665 -1465.1409 0.69767005
9 1752.1 3.11 -0.7736465 -1355.506 0.59852889
10 1748.9 2.80 -0.7169578 -1253.8875 0.51402846
11 1745.5 2.55 -0.6641228 -1159.2264 0.44105914
12 1739.6 2.33 -0.6143257 -1068.681 0.3773961
13 1720.8 2.15 -0.5669237 -975.56233 0.3214025
14 1720.3 2.00 -0.5213902 -896.94761 0.27184777
15 1687.3 1.87 -0.4772759 -805.30758 0.22779226
16 1680.6 1.75 -0.4341796 -729.6822 0.18851191
17 1658.4 1.65 -0.391725 -649.63682 0.15344851
18 1645.4 1.56 -0.349539 -575.13141 0.12217749
19 1633.3 1.47 -0.3072275 -501.79469 0.09438874
20 1631.0 1.40 -0.2643468 -431.1496 0.06987922
21 1630.2 1.33 -0.2203602 -359.23125 0.04855863
22 1537.4 1.27 -0.1745695 -268.38312 0.0304745
23 1529.8 1.22 -0.1259892 -192.73835 0.01587329
24 1509.3 1.17 -0.0730929 -110.31912 0.00534257
25 1499.7 1.12 -0.0132118 -19.813737 0.00017455
26 1365.7 1.08 0.05923314 80.8946939 0.00350856
27 1341.0 1.04 0.16051596 215.251901 0.02576537
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
45616.8 -16.031997 -28977.499 15.6874207
N= 27
Pm= 1689.511111111 mm.
Xm= -0.5937776707
b= -306.625832637
a= 1507.443538419
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Pmax= 2138.113426484 mm.
Sxx= 166.5354280285
Sqq= 17160712.02
Sxq= -51064.0642827776
∆P= 81.9311240435 mm.

Pd= 2220.044550528 mm.
Pd= 2056.182302441 mm.
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Pmax= 2231.091270247 mm.
Sxx= 166.5354280285
Sqq= 17160712.02
Sxq= -51064.0642827776
∆P= 90.1490510643 mm.

Pd= 2321.240321311 mm.
Pd= 2140.942219183 mm.
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Pmax= 2323.729853476 mm.
Sxx= 166.5354280285
Sqq= 17160712.02
Sxq= -51064.0642827776
∆P= 98.9947325272 mm.

Pd= 2422.724586003 mm.
Pd= 2224.735120949 mm.

50 años 100 años
METODO Pmáx Pdiseño Pmáx Pdiseño
GUMBEL 2153.158 2310.018 1996.299 2248.532 2405.392
NASH 2138.113 2220.045 2056.182 2231.091 2321.240
LEBEDIEV 2025.825 2103.019 1948.630 2075.535 2159.018
RESUMEN
50 100
GUMBEL 2153.158057135 2310.0176 1996.29852 2248.5324 2405.39194
NASH 2138.113426484 2220.04455 2056.1823 2231.09127 2321.24032
LEBEDIEV 2025.824716881 2103.01901 1948.63043 2075.5353 2159.01763
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
PRECIPITACION
P^2 Nº AÑO (mm)
3991604.41 1 1965 1720.3
3697929.00 2 1966 1633.3
3537784.81 3 1967 1880.9
3513750.25 4 1968 1923.0
3311308.09 5 1969 1341.0
3244321.44 6 1970 1529.8
3201236.64 7 1971 1745.5
3076866.81 8 1972 1537.4
3069854.41 9 1973 1874.5
3058651.21 10 1974 1658.4
3046770.25 11 1975 1801.2
3026208.16 12 1976 1509.3
2961152.64 13 1977 1739.6
2959432.09 14 1978 1687.3
2846981.29 15 1979 1631.0
2824416.36 16 1980 1645.4
2750290.56 17 1981 1819.7
2707341.16 18 1982 1752.1
2667668.89 19 1983 1720.8
2660161.00 20 1984 1997.9
2657552.04 21 1985 1754.1
2363598.76 22 1986 1748.9
2340288.04 23 1987 1365.7
2277986.49 24 1988 1499.7
2249100.09 25 1989 1789.2
1865136.49 26 1990 1680.6
1798281.00 27 1991 1630.2
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
77705672.38 45616.8
N= 27
Pm= 1689.51111 mm.
Cv= 0.09081192
Cs= -0.37118
Cs= 0.27243575
T= 50 años
K= 2.192
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.27
Pmax= 2025.82472 mm.
Promedio del
valor maximo y
A= 1.1 minimo
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.18
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 77.1942894 mm.

Pd= 2103.01901 mm.
Pd= 1948.63043 mm.
T= 100 años
K= 2.516
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.27
Pmax= 2075.5353 mm.

Promedio del
valor maximo y
A= 1.1 minimo
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 83.4823237 mm.

Pd= 2159.01763 mm.
Pd= 1992.05298 mm.
T= 200 años
K= 2.83
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.27
Pmax= 2123.71161 mm.
Promedio del
valor maximo y
A= 1.1 minimo
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆P= 89.915868 mm.

Pd= 2213.62748 mm.
Pd= 2033.79575 mm.
PO DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
2091.673 2343.907 2500.766 2187.047
2140.942 2323.730 2422.725 2224.735
1992.053 2123.712 2213.627 2033.796
1997.552 2020.479
200
Qmax Qdiseño
2091.6728569447 2343.90674 2500.76628 2187.0472
2140.9422191826 2323.72985 2422.72459 2224.73512
1992.0529808728 2123.71161 2213.62748 2033.79575
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
0.0182235492 0.0003320977 0.000006052 1

-0.0332706371 0.0011069353 -3.6828443E-05 2
0.1132806335 0.0128325019 0.0014536739 3
0.1381990845 0.019098987 0.0026394625 4
-0.2062792655 0.0425511354 -0.008777417 5
-0.0945309623 0.0089361028 -0.0008447384 6
0.0331391066 0.0010982004 3.63933798E-05 7
-0.0900326196 0.0081058726 -0.0007297929 8
0.1094925554 0.0119886197 0.0013126646 9
-0.0184142684 0.0003390853 -0.000006244 10
0.0661072237 0.004370165 0.0002888995 11
-0.1066646499 0.0113773475 -0.0012135608 12
0.0296469722 0.000878943 0.000026058 13
-0.0013087284 1.712769929E-06 -2.2415506E-09 14
-0.0346319777 0.0011993739 -4.1536689E-05 15
-0.026108802 0.0006816695 -1.7797575E-05 16
0.0770571368 0.0059378023 0.00045755 17
0.0370455622 0.0013723737 5.08403543E-05 18
0.0185194928 0.0003429716 6.35166035E-06 19
0.1825314358 0.0333177251 0.0060815322 20
0.0382293366 0.0014614822 5.58714939E-05 21
0.0351515231 0.0012356296 4.34342617E-05 22
-0.1916596517 0.0367334221 -0.0070403149 23
-0.112346767 0.0126217961 -0.001418018 24
0.0590045773 0.0034815401 0.0002054268 25
-0.0052743726 0.000027819 -1.467278E-07 26
-0.0351054875 0.0012323952 -4.3263836E-05 27
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0.2226637068 -0.0075054507
N=
Log P =
σ Log P=
Cs Log P=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
abaco de
P=
Cs=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
T=
cuadro de P=
Log Pmáx.=
Pd = Pmáx.=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
PRECIPITACION (mm) log P (LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3
1997.9 3.3006 0.0055752243 0.0004162876

1923.0 3.2840 0.0033724689 0.0001958493
1880.9 3.2744 0.0023483119 0.0001137977
1874.5 3.2729 0.0022070379 0.0001036847
1819.7 3.2600 0.0011623649 3.96290553978555E-05
1801.2 3.2556 0.0008794556 2.60807961984114E-05
1789.2 3.2527 0.0007156998 1.91468082478753E-05
1754.1 3.2441 0.0003293509 5.97706793955901E-06
1752.1 3.2436 0.0003116131 5.50077175203995E-06
1748.9 3.2428 0.0002842143 4.7914702924701E-06
1745.5 3.2419 0.0002564332 4.10640043561982E-06
1739.6 3.2404 0.0002115011 3.0758763834419E-06
1720.8 3.2357 9.65124499440543E-05 9.48145548346513E-07
1720.3 3.2356 9.40486239163099E-05 9.12071044171966E-07
1687.3 3.2272 1.65375523882191E-06 2.12670302817196E-09
1680.6 3.2255 1.95331430351354E-07 -8.63292952229575E-11
1658.4 3.2197 3.8651502759586E-05 -2.40297678838346E-07
1645.4 3.2163 9.28299374130605E-05 -8.94400609445422E-07
1633.3 3.2131 0.0001648749 -2.11705251047881E-06
1631.0 3.2125 0.000180966 -2.43442035710676E-06
1630.2 3.2122 0.0001867441 -2.55193874156421E-06
1537.4 3.1868 0.001530331 -5.98657013782016E-05
1529.8 3.1846 0.0017033504 -7.03001082395978E-05
1509.3 3.1788 0.0022213076 -0.0001046919
1499.7 3.1760 0.0024902027 -0.0001242659
1365.7 3.1354 0.0081994859 -0.0007424718
1341.0 3.1274 0.0096978268 -0.0009550182
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
45616.8 87.0995 0.0443526568 -0.0011250618
27
3.2259063224
0.0413021963
-0.6632959594
50 años
1.663
2.00% El K lo sacamos del cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
-0.7
3.2945918748 mm.
1970.5700361517 mm.
100 años
1.806
-0.7
3.3004980888 mm.
1997.5519779328 mm.
200 años
1.926
-0.7
3.3054543524 mm.
2020.4790532819 mm.
RIO HUARAL (SANTO DOMINGO)
CAUDALES
FECHA
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
7/1/1960 12.3
7/1/1961 21.2
7/1/1962 17.0
7/1/1963 22.2
7/1/1964 18.2
7/1/1965 18.1
7/1/1966 10.5
7/1/1967 29.5
7/1/1968 8.3
7/1/1969 13.7
7/1/1970 18.2
7/1/1971 15.9
7/1/1972 33.5
7/1/1973 25.2
7/1/1974 20.3
7/1/1975 13.6
7/1/1976 15.4
7/1/1977 15.3
7/1/1978 10.0
7/1/1979 11.3
7/1/1980 9.5
7/1/1981 19.4
7/1/1982 14.5
7/1/1983 17.9
7/1/1984 18.0
7/1/1985 12.5
7/1/1986 18.4
7/1/1987 14.9
7/1/1988 13.1
7/1/1989 18.3
7/1/1990 7.2
7/1/1991 10.0
7/1/1992 5.2
7/1/1993 13.4
7/1/1994 16.8
7/1/1995 8.6
7/1/1996 14.6
7/1/1997 12.3
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
CAUDALES
Nº AÑO P^2
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1 1960 12.3 150.0625

