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Jump-Start
Research Analysts STRATEGY
Manish Nigam
852 2101 7067 Jump-Start aims to provide you with a summary of the week that was and helps you prepare
manish.nigam@credit-suisse.com for the week ahead with a results calendar, economic forecasts and valuation summaries.
Connecting clients to corporates Tata Group – Back to business. The Group, with more than 100 companies,
is India's largest conglomerate.The companies present a mixed bag—only four
Thematic Trip
of the top ten have a 15%+ ROE, and about 60% of companies for which we
India Financials Trip have data have an ROE of less than 10%. With the new CEO and his team, we
Date 07-09 August, , New Delhi
expect renewed energy at the top with five key elements of strategy—
China Tech Tour
improvement of return ratios, focus on domestic consumption and leveraging
Date 04 September, Shenzhen
brands better, simplicity in structure and holding, ensuring relevance in all
Taiwan Tech and Non-Tech Tours
Date 05 September, Taiwan sectors it is present in, and digital initiatives. (Link)
China All-in-One Financial Tour Thailand Property Sector – Demographics damaging for property. Ailing
Date 14-15 September, Beijing demographics have numerous implications for residential property, almost all
negative. A shrinking work force and fewer adults entering their prime
Corporate Days / Conferences
mortgage borrowing years will surely have a negative impact on demand. We
Indonesia Conference
expect lower interest rates to improve affordability, but do not imagine this will
Date 7-8 August, Singapore
Analyst Jahanzeb Naseer offset the blow from an aging population. Old age housing presents a potential
5th China Internet C-Level Conference opportunity for developers. Senior housing preferences will likely favour living
Date 31-August - 01-September, Hong Kong in condos over landed property, softening the blow for developers with higher
2nd Annual Japan Kyoto Conference condo exposure. (Link)
Date 31-August - 01-September, Kyoto
Asia Pacific Equity Strategy – With MSCI Asia ex-Japan hitting our 640
Korea TMT Corporate Day year-end target, here are some blue sky scenarios. Having written about
Date 04 September, Seoul
trough valuations over the past few years, we admit that we are anxious about
Macau Gaming Corporate Day
Date 06 September, Hong Kong
writing on potential blue sky scenarios. The three blue sky scenarios suggest
Analyst Kenneth Fong potential upside ranging from 6% to 15%. In our first blue sky scenario, which
18th Annual Technology Conference assumes 2017-18E consensus EPS growth is fully priced in, we get 6% to 8%
Date 06-08 September, Taiwan upside. On this metric, Korea continues to offer the largest potential upside of
Analyst Manish Nigam 20%. (Link)
SGX-CS Real Estate Corporate Day
Must-read recently published reports
Date 03 October, Singapore
Analyst Gerald Wong 1) Global Equity Eugène Klerk Tech themes have dominated our high quality &
Themes: momentum theme and stock selection process to date.
8th Annual China Investment Conference Technology our This has resulted in strong outperformance. We review the
Date 01-03 November, Shenzhen impact of the recent pullback in tech stocks.
preferred growth
Analyst Edmond Huang theme (23/6)
Hong Kong / China (Non-deal roadshow) 2) Global Equity Andrew We reduce luxury from overweight to benchmark, partially
Strategy: Luxury Garthwaite reversing our upgrade from underweight in May 2016. Its
CK Infrastructure (1038.HK) Post Results performance has disconnected from the euro. We also
down, banks & autos
Date 21 July, Hong Kong believe Chinese demand will be less supportive from here
up (22/6)
Analyst Dave Dai
3) Global Equity Richard Leveraging CS’s proprietary supply chain tool, PEERs, the
Singapore (Non-deal roadshow) Themes: CS PEERs: Kersley analysts have focused on the fundamental drivers of relative
Risks in the momentum/valuation across the supply chain, and broken
New World Development (0017.HK) commodity supply industries down into their end-customers and respective
Date 26 July, Singapore chain (8/6) multi-industry suppliers to look for “supply-chain anomalies”.
Analyst Susanna Leung
4) iPhone and its Manish Nigam The upcoming iPhone 8 model should revive medium-term
Europe (Non-deal roadshow) supply chain: unit growth, given pent-up demand and meaningful new
Identifying winners specs/features in the new offering. We have looked at the
Karex Bhd (KARE.KL) Post results implications of the iPhone 8 cycle for Apple and its global
through the chain
Date 31 July, London supply chain, and listed the major parts suppliers, their
(23/5) exposure to this product, and their valuations.
Analyst Joanna Cheah
5) Global Equity Andrew We remain modestly cautious on bonds, but nevertheless
Contact cseq.events@credit-suisse.com or your believe that on balance equities can continue to rally. Our
usual sales representative. Strategy: Stick with Garthwaite
equities (14/7) S&P 500 mid- and end-2017 targets were 2,400 and 2,500
respectively. We modestly raise the end-2017 target to
2,550, introduce a mid-2018 target of 2,600.
DISCLOSURE APPENDIX AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST
CERTIFICATIONS, LEGAL ENTITY DISCLOSURE AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. US Disclosure: Credit
Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware
that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report
as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
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Note: PE and EPS growth numbers for Australia and Japan corresponds to Jun 16-18 and Note: All sectoral data refer to Asia Pacific ex-Japan.
Mar 16-18; and EPS change numbers correspond to Jun 17-18 and Mar 18-19, respectively Source for all figures: MSCI, FactSet, Thomson Financial Datastream, Credit Suisse research
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OPERATIONAL
Top 10 sales growth (%) Top 10 gross margin (%) Top 10 EPS growth (%)
FY1 FY1 FY1
1 6462.TWO Egis Technology 232 1 8046.TW NYPCB 278 1 6462.TWO Egis Technology 824
2 1357.HK Meitu 163 2 2883.HK COSL (H) 183 2 000759.SZ ZBJT 816
3 0683.HK Kerry Properties 158 3 2448.TW Epistar 159 3 1200.HK Midland 742
4 COE.N 51Talk 120 4 3481.TW Innolux 149 4 0135.HK Kunlun Energy 485
5 OEBO.BO Oberoi Realty 119 5 1033.HK Sinopec SSC (H) 123 5 0762.HK China Unicom (H) 452
6 BUAB.KL Bumi Armada 119 6 SFUN.N SouFun 117 6 JD.OQ JD 387
7 MOMO.OQ Momo 119 7 3673.TW TPK 114 7 2888.HK STAN 378
8 600406.SS Guodian Nari 102 8 1038.HK CKI 107 8 WUBA.N 58.com 369
9 1478.HK Q Tech 77 9 0005.HK HSBC 96 9 028260.KS Cheil Ind 354
10 251270.KS Netmarble Games 77 10 2409.TW AUO 85 10 2409.TW AUO 342
Top 10 ROE (%) Top 10 Free Cashflow Yield (%) Top 10 Net cash/ equity (%)
FY1 FY1 FY1
1 TISC.BO Tata Steel 35.1 1 0267.HK CITIC 106.3 1 000651.SZ Gree 175
2 CEB.PS Cebu Air 24.1 2 0272.HK SOL 60.5 2 MRTI.BO Maruti Suzuki 149
3 078340.KQ Com2uS 22.9 3 MALA.KL Malakoff 51.5 3 8044.TWO PChome online 134
4 BUMI.SI Bumitama 22.5 4 066570.KS LG Electronics 39.6 4 HATC.KA HCAR 122
5 2238.HK GAC (H) 22.4 5 VDAN.BO Vedanta 37.6 5 COAL.BO Coal India 113
6 VDAN.BO Vedanta 21.6 6 3481.TW Innolux 36.9 6 600835.SS SMEIC 111
7 ITMG.JK ITM 21.3 7 BUAB.KL Bumi Armada 33.9 7 DL.N CDEL 109
8 8150.TW ChipMOS 21.2 8 JSWE.BO JSW Energy 33.7 8 4162.TWO PharmaEngine 104
9 SPALI.BK Supalai 20.4 9 001800.KS Orion 33.1 9 1072.HK Dongfang Electric (H) 104
10 IOC.BO IOCL 20.3 10 6176.TW Radiant 32.8 10 INED.NS InfoEdge 102
RELATIVE PERFORMANCE
Top 10 performers Bottom 10 performers
1M% 1M%
1 1478.HK Q Tech 43.8 1 LEJU.N Leju -38.9
2 JUBI.BO Jubilant Foodworks 39.4 2 001800.KS Orion -30.7
3 0384.HK China Gas 38.4 3 600008.SS Beijing Capital -25.5
4 2382.HK Sunny Optical 37.1 4 002007.SZ Hualan Bio -25.4
5 BZUN.OQ Baozun 37.0 5 DL.N CDEL -24.9
6 3918.HK NagaCorp 34.3 6 300017.SZ Wangsu -23.5
7 1728.HK Zhengtong Auto 30.3 7 1786.HK CRCCHT -22.5
8 0817.HK Jinmao 28.6 8 066570.KS LG Electronics -21.4
9 006400.KS SDI 25.4 9 HATC.KA HCAR -21.2
10 INAR.KL Inari 22.8 10 SCMA.JK SCMA -21.0
Note: Ratios based on Credit Suisse FY1 estimates (2017). Source: Credit Suisse estimates
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20 July 2017
● Largest Indian conglomerate but areas to improve—The Tata We believe new management's strategy will hinge on five key
Group with over 100 companies is India's largest conglomerate. objectives: (1) Improvement of return ratios, especially for larger
But the companies present a mixed bag—only four of the top-ten companies; (2) Focus on domestic consumption. This would likely be
have 15%+ ROE, TCS contributes 85-90% of group dividend, and for consumer businesses (Global, Chemicals, Voltas) and financial
there is a long tail with 94% of revenue from ten companies. services (Capital, insurance); (3) Simplification of the structure and
holding, including consolidating similar businesses in different entities
● New energy at the top—with the new CEO, N Chandrasekaran, and simplification of intra-group holdings; (4) Relevance—the Group
and his team, we expect renewed energy at the top, with five key has sub-optimal presence in some large segments such as financial
elements of strategy—improvement of return ratios (especially for services, retail/consumer and aviation. It would either want to scale up
Tata Motors, Tata Power, Tata Steel & Tata Teleservices), focus or exit some of these. It also has presence in small segments through
on domestic consumption, simplicity in structure and holding, companies whose sizes are not significant; and (5) Given the Group's
relevance in all sectors it is present in and digital initiatives. presence in technology and Chandra's background, it may step up its
digital initiatives across its various businesses.
● Shift in focus will raise return—Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Voltas
Figure 2: Tata Group's India B2C exposure is low, this should be a key
and Titan can benefit from the above. We estimate that if some of focus area going forward
the changes succeed, there could be incremental value creation Tata Group's India B2C revenue share
of US$10 bn+ in the above covered names and 20-40% gain for 18%
16%
17%
and domestic being only one-third of revenue, with domestic Return ratios Tata Motors: Domestic focus US$5 bn (22%)
consumption (ex-financial services) being less than 10%. Domestic consumption Tata Steel: domestic focus, international
restructuring
US$2 bn (18%)
The Group market capitalisation has been nearly flat over the last Simplicity, in structure
and holdings
Voltas: Expansion of consumer business US$0.5 bn (21%)
year, up 11% over three years, underperforming the Indian market. Relevance, in segments Titan: Focus on domestic consumption US$3 bn (37%)
Large companies—TCS, Tata Motors and Tata Steel—have where the Group has
presence Tata Chemicals: Consumption, cross-
holdings
US$0.5 bn (19%)
underperformed for over three years as have some smaller ones Digital initiatives across
segments Tata Global Beverages: Domestic, cross- US$0.6 bn (34%)
holdings
New energy at the top
N Chandrasekaran (Chandra, ex-CEO of TCS) took over as Chairman in Source: Credit Suisse research, Credit Suisse HOLT Lens for Titan, Tata Chemicals
January 2017 after a few months of turmoil following his predecessor's and Tata Global Beverages
dismissal. He is the first Chairman from outside the shareholding families Extract from the Asian Daily, 14 July 2017
and has a stellar track record of leading TCS for seven years. He, with his
new team, can provide renewed energy at the top, in our view.
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20 July 2017
● Thailand's aging population and demographics problem is a Mortgage borrowing pool to shrink
serious headwind for the Thai property sector. We believe the Although hard data is not available, we reckon the lion's share of
sector will be near the top of the casualty list. We examine the property purchases—in particular for borrowers under the age of 40—
impact of Thai demographics on residential property as part of a are financed via mortgages. We expect the pool of mortgage
larger market-wide analysis (link to big report). borrowers aged 25-40 will shrink by 8% by 2026. This is expected to
● Poor demographics and a shrinking labour force will play a role in reduce by another 8% in the next ten years. Given that younger
denting property demand. The lion's share of mortgage borrowers borrowers account for a disproportionately high amount of mortgage
are under the age of 40, a pool we expect to reduce in size originations, the actual impact would likely be even greater. Whereas
considerably over the next few decades. We project that the cohort 70% of new borrowers are between the ages of 25-40, they make up
aged 25-40 will shrink by 8% by 2026. less than 40% of the total population (Figure 1).
● We believe that our analysis supports our UNDERWEIGHT call on Figure 1: Age 25-40 cohort disproportionately high mortgage borrowers
Thai residential property stocks, identifying potential long-term (%)
implications we discuss question the viability of LH as a proxy for 25% 26% 25%
27%
Valuation metrics 5%
Company Ticker Rating Price Target Year P/E (x) P/B (x)
0%
Local price (prev.) T T+1 T+2 T+1 Ages 25-30 Ages 30-40 Ages 40-50 Ages 50-65
Land and Houses LH.BK N 9.90 9.20 12/16 14.3 14.3 2.4
Mortgage share Population share (2016)
Supalai SPALI.BK U 24.30 23.00 12/16 8.2 7.5 1.6
Quality Houses QH.BK N 2.52 2.60 12/16 8.5 8.1 1.1 Source: Credit Suisse estimates, Office of the National Economic and Social
AP (Thailand) AP.BK U 7.85 7.20 12/16 8.5 7.3 1.2 Development Board (NESDB).
L.P.N. LPN.BK U 11.80 10.60 12/16 11.8 10.0 1.4
Note: O = OUTPERFORM, N = NEUTRAL, U = UNDERPERFORM Low rates helpful for affordability
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Declining interest rates will increase affordability of home purchases,
Damaging for demand but we do not imagine this impact will alone counter the negative
Ailing demographics have numerous implications for residential impact from demographics. We predict that one of the outcomes of
property, almost all negative. A shrinking work force and adults Thailand's demographic situation will be falling interest rates—all else
entering their prime mortgage borrowing years (25-40) will surely have being equal, this should be considered a net positive for the
a negative impact on demand. Japan offers an ominous preview of affordability of home purchases. Our calculations suggest that every
what may be to come in this regard. We expect lower interest rates to 50 bp reduction in mortgage rates will improve affordability by 4%.
improve affordability, but do not imagine this will offset the blow from Opportunity in old age market
an aging population. That being said, old age housing presents a Thailand's demographics problem does present an opportunity for
potential opportunity for developers, although currently it is in too developers to potentially tap into, although it is hard to pinpoint
formative a stage for investors to provide credit to any names for. specific companies as winners today. An ageing society will surely
Senior housing preferences will likely favour living in condos over increase the demand for senior housing projects across the country.
landed property, softening the blow for developers with higher condo
exposure. Condo developers likely to suffer less
Whilst our analysis suggests that Thailand's ailing demographics will
Demographics a cut that runs deep have a negative impact for residential property, we believe the below
Investors are aware of Thailand's bad demographics, but few realise will not be uniform across developers. Senior preferences for housing
how seriously it already is affecting the market and how complicated will likely be skewed towards condos, for multiple reasons including :
the implications for various sectors are. Thailand is the oldest and (1) increasing difficulty of climbing stairs, (2) easier, maintenance-free
most rapidly aging developing market in Asia, with the highest old age lifestyle, and (3) rising costs of domestic labour.
dependency ratio.
Extract from the Asian Daily, 17 July 2017
Headwind for household formation
Thailand's ailing demographic trends deal a multifaceted blow to
household formation, a key driver of property demand over the
medium and long term.
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20 July 2017
● Having written about trough valuations over the last few years Our third blue sky scenario assumes P/B trades 10%
(see our report of 8 Jan 2016 How far from trough valuations?), above its long-term historical average.
we must admit we are rather nervous about writing on potential While the last five years has been associated with slowing ROEs and
blue sky scenarios. The three blue sky scenarios suggest potential a derating of P/B, our third blue sky scenario assumes a rerating of
upside ranging from 6% to 15%. In our first blue sky scenario P/B to 10% above its historical average as ROE rises towards its
which assumes 2017-18E consensus EPS growth is fully priced longer-term historical average which suggests 15% upside potential.
in, we get 6% to 8% upside. On this metric, Korea continues to
Figure 2: MSCI Asia ex-Japan (MXASJ) EPS upgrade cycles
offer the largest potential upside of 20%.
130 MXASJ - consensus EPS revision
● July so far is associated with a further 0.9% upgrade to 2017E +24%
125
consensus EPS (Korea +4.3% in July). This is now the 13th
consecutive month of upgrades to 2017E consensus EPS. If we 120
160
+41%
140 +27%
120
MXASJ YE
100 target 640
80
60
-6m -4m -2m 0m +2m +4m +6m +8m +10m +12m +14m +16m +18m
our report of 8 Jan 2016 How far from trough valuations?), we must
2.5
admit we are rather nervous about writing on potential blue sky
scenarios. The three blue sky scenarios suggest potential upside 2.0
1.70x now
ranging from 6% to 15%. In our first blue sky scenario which assumes
2017-18E consensus EPS growth is fully priced in, we get 6% to 8% 1.5
average: 1.77x
upside (see Figure 1). On this metric, Korea continues to offer the
1.0
largest potential upside of 20%.
Our second blue sky scenarios assumes further consensus 0.5
Dec-95 Dec-97 Dec-99 Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15
EPS upgrades
MXASJ - Trailing PB
July so far is associated with a further 0.9% upgrade to 2017E
consensus EPS (Korea +4.3% in July). This is now the 13th Source: MSCI
consecutive month of upgrades to 2017E Consensus EPS. If we Extract from the Asian Daily, 18 July 2017
assume upgrades continue and we track MXASJ’s performance in
2004, there appears to be a further 14% potential upside.
Jump-Start 14
20 July 2017
● MSCI Asia ex-Japan (MXASJ) and MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan Figure 2: Quant screen sorted using YTD laggards, PBV vs ROE
(MXAPJ) are fast approaching their 2007 highs. discount and one-month consensus EPS revision
PB rel
● We highlight that MXASJ’s current P/B of 1.7x is significantly less Price
lower than the 2007 high of 2.94x. 12-month forward P/E of 16.6x ROE EPS EPS (US$), %
is also higher than the current 13.4x. The DY was 3.3% lower than Mkt rel to (FY1) (FY1)
Code Company Price Rat. TP Cap ApxJ PB 3m 1m YTD rel to
the bond yield then versus 1.5% currently. 18-Jul (U$b) (%) Curr. chg chg MXAPJ
● With the valuation environment different from 2007, we are unsure 338 HK SPC 4.47 U 3.10 8.9 -94.0 1.58 4.8 2.4 5.7 -16.5
if price momentum would be as successful in 2017 as it was in TNB MK TNB 14.16 U 12.50 18.7 -38.7 1.42 2.9 6.1 6.6 -15.5
1988 HK CMBC 7.95 N 7.80 44.7 -80.1 0.72 0.0 0.8 -4.7 -26.9
2007. We instead suggest looking at laggards. 8 HK PCCW 4.34 N 5.20 4.3 -9.8 2.74 0.3 7.9 2.6 -19.6
● Our quant screen highlights Daelim Industrial, PICC Group, PTTEP TB PTTEP 84.75 N 96.00 10.0 4.0 0.82 11.4 5.4 -6.3 -28.5
6099 HK CMS 12.16 N 12.90 16.2 -20.6 1.15 n/a 1.5 0.0 -22.2
Hyundai Department Stores, Shinhan Financial, Fubon Financial
MLK MK Malakoff 1.06 N 1.30 1.2 -0.6 0.89 -8.0 1.5 -19.0 -41.2
and PTTGC as attractive. We do emphasise though that this is CTRA IJ Ciputra Dev. 1,180 O 1,480 1.7 24.6 1.85 -8.8 4.1 -10.1 -32.3
just a Quant screen and does not take into account bottom-up 3698 HK HSB 3.87 U 2.90 5.5 -83.1 0.72 0.5 0.5 -2.6 -24.7
factors. Full report. 6138 HK Harbin Bank 2.48 N 2.50 3.5 -85.1 0.61 -1.0 1.0 7.8 -14.4
2038 HK FIH 2.44 N 2.50 2.5 35.5 0.71 -140.0 20.0 -0.9 -23.1
Figure 1: MSCI Asia ex-Japan (MXASJ) – monthly from 31 Dec 1990 1359 HK Cinda 2.93 N 3.00 14.4 -78.5 0.68 5.0 0.6 3.6 -18.6
800 2799 HK Huarong 3.06 N 3.50 15.5 -110.2 0.80 6.2 0.8 8.9 -13.3
6818 HK CEB 3.82 U 3.40 28.9 -71.8 0.63 -3.8 0.8 7.5 -14.7
Record high 683
700 646 1658 HK PSBC 4.77 N 4.80 49.7 -54.0 0.88 4.0 2.0 13.1 -9.0
3377 HK Sino-Ocean 3.94 U 2.90 3.8 -38.9 0.58 -7.5 2.1 12.7 -9.5
600
PTT TB PTT 380 N 430 32.0 -36.9 1.29 3.6 1.2 8.9 -13.3
500 TOP TB Thai Oil 80.00 U 75.00 4.8 -70.3 1.44 12.3 4.9 17.8 -4.4
SMRA IJ Summarecon 1,140 O 1,600 1.3 108.3 2.61 3.3 7.8 -12.2 -34.4
400 322 HK Tingyi 9.00 U 7.40 6.5 74.4 2.40 7.5 7.5 -5.2 -27.4
895 HK Dongjiang 11.74 O 16.80 1.9 32.8 2.53 -6.7 1.2 -13.6 -35.8
300
CSR AU CSR 4.06 N 4.90 1.6 -43.9 1.67 17.9 0.2 -3.8 -26.0
200 000210 KS Daelim 90,300 O 105,000 2.8 -31.2 0.70 12.3 1.6 11.5 -10.7
1339 HK PICC Group 3.64 O 4.00 20.0 -44.6 1.01 5.4 2.5 18.0 -4.2
100
SIIC SP SIIC Environment 0.53 O 0.74 1.0 -14.0 0.95 -7.9 0.5 -5.2 -27.4
Dec-90 Dec-93 Dec-96 Dec-99 Dec-02 Dec-05 Dec-08 Dec-11 Dec-14
ANN AU Ansell 22.39 N 25.80 2.6 15.3 2.15 1.1 1.1 -0.8 -23.0
MSCI AC Asia ex-JP 069960 KS Hyundai Dept 108,000 O 143,000 2.2 -31.1 0.64 1.2 0.7 6.5 -15.7
998 HK Citic Bank 5.02 N 5.20 60.9 -66.6 0.57 -3.2 0.2 1.1 -21.1
Source: MSCI. 055550 KS Shinhan Fin 50,100 O 60,000 20.7 -40.1 0.73 16.9 3.0 19.1 -3.1
With markets nearing record highs … WFD AU Westfield 7.81 N 9.25 12.6 -17.9 1.18 0.3 0.3 -8.8 -31.0
392 HK BEH 40.80 O 57.00 6.7 -45.8 0.87 -0.5 0.8 10.6 -11.6
Figure 1 highlights MSCI Asia ex-Japan (MXASJ) rising to 646 and
CTX AU Caltex 31.27 O 39.70 6.4 -18.1 2.77 5.5 1.9 12.4 -9.8
fast approaching the record high of 683 in October 2007. We saw AALI IJ Astra Agro 15,150 O 17,800 2.2 -11.7 1.60 4.4 0.4 -8.8 -31.0
MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan (MXAP) rising to 505—also closing in on 1963 HK BOCQ 6.59 N 6.80 2.7 -90.0 0.71 -1.5 0.1 -0.4 -22.5
its record high of 586 in 2007. 1101 TT TCC 35.90 O 43.00 4.3 9.0 1.22 -4.4 2.3 8.3 -13.9
NMDC IN NMDC 119.60 U 98.00 5.9 -32.2 1.52 -2.0 0.3 2.2 -20.0
MXASJ PB of 1.7x versus 2.94x then 2881 TT Fubon FHC 47.65 O 58.00 16.0 -37.2 1.11 -4.9 0.1 -0.6 -22.8
We highlight that MXASJ’s current P/B of 1.7x is significantly lower PTTGC TB PTTGC 69.50 O 85.00 9.3 -34.1 1.21 7.4 1.9 17.6 -4.6
3396 HK Legend 20.90 N 22.80 6.3 -32.6 0.71 -0.2 5.4 20.7 -1.5
than the 2007 high of 2.94x. 12-month forward P/E of 16.6x is also
Source: Bloomberg, IBES, Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
higher than the current 13.4x. The DY was 3.3% lower than the bond
yield then versus 1.5% currently. Extract from the Asian Daily, 20 July 2017
Jump-Start 15
20 July 2017
● We have been highlighting in recent notes the 13th consecutive 2017E MXASJ ex. Korea EPS growth is still 13.5%
month of upgrades to 2017E consensus EPS for MXASJ, But before investors lose all hope and sell MXASJ, we highlight that
representing the third-best EPS upgrade cycle since our data MXASJ ex. Korea EPS growth is 13.5% in 2017E and 11.7% in
started in 2001. 2018E.
● While we recognised that Korea was a big driver of this, we must Figure 2: MXASJ ex. Korea 2017E consensus EPS
admit that we are surprised that there is NO EPS upgrade cycle if 100.0
we exclude Korea. 2017E consensus EPS for MXASJ ex. Korea is
down 1% since 30 June 2016 versus +7.5% for MXASJ. 99.8
Upgrades Dec-Mar
● While MXASJ ex. Korea was associated with upgrades to 2017E 99.6
consensus EPS from December 2016 to March 2017, we saw
99.4
downgrades since April. For the latest month of July, MXASJ is
associated with a 0.9% EPS upgrade versus a 0.2% downgrade 99.2
for MXASJ ex Korea. Drivers of these downgrades are India and 99.0
Indonesia. As both are in our Expensive 4 club, with Malaysia and -0.2% in Jul
the Philippines, we reiterate our Underweight on these markets. 98.8
Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17
● But before investors lose all hope and sell MXASJ, we highlight MXASJ ex Korea - EPS17E
that MXASJ ex Korea EPS growth is 13.5% in 2017E and 11.7%
Source: MSCI, IBES
in 2018E. Full report.
Figure 1: MSCI Asia ex. Japan EPS upgrade cycles Figure 3: India's 2017E consensus EPS
130 MXASJ - consensus EPS revision
+24% 100
125
98
120 96 -14% since 30 June 2016
115 +14% 94
92
110 +7.5%
90
105 88
-1.0% 86
100
84 -0.9% in Jul-17
95
-6m -4m -2m 0m +2m +4m +6m +8m +10m +12m +14m +16m +18m 82
Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17
EPS 2004 EPS 2010 EPS 2017E MXASJ ex Korea - EPS17E
India - EPS17
Source: IBES, MSCI
Source: IBES
If we exclude Korea, there is no EPS upgrade cycle
We have been highlighting in our recent notes the 13th consecutive
Figure 4: Indonesia's 2017E consensus EPS
month of upgrades to 2017E consensus EPS for MSCI Asia ex. Japan
(MXASJ) and that this represents the third-best EPS upgrade cycle 102
since our data started in 2001. While we recognised that Korea was a
101
big driver of this, we must admit that we are surprised that there is NO
EPS upgrade cycle if we exclude Korea. Figure 1 highlights that 100
2017E consensus EPS for MXASJ ex Korea is down 1% since 30
99
June 2016 versus +7.5% for MXASJ.
98
MXASJ ex. Korea EPS revisions turned negative from April
While MXASJ ex. Korea was associated with upgrades to 2017E 97 -0.6% in Jul-17
consensus EPS from December 2016 to March 2017, Figure 2 96
highlights downgrades since April. For the latest month of July, Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17
MXASJ is associated with a 0.9% EPS upgrade versus a 0.2% Indonesia - EPS17
downgrade for MXASJ ex. Korea. The drivers of these downgrades Source: IBES
are India (-0.9%) and Indonesia (-0.6%). As both India and Indonesia
Extract from the Asian Daily, 20 July 2017
are in our Expensive 4 club, together with Malaysia and the
Philippines, we reiterate our Underweight call on these markets.
Jump-Start 16
20 July 2017
● We review the performance of the China/HK market in 1H17 and Tug of war between the US market and A-share
identify key market driving factors going forward in this report. In the last few years, China tech stocks have benefited from the
● Earnings improvement largely discounted. China’s economy is strong performance of the US market (largely driven by re-rating).
showing signs of peaking, and we expect growth to slow down However, with both P/E and P/B of MSCI US already higher than any
gradually ahead. Post 2018, the growth outlook would be even period post the last internet bubble in 2002, there is a risk of
more underwhelming. Therefore, we believe the earnings upgrade correction in the US market, which in turn could affect the China IT
cycle is coming to an end. stocks, particularly those in the IT sector. In contrast, if China’s
interbank liquidity ends up being less stringent, it could trigger a
● Tug of war between the US market and A-share. The strong US meaningful rebound in the A-share index, which in turn could benefit
market performance in the last few years has benefited China/HK the China stocks listed in HK. This scenario is likely, because as
stocks (IT sector in particular), but its potential correction would be economic growth already shows signs of peaking, PBOC will not
a risk factor. In contrast, if China’s interbank liquidity loosens further tighten the liquidity significantly from its current level. But with
ahead of the 19th Party Congress and benefits the A-share leverage of the financial sector remains high, we also believe it is
market, it could be a boost to the HK stocks as well. highly unlikely that PBOC will ease significantly.
● How to position? We believe insurance and large-cap property
How to position?
companies are still good plays, irrespective of the performance of
Scenario 1: A-share remains stagnant
A-share in the second half. We slightly increase the weighting of
In this scenario, we suggest rotational buying. Investors should avoid
China banks to put it back to NEUTRAL while the IT sector
sectors with massive outperformance in the last two quarters, such as
continues to be an UNDERWEIGHT.
Consumer Discretionary, IT and Real Estate (with the exception of
large-cap property stocks which have been underperforming the
Figure 1: Correlation of MSCI China Sectors with SHCOMP & S&P 500
sector). In contrast, we believe that sectors which have been
underperforming earlier this year, such as energy, banks, telecoms
and Macau gaming due to their more modest earnings outlook, could
end up being beneficiaries in this stagnant market environment.
Scenario 2: A-share market rally
If A-share market rallies due to another round of liquidity easing, we
believe sectors like financial, industrials and materials will benefit due
to the high correlation with A-share market. Also, telecoms and Macau
gaming could start to benefit as mainland investors are more familiar
with HK stocks and on a fundamental basis, the earnings, dividend
and trading profile of China banks and telecom stocks are quite
similar.
Scenario 3: The US market continues to rally
We cannot rule out the scenario that the US market rally will continue,
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream. which will definitely benefit the IT stocks. However, we believe that
Earnings improvement largely discounted after years of re-rating, the risk-reward of this trade is becoming rather
China’s economy is showing signs of peaking, as the positive factors unfavourable. So, we have not made any room for it while designing
(exports, industrial investment and property investment) supporting our model portfolio.
the economic rebound in 2017 may start to lose steam in 2018. Index targets and model portfolios
Additionally, infrastructure investment, the key contributor to the GDP Our 12-month rolling targets for MSCI China, HSCEI, HSI and MSCI
growth, will probably slowdown in 2018. Due of the heavy reliance of HK Index remain at 73, 11,000, 25,500 and 14,000, respectively, as
infrastructure projects on debt financing and de-leverage, the real the cyclical upturn of macro and earnings fundamentals are peaking.
economy being the key task of new administration, Therefore, we Overall, we still like insurance and big-cap property stocks, and
expect growth to slow down gradually ahead, and post 2018, growth believe that the valuation and the US market factor could make the IT
outlook would be even more underwhelming. Furthermore, with the stocks vulnerable. Therefore, we slightly increase the weighting of
economic growth likely peaking, we believe the earnings upgrade China banks to put it back to NEUTRAL, while the IT sector continues
cycle is coming to an end. to be an UNDERWEIGHT.
Extract from the Asian Daily, 14 July 2017
Jump-Start 17
20 July 2017
● We believe the street earnings downgrade cycle has come to an stocks that suffered the largest cuts in net profit estimates were
end, and we see room for earnings momentum to turn positive. Axiata, Karex, Sapura, Uzma, Bumi Armada, BAT, Astro and IJM.
Following the long streak of street earnings downgrades, street's
Where could there be earnings surprises?
net profit growth expectation of 4.1% in 2017 and 7% in 2018 do Looking through our forecasts, we believe street's earnings forecasts
not appear challenging to meet. appear understated for construction, gaming, GLC banks and
● Sectors that saw the largest upgrades in street net profit estimates consumer sector. Stocks that we like that could benefit from potential
over the last six months were petrochemical, property, aviation, upgrades in street earnings estimates are Gamuda, IJM, CIMB,
gaming and banks. While sectors that suffered the largest Genting Malaysia, Genting Bhd, Carlsberg and Padini. On the other
downgrades were oil and gas, telecommunications, rubber, hand, sectors that could potentially see downgrades in street's
consumer and construction. earnings estimates are plantation, power and rubber. Stocks that we
● We believe street's earnings forecasts appear understated for believe could UNDERPERFORM on the back of potential earnings
construction, gaming, GLC banks and consumer sector. On the disappointments are IOI, FGV, Tenaga and Kossan.
other hand, sectors that could potentially see downgrades in Sentiment tracker
street's earnings estimates are plantation, power and rubber Overall sentiment for market is nearer to the low-end of the historic
● Overall sentiment for market is nearer to low-end of the historic range. range. Sentiment has rebounded slightly from the recent low in 4Q16
Sentiment is yet to even recover to the level when the 1Malaysia (when RM weakened substantially following measures to restrict off-
Development Berhad (1MDB) concerns were at its worst. Therefore, it shore trading of RM) but has yet to even recover to the level when the
does not appear that the street is overly bullish on the market yet. 1MDB concerns was at its worst. Therefore, it does not appear that
Room for upside to street’s market growth estimate
the street is overly bullish on the market yet. Street seems most
We believe the street earnings downgrade cycle has come to an end, positive on construction, property and O&G sectors.
and we see room for earnings momentum to turn positive. Having Figure 1: Street’s 2017 market net profit has been stable in 2017
consistently seen downgrades in street earnings estimates since early 68,000
2016, we notice the downgrades have tapered-off in the last six 66,000
64,000
street's net profit growth expectation of 4.1% in 2017 and 7% in 2018 60,000
58,000
forecasted to grow 4-5% p.a. The market now trades at 15.7x one- 54,000
52,000
year forward P/E, in line with historical average. CS market net profit 50,000
Jun-15 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17
growth forecast of 6.4% in 2017 and 9.8% in 2018 suggests that there Source: Credit Suisse estimates, IBES estimates.
could be upside risk to street's earnings forecasts. We believe street's
earnings forecasts appear understated for construction, gaming, GLC Figure 2: 2017-18 net profit growth (CS/street)
banks and consumer sector.
