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Sussman, MAI
The development and proof of the overall rate (RO) in direct capitalization is as
important today as it was 10 or 20 years ago. The difference is that today there
are 12 ways to prove or disprove an overall capitalization rate, and with which
even parts of the overall rate can be proven. One way this is accomplished is by
using available formulas to solve for components that can alternatively be used
to derive the overall rate, and then comparing those components against mar-
ket expectations to test their validity. This article explains the 12 ways an over-
all rate can be developed and tested in the real world.
1. Most of the formulas discussed here are presented in Appraisal Institute courses “Basic Income Capitalization” (310) and “Ad-
vanced Income Capitalization” (510).
Joseph H. Martin, MAI, is president of Martin Appraisal Associates, Inc., Lawrenceville, New Jersey. He
received his BS in business administration at Rider College, Lawrenceville, and is an instructor for the Ap-
praisal Institute. He is an author of several textbooks on real estate licensing.
Mark W. Sussman, MAI, is vice president of John O. Lasser Associates, Inc., Livingston, New Jersey. He
provides appraisal and consulting services on a wide variety of property types, with emphasis on ad
valorem tax litigation and condemnation. He received his BA in psychology from Lehigh University,
Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, and is an instructor for the Appraisal Institute.
149
IO by a rate, or by multiplying income by a fac-
RO = tor. In the second scenario, multiplying in-
VO (1)
come by a factor, the income can be poten-
This is the universal formula of rate de-
tial gross income (PGI) or effective gross in-
velopment. It is generally market extracted
come (EGI). This approach is generally used
when the appraiser knows the net operating
in the sales comparison approach to value
income (IO) and the value or price (VO) of a
and is not considered a capitalization ap-
property. The RO derived by this formula
proach per se. However, two simplistic parts
implicitly contains all of the assumptions
of this formula can be quickly extracted from
about investor expectations inherent in that
the market, i.e., the gross income multiplier
particular sale or value, and to be useful
(GIM) and the net income ratio (NIR), which
should be applied to only those properties
is the complement of the expense ratio. As
that have the same characteristics as the sale
an example, simple research would indicate
(i.e., same land and building ratios, use, lease
what the gross rental would be from the
terms, vacancy rates, expense ratios, value
market at the time a property is sold, and a
or income expectations, level of risk and in-
gross income multiplier could be developed
vestor motivation). It would be inappropri-
by dividing the sales price by the potential
ate to extract an overall rate from a sale of an
gross income (SP ÷ PGI = PGIM). Further
80-unit, older, urban, mid-rise apartment
analysis of the comparable sales would in-
complex and use it directly to value a newer,
dicate the typical expense ratio, and 100%
150-unit, suburban garden complex. Expense
less the expense ratio would equal the net
ratios, appreciation in value, risk, and inves-
income ratio. Once these two figures are
tor motivation between these two properties
known, a potential overall rate can be devel-
would be too great to make a direct compari-
oped by simply applying the formula ex-
son. However, once the overall rate (RO) is
pressed above.3
extracted, it can be useful for comparable
properties, and since it is market extracted,
RO = DCR × M × RM (4)
it is very persuasive.
Commonly referred to as the
RO = SR + LR + MR + RR (2) “underwriter’s method” of developing an
overall rate and used by lenders with their
This old formula of developing a built-
own requirements for debt coverage ratio
up overall rate is antiquated. Here, an over-
(DCR), mortgage or loan-to-value ratio (M),
all rate is built up through a combination of
and mortgage constant (RM), it is a good tool
a safe rate (SR), a liquidity rate (LR), a man-
when it is market derived. All appraisers
agement rate (MR), and a risk rate (RR). To
should check with their mortgage sources
assume that an appraiser would have the
on the type of property they are appraising
judgment to assign a proper factor for loss
and know these components of lender re-
of liquidity, or management, or risk in
quirements. It is based on the premise that
today’s complex and changing economic cli-
the lender establishes the control on vari-
mate, and to develop a rate in this fashion
ous properties by controlling the amount of
are incomprehensible. It can, however, be
risk they will take (loan-to-value ratio or M),
useful in making comparative judgments
the interest rate and term they require (the
once an overall rate has been created through
mortgage constant or RM), and the amount
other means.2
of net operating income they deem safe to
cover the debt (debt coverage ratio or DCR).
NIR
RO = The loan-to-value ratio and mortgage con-
GIM (3) stant are used in both the band of invest-
There are only two ways direct capitali- ment and the Ellwood formula for devel-
zation can be employed: by dividing income oping overall rates, and debt coverage ra-
2. Charles B. Akerson, “Builtup and Blended Rates,” Capitalization Theory and Techniques Study Guide (Chicago: American Institute of
Real Estate Appraisers, 1984), 21. It should be acknowledged that these builtup rates are truly yield rates and, therefore, even if an
appraiser has the judgment or expertise to develop an overall rate by this method, he or she would have to convert the yield rate
to an overall capitalization rate.
3. Ibid., 18. The problem in this approach to prove an overall rate is that it may not be possible to determine the true expenses in a sale
property, unless the appraiser is involved in the transaction or has direct knowledge of this information. Relying on third-party
information for the actual expenses at the time of sale may be insufficient to develop an accurate overall rate. However, if the
appraiser is cautious and uses typical expressed expense ratios, it still becomes a good check on other methods developed here.
4. American Council of Life Insurance Companies, Investment Bulletin (Washington, D.C.: American Council of Life Insurance Com-
panies).
5. The Appraisal of Real Estate, 10th ed. (Chicago: Appraisal Institute, 1992): 472–473.
6. Ibid., 470–471.
7. Ibid., 472.
8. Ibid., 494–495.
9. Ibid., 498. It is unrealistic in the real world to expect both income and value to change at the same rate during an anticipated
holding period. The only exception to this may be in a leased fee analysis where the lease is written to guarantee both a constant
increase in income and a resale price at the same rate of growth.
10. Some argue that the Ellwood technique is obsolete with the widespread availability of easy-to-use spreadsheet programs that
can perform complex DCF analyses quickly, accurately, and inexpensively. See Wayne Kelly, Donald R. Epley, and Phillip
Mitchell, “A Requiem for Ellwood,” The Appraisal Journal (July 1995): 284–290.
11. An excellent reference on how to calculate equivalent level income can be found in Course 510, Session 6: “Stabilizing Income
and Yield Capitalization (DCF) Using an Equity Yield Rate.”
RO − (M × RM) and
RE = RO − (M × RM)
1−M
RE =
0.0874 − (0.70 × 0.1158) 1−M
= 0.1004− (0.70 × 0.1158)
1 − 0.70
=
= 0.02113 or 2.11% 1 − 0.70
= 0.06447 or 6.45%
Similarly, this analysis indicates a cash-
on-cash return (equity dividend rate, RE) of Again, using the formula as a check in-
2%, far below the 6% return required by dicates a cash-on-cash return (equity divi-
market participants. Again, there is an incon- dend rate, RE) that is consistent with the 6%
sistency and this type of check can warn an return required by market participants.