2 1961 21.2 451.1376
3 1962 17.0 288.3204
4 1963 22.2 490.6225
5 1964 18.2 330.5124
6 1965 18.1 326.8864
7 1966 10.5 109.6209
8 1967 29.5 871.4304
9 1968 8.3 68.0625
10 1969 13.7 188.5129
11 1970 18.2 332.3329
12 1971 15.9 253.1281
13 1972 33.5 1120.2409
14 1973 25.2 636.0484
15 1974 20.3 410.0625
16 1975 13.6 186.0496
17 1976 15.4 237.16
18 1977 15.3 233.7841
19 1978 10.0 100.6009
20 1979 11.3 127.4641
21 1980 9.5 89.8704
22 1981 19.4 375.1969
23 1982 14.5 210.8304
24 1983 17.9 318.9796
25 1984 18.0 322.5616
26 1985 12.5 155.2516
27 1986 18.4 340.0336
28 1987 14.9 220.5225
29 1988 13.1 172.3969
30 1989 18.3 334.1584
31 1990 7.2 51.337225
32 1991 10.0 100.4004
33 1992 5.2 26.873856
34 1993 13.4 179.56
35 1994 16.8 280.8976
36 1995 8.6 73.4449
37 1996 14.6 212.2849
38 1997 12.3 150.5529
Ʃ= 593.9 10527.193681
N= 38
Qm= 15.6281315789 m^3/s
σP= 5.8033792773
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Qmax= 32.8376715966 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.98
∆Q= 5.8222761385 m^3/s

Qd= 38.659947735 m^3/s
Qd= 27.0153954581 m^3/s
t= 100 años
Qmax= 36.3777543069 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.99
∆Q= 5.8222761385 m^3/s

Qd= 42.2000304454 m^3/s
Qd= 30.5554781685 m^3/smm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 39.9178370173 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.995
∆Q= 5.8222761385 m^3/s
Qd= 45.7401131558 m^3/s

Qd= 34.0955608788 m^3/s
MÉTODO DE NASH
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº T Xi
(m^3/s)
1 12.3 39.00 -1.947652

2 21.2 19.50 -1.6408690069
3 17.0 13.00 -1.4588939172
4 22.2 9.75 -1.3279339052
5 18.2 7.80 -1.2248580273
6 18.1 6.50 -1.1393585896
7 10.5 5.57 -1.0659328824
8 29.5 4.88 -1.001292152
9 8.3 4.33 -0.9433110074
10 13.7 3.90 -0.8905341443
11 18.2 3.55 -0.8419193609
12 15.9 3.25 -0.7966927917
13 33.5 3.00 -0.7542622013
14 25.2 2.79 -0.7141624064
15 20.3 2.60 -0.6760194631
16 13.6 2.44 -0.6395263065
17 15.4 2.29 -0.6044256384
18 15.3 2.17 -0.5704975317
19 10.0 2.05 -0.5375501724
20 11.3 1.95 -0.5054127106
21 9.5 1.86 -0.473929523
22 19.4 1.77 -0.4429553868
23 14.5 1.70 -0.4123511824
24 17.9 1.63 -0.3819797953
25 18.0 1.56 -0.3517018962
26 12.5 1.50 -0.3213712361
27 18.4 1.44 -0.2908289872
28 14.9 1.39 -0.2598964469
29 13.1 1.34 -0.2283650454
30 18.3 1.30 -0.1959818751
31 7.2 1.26 -0.162427583
32 10.0 1.22 -0.1272806365
33 5.2 1.18 -0.0899557407
34 13.4 1.15 -0.0495890882
35 16.8 1.11 -0.0048016815
36 8.6 1.08 0.0468631061
37 14.6 1.05 0.1106013625
38 12.3 1.03 0.201687815
Ʃ= 593.9 164.89 -22.715368036
N= 38
Pm= 15.6281315789 m^3/s
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= -3.832990168
a= 13.3368741488
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Qmax= 21.2205917711 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 47352.9707170001
Sxq= -1348.3766211892
∆P= 5.6488292967 m^3/s

Pd= 26.8694210678 m^3/s
Pd= 15.5717624745 m^3/s
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Qmax= 22.3828655363 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 47352.9707170001
Sxq= -1348.3766211892
∆P= 6.7025473794 m^3/s

Qd= 29.0854129157 m^3/s
Qd= 15.6803181569 m^3/s

T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Qmax= 23.5408983597 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 47352.9707170001
Sxq= -1348.3766211892
∆Q= 7.7671342361 m^3/s

Qd= 31.3080325958 m^3/s
Qd= 15.7737641235 m^3/s
RESUMEN TIEMPO DE RE
50 años
METODO Qmáx Qdiseño
GUMBEL 32.838 38.660 27.015
NASH 21.221 26.869 15.572
LEBEDIEV 30.403 33.549 27.256
LOG.
PEARSON TIPO 33.343
III
RESUMEN
50
METODO Qmax Qdiseño
GUMBEL 32.8376715966 38.659947735 27.0153954581
NASH 21.2205917711 26.869421068 15.5717624745
LEBEDIEV 30.4025272052 33.549105671 27.2559487393
DO DE NASH
Xi*P Xi^2 P^2 Nº
-23.858737 3.7933483132 150.06 1

-34.852057707 2.6924510978 451.14 2
-24.772018715 2.1283714617 288.32 3
-29.413735999 1.7634084565 490.62 4
-22.267918936 1.500277187 330.51 5
-20.5996033 1.2981379957 326.89 6
-11.160317279 1.1362129099 109.62 7
-29.558144326 1.0025859736 871.43 8
-7.782315811 0.8898356567 68.06 9
-12.227033801 0.7930510621 188.51 10
-15.348189949 0.7088282103 332.33 11
-12.675382317 0.6347194044 253.13 12
-25.245155878 0.5689114683 1120.24 13
-18.01117589 0.5100279428 636.05 14
-13.689394127 0.4570023144 410.06 15
-8.7231388209 0.4089938967 186.05 16
-9.3081548318 0.3653303524 237.16 17
-8.7229072593 0.3254674336 233.78 18
-5.3916282287 0.2889601878 100.60 19
-5.7061095031 0.2554420081 127.46 20
-4.4928518781 0.2246091928 89.87 21
-8.5800458415 0.1962094747 375.20 22
-5.9873391684 0.1700334976 210.83 23
-6.8221591447 0.145908564 318.98 24
-6.316566055 0.1236942238 322.56 25
-4.0042856022 0.1032794714 155.25 26
-5.3628865235 0.0845814998 340.03 27
-3.859462237 0.0675461631 220.52 28
-2.9984330467 0.052150594 172.40 29
-3.5825486766 0.0384088954 334.16 30
-1.1637936319 0.0263827197 51.34 31
-1.2753519772 0.0162003604 100.40 32
-0.4663305597 0.0080920353 26.87 33
-0.6644937815 0.0024590777 179.56 34
-0.0804761826 2.30561456E-05 280.90 35
0.4016168192 0.0021961507 73.44 36
1.6114618514 0.0122326614 212.28 37
2.4747094905 0.0406779747 150.55 38
-390.48235582 22.8360489456 10527.19 Ʃ=
N=
Qm=
Cv=
Cs=
Cs=
T=
K=
P=
Cs=
Qmax=
A=
Er=
P=
Cv=
∆Q=
Qd=
Qd=
T=
K=
P=
Cs=
Qmax=
A=
Er=
P=
Cv=
∆Q=
Qd=
Qd=
T=
K=
P=
Cs=
qmax=
A=
Er=
P=
Cv=
∆Q=
Qd=
Qd=
TIEMPO DE RETORNO
100 años 200 años
Qmáx Qdiseño Qmáx Qdiseño
36.378 42.200 30.555 39.918 45.740 34.096
22.383 29.085 15.680 23.541 31.308 15.774
33.323 34.453 32.193 36.129 37.418 34.840
37.615 42.242
100 200
Qmax Qdiseño Qmax Qdiseño
36.3777543069 42.2000304454 30.5554781685 39.917837 45.7401132 34.0955609
22.3828655363 29.0854129157 15.6803181569 23.5408984 31.3080326 15.7737641
33.3230472709 34.4528410966 32.1932534452 36.1290371 37.418436 34.8396383
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
CAUDALES
AÑO (Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1960 12.3 -0.2161570986 0.0467238913 -0.0100997008

1961 21.2 0.3590876102 0.1289439118 0.0463021611
1962 17.0 0.0865022421 0.0074826379 0.000647265
1963 22.2 0.41731594 0.1741525938 0.0726766534
1964 18.2 0.1632868528 0.0266625963 0.0043536514
1965 18.1 0.1568881353 0.024613887 0.0038616268
1966 10.5 -0.3300542712 0.108935822 -0.0359547333
1967 29.5 0.8889014244 0.7901457423 0.7023616758
1968 8.3 -0.4721058011 0.2228838874 -0.1052247762
1969 13.7 -0.1214560787 0.0147515791 -0.0017916689
1970 18.2 0.1664862116 0.0277176587 0.004614608
1971 15.9 0.0180359642 0.000325296 0.000005867
1972 33.5 1.1416507681 1.3033664763 1.4879893388
1973 25.2 0.6137565692 0.3766971262 0.2312003358
1974 20.3 0.2957403064 0.0874623288 0.0258661359
1975 13.6 -0.1272149245 0.016183637 -0.0020588002
1976 15.4 -0.0145974954 0.0002130869 -3.110535E-06
1977 15.3 -0.0216360847 0.0004681202 -1.012829E-05
1978 10.0 -0.3582086285 0.1283134215 -0.0459629747
1979 11.3 -0.2775847872 0.0770533141 -0.0213888278
1980 9.5 -0.3934015751 0.1547647993 -0.0608847158
1981 19.4 0.2394315918 0.0573274872 0.0137260115
1982 14.5 -0.07090621 0.0050276906 -0.0003564945
1983 17.9 0.1428109566 0.0203949693 0.0029126251
1984 18.0 0.1492096742 0.0222635269 0.0033219336
1985 12.5 -0.2027197917 0.041095314 -0.0083308335
1986 18.4 0.1799235185 0.0323724725 0.0058245692
1987 14.9 -0.049790442 0.0024790881 -0.0001234349
1988 13.1 -0.1598483841 0.0255515059 -0.0040843669
1989 18.3 0.1696855704 0.0287931928 0.0048857893
1990 7.2 -0.5415318867 0.2932567843 -0.1588078997
1991 10.0 -0.3588485003 0.1287722461 -0.0462097274
1992 5.2 -0.6682904816 0.4466121678 -0.2984666607
1993 13.4 -0.1425718467 0.0203267315 -0.0028980196
1994 16.8 0.0724250634 0.0052453898 0.0003798977
1995 8.6 -0.4516299049 0.203969571 -0.092118758
1996 14.6 -0.0677068512 0.0045842177 -0.0003103829
1997 12.3 -0.2148773551 0.0461722777 -0.0099213769
Ʃ= 593.9 5.1021064469 1.7059227539
38
15.6281316 m^3/s
0.3664232
0.91248742
1.09926959
50 años
2.58
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
30.4025272 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

1.1 maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)
0.58 El Er lo sacamos del

2.00% abaco de
0.4 probabilidad y Cv
3.14657847 m^3/s
33.5491057 m^3/s
27.2559487 m^3/s
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
33.3230473 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