-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0%
O&G
Tech
Chemicals
Where have there been major estimate changes? Constuction
Sectors that saw the largest upgrades in street NP estimates over the
Banks
Rubber
Gaming
last six months (ranked in order of percentage change to street net Market
Plantations
banks. Among the stocks, we saw biggest upgrades over six months Property
Aviation
CIMB. Sectors that suffered the largest downgrades were oil and gas, Street CS
telecommunications, rubber, consumer and construction. Among the Source: Credit Suisse estimates, IBES estimates.
Figure 3: Top picks
Ticker Yr end Price (RM) Rating TP (RM) Upside (%) Mkt Cap (RM mn) P/E (t) P/E (t+1) P/E (t+2) P/B (t+1) DY (t+1) ROE (t+1)
SIME SIME MK Jun 9.54 O 11.20 17% 64,880 25.1 24.8 26.8 1.8 2.8% 7%
CIMB CIMB MK Dec 6.34 O 7.10 12% 57,390 15.5 12.2 10.4 1.2 3.1% 10%
Genting GENT MK Dec 9.24 O 11.00 19% 35,258 16.1 15.1 13.4 0.9 1.0% 6%
Genting Msia GENMMK Dec 5.70 O 6.75 18% 33,847 16.9 17.5 15.4 1.5 1.4% 9%
MAHB MAHB MK Dec 8.63 O 11.05 28% 14,319 203.4 58.4 36.8 1.8 0.9% 3%
Gamuda GAM MK Jul 5.40 O 5.90 9% 13,228 21.5 17.1 14.4 1.5 2.2% 11%
IJM IJM MK Mar 3.48 O 4.30 24% 12,620 19.2 16.2 14.0 2.1 2.5% 8%
TIME dotCom TDC MK Dec 9.59 O 10.20 6% 5,546 28.4 24.7 20.7 2.4 1.0% 10%
Padini PAD MK Jun 3.63 O 4.08 13% 2,388 17.4 14.6 13.1 4.3 3.2% 29%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Extract from the Asian Daily, 14 July 2017
Jump-Start 18
20 July 2017
● We expect the demand on EMUs (electric multiple units) to Constructors continue to struggle with revenue recognition
normalise at 300-350 units over 2017-19—weaker than market We do not expect the gap between revenue recognition and new order
expectations and ~30% below its peak, given (1) the unexciting growth to narrow in the near term. Execution of projects is at a similar
new length addition and (2) moderate rise in density. Inter-city can pace as last year without significant acceleration. Preparation duration
provide some extra demand but it faces potential delays. for PPP projects is still much longer than traditional cash construction.
● We expect no acceleration in revenue growth, given longer PPP Despite 30-50% new order growth since 2H16, revenue fails to pick up
project execution despite new order growth staying strong in and we expect it to continue to see single-digit growth in 2017.
1H17. We believe order growth will slow in 2H17 due to (1) a high Figure 2: The widening gap between new order and revenue growth
base and (2) tightening regulations on PPP. (CRG+CRCC)
● Looking forward, we believe the sales momentum for construction 40%
machinery will remain solid in 3Q17. We think the overall demand 30%
on CRG and CRCC given slowing revenue recognition. CRRC and -10%
ZZCRRC are the least preferred, given the unexciting demand on
EMUs despite rising low-margin urban transit. Full report -20%
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
1Q17
Figure 1: Annual EMU demand breakdown Revenue YoY growth New order YoY growth
700
600
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
500 Construction machinery in a sweet spot with robust sales
400
and better profitability
300
200
YTD sales volume surprised the market on the upside with no slowing
100 down. We believe the robust sales will boost 1H17 results with margin
-
(100)
expansion.
(200) Figure 3: Margins recovered in 1Q17
(300) 40%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
35%
Length-HSR Length-Intercity Density
30%
to normalise at 300-350 units over 2017-19, ~30% below the peak -10%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q17
given the unexciting new length addition over 2017-20E and a Gross margin-Zoomlion GM-Sany
moderate increase in density. China Standard EMU is more symbolic Net margin-Zoomlion Net margin-Sany
than a practical growth driver with a lower-than-expected ASP. Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Valuation metrics
Company Ticker Rating Price Target Scenario Year EPS chg (%) EPS EPS grth (%) P/E (x) DY (%) ROE (%) P/B (x)
(prev.) Local price (prev.) Blue sky Grey sky T T+1 T+2 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+1 T+1
Lonking 3339.HK O (O) 2.66 3.00 (3.00) 3.30 2.70 12/16 0 0 0.13 0.17 34 27 17.3 13.6 3.0 8.4 1.4
Zoomlion (H) 1157.HK O (O) 4.03 5.40 (5.40) 5.80 5.00 12/16 0 0 0.10 0.17 n.m. 80 36.5 20.3 4.3 2.0 0.7
Sany 600031.SS O (O) 7.93 10.00 (10.00) 11.20 9.00 12/16 0 0 0.25 0.38 830 54 31.9 20.8 1.2 8.1 2.5
CCCC (H) 1800.HK O (O) 10.48 13.70 (13.70) 15.00 12.50 12/16 0 0 1.19 1.35 22 14 7.7 6.7 2.7 11.5 0.8
CRCC (H) 1186.HK U (U) 10.56 9.50 (9.50) 10.50 8.50 12/16 0 0 1.07 1.12 5 5 8.5 8.2 1.9 10.6 0.9
CRG (H) 0390.HK U (U) 6.42 5.60 (5.60) 6.20 5.00 12/16 0 0 0.60 0.64 20 8 9.4 8.7 1.8 10.2 0.9
CRRC (H) 1766.HK U (U) 7.09 4.40 (4.40) 5.00 4.00 12/16 0 0 0.33 0.33 (12) 1 18.5 18.4 1.5 8.4 1.5
Zhuzhou CSR 3898.HK U (U) 39.15 34.00 (34.00) 37.50 33.00 12/16 0 0 2.38 2.47 3 4 14.3 13.8 1.3 16.4 2.2
Note: O = OUTPERFORM, N = NEUTRAL, U = UNDERPERFORM, Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Extract from the Asian Daily, 18 July 2017
Jump-Start 19
20 July 2017
● Thailand is entering an aging era, with the share of population Spending per head is much higher for aging persons
over 49 expected to rise from 30% in 2015 to 44% by 2035. The According to statistics from Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labor and
hospital industry appears poised to thrive. Our comparison of Welfare (MHLW), medical spending per person in Japan increases
Thailand with Japan finds that expenditure growth could now be at substantially once people move from 15–44 age group to 45–64 age
an inflection point of accelerating expenditures. Full report. group and the curve is even steeper after entering the 65+ age group
● We forecast Thailand's health spend to GDP ratio to almost double (Figure 2). We believe the spending pattern is similar everywhere,
from 5.4% in 2015 to 9.5% in 2035. The Public sector has led the including Thailand.
health expenditure growth in the past decade and we believe the Figure 2: Health expenditures by age group (Japan 2013)
trend will likely continue given that dependence on public health (¥ 1,000/head)
600
insurance schemes by the aged population will likely increase. 536
● Both BCH and CHG have a relatively large exposure to Social 500
6
schemes, etc.,) has already shown stronger growth than private health
5 expenditure in the past decade. We expect this trend to continue
4 given that dependence on public insurance schemes to meet medical
3 bills will likely increase in the aging population society. Both BCH and
2
CHG have a relatively large exposure to Social Security (SSO) and
both should be one of the greatest potential beneficiaries.
1
0
16E
17E
18E
19E
20E
21E
22E
23E
24E
25E
26E
27E
28E
29E
30E
31E
32E
33E
34E
35E
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
Jump-Start 20
20 July 2017
● 2Q17 sales and profitability at the low-end of guidance. 2Q17 sales 24% QoQ as management acknowledged fabless inventory will take
was -8.6% QoQ, the lower half of guidance due to slow China one more quarter to return to normal. We also believe Qualcomm
smartphone demand and fabless inventory correction. On lower shifting modem and mid-tier Snapdragon 450/630/660 to Samsung
utilisation, profitability dropped with GMs/OpM at 50.8%/38.9%, taking 14nm has a modest offset through 2018. We also model +9.5% YoY
2Q17 EPS to NT$2.56, vs. CS/street NT$2.57/NT$2.65. in 2018 below street +13.5% YoY, but in-line with management
maintaining +5-10% growth CAGR.
● 3Q17 rebounds, but light of street. Sales were guided +15-16%
QoQ on the build for iPhone 8 though partially offset by higher Figure 1: TSMC 2Q17 results and 3Q17 CS estimates vs. street
fabless inventory levels, near CS +17% QoQ but below street +24%
2Q17 3Q17
(NT$ mn) Actual CS(old) Street CS CS(old) Street Guidance
US$8.12-8.22bn/NT$246-
QoQ. We believe Qualcomm will shift more allocation to Samsung Sales 213,856 213,855 215,192 248,066 250,509 264,679 249bn
in 2018, and we model +9.5% YoY in 2018 vs street +13.5% YoY. Chg (%) -8.6 -8.6 -8.0 16.0 17.1 23.8 +15.0% to 16.4% QoQ
GM (%) 50.8 51.5 51.3 49.6 49.5 50.2 48.5-50.5%
● 2H17 margins a bit lower as 10nm ramps. GMs were guided OpM (%) 38.9 39.6 40.3 38.5 38.6 40.1 37-39%
down from 50.8% in 2Q17 to 48.5-50.5% in 3Q17, with impact Net Inc. 66,271 66,568 69,700 86,695 87,780 95,695 FX: NT$30.3:1
EPS (NT$) 2.56 2.57 2.65 3.34 3.39 3.68
from 10nm ramp and reversal of WIP inventory build in 1H17.
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Bloomberg consensus
● Maintain NEUTRAL. We maintain our 2017/18E but lift TP to
2H17 margins a bit lower as 10nm ramps
NT$210 (from NT$202) rolling over to 15x 2018E. We believe the
GMs reached 50.8% in 2Q17, down from peak 51.9% in 1Q17 and
stock and estimates reflect high iPhone expectations, and new guided to 48.5-50.5% in 3Q17, in-line with CS 49.5% but below street
growth areas may offset maturing smartphones to keep growth at 50.2%. The company maintained a 200-300 bp impact from 10nm
rates and multiples at similar up-cycle levels. Full report. ramp for iPhone 8 and reversal of WIP inventory build in 1H17 and
hitting the P&L in 2H17. Inventory days up from 41 days to 53 days in
Bbg/RIC 2330 TT / 2330.TW Price (13 Jul 17 , NT$) 214.50 2Q17 boosted utilization but should reverse by 1Q18.
Rating (prev. rating) N (N) TP (prev. TP NT$) 210.00 (202.00)
52-wk range (NT$) 218.0 - 168.5 Est. pot. % chg. to TP (2) Figure 2: TSMC’s re-rating has matched US Semis
Mkt cap (NT$/US$ bn) 5,562.1/ 183.5 Blue sky scenario (NT$) 223.94 P/E expansion (Benchmark date: 1/8/2012)
ADTO-6M (US$ mn) 200.2 Grey sky scenario (NT$) 167.95 1.5
Free float (%) 87.3 Performance 1M 3M 12M 1.4
Major shareholders National Absolute (%) 3.1 13.5 27.3
1.3
1.2
Development Fund Relative (%) (0.2) 6.0 9.2 1.1
(6.4%)
1.0
Year 12/15A 12/16A 12/17E 12/18E 12/19E 0.9
Revenue (NT$ mn) 843,497 947,938 961,752 1,053,263 1,143,889 0.8
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 544,098 600,890 638,334 692,588 752,961 0.7
Net profit (NT$ mn) 287,469 334,245 334,585 362,915 401,918 0.6
EPS (CS adj. NT$) 11.1 12.9 12.9 14.0 15.5
1/6/2012
5/6/2012
9/6/2012
1/6/2013
5/6/2013
9/6/2013
1/6/2014
5/6/2014
9/6/2014
1/6/2015
5/6/2015
9/6/2015
1/6/2016
5/6/2016
9/6/2016
1/6/2017
- Change from prev. EPS (%) n.a. n.a. 0.0 0 6.0
- Consensus EPS (NT$) n.a. n.a. 13.5 14.9 16.8
EPS growth (%) 9.0 16.3 0.1 8.5 10.7 TSMC P/E SOX P/E
P/E (x) 19.3 16.6 16.6 15.3 13.8
Dividend yield (%) 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.2 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates.
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.6 8.6 8.0 7.2 6.5 Less upside now with valuation and estimates a bit high
P/B (x) 4.6 4.0 3.6 3.3 3.0 Our estimates for 2017/2018 EPS should stay broadly intact at
ROE (%) 25.4 25.6 22.7 22.2 22.4 NT$12.90/NT$14.00 but below street of NT$13.56/NT$14.93. We
Net debt(cash)/equity (%) (27.1) (27.5) (29.9) (34.8) (36.9)
Note 1: ORD/ADR=5.00. Note 2: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. is principally
believe the stock and estimates reflect high iPhone expectations. New
engaged in the research, development, manufacture and distribution of integrated circuit (IC) related growth areas may offset maturing smartphones to keep growth rates
products. The company operates its businesses through wafer manufacture, mask production. and multiples at similar upcycle levels which have re-rated during the
Click here for detailed financials past five years, in line with the SOX re-rating, keeping the stock
performing more in line with tech.
2Q17 sales and profitability at the low-end of guidance
TSMC reported 2Q17 sales at NT$213.9 bn (-8.6% QoQ), the lower Figure 3: Maintaining 2017/2018 estimates with long term outlook intact
half of guidance for -8-9% QoQ due to slow China smartphone (NT$ mn)
2016
Actual CS
2017
CS(old) Diff Street CS
2018
CS(old) Diff Street
20
demand and fabless inventory adjustments from record high levels Sales 947,938 961,752 963,292 0% 961,272 1,053,263 1,054,624 0% 1,093,329
exiting 1Q17. With sales at the lower-end and advanced capacity less Chg (%) 12.4 1.5 1.6 1.4 9.5 9.5 13.7
utilised, profitability was lower with GMs/OpM at 50.8%/38.9% vs GM (%) 50.1 50.5 50.4 50.8 50.6 50.4 50.6
Jump-Start 21
20 July 2017
● We upgrade Fubon FHC to OUTPERFORM (from Neutral) after At the same time, Fubon Life's book value sensitivities to bond yield
rolling over our estimates to 2018 and raising our target price to changes have almost halved since mid-2015 after a significant cut in
NT$58 (from NT$54). We also raise our FY17-19E by 3-6%. AFS bond holdings in the past two years.
● Fubon's share underperformed TAIEX 16% YTD on concern over Well positioned for better LT profitability and asset growth
weak 1H17 profits (-21% YoY) and the impact of bond MTM. With Longer-term, Fubon Life is one of the few life companies in Taiwan
TWD stabilised (lower forex hedging cost) and the benefit of strong with profitable backbook that we estimate is generating a recurring
equity markets/dividend income in 3Q17, we expect Fubon to see ROE of ~5%. And we estimate new business each year is adding 1-
strong profit rebound in 2H17 that is likely to extend into 1H18. 1.5% recurring ROE (NT$2-3 bn profits) to the overall business before
● Longer-term, Fubon Life is one of the few Taiwanese life companies considering any impact from higher rates. On the bank side, Fubon is
with a profitable backbook where we estimate new business each the only Taiwanese bank with complete full bank licenses in all greater
year adds 1-1.5% recurring ROE to the business. Meanwhile, it is the China markets that will continue to support faster asset growth of mid-
only Taiwanese bank with full bank licenses in all greater China to-high single digit vs low-to-mid single digit growth for the sector.
markets that will continue to support faster asset growth. Figure 1: Fubon FHC's share underperformed TAIEX by 16% YTD on
● Fubon FHC is currently trading at 0.9x FY18E P/EV estimates. concern over its weak 1H17 profits
We believe the likely earnings rebound in 2H17 should reverse at (NT$ mn) Fubon FHC's net profit Fubon's share price (RHS) (NT$)
60
least part of Fubon's underperformance YTD with the group's 25,000 55
underlying profitability and growth prospect largely intact. 20,000 50
Bbg/RIC 2881 TT / 2881.TW Price (13 Jul 17, NT$) 47.55 15,000 45
Rating (prev. rating) O (N) TP (prev. TP NT$) 58.00 (54.00) 40
10,000
52-wk range (NT$) 53.1 - 38.1 Est. pot. % chg. to TP 22 35
5,000 30
Mkt cap (NT$/US$ bn) 486.6/ 16.1 Blue sky scenario (NT$) 64.00
ADTO-6M (US$ mn) 29.2 Grey sky scenario (NT$) 52.00 0 25
4Q17E
3Q17E
2Q14
1Q16
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
1Q17
2Q17
Free float (%) 50.0 Performance 1M 3M 12M
Major shareholders Tsai family(31%), Absolute (%) 2.8 0.5 24.8
TPE City Gov't(13%) Relative (%) (1.0) (6.9) 6.8 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Year 12/15A 12/16A 12/17E 12/18E 12/19E
Figure 2: Fubon Life's book value sensitivity to bond yield change
Pre-prov Op profit (NT$ mn) 77,994.3 56,052.3 52,322.0 62,757.6 71,074.2
Net profit (NT$ mn) 63,593 48,421 44,520 51,219 56,310 almost halved since 3Q15
EPS (CS adj. NT$) 6.21 4.73 4.35 5.00 5.50 Impact to Fubon Life's BV if +25bps of interest rate
- Change from prev. EPS (%) n.a. n.a. 3 4 6 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17E
- Consensus EPS (NT$) n.a. n.a. 4.87 5.32 5.93 0.0%
note part of this weaker investment income was due to a NT$3.4 bn (c) Spread = (a)-(b) -0.69% 0.00% 0.30% -0.61% -0.43%
(d) Mortality / loading gains 0.50% 0.30% 0.25% 0.35% 0.40%
realised loss on Delta Lloyd investment, and we believe Fubon's (e) Net = (c)+ (d) -0.19% 0.30% 0.55% -0.26% -0.03%
management was also actively cleaning its investment book in 1H17. (f) Total assets (NT$bn) 5,612 3,399 1,343 2,340 1,336
It is also likely, in our view, that this earnings improvement could (g) Total Equity (NT$bn) 373 220 80 76 69
extend into 1H18 (+15% YoY), assuming we do not see similar (h) Asset/Equity (X) = (f)/(g) 15.0 15.5 16.7 30.9 19.2
amount of forex loss or other large realised losses as in 1H17. (i) ROE (%) -2.8% 4.7% 9.3% -7.9% -0.6%
(j) Recurring profits (NT$bn) = (e) * (f) (10.6) 10.3 7.4 (6.0) (0.4)
Jump-Start 22
20 July 2017
● After the 30% YoY sales rise in 1H17, Brilliance's BMW JV kicked Figure 2: Brilliance BMW JV weighted average retail price discount
off 2H17 strongly with July's first week volume up 74% YoY. In 20%
particular, the new generation BMW 5-series sedan rose 24% 19%
YoY and is enjoying 2-3 months waiting list with ZERO discounts. 18%
● Thanks to the reduced competition as Audi dealers did not fight for 17%
volumes in 1H17 opposing the proposed SAIC-Audi JV, the BMW 16%
JV's 1H17 average retail price discounts declined by 0.5% HoH and 15%
3% YoY to 15.2%. Thus, we estimate the BMW JV to deliver Rmb2.7 14%
bn investment income in 1H17 (up 40% YoY), above consensus. 13%
● Considering the stronger-than-expected BMW 5-series sales and 12%
pricing, we revise up Brilliance's target price to HK$20 (from HK$12.8) 11%
after raising 2017-19 earnings estimates by 7-12% with higher margin 10%
assumption. Our target price is based on 11x 2018 P/E, largely in line Jan- Mar- May- Jul- Sep- Nov- Jan- Mar- May- Jul- Sep- Nov- Jan- Mar- May-
with Brilliance's historical average 12-month forward P/E. 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17
Brilliance BMW price discount Semi-year average
● Considering its strong earnings growth ahead (up 33%/12% YoY in Source: Thinkercar
2018/2019), we upgrade Brilliance from Neutral to OUTPERFORM.
Figure 3: Brilliance BMW sales in the first week of July 2017
Key catalyst: 1H17 result beat via BMW AG result (out 3 Aug).
(unit) Jul-17 Jul-16 Jun-17 YoY MoM
Bbg/RIC 1114 HK / 1114.HK Price (17 Jul 17 , HK$) 16.84 1-7 1-8 1-9
Rating (prev. rating) O (N) TP (prev. TP HK$) 20.00 (12.80) 5 6 7
52-wk range (HK$) 16.84 - 8.14 Est. pot. % chg. to TP 19 Brilliance BMW 5,622 3,873 4,931 74% 60%
Mkt cap (HK$/US$ bn) 85.0/ 10.9 Blue sky scenario (HK$) 25.00
ADTO-6M (US$ mn) 26.6 Grey sky scenario (HK$) 14.00 BMW 3 Series 1,934 1,168 2,017 99% 34%
Free float (%) 57.4 Performance 1M 3M 12M BMW 5 Series 1,794 1,731 291 24% 763%
Major shareholders Huachen Absolute (%) 18.9 42.5 89.6 BMW 2 Series 239 181 377 58% -11%
Relative (%) 13.0 27.7 57.5
BMW 1 Series 469 0 728
Year 12/15A 12/16A 12/17E 12/18E 12/19E
Revenue (Rmb mn) 4,863 5,125 4,629 5,029 5,629 BMW X1 1,186 793 1,518 79% 9%
EBITDA (Rmb mn) (470.3) (471.8) (383.7) (388.9) (445.3) Source: Tthinkercar
Net profit (Rmb mn) 3,495 3,682 5,961 7,927 8,873
EPS (CS adj. Rmb) 0.69 0.73 1.18 1.57 1.76 Key downside risks are: (1) lower-than-expected 5-series sales if
- Change from prev. EPS (%) n.a. n.a. 7.5 12.3 11.3 Mercedes-Benz E-class increases its supply via launching a low-end
- Consensus EPS (Rmb) n.a. n.a. 0.95 1.25 1.56 version or heavy promotion, and (2) a potentially rising price discount
EPS growth (%) (35.3) 5.4 61.9 33.0 11.9 across the board for all BMW brand products if FAW Audi dealers
P/E (x) 21.1 20.0 12.4 9.3 8.3
Dividend yield (%) 0.6 0 0 0 0 come back to fight for volumes from 2H17 after reaching an
EV/EBITDA (x) (158.2) (158.8) (194.2) (188.4) (161.1) agreement with Audi AG in May 2017.
P/B (x) 3.7 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.6
ROE (%) 19.0 16.9 22.3 23.6 21.1 Figure 4: Brilliance historical 12-month forward P/E multiples
Net debt(cash)/equity (%) 3.5 5.2 2.7 (1.3) (4.5) 20
Note 1: ORD/ADR=50.00. Note 2: Brilliance, a proxy for the China luxury car sector, is involved in a
50:50 JV with BMW, and produces BMW 3-series, 5-series sedans and X1 SUV in China. It is also 18
China's largest light bus maker.
16
Click here for detailed financials 13.8x
14
Figure 1: Brilliance Group June 2017 & 1H2017 sales by model
12
(unit) Jun-17 YoY MoM 6M 2017 YoY
Total Sales 34,226 7.2% -2.5% 215,878 18.1% 10 11.2x
Brilliance BMW 27,571 2% -12% 184,998 30%
8
BMW 1 Series 3,322 NM 24% 11,565 NM 8.6x
BMW 2 Series 1,698 15% -13% 8,429 53% 6
BMW 3 Series 9,210 32% -29% 63,073 23%
4
BMW 5 Series 5,275 -63% 12% 59,193 -13%
BMW X1 8,061 84% -12% 42,725 142% 2
Zinoro 5 NM 400% 13 NM 0
Brilliance Jinbei 6,655 40% 85% 30,880 -24%
Granse 1,815 116% 59% 10,327 41%
Huasong 7 2,002 891% 100000% 2,203 45%
Jinbei Light Bus 2,838 -23% 15% 18,350 -42% Source: Bloomberg
Source: Company data, CAAM Extract from the Asian Daily, 18 July 2017
Jump-Start 23
20 July 2017
● ONGC's proposed acquisition of majority stake in HPCL has been an weaker oil prices post acquisition. Analysing comparable global M&As over
overhang for the stock (control premium, holdco discount). It is, the past 15 years, we note all of ONGC's acquisitions (barring one) fall in
however, important to compare returns from this with likely alternative the top quartile on (high) country risk. In a low oil-price scenario, returns are
use of ONGC's capital—overseas acquisitions. In an in-depth report, eroded at assets with high state-take. We conclude that over the long term,
we take a deep-dive into ONGC overseas subsidiaries. the HPCL acquisition should deliver IRRs of 10-15%, compared to just 5-7%
for overseas M&As (at oil price of US$50-60/bbl).
● Our analysis suggests that ONGC has generated sub-par returns,
due to a combination of: (1) poor project selection, and (weaker oil Figure 1: ONGC has generated only 5-6.5% IRR on overseas acquisitions
price post acquisition. We conclude that in the long term, the HPCL (% IRR) OVL IRRs and asset valuations - highly geared to oil pxNPV USD mn
acquisition should deliver IRRs of 10-15% (8% in the bear case), vs 12.0% 14,000
12,000
just 5-7% for overseas M&As (at oil price of US$50-60/bbl). 10.0%
8.0% 10,000
● Three positive catalysts: (1) continued subsidy reform, (2) better 8,000
6.0%
gas earnings on upward price revision (even at US$50/bbl oil) and 6,000
4.0%
volume ramp-up, (3) stronger oil prices. US$5/bbl higher oil adds 4,000
US$1.7 bn to overseas asset value (5% to ONGC MCAP). 2.0% 2,000
0.0% -
● Risk-reward for ONGC is favourable. We update model for (1) 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
near-term HPCL acquisition impact (-ve ~3% to TP), (2) GST Long-term oil price assumption (USD/bbl)
(-ve ~5% impact on TP/EPS), (3) lower long-term oil of US$60/bbl. NPV (RHS; USD mn) Median IRR Weighted avg IRR
Our FY18/19E EPS fall 15%/6%, and TP to Rs195 (from Rs220).
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Bbg/RIC ONGC IN / ONGC.BO Price (13 Jul 17, Rs) 159.10
Rating (prev. rating) O (O) TP (prev. TP Rs) 195.00 (220.00) Three catalysts: Subsidy reform, gas px/volumes, crude px
52-wk range (Rs) 207.9 - 145.9 Est. pot. % chg. to TP 23 We see three positive catalysts for ONGC over the next year: (1) continued
Mkt cap (Rs/US$ bn) 2,041.8/ 31.7 Blue sky scenario (Rs) 261.00 demonstration of subsidy reduction (link), (2) better gas earnings on upward
ADTO-6M (US$ mn) 22.5 Grey sky scenario (Rs) 132.00 price revision (even at US$50/bbl oil) and further volume ramp-up, (3) CS
Free float (%) 31.1 Performance 1M 3M 12M Global Equity Strategists and Oil team see upside to crude price,
Major shareholders Govt of India Absolute (%) (5.9) (14.0) 1.7
Relative (%) (8.9) (22.8) (13.5)
given: (a) net longs are at typical trough levels, and (b) demand-
Year 03/15A 03/16A 03/17E 03/18E 03/19E supply support. US$5/bbl higher oil adds US$1.7 bn to OVL value (5%
Revenue (Rs mn) 1,620,017 1,323,827 1,549,098 1,672,454 1,848,544 to ONGC MCAP).
EBITDA (Rs mn) 444,149 411,393 460,520 495,947 560,377
Net profit (Rs mn) 183,335 141,238 204,790 229,069 289,632 Figure 2: HPCL IRRs can be in the 8-15% range
EPS (CS adj. Rs) 14.3 11.0 16.0 17.8 22.6 IRRs generated on investment
16.0%
- Change from prev. EPS (%) n.a. n.a. 6.4 (14.8) (6.3)
- Consensus EPS (Rs) n.a. n.a. 15.5 18.7 21.1 14.0%
EPS growth (%) (30.8) (23.0) 45.0 11.9 26.4 12.0%
P/E (x) 11.1 14.5 10.0 8.9 7.0 10.0%
Dividend yield (%) 4.0 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.7 8.0%
EV/EBITDA (x) 5.4 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.2
6.0%
P/B (x) 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9
ROE (%) 10.4 7.7 10.8 11.3 13.4 4.0%
Net debt(cash)/equity (%) 20.7 15.4 20.0 17.5 13.6 2.0%
Note 1: Oil and Natural Gas Corporation is an India-based company mainly engaged in oil 0.0%
exploration and production activities, with a bulk of its production from domestic fields. It also has Overseas Overseas HPCL - 25% HPCL - 40% HPCL - 50% HPCL - 25%
refining, petrochemical and power assets. acquisition - acquisition - premium premium (no premium (no premium +
Click here for detailed financials US$60/bbl LT US$50/bbl LT open offer) open offer) FY22 ONGC
oil oil merger
HPCL investment vs overseas M&A?
ONGC's proposed acquisition of majority stake in HPCL has been an Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
overhang for the stock, as it would: (1) require ONGC to pay a control Risk-reward favourable for ONGC
premium (we model 25% over market price; needing no open offer), We update our model for: (1) the near-term HPCL acquisition impact
(2) result in a holdco discount in ONGC's sum-of-the-parts valuation, (negative ~3% to TP), (2) the GST (~5% negative impact on TP and
(3) see limited synergy gains in the proposed form (HPCL subsidiary). EPS), (3) a lower long-term oil price of US$60/bbl (~4% TP fall). HPCL
However, it is important to compare returns from this with the likely acquisition would raise gearing by 0.15x book (although a part of the
alternative use of ONGC's capital—overseas E&P asset purchases. funding by IOCL sale is possible), and the pace of overseas acquisitions
may slow. Risk-reward for ONGC is favourable. Our FY18/19E EPS fall
Overseas M&As generated just 5-7% IRR; HPCL 10-15% 14%/6%, and TP reduces to Rs195.
We take a deep-dive into ONGC's investments in foreign assets to
understand management strategy and whether returns have been Extract from the Asian Daily, 14 July 2017
remunerative. Our analysis suggests that ONGC has generated sub-par
returns (5-7% IRR), due to a combination of poor project selection and
Jump-Start 24
20 July 2017
● We initiate coverage on HRnetGroup with an OUTPERFORM rating Figure 1: Gross profit breakdown by geog and operating segment (2016)
and a TP of S$1.10, implying 31% upside. HRnetGroup is the largest Rest of Asia,
$5 mn, (4%)
Others,
$3 mn (2%)
Asian based recruitment agency in Asia pacific (APAC) ex-Japan, and
provides professional recruitment and flexible staffing services in Flexible
Staffing,
1.6
Bbg/RIC HRNET SP / HRNE.SI Price (18 Jul 17 , S$) 0.84 1.4
HRnetGroup (Tgt px)
Rating (prev. rating) O (NA) [V] TP (prev. TP S$) 1.10 (NA) JAC Recruitment
Market Cap per empployee
1.2
52-wk range (S$) 0.93 - 0.84 Est. pot. % chg. to TP 31 1.0
Mkt cap (S$/US$ mn) 847.9/ 620.5 Blue sky scenario (S$) 1.45
(S$ mn)
0.8
Recruit Holdings
ADTO-6M (US$ mn) 1.4 Grey sky scenario (S$) 0.75 0.6 Adecco
PageGroup
Free float (%) 25.4 Performance 1M 3M 12M 0.4
Temp Holdings
Hays
Manpower
Robert Half
Heidrick & Struggles
Major shareholders Sim Family (74.3%) Absolute (%) (6.7) — — 0.2 Technopro
Meitec
Robert Walters
Kelly Services
TeamLease
Relative (%) (8.5) — — 0.0 Korn Ferry
0.0 Quess 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0
Year 12/15A 12/16A 12/17E 12/18E 12/19E -0.2
Net profit per employee (S$ '000)
Revenue (S$ mn) 356.0 365.0 419.1 464.2 491.8
EBITDA (S$ mn) 62.8 69.8 74.1 77.4 85.0 Note: profit per employee based on FY2016.
Net profit (S$ mn) 38.9 41.6 51.5 58.2 65.8 Source: Company data, Frost & Sullivan, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse estimates
EPS (CS adj. S$) 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 Attractive valuations vs peers
- Change from prev. EPS (%) n.a. n.a.
- Consensus EPS (S$) n.a. n.a. We derive a DCF-based TP of S$1.10 based on a WACC of 9.5% and
EPS growth (%) 14.7 7.1 23.7 12.8 13.1 terminal growth rate of 2.0%, implying 2017E P/E of 21.9x. We believe
P/E (x) 21.8 20.4 16.5 14.6 12.9 HRnetGroup should trade at a premium to peers, given its: (1) strong
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 3.0 3.4 3.8 earnings growth track record, (2) superior profitability and cash flow
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.6 10.6 8.8 9.3 8.2
P/B (x) 7.2 10.1 2.9 2.7 2.4 generation, (3) balanced and diversified business exposure, and (4)
ROE (%) 31.9 41.3 27.5 19.1 19.6 established presence in high-growth gateway cities in Asia, with a
Net debt(cash)/equity (%) (88.6) (109.1) (64.8) (38.0) (40.8) dominant position in its home market Singapore. Key risks: loss of
Note 1: HRnetGroup Ltd is an Asian-based recruitment agency that offers flexible staffing and
professional recruitment services in Singapore, North Asia and other parts of ASEAN.
grant income, competition, legal and regulatory risks and disruptive
Click here for detailed financials technologies.
