Distribusi Normal

Standart Standart
n Weibull Data Prediction n Probability Return Period Prediction
Deviasi Deviasi
1 0.08 42.9 44.54 9.9217 1 0.995 200 123.51 15.7401
2 0.15 47 52.55 8.1361 2 0.99 100 118.59 14.4247
3 0.23 48 58.16 7.0723 3 0.98 50 113.21 13.0127
4 0.31 64.45 62.78 6.373 4 0.96 25 107.23 11.4853
5 0.38 68 66.9 5.935 5 0.9 10 97.97 9.2593
6 0.46 76.67 70.78 5.722 6 0.8 5 89.28 7.4438
7 0.54 77.8 74.58 5.722 7 0.667 3 81.19 6.2026
8 0.62 78.38 78.46 5.935 8 0.5 2 72.68 5.6957
9 0.69 83.93 82.58 6.373
10 0.77 85.8 87.2 7.0723
11 0.85 89.3 92.81 8.1361
12 0.92 109.93 100.82 9.9217
Total 86.3202

Distribusi Log Normal 2 Parameter

Standart Standart
n Weibull Data Prediction n Probability Return Period Prediction
Deviasi Deviasi
1 0.08 42.9 47.95 6.3314 1 0.995 200 139.42 20.6591
2 0.15 47 53.44 5.5868 2 0.99 100 130.45 18.3997
3 0.23 48 57.64 5.2137 3 0.98 50 121.3 16.12
4 0.31 64.45 61.35 5.0619 4 0.96 25 111.88 13.8094
5 0.38 68 64.87 5.0865 5 0.9 10 98.72 10.6896
6 0.46 76.67 68.36 5.2711 6 0.8 5 87.79 8.2871
7 0.54 77.8 71.97 5.6122 7 0.667 3 78.69 6.568
8 0.62 78.38 75.84 6.1201 8 0.5 2 70.14 5.4218
9 0.69 83.93 80.19 6.8245
10 0.77 85.8 85.35 7.7939
11 0.85 89.3 92.07 9.1973
12 0.92 109.93 102.6 11.5912
Total 79.6906

Distribusi Gumbel
Standart Standart
n Weibull Data Prediction n Probability Return Period Prediction
Deviasi Deviasi
1 0.08 42.9 43.18 7.0486 1 0.995 200 170.48 31.8235
2 0.15 47 49.61 5.7935 2 0.99 100 156.28 27.7764
3 0.23 48 54.59 5.0807 3 0.98 50 142.03 23.7321
4 0.31 64.45 59.05 4.7312 4 0.96 25 127.68 19.6866
5 0.38 68 63.33 4.7126 5 0.9 10 108.33 14.3227
6 0.46 76.67 67.65 5.0129 6 0.8 5 93.01 10.2469
7 0.54 77.8 72.19 5.6166 7 0.667 3 80.85 7.3019
8 0.62 78.38 77.15 6.5178 8 0.5 2 69.88 5.2777
9 0.69 83.93 82.82 7.7467
10 0.77 85.8 89.71 9.4085
11 0.85 89.3 98.92 11.7899
12 0.92 109.93 113.94 15.8617
Total 89.3207
Distribusi Pearson III
Standart Standart
n Weibull Data Prediction n Probability Return Period Prediction
Deviasi Deviasi
1 0.08 42.9 44.65 8.3066 1 0.995 200 124.1 18.036
2 0.15 47 52.56 6.9472 2 0.99 100 119.05 15.3322
3 0.23 48 58.11 6.463 3 0.98 50 113.54 12.7784
4 0.31 64.45 62.7 6.2622 4 0.96 25 107.44 10.4503
5 0.38 68 66.81 6.1788 5 0.9 10 98.04 7.9424
6 0.46 76.67 70.68 6.152 6 0.8 5 89.25 6.7181
7 0.54 77.8 74.48 6.161 7 0.667 3 81.1 6.2708
8 0.62 78.38 78.36 6.2075 8 0.5 2 72.58 6.1524
9 0.69 83.93 82.51 6.3163
10 0.77 85.8 87.15 6.5544
11 0.85 89.3 92.81 7.0992
12 0.92 109.93 100.93 8.5735
Total 81.2217

