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Castor Seed 18-May-18 4142 4149 4149 4000 4010 -3.19% 11.10% 59.85%
Chana 18-May-18 3673 3683 3688 3490 3510 -4.44% 7.87% 68.43%
Dhaniya 18-May-18 5101 5100 5118 4768 4795 -6.00% 6.82% 46.86%
COCUDAKL 18-May-18 1344.50 1334.00 1336.50 1182.00 1185.00 -11.86% 6.57% 73.85%
Guargum5 18-May-18 9140 9166 9180 8723 8723 -4.56% -0.32% 111.73%
Guarseed10 18-May-18 4197.50 4202.00 4225.00 3960.00 3960.00 -5.66% 5.48% 56.16%
Jeera 18-May-18 16060 16050 16080 15555 15670 -2.43% 3.83% 80.81%
Kapas 30-Apr-18 891.00 875.00 891.50 854.00 861.50 -3.31% -62.67% -69.04%
RMseed 18-May-18 3925 3937 3945 3731 3925 0.00% 9.63% 102.02%
Ref Soya Oil 18-May-18 776.65 774.80 776.50 761.10 762.50 -1.82% 8.47% 9.63%
Soyabean 18-May-18 3760 3765 3765 3591 3622 -3.67% -3.00% 161.90%
Turmeric 18-May-18 6882 6948 7106 6710 6926 0.64% 3.81% 113.38%
Mentha Oil 31-May-18 1220.10 1240.30 1289.00 1231.00 1272.40 4.29% -10.26% -5.42%
LME Inventory
Closing In Tonnes Closing In Tonnes
Commodity % Change in Price
(As on 27th April 2018) (As on 20th April 2018)
Continued…….
4 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 01/05/2018
Inventory Updates
Crude Oil 21-May-18 4842 4693 4620 4544 4471 4395 4246
Natural Gas 25-May-18 203.00 195.00 190.00 187.00 182.00 179.00 171.00
Castor Seed 18-May-18 4351 4202 4106 4053 3957 3904 3755
Ref Soya Oil 18-May-18 798 782 772 767 757 751 736
Mentha Oil 31-May-18 1380 1322 1297 1264 1239 1206 1148
BULLION
Last week, spot gold prices rose 1.4 percent to trade at $1316 per ounce while MCX
gold prices declined 1 percent although rupee depreciation of around 0.9 percent
cushioned sharp downfall. Spot silver prices declined around 4 percent to close at
$16.5 per ounce in line with fall in gold and base metals prices while stronger dollar
index also exerted downside pressure on silver. Stronger US dollar and lofty bond
yields have dampened the interest in bullion for traders and investors across the
globe. Growing supply of US government debt and inflationary pressures from ris-
ing oil prices have pushed the yields on the 10 year bond yields above 3 percent for
the first time in four years.
BASE METALS
LME Copper prices plunged 2.6 percent while MCX prices fell 2.3 percent last week
as dollar surged to three and half month highs buoyed by rising bond yields above
3% for the first time since 2014. The rise in yields was a result of expectations that
the Fed would raise interest rates more aggressively to combat inflation. Further
downside was limited as failed negotiations at Escondida mine in Chile and Gras-
berg in Indonesia, world's biggest Copper mines, supported the red metal. Alumin-
ium led the losses in base metals, down by a whopping 10 percent last week, after
the US extended deadline given to American customers of Rusal to comply with
the sanctions, from June to October 2018. Nickel was the second worst performer
since the fears of sanction extension to Norilsk Nickel eased.
ENERGY
WTI oil prices declined by around 0.8 percent last week while MCX oil prices rose
marginally by 0.2 percent in the same time frame. Risk of renewed U.S. sanctions
on Iran, plunging Venezuelan output, and robust global demand shook off the ef-
fects of a strong dollar on oil prices.
SPICES
Turmeric futures prices registered sharp gains during its trade in last week.
Prices traded higher on expectations of good demand in the coming days. Fur-
ther, report of strong export demand is a positive factor for turmeric futures
prices.