Strong market leadership position, superior profitability Figure 3: HRnetGroup currently trading at a discount, despite superior
metrics earnings growth profile
The professional recruitment and flexible staffing industry in APAC is P/E EPS CAGR P/B ROE EV/EBITDA Div Yield
Company (x) (%) 16-18E (x) (%) (x) (%)
seeing healthy growth prospects, with an expected 9.4% CAGR from
HRnetGroup 16.5 23.7 2.9 17.8 8.8 3.0
2016E to 2021F (source: Frost & Sullivan). HRnetGroup provides both Japan average 22.5 19.9 4.7 21.6 11.9 2.0
services, which provides the group with a synergistic business model India average 53.3 28.4 8.4 18.5 52.4 0.1
via: (1) cross-selling its services, (2) complementary businesses that Asian average 28.7 21.5 5.3 20.5 20.6 1.7
perform well in different stages of the cycle and (3) strong customer Europe average 15.6 12.6 3.9 24.9 9.6 3.7
US average 17.9 6.5 2.7 15.0 8.3 1.1
retention given the large volumes in flexible staffing. In Singapore, Europe + US average 17.0 8.9 3.2 19.0 8.8 2.1
HRnetGroup has a dominant 20.5% market share in a fragmented Global average 22.5 14.5 4.2 19.7 14.4 1.9
market. Importantly, it has one of the highest EBITDA margins of Source: Company data, IBES, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse estimates
16.3% and net margins of 13.3% among its peers. Extract from the Asian Daily, 20 July 2017
Jump-Start 25
20 July 2017
Jul 26 New World Development Company Limited Singapore Hong Kong Property
Aug 7 Hysan Development Company Limited Hong Kong Hong Kong Property
Aug 9 - Aug 10 PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk Japan Indonesia Banks/Financials
Aug 11 Sun Art Retail Group Limited Hong Kong Hong Kong Consumer Staples
Aug 17 - Aug 18 PTT Exploration & Production Hong Kong Thailand Oil & Gas
Aug 24 Xiabuxiabu Catering Management Holdings Hong Kong Hong Kong Consumer
Aug 25 Huaneng Renewables Corporation Limited Hong Kong Hong Kong Utilities
Aug 25 Xtep International Holdings Limited Hong Kong Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary
Aug 28 ENN Energy Holdings Limited Hong Kong Hong Kong Utilities
Jump-Start 26
Jump-Start
20 July 2017
Aug-04 2017H1 Jardine Strategic HK JS SP US$41.78 US$38.00 N US$1,615 US$1,495 (7) US$2.75 US$2.55
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 MGM China HK 2282 HK 16.04 20.50 O 2,397 2,483 4 0.63 0.65
27
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Jul-20 (E) 2017Q2 BBCA ID BBCA IJ 18,475 19,500 N 22,885,628 22,749,285 (1) 926.92 922.70
Jul-25 2017Q2 BDMN ID BDMN IJ 5,000 5,050 N 3,918,704 3,856,853 (2) 408.36 402.40
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 BBTN ID BBTN IJ 2,400 2,300 N 2,978,634 2,680,053 (10) 282.34 253.26
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 BTPN ID BTPN IJ 2,510 2,650 N 1,788,914 1,791,717 0 307.35 306.79
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 Unilever ID UNVR IJ 47,500 47,800 N 89,397,240 7,435,096 (92) 32,176.19 974.46
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Astra Agro ID AALI IJ 15,200 17,800 O 2,230,421 2,210,418 7 1,100.33 1,148.27
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 HM Sampoerna ID HMSP IJ 3,770 4,340 N 13,252,772 12,794,021 (3) 114.40 109.99
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Matahari ID LPPF IJ 13,000 17,800 O 2,187,199 2,360,329 8 746.34 808.91
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Telkom ID TLKM IJ 4,600 5,100 O 23,874,771 24,563,631 3 235.09 245.64 In line
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 ACES ID ACES IJ 1,135 1,260 O 743,694 816,478 10 43.11 47.61
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Astra ID ASII IJ 8,475 9,800 O 20,472,315 21,530,250 5 504.27 531.83
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 BJB ID BJBR IJ 2,040 1,450 U 1,645,093 1,468,192 (11) 170.76 151.42
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Blue Bird ID BIRD IJ 5,100 3,450 N 652,890 752,782 15 260.93 300.86
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 BRI ID BBRI IJ 14,725 16,200 O 27,837,574 26,777,263 (4) 1,310.78 1,094.78
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 BSD ID BSDE IJ 1,750 2,100 O 2,529,612 2,428,985 (4) 131.78 126.20
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Ciputra Development ID CTRA IJ 1,190 1,480 O 1,218,975 1,137,517 (7) 69.72 61.37
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Gudang Garam ID GGRM IJ 76,150 91,000 O 7,487,698 7,725,041 3 3,887.17 4,014.92
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Indocement ID INTP IJ 17,350 21,600 N 3,095,845 5,586,934 80 842.62 1,517.68
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Indofood ID INDF IJ 8,675 8,700 O 4,515,178 3,881,710 (14) 512.14 442.09
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Indofood CBP ID ICBP IJ 8,500 9,500 N 4,040,424 3,827,701 (5) 340.54 328.22
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Indosat ID ISAT IJ 6,275 8,800 O 1,773,221 2,257,213 27 327.32 415.39 In line
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 ITM ID ITMG IJ 21,100 21,000 O US$215 US$199 (8) US$0.18 US$0.18
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Jasa Marga ID JSMR IJ 5,250 8,779 O 1,925,527 2,100,420 9 260.33 308.16
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Kalbe Farma ID KLBF IJ 1,675 1,570 N 2,585,063 2,552,672 (1) 55.07 54.46
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Link Net ID LINK IJ 5,350 8,300 O 957,888 1,148,070 20 315.94 377.23 In line
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Lippo Karawaci ID LPKR IJ 725.00 1,080 N 1,053,557 901,102 (14) 45.10 39.57
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 London Sumatra ID LSIP IJ 1,420 1,820 O 852,005 897,453 5 122.91 131.54
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 MAPI ID MAPI IJ 6,250 7,500 O 379,508 478,826 26 232.62 288.45
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Media Nusantara ID MNCN IJ 1,780 2,300 O 1,716,285 1,625,342 (5) 119.66 113.85
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Mitra Keluarga ID MIKA IJ 1,920 2,960 O 735,143 758,672 3 50.48 52.14
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Pakuwon ID PWON IJ 615.00 730.00 O 1,918,366 2,131,709 11 40.05 44.26
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 PGN ID PGAS IJ 2,220 2,150 N US$338 US$304 (10) US$0.01 US$0.01
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Ramayana ID RALS IJ 1,085 1,160 U 443,799 458,313 3 63.70 64.58
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Sarana Menara Nusantra ID TOWR IJ 3,940 4,500 O 2,748,900 3,084,117 12 272.15 302.28 In line
20 July 2017
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Semen ID SMGR IJ 10,175 16,000 O 3,508,651 6,094,851 74 668.91 1,027.54
28
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Siloam Hospitals ID SILO IJ 10,250 16,500 O 139,884 152,619 9 112.92 117.34
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 SIMP ID SIMP IJ 545.00 470.00 N 690,404 760,212 10 43.90 48.07
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Summarecon ID SMRA IJ 1,070 1,600 O 436,937 460,622 5 29.64 31.93
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Surya Citra ID SCMA IJ 2,300 3,350 O 1,733,460 1,772,967 2 117.70 121.26
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Tower Bersama ID TBIG IJ 6,800 5,650 N 1,220,292 2,248,634 84 271.03 505.36 In line
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 WIKA ID WIKA IJ 1,975 2,615 N 1,250,868 1,171,954 (6) 138.21 130.65
Jul-31 2017Q2 XL Axiata ID EXCL IJ 3,230 3,600 N 367,125 557,510 52 42.26 52.21 In line
Jul-20 2018Q1 Bajaj Auto IN BJAUT IN 2,825 2,630 N 41,972 43,080 3 145.17 149.02
Jul-20 2018Q1 Hindustan Zinc IN HZ IN 280.40 273.00 N 96,202 96,689 1 22.79 22.88
Jul-20 2018Q1 Kotak Bank IN KMB IN 994.75 827.00 N 59,196 58,121 (2) 31.89 31.57
Jul-20 2018Q1 NIIT Tech IN NITEC IN 550.05 550.00 O 2,781 2,719 (2) 45.21 44.19
Jul-20 2018Q1 Reliance Inds IN RIL IN 1,534 1,360 N 272,361 225,516 (17) 89.88 76.52
Jul-20 2018Q1 Wipro IN WPRO IN 271.25 230.00 N 85,024 82,767 (3) 17.43 17.07
Jul-21 (E) 2018Q1 JSW Energy IN JSW IN 64.05 60.00 N 8,229 4,726 (43) 5.03 2.88
Jul-21 2018Q1 MMFSL IN MMFS IN 357.05 410.00 O 8,793 10,764 22 15.64 18.92
Jul-22 2018Q1 IIFL Holdings IN IIFL IN 589.75 650.00 O 8,262 9,231 12 25.99 28.92
Jul-22 2018Q1 J&K Bank IN JKBK IN 86.90 75.00 N 3,644 4,017 10 6.86 6.49
Jul-23 2018Q1 United Spirits IN UNSP IN 2,734 2,600 O 5,451 5,442 (0) 37.24 38.02
Jul-24 2017Q2 Ambuja Cements IN ACEM IN 264.10 180.00 U 12,302 15,884 29 6.48 8.00
Jul-24 2018Q1 Bharti Airtel IN BHARTI IN 421.35 300.00 U 27,711 32,843 19 7.06 8.22
Jul-24 2018Q1 Bharti Infratel IN BHIN IN 414.95 420.00 O 30,302 29,968 (1) 16.27 16.23
Jul-24 2018Q1 HDFC Bank IN HDFCB IN 1,693 1,764 O 175,248 177,404 1 68.44 69.23
Jul-24 (E) 2018Q1 Indiabulls Housing IN IHFL IN 1,150 1,185 O 36,047 39,788 10 85.33 94.59
Jul-24 2018Q1 L&T IN LT IN 1,181 1,373 O 66,573 68,050 2 47.62 48.67
Jul-24 2018Q1 ZEE IN Z IN 543.20 635.00 O 15,211 17,933 18 15.72 18.68
Jul-25 2018Q1 Asian Paints IN APNT IN 1,156 998.26 U 22,742 23,050 1 23.72 24.03
Jul-25 2018Q1 Axis Bank IN AXSB IN 520.15 490.00 N 62,837 67,131 7 26.27 27.95
Jul-25 (E) 2018Q1 Exide IN EXID IN 218.15 190.00 N 8,025 7,817 (3) 9.41 9.20
Jul-25 2018Q1 Hero Motocorp IN HMCL IN 3,766 3,140 N 38,014 37,304 (2) 190.71 186.80
Jul-25 2018Q1 ICICI Pru Life IN IPRU IN 474.45 379.07 N 18,309 16,908 (8) 12.79 11.78
Jul-25 2018Q1 Vedanta IN VEDL IN 273.25 290.00 O 103,164 108,720 5 29.13 36.67
Jul-26 2018Q1 Bharat Financial IN BHAFIN IN 773.00 800.00 O 5,184 6,754 30 37.97 48.94
Jul-26 2018Q1 HDFC IN HDFC IN 1,655 1,800 O 84,259 84,822 1 52.65 53.39
Jul-26 (E) 2018Q1 InfoEdge IN INFOE IN 1,032 1,050 O 2,184 2,008 (8) 16.72 16.51
20 July 2017
Jul-26 2017Q2 Nestle IN NEST IN 6,935 5,900 U 12,628 11,781 (7) 130.53 122.19
Jul-26 (E) 2018Q1 Welspun IN WLSI IN 88.50 115.00 O 6,521 6,046 (7) 6.51 6.02
29
Jul-26 2018Q1 Yes Bank IN YES IN 1,563 1,474 N 42,081 43,198 3 92.15 94.63
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Jul-27 2018Q1 Chola IN CIFC IN 1,149 1,230 O 8,848 9,623 9 56.62 61.55
Jul-27 2018Q1 Crompton Consumer IN CROMPTON IN 204.45 270.00 O 3,522 3,726 6 5.60 5.94
Jul-27 2018Q1 Dr. Reddy's IN DRRD IN 2,770 2,200 U 17,487 17,505 0 106.03 106.40
Jul-27 2018Q1 Glenmark IN GNP IN 707.65 700.00 N 11,921 12,174 2 42.59 43.15
Jul-27 2018Q1 HCL Tech IN HCLT IN 894.65 975.00 O US$1,326 US$1,301 (2) US$0.94 US$0.94
Jul-27 2018Q1 ICICI Bank IN ICICIBC IN 302.05 309.09 O 101,696 107,965 6 15.81 16.85
Jul-27 2018Q1 Idea Cellular IN IDEA IN 95.00 74.00 U (24,386) (29,695) n.m (6.97) (8.25)
Jul-27 2018Q1 IDFC Bank IN IDFCBK IN 62.00 68.00 N 10,698 11,796 10 3.18 3.47
Jul-27 2018Q1 ITC IN ITC IN 291.50 310.00 N 117,281 109,548 (7) 9.63 9.02
Jul-27 2018Q1 Maruti Suzuki IN MSIL IN 7,561 6,400 N 83,752 82,120 (2) 277.41 271.92
Jul-27 (E) 2018Q1 Shriram IN SHTF IN 970.75 1,350 O 16,361 21,559 32 71.55 95.03
Jul-27 2018Q1 Wabco IN WIL IN 5,442 5,750 N 2,729 2,734 0 143.85 144.12
Jul-28 (E) 2018Q1 Dish TV IN DITV IN 82.20 100.00 O 1,640 2,081 27 1.58 1.95
Jul-28 (E) 2018Q1 Eicher Motors IN EIM IN 29,181 21,800 U 22,008 23,524 7 809.69 866.12
Jul-28 2018Q1 LICHF IN LICHF IN 750.60 850.00 O 23,115 27,642 20 45.68 54.77
Jul-28 (E) 2018Q1 Pidilite Industries IN PIDI IN 797.90 920.00 O 9,550 9,397 (2) 18.67 18.33
Jul-28 (E) 2018Q1 PNB IN PNB IN 158.35 118.00 U 26,594 28,490 7 12.41 12.98
Jul-28 (E) 2018Q1 Shriram City IN SCUF IN 2,321 3,200 O 7,612 9,948 31 118.26 150.88
Jul-31 2018Q1 BEL IN BHE IN 173.70 200.00 O 16,456 19,090 16 7.36 8.55
Jul-31 2018Q1 Concor IN CCRI IN 1,179 880.00 U 9,058 8,548 (6) 37.67 35.07
Jul-31 2018Q1 Godrej Consumer IN GCPL IN 960.35 1000.00 O 15,375 15,874 3 22.56 23.30
Jul-31 2017Q2 Hexaware IN HEXW IN 247.00 200.00 N 4,577 4,421 (3) 15.23 14.63
Jul-31 2018Q1 Torrent IN TRP IN 1,299 1,370 O 9,735 8,969 (8) 57.46 52.99
Aug-01 2018Q1 JSW Steel IN JSTL IN 219.50 240.00 O 39,685 46,484 17 16.59 19.23
Aug-01 2018Q1 Tech Mahindra IN TECHM IN 396.65 500.00 O 28,981 29,489 2 32.01 33.15
Aug-02 2018Q1 Emami IN HMN IN 1,070 1,250 O 6,037 7,277 21 27.00 32.06
Aug-02 2018Q1 Lupin IN LPC IN 1,172 1,020 U 27,300 23,290 (15) 60.43 51.65
Aug-02 2018Q1 Voltas IN VOLT IN 493.95 585.00 O 5,607 5,574 (1) 16.98 16.85
Aug-03 (E) 2018Q1 Kajaria Ceramics IN KJC IN 668.15 675.00 N 3,030 3,039 0 18.96 19.09
Aug-03 2018Q1 Titan IN TTAN IN 532.05 560.00 O 10,113 10,473 4 11.37 11.80
Aug-03 (E) 2018Q1 TTK Prestige IN TTKPT IN 6,400 5,000 U 1,631 1,572 (4) 140.23 134.92
Aug-04 2018Q1 Apollo Tyres IN APTY IN 255.75 220.00 N 9,985 8,824 (12) 19.65 17.34
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 Arvind IN ARVND IN 379.85 450.00 O 4,156 3,529 (15) 17.03 13.68
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 Bharat Forge IN BHFC IN 1,148 1,030 N 8,077 7,822 (3) 34.59 33.59
20 July 2017
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 Cummins India IN KKC IN 966.05 875.00 N 8,610 8,562 (1) 30.99 30.89
30
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Aug-04 2018Q1 Dabur IN DABUR IN 306.75 275.00 N 14,151 14,188 0 8.04 8.07
Aug-04 2018Q1 HPCL IN HPCL IN 384.00 426.67 O 58,856 55,346 (6) 39.25 36.32
Aug-04 2018Q1 M&M IN MM IN 1,383 1,530 O 40,695 37,154 (9) 67.24 60.52
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 Marico IN MRCO IN 330.65 300.00 N 9,229 9,349 1 7.16 7.25
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 SBI IN SBIN IN 293.20 283.00 N 148,182 149,305 1 18.40 18.73
Aug-04 (E) 2018Q1 Union Bank IN UNBK IN 156.20 130.00 U 14,167 12,348 (13) 19.79 17.17
Jul-20 @ 16:00 2017Q2 KFG KR 105560 KS 56,600 65,000 O 2,774,018 2,948,834 6 6,837 7,053
Jul-20 2017Q2 POSCO KR 005490 KS 317,500 360,000 O 2,646,454 2,721,718 3 30,675 34,022
Jul-20 @ 16:00 2017Q2 SFG KR 055550 KS 50,800 60,000 O 2,961,960 3,121,409 5 6,199 6,384
Jul-21 @ 16:00 2017Q2 HFG KR 086790 KS 47,550 54,000 O 1,707,539 1,814,220 6 5,737 6,129
Jul-21 @ 16:30 2017Q2 IBK KR 024110 KS 14,450 13,000 N 1,293,818 1,188,336 (8) 2,095 1,950
Jul-21 2017Q2 SEMCO KR 009150 KS 102,000 130,000 O 194,094 182,713 (6) 2,518 2,288
Jul-24 (E) 2017Q2 Hotel Shilla KR 008770 KS 59,600 50,000 N 16,070 7,528 (53) 557 191
Jul-25 2017Q2 LG H & H KR 051900 KS 962,000 1,190,000 O 632,026 605,933 (4) 38,287 38,797
Jul-26 2017Q2 Amorepacific KR 090430 KS 303,500 410,000 O 577,621 614,601 6 9,380 10,513
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 Hyundai Dev KR 012630 KS 46,700 53,000 O 408,992 411,817 1 5,402 5,876
Jul-26 2017Q2 Hyundai Motor KR 005380 KS 148,500 155,000 N 5,452,009 4,993,848 (8) 21,073 17,493
Jul-26 2017Q2 LG Display KR 034220 KS 37,350 30,600 N 2,246,234 1,637,775 (27) 6,224 4,474
Jul-26 2017Q2 LG Innotek KR 011070 KS 159,000 185,000 O 228,575 265,339 16 9,700 11,211
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 Shinsegae KR 004170 KS 231,000 229,000 N 182,715 158,782 (13) 18,285 16,128
Jul-26 2017Q2 S-Oil KR 010950 KS 103,500 130,000 O 1,122,607 1,214,107 8 9,754 10,429
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Cheil Ind KR 028260 KS 141,500 140,000 N 590,589 487,202 (18) 3,203 2,954
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 GCC KR 006280 KS 177,500 233,000 O 60,097 54,826 (9) 5,145 4,804
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Hyundai E&C KR 000720 KS 47,200 42,000 U 575,814 442,251 (23) 4,872 3,968
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Hyundai Heavy KR 009540 KS 170,000 245,000 O 393,160 362,995 (8) 7,621 6,406
Jul-27 2017Q2 Hyundai Wia KR 011210 KS 68,200 58,000 N 162,487 141,392 (13) 6,100 5,199
Jul-27 2017Q2 Kia Motors KR 000270 KS 37,050 35,000 N 2,336,551 1,911,370 (18) 5,877 4,715
Jul-27 @ 11:30 2017Q2 KT&G KR 033780 KS 115,000 130,000 O 1,139,467 1,149,655 1 8,518 9,132
Jul-27 2017Q2 LG Uplus KR 032640 KS 15,550 20,000 O 542,471 577,905 7 1,241 1,324
Jul-27 2017Q2 Mando KR 204320 KS 236,500 300,000 O 185,768 188,700 2 19,798 20,093
Jul-27 2017Q2 Naver KR 035420 KS 835,000 950,000 O 916,135 964,395 5 28,829 32,728
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Nexen Tire KR 002350 KS 13,550 15,000 N 152,797 153,090 0 1,554 1,488
Jul-27 2017Q2 Samsung Heavy KR 010140 KS 11,750 19,000 O 85,891 96,786 13 272 346
Jul-27 2017Q2 Samsung SDI KR 006400 KS 178,000 115,000 N 643,737 445,566 (31) 9,124 6,483
20 July 2017
Jul-27 2017Q2 SK Innovation KR 096770 KS 167,500 210,000 O 2,228,517 2,215,659 (1) 24,196 23,775
Jul-27 2017Q2 SK Telecom KR 017670 KS 262,000 280,000 N 2,143,459 2,159,797 1 28,088 30,989
31
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 BNK Financial KR 138930 KS 10,700 12,700 O 553,398 570,178 3 1,694 1,749
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Daelim KR 000210 KS 91,100 105,000 O 470,500 433,570 (8) 12,055 11,232
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 GS E&C KR 006360 KS 33,000 31,000 N 192,155 217,846 13 2,564 2,791
Jul-28 2017Q2 Hyundai Steel KR 004020 KS 64,300 73,000 O 1,015,184 1,020,935 1 7,631 7,777
Jul-28 2017Q2 KT Corp KR 030200 KS 33,150 38,000 O 819,160 879,159 7 3,186 3,591
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Samsung SDS KR 018260 KS 186,000 120,000 U 501,106 463,988 (7) 6,447 5,999
Jul-31 2017Q2 Dongbu Insurance KR 005830 KS 80,100 70,000 N 538,674 531,301 (1) 8,186 8,394
Jul-31 2017Q2 Hyundai M&F KR 001450 KS 44,500 38,000 O 408,460 383,847 (6) 4,903 4,814
Jul-31 (E) 2017Q2 Hyundai Mobis KR 012330 KS 247,500 285,000 O 2,989,405 2,707,242 (9) 30,994 27,810
Jul-31 @ 15:30 2017Q2 Samsung F&M KR 000810 KS 294,000 320,000 O 1,046,753 1,184,498 13 23,569 29,269
Jul-31 2017Q2 Seoul Semi KR 046890 KS 22,250 16,500 N 47,466 41,319 (13) 866 709
Jul-31 2017Q2 SK Materials KR 036490 KS 193,300 240,000 O 123,418 135,014 9 11,824 13,248
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 Coway KR 021240 KS 95,900 130,000 O 361,222 360,803 (0) 4,813 4,944
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 CJ CGV KR 079160 KS 69,200 100,000 O 37,127 45,510 23 1,680 2,151
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 CJ Logistics KR 000120 KS 181,000 250,000 O 91,904 113,528 24 4,384 6,441
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 KCC KR 002380 KS 430,500 480,000 O 209,327 184,922 (12) 20,030 18,805
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 KEPCO KR 015760 KS 42,850 51,000 N 4,993,232 5,463,026 9 7,740 8,510
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 Paradise KR 034230 KS 13,750 10,000 U 6,785 7,516 11 154 88
Jul-20 (E) 2017Q2 Maxis MY MAXIS MK 5.56 5.50 N 1,918 1,885 (2) 0.25 0.25 In line
Jul-25 (E) 2017Q2 Heineken MY HEIM MK 17.74 18.70 N 286 281 (2) 0.95 0.93
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 BAT Malaysia MY ROTH MK 43.60 49.90 N 635 743 17 2.24 2.60
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Malaysia Airports MY MAHB MK 8.80 11.05 O 248 245 (1) 0.14 0.15
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Public Bank MY PBK MK 20.36 18.90 U 5,322 5,126 (4) 1.36 1.32
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q3 Tenaga MY TNB MK 14.12 12.50 U 7,711 6,997 (9) 1.37 1.24
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Asia United Bank PH AUB PM 59.50 50.20 N 2,065 2,065 0 4.25 4.25
Aug-01 (E) 2017Q2 PLDT PH TEL PM 1,680 1,600 U 22,635 24,456 8 99.81 113.19
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 BDO PH BDO PM 122.20 105.30 N 28,499 29,162 2 6.65 6.68
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 BPI PH BPI PM 104.60 80.50 U 22,899 21,571 (6) 5.82 5.48
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 SM Prime PH SMPH PM 34.50 30.00 U 27,568 27,132 (2) 0.96 0.94
Aug-03 (E) 2017Q2 Globe Telecom PH GLO PM 2,044 2,500 O 14,922 14,114 (5) 111.20 105.89
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 MBT PH MBT PM 91.70 100.30 O 19,855 21,017 6 6.27 6.61
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 UBL PK UBL PA 213.67 276.00 O 28,248 30,397 8 23.28 24.83
Jul-27 (E) 2017Q2 Fauji Fertilizer PK FFC PA 82.74 104.00 N 12,680 13,000 3 9.96 10.22
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Pak Suzuki Motors PK PSMC PA 671.54 825.00 O 5,580 3,401 (39) 67.76 41.32
20 July 2017
32
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Jul-20 bef-mkt 2017Q2 Ascott Reit SG ART SP 1.18 1.11 N 146 160 9 0.07 0.06
Jul-20 2017Q2 Keppel Corp SG KEP SP 6.52 8.70 O 874 976 12 0.47 0.53
Jul-21 bef-mkt 2017Q2 CMT SG CT SP 2.00 2.25 N 394 410 4 0.11 0.11
Jul-21 2018Q1 SATS SG SATS SP 5.09 4.65 U 245 244 (0) 0.22 0.22
Jul-24 2017Q3 FCT SG FCT SP 2.11 2.24 O 108 109 1 0.12 0.12
Jul-24 2018Q1 MLT SG MLT SP 1.20 1.12 N 190 187 (2) 0.08 0.07
Jul-25 2018Q1 MINT SG MINT SP 1.86 1.83 N 213 208 (2) 0.12 0.12
Jul-26 bef-mkt 2017Q2 Suntec REIT SG SUN SP 1.92 1.46 U 262 166 (37) 0.10 0.10
Jul-27 2018Q1 A-REIT SG AREIT SP 2.67 2.62 N 465 491 6 0.16 0.16
Jul-27 2018Q1 MCT SG MCT SP 1.60 1.72 O 256 254 (1) 0.09 0.09
Jul-27 2017 SGX SG SGX SP 7.53 7.60 N 348 347 (0) 0.33 0.32 In line
Jul-27 2018Q1 SIA SG SIA SP 10.29 10.00 N 399 350 (12) 0.31 0.30
Jul-27 2017Q2 SMM SG SMM SP 1.68 2.40 O 112 128 14 0.05 0.06
Jul-28 bef-mkt 2017Q2 CDLHT SG CDREIT SP 1.58 1.63 O 113 121 8 0.09 0.09
Jul-28 bef-mkt 2017Q2 UOB SG UOB SP 24.25 25.60 O 3,278 3,603 10 1.99 2.18
Jul-31 bef-mkt 2017Q2 Raffles Medical SG RFMD SP 1.28 1.60 N 72 74 4 0.04 0.04
Aug-01 2017Q2 OUEHT SG OUEHT SP 0.76 0.78 N 75 91 21 0.04 0.05
Aug-02 2017Q2 StarHub SG STH SP 2.74 2.20 U 276 278 1 0.16 0.16
Aug-3 bef-mkt 2017Q2 CapitaLand SG CAPL SP 3.68 3.80 N 1,029 962 (7) 0.21 0.23
Aug-03 2017Q2 GENS SG GENS SP 1.10 1.35 O 527 471 (11) 0.04 0.04
Aug-03 2017Q2 SCI SG SCI SP 3.18 3.60 N 473 421 11 0.22 0.24
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 Bumitama SG BAL SP 0.74 0.90 O Rp1,285,850 Rp1,380,002 7 Rp713.89 Rp785.19
Aug-04 bef-mkt 2017Q2 DBS SG DBS SP 21.86 22.70 O 4,680 4,721 1 1.84 1.85
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 UOL SG UOL SP 7.86 9.00 O 364 356 (2) 0.46 0.44
Aug-04 2017Q2 Venture SG VMS SP 13.24 13.40 O 218 216 (1) 0.78 0.77
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 Yangzijiang SG YZJSGD SP 1.38 1.10 N Rmb2,024 Rmb2,014 (0) Rmb0.53 Rmb0.53
Jul-20 (E) 2017Q2 SCB TH SCB TB 153.50 141.00 N 48,607 45,826 (6) 14.34 13.48
Jul-21 (E) 2017Q2 BAY TH BAY TB 36.00 35.00 U 25,717 24,053 (6) 3.28 3.27
Jul-21 (E) 2017Q2 BBL TH BBL TB 184.50 208.00 O 33,466 33,789 1 18.21 17.70
Jul-21 (E) 2017Q2 KTB TH KTB TB 18.50 18.00 U 32,713 33,277 2 2.34 2.38
Jul-21 (E) 2017Q2 SCCC TH SCCC TB 318.00 327.07 O 4,212 5,081 21 15.36 21.25
Jul-25 (E) 2017Q2 Home Pro TH HMPRO TB 9.35 9.40 N 4,707 4,751 1 0.36 0.36
Jul-26 (E) 2017Q2 KBANK TH KBANK TB 198.50 192.00 N 40,153 41,652 4 16.56 17.40
Jul-26 2017Q2 SCC TH SCC TB 508.00 591.00 O 55,491 51,180 (8) 46.15 42.65
20 July 2017
Jul-27 2017Q2 AIS TH ADVANC TB 187.50 218.00 O 29,692 31,156 5 9.98 10.48 In line
33
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
Aug-03 (E) 2017Q2 IRPC TH IRPC TB 5.20 5.60 O 10,270 10,189 (1) 0.50 0.50
Aug-03 (E) 2018Q1 VGI TH VGI TB 5.40 5.30 N 869 912 5 0.12 0.13
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 LPN TH LPN TB 11.50 10.60 U 1,510 1,472 (3) 1.02 1.00
Jul-25 (E) 2017Q2 Kinsus TW 3189 TT 83.00 82.00 N 2,246 2,081 (7) 5.13 4.67
Jul-25 2017Q2 Merry TW 2439 TT 209.50 176.00 O 2,288 2,264 (1) 11.75 11.31
Jul-25 2017Q2 Powertech TW 6239 TT 104.00 112.00 O 5,909 5,963 1 7.54 7.65
Jul-26 2017Q2 AUO TW 2409 TT 12.55 12.00 N 31,472 34,528 10 3.17 3.59
Jul-26 2017Q2 Elan TW 2458 TT 45.65 43.00 N 1,006 1,036 3 2.23 2.39
Jul-26 2017Q2 Innolux TW 3481 TT 15.55 15.00 N 34,577 42,580 23 3.52 4.28
Jul-26 2017Q2 UMC TW 2303 TT 14.80 12.00 N 8,521 7,903 (7) 0.70 0.65 In line
Jul-27 2017Q2 Coretronic TW 5371 TT 38.55 44.00 N 2,011 2,198 9 4.41 5.06
Jul-28 2017Q2 Delta Elec TW 2308 TT 163.50 190.00 O 21,070 20,936 (1) 8.12 8.06
Jul-28 2017Q2 Lite-on Tech TW 2301 TT 52.10 56.00 N 10,490 10,606 1 4.46 4.51
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Radiant TW 6176 TT 68.30 45.00 U 3,104 2,991 (4) 6.63 6.43
Jul-28 (E) 2017Q2 Realtek TW 2379 TT 115.00 120.00 O 3,496 3,534 1 6.92 7.00
Jul-31 2017Q2 Chroma TW 2360 TT 103.00 105.00 O 2,038 2,090 3 5.17 5.19
Jul-31 (E) 2017Q2 Feng Hsin Steel TW 2015 TT 51.10 53.00 N n.a 2,261 n.a n.a 3.89
Jul-31 2017Q2 MediaTek TW 2454 TT 261.00 225.00 N 19,890 11,736 (41) 12.59 7.50
Jul-31 2017Q2 Vanguard TW 5347 TT 56.30 51.00 N 4,804 4,410 (8) 2.96 2.68
Jul-31 2017Q2 Win Semi TW 3105 TT 180.00 145.00 N 3,197 3,204 0 7.93 7.95
Aug-01 (E) 2017Q2 Chipbond TW 6147 TT 51.00 54.00 O 2,237 2,176 (3) 3.44 3.35
Aug-01 2017Q2 Novatek TW 3034 TT 120.00 136.00 O 5,176 5,172 (0) 8.45 8.50
Aug-01 (E) 2017Q2 TaiMed TW 4147 TT 187.00 230.00 O (283) (288) n.m (0.99) (1.15)
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 HTC TW 2498 TT 72.30 65.00 U (6,197) (3,799) n.m (7.61) (4.62)
Aug-02 2017Q2 Parade TW 4966 TT 459.00 425.00 O 1,700 1,754 3 21.96 22.68
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 WPG TW 3702 TT 41.95 40.00 N 7,464 6,919 (7) 4.28 4.00 In line
Aug-03 2017Q2 Himax TW HIMX US US$8.52 US$8.70 N US$16 US$17 6 US$0.10 US$0.10
Aug-03 2017Q2 TPK TW 3673 TT 100.50 95.00 N 2,860 3,149 10 8.21 9.09
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 Casetek TW 5264 TT 101.50 120.00 O 2,886 2,981 3 8.49 8.77
20 July 2017
34
Jump-Start
Forthcoming results (20 Jul to 6 Aug 2017) (stocks with market cap > US$500 mn) (continued)
Net CS What we
Price profit vs EPS expect
Date of (local$) (local$ mn) Consensus (local$) in this
Results* Period Company Ctry Bberg 19 Jul Target Rating Consensus CS (%) Consensus CS results
End Jul (E) 2017Q2 FPT Corp. VN FPT VN 46,900 56,200 O 2,742,741 2,449,857 (11) 4,184.88 4,193.15
End Jul (E) 2017Q2 Mobile World VN MWG VN 102,100 119,000 O 2,310,089 2,370,336 3 7,109.66 7,700.79 In line
Aug-01 (E) 2017Q2 Masan VN MSN VN 41,000 48,000 N 3,454,214 2,793,040 (19) 2,696.94 2,453.78
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 Vinamilk VN VNM VN 153,000 151,000 N 10,535,489 9,364,247 (11) 6,641.79 6,451.76
Aug-02 (E) 2017Q2 Vingroup VN VIC VN 42,000 44,100 N 3,726,000 6,464,905 74 1,325.74 2,450.96
Aug-04 (E) 2017Q2 ACB VN ACB VN 25,100 24,000 N 1,701,616 1,580,800 (7) 1,684.88 1,603.41
Notes: — Credit Suisse and consensus net profits and EPS are based on full year forecasts, — This calendar excludes stocks with market cap less than US$500 mn
— The date of release for stocks listed in US are based on HK date and time, all other stocks are based on the date & time of the listed exchange
* Confirmed dates but are subject to change, (E) = estimated date
Positive surprise, Negative surprise. Source: the BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL™ service., Company data, Datastream, Credit Suisse estimates.
20 July 2017
35
Jump-Start
Results reported 13 Jul - 19 Jul 2017 (stocks with market cap > US$3 bn)
% chg in CS % chg in
% Consensus Consensus cons. EPS CS CS EPS
Date of Price ($) upside / Reported YoY QoQ EPS EPS EPS post pre- EPS post
Results Period Company Ctry Sector Bberg Rating Ccy 19 Jul Target downside Ccy EPS (%) (%) pre-results 19 Jul results results 19 Jul results
Jul-14 2017Q2 Suofeiya CN Consumer Durables & Apparel 002572 CH O CNY 39.48 45.00 14.0 CNY Q2 n.a n.a n.a 1.03 1.04 0.7 1.04 1.04 0.0
Jul-19 2017Q2 Sanan CN Technology 600703 CH O CNY 19.00 23.60 24.2 CNY Q2 n.a n.a n.a 0.75 0.75 0.0 0.72 0.73 1.3
Jul-18 2017H1 HKE HK Utilities 2638 HK U HKD 7.33 5.30 (27.7) HKD H1 0.11 (9) n.a 0.39 0.39 0.0 0.36 0.37 3.9
Jul-19 2017Q2 BMRI ID Banks BMRI IJ N IDR 13,325 12,200 (8.4) IDR Q2 230.75 65 32 820.53 820.53 0.0 765.63 765.63 0.0
Jul-13 2018Q1 TCS IN Technology TCS IN N INR 2,450 2,250 (8.2) INR Q1 30.40 (5) (9) 138.33 135.16 (2.3) 134.72 133.96 (0.6)
Jul-14 2018Q1 Infosys IN Technology INFO IN N INR 979.90 1,025 4.6 INR Q1 15.24 1 (3) 63.70 63.88 0.3 63.10 63.34 0.4
Jul-17 2017Q2 ACC IN Building Materials & Construction ACC IN N INR 1,733 1,300 (25.0) INR Q2 17.37 32 55 48.34 48.98 1.3 48.17 48.17 0.0
Jul-18 2018Q1 Hindustan Unilever IN Consumer Staples HUVR IN N INR 1,153 1,200 4.1 INR Q1 5.93 9 8 22.72 22.80 0.4 23.17 23.84 2.9
Jul-18 2018Q1 Ultratech IN Building Materials & Construction UTCEM IN U INR 4,207 2,900 (31.1) INR Q1 32.67 15 24 108.72 108.45 (0.3) 115.00 115.00 0.0
Jul-19 2018Q1 Bajaj Finance IN Diversified Financials BAF IN U INR 1,543 1000.00 (35.2) INR Q1 11.00 39 34 44.43 44.51 0.2 40.16 41.76 4.0
Jul-19 2018Q1 Havells IN Capital Goods HAVL IN N INR 467.45 535.00 14.5 INR Q1 1.94 (17) 28 11.30 11.30 0.0 11.79 10.54 (10.6)
Jul-17 2017Q2 Hanssem KR Consumer Durables & Apparel 009240 KS O KRW 170,000 210,000 23.5 KRW Q2 n.a n.a n.a 7,247.98 7,080.13 (2.3) 8,432.33 7,950.55 (5.7)
Jul-19 2017Q2 CCT SG Real Estate CCT SP N SGD 1.72 1.54 (10.5) SGD Q2 0.11 330 385 0.09 0.09 0.0 0.09 0.09 0.0
Jul-13 2017Q2 TAC TH Telecommunication Services DTAC TB N THB 56.50 54.00 (4.4) THB Q2 0.31 417 210 0.67 0.71 5.9 0.62 0.62 0.0
Jul-17 2017Q2 TMB Bank TH Banks TMB TB N THB 2.32 2.40 3.4 THB Q2 0.05 8 11 0.20 0.20 0.5 0.20 0.20 0.0
Jul-13 2017Q2 Largan TW Technology 3008 TT O TWD 5,580 5,800 3.9 TWD Q2 35.14 28 (3) 230.25 221.46 (3.8) 220.85 210.09 (4.9)
Jul-13 2017Q2 TSMC TW Technology 2330 TT N TWD 214.50 210.00 (2.1) TWD Q2 2.56 (9) (24) 13.50 13.18 (2.3) 12.90 12.90 0.0
Source: the BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL™ service, IBES, Credit Suisse estimates.