Distribusi Log Pearson III

Standart Standart
n Weibull Data Prediction n Probability Return Period Prediction
Deviasi Deviasi
1 0.08 42.9 43.32 8.2131 1 0.995 200 126.47 30.2596
2 0.15 47 51.17 7.1865 2 0.99 100 122.11 24.1974
3 0.23 48 56.98 6.9572 3 0.98 50 117.04 18.5168
4 0.31 64.45 61.94 7.033 4 0.96 25 111.09 13.5006
5 0.38 68 66.46 7.2149 5 0.9 10 101.32 8.8381
6 0.46 76.67 70.79 7.4054 6 0.8 5 91.72 7.636
7 0.54 77.8 75.07 7.5524 7 0.667 3 82.56 7.6344
8 0.62 78.38 79.46 7.6279 8 0.5 2 72.92 7.4865
9 0.69 83.93 84.15 7.6268
10 0.77 85.8 89.38 7.604
11 0.85 89.3 95.65 7.8538
12 0.92 109.93 104.4 9.8527
Total 92.1277
 ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN DISTIBUSI NORMAL

No. Tahun No. Urut X Xurut Tr (thn)

1 2008 10 46 151 11.00
2 2009 8 89 138 5.50
3 2010 1 151 134 3.67
4 2011 7 95 115 2.75
5 2012 4 115 106 2.20
6 2013 3 134 104 1.83
7 2014 9 85 95 1.57
8 2015 2 138 89 1.38
9 2016 6 104 85 1.22
10 2017 5 105.5 46 1.10

Jumlah data n 10
Nilai rata-rata X 106.250
Standard deviasi SX 30.493

Tr (tahun) KTr XTr (mm) Peluang

2 0.00 106.25 0.50 0.5

5 0.84 131.86 0.20 0.2
10 1.28 145.28 0.10 0.1
25 1.64 156.26 0.04 0.04
50 2.05 168.76 0.02 0.02
100 2.33 177.30 0.01 0.01
Harga KTr Perhitungan Distribusi Normal

No. Tr (tahun) KTr Peluang

1 1.001 -3.05 0.999
2 1.005 -2.58 0.995
3 1.010 -2.33 0.990
4 1.050 -1.64 0.950
5 1.110 -1.28 0.900
6 1.250 -0.84 0.800
7 1.330 -0.67 0.750
8 1.430 -0.52 0.700
9 1.670 -0.25 0.600
10 2.000 0.00 0.500
11 2.500 0.25 0.400
12 3.330 0.52 0.300
13 4.000 0.67 0.250
14 5.000 0.84 0.200
15 10.000 1.28 0.100
16 25.000 1.64 0.040
17 50.000 2.05 0.020
18 100.000 2.33 0.010
19 200.000 2.58 0.005
20 500.000 2.88 0.002
21 1000.000 3.09 0.001
ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN LOG NORMAL 2 PARAMETER

No. Tahun No. Urut X X urut Tr (thn)

1 2008 10 46 151 11.00

2 2009 8 89 138 5.50
3 2010 1 151 134 3.67
4 2011 7 95 115 2.75
5 2012 4 115 106 2.20
6 2013 3 134 104 1.83
7 2014 9 85 95 1.57
8 2015 2 138 122 1.38
9 2016 6 104 85 1.22
10 2017 5 105.5 46 1.10

Jumlah data n 10
Standar deviasi SX 30.49
Nilai rata-rata X 106.25
Koefisien Variasi CV 0.287

Tr (tahun) KTr XTr (mm) Peluang

2 -0.1359 102.11 0.50

5 0.7613 129.46 0.20
10 1.3216 146.55 0.10
25 1.9457 165.58 0.04
50 2.4820 181.93 0.02
100 2.9611 196.54 0.01
 Harga KTr Perhitungan Metode Log Normal 2 Parameter

Variasi RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)

Coef. 2 5 10 20 25 50 100

CV EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY
0.500 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.040 0.020 0.010

