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Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

DOI 10.1007/s00484-013-0785-1

ORIGINAL PAPER

Elderly bioheat modeling: changes in physiology,


thermoregulation, and blood flow circulation
Mohamad Rida & Nesreen Ghaddar & Kamel Ghali &
Jamal Hoballah

Received: 9 October 2013 / Revised: 22 December 2013 / Accepted: 28 December 2013 / Published online: 24 January 2014
# ISB 2014

Abstract A bioheat model for the elderly was developed Nomenclature


focusing on blood flow circulatory changes that influence A Area (m2)
their thermal response in warm and cold environments to ADu Dubois surface area (m2)
predict skin and core temperatures for different segments of AVA Arteriovenous anastomoses
the body especially the fingers. The young adult model of BMR Basal metabolic rate (W)
Karaki et al. (Int J Therm Sci 67:41–51, 2013) was modified BW Body weight (kg)
by incorporation of the physiological thermoregulatory and c Specific heat (J/kg K)
vasomotor changes based on literature observations of phys- C Thermal capacitance (J/K)
iological changes in the elderly compared to young adults CO Cardiac output (cm3/h)
such as lower metabolism and vasoconstriction diminished CIVD Cold-induced vasodilation
ability, skin blood flow and its minimum and maximum HT Body height (m)
values, the sweating values, skin fat thickness, as well as the h Heat transfer coefficient (W/m2 K)
change in threshold parameter related to core or skin temper- Mcr Core basal metabolic rate (W)
atures which triggers thermoregulatory action for sweating, Msk Skin basal metabolic rate (W)
maximum dilatation, and maximum constriction. The devel- met Standard metabolic rate unit of a seated person equal
oped model was validated with published experimental data to 58 W/m2 of body surface area
for elderly exposure to transient and steady hot and cold m Blood flow rate (kg/s)
environments. Predicted finger skin temperature, mean skin P Vapor pressure (kPa)
temperature, and core temperature were in agreement with PMV Predicted Mean Vote
published experimental data at a maximum error less than Qres Heat dissipated through respiration (W)
0.5 °C in the mean skin temperature. The elderly bioheat Qcr-sk Heat exchange between the core and skin through
model showed an increase in finger skin temperature and a contact resistance (W)
decrease in core temperature in cold exposure while it showed Ra Artery radius (m)
a decrease in finger skin temperature and an increase in core Δt Time step (s)
temperature in hot exposure. t Time (s)
Tcr Temperature (°C)

Keywords Elderly thermal response . Elderly bioheat model . Subscripts


Physiology change with age . Elderly blood circulator system a Artery
adjacent Adjacent node in the previous body segment
M. Rida : N. Ghaddar (*) : K. Ghali
amb Ambient
Mechanical Engineering Department, American University AVA Arteriovenous anastomoses
of Beirut, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut 1107-2020, Lebanon bl Blood
e-mail: farah@aub.edu.lb CIVD Cold-induced vasodilation
cr Core
J. Hoballah
Department of Surgery, American University of Beirut Medical co Constriction
Center, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut 1107-2020, Lebanon dil Dilation
1826 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

exp Experimental value operative temperatures, the wider is the difference in


min Minimum sensation between the two population groups. Schellen
model Model et al. (2010) showed that elderly thermal sensation was
o Initial related to air temperature only while that of younger
perf Perfusion subjects was related to skin and air temperatures. Taylor
res Respiration et al. (1995) reported that elderly people may need an
sk Skin additional strong thermal stimulus to obtain suitable
sk,exp Exposed skin behavioral responses in a home environment, and they
shiv Shivering allowed larger oscillation in room temperature. Tsuzuki
sur Surface and Iwata (2002) and Tsuzuki and Ohfuku (2002) re-
vein Vein ported based on experiments that the metabolic rate of
vein,s The superficial vein the elderly was 70 % that of the young and that the
elderly subjects’ mean skin temperature was higher in a
Greek symbol
colder environment and lower in a warmer environment
α Coefficient which is 1 for the chest and 0 for all other
than that of the younger subjects. They also found that
body parts
elderly subjects have a reduced warmth sensitivity in
cold seasons and cold sensitivity in hot seasons
(Tsuzuki and Iwata 2002). The differences in thermal
Introduction sensation and thermoregulation between the elderly and
the young population are caused by changes in physi-
The ability of the human body to regulate its own ology (Inoue et al. 1992; Hashiguchi et al. 2004; Van
temperature declines with aging. The elderly are the Hoof and Hensen 2006; Van Someren 2007; Van Hoof
group most vulnerable to experience hyperthermia and et al. 2008; Schellen et al. 2010). There are many bioheat
hypothermia (Keatinge and Donaldson 2004; models that are capable of predicting the thermal response
Vandentorren et al. 2006). In our aging world, the of young adults with associated thermal sensation and
thermal response and comfort of older adults within thermal comfort based on skin and core temperatures
their indoor environments are important factors in their like the Fiala model (Fiala et al. 2012), KSU model
well-being. (Smith 1991), Berkeley Model (Huizenga et al. 2001), and
It is well documented in the literature that the neutral AUB model (Salloum et al. 2007). If we aim to predict the
thermal sensation of elderly people at operative temper- healthy elderly thermal response in a thermally stressful
ature between 24 and 28 °C during summer and be- environment by modeling, we must understand changes
tween 22 and 25 °C during winter is very similar to in their physiology and thermoregulation and use a
that of the young (Hwang and Chen 2010). Their re- model that can take into consideration the observed
ported neutral thermal sensation at these operative tem- physiological changes connected with circulation and
perature ranges is very similar to that of young people metabolism.
(Van Hoof 2008), and the same comfort indices apply. Numerous empirical studies in the literature have
During those thermally neutral conditions, skin temper- reported changes between young adults and elderly in
ature ranges between 32 and 34 °C (Guergova and thermal physiology, thermoregulation, and basal metab-
Dufour 2011). Researchers commonly used the Predict- olism (Hashiguchi et al. 2004; Van Hoof and Hensen
ed Mean Vote (PMV) set by ASHRAE (1997) as a 2006; Van Someren 2007; Van Hoof et al. 2008; Schellen
comfort index. The PMV model in general is applicable et al. 2010). Both metabolic and vasomotor responses are
to the elderly in neutral and close-to-neutral environ- reduced for the elderly while their core body temperature
ments (Van Hoof and Hensen 2006; DeGroot and is reported to drop at mild ambient cooling more than
Kenney 2007; Van Hoof 2008; Schellen 2009; it did in younger subjects (Kenney and Munce 2003).
Schellen et al. 2010). It was also reported that the core The changes in the organs and body function in the
temperature in healthy older adults was not different elderly result in the inability of the body to maintain
from that in younger persons under resting the core temperature needed for thermal comfort (Van
thermoneutral condition (DeGroot and Kenney 2007). Someren 2007). In young adults exposed to a cold envi-
However, in a more stressful thermal environment, ronment, the body core temperature drops more than
the similarity in comfort sensation between the elderly 2 °C below the normal value of 37 °C when the body is
and the young may not be the case. The more is the exposed for a long time to a very low ambient temperature
deviation in environmental conditions from the (Inoue et al. 1992). During cold stress, the physiological
thermoneutral range of summer and winter neutral response of the body is to decrease heat loss by peripheral
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1827

