20.02.

2019 Amid Trouble With the West, Saudi Arabia Looks East - The New York Times

Amid Trouble With the West, Saudi

Arabia Looks East
By Ben Hubbard and Javier C. Hernández

Feb. 20, 2019

CAIRO — In his swing through Asia this week, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi
Arabia vowed to invest billions of dollars in Pakistan and pushed to sell more oil to India. He
will also explore deepening economic ties with China.

The trip, by the de facto ruler of a wealthy Arab kingdom that has long considered the United
States its most important ally, highlights the extent to which Saudi Arabia is increasingly
looking to Asia for political and technological support that it cannot always count on from the
West, analysts said.

Saudi Arabia’s need to diversify its alliances has grown more acute amid the Western backlash
over the killing of the Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi agents in Istanbul in October.
Congress has pursued measures to blame Prince Mohammed for the killing and limit military
aid to the kingdom, while American tech companies that the prince heavily courted for
projects in the kingdom have stepped back for fear of damaging their reputations.

But the countries that Prince Mohammed is visiting this week — Pakistan, India and China —
have expressed no such concerns, prioritizing economic ties with the kingdom over concerns
about its respect for human rights.

In turning east, the Saudis are also sending a message to the West, analysts said.

“The Saudi leadership recognizes that it’s integral to diversify its relationships,” said
Mohammed Turki al-Sudairi, a Hong Kong-based researcher for the King Faisal Center for
Research and Islamic Studies. “The message is that there are other options out there.”

Historically, Saudi Arabia’s relationship with Asia was mostly transactional, with the kingdom
selling crude oil to power Asian economies while importing manufactured products. Since his
father, King Salman, came to the Saudi throne in 2015, Prince Mohammed, 33, has been
seeking to deepen the kingdom’s relationships with Asian countries and has made previous
visits to the region.

He began this tour on Sunday in Pakistan, a fellow Islamic country that welcomed him like a
hero, with a 21-gun salute and fighter jet escort. President Arif Alvi granted him Pakistan’s
highest award, and the head of the Senate gave him a gold-plated assault rifle.

Prime Minister Imran Khan had spoken about Pakistan’s dire need for Saudi funds to ward off
an economic crisis, and Prince Mohammed delivered, signing tentative agreements for
investments of up to $20 billion in mining, agriculture, energy and other sectors and promising
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20.02.2019 Amid Trouble With the West, Saudi Arabia Looks East - The New York Times

to free thousands of Pakistanis in Saudi prisons.

“This is not charity, this is an investment,” said Adel al-Jubeir, the Saudi minister of state for
foreign affairs. “There is benefit for both sides.”

How much benefit remains to be seen, as many of the agreements were nonbinding
memorandums of understanding that are often not fulfilled.

On Tuesday, Prince Mohammed traveled to India, where he was welcomed with drumming
and a bear hug from Prime Minister Narendra Modi. India is an important provider of labor
for Saudi Arabia, with millions of Indians working in the kingdom.

During the visit, the prince was expected to press India to buy more Saudi oil to fuel its fast-
growing economy and to take market share away from Iran, the kingdom’s primary rival.

On Wednesday, Prince Mohammed is set to land in China for talks on Thursday and Friday
with President Xi Jinping and other officials. China is the largest buyer of Saudi crude oil, and
ties between the two countries have been expanding to other sectors like technology and e-
commerce.

The relationship has grown because both countries have ambitious development plans that
they believe the other can help achieve. Along with seeing Saudi Arabia as a stable source of
oil, China hopes that the kingdom can play a role in its Belt and Road Initiative, an ambitious
plan by Mr. Xi to build rail lines, power networks and roads to better connect China to allies in
Europe and Africa.

On the Saudi side, Prince Mohammed has begun plans to open up the kingdom and diversify
its economy, a project called Vision 2030, and he hopes that Chinese companies will help it
succeed.

“China has the experience, funds, technology and talents for the Vision 2030,” said Li Guofu, a
researcher on Middle Eastern issues at the China Institute of International Studies, a research
organization overseen by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Chinese-Saudi cooperation has already moved into new fields. The two countries agreed in
2017 to open a factory in Saudi Arabia to build Chinese drones. And last year, China launched
two observation satellites for Saudi Arabia.

Facilitating Chinese-Saudi ties is a shared outlook that prioritizes economics while each
ignores the other’s domestic governance and human rights practices. China has remained
quiet about the killing of Mr. Khashoggi, while Saudi Arabia has not criticized China’s mass
internment of members of its Muslim minority.

That could increase the possibilities for Saudi tech companies.

During a tour of the United States last year, Prince Mohammed visited the headquarters of
Google and Apple, and met with the Amazon chief, Jeff Bezos, hoping to get them involved in
his development plans. But after Mr. Khashoggi’s killing, the talks stopped and a range of
American businesses suspended their ties with the kingdom.
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20.02.2019 Amid Trouble With the West, Saudi Arabia Looks East - The New York Times

Mr. Li, the Chinese analyst, said the Saudis were currently “very uncomfortable” in their
relationship with the United States and Europe, where many governments have condemned
the killing.

“This is also a very important reason that Saudi Arabia is making this kind of strategic
adjustment,” he said.

Chinese companies have not balked, looking for new markets as their domestic economy
slows. Huawei, the Chinese telecommunications company that American officials have labeled
a potential national security threat, opened a store last month in the Saudi capital, Riyadh, its
largest outpost in the Middle East.

While Amazon has suspended plans to open an office in the kingdom, Jollychic, a Chinese e-
commerce business, has expanded its Riyadh headquarters.

“Chinese tech companies’ positions on security and public safety are differentiators with
Middle Eastern governments,” said Sam Blatteis, the previous Google head of Gulf
government relations and now the co-founder of The MENA Catalysts, a consulting firm.
“They are in a similar place on the trade-offs on the shifting frontier between privacy and
security.”

Even as it courts Saudi leaders, China has been careful not to alienate other Middle Eastern
countries. On Tuesday, for example, Wang Yi, the Chinese foreign minister, told his Iranian
counterpart, Mohammad Javad Zarif, that he wanted to deepen “strategic trust” between the
two countries during a meeting in Beijing.

“China has never picked sides and its principle is balanced relations,” said Zou Zhiqiang, an
assistant professor at the Middle East Studies Institute at Shanghai International Studies
University. “China will not agree to actions such as confronting Iran just to cooperate with
Saudi Arabia.”

Despite the kingdom’s growing ties with Asia, few expect a full break with the United States.
The kingdom has spent hundreds of billions of dollars on American weapons, many of which
come with long-term maintenance agreements that make it difficult for the Saudis to switch to
other systems.

And despite the anger at Saudi Arabia in Congress, President Trump has stood by Prince
Mohammed, considering him an essential partner in his administration’s plans to push back
against Iran and pursue a peace deal between Israel and the Palestinians.

“China is increasingly an important player and an important partner for the kingdom, but if
you look at the strategic relationship with America, nobody can replace the United States,”
said Mohammed Alyahya, editor in chief of Al Arabiya English, a Saudi-owned news site. “So I
think that the idea of a pivot is inaccurate.”

Ben Hubbard reported from Cairo, and Javier C. Hernández from Beijing. Albee Zhang contributed research from Beijing.

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20.02.2019 Amid Trouble With the West, Saudi Arabia Looks East - The New York Times

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