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Cross-Cultural
Bondarenko, Korotayev
Research/ /CLAESSEN’S
February 2003
DATABASE ARTICLE
“Early State” in
Cross-Cultural Perspective:
A Statistical Reanalysis of
Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
Dmitri M. Bondarenko
Russian Academy of Sciences
Andrey V. Korotayev
Russian State University for the Humanities
105
106 Cross-Cultural Research / February 2003
The Early State (Claessen & Skalník, 1978) is perhaps the most
influential volume on the evolution of archaic states. The book was
conceived in 1973, when Henri J. M. Claessen and Peter Skalník
met at a conference. By 1978, the project had been joined by more
than 20 scholars from different countries, and The Early State vol-
ume appeared. Since then, about 10 volumes of the series have
been published, almost all edited by Claessen in cooperation with
different colleagues (on the history of The Early State project, see
Kradin, 1998; Kochakova, 1996, 1999; Oosten & van de Velde,
1994). The Early State concept originated within the framework of
neostructuralism. Its founding fathers, Claessen and Skalník,
were attempting to overcome the atemporality of classical
structuralism by combining structuralism with elements of
neoevolutionism. This intent, of course, departs from the essen-
tially structuralist orientation still evident in the first volume of
The Early State series (1978, pp. 533-596). As a historiographer of
the concept and one of its most active supporters, Kochakova
(1999) observed that the first volume of the series represented a
static comparison of The Early States whereas the next three were
devoted to their dynamic consideration (p. 6).
In its evolutionary dimension, however, The Early State concept
has unilinearity and directionality (see Bondarenko, 1998, pp. 18-
Authors’ Note: We are most grateful to Henri Johannes Maria Claessen for
his friendship and support of our studies. This article could not have been
written without the materials he has been supplying us with for many
years. The study was supported by grants from the Russian Foundation for
the Humanities (RGNF no. 01-03-00332a) and from the Russian Founda-
tion for Basic Research (RFBR/RFFI no. 01-06-80142).
Bondarenko, Korotayev / CLAESSEN’S DATABASE 107
22; Carneiro, 1987, p. 757; Kradin, 1998, pp. 10-12). Consider the
prevalent typology of The Early States. The inchoate, typical, and
transitional Early States are distinguished by differing levels of
development (Claessen & Skalník, 1978, pp. 22, 589, 641). The
multilinearity and nondirectionality within the concept are
replaced by the possibility of movement along the staircase of
social evolution (Claessen & Skalník, 1981). Yet despite The Early
State proponents’ sympathetic view of Marxism and, more gener-
ally, the leftist nature of this anthropological trend (see
Bondarenko, 1998; Kubbel’, 1988, pp. 15-16; Webb, 1984), its adher-
ents still represent The Mature State1 as an exception to the gen-
eral rule. The general rule is represented by The Early State
(Claessen & Oosten, 1996, p. 9; Claessen & van de Velde, 1987, p. 20).
In this article, we concentrate on the first volume of The Early
State project (Claessen & Skalník, 1978) for the following reasons.
The whole project is definitely and consistently cross-cultural.
However, the research is mainly qualitative rather than quantita-
tive, though the editors of The Early State managed to obtain data
on more than 200 variables for quite a representative worldwide
sample of Early States. They also achieved a high level of data for-
malization, allowing Claessen to conduct some preliminary statis-
tical analyses. We believe that further statistical analysis of
Claessen’s data set is possible. This article is only the beginning of
that analysis.2
We decided to start with a reanalysis of Claessen’s developmen-
tal typology of Early States. He divided them into the following
three groups: “inchoate,” “typical,” and “transitional” according to
their closeness to the Mature State and remoteness from the
prestate forms of sociopolitical organization. His division of the
Early States was based on the following 10 criteria:
The inchoate Early State has none of these characteristics (at least
explicitly); the transitional Early State has all of them. The typical
Early State is somewhere in between.
The respective data set Claessen used for his typologization
(recoded by us for a further statistic reanalysis) is presented in the
appendix. Claessen classified 21 states of his sample as shown in
Table 1.
We decided to start by checking the validity of this classification
using principal components factor analysis (and the study of the
correlation matrix for Claessen’s typologization variables). The
results are shown in Tables 2 and 3.
The statistical analysis suggests that most of the Early State
development indicators are indeed positively, significantly, and
rather strongly correlated with one another. The factor loadings of
all the variables for Factor 1 (with eigenvalue as high as 5.6,
accounting for 56.1% of variance) are positive and generally rather
high. Hence, it seems reasonable to consider factor scores for Fac-
tor 1 as a sort of Early State Development Index—a measure of
each state’s closeness to the Mature State. Let us consider how the
early states are arranged along this axis (see Figure 1).