vasoconstriction and to increase heat production through When considering the thermal response of the elderly
shivering. Empirical research has shown that vasocon- in a hot environment, it is observed that the low blood
striction responses in the elderly are not only delayed, circulation of the elderly (lower activity and reduced
but they have also diminished in the skin (DeGroot et al. basal metabolic rate) resulted in a lower skin tempera-
2006). Enomoto et al. (1992) showed a declined ability to ture in the extremities and a higher core temperature
regulate body temperature through cutaneous vasoconstric- compared to young adults, showing failure of the circu-
tion function at the extremities. The diminished ability of latory system function of cooling the body core. With
aged skin to vasoconstriction is reported for both acral advancing age, the peripheral blood vessels change
(skin with high vascular circulation such as ears, fin- structurally and functionally. The elderly show a signif-
gers, and facial skin) and non-acral skin (Kenney and icant reduction in blood flow which affects heat transfer
Munce 2003). from the body (Kenney and Havenith 1993; Rooke
Van Someren (2007) reported that with aging, the et al. 1994; Kenney and Munce 2003; Holowatz and
finger skin becomes thinner because the underlying fat Kenney 2010). This means that less vasodilation occur
is reduced with time, the dermal capillary architecture in the skin for the elderly. Tochihara et al. (1993)
changes, and the number of capillary loops (arteriove- showed that the rate of increase in skin temperature
nous anastomoses (AVAs)) decreases. AVAs play a ma- for the elderly group was significantly smaller than that
jor role in thermoregulation through the extremities and for the younger group, which means a delay in time to
are influenced by core and local skin temperatures have vasodilation in the skin for the elderly compared
(Daanen 1991, 2003; Karaki et al. 2013). Van Someren to the young (Tochihara et al. 1993; Bjerke 2010).
(2007) reported that AVAs in the fingertip location keep Sagawa et al. (1988) reported in their experimental
much higher blood flow in elderly fingers during cold study that differences in sweating responses existed
conditions compared to young people. In addition, the between the elderly and young people during heat ex-
cold-induced vasodilation (CIVD) reaction occurrence posure. They reported that the elderly sweating thresh-
for the elderly is delayed and is less pronounced in old is triggered at a slightly higher skin temperature
the elderly when compared to young people. The CIVD than that for the younger group. They also reported that
reaction is affected by the decrease in core temperature the elderly sweat volume is 18.6 g/m2 less than that of
due to a decrease in basal metabolic rate and the re- the young with a reduction of 12 min in sweat duration
duced physical activity in the elderly (Daanen 2003). (Sagawa et al. 1988). Hirata et al. (2012) reported that
Anderson et al. (1996) observed that the tympanic the threshold for sweating of the elderly is about 1.5 °C
temperature of the elderly at rest is 36.7 °C which is higher compared to the young skin threshold tempera-
0.4 °C less than that of the young adult at a value of ture for sweating based on the model of Nagaoka et al.
37.1 °C. They also reported that the null zone range (2004) and experimental data of Dufour and Candas
(difference between core thresholds for cessation of (2007). Wang et al. (2007) reported that thermoregula-
sweating and onset of shivering) was significantly great- tory and vasomotor changes at the hands and fingers
er in the elderly at 1.1 °C (SD 0.4 °C) compared to the play a major role in specifying thermal sensation in
young at 0.4 °C (SD 0.1 °C). Sessler (2008) also elderly subjects. We can clearly conclude that the elder-
observed that shivering is less in the elderly due to ly thermal sensation and comfort are affected by the
the lower shivering threshold core temperature and to change of their thermoregulatory and vasomotor re-
the smaller muscle mass. When the elderly are exposed sponses. It is also evident that cold and heat stress are
for a long period to cold without shivering, the core not well tolerated by the elderly and generally can lead
temperature will decrease and it will take more time to to health hazards.
reach the threshold temperature. Basically, the vessels Researchers have addressed some of the physiological
of the elderly fail to constrict effectively in the extrem- changes in elderly bioheat modeling by modifying the
ities during cold exposure which in turn results in a basal metabolic rate (BMR), cardiac output (CO), body
higher skin temperature than young people, thus in- weight (BW), Dubois surface area (ADu), and height
creasing the heat loss and further declining the core (HT) (Novieto and Zhang 2010a, b). Novieto and Zhang
temperature. Enomoto et al. (1992) reported that the (2010a) reported an elderly bioheat model by modifying
elderly skin temperature drop, when subject to wind, the known IESD-Fiala model (Fiala 1998; Fiala et al.
was larger than that of the young group, which was 2001) but did not include the circulatory system for the
indicative of the poor circulatory function in the ex- digits. An elderly bioheat model is considered robust if
tremities. They also observed that elderly subjects need it can accurately predict the blood flow in the extrem-
more time to get a steady state in skin temperature ities including the fingers and their effect on the core
(Enomoto et al. 1992). temperature under stressful cold or warm environment
1828 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

