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June 2009
ISBN 978-92-9029-468-9
Abstract
Indonesia has become the largest exporter of steam coal in the world, but the long-term future of coal exports is being brought into
question as domestic demand is projected to grow by a significant amount, from 40–50 Mt/y in 2007 to more than 100 Mt/y by
2013, and even higher beyond 2013.
Exports reached 200–210 Mt in 2008, and are set to rise in the future. Import volumes are negligible, while indigenous production
was estimated to be around 240–260 Mt in 2008. Illegal mining is being addressed and in the past could have accounted for at
least 20 Mt/y of production, but obtaining reliable export and production figures as a result is therefore not straightforward.
Indonesia is the fourth most populous country in the world. This fact coupled with robust GDP growth means there is more
pressure on the state-controlled electricity industry to invest in, and build, adequate infrastructure to meet the rising demand for
power. Part of this investment is being driven by government policy to build 10 GWe of coal-fired power by 2010 and a second
tranche by 2013. However, the investment programme, commonly known as the ‘crash programme’ is more likely to be delayed
by 2–3 years. Nevertheless, the likely 20–30 Mt/y or so of additional coal demand from the first tranche alone will put pressure on
domestic coal producers to meet expanding demand both at home and abroad for low rank and exportable bituminous coals. This
report covers four main topics, the Indonesian coal industry, the power generating sector and its use of clean coal technology,
changes in coal demand and its impact on international trade, and finally a brief look at upgrading low rank coals within the
country.
Acronyms and abbreviations
$ US dollar
ARA Amsterdam/Rotterdam/Antwerp, a major coal hub for European coal imports
BAT best available technology
bbl barrel of crude
bcm billion cubic metres (of natural gas)
bcm bank cubic metres (of overburden removal for opencast mining)
boe barrel of oil equivalent
BFG blast furnace gas
bn billion (109)
Btu/kWh British thermal units per kilowatt hour
BWE bucket wheel excavator
°C degrees Celsius (multiply by 1.8 and add 32 to convert to Fahrenheit)
CBM coalbed methane
CCGT combined cycle gas turbine (also known as GTCC)
CCS carbon capture and storage
CDM clean development mechanism
CHP combined heat and power (also known as cogeneration)
CIF cost, insurance, and freight
CO2 carbon dioxide
CoW Contract of Works, also referred to as Coal Contract of Works (CCoW)
dwt deadweight
EIA Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy
ESP electrostatic precipitator (for particulate removal)
FGD flue gas desulphurisation (for SO2 removal)
FTS floating transfer station
FY financial year
GDP gross domestic product
GHG greenhouse gas
GJ gigajoule
GT gas turbine
GWe gigawatt of electrical output capacity (1000 MWe)
GWh gigawatt hour (1000 MWh; 106 kWh)
h/d hours per day
ha hectare
IBT Indonesian Bulk Terminal
IC internal combustion (typically a diesel reciprocating engine)
IEA International Energy Agency, Paris
IEA CCC IEA Clean Coal Centre, London
IGCC integrated gasification and combined cycle
IPO initial public offering
JI joint implementation
kcal/kg kilocalorie per kilogramme (multiply by 0.004187 to get MJ/kg)
km kilometre
kt kilotonnes
kWe kilowatt of electrical output capacity
kWh kilowatt hour
LHV lower heating value
LNG liquefied natural gas, a form of natural gas at –163°C temperature and 125 kPa low temperature for the
purposes of long distance bulk transportation using cryogenic ocean vessels
MEMR The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (Indonesia)
MJ/kg megajoule per kilogramme (divide by 0.004187 to get kcal/kg)
Mt million metric tonnes
Mtce million tonnes of coal equivalent (multiply by 0.697 to get Mtoe)
Mtoe million tonnes of oil equivalent
MWe megawatt of electrical output (1000 kWe)
MWh megawatt hour (1000 kWh)
NOx nitrogen oxides
OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (see Geographical Coverage for country listing)
Contents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.1 Key coal facts for Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.2 Geography of the Indonesian archipelago . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.3 A turbulent political and economic history . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.4 Population and the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2 Energy background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
2.1 Primary energy supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
2.2 Energy demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
4 Coal reserves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.1 Geographical concentration of reserves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.2 Quantity of coal reserves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
4.3 Summary of coal quality definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.4 Indonesian coal quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.5 Coal geology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
4.6 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
6 PT Adaro Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
9 PT Berau Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
18 Electricity generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
18.1 A brief history of the industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
18.2 Crisis in the power markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
18.3 Power generating capacity in Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
18.4 Nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
18.5 Utilisation and efficiency of the power station fleet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
18.6 Generating efficiencies of the thermal fleet. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
23 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
24 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Indonesia consumes around 20% of the country’s coal output 1.3 A turbulent political and
for power generation and industry; the remaining 80% is
exported. The growing demand for electricity means that the
economic history
prospects for domestic steam coal demand for power Indonesia has had a history of social and political upheaval,
generation are good. One of the central tenets of the country’s which remains in the minds of many people (Cragg, 1998).
energy policy over past years has been the move away from Cragg reports on the turmoil that afflicted the nation,
oil-fired power towards renewable, gas, and coal. In addition to especially during the rise of Suharto to power in 1965-66,
the replacement programme of oil plants, the rapid growth in who replaced Sukarno. This led to the death of countless
power demand is also demanding the need for reliable and Chinese and communist citizens in the so-called ‘year of
cost-effective power, coal is seen as being able to deliver this living dangerously’. Ten years later, many died in East Timor
power. following the departure of the Portuguese in 1975. In more
recent years, Indonesia faced the Asian financial crisis, the
However, if Indonesia intends to retain its position as a major end of (the late) President Suharto’s rule after more than 30
coal exporter, the country could face resource constraints, years in office (1967-98), the first free elections since the
which may conflict with the need for more coal-fired power 1960s, demands for independence from restive provinces,
within the country. bloody ethnic and religious conflict, and not least a most
devastating tsunami that killed many thousands. Over time,
The country’s coal seams are mineable using opencast Indonesia as a country has battled many social and political
operations, where thick seams of low sulphur and low ash obstacles, which have periodically interrupted economic
coals exist. Almost all mining operations use simple truck and growth.
shovel methods, with few exceptions. As a general rule,
Indonesian coals are lower in rank and so when comparing
coal qualities with that of other internationally traded coals, 1.4 Population and the economy
Indonesian coals have lower calorific values and higher
moisture contents, and are thus more costly to transport over Estimates for the country’s population range from 222 to 246
long distances on an energy basis. However, Indonesian coals million and growth rates are low at around 1.3%/y (EIA,
Manado
Sangkulirang
Samarindia
Pontianal Kalimantan
Sumatra Sorong
Balikpapan
Kolonodale
Palemaang
Sulawesi
Banjarmasin Papua
Bengkulu
Makassar Timika
Jakarta
Java Surabaya
Bali Labuhanbajo
2007; IMF, 2008). Regardless of the overall level, Indonesia is demand for goods and services across the world could fall,
the fourth most populous nation in the world behind China and so eventually have an impact on Indonesia indirectly if
(1300 million), India, (1100 million), and the USA not directly. Indonesian economic policy moves forward but
(299 million). at a relatively sluggish pace according to international
analysts (EIA, 2007). However, the government does not
More than 40–45% of the population live in urban areas, prohibit western style policy. Taxation and labour laws move
which still leaves more than half living in rural locations. slowly through the government before becoming law. Trade
More than 60% of the population live on the island of Java. unions across industry remain vehemently opposed to changes
Java also accounts for more than 70% of the energy demand, in restrictive labour laws. Parliament has considered changes
indicating the importance of this island as the centre for to mining laws for several years and, as a result, mining firms
economic activity at the present time. are reluctant to start new projects. Elections in 2009 will
mean reforms are not likely to be passed until after 2009.