1.1 maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)

abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
1.00% abaco de
1.12979383 m^3/s
34.4528411 m^3/s
32.1932534 m^3/s
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
36.1290371 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

1.1 maximo y minimo
(0.7-0.15)

0.50% abaco de
1.28939882 m^3/s
37.418436 m^3/s
34.8396383 m^3/s
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº log P (LogPi - LogP)^2
(m^3/s)
1 12.3 1.0881 0.0058690999

2 21.2 1.3272 0.0263764795
3 17.0 1.2299 0.0042499377
4 22.2 1.3454 0.0326263265
5 18.2 1.2596 0.0089960936
6 18.1 1.2572 0.0085474252
7 10.5 1.0199 0.0209668831
8 29.5 1.4701 0.0932509672
9 8.3 0.9165 0.0616490123
10 13.7 1.1377 0.0007330883
11 18.2 1.2608 0.0092237832
12 15.9 1.2017 0.0013633847
13 33.5 1.5247 0.1295349004
14 25.2 1.4017 0.0561684987
15 20.3 1.3064 0.0200729072
16 13.6 1.1348 0.0008959108
17 15.4 1.1875 0.0005186815
18 15.3 1.1844 0.0003865685
19 10.0 1.0013 0.0267143356
20 11.3 1.0527 0.0125556951
21 9.5 0.9768 0.0353206176
22 19.4 1.2871 0.0149777164
23 14.5 1.1620 7.72575089267E-06
24 17.9 1.2519 0.0075925631
25 18.0 1.2543 0.0080210281
26 12.5 1.0955 0.0047925295
27 18.4 1.2658 0.0102039851
28 14.9 1.1717 4.8724780581E-05
29 13.1 1.1183 0.0021605218
30 18.3 1.2620 0.0094536829
31 7.2 0.8552 0.0958087869
32 10.0 1.0009 0.026856136
33 5.2 0.7147 0.2025730389
34 13.4 1.1271 0.0014168706
35 16.8 1.2243 0.0035435678
36 8.6 0.9330 0.0537151626
37 14.6 1.1635 1.65530892644E-06
38 12.3 1.0888 0.0057610494
593.9 44.2604 1.0029553416
N= 38
Log Q = 1.1647461399
σ Log Q= 0.1646417357
Cs Log Q= -0.3846512263
T= 50 años
K= 2.176
El K lo sacamos del
P= 2.00% cuadro de
Cs= -0.38 probabilidad y Cs
Log Qmáx.= 1.5230065567 m^3/s

Qd = Qmáx.= 33.3431446643 m^3/s
T= 100 años

P= 1.00% cuadro de
Log Qmáx.= 1.5753626286 m^3/s

Qd = Qmáx.= 37.615135328 m^3/s
T= 200 años

P= 0.50% cuadro de
Log Qmáx.= 1.6257429997 m^3/s

Qd = Qmáx.= 42.2418567773 m^3/s
N TIPO III
(LogPi - LogP)^3
-0.000449632
0.0042837611
0.00027706
0.0058932148
0.0008532591
0.000790229
-0.0030359933
0.0284760677
-0.0153069683
-1.984880636E-05
0.000885857
5.0341671409E-05
0.0466208506
0.0133118748
0.0028439072
-2.681619644E-05
1.1812754695E-05
7.6004570278E-06
-0.0043663301
-0.0014068932
-0.0066380793
0.0018330251
-2.147390617E-08
0.0006615804
0.0007183648
-0.0003317777
0.0010307533
3.4011425771E-07
-0.0001004241
0.0009191821
-0.0296556886
-0.0044011411
-0.0911743057
-5.333290974E-05
0.0002109411
-0.0124493117
-2.129700758E-09
-0.0004372727
-0.0601738165
RIO ICA (ACHIRANA)
CAUDALES
Date
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
7/1/1960 2.6
7/1/1961 9.9
7/1/1962 8.9
7/1/1963 12.1
7/1/1964 6.6
7/1/1965 5.6
7/1/1966 4.8
7/1/1967 15.0
7/1/1968 6.5
7/1/1969 4.7
7/1/1970 8.7
7/1/1971 7.4
7/1/1972 11.6
7/1/1973 14.9
7/1/1974 9.5
7/1/1975 10.0
7/1/1976 10.9
7/1/1977 10.0
7/1/1978 3.6
7/1/1979 3.8
7/1/1980 2.6
7/1/1981 8.8
7/1/1982 9.4
7/1/1983 2.7
7/1/1984 10.1
7/1/1985 10.0
7/1/1986 13.5
7/1/1987 5.0
7/1/1988 6.7
7/1/1989 11.5
7/1/1990 4.7
7/1/1991 7.3
7/1/1992 2.4
7/1/1993 7.4
7/1/1994 29.0
7/1/1995 16.6
7/1/1996 9.6
7/1/1997 5.5
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
CAUDALES
Nº AÑO P^2
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1 1960 2.6 6.8644

2 1961 9.9 97.2196
3 1962 8.9 79.5664
4 1963 12.1 146.1681
5 1964 6.6 43.6921
6 1965 5.6 30.9136
7 1966 4.8 22.8484
8 1967 15.0 225.3001
9 1968 6.5 41.7316
10 1969 4.7 22.165264
11 1970 8.7 76.317696
12 1971 7.4 54.243225
13 1972 11.6 135.0244
14 1973 14.9 222.01
15 1974 9.5 90.6304
16 1975 10.0 99.380961
17 1976 10.9 118.3744
18 1977 10.0 99.2016
19 1978 3.6 12.780625
20 1979 3.8 14.546596
21 1980 2.6 6.880129
22 1981 8.8 76.965529
23 1982 9.4 88.247236
24 1983 2.7 7.29
25 1984 10.1 101.2036
26 1985 10.0 99.6004
27 1986 13.5 182.25
28 1987 5.0 25.371369
29 1988 6.7 44.462224
30 1989 11.5 131.7904
31 1990 4.7 22.382361
32 1991 7.3 53.655625
33 1992 2.4 5.574321
34 1993 7.4 54.937744
35 1994 29.0 841.5801
36 1995 16.6 274.8964
37 1996 9.6 92.9296
38 1997 5.5 30.780304
329.8 3779.77681
N= 38
Qm= 8.6783947368 m^3/s
σP= 4.9805689219
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Qmax= 23.4479446967 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.98
∆Q= 4.9967865625 m^3/s

Qd= 28.4447312592 m^3/s
Qd= 18.4511581342 m^3/s
t= 100 años
Qmax= 26.4861100631 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.99
∆Q= 4.9967865625 m^3/s

Qd= 31.4828966256 m^3/s
Qd= 21.4893235006 m^3/smm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 29.5242754295 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.995
∆Q= 4.9967865625 m^3/s
Qd= 34.521061992 m^3/s

Qd= 24.5274888669 m^3/s
MÉTODO DE NASH
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(m^3/s)
1 2.6 39.00 -1.947652 -5.1028482 3.79334831

2 9.9 19.50 -1.640869 -16.178968 2.6924511
3 8.9 13.00 -1.4588939 -13.013334 2.12837146
4 12.1 9.75 -1.3279339 -16.054721 1.76340846
5 6.6 7.80 -1.224858 -8.0963116 1.50027719
6 5.6 6.50 -1.1393586 -6.3348338 1.298138
7 4.8 5.57 -1.0659329 -5.0951592 1.13621291
8 15.0 4.88 -1.0012922 -15.029395 1.00258597
9 6.5 4.33 -0.943311 -6.0937891 0.88983566
10 4.7 3.90 -0.8905341 -4.1926348 0.79305106
11 8.7 3.55 -0.8419194 -7.3550075 0.70882821
12 7.4 3.25 -0.7966928 -5.8676424 0.6347194
13 11.6 3.00 -0.7542622 -8.7645268 0.56891147
14 14.9 2.79 -0.7141624 -10.64102 0.51002794
15 9.5 2.60 -0.6760195 -6.4357053 0.45700231
16 10.0 2.44 -0.6395263 -6.3754377 0.4089939
17 10.9 2.29 -0.6044256 -6.5761509 0.36533035
18 10.0 2.17 -0.5704975 -5.6821554 0.32546743
19 3.6 2.05 -0.5375502 -1.9217419 0.28896019
20 3.8 1.95 -0.5054127 -1.9276441 0.25544201
21 2.6 1.86 -0.4739295 -1.2431171 0.22460919
22 8.8 1.77 -0.4429554 -3.8860476 0.19620947
23 9.4 1.70 -0.4123512 -3.873627 0.1700335
24 2.7 1.63 -0.3819798 -1.0313454 0.14590856
25 10.1 1.56 -0.3517019 -3.5381211 0.12369422
26 10.0 1.50 -0.3213712 -3.2072849 0.10327947
27 13.5 1.44 -0.290829 -3.9261913 0.0845815
28 5.0 1.39 -0.2598964 -1.3090984 0.06754616
29 6.7 1.34 -0.228365 -1.5227381 0.05215059
30 11.5 1.30 -0.1959819 -2.2498719 0.0384089
31 4.7 1.26 -0.1624276 -0.7684449 0.02638272
32 7.3 1.22 -0.1272806 -0.9323307 0.01620036
33 2.4 1.18 -0.0899557 -0.2123855 0.00809204
34 7.4 1.15 -0.0495891 -0.3675543 0.00245908
35 29.0 1.11 -0.0048017 -0.1392968 2.3056E-05
36 16.6 1.08 0.04686311 0.7769903 0.00219615
37 9.6 1.05 0.11060136 1.06619713 0.01223266
38 5.5 1.03 0.20168782 1.118964 0.04067797
329.8 -22.715368 -181.98433 22.8360489
N= 38
Pm= 8.6783947368 m^3/s
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= 1.6363740478
a= 9.6565747037
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Qmax= 6.2908705532 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 34877.3299010001
Sxq= 575.646796052
∆P= 5.0426776815 m^3/s

Pd= 11.3335482348 m^3/s
Pd= 1.2481928717 m^3/s
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Qmax= 5.7946744916 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 34877.3299010001
Sxq= 575.646796052
∆P= 5.9915258186 m^3/s

Qd= 11.7862003102 m^3/s
Qd= -0.196851327 m^3/s
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Qmax= 5.3002889661 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 34877.3299010001
Sxq= 575.646796052
∆Q= 6.9491210777 m^3/s

Qd= 12.2494100438 m^3/s
Qd= -1.6488321117 m^3/s

50 años 100 años
METODO Qmáx Qdiseño Qmáx Qdiseño
GUMBEL 23.448 28.445 18.451 26.486 31.483
NASH 6.291 11.334 1.248 5.795 11.786
LEBEDIEV 22.144 25.582 18.707 25.044 25.893
RESUMEN
50 100
GUMBEL 23.4479446967 28.4447313 18.4511581 26.4861101 31.4828966
NASH 6.2908705532 11.3335482 1.24819287 5.79467449 11.7862003
LEBEDIEV 22.1443938292 25.5822202 18.7065675 25.0440068 25.8931057
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
CAUDALES
P^2 Nº AÑO MEDIOS (m^3/s)
6.86 1 1960 2.6