for a given metabolic rate and clothing resistance. The of Rida et al. (2014) will be modified with respect to
blood flow system has the most influence on elderly these three features to model accurately the elderly
thermal response when subjected to cold and warm change in physiology related to vasoconstriction at the
environments outside the thermoneutral comfort zone. extremities and the reduced metabolic rate and cardiac
Karaki et al. (2013) have developed a segmental bioheat output. The elderly bioheat model will predict local and
model that includes independent hand and finger seg- overall thermal and blood flow responses to changes in
ments. They based their model of body thermal re- environmental conditions and clothing as well as their
sponse on detailed modeling of blood circulation in values at hot and cold steady environmental conditions.
the arteries and veins, AVA function in the extremities, The developed elderly bioheat model will be validated
and blood perfusion to the skin. The model of Karaki by published experimental data on elderly core and
et al. (2013) was later extended by Rida et al. (2014) segmental skin temperatures.
for accurate prediction of CIVD response. Bioheat The bioheat model divides the human body into 25
models are mainly developed based on the physiology segments, as shown in Fig. 1, which include the head,
of the young, and they need to be modified for the upper trunk, lower trunk, upper arms, lower arms, palms
elderly. The model of Karaki et al. (2013) has features and fingers, thighs, calves, and feet. The modeling of
for modeling blood flow in general based on cardiac blood flow was based on a modified multi-branched
output and in the extremities in particular which lends arterial tree model of Avolio (1980) to include the five
itself to be easily modified to incorporate elderly blood fingers for each hand. For a known metabolic rate, the
flow physiology and associated thermal response. blood flow into each individual body segment including
The aim of this work is to develop a bioheat model for the fingers is determined. Each segment is composed of
healthy old adults while focusing on blood flow circulatory a core node, skin node, artery node, vein node, and,
changes that influence their thermal response in warm and when applicable, a superficial vein node as shown in
cold environments. The healthy elderly model is derived from Fig. 2. This model includes the blood perfusion in the
the bioheat model of Karaki et al. (2013) for the young adult capillary bed, which plays a critical role in heat transfer
while taking into consideration the observed physiological of tissues. In addition, it implements the AVA mecha-
changes associated with age such as lower metabolism and nism in the peripheral body segments: forearms, palms,
vasoconstriction diminished ability of the elderly human fingers, calves, and feet. Karaki et al. (2013) included
body. The model predictions of segmental skin and core the temperature threshold for vasodilation,
temperatures will be validated with published experimental
data in the literature of measured values in transient and
steady thermal environments. The segmented bioheat mod-
el can be integrated with clothing and space models and
hence can become a useful tool in many applications. For
example, the model can be used for assessment of the
suitability of an air-conditioning or heating system for the
elderly. It can also be used for assessing risk and
recommending safe exposure periods of the elderly to a
cold environment where hypothermia occurs when the
core temperature falls below 33 °C causing a discontinuity
in shivering with loss in sensation of cold after the period
of pain in the exposed parts (Canada Center for
Occupational Health and Safety 2012).

Mathematical model

The main feature in the development of our elderly


bioheat model is the ability to consider, in the blood
circulatory system, the following physiological changes:
(1) cardiac output, (2) vasoconstriction and vasodilation
of the arterial system, and (3) the AVA control mecha-
nism. The young adult bioheat model of Karaki et al.
(2013) and the model of thermoregulatory AVA function Fig. 1 The segments of the human body used in the bioheat model
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1829

from the core. In terminal body segments such as the


forearms, hands, and fingers where there are superficial
veins, the blood returning through the superficial vein is
the blood from the previous superficial vein (m prev;s;vein
) plus the blood perfusion through the skin and also
through the AVA. The body segments which contain the
superficial vein node are the ten digits of the hand,
hands, and forearms.
Using lumped capacitance, there are five nodes for
the energy balance in each peripheral segment derived
from the work of Salloum et al. (2007) and Karaki
et al. (2013) and reported in the Appendix. The bioheat
model solves transient energy balance equations of the
nodes of each body segment constrained by the elderly
modified thermoregulatory controls to predict segmental
core and skin temperatures and arterial blood flow for
given metabolic rate and environmental conditions
(Karaki et al. 2013; Rida et al. 2014). In this section,
Fig. 2 Different nodes of the peripheral body segments including artery, we will only focus on modeling aspects that have been
core vein, and superficial skin vein nodes modified in their young adult bioheat model.
The basal parameters of the young adult model need
vasoconstriction, shivering, and sweating. Vasodilation to be modified to produce the elderly bioheat model.
for a typical adult occurs when the core temperature The parameters modified by Novieto and Zhang (2010a,
increases above the neutral values of 36.8 °C for core b) include the basal metabolic rate (BMR), cardiac
temperature and 33.7 °C for skin temperature. The max- output (CO), body weight (BW), Dubois surface area
imum vasodilation happens when the body temperature (ADu), and height (HT). They adopted a decrease of
is 37.2 °C (Karaki et al. 2013). The maximum vasocon- 20 % in BMR, 14 % in CO, 10 % in BW, and 7 %
striction happens when the skin temperature reaches in BSA for the overall body. Novieto and Zhang
27.8 °C (Smith 1991). When the skin temperature falls (2010b) adopted a 30 % decrease in basal core meta-
below thermoneutrality, the vasoconstriction mechanism bolic rate and 20 % decrease in basal skin metabolic
starts in order to decrease heat loss, and when an rate which we have adopted in our current model. These
additional decrease in body temperature takes place, changes are based on established experimental findings
shivering starts with the body producing mechanical on the physiology of healthy elderly above 60 and
work in order to generate heat. Shivering starts when the 70 years old (Collins et al. 1977; Sessler 2008; Bjerke
core temperature is less than or equal to 35.8 °C. When the 2010). Since the current model is multi-segment and
core temperature is equal or greater than 37.1 °C, the shivering multi-node, careful consideration of blood flow model-
phenomenon will stop, and between 35.8 and 37.1 °C, the ing is needed to be able to include the rise in blood
shivering threshold will decrease linearly with the variation of perfusion to the skin during cold condition, the decrease
the core temperature (Smith 1991). in blood perfusion to the skin during hot condition, the
Similar to the young bioheat model, energy balance decrease of metabolic rate during hot and cold condi-
calculations are performed for the nodes of the core, tions, and the decrease in cardiac output which are also
skin, artery, and vein and for the superficial vein as modified as they affect significantly the elderly thermal
applicable for each body segment following the formu- response. Humans show a weakening in cutaneous and
lation of Karaki et al. (2013) while introducing modifi- skin blood flow with respect to age, and it does vary
cations reflecting elderly changes in the physiology of from 25 to 50 % when comparing young people of 18
the circulatory system. These changes include reduced to 30 years old and healthy adults aged above 60 years
metabolic rate proportionally for each segment and the old (Kenney and Havenith 1993; Rooke et al. 1994;
change in physiology for the AVA blood flow for the Waller and Maibach 2005; Holowatz and Kenney
diminished vasoconstriction in the extremities. In non- 2010). Kenney and Havenith (1993) tabulated experi-
periphery segments, the blood comes in through the mental data on skin blood flow comparison between
artery while the blood returning through the core vein young and elderly at different environmental conditions.
is the combination of blood from the previous vein The overall percentage change from young to old
(m prev;vein ) and the blood coming in through perfusion adults in physiological data of overall core and skin
1830 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Table 1 Reported percentage change in physiological data from the plied with the same proportion to each segment of the
young to the elderly
elderly body. Table 2 summarizes the physiological
Physiological Percentage change Reference values used in our model of segmental and overall core
parameter of data value from and skin metabolic rate, skin blood flow and its mini-
young to old adult mum and maximum values, the sweating values, and
(%)
skin fat thickness as compared to the young adult
Basal core 70 Tsuzuki and Iwata (2002) bioheat model values published in Salloum et al.
metabolic Novieto and Zhang (2010b) (2007) and Karaki et al. (2013). The thermoregulatory
rate (W) action for sweating, maximum dilatation, and maximum
Basal skin 80 Tsuzuki and Iwata (2002)
metabolic
constriction is triggered by a threshold parameter related
Novieto and Zhang (2010b)
rate (W) to core or skin temperatures. The changes in threshold
Basal skin blood 100 Collins et al. (1977) parameter for sweating (Sagawa et al. 1988) and max-
flow (cm3/s) imum dilatation (Hirata et al. 2012) in the elderly have
Min skin blood 150 Collins et al. (1977)
flow (cm3/s)
been reported in the literature and are summarized in
Waller and Maibach (2005)
Table 3. In addition, the maximum vasoconstriction
Max skin blood 70 Holowatz and Kenney
flow (cm3/s) (2010)
threshold for segmental skin temperature used by Smith
(1991) for young adults was reduced by 0.5 °C, and the
Kenney and Havenith
(1993) maximum constriction to represent the delay in the
Rooke et al. (1994) vasoconstriction response was also best representing
Sweat factor 80 Sagawa et al. (1988) experimental observations (Tochihara et al. 1993;
Hirata et al. (2012) Bjerke 2010). Threshold values are used in calculation of
Cold shivering 90 Sessler (2008) skin perfusion (m perf ;sk ) which varies between a minimum
factor and a maximum based on local core and skin temperatures as
Fat skin thickness 80 Bjerke (2010) given by Smith (1991) and Karaki et al. (2013).
(mm)

