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Fiscal Economics
o Deals with the ability of the economy to generate and maintain full employment
over the long run without government intervention. Three assumptions about this
theory.
The difference between savings plans and investment plans is fundamental
to an understanding of changes in the level of income.
Price flexibility cannot be relied upon to provide full employment.
Equilibrium GDP does not necessarily provide full employment.
o Multiplier - a change in consumption, investment, net exports or government
spending results in a multiplied change in equilibrium GDP.
Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) - the percentage of additional
income that is consumed.
Marginal propensity to save (MPS) - the percentage of additional income
that is saved.
MPC + MPS = 1 or MPS = 1 - MPC
International Trade
o Comparative advantage - countries should produce products when they have
the competitive advantage for sale and buy when they do not.
Production possibilities curve - represents the tradeoffs between two
alternative goods that can be produced from the same amount of resources.
Trade Barriers
o The following items are barriers to successful trade.
Tariffs - consumption taxes to restrict imports.
Antidumping taxes
Import quotas
Embargo - total ban on some kinds of imports.
Balance of Payments
o Balance of trade is difference between total exports and imports of goods.
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There are many methods used to control inflation, some work well,
while some may have having damaging consequences such as a recession. For
example, controlling inflation through wage and price controls can cause a
recession and hurt the people whose jobs are lost because of it.
There are three main ways to carry out a contractionary policy. The first is to
increase interest rates through the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve rate is
the rate at which banks borrow money from the government, but, in order to
make money, they must lend it at higher rates. So, when the Federal Reserve
increases its interest rate, banks have no choice but to increase their rates as
well. When banks increase their rates, less people want to borrow money
because it costs more to do so while that money accrues at a higher interest. So,
spending drops, prices drop and inflation slows.
Read more: What methods can the government use to control inflation? |
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government-use-control-inflation.asp#ixzz57eWMnTkS
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Governments and central banks generally target an annual inflation rate of 2-3% in order to maintain
economic stability and growth. If inflation "overheats" and prices rise too rapidly, restrictive or
'tight' monetary and fiscal policy tools are employed. If prices begin to fall generally, as is the case with
deflation, 'loose' or expansionary monetary and fiscal policy tools are used. These sorts of tools,
however, are potentially more difficult to employ due to technical and real-world limitations.
Deflation is a serious economic issue that can exacerbate a crisis and turn a recession into a full-blown
depression. When prices fall and are expected to drop in the future, businesses and individuals choose
to hold on to money rather than spend or invest. This leads to a drop in demand, which in turn forces
businesses to cut production and sell off inventories at even lower prices.
Businesses layoff workers and the unemployed have more difficulty finding work. Eventually,
they default on debts, causing bankruptcies and credit and liquidity shortages known as a deflationary
spiral. This scenario is scary, and policymakers will do whatever is necessary to avoid falling into such an
economic hole. Here are some ways that governments fight deflation.
In a fractional reserve banking system, as in the U.S. and the rest of the developed world, banks use
deposits to create new loans. By regulation, they are only allowed to do so to the extent of the reserve
limit. That limit is currently 10% in the U.S., meaning that for every $100 deposited with a bank, it can
loan out $90 and keep $10 as reserves. Of that new $90, $81 can be turned into new loans and $9 kept
as reserves, and so on, until the original deposit creates $1000 worth of new credit money: $100 / 0.10
multiplier. If the reserve limit is relaxed to 5%, twice as much credit would be generated, incentivizing
new loans for investment and consumption.
Central banks buy treasury securities in the open market and, in return, issue newly created money to
the seller. This increases the money supply and encourages people to spend those dollars. The quantity
theory of money states that like any other good, the price of money is determined by its supply and
demand. If the supply of money is increased, it should become less expensive: each dollar would buy
less stuff and so prices would go up instead of down.
Central banks can lower the target interest rate on the short-term funds that are lent to and among
the financial sector. If this rate is high, it will cost the financial sector more to borrow the funds needed
to meet day-to-day operations and obligations. Short-term interest rates also influence longer-term
rates, so if the target rate is raised, long-term money, such as mortgage loans, also becomes more
expensive. Lowering rates makes it cheaper to borrow money and encourages new investment using
borrowed money. It also encourages individuals to buy a home by reducing monthly costs.
Quantitative easing
When nominal interest rates are lowered all the way to zero, central banks must resort to
unconventional monetary tools. Quantitative easing (QE) is when private securities are purchased on
the open market, beyond just treasuries. Not only does this pump more money into the financial
system, but it also bids up the price of financial assets, keeping them from declining further. (See
also: Why Didn't Quantitative Easing Lead to Hyperinflation.)
Another unconventional tool is to set a negative nominal interest rate. A negative interest rate
policy (NIRP) effectively means that depositors must pay, rather than receive interest on deposits. If it
becomes costly to hold on to money, it should encourage spending of that money on consumption, or
investment in assets or projects that earn a positive return. (For more, see: How Unconventional
Monetary Policy Works.)
Keynesian economists advocate using fiscal policy to spur aggregate demand and pull an economy out of
a deflationary period. If individuals and businesses stop spending, there is no incentive for firms to
produce and employ people. The government can step in as spender of last resort with hopes of keeping
production going along with employment. The government can even borrow money to spend by
incurring a fiscal deficit. Businesses and their employees will use that government money to spend and
invest until prices begin to rise again with demand.