A.

10 CALCULO DE CONSUMO MENSUAL Y TASA DE CRECIMIENTO - USUARIOS USO GENERAL

CUADRO RESUMEN
REGISTRO HISTORICO DE CONSUMO UNITARIO DE ENERGÍA MENSUAL (KwH/mes)
CARGAS USO GENERAL

Ítem Tipo de Carga 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1 Uso General 49.33 14.19 43.13 45.19 36.54

NUMERO DE CLIENTES ANALIZADOS

Ítem Tipo de Carga 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1 Uso General 3.00 2.00 3.00 3.00 3.00

UARIOS USO GENERAL

(KwH/mes)

Valor Asumido

37.68
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

VENTAS DE ENERGIA - USO GENERAL VENTAS DE ENERGIA - USO GENERAL VENTAS DE EN

60.00 60.00
60.00

VENTAS KWH
VENTAS KWH
Column C
Column C Polynomial (Column C)
Linear (Column C)
50.00 50.00
50.00

V 40.00
40.00 40.00 f(x) = 1.8650793651x^2 - 10.6488095238x + 49.1083333333 E
f(x) = 0.5416666667x + 36.0527777778 R² = 0.0666423724 N f(x) = 29.30
R² = 0.0037869067 T R² = 0.0298
30.00 A 30.00
30.00
S
K
20.00 20.00 W 20.00
H

10.00 10.00 10.00

Colum

- - -
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013

AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA LINEAL AÑO CURVA POLINÓMICA

2012 0 49 A= 0.5417 2012 0 49 A= 1.8650
2013 1 14 -71.23% B= 36.0528 2013 1 14 -71.23% B= -10.6490
2014 2 43 203.82% R2= 0.0038 2014 2 43 203.82% C= 49.1080
2015 3 45 4.80% 2015 3 45 4.80% R2= 0.0670
2016 4 37 -19.15% 2016 4 37 -19.15%
2017 5 38.7613 6.07% 2017 5 42.488 16.27%
2018 6 39 1.40% 2018 6 52 23.22%
2019 7 40 1.38% 2019 7 66 25.97%
2020 8 40 1.36% 2020 8 83 26.27%
2021 9 41 1.34% 2021 9 104 25.28%
2022 10 41 1.32% 2022 10 129 23.76%
2023 11 42 1.31% 2023 11 158 22.09%
2024 12 43 1.29% 2024 12 190 20.46%
2025 13 43 1.27% 2025 13 226 18.95%
2026 14 44 1.26% 2026 14 266 17.58%
2027 15 44 1.24% 2027 15 309 16.36%
2028 16 45 1.23% 2028 16 356 15.26%
2029 17 45 1.21% 2029 17 407 14.29%
2030 18 46 1.20% 2030 18 462 13.42%
2031 19 46 1.18% 2031 19 520 12.64%
2032 20 47 1.17% 2032 20 582 11.94%
2033 21 47 1.16% 2033 21 648 11.31%
2034 22 48 1.14% 2034 22 717 10.73%
2035 23 49 1.13% 2035 23 791 10.21%
2036 24 49 1.12% 2036 24 868 9.74%
Promedio (2017-2036) 1.49% Promedio (2017-2036) 17.29%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

VENTAS DE ENERGIA - USO GENERAL VENTAS DE ENERGIA - USO GENERAL

60.00 60.00

50.00 50.00

40.00 V 40.00
E
f(x) = 29.3017490076 exp( 0.0557829871 x ) N f(x) = -1.0530611549 ln(x) + 38.6860820945
R² = 0.0298468659 T R² = 0.0023122328
30.00 A 30.00
S
K
20.00 W 20.00
H

10.00 10.00
Column C Exponential (Column C) Column C Logarithmic (Column C)

- -
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA EXPONENCIAL AÑO CURVA LOGARÍTMICA