20 July 2017
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20 July 2017
Source: IBES, Credit Suisse estimates
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20 July 2017
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Summary—valuation summary
CS / Dvd EV/ EV/
Upside/ Market Last Cons. EPS Yld Sales EBITDA NetDebt/ HOLT
COUNTRY downside cap Absolute Performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) (%) (%) ROE (%) P/BV (x) (x) (x) Equity (%) coverage
(%) (USDbn) 1w 1m 3m YTD 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+2 T+1 T+1 T+1 T+2
Australia 5 1,354 1 (1) (2) 1 5 Jun-16 20 9 1 19.6 16.3 15.0 14.9 99 104 4.4 12.4 12.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 8.7 37 34 642
China 10 5,645 4 7 16 32 35 Dec-16 14 13 10 13.6 11.9 10.6 9.3 98 99 2.6 12.4 12.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 8.8 24 18 1,537
Hong Kong 3 755 2 3 11 21 23 Dec-16 5 8 4 17.2 16.4 15.2 15.7 100 100 2.9 7.0 7.3 1.1 1.1 2.1 10.9 14 11 964
India -1 1,389 0 2 9 20 15 Mar-17 21 18 20 23.3 19.2 16.2 14.8 102 101 1.8 15.1 16.2 2.8 2.5 1.9 10.9 36 28 646
Indonesia 11 318 (0) 1 4 10 12 Dec-16 17 16 14 21.3 18.1 15.7 14.0 50 50 2.5 17.1 18.0 3.0 2.7 2.6 10.5 22 16 202
Japan 7 2,302 0 1 10 7 22 Mar-17 14 8 9 18.6 16.3 14.8 13.7 100 100 2.1 9.9 10.2 1.6 1.5 1.1 9.1 19 13 3,555
Korea 14 883 2 2 13 20 20 Dec-16 35 7 6 13.7 10.1 9.5 8.6 102 99 1.7 10.7 10.5 1.0 0.9 0.9 5.2 12 6 744
Malaysia 4 222 0 (2) 1 7 5 Dec-16 4 8 8 17.3 16.7 15.5 14.3 100 101 3.0 10.6 10.8 1.7 1.6 2.6 10.0 35 32 275
Pakistan 18 31 4 (3) (7) (5) 16 Dec-16 (1) 18 10 9.2 9.3 7.9 7.3 102 107 5.3 16.7 18.1 1.5 1.4 1.2 6.2 10 7 59
Philippines -5 79 0 0 5 17 (1) Dec-16 2 12 17 19.7 19.4 17.6 15.7 101 101 1.6 12.7 12.8 2.3 2.1 4.9 12.3 70 69 106
Singapore 7 285 4 2 6 15 14 Dec-16 9 8 6 17.3 15.8 14.6 13.4 100 102 3.5 8.4 8.8 1.3 1.2 2.0 13.9 39 39 264
Taiwan 2 639 1 2 9 14 16 Dec-16 12 8 9 17.1 15.2 14.0 13.7 100 99 3.9 13.0 13.4 1.9 1.8 0.9 7.8 (8) (12) 681
Thailand 9 327 0 (0) 1 2 6 Dec-16 5 10 8 16.0 15.3 13.9 12.3 100 101 3.1 13.2 13.6 2.0 1.8 1.6 8.9 41 36 241
Vietnam 5 21 (0) 1 8 16 16 Dec-16 26 24 14 22.8 18.1 14.6 13.7 110 108 2.3 22.4 24.0 3.8 3.2 1.7 10.4 38 12 33
SECTOR - NJA
Automobiles & Components 0 493 1 3 14 29 40 Dec-16 3 15 6 13.8 13.4 11.6 9.0 94 95 2.4 13.2 13.7 1.7 1.6 0.8 8.1 (11) (16) 201
Banks 7 2,062 2 3 8 16 22 Dec-16 1 6 8 7.8 7.7 7.2 6.7 98 98 3.7 12.9 12.6 0.9 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 185
Building Materials & Construction 2 79 1 2 4 14 7 Dec-16 11 11 8 19.3 17.4 15.6 11.3 109 107 2.3 13.4 14.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 10.1 27 22 228
Capital Goods 3 321 3 4 0 15 19 Dec-16 23 12 11 17.4 14.1 12.7 10.5 96 95 1.8 9.5 9.7 1.3 1.2 0.8 10.3 26 23 787
Chemicals 1 70 1 2 4 25 27 Dec-16 (3) 6 5 16.7 17.3 16.3 12.2 101 99 2.8 16.4 15.6 2.7 2.5 1.8 10.3 28 20 280
Conglomerates 4 296 1 (1) 2 17 18 Dec-16 8 5 7 13.1 12.1 11.6 14.5 101 97 2.2 7.4 7.4 0.9 0.8 1.3 6.7 19 15 58
Consumer Durables & Apparel 7 228 (0) 2 11 33 38 Dec-16 8 12 10 20.0 18.6 16.6 13.7 97 95 2.7 17.7 18.1 3.1 2.9 1.1 11.2 (29) (31) 294
Consumer Staples 8 691 (0) (1) 6 19 16 Dec-16 9 13 8 27.8 25.4 22.6 21.3 60 59 2.1 17.4 18.1 4.2 3.9 2.2 15.2 14 7 434
Diversified Financials 11 290 2 2 5 16 15 Dec-16 9 12 10 14.2 13.0 11.6 10.3 96 95 2.5 11.5 11.9 1.4 1.3 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 192
Energy 12 672 2 0 (4) 3 11 Dec-16 88 30 (8) 28.4 15.1 11.7 12.5 94 106 3.0 7.6 9.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 5.8 26 23 192
Environmental Services -9 21 2 (2) (4) 18 27 Dec-16 16 18 15 19.3 16.6 14.0 12.2 96 95 1.8 15.3 16.1 2.4 2.1 4.1 12.4 80 84 26
Healthcare 5 246 2 1 1 10 10 Dec-16 9 14 13 25.7 23.6 20.8 18.4 98 97 1.0 16.2 16.6 3.6 3.3 2.0 15.7 (2) (8) 400
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 20 167 2 (2) 5 26 48 Dec-16 (2) 22 19 22.7 23.1 18.9 15.8 104 109 2.6 14.2 16.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 12.2 15 7 141
Insurance 14 559 4 9 23 33 41 Dec-16 11 10 12 17.4 15.7 14.2 12.2 101 100 1.8 11.9 12.0 1.7 1.6 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 42
Media 20 29 2 (1) (5) 18 17 Dec-16 19 19 14 31.3 26.3 22.1 16.8 105 104 1.9 27.5 30.0 6.9 6.4 4.2 13.1 23 13 148
Metals & Mining 13 149 3 10 9 17 35 Dec-16 124 14 6 26.6 11.9 10.5 9.5 111 109 3.7 10.7 11.5 1.2 1.2 1.3 7.4 56 46 238
Real Estate -8 590 3 6 13 42 42 Dec-16 12 12 7 14.9 13.3 11.9 11.1 93 91 3.2 8.5 9.0 1.1 1.0 2.1 9.0 37 33 0
REITS -3 58 2 1 7 16 7 Dec-16 4 5 5 22.0 21.3 20.3 19.5 97 96 5.0 4.9 5.0 1.0 1.0 n.a. 24.0 41 42 0
Retailing 11 70 1 1 11 36 48 Dec-16 28 15 12 25.1 19.6 17.0 15.3 101 101 1.9 8.3 8.8 1.5 1.4 0.7 10.3 36 33 188
Software & Services 5 1,258 3 7 24 52 59 Dec-16 27 26 17 39.9 31.4 24.9 21.1 103 104 0.4 21.6 22.6 6.1 5.2 5.0 22.4 (28) (40) 217
Technology Hardware 6 984 3 7 21 40 53 Dec-16 55 9 8 20.4 13.2 12.1 11.4 101 97 2.4 16.2 15.3 2.0 1.8 1.0 6.3 (9) (14) 676
Telecommunication Services 16 640 2 1 3 9 2 Dec-16 5 9 7 17.9 17.0 15.6 14.3 101 100 3.3 10.1 10.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 5.5 11 7 58
Transportation 7 217 1 3 10 25 22 Dec-16 16 8 17 19.7 17.1 15.9 12.2 103 100 2.0 10.2 10.4 1.7 1.6 1.9 9.9 55 52 208
Utilities 1 388 1 3 5 14 8 Dec-16 (4) 12 6 13.0 13.6 12.1 11.4 97 96 3.1 10.1 10.5 1.3 1.2 3.2 9.5 95 88 180
CS TOTAL - NJA 7 10,593 3 4 12 26 24 Dec-16 13 11 8 15.3 13.5 12.2 10.8 96 96 2.5 11.9 12.2 1.5 1.4 1.5 8.8 21 16 5,752
CS TOTAL - ASIA PAC 6 14,249 2 2 9 18 19 Dec-16 14 10 8 16.1 14.2 12.8 11.5 97 97 2.6 11.6 11.9 1.5 1.4 1.4 8.9 22 17 9,949
20 July 2017
Source: Thomson Reuters, Credit Suisse estimates
* Country/sector aggregates are based on Credit Suisse coverage universe.
Upside(%): bottom_up upside/downside to index
39
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Australia—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Automobiles & Components Paul Buys - 61 2 8205 4538
AP Eagers Limited APE AU N A$ 8.85 8.00 (10) 1,344 0.4 (1) 13 5 (4) (24) (2) 14 7 (5) (30) Dec-16 (9) 5 4 17.4 19.1 18.2 17.4 94 94 3.6 11.8 2.2 0.6 14.6 91
ARB Corp ARB AU N A$ 15.45 15.45 0 973 2.6 (1) (3) 4 (12) (13) (2) (1) 5 (14) (18) Jun-16 10 13 11 27.1 24.6 21.7 19.6 100 101 2.3 19.1 4.5 3.2 15.1 (7)
Automotive Holdings Group Ltd AHG AU O A$ 3.63 3.60 (1) 957 3.3 4 13 (7) (8) (15) 3 15 (6) (9) (20) Jun-16 (13) 7 7 11.5 13.1 12.2 11.5 105 101 5.5 12.1 1.5 0.4 10.0 125
Sector Aggregate (4) 3,274 1 8 1 (8) (18) (0) 10 3 (9) (23) Jun-16 (3) 5 7 16.9 17.5 16.7 15.7 100 99 3.9 13.4 2.2 0.6 12.4 93
Building Materials & Construction Andrew Peros/ Peter Wilson - 61 2 8205 4013/ 61 2 8205 4107
Adelaide Brighton ABC AU N A$ 5.58 5.70 2 2,885 8.3 1 (1) 0 3 (3) 0 0 2 2 (8) Dec-16 9 3 (0) 19.5 17.8 17.4 17.4 101 101 4.1 16.3 2.8 2.5 10.6 28
Boral BLD AU O A$ 6.90 7.05 2 6,432 24.0 3 (2) 18 28 12 1 (1) 20 26 7 Jun-16 (10) 13 17 19.3 21.3 18.9 16.2 97 94 3.8 7.1 1.4 1.5 9.7 (19)
CSR CSR AU N A$ 4.17 4.90 18 1,673 10.0 1 (2) (9) (10) 7 (0) (1) (7) (11) 2 Mar-17 14 (25) (2) 11.4 10.0 13.4 13.6 101 103 6.3 17.2 1.7 0.8 5.0 (2)
Downer EDI DOW AU N A$ 6.41 5.90 (8) 3,031 15.3 4 5 13 12 64 3 6 15 10 59 Jun-16 (29) 11 4 15.9 22.5 20.3 19.4 84 90 3.8 7.0 1.3 0.4 5.8 (25)
James Hardie Industries plc JHX AU O A$ 19.26 20.85 8 6,753 22.0 (0) (4) (9) (12) (12) (1) (3) (7) (14) (18) Mar-17 12 19 23 27.2 24.2 20.3 16.5 101 100 2.8 (125.1) n.m. 3.4 15.0 n.m.
Sector Aggregate 5 20,775 1 (2) 4 6 9 0 (0) 6 5 4 Jun-16 (6) 11 9 19.4 20.6 18.6 17.1 97 98 3.6 13.4 2.5 1.4 9.7 (9)
Capital Goods Andrew Peros/ Ian Randall - 61 2 8205 4013/ 612 8205 4580
CIMIC Group Limited CIM AU U A$ 41.03 28.00 (32) 10,579 11.5 9 4 14 17 23 8 5 16 16 18 Dec-16 20 2 2 23.4 19.5 19.1 18.8 101 97 3.1 19.8 3.7 0.8 9.8 (5)
Dulux Group DLX AU N A$ 6.84 6.85 0 2,117 8.5 2 (4) 4 10 3 1 (3) 6 8 (2) Sep-16 7 (2) 2 20.3 19.0 19.5 19.1 101 96 3.8 36.7 6.7 1.7 12.6 103
GWA GROUP Limited GWA AU N A$ 3.17 2.90 (9) 665 2.0 1 2 5 7 57 0 4 7 6 52 Jun-16 2 (5) (5) 16.3 15.9 16.8 17.7 102 101 5.3 17.5 2.8 2.1 10.9 31
Sector Aggregate (26) 13,362 8 3 12 16 22 7 4 14 15 17 Jun-16 14 8 1 23.5 20.5 19.1 18.8 101 99 3.1 19.3 4.1 1.0 11.0 5
Commercial Services & Supplies Matthew Nicholas/ Paul Butler/ Paul Buys/ Peter Wilson - 61 2 8205 4210/ 61 2 8205 4309/ 61 2 8205 4538/ 61 2 8205 4107
ALS Ltd ALQ AU O A$ 7.31 7.80 7 2,931 9.5 (4) 5 18 21 44 (5) 6 19 20 38 Mar-17 29 19 10 32.9 25.6 21.6 19.6 101 98 2.4 12.0 3.0 3.0 13.2 36
Brambles BXB AU U A$ 9.76 8.90 (9) 12,336 43.1 4 (7) (1) (21) (26) 3 (6) 0 (22) (31) Jun-16 (6) 8 5 19.5 20.8 19.3 18.3 97 96 2.8 15.3 4.1 2.7 9.9 82
Cleanaway Waste Management CWY AU N A$ 1.32 1.23 (7) 1,673 3.6 0 (7) 7 7 62 (1) (6) 8 6 57 Jun-16 11 21 15 32.7 29.5 24.4 21.2 101 101 1.5 3.9 1.1 1.8 8.0 17
IRESS IRE AU O A$ 13.01 12.70 (2) 1,772 3.7 4 6 9 10 15 2 7 11 8 9 Dec-16 17 11 10 30.5 26.1 23.4 21.3 103 102 3.7 20.3 5.4 5.6 18.4 37
McMillan Shakespeare MMS AU O A$ 14.20 12.50 (12) 940 3.3 3 8 7 31 (1) 2 10 9 29 (6) Jun-16 (1) 8 8 13.6 13.8 12.8 11.9 100 102 4.5 22.4 3.0 2.9 11.0 72
Programmed Maintenance Services
PRG AU N A$ 2.98 3.02 1 610 1.7 65 59 73 55 81 64 60 74 54 76 Mar-17 6 11 10 18.4 17.3 15.5 14.2 99 103 2.9 7.2 1.2 0.4 9.2 25
SmartGroup Corporation Ltd SIQ AU O A$ 7.22 7.45 3 707 1.1 (0) 5 13 15 6 (1) 6 14 14 1 Dec-16 16 13 8 18.1 15.6 13.8 12.8 106 107 3.9 28.3 4.2 4.9 10.6 11
Sector Aggregate (5) 20,968 4 (1) 6 (5) (0) 3 (0) 7 (6) (5) Jun-16 (4) 11 8 20.5 21.4 19.3 17.8 99 100 2.8 12.3 3.1 2.3 10.4 55
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Diversified Financials Andrew Adams/ James Cordukes/ James Ellis/ Paul Buys - 61 2 8205 4106/ 61 2 8205 4858/ 61 2 8205 4531/ 61 2 8205 4538
AMP AMP AU N A$ 5.21 5.50 6 12,091 34.6 1 1 0 3 (9) (0) 3 2 2 (14) Dec-16 477 6 10 n.m. 15.7 14.9 13.5 94 96 5.5 12.9 2.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
ASX ASX AU U A$ 52.29 49.00 (6) 8,050 16.6 0 (0) 6 5 7 (1) 1 7 4 2 Jun-16 1 1 4 23.7 23.5 23.3 22.5 98 95 3.8 11.1 2.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
BT Investment Management Limited
BTT AU N A$ 10.91 11.20 3 2,733 14.9 2 (8) (3) 3 26 1 (6) (1) 1 21 Sep-16 9 23 17 21.5 19.8 16.1 13.8 101 105 4.3 22.7 4.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Challenger Limited CGF AU O A$ 13.09 13.50 3 5,954 16.8 1 (1) 4 16 45 0 0 5 15 40 Jun-16 8 11 9 21.6 19.9 18.0 16.4 99 98 2.5 14.0 2.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Computershare CPU AU O A$ 14.25 14.30 0 6,191 20.1 (3) (3) 5 14 62 (4) (2) 7 13 56 Jun-16 0 15 14 20.6 20.6 17.9 15.7 101 105 2.3 26.2 5.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Eclipx Group ECX AU O A$ 3.71 4.25 15 787 2.9 5 2 (1) (1) (1) 4 4 0 (2) (6) Sep-16 12 9 8 16.7 14.8 13.6 12.7 99 96 4.2 9.9 1.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
FlexiGroup Limited FXL AU N A$ 1.84 1.85 1 545 2.1 4 15 (22) (19) (7) 3 17 (20) (20) (12) Jun-16 (12) 1 2 6.6 7.5 7.4 7.2 100 97 4.4 14.3 1.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
IOOF Holdings IFL AU N A$ 9.48 9.75 3 2,263 7.0 0 (4) 14 3 10 (1) (2) 16 2 5 Jun-16 (5) 15 10 16.5 17.3 15.1 13.7 102 109 5.4 11.9 2.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Link Administration Holdings Limited
LNK AU U A$ 7.99 7.70 (4) 3,117 8.0 2 5 11 10 (5) 1 7 12 8 (10) Jun-16 10 3 31 26.0 23.7 22.9 17.5 102 98 2.0 20.2 4.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Macquarie Group MQG AU N A$ 87.13 100.00 15 23,582 74.2 (0) (4) 0 0 20 (1) (3) 2 (1) 15 Mar-17 1 2 3 13.5 13.3 13.0 12.6 99 97 5.5 14.7 1.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Magellan Financial Group MFG AU N A$ 26.82 27.00 1 3,670 8.5 1 (5) 15 13 24 (0) (4) 16 12 19 Jun-16 1 25 14 23.3 23.0 18.4 16.1 102 110 3.2 50.3 10.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Perpetual Limited PPT AU N A$ 53.97 51.00 (6) 1,999 6.1 (0) (2) 4 11 24 (1) (1) 6 10 19 Jun-16 5 7 7 19.4 18.5 17.4 16.2 102 102 4.9 21.9 4.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Platinum Asset Management PTM AU U A$ 5.08 4.40 (13) 2,370 4.3 0 11 4 (4) (12) (1) 12 6 (5) (17) Jun-16 (8) (12) 4 14.9 16.1 18.3 17.7 103 102 5.9 54.8 8.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 5 73,351 0 (2) 3 5 17 (1) (0) 5 4 12 Jun-16 2 18 7 19.1 18.7 15.8 14.8 92 99 4.4 13.4 2.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
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Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Grant Saligari/ Larry Gandler/ Matthew Nicholas - 61 3 9280 1720/ 61 3 9280 1855/ 61 2 8205 4210
Ardent Leisure Group AAD AU O A$ 2.08 2.05 (1) 776 5.3 1 (4) 8 (11) (0) 0 (2) 10 (12) (6) Jun-16 (81) 147 73 15.0 79.9 32.3 18.7 89 109 1.5 2.1 1.8 2.0 16.1 40
Aristocrat Leisure ALL AU N A$ 20.97 23.50 12 10,648 34.1 (0) (9) 11 35 46 (1) (8) 13 34 41 Sep-16 41 16 15 33.3 23.6 20.3 17.6 103 103 1.7 45.0 9.3 5.6 14.0 44
Crown CWN AU N A$ 12.59 12.50 (1) 6,896 19.9 2 (2) 3 16 5 1 (1) 5 15 (0) Jun-16 (5) 7 14 22.5 23.6 22.1 19.4 104 97 11.4 6.9 1.5 2.5 10.1 (3)
Flight Centre FLT AU U A$ 43.60 37.41 (14) 3,503 13.5 (1) 18 40 39 36 (2) 20 42 38 31 Jun-16 (7) 11 6 17.7 19.1 17.1 16.1 102 107 3.3 16.5 3.0 1.5 9.9 (25)
Mantra Group Limited MTR AU N A$ 3.02 3.15 4 714 4.3 3 (1) 6 (2) (7) 2 0 8 (3) (12) Jun-16 0 11 8 17.5 17.4 15.8 14.7 100 100 3.3 10.8 1.8 1.4 9.4 16
Star Entertainment Group SGR AU O A$ 5.24 6.45 23 3,440 16.5 5 5 (5) 1 (9) 4 6 (4) 0 (14) Jun-16 (15) 16 16 18.0 21.2 18.3 15.8 93 98 2.9 6.4 1.3 2.1 10.0 23
Tabcorp Holdings TAH AU N A$ 4.23 4.80 13 2,810 12.8 (0) (9) (11) (12) (8) (1) (7) (9) (13) (13) Jun-16 (26) 30 9 19.0 25.5 19.6 18.0 79 97 5.9 8.6 2.3 2.3 10.9 99
Tatts Group TTS AU N A$ 4.03 4.20 4 4,706 10.3 1 (3) (8) (10) (0) (0) (2) (7) (11) (5) Jun-16 (13) 2 (15) 22.3 25.8 25.2 29.7 95 92 9.3 7.7 2.0 2.5 15.7 40
Sector Aggregate 7 33,494 1 (2) 6 16 17 (0) (1) 8 15 12 Jun-16 (2) 15 11 23.4 24.0 20.9 18.9 98 100 5.4 10.4 2.4 2.7 12.2 22
Media Fraser McLeish/ Lucas Goode/ Matthew Nicholas - 61 2 8205 4069/ 61 2 8205 4431/ 61 2 8205 4210
Fairfax Media FXJ AU O A$ 0.97 1.10 13 1,765 10.8 0 (22) (8) 8 (1) (1) (20) (6) 7 (6) Jun-16 9 (6) 5 17.0 15.6 16.6 15.8 103 97 4.2 15.3 2.3 1.3 8.7 7
Here There & Everywhere APN AU O A$ 2.53 3.20 26 620 1.7 5 2 0 (11) (32) 4 4 2 (12) (37) Dec-16 (6) 7 9 12.3 13.1 12.3 11.3 95 95 3.8 7.3 0.9 1.9 7.5 16
Nine Entertainment NEC AU O A$ 1.38 1.50 9 956 3.8 0 1 12 30 22 (1) 2 14 28 16 Jun-16 (3) (7) (7) 10.1 10.4 11.2 12.1 104 101 7.6 9.4 1.0 1.1 6.6 13
Seven West Media SWM AU N A$ 0.80 0.81 1 953 1.7 3 14 9 (1) (30) 2 16 10 (2) (35) Jun-16 (23) (8) 16 5.8 7.6 8.2 7.1 99 101 5.0 12.4 0.9 1.1 5.9 50
Southern Cross Media Group SXL AU O A$ 1.25 1.35 8 764 3.1 0 2 (5) (19) 1 (1) 3 (4) (20) (4) Jun-16 (6) (1) 11 10.8 11.5 11.7 10.5 94 94 5.6 7.9 0.9 1.9 7.9 35
WPP AUNZ WPP AU O A$ 1.17 1.25 7 793 0.4 1 0 (3) (3) 8 0 1 (1) (4) 3 Dec-16 7 9 8 12.2 11.4 10.4 9.7 97 99 6.1 10.2 1.1 1.4 7.6 30
Sector Aggregate 11 5,851 1 (3) 0 3 (4) 0 (2) 2 2 (9) Jun-16 (12) (4) 7 10.1 11.4 11.8 11.0 97 98 5.1 10.7 1.2 1.4 7.4 26
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Real Estate Ian Randall/ Mikhail Mohl - 612 8205 4580/ 61 2 8205 4413
Australian Unity Office Fund AOF AU N A$ 2.22 2.10 (5) 248 0.1 1 2 6 10 3 (0) 3 7 9 (2) Jun-16 28 3 (0) 17.0 13.3 13.0 13.0 99 99 6.7 8.5 1.1 n.a. 15.8 47
Lend Lease LLC AU O A$ 17.36 17.50 1 8,055 21.4 3 4 10 19 39 2 5 12 18 34 Jun-16 11 13 6 14.4 13.0 11.5 10.9 103 111 3.8 13.8 1.8 n.a. 9.2 15
Propertylink Group PLG AU O A$ 0.84 0.92 10 400 0.7 (1) (6) 3 7 n.a. (2) (5) 5 6 n.a. Jun-16 n.a. 9 4 n.a. 11.6 10.7 10.3 100 95 8.2 1.0 n.a. 14.5 56
Sector Aggregate 1 8,703 3 4 10 18 38 2 5 11 17 33 Jun-16 12 12 5 14.5 12.9 11.5 10.9 103 109 4.1 13.6 1.7 9.6 19
REITs Ian Randall/ Mikhail Mohl - 612 8205 4580/ 61 2 8205 4413
BWP Trust BWP AU U A$ 2.93 2.92 (0) 1,497 3.0 2 (10) 0 (2) (22) 1 (9) 2 (3) (27) Jun-16 3 3 4 17.5 16.9 16.5 16.0 101 101 5.9 11.7 2.0 n.a. 17.4 27
Charter Hall Group CHC AU U A$ 5.24 4.71 (10) 1,941 7.5 1 (12) (9) 11 (5) (0) (11) (7) 9 (10) Jun-16 18 0 0 17.3 14.6 14.6 14.6 100 100 5.7 9.7 1.4 n.a. 13.5 (7)
Charter Hall Retail REIT CQR AU N A$ 4.14 4.13 (0) 1,337 3.3 5 (7) (8) (2) (14) 4 (6) (6) (3) (19) Jun-16 1 4 1 13.6 13.6 13.0 12.8 101 102 6.8 7.5 1.0 n.a. 16.5 48
Cromwell Property Group CMW AU U A$ 0.92 0.97 5 1,289 2.3 1 (11) (6) (7) (14) (0) (9) (4) (8) (20) Jun-16 (9) (3) 8 9.9 10.9 11.2 10.4 103 103 9.0 9.8 1.0 n.a. 14.8 89
Dexus Property Group DXS AU U A$ 9.39 9.14 (3) 7,594 22.0 3 (13) (8) (2) 0 2 (12) (6) (4) (5) Jun-16 1 (0) 1 14.9 14.7 14.8 14.7 108 108 4.8 7.7 1.1 n.a. 16.2 33
GDI Property Group GDI AU O A$ 1.01 1.06 5 432 0.5 0 (5) (3) 2 9 (1) (4) (1) 1 4 Jun-16 (2) 3 4 11.1 11.3 11.0 10.5 98 96 7.7 8.7 1.0 n.a. 12.4 27
Goodman Group GMG AU N A$ 8.06 7.92 (2) 11,467 28.7 5 (7) (2) 13 9 4 (6) (0) 12 4 Jun-16 7 7 7 20.2 18.8 17.6 16.5 100 101 3.2 9.4 1.7 n.a. 15.8 6
GPT Group GPT AU O A$ 4.86 5.35 10 6,963 21.0 4 (8) (9) (3) (13) 3 (7) (7) (5) (18) Dec-16 2 5 5 16.3 15.9 15.2 14.5 102 103 5.0 6.4 1.0 n.a. 18.2 37
Investa Office Fund IOF AU N A$ 4.45 4.48 1 2,173 6.7 2 (7) (7) (6) 1 1 (6) (5) (7) (4) Jun-16 2 3 2 15.5 15.2 14.7 14.4 110 110 4.5 8.4 1.3 n.a. 17.0 39
Mirvac Group MGR AU O A$ 2.13 2.44 15 6,276 23.9 3 (9) (7) 0 (2) 2 (7) (5) (1) (7) Jun-16 11 5 3 16.4 14.8 14.1 13.7 101 99 4.9 7.2 1.0 n.a. 15.0 42
SCA Property Group SCP AU N A$ 2.19 2.18 (0) 1,294 3.6 4 (10) (6) (1) (10) 3 (9) (4) (2) (15) Jun-16 6 4 2 15.9 14.9 14.4 14.1 99 100 6.0 7.1 1.0 n.a. 18.2 52
Scentre Group SCG AU O A$ 4.14 5.30 28 17,528 41.0 6 (6) (7) (11) (20) 5 (5) (5) (12) (26) Dec-16 5 6 6 17.9 17.1 16.2 15.3 102 102 5.2 6.1 1.0 n.a. 17.8 55
Stockland Group SGP AU N A$ 4.27 4.73 11 8,212 25.7 3 (12) (13) (7) (14) 2 (11) (11) (8) (19) Jun-16 6 6 6 15.4 14.5 13.7 12.9 92 92 6.0 7.3 1.0 n.a. 17.0 36
Vicinity Centres VCX AU U A$ 2.62 2.65 1 8,248 26.4 5 (11) (11) (12) (25) 4 (10) (10) (14) (30) Jun-16 (1) 4 3 13.7 13.9 13.4 13.0 102 103 6.7 6.7 0.9 n.a. 15.8 35
Westfield Corporation WFD AU N A$ 7.86 9.25 18 12,989 41.2 3 (11) (15) (16) (28) 2 (9) (13) (17) (33) Dec-16 1 5 13 18.6 18.4 17.6 15.5 102 100 4.1 6.8 1.2 n.a. 24.9 83
Sector Aggregate 10 89,239 4 (9) (8) (5) (13) 3 (8) (7) (6) (18) Jun-16 3 4 5 16.3 15.9 15.3 14.6 101 101 5.1 7.2 1.1 n.a. 17.6 44
Retailing Grant Saligari/ Lucas Goode/ Matthew Nicholas/ Paul Buys - 61 3 9280 1720/ 61 2 8205 4431/ 61 2 8205 4210/ 61 2 8205 4538
Harvey Norman HVN AU N A$ 4.05 4.08 1 3,585 17.6 2 7 (4) (21) (9) 1 8 (2) (22) (14) Jun-16 20 2 (8) 14.3 11.9 11.7 12.7 98 99 7.7 13.9 1.6 2.7 7.8 22
iCar Asia Ltd ICQ AU N A$ 0.26 0.60 131 67 0.1 4 (4) (12) 4 (68) 3 (2) (10) 3 (73) Dec-15 (0) 21 27 n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m. 101 107 0.0 (39.9) 2.3 10.3 n.m. (17)
iSelect Limited ISU AU O A$ 2.18 2.40 10 396 0.9 4 9 17 15 87 3 10 18 14 82 Jun-16 45 26 17 39.6 27.3 21.8 18.6 100 101 2.1 8.1 2.2 2.2 13.6 (34)
JB Hi-Fi JBH AU U A$ 25.32 18.68 (26) 2,304 21.3 1 12 4 (10) 4 0 13 5 (11) (2) Jun-16 21 4 (9) 16.6 13.7 13.2 14.4 99 95 4.6 32.8 3.4 0.6 9.4 57
Myer Holdings MYR AU N A$ 0.82 0.82 0 532 4.5 (3) (9) (27) (41) (34) (4) (8) (25) (42) (39) Jul-16 (10) 5 (2) 8.5 9.5 9.0 9.3 92 92 9.3 5.8 0.6 0.2 3.8 11
Premier Investments PMV AU O A$ 13.39 15.38 15 1,680 3.6 2 4 (4) (7) (13) 1 5 (2) (8) (19) Jul-16 7 12 13 20.0 18.7 16.7 14.7 101 100 4.1 8.3 1.5 1.8 12.1 (10)
Super Retail Group SUL AU N A$ 8.28 7.56 (9) 1,299 9.3 (1) 3 (15) (20) (12) (2) 5 (13) (21) (17) Jul-16 18 5 (1) 15.1 12.7 12.1 12.2 98 92 5.1 16.9 2.1 0.8 7.0 37
Webjet WEB AU O A$ 12.06 12.00 (0) 944 3.0 0 (5) 8 14 68 (1) (3) 10 13 62 Jun-16 49 22 20 44.8 30.0 24.7 20.6 95 97 1.5 21.4 5.2 5.6 17.3 (53)
20 July 2017
Sector Aggregate (2) 10,806 1 5 (3) (13) 2 0 7 (1) (14) (4) Jun-16 17 6 (2) 17.0 14.5 13.7 14.0 98 97 5.4 13.4 1.8 1.0 8.6 16
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Telecommunication Services Fraser McLeish/ Lucas Goode - 61 2 8205 4069/ 61 2 8205 4431
NextDC NXT AU O A$ 4.27 4.70 10 965 4.4 (1) (8) 5 17 20 (2) (6) 6 16 14 Jun-16 517 (47) 277 n.m. 88.4 n.m. 44.2 79 50 0.0 3.3 2.3 10.5 26.4 18
Speedcast International SDA AU O A$ 3.89 4.50 16 735 2.8 2 2 5 11 16 1 4 7 10 11 Dec-16 42 38 17 22.7 16.0 11.6 9.9 88 100 2.5 15.7 2.5 1.9 8.5 114
Telstra Corporation TLS AU U A$ 4.11 4.00 (3) 38,871 116.4 (5) (7) (3) (19) (29) (6) (6) (2) (21) (34) Jun-16 0 6 (1) 12.6 12.6 11.9 12.0 103 103 7.5 26.4 3.5 2.5 6.0 111
TPG Telecom TPM AU U A$ 5.55 5.25 (5) 4,081 12.4 0 1 (8) (17) (54) (1) 2 (7) (18) (59) Jul-16 6 (21) (36) 12.9 12.2 15.3 23.9 99 92 2.8 19.1 2.1 2.4 7.3 36
Sector Aggregate (3) 44,652 (4) (6) (3) (18) (29) (5) (5) (2) (19) (35) Jun-16 2 4 (2) 13.0 12.8 12.3 12.6 102 102 6.9 24.9 3.2 2.5 6.2 99
Country Aggregate 5,732 5,993 5 1,354,237 1 (1) (2) 1 5 Jun-16 20 9 1 19.6 16.3 15.0 14.9 99 104 4.4 12.4 1.9 1.9 8.7 37
20 July 2017
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China—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Automobiles & Components Aaron Zhang/ Bin Wang - 852 2101 6705/ 852 2101 6702