Thus, in general, Claessen’s typologization of early states is sup-
ported by our factor analysis. All the inchoate early states have
lower Factor 1 scores than both typical and transitional ones,
whereas most transitional early states have higher scores than the
typical ones.
But there are still a few problems here. The most evident prob-
lem is constituted by three cases—Yoruba, Inca, and China. The
Inca score is so close to China’s that they should belong to one sub-
type of the early state. In addition, the Yoruba state has a higher
score than China, which suggests that either China should be
regarded as a typical rather than a transitional early state, or
Yoruba should be regarded as a transitional rather than typical
early state.
Note also that Norway, Volta, and Zande are much closer to the
typical Early States than to their fellow inchoate states—Hawaii,
Tahiti, and Ankole. The impression is that these societies were
characterized by a different type of sociopolitical organization than
the rest of the sample societies. Thus, the conventional classifica-
tion of Hawaii, Tahiti, and Ankole as “complex chiefdoms” (e.g.,
TABLE 1
Claessen’s Classification of Early States
TABLE 2
Correlation Matrix for Claessen’s Early States Development Indicators
Markets .781 .609 .666 .728 .621 .518 .794 .261 .273
(.000) (.006) (.005) (.002) (.003) (.012) (.000) (.148) (.137)
Trade .781 .550 .500 .577 .458 .481 .730 .218 .284
(.000) (.009) (.029) (.015) (.021) (.014) (.002) (.185) (.119)
Mode of succession of .609 .550 .653 .731 .398 .563 .742 .412 .599
general functionaries (.006) (.009) (.004) (.002) (.051) (.008) (.002) (.056) (.007)
Mode of succession of .666 .500 .653 .767 .338 .558 .693 .354 .336
special functionaries (.005) (.029) (.004) (.002) (.109) (.015) (.006) (.107) (.131)
Salaried functionaries .728 .577 .731 .767 .714 .866 .837 .415 .415
(.002) (.015) (.002) (.002) (.002) (.000) (.000) (.079) (.079)
Codified law .621 .458 .398 .338 .714 .792 .720 .553 .433
(.003) (.021) (.051) (.109) (.002) (.000) (.003) (.009) (.036)
Formal judges .518 .481 .563 .558 .866 .792 .730 .263 .150
(.012) (.014) (.008) (.015) (.000) (.000) (.002) (.139) (.271)
Codified punishment .794 .730 .742 .693 .837 .720 .730 .141 .283
(.000) (.002) (.002) (.006) (.000) (.003) (.002) (.323) (.175)
Personal property of .261 .218 .412 .354 .415 .553 .263 .141 .645
land of aristocracy (.148) (.185) (.056) (.107) (.079) (.009) (.139) (.323) (.002)
Personal property of .273 .284 .599 .336 .415 .433 .150 .283 .645
land of commoners (.137) (.119) (.007) (.131) (.079) (.036) (.271) (.175) (.002)
NOTE: Numbers in bold indicate correlation is significant at the < .01 level (one-tailed). Numbers in italics indicate correlation is significant at the < .05 and > .01
level (one-tailed). Numbers not in bold or in italics indicate correlation is not significant at the < .05 level (one-tailed). Numbers in parentheses are p values.
Bondarenko, Korotayev / CLAESSEN’S DATABASE 111
TABLE 3
Factor Analysis of Claessen’s
Early States Development Data Set
a
Factor Loadings
Variable Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3
Earle, 1978, 1997, pp. 33-46, pp. 200-203, 2000) is perhaps more
reasonable than Claessen’s grouping them together with Early
States. These are minor problems, however. The main problem is
as follows.
The academic community understands the state in two distinct
ways. On one hand, the state is often understood as a certain type
of society (e.g., Fried, 1967, who considered the state as the most
recent type of society preceded by stratified, ranked, and egalitar-
ian societies; see also, e.g., Carneiro, 2000, p. 186; Haas, 1982;
Pugach’jov & Solov’jov, 2000, pp. 251-252), but it is just as often
understood as a type of political organization. As a political organi-
zation, the state is merely a subsystem within the social system: It
is not identical with the society as a whole (Belkov, 1993, pp. 32-38,
1995, pp. 171-175; Claessen, 1996, p. 1255; Godiner, 1991, p. 51;
Grinin, 1997, p. 20; Jakobson, 1997, p. 6; Pugach’jov & Solov’jov,
2000, pp. 251-252).