Dhaniya futures traded higher to stage recent recovery from their continuous
recent fall on profit booking. However, recovery was limited tracking weaker
demand side at the spot markets. Arrivals at the spot market are higher due
to peak harvesting season with limited buying demand
GUAR COMPLEX
Prospects of a normal monsoon for the third consecutive year kept pressure
on the market sentiments for Guar as prices failed to hold above the 9000
mark. Firmness in crude oil prices and a firm Dollar vs Rupee kept supporting
market sentiments. But good monsoon reports amidst higher stocks limited
the uptrend. Strength in crude oil will keep export demand of guar gum quite
stable. Consumption of drilling chemicals is increasing with rising
OTHERS
The near term fundamentals for RM seed are most likely to restrict the up-
side movement in coming sessions. As per the charts, the May contract is
now expected to find tough in sustaining above 3835- 3850. RM seed could
not sustain at higher levels and settled even below 3800 support. On daily
basis the May contract was down roughly 2%. The good Monsoon reports
and ongoing arrival season are keeping sentiments bearish for RM seed also
since it would imply better sowing prospects during its planting season of Oct
-Nov.
9 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 01/05/2018
Calls of the Week (MCX)
COPPER
Copper prices retreated after early gains while losing 2.19 percent last week. On weekly chart, a bearish candle has
formed after an unsuccessful attempt at breaking upside resistance of Rs.470 mark in the June series. However,
counter witnessed selling pressure after reaching 12-week peak but trading above key support at Rs.452 mark that can
assist prices to recover. However, a break below the same can exert pressure on prices that can lead to next support
level of Rs.440 mark.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 440.30
SL 459.30
CRUDE OIL
After a strong rally for two consecutive weeks, counter paused for the week to take a breath. On weekly charts, prices
traded with marginal gains of 0.35% at Rs.4547/bbl and formed a doji candlestick pattern. Pattern suggests that the
bulls in current rally of uptrend are now losing steam and fresh sellers are ready to step in. RSI on daily charts is trading
close to overbought zone of 73 which indicates selling pressure in the counter, which may push it to next support of
Rs.4330/bbl. As of now short term trend on four hourly and hourly charts remains bearish.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 4330.00
SL 4537.00
Last week SYOREF May Futures started the week on negative note and made a low of 761.10 and closed at 762.50 with
overall marginal loss of 1.82% on weekly basis. And continuously making lower highs and lower lows indicating bearish
trend in upcoming session.Technically for this week, we can expect further downside movement in it due to support
level breakout & formation of bearish candlestick patterns on the higher levels. For this week, if it breaks the level of
759, then it can test the level of 745 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 767.30
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 745.00
SL 767.30
CASTORSEED
NCDEX Castor Seed Apr future continued to trade in the range of 4270-4170 for the fourth consecutive trading week.
Price made the low of 4160 during the week and the high of 4260 and settled at 4242. Market closed flat during the
week with higher volume and open interest indicating building of long positions. We can expect market can break its
resistance level of 4270 on this week.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 3903.00
SL 4071.00
Last week GBPINR May Futures started the week on negative note and made a low of 92.9125. However it witnessed
positive movement on Wednesday but overall closed in negative at 92.2475 with the loss of 1.24% on weekly basis.
Technically for this week, we can expect further downside movement in due to formation of bearish candlestick pat-
terns on the higher levels coupled with the oversold RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 92.1900, then it can test
the level of 91.6025 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 92.6025
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 91.6025
SL 92.6025
EURINR
Last week EURINR May Futures started the week on negative note and made a low of 81.3900. However it witnessed
positive movement on Wednesday but overall closed in negative at 81.0150 with the loss of 0.96% on weekly basis.
Technically for this week, we can expect further downside movement in due to trend line resistance on higher levels &
formation of bearish candlestick patterns on the higher levels. For this week, if it breaks the level of 80.9300, then it
can test the level of 80.3325 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 81.3325
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Target 80.3325
SL 81.3325
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