BAIC Motor 1958 HK N HK$ 8.12 9.10 12 7,898 14.9 (0) 0 5 18 31 (4) (6) (11) (14) (3) Dec-16 (11) 33 10 8.4 9.4 7.1 6.4 82 94 3.7 13.5 1.2 0.3 1.6 (17)
Brilliance China 1114 HK O HK$ 16.88 20.00 18 10,907 27.2 11 17 36 58 91 7 10 21 26 56 Dec-16 62 33 12 20.0 12.4 9.3 8.3 124 125 0.0 22.3 2.5 16.1 n.m. 3
BYD (A) 002594 CH O Rmb 49.59 62.03 25 19,172 38.2 (1) (3) (5) (0) (21) (2) (8) (12) (13) (36) Dec-16 (46) 65 18 26.8 49.3 29.8 25.3 53 69 0.6 5.3 2.5 1.7 12.5 55
BYD (H) 1211 HK O HK$ 49.95 70.00 40 19,172 28.7 4 1 9 22 (5) (1) (5) (7) (10) (40) Dec-16 (46) 65 18 23.3 42.9 25.9 22.1 55 69 0.7 5.3 2.2 1.7 12.5 55
Changan Auto 000625 CH O Rmb 14.67 17.00 16 8,476 65.9 5 5 (6) (2) (4) 3 0 (14) (14) (19) Dec-16 (14) 6 6 6.7 7.8 7.4 6.9 82 83 4.5 19.4 1.4 0.7 19.3 (4)
Dongfeng Motor 489 HK O HK$ 9.88 11.50 16 10,902 20.9 5 (1) 19 31 13 1 (8) 3 (1) (22) Dec-16 (8) 1 1 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.9 95 92 2.5 12.1 0.7 0.4 16.0 (28)
Fuyao Glass (A) 600660 CH O Rmb 24.89 26.80 8 18,255 53.6 1 (1) 7 34 62 (1) (6) (1) 21 47 Dec-16 19 12 12 19.9 16.7 14.8 13.3 105 105 3.6 19.9 3.2 6.4 21.2 4
Fuyao Glass (H) 3606 HK O HK$ 28.80 32.50 13 18,259 6.1 6 (3) 6 20 48 2 (9) (9) (12) 14 Dec-16 19 12 12 19.9 16.7 14.8 13.3 106 106 3.6 19.9 3.2 6.4 21.2 4
GAC (A) 601238 CH U Rmb 26.07 14.68 (44) 21,380 27.2 (1) (7) 3 13 11 (3) (12) (5) (0) (4) Dec-16 69 6 7 27.5 16.3 15.4 14.4 102 90 1.9 22.4 3.3 2.0 15.5 (20)
GAC (H) 2238 HK O HK$ 17.02 16.80 (1) 21,380 42.4 6 23 41 81 64 2 16 26 49 29 Dec-16 69 6 7 15.5 9.2 8.7 8.1 113 108 3.4 22.4 1.9 2.0 15.5 (20)
Geely 175 HK N HK$ 18.52 17.00 (8) 21,218 125.3 (1) 26 59 150 283 (5) 20 43 118 249 Dec-16 74 17 23 27.9 16.1 13.7 11.2 108 98 1.2 31.7 4.5 1.5 9.7 (55)
Greatwall Motor (A) 601633 CH U Rmb 12.47 10.93 (12) 15,072 55.6 (5) (5) (7) 13 26 (7) (10) (15) 0 11 Dec-16 (32) 39 14 10.8 15.8 11.4 10.0 76 93 1.9 14.4 2.2 1.0 8.3 (8)
Greatwall Motor (H) 2333 HK O HK$ 9.92 12.50 26 15,072 82.3 (4) (3) 7 37 41 (8) (9) (8) 5 6 Dec-16 (32) 39 14 7.4 10.9 7.8 6.9 74 96 2.8 14.4 1.5 1.0 8.3 (8)
Guoxuan High-Tech 002074 CH U Rmb 31.93 28.00 (12) 4,151 43.2 (4) 4 (2) 3 (22) (6) (1) (9) (10) (36) Dec-16 7 (4) (5) 27.1 25.3 26.3 27.7 88 64 0.5 25.1 5.7 3.3 14.5 (20)
Huayu Auto 600741 CH O Rmb 21.81 24.00 10 10,185 55.2 (3) (5) 14 37 40 (5) (10) 6 24 26 Dec-16 4 4 2 11.3 10.9 10.4 10.2 96 92 4.8 16.0 1.7 0.3 5.1 (48)
JAC Motors 600418 CH N Rmb 9.94 10.00 1 2,788 19.7 (2) (7) (11) (14) (21) (4) (12) (19) (27) (36) Dec-16 (26) 18 1 16.2 22.0 18.6 18.4 67 67 1.4 6.1 1.3 0.4 6.7 0
JMC 000550 CH U Rmb 21.44 17.00 (21) 1,649 11.0 0 3 (16) (21) (19) (2) (2) (24) (33) (33) Dec-16 27 12 1 14.0 11.0 9.9 9.7 102 85 3.6 13.0 1.4 -0.1 -1.3 (107)
Johnson Electric 179 HK O HK$ 29.25 28.00 (4) 3,292 3.0 1 8 21 43 53 (4) 2 6 11 19 Mar-16 37 16 9 19.7 14.3 12.3 11.3 97 102 1.7 12.4 1.6 1.3 7.9 13
Nexteer 1316 HK U HK$ 13.78 8.80 (36) 4,417 7.6 10 14 23 50 95 6 8 7 18 61 Dec-16 6 (1) (4) 15.0 14.1 14.2 14.8 95 83 1.4 26.4 3.4 1.1 6.7 (9)
SAIC 600104 CH N Rmb 31.33 26.00 (17) 54,220 134.9 (1) 7 15 34 44 (3) 2 8 21 29 Dec-16 11 7 14 10.8 9.7 9.1 8.0 103 102 6.2 18.1 1.6 0.4 9.1 (17)
Sinotruk 3808 HK N HK$ 6.29 4.80 (24) 2,224 2.7 10 25 14 14 84 6 18 (1) (18) 49 Dec-16 33 (1) 8 28.2 21.2 21.4 19.8 84 77 2.0 3.5 0.7 0.3 4.0 (17)
Weichai Power (A) 000338 CH N Rmb 14.32 6.12 (57) 8,389 60.7 10 21 24 44 73 8 16 16 31 58 Dec-16 45 (8) (1) 46.9 32.4 35.2 35.5 56 49 2.3 11.0 3.5 0.7 5.7 62
Weichai Power (H) 2338 HK N HK$ 7.91 7.00 (12) 8,389 13.3 9 26 19 32 81 5 20 3 1 46 Dec-16 45 (8) (1) 22.4 15.5 16.8 16.9 101 88 4.8 11.0 1.7 0.7 5.7 62
Weifu 000581 CH O Rmb 25.92 30.00 16 3,212 38.4 3 12 5 16 22 1 7 (2) 3 7 Dec-16 9 1 5 15.6 14.4 14.3 13.7 94 85 2.1 13.4 1.8 2.5 20.1 (27)
Yutong Bus 600066 CH O Rmb 21.54 24.00 11 7,064 39.8 0 1 6 10 (0) (2) (4) (2) (3) (15) Dec-16 (11) 9 (1) 11.8 13.2 12.1 12.2 94 87 4.5 25.3 3.2 1.3 7.6 (51)
Sector Aggregate 3 234,868 2 9 19 45 62 (2) 2 4 13 27 Dec-16 7 12 10 12.3 11.5 10.3 9.3 96 96 3.4 16.0 1.7 0.7 8.9 (12)
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Conglomerates Baoying Zhai/ Kenneth Fong - 852 2101 7135/ 852 2101 6395
CITIC 267 HK N HK$ 11.78 12.80 9 43,886 15.6 1 (5) 9 6 1 (3) (12) (7) (26) (34) Dec-15 3 4 3 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.4 100 100 2.8 9.0 0.7 1.5 3.6 33
Fosun 656 HK O HK$ 11.88 15.30 29 13,072 17.6 (1) (6) 3 8 16 (5) (13) (13) (24) (18) Dec-15 20 11 10 9.7 8.0 7.2 6.6 158 103 1.7 12.2 1.1 1.8 9.0 65
Legend 3396 HK N HK$ 21.05 22.80 8 6,352 3.5 1 (4) (8) 22 14 (3) (10) (24) (10) (21) Dec-15 (10) 19 n.a. 8.5 9.4 8.0 n.a. 94 102 1.3 9.0 0.8 0.3 7.6 76
SIHL 363 HK O HK$ 22.85 28.60 25 3,182 4.4 (2) (0) (6) 9 28 (6) (7) (22) (23) (7) Dec-15 5 3 11 9.0 8.5 8.3 7.5 101 101 4.0 8.0 0.7 1.8 5.4 24
Sector Aggregate 16 66,491 1 (5) 5 8 6 (4) (11) (10) (24) (28) Dec-16 10 7 n.a. 8.2 7.4 6.9 n.a. 102 101 2.8 9.4 0.7 0.9 3.9 30
20 July 2017
Xtep 1368 HK N HK$ 2.94 3.63 23 836 1.5 1 (1) (4) (9) (29) (3) (8) (19) (41) (63) Dec-16 29 11 10 10.6 8.2 7.4 6.7 102 103 7.4 13.3 1.0 1.3 6.3 27
Zhejiang Semir 002563 CH N Rmb 7.90 8.70 10 3,152 5.9 (3) (9) (16) (23) (34) (5) (14) (24) (36) (49) Dec-16 4 9 11 14.9 14.3 13.1 11.8 91 84 2.4 14.5 2.0 1.6 9.0 (24)
Sector Aggregate 9 172,313 (1) 3 13 36 47 (5) (4) (3) 4 13 Dec-16 11 14 11 19.6 17.6 15.5 13.0 97 96 2.8 17.5 2.9 1.0 10.5 (37)
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Diversified Financials Sanjay Jain/ Steven Zhu - 65 6306 0668/ 852 2101 6535
China Merchants Securities (A) 600999 CH U Rmb 18.22 11.60 (36) 16,981 32.5 6 7 14 12 5 4 2 6 (1) (10) Dec-16 (2) 12 9 20.1 20.5 18.3 16.8 94 90 2.0 9.6 1.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
China Merchants Securities (H) 6099 HK N HK$ 12.32 12.90 5 16,981 3.3 1 0 4 2 n.a. (3) (6) (12) (30) n.a. Dec-16 (2) 12 9 11.7 12.0 10.7 9.8 99 95 3.3 9.6 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
CICC 3908 HK O HK$ 12.74 14.10 11 6,502 4.7 8 15 11 16 8 3 8 (5) (16) (27) Dec-16 13 14 n.a. 13.7 12.1 10.6 n.a. 91 98 2.4 11.4 1.3 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Cinda 1359 HK N HK$ 2.94 3.00 2 14,369 17.1 2 1 1 5 17 (2) (6) (15) (27) (18) Dec-16 10 8 12 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.5 98 93 5.6 12.0 0.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Citic Securities (A) 600030 CH U Rmb 17.78 16.30 (8) 30,656 163.7 3 6 10 11 7 1 1 3 (2) (8) Dec-16 9 8 15 20.8 19.0 17.6 15.3 91 86 1.6 7.7 1.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Citic Securities (H) 6030 HK N HK$ 16.26 18.20 12 30,656 22.1 0 1 2 3 (5) (4) (5) (14) (29) (40) Dec-16 9 8 15 16.4 15.0 13.9 12.1 89 84 2.0 7.7 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Everbright Securities (A) 601788 CH U Rmb 15.43 11.20 (27) 9,910 30.9 3 1 4 (4) (13) 1 (4) (4) (16) (28) Dec-16 (4) 8 8 21.8 22.8 21.1 19.5 84 80 1.8 6.5 1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Everbright Securities (H) 6178 HK N HK$ 10.88 12.50 15 9,910 0.7 2 (0) (6) (14) n.a. (3) (7) (22) (46) n.a. Dec-16 (4) 8 8 13.3 13.9 12.9 11.9 94 88 2.9 6.5 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Galaxy Securities 6881 HK O HK$ 7.08 8.20 16 8,647 19.8 (1) (1) 0 1 0 (5) (7) (15) (31) (35) Dec-16 9 8 8 11.3 10.4 9.6 8.9 105 102 2.9 9.4 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
GF Securities (A) 000776 CH N Rmb 18.03 17.50 (3) 19,339 69.5 5 6 10 7 7 3 1 2 (6) (8) Dec-16 11 13 10 17.1 15.4 13.7 12.4 98 95 2.1 11.1 1.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
GF Securities (H) 1776 HK O HK$ 16.20 19.50 20 19,339 6.8 2 2 1 0 (9) (2) (5) (14) (32) (43) Dec-16 11 13 10 13.3 12.0 10.6 9.7 96 93 2.7 11.1 1.3 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Haitong Securities (A) 600837 CH N Rmb 15.43 14.80 (4) 24,128 60.0 3 3 7 (2) (1) 1 (2) (1) (15) (16) Dec-16 11 14 9 22.1 19.8 17.4 15.9 91 90 1.6 7.9 1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Haitong Securities (H) 6837 HK O HK$ 12.90 16.50 28 24,128 19.0 2 1 2 (3) 1 (2) (6) (14) (35) (33) Dec-16 11 14 9 15.9 14.3 12.5 11.5 91 90 2.2 7.9 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
HT Securities (A) 601688 CH N Rmb 19.82 17.50 (12) 19,513 84.5 7 12 18 11 (2) 5 7 10 (2) (17) Dec-16 10 12 10 22.6 20.6 18.5 16.8 93 91 1.9 8.0 1.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
HT Securities (H) 6886 HK O HK$ 16.04 19.00 18 19,513 13.2 5 8 8 8 (5) 1 2 (7) (24) (39) Dec-16 10 12 10 15.8 14.4 12.9 11.8 92 90 2.8 8.0 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Huarong 2799 HK N HK$ 3.05 3.50 15 15,261 5.7 (1) (1) (8) 9 (1) (5) (8) (24) (23) (35) Dec-16 17 12 13 5.1 4.4 3.9 3.5 101 100 6.7 19.0 0.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sinolink Securities 600109 CH U Rmb 11.21 8.50 (24) 5,022 60.5 (0) (7) (15) (14) (18) (2) (12) (23) (27) (32) Dec-16 5 7 n.a. 26.1 25.0 23.4 n.a. 91 86 0.2 7.5 1.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 17 170,328 2 2 1 2 (1) (3) (5) (15) (30) (36) Dec-16 10 11 11 11.3 10.3 9.3 8.2 96 93 3.1 10.6 1.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
20 July 2017
SPT Energy 1251 HK N HK$ 0.53 0.60 13 104 0.1 0 6 (9) (18) 4 (4) (1) (24) (50) (31) Dec-16 54 42 53 n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m. 17 n.m. 0.0 (16.0) 0.9 1.3 n.m. 45
Yantai Jereh Oilfield 002353 CH N Rmb 14.32 18.50 29 2,032 31.0 (9) (11) (21) (29) (25) (11) (16) (29) (42) (40) Dec-16 110 52 (3) n.m. 54.2 35.5 36.5 31 45 0.4 3.2 1.7 3.6 33.0 (11)
Sector Aggregate 16 399,722 3 (1) (7) (6) (3) (1) (7) (23) (38) (38) Dec-16 831 55 (9) n.m. 18.3 11.8 13.0 92 113 3.0 5.0 0.8 0.8 5.3 23
47
Jump-Start
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Ivy Ji/ Lok Kan Chan/ Michael Shen - 852 2101 7951/ 852 2101 6390/ 852 2101 6711
China Lodging HTHT US O US$ 94.33 96.00 2 6,518 4.7 16 20 40 82 143 12 14 24 50 108 Dec-16 48 34 38 56.0 37.7 28.2 20.5 101 101 0.0 19.9 6.7 5.3 17.9 (14)
CITS 601888 CH O Rmb 29.25 36.00 23 8,459 36.9 (1) 3 10 35 29 (3) (2) 2 22 14 Dec-16 (44) 30 28 15.8 28.0 21.5 16.8 97 103 1.9 15.6 4.2 1.8 16.2 (63)
CYTS 600138 CH O Rmb 20.77 26.00 25 2,227 20.2 (2) 1 (3) (1) 4 (4) (4) (11) (14) (11) Dec-16 10 29 18 31.1 28.2 21.8 18.5 97 101 0.5 10.0 2.7 1.4 12.2 2
Xiabu Xiabu 520 HK O HK$ 7.58 8.60 13 1,038 1.3 0 7 24 41 96 (4) 0 9 9 62 Dec-15 40 17 17 26.6 19.1 16.3 13.8 100 101 2.1 22.8 4.0 2.0 10.7 (86)
Sector Aggregate 16 18,242 5 9 20 48 70 1 3 4 16 36 Dec-16 (21) 30 30 23.4 29.5 22.8 18.3 98 102 1.1 16.0 4.4 2.3 15.4 (38)
20 July 2017
48
Jump-Start
Retailing Bin Wang/ Michael Shen - 852 2101 6702/ 852 2101 6711
Harmony Auto 3836 HK O HK$ 3.80 4.40 16 748 5.0 1 1 29 37 (10) (3) (5) 14 5 (44) Dec-16 226 25 19 n.m. 11.0 8.8 7.4 73 87 1.8 8.2 0.9 0.3 4.1 (24)
Sun Art 6808 HK O HK$ 6.20 8.80 42 7,575 10.7 0 (15) (19) (9) 11 (4) (22) (34) (41) (24) Dec-15 5 11 11 20.9 19.9 17.9 16.1 100 103 2.2 12.0 2.3 0.4 6.6 (28)
YH Superstores 601933 CH O Rmb 6.73 9.00 34 9,541 59.8 (5) (1) 8 37 51 (6) (6) 1 24 36 Dec-16 39 24 18 51.9 37.4 30.2 25.5 103 103 1.9 8.9 3.3 0.9 17.2 (54)
Yongda 3669 HK O HK$ 9.30 10.70 15 1,958 6.1 12 14 30 138 169 8 8 14 106 134 Dec-16 35 23 24 15.5 11.5 9.3 7.6 94 94 2.8 22.0 2.1 0.4 7.0 85
ZBJT 000759 CH U Rmb 9.95 7.30 (27) 1,004 7.5 (5) 17 21 7 36 (7) 12 14 (5) 21 Dec-16 816 48 19 n.m. n.m. 77.3 64.7 52 100 0.7 2.0 2.3 0.4 15.4 (7)
Zhengtong Auto 1728 HK O HK$ 7.74 9.40 21 2,191 7.9 7 32 73 242 161 3 26 57 210 126 Dec-16 104 28 20 30.0 14.7 11.5 9.5 108 112 2.0 10.9 1.5 0.6 9.3 78
Zhongsheng 881 HK O HK$ 17.00 13.20 (22) 4,936 6.4 2 21 57 145 294 (2) 15 41 113 259 Dec-16 20 12 16 18.8 15.7 13.9 12.1 92 88 2.1 17.1 2.3 0.6 8.5 86
Sector Aggregate 23 27,952 0 4 17 66 97 (4) (3) 2 34 63 Dec-16 43 18 19 28.7 20.1 17.0 14.7 97 99 2.1 12.2 2.3 0.5 8.7 8
20 July 2017
49
Jump-Start
Technology Hardware Kyna Wong/ Randy Abrams/ Sam Li - 852 2101 6950/ 886 2 2715 6366/ 852 2101 6775
AAC 2018 HK N HK$ 116.80 98.40 (16) 18,309 78.5 11 20 14 66 72 7 14 (1) 34 38 Dec-16 33 22 13 30.8 23.1 19.0 16.8 99 102 1.7 33.9 7.1 6.0 16.1 (14)
BOE 000725 CH N Rmb 4.03 4.10 2 20,267 239.5 2 1 6 41 70 0 (4) (2) 28 55 Dec-16 182 (21) (20) 75.3 26.7 33.7 42.3 70 99 0.6 6.6 1.7 1.8 7.3 27
BYDE 285 HK N HK$ 20.50 13.50 (34) 5,915 17.4 15 18 73 236 289 11 12 57 204 254 Dec-16 108 12 15 32.4 15.6 14.0 12.2 129 121 1.9 20.2 2.9 0.8 7.7 (33)
Coolpad 2369 HK U HK$ 0.72 0.60 (17) 464 2.0 0 0 0 (10) (45) (4) (7) (16) (42) (79) Dec-15 (63) 64 168 n.m. n.m. n.m. 24.2 239 n.m. 0.0 (9.6) 0.7 0.2 n.m. (38)
Dahua 002236 CH O Rmb 24.76 20.50 (17) 10,634 73.2 4 18 45 81 71 2 13 37 68 56 Dec-16 28 28 22 39.3 30.8 24.1 19.7 96 95 0.5 25.3 7.0 4.2 34.1 (2)
GeorTek 002241 CH O Rmb 18.64 23.80 28 8,960 60.2 1 (2) 11 41 35 (1) (7) 3 28 20 Dec-16 (32) 18 13 17.2 25.3 21.6 19.1 104 100 0.6 19.0 4.5 2.5 16.5 30
Han's Laser 002008 CH O Rmb 37.91 41.40 9 5,865 76.6 1 20 43 68 62 (0) 15 35 55 47 Dec-16 76 15 11 53.6 30.5 26.6 23.9 104 100 0.9 22.9 6.5 4.2 23.1 (1)
Hikvision 002415 CH N Rmb 29.97 25.90 (14) 40,969 154.7 1 2 25 89 84 (1) (2) 18 76 69 Dec-16 (15) 25 21 24.6 29.0 23.1 19.1 99 98 1.9 35.8 9.5 6.8 29.2 (34)
Huahong Semi 1347 HK O HK$ 10.80 13.50 25 1,430 3.3 4 2 0 25 47 (0) (4) (15) (7) 13 Dec-15 14 (3) 4 12.7 11.1 11.5 11.0 104 97 0.1 8.6 1.0 1.9 6.9 (17)
JCET 600584 CH U Rmb 15.79 11.80 (25) 3,181 35.5 (1) (3) (12) (11) (14) (3) (8) (19) (23) (29) Dec-16 14 41 68 n.m. n.m. 96.0 57.1 16 15 0.1 2.3 2.3 1.3 8.5 86
LensTech 300433 CH O Rmb 31.91 34.40 8 12,374 31.1 14 7 12 39 49 12 2 4 26 34 Dec-16 50 54 31 57.8 38.5 25.1 19.2 90 94 0.5 14.6 5.3 4.1 22.1 24
Luxshare 002475 CH O Rmb 20.76 21.73 5 9,779 38.2 5 11 19 50 76 3 6 11 37 61 Dec-16 62 30 15 57.1 35.3 27.2 23.6 97 95 0.4 15.5 5.1 3.2 23.0 (4)
Ofilm 002456 CH N Rmb 19.34 18.80 (3) 7,780 82.7 6 16 31 41 42 4 11 24 28 27 Dec-16 (23) 50 30 29.2 37.8 25.2 19.4 101 110 0.4 16.1 5.7 1.5 22.0 60
Q Tech 1478 HK O HK$ 8.78 10.00 14 1,232 5.6 13 44 45 120 365 9 37 29 88 330 Dec-16 126 44 19 42.1 18.6 12.9 10.8 116 127 1.1 24.2 4.0 1.0 13.6 6
Sanan 600703 CH O Rmb 19.00 23.60 24 11,478 63.0 (2) (1) 16 42 49 (4) (6) 9 29 34 Dec-16 37 27 21 35.8 26.2 20.5 16.9 97 100 1.1 16.0 4.0 8.3 15.9 (25)
SMIC 981 HK N HK$ 9.31 10.20 10 5,545 29.6 3 6 3 (24) 43 (1) (0) (13) (56) 9 Dec-16 (38) 38 0 14.0 22.7 16.4 16.4 89 96 0.0 5.3 1.1 2.1 5.6 21
Sunny Optical 2382 HK O HK$ 99.00 89.80 (9) 13,908 55.3 31 52 66 192 246 27 45 51 160 212 Dec-16 70 39 27 73.4 43.1 31.0 24.4 101 102 0.6 37.9 14.3 4.4 32.6 (32)
TFME 002156 CH N Rmb 9.48 10.60 12 1,366 10.5 (6) 0 (6) (17) (30) (8) (5) (14) (29) (45) Dec-16 19 52 23 51.0 42.8 28.2 22.9 75 83 0.3 6.1 2.3 1.7 8.8 29
Tianma 000050 CH U Rmb 22.02 15.90 (28) 4,570 80.2 9 22 39 17 5 7 17 32 4 (10) Dec-16 23 16 (16) 54.2 44.0 38.0 45.4 84 75 0.4 5.2 1.7 2.1 13.8 2
Tongda 698 HK N HK$ 2.62 2.40 (8) 2,031 19.7 16 16 (1) 31 78 12 9 (16) (1) 44 Dec-16 25 19 22 16.4 13.2 11.0 9.0 90 86 2.3 25.0 3.0 1.8 9.1 23
TSHT 002185 CH O Rmb 7.00 7.80 11 2,210 33.5 (3) (2) 4 16 8 (5) (7) (3) 3 (7) Dec-16 23 33 20 38.2 31.1 23.3 19.5 89 90 0.5 9.4 2.8 2.1 11.1 (7)
ZTE (A) 000063 CH U Rmb 22.67 15.00 (34) 15,680 134.7 (3) 5 31 42 52 (5) (0) 24 29 38 Dec-16 278 7 3 n.m. 22.6 21.0 20.4 96 92 1.1 15.0 3.2 0.9 17.1 (7)
ZTE (H) 763 HK N HK$ 18.90 16.30 (14) 15,680 17.4 3 6 25 40 82 (2) (0) 9 8 47 Dec-16 278 7 3 n.m. 16.3 15.2 14.7 103 99 1.5 15.0 2.3 0.9 17.1 (7)
Sector Aggregate (4) 203,946 6 11 24 68 84 2 4 9 36 49 Dec-16 51 21 14 40.7 27.0 22.3 19.5 93 97 1.1 14.5 3.7 2.5 14.9 7
20 July 2017
50
Jump-Start
Transportation Baoying Zhai/ Edmond Huang/ Michael Shen - 852 2101 7135/ 852 2101 6701/ 852 2101 6711
Air China (A) 601111 CH U Rmb 9.39 6.90 (27) 16,288 53.8 4 (6) 3 30 20 2 (10) (5) 18 5 Dec-16 19 (7) 28 16.5 13.9 14.9 11.6 114 99 1.3 11.7 1.6 1.6 6.7 98
Air China (H) 753 HK N HK$ 7.59 7.70 1 16,288 10.7 2 (2) 16 53 31 (2) (8) 1 21 (4) Dec-16 19 (7) 28 11.5 9.7 10.4 8.1 115 95 1.9 11.7 1.1 1.6 6.7 98
BCIA 694 HK N HK$ 12.66 11.10 (12) 7,022 10.2 6 13 16 61 47 2 7 (0) 29 13 Dec-16 39 25 (2) 26.6 19.1 15.3 15.6 107 103 2.1 12.3 2.3 5.2 9.9 24
CAR 699 HK O HK$ 6.99 8.40 20 2,020 6.0 (6) (4) (4) (8) (11) (10) (10) (20) (40) (46) Dec-15 (8) (7) 20 15.9 17.3 18.6 15.5 102 93 0.0 10.4 1.6 3.0 5.2 69
China Eastern Airlines (A) 600115 CH U Rmb 6.88 4.60 (33) 12,770 77.0 4 0 (1) (3) (1) 2 (5) (9) (15) (16) Dec-16 46 3 33 22.0 15.0 14.6 11.0 106 118 2.6 12.7 1.8 2.0 8.4 211
China Eastern Airlines (H) 670 HK O HK$ 4.65 5.40 16 12,770 7.0 1 5 7 31 8 (3) (1) (8) (1) (27) Dec-16 46 3 33 12.9 8.8 8.5 6.4 106 118 4.5 12.7 1.1 2.0 8.4 211
China Southern Airlines (A) 600029 CH U Rmb 8.63 5.90 (32) 11,307 83.0 4 (5) 7 23 6 2 (10) (1) 10 (9) Dec-16 37 (17) 35 16.8 12.3 14.8 10.9 120 100 1.6 14.9 1.7 1.4 7.3 162
China Southern Airlines (H) 1055 HK N HK$ 6.51 6.80 4 11,307 12.1 6 1 23 62 35 2 (5) 7 30 (0) Dec-16 37 (17) 35 11.0 8.0 9.7 7.1 126 101 2.5 14.9 1.1 1.4 7.3 162
CRSC 3969 HK N HK$ 6.32 6.05 (4) 7,114 2.0 5 3 4 13 21 0 (4) (11) (19) (14) Dec-16 13 10 10 16.1 14.2 13.0 11.8 93 86 2.0 14.8 2.0 1.0 6.9 (59)
Daqin 601006 CH O Rmb 9.05 10.00 10 19,929 49.3 3 11 14 28 49 1 6 6 15 34 Dec-16 57 4 2 18.8 12.0 11.5 11.3 97 96 4.3 12.1 1.4 2.6 7.6 (4)
GBIA 600004 CH N Rmb 13.62 12.41 (9) 4,175 34.1 0 11 20 40 53 (1) 6 12 27 38 Dec-16 12 (33) 14 16.3 14.5 21.8 19.1 117 93 2.1 13.8 1.9 3.7 9.4 46
Guangshen Railway (A) 601333 CH O Rmb 4.88 4.90 0 4,810 30.2 9 9 (8) (4) 19 7 4 (16) (16) 4 Dec-16 13 28 (1) 26.5 23.4 18.3 18.4 115 128 1.7 5.2 1.2 1.7 8.2 (10)
Guangshen Railway (H) 525 HK O HK$ 3.95 5.45 38 4,810 2.3 2 (1) (17) (16) 6 (2) (8) (32) (48) (28) Dec-16 13 28 (1) 18.5 16.4 12.8 12.9 115 128 2.5 5.2 0.8 1.7 8.2 (10)
SHIA 600009 CH O Rmb 38.16 41.20 8 10,892 37.0 3 6 11 44 41 1 1 3 31 26 Dec-16 12 36 9 26.2 23.4 17.2 15.7 99 113 1.3 13.4 3.0 9.2 17.4 (18)
SZAC 000089 CH O Rmb 9.09 10.70 18 2,761 17.0 (3) (3) (0) 14 4 (5) (8) (8) 1 (11) Dec-16 29 42 16 33.1 25.6 18.1 15.6 100 119 1.2 6.7 1.7 4.5 11.4 (32)
YTO 600233 CH N Rmb 18.24 22.50 23 7,622 29.7 (4) (9) (16) (28) (20) (6) (14) (24) (41) (35) Dec-16 28 34 27 37.5 29.2 21.8 17.1 106 116 1.0 20.0 5.5 2.1 17.9 (24)
ZTO ZTO US O US$ 15.56 15.60 0 11,381 6.2 2 9 21 29 n.a. (3) 2 6 (3) n.a. Dec-16 34 26 n.a. 32.8 24.5 19.5 n.a. 103 97 0.0 14.6 3.3 5.0 14.0 (50)
Sector Aggregate 8 118,092 2 4 11 32 28 (2) (2) (5) (0) (7) Dec-16 32 4 19 17.1 13.0 12.6 10.2 107 102 2.3 12.3 1.5 2.0 8.4 61
Utilities Dave Dai/ Gary Zhou/ Gloria Yan - 852 2101 7358/ 852 2101 6648/ 852 2101 7369
Beijing Enterprise 392 HK O HK$ 41.80 57.00 36 6,756 13.6 1 11 6 14 (8) (4) 5 (10) (18) (43) Dec-16 6 3 6 8.5 8.0 7.8 7.3 99 99 2.5 11.0 0.8 1.7 13.9 52
CGN 1816 HK U HK$ 2.22 1.70 (23) 12,921 12.8 1 0 (5) 4 0 (3) (6) (21) (28) (35) Dec-16 7 1 12 12.0 11.2 11.1 9.9 94 84 2.8 13.1 1.4 6.3 11.8 156
China Datang 1798 HK O HK$ 0.93 1.18 27 866 0.3 9 18 16 31 13 5 11 1 (1) (21) Dec-16 266 35 24 29.5 8.1 6.0 4.8 139 138 3.7 6.5 0.5 7.3 8.5 314
China Gas 384 HK O HK$ 18.92 16.50 (13) 12,039 10.5 0 46 50 80 57 (4) 40 34 48 22 Mar-17 37 21 19 22.4 16.3 13.5 11.3 108 113 1.8 25.5 3.8 2.9 12.3 55
China Longyuan 916 HK O HK$ 5.64 7.60 35 5,805 10.7 4 (1) (6) (7) (7) (1) (8) (22) (39) (42) Dec-16 34 37 10 11.5 8.6 6.3 5.7 112 130 2.9 10.7 0.9 4.6 7.1 143
Chuantou 600674 CH N Rmb 9.66 8.80 (9) 6,299 23.9 (3) 1 4 11 8 (5) (4) (4) (2) (7) Dec-15 (7) (5) (5) 11.0 11.9 12.5 13.0 102 99 2.6 18.4 2.1 47.4 96.2 24
CNE 182 HK O HK$ 0.33 0.47 42 361 0.9 (3) 2 (12) (20) (25) (7) (5) (28) (52) (60) Dec-16 18 22 10 5.3 4.5 3.7 3.3 90 93 6.7 10.3 0.4 3.1 14.4 65
CR Gas 1193 HK O HK$ 29.90 36.00 20 8,516 13.1 (2) 23 15 37 26 (6) 17 (0) 5 (8) Dec-16 31 27 23 19.8 15.1 11.9 9.7 114 130 2.1 22.4 3.1 2.3 7.6 0
CR Power 836 HK N HK$ 15.40 15.00 (3) 9,487 13.4 1 (1) 11 25 35 (3) (8) (5) (7) (0) Dec-16 (30) 29 10 9.5 13.7 10.6 9.7 88 87 5.7 7.8 1.1 2.4 7.3 112
CSG 956 HK N HK$ 1.74 1.56 (10) 828 1.8 6 21 5 74 89 2 14 (11) 42 55 Dec-16 26 24 17 10.3 8.2 6.6 5.6 93 101 5.3 8.4 0.7 4.5 9.0 165
Datang (A) 601991 CH U Rmb 4.52 3.10 (31) 7,787 30.1 2 (3) (3) 18 11 0 (8) (10) 6 (3) Dec-16 149 185 11 n.m. 44.6 15.6 14.1 59 101 0.0 3.3 1.5 3.2 9.7 228
Datang (H) 991 HK O HK$ 2.58 3.40 32 7,787 7.6 3 1 11 27 35 (1) (6) (5) (5) 0 Dec-16 149 185 11 n.m. 22.0 7.7 7.0 59 102 0.0 3.3 0.7 3.2 9.7 228
ENN Energy 2688 HK O HK$ 52.75 57.00 8 7,308 21.6 (2) 25 25 65 38 (7) 19 9 33 3 Dec-16 70 22 12 23.0 13.5 11.1 9.9 109 119 1.9 22.4 2.8 1.4 8.7 33
GCL 3800 HK N HK$ 0.94 0.80 (15) 2,238 12.0 12 25 (1) 1 (14) 8 19 (17) (31) (48) Dec-16 (10) (2) 1 7.4 8.2 8.4 8.3 97 87 0.0 8.5 0.7 2.3 5.8 133
GCLNE 451 HK N HK$ 0.38 0.40 5 916 0.7 3 6 (6) (18) 7 (2) (1) (22) (50) (27) Dec-16 168 (13) 13 20.2 7.5 8.6 7.6 123 75 0.0 16.5 1.1 8.2 9.8 320
Guangdong Investment 270 HK N HK$ 11.10 12.70 14 9,294 14.2 5 0 (5) 8 (5) 1 (6) (21) (24) (40) Dec-16 4 10 8 16.5 15.9 14.4 13.3 94 99 4.5 13.2 2.0 6.5 10.3 (3)
HDF 816 HK O HK$ 1.81 2.50 38 1,949 4.3 (1) 0 7 5 5 (5) (7) (9) (27) (30) Dec-16 16 25 19 6.5 5.6 4.5 3.8 118 122 3.9 11.2 0.6 4.5 8.1 260
HDP (A) 600027 CH U Rmb 4.70 3.80 (19) 6,403 18.8 (1) (3) (7) (5) (8) (3) (8) (15) (18) (23) Dec-16 (112) 816 44 14.8 n.m. 16.9 11.7 n.m. 88 0.0 (0.9) 1.1 2.4 9.8 189