:
m perf ;sk;dil ⋅m perf ;sk;con
m perf ;sk ¼ ð1Þ
metabolic rate, skin blood flow and its minimum and m perf ;sk;basal
maximum values, the sweating values, and skin fat
thickness is provided in Table 1. These reductions in
values of physiological data related to metabolism and where the values of m perf ;sk;dil and m perf ;sk;con are modified
blood flow for the whole body change have been ap- accordingly with the new threshold of the elderly to become

8 :
> mperf ;sk;basal for T cr ≤ 36:85  C
<
: T cr −36:85  : :  :
mperf ;sk;dil ¼ m perf ;sk;max − m perf ;sk;basal þ m perf ;sk;basal for 36:85 C ≤ T cr ≤ 37:25 C
>
: 37:25−36:85 :
8: m perf ;sk;max for T cr ≥ 37:25  C
> m for Tsk ≤ 10:2  C
< perf ;sk;min   :
: T sk −10:2 : :
mperf ;sk;con ¼ m perf ;sk;basal −m perf ;sk;min þ mperf ;sk;min for 10:2 C ≤ T sk ≤ 33:2 C
>
: 33:2−10:2
:
m perf ;sk;basal for T sk ≥ 33:2  C

The derivation of the control system equations for vasodilation when the core temperature reaches
calculating the skin blood vessel radii during vasodila- 37.2 °C. As the mean skin temperature falls below its
tion or vasoconstriction is based on the model of Smith neutral value of 33.7 °C, vasoconstriction occurs. Skin
(1991) which assumes a body state of thermoneutrality blood flow and cardiac output decrease accordingly and
when the core and mean skin temperatures are 36.8 and a state of maximum vasoconstriction occurs when the
33.7 °C, respectively. As the core temperature rises mean skin temperature falls to 10.7 °C. Between these
above its neutral value, cardiac output increases and two extreme cases, Smith (1991) assumed a linear rela-
vasodilation increases to reach the maximum state of tion for the radius variation of the blood vessels. The
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Table 2 Physiological values used in our model of segmental and overall core and skin metabolic rate, skin blood flow, and its minimum and maximum values, the sweating values, and skin fat thickness as
compared to the young adult bioheat model values published in Salloum et al. (2007) and Karaki et al. (2013) based on Smith (1991) data

Adult body segment Basal core metabolic Basal skin metabolic Basal skin blood flow Min skin blood flow Max skin blood flow Sweat factor Cold shivering Fat skin thickness
rate (W) rate (W) (cm3/s) (cm3/s) (cm3/s) factor (mm)

Young Old Young Old Young Old Young Old Young Old Young Old Young Old Young Old

Finger 0.0048 0.0034 0.0042 0.0034 27.9 27.9 10 15 80.4 56.3 0.0016 0.0012 0.00002 0.000018 3.30 2.64
Palm 0.0710 0.0497 0.0351 0.0281 417.9 417.9 215.06 322.5 1,726.7 1,208.7 0.0078 0.0062 0.0001 0.00009 7.40 5.92
Forearm 0.5930 0.4151 0.1378 0.1102 508.0 508.0 0 5 5,553.0 3,887.1 0.0326 0.0261 0.0014 0.00126 4.51 3.61
Upper arm 1.06 0.7434 0.1820 0.1456 910.0 910.0 0 5 8,319.0 5,823.3 0.0444 0.0355 0.0024 0.00216 4.51 3.61
Foot 0.1459 0.1021 0.1270 0.1016 934.0 934.0 266 399 5,278.0 3,694.6 0.0175 0.0140 0.0004 0.00036 11.70 9.36
Calf 0.7540 0.5278 0.1530 0.1224 651.0 651.0 0 5 8,253.0 5,777.1 0.0445 0.0356 0.0017 0.00153 10.64 8.51
Thigh 1.708 1.20 0.3428 0.2743 1,456.0 1,456.0 0 5 12,453.0 8,717.1 0.0645 0.0516 0.0039 0.00351 10.64 8.51
Head 18.43 12.90 0.2190 0.1752 6,050.0 6,050.0 1,206 1,809 16.552.0 11,586.4 0.0810 0.0648 0.0775 0.06975 8.50 6.80
Lower chest 46.86 32.80 0.6075 0.4860 2,272.5 2,272.5 0 5 21,953.0 15,367.1 0.2060 0.1648 0.3875 0.34875 19.12 15.30
Upper chest 5.96 4.17 0.6075 0.4860 3,441.5 3,441.5 0 5 33,246.0 23,272.2 0.2750 0.2200 0.515 0.4635 19.12 15.30
Overall bodya 79.96 55.97 3.43 2.75 21,796.5 21,796.5 2,268.1 3,452.2 155,720.9 109,004.6 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 178.54 142.83

