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Sarika Mahajan, Balwinder Singh explores the movement in stock market, the index values
can’t be decided only on the basis of prices. Stock prices without associated with trading
volume convey vague information about market activity. It examines the empirical
relationship between return, volume and volatility dynamics of stock market by using daily
data for the Sensitive Index (SENSEX) of Bombay Stock Exchange, India’s premier stock
exchange. A main issue has been whether information about trading volume is useful in
improving the forecasts of return and return volatility in dynamic context. The empirical
analysis provides evidence of positive and significant correlation between volume and return
volatility that is indicative of the both mixture of distribution and sequential arrival
hypothesis of information flow.
Serkan Yilmaz Kandir Macroeconomic variables used in this study are, growth rate of
industrial production index, change in consumer price index, growth rate of narrowly
defined money supply, change in exchange rate, interest rate, growth rate of international
crude oil price and return on the MSCI World Equity Index. The analysis is based on stock
portfolios rather than single stocks. In portfolio construction, four criteria are used: market
equity, the book-to market equity, the earnings-to-price equity and the leverage ratio. A
multiple regression model is designed to test the relationship between the stock portfolio
returns and seven macroeconomic factors. Empirical findings reveal that exchange rate,
interest rate and world market return seem to affect all of the portfolio returns, while inflation
rate is significant for only three of the twelve portfolios. On the other hand, industrial
production, money supply and oil prices do not appear to have any significant affect on stock
returns. Empirical findings reveal that exchange rate, interest rate and world market return
seem to affect all of the portfolio returns, while inflation rate is significant for only three of
the twelve portfolios. The findings also suggest that macroeconomic factors have a
widespread effect on stock returns, since characteristic portfolios do not seem to be
influenced in a different manner by the macroeconomic variables. Overall, this paper is
expected to be useful for both stock investors and finance literature.
Michael J. Stutzer This paper models the behaviour of a fund manager who selects a
portfolio strives to maximize the probability of outperforming an investor-designated
benchmark portfolio, on-average, over an uncertain length of time. Surprisingly, the analysis
shows that the manager should act as-if she maximizes the expected exponential utility of the
portfolio's excess return over the benchmarks. But unlike standard portfolio theory, this
manager should maximize expected utility over both the space of portfolios and the utility
function's coefficient of risk aversion. Nonetheless, the result is consistent with the usual
Sharpe Ratio maximization rule when returns are normally distributed. More realistically,
returns are from some unknown distribution. Fortunately, the optimal coefficient of risk
aversion and portfolio are easily estimable in this case, using a simple spreadsheet.
Andrea Buraschi, Paolo Porchia, And Fabio Trojani The model gives rise to simple
optimal portfolio solutions that are available in closed-form. We use these solutions to
investigate, in several concrete applications, the properties of the optimal portfolios. We find
that the hedging demand is typically four to five times larger than in univariate models and it
includes an economically significant correlation hedging component, which tends to increase
with the persistence of variance covariance shocks, the strength of leverage effects and the
dimension of the investment opportunity set. These findings persist also in the discrete-time
portfolio problem with short-selling or VaR constraints. The multivariate nature of second
moments in our model has important consequences for optimal asset allocation: Hedging
demands are significantly different from and typically four to five times larger than those of
models with constant correlations or single-factor stochastic volatility. They include a
substantial correlation hedging component, which tends to increase with the persistence of
variance covariance shocks, the strength of leverage effects and the dimension of the
investment opportunity set. These findings also exist when we consider exact discrete-time
versions of our setting with short-selling or VaR constraints.
Block, Stanley B. and French, Dan W. (2000) conducted a study on Portfolios of equity
mutual funds tend to be equally weighted to a greater degree than they are value weighted
according to metrics of fund weightedness developed in this paper. Measures of fund
investment performance based solely on a single value-weighted or equally weighted
benchmark may therefore not adequately identify significant excess performance. We
propose a two-index model using both a value-weighted and an equally weighted index.
Estimated models using a sample of 506 mutual funds show that the two-index model
provides a better fit than the single-index model and identifies a larger set of funds with
abnormal performance.
Feijoo Colomine Duran, Carlos Cotta and Antonio J. Fern´andez Portfolio optimization
is a problem that lends itself naturally to multiobjective approaches, e.g., aimed to maximize
the return of the investment, simultaneously minimizing the risk. The selection of an actual
portfolio requires exercising a decision-making process on the set of efficient solutions thus
obtained. Portfolio optimization is a natural arena for multiobjective optimizers, which are
both powerful and flexible enough to deal with this kind of problems. This is specifically true
if the optimization process is done in absence of knowledge on the particular decision-
making process that will take place afterwards, in order to select a solution from the Pareto
front.