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Smoking and Lung Function of Lung Health Study

Participants after 11 Years


Nicholas R. Anthonisen, John E. Connett, and Robert P. Murray for the Lung Health Study Research Group

University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada; and University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Eleven years after Lung Health Study (LHS) entry, we performed feasible, asking the original participants to return to the origi-
spirometry in 77.4% of surviving participants who enrolled in a nal clinical centers for reassessment approximately 11 years
long-term follow-up study. Those not enrolling tended to be after their enrollment. This report details the results of pul-
younger male heavy smokers who continued to smoke during the monary function measurements as related to smoking habits
LHS. Their initial LHS lung function, after adjustment for these of people who participated in LHS 3. The objectives of LHS
factors, did not differ from that of enrollees. Smoking habits by 3 were as follows: to ascertain whether differences in lung
original LHS treatment groups (smoking intervention vs. usual care) function between randomly assigned treatment groups per-
tended to converge, but 93% of participants who were abstinent
sisted, to assess whether differences in smoking habit persist
throughout the LHS were still abstinent at 11 years. Differences in
between treatment groups, and to determine whether the
lung function between treatment groups persisted; smoking inter-
profound impact of smoking cessation on lung function de-
vention participants had less decline in FEV1 than usual care partici-
pants. Men who quit at the beginning of the LHS had an FEV1 rate
cline noted in LHS 1 persisted or increased.
of decline of 30.2 ml/year, whereas women who quit declined at
Protocols were approved by the institutional review board
21.5 ml/year. Men continuing to smoke throughout the 11 years for human studies at each clinical center, and written in-
declined by 66.1 ml/year, and women continuing to smoke declined formed consent was obtained from each participant.
by 54.2 ml/year. When decline in FEV1 was expressed as a percent-
age of predicted normal value, no significant sex-based difference METHODS
was apparent among continuing smokers. At 11 years, 38% of con-
All LHS 1 participants who were not known to be deceased were
tinuing smokers had an FEV1 less than 60% of the predicted normal
deemed eligible for LHS 3. Those who could be contacted were asked
value compared with 10% of sustained quitters. to return for spirometry and to answer smoking questionnaires. Remote
participants were visited to obtain data. Some participants refused spi-
Keywords: clinical trial; COPD; lung function; smoking intervention
rometry, and insofar as lung function is concerned, this report is confined
to those who did not.
The original Lung Health Study (LHS 1) was a randomized Questionnaires included the same ones administered as part of LHS
clinical trial of smoking cessation and regular administration 1, including a modified American Thoracic Society–Division of Lung
of an inhaled bronchodilator (ipratropium bromide) in 5,887 Diseases questionnaire (1). A detailed smoking history was obtained,
middle-aged smokers (35–60 years old at study entry) who and smoking status was checked by measuring expired carbon monoxide
had airway obstruction, but who did not regard themselves with a Vitalograph EC50 (Vitalograph, Buckingham, UK), as in LHS
as having lung disease, and who did not have other serious 1. Results of 10 ppm or higher were considered indicative of smoking.
illnesses. The main outcome variables were annual change Spirometry was performed with a rolling seal spirometer, exactly
in lung function in the form of the FEV1, and morbidity and as it had been in LHS 1 (3). The same spirometers were used (Spirotech
500; Spirotech, Atlanta, GA), and the same quality control program.
mortality (1). Intent-to-treat analysis showed that smoking Measurements of FEV1 and FVC were made before and at least 20
cessation reduced the rate of decline of lung function, minutes after two puffs (200 ␮g) of albuterol from a metered dosed
whereas inhaled bronchodilator did not (2). inhaler. The largest single FEV1 and FVC were reported, and were
Follow-up rates in LHS 1 were unusually high, with more converted to percentages of the predicted normal value by using the
than 90% of participants attending each of five annual visits formulas of Crapo and coworkers (4).
for assessment of pulmonary function (2). Further, at the end Results were analyzed according to the original LHS 1 treatment
of LHS 1, 5,003 participants were enrolled in a lung cancer assignment: usual care (UC) and smoking intervention (SI). The latter
substudy designed to ascertain the incidence of cancer. These was a combination of groups that were assigned either to active bron-
participants were contacted at 6-month intervals, usually by chodilator or placebo therapy; both received the smoking cessation
program, and were similar, including rates of smoking cessation. Partici-
telephone, and questioned in regard to their health and smok-
pants were also divided into three groups based on smoking history.
ing habits. This follow-up was also successful, with direct Sustained quitters (SQs) were biochemically validated ex-smokers at
contact rates exceeding 94% at all 6-month intervals. Because each of the follow-up visits of LHS 1, who gave a history of abstinence
of this success, an extension of LHS 1 (LHS 3) was thought (no month with as much as one cigarette per day) between the end of
LHS 1 and enrollment in LHS 3, and who also had a carbon monoxide
reading at the LHS 3 visit that was less than 10 ppm. Continuing smokers
(CSs) were those who reported smoking at all scheduled follow-up
visits, and throughout the time between the end of LHS 1 and LHS 3.
(Received in original form December 31, 2001; accepted in final form May 22, 2002) Intermittent quitters (IQs) were smoking at some but not all of their
Supported by a cooperative agreement with the National Institutes of Health LHS 1 and LHS 3 visits, or in the interval of time between the two
(NHLBI-1U10-HL59275). studies. Because of uncertainties regarding dose of cigarettes, the IQ
Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to John E. Connett, group was not considered in some analyses.
Ph.D., Biostatistics/CCBR, 2221 University Avenue SE, Suite 200, Minneapolis, Comparisons between LHS 3 participants and nonparticipants were
MN 55414-3080. E-mail: john-c@ccbr.umn.edu performed using t tests for quantitative variables, and ␹2 tests for cate-
This article has an online data supplement, which is accessible from this issue’s gorical variables. Comparisons adjusted for other covariates were based
table of contents online at www.atsjournals.org on analysis of covariance (for quantitative variables) or logistic regres-
Am J Respir Crit Care Med Vol 166. pp 675–679, 2002 sion (for dichotomous variables). Comparisons of changes in lung func-
DOI: 10.1164/rccm.2112096 tion variables between the SI and UC groups were based on t tests.
Internet address: www.atsjournals.org The average interval between the baseline visit for LHS 1 and the
676 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE VOL 166 2002