Parts of Java, and much of Kalimantan, Papua, Sulawesi and
Sumatra are mountainous, volcanic and densely forested. Fiscal policy revolves around subsidised energy prices. Oil
These conditions make building extensive infrastructure products and power prices are kept artificially low.
costly in economic and environmental terms. Illegal logging Recovering costs of production of energy are therefore almost
and mining activities affect both the economy and the impossible, and so while low tariffs keep demand high, the
environment, which has marred the image of these industries. supply of energy is constrained by the lack of funding
Foreign companies operating in these regions may face available to improve the energy infrastructure, and
increasing pressure to satisfy corporate and social government funding for subsidies remain under pressure.
responsibility demands in Indonesia, in order to continue a
long-term sustainable business in locations that are potentially In May 2008, end-consumer fuel prices were raised by an
sensitive to large-scale extractive operations. average of 29%. The government’s original budget for 2008
assumed an oil price of 60 $/barrel ($/bbl), a price at which
The country’s gross domestic product (GDP) for 2007 was fuel subsidies during 2008 would amount to Rp 46 trillion
$433 billion, equivalent to the economies of Belgium or ($5 bn or 5% of total expenditure). The massive escalation in
Switzerland in current dollars, making Indonesia the 20th oil price in 2008 meant that the subsidy cost would rise to
largest economy in the world (in GDP terms). When adjusted Rp 127 trillion ($13.7 bn), and this was based on an oil price
for purchasing power parity, the economy becomes the 16th of 95 $/bbl. This raised the government spend on fuel
largest. Given the massive population, Indonesia’s per capita subsidies to 13% of the budget.
GDP in 2007 was estimated at $1925, just 116th in the world.
In purchasing power parity (PPP) terms per capita GDP rises Price escalations to 135 $/bbl has led the government to revise
to $3724, but its position worsens to 121st in the world. subsidies again to account for a 2008 average price of
110 $/bbl. Estimates in the middle of the year stood at
The global financial crisis of 2008-09, if prolonged, could Rp 132 trillion ($14 bn), 286% more than allowed for by any
affect funding for planned generating capacity, as well as original budget. As the country is a net importer of oil,
funding for new production capacity in the mining sector. Few Indonesia does not benefit from the massive rise in oil prices
reports seem to highlight this, but the effects may be felt as experienced in recent years. In fact, the rising cost of oil
Inflation has been running well above the target of 4-6% for
most of 2008. The consumer price index increased by 10.5%
in 2005 and 13.1% in 2006, although dropped to 6.4% in
2007. Despite criticism of the slowness of government to
tackle subsidies and labour reforms, politically it would have
been difficult to make such decisions during periods of high
inflation where the GDP per capita is so low. High prices and
the burden of subsidies could greatly impair growth within the
country.
90
80
electricity
60 natural gas
50 petroleum products
coal
40
30
20
10
0
Industry Transport Residential Commercial Agriculture / Non- Non-
sector sector and public forestry specified energy use
services
In part, the biomass fuel feed for domestic and industrial uses
requires a great deal of waste wood. Half the volume of logs
that are cut on an industrial basis for the wood industry are
waste; some reports suggest that 1.2 Gt of waste wood is
produced every year (Budiono, 2005). This volume is aside
from the amount of wood that may be felled specifically for
wood fuel.
the eastern side of the island in Aceh province. The Arun gas 1200
oil consumption 15
field was discovered in 1971 in the Province of Aceh. The 1000
field straddles the coastal plain between the Barisan
Mountains and the Strait of Malacca. Condensate-rich gas is 800
10
found in reef and associated carbonate facies of Lower and 600
R/P ratio - years
Middle Miocene Age that exceeds 300 m in thickness in
400
places. These carbonates occur near the base of a Tertiary Age 5
sedimentary section with a thickness of more than 3000 m 200
(JSCE, 2005).
0 0
Reported natural gas reserves have increased by 40% since 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
1998 (see Figure 5). Natural gas production has been Figure 6 Long-term oil resource trends (BP,
changeable, but remains higher than in the 1990s. Yet, with a various issues)
1.6 80 80
1.2 60 60
Indices of reserves
gas production
1 50 50
0.8 40 40
0.6 30 30
natural gas
0.4 oil 20 20
coal
0.2 10 gas consumption 10
0 0 0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006
Figure 5 Energy reserve trends in Indonesia Figure 7 Long-term natural gas resource trends
(BP, 2008) (BP, various issues)
180 25 resources (for example, land restrictions for wind and hydro
exploitation). The WEC publication, the Survey of World
160
Energy Resources, is probably the only globally
140 20 comprehensive publication to examine the resource limits of
Coal resources, Mtce
R/P ratio - years all forms of energy resources, despite criticisms made by
120
15
bodies which represent renewable energy supplies.
100
80
production 10 3.3 Coalbed methane
60
40
While not strictly a coal product, coalbed methane, commonly
consumption 5 referred to as CBM, co-exists as a separate energy resource
20 contained in and around coal seam structures. Indonesia has
0 0
potential resources of CBM of some 12,300 billion cubic
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
metres (bcm) making Indonesia one of the largest CBM
resources in the world. Compared to natural gas reserves of
Figure 8 Long-term coal resource trends (BP, 3000 bcm, the potential for CBM to supplement existing gas
various issues) reserves is immense. The reserves to production ratio of
natural gas is 45 years; the addition of CBM could more than
fuels. In the late 1980s and 1990s, the R/P ratios of natural treble the country’s R/P ratio of methane gas. Some 92% of
gas and oil have been subject to major sudden downward Indonesia’s CBM gas reserves are classified as highly
revisions, a probable result of changes made to the data and/or prospective and located largely in South Sumatra (5200 bcm),
definitions of the reserves. For example, between 1991 and Barito (2900 bcm), Kutai (2200 bcm), and Central Sumatra
1997, BP reported Indonesia to have 32,063 Mt of coal, (150 bcm) amongst other areas. The geographical spread of
nearly all of which was lignite and subbituminous. Yet in CBM could make it a potentially valuable resource for
1998, this figure dropped to 5220 Mt. Clearly, an 84% diversifying energy production across the islands of
reduction in reported reserves is not due to the physical Indonesia.
disappearance of coal, but the change in definition, or
opinion, of what is economically recoverable coal. Since the Recently, CBM has attracted increasing interest in Indonesia.
late 1990s, reported figures have been more consistent, but The first project was given to a joint venture between PT
with the exception of natural gas, coal and oil reserves have Medco E&P Indonesia and PT Ephindo in 2008. Two more
been decreasing. projects were signed in the same year, while five more
underwent joint evaluation or feasibility studies. Forty-five
more applications were also undergoing government review in
3.2 Coal – more abundant than oil, 2008 (Jakarta Post, 2008c).
but less than gas The Sendawar CBM Project is located within the Mahakam
This section discusses briefly the life of the country’s coal River area of the Kalimantan province, some 190 km inland
reserves, while a more detailed discussion on coal qualities and 50 km south of Mahakam River. Sendawar was
and reserves distribution is done in Chapter 4. guaranteed a first-of-kind licence granted directly by the
Indonesian Government. The potential reserve is 140 bcm of
While coal reserves are healthier than those of oil (the R/P gas (Mazak, 2008).
ratio being 20–30 years), the future trend is questionable. The
meteoric rise in coal production has put pressure on reserves,
which have fallen by 17% since 1998. The R/P ratio 3.4 Peat
unsurprisingly shows a dramatic fall from more than 80 years
in 1998, to just 25 years as reported in 2008. The coal R/P Indonesia has the third largest peat deposits in the world with
ratio does not appear to take an upward trend at any point in 270,000 km2 worth of reserves (WEC, 2007). Peatlands are
the near future unless further coal resources are made largely found in the subcoastal lowlands of Kalimantan and
economically viable, or production takes a steep decline; both Sumatra, in common with the deposits of coal. A feasibility
scenarios are possible over the long term. The following study was carried out in the late 1980s regarding using peat
chapter looks at the coal reserves and resources in more detail for electricity generation in central Kalimantan, but little
and questions the possible lack of accuracy associated with development resulted from this work.
coal reserves data that could mean Indonesia possesses more
coal than perhaps the headline figures.