a
Overall values are the sum of ten fingers, two palms, two forearms, two upper arms, two feet, two calves, two thighs, the head, the lower chest, and the upper chest
1831
1832 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Table 3 Threshold parameter


change for thermoregulatory ac- Thermoregulatory action Threshold control Young adult Old adult
tion in the elderly compared to parameter (°C) (°C)
young people
Sweating (Sagawa et al. 1988) Tcore 36.9 36.95
Start of vasodilation Tcore 36.8 36.85
Maximum dilatation (Hirata et al. 2012) Tcore 37.2 37.25
Start of vasoconstriction (Karaki et al. 2013) Tskin 33.7 33.2
Maximum constriction parameter of the Tskin 10.7 10.2
thermoregulatory equations of Smith (1991)
(Tochihara et al. 1993; Bjerke 2010)

vasomotor equations developed by Smith (1991) were The cardiac output equations are controlled by the
used by different researchers (FU 1995; Iyoho et al. skin and core temperatures (Fu 1995). As for the elderly
2009; Salloum et al. 2007) and resulted in robust pre- cardiac output, we have reduced the values reported by
dictions of skin and core temperatures at different Fu (1995) on young adult basal cardiac output, con-
steady and transient environmental conditions. In our stricted COcon, and dilated COdil cardiac outputs by
new model for the elderly, the lower threshold for 3.4 % to obtain elderly CO values in cubic centimeter
maximum vasoconstriction was taken as 10.2 °C as it per hour as reported by Novieto and Zhang (2010b).
resulted in better match to published experimental re- This resulted in a maximum vasoconstriction cardiac
sults as shown later in the “Results and discussion” output of 260,820 cm3/h at Tsk ≤10.2 °C, basal cardiac
section. Note that for the elderly, the threshold skin output at thermal neutrality of 280,000 cm3/h (Tsk =
temperature for constriction is lowered by 0.5 °C which 33.2 °C), and maximum vasodilation cardiac output of
results in delayed sensation for cold while the dilatation 412,900 cm3/h at Tcr ≥41 °C. The total cardiac output is
threshold, which is controlled by the core temperature, generally determined using the equation of Fu (1995)
is slightly higher by 0.05 °C over the value for young and Iyoho et al. (2009) as follows:
people. The AVA control mechanism in the ten digits in COdil ⋅ COcon
this model depends on the local skin temperature of the CO ¼ ð2Þ
280; 000
finger which is affected by the modified elderly skin
perfusion. The adopted AVA model is that of Rida et al. while COcon and COdil are calculated respectively after
(2014) and will not be repeated here. adjusting the elderly thresholds as follows:

COcon ¼ 280; 000 T sk ≥ 33:2  C


ðT sk − 10:2Þ  ð280; 000 −260; 820Þ
COcon ¼ T sk > 10:2 C and T sk < 33:2 C ð3aÞ
ð33:2− 10:2Þ þ 260; 820:0

COcon ¼ 260 ; 820 T sk ≤ 10:2 C

COdil ¼ 412 ; 900 T cr ≥ 41  C


ðT cr −37:25Þ  ð508; 000−400; 000Þ
COdil ¼ T cr ≥ 37:25 and T cr < 41  C
ð41−37:25Þ þ 400; 000
ð3bÞ
ðT cr −36:85Þ  ð412; 900−280; 000Þ
COdil ¼ T cr > 36:85 C and T cr < 37:25 C
ð37:25−36:85Þ þ 280; 000
COdil ¼ 280;000 T cr ≤ 36:85  C

Note that the skin blood vessel radii change during The corrected values of CO for the elderly have been
vasomotor response as a function of cardiac output as used in the calculation of the arterial radius Ra during
reported by Karaki et al. (2013), dilating with higher vasomotor response (Smith 1991; Karaki et al. 2013)
core temperatures and constricting with lower ones. which apply to the radii of the arteries in the neck,
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1833

upper arms, forearms, palms, thighs, calves, and feet the neutral state of the body and can vary depending on the
based on the cardiac output. The arterial radius Ra for metabolic rate and core temperature.
any segment is given by
vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
 
