2727/2018 AMS910.01 Fall 2018 AMS 310.01 - Survey of Probability and Statistics Fall 2018 [Yan Yu [Math Tower Room 1-104 ‘Tuesday, Thursday 11:30am-12:50pm; Engineering 143 | [Office Hours: ‘Tuesday, Thursday 9:00am-10:00am; Math Tower 1-104 Seance Email: |yan.yu@stonybrook.edu [Course Info: |[A survey of data analysis, probability theory, and statistics. Stem and leaf displays, box |plots, schematic plots, fitting straight line relationships, discrete and continuous probability | distributions, conditional distributions, binomial distribution, normal and t distributions, confidence intervals, and significance tests. Textbook: \[Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Science with Examples in R (2nd Edition); ||Hongshik Ahn [Course Outline: [en fTopies [1_ [Describing Data 2 [Probability 3 ls [5 [Multiple Random Variables [Sampling Distributions [lntroduction to Point Estimation and Testing [inferences Based on One Sample ie u B_ (9 [inferences Based on Two Sample [Learning Outcomes: + Leam and apply descriptive statistical tools in data analysis © distinguish between different types of data; © use of graphical tools to summarize a given data set; © use of numerical methods to summarize a data set. © identify the best method to highlight the interesting features in a data set, + Demonstrate and apply an understanding of the basic concepts in probability theory | © describe the sample space and particular outcomes for some random experiments, | © use the basic counting techniques to calculate the number of experimental outcomes, © calculate probabilities of simple events by working with sets that represents | them. © apply the axioms of probability to calculate probabilities of compound events. © demonstrate an understanding of the differences between various concepts such as disjoint and independence. | © compute conditional probabilities. | © use the law of total probability and BayesA’ rule to calculate probability of | complex events. hntpeww.ams,sunysb.edu!-yan2000iteachingfams310_04_12048.hil waarnen0%8 8310.01 Fall 2018 \ Demonstrate an understanding of the basic concepts in random variables and their | distributions | © use random variables to model the outcomes of simple experiments. | © describe the properties of probability mass function and cumulative distribution | | functions. | © calculate the means and variances of discrete random variables. | © learn and apply commonly used discrete distributions such as binomial, | geometric, Poisson, and hypergeometric distributions, | © contrast discrete and continuous random variables. | © describe the properties of continuous density functions and their cumulative | distribution functions. | | | © calculate the means and variances of continuous random variables. | | © learn and apply commonly used density functions such as exponential and | normal densities © learn and apply the general properties of the expectation and variance operators. | | © demonstrate an understanding of the connections and differences between | different distribution functions, e.g., normal approximation to binomial, Poisson | | } approximation to binomial, and the difference between binomial and hypergeometric distributions | | © Use the sampling distribution of a statistic, in particular, the sample mean to: | © tell the difference between a sample and a population | | © identify the similarities and differences between the normal distribution and the | | t-distribution. | | © understand and apply the basic concepts in estimation theory such as | | estimators, bias, variance, and efficiency. | | © construct point estimators (using strong law of large numbers) and interval \ estimators (in particular, confidence intervals) for estimating the mean of a | population. © understand and apply confidence intervals. | © apply the central limit theorem in solving probability questions involving | | averages from arbitrary distributions. | | * Use the basic concepts and ideas in inferential statistics, such as hypothesis testing, to | | © identify the basic components in a classical hypothesis test, including | | | parameters of interest, the null and alternative hypothesis, the rejection region, | | | and test statistics. | I © formulate a given problem as a hypothesis testing problem. | | | © calculate the p-value of a test statistic. | | © conduct the inference for the mean of a population when the underlying, | | variance is either known or unknown, | | | © explain the two types of errors and calculate their associated probabilities. | |[Exams: ||Midierm-1 Tuesday, 10/02/18 | | '|Midterm-2 Tuesday, 11/06/18 | | |[Final Wednesday, 12/19/18, 11:15am - | Graders: ‘{Can Huang | ||E-mail: can.huang@stonybrook.edu | | [Office Hours: Th 3-Spm | ||Office Hours Room: Harriman Hall 132 | [Homework grader, exam grader, exam proctor |steven Geiser | E-mail: steven.geiser@stonybrook.edu Office Hours: Tu 4-6pm ‘np:twww.ams sunysb.edu-yan2000iteachinglams310_01_{20°8.him 28e02018 ‘AMS910.01 Fall 2018 (Office Hours Room: Harriman Hall 132 Homework grader, exam proctor [Matisse Seibelli | E-n atisse.rodriguezscibelli@stonybrook.edu Office Hours: M/W 10-l1am | Office Hours Room: Harriman Hall 132 Homework grader, exam proctor ‘Ashna Rana ‘E-mail: ashna.rana@stonybrook.edu Office Hours: M/W 3-4pm_ |Office Hours Room: Harriman Hall 132 | Homework grader, exam proctor IYinan Wang E-mail: yinan.wang.1@stonybrook.edu Office Hours: Tu/Th 10-11am Office Hours Room: Harriman H. [Homework grader, exam proctor 132 [Policies + Homework assignments given regularly on Blackboard; due at the beginning of class | ‘on the due date, For full credit, please write down all intermediate steps needed, not _ | just final answers, | * Late homework is an automatic zero. \ |» Allexams will be in class, closed notes and book. A letter-sized hand-written (not | | typed or xeroxed) formula sheet and a non-graphing calculator will be allowed in the | exam. | + Exams will start at the beginning of class; come early so you are prepared | | + Allexams will be held in regular classroom, unless stated otherwise | [Grading: |[The final grade is based upon the following: | | | | || * 20% Homework - The lowest homework score will be dropped | | + 25% Midterm-1, Tuesday, 10/04/2016 | + 25% Midterm-2, Tuesday, 11/08/2016 | | + 30% Final, 12/14/2016 Grading [Lower Division | istributions: a7 30% | 25% j | 10% | | 10% ‘Academic [Each student must pursue his or her academic goals honestly and be personally accountable Integrity for all submitted work, Representing another person's work as your own is always wrong. | Faculty are required to report any suspected instances of academic dishonesty to the | [Academic Judiciary. Faculty in the Health Sciences Center (School of Health Technology & Management, Nursing, Social Welfare, Dental Medicine) and School of Medicine are required to follow their school-specific procedures. For more comprehensive information on hitp:warwams sunysb.edul-yan2000/sachinglams310_01_{2018 hind aa