Now, as a general rule, scholars can use whatever definitions
they choose, provided that these definitions remain consistent
throughout a single piece of research. The writers of The Early
State did not follow this rule (Claessen & Skalník, 1978). On one
hand, Claessen and Skalník (1978) proposed the following defini-
tion of the Early State:
112 Cross-Cultural Research / February 2003
Figure 1: Ranking of Early States along the Axis of Early State Develop-
ment Index (factor scores for Factor 1)
TABLE 4
Factor Analysis of Claessen’s Early
States Political Development Data Set
Political Development
Index (Equals
Factor 1 scores
for principal
Early State component analysis) Factor 2 Scores
Factor Loadings
Variable Factor 1 Factor 2
2,0
Aztecs
Political Development Index (factor 1 score)
Jimma
1,5
France
Maurya Kuba Yoruba
1,0 Inca
,5
Angkor China
Iberia
Egypt
0,0
Norway
Axum
Zande
Mongolia
-,5 Scythia
-1,0 Volta
Hawaii
-1,5 Tahiti
Ankole
-2,0
-2,0 -1,5 -1,0 -,5 0,0 ,5 1,0 1,5 2,0
TABLE 5
Factor Analysis of Claessen’s Land Ownership Variables
Political Development
Index (Equals
Factor 1 scores
for principal
Early State component analysis) Factor 2 Scores
Factor Loadings
Variable Factor 1 Factor 2
2,0
Aztecs
1,5 Jimma
Fr ance
Kuba Maurya
Yoruba
1,0 Inca
,5
Angkor China
Political Development Index
Egypt Iberia
0,0
Norw ay
Axum
Zande
-,5 ScythiaMongolia
-1,0 Volta
Hawaii
-1,5
Tahiti
Ankole
-2,0
-1,5 -1,0 -,5 0,0 ,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5
Those dealing with the Galton problem normally worry about cor-
relations being inflated as a result of diffusion effects. However, as
Carol Ember and Melvin Ember argued, the Galton problem could
well produce the opposite effects: “duplication may weaken results,
because a set of historically related cases may be exceptional to a
cross-cultural generalization rather than consistent with it”
(Ember, 1971; Ember & Ember, 1998, p. 679). We seem to confront
precisely such a case here. In the 1980s, many suggested that we
treat the Galton problem as a network autocorrelation problem
(e.g., Burton & White, 1987, p. 147, 1991; Dow, Burton, & White,
1981, 1982; Dow, Burton, White, & Reitz, 1984; White, Burton, &
Dow, 1981). This suggestion implies that Galton effects may result
from the influence of historical networks. We could not help but
notice that all the cultures in the upper left quarter of the scatter-
gram belonged to one large historical network that emerged in a
more or less full-fledged form during the “Axial Age” (e.g.,
Eisenstadt, 1982, 1986; Gellner, 1988; Jaspers, 1953) but whose
origins seem to go back to a much earlier time (Chase-Dunn & Hall,
Bondarenko, Korotayev / CLAESSEN’S DATABASE 119
TABLE 6
Factor Analysis of Claessen’s Ruler Sacralization Variables
Factor Loadings
Variable Factor 1 Factor 2
2,0
Aztecs
1,5 Jimma
France
Maurya Kuba
Yoruba
1,0 Inca
,5
C hina
Political Development Index
Angkor
Iberia
0,0 Egypt
Norway
Axum
Zande Mongolia
-,5 Scythia
-1,0 Volta
Hawaii
-1,5 Tahiti
Ankole
-2,0
-2,0 -1,5 -1,0 -,5 0,0 ,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5
2,0
1,5 Jimma
France
Maurya
1,0
Political Developmen t Index
,5
China
Angkor
0,0 Iberia
Egypt
Norway
Axum
-,5 Mongolia Scythia
-1,0
-2,0 -1,5 -1,0 -,5 0,0 ,5 1,0 1,5
ruler sacralization. But what could account for the opposite pat-
tern found within the Axial Historical Network?
It was not by chance that we called this network Axial: the Axial
Age revolutions are quite relevant here. Eisenstadt (1982), for
example, considered as one of the most important features of the
Axial Age revolutions the development of highly autonomous reli-
gious-intellectual elites (“clerics”) claiming independent sacral-
religious authority. This authority was institutionalized within all
the “world (universal) religions”—Buddhism, Christianity, Islam.
In the premodern world (by, say, the 17th century A.D.), the Axial
Historical Network zone was roughly identical with the Universal
Religions zone.