u
u − a;min  ðCO − 260; 820Þ
R 2
R 2 Results and discussion
t a;max
Ra ¼ R2a;min þ ð4aÞ
ð412; 900 − 260; 820Þ
In this section, the elderly bioheat model based on the thermal
modeling physiology of old adults is validated by comparing
where Ra,min is the maximum constricted radius of the artery published experimental data of local and mean skin tempera-
and Ra,max is the maximum dilated radius of the artery with tures and body core temperatures for transient experiments
data obtained from Smith (1991). However, the radii of the conducted on old adult subjects with predicted values by
arteries in the fingers were modeled as a function of the local simulation of the same steady or transient experimental con-
finger skin temperature to have a better control during finger ditions, clothing type, and activity level. The validation will
cold exposure and are given by confirm the model ability in predicting elderly thermal re-
vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
  sponse with all embedded model assumptions of elderly phys-
u
u R2a;max − R2a;min  ðT sk −12Þ iology related to the blood circulatory system and reduced
t 2
Ra;finger ¼ Ra;min þ ð4bÞ metabolic rate.
ð35−12Þ
Model validation with published experimental data
Any change in arterial radii directly influences terminal
impedances and arterial blood flow into the body segments The elderly bioheat model validation is performed with respect
and extremities affecting their thermal response. The imped- to mean skin and core temperatures as well as finger skin
ance and blood flow calculations have to be repeated at each temperature against published experimental data under normal
time step in the model. environmental conditions and under extreme hot and cold con-
ditions for both transient and steady state conditions. This is
followed by validation on reported experiments of skin temper-
Numerical method ature of different elderly body segments in a cold environment.
Tsuzuki and Iwata (2002) published experimental data on
Figure 3 shows a flow chart of the different modeling steps in the variation of the mean skin temperature of eight elderly
the simulated bioheat model. The numerical methodology is participants at sedentary and at light exercise conditions in
based on the Euler forward first-order scheme of Salloum et al. climatic chambers at temperatures of 23 and 27 °C and 60 %
(2007) with a time step Δt. For a given initial thermal state of relative humidity. The duration of each experiment was
the human body, metabolic rate, ambient conditions, and the 180 min to ensure that steady state conditions have been
physiological and physical parameters inherent in the bioheat reached. Additional similar experiments were also reported
model of the elderly human body, the simulation program will by Tsuzuki and Ohfuku (2002) in which 109 elderly and 100
update at every time step, i, the core and regional blood flow young people were for comparative assessment of thermoreg-
rates, the AVA blood flow thermoregulatory responses, skin ulation between elderly and young people exposed to five
vapor pressure, and temperatures of the core, skin, artery, vein, environmental conditions ranging from 23 to 31 °C all at
and superficial vein nodes. At the start of any simulation, the 60 % RH under insensible air flow. The conditions of these
AVA is initialized to zero and the associated bioheat model is steady state experiments have been performed using our cur-
allowed to reach a steady state at the initial conditions of any rent model for both young and elderly. The initial state of each
simulated experiment (metabolic rate and environment condi- simulation started from a conditioning period at 28 °C with a
tions of the room) before beginning any transient analysis clothing resistance at 0.6 clo. The metabolic rate was about
associated with any other form of transient imposed either 1.3 met (for talking and reading activities, 1 met=58 W/m2).
by changes in room conditions or activity level of the human. Note that for young persons, the reported metabolic rate in the
In other words, suitable initial conditions were determined experiments was about 60 W/m2 for the young and around
starting from the neutral conditions of Tcr =36.7 °C and Tsk = 39 W/m 2 for the elderly (Tsuzuki and Ohfuku 2002).
33.7 °C to simulate a relatively long exposure to any precon- Figure 4a–c shows the experimentally published mean skin
ditioning environment. The obtained steady state values were temperature of young and old adults (Tsuzuki and Ohfuku
then used as initial conditions for other unsteady calculations 2002) and the model predicted mean skin temperature of
of various node temperatures for all segments. A time step Δt elderly and young adults at environment temperatures of (a)
of 0.02 s is used over the desired simulation period given that a 23, (b) 27, and (c) 31 °C. The bioheat model predicts both
complete cycle of the heartbeat approximately takes 0.8 s at elderly and young mean skin temperatures with an error less
1834 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Fig. 3 A flow chart of the


different modeling steps in the
simulated bioheat model

than 0.5 °C. The differences between elderly and young was higher in the elderly group and it was lower at
mean skin temperatures are clear at environment tem- the end of the experiment of the 21 °C environment. At
peratures of 23 °C and when the environment tempera- 27 °C, the mean skin temperature was lower in the
ture is high at 31 °C. At the lower environment tem- elderly than in the young, but it did vary during the
perature, the elderly mean skin temperature is 0.8 °C transient since it was closest to the initial neutral state
higher than that of young adults, while at an environ- condition. In general, the elderly have lower mean skin
ment temperature of 31 °C, the elderly mean skin tem- temperature at high temperature and higher temperature
perature was 0.3 °C lower than that of young persons. at low ambient condition, and this has been captured by
Alternatively, oral temperature at 31 °C environment the current elderly bioheat model.
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1835

Fig. 4 Plots of the


experimentally published mean
skin temperature of the young and
old adults (Tsuzuki and Ohfuku
2002) and the model predicted
mean skin temperature of the
elderly and young adults at
environment temperatures of a 23,
b 27, and c 31 °C

The steady state condition within thermoneutral tempera- hot environments. The subjects changed into the stan-
ture range is not a critical range for showing the differences in dard clothing (0.63 clo) and stayed in the neutral envi-
thermal response of the elderly as compared to the young. For ronment (25 °C) for 23 min; thereafter, they were ex-
a robust model, validation must be done in the critical ther- posed to the cold (10 °C) or hot (35 °C) environment
mally stressful conditions where the elderly may be exposed for 49 min. They reported a slight change in oral
to an extreme weather outside the residence area or when in an temperature while observing that the difference between
unconditioned space during cold and hot seasons. Also, the elderly and young group change in oral temperature was
elderly show more thermoregulatory changes than the young insignificant. We simulated the experiments of Tochihara
in their vasomotor responses under exposure to temperatures et al. (1993) for the following two conditions:
outside the thermoneutral range. For this reason, we will
validate the elderly bioheat model with published experimen- 1. Cold environment exposure in which the subject is exposed
tal data for cold and hot seasons where extremities play a to 25 °C for 23 min followed by 49 min of exposure to the
critical role in thermoregulations. environment at 10 °C and 40 % relative humidity
Tochihara et al. (1993) reported experimental data on 2. Hot environment exposure in which the subject is exposed
finger skin temperature and oral temperature of ten to 25 °C for 23 min followed by 49 min of exposure to the
elderly and ten young participants subject to cold and environment at 35 °C and 40 % relative humidity
1836 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Figure 5a, b shows the variation in time of the predicted Fig. 5a during cold exposure, the finger skin temperature is
finger skin temperature for the elderly and young adults higher for the elderly. This is expected due to the delay in
during (a) cold exposure conditions and (b) hot exposure vasoconstriction and to higher finger minimum blood flow in
conditions for the experiments of Tochihara et al. (1993) in the elderly compared to the young, as seen in Fig. 6a, which
addition to the corresponding published experimental values. causes an increase in skin temperature even though the met-
The elderly bioheat model predicts accurately the transient abolic rate is lower while noting that in the elderly, shivering is
finger skin response during cold exposure and shows also that characterized by delayed threshold and generating less heat
the elderly finger skin temperature could stabilize at a value when compared to the young. Similarly, during hot exposure,
that is 3 °C higher than that of a young adult. Experimental the finger skin blood flow rate is smaller than that of young
results did not show major variation in local finger skin people due to poorer circulation capacity associated with
temperature during exposure to a hot environment at 35 °C lower cardiac output. This causes the finger skin temperature
in the experiment of Tochihara et al. (1993), although the to be lower in the elderly compared to young people. In
elderly finger skin temperature was slightly colder than that addition, the simulated core temperature for both the elderly
of young people. and young shown in Fig. 6c shows that the elderly have a
Figure 6 presents the predicted values for both elderly and lower core temperature than the young during cold exposure
young of the finger AVA blood flow rate and blood perfusion because of the higher heat loss at the extremities due to the
for (a) cold exposure and (b) hot exposure as well as the core higher amount of blood perfused in the skin layer. Upon
temperature of the chest for (c) cold exposure and (d) hot examining Fig. 6d, it is clear that the elderly core chest
exposure, all for the conditions of experiments reported by temperature in hot condition is slightly higher than that of
Tochihara et al. (1993) and shown in Fig. 5. As was seen from the young because of the reserved heat in the body where less

