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> Also traded Agri Futures, Corn, Wheat, Hogs, Cattle, FCOJ >
Interest Rate Swap
> In charge of global short term F/X positions Ran the trade desk with
30 traders under me.
> Interest Rate swaps and Bond Futures
> Traded all Cross CCY and made markets for all forward Cross
Currencies.
You will learn the way the big dogs look at the market.
THIS IS THE METHOD OF BANK TRADERS AND
HEDGE FUNDS. Altho, they don’t want you to know
that. They want you to keep looking at Buying Tops
and Selling bottoms right into their hands for their sure
profits!
Sincerely,
Tom “Strignano” Alongi.
Trading foreign currencies is a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for educated
and experienced investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex
market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk
appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction
involving currencies involves risks including, but, not limited to, the potential for changing
political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a
currency.
More over, the leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have
an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as
well as for you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of initial margin funds
and be required to deposit additional funds to maintain your position. If you fail to meet any
margin call within the time prescribed, your position will be liquidated and you will be
responsible for any resulting losses. Investors may lower their exposure to risk by employing
risk-reducing strategies such as 'stop-loss' or 'limit' orders.
The ideas presented in this manual are for information purposes only. Foreign Exchange and
all futures trading are inherently risky financial instruments that should be bought and sold
only by individuals that are capable of sustaining financial liability. Reproduction of any
portion of the contents of this manual is strictly prohibited unless written permission is given
by the publishers. Copyright © 2018
This set up is for a market that has been in a bit of an uptrend that
you have missed out on at the beginning. However if we are still in a
bull market there must be a way to participate at a low risk level
right? That was the question I had asked my self many times and
several other more senior traders when I was a newbie myself. I had
found that Futures Traders were more apt to give me better clues in
my search for the Genesis of the Trend. Now I will give you an easy
way to determine on a chart if we are in a Bullish or Bearish Market
with a way to calculate Momentum.
Here are the rules for the set up: (I will break this down just
read on.)
• Calculate the difference between the price low (lowest low)
of the move (A) and the highest high price (B).
IF
• The retracement (sell off) from the close of the high bars
leading up to point A and C is 25% or more of the
difference between A and B
Then
I have come up with a way that we can get into the trade at
the Genesis of the low created at Point C. Lets have a look on
how its done so we can get more out of the trade with low
risk.
Inside Day (Daily Bars) or Bar: (intra day bar “ie” 30 minute
Hourly, 4 hour bar etc.) The total bar (high and Low) is inside
of the previous bars range.
Lets look at the chart on the next page. Inside Day (Bar)
Directional Trade
The rules for this pattern are to SELL if the close of the current bar
after the inside day is Lower than the Low of the inside day bar.
Or to Buy if the close was greater than the Inside Bar High. As
you can see the sale would of been executed, and then the market
rallied. There was no real great risk reward opportunity on this
trade, at best we could of broke even. This pattern had let me
down an unfathomable amount of times. See The Next Chart to
clear up any ambiguity.
Now the first (idea) change that I made to the pattern set up
was that if the in Bar was a down close, I would only look to
buy the market on a dip. However, the very nature of the set
up is to go with current market direction by selling if the close
of the current bar was less than the low of the inside bar. This
is against my contrarian trading principles. I want to Buy
weakness and Sell strength, at the proper times of course.
High+Low+Close = X
3
So lets plug in some numbers for this trade set up. Inside Bar
Information
Open 69.943
High 70.265
Low 69.89
Close 69.91
210.07/3 = 70.02
So X = 70.02
2(70.02) - 70.265
140.04 - 70.265 = 69.775 BUY LEVEL
Trade once again gets executed at 72.92. The stop loss would
be the trigger bars range subtracted from the low of that bar. It
puts our stop loss down at 72.01. This gives us a 91 pip risk
using our 1:3 Risk Reward we are looking for another major
rally. 91 x 3 = 2.73.
Now here is the Interesting Part, Three bars later we get an
inside day up close saying the market can turn down. GET
OUT OF THE LONG AT THE CLOSE OF THE INSIDE DAY!
Open 73.59
High 74.08
Low 73.32
Close 73.93
Math:
74.08 + 73.32 + 73.93 = 221.33 / 3 = X 73.77
2(73.77) = 147.54 - 73.32 = 74.22 upside trigger sale price. The
market rallies back up hitting our VSL price at 74.22.
You could also double the range of the previous Bar and
subtract it from the low of the trigger bar. That would create a
larger Risk on the trade and the reward would also increase.
That is most most people call a Key Reversal, but now you are
in the KNOW. You now have a much more superior trading
pattern that is ripe for profits.
1.3046 1.3072
1.3223 1.2964
1.3399 1.2887
1.37525 1.2703
1.4105 1.2519
1.4471 1.1993
1.4811 1.1824
So lets start our trading, man with dead charts we can make a
fortune ;-). However, with this knowledge we REALLY can
have an unfair advantage, I promise.
Here is the pattern I first came up with for a TRN Top we will
be using the opposite one in this first example I just thought it
would be cool to show you. I pulled this cave man drawing
out of my notes from 1998, probably before some you you
peeps we born!
Any Bar that makes a new low for a move becomes the signal
bar. Draw a horizontal line from the high of the signal bar
several bars into the future. This is the current low bar. When
you have a close above the high of the signal (low) bar then
look to buy at that high or slightly above it.
