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Conclusions
The results show that:
1. SEPD is not efficient in fitting the production turn between the rapid and slow
decline stages, and will underestimates future production and EURs, particularly
for shale gas wells with low productivity.
2. Duong’s method overestimates future production and EURs with a short
production history, and is significantly influenced by irreversible decline in the
slow stage.
3. The new method depends on the least number of parameters and has the simple’s
application procedure, and performs the best in comparison to SEPD and Duong’s
methods in both production and EUR estimation.