Fig. 5 Plots of the variation in


time of the predicted finger skin
temperature for the elderly and
young adults during a cold
exposure conditions and b hot
exposure conditions for the
experiments of Tochihara et al.
(1993) in addition to the
corresponding published
experimental values
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1837

Fig. 6 Plots of the predicted


values for both the elderly and
young of the skin total and
perfusion blood flow rate in the
finger for a cold exposure and b
hot exposure as well as the core
temperature of the chest for c cold
exposure and d hot exposure, all
for the conditions of experiments
reported by Tochihara et al.
(1993) and shown in Fig. 5

blood goes to the skin compared to the young to cool down show good agreement where the core temperature dropped to
and the malfunction of the sweat gland. In addition, a reduc- a lower temperature when the elderly were exposed to the cold
tion in sweating rate gives a higher skin temperature where environment. This core temperature drop is caused by the
there is less evaporation in the skin, and a reduction in max- increase of minimum skin blood flow, the reduced shivering
imum blood flow causes a lower skin temperature. metabolic rate, and delayed shivering threshold during cold
Inoue et al. (1992) reported experimental data on elderly exposure compared to the young (Inoue et al. 1992; Anderson
core temperature in which both elderly and young subjects et al. 1996). The reduced shivering metabolic rate is not able
were exposed to cold environments at 12 and 17 °C for 1 h at a to maintain basal core temperature.
sedentary state. Figure 7a, b shows the experimentally pub- During exposure to a slow transient cold air, healthy elderly
lished core temperature by Inoue et al. (1992) and the predict- subjects showed a lower esophageal temperature than young
ed core temperature by our simulations of elderly and young subjects as reported in the published experimental work of
models exposed to environments at (a) 12 and (b) 17 °C for DeGroot and Kenney (2007) in which 36 young and 46 old
the conditions of the Inoue et al. (1992) experiments. Results adults participated. Participants underwent a slow transient
1838 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

Fig. 7 Plots of the


experimentally published core
temperature by Inoue et al. (1992)
and the predicted core
temperature by our simulations of
elderly and young models
exposed to an environment at a 12
and b 17 °C for the conditions of
the experiments of Inoue et al.
(1992)

cold air exposure from a thermoneutral baseline, during which temperatures for the elderly were 31.22 and 36.96 °C, respec-
esophageal and mean skin temperatures, O2 consumption, and tively, compared to experimental values of 30.93 and 37.31 °C
skin blood flow were measured. We simulated the conditions as reported by Hashiguchi et al. (2004). The predicted values
of DeGroot and Kenney (2007) where the experiment starts of mean skin and core temperatures for young people were
from a conditioned temperature of 26.5 °C for 20 min and then 31.68 and 37.16 °C, respectively, compared to experimental
the temperature starts dropping at a rate of 0.25 °C/min for values of 31.3 and 37.4 °C as reported by Hashiguchi et al.
20 min and 0.05 °C/min for the rest of the simulation. The (2004). The predicted palm skin temperature for the elderly
protocol was terminated when sustained involuntary shivering and young was 24.75 and 23.83 °C compared to experimental
was reported by the subject and/or observed by the investiga- values of 24.4 and 24.74 °C, respectively, of Hashiguchi et al.
tors. We used the average metabolic rates reported in the (2004), while the predicted palm temperature for the elderly
experiment. Figure 8 shows the reported experimental core and young was 24.75 and 23.83 °C compared to experimental
temperature of DeGroot and Kenney (2007) and the value of values of 24.4 and 24.74 °C, respectively. In addition, the
core temperature predicted by our bioheat model at their predicted lower chest/trunk segment temperature for the el-
experimental conditions. Good agreement exists and the core derly and young was 35.98 and 35.76 °C compared to report-
temperature of the elderly was 0.4 °C lower compared to that ed experimental values of 33.05 and 34.94 °C, respectively.
of the young. Note that the discrepancy in measured value is The mean skin temperature and core temperature predictions
within an experimental error of ±0.2 °C as reported by have good agreement with experimentally measured values. It
DeGroot and Kenney (2007). is observed also that small body segments such as the palm,
Hashiguchi et al. (2004) reported measurements of seg- feet, forearm, and calf have better agreement than large seg-
mental skin temperature and mean skin and core temperatures ments. This deviation is attributed to the large surface area of
of elderly and young adults sitting in a uniform environment the segment lumped in one uniform skin temperature while
of 15 °C. The steady state predicted that mean skin and core the measurements are taken at a single point on the skin. Large
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1839

Fig. 8 Plot of the reported


experimental core temperature
and mean skin temperature of
DeGroot and Kenney (2007) and
the value of core temperature
predicted by our bioheat model at
their experimental conditions