Resources
Province Reserves
Hypothetical Inferred Indicated Measured Total
70
60 reserve
40
30
20
10
0
South South East Other
Sumatra Kalimantan Kalimantan
Heating Total
Total Probable Proven
Coal type value, Hypothetical Inferred Indicated Measured resources
reserves reserves reserves
MJ/kg and reserves
Total as of 2006 17021 33074 16722 23642 90458 18654 13411 5300
places Indonesia in a dilemma as transporting low rank coals, significance are in other provinces of the same islands of
such as lignite, is costly on a per tonne basis due to the lower Sumatra and Kalimantan. None of the other islands appear to
heating value. However, solutions to this problem are well have any reserves of significance. When looking at the level
under way with coal upgrading to improve the coal quality of resources, the picture is much the same, with Kalimantan
(see Chapter 22), and generating power closer to the and Sumatra being the key regions in which coal resides.
minemouth. Electricity is transmitted via high voltage links What is of more interest is the amount of coal that exists in
(up to 3 GWe) to the island of Java. Indonesia still has the South Sumatra. In fact, most of the coal under the
prospect of fuelling its future needs with vast low rank coal geographical category of ‘Other’ is mainly in Sumatran
reserves that are difficult to transport to the demand centres, provinces. Although small resources could exist in some of
and so rendering those coal reserves sterile. Practically all of the other island regions, these are insignificant in comparison
the reserves in South Sumatra are less than 21.4 MJ/kg to those in the Sumatra and Kalimantan regions.
(5100 kcal/kg) although resources of up to 25.5 MJ/kg
(6100 kcal/kg) have been measured, indicated or inferred, so
clearly greater exploration in South Sumatra could give rise to 4.2 Quantity of coal reserves
higher rank and higher quality coals over the long term.
In terms of quantity, official figures published by the Center
The provinces of note are South Sumatra, East Kalimantan, for Energy and Mineral Resources in the Handbook of Energy
and South Kalimantan. However, all other deposits of any and Economic Statistics of Indonesia show a substantial
reserves base of 18.7 Gt. A potential of 90.5 Gt of resources is reserves are also available which split the reserves by coal
also estimated, but this consists largely of coal that is not yet heating value (ICMA, 2006; MEMR, 2008a). The discrete
proven to be recoverable (see Table 3). If only coal that is ranges of (assumed net) calorific value used by these
recoverable is considered (using existing economic and publications are associated with the most appropriate lignite
operating conditions), then the reserves base could be as little category as follows:
as 4.3 Gt (WEC, 2007; BP, 2008). Coincidentally, this figure
of 4.3 Gt is also equal to the reported mineable reserves MEMR Approx Likely rank
belonging to the top five producers in Indonesia alone. As classification, MJ/kg
such, it is possible that these reserves figures are grossly kcal/kg equivalent*
underestimated. Given the nature of delay for data acquisition
and publication, it is likely the reserves figures published in <5100 <21 lignite/subbituminous
2007 by the WEC refer to data for 2005 at best. New surveys 5100–6100 21–26 subbituminous/bituminous
and further exploration may well give rise to an upward 6100–7100 26–30 bituminous
revision of the country’s economically recoverable reserves. >7100 >30 anthracite
* for a more exact MJ/kg, multiply kcal/kg by 0.004187
Official figures published by ICMA (2006) and later by
MEMR (2008) suggest that in 2005 Indonesia had almost These ranges are broadly consistent with definitions for the
7 Gt of ‘mineable’ reserves, which include proven and major coal rank types, but are not exact and do not include
probable reserves. Later publications by MEMR (2008b) other quality parameters such as ash, sulphur and moisture.
suggest that there are 18.7 Gt of reserves (as of 1 January Where there might be some limited data on peat, it probably
2007), of which 5.3 Gt is proven and 13.4 Gt is probable. belongs to the lignite category of being less than 21 MJ/kg,
Therefore, the latest figures would suggest that both proven but is not likely to be significant.
and probable reserves have increased in recent years, contrary
to the trend in reported reserves over the long term. The International Coal Classification system devised by the
ECE and approved by the ISO uses a series of classes ranging
However, pinning down an accurate set of reserves figures by 0 to 15 (anthracite to lignite). Soft coals have a gross calorific
coal rank (for example anthracite, bituminous, lignite, and value of less than 23.8 MJ/kg (5684 kcal/kg; moist ash free),
subbituminous) is less straightforward. MEMR presented a and therefore hard coals are above this threshold. They are
comprehensive table of coal qualities in the Indonesian Coal defined by their calorific value at equilibrium moisture
Book 2006/2007 to the IEA in Paris in February 2008 (ICMA, content together with tar yield on a dry ash free basis.
2006; MEMR, 2008a). Both references refer to reserve levels Australian classification adopts a similar approach.
in 2005, and while dated, provide a useful indicator of how
much Indonesia has of each coal. Table 3 shows the amount The classification of different rank coals is based on a
of coal that Indonesia had in 2005 by each major coal type. combination age, but moisture content is a useful indicator of
rank for low rank coals (see Figure 10). The most difficult
Whether the same coal-split is applied to the recently classification is probably subbituminous which overlaps with
published resource and reserve figures for 2006, and are both lignite and bituminous coals, and is the most abundant
significantly higher than those in 2005, is not certain, since coal in Indonesia. Consequently, it is no surprise that
total reserves have risen from 7 Gt to 18.7 Gt (both proven pinpointing exact reserves figures by rank is not
and probable). This rise is substantial, and while there has straightforward, and may be why the MEMR uses the method
been criticism of the lack of exploration in the coal business of coal heating value.
for new reserves in the past, clearly there are efforts to exploit
the high prices seen in 2005-08, as well as interest from From this summary, some subbituminous coals have moisture
companies like Reliant Energy of India, to develop new contents in the range of 10–35%, and heating values can be as
facilities and develop concessions. high as some bituminous coals. Lignite coals seem to have a
moisture content of 35–75% by volume (as mined). Heating
values are typically less than 15 MJ/kg (3600 kcal/kg), while
4.3 Summary of coal quality the coals also possess higher content of volatile matter
making them potentially hazardous for storage and
definitions transportation. They must be handled with some caution to
Indonesia has reserves of coals that range from bituminous, avoid uncontrolled combustion. High volatile content
subbituminous, and lignites. Although anthracite is mined, the products can be modified by blending with lower volatile
quantities are relatively small. This wide range in coal rank bituminous coals.