TABLE 1. GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS OF LUNG HEALTH STUDY 3 PARTICIPANTS COMPARED


WITH THOSE WHO REFUSED
LHS 3 Refused p Value

Number 4,517 896


SI, % 67.3 64.6 0.119
Age as of LHS 3 61.3 (6.8) 59.7 (6.8) ⬍ 0.001
Sex, % male 61.9 66.0 0.021
Cigarettes/d, baseline LHS 1 30.9 (12.7) 32.7 (13.2) ⬍ 0.001
Smoking status at end of LHS 1
Sustained quitter, % 18.8 6.6 ⬍ 0.001
Intermittent quitter, % 29.0 21.5 ⬍ 0.001
Continuing smoker, % 52.2 71.9 ⬍ 0.001
Attended last LHS 1 visit, % 99.2 85.6 0.001
Symptoms at end of LHS 1, %
Cough 32.6 39.7 0.001
Phlegm 33.1 39.2 0.001
Wheeze 59.5 62.9 0.053
Dyspnea 33.6 32.5 0.532
FEV1 % predicted post-BD, baseline LHS 1 78.4 78.4 0.966
FEV1 % predicted post-BD, end of LHS 1 75.3 74.9 0.362
BD response (%), baseline LHS 1 4.3 4.3 0.844
Change in FEV1% predicted/yr in LHS 1 ⫺0.62 ⫺0.81 0.005
Methacholine reactivity
Reaction to ⭐ 5 mg/ml, % 33.6 31.9 0.334
No reaction to 25 mg/ml, % 28.2 30.0 0.414

Definition of abbreviation: BD ⫽ bronchodilator; LHS ⫽ Lung Health Study; SI ⫽ smoking intervention.