As we stated above, the roots of the Axial Historical Network
seem to go much deeper than the Axial Age itself. The peculiar
social evolution pattern occurring within the Axial Zone appears to
122 Cross-Cultural Research / February 2003
2,0
Aztecs
1,5
Kuba
Yoruba
1,0 Inca
,5
Political Development Index
0,0
Zande
-,5
-1,0 Volta
Hawaii
-1,5 Tahiti
Ankole
-2,0
-1,0 -,5 0,0 ,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5
men, whereas the military functions (on the basis of which the
political leadership functions were also developed) belonged to the
age-class of initiated youngsters.
With the formation of stratified societies among the Indo-Euro-
peans, the age-class stratification tended to transform into a social
stratification system. Within this process, the age-class of initiated
youngsters transformed into an estate/varna of warriors/political
leaders (Indian kshatryas or, say, the noble estate of medieval west-
ern Europe). The age-class of elders transformed into an estate/
varna of priests—Indian brahmans or the priestly estate of medi-
eval western Europe. The age-class of mature married men trans-
formed into an estate/varna of peasants—Indian vayshyas or the
European third estate. Within this pattern, so-called political and
sacral/religious authorities were rather sharply divided (Claessen
& Oosten, 1996, pp. 272-274, 438). This division, of course, provided
good backgrounds for both the Axial Age transformations and the
Axial Historical Network sociopolitical development pattern.
At first glance, a tight cluster in the upper left of Figure 5, con-
sisting of such apparently diverse cultures as early medieval
France, ancient (Mauryan) India, and the Jimma Abba Jafar state
of the 19th and 20th centuries A.D. in southwest Ethiopia, looks like
a perfect illustration of the postmodernist conviction that stan-
dard statistical procedures can produce extremely wild results and
thus cannot serve as a sound basis for any generalizations. How-
ever, there are better grounds for viewing this cluster as evidence
of the reliability of standard statistical procedures.
All the three states were, first of all, strongly influenced by the
Axial Age world religions—Christianity in the case of France, Bud-
dhism in the case of Mauryan India (at least at the age of Asoka),
and Islam in the case of Jimma.3 France and Mauryan India are
further united by their common Indo-European heritage, with its
original three-function system implying the separation of the
sacral-religious function and the political-military one. The
Jimma, surprisingly, share something in common with them in
this respect: the pastoral backgrounds of the Galla were also char-
acterized by a developed age-class system within which the politi-
cal-military and sacral-religious functions were performed by dif-
ferent age-classes and, hence, rather sharply separated.4
But the pre-Axial influences on the Axial Age sociopolitical
development are not merely Indo-European. As Berezkin (1994,
1995a, 1995b, 1997, 2000) noticed, the sociopolitical evolution
124 Cross-Cultural Research / February 2003
METHODOLOGICAL CONCLUSION
Angkor 3present 3present 2intermediate 2intermediate 0absent 1present 1present , 0absent 0absent
Ankole 2limited 1absent 1hereditary 1hereditary 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent
Axum 3present 3present 2intermediate 2intermediate , 0absent 0absent , 0absent 0absent
Aztecs 3present 3present 3appointment 3appointment 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present
China 3present 3present 2intermediate 2intermediate , 1present 0absent 1present 1present 1present
Egypt , , 2intermediate 3appointment , 0absent 0absent , , ,
France 3present 3present 2intermediate 3appointment 1present 1present 1present 1present 0absent 1present
Hawaii 1absent 1absent 1hereditary , 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent , 0absent
Iberia , , 3appointment , , 0absent 0absent , 0absent 1present
Inca 3present , 2intermediate 2intermediate 1present 1present 1present 1present 0absent 0absent
Jimma 3present 3present 3appointment 3appointment 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present
Kachari 2limited , , , , , 1present 1present 0absent 0absent
Kuba 3present 3present 2intermediate 3appointment 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present 0absent
Maurya 3present 3present 3appointment 2intermediate 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present 1present
Mongolia 3present 3present , , 0absent 0absent 0absent , 0absent 0absent
Norway 2limited 2limited , , , 0absent 0absent , 0absent 0absent
Scythia 3present 3present 1hereditary , , 0absent 0absent , 0absent 0absent
Tahiti 1absent 1absent 1hereditary 1hereditary 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent
Volta 2limited 2limited 2intermediate 2intermediate 0absent 0absent 0absent 0absent 1present 1present
Yoruba 3present 3present 3appointment 3appointment 1present 0absent 1present 1present 0absent 0absent
125
Zande 2limited 1absent 2intermediate 2intermediate 0absent 0absent 0absent 1present 0absent ,
SOURCE: This appendix used as a basis Claessen and Skalník (1978, p. 592, table XX ).
126 Cross-Cultural Research / February 2003
Notes
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