2012 0 49 A= 29.302 2012 0 49 A= -1.0531
2013 1 14 -71.23% EXP. = 0.0558 2013 1 14 -71.23% B= 38.6861
2014 2 43 203.82% R2= 0.0298 2014 2 43 203.82% R2= 0.0023
2015 3 45 4.80% 2015 3 45 4.80%
2016 4 37 -19.15% 2016 4 37 -19.15%
2017 5 38.731202248 5.99% 2017 5 36.991200934 1.23%
2018 6 41 5.74% 2018 6 37 -0.52%
2019 7 43 5.74% 2019 7 37 -0.44%
2020 8 46 5.74% 2020 8 36 -0.38%
2021 9 48 5.74% 2021 9 36 -0.34%
2022 10 51 5.74% 2022 10 36 -0.31%
2023 11 54 5.74% 2023 11 36 -0.28%
2024 12 57 5.74% 2024 12 36 -0.25%
2025 13 61 5.74% 2025 13 36 -0.23%
2026 14 64 5.74% 2026 14 36 -0.22%
2027 15 68 5.74% 2027 15 36 -0.20%
2028 16 72 5.74% 2028 16 36 -0.19%
2029 17 76 5.74% 2029 17 36 -0.18%
2030 18 80 5.74% 2030 18 36 -0.17%
2031 19 85 5.74% 2031 19 36 -0.16%
2032 20 89 5.74% 2032 20 36 -0.15%
2033 21 95 5.74% 2033 21 35 -0.14%
2034 22 100 5.74% 2034 22 35 -0.14%
2035 23 106 5.74% 2035 23 35 -0.13%
2036 24 112 5.74% 2036 24 35 -0.13%
Promedio (2017-2036) 5.75% Promedio (2017-2036) -0.17%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

RESUMEN DEL MÉTODO TENDENCIA - DATA HISTÓRICA Y PROYECTADA CONSUMO SECTOR USO
GENERAL

DESCRIPCIÓN LINEAL POLINÓMICA EXPONENCIAL LOGARITMICA

Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.

Historico 24.86% 26.90% 24.85% 23.89%
(2012-2016)
R2 0.0038 0.0670 0.0298 0.0023
Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.
1.49% 17.29% 5.75% -0.17%
(2017-2036)

Tasa de Crec. Considerado 0.66%

 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

NUMERO DE CLIENTES - USO GENERAL NUMERO DE CLIENTES - USO GENERAL

3.50 3.50

N° CLIENTES

N° CLIENTES
Column C Linear (Column C)
3.00 3.00 f(x) = 0.0714285714x^2 - 0.3285714286x + 3
f(x) = 0.1x + 2.5 R² = 0.2142857143
R² = 0.125
2.50 2.50

2.00 2.00

1.50 1.50

1.00 1.00 Column C Polynomial (Column C)

0.50 0.50

0.00 0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA LINEAL AÑO CURVA POLINÓMICA

2012 0 3 A= 0.10 2012 0 3 A= 0.0714
2013 1 2 -33.33% B= 2.50 2013 1 2 -33.33% B= -0.3286
2014 2 3 50.00% R2= 0.1250 2014 2 3 50.00% C= 3
2015 3 3 0.00% 2015 3 3 0.00% R2= 0.2143
2016 4 3 0.00% 2016 4 3 0.00%
2017 5 3 0.00% 2017 5 3.142 4.7%
2018 6 3.1 3.33% 2018 6 3.5988 14.54%
2019 7 3.2 3.23% 2019 7 4.1984 16.66%
2020 8 3.3 3.12% 2020 8 4.9408 17.68%
2021 9 3.4 3.03% 2021 9 5.826 17.92%
2022 10 3.5 2.94% 2022 10 6.854 17.65%
2023 11 3.6 2.86% 2023 11 8.0248 17.08%
2024 12 3.7 2.78% 2024 12 9.3384 16.37%
2025 13 3.8 2.70% 2025 13 10.7948 15.60%
2026 14 3.9 2.63% 2026 14 12.394 14.81%
2027 15 4 2.56% 2027 15 14.136 14.06%
2028 16 4.1 2.50% 2028 16 16.0208 13.33%
2029 17 4.2 2.44% 2029 17 18.0484 12.66%
2030 18 4.3 2.38% 2030 18 20.2188 12.03%
2031 19 4.4 2.33% 2031 19 22.532 11.44%
2032 20 4.5 2.27% 2032 20 24.988 10.90%
2033 21 4.6 2.22% 2033 21 27.5868 10.40%
2034 22 4.7 2.17% 2034 22 30.3284 9.94%
2035 23 4.8 2.13% 2035 23 33.2128 9.51%
2036 24 4.9 2.08% 2036 24 36.24 9.11%
2037 25 5 2.04% 2037 25 39.41 8.75%
Promedio (2017-2036) 2.46% Promedio (2017-2036) 13.10%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

NUMERO DE CLIENTES - USO GENERAL NUMERO DE CLIENTES - USO GENERAL

3.50 3.50

Column C Exponential (Column C) Column C Logarithmic (Column C)