0.05 -0.0250 0.8334 1.2965 1.6863 1.7609 2.1341 2.4570

0.10 -0.0496 0.8222 1.3078 1.7247 1.8061 2.2130 2.5489
0.15 -0.0738 0.8085 1.3156 1.7598 1.8482 2.2899 2.2607
0.20 -0.0971 0.7926 1.3200 1.7911 1.8866 2.3640 2.7716
0.25 -0.1194 0.7746 1.3209 1.8183 1.9206 2.4318 2.8805
0.30 -0.1406 0.7647 1.3183 1.8414 1.9514 2.5015 2.9866
0.35 -0.1604 0.7333 1.3126 1.8602 1.9775 2.5638 3.0890
0.40 -0.1788 0.7100 1.3037 1.8746 1.9990 2.6212 3.1870
0.45 -0.1957 0.6870 1.2920 1.8848 2.0162 2.6731 3.2799
0.50 -0.2111 0.6626 1.2778 1.8909 2.0291 2.7202 3.367.
0.55 -0.2251 0.6379 1.2613 1.8931 2.0378 2.7613 3.4488
0.60 -0.2375 0.6129 1.2428 1.8915 2.1475 2.7971 3.5211
0.65 -0.2185 0.5879 1.2226 1.8866 2.0435 2.8279 3.3930
0.70 -0.2582 0.5631 1.2011 1.8786 2.0410 2.8532 3.3663
0.75 -0.2667 0.5387 1.1784 1.8677 2.0353 2.8735 3.7118
0.80 -0.2739 0.5118 1.1548 1.8543 2.0268 2.8891 3.7617
0.85 -0.2801 0.4914 1.1306 1.8388 2.0157 2.9002 3.8056
0.90 -0.2852 0.4686 1.1060 1.8212 2.0012 2.9010 3.8137
0.95 -0.2895 0.4466 1.0810 1.8021 1.9868 2.9103 3.8762
1.00 -0.2929 0.4254 1.0560 1.7815 1.9681 2.9010 3.9035
 ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN LOG NORMAL 3 PARAMETER

No. Tahun No. Urut X X urut Tr (thn)

1 2008 10 46 151 11.00
2 2009 8 89 138 5.50
3 2010 1 151 134 3.67
4 2011 7 95 115 2.75
5 2012 4 115 106 2.20
6 2013 3 134 104 1.83
7 2014 9 85 95 1.57
8 2015 2 138 122 1.38
9 2016 6 104 85 1.22
10 2017 5 105.5 46 1.10

Jumlah data n 10
Standar deviasi "X" SX 30.49
Nilai rata-rata "X" X 106.25
Koefisien kemencengan CS -0.826

Tr (tahun) KTr XTr (mm) Peluang

2 0.1371 110.43 0.50

5 -3.4253 1.80 0.20
10 -5.3683 -57.45 0.10
25 -7.3333 -117.37 0.04
50 -8.9191 -165.72 0.02
100 -10.2168 -205.29 0.01
 Harga KTr Perhitungan Metode Log Normal 3 Parameter

Skew RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)

Coef. 2 5 10 20 25 50 100

EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY
Cs' 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.040 0.020 0.010

-2.0 0.2366 -0.6144 -1.2437 -1.8916 -2.0421 -2.7943 -3.5196

-1.8 0.2240 -0.6395 -1.2621 -1.8928 -2.0370 -2.7578 -3.4433
-1.6 0.2092 -0.6654 -1.2792 -1.8901 -2.0274 -2.7138 -3.3570
-1.4 0.1920 -0.6920 -1.2943 -1.8827 -2.0125 -2.6615 -3.2601
-1.2 0.1722 -0.7186 -1.3067 -1.8696 -1.9914 -2.6002 -3.1521
-1.0 0.1495 -0.7449 -1.3156 -1.8501 -1.9633 -2.5294 -3.0333
-0.8 0.1241 -0.7700 -1.3201 -1.8235 -1.9278 -2.4492 -2.9043
-0.6 0.0959 -0.7930 -0.3194 -1.7894 -1.8845 -2.3600 -2.7665
-0.4 0.0654 -0.8131 -0.3128 -1.7478 -1.8337 -2.2631 -2.6223
-0.2 0.0332 -0.8296 -0.3002 -1.6993 -1.7761 -2.1602 -2.4745
0.0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.2 -0.0332 0.8296 1.3002 1.6993 1.7761 2.1602 2.4745
0.4 -0.0654 0.8131 1.3128 1.7478 1.8337 2.2631 2.6223
0.6 -0.0950 0.7930 1.3194 1.7894 1.8845 2.3600 2.7665
0.8 -0.1241 0.7700 1.3201 1.8235 1.9278 2.4492 2.9043
1.0 -0.1495 0.7449 1.3156 1.8501 1.9633 2.5294 3.0333
1.2 -0.1722 0.7186 1.3067 1.8696 1.9914 2.6002 3.1521
1.4 -0.1920 0.6920 1.2943 1.8827 2.0125 2.6615 3.2601
1.6 -0.2092 0.6654 1.2792 1.8901 2.0274 2.7138 3.3570
1.8 -0.2240 0.6395 1.2621 1.8928 2.0370 2.7578 3.4433
2.0 -0.2366 0.6144 1.2437 1.8916 2.0421 2.7943 3.5196
 ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN GUMBELL
SUBAN FLARE