across the country’s coal deposits gives rise to a cautionary
note when looking at coal reserves figures in Indonesia. The Coal classification acts as a mere guide to assessing the
data published by the Ministry of Energy and Mineral potential market and use of a particular coal. Ultimately, coal
Resources (MEMR) comes in several aggregated and sampling analysis throughout the supply chain acts as a
disaggregated forms. Provincial reserves (for 21 provinces) of verification when performed by certified third parties. More
coal are published in the Handbook of Energy & Economic detailed knowledge of ash properties, trace elements and the
Statistics, as well as the Key Indicators of Indonesia Energy physical nature of the coal are important aspects, aside from
and Mineral Resources (CDIEMR, 2007; MEMR, 2007). the headline figures of heating values, sulphur content, and
Aggregated data tables for both six major regions and national moisture content. Prior to formal supply agreements it is
20
bituminous compensates for the lower heating value of the Indonesian
high volatile coals. At the lower end of the heating value range, coals that
are less marketable as export products are sold to domestic
industrial consumers and power stations.
have reserves of coals of more than 25 MJ/kg making them mineable (economically recoverable) reserves. Efforts to
favourable prospects. explore further reserves are needed to firm the published
reserves figures. Those coals that are exploited are invariably
South Kalimantan is where PT Adaro operate and the low in sulphur and ash content by world standards, but can
Envirocoal brand is mined. Here the coals are mainly medium also be low in heating value due to high moisture contents,
quality with heating values of 21.4–25.5 MJ/kg especially amongst the lignites and subbituminous coals
(5100–6100 kcal/kg). The resource base is of similar quality found in Sumatra. Low sulphur coals that are exported from
and so the longer-term future production will probably consist Kalimantan are regularly shipped to blend with higher sulphur
of the same quality coals as are mined today. The extremely coals around the world.
low sulphur and ash contents make the coal very attractive to
international buyers looking to improve emissions and waste.
4.6 Summary
In summary, Indonesian coal is found on the islands or
Kalimantan and Sumatra. Kalimantan is the main hub of
production which contains coals of internationally tradeable
quality. Sumatra is the key resource for low rank and high
moisture coals, which will best serve domestic markets. The
reserves of coal in the whole country are difficult to quantify
with any certainty, with figures ranging from 4.3 Gt to 7 Gt of
1. The holders of coal contracts of work (CCoW) or The ‘contractors’ undertake to prospect for and explore the coal
contracts of work (CoW) and mining licences – comprise deposits located in their concession area, and possibly to
companies formerly owned by foreign multinationals engage in mining development. In return, they are granted
and/or Indonesian private companies that produce the exclusive rights for a term of 30 years subject to a royalty (free
bulk of the country’s coal through a series of three mine) of 13.5% of proceeds. The contractors are also obliged to
generations of contracts that were licensed in 1984, 1994, offer Indonesian investors at least 51% of the mining stock after
and 1997. These have subsequently been named First, a ten-year operating period. In 2001, this provision affected two
Second and Third Generation contracts respectively The foreign investors (Rio Tinto/BP and BHP-Billiton). Most of the
history of these contracts is discussed in Section 15.1. companies are based on First Generation CCoWs, representing
The licence is granted once for all stages of survey, over 140 Mt, Second Generation CCoWs with about 50 Mt,
feasibility, construction and operation. The maximum and Third Generation CCoWs with a mere 10 Mt.
area permitted for these activities is 100,000 ha and must
be clearly delineated in the application. Up to 25% must Holders of any licence have a number of rights and
be relinquished at the end of the exploration period. obligations that set out the conditions for each stage from
survey to production, particularly those operators holding
First Generation producers are of great significance as they CCoWs. Either the licencee or the issuing authority can
constitute the bulk of the country’s current production, and withdraw at any stage if the conditions are breached. Some of
will do so until around 2014-15 when most licences will the conditions on the part of the contractor also include the
either expire or be extended (under the current rules). The provision of expenditure. In Kalimantan, contractors must
remainder of the production is from Second and Third commit to spending 3 $/ha at the survey stage, and 10 $/ha
Generation contracts, which are Indonesian companies – in during exploration. This must be done within a set period of
strong contrast to the foreign domination of the earlier 12–24 months. Feasibility and construction stages require
years of the First Generation producers. more detail and set out the intention to exploit specific
commercially viable deposits and environmental impact
2. PTBA – PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam, the one assessments. Operation is typically fixed at 30 years, although
state-owned company operating two mines in Sumatra. it is possible to apply for extensions.
PTBA is discussed in more detail in Chapter 8.
The CCoW licences also oblige the holder of the licence to
3. Kuasa Pertambangan (KP) mining authorisation make a number of payments to the state:
holders – Before 2009 KP licences were reserved only ● minimum of 13.5% of annual production to the
for national private companies: these provide licences to government which includes the royalty;
survey a maximum 5000 ha, explore a maximum ● US$100,000 lump sum regional tax; and
2000 ha, and exploit a maximum 1000 ha. Regional ● 35% corporate tax on income for the first ten years, and
autonomy now permits local governors, regents, or then 45% thereafter.
KP licence holders have a different regime, but nonetheless than the price that Tata pays to buy coal from its mines at
include payments of land lease, royalties, and state levies. Kaltim Prima and Arutmin – where Tata has a 30% stake in
Typically, the royalty structure is more lenient, with KP the mines’ parent company BUMI Resources. The
producers being levied just 7%, instead of the 13.5% for Krishnapatnam power plant will be commissioned in 2013, so
CCoW licence holders. However, this may change under the while production at the mine may start by 2009, it is not
new Mining Law announced in 2008. scheduled to reach design capacity until the power station
starts operating. In the interim, production might be low,
Interestingly, the CCoW holders of First Generation contracts perhaps supplying the export market, or smaller tonnages to
are nearing the end of the 30 year licence, or are within ten other units operated by Reliance.
years of expiration. Perhaps it is a combination of rising
market prices to record levels, plus the finality of the licence The East Kutai mining project in East Kalimantan could
that drove the industry to ramp up production between 2000 supply coal to Indian and Chinese power stations. The
and 2008. potential to secure contracts from such coal dependent
economies and the high returns earned during a period of
Moves to either consolidate or nationalise the industry cannot high coal prices led UK firm Churchill Mining plc to acquire
be ruled out over the long term although there is no indication a majority 75% stake in the project (Mazak, 2008). What
that this is being contemplated. Sovereignty of mineral makes this significant is that the Pakar coal discovery,
reserves may be seen as strategically more important to serve located 55 km southwest of East Kutai, has a reserve base of
local demand rather than the export business. However, with 270 Mt, and could potentially be one of the largest producing
steam coal trading at record prices, coal exportation is clearly mines in Indonesia. However, production could be increased
not a strategic decision the government wants to abandon to anywhere between 5 and 20 Mt/y within a few years of
immediately. operation (which started in 2008). While the coal qualities
are suitable for customers in China and India, the company
The uncertainty about changes in the regulations for mineral also signed an agreement with the Indonesian power utility
production might be encouraging contractors to exploit PT Ridlama Bangun Mandiri (PT RBM) to supply coal for
reserves as quickly as possible, especially as the reserves are 30 years to feed two power plants that are being built in
some of the lowest cost in the world market, and relatively Kalimantan. The agreement will secure 840,000 t/y at a 5%
easy to extract. However extraction is becoming harder for discount to the prevailing market price. Based on these
many operations. The current status of industry is in flux and figures the power plants are unlikely to be much greater than
is discussed at the end of this chapter. 250 MWe each, but the 30-year contract is seen by financial
analysts as promising because it demonstrates the quality of
the coal (Emery, 2008). PT RBM is investigating the
5.1 Foreign ownership – a common potential of building other, larger power plants within
Kalimantan.
feature of the coal industry
While the state is pondering whether to maintain or modify Another company seeking to expand its presence in Indonesia
the regulations that govern the coal industry, there is no is the Singapore-based business Straits Asia Resources. The
shortage of interest from foreign-owned corporations. company has already acquired the Sebuku mine which
Interestingly, the involvement of the global mining giants produces 2–3 Mt/y in South Kalimantan. Sebuku coal sells for
such as Rio Tinto and is not as high profile as elsewhere a price of 70 $/t (26 MJ/kg or 6300kcal/kg air-dried basis),
around the world, except in perhaps the trading of Indonesian though unusually 1.5 Mt was contracted for 2008 at prices of
coals. Japanese and South Korean firms are well established around 45 $/t. This means that Straits Asia Resources will
within the Indonesian coal industry, but it is the Chinese, have committed to 2008 tonnage at prices perhaps 60% below
Indian and now Middle Eastern firms which seem to be the world market price. By the end of 2007, Straits agreed a
emerging. deal to acquire a 100% interest in the Jembayan coal mine in
East Kalimantan for $350 million (MCIS, 2007b).