3.00 3.00
f(x) = 2.4494897428 exp( 0.0405465108 x ) f(x) = 0.1636353885 ln(x) + 2.6433193857
R² = 0.125 R² = 0.0540715076
2.50 2.50

2.00 2.00

1.50 1.50

1.00 1.00

0.50 0.50

0.00 0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

AÑO CURVA EXPONENCIAL AÑO CURVA LOGARÍTMICA

2012 0 3 A= 2.4495 2012 0 3 A= 0.1636
2013 1 2 -33.33% EXP. = 0.0405 2013 1 2 -33.33% B= 2.6433
2014 2 3 50.00% R2= 0.1250 2014 2 3 50.00% R2= 0.0541
2015 3 3 0.00% 2015 3 3 0.00%
2016 4 3 0.00% 2016 4 3 0.00%
2017 5 2.9993149785 -0.02% 2017 5 2.9066040425 -3.11%
2018 6 3.1232805948 4.13% 2018 6 2.9364318492 1.03%
2019 7 3.2523698723 4.13% 2019 7 2.9616509004 0.86%
2020 8 3.3867945788 4.13% 2020 8 2.9834966362 0.74%
2021 9 3.5267752344 4.13% 2021 9 3.0027659409 0.65%
2022 10 3.6725414739 4.13% 2022 10 3.0200029212 0.57%
2023 11 3.8243324229 4.13% 2023 11 3.0355956666 0.52%
2024 12 3.9823970907 4.13% 2024 12 3.0498307279 0.47%
2025 13 4.1469947782 4.13% 2025 13 3.0629257149 0.43%
2026 14 4.3183955037 4.13% 2026 14 3.0750497791 0.40%
2027 15 4.4968804457 4.13% 2027 15 3.0863370129 0.37%
2028 16 4.6827424041 4.13% 2028 16 3.096895515 0.34%
2029 17 4.8762862807 4.13% 2029 17 3.1068137031 0.32%
2030 18 5.0778295792 4.13% 2030 18 3.1161648196 0.30%
2031 19 5.2877029261 4.13% 2031 19 3.125010217 0.28%
2032 20 5.5062506134 4.13% 2032 20 3.1334018 0.27%
2033 21 5.7338311628 4.13% 2033 21 3.1413838708 0.25%
2034 22 5.9708179143 4.13% 2034 22 3.1489945454 0.24%
2035 23 6.2175996387 4.13% 2035 23 3.1562668537 0.23%
2036 24 6.474581175 4.13% 2036 24 3.1632296066 0.22%
2037 25 6.7421840947 4.13% 2037 25 3.1699080849 0.21%
Promedio (2017-2036) 3.94% Promedio (2017-2036) 0.27%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

RESUMEN DEL MÉTODO TENDENCIA - DATA HISTÓRICA Y PROYECTADA NUMERO CLIENTES SECTOR
USO GENERAL

DESCRIPCIÓN LINEAL POLINÓMICA EXPONENCIAL LOGARITMICA

Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.

Historico 3.33% 4.28% 3.33% 2.71%
(2012-2016)
R2 0.1250 0.2143 0.1250 0.0541
Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.
2.46% 13.10% 3.94% 0.27%
(2017-2036)

Tasa de Crec. Considerado 0.27%

 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

VENTAS DE ENERGIA - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA f(x) = NaN exp( NaN DE

VENTAS x ) EN
VENTAS DE ENERGIA - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA R² = NaN
1.00 1.00
1.00

VENTAS KWH
VENTAS KWH
0.90
Column C
Column C Polynomial (Column C) 0.90
Linear (Column C) 0.90
0.80 0.80
0.80
0.70 0.70
V 0.70
E
0.60 N 0.60
0.60
T
0.50 A 0.50
0.50
S
0.40 K 0.40
0.40
W
0.30 0.30
0.30 H
0.20 0.20 0.20

0.10 0.10 0.10

- - -
2012f(x) = 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012f(x) = 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012
R² = 0 R² = 0
AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA LINEAL AÑO CURVA POLINÓMICA