No. Tahun X (X1 - X)2 X urut Tr (tahun)

1 2008 46 3630.1 151 11.000
2 2009 89 297.6 138 5.500
3 2010 151 2002.6 134 3.667
4 2011 95 126.6 115 2.750
5 2012 115 76.6 105.5 2.200
6 2013 134 770.1 104 1.833
7 2014 85 451.6 95 1.571
8 2015 138 1008.1 89 1.375
9 2016 104 5.1 85 1.222
10 2017 105.5 0.6 46 1.100

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 10

Jumlah nilai data SX 1062.50
Nilai rata-rata X 106.25
Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 S(X1 - X)2 8368.63
Standard deviasi SX 30.49
Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn 0.4952
Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn 0.9496

Tr (tahun) YTr XTr (mm) Peluang

2 0.3665 102.12 0.50
5 1.4999 138.51 0.20
10 2.2504 162.61 0.10
25 3.1985 193.06 0.04
50 3.9019 215.65 0.02
100 4.6001 238.07 0.01
Harga yn & Sn Perhitungan Metode Gumbel

Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn Sn
10 0.4952 0.9496 56 0.5508 1.1696
11 0.4996 0.9676 57 0.5511 1.1708
12 0.5035 0.9833 58 0.5515 1.1721
13 0.5070 0.9971 59 0.5519 1.1734
14 0.5100 1.0095 60 0.5521 1.1747
15 0.5128 1.0206 61 0.5524 1.1759
16 0.5157 1.0316 62 0.5527 1.1770
17 0.5181 1.0411 63 0.5530 1.1782
18 0.5202 1.0493 64 0.5533 1.1793
19 0.5220 1.0565 65 0.5535 1.1803
20 0.5236 1.0628 66 0.5538 1.1814
21 0.5252 1.0696 67 0.5540 1.1824
22 0.5268 1.0754 68 0.5543 1.1834
23 0.5283 1.0811 69 0.5545 1.1844
24 0.5296 1.0864 70 0.5548 1.1854
25 0.5309 1.0915 71 0.5550 1.1854
26 0.5320 1.0861 72 0.5552 1.1873
27 0.5332 1.1004 73 0.5555 1.1881
28 0.5343 1.1047 74 0.5557 1.1890
29 0.5353 1.1086 75 0.5559 1.1898
30 0.5362 1.1124 76 0.5561 1.1906
31 0.5371 1.1159 77 0.5563 1.1915
32 0.5380 1.1193 78 0.5565 1.1923
33 0.5388 1.1226 79 0.5567 1.1930
34 0.5396 1.1255 80 0.5569 1.1938
35 0.5402 1.1287 81 0.5570 1.1945
36 0.5410 1.1313 82 0.5572 1.1953
37 0.5418 1.1339 83 0.5574 1.1959
38 0.5424 1.1363 84 0.5576 1.1967
39 0.5430 1.1388 85 0.5578 1.1973
40 0.5436 1.1413 86 0.5580 1.1987
41 0.5442 1.1436 87 0.5581 1.1987
42 0.5448 1.1458 88 0.5583 1.1994
43 0.5453 1.1480 89 0.5583 1.2001
44 0.5458 1.1499 90 0.5586 1.2007
45 0.5463 1.1519 91 0.5587 1.2013
46 0.5468 1.1538 92 0.5589 1.2020
47 0.5473 1.1557 93 0.5591 1.2026
48 0.5477 1.1574 94 0.5592 1.2032
49 0.5481 1.1590 95 0.5593 1.2038
50 0.5485 1.1607 96 0.5595 1.2044
51 0.5489 1.1623 97 0.5596 1.2049
52 0.5493 1.1638 98 0.5598 1.2055
53 0.5497 1.1658 99 0.5599 1.2060
54 0.5501 1.1667 100 0.5600 1.2065
55 0.5504 1.1681
 ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN PEARSON III
SEKAYU