Fig. 9 Plots of the bioheat model


predictions during cold exposure
to 10 °C of a finger skin
temperature and b core
temperature when the metabolic
rate is lowered by 20 % for the
cold environment exposure and of
the c finger skin temperature and d
core temperature when CO was
lowered by 3.5 % of the basal
value from 290,000 to
280,000 cm3/h
1840 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

segments such as the chest or thighs have non-uniform skin To determine the significance of the changing physiologi-
temperature distribution that can range between 2 and 3 °C for cal parameters in the bioheat model for young adults devel-
healthy people (Jiao et al. 2012). oped by Karaki et al. (2013), the thermal response of the
elderly is simulated in two ambient thermal conditions
representing cold and warm environments, respectively, with
Sensitivity analysis subjects wearing cotton short and socks at a metabolic rate of
1.5 met. Temperature and relative humidity are set at 10 °C
In the development of the elderly model, several physiological and 40 % for the cold condition and at 30 °C and 40 % in the
parameters that affect elderly thermal response were altered. warm condition, respectively. The exposure starts after the
These included the decrease of metabolic rate during warm human reaches a steady state neutral condition at 28 °C am-
and cold and the decrease in cardiac output. In this section, we bient temperature and 40 % RH (basically, this is the initial
will analyze the sensitivity of the model thermal response to condition for the simulations).
changes in these parameters and observe the consistent level
of significance of each of these factors between the young and
old adult models. Although we have validated the model Sensitivity analysis for cold exposure to 10 °C
ability to predict elderly thermal response, it is important to
understand the extent to which these altered parameters im- Figure 9a–d shows the (a) finger skin and (b) core tempera-
pact the predicted response by the elderly bioheat model. tures when the metabolic rate is lowered by 20 % for the cold

Fig. 10 Plots of the bioheat


model predictions during hot
exposure to 30 °C of a finger skin
temperature and b core
temperature when the metabolic
rate is lowered by 20 % for the
cold environment exposure and of
the c finger skin temperature and d
core temperature when CO was
lowered by 3.5 % of the basal
metabolic rate from 290,000 to
280,000 cm3/h
Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843 1841

exposure and shows the (c) finger skin and (d) core tempera- instrumental for use in designing localized air-conditioning
tures when cardiac output (CO) was lowered by 3.5 % of a systems and personalized cooling and heating devices that can
basal value of 290,000 to 280,000 cm3/h. We can see that provide comfort for the elderly.
lowering the metabolic rate does not have a large effect on the
finger skin temperature where the difference was less than
0.05 °C; on the other hand, the elderly core temperature does
show a decrease in core temperature of 0.2 °C which is Appendix
considered significant for the body core. However, when
cardiac output is decreased by 3.5 %, a very small decrease Multi-node energy balances of nude segments
is seen in the skin temperature while a small increase of
0.03 °C in core temperature occurred. Although the predicted Energy balances are performed for the four nodes, core, skin,
changes are insignificant because of the very small local artery, and vein of each body segment following the formula-
metabolism in the finger tissues, they reflect the expected tion of Karaki et al. (2013). Using lumped capacitance, there
changes in temperature of the body core and finger skin. are five nodes for the energy balance in each peripheral
segment (Salloum et al. 2007; Karaki et al. 2013):
Sensitivity analysis for warm exposure to 30 °C
The core node
Simulations are carried out for the heating exposure of the
dT cr X  
elderly while introducing changes in parameters one at a time C cr ¼ M cr þ M shiv − W − αQres − Qcr‐sk − hartery Aartery T cr −T bl;a
dt
for metabolic rate, skin blood flow, and cardiac output. De- X    arteries   
− hvein Avein T cr − T bl;v þ m perf;cr þ m perf;sk cbl T bl;a − T cr
creasing the metabolic rate by 20 % and its effect on (a) finger veins
skin and mean skin temperatures and (b) core temperature are
ð5Þ
depicted in Fig. 10a, b. It is clear that lowering the metabolic
rate during warm exposure decreased both skin and core where Ccr is the core thermal capacitance; Mcr and Mshiv are the
temperatures as expected. The decrease in the finger skin basal and segmental thermoregulatory shivering metabolic
temperature was 0.02 °C while the decrease in the mean skin rates, respectively; W is the mechanical work done by the
temperature was about 0.14 °C. The core temperature de- body; α is a coefficient which is 1.0 for the upper chest and
creased about 0.056 °C when the metabolic rate was decreased 0 for all other body parts; Qres is the heat dissipated through
by 20 %. Reducing CO by 3.5 % during warm exposure respiration; hartery and hvein are the convection coefficients of
showed a decrease in the finger skin temperature by about the blood in the artery and core vein, respectively; Aartery and
0.2 °C at the end of the simulation while a very small decrease Avein are the cross-sectional area of the artery and core vein,
occurred in the mean skin temperature (see Fig. 10c). The core respectively; Tbl,a and Tbl,v are the temperatures of the blood in
temperature, however, increased by the end of the simulation the artery and core vein, respectively; m perf ;cr is the blood
by 0.04 °C as shown in Fig. 10d. perfusion in the core only which is obtained by subtracting the
skin blood perfusion and the AVA blood flow from the total
Conclusions and further study blood flow into the finger; cbl is the blood specific heat; and
Qcr-sk =K(Tcr −Tsk) is the heat exchange between the core and
The bioheat model for young adults developed by Karaki et al. skin at conductance K.
(2013) was modified to fit elderly subjects and was validated The skin node energy balance is given by
with published experimental data showing good agreement
dT sk     
with published experiments on the elderly during cold and hot C sk ¼ M sk þ Qcr‐sk − Ask;exp hc Tsk;sur − T amb þ hr Tsk;sur − T amb
exposure experiments.
dt  
þhe ðPsk − Pamb ފ þ mperf ;sk þ m AVA cp ðT cr − T sk Þ
The physical model captured the differences in thermoreg- X  
þ hvein;s Avein;s T bl;v;s − T sk
ulatory and vasomotor response in elderly subjects and was veins
capable of predicting all elderly local and overall thermal ð6Þ
response as well as their local blood flow rates and blood
perfusion in the extremities which play an important role in where Csk is the skin thermal capacitance, Msk is the skin
response to thermally stressed conditions. The model can be metabolic rate, Ask,exp is the exposed skin surface area, hc is
used for assessing risk and recommending safe exposure the convection heat transfer coefficient between the skin and
periods of the elderly to a cold environment where hypother- the air, hr is the linearized radiation heat transfer coefficient
mia occurs when the core temperature may fall below 33 °C (ASHRAE 1997), he is the evaporation coefficient, Tsk,sur is
causing a discontinuity in shivering with loss in sensation of the skin surface temperature, Pamb is the ambient vapor pres-
cold after the period of pain in the exposed parts. It can also be sure, Psk is the vapor pressure at Tsk, hvein,s is the convection
1842 Int J Biometeorol (2014) 58:1825–1843

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Report, nb.of p. 18, Netherlands, TNO Institute for Perception
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