2012 0 0 A= 196.1938 2012 0 0 A= -41.0320
2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 859.7472 2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 442.3870
2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.7460 2014 2 0 #DIV/0! C= 572.5220
2015 3 0 #DIV/0! 2015 3 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.7920
2016 4 0 #DIV/0! 2016 4 0 #DIV/0!
2017 5 1840.7162 #DIV/0! 2017 5 1758.657 #DIV/0!
2018 6 2,037 10.66% 2018 6 1,750 -0.51%
2019 7 2,233 9.63% 2019 7 1,659 -5.20%
2020 8 2,429 8.79% 2020 8 1,486 -10.44%
2021 9 2,625 8.08% 2021 9 1,230 -17.18%
2022 10 2,822 7.47% 2022 10 893 -27.41%
2023 11 3,018 6.95% 2023 11 474 -46.94%
2024 12 3,214 6.50% 2024 12 -27 -105.79%
2025 13 3,410 6.10% 2025 13 -611 2125.99%
2026 14 3,606 5.75% 2026 14 -1,276 108.94%
2027 15 3,803 5.44% 2027 15 -2,024 58.57%
2028 16 3,999 5.16% 2028 16 -2,853 40.99%
2029 17 4,195 4.91% 2029 17 -3,765 31.95%
2030 18 4,391 4.68% 2030 18 -4,759 26.39%
2031 19 4,587 4.47% 2031 19 -5,835 22.61%
2032 20 4,784 4.28% 2032 20 -6,993 19.84%
2033 21 4,980 4.10% 2033 21 -8,232 17.73%
2034 22 5,176 3.94% 2034 22 -9,554 16.06%
2035 23 5,372 3.79% 2035 23 -10,959 14.70%
2036 24 5,568 3.65% 2036 24 -12,445 13.56%
2037 25 5,765 3.52% 2037 25 -14,013 12.60%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)
Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0! Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0!
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

f(x) = NaN exp( NaN DE

VENTAS x ) ENERGIA - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA VENTAS DE ENERGIA - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA
R² = NaN
1.00 1.00

0.90 0.90

0.80 0.80

0.70 V 0.70
E
0.60 N 0.60
T
0.50 A 0.50
S
0.40 0.40
K
0.30
W 0.30
H
0.20 0.20
Column C Exponential (Column C) Column C Logarithmic (Column C)
0.10 0.10

- -
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012f(x) = 0 2013 2014 2015 2016
R² = NaN
AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA EXPONENCIAL AÑO CURVA LOGARÍTMICA

2012 0 0 A= 897.101 2012 0 0 A= 511.4347
2013 1 0 #DIV/0! EXP. = 0.15 2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 958.6306
2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.7116 2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.8189
2015 3 0 #DIV/0! 2015 3 0 #DIV/0!
2016 4 0 #DIV/0! 2016 4 0 #DIV/0!
2017 5 1899.1619851 #DIV/0! 2017 5 1781.7529959 #DIV/0!
2018 6 2,207 16.18% 2018 6 1,875 5.23%
2019 7 2,564 16.18% 2019 7 1,954 4.20%
2020 8 2,978 16.18% 2020 8 2,022 3.50%
2021 9 3,460 16.18% 2021 9 2,082 2.98%
2022 10 4,021 16.18% 2022 10 2,136 2.59%
2023 11 4,671 16.18% 2023 11 2,185 2.28%
2024 12 5,427 16.18% 2024 12 2,229 2.04%
2025 13 6,305 16.18% 2025 13 2,270 1.84%
2026 14 7,326 16.18% 2026 14 2,308 1.67%
2027 15 8,511 16.18% 2027 15 2,344 1.53%
2028 16 9,889 16.18% 2028 16 2,377 1.41%
2029 17 11,489 16.18% 2029 17 2,408 1.30%
2030 18 13,349 16.18% 2030 18 2,437 1.21%
2031 19 15,509 16.18% 2031 19 2,465 1.13%
2032 20 18,019 16.18% 2032 20 2,491 1.06%
2033 21 20,935 16.18% 2033 21 2,516 1.00%
2034 22 24,323 16.18% 2034 22 2,539 0.95%
2035 23 28,259 16.18% 2035 23 2,562 0.90%
2036 24 32,832 16.18% 2036 24 2,584 0.85%
2037 25 38,146 16.18% 2037 25 2,605 0.81%
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)
Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0! Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0!
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE CONSUMO UNITARIO MENSUAL DE ENERGÍA (KWH/MES)

RESUMEN DEL MÉTODO TENDENCIA - DATA HISTÓRICA Y PROYECTADA CONSUMO SECTOR PEQUEÑA
INDUSTRIA

DESCRIPCIÓN LINEAL POLINÓMICA EXPONENCIAL LOGARITMICA

Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.

Historico #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
(2012-2016)
R2 0.7460 0.7920 0.7116 0.8189
Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
(2017-2036)

Tasa de Crec. Considerado #DIV/0!