The bar after (4th Bar in the series)the third one from the
right, with the smallest range was the breakout bar. The blue
bar to the right of the smallest range bar.
A buy would occur once price exceeded the high of this bar,
and we would be long with a stop below the TRN.
Breakout bar was 1.29768, that bar closed above the High of
the down bar before it. A buy is placed at the high of the bar,
and we get executed on the next bar, we bought at 1.29804 in
this example.
If you look at the bar that pokes through the TRN Resistance
price, the close of that Bar is greater than the the close of all 4
previous bars, I will now place a warning level at the bottom
of this bar, its marked in green at 1.30020. If the market closes
below this price and a lower low occurs within 3 bars I would
sell out and wait.
Now lets work from the Resistance level we just hit for profits,
you must get used to the ebb and flow of the market. Many
new traders having a good gain from a Long trade are quite
shy about selling the market.
You must get over these emotions, because by the time you
decide to sell, its probably very late into the Bear Move, and
you may get caught in a cross current trade shaking you out
of your position for a Loss.
Lots going on on this one, so lets take it step by step. First the
Rules for Looking to sell against TRN resistance.
Any bar that makes a new high the move becomes the signal
bar. Draw a horizontal line from the low of the signal bar
several bars forward into the future. This is the current bar
high. When you have a close below the low of the signal bar,
then place a sale order at or slightly below the low of that bar.
Take note of the Z bar in the chart above, it is here that I would
start marking bottoms because I have no idea if the market will
fall short of the TRN. Remember we are starting this process still
being long from our Buy at 1.29804, looking to turn our trade
around. We would be using the profits from the correct long trade
to help buffer any loss that we may incur. Hopefully, you know
how to keep an average on your trading blotter, or if your lucky
your platform does it for you.
Bar X is the first bar to close over the TRN resistance level. It is at
this point that we would mark the Low of the Bar. Important
between Bar X and Bar Y three bars occur and none of them
makes a higher high then Bar X. This is a signal that maybe the
Rally will not hold.
Bar Y also closes over the TRN resistance level, since it has the
largest amount of trade over the TRN I mark the Bottom, and
make it the trigger bar, because its the largest amount traded
over the TRN Resistance level.
Two bars after the Y bar, guess what happens?
The market rallies up running stop loss orders for against the
weak hands. The Bar in the gold ellipse closes below the Y
bar Low. If we get a price that goes lower then that low, we
sell and put our Stop At the High of the bar in the Gold ellipse,
or we use the close above the TRN, with a Higher High within
3 bars of that high.
1.32006. The Low on the first leg down is 1.3132. The market
rallies up challenging our sale. But notice how the market can
not get over the TRN. The attacks on the level get quickly
repelled. Can you start to see the power in these numbers?
bars XYZ they do NOT make a higher High than the bar that
closes above the TRN. Suggesting the rally will fail and it
does.
level, it falls right to the TRN Support level of 1.2964. Note the
bar in the yellow ellipse. It touches the lower Support TRN at
1.2932, and rallies above the higher TRN Support at 1.2964
and closes above the level. Now here is the important part,
the market gives us a higher high, suggesting higher prices.
Once the under lying Trend (that was hidden from most
traders) asserted itself, and after the battles near the TRNs
was over. The market gracefully fell right to the TRN target
low of 1.2703. However, we had an inside track on the market
knowing where the true Resistance and Support points were
located. Its kind of an unfair advantage, but I am sure you
will take it.
This trade took 1 month to go from a high TRN to a low TRN
of 1.2703, the low on the move was 1.26939 incredible.
The total profit on the turn was 1.3206 - 1.2710 = .0496 .
.0496 x 300,000 =$14,880.
$14,880 + $7188 (Amount of our fist win) = $22,068.05
I had asked myself a question over a beer at the Bull and Bear
in the Waldorf Astoria (to myself of course not out loud)“If all
my customers dried up, would I be able to be profitable?” The
answer was shockingly NO! “If I wanted to trade on the
Proprietary Desk (where it was raw trading and no customers
only the best traders landed on that desk) would I be able to
do it?” NO again.
The real importance here is that you apply what you learned,
go through past examples on your own. I don t care who you
learn from just apply what you are taught, some techniques
will be great (like Mine) other techniques you can disregard.
The importance is in the application, so you grow more Brain
Neurons. Your Trading Muscle gets built.
All the Best:
Tom “Strignano” Alongi
END
Trading foreign currencies is a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for educated
and experienced investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex
market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk
appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction
involving currencies involves risks including, but, not limited to, the potential for changing
political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a
currency.
More over, the leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have
an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as
well as for you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of initial margin funds
and be required to deposit additional funds to maintain your position. If you fail to meet any
margin call within the time prescribed, your position will be liquidated and you will be
responsible for any resulting losses. Investors may lower their exposure to risk by employing
risk-reducing strategies such as 'stop-loss' or 'limit' orders.
The ideas presented in this manual are for information purposes only. Foreign Exchange and
all futures trading are inherently risky financial instruments that should be bought and sold
only by individuals that are capable of sustaining financial liability. Reproduction of any
portion of the contents of this manual is strictly prohibited unless written permission is given
by the publishers. Copyright © 2018