LHS 3 visit was 10.99 years (SD, 0.63) for SI participants and 11.03 1 than LHS 3 enrollees, but differences in employment rates,
years (SD, 0.62) for UC participants. alcohol consumption, and years of education were not significant.
Doctor visits or days in bed due to lower respiratory tract ill-
RESULTS nesses did not differ significantly between these groups. LHS 3
entrants were more likely to have been hospitalized during LHS
Of the original 5,887 participants in LHS 1, 5,413 were eligible
1 than those who did not enter, although there were no significant
for LHS 3 in that they were not known to be dead. Of those
differences in hospitalizations for respiratory illnesses, coronary
eligible, 4,517 (83.4%) were enrolled in LHS 3, whereas 896 did
artery disease, or other cardiovascular disease, the most com-
not enter. Enrollment ranged from 77.1 to 91.0% at the various
monly encountered individual causes of hospitalization. Finally,
clinical centers. Of those enrolled, 4,194, or 92.8%, underwent
there were no differences in body mass index or blood pressure
spirometry testing. As indicated in Table 1, there were differ-
measured at the end of LHS 1 between the two groups.
ences between LHS 1 participants who entered LHS 3 and those
At the LHS 3 visit, 16.7% of the participants were sustained
who did not. People who did not attend the LHS 3 visit were
quitters, 57.4% were intermittent smokers, and 25.9% had
younger and more likely to be male. They were heavier smokers
smoked continuously since the beginning of LHS 1. There were
on entry into LHS 1 and less likely to have quit smoking during
major differences between treatment groups in smoking habit
the initial 5 years of the study. They were also less compliant,
(p ⫽ 0.001), with 21.9% of the SI group being sustained quitters
in that fewer returned for spirometry at the end of LHS 1 than
compared with 6.0% of the UC group, and 23.4% of the SI
participants who entered LHS 3. LHS 1 group assignment did
group being continuing smokers, in contrast to 31.3% of the UC
not differ significantly between participants who enrolled in LHS
group. On the other hand, changes in smoking status between
3 and those who did not. People who did not enter LHS 3 were LHS 1 and LHS 3 were not greatly different between groups
more likely to have reported cough or phlegm at the end of (Table 2). In both, approximately 93% of sustained quitters at
LHS 1 than those who did (Table 1). Cough and phlegm were the end of LHS 1 were abstinent at the LHS 3 visit, whereas
strongly associated with contemporary smoking habit, and when about a quarter of continuing smokers at the end of LHS 1 had
smoking was taken into account by logistic regression, differ-
ences in cough and phlegm between LHS 3 participants and
nonparticipants became nonsignificant. There was no significant
difference between the two groups in terms of wheeze or dys- TABLE 2. CHANGE IN SMOKING STATUS BETWEEN END OF
pnea. Lung function is also shown in Table 1. FEV1, expressed LUNG HEALTH STUDY 1 AND LUNG HEALTH STUDY 3
as a percentage of the predicted normal value, and FEV1/FVC
% Quit (CO Validated) at LHS 3
at both entry and end of LHS 1, were similar in those who
entered LHS 3 and those who did not. Rates of decline of FEV1 Total SI UC
were significantly greater in those who did not enter LHS 3 than Status at End of LHS 1 (n ⫽ 4,517) (n ⫽ 3,040) (n ⫽ 1,477)
in those who did enter, but after adjustment for smoking status, Sustained quitter 92.9 92.7 94.7
rates of decline in the two groups were not significantly different. Intermittent quitter
There was no difference in bronchodilator response or in metha- Not smoking 79.9 76.2 87.3
choline reactivity. Smoking 43.3 42.8 45.1
Continuous smoker 24.1 22.4 26.3
Table 1 does not show all comparisons between enrollees
and those who did not enter LHS 3. The nonenrollees were Definition of abbreviations: CO ⫽ carbon monoxide; LHS ⫽ Lung Health Study;
significantly less likely to have been married at the end of LHS SI ⫽ special intervention; UC ⫽ usual care.
Anthonisen, Connett, and Murray: Smoking and Lung Function 677

Figure 2. Loss of lung


Figure 1. Loss of lung
function over the years of
function among LHS 3 en-
study among sustained
rollees over the 11 years of
quitters (open symbols),
study of the SI group
continuing smokers (closed
(closed symbols) and the
symbols), and intermittent
UC group (open symbols).
smokers (gray symbols).
Average values of post-
Average values of post-
bronchodilator FEV1 are
bronchodilator FEV1 are
shown, expressed in abso-
shown, expressed in abso-
lute terms in (A ) and as a
lute terms in (A ) and as a
percentage of the pre-
percentage of the pre-
dicted normal value in (B ).
dicted normal value in (B ).