One notable example is the Indian power generator Reliance
purchased three coal concessions in South Sumatra to supply Production at Jembayan was 4 Mt/y in 2007 with the potential
power plants in India, including the 4000 MWe to produce 7.5 Mt/y with some additional capital expenditure.
Krishnapatnam plant which is expected to consume Straits Asia Resources acquired the shares which previously
12–15 Mt/y (MCIS, 2008c). Some 25 Mt/y could feed this belonged to Anugerah Bara Kaltim (82%) and Mitsui
and a number of other power projects in India. The additional Matsushima (18%). The operation is just 70 km from the
production arising from these new concessions represents a coast and produces low sulphur, low ash subbituminous coal,
significant increase on today’s output. The concessions are similar to that produced by Adaro, Kideco, and Kaltim Prima.
located at greenfield sites with little or no infrastructure and The following chapters are brief descriptions of the larger
are surrounded by hilly terrain. Reliance is planning to spend coal producers in Indonesia and the information was the best
$1 bn on shipping and logistics infrastructure including four available at the time of writing. However, ownership and
Capesize and four Panamax vessels. Shipping between production can change frequently.
Sumatra and the port of Krishnapatnam (due for completion
in 2009) takes two days less than vessels sailing from Chapters 6 to 13 describe the major corporations that make up
Kalimantan. The shorter distance therefore means two fewer much of today’s coal industry in Indonesia that (mostly)
days of charter rates and a delivered price of 10–15% less operate under the CCoW licence regime, with the exception
Key Facts
Key Facts
Coal blending is carried out at the port areas. The three ports
serving the mines are Lati, Sambarata, and Saran. The ports
have a stockpile capacity of 140,000 t, 75,000 t, and 200,000 t
respectively, and are equipped with conveyor facilities to load
coal onto barges.
The Tanjung Bara Coal Terminal is the key exit point for KPC
coal, 96% of which is sold for export. Here the coal is
stockpiled before reclaimers load the coal onto conveyors.
Coal is also loaded directly from the OLC from the mine. The
conveyor then runs offshore along a causeway for 2 km into
deep water where vessels of up to 210,000 dwt can berth.
Key Facts
The Mineral and Coal Act combines with the Investment Law
to formalise the investment climate, and provide support for
the coal industry to increase production to 300 Mt within five
years (Coaltrans, 2008). The key question is whether retaining
sovereignty over the exploitation of coal reserves will be
beneficial to the energy security of Indonesia. The
government has an extremely sensitive dilemma. While the
industry has some degree of protection through the limits on
foreign ownership, increasingly the foreign ownership is by
countries with an increasing appetite for internationally traded
coals, especially the high quality products sourced from the
low sulphur and low ash deposits in Kalimantan.
PT Kideco Jaya Agung 20.5 However, the Engineering and Mining Journal (E&MJ,
2008a) published an article covering this issue, describing
Banpu, of which is: 17.7 how much of the important forest grows above mineral
PT Indominco Mandiri 11.5 deposits. The impact of mineral mining, in this case coal, is
not surprisingly opposed by some government officials,
PT Berau 12.1 environmental non-government organisations (NGOs), and
PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA) 11.0 local communities. Although it is commonplace for coal
producers to work with parties to resolve environmental
PT Bayan Resources 8.0 issues, environmental law will continue to place pressure on
developers of opencast mines, and coal producers will need to
PT Anugerah Bara Kaltim 4.0
adapt to any changes and ever stricter working conditions
PT Jorong Barutama Greston* 3.0 over the long term.
Total 166.5
Back in 1999, a year after former President Suharto left
* refers to 2005 office, a major law was passed, the Forestry Law 41. Under
this law, certain categories of forest were designated for
its export record every year due to strengthening prices and protection. Certain economic activities could be undertaken
higher demand. The rupiah exchange rates with the US$ had depending on the forest category to help ensure that the
settled somewhat, and exports were boosted when China forests were not irrevocably damaged or changed. So, while
withheld its own export tonnage from the world market (due to mining companies could gain necessary permits from the
strong internal demand). Furthermore, a strengthening in the Ministry of Mines and Energy Resources to mine
Australian currency reduced Australian export concessions, any concession that contains forest also required
competitiveness. In 2005-06, infrastructure problems in a ‘borrow to use’ permit from the Department of Forestry.
Australia created supply bottlenecks to the export loading
ports preventing Australian producers from exploiting the extra Law 41 is somewhat confusing, and in some cases seems
demand in the Asian market. These reductions in exports from irrelevant. Article 38 of Law 41 prohibits opencast mining in
Australia and China thus created a supply gap in the Asia- areas designated as protected forests. This poses a particular
Pacific market, which Indonesian exporters were quick to fill. hindrance since coal seams generally lie in shallower
formations in Indonesia, and underground mining is almost
Interestingly, a considerable amount of coal in Indonesia had impossible in areas where the terrain is soft. However under
been reported to be mined illegally and exported to take Article 19, coal producers also have the opportunity to change
advantage of the high prices arising between 2005 and 2008. the status of a forest, making opencast mining possible. So
According to government reports, 20 Mt of coal was produced while well-intended, Law 41 could be adapted to suit the
and exported illegally every year during this period, and could mining industry under certain circumstances, although not
continue if the price of coal remains attractive. Most of the always. Law 41 became effective enough to discourage a
illegally mined coal came from operations adjacent to existing number of mine developments. Out of 22 companies that have
legal operations. applied for mining licences since the adoption of Law 41,
thirteen successful licences were granted concessions in areas
Some unauthorised operations were allegedly issued with protected forests (E&MJ, 2008a). Some companies were
illegitimate permits by local governments that did not gain the still awaiting verdicts from the Department of Forestry by
necessary authorisation from the central authorities. The 2008, and this uncertainty reduced the number of companies
20 Mt business accounted for a massive 10% of production, applying for mining permits.
losing the government the equivalent of $270 million in
revenue from taxes and royalties, had prices remained around In 2004 the government responded. In a decree, President
100 $/t FOB (Coal Age, 2008). Megawati Sukarnoputri declared that mining contracts signed
for areas that were designated as protected will be allowed to
proceed, despite Law 41 (Lezard, 2004). This initiative was a
15.2 The impact of forestry bid to restore confidence in the mining sectors that were
previously discouraged by Law 41.
protection
The international coal trade press writes little about The Ministry of Forestry came under criticism, particularly
from the mining lobby which claimed that the tree logging 20-year extension. Even within this period, revisions could
industry has become exempt from paying the same indemnity have been enforced if the terms and conditions of the
as mining companies for using natural forest for commercial concession were broken. According to OBG (2009), analysts
purposes. According to a survey by PriceWaterhouseCoopers, believe that big investors need economies of scale and time to
conflict between mining and forestry interests ranked as some ensure a guarantee on their investments, and that the new
of the most serious obstacles facing mining investment in terms may be insufficient. While the government has stated
Indonesia, so clearly there were continuing efforts by the that the restriction on land usage is aimed at encouraging the
Department of Forestry and interest groups to put pressure on growth of smaller local investors, many warn that the new
mine developers (Forbes, 2007). rules will deter larger foreign investments critical to the
industry’s expansion. These new laws are seen to be
Interestingly, the law appears to have been diluted by a applicable to CoW, but not to smaller KP contracts.