 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

NUMERO DE CLIENTES - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA NUMERO DE CLIENTES - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA

1.00 1.00

N° CLIENTES

N° CLIENTES
0.90 Column C Linear (Column C)
0.90

0.80 0.80

0.70 0.70 Column C Polynomial (Column C)

0.60 0.60

0.50 0.50

0.40 0.40

0.30 0.30

0.20 0.20

0.10 0.10

0.00 0.00
2012f(x) = 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012f(x) = 2013 2014 2015 2016
R² = 0 R² = 0
AÑOS AÑOS

AÑO CURVA LINEAL AÑO CURVA POLINÓMICA

2012 0 0 A= 0.70 2012 0 0 A= -0.0714
2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 0.50 2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 1.1286
2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.9423 2014 2 0 #DIV/0! C= -3E-14
2015 3 0 #DIV/0! 2015 3 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.9560
2016 4 0 #DIV/0! 2016 4 0 #DIV/0!
2017 5 4 #DIV/0! 2017 5 3.858 #DIV/0!
2018 6 4.7 17.50% 2018 6 4.2012 8.90%
2019 7 5.4 14.89% 2019 7 4.4016 4.77%
2020 8 6.1 12.96% 2020 8 4.4592 1.31%
2021 9 6.8 11.48% 2021 9 4.374 -1.91%
2022 10 7.5 10.29% 2022 10 4.146 -5.21%
2023 11 8.2 9.33% 2023 11 3.7752 -8.94%
2024 12 8.9 8.54% 2024 12 3.2616 -13.60%
2025 13 9.6 7.87% 2025 13 2.6052 -20.13%
2026 14 10.3 7.29% 2026 14 1.806 -30.68%
2027 15 11 6.80% 2027 15 0.864 -52.16%
2028 16 11.7 6.36% 2028 16 -0.2208 -125.56%
2029 17 12.4 5.98% 2029 17 -1.4484 555.98%
2030 18 13.1 5.65% 2030 18 -2.8188 94.61%
2031 19 13.8 5.34% 2031 19 -4.332 53.68%
2032 20 14.5 5.07% 2032 20 -5.988 38.23%
2033 21 15.2 4.83% 2033 21 -7.7868 30.04%
2034 22 15.9 4.61% 2034 22 -9.7284 24.93%
2035 23 16.6 4.40% 2035 23 -11.8128 21.43%
2036 24 17.3 4.22% 2036 24 -14.04 18.85%
2037 25 18 4.05% 2037 25 -16.41 16.88%
Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0! Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0!
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

f(x) = NaN exp( NaN x DE

NUMERO ) CLIENTES - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA NUMERO DE CLIENTES - PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA
R² = NaN
1.00 1.00

0.90 Column C Logarithmic (Column C)

Column C Exponential (Column C) 0.90

0.80 0.80

0.70 0.70

0.60 0.60

0.50 0.50

0.40 0.40

0.30 0.30

0.20 0.20

0.10 0.10

0.00 0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012f(x) = 0 2013 2014 2015 2016
R² = NaN

AÑO CURVA EXPONENCIAL AÑO CURVA LOGARÍTMICA

2012 0 0 A= 0.9066 2012 0 0 A= 1.7526
2013 1 0 #DIV/0! EXP. = 0.3178 2013 1 0 #DIV/0! B= 0.9219
2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.8721 2014 2 0 #DIV/0! R2= 0.9542
2015 3 0 #DIV/0! 2015 3 0 #DIV/0!
2016 4 0 #DIV/0! 2016 4 0 #DIV/0!
2017 5 4.4412952618 #DIV/0! 2017 5 3.7426008853 #DIV/0!
2018 6 6.1027900968 37.41% 2018 6 4.0621376458 8.54%
2019 7 8.3858524981 37.41% 2019 7 4.3323021272 6.65%
2020 8 11.523011771 37.41% 2020 8 4.5663292459 5.40%
2021 9 15.833786761 37.41% 2021 9 4.7727557942 4.52%
2022 10 21.757228769 37.41% 2022 10 4.957410634 3.87%
2023 11 29.896638805 37.41% 2023 11 5.1244512551 3.37%
2024 12 41.081013639 37.41% 2024 12 5.2769473944 2.98%
2025 13 56.449478908 37.41% 2025 13 5.4172302439 2.66%
2026 14 77.567308757 37.41% 2026 14 5.5471118759 2.40%
2027 15 106.5853486 37.41% 2027 15 5.6680287825 2.18%
2028 16 146.45907817 37.41% 2028 16 5.7811389946 2.00%
2029 17 201.24962632 37.41% 2029 17 5.8873897068 1.84%
2030 18 276.53739599 37.41% 2030 18 5.9875655429 1.70%
2031 19 379.99042671 37.41% 2031 19 6.0823237549 1.58%
2032 20 522.14538244 37.41% 2032 20 6.1722203826 1.48%
2033 21 717.48070804 37.41% 2033 21 6.2577300244 1.39%
2034 22 985.89125505 37.41% 2034 22 6.3392610038 1.30%
2035 23 1354.7145671 37.41% 2035 23 6.4171671628 1.23%
2036 24 1861.5152015 37.41% 2036 24 6.4917571431 1.16%
2037 25 2557.9106695 37.41% 2037 25 6.5633017707 1.10%
Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0! Promedio (2017-2036) #DIV/0!
 CURVAS DE TENDENCIA DE NUMERO DE CLIENTES