No. Tahun X (Xi - X)3

1 2008 46 -218711
2 2009 89 -5133
3 2010 151 89615
4 2011 95 -1424
5 2012 115 670
6 2013 134 21369
7 2014 85 -9596
8 2015 138 32006
9 2016 104 -11
10 2017 105.5 0
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 10

Jumlah nilai data SX 1062.50
Nilai rata-rata X 106.25
Standard deviasi SX 30.49
koefisien kemencengan CS -0.447

Tr (tahun) KTr XTr (mm) Peluang

2 0.070 108.40 0.50
5 0.510 121.80 0.20
10 1.243 144.15 0.10
25 1.460 150.78 0.04
50 1.823 161.83 0.02
100 0.066 108.26 0.01
 Harga KTr Perhitungan Metode Pearson III

Skew RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)

Coef. 2 5 10 25 50 100

C' EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY

Cs' 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.010

-3.0 0.396 0.49500 0.660 0.66225 0.666 0.667

-2.5 0.360 0.51413 0.771 0.78113 0.798 0.799
-2.0 0.307 0.52750 0.895 0.92688 0.980 0.990
-1.5 0.240 0.53175 1.018 1.09263 1.217 1.256
-1.2 0.195 0.52913 1.086 1.19588 1.379 1.449
-1.0 0.161 0.52363 1.128 1.26450 1.492 1.880
-0.9 0.148 0.52263 1.147 1.28650 1.519 1.660
-0.8 0.132 0.51975 1.166 1.33100 1.606 1.733
-0.7 0.116 0.51613 1.183 1.36300 1.663 1.806
-0.6 0.099 0.51188 1.200 1.39500 1.720 1.880
-0.5 0.083 0.50788 1.216 1.42638 1.777 1.955
-0.4 0.066 0.50288 1.231 1.45600 1.831 2.029
-0.3 0.050 0.49738 1.243 1.48563 1.890 2.101
-0.2 0.033 0.49238 1.258 1.51563 1.945 2.178
-0.1 0.017 0.48688 1.270 1.54375 2.000 2.232
0.0 0.000 0.48075 1.282 1.56288 2.031 2.326
0.1 -0.017 0.47388 1.292 1.59763 2.107 2.100
0.2 -0.033 0.46725 1.301 1.62275 2.159 2.472
0.3 -0.050 0.45963 1.309 1.64725 2.211 2.314
0.4 -0.066 0.45263 1.317 1.67100 2.261 2.615
0.5 -0.083 0.44425 1.323 1.69350 2.311 2.686
0.6 -0.099 0.43613 1.328 1.70713 2.339 2.755
0.7 -0.116 0.42738 1.333 1.62325 2.107 2.824
0.8 -0.132 0.41850 1.336 1.64238 2.153 2.891
0.9 -0.148 0.40963 1.339 1.66113 2.198 2.957
1.0 -0.164 0.40000 1.340 1.71575 2.342 3.022
1.2 -0.195 0.36938 1.310 1.80350 2.626 3.149
1.5 -0.240 0.34988 1.333 1.85050 2.713 3.330
2.0 -0.307 0.29638 1.302 1.90575 2.912 3.605
2.3 -0.360 0.24375 1.250 1.91300 3.018 3.815
3.0 -0.896 -0.11750 1.180 1.91950 3.152 1.051
Curah Hujan Maksimum (mm)
180.00

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

Sebaran
Normal
80.00 Sebaran
Log
Normar
2
Paramet
er
60.00

40.00
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00
Weibull Probability
 ANALISA FREKUENSI DENGAN LOG PEARSON III
Kota Lahat

No. Tahun X log X (log X1 - log X)2 (log X1 - log X)3

1 2008 46 1.6628 0.11824 -0.040660
2 2009 89 1.9494 0.00328 -0.000187
3 2010 151 2.1790 0.02971 0.005120
4 2011 95 1.9777 0.00084 -0.000024
5 2012 115 2.0607 0.00292 0.000158
6 2013 134 2.1271 0.01452 0.001749
7 2014 85 1.9294 0.00596 -0.000460
8 2015 138 2.1399 0.01776 0.002366
9 2016 104 2.0170 0.00011 0.000001
10 2017 105.5 2.0233 0.00028 0.000005