presidential decree issued on 4 February 2008. It states that
mining firms will pay into a compensation fund during the While there is some resolution on the way mining laws have
contract period, and the funds would be used to replant changed, initial discussions during the drafting stage earlier in
forests. Firms were able to pay between Rp 1.8–2.4 million 2008 suggested the direction the government could take in the
($200–265) per hectare for forest land. As well as opencast future.
mining, other activities that would be subject to the decree
include oil and gas companies, power transmission, These include discussions between government officials and
hydroelectric projects, geothermal power, toll road operators, coal producers about reserving 30–35% of lower heating
housing, and waste dumps (Azhari and others, 2008). value coal for the domestic market, with smaller measures
Previously, mining firms had to provide new land to applying to producers of higher heating value coal. An early
compensate for the use of forest areas, at twice the scale of draft of the new regulations also suggested that the domestic
the mining area. Unsurprisingly the decree faced criticism market obligation (DMO), could be set on an annual basis
from opposition groups, but cautious support from the mining (MCIS, 2008). This has major implications as it sets out a
sector. firm commitment for the government on energy security and
preserving solid growth in the domestic coal market,
particularly for the oft mentioned power generation.
15.3 Changes to the regulatory
Further to these discussions, there is also a sentiment that the
regime industry may well consolidate and a raft of new suppliers
Indonesia’s mining regulations have undergone a long awaited could replace the current industry structure. Castano (2008)
revision, but received a muted response from the main coal reported on the increasing support for greater state control
producers. In late 2008, the government announced a series of and could see the CoW being replaced, but this remains a
changes to the concession permit scheme which decentralised vision rather than a reality at the moment. Nevertheless,
the decision-making process away from central government Castano (2008) detailed ideas that included some form of
and towards the local and provincial authorities. It also staged expansion of current CoW reserves, which would
changed the terms of CoWs. require a CoW licence renewal on a more regular basis.
Some of the key changes involving the shift of authority have Even as the CoWs remain in place, there have been calls by
led to some legal uncertainty due to overlapping authority government members to raise taxes and royalties from the
between local and regional governments. As a result, coal companies, and to formalise an agreed price formulation
according to a brief analysis by the Oxford Business Group upon which tax revenues are calculated. Currently, the
(OBG, 2009), the past decade saw only one new CoW issued government would prefer to avoid changing the structure of
to an international mining company, while some international the industry fundamentally at a time when the coal industry as
investors, such as Australian firm BHP Billiton, have chosen it stands could expand operations and infrastructure on their
to abandon their large-scale commitments altogether. own. Shortening the CoWs from 30 to 20 years could mean
the expiry of CoWs within the next 5–10 years.
Some critical changes to concession are the upper limits for
areas of exploration. For existing First Generation Within the detail of any agreement, the regulatory
concessions, these were set at 100,000 ha per operation, but environment must consider whether more or less state control
under the new law, coal operations may only have access to serves the national interest. For example, China is positively
50,000 ha of land per operation for coal mining (and encouraging Indonesian exports by signing longer-term
100,000 ha for metal mining). This new limit should promote agreements with producers. Under this type of market
more diversity in the number of operations, but could condition, Indonesia is under pressure to produce more, while
encourage more illegal mining and less control over enforcing facing a reduction in the reserves of internationally-traded
environmental rehabilitation, although these criticisms are coals. Meeting the needs of overseas supply contracts almost
speculation in these early days of the new law. forces the government to resort to lower rank and less
economically transportable coals in Sumatra to meet domestic
Another fundamental change is the limit to the amount of needs. Whether this is good for security of supply is not
time allowed for extraction which has been revised down to certain.
20 years, with two possible 10-year extensions. The previous
law permitted CoW to be valid for 30 years with one possible The government is working to introduce a DMO to allocate a
Venezuela
Colombia
South Africa
Indonesia
Queensland
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Kaltim
Prima
Tanjung Bara (KPC) 210,000 dwt
East Kalimantan * overland transport via conveyor
Bontang/Tajung Meranggas
Indominco (Indominco) 90,000 dwt
Muara Berau (Berau Coal) 8000 dwt
Bayan
Central Kalimantan
Kideco
Tanah Merah (Kideco) 60,000 dwt
Apar Bay 6000 dwt
Adaro Makassar Strait
Kelanis river terminal
(Adarol) 10,000 dwt
Arutmin
Sembilang and Air Tawar river terminals, each 7500 dwt
South Kalimantan
Tanjung Permancingan 8000 dwt
currently reach 14,000 dwt, more than double the capacity of offshore trans-shipment for dry bulk in the world.
similar barges used in the 1980s. Even in today’s market,
these massive barges can compete on short haul voyages to A continuing drive for productivity and cost reduction is
domestic and nearby regional export markets, while smaller being pursued in the Indonesian barge industry, where the
10,000 dwt barges are useful for trans-shipment operations. massive volumes compensate for the high costs of trucking
Indonesia currently has the largest infrastructure of barge and from many Indonesian export producers (Pitch, 2005).
Rantaubarangin
port coal terminal (operating company)
maximum deadweight
Riau
anchorage point for offshore loading
(operating company) max deadweight
capacity
Allied Indo and PTBA
river terminal
West Sumatra
Jambi
Sungaipenuh
Kertipati
(PTBA) 7,000 dwt
Lahat
Lampung
Bandar
Lampung
economic and flexible system of transportation when compared Indonesia and is derived from MEMR data published by the
to the rail solutions often used in other major exporting IEA (2008) in the Energy Policy Review of Indonesia and
countries. This has not precluded rail from being developed in industry sources. According to these sources Indonesia’s port
Indonesia. Moving coal by rail is more common in Sumatra, capacity is 309 Mt/y. Not surprisingly, the bulk of the capacity
particularly in the South Sumatra and Lampung provinces. is located in East and South Kalimantan, the respective
However, rail transportation suffered from poor reliability in capacities being 140–150 Mt/y and 120–130 Mt/y. A further
the past and requires considerably more investment. Currently, 50 Mt/y is located in Sumatra. These capacities refer to
PTBA transports coal via a 400 km rail link connecting its mine maximum port capacities, and so actual capacities are
to the Tarahan port on the Sunda Strait, and smaller tonnages probably less than these figures, but nevertheless indicate the
go through Kertapati. Other rail projects are being mooted for potential for expansion in the future. Port costs are fairly
development in South Sumatra and Kalimantan. PTBA is to standard by world standards, in the range 1–3 US$/t (Baruya,
embark on a double track railway to double the rail capacity. 2007).
PTBA is also considering the construction of a canal from its
mine to the Bangka Channel. If these infrastructure There are a number of companies which have either exclusive
developments are successfully realised, PTBA production could or overall control over a number of ports. Companies with
quadruple, but the 2010 deadline is considered optimistic. dedicated port facilities include: Adaro Indonesia, Indominco,
Completion is likely to be considerably later. Kideco, Arutmin, Bukit Asam (PTBA), Berau Coal, and
Kaltim Prima to name just the main producers (see Table 5).