97.22 2 1961 9.9
79.57 3 1962 8.9
146.17 4 1963 12.1
43.69 5 1964 6.6
30.91 6 1965 5.6
22.85 7 1966 4.8
225.30 8 1967 15.0
41.73 9 1968 6.5
22.17 10 1969 4.7
76.32 11 1970 8.7
54.24 12 1971 7.4
135.02 13 1972 11.6
222.01 14 1973 14.9
90.63 15 1974 9.5
99.38 16 1975 10.0
118.37 17 1976 10.9
99.20 18 1977 10.0
12.78 19 1978 3.6
14.55 20 1979 3.8
6.88 21 1980 2.6
76.97 22 1981 8.8
88.25 23 1982 9.4
7.29 24 1983 2.7
101.20 25 1984 10.1
99.60 26 1985 10.0
182.25 27 1986 13.5
25.37 28 1987 5.0
44.46 29 1988 6.7
131.79 30 1989 11.5
22.38 31 1990 4.7
53.66 32 1991 7.3
5.57 33 1992 2.4
54.94 34 1993 7.4
841.58 35 1994 29.0
274.90 36 1995 16.6
92.93 37 1996 9.6
30.78 38 1997 5.5
3779.78 329.8
N= 38
Qm= 8.67839474 m^3/s
Cv= 0.56630268
Cs= 1.80226961
Cs= 1.69890804
T= 50 años
K= 2.74
P= 2.00%
Cs= 1.80
Qmax= 22.1443938 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.87
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.6
∆Q= 3.43782635 m^3/s

Qd= 25.5822202 m^3/s
Qd= 18.7065675 m^3/s
T= 100 años
K= 3.33
P= 1.00%
Cs= 1.80
Qmax= 25.0440068 m^3/s

Promedio del valor
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.84909894 m^3/s

Qd= 25.8931057 m^3/s
Qd= 24.1949078 m^3/s
T= 200 años
K= 3.91
P= 0.50%
Cs= 1.80
qmax= 27.8944737 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.99551786 m^3/s

Qd= 28.8899916 m^3/s
Qd= 26.8989559 m^3/s
O DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
Qdiseño Qmáx Qdiseño
21.489 29.524 34.521 24.527
-0.197 5.300 12.249 -1.649
24.195 27.894 28.890 26.899
30.556 36.311
200
Qmax Qdiseño
21.4893235006 29.5242754 34.521062 24.5274889
-0.196851327 5.30028897 12.24941 -1.6488321
24.1949078292 27.8944737 28.8899916 26.8989559
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
-0.6981008494 0.4873447959 -0.3402158159 1

0.1361548188 0.0185381347 0.0025240564 2
0.0278398564 0.0007750576 2.1577492E-05 3
0.3931147829 0.1545392326 0.0607516569 4
-0.2383384024 0.0568051941 -0.0135388592 5
-0.35932852 0.1291169853 -0.0463954152 6
-0.4492068931 0.2017868328 -0.0906440362 7
0.7295825386 0.5322906806 0.3883499861 8
-0.2556227049 0.0653429673 -0.016703146 9
-0.4575033583 0.2093093229 -0.0957597181 10
0.0066377786 4.40601052E-05 2.9246122E-07 11
-0.1513407464 0.0229040215 -0.0034663117 12
0.3389573017 0.1148920524 0.0389435001 13
0.7169073834 0.5139561964 0.368458992 14
0.0969770665 0.0094045514 0.0009120258 15
0.1487147453 0.0221160755 0.0032889865 16
0.253688076 0.0643576399 0.0163267658 17
0.1476776872 0.0218086993 0.0032206583 18
-0.5880574567 0.3458115723 -0.2033570737 19
-0.5605178013 0.3141802056 -0.1761035981 20
-0.6977551633 0.4868622679 -0.3397106613 21
0.0109012399 0.000118837 1.295471E-06 22
0.0824582523 0.0067993634 0.0005606636 23
-0.6888825547 0.4745591741 -0.3269155362 24
0.1592005555 0.0253448169 0.0040349089 25
0.1499822608 0.0224946786 0.0033738027 26
0.5555872266 0.3086771664 0.1714970908 27
-0.4195931215 0.1760583876 -0.0738728884 28
-0.2316551387 0.0536641033 -0.0124315653 29
0.322825286 0.1042161653 0.0336436134 30
-0.4548530986 0.2068913413 -0.0941051677 31
-0.1559498937 0.0243203694 -0.003792759 32
-0.7279450784 0.5299040371 -0.3857410358 33
-0.1459249983 0.0212941051 -0.0031073423 34
2.3427841069 5.4886373717 12.8586924031 35
0.9104915716 0.828994902 0.7547928712 36
0.1108045085 0.0122776391 0.0013604178 37
-0.3607112642 0.1301126161 -0.0469330863 38
12.1865516203 12.4379615483
N=
Log Q =
σ Log Q=
Cs Log Q=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
P=
Cs=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
T=
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
CAUDALES MEDIOS log P (LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3

(m^3/s)
2.6 0.4183 0.2078605404 -0.0947672063

9.9 0.9939 0.014318126 0.0017132836
8.9 0.9504 0.0057982607 0.0004415162
12.1 1.0824 0.0433504704 0.0090259042
6.6 0.8202 0.0029178453 -0.0001576135
5.6 0.7451 0.0166781085 -0.0021538735
4.8 0.6794 0.0379433959 -0.0073910186
15.0 1.1764 0.0913019644 0.0275879978
6.5 0.8102 0.0040942114 -0.0002619723
4.7 0.6728 0.0405547457 -0.0081669994
8.7 0.9413 0.0045016159 0.0003020318
7.4 0.8672 4.96431832292E-05 -3.497755373E-07
11.6 1.0652 0.0364762576 0.0069665124
14.9 1.1732 0.0893817008 0.0267222438
9.5 0.9786 0.0109032034 0.0011384951
10.0 0.9987 0.0154835847 0.0019266697
10.9 1.0366 0.0263771225 0.0042839178
10.0 0.9983 0.0153861189 0.0019085064
3.6 0.5533 0.1030040863 -0.0330583887
3.8 0.5814 0.0857540089 -0.02511202
2.6 0.4188 0.2074076064 -0.0944576245
8.8 0.9431 0.0047512879 0.0003275043
9.4 0.9729 0.0097282739 0.0009595192
2.7 0.4314 0.1961203552 -0.0868528365
10.1 1.0026 0.01648128 0.0021158575
10.0 0.9991 0.0156030073 0.0019490028
13.5 1.1303 0.0655950087 0.0167998804
5.0 0.7022 0.0296000299 -0.0050925843
6.7 0.8240 0.0025223449 -0.0001266796
11.5 1.0599 0.0344931609 0.0064061852
4.7 0.6750 0.0397067774 -0.0079121946
7.3 0.8648 8.85653029444E-05 -8.334804524E-07
2.4 0.3731 0.2511238161 -0.1258438086
7.4 0.8699 1.83452232648E-05 -7.857502038E-08
29.0 1.4625 0.3461312308 0.2036391052
16.6 1.2196 0.1192776623 0.0411944471
9.6 0.9841 0.012068888 0.0013258698
5.5 0.7441 0.0169213503 -0.0022011646
329.8 33.2203 2.2197740016 -0.1368227965
38
0.8742185431
0.2449365059
-0.2656300963
50 años
2.176
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
-0.27 probabilidad y Cs
1.40720038 m^3/s
25.538793701 m^3/s
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
1.4850901888 m^3/s
30.5555558684 m^3/s
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
1.5600407597 m^3/s
36.3112132175 m^3/s
RIO RIMAC(CHOSICA)
CAUDALES
Date
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
7/1/1960 19.7
7/1/1961 25.2
7/1/1962 24.6
7/1/1963 28.7
7/1/1964 23.4
7/1/1965 20.0
7/1/1966 22.1
7/1/1967 19.1
7/1/1968 18.9
7/1/1969 21.5
7/1/1970 27.3
7/1/1971 29.4
7/1/1972 31.3
7/1/1973 42.0
7/1/1974 30.7
7/1/1975 26.0
7/1/1976 27.8
7/1/1977 25.1
7/1/1978 24.1
7/1/1979 25.1
7/1/1980 22.0
7/1/1981 30.4
7/1/1982 27.8
7/1/1983 23.1
7/1/1984 34.5
7/1/1985 27.3
7/1/1986 34.6
7/1/1987 28.8
7/1/1988 27.8
7/1/1989 31.7
7/1/1990 20.0
7/1/1991 23.6
7/1/1992 15.2
7/1/1993 26.6
7/1/1994 33.5
7/1/1995 20.5
7/1/1996 26.2
7/1/1997 20.5
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
CAUDALES
Nº AÑO P^2
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1 1960 19.7 386.9089

2 1961 25.2 635.04
3 1962 24.6 603.1936
4 1963 28.7 821.3956
5 1964 23.4 546.6244
6 1965 20.0 400
7 1966 22.1 487.9681
8 1967 19.1 365.5744
9 1968 18.9 357.9664
10 1969 21.5 460.1025
11 1970 27.3 746.3824
12 1971 29.4 861.4225
13 1972 31.3 979.69
14 1973 42.0 1761.4809
15 1974 30.7 943.7184
16 1975 26.0 676
17 1976 27.8 773.3961
18 1977 25.1 629.5081
19 1978 24.1 582.2569
20 1979 25.1 630.01
21 1980 22.0 484.4401
22 1981 30.4 924.16
23 1982 27.8 773.9524
24 1983 23.1 534.5344
25 1984 34.5 1188.8704
26 1985 27.3 744.7441
27 1986 34.6 1199.9296
28 1987 28.8 830.0161
29 1988 27.8 771.1729
30 1989 31.7 1002.9889
31 1990 20.0 398.0025
32 1991 23.6 556.0164
33 1992 15.2 231.3441
34 1993 26.6 705.9649
35 1994 33.5 1122.25
36 1995 20.5 420.6601
37 1996 26.2 686.9641
38 1997 20.5 419.4304
985.9 26644.0806
N= 38
Qm= 25.9436842105 m^3/s
σP= 5.3706914453
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Qmax= 41.8701168859 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.98
∆Q= 5.3881793959 m^3/s

Qd= 47.2582962818 m^3/s
Qd= 36.48193749 m^3/s
t= 100 años
Qmax= 45.1462584268 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.99
∆Q= 5.3881793959 m^3/s

Qd= 50.5344378228 m^3/s
Qd= 39.7580790309 m^3/smm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 48.4223999677 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.995
∆Q= 5.3881793959 m^3/s
Qd= 53.8105793637 m^3/s

Qd= 43.0342205718 m^3/s
MÉTODO DE NASH
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(m^3/s)
1 19.7 39.00 -1.947652 -38.310315 3.79334831