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 10

Jumlah nilai 'log X' SlogX 20.066
Nilai rata-rata 'log X' (mean) logX 2.007
Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 S(log X1 - log X)2 0.194
Standard deviasi 'log X' S logX 0.147
Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 3 S(log X1 - log X)3 -0.032
koefisien kemencengan CS -1.406

Tr (tahun) KTr log XTr XTr (mm)

2 1.090 2.1665 146.73

5 1.234 2.1876 154.03
10 1.271 2.1930 155.96
25 1.275 2.1936 156.16
50 1.266 2.1923 155.69
100 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
 Harga KTr Perhitungan Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III

Skew RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)

Coef. 2 5 10 25 50 100 200
C' EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY
Cs' 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.010 0.005
-3.0 0.396 0.636 0.666 0.666 0.666 0.667 0.667
-2.9 0.390 0.651 0.681 0.683 0.689 0.690 0.690
-2.8 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714 0.714
-2.7 0.376 0.681 0.747 0.738 0.740 0.740 0.741
-2.6 0.368 0.696 0.771 0.764 0.768 0.769 0.769
-2.5 0.360 0.711 0.795 0.793 0.798 0.799 0.800
-2.4 0.351 0.725 0.819 0.823 0.830 0.832 0.833
-2.3 0.341 0.739 0.844 0.855 0.864 0.867 1.869
-2.2 0.330 0.752 0.869 0.888 0.900 0.905 0.907
-2.1 0.319 0.765 0.895 0.923 0.939 0.946 0.949
-2.0 0.307 0.777 0.920 0.959 0.980 0.990 0.995
-1.9 0.294 0.788 0.945 0.996 1.023 1.038 1.044
-1.8 0.282 0.799 0.970 1.035 1.069 1.087 1.097
-1.7 0.268 0.808 0.884 1.075 1.116 1.140 1.155
-1.6 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197 1.216
-1.5 0.240 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217 1.256 1.282
-1.4 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270 1.318 1.351
-1.3 0.210 0.838 1.064 1.240 1.324 1.383 1.424
-1.2 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449 1.501
-1.1 0.180 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435 1.518 1.581
-1.0 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588 1.664
-0.9 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549 1.660 1.749
-0.8 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606 1.733 1.837
-0.7 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663 1.806 1.926
-0.6 0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720 1.880 2.016
-0.5 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.770 1.955 2.108
-0.4 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029 2.201
-0.3 0.500 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.890 2.104 2.294
-0.2 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945 2.178 2.388
-0.1 0.017 0.846 1.270 1.716 2.000 2.252 2.482
0.0 0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326 2.576
0.1 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.400 2.670
0.2 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763
0.3 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856
0.4 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261 2.615 2.949
0.5 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311 2.686 3.041
0.6 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132
0.7 -0.116 0.790 1.333 1.967 2.407 2.824 3.223
0.8 -0.132 0.780 1.336 1.998 2.453 2.891 3.312
0.9 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498 2.957 3.401
1.0 -0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542 3.022 3.489
1.1 -0.180 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585 3.087 3.575
1.2 -0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626 3.149 3.661
1.3 -0.210 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666 3.211 3.745
1.4 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271 3.828
1.5 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743 3.330 3.910
1.6 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780 3.388 3.990
1.7 -0.268 0.660 1.324 2.179 2.815 3.444 4.069
1.8 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.828 3.499 4.147
1.9 -0.282 0.627 1.310 2.207 2.881 3.553 4.223
2.0 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605 4.298
2.1 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.230 2.942 3.656 4.372
2.2 -0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970 3.705 4.444
2.3 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 3.997 3.753 4.515
2.4 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.800 4.584
2.5 -0.360 0.518 1.250 2.262 3.048 3.845 4.652
2.6 -0.368 0.799 1.238 2.267 3.017 3.899 4.718
2.8 -0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114 3.937 4.847
2.8 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093 3.932 4.783
2.9 -0.390 0.440 1.195 2.277 3.134 4.013 4.909
3.0 -0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.152 4.051 4.970
 Nilai kritis Smirnov-Kolmogorov (a)
n
0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40 0.418
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23
1.07 1.22 1.36 1.63 12.2402
n>50
n0.5 n0.5 n0.5 n0.5 79.9198
104.4002