A few facilities are not strictly coastal ports, but are located
17.3 Offshore loaders and on rivers. One such example is the Kerpati Jetty, which is a
river terminal used by PTBA in Sumatra.
trans-shipment
The limits to the vessel size at Indonesian ports have given The combined North and South Pulau Laut Coal Terminals
rise to the use of offshore terminals, as discussed earlier, have a maximum capacity of 126 Mt/y. The South Terminal is
enabling Panamax (approximately 65–80,000 deadweight or owned by PT Indonesian Bulk Terminal and is the largest in
dwt) and Capesize (approximately 80–175,000 dwt) vessels to South Kalimantan (72 Mt/y). The Pulau Laut Coal Terminal is
be loaded easily. Consequently, export coals are loaded into a common-user located on the South Western tip of the island
barges at either river or coastal located loading facilities and of Pulau Laut opposite the south eastern coast of South
transported to offshore transfer points for loading onto Kalimantan Province in Indonesia. Kaltim Prima has the
ocean-going vessels or barged to a deep water coal terminal. largest capacity in East Kalimantan, the Tanjung Bara Coal
Terminal, with a maximum capacity of 77 Mt/y.
Indonesia has an unusually large capacity of shiploading
terminals that are situated off the country’s coast in the form of Where the onshore coal terminal might have restrictions on
offshore loaders. The two main designs of offshore loaders used vessel size, the ports operate in conjunction with offshore
in Indonesia are trans-shippers, which either utilise continuous floating terminals that can accommodate larger ships.
bucket chains for transfer from the barge, or the continuous Balikpapan Coal Terminal is located in a sheltered area of
conveyor system and ship loading boom. The latest Balikpapan Bay. The port readily accepts Panamax and
trans-shippers also combine storage facilities that improve the Capesize vessels, the latter being loaded at the Kalimantan
availability of spot shipments from Indonesia. For example, Floating Terminal (KFT) which is capable of manoeuvring to
Adaro operates the Banjarmasin floating crane with a locations that suit demand and weather conditions. This
15–20,000 t/d capacity and can accommodate vessels weighing particular facility has four unloading cranes and 65,000 t
more than 200,000 dwt. A typical Capesize vessel of stockpiling capacity where blending can take place.
100–150,000 dwt could therefore take around 5–10 days to load
fully. Kideco and KPC also operate floating cranes while Berau In combination with the country’s offshore loaders, there does
operates a semi submersible trans-shipment (SST) system. not appear to be any shortage in export terminal capacity,
given that the maximum potential capacity is 350–360 Mt/y
Offshore loading cranes are a fraction of the capital cost of (port and anchorage capacity). Total export for 2007 and 2008
fixed onshore port facilities, partly because they avoid the was about 200 Mt. Add to this the potential 30 Mt/y or so
need for land for siting. These so-called floating passing through coal discharge ports of Cigading
trans-shippers cost around $10 million for a crane capable of (Indocement), Paiton PEC, Paiton PLC, Paiton Jawa Power,
throughputting 3.3 Mt/y of coal. A large 30 Mt/y onshore and Suralaya, the total amount of coal that could be passing
terminal, however, would cost $1000 million, and so through Indonesian export ports is at least 230 Mt. With a
recovering the fixed costs of capital would be inflated by an maximum capacity of 365 Mt, Indonesian ports in 2007 might
order of ten times that of a floating crane. On an economic only have run at a utilisation of 65%. Indonesia therefore has
basis, floating trans-shippers have their benefits, even though plenty of scope for expansion in the near term.
the throughput capacity of the trans-shipper is considerably
lower than that of a fixed land system.
17.5 Common disruptions in coal
17.4 Port facilities supply
Coal exporters are faced by the usual constraints set by the
Table 5 lists the major ports and export terminals that exist in physical capacity of production, and transportation. There are
Table 5 Estimated export capacity in 2007/08 (Author’s estimates based on ICMA, 2007)
Port (P) terminal or anchorage (A) point Main User Estimated maximum capacity, Mt/y*
East Kalimantan
Balikpapaan Coal Terminal (P) Common user 23
Bontang Coal Terminal (P) Indominco 21
Tanah Merah Coal Terminal (P) Kideco 22
Tanjung Bara Coal Terminal (P) Kaltim Prima Coal 76
Teluk Apar (A) 2
Muara Berau/Muara Jawa (A) Various 3
Muara Pantai (A) Berau Coal 5
Tarakan (A) Mandiri Inti Perkasa 3
Subtotal for East Kalimantan 155
South Kalimantan
North Pulau Laut Coal Terminal (P) Arutmin 54
South Pulau Laut Coal Terminal (P) Common user 72
Jorong (A) Joromg Barutama 3
Sebuku (A) Bahari Cakrawala 2
Muara Satui (A) Arutmin, various 3
Taboneo (A) Adaro, various 5
Tanjung Petang (A) Arutmin, various 3
Satui (A) 2
Sembilang (A) 3
Tanjung Permancingan (A) 3
Subtotal for South Kalimantan 149
Sumatra
Kertapati Jetty (river) (A) Bukit Asam 3
Muarasabak (A) Various 2
Sungaipakning (A) Riau Coal, Manunggal Inti Arta 4
Pulau Baai Port (P) Various 14
Tarahan Coal Terminal (A) Bukit Asam 14
Teluk Bayur Port (P) Bukit Asam, Karbindo 13
Subtotal for Sumatra 50
Total port capacity 309
Total anchorage capacity 44
Trans-shipment fleet Estimated Mt/y*
Adaro floating crane 7
Berau semi-submersible trans-shipment 7
Kideco floating crane 7
KPC Floating transfer station 7
Common user floating crane 5
* annual tonnage based on maximum daily capacity times 360 days – actual tonnage will be below this
also occasional episodes of non capacity related bottlenecks industrial disputes, although they still occur. Weather related
that affect the smooth operation of supplying coal to incidents are more regular and frequently create what is
international and domestic markets. termed force majeure. This is an unplanned event that can
prevent the smooth operation of the coal supply chain or often
The Indonesian coal industry is not renowned for regular halt the supply of coal altogether. Indonesia’s climate is
slightly, and while PLN remains the dominant force in the and offices would be required to use their own power
power market, IPPs remain an increasingly important provider generators ten hours per week between 17:00 and
of capacity development. Yet, while the crisis in the power 22:00 hours – the busiest hours for stores and hotels.
market continues, there seems a greater confidence in meeting Shopping centres were opposed to the plan, saying additional
the challenges. costs of up to Rp100 million (US$10,869) per month would
be incurred.
18.2 Crisis in the power markets In 2008, PLN imposed rotating power blackouts in Jakarta
and surrounding suburbs due to a massive shortage of power
The country has suffered from power shortages for many (1000 MWe) resulting from a range of events that hit the
years and PLN has been forced to manage existing power region simultaneously. Flooding afflicted 60% of Jakarta for
demands despite shortages of power supply. In 2008, two days, while a disruption in coal and oil deliveries to
Indonesian industry was at risk of losing $4.5 million over a power stations resulted from rough seas affecting offshore
two-month period due to production interruptions resulting transport (Jakarta Post, 2008a).
from power blackouts (Jakarta Post, 2008d). Industrial
facilities avoided power outages by shifting their operation The possibility of mandatory blackouts were also considered
schedules to minimise financial losses. In July 2008, the during the holy period of Ramadan and the New Year public
government responded by issuing a regulation ordering holiday. Electricity consumption in Java and Bali was
manufacturing industry in Java and Bali to shift one or two estimated to increase by 2.5% during this period and so PLN
working days every month to a weekend, but excluded those expected to save up to 200 MWe of electricity every day by
facilities that operated 24 h/d. This measure helped save an forcing commercial properties such as shopping malls, hotels
average of 180 MW/d, but remained well short of the and offices to switch to on-site back-up generators.