RESUMEN DEL MÉTODO TENDENCIA - DATA HISTÓRICA Y PROYECTADA NUMERO CLIENTES SECTOR
PEQUEÑA INDUSTRIA

DESCRIPCIÓN LINEAL POLINÓMICA EXPONENCIAL LOGARITMICA

Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.

Historico #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
(2012-2016)
R2 0.9423 0.9560 0.8721 0.9542
Tasa de Crecimiento Prom.
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
(2017-2036)

Tasa de Crec. Considerado #DIV/0!

 1 2 3 4 5

Suministro 201201 201202 201203 201204

96 103 75 60
12 11 0 4
5 5 0 6

0 0 0 0

TOTAL 113 119 75 70

CANTIDAD 3 3 1 3
37.67 39.67 75.00 23.33
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

201205 201206 201207 201208 201209 201210 201211

84 83 79 80 96 73 79
0 0 1 0 0 0 0
10 10 9 0 26 24 49

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

94 93 89 80 122 97 128
2 2 3 1 2 2 2
47.00 46.50 29.67 80.00 61.00 48.50 64.00
 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

201212 201301 201302 201303 201304 201305 201306

88 59 88 35 0 95 0
0 0 0 0 3 0 0
30 1 5 6 6 1 0

1 0 0 1 0 4 0

119 60 93 42 9 100 0
3 2 2 3 2 3 0
39.67 30.00 46.50 14.00 4.50 33.33 0.00
592.00
49.33
 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

201307 201308 201309 201310 201311 201312 201401

0 20 0 0 0 23 83
4 5 4 5 3 4 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 4 0 0 0 0

4 25 8 5 3 27 88
1 2 2 1 1 2 2
4.00 12.50 4.00 5.00 3.00 13.50 44.00
170.33
14.19
 27 28 29 30 31 32 33

201402 201403 201404 201405 201406 201407 201408

110 70 100 83 89 83 87
4 3 1 1 6 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 3

0 0 0 0 0 0 2

114 73 101 84 95 83 93
2 2 2 2 2 1 4
57.00 36.50 50.50 42.00 47.50 83.00 23.25
 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

201409 201410 201411 201412 201501 201502 201503

89 76 89 81 75 89 86
1 2 0 0 0 0 0
2 13 9 6 9 21 11

0 4 0 4 4 0 22

92 95 98 91 88 110 119
3 4 2 3 3 2 3
30.67 23.75 49.00 30.33 29.33 55.00 39.67
517.50
43.13
 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48

201504 201505 201506 201507 201508 201509 201510 201511

87 92 86 87 90 97 74 84
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26 67 30 30 30 0 6 15

26 1 26 24 24 21 26 25

139 160 142 141 144 118 106 124

3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3
46.33 53.33 47.33 47.00 48.00 59.00 35.33 41.33
 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56

201512 201601 201602 201603 201604 201605 201606 201607

85 0 20 28 34 13 28 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 1 0 0 8 6 8 18

23 0 25 25 29 26 23 24

122 1 45 53 71 45 59 63
3 1 2 2 3 3 3 3
40.67 1.00 22.50 26.50 23.67 15.00 19.67 21.00
542.33
45.19
 57 62 63

201608 Total general

115 15 23 54 20 3647.000 49
0 0 0 0 0 80.000 20
51 29 21 20 18 577.000 37
0.000 0
21 30 24 24 24 415.000 25
0.000 0
0.000 0

187 74 68 98 62
3 3 3 3 3
62.33 24.67 22.67 32.67 20.67
292.33
36.54
 64

74.4285714
4
15.5945946
#DIV/0!
16.6
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!