0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01

10 0.3200 0.3700 0.4100 0.4900
12 0.3000 0.3420 0.3820 0.4540
15 0.2700 0.3000 0.3400 0.4000
RESUME ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN 1 HARIAN
Kota Lahat

Analisa Frekuensi Curah Hujan Rencana (mm)

Periode Log Normal
Ulang Log Pearson
Normal 2 Gumbell Pearson III
III
Paramater

2 106.25 102.11 102.12 108.40 146.73

5 131.86 129.46 138.51 121.80 154.03
10 145.28 146.55 162.61 144.15 155.96
25 156.26 165.58 193.06 150.78 156.16
50 168.76 181.93 215.65 161.83 155.69
100 177.30 196.54 238.07 108.26 Err:502

RESUME SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV
Kota Lahat

Selisih Untuk Nilai Kritis 5 %

No. Log Normal
Normal 2 Gumbell Pearson III Log Pearson III
Paramater

1 1.74 5.45 -14.83 11.17 0.27

2 -3.99 7.88 -3.92 11.41 1.32
3 5.71 12.91 6.91 15.15 4.92
4 15.01 12.91 -0.85 1.65 -8.94
5 -18.85 -4.21 -0.93 -3.59 -14.60
6 -11.45 -1.65 6.02 -1.60 -13.05
7 -15.10 -7.22 5.02 -7.66 -19.53
8 -19.76 22.75 7.06 21.89 9.61
9 -16.20 -11.63 11.78 -12.86 -25.54
10 -53.99 -48.28 -16.26 -49.84 -62.91

Selisih Maks 53.99 48.28 16.26 49.84 62.91

Uji Kecocokan Ditolak Ditolak Diterima Ditolak Ditolak
Kurva IDF dengan hasil R Gumbel
IDF Talbot

No Tr (tahun)
I Jakarta,60
I Jakarta,10
I Kenten,60 I Kenten,10 Selisih a b

1 2 49.8 135.6 106.250 192.050 -56.450 11891.208 51.917

2 5 74.3 193.8 131.864 251.364 -57.564 13868.634 45.173
3 10 90.5 237.6 145.282 292.382 -54.782 14438.356 39.382
4 25 111 292.8 156.259 338.059 -45.259 14528.285 32.976
5 50 126.3 334.2 168.761 376.661 -42.461 15287.624 30.587
6 100 141.4 374.4 177.300 410.300 -35.900 15610.722 28.047

I I I
t (durasi, I (mm/jam),tr I (mm/jam),tr I (mm/jam),tr
(mm/jam) (mm/jam), (mm/jam)
menit) 25 50 100
,tr 2 tr 5 ,tr 10
0 229.042 307.009 366.624 440.577 499.805 556.589
15 177.700 230.478 265.499 302.827 335.349 362.643
30 145.161 184.489 208.100 230.697 252.324 268.932
45 122.694 153.800 171.107 186.318 202.252 213.708
60 106.250 131.864 145.282 156.259 168.761 177.300
75 93.693 115.405 126.229 134.552 144.787 151.491
90 83.790 102.599 111.595 118.140 126.777 132.241
105 75.780 92.351 100.001 105.296 112.751 117.332
120 69.168 83.964 90.590 94.971 101.520 105.444
135 63.617 76.974 82.797 86.490 92.324 95.744
150 58.891 71.058 76.239 79.400 84.655 87.677
165 54.819 65.987 70.644 73.384 78.163 80.865
180 51.273 61.591 65.814 68.216 72.595 75.035
intensitas (m m /jam )

jalan luar
jln kompleks
area parkir

Kurva IDF Talbot dengan cara Empiris

600.000

500.000

400.000

300.000

200.000

100.000

0.000
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

I (mm/jam),tr 2 I (mm/jam),tr 5 I (mm/jam),tr 10

I (mm/jam),tr 25 durasi (menit)
I (mm/jam),tr 50 I (mm/jam),tr 100
 Tr (Tahun) a b