quit by the time of LHS 3. Between studies, there was a tendency mately 0.22% of the predicted normal value. IQs lost approxi-
for intermittent quitters in the UC group to quit at a higher rate mately 48 ml/year, or approximately 0.91% of the predicted
than those in the SI group (Table 2), accounting for the more normal. CSs lost 60 ml/year, or 1.3% of the predicted normal
rapid increase in abstinence in the UC group in the interstudy value. In each smoking category lung function losses were slightly
period (see Figure E1 in the online data supplement). At the smaller in the SI group than in the UC group, but differences
LHS 3 visit, 48.8% of all participants were not smoking, with between SI and UC groups reached statistical significance only
51.7% of the SI group and 42.9% of the UC group in this for losses expressed as a percentage of predicted normal values
category. in intermittent quitters and in continuing smokers.
Figure 1 shows the decline in FEV1 in LHS 3 enrollees ac- Absolute rates of decline of FEV1 differed between men and
cording to treatment group. The difference between the SI and women. Female SQs lost an average of 21.5 ml/year (SEM, 1.2),
UC groups observed among LHS 3 enrollees in LHS 1 was whereas male SQs lost an average of 30.2 ml/year (SEM, 1.4).
maintained over the 6 years between LHS 1 and LHS 3 and was In the CS category, women lost an average of 54.3 ml/year (SEM,
significant (p ⫽ 0.001), whether the FEV1 was considered in 1.3), whereas men lost an average of 66.1 ml/year (SEM, 1.4).
absolute terms or as a percentage of the predicted normal value. When expressed as percentages of the predicted normal value,
The intergroup differences at the LHS 3 visit were slightly but declines were still less for females among SQs but similar be-
not significantly larger than those measured after the fifth year tween women and men in the CS category. Among SQ partici-
of LHS 1. Over the 11 years of the combined studies, the FEV1 pants, women averaged a loss of 0.11%/year (SEM, 0.06), which
of the UC group declined by 587 ml, or 12.3% of the predicted was significantly (p ⬍ 0.01) less than for the men, who lost an
normal value, whereas that of the SI group declined by 502 ml, average of 0.31%/year (SEM, 0.05). In the CS category, women
or 9.3% of the predicted normal value. averaged a decline of 1.41%/year (SEM, 0.06), and men averaged
Figure 2 shows lung function decline of the LHS 3 participants a decline of 1.31%/year (SEM, 0.04), figures that were not sig-
according to smoking habit. The data diverge sharply, with sus- nificantly different.
tained quitters losing function at a considerably slower rate than
continuing smokers, with intermittent quitters’ data lying in be- DISCUSSION
tween. Table 3 shows the average annual loss of FEV1 in each
treatment group according to smoking status. For SI and UC The main findings of this study were that differences in smoking
participants combined, SQs lost less than 27 ml/year, approxi- habit established during the first year of LHS 1 were remarkably

TABLE 3. ANNUAL CHANGE IN FEV1 AND FEV1 % PREDICTED-BASELINE LUNG HEALTH STUDY 1
TO LUNG HEALTH STUDY 3 ACCORDING TO LUNG HEALTH STUDY 3 SMOKING HISTORY
(CARBON MONOXIDE VALIDATED)

SI Participants UC Participants

Status at LHS 3 n FEV1/ml/yr n FEV1/ml/yr p Value

Sustained quitter 637 ⫺26.7 (26.5) 85 ⫺30.3 (26.5) 0.250


Intermittent quitter 1,521 ⫺47.5 (31.7) 848 ⫺50.0 (34.5) 0.079
Continuing smoker 630 ⫺60.0 (33.7) 424 ⫺63.8 (32.2) 0.070
FEV1 % pred/yr FEV1 % pred/yr

Sustained quitter 637 ⫺0.23 (1.03) 85 ⫺0.40 (1.11) 0.109


Intermittent quitter 1,521 ⫺0.91 (1.21) 848 ⫺1.02 (1.28) 0.041
Continuing smoker 630 ⫺1.29 (1.16) 424 ⫺1.44 (1.26) 0.043

Definition of abbreviations: SI ⫽ special intervention; UC ⫽ usual care.