HDP (H) 1071 HK O HK$ 3.33 4.20 26 6,403 7.5 1 (4) 3 (5) (5) (4) (11) (13) (37) (39) Dec-16 (112) 816 44 9.1 n.m. 10.3 7.2 n.m. 88 0.0 (0.9) 0.7 2.4 9.8 189
HNR 958 HK O HK$ 2.40 3.60 50 3,248 10.0 1 1 (10) (5) (2) (3) (6) (26) (37) (37) Dec-16 31 18 14 7.6 5.8 4.9 4.3 113 119 2.6 16.0 0.8 6.3 7.1 189
Huaneng (A) 600011 CH U Rmb 7.35 4.40 (40) 14,760 21.8 4 (6) (0) 4 2 2 (11) (8) (8) (12) Dec-16 (60) 82 14 13.1 33.1 18.2 16.0 77 82 1.6 4.3 1.5 2.2 10.6 231
Huaneng (H) 902 HK U HK$ 5.53 4.80 (13) 14,760 24.1 2 (4) 5 8 24 (2) (11) (10) (24) (11) Dec-16 (60) 82 14 8.5 21.5 11.9 10.4 92 83 2.4 4.3 1.0 2.2 10.6 231
Jingneng 600578 CH N Rmb 4.35 4.10 (6) 4,347 11.5 1 2 (6) 4 (4) (1) (3) (13) (9) (19) Dec-15 (41) (4) 14 7.7 12.9 13.5 11.8 120 100 2.7 8.7 0.9 3.2 7.0 26
LONGi 601012 CH O Rmb 18.91 23.50 24 5,591 37.1 6 21 15 41 32 4 16 8 29 18 Dec-16 18 32 22 22.0 18.6 14.1 11.6 102 106 0.8 21.1 4.1 2.1 11.3 (8)
LYE 601222 CH N Rmb 7.42 7.50 1 1,939 9.9 (1) (1) 4 (8) (33) (3) (6) (4) (21) (48) Dec-16 50 13 2 26.5 17.7 15.6 15.3 101 92 2.9 8.8 1.5 4.4 11.5 15
SDIC 600886 CH U Rmb 7.99 6.60 (17) 8,031 42.8 0 2 8 20 19 (2) (3) 0 7 5 Dec-16 4 1 (0) 13.8 13.3 13.2 13.2 97 92 2.6 13.6 1.7 6.5 11.5 234
SZ Gas 601139 CH N Rmb 8.56 9.00 5 2,808 4.4 0 (1) (12) (6) (3) (2) (6) (19) (19) (18) Dec-16 28 18 8 24.5 19.1 16.3 15.1 104 105 1.6 12.3 2.3 1.9 10.7 (3)
XYS 968 HK N HK$ 2.38 2.40 1 2,263 4.8 10 3 1 (5) (21) 5 (3) (15) (37) (56) Dec-16 10 3 (5) 8.1 7.4 7.2 7.6 100 90 5.8 31.9 2.2 3.4 7.8 99
Yangtze Power 600900 CH N Rmb 14.91 14.50 (3) 48,588 44.4 (3) 3 9 18 16 (5) (2) 1 5 1 Dec-16 (8) (4) 4 15.8 17.1 17.9 17.2 96 94 4.4 14.6 2.5 9.7 12.0 95
Sector Aggregate 4 191,347 0 7 9 20 16 (4) 0 (7) (12) (19) Dec-16 1 24 11 14.3 14.2 11.4 10.2 95 99 3.0 11.0 1.4 3.6 9.9 134
20 July 2017
Country Aggregate 7,914 8,715 10 5,644,884 4 7 16 32 35 Dec-16 14 13 10 13.6 11.9 10.6 9.3 98 99 2.6 12.4 1.4 1.5 8.8 24
Conglomerates Gerald Wong/ Kenneth Fong/ Susanna Leung - 65 6212 3037/ 852 2101 6395/ 852 2101 6590
CKH 1 HK O HK$ 100.10 122.00 22 49,453 60.7 1 1 7 14 14 (2) (1) (4) (7) (9) Dec-15 7 5 13 12.4 11.6 11.1 9.8 100 100 2.7 8.5 1.0 1.4 5.8 27
Jardine Matheson JM SP U US$ 63.20 58.00 (8) 45,699 18.2 1 (3) (4) 14 9 (2) (6) (14) (7) (14) Dec-16 9 3 n.a. 17.1 15.7 15.2 n.a. 98 95 1.8 6.8 1.1 1.3 11.6 7
Jardine Strategic JS SP N US$ 41.78 38.00 (9) 46,278 24.7 2 (0) (1) 26 40 (1) (3) (12) 5 17 Dec-16 4 3 n.a. 17.1 16.4 16.0 n.a. 93 89 0.7 5.6 0.9 1.6 12.6 6
Wharf 4 HK N HK$ 66.45 65.00 (2) 25,819 32.6 3 (2) (1) 29 32 0 (5) (12) 8 9 Dec-16 10 (3) 3 14.6 13.3 13.8 13.4 108 99 3.1 4.6 0.6 5.9 10.6 2
Wheelock 20 HK U HK$ 58.60 43.80 (25) 15,311 7.9 2 (3) (6) 34 50 (0) (6) (17) 13 27 Dec-16 9 (7) 3 10.1 9.2 9.9 9.6 108 92 2.2 6.2 0.6 3.2 7.1 13
Sector Aggregate (1) 182,560 1 (1) 0 21 25 (1) (4) (11) (0) 2 Dec-16 7 4 3 14.1 13.3 12.7 11.7 100 96 2.1 6.5 0.8 1.6 8.2 11
Consumer Durables & Apparel Amy Ji/ Carey Shi - 852 2101 7735/ 852 2101 7729
Li & Fung 494 HK U HK$ 2.83 2.60 (8) 3,070 15.7 (1) (1) (13) (17) (25) (5) (8) (29) (49) (60) Dec-16 (20) 8 15 11.6 14.5 13.5 11.7 86 90 7.0 9.0 1.3 0.2 7.6 12
Pacific Textiles 1382 HK N HK$ 9.20 9.00 (2) 1,704 1.9 (1) 1 8 9 (14) (4) (2) (2) (12) (37) Mar-16 (16) 3 1 11.8 14.1 13.7 13.6 97 99 7.6 28.3 4.0 2.1 10.8 (18)
Techtronic 669 HK O HK$ 37.25 36.30 (3) 8,747 16.7 4 3 16 34 11 2 (0) 5 13 (12) Dec-16 21 17 14 21.4 17.8 15.1 13.3 103 103 1.5 19.1 3.2 1.4 11.3 (4)
Yue Yuen 551 HK N HK$ 33.15 35.00 6 7,000 7.5 6 3 6 18 3 4 1 (5) (3) (20) Dec-16 9 3 5 13.1 12.0 11.7 11.2 103 100 5.2 12.0 1.4 0.8 7.5 (3)
Sector Aggregate (1) 20,521 4 2 8 19 1 1 (1) (3) (2) (22) Dec-16 6 8 10 15.5 14.6 13.5 12.3 99 99 4.1 13.9 2.0 0.7 9.1 1
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Kenneth Fong/ Lok Kan Chan - 852 2101 6395/ 852 2101 6390
Galaxy 27 HK O HK$ 46.30 61.00 32 25,376 83.7 (1) (3) 9 38 95 (3) (6) (1) 17 72 Dec-16 56 14 15 31.7 20.3 17.9 15.5 120 125 1.5 19.7 3.7 2.9 12.9 (41)
Melco 200 HK O HK$ 18.70 25.50 36 3,665 13.9 (1) (10) 22 78 153 (3) (13) 11 56 130 Dec-16 (90) 74 26 2.8 28.7 16.5 13.2 76 102 0.2 4.4 1.2 0.9 3.2 12
MGM China 2282 HK O HK$ 16.04 20.50 28 7,806 13.7 (1) (6) (7) (0) 46 (3) (9) (18) (21) 23 Dec-16 (18) 85 42 20.1 24.6 13.3 9.3 104 142 1.6 31.3 7.1 4.5 16.3 173
MLCO MLCO US O US$ 22.03 30.00 36 11,204 20.4 1 (6) 8 50 94 (1) (9) (3) 28 70 Dec-16 145 31 28 64.8 26.5 20.3 15.9 104 119 1.6 13.1 3.7 2.5 10.1 64
NagaCorp 3918 HK N HK$ 4.80 4.90 2 1,512 3.4 4 40 12 7 (10) 2 37 2 (14) (34) Dec-16 (40) 23 21 8.7 14.5 11.7 9.7 87 82 4.1 14.3 2.0 1.9 4.6 (16)
Sands China 1928 HK O HK$ 35.00 43.50 24 36,185 77.3 2 (6) (3) 4 27 (0) (9) (14) (17) 4 Dec-16 36 10 12 29.5 21.8 19.8 17.7 106 106 6.0 34.6 7.9 4.9 15.5 68
SJM 880 HK N HK$ 7.88 7.40 (6) 5,709 11.4 1 (4) 9 30 65 (2) (7) (2) 8 42 Dec-16 (32) 2 36 19.2 28.2 27.7 20.3 94 102 2.0 6.4 1.8 1.2 14.8 23
Wynn Macau 1128 HK N HK$ 17.30 19.80 14 11,511 23.7 (2) (6) 3 40 42 (4) (8) (8) 19 19 Dec-16 142 26 25 62.5 25.8 20.5 16.4 102 100 3.2 94.7 18.3 3.3 14.7 499
Sector Aggregate 25 102,968 0 (5) 4 25 60 (2) (7) (7) 4 37 Dec-16 (0) 21 20 22.7 22.8 18.7 15.6 106 113 3.3 19.9 4.5 2.9 12.0 31
Insurance Abid Hussain/ Charles Zhou - 44 20 7888 2624/ 852 2101 6177
AIA Group 1299 HK O HK$ 58.35 67.20 15 90,225 148.1 (0) 2 18 33 19 (2) (1) 7 12 (4) Nov-16 24 0 13 21.5 17.3 17.3 15.2 112 103 1.7 14.0 2.3 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Prudential 2378 HK O HK$ 177.60 203.48 15 59,724 0.1 1 (2) 10 16 32 (2) (4) (1) (6) 9 Dec-16 7 11 12 12.9 12.0 10.8 9.6 110 110 2.8 23.1 2.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 15 149,949 0 1 15 26 24 (2) (2) 4 5 1 Dec-16 14 6 12 16.8 14.8 13.9 9.6 111 107 2.1 17.1 2.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
REITs Kelvin Tam/ Susanna Leung - 852 2101 6582/ 852 2101 6590
20 July 2017
Link REIT 823 HK N HK$ 61.55 59.80 (3) 17,456 32.5 2 (3) 10 22 10 (0) (5) (1) 1 (13) Mar-17 4 14 8 27.5 26.5 23.3 21.6 95 100 3.8 3.7 1.0 n.a. 24.9 24
Spring REIT 1426 HK N HK$ 3.40 3.40 0 545 0.6 0 0 4 6 (3) (2) (3) (7) (16) (26) Dec-16 (14) (1) 3 15.7 18.2 18.4 17.8 119 118 5.9 3.1 0.6 n.a. 23.1 57
Sector Aggregate (3) 18,001 2 (3) 10 22 9 (0) (5) (1) 0 (14) Dec-16 4 11 9 27.5 26.4 23.8 21.9 98 99 3.8 3.7 0.9 n.a. 24.7 25
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Transportation Alvin Wong/ Baoying Zhai - 852 2101 6486/ 852 2101 7135
Cathay Pacific 293 HK U HK$ 12.42 10.80 (13) 6,257 12.8 (2) 0 15 22 2 (5) (3) 4 1 (21) Dec-16 (880) 104 2,712 n.m. n.m. n.m. 19.3 42 13 0.0 (4.6) 0.9 1.3 24.1 141
Kerry Logistics 636 HK O HK$ 11.18 13.00 16 2,428 1.3 (1) 0 4 14 5 (4) (3) (7) (7) (18) Dec-16 5 6 5 17.2 16.3 15.5 14.7 88 87 1.8 7.2 1.1 0.8 8.0 20
Sector Aggregate (5) 8,685 (2) 0 12 20 3 (4) (3) 1 (2) (20) Dec-16 (256) 200 191 79.7 n.m. 51.5 17.7 n.m. 63 0.5 (1.9) 1.0 1.2 18.9 109
Country Aggregate 26,672 27,446 3 754,836 2 3 11 21 23 Dec-16 5 8 4 17.2 16.4 15.2 15.7 100 100 2.9 7.0 1.1 2.1 10.9 14
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India—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Automobiles & Components Jatin Chawla - 91 22 6777 3719
Apollo Tyres APTY IN N Rs 255.75 220.00 (14) 2,026 14.3 1 (0) 7 38 61 1 (2) (2) 18 46 Mar-16 4 (19) 24 12.5 12.0 14.8 11.9 99 88 0.9 16.3 1.8 1.2 8.3 30
Ashok Leyland AL IN N Rs 106.90 89.00 (17) 4,869 17.8 0 14 31 33 14 (0) 11 22 13 (1) Mar-16 69 18 18 42.1 24.9 21.0 17.8 79 104 1.7 20.8 4.9 1.6 14.7 18
Bajaj Auto BJAUT IN N Rs 2,824.75 2,630.00 (7) 12,722 12.9 1 (0) (0) 7 3 1 (2) (9) (13) (12) Mar-16 0 6 10 20.1 20.0 19.0 17.2 107 103 1.9 28.8 5.4 3.3 16.1 (70)
Bharat Forge BHFC IN N Rs 1,148.30 1,030.00 (10) 4,161 13.7 3 (3) 6 27 54 2 (5) (2) 7 39 Mar-16 (15) 41 36 40.6 48.0 34.2 25.2 94 97 0.7 14.8 6.8 3.9 22.7 46
Bosch Ltd. BOS IN O Rs 24,365.7526,700.00 10 11,574 6.4 1 (3) 8 16 (0) 0 (5) (1) (4) (15) Mar-16 16 29 21 61.4 53.1 41.1 33.9 99 99 0.4 16.3 8.1 6.9 37.7 (29)
Eicher Motors EIM IN U Rs 29,181.0021,800.00 (25) 12,364 19.9 3 3 14 34 48 3 0 6 14 33 Mar-16 30 41 22 62.0 47.5 33.7 27.5 100 107 0.3 40.3 16.5 11.1 35.8 (28)
Exide Industries EXID IN N Rs 218.15 190.00 (13) 2,886 7.0 (4) (4) (9) 21 24 (4) (6) (17) 1 9 Mar-16 12 12 15 29.8 26.5 23.7 20.6 101 98 1.1 15.0 3.8 2.5 16.0 2
Hero Motocorp HMCL IN N Rs 3,766.20 3,140.00 (17) 11,706 21.9 1 (2) 18 24 17 0 (4) 9 4 2 Mar-16 8 10 5 24.0 22.3 20.2 19.2 100 98 2.3 39.1 8.0 2.5 15.3 (47)
M&M MM IN O Rs 1,383.40 1,530.00 11 13,373 26.9 0 (0) 9 17 (5) 0 (2) (0) (3) (20) Mar-16 7 12 15 27.4 25.7 22.9 19.8 94 90 1.0 14.2 3.4 1.9 17.9 (11)
Maruti Suzuki MSIL IN N Rs 7,560.90 6,400.00 (15) 35,549 53.2 1 4 21 42 69 1 2 12 22 54 Mar-16 61 12 17 49.9 31.1 27.8 23.8 100 98 1.0 23.2 6.3 2.6 17.0 (145)
Motherson Sumi MSS IN N Rs 326.15 260.00 (20) 10,687 13.2 4 (0) 30 50 62 3 (2) 21 30 47 Mar-16 25 33 25 52.0 41.5 31.2 25.1 98 100 0.6 27.8 9.0 1.7 16.7 22
Tata Motors TTMT IN O Rs 460.55 630.00 37 20,697 54.5 (0) 2 4 (2) (8) (1) (0) (5) (22) (23) Mar-16 (43) 113 39 11.9 21.0 9.8 7.1 117 125 0.3 8.8 1.8 0.6 4.7 46
TVS TVSL IN U Rs 573.65 320.00 (44) 4,242 9.8 2 4 17 59 91 1 2 9 39 76 Mar-16 29 29 23 63.1 48.8 37.8 30.8 100 97 0.5 26.2 11.7 2.3 32.8 36
WABCO WIL IN N Rs 5,442.30 5,750.00 6 1,607 0.9 (2) (4) (12) 4 (3) (2) (6) (21) (16) (18) Mar-16 9 22 22 50.4 46.1 37.8 31.0 105 100 0.2 19.4 8.2 4.7 28.4 (43)
Sector Aggregate (5) 148,462 1 1 13 26 31 1 (1) 4 6 16 Mar-17 33 23 n.a. 28.4 21.3 17.3 n.a. 105 105 1.1 19.8 4.0 1.5 10.1 (17)
Capital Goods Anantha Narayan/ Arnab Mitra/ Lokesh Garg/ Vaibhav Jain - 91 22 6777 3730/ 91 22 6777 3806/ 91 22 6777 3743/ 91 22 6777 3968
BEL BHE IN O Rs 173.70 200.00 15 6,039 13.0 2 3 (3) 26 40 1 1 (11) 6 25 Mar-16 31 15 13 30.5 23.4 20.3 18.0 114 116 2.8 21.0 5.5 3.9 20.2 (91)
BHEL BHEL IN U Rs 145.15 100.00 (31) 5,529 16.8 3 5 (17) 20 4 3 3 (25) (0) (11) Mar-16 192 28 (1) n.m. 30.4 23.7 24.0 235 112 1.0 3.5 1.1 0.9 20.9 (35)
Cummins India KKC IN N Rs 966.05 875.00 (9) 4,168 5.1 6 4 2 18 15 6 2 (6) (2) (0) Mar-16 (4) 17 14 34.9 36.5 31.3 27.5 100 100 1.4 22.2 7.7 5.2 32.7 (17)
Dilip Buildcon DBL IN O Rs 524.90 650.00 24 1,117 2.2 1 18 29 129 n.a. 0 16 20 109 n.a. Mar-17 (13) 51 21 19.9 22.8 15.1 12.4 75 100 26.1 15.8 3.3 1.8 9.5 113
Havells HAVL IN N Rs 467.45 535.00 14 4,548 9.7 (2) (3) (5) 36 30 (3) (5) (14) 16 15 Mar-17 10 27 20 48.9 44.3 35.0 29.2 93 97 0.9 19.0 8.0 3.2 27.5 (49)
J.Kumar JKIL IN O Rs 294.55 375.00 27 347 1.3 (4) 1 11 44 32 (4) (2) 2 24 17 Mar-17 27 13 19 21.1 16.6 14.7 12.4 100 89 0.7 9.3 1.5 1.3 7.6 13
Kajaria Ceramics KJC IN N Rs 668.15 675.00 1 1,653 3.2 (1) (5) 2 44 10 (1) (7) (6) 24 (5) Mar-16 9 20 18 46.0 42.1 35.0 29.7 100 101 0.4 24.1 9.0 3.8 21.6 9
L&T LT IN O Rs 1,181.00 1,373.33 16 26,054 46.5 2 1 5 31 13 1 (1) (3) 11 (2) Mar-16 41 15 20 39.5 27.9 24.3 20.3 100 102 1.0 12.0 3.0 2.3 22.6 144
Thermax TMX IN U Rs 917.10 725.00 (21) 1,701 1.0 0 (4) (8) 23 1 (0) (6) (17) 3 (14) Mar-16 0 13 25 39.7 39.7 35.0 28.1 108 95 0.6 11.2 4.3 2.1 22.4 (0)
Voltas VOLT IN O Rs 493.95 585.00 18 2,544 12.5 4 4 18 50 52 4 2 9 30 37 Mar-16 46 11 15 47.4 32.5 29.3 25.5 99 99 0.8 19.5 5.9 2.5 26.6 (54)
Sector Aggregate 8 53,700 2 2 2 32 18 1 (0) (7) 12 3 Mar-17 15 17 20 29.6 25.7 22.0 22.0 103 100 1.9 11.4 2.8 2.1 18.5 52
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Diversified Financials Ashish Gupta/ Sunil Tirumalai - 91 22 6777 3895/ 91 22 6777 3714
Bajaj Finance BAF IN U Rs 1,543.00 1,000.00 (35) 13,206 20.9 7 10 23 84 78 7 8 15 64 63 Mar-17 25 34 24 46.2 37.0 27.5 22.2 94 96 0.2 18.7 5.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Bharat Financial BHAFIN IN O Rs 773.00 800.00 3 1,661 52.7 1 9 2 31 (2) 1 7 (6) 11 (17) Mar-17 133 17 35 36.9 15.8 13.5 10.0 129 110 0.0 24.3 3.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Chola CIFC IN O Rs 1,148.95 1,230.00 7 2,795 5.2 3 5 11 22 18 3 3 3 2 3 Mar-17 34 30 31 25.0 18.7 14.4 11.0 109 115 0.6 20.3 3.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Edelweiss EDEL IN O Rs 196.60 220.00 12 2,610 10.0 4 (4) 12 101 157 3 (6) 3 81 142 Mar-17 37 41 25 27.0 19.7 14.0 11.2 100 113 0.9 17.5 3.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
HDFC HDFC IN O Rs 1,655.05 1,800.00 9 41,032 65.9 1 0 9 31 24 0 (2) 0 11 9 Mar-17 42 14 16 43.9 31.0 27.3 23.5 101 101 1.4 20.3 6.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
IIFL Holdings IIFL IN O Rs 589.75 650.00 10 2,919 3.4 (2) (3) 27 125 163 (2) (5) 18 105 148 Mar-17 34 39 35 27.4 20.4 14.6 10.8 111 128 0.8 19.4 3.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Indiabulls Housing IHFL IN O Rs 1,149.80 1,185.00 3 7,594 35.3 4 2 17 77 61 4 (0) 9 57 46 Mar-17 37 26 27 16.6 12.2 9.7 7.6 111 118 3.5 30.3 3.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
LIC Housing Finance LICHF IN O Rs 750.60 850.00 13 5,896 17.8 3 (3) 17 34 48 3 (5) 8 14 33 Mar-17 42 27 22 19.5 13.7 10.8 8.8 120 132 1.2 22.5 2.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
MMFSL MMFS IN O Rs 357.05 410.00 15 3,161 13.9 (2) 2 5 32 11 (2) 0 (3) 12 (4) Mar-17 110 67 30 39.7 18.9 11.3 8.7 121 151 1.1 14.6 2.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Shriram City SCUF IN O Rs 2,320.90 3,200.00 38 2,382 1.5 1 (5) 1 29 26 0 (7) (8) 9 11 Mar-17 72 46 25 26.5 15.4 10.6 8.5 128 141 1.3 17.8 2.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Shriram Transport SHTF IN O Rs 970.75 1,350.00 39 3,428 12.9 (6) (2) (10) 14 (19) (6) (5) (18) (6) (34) Mar-17 70 26 29 17.4 10.2 8.1 6.3 133 129 1.0 17.8 1.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 4 86,683 2 2 12 48 43 2 (1) 3 28 28 Mar-17 45 26 24 32.0 22.1 17.5 14.2 109 114 1.3 20.7 4.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
20 July 2017
Sector Aggregate (9) 76,464 4 8 (2) 2 (8) 4 6 (10) (18) (23) Mar-17 (3) 16 n.a. 22.7 23.5 20.3 n.a. 92 91 0.6 15.7 3.5 3.3 14.5 (9)
Software & Services Anantha Narayan/ Nitin Jain - 91 22 6777 3730/ 91 22 6777 3851
Cyient CYL IN O Rs 524.00 600.00 15 918 1.3 0 3 4 5 9 (0) 1 (4) (15) (6) Mar-17 9 11 11 15.9 14.6 13.1 11.8 101 96 1.9 17.7 2.4 1.3 9.3 (37)
HCL Tech HCLT IN O Rs 894.65 975.00 9 19,383 23.7 5 6 10 8 22 4 4 1 (12) 7 Mar-17 5 11 11 15.6 14.9 13.4 12.1 100 101 2.8 24.9 3.7 2.3 10.4 (28)
Hexaware HEXW IN N Rs 247.00 200.00 (19) 1,141 4.4 (2) (1) 19 19 14 (3) (3) 11 (1) (1) Dec-16 7 7 12 18.0 16.9 15.8 14.1 96 93 2.0 24.6 4.0 1.7 10.6 (35)
InfoEdge INFOE IN O Rs 1,032.20 1,050.00 2 1,950 1.4 (1) 3 27 15 25 (1) 1 18 (5) 10 Mar-16 (93) 1,620 52 72.1 n.m. 62.5 41.0 n.m. 99 0.3 0.8 8.2 12.5 62.8 (89)
Infosys Ltd INFO IN N Rs 979.90 1,025.00 5 34,860 80.3 1 5 6 (3) (10) 0 3 (3) (23) (25) Mar-17 1 11 9 15.6 15.5 14.0 12.8 99 100 2.7 20.5 3.1 2.6 9.8 (50)
Mindtree MTCL IN N Rs 506.75 440.00 (13) 1,326 4.8 (2) (2) 15 (3) (10) (2) (4) 6 (23) (25) Mar-17 6 19 23 20.4 19.2 16.2 13.2 89 89 2.0 16.3 3.0 1.4 10.8 (41)
NIIT Tech NITEC IN O Rs 550.05 550.00 (0) 526 3.0 (5) (4) 29 30 17 (5) (6) 20 10 2 Mar-17 5 14 11 13.0 12.4 10.9 9.8 98 100 2.3 15.3 1.8 0.9 5.1 (47)
Tata Consultancy TCS IN N Rs 2,450.45 2,250.00 (8) 73,010 52.1 0 1 5 4 (0) (0) (1) (3) (16) (15) Mar-17 0 11 10 18.4 18.3 16.5 15.0 99 101 2.6 30.7 5.9 3.5 12.9 (47)
Tech Mahindra TECHM IN O Rs 396.65 500.00 26 6,022 22.3 3 2 (6) (19) (21) 2 (0) (14) (39) (36) Mar-17 7 11 15 12.8 12.0 10.8 9.4 104 102 2.5 16.9 1.9 1.1 7.3 (31)
Wipro WPRO IN N Rs 271.25 230.00 (15) 20,429 15.6 3 7 9 14 (1) 2 5 (0) (6) (16) Mar-17 (0) 11 10 15.9 15.9 14.3 13.0 98 101 5.6 15.8 2.5 2.2 10.9 (23)
Sector Aggregate (3) 159,563 1 3 6 4 (0) 1 1 (2) (16) (15) Mar-17 1 11 10 16.8 16.6 14.9 13.4 99 101 3.0 22.9 3.8 2.6 11.2 (40)
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Country Aggregate 31,955 31,759 (1) 1,388,930 0 2 9 20 15 Mar-17 21 18 20 23.3 19.2 16.2 14.8 102 101 1.8 15.1 2.8 1.9 10.9 36
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Indonesia—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Agricultural Products & Agribusiness Ella Nusantoro/ Jahanzeb Naseer - 62 21 2553 7917/ 62 21 2553 7977
Astra Agro AALI IJ O Rp 15,200 17,800 17 2,197 1.6 0 4 3 (9) 0 1 3 (1) (19) (12) Dec-15 110 39 8 38.7 18.4 13.2 12.2 73 104 0.0 10.4 1.6 2.2 14.8 17
Indofood Agri IFAR SP N S$ 0.47 0.47 0 497 0.3 0 (3) 2 (10) 0 0 (4) (2) (20) (12) Dec-15 749 65 1 n.m. 13.5 8.2 8.1 132 110 0.7 3.8 0.6 1.0 4.5 41
Lonsum LSIP IJ O Rp 1,420 1,820 28 728 1.6 (2) 1 3 (18) (4) (2) 0 (1) (28) (16) Dec-15 4 39 5 15.5 15.0 10.8 10.3 109 107 2.5 8.6 1.3 2.1 7.6 (4)
Salim Ivomas SIMP IJ N Rp 545 470 (14) 647 0.3 (3) (1) (11) 10 14 (2) (2) (15) 1 2 Dec-15 82 58 n.a. 32.6 17.9 11.3 n.a. 87 109 1.7 3.4 0.6 1.1 5.6 50
Sector Aggregate 12 4,069 (1) 2 0 (8) 2 (0) 1 (3) (18) (10) Dec-16 46 6 (2) 16.9 11.6 11.0 11.4 107 105 1.7 8.7 0.9 1.3 5.7 29
Building Materials & Construction Ariyanto Jahja/ Ella Nusantoro - 62 21 2553 7976/ 62 21 2553 7917
Indocement INTP IJ N Rp 17,350 21,600 24 4,796 2.7 (2) (5) 8 13 5 (2) (6) 5 3 (8) Dec-14 (12) 7 12 12.1 13.8 12.8 11.4 106 129 7.8 18.8 2.6 3.0 8.8 (32)
PT PP PTPP IJ O Rp 2,960 4,065 37 1,378 5.0 (6) (6) (9) (22) (20) (6) (7) (12) (32) (32) Dec-16 8 23 24 14.1 13.1 10.7 8.6 101 96 1.3 13.5 1.7 1.0 3.1 48
Semen Indonesia SMGR IJ O Rp 10,175 16,000 57 4,532 4.0 1 0 17 11 7 2 (1) 14 1 (5) Dec-14 (16) 13 15 10.8 12.9 11.4 9.9 104 117 3.7 18.8 2.3 2.2 7.8 (3)
Waskita WSKT IJ O Rp 2,190 2,905 33 2,232 3.0 0 (4) (8) (14) (19) 0 (5) (12) (24) (32) Dec-16 39 25 16 17.4 12.4 10.0 8.6 98 99 0.6 19.6 2.2 1.3 8.4 83
WIKA WIKA IJ N Rp 1,975 2,615 32 1,330 3.0 (9) (10) (15) (16) (25) (9) (11) (19) (26) (38) Dec-16 (18) 27 15 12.5 15.1 11.9 10.3 95 96 1.1 9.9 1.4 0.9 7.1 34
Wika Beton WTON IJ O Rp 585 920 57 383 0.4 (3) (7) (23) (29) (42) (2) (8) (27) (39) (54) Dec-16 33 19 11 18.7 14.0 11.8 10.6 103 103 1.6 13.8 1.8 1.1 8.0 13
Sector Aggregate 39 14,652 (2) (4) 4 1 (5) (1) (5) 0 (9) (17) Dec-16 14 20 19 13.0 11.5 9.5 8.0 141 145 2.7 17.5 1.9 1.4 6.0 12
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Country Aggregate 5,807 6,472 11 317,633 (0) 1 4 10 12 Dec-16 17 16 14 21.3 18.1 15.7 14.0 50 50 2.5 17.1 3.0 2.6 10.5 22
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Japan—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Automobiles & Components Koji Takahashi/ Masahiro Akita - 81 3 4550 7884/ 81 3 4550 7361
Aisan Industry 7283 JP N ¥ 932 900 (3) 523 1.0 (1) 6 7 (7) 27 (1) 5 (3) (14) 5 Mar-17 20 35 12 13.0 10.8 8.0 7.1 95 107 3.1 6.5 0.7 0.3 2.9 (3)
Aisin Seiki 7259 JP O ¥ 6,070 7,300 20 15,928 40.2 (0) 9 22 20 41 (0) 8 12 13 20 Mar-17 8 8 15 13.7 12.6 11.6 10.1 104 104 2.2 10.4 1.2 0.5 3.8 5
Bridgestone 5108 JT N ¥ 4,865 4,000 (18) 33,321 103.1 (1) 2 10 15 37 (1) 1 0 9 16 Dec-16 11 13 2 14.3 12.9 11.4 11.2 98 100 3.1 11.9 1.6 1.1 5.8 3
DaikyoNishikawa 4246 JP N ¥ 1,605 1,600 (0) 1,060 2.8 (0) 10 22 7 21 (1) 9 11 0 (1) Mar-17 15 9 9 11.7 10.1 9.3 8.6 98 99 2.1 18.8 1.7 0.6 3.9 (29)
Denso 6902 JP N ¥ 4,837 5,150 6 33,714 65.6 (0) 4 3 (4) 23 (0) 3 (7) (11) 2 Mar-17 6 8 9 14.8 14.0 13.0 11.9 100 100 2.5 8.0 1.1 0.7 5.4 (14)
Exedy 7278 JP N ¥ 3,190 3,300 3 1,370 3.6 (0) 3 8 (3) 37 (0) 2 (2) (10) 15 Mar-17 4 7 12 11.1 10.6 10.0 8.9 101 101 2.5 8.3 0.9 0.6 4.0 3
GS Yuasa Corp 6674 JP N ¥ 507 500 (1) 1,871 8.1 2 0 3 4 19 2 (1) (7) (2) (3) Mar-17 11 10 11 17.1 15.4 14.0 12.5 100 101 2.2 8.1 1.2 0.6 5.5 16
Hino Motors 7205 JP N ¥ 1,216 1,400 15 6,236 24.6 (3) (1) (2) 2 11 (3) (2) (12) (5) (10) Mar-17 7 21 9 14.1 13.2 10.9 10.0 96 97 2.3 11.0 1.4 0.5 6.2 24
Honda Motor 7267 JP N ¥ 3,091 3,500 13 49,798 139.8 (0) 1 0 (9) 9 (1) (0) (10) (16) (12) Mar-17 (2) 3 4 9.0 9.2 8.9 8.6 101 96 3.2 8.0 0.7 0.7 8.2 61
Ichikoh Industries 7244 JP O ¥ 891 1,100 23 765 3.2 5 5 67 136 215 4 4 57 130 193 Dec-16 (33) 85 9 14.5 21.7 11.7 10.8 100 100 0.4 13.4 2.7 1.0 8.9 35
Isuzu Motors 7202 JP O ¥ 1,418 1,700 20 9,994 36.6 (0) 4 4 (4) 7 (1) 3 (7) (11) (15) Mar-17 18 13 11 11.9 10.1 8.9 8.0 107 108 2.5 12.9 1.2 0.5 4.2 (15)
Keihin 7251 JP N ¥ 1,604 1,500 (6) 1,060 5.4 (3) 7 (5) (22) 2 (3) 6 (15) (28) (20) Mar-17 6 9 8 10.7 10.1 9.2 8.5 103 104 2.6 6.8 0.7 0.3 2.1 (17)
Koito Manufacturing 7276 JP U ¥ 6,000 5,100 (15) 8,619 26.8 2 5 13 (3) 22 2 4 3 (10) 0 Mar-17 7 4 7 17.0 15.9 15.3 14.2 98 95 0.8 16.8 2.5 0.9 5.8 (50)
Mazda Motor 7261 JP N ¥ 1,588 1,650 4 25,790 85.4 (1) 6 6 (17) 7 (1) 5 (5) (24) (14) Mar-17 27 8 9 10.1 8.0 7.4 6.7 102 101 2.5 10.9 0.8 0.9 11.8 2
Mitsubishi Motors 7211 JP U ¥ 744 650 (13) 9,910 65.4 0 2 13 12 49 0 1 3 5 27 Mar-17 131 0 7 n.m. 14.8 14.8 13.9 105 92 1.9 10.5 1.5 0.3 4.1 (75)
Musashi Seimitsu Industry 7220 JP N ¥ 3,185 3,400 7 889 3.8 0 3 23 5 52 0 2 12 (2) 31 Mar-17 39 19 15 15.7 11.3 9.5 8.2 99 99 1.7 11.7 1.3 0.8 5.3 76
NGK Insulators 5333 JP O ¥ 2,209 3,000 36 6,351 28.7 (2) 2 (5) (3) (3) (2) 1 (15) (9) (25) Mar-17 37 15 10 19.6 14.3 12.4 11.3 101 103 1.9 11.3 1.5 1.6 7.0 0
Nifco 7988 JP N ¥ 6,440 6,500 1 2,920 10.9 2 6 19 4 13 2 5 9 (2) (9) Mar-17 2 13 9 16.0 15.8 14.0 12.9 96 99 1.9 15.0 2.3 1.3 7.2 (4)
Nissan Motor 7201 JP N ¥ 1,129 1,150 2 39,268 121.0 (2) 5 9 (4) 8 (2) 4 (1) (11) (14) Mar-17 (16) 2 4 6.8 8.1 7.9 7.7 93 89 4.7 11.6 0.9 0.9 9.9 119