2 25.2 19.50 -1.640869 -41.349899 2.6924511
3 24.6 13.00 -1.4588939 -35.830435 2.12837146
4 28.7 9.75 -1.3279339 -38.058586 1.76340846
5 23.4 7.80 -1.224858 -28.637181 1.50027719
6 20.0 6.50 -1.1393586 -22.787172 1.298138
7 22.1 5.57 -1.0659329 -23.546457 1.13621291
8 19.1 4.88 -1.0012922 -19.144706 1.00258597
9 18.9 4.33 -0.943311 -17.847444 0.88983566
10 21.5 3.90 -0.8905341 -19.101957 0.79305106
11 27.3 3.55 -0.8419194 -23.001237 0.70882821
12 29.4 3.25 -0.7966928 -23.382933 0.6347194
13 31.3 3.00 -0.7542622 -23.608407 0.56891147
14 42.0 2.79 -0.7141624 -29.973396 0.51002794
15 30.7 2.60 -0.6760195 -20.767318 0.45700231
16 26.0 2.44 -0.6395263 -16.627684 0.4089939
17 27.8 2.29 -0.6044256 -16.809077 0.36533035
18 25.1 2.17 -0.5704975 -14.313783 0.32546743
19 24.1 2.05 -0.5375502 -12.971086 0.28896019
20 25.1 1.95 -0.5054127 -12.685859 0.25544201
21 22.0 1.86 -0.4739295 -10.431189 0.22460919
22 30.4 1.77 -0.4429554 -13.465844 0.19620947
23 27.8 1.70 -0.4123512 -11.47161 0.1700335
24 23.1 1.63 -0.3819798 -8.8313729 0.14590856
25 34.5 1.56 -0.3517019 -12.126681 0.12369422
26 27.3 1.50 -0.3213712 -8.770221 0.10327947
27 34.6 1.44 -0.290829 -10.074316 0.0845815
28 28.8 1.39 -0.2598964 -7.4876166 0.06754616
29 27.8 1.34 -0.228365 -6.3416973 0.05215059
30 31.7 1.30 -0.1959819 -6.206746 0.0384089
31 20.0 1.26 -0.1624276 -3.2404303 0.02638272
32 23.6 1.22 -0.1272806 -3.0012774 0.01620036
33 15.2 1.18 -0.0899557 -1.3682268 0.00809204
34 26.6 1.15 -0.0495891 -1.3175821 0.00245908
35 33.5 1.11 -0.0048017 -0.1608563 2.3056E-05
36 20.5 1.08 0.04686311 0.96116231 0.00219615
37 26.2 1.05 0.11060136 2.89886171 0.01223266
38 20.5 1.03 0.20168782 4.13056645 0.04067797
985.9 -22.715368 -575.06001 22.8360489
N= 38
Pm= 25.9436842105 m^3/s
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= 1.5404215157
a= 26.8645063595
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Qmax= 23.6961579639 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 40555.1231999999
Sxq= 541.8924305793
∆P= 5.4537518218 m^3/s

Pd= 29.1499097857 m^3/s
Pd= 18.2424061421 m^3/s
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Qmax= 23.2290574923 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 40555.1231999999
Sxq= 541.8924305793
∆P= 6.4805860875 m^3/s

Qd= 29.7096435798 m^3/s
Qd= 16.7484714049 m^3/s
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Qmax= 22.763661392 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 40555.1231999999
Sxq= 541.8924305793
∆Q= 7.5168057717 m^3/s

Qd= 30.2804671637 m^3/s
Qd= 15.2468556202 m^3/s

50 años 100 años
GUMBEL 41.870 47.258 36.482 45.146 50.534
NASH 23.696 29.150 18.242 23.229 29.710
LEBEDIEV 38.345 40.534 36.155 40.464 41.836
RESUMEN
50 100
GUMBEL 41.8701168859 47.2582963 36.4819375 45.1462584 50.5344378
NASH 23.6961579639 29.1499098 18.2424061 23.2290575 29.7096436
LEBEDIEV 38.3446389754 40.5341923 36.1550857 40.4644603 41.8363786
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
CAUDALES
386.91 1 1960 19.7

635.04 2 1961 25.2
603.19 3 1962 24.6
821.40 4 1963 28.7
546.62 5 1964 23.4
400.00 6 1965 20.0
487.97 7 1966 22.1
365.57 8 1967 19.1
357.97 9 1968 18.9
460.10 10 1969 21.5
746.38 11 1970 27.3
861.42 12 1971 29.4
979.69 13 1972 31.3
1761.48 14 1973 42.0
943.72 15 1974 30.7
676.00 16 1975 26.0
773.40 17 1976 27.8
629.51 18 1977 25.1
582.26 19 1978 24.1
630.01 20 1979 25.1
484.44 21 1980 22.0
924.16 22 1981 30.4
773.95 23 1982 27.8
534.53 24 1983 23.1
1188.87 25 1984 34.5
744.74 26 1985 27.3
1199.93 27 1986 34.6
830.02 28 1987 28.8
771.17 29 1988 27.8
1002.99 30 1989 31.7
398.00 31 1990 20.0
556.02 32 1991 23.6
231.34 33 1992 15.2
705.96 34 1993 26.6
1122.25 35 1994 33.5
420.66 36 1995 20.5
686.96 37 1996 26.2
419.43 38 1997 20.5
26644.08 985.9
N= 38
Qm= 25.9436842 m^3/s
Cv= 0.20427142
Cs= 0.58445845
Cs= 0.61281427
T= 50 años
K= 2.34
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.58
Qmax= 38.344639 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.32
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.2
∆Q= 2.18955328 m^3/s

Qd= 40.5341923 m^3/s
Qd= 36.1550857 m^3/s
T= 100 años
K= 2.74
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.58
Qmax= 40.4644603 m^3/s

Promedio del valor
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 1.37191827 m^3/s

Qd= 41.8363786 m^3/s
Qd= 39.092542 m^3/s
T= 200 años
K= 3.09
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.58
qmax= 42.319304 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 1.51032148 m^3/s

Qd= 43.8296254 m^3/s
Qd= 40.8089825 m^3/s
O DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
39.758 48.422 53.811 43.034
16.748 22.764 30.280 15.247
39.093 42.319 43.830 40.809
42.458 45.217
200
Qmax Qdiseño
39.7580790309 48.4224 53.8105794 43.0342206
16.7484714049 22.7636614 30.2804672 15.2468556
39.0925420314 42.319304 43.8296254 40.8089825
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
-0.2418193253 0.0584765861 -0.0141407686 1

-0.0286653277 0.000821701 -2.355433E-05 2
-0.0533341448 0.002844531 -0.0001517106 3
0.1047004646 0.0109621873 0.0011477461 4
-0.0988172763 0.0097648541 -0.0009649363 5
-0.2290994665 0.0524865655 -0.0120246442 6
-0.1485403607 0.0220642388 -0.00327743 7
-0.2630190899 0.0691790417 -0.0181954086 8
-0.2707280953 0.0732937016 -0.0198426642 9
-0.1732091778 0.0300014193 -0.0051965212 10
0.0530501288 0.0028143162 0.0001492998 11
0.131296533 0.0172387796 0.002263392 12
0.206459335 0.042625457 0.0088004235 13
0.6177347696 0.3815962456 0.2357252689 14
0.1841032195 0.0338939954 0.0062399937 15
0.0021706936 4.71191074E-06 1.0228115E-08 16
0.0719371919 0.0051749596 0.0003722721 17
-0.0329052807 0.0010827575 -3.562844E-05 18
-0.0699085063 0.0048871993 -0.0003416568 19
-0.0325198304 0.0010575394 -0.000034391 20
-0.1516239628 0.0229898261 -0.0034858085 21
0.171768811 0.0295045244 0.0050679571 22
0.0723226422 0.0052305646 0.0003782882 23
-0.1088389832 0.0118459243 -0.0012892984 24
0.3290325198 0.1082623991 0.03562185 25
0.051893778 0.0026929642 0.0001397481 26
0.3351997241 0.112358855 0.0376626572 27
0.1104822186 0.0122063206 0.0013485814 28
0.0703953908 0.004955511 0.0003488451 29
0.2207209949 0.0487177576 0.0107530319 30
-0.2310267178 0.0533733443 -0.0123306686 31
-0.091108271 0.008300717 -0.000756264 32
-0.4137301442 0.1711726323 -0.0708192778 33
0.0241413588 0.0005828052 1.406971E-05 34
0.2912583937 0.0848314519 0.0247078724 35
-0.2094415029 0.0438657431 -0.0091873072 36
0.0102651492 0.0001053733 1.0816725E-06 37
-0.2105978537 0.044351456 -0.0093403214 38
1.5856189577 0.1893041291
N=
Log Q =
σ Log Q=
Cs Log Q=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
P=
Cs=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
T=
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv

(m^3/s)
19.7 1.2938 0.0123883873 -0.0013788663

25.2 1.4014 1.37414907322E-05 -5.093904211E-08
24.6 1.3902 0.0002213885 -3.294068407E-06
28.7 1.4573 0.0027215726 0.0001419809
23.4 1.3688 0.0013150041 -0.000047686
20.0 1.3010 0.0108321253 -0.0011273805
22.1 1.3442 0.0037102445 -0.0002259976
19.1 1.2815 0.0152818066 -0.0018891309
18.9 1.2769 0.016431743 -0.0021063253
21.5 1.3314 0.0054287713 -0.0003999929
27.3 1.4365 0.0009842778 3.0879947989E-05
29.4 1.4676 0.0039063266 0.0002441478
31.3 1.4955 0.0081788229 0.0007396669
42.0 1.6229 0.0474505523 0.0103362239
30.7 1.4874 0.0067755483 0.0005577206
26.0 1.4150 9.73351049983E-05 9.6029408223E-07
27.8 1.4442 0.0015283015 5.9746647683E-05
25.1 1.3995 3.14365554713E-05 -1.762594583E-07
24.1 1.3826 0.0005085102 -0.000011467
25.1 1.3997 2.95258670309E-05 -1.604367993E-07
22.0 1.3426 0.0039046814 -0.0002439936
30.4 1.4829 0.0060475649 0.0004702955
27.8 1.4444 0.0015405337 6.0465382896E-05
23.1 1.3640 0.0016908267 -6.952622202E-05
34.5 1.5376 0.0175455893 0.0023240846
27.3 1.4360 0.0009545655 2.9492296508E-05
34.6 1.5396 0.018082286 0.0024315321
28.8 1.4595 0.0029632526 0.0001613069
27.8 1.4436 0.0014798168 5.6926166586E-05
31.7 1.5006 0.0091280007 0.0008720944
20.0 1.2999 0.0110595915 -0.0011630774
23.6 1.3725 0.001060394 -3.453034385E-05
15.2 1.1821 0.0497193126 -0.0110863267
26.6 1.4244 0.000371875 7.1712614135E-06
33.5 1.5250 0.0143849594 0.0017252934
20.5 1.3120 0.0086754009 -0.0008080427
26.2 1.4185 0.000178477 2.3843685852E-06
20.5 1.3113 0.008794227 -0.000824701
985.9 53.3941 0.2954167771 -0.0011683529
38
1.4051074925
0.089354559
-0.0467200454
50 años
2.176
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
1.5995430129 m^3/s
39.768848194 m^3/s
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
1.6279577627 m^3/s
42.4578269567 m^3/s
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
1.6553002577 m^3/s
45.2168451583 m^3/s
RIO NEPEÑA(SAN JACINTO)
CAUDALES
Date
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
7/1/1960 1.5
7/1/1961 2.9
7/1/1962 3.7
7/1/1963 2.0
7/1/1964 1.5
7/1/1965 1.3
7/1/1966 0.9
7/1/1967 3.3
7/1/1968 0.1
7/1/1969 0.5
7/1/1970 1.9
7/1/1971 3.0
7/1/1972 5.0
7/1/1973 3.4
7/1/1974 2.7
7/1/1975 2.9
7/1/1976 0.9
7/1/1977 1.7
7/1/1978 0.2
7/1/1979 1.8
7/1/1980 0.6
7/1/1981 2.2
7/1/1982 1.3
7/1/1983 17.2
7/1/1984 8.5
7/1/1985 0.6
7/1/1986 1.9
7/1/1987 2.8
7/1/1988 1.3
7/1/1989 1.0
7/1/1990 1.3
7/1/1991 1.6
7/1/1992 0.0
7/1/1993 1.8
7/1/1994 8.5
7/1/1995 0.8
7/1/1996 4.0
7/1/1997 1.0
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
CAUDALES
Nº AÑO P^2
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1 1960 1.5 2.25