678 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE VOL 166 2002

stable, so that there were significant differences in lung function Figure 3. Distribution of
between randomly assigned treatment groups after 11 years. values of postbronchodila-
Further, differences in lung function between participants who tor FEV1 among enrollees in
quit smoking and those who did not increased progressively over LHS 3 who were sustained
11 years, resulting in substantial differences in the prevalence quitters and continuing
of FEV1 values that are associated with disabling illness. smokers. The ordinate rep-
The original Lung Health Study was remarkable for the com- resents the percentage of
pleteness of its follow-up, and LHS 3 was a similar success; of either sustained quitters or
the original participants who were not known to be dead, more continuing smokers; the
than 77% were enrolled and underwent spirometry 11 years abscissa shows categories
after study entry. There were differences between those who of FEV1, expressed as a per-
were enrolled in LHS 3 and those who were not (Table 1), and centage of the predicted
these differences were not surprising. People who did not enter normal value.
LHS 3 tended to be younger, male, and single at the end of LHS
1. They had been heavier smokers on study entry, were less
likely to have quit, and had been less compliant in terms of
follow-up than those who were enrolled. Although significant, in Figure 3, which shows the frequency distribution of FEV1
these differences were relatively small. Although LHS 3 enroll- measured at LHS 3 in the CS and SQ groups. The distributions
ees had less cough and phlegm at the end of LHS 1 than did are strikingly different, especially at low values of FEV1. Among
those who did not enter, the differences were accounted for by CSs, 18.1% had FEV1 less than 50% of the predicted normal,
differences in smoking habits, and there were no differences in as compared with only 3.3% of the SQ group; 38.0% of the
wheeze, dyspnea, body mass index, or blood pressure. During CS group had FEV1 less than 60% of the predicted normal as
LHS 1, people who did not enroll in LHS 3 lost lung function compared with 10.0% of the SQ group. Thus, a substantial frac-
more rapidly than those who entered, but not more rapidly than tion of participants who continued to smoke had levels of lung
enrollees of the same age, sex, and smoking habit. We are unable function thought to represent “moderate” or “severe” chronic
to explain the increased tendency of LHS 3 participants to have obstructive pulmonary disease, whereas this was true of few
been hospitalized during LHS 1, but this may have related to sustained quitters. Over the 11 years of observation, the mean
their greater compliance and concern regarding their health sta- difference in FEV1 between CSs and SQs was approximately
tus, indicated by their higher rate of quitting smoking. In sum- 0.5 L, or 14% of the predicted normal value. Although these
mary, LHS 3 participants were a biased sample of the original differences may not seem large, they were associated with a
LHS 1 population, but the biases among surviving participants large difference in the fraction of each group that would be
were relatively minor, and more than 80% of living LHS 1 considered disabled. Obviously, if trajectories of lung function
participants was enrolled. continue to diverge in the future as they have over the past 11
Cross-sectional smoking quit rates tended to converge when years, many more continuing smokers will develop low levels of
treatment groups were compared (see Figure E1 in the online FEV1, and this will be much less common in sustained quitters.
data supplement); quitting was more common in the UC group The LHS was one of a limited number of studies with a group
than in the SI group in the interval between LHS 1 and LHS 3. of female smokers large enough to examine sex differences in
This tendency has been noted in other follow-up studies of clini- the effects of smoking on lung function. Rates of decline of FEV1
cal trials involving smoking cessation (5), and indeed a similar were assessed in terms of change expressed as a percentage
trend was observed during LHS 1 in that cross-sectional quit of the predicted normal value, which should account for sex
rates in the UC group after the first year increased faster than differences in stature and lung size. There was a small sex differ-
in the SI group (2). This was presumably due to the much higher ence among SQs favoring the women, but none among CSs,
quit rate being obtained in the SI group at the onset of LHS 1, apparently indicating that the effects of smoking and smoking
so that relapse occurred in this group more often than in the cessation were similar for the two sexes. Two previous cross-
UC group. However, the convergence of cross-sectional quit sectional studies of smokers in Beijing and Copenhagen (6, 7)
rates was in some ways misleading, in that changes in smoking indicated that lung function in women might be more affected
habit occurred largely among intermittent smokers and not by smoking than in men, but longitudinal data from the Tucson
among either sustained quitters or continuing smokers (Table 2). group (8) showed that women smokers lost lung function more
Indeed, some 93% of those who quit for the 5 years of LHS 1 slowly than did men, and an Australian longitudinal study
were able to maintain abstinence in the subsequent 6 years. Five showed a similar rate of loss between the sexes (9). At LHS 3
years of abstinence would seem to be a “cure” of the smoking enrollment, male continuing smokers consumed 25.2 cigarettes
habit. per day as compared with 22.1 per day by female continuing
The stability of smoking habit, especially among those who smokers. It could therefore be argued that the women were
quit at the onset of LHS 1, was the major reason that differences slightly more sensitive than the men, but the important point
in lung function between the SI and UC groups established is probably that among people with mild to moderate airway
during LHS 1 persisted essentially unchanged for the additional obstruction, loss of lung function in continuing smokers is similar
6 years between LHS 1 and LHS 3. This is supported by the between the sexes.
data of Table 3, which shows that SI–UC differences in rate There have been many other studies comparing decline in
of decline of FEV1 were small in groups with similar smoking FEV1 between smokers and ex-smokers (8–19). All found, like
histories. The major SI–UC difference was that the SI group the LHS, that smoking cessation was associated with a rate of
was composed of a larger fraction of SQs and a smaller fraction decline that did not differ from that noted in never smokers and
of CSs than was the UC group. When lung function was examined was considerably less than that of continuing smokers. Quantita-
as a function of smoking history, LHS 3 results were essentially tive comparisons among studies are difficult because of varying
a linear extrapolation of the LHS 1 data, showing a continuing age of the subjects and differing classifications of smoking habit.
sharp divergence between the SQ and CS groups. Nevertheless, for ex-smokers, our SQ group, figures of 21.5 ml/
The cumulative impacts of smoking cessation are illustrated year for women and 30.2 ml/year for men agree well with those
Anthonisen, Connett, and Murray: Smoking and Lung Function 679