2 11891.208 51.917
5 13868.634 45.173
10 14438.356 39.382
25 14528.285 32.976
50 15287.624 30.587
100 15610.722 28.047

12.5 0.013 1.73205081

0.9221378
0.4166667
1.3388045

jln kompleks
Tabel L.2-4 : IDF Analysis untuk setiap periode ulang

Kurva Basis Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) in mm/jam

No. t (menit)
i (mm/jam) it i^2 i^2t i-talbot delta^2 T=2 T=5 T=10 T=25 T=50 T=100
1 5 195.0 975 38025 190125 193.6 2.0059 146.7 182.0 200.5 215.7 232.9 244.7
2 10 176.0 1760 30976 309760 174.5 2.1958 132.2 164.1 180.8 194.4 210.0 220.6
3 20 145.0 2900 21025 420500 145.8 0.6391 110.5 137.1 151.0 162.4 175.4 184.3
4 30 125.0 3750 15625 468750 125.2 0.0388 94.8 117.7 129.7 139.5 150.6 158.3
5 40 109.0 4360 11881 475240 109.7 0.4847 83.1 103.1 113.6 122.2 132.0 138.7
6 50 98.0 4900 9604 480200 97.6 0.1514 73.9 91.8 101.1 108.8 117.5 123.4
7 60 88.0 5280 7744 464640 87.9 0.0058 66.6 82.7 91.1 98.0 105.8 111.2
8 70 80.0 5600 6400 448000 80.0 0.0002 60.6 75.2 82.9 89.1 96.2 101.1
9 80 73.0 5840 5329 426320 73.4 0.1320 55.6 69.0 76.0 81.7 88.3 92.7
10 90 67.0 6030 4489 404010 67.8 0.5672 51.3 63.7 70.2 75.5 81.5 85.7
11 100 62.0 6200 3844 384400 62.9 0.8836 47.7 59.2 65.2 70.1 75.7 79.6
12 110 58.0 6380 3364 370040 58.8 0.5858 44.5 55.3 60.9 65.5 70.7 74.3
13 120 55.0 6600 3025 363000 55.1 0.0121 41.8 51.8 57.1 61.4 66.3 69.7
14 130 52.0 6760 2704 351520 51.9 0.0137 39.3 48.8 53.7 57.8 62.4 65.6
15 140 49.0 6860 2401 336140 49.0 0.0002 37.1 46.1 50.8 54.6 59.0 62.0
16 150 46.5 6975 2162 324338 46.4 0.0032 35.2 43.7 48.1 51.7 55.9 58.7
17 160 44.0 7040 1936 309760 44.1 0.0170 33.4 41.5 45.7 49.2 53.1 55.8
18 170 42.0 7140 1764 299880 42.0 0.0013 31.8 39.5 43.5 46.8 50.6 53.1
19 180 40.0 7200 1600 288000 40.1 0.0175 30.4 37.7 41.6 44.7 48.3 50.7
20 190 38.0 7220 1444 274360 38.4 0.1547 29.1 36.1 39.8 42.8 46.2 48.5
21 200 36.5 7300 1332 266450 36.8 0.0892 27.9 34.6 38.1 41.0 44.3 46.5
22 210 35.0 7350 1225 257250 35.3 0.1097 26.8 33.2 36.6 39.4 42.5 44.7
23 220 34.0 7480 1156 254320 34.0 0.0006 25.7 31.9 35.2 37.9 40.9 43.0
24 230 33.5 7705 1122 258118 32.7 0.6060 24.8 30.8 33.9 36.5 39.4 41.4
25 240 33.0 7920 1089 261360 31.6 2.0849 23.9 29.7 32.7 35.2 38.0 39.9
Jumlah 3005 1814.5 147525 181267 8686480 10.8003

a b Variance = 0.6573
Pembilang = 10979759334 50522112.5
Penyebut = 1239258.5 1239258.5

Kurva Basis 8859.9 40.8

i2 6712.1 40.8 catatan :

i5 8330.2 40.8 a = parameter pembilang pada persamaan Talbot
i10 9177.8 40.8 b = parameter penyebut pada persamaan Talbot
i25 9871.3 40.8
i50 10661.1 40.8 Persamaan Talbot : i = a/(t + b)
i100 11200.5 40.8 Variance = sqrt ((i-talbot - i)^2/N)