Stanley Electric 6923 JP N ¥ 3,695 3,300 (11) 5,456 14.8 2 12 24 16 54 2 11 14 9 32 Mar-17 20 15 4 21.4 17.8 15.5 14.9 100 104 1.2 10.4 1.8 1.3 6.3 (24)
Subaru Corporation 7270 JP O ¥ 4,046 4,750 17 27,729 148.9 (3) 10 1 (15) 2 (3) 9 (9) (22) (20) Mar-17 11 13 12 11.1 10.0 8.8 7.9 99 104 4.0 20.2 1.9 0.7 4.4 (33)
Sumitomo Rubber Industries 5110 JP N ¥ 1,972 1,700 (14) 4,624 22.7 (3) 6 5 6 36 (4) 5 (5) (1) 14 Dec-16 11 11 4 12.5 11.2 10.1 9.8 108 102 2.8 10.1 1.1 0.8 5.7 23
Suzuki Motor 7269 JP O ¥ 5,357 6,500 21 21,130 76.6 1 3 20 30 71 0 2 10 23 49 Mar-17 10 13 15 14.8 13.4 11.9 10.4 106 112 1.0 14.7 1.9 0.5 3.9 (32)
Tokai Rika 6995 JP N ¥ 2,124 2,250 6 1,732 7.9 (1) 6 5 (9) 30 (2) 5 (5) (16) 8 Mar-17 607 5 9 n.m. 8.8 8.4 7.7 103 101 3.1 10.5 0.9 0.2 2.2 (34)
Topre 5975 JP N ¥ 2,954 3,200 8 1,322 3.0 (0) (1) 8 1 28 (0) (2) (2) (6) 6 Mar-17 8 9 8 10.8 10.1 9.2 8.6 101 102 1.8 11.7 1.1 0.6 3.4 (24)
Toyoda Gosei 7282 JP N ¥ 2,719 2,950 8 3,146 6.9 (2) 1 2 (1) 38 (2) (0) (8) (7) 17 Mar-17 60 12 10 21.7 13.5 12.1 11.0 98 97 2.2 8.0 1.1 0.5 3.9 (2)
Toyota Boshoku 3116 JP O ¥ 2,264 3,000 33 3,758 12.1 (1) 9 (3) (16) 4 (1) 8 (14) (23) (18) Mar-17 (5) 14 12 9.3 9.8 8.6 7.6 104 111 2.6 17.4 1.6 0.2 3.0 (27)
Toyota Industries 6201 JP N ¥ 6,390 5,800 (9) 17,735 26.7 (1) 13 23 15 43 (1) 12 13 8 21 Mar-16 (34) 6 5 11.0 16.7 15.7 15.0 95 94 1.9 5.5 0.9 1.2 10.0 31
Toyota Motor 7203 JP N ¥ 6,128 6,400 4 162,925 377.0 (2) 6 6 (11) 6 (2) 5 (4) (18) (16) Mar-17 (2) 3 5 10.1 10.3 10.0 9.5 99 96 3.4 10.0 1.0 1.0 9.1 46
Unipres 5949 JP N ¥ 2,705 2,600 (4) 1,156 6.4 1 9 23 16 57 1 8 13 9 35 Mar-17 (3) 6 13 8.6 8.8 8.3 7.3 104 105 1.7 10.6 0.9 0.3 2.6 (13)
Yamaha Motor 7272 JP N ¥ 2,846 2,650 (7) 8,885 45.0 (3) (1) 15 11 65 (4) (2) 5 4 43 Dec-16 31 7 9 15.7 12.0 11.2 10.2 100 96 2.5 14.9 1.7 0.7 6.5 24
Sector Aggregate 5 508,982 (1) 5 8 (2) 19 (1) 4 (2) (9) (3) Mar-17 9 6 7 11.8 10.8 10.2 9.3 99 98 3.0 10.3 1.1 0.8 7.3 35
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Consumer Durables & Apparel Masahiro Mochizuki/ Mika Nishimura - 81 3 4550 7389/ 81 3 4550 7369
Alpine 6816 JP N ¥ 1,717 1,750 2 1,058 5.6 1 14 13 13 60 1 13 2 6 38 Mar-17 (80) 342 12 15.3 76.8 17.4 15.5 127 111 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 7.9 (42)
Casio 6952 JP N ¥ 1,742 1,800 3 3,836 26.4 0 2 16 5 10 (0) 1 6 (1) (12) Mar-17 37 12 7 23.3 17.0 15.1 14.1 103 103 2.6 12.4 2.0 1.1 8.2 (25)
Citizen Watch 7762 JP N ¥ 810 830 2 2,305 12.2 (0) 8 16 16 43 (1) 7 6 9 22 Mar-17 (1) 8 3 15.6 15.7 14.6 14.2 99 100 2.1 6.7 1.0 0.4 3.4 (49)
Clarion 6796 JP N ¥ 415 450 8 1,046 7.0 (3) 0 2 (1) 60 (3) (0) (8) (8) 38 Mar-17 (7) 19 11 15.1 16.2 13.6 12.2 98 105 0.7 15.4 2.3 0.6 5.0 (12)
Daiwa House Industry 1925 JP N ¥ 3,846 3,900 1 22,821 52.8 (1) 1 19 20 33 (1) (0) 9 14 11 Mar-17 5 8 4 12.7 12.1 11.2 10.8 101 104 2.5 15.3 1.8 0.8 8.0 30
Japan Display 6740 JP N ¥ 204 200 (2) 1,096 24.1 0 3 (14) (39) 5 0 2 (24) (46) (17) Mar-17 19 14 13 n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m. 137 49 0.0 (8.2) 0.4 0.2 1.9 13
JVC Kenwood 6632 JP N ¥ 326 300 (8) 405 4.3 (2) 3 22 2 39 (2) 2 12 (5) 17 Mar-17 122 33 28 n.m. 30.5 22.9 17.8 101 86 1.5 2.6 0.8 0.2 3.3 39
Panasonic 6752 JP O ¥ 1,505 1,750 16 31,379 98.7 (1) 2 21 27 51 (1) 1 11 20 29 Mar-17 14 52 17 23.5 20.6 13.6 11.7 96 112 1.7 10.5 2.1 0.5 6.2 6
Pioneer 6773 JP N ¥ 214 230 7 702 10.1 (1) 3 4 (9) 11 (2) 2 (6) (16) (10) Mar-17 160 78 21 n.m. 26.1 14.7 12.1 94 104 0.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 1.3 (44)
Seiko Holdings 8050 JP N ¥ 473 440 (7) 860 6.8 (1) 8 7 14 40 (1) 7 (4) 7 18 Mar-17 23 (2) 20 18.1 14.7 15.0 12.5 115 102 3.2 6.7 1.0 0.7 10.4 89
Sekisui Chemical 4204 JP N ¥ 2,001 2,000 (0) 8,484 25.7 (1) 0 12 7 38 (1) (1) 2 1 16 Mar-17 6 10 8 15.7 14.9 13.5 12.5 98 98 1.9 11.1 1.6 0.8 6.0 (18)
Sekisui House 1928 JP O ¥ 1,933 2,500 29 11,921 50.0 (2) (3) 6 (1) 6 (2) (4) (4) (7) (16) Jan-17 8 7 13 10.9 10.1 9.4 8.4 103 105 4.0 11.6 1.1 0.8 7.6 30
Sharp 6753 JP U ¥ 396 180 (55) 17,602 115.2 (1) 2 (2) 47 274 (1) 1 (12) 40 252 Mar-17 352 21 16 n.m. 31.4 26.0 22.5 136 155 0.0 19.2 5.5 1.0 12.3 47
Sony 6758 JP O ¥ 4,497 4,700 5 50,774 207.3 0 5 26 37 39 0 4 16 31 17 Mar-17 327 2 4 78.9 18.5 18.1 17.4 102 96 0.7 11.8 2.0 0.6 5.0 (26)
Sector Aggregate 1 154,289 (1) 2 17 27 64 (1) 1 7 20 42 Mar-17 66 16 9 29.0 17.5 15.1 14.6 103 104 1.5 11.1 1.9 0.6 6.3 (0)
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Healthcare Fumiyoshi Sakai/ Yen Ting Chen - 81 3 4550 9737/ 81 3 4550 9936
Astellas Pharma 4503 JP N ¥ 1,368 1,500 10 25,243 103.2 (1) (1) (8) (16) (18) (1) (2) (18) (23) (39) Mar-17 (9) (4) (8) 13.2 14.4 15.0 16.3 97 95 2.6 15.0 2.0 1.8 7.3 (33)
Chugai Pharmaceutical 4519 JP O ¥ 4,495 4,700 5 21,960 35.9 0 9 18 34 17 0 8 8 27 (4) Dec-16 29 12 12 45.8 35.6 31.9 28.4 101 104 1.3 10.4 3.6 4.5 21.5 (15)
Daiichi Sankyo 4568 JP N ¥ 2,495 2,700 8 14,792 42.2 (1) 0 4 4 (5) (1) (1) (6) (2) (27) Mar-17 35 (6) 10 31.3 23.3 24.6 22.5 109 111 2.8 6.1 1.4 1.7 10.8 0
Eisai 4523 JP U ¥ 5,978 5,600 (6) 15,286 41.6 (1) (3) 5 (11) (4) (2) (4) (5) (18) (26) Mar-17 (7) 12 4 43.4 46.8 41.7 40.2 94 108 2.5 6.3 3.0 3.0 20.1 3
JCR Pharma 4552 JP N ¥ 2,993 2,800 (6) 844 3.3 5 9 31 5 4 5 8 21 (2) (18) Mar-17 4 7 28 50.8 48.7 45.4 35.4 90 75 0.8 7.0 3.4 4.8 23.2 (6)
Kyowa Hakko Kirin 4151 JP N ¥ 1,938 2,000 3 9,481 20.2 (2) (6) 6 20 3 (2) (7) (4) 13 (19) Dec-16 7 38 15 56.8 53.0 38.6 33.7 98 115 1.3 3.3 1.8 3.0 14.0 (3)
Medicinova 4875 JP O ¥ 580 750 29 179 0.5 0 (3) (9) (21) (16) (0) (4) (19) (27) (38) Dec-16 0 2 4 n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m. 107 n.a. 0.0 (37.2) 6.7 n.m. n.m. (61)
Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma 4508 JP N ¥ 2,641 2,300 (13) 13,244 21.4 2 4 19 15 41 2 3 8 8 19 Mar-17 1 (4) (14) 20.8 20.6 21.4 25.0 98 96 2.5 8.4 1.7 3.1 12.1 (15)
Nippon Shinyaku 4516 JP O ¥ 7,070 7,700 9 4,266 12.0 1 0 26 23 33 0 (1) 16 16 12 Mar-17 17 33 29 40.5 34.5 25.9 20.0 98 100 0.8 11.6 3.8 4.3 20.2 (32)
Ono Pharmaceutical 4528 JP O ¥ 2,442 2,800 15 11,365 60.4 (0) (2) 10 (4) (39) (0) (3) 0 (11) (61) Mar-17 (22) 46 21 23.2 29.7 20.4 16.8 112 144 2.9 8.3 2.5 4.5 18.8 (29)
Otsuka Holdings 4578 JP N ¥ 4,704 5,200 11 22,768 79.6 (2) (4) (6) (8) (5) (2) (5) (16) (14) (27) Dec-16 (4) 24 13 27.5 28.6 23.2 20.6 99 104 2.1 5.2 1.5 1.9 12.6 (5)
Peptidream 4587 JP N ¥ 3,475 3,100 (11) 3,556 40.0 3 (3) 3 14 28 2 (4) (7) 8 6 Jun-16 80 35 31 n.m. n.m. n.m. 76.6 134 106 0.0 25.0 30.0 58.6 87.6 (54)
Santen Pharmaceutical 4536 JP N ¥ 1,597 1,700 6 5,798 23.9 1 7 4 12 (6) 1 6 (6) 5 (28) Mar-17 43 6 1 28.4 19.9 18.7 18.5 115 117 1.6 12.5 2.3 2.7 12.0 (17)
Sawai Pharmaceutical 4555 JP N ¥ 6,220 6,300 1 2,050 12.3 1 0 7 (1) (22) 1 (1) (3) (8) (44) Mar-17 5 (16) 11 14.4 13.7 16.4 14.8 93 77 2.1 11.6 1.5 1.6 7.1 (3)
Shionogi 4507 JP O ¥ 5,952 7,300 23 16,961 59.3 1 (5) 7 6 6 0 (6) (3) (0) (16) Mar-17 17 10 22 22.9 19.6 17.9 14.7 101 99 1.3 17.5 3.2 4.7 12.1 (42)
Sosei Group 4565 JP O ¥ 11,980 14,000 17 1,812 52.4 (2) 6 6 (11) (29) (2) 5 (4) (18) (51) Mar-17 (70) 79 65 20.7 69.9 39.0 23.6 75 79 0.0 9.6 6.4 16.2 36.0 (15)
Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma 4506 JP N ¥ 1,521 1,600 5 5,402 19.3 0 (11) (14) (24) (23) (0) (12) (24) (31) (45) Mar-17 21 (31) (17) 20.8 17.3 25.2 30.2 97 67 1.3 7.4 1.2 1.3 7.8 (8)
Sysmex 6869 JP N ¥ 6,290 6,900 10 11,707 37.0 (1) (7) (7) (7) (17) (1) (8) (17) (14) (39) Mar-17 2 7 3 32.2 31.5 29.4 28.4 99 96 1.0 18.5 5.5 4.4 17.1 (30)
Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings 4581 JP U ¥ 8,410 7,800 (7) 6,007 9.3 (0) (3) (5) (13) (25) (0) (4) (15) (20) (47) Mar-17 (11) (2) (2) 23.3 26.4 26.9 27.4 104 101 1.3 3.9 1.0 1.6 10.6 (33)
Takeda Pharmaceutical 4502 JP N ¥ 5,751 5,900 3 40,146 96.9 1 1 10 19 29 1 0 0 12 7 Mar-17 25 8 11 39.1 31.2 28.8 26.0 102 119 3.1 7.6 2.4 3.2 22.4 45
20 July 2017
Terumo 4543 JP N ¥ 4,295 4,800 12 13,513 44.4 (1) (3) 11 (0) (9) (1) (4) 1 (7) (31) Mar-17 1 10 0 28.6 28.3 25.6 25.6 97 96 1.0 10.5 3.1 2.9 11.7 36
Tsumura & Co 4540 JP N ¥ 4,480 4,000 (11) 2,755 9.6 2 (4) 32 39 58 1 (5) 21 32 36 Mar-17 3 5 2 25.0 24.2 23.1 22.6 95 90 1.4 8.1 1.9 2.6 13.3 7
Sector Aggregate 6 249,135 (0) (1) 6 5 3 (0) (2) (5) (2) (19) Mar-17 6 6 6 27.2 25.7 24.1 22.7 100 102 2.1 8.7 2.2 2.7 13.8 (4)
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Software & Services Fumiyoshi Sakai/ Keiichi Yoneshima - 81 3 4550 9737/ 81 3 4550 9740
COLOPL Inc 3668 JP N ¥ 1,143 1,100 (4) 1,302 14.6 (2) (0) 12 15 (43) (2) (1) 2 8 (65) Sep-16 (61) 6 14 6.8 17.7 16.7 14.7 87 89 1.5 12.4 2.1 1.7 6.6 (87)
CyberAgent 4751 JP O ¥ 3,625 4,400 21 4,074 33.8 0 (0) 13 26 15 (0) (1) 3 19 (7) Sep-16 (52) 37 99 33.5 70.1 51.3 25.7 62 52 0.7 8.2 5.6 1.2 11.3 (24)
DeNA 2432 JP O ¥ 2,653 3,300 24 3,432 61.0 0 6 11 4 (5) 0 5 1 (3) (26) Mar-17 (38) (3) 19 12.5 20.0 20.7 17.3 95 82 0.9 8.2 1.6 2.1 8.7 (33)
GMO Internet 9449 JP O ¥ 1,410 1,800 28 1,461 10.5 0 (3) 17 (6) 13 0 (4) 7 (12) (9) Dec-16 13 17 14 22.6 20.0 17.1 15.0 99 97 1.7 18.9 3.5 1.1 6.5 (13)
Gree 3632 JP N ¥ 912 970 6 1,916 24.1 (3) (6) 6 48 77 (3) (7) (4) 41 55 Jun-16 52 6 18 25.5 16.8 15.8 13.4 99 149 1.1 12.1 1.9 2.0 12.8 (72)
Gurunavi 2440 JP N ¥ 1,837 2,000 9 767 6.5 0 1 (14) (21) (35) (0) 0 (24) (28) (57) Mar-17 2 6 5 17.9 17.6 16.6 15.7 102 101 2.4 25.1 4.1 2.0 7.9 (35)
Kakaku.com 2371 JP U ¥ 1,634 1,300 (20) 3,127 24.9 (1) 2 3 (16) (22) (1) 1 (7) (22) (44) Mar-17 7 7 7 23.9 22.3 20.8 19.4 101 97 1.8 40.2 8.0 6.7 12.9 (68)
LINE 3938 JP N ¥ 3,870 3,800 (2) 7,622 27.8 (1) (5) (4) (3) (3) (1) (6) (14) (10) (25) Dec-16 51 97 43 n.m. 82.4 41.9 29.2 78 101 0.0 6.1 4.8 4.2 26.9 (82)
M3 2413 JP O ¥ 3,070 3,900 27 8,885 36.3 1 (4) 11 4 (16) 0 (5) 1 (3) (38) Mar-17 33 21 18 62.1 46.7 38.7 32.8 108 109 0.4 28.2 11.8 10.6 30.1 (35)
Mixi 2121 JP N ¥ 6,150 6,300 2 4,324 35.1 0 (10) 8 44 64 0 (11) (2) 37 42 Mar-17 (11) (5) (3) 8.2 9.2 9.6 9.9 102 104 2.2 31.2 2.5 1.8 4.3 (64)
Nexon 3569 JP N ¥ 2,283 2,300 1 8,954 26.4 3 1 35 35 41 3 (0) 25 28 19 Dec-16 197 20 3 48.9 16.5 13.7 13.3 102 108 0.0 14.6 2.2 3.1 7.0 (72)
Nintendo 7974 JP N ¥ 37,640 40,000 6 40,418 685.2 4 2 40 53 18 4 1 30 47 (3) Mar-17 (29) 131 29 44.1 62.1 26.9 20.8 75 101 0.8 5.7 4.1 4.6 39.9 (58)
Rakuten 4755 JP N ¥ 1,309 1,300 (1) 16,133 78.3 (1) (6) 12 14 13 (1) (7) 1 7 (9) Dec-16 123 7 17 48.7 21.8 20.3 17.3 107 105 0.3 12.2 2.6 2.1 10.7 23
Recruit Holdings 6098 JP O ¥ 1,985 2,467 24 29,643 85.0 7 (3) 5 27 49 7 (4) (5) 20 27 Mar-17 51 13 12 38.8 25.6 22.8 20.3 96 99 1.1 17.7 4.3 1.5 12.7 (15)
Yahoo Japan 4689 JP O ¥ 495 610 23 25,190 58.7 (0) 6 (3) 10 9 (0) 5 (13) 3 (13) Mar-17 (9) 11 11 20.6 22.8 20.5 18.6 92 91 1.8 12.8 2.8 2.7 10.1 (43)
Sector Aggregate 12 157,249 2 (0) 16 26 20 2 (1) 6 19 (2) Mar-17 10 26 16 30.2 27.5 21.9 18.8 95 99 1.0 12.5 3.4 2.4 13.2 (37)
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Country Aggregate 1,622 1,729 7 2,301,724 0 1 10 7 22 Mar-17 14 8 9 18.6 16.3 14.8 13.7 100 100 2.1 9.9 1.6 1.1 9.1 19
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Capital Goods Hoonsik Min/ Minseok Sinn - 82 2 3707 3761/ 82 2 3707 8898
Bobcat 241560 KS N W 34,650 42,000 21 3,092 11.9 (2) 0 (6) (3) n.a. (4) (2) (19) (23) n.a. Dec-16 45 12 5 21.2 14.7 13.0 12.4 101 97 2.0 7.4 1.1 1.1 7.9 28
Daelim Industrial 000210 KS O W 91,100 105,000 15 2,822 12.6 3 4 15 5 18 1 1 2 (15) (3) Dec-16 63 (7) (3) 13.3 8.1 8.7 9.0 90 87 0.3 9.0 0.7 0.4 6.4 16
GS E&C 006360 KS N W 33,000 31,000 (6) 2,099 15.8 4 11 6 25 26 2 9 (7) 5 5 Dec-16 853 23 32 n.m. 11.8 9.6 7.3 109 74 0.0 6.2 0.7 0.3 7.1 22
HHI 009540 KS O W 170,000 245,000 44 8,574 44.5 4 (6) 8 23 65 2 (8) (5) 3 45 Dec-16 316 30 90 n.m. 26.5 20.4 10.7 84 178 0.0 3.1 0.8 0.8 11.4 45
Hyundai Dev 012630 KS O W 46,700 53,000 13 3,134 12.0 1 (3) 9 4 21 (1) (6) (4) (16) 1 Dec-16 41 1 (1) 11.2 7.9 7.9 8.0 109 106 1.8 15.1 1.2 0.7 5.2 (5)
Hyundai E&C 000720 KS U W 47,200 42,000 (11) 4,678 16.4 0 4 (4) 10 41 (1) 1 (17) (10) 21 Dec-16 (10) 17 (0) 10.7 11.9 10.2 10.2 81 82 1.1 6.8 0.8 0.2 2.8 (18)
SHI 010140 KS O W 11,750 19,000 62 4,079 26.3 0 (11) 12 27 27 (1) (14) (1) 7 7 Dec-16 180 291 35 n.m. 34.0 8.7 6.5 127 419 0.0 1.5 0.7 0.8 14.7 25
Sector Aggregate 25 28,478 2 (2) 6 15 41 0 (4) (7) (5) 20 Dec-16 160 28 24 37.7 14.5 11.3 9.1 94 115 0.6 5.7 0.8 0.5 7.5 19
Consumer Durables & Apparel A-Hyung Cho/ Minseok Sinn - 82 2 3707 3735/ 82 2 3707 8898
Coway 021240 KS O W 95,900 130,000 36 6,387 12.8 (4) (8) (8) 9 3 (6) (11) (21) (11) (18) Dec-16 49 11 11 28.9 19.4 17.5 15.7 103 102 3.6 25.7 4.8 2.8 9.5 10
Hanssem 009240 KS O W 170,000 210,000 24 3,561 10.0 (3) (14) (27) (15) (4) (4) (17) (40) (34) (25) Dec-16 13 18 14 24.1 21.4 18.0 15.8 112 111 0.7 25.4 5.3 1.8 19.6 (19)
Sector Aggregate 31 9,948 (4) (10) (15) 0 0 (5) (13) (28) (20) (20) Dec-16 34 13 12 27.0 20.1 17.7 15.7 106 105 2.5 25.7 5.0 2.4 11.6 2
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure A-Hyung Cho/ Ray Kim - 82 2 3707 3735/ 82 2 3707 3776
20 July 2017
GKL 114090 KS N W 22,550 23,000 2 1,242 5.4 5 1 3 10 (10) 3 (1) (10) (10) (31) Dec-16 (33) 4 (1) 12.2 18.3 17.6 17.8 89 86 3.0 15.4 2.9 2.7 11.6 (20)
Hotel Shilla 008770 KS N W 59,600 50,000 (16) 2,082 25.3 5 7 14 24 (7) 4 5 1 4 (27) Dec-16 (66) 944 20 n.m. n.m. 29.8 24.8 34 90 0.6 1.1 3.4 0.8 24.8 83
Kangwon Land 035250 KS O W 35,050 41,000 17 6,675 10.4 3 (1) (7) (2) (15) 1 (3) (20) (22) (35) Dec-16 1 21 8 15.6 15.4 12.8 11.8 103 111 3.0 14.6 2.5 4.4 10.7 (1)
Paradise 034230 KS U W 13,750 10,000 (27) 1,113 11.0 5 (9) (5) 13 (11) 2 (8) (11) 7 (7) Dec-16 (86) 235 98 21.2 n.m. 46.5 23.6 57 63 0.0 0.8 1.3 2.5 29.0 45
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Sector Aggregate 5 11,111 4 0 (2) 6 (12) 2 (2) (15) (14) (33) Dec-16 (14) 33 11 18.5 21.6 16.2 14.5 97 103 2.2 10.4 2.4 2.1 13.6 17
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Software & Services Eric Cha/ Minseok Sinn/ Ray Kim - 82 2 3707 3764/ 82 2 3707 8898/ 82 2 3707 3776
CJ E&M 130960 KS N W 77,100 77,000 (0) 2,658 24.2 4 2 (7) 9 3 1 2 (13) 2 7 Dec-16 131 7 16 47.9 20.7 19.4 16.7 107 97 0.3 8.9 1.8 1.9 6.6 25
Com2uS 078340 KS N W 116,100 125,000 8 1,330 9.4 (1) (4) (5) 33 (3) (4) (3) (10) 27 1 Dec-15 22 12 16 11.7 9.6 8.5 7.3 101 110 1.2 26.0 2.3 2.6 6.7 (28)
Gamevil 063080 KS N W 58,600 55,000 (6) 344 6.4 (2) (4) (17) 20 (29) (5) (4) (23) 14 (25) Dec-15 48 42 37 19.0 12.8 9.0 6.6 101 148 0.0 13.2 1.6 2.4 45.3 (2)
Kakao 035720 KS U W 105,000 67,000 (36) 6,335 46.1 7 1 16 36 12 5 (1) 3 16 (8) Dec-15 (36) 90 3 54.5 85.6 45.1 43.7 144 117 0.1 2.6 2.0 5.2 32.3 26
Naver 035420 KS O W 835,000 950,000 14 24,499 63.3 2 (5) 5 8 16 0 (7) (8) (12) (4) Dec-15 49 26 19 47.9 32.1 25.5 21.5 102 114 0.1 21.3 6.9 6.4 20.5 (53)
NC Soft 036570 KS O W 360,500 530,000 47 7,040 100.2 (1) (12) (2) 46 41 (2) (14) (15) 26 20 Dec-16 73 51 (2) 29.1 16.8 11.2 11.3 115 130 1.8 22.1 3.3 4.4 11.3 (31)
Netmarble Games 251270 KS U W 145,000 113,000 (22) 10,972 93.7 0 (4) n.a. n.a. n.a. (2) (6) n.a. n.a. n.a. Dec-16 244 (1) (7) 70.6 20.5 20.8 22.5 108 87 0.0 20.7 2.7 3.8 10.9 (46)
Samsung SDS 018260 KS U W 186,000 120,000 (35) 12,811 19.2 2 12 30 33 23 1 10 17 13 2 Dec-16 0 8 5 31.0 31.0 28.8 27.3 93 90 0.4 8.7 2.6 1.2 11.5 (48)
Sector Aggregate (4) 65,988 2 (1) 10 23 19 0 (4) (3) 3 (1) Dec-16 49 17 (0) 35.3 23.7 20.2 19.3 109 106 0.4 14.3 3.1 2.9 12.6 (32)
Technology Hardware Keon Han/ Sang Uk Kim - 82 2 3707 3740/ 82 2 3707 3795
DNF 092070 KS O W 17,850 21,000 18 171 1.5 12 10 24 9 28 8 11 19 2 32 Dec-16 43 15 18 18.4 12.9 11.2 9.5 110 102 0.0 18.6 2.2 2.7 9.8 11
LG Display 034220 KS N W 37,350 30,600 (18) 11,896 72.4 3 0 25 19 26 1 (2) 12 (1) 6 Dec-15 (15) 87 (39) 13.3 15.6 8.3 13.7 95 72 1.3 6.7 1.0 0.6 3.8 24
LG Electronics 066570 KS N W 70,500 65,000 (8) 10,269 70.2 (0) (18) (1) 37 28 (2) (21) (14) 17 7 Dec-15 (40) 1,432 (35) 54.7 91.1 5.9 9.2 183 116 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.3 5.6 42
LG Innotek 011070 KS O W 159,000 185,000 16 3,350 24.7 4 (3) 19 80 77 2 (5) 6 60 57 Dec-16 5,257 4 3 n.m. 14.2 13.6 13.2 116 91 0.2 13.8 1.8 0.6 5.5 35
SDI 006400 KS N W 178,000 115,000 (35) 10,895 35.3 3 15 29 63 66 2 12 16 43 45 Dec-15 439 103 21 n.m. 55.8 27.5 22.6 102 71 0.6 2.1 1.2 2.3 n.m. (1)
SEC 005930 KS O W 2,537,0003,150,000 24 295,073 421.3 2 9 26 41 65 0 6 13 21 45 Dec-16 81 6 7 15.7 8.7 8.1 7.6 105 98 1.4 18.5 1.5 1.3 4.1 (11)
SEMCO 009150 KS O W 102,000 130,000 27 6,781 46.7 2 9 52 101 97 0 6 39 81 76 Dec-16 1,107 107 13 n.m. 44.6 21.5 19.0 91 106 0.5 4.5 1.9 1.4 9.1 41
SK Materials 036490 KS O W 193,300 240,000 24 1,815 9.8 6 (6) 7 8 48 3 (5) 2 1 52 Dec-16 29 38 15 18.8 14.6 10.6 9.2 112 120 1.9 29.9 4.0 4.1 9.4 77
Soulbrain 036830 KS O W 73,200 82,500 13 1,079 5.2 8 1 31 21 25 5 1 25 15 30 Dec-16 27 24 17 16.2 12.8 10.3 8.8 103 104 0.7 15.7 1.9 1.4 6.1 (9)
SSC 046890 KS N W 22,250 16,500 (26) 1,155 11.5 9 16 26 43 33 6 16 21 37 38 Dec-15 40 10 3 48.4 34.5 31.4 30.5 103 82 0.6 6.0 2.0 1.5 9.1 22
Wonik Materials 104830 KS O W 77,900 83,500 7 433 2.0 3 (1) 25 16 23 0 (0) 19 9 27 Dec-15 (29) 69 42 22.1 31.1 18.4 12.9 n.a. n.a. 0.0 7.7 2.3 2.7 13.3 (7)
Sector Aggregate 20 342,917 2 8 26 42 63 0 5 13 22 43 Dec-16 90 4 7 17.1 9.0 8.6 7.8 104 95 1.3 17.0 1.4 1.0 4.1 (6)
20 July 2017
Sector Aggregate 15 8,799 1 (1) 10 0 (13) (0) (4) (3) (20) (33) Dec-16 29 6 6 17.1 13.3 12.4 11.8 104 103 1.5 11.8 1.4 0.5 8.6 33
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Country Aggregate 2,430 2,777 14 882,959 2 2 13 20 20 Dec-16 35 7 6 13.7 10.1 9.5 8.6 102 99 1.7 10.7 1.0 0.9 5.2 12
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Malaysia—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Danny Goh - 60 3 2723 2083
Alliance Financial Group AFG MK N RM 3.85 4.19 9 1,391 1.2 (1) (3) (4) 3 (5) (1) (1) (5) (4) (10) Mar-17 (5) 17 23 11.6 12.3 10.5 8.6 95 102 3.8 9.3 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
CIMB Group CIMB MK O RM 6.42 7.10 11 13,564 25.0 2 (4) 17 42 52 2 (2) 16 35 47 Dec-16 27 17 7 15.7 12.3 10.5 9.9 103 109 3.1 10.1 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hong Leong Bank HLBK MK N RM 15.70 13.45 (14) 7,943 4.5 (1) 1 15 16 18 (1) 3 14 9 12 Jun-16 11 8 10 16.7 15.1 13.9 12.7 97 99 2.6 10.3 1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maybank MAY MK N RM 9.64 10.20 6 23,743 31.0 0 0 6 18 18 0 2 5 11 13 Dec-16 9 15 10 14.6 13.4 11.6 10.6 101 110 5.7 10.7 1.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Public Bank PBK MK U RM 20.36 18.90 (7) 18,448 20.7 0 0 2 3 4 0 2 1 (4) (1) Dec-16 (2) 5 6 15.2 15.4 14.7 13.9 97 97 3.0 14.4 2.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 1 65,089 0 (1) 8 18 21 0 1 7 11 15 Dec-16 9 12 9 15.0 13.7 12.3 11.2 100 105 4.0 11.2 1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Consumer Staples Ella Nusantoro/ Joanna Cheah/ Tingmin Tan - 62 21 2553 7917/ 6 03 2723 2081/ 60 3 2723 2080
BAT Malaysia ROTH MK N RM 43.60 49.90 14 2,906 3.5 2 (4) (7) (1) (20) 2 (3) (8) (8) (25) Dec-16 10 12 9 18.4 16.8 15.0 13.8 116 122 5.7 117.5 19.1 3.0 13.3 12
Carlsberg CAB MK O RM 15.16 17.80 17 1,090 0.4 0 2 2 9 2 0 4 1 2 (3) Dec-16 16 10 10 22.6 19.5 17.7 16.2 102 105 5.1 74.0 14.4 2.6 13.3 4
FGV FGV MK U RM 1.68 1.46 (13) 1,430 6.0 3 (9) (16) 8 0 3 (7) (17) 1 (5) Dec-16 120 24 (75) n.m. 86.0 69.2 n.m. 53 46 0.0 1.2 1.0 0.7 8.1 53
Genting Plantations GENP MK N RM 10.84 11.70 8 2,032 2.0 0 (3) (3) 1 3 0 (1) (4) (6) (2) Dec-16 38 (8) 7 28.5 20.6 22.3 20.8 112 95 1.0 9.1 1.9 6.0 18.2 33
Heineken HEIM MK N RM 17.74 18.70 5 1,251 0.4 (2) (5) (1) 8 1 (2) (3) (2) 1 (4) Dec-16 (34) 6 8 12.5 19.1 18.0 16.7 98 99 5.2 71.6 13.7 2.6 13.1 5
IOI IOI MK U RM 4.49 3.80 (15) 6,585 4.9 0 (0) (1) 2 3 (0) 2 (2) (5) (2) Jun-16 5 3 1 30.6 29.2 28.3 28.2 85 82 1.7 13.4 3.8 2.6 17.8 66
KL Kepong KLK MK N RM 24.72 22.80 (8) 6,159 8.3 (0) (1) 2 3 6 (0) 1 1 (4) 1 Sep-16 (38) 0 2 16.5 26.8 26.7 26.1 80 78 2.1 9.2 2.4 1.9 16.0 36
Sime Darby SIME MK O RM 9.55 11.20 17 15,159 19.7 0 (1) 3 18 25 0 1 2 11 20 Jun-16 1 (7) (7) 25.1 24.9 26.8 28.7 110 92 2.8 7.5 1.8 1.6 13.5 22
Sector Aggregate 5 36,613 0 (1) 0 9 11 0 0 (1) 2 6 Dec-16 (6) (1) 5 23.6 25.1 25.3 19.1 95 88 2.6 9.5 2.3 1.8 14.1 32
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Country Aggregate 1,757 1,820 4 222,290 0 (2) 1 7 5 Dec-16 4 8 8 17.3 16.7 15.5 14.3 100 101 3.0 10.6 1.7 2.6 10.0 35
20 July 2017
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Pakistan—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Automobiles & Components Fahd Niaz - 65 6212 3035
HCAR HCAR PA N PRs 666.70 760.00 14 906 0.8 (2) (23) (20) (0) 65 (5) (21) (13) 5 50 Mar-17 32 6 4 15.5 11.8 11.1 10.7 93 91 2.5 50.0 4.9 1.3 9.3 (122)
INDU INDU PA U PRs 1,744.97 1,765.00 1 1,305 0.7 7 (6) 1 8 60 3 (4) 8 13 44 Jun-16 6 (2) 2 12.0 11.3 11.5 11.3 86 81 6.3 42.0 4.5 1.4 9.1 (13)
PSMC PSMC PA O PRs 671.54 825.00 23 526 0.5 1 (13) (2) 10 61 (3) (10) 5 15 45 Dec-16 23 27 22 19.9 16.3 12.8 10.6 61 74 1.2 12.3 1.9 0.7 11.9 (31)
Sector Aggregate 10 2,737 3 (13) (6) 6 62 (1) (11) 1 11 46 Dec-16 15 7 6 14.3 12.5 11.6 10.9 82 83 4.0 31.6 3.6 1.2 9.9 (45)