of most others (8–11, 14, 15). However, the mean rate of loss Effects of smoking and changes in smoking habits on the decline of
observed in our female continuing smokers was substantially FEV1. Eur Respir J 1989;2:811–816.
15. Xu X, Dockery D, Ware JH, Speizer FE, Ferris BG Jr. Effects of cigarette
higher at 54.2 ml/year than in other studies of women (8, 9, 14, smoking on rate of loss of pulmonary function in adults: a longitudinal
15, 18, 19), and the mean decline of 66.1 ml/year among our assessment. Am Rev Respir Dis 1992;146:1345–1348.
male continuing smokers was higher than most comparable data 16. Bosse R, Sparrow D, Rose CL, Weiss ST. Longitudinal effect of age and
(8–10, 13, 15, 19), and most of the studies that showed rates of smoking cessation on pulmonary function. Am Rev Respir Dis 1981;
decline similar to ours among male smokers also had relatively 123:378–381.
17. Kuller LH, Ockene JK, Townsend M, Browner W, Meilahn E, Wentworth
high rates of decline among nonsmokers (12, 16–18). Thus, loss DN. The epidemiology of pulmonary function and COPD mortality
of lung function among the continuing smokers of the LHS was in the Multiple Risk Intervention Trial. Am Rev Respir Dis 1989;140:
more rapid compared with most previous observations. This is S76–S81.
likely due to the original selection criteria for the LHS, which 18. Krzyzanowski M, Jedrychowski W, Wysocki M. Factors associated with
sought to identify smokers at high risk for the development change in ventilatory function and the development of chronic obstruc-
tive pulmonary disease in a 13-year follow-up of the Cracow Study.
of clinical chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and therefore
Am Rev Respir Dis 1986;134:1011–1019.
recruited people with evidence of airway obstruction, defined 19. Griffith KA, Sherrill DL, Siegel EM, Manolio TA, Bonekat HW, Enright
as having FEV1/FVC less than 0.70. Burrows and coworkers (20) PL. Predictors of lung function loss in the elderly. Am J Respir Crit
had previously found that obstruction defined in this way was Care Med 2001;163:61–68.
a predictor of rapid decline in a group of 13 men, and argued 20. Burrows B, Knudson RJ, Camilli AE, Lyle SK, Lebowitz MD. The “horse
that spirometry might identify high-risk smokers. The LHS data racing effect” and predicting decline in forced expiratory volume in
one second from screening spirometry. Am Rev Respir Dis 1987;135:
support this argument. The data also indicate the crucial and 788–793.
sustained benefit of smoking cessation by high-risk smokers.
APPENDIX
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