2 1961 2.9 8.41
3 1962 3.7 13.69
4 1963 2.0 4
5 1964 1.5 2.25
6 1965 1.3 1.69
7 1966 0.9 0.81
8 1967 3.3 10.89
9 1968 0.1 0.01
10 1969 0.5 0.25
11 1970 1.9 3.61
12 1971 3.0 9
13 1972 5.0 25
14 1973 3.4 11.56
15 1974 2.7 7.29
16 1975 2.9 8.41
17 1976 0.9 0.81
18 1977 1.7 2.89
19 1978 0.2 0.04
20 1979 1.8 3.24
21 1980 0.6 0.36
22 1981 2.2 4.84
23 1982 1.3 1.69
24 1983 17.2 295.84
25 1984 8.5 72.25
26 1985 0.6 0.36
27 1986 1.9 3.61
28 1987 2.8 7.84
29 1988 1.3 1.69
30 1989 1.0 0.9604
31 1990 1.3 1.5625
32 1991 1.6 2.6244
33 1992 0.0 0.000196
34 1993 1.8 3.083536
35 1994 8.5 72.25
36 1995 0.8 0.64
37 1996 4.0 15.9201
38 1997 1.0 1.0609
97.5 602.682032
N= 38
Qm= 2.5668421053 m^3/s
σP= 3.0857661585
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Qmax= 11.7174789417 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.98
∆Q= 3.0958139758 m^3/s

Qd= 14.8132929175 m^3/s
Qd= 8.6216649658 m^3/s
t= 100 años
Qmax= 13.5998076512 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.99
∆Q= 3.0958139758 m^3/s

Qd= 16.695621627 m^3/s
Qd= 10.5039936754 m^3/smm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 15.4821363608 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.995
∆Q= 3.0958139758 m^3/s
Qd= 18.5779503366 m^3/s

Qd= 12.3863223849 m^3/s
MÉTODO DE NASH
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(m^3/s)
1 1.5 39.00 -1.947652 -2.921478 3.79334831

2 2.9 19.50 -1.640869 -4.7585201 2.6924511
3 3.7 13.00 -1.4588939 -5.3979075 2.12837146
4 2.0 9.75 -1.3279339 -2.6558678 1.76340846
5 1.5 7.80 -1.224858 -1.837287 1.50027719
6 1.3 6.50 -1.1393586 -1.4811662 1.298138
7 0.9 5.57 -1.0659329 -0.9593396 1.13621291
8 3.3 4.88 -1.0012922 -3.3042641 1.00258597
9 0.1 4.33 -0.943311 -0.0943311 0.88983566
10 0.5 3.90 -0.8905341 -0.4452671 0.79305106
11 1.9 3.55 -0.8419194 -1.5996468 0.70882821
12 3.0 3.25 -0.7966928 -2.3900784 0.6347194
13 5.0 3.00 -0.7542622 -3.771311 0.56891147
14 3.4 2.79 -0.7141624 -2.4281522 0.51002794
15 2.7 2.60 -0.6760195 -1.8252526 0.45700231
16 2.9 2.44 -0.6395263 -1.8546263 0.4089939
17 0.9 2.29 -0.6044256 -0.5439831 0.36533035
18 1.7 2.17 -0.5704975 -0.9698458 0.32546743
19 0.2 2.05 -0.5375502 -0.10751 0.28896019
20 1.8 1.95 -0.5054127 -0.9097429 0.25544201
21 0.6 1.86 -0.4739295 -0.2843577 0.22460919
22 2.2 1.77 -0.4429554 -0.9745019 0.19620947
23 1.3 1.70 -0.4123512 -0.5360565 0.1700335
24 17.2 1.63 -0.3819798 -6.5700525 0.14590856
25 8.5 1.56 -0.3517019 -2.9894661 0.12369422
26 0.6 1.50 -0.3213712 -0.1928227 0.10327947
27 1.9 1.44 -0.290829 -0.5525751 0.0845815
28 2.8 1.39 -0.2598964 -0.7277101 0.06754616
29 1.3 1.34 -0.228365 -0.2968746 0.05215059
30 1.0 1.30 -0.1959819 -0.1920622 0.0384089
31 1.3 1.26 -0.1624276 -0.2030345 0.02638272
32 1.6 1.22 -0.1272806 -0.2061946 0.01620036
33 0.0 1.18 -0.0899557 -0.0012594 0.00809204
34 1.8 1.15 -0.0495891 -0.0870784 0.00245908
35 8.5 1.11 -0.0048017 -0.0408143 2.3056E-05
36 0.8 1.08 0.04686311 0.03749048 0.00219615
37 4.0 1.05 0.11060136 0.44129944 0.01223266
38 1.0 1.03 0.20168782 0.20773845 0.04067797
97.5 -22.715368 -53.42391 22.8360489
N= 38
Pm= 2.5668421053 m^3/s
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= 0.5274530096
a= 2.8821391904
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Qmax= 1.797270614 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 13387.865616
Sxq= 185.5484297619
∆P= 3.1524959754 m^3/s

Pd= 4.9497665894 m^3/s
Pd= -1.3552253614 m^3/s
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Qmax= 1.6373315668 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 13387.865616
Sxq= 185.5484297619
∆P= 3.7467958882 m^3/s

Qd= 5.384127455 m^3/s
Qd= -2.1094643215 m^3/s
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Qmax= 1.4779761103 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 13387.865616
Sxq= 185.5484297619
∆Q= 4.3464331712 m^3/s

Qd= 5.8244092815 m^3/s
Qd= -2.8684570609 m^3/s

50 años 100 años
GUMBEL 11.717 14.813 8.622 13.600 16.696
NASH 1.797 4.950 -1.355 1.637 5.384
LEBEDIEV 9.613 9.921 9.304 10.752 11.116
RESUMEN
50 100
GUMBEL 11.7174789417 14.8132929 8.62166497 13.5998077 16.6956216
NASH 1.797270614 4.94976659 -1.3552254 1.63733157 5.38412746
LEBEDIEV 9.6127251528 9.92148436 9.30396595 10.7515152 11.1160376
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
CAUDALES
2.25 1 1960 1.5

8.41 2 1961 2.9
13.69 3 1962 3.7
4.00 4 1963 2.0
2.25 5 1964 1.5
1.69 6 1965 1.3
0.81 7 1966 0.9
10.89 8 1967 3.3
0.01 9 1968 0.1
0.25 10 1969 0.5
3.61 11 1970 1.9
9.00 12 1971 3.0
25.00 13 1972 5.0
11.56 14 1973 3.4
7.29 15 1974 2.7
8.41 16 1975 2.9
0.81 17 1976 0.9
2.89 18 1977 1.7
0.04 19 1978 0.2
3.24 20 1979 1.8
0.36 21 1980 0.6
4.84 22 1981 2.2
1.69 23 1982 1.3
295.84 24 1983 17.2
72.25 25 1984 8.5
0.36 26 1985 0.6
3.61 27 1986 1.9
7.84 28 1987 2.8
1.69 29 1988 1.3
0.96 30 1989 1.0
1.56 31 1990 1.3
2.62 32 1991 1.6
0.00 33 1992 0.0
3.08 34 1993 1.8
72.25 35 1994 8.5
0.64 36 1995 0.8
15.92 37 1996 4.0
1.06 38 1997 1.0
602.68 97.5
N= 38
Qm= 2.56684211 m^3/s
Cv= 1.18624097
Cs= 3.23048951
Cs= 3.55872292
T= 50 años
K= 2.314
P= 2.00%
Cs= 3.23
Qmax= 9.61272515 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.18
P= 2.00%
Cv= 1.2
∆Q= 0.30875921 m^3/s

Qd= 9.92148436 m^3/s
Qd= 9.30396595 m^3/s
T= 100 años
K= 2.688
P= 1.00%
Cs= 3.23
Qmax= 10.7515152 m^3/s

Promedio del valor
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.36452235 m^3/s

Qd= 11.1160376 m^3/s
Qd= 10.3869929 m^3/s
T= 200 años
K= 3.048
P= 0.50%
Cs= 3.23
qmax= 11.8476768 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.42282833 m^3/s

Qd= 12.2705052 m^3/s
Qd= 11.4248485 m^3/s
O DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
10.504 15.482 18.578 12.386
-2.109 1.478 5.824 -2.868
10.387 11.848 12.271 11.425
32.755 47.800
200
Qmax Qdiseño
10.5039936754 15.4821364 18.5779503 12.3863224
-2.1094643215 1.47797611 5.82440928 -2.8684571
10.3869928881 11.8476768 12.2705052 11.4248485
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
-0.4156243592 0.172743608 -0.0717964514 1

0.1297929055 0.0168461983 0.002186517 2
0.4414599139 0.1948868556 0.0860347345 3
-0.220832479 0.0487669838 -0.0107693339 4
-0.4156243592 0.172743608 -0.0717964514 5
-0.4935411113 0.2435828286 -0.1202181399 6
-0.6493746155 0.4216873913 -0.2738330876 7
0.2856264097 0.0815824459 0.0233021011 8
-0.9610416239 0.923601003 -0.8876190078 9
-0.8052081197 0.6483601161 -0.52206483 10
-0.259790855 0.0674912884 -0.0175336195 11
0.1687512815 0.028476995 0.0048055294 12
0.9479188025 0.8985500562 0.8517524933 13
0.3245847857 0.1053552831 0.034196722 14
0.0518761534 0.0026911353 0.0001396057 15
0.1297929055 0.0168461983 0.002186517 16
-0.6493746155 0.4216873913 -0.2738330876 17
-0.3377076071 0.1140464279 -0.0385143463 18
-0.9220832479 0.8502375161 -0.7839897703 19
-0.2987492311 0.0892511031 -0.0266636984 20
-0.7662497437 0.5871386697 -0.4498948552 21
-0.1429157269 0.020424905 -0.0029190401 22
-0.4935411113 0.2435828286 -0.1202181399 23
5.7008406807 32.4995844673 185.274953238 24
2.3114619643 5.3428564125 12.3498093783 25
-0.7662497437 0.5871386697 -0.4498948552 26
-0.259790855 0.0674912884 -0.0175336195 27
0.0908345294 0.0082509117 0.0007494677 28
-0.4935411113 0.2435828286 -0.1202181399 29
-0.6182079147 0.3821810258 -0.236267335 30
-0.5130202994 0.2631898276 -0.1350217241 31
-0.368874308 0.1360682551 -0.0501920834 32
-0.9945458274 0.9891214027 -0.9837265638 33
-0.3158909165 0.0997870712 -0.0315218294 34
2.3114619643 5.3428564125 12.3498093783 35
-0.6883329916 0.4738023073 -0.3261337596 36
0.5544392044 0.3074028314 0.1704361813 37
-0.5987287267 0.3584760881 -0.2146299318 38
53.4723706363 204.913558163
N=
Log Q =
σ Log Q=
Cs Log Q=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
P=
Cs=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
T=
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv

(m^3/s)
1.5 0.1761 1.81449712243E-06 -2.444186977E-09

2.9 0.4624 0.0812020341 0.0231393078
3.7 0.5682 0.15269606 0.0596680365
2.0 0.3010 0.0152749093 0.0018878521
1.5 0.1761 1.81449712243E-06 -2.444186977E-09
1.3 0.1139 0.0040316073 -0.0002559867
0.9 -0.0458 0.0498163572 -0.0111188008
3.3 0.5185 0.1163325977 0.0396782162
0.1 -1.0000 1.3863609309 -1.6323544463
0.5 -0.3010 0.2289319021 -0.1095366551
1.9 0.2788 0.0102647919 0.0010399806
3.0 0.4771 0.0898098783 0.0269144904
5.0 0.6990 0.2719953272 0.1418541888
3.4 0.5315 0.1253447643 0.0443771387
2.7 0.4314 0.0644781455 0.0163726436
2.9 0.4624 0.0812020341 0.0231393078
0.9 -0.0458 0.0498163572 -0.0111188008
1.7 0.2304 0.0028101269 0.0001489666
0.2 -0.6990 0.7680915015 -0.6731617641
1.8 0.2553 0.0060581648 0.0004715325
0.6 -0.2218 0.1594301414 -0.0636583895
2.2 0.3424 0.0272198486 0.0044908501
1.3 0.1139 0.0040316073 -0.0002559867
17.2 1.2355 1.1195547764 1.1845898871
8.5 0.9294 0.5654748738 0.4252261541
0.6 -0.2218 0.1594301414 -0.0636583895
1.9 0.2788 0.0102647919 0.0010399806
2.8 0.4472 0.0727487379 0.0196217706
1.3 0.1139 0.0040316073 -0.0002559867
1.0 -0.0088 0.0346749894 -0.0064569066
1.3 0.0969 0.0064848037 -0.0005222101
1.6 0.2095 0.0010289161 3.3004257915E-05
0.0 -1.8539 4.1262213565 -8.3816357603
1.8 0.2445 0.0045005609 0.0003019256
8.5 0.9294 0.5654748738 0.4252261541
0.8 -0.0969 0.0752669923 -0.0206493718
4.0 0.6010 0.1793815607 0.0759742983
1.0 0.0128 0.0270935113 -0.0044596209
97.5 6.7427 10.6468352104 -8.4639033944
38
0.1774382918
0.5364254869
-1.5643065269
50 años
2.176
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
1.3447001512 m^3/s
22.1156725597 m^3/s
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
1.5152834561 m^3/s
32.7554413901 m^3/s
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
1.6794296551 m^3/s
47.8001935407 m^3/s
RIO HUARMEY(HUAMBA)
CAUDALES
Date
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
7/1/1960 2.9
7/1/1961 6.3
7/1/1962 8.5
7/1/1963 5.6
7/1/1964 3.5
7/1/1965 4.1
7/1/1966 0.7
7/1/1967 4.5
7/1/1968 0.2
7/1/1969 0.0
7/1/1970 5.6
7/1/1971 7.2
7/1/1972 7.6
7/1/1973 13.6
7/1/1974 5.8
7/1/1975 9.3
7/1/1976 5.4
7/1/1977 5.6
7/1/1978 0.9
7/1/1979 1.7
7/1/1980 0.2
7/1/1981 5.1
7/1/1982 1.6
7/1/1983 5.2
7/1/1984 8.4
7/1/1985 1.2
7/1/1986 2.0
7/1/1987 2.3
7/1/1988 1.7
7/1/1989 7.7
7/1/1990 1.7
7/1/1991 1.2
7/1/1992 0.1
7/1/1993 2.9
7/1/1994 9.9
7/1/1995 1.2
7/1/1996 6.4
7/1/1997 5.2
MÉTODO DE GUMBEL
CAUDALES
Nº AÑO P^2
MEDIOS (m^3/s)
1 1960 2.9 8.2944

2 1961 6.3 40.144896
3 1962 8.5 72.25
4 1963 5.6 31.36
5 1964 3.5 12.25
6 1965 4.1 16.81
7 1966 0.7 0.49
8 1967 4.5 20.25
9 1968 0.2 0.04
10 1969 0.0 0.000001
11 1970 5.6 31.36
12 1971 7.2 51.84
13 1972 7.6 57.76
14 1973 13.6 184.96
15 1974 5.8 33.64
16 1975 9.3 86.49
17 1976 5.4 29.16
18 1977 5.6 31.36
19 1978 0.9 0.81
20 1979 1.7 2.89
21 1980 0.2 0.04
22 1981 5.1 26.01
23 1982 1.6 2.56
24 1983 5.2 27.04
25 1984 8.4 70.56
26 1985 1.2 1.44
27 1986 2.0 4
28 1987 2.3 5.29
29 1988 1.7 2.89
30 1989 7.7 59.1361
31 1990 1.7 2.7556
32 1991 1.2 1.44
33 1992 0.1 0.0081
34 1993 2.9 8.41
35 1994 9.9 98.6049
36 1995 1.2 1.530169
37 1996 6.4 41.3449
38 1997 5.2 27.331984
163.1 1092.55105
N= 38
Qm= 4.2916315789 m^3/s
σP= 3.2576860833
Yn= 0.5424
σ=N 1.1363
t= 50 años
Qmax= 13.9520856586 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.98
∆Q= 3.2682937032 m^3/s

Qd= 17.2203793619 m^3/s
Qd= 10.6837919554 m^3/s
t= 100 años
Qmax= 15.9392861548 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.99
∆Q= 3.2682937032 m^3/s

Qd= 19.207579858 m^3/s
Qd= 12.6709924516 m^3/smm.
t= 200 años
Pmax= 17.926486651 m^3/s

ᶲ= 0.995
∆Q= 3.2682937032 m^3/s
Qd= 21.1947803542 m^3/s

Qd= 14.6581929478 m^3/s
MÉTODO DE NASH
CAUDALES MEDIOS
Nº T Xi Xi*P Xi^2
(m^3/s)
1 2.9 39.00 -1.947652 -5.6092378 3.79334831

2 6.3 19.50 -1.640869 -10.396546 2.6924511
3 8.5 13.00 -1.4588939 -12.400598 2.12837146
4 5.6 9.75 -1.3279339 -7.4364299 1.76340846
5 3.5 7.80 -1.224858 -4.2870031 1.50027719
6 4.1 6.50 -1.1393586 -4.6713702 1.298138
7 0.7 5.57 -1.0659329 -0.746153 1.13621291
8 4.5 4.88 -1.0012922 -4.5058147 1.00258597
9 0.2 4.33 -0.943311 -0.1886622 0.88983566
10 0.0 3.90 -0.8905341 -0.0008905 0.79305106
11 5.6 3.55 -0.8419194 -4.7147484 0.70882821
12 7.2 3.25 -0.7966928 -5.7361881 0.6347194
13 7.6 3.00 -0.7542622 -5.7323927 0.56891147
14 13.6 2.79 -0.7141624 -9.7126087 0.51002794
15 5.8 2.60 -0.6760195 -3.9209129 0.45700231
16 9.3 2.44 -0.6395263 -5.9475947 0.4089939
17 5.4 2.29 -0.6044256 -3.2638984 0.36533035
18 5.6 2.17 -0.5704975 -3.1947862 0.32546743
19 0.9 2.05 -0.5375502 -0.4837952 0.28896019
20 1.7 1.95 -0.5054127 -0.8592016 0.25544201
21 0.2 1.86 -0.4739295 -0.0947859 0.22460919
22 5.1 1.77 -0.4429554 -2.2590725 0.19620947
23 1.6 1.70 -0.4123512 -0.6597619 0.1700335
24 5.2 1.63 -0.3819798 -1.9862949 0.14590856
25 8.4 1.56 -0.3517019 -2.9542959 0.12369422
26 1.2 1.50 -0.3213712 -0.3856455 0.10327947
27 2.0 1.44 -0.290829 -0.581658 0.0845815
28 2.3 1.39 -0.2598964 -0.5977618 0.06754616
29 1.7 1.34 -0.228365 -0.3882206 0.05215059
30 7.7 1.30 -0.1959819 -1.5071006 0.0384089
31 1.7 1.26 -0.1624276 -0.2696298 0.02638272
32 1.2 1.22 -0.1272806 -0.1527368 0.01620036
33 0.1 1.18 -0.0899557 -0.008096 0.00809204
34 2.9 1.15 -0.0495891 -0.1438084 0.00245908
35 9.9 1.11 -0.0048017 -0.0476807 2.3056E-05
36 1.2 1.08 0.04686311 0.05796966 0.00219615
37 6.4 1.05 0.11060136 0.71116676 0.01223266
38 5.2 1.03 0.20168782 1.0544239 0.04067797
163.1 -22.715368 -104.02182 22.8360489
N= 38
Pm= 4.2916315789 m^3/s
Xm= -0.5977728431
b= -0.7060100514
a= 3.8695979433
T= 50 años
X= -2.0568061166
Qmax= 5.3217237354 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 14921.201176
Sxq= -248.3615678384
∆P= 3.3214328333 m^3/s

Pd= 8.6431565687 m^3/s
Pd= 2.0002909021 m^3/s
T= 100 años
X= -2.3600351138
Qmax= 5.5358064553 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 14921.201176
Sxq= -248.3615678384
∆P= 3.9473190799 m^3/s

Qd= 9.4831255352 m^3/s
Qd= 1.5884873754 m^3/s
T= 200 años
X= -2.6621576794
Qmax= 5.7491080234 m^3/s
Sxx= 351.7819149237
Sqq= 14921.201176
Sxq= -248.3615678384
∆Q= 4.5788594381 m^3/s