Country Aggregate 45,419 53,753 18 30,926 4 (3) (7) (5) 16 Dec-16 (1) 18 10 9.2 9.3 7.9 7.3 102 107 5.3 16.7 1.5 1.2 6.2 10
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Philippines—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Danielo Picache - 632 858 7758
Asia United Bank AUB PM N P 59.50 50.20 (16) 567 0.0 3 18 22 24 28 2 17 17 8 29 Dec-15 36 0 15 19.0 14.0 14.0 12.2 90 100 0.0 8.6 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
BDO BDO PM N P 122.20 105.30 (14) 10,480 5.7 (2) 1 3 14 11 (2) 0 (3) (2) 12 Dec-16 (5) 18 23 17.3 18.3 15.5 12.7 100 100 0.7 11.1 1.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
BPI BPI PM U P 104.60 80.50 (23) 8,070 3.0 1 (1) (1) 18 6 1 (1) (7) 1 6 Dec-16 (2) 19 29 18.7 19.1 16.0 12.4 94 98 1.7 12.1 2.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Metrobank MBT PM O P 91.70 100.30 9 5,716 4.8 (4) 7 10 26 (3) (4) 6 4 10 (2) Dec-16 18 27 21 16.3 13.9 10.9 9.1 105 111 1.1 9.7 1.3 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Security Bank SECB PM U P 222.00 185.07 (17) 3,285 3.0 1 0 3 17 10 0 (0) (2) 1 11 Dec-16 (13) 14 26 15.6 17.9 15.6 12.4 94 93 0.9 9.3 1.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate (12) 28,117 (1) 2 4 18 7 (1) 1 (2) 2 8 Dec-16 (0) 20 24 17.2 17.2 14.4 11.6 99 101 1.1 10.6 1.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Country Aggregate 7,973 7,581 (5) 79,243 0 0 5 17 (1) Dec-16 2 12 17 19.7 19.4 17.6 15.7 101 101 1.6 12.7 2.3 4.9 12.3 70
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Singapore—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Danny Goh - 60 3 2723 2083
DBS Group DBS SP O S$ 21.86 22.70 4 40,946 67.3 6 6 16 26 36 2 4 10 11 22 Dec-16 10 16 8 13.0 11.8 10.2 9.4 101 105 3.0 10.6 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
UOB UOB SP O S$ 24.25 25.60 6 29,597 37.6 4 4 11 19 29 1 2 6 3 15 Dec-16 14 11 7 12.7 11.1 10.1 9.4 110 112 3.1 11.2 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate 5 70,544 5 5 14 23 33 2 3 8 8 19 Dec-16 12 14 7 12.9 11.5 10.1 9.4 104 108 3.0 10.8 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Consumer Staples Ella Nusantoro/ Nicholas Teh - 62 21 2553 7917/ 65 6212 3026
Bumitama BAL SP O S$ 0.74 0.90 22 944 0.6 (4) (3) 1 (12) (2) (4) (4) (2) (22) (14) Dec-15 (9) 71 35 14.1 15.6 9.1 6.8 83 110 1.8 15.3 2.3 2.7 10.1 74
First Resources FR SP O S$ 1.89 2.10 11 2,183 2.5 0 (2) 2 (1) 20 0 (3) (2) (10) 8 Dec-15 (2) 56 18 19.9 20.4 13.1 11.1 93 103 1.7 10.7 2.1 4.5 11.0 34
Golden Agri Resources GGR SP U S$ 0.39 0.33 (15) 3,613 6.7 3 4 12 (10) 8 (1) 2 6 (26) (5) Dec-16 (11) (4) 7 14.7 16.4 17.1 16.0 107 91 2.5 5.3 0.9 0.9 8.8 58
Wilmar Intl WIL SP N S$ 3.32 3.90 17 15,543 19.2 0 (6) (5) (8) (1) (3) (8) (11) (23) (15) Dec-16 9 8 7 16.2 14.8 13.7 12.8 84 85 2.1 7.1 1.0 0.7 13.2 74
Sector Aggregate 12 22,284 0 (4) (2) (8) 3 (3) (6) (8) (23) (11) Dec-16 14 7 7 16.1 14.2 13.2 13.1 90 91 2.1 7.4 1.0 0.8 11.2 67
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Country Aggregate 3,325 3,569 7 284,878 4 2 6 15 14 Dec-16 9 8 6 17.3 15.8 14.6 13.4 100 102 3.5 8.4 1.3 2.0 13.9 39
20 July 2017
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Taiwan—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Chung Hsu - 886 2 2715 6362
Chang Hwa Bank 2801 TT U NT$ 17.65 15.40 (13) 5,209 4.7 1 3 3 3 10 0 0 (6) (11) (6) Dec-16 (8) 1 5 12.7 13.9 13.7 13.0 100 100 1.4 7.6 1.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
CTBC Holding 2891 TT O NT$ 19.80 21.60 9 12,709 27.6 (2) 2 8 12 17 (3) (1) (1) (1) 1 Dec-16 24 8 10 13.3 10.8 9.9 9.0 106 106 6.0 11.9 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
E. Sun Financial 2884 TT N NT$ 19.40 18.60 (4) 6,045 16.6 3 5 6 7 11 2 2 (3) (6) (5) Dec-16 8 (0) 3 12.3 11.4 11.4 11.1 105 99 1.8 10.9 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
First FHC 2892 TT N NT$ 20.60 18.60 (10) 8,123 11.3 2 5 13 20 23 1 3 4 6 7 Dec-16 (1) 4 7 13.9 14.1 13.5 12.6 100 99 4.7 8.8 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hua Nan Financial 2880 TT N NT$ 17.80 16.00 (10) 6,165 6.3 1 4 7 10 8 1 2 (2) (4) (8) Dec-16 (15) 15 2 12.9 15.2 13.3 12.9 86 95 3.6 7.6 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Mega Financial 2886 TT N NT$ 25.60 26.40 3 11,462 11.6 0 3 7 11 3 (0) 1 (2) (2) (14) Dec-16 30 6 6 15.5 11.9 11.2 10.5 103 103 5.3 9.8 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
SinoPac Financial 2890 TT N NT$ 9.53 9.50 (0) 3,350 6.3 1 6 4 5 (3) 0 3 (5) (9) (19) Dec-16 20 (10) 5 12.0 10.0 11.1 10.6 108 98 3.5 7.3 0.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Taishin Financial 2887 TT N NT$ 14.25 13.00 (9) 4,490 8.3 2 5 17 21 18 1 2 8 7 2 Dec-16 23 1 12 12.5 10.2 10.1 9.1 110 102 1.5 10.8 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate (2) 57,553 1 4 8 12 12 (0) 1 (1) (2) (5) Dec-16 12 4 7 13.4 12.0 11.5 10.7 103 101 4.1 9.6 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Healthcare Jerry Su/ Sophia Chang - 886 2 2715 6361/ 886 2 2715 6353
Ginko 8406 TT O NT$ 241.00 270.00 12 735 2.9 5 (0) (8) (28) (27) 4 (3) (17) (41) (43) Mar-16 0 19 15 14.7 14.7 12.3 10.7 101 108 2.8 15.0 2.1 3.6 9.8 13
PharmaEngine 4162 TT N NT$ 205.00 220.00 7 827 3.1 4 4 11 13 7 4 1 2 (1) (9) Dec-16 41 6 n.a. 36.9 26.2 24.6 n.a. 130 115 2.3 23.6 5.8 13.8 17.8 (104)
St.Shine 1565 TT N NT$ 640.00 580.00 (9) 1,062 7.3 1 3 15 4 (17) 0 0 6 (9) (33) Dec-16 (3) 19 13 18.2 18.8 15.8 13.9 104 104 4.2 32.1 5.8 4.6 12.2 (27)
TaiMed 4147 TT O NT$ 187.00 230.00 23 1,540 6.1 2 5 11 12 (18) 1 3 2 (1) (35) Dec-16 (1) 709 n.a. n.m. n.m. 26.7 n.a. 86 119 0.0 (6.3) 10.6 1152.7 n.m. (34)
TTY Biopharm 4105 TT O NT$ 97.40 130.00 33 797 5.9 1 (1) (4) (5) (15) 0 (4) (13) (19) (32) Dec-16 15 10 n.a. 20.3 17.7 16.0 n.a. 106 109 4.0 25.2 4.2 5.8 15.5 (10)
Sector Aggregate 14 4,962 3 3 7 2 (14) 2 0 (2) (12) (31) Dec-16 12 52 13 30.8 27.4 18.1 13.9 108 111 2.3 17.9 4.7 7.3 18.8 (21)
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Technology Hardware Jerry Su/ Pauline Chen/ Randy Abrams/ Thompson Wu - 886 2 2715 6361/ 886 2 2715 6323/ 886 2 2715 6366/ 886 2 2715 6386
Acer 2353 TT N NT$ 15.05 15.00 (0) 1,524 4.7 (5) (5) 8 15 (1) (6) (8) (1) 1 (18) Dec-16 110 34 17 n.m. 90.4 67.6 57.9 41 49 3.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 6.4 (55)
Advantech 2395 TT O NT$ 226.50 300.00 32 5,194 6.3 3 5 5 (2) (2) 3 2 (4) (16) (18) Dec-15 11 15 13 28.0 25.3 21.9 19.4 111 116 2.8 23.2 5.6 3.7 20.6 (16)
Asustek 2357 TT U NT$ 283.50 225.00 (21) 6,932 13.3 (4) (0) (1) 7 (0) (4) (3) (10) (7) (17) Dec-15 12 (13) 6 12.3 11.0 12.6 12.0 101 94 6.0 11.0 1.2 0.3 6.7 (46)
AUO 2409 TT N NT$ 12.55 12.00 (4) 3,976 37.0 (3) 1 1 6 2 (4) (2) (8) (7) (14) Dec-16 342 (64) (46) 15.4 3.5 9.7 17.8 113 71 17.3 17.7 0.6 0.5 1.9 18
Casetek 5264 TT O NT$ 101.50 120.00 18 1,135 9.3 (3) (1) 15 18 (19) (4) (4) 6 5 (36) Dec-16 6 23 5 12.3 11.6 9.4 9.0 103 105 4.3 10.1 1.1 0.9 4.2 (16)
Catcher 2474 TT O NT$ 377.00 415.00 10 9,488 48.8 (2) 5 30 68 55 (3) 3 21 55 39 Dec-16 (3) 22 3 13.2 13.5 11.1 10.8 95 98 2.7 17.0 2.2 2.7 5.7 (37)
Chicony 2385 TT N NT$ 76.80 86.57 13 1,822 2.7 (0) (4) (1) 3 (2) (1) (6) (10) (11) (18) Dec-16 27 16 11 15.6 12.2 10.6 9.5 101 100 6.2 18.2 2.2 0.6 6.6 (11)
Chipbond 6147 TT O NT$ 51.00 54.00 6 1,090 7.5 8 11 10 11 17 8 8 1 (3) 0 Dec-16 9 17 n.a. 16.6 15.2 13.0 n.a. 98 96 4.3 9.1 1.4 1.7 5.3 (9)
ChipMOS 8150 TT O NT$ 30.80 40.00 30 899 8.6 1 (3) 20 32 (8) (0) (6) 11 19 (25) Dec-16 143 (34) 5 18.0 7.4 11.1 10.6 100 100 8.1 21.2 1.5 1.6 5.0 10
Chroma 2360 TT O NT$ 103.00 105.00 2 1,382 4.2 6 9 14 37 30 5 6 5 23 14 Dec-16 16 13 n.a. 22.9 19.8 17.5 n.a. 100 98 3.7 17.8 3.2 3.0 13.8 (29)
Compal 2324 TT N NT$ 20.80 21.00 1 3,028 7.7 (2) 1 2 13 (2) (2) (2) (7) (1) (18) Dec-15 (6) 13 14 10.4 11.1 9.8 8.6 102 104 5.8 7.8 0.9 0.1 5.6 2
Coretronic 5371 TT N NT$ 38.55 44.00 14 551 2.2 0 (6) (10) 14 16 (0) (8) (19) 0 (1) Dec-16 12 9 n.a. 8.5 7.6 7.0 n.a. 115 130 10.1 9.9 0.8 0.1 1.1 (51)
Delta 2308 TT O NT$ 163.50 190.00 16 13,982 22.6 2 (0) (2) 3 (4) 1 (3) (11) (11) (20) Dec-16 11 11 6 22.6 20.3 18.3 17.3 99 97 3.5 16.3 3.2 1.7 10.3 (26)
E Ink 8069 TT N NT$ 33.00 27.50 (17) 1,239 10.4 10 15 11 44 77 9 12 2 30 61 Dec-15 254 34 2 69.8 19.7 14.8 14.5 96 107 4.5 7.3 1.4 2.1 8.1 (29)
Egis Technology 6462 TT O NT$ 192.00 310.00 61 440 9.7 2 (9) (2) (28) 12 1 (11) (11) (41) (5) Dec-16 824 73 n.a. n.m. 12.6 7.3 n.a. 97 102 2.4 50.8 5.1 2.1 8.4 (70)
Elan 2458 TT N NT$ 45.65 43.00 (6) 652 5.3 4 7 19 32 23 3 4 10 18 7 Dec-16 60 12 n.a. 30.7 19.1 17.1 n.a. 107 87 4.5 14.6 2.7 2.4 12.3 (39)
Epistar 2448 TT N NT$ 28.75 33.00 15 1,033 20.2 (2) 1 0 24 26 (3) (1) (9) 11 9 Dec-16 131 (32) n.a. n.m. 28.9 42.4 n.a. 132 63 2.1 2.2 0.6 1.2 4.4 (2)
Everlight 2393 TT O NT$ 49.60 61.00 23 720 2.5 (1) 3 7 8 (8) (1) 0 (2) (6) (24) Dec-16 5 23 n.a. 12.0 11.4 9.3 n.a. 104 111 6.4 10.9 1.2 0.7 4.8 3
FocalTech 3545 TT O NT$ 39.85 44.00 10 390 8.3 6 17 3 13 48 5 15 (6) (0) 32 Dec-16 167 70 13 55.3 20.7 12.2 10.7 104 103 4.3 5.1 1.0 0.8 11.6 (28)
FTC 2354 TT N NT$ 91.30 98.00 7 4,252 18.8 (4) 2 3 7 18 (5) (1) (6) (7) 1 Dec-16 (3) 7 n.a. 12.0 12.4 11.5 n.a. 103 102 4.0 9.5 1.2 0.9 5.4 (48)
Himax HIMX US N US$ 8.52 8.70 2 1,465 7.2 5 8 11 41 (8) 4 7 6 31 (22) Dec-16 (66) 229 53 28.8 85.9 26.1 17.1 103 150 0.9 3.7 3.3 2.2 45.6 11
Hon Hai 2317 TT O NT$ 117.00 126.00 8 66,748 147.1 (1) 7 22 39 49 (2) 4 13 25 33 Dec-15 (10) 11 16 12.2 13.6 12.2 10.5 101 104 3.8 14.3 1.9 0.4 7.7 (18)
HTC 2498 TT U NT$ 72.30 65.00 (10) 1,956 19.5 0 4 3 (8) (26) (1) 2 (6) (22) (42) Dec-16 64 105 1,339 n.m. n.m. n.m. 20.6 165 n.m. 0.0 (7.6) 1.2 0.4 n.m. (52)
Innolux 3481 TT N NT$ 15.55 15.00 (4) 5,095 50.5 (2) 9 10 34 35 (2) 6 1 21 19 Dec-16 2,176 (70) (55) 82.7 3.6 12.0 26.5 122 77 13.8 17.3 0.6 0.4 1.4 (13)
Inventec 2356 TT O NT$ 24.55 28.00 14 2,900 8.8 (9) 2 15 11 (1) (10) (0) 6 (2) (17) Dec-15 1 17 28 15.8 15.6 13.4 10.4 101 100 5.9 10.1 1.6 0.2 6.2 (11)
Kinsus 3189 TT N NT$ 83.00 82.00 (1) 1,219 9.7 4 5 14 17 14 3 2 5 3 (2) Dec-16 (7) 22 5 16.6 17.8 14.6 13.9 91 84 3.6 7.1 1.3 1.2 5.1 (24)
Largan 3008 TT O NT$ 5,580.00 5,800.00 4 24,642 66.6 3 15 18 47 62 2 13 9 34 45 Dec-16 24 42 13 32.9 26.6 18.7 16.5 95 99 1.4 32.8 7.9 11.7 18.4 (68)
Lite-on Tech 2301 TT N NT$ 52.10 56.00 7 4,032 8.5 4 4 3 7 7 3 2 (7) (6) (9) Dec-16 13 11 3 13.0 11.5 10.4 10.2 101 103 6.2 13.6 1.5 0.4 4.3 (41)
MediaTek 2454 TT N NT$ 261.00 225.00 (14) 13,593 53.2 3 2 21 21 9 2 (0) 12 7 (8) Dec-16 (48) 100 7 18.0 34.8 17.4 16.3 60 96 3.6 4.7 1.6 1.1 12.2 (54)
Merry 2439 TT O NT$ 209.50 176.00 (16) 1,344 32.2 13 10 40 72 177 12 7 31 59 161 Dec-15 211 5 4 60.4 19.4 18.5 17.8 105 96 1.2 31.5 5.6 2.2 19.2 (45)
Novatek 3034 TT O NT$ 120.00 136.00 13 2,404 8.2 2 (2) 8 13 7 1 (5) (1) (1) (10) Dec-16 3 18 2 14.6 14.1 12.0 11.7 101 104 6.0 18.2 2.5 1.2 9.1 (50)
NYPCB 8046 TT N NT$ 25.15 26.00 3 535 0.8 (1) 2 (3) 2 (12) (1) (0) (12) (12) (29) Dec-16 71 485 12 n.m. n.m. 21.0 18.8 100 100 0.0 (0.6) 0.5 0.1 1.9 (37)
Parade 4966 TT O NT$ 459.00 425.00 (7) 1,170 11.2 4 18 38 44 50 3 15 29 31 34 Dec-16 28 16 n.a. 25.9 20.2 17.4 n.a. 103 103 2.0 22.4 4.4 3.0 13.9 (56)
Pegatron 4938 TT N NT$ 98.10 85.00 (13) 8,315 19.6 0 3 15 27 31 (1) 1 6 14 15 Dec-15 (19) 14 17 10.6 13.1 11.5 9.8 101 99 5.1 13.0 1.7 0.2 4.0 (40)
PTI 6239 TT O NT$ 104.00 112.00 8 2,667 8.4 5 14 21 20 43 4 11 12 6 26 Dec-16 23 9 8 16.8 13.6 12.5 11.6 102 98 3.8 16.0 2.1 1.4 4.1 (7)
Quanta 2382 TT N NT$ 74.70 61.00 (18) 9,499 13.9 3 2 21 24 12 2 (1) 12 10 (4) Dec-15 (15) 17 18 16.2 19.0 16.2 13.8 101 98 4.7 11.4 2.2 0.3 10.9 0
Radiant 6176 TT U NT$ 68.30 45.00 (34) 1,046 9.9 (1) 1 14 22 22 (2) (2) 5 8 6 Dec-16 (6) (6) n.a. 10.0 10.6 11.3 n.a. 97 114 6.2 12.8 1.3 0.2 1.7 (91)
Realtek 2379 TT O NT$ 115.00 120.00 4 1,912 7.4 4 3 13 13 4 3 1 4 (1) (12) Dec-15 25 16 14 23.9 19.1 16.4 14.4 102 101 3.1 13.5 2.5 1.0 7.6 (86)
Synnex 2347 TT N NT$ 34.25 32.00 (7) 1,881 3.6 (1) 0 6 5 (7) (2) (2) (3) (8) (23) Dec-15 46 12 (3) 17.1 11.7 10.5 10.8 100 100 2.9 11.4 1.3 0.3 20.1 83
TOPOINT 8021 TT N NT$ 24.00 30.00 25 125 1.8 (2) 2 (11) 22 8 (3) (1) (20) 9 (8) Dec-15 (34) 20 14 10.3 15.6 12.9 11.3 102 88 4.6 5.4 0.9 0.9 3.1 (20)
TPK 3673 TT N NT$ 100.50 95.00 (5) 1,147 57.7 (1) 9 (3) 69 57 (2) 7 (12) 55 40 Dec-16 316 (11) n.a. n.m. 11.1 12.4 n.a. 111 100 4.5 10.4 1.1 0.5 4.0 58
Tripod 3044 TT N NT$ 98.50 92.00 (7) 1,704 5.1 1 8 22 35 52 0 6 13 22 36 Dec-16 11 4 1 14.5 13.0 12.5 12.3 103 98 4.8 13.1 1.7 0.8 5.0 (54)
TSMC 2330 TT N NT$ 214.50 210.00 (2) 183,113 200.0 2 1 15 18 26 1 (2) 6 5 10 Dec-16 0 8 11 16.6 16.6 15.3 13.8 98 95 3.3 22.7 3.6 5.3 8.0 (30)
TXC 3042 TT N NT$ 44.20 45.00 2 451 2.0 1 (2) 6 8 (1) 0 (4) (3) (5) (17) Dec-15 7 11 9 14.6 13.6 12.2 11.1 101 95 5.9 9.5 1.3 1.3 5.6 (11)
UMC 2303 TT N NT$ 14.80 12.00 (19) 6,151 22.0 4 21 25 30 19 3 18 16 16 3 Dec-16 (4) 9 33 22.0 22.9 21.0 15.9 93 94 3.0 3.6 0.8 1.2 3.1 (5)
Unimicron 3037 TT N NT$ 17.95 14.00 (22) 875 5.6 1 2 4 45 30 (0) (1) (5) 31 13 Dec-15 (219) 226 161 95.7 n.m. 63.8 24.4 n.m. 75 0.0 (0.8) 0.7 0.6 4.4 29
Vanguard 5347 TT N NT$ 56.30 51.00 (9) 3,035 4.6 1 (2) (1) 0 1 0 (4) (10) (13) (16) Dec-16 (17) 12 10 17.4 21.0 18.8 17.1 90 86 5.3 15.5 3.3 3.7 12.9 0
VPEC 2455 TT U NT$ 64.60 44.00 (32) 393 3.6 10 6 18 31 22 9 4 9 17 6 Dec-16 4 26 n.a. 25.6 24.7 19.5 n.a. n.a. n.a. 3.9 17.5 4.3 4.7 13.0 (41)
Win Semi 3105 TT N NT$ 180.00 145.00 (19) 2,386 25.6 8 21 46 98 125 7 18 37 84 109 Dec-16 5 23 12 23.9 22.6 18.4 16.4 100 97 2.5 17.4 3.8 4.7 11.1 (1)
Wistron 3231 TT O NT$ 30.35 34.00 12 2,672 13.0 (2) (3) 12 22 26 (3) (5) 3 8 9 Dec-15 119 101 32 55.5 25.3 12.6 9.5 102 128 4.0 4.4 1.1 0.1 5.8 0
WPG 3702 TT N NT$ 41.95 40.00 (5) 2,411 6.1 2 3 13 10 4 1 1 4 (3) (13) Dec-16 25 8 11 13.2 10.5 9.8 8.8 93 96 5.7 13.7 1.4 0.2 12.7 111
Sector Aggregate 0 416,614 1 4 15 24 29 0 1 6 11 13 Dec-16 17 8 8 17.4 14.9 13.8 14.2 100 98 3.9 15.3 2.2 0.8 7.1 (18)
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Country Aggregate 10,506 10,753 2 638,584 1 2 9 14 16 Dec-16 12 8 9 17.1 15.2 14.0 13.7 100 99 3.9 13.0 1.9 0.9 7.8 (8)
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Thailand—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Dan Fineman/ Thaniya Kevalee - 66 2 614 6218/ 66 2 614 6219
BAY BAY TB U Bt 36.00 35.00 (3) 7,884 0.3 (3) (1) (5) (10) (9) (3) (0) (5) (12) (14) Dec-16 12 9 7 12.4 11.0 10.1 9.4 100 97 2.8 11.1 1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a.
BBL BBL TB O Bt 184.50 208.00 13 10,485 19.1 (2) 2 2 16 8 (2) 3 2 14 2 Dec-16 6 11 11 11.1 10.4 9.4 8.5 97 97 4.3 8.6 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
KBANK KBANK TB N Bt 198.50 192.00 (3) 14,143 30.0 (2) 3 5 12 10 (2) 4 5 10 5 Dec-16 4 19 20 11.8 11.4 9.5 8.0 105 107 2.6 12.4 1.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
KTB KTB TB U Bt 18.50 18.00 (3) 7,697 22.4 (3) (1) (5) 5 9 (3) (0) (6) 2 3 Dec-16 3 11 25 8.0 7.8 7.0 5.6 102 101 5.1 11.7 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
SCB SCB TB N Bt 153.50 141.00 (8) 15,516 26.4 (2) (2) (4) 1 2 (2) (1) (5) (1) (4) Dec-16 (4) 6 11 11.0 11.4 10.8 9.8 94 91 3.9 13.2 1.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
TCAP TCAP TB N Bt 46.75 50.00 7 1,679 4.9 (1) 0 0 6 19 (1) 0 (1) 4 13 Dec-16 20 6 5 9.7 8.1 7.6 7.2 103 107 4.5 11.7 0.9 n.a. n.a. n.a.
TISCO TISCO TB O Bt 74.25 81.00 9 1,770 10.3 (1) (4) 1 23 42 (1) (4) 0 21 36 Dec-16 19 24 8 11.9 10.0 8.0 7.5 99 109 5.4 18.3 1.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
TMB TMB TB N Bt 2.32 2.40 3 3,028 8.1 (2) 6 2 10 3 (2) 7 1 8 (3) Dec-16 7 23 15 12.3 11.5 9.4 8.2 100 101 3.0 10.2 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sector Aggregate (1) 62,202 (2) 1 (1) 6 6 (2) 1 (1) 4 0 Dec-16 4 12 14 10.9 10.4 9.3 8.1 99 99 3.7 11.4 1.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Consumer Staples Nicholas Teh/ Warayut Luangmettakul - 65 6212 3026/ 662 614 6214
Berli Jucker PLC. BJC TB O Bt 46.00 51.00 11 5,468 7.6 0 (2) 8 (8) 5 (0) (1) 7 (11) (0) Dec-16 28 30 25 40.4 31.6 24.2 19.3 97 106 1.6 5.5 1.7 2.2 15.8 127
C.P. ALL CPALL TB O Bt 61.00 75.00 23 16,313 28.7 2 (1) 1 (2) 18 2 (1) 0 (5) 12 Dec-16 20 22 20 33.1 27.6 22.6 18.8 102 106 1.8 38.7 9.5 1.5 17.0 214
CPF CPF TB O Bt 25.00 38.00 52 6,915 25.2 6 (2) (7) (15) (12) 6 (2) (8) (17) (17) Dec-16 (9) 14 15 12.2 13.4 11.7 10.2 118 115 3.7 10.1 1.3 1.0 11.9 138
Siam Makro MAKRO TB N Bt 35.50 38.00 7 5,073 0.1 (1) (1) 6 1 4 (1) (0) 5 (1) (1) Dec-16 14 13 11 31.5 27.6 24.5 22.1 99 98 2.7 37.1 9.7 1.0 17.0 39
Thai Union TU TB O Bt 20.00 24.00 20 2,841 6.5 (0) (7) (5) (5) (11) (1) (7) (5) (7) (16) Dec-16 22 13 14 18.7 15.4 13.6 11.9 105 103 3.3 12.6 1.9 1.1 13.6 114
ThaiBev THBEV SP O S$ 0.92 1.04 13 16,889 15.6 1 2 (2) 8 (7) (3) (0) (8) (7) (20) Sep-16 16 9 8 22.7 19.6 18.1 16.8 109 107 3.3 23.1 4.4 3.1 17.2 23
Sector Aggregate 21 53,500 2 (1) (0) (1) 2 2 (0) (1) (3) (3) Dec-16 11 15 17 23.4 21.2 18.4 16.0 107 107 2.7 16.8 3.3 1.5 15.2 113
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Transportation Christopher Siow/ Joanna Cheah/ Thaniya Kevalee/ Warayut Luangmettakul - 65 6212 3062/ 6 03 2723 2081/ 66 2 614 6219/ 662 614 6214
AOT AOT TB O Bt 49.00 55.00 12 20,840 46.2 (1) 5 19 23 28 (1) 6 18 21 22 Sep-16 12 22 13 36.1 32.2 26.4 23.5 101 109 1.5 17.1 5.3 12.0 20.1 (24)
Asia Aviation AAV TB U Bt 6.30 5.40 (14) 910 3.3 1 (2) 3 4 5 1 (1) 3 2 (1) Dec-16 3 (6) 13 16.0 15.5 16.6 14.7 105 87 2.6 9.0 1.4 2.1 14.3 39
Bangkok Airways BA TB O Bt 19.20 23.00 20 1,200 3.2 5 3 (4) (15) (14) 5 4 (5) (18) (19) Dec-16 (17) 25 23 19.2 23.3 18.7 15.2 100 95 2.6 5.3 1.2 2.2 15.0 63
BEM BEM TB O Bt 7.50 8.50 13 3,413 10.6 1 3 3 1 9 1 4 2 (1) 4 Dec-16 26 10 25 41.8 33.2 30.2 24.3 102 100 1.7 11.2 3.6 10.5 17.9 152
BTS Group Holdings BTS TB O Bt 8.50 12.00 41 3,022 4.8 1 1 (1) (1) (12) 1 1 (1) (3) (18) Mar-16 2 24 22 57.9 56.7 45.6 37.2 96 98 1.8 3.9 2.3 21.0 54.6 25
BTS Infra. Fund BTSGIF TB N Bt 11.20 12.30 10 1,930 1.4 1 1 0 (1) (11) 1 1 (1) (3) (17) Mar-16 9 14 13 16.1 14.7 12.9 11.4 98 108 6.8 6.7 1.0 14.3 14.8 (0)
Sector Aggregate 15 31,314 (0) 4 13 15 17 (0) 4 12 13 12 Dec-16 13 17 21 32.0 28.4 24.3 19.6 103 107 2.1 11.5 3.2 7.7 19.0 20
Country Aggregate 1,576 1,714 9 326,633 0 (0) 1 2 6 Dec-16 5 10 8 16.0 15.3 13.9 12.3 100 101 3.1 13.2 2.0 1.6 8.9 41
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Vietnam—valuation summary
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Bberg Price Market 6M Last D Yld ROE P/B EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Net Debt/Eq
ticker View Ccy Local Target Upside cap ADTO Absolute performance (%) Relative performance (%) FYE EPS growth (%) PE (x) CS/ Cons. EPS (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%)
(%) (US$ m) 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m 1w 1m 3m Ytd 12m T T+1 T+2 T+3 T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+1 T+2 T+1
Banks Farhan Rizvi - 65 6212 3036
ACB ACB VN N D 25,100 24,000 (4) 1,089 2.5 (3) (6) 11 43 49 (3) (6) 2 27 34 Dec-16 22 33 23 19.1 15.7 11.7 9.5 95 90 0.0 10.6 1.6 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Real Estate Farhan Rizvi/ Minh Trinh - 65 6212 3036/ 65 6212 8863
Kinh Bac City KBC VN O D 15,200 18,000 18 314 2.0 (6) (8) 1 10 (10) (6) (9) (8) (6) (26) Dec-16 41 3 23 12.8 9.1 8.8 7.2 101 96 0.0 9.7 0.8 2.9 6.3 15
Vingroup VIC VN N D 42,000 44,100 5 4,874 1.4 (1) (3) 3 0 (1) (1) (3) (5) (16) (17) Dec-15 83 110 42 66.1 36.0 17.1 12.1 161 185 0.0 10.4 3.4 2.5 13.8 63
Sector Aggregate 6 5,188 (2) (3) 3 1 (2) (1) (3) (5) (15) (17) Dec-16 100 38 23 32.5 16.3 11.8 7.2 170 133 0.0 16.4 2.5 1.9 8.1 43
Country Aggregate 771 806 5 20,929 (0) 1 8 16 16 Dec-16 26 24 14 22.8 18.1 14.6 13.7 110 108 2.3 22.4 3.8 1.7 10.4 38
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Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification
The analysts identified in this report each certify, with respect to the companies or securities that the individual analyzes, that (1) the views
expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about all of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of his or her
compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received Compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's
total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities
Volatility Indicator [V] : A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24
months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward.
Analysts’ sector weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the analyst’s expectations for the fundamentals and/or
valuation of the sector* relative to the group’s historic fundamentals and/or valuation:
Overweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is favorable over the next 12 months.
Market Weight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is neutral over the next 12 months.
Underweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is cautious over the next 12 months.
*An analyst’s coverage sector consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. An analyst may cov er multiple sectors.
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