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Market Highlights
Nigerian equities ended the month of January on a winning note, 8.49% higher than their closing
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS 1 value as at end of December 2009. This is a sharp contrast from how they performed in January last
year, where they recorded their biggest percent drop for over a decade of 30.64%. The index re‐
GLOBAL SNAPSHOT 1 covered from the lose of .14% it recorded last week to close 2.56% higher, a gain of 564.72 points
to close at 22,594.90 points this week. The index’s midweek lose of .09% was not enough to put off
NIGERIAN MARKET REVIEW 2 the advance of the bulls this week; gains of 1.02% on Monday, .79% on Tuesday, .57% on Thursday
and .24% on Friday.
CORPORATE ACTIONS 3
Analysts attribute the strong showing by quoted equities on the Nigerian stock exchange in January
to the return of investors’ confidence after several months of uncertainty. Unlike in the second
MARKET NEWS 3
halve of 2009 where wave and wave of bad news filtered in day by day, January was relatively quiet
except for events surrounding the absence of President Yar’Adua.
RECOMMENDATION LIST 4
On the activity front this week, the volume of shares traded on the exchange dropped slightly while
THE WEEK AHEAD 5
there was an improvement in the value of transactions compared to last week. A total of 2.32 bil‐
lion shares exchanged hands in deals worth over N14.15 billion compared to 2.35 billion shares
worth N11.7 billion traded last week, a decline of 1.35% and an appreciation of 20.27% respectively.
Global Snapshot
EQUITY MARKETS—AFRICA EQUITY MARKETS—REST OF WORLD
KENNETH BRAI
CURRENCIES COMMODITIES
Natural
5.82 5.131 ‐11.84
GBP/USD 1.6107 1.6002 0.65 Gas
MARKETS STATISTICS—NIGERIA NSE All Share Index
25/01/2010 22,254.56 5,359,621,785,179.59
569,326,684 2,075,152,353.10
24,000
26/01/2010 22,431.00 5,402,114,293,611.62
442,383,612 3,879,871,453.70 23,500
20,000
GROWTH 2.56% 2.56% ‐1.35% 20.27% 29‐Sep‐09 29‐Oct‐09 29‐Nov‐09 29‐Dec‐09 29‐Jan‐10
TOP GAINERS Volume and Volatility
Volatility
Volume
GLAXOSMITH 22.01 26.74 4.73 21.49% 15%
0.30
15%
CAPHOTEL 1.64 1.98 0.34 20.73% 0.20
14%
0.00 14%
STERLNBANK 1.43 1.69 0.26 18.18% 25‐Jan‐10 26‐Jan‐10 27‐Jan‐10 28‐Jan‐10 29‐Jan‐10
TOP LOSERS MOST ACTIVELY TRADED
OPENING CLOSING
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE
CHANGE % CHANGE SYMBOL VOLUME
Earnings Release
COMPANY RESULTS (N’b)
Company Period Gross Earnings (N’b) Change PAT (N’b) Change
Current Previous Current Previous
PZ CUSSONS Q2‘09 27.36 28.41 ‐4% 1.77 1.63 9%
AIICO Q3’09 7.72 5.53 40% 1.30 0.80 63%
Market News
APPOINTMENTS
The following appointments were released to the exchange this week:
United Bank for Africa Plc this week informed the Nigerian stock exchange of its appointment of Mr. Philip Odunza as Managing
Director/CEO, effective 1st August 2010. This appointment is however subject to the Central Bank Of Nigeria’s (CBN) approval.
Zenith Bank Plc also informed the stock exchange of its appointment of Mr. Godwin Emefiele as its Managing Director/CEO subject
to the approval of the CBN. The appointment takes effect from 1st August 2010.
CORPORATE ACTIONS
The following corporate actions were declared in the week:
Company Dividend Bonus Closure Date Payment Date
Weekly Market Monitor Page 4
RECOMMENDATION LIST*
Suitable for aggressive investors with high risk appetite and a 12 month horizon
*We have upgraded our position in Banking stocks from an underweight position to a neutral position but, as a result of measures
taken by the Banker’s Committee to combat de‐marketing of banks by fellow peers. Our recommendation in the interim will not include
individual banks. Please call your broker for a list of banking stocks to Buy/Sell.
Weekly Market Monitor Page 5
Outlook Q1 2010
Looking ahead, we believe that Nigerian equity market performance in Q1 will depend heavily upon cor‐
porate earnings and further regulatory reforms planned for the year. We expect to see some volatility in
March leading up to the start of the APRIL earnings season. The earnings outlook is generally bright con‐
sidering that companies were in a cost cutting mode for most of last year and the economy performed
well overall.
Banking stocks are still attractive at current price levels and are candidates for an outperformance this
year. We don’t expect further surprises from loan loss provisioning in the near term. We will continue to
maintain a neutral position in the sector. Manufacturing and the building materials stocks were winners
of 2009. While some may argue that a correction may set in as a result, we expect these sectors to remain
resilient or to continue to grind higher considering they only rebounded from their March 2009 lows.
Overall, we would like to reiterate that clients continue to hold a diversified portfolio of Nigerian equities
with a long term horizon. For update to date market analysis, you can follow our DAILY SNAPSHOT.
Disclaimer:
Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are
based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not
intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The view and strategies described may not be suitable for all investors.
Past performance is not indicative of future returns. The inclusion of past performance figures is for illustrative purposes only. Indices do not include fees or
operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Indices presented are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged
and are shown for illustrative purposes only.
The analyst(s), who is( are) primarily responsible for this report, certifies(y) that the option(s) on the subject security(ies) or issuer(s) and any other views or
forecasts expressed herein accurately reflect their personal view(s) and that no part of their compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the
specific recommendation(s) or views contained in this report.
Enquiries should be directed to Kenneth Brai on zenith.research@zenithcapitalmarkets.com OR +234‐1‐2784130
© ZENITH CAPITAL RESEARCH