Qd= 10.3279674615 m^3/s
Qd= 1.1702485853 m^3/s

50 años 100 años
GUMBEL 13.952 17.220 10.684 15.939 19.208
NASH 5.322 8.643 2.000 5.536 9.483
LEBEDIEV 11.910 13.993 9.827 13.228 13.677
RESUMEN
50 100
GUMBEL 13.9520856586 17.2203794 10.683792 15.9392862 19.2075799
NASH 5.3217237354 8.64315657 2.0002909 5.53580646 9.48312554
LEBEDIEV 11.9100819418 13.9928539 9.82731003 13.2280417 13.6765289
MÉTODO DE LEBEDIEV
CAUDALES
8.29 1 1960 2.9

40.14 2 1961 6.3
72.25 3 1962 8.5
31.36 4 1963 5.6
12.25 5 1964 3.5
16.81 6 1965 4.1
0.49 7 1966 0.7
20.25 8 1967 4.5
0.04 9 1968 0.2
0.00 10 1969 0.0
31.36 11 1970 5.6
51.84 12 1971 7.2
57.76 13 1972 7.6
184.96 14 1973 13.6
33.64 15 1974 5.8
86.49 16 1975 9.3
29.16 17 1976 5.4
31.36 18 1977 5.6
0.81 19 1978 0.9
2.89 20 1979 1.7
0.04 21 1980 0.2
26.01 22 1981 5.1
2.56 23 1982 1.6
27.04 24 1983 5.2
70.56 25 1984 8.4
1.44 26 1985 1.2
4.00 27 1986 2.0
5.29 28 1987 2.3
2.89 29 1988 1.7
59.14 30 1989 7.7
2.76 31 1990 1.7
1.44 32 1991 1.2
0.01 33 1992 0.1
8.41 34 1993 2.9
98.60 35 1994 9.9
1.53 36 1995 1.2
41.34 37 1996 6.4
27.33 38 1997 5.2
1092.55 163.1
N= 38
Qm= 4.29163158 m^3/s
Cv= 0.74902423
Cs= 0.65415203
Cs= 2.24707268
T= 50 años
K= 2.37
P= 2.00%
Cs= 0.65
Qmax= 11.9100819 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.98
P= 2.00%
Cv= 0.7
∆Q= 2.08277191 m^3/s

Qd= 13.9928539 m^3/s
Qd= 9.82731003 m^3/s
T= 100 años
K= 2.78
P= 1.00%
Cs= 0.65
Qmax= 13.2280417 m^3/s

Promedio del valor
(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.19
P= 1.00%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.44848719 m^3/s

Qd= 13.6765289 m^3/s
Qd= 12.7795545 m^3/s
T= 200 años
K= 3.17
P= 0.50%
Cs= 0.65
qmax= 14.4817108 m^3/s
Promedio del valor

(0.7-0.15)
Er= 0.2
P= 0.50%
Cv= 0.1
∆Q= 0.51683361 m^3/s

Qd= 14.9985444 m^3/s
Qd= 13.9648771 m^3/s
O DE RETORNO
ños 200 años
12.671 17.926 21.195 14.658
1.588 5.749 10.328 1.170
12.780 14.482 14.999 13.965
172.449 292.433
200
Qmax Qdiseño
12.6709924516 17.9264867 21.1947804 14.6581929
1.5884873754 5.74910802 10.3279675 1.17024859
12.7795545188 14.4817108 14.9985444 13.9648771
(Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº
-0.3289265523 0.1081926768 -0.0355874442 1

0.476361585 0.2269203596 0.1080961422 2
0.9805987172 0.9615738442 0.9429180781 3
0.3048650372 0.0929426909 0.0283349769 4
-0.1844593517 0.0340252524 -0.006276276 5
-0.0446523835 0.0019938353 -8.90295E-05 6
-0.8368918703 0.7003880027 -0.5861490255 7
0.0485522621 0.0023573222 0.0001144533 8
-0.9533976772 0.908967131 -0.8666071514 9
-0.9997669884 0.9995340311 -0.999301128 10
0.3048650372 0.0929426909 0.0283349769 11
0.6776836193 0.4592550878 0.3112296501 12
0.7708882648 0.5942687168 0.4581147799 13
2.1689579475 4.7043785782 10.2035993054 14
0.35146736 0.1235293051 0.0434165188 15
1.1670080082 1.3619076913 1.5893571822 16
0.2582627145 0.0666996297 0.0172260274 17
0.3048650372 0.0929426909 0.0283349769 18
-0.7902895476 0.624557569 -0.4935813187 19
-0.6038802566 0.3646713643 -0.220217837 20
-0.9533976772 0.908967131 -0.8666071514 21
0.1883592303 0.0354791996 0.0066828347 22
-0.6271814179 0.393356531 -0.2467059069 23
0.2116603917 0.0448001214 0.0094824112 24
0.9572975558 0.9164186104 0.8772852959 25
-0.7203860635 0.5189560804 -0.3738487279 26
-0.5339767724 0.2851311935 -0.1522534344 27
-0.4640732883 0.2153640169 -0.0999446875 28
-0.6038802566 0.3646713643 -0.220217837 29
0.79185931 0.6270411669 0.4965283858 30
-0.6132007211 0.3760151244 -0.2305727454 31
-0.7203860635 0.5189560804 -0.3738487279 32
-0.9790289548 0.9584976943 -0.9383969957 33
-0.32426632 0.1051486463 -0.0340961646 34
1.3138053249 1.7260844318 2.2677389178 35
-0.7117646337 0.5066088938 -0.3605862938 36
0.4982646767 0.248267688 0.1237030193 37
0.2181847169 0.0476045707 0.0103865898 38
21.3194170153 10.44599664
N=
Log Q =
σ Log Q=
Cs Log Q=
T=
K=
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
P=
Cs=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
T=
cuadro de P=
Log Qmáx.=
Qd = Qmáx.=
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv
El K lo sacamos del
cuadro de
probabilidad y Cs
abaco de
probabilidad y Cv

(m^3/s)
2.9 0.4594 0.008491806 0.0007825284

6.3 0.8018 0.1888542801 0.0820710988
8.5 0.9294 0.3160434666 0.1776725049
5.6 0.7482 0.1451202623 0.055283061
3.5 0.5441 0.0312676295 0.0055289471
4.1 0.6128 0.0602910527 0.0148040076
0.7 -0.1549 0.2726337848 -0.1423539456
4.5 0.6532 0.0817794251 0.0233865457
0.2 -0.6990 1.1368069556 -1.2120766455
0.0 -3.0000 11.3383152675 -38.1788456218
5.6 0.7482 0.1451202623 0.055283061
7.2 0.8573 0.2401891923 0.1177145624
7.6 0.8808 0.2637563019 0.1354578778
13.6 1.1335 0.5872117299 0.4499788313
5.8 0.7634 0.1569637438 0.0621869165
9.3 0.9685 0.3614912887 0.2173435488
5.4 0.7324 0.1333361785 0.0486880079
5.6 0.7482 0.1451202623 0.055283061
0.9 -0.0458 0.1705681599 -0.0704444765
1.7 0.2304 0.0187122075 -0.002559691
0.2 -0.6990 1.1368069556 -1.2120766455
5.1 0.7076 0.115823613 0.0394180978
1.6 0.2041 0.0266086269 -0.0043404394
5.2 0.7160 0.1216348289 0.0424215881
8.4 0.9243 0.3102911037 0.1728438718
1.2 0.0792 0.0829787055 -0.0239028663
2.0 0.3010 0.0043839623 -0.0002902687
2.3 0.3617 3.04004057292E-05 -1.676173884E-07
1.7 0.2304 0.0187122075 -0.002559691
7.7 0.8859 0.269033971 0.1395438442
1.7 0.2201 0.0216482387 -0.003185179
1.2 0.0792 0.0829787055 -0.0239028663
0.1 -1.0458 1.9965661256 -2.8211459047
2.9 0.4624 0.0090547606 0.0008616194
9.9 0.9969 0.3965318582 0.2496991867
1.2 0.0924 0.0755545024 -0.0207678015
6.4 0.8082 0.1944540828 0.0857483159
5.2 0.7183 0.1232670576 0.043278335
163.1 13.9552 20.7884329633 -41.4431727912
38
0.3672414923
0.7495662343
-2.807387258
50 años
2.176
El K lo sacamos del
2.00% cuadro de
1.9982976181 m^3/s
99.608779344 m^3/s
100 años

1.00% cuadro de
2.2366596806 m^3/s
172.4486030202 m^3/s
200 años

0.50% cuadro de
2.4660269482 m^3/s
292.4333828989 m^3/s

Hidrologia - Metodos Estadisticos

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Estaciones pluviometricas de cerro de Pasco

Nº AÑO PRECIPITACION (mm) P^2

1 1965 1617.5 2616306.25

σP= 189.1810203033 desv. Estandar Precipitacion

Yn= 0.5424 tabla 6.13

σ=N 1.1363 tabla 6.13

Pmax= 2064.968207123 mm.

∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.

Pd= 1875.1711789211 mm.

Pmax= 2180.3693255236 mm.

∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.

Pmax= 2295.7704439243 mm.

∆P= 189.7970282018 mm.

Pd= 2485.5674721261 mm.

r Precipitacion Xm= -0.5977728431

Pmax= 2048.484899755 mm.

∆P= 68.2389461209 mm.

Pmax= 2161.6521487579 mm.

∆P= 71.1658795393 mm.

Pd= 2090.4862692186 mm.

∆P= 74.4816749773 mm.

LOG. PEARSON TIPO III 1946.093

RESUMEN TIEMPO DE RETORNO

Xi Xi*P Xi^2 P^2

-1.947652 -3700.34403 3.79334831 3609620.01

100 años 200 años

Nº AÑO PRECIPITACION (mm) (Qi/Qm)-1 ((Qi/Qm)-1)^2

1 1965 1617.5 0.0754909406 0.0056988821

Pmax= 1922.49012 mm.

Promedio del valor

∆P= 61.7500777 mm.

K= 2.592 El K lo sacamos del

Pmax= 1987.82644 mm.

Promedio del valor

∆P= 67.3958183 mm.

K= 2.92 El K lo sacamos del

Pmax= 2049.05591 mm.

Promedio del valor

∆P= 73.1281674 mm.

((Qi/Qm)-1)^3 Nº PRECIPITACION (mm)

Log Pmáx.= 3.2891636515

Log Pmáx.= 3.3057495923

Log Pmáx.= 3.3203842459

log P (LogPi - LogP)^2 (LogPi - LogP)^3

3.2787 0.0109833414 0.00115107

2.432 El K lo sacamos del

2.702 El K lo sacamos del

Pmax= 2077.5176832083 mm.

∆P= 180.4258689705 mm.

Pd= 1897.0918142378 mm.

Pmax= 2187.2209133636 mm.

∆P= 180.4258689705 mm.

Pmax= 2296.9241435188 mm.

Pd= 2477.3500124893 mm.

Nº PRECIPITACION (mm) T Xi Xi*P

1 1970.0 39.00 -1.947652 -3836.8744400486

Pmax= 2062.7755603226 mm.

∆P= 64.0423928225 mm.

Pmax= 2170.5477134025 mm.

∆P= 66.4922892098 mm.

Pmax= 2277.926623999 mm.

∆P= 69.2800946763 mm.

RESUMEN TIEMPO DE RETORNO