600 MW/d of savings that was actually required (Jakarta Post,
2008f). There is a danger that the Indonesian economy could suffer a
repeat of the 1990s economic crisis, resulting in a considerable
Hospitals and the Indonesian Red Cross in Bandung reported downturn in end-user demand. This demand ‘destruction’ can
power cuts disrupting operations with little warning, and be brought about by high prices for energy as well as the
back-up power systems could not be brought into service to impact of blackouts. Yet, a more predictable and possibly
avert the problem (Jakarta Post, 2008b). While fatalities were fundamental impact on the demand for electricity could be the
not reported, clinical operations remained at high risk of gradual withdrawal of subsidies to the end-users of electricity.
being subject to power cuts.
Figure 14 illustrates the degree to which the government
Further power saving measures were proposed forcing funded Rp35 trillion towards households and industries. In
commercial properties in Java and Bali to undergo extreme 2008, an estimated state budget of Rp60 trillion was reported
efficiency measures. Under the PLN regulation, malls, hotels to be set aside for financing the subsidised power tariffs for
1000
B2
>2200 B3
s/d >200
Rp/kWh
R1 R1 200 kVA
1300 2200 kVA
VA VA 1.3
R1 >200 kVA
500 900 VA
1.4
>30,000 kVA
R2-R3
R1
s/d 450 VA
B1 1.1-1.2
business
households industries
groups
2009 (ESDM, 2008). Given that the elasticity of the demand too high and the systems require better maintenance and
for electricity might be considered low in many industrialised upgrading. Raising funds to finance such capital intensive
countries, the proportion of income that is devoted to energy projects is difficult as the tariffs remain subsidised. It also
by a household in an emerging economy may be much higher. puts great pressure on PLN to meet the power station
The demand elasticity may therefore be significantly higher in construction targets (IEA, 2008). Tariffs for industrial
Indonesia than first thought. consumers are already set to rise, but whether this will release
enough funds is yet to be seen.
Therefore, demand destruction could be potentially high,
easing the burden on the power system, reducing the need for The PLN annual report published in 2007 reported the total
new electricity capacity and lessening the financial investment capacity to be 25 GWe for the year 2006, while MEMR report
required. The obvious downside is the impact on end-users, power generating capacity in 2006 to be around 31 GWe
notably households, and the ensuing social disruption and (CDIEMR, 2006). It is likely that the latter refers to the power
probable increase in power theft and losses that might cost the capacity to which PLN have access, which also includes IPP
PLN in different ways. However, the signals to suggest this and industrial generators. This is confirmed by reports from
are not yet apparent. Frequent reports of power shortages keep GPR (2008) which estimate that additional capacity of
highlighting the threat to the country’s economy especially non-PLN generation is around 6–7 GWe. When added to the
during periods of global economic crisis. 25 GWe of capacity stipulated in the PLN annual report, this
means the total national capacity is close to 31–32 GWe.
18.3 Power generating capacity in Historically, oil has been the main fuel for power generation.
As Figure 15 shows, the country’s capacity still has a
Indonesia significant proportion that is oil- and diesel-fired (accounting
Before 1990, Indonesia had less than 10 GWe of generating for 20%). As part of the policy to promote greater energy
capacity; more than half was fuelled by oil products. After security, some 8 GWe of diesel-fired capacity is earmarked to
1990, Indonesia witnessed a startling rise in power generating be converted to coal-fired capacity, in addition to the extra
capacity during the initial IPP programme. Power capacity 10 GWe of new coal-fired power capacity by the year 2010.
developments throughout most of the 1990s kept pace with However, the likelihood of the full capacity conversion
the high growth in demand, especially in areas which had occurring by this time is questionable. There has been little
previously not been electrified. This growth continued for a reporting of the closure of power stations in Indonesia. In the
short period after the 1997 currency crisis when committed light of the power supply crisis that has afflicted the Java and
investments were still being built, with a range of gas and Bali grid, there is probably increasing pressure to keep older
coal-fired projects coming on line along with a number of stations open.
hydro and geothermal developments.
Grid reinforcements and transmission upgrades are seen as an Figure 15 Estimated installed power generating
effective way forward to help meet the country’s power needs. capacity in Indonesia, 2006 (IEA CCC
Transmission and distribution losses exceeding 10% are still estimates based on MEMR, 2007)
Today, the bulk of generated power comes from the country’s to start operation in 2016 and could provide 4000–6000 MWe
gas- and coal-fired stations, each of which contributes 34% of to the Java-Bali grid although the more detailed progress
the capacity. All the coal capacity is based on conventional seems to have been achieved with the Korean 2x1000 MWe
boiler and steam turbine technology. Two-thirds of the project (Jakarta Post, 2008e). According to the MEMR
gas-fired capacity is higher efficiency CCGT; the rest is lower working group, Indonesia needs 10,000 MWe of nuclear
efficiency, but more flexible, single-cycle gas systems capacity on at least three sites in coming years.
(turbines, boilers and internal combustion engines).
Figure 15 shows that hydro accounts for just 11% of the 18.5 Utilisation and efficiency of the
country’s 31 GWe generating capacity.
power station fleet
Indonesia has a substantial potential for hydroelectricity. Indonesia has a range of both large and very small coal-fired
According to MEMR (2007), Indonesia has the potential for power stations, some as small as a few MW for industrial
75 GWe, with a micro/mini hydro potential of 0.5 GWe. The sites. This is also the case for gas- and oil-fired stations. For
World Energy Council estimates a gross theoretical capability this reason, different plants can operate very differently across
of 2200 TWh/y, although just 40 TWh is economically the energy industry. Official figures published by the MEMR
exploitable. Reconciling the two figures is dependent on the indicate that the capacity factor or utilisation of the thermal
assumptions of potential hydro operation throughout the year, fleet averaged 48% in 2006 (IEA, 2008).
but assuming a good annual utilisation of 40%, then the
economically exploitable capability published by the WEC Official figures of station performance published by MEMR
translates to an installed gross capacity closer to 11 GWe. do not provide readily the utilisation or generating efficiency
Other potential, but less significant resources include wind for any particular type of plant, namely coal, gas or oil.
energy potential of 9 GWe, solar potential of 4.8 kWh/m2/d, Instead, utilisation and generating efficiency trends are
and a biomass potential of 49 GWe. published for all ‘thermal’ plants only. Utilisation detail is
given, however, for hydroelectricity and geothermal power.
Coal-fired generation is discussed in considerably more detail
in Chapter 19. However, as a brief introduction, coal-fired Using the best available data, a breakdown of the thermal fleet
generation increased from 0.2 GWe in 1996 to 10 GWe in is still possible. Based on the author’s analysis, the fleet
2005 driving the total consumption of steam coal in the utilisation and efficiency can be derived for a simple list of
country from 6 Mt to 27 Mt (Coaltrans, 2006). In early 2006, generating technology types including:
the government announced that oil-fired power (8 GWe) ● coal;
would be replaced by coal-fired stations. ● natural gas in combined cycle;
● natural gas in single cycle, boiler, or internal
While there are ambitious plans to build new capacity, the combustion;
supporting infrastructure has been inadequate. According to ● hydroelectricity;
the IEA (2008), reliability and quality throughout the system ● geothermal;
has been compromised as repair and maintenance has been ● other renewables (excluding geothermal and hydro).
less than adequate. Along with the occasional fuel supply
disruption, the rising cost of fuel consumption (and Despatch curves are an effective method of illustrating the
emissions) from less efficient plants, has meant that some way power stations have operated over a period of a year.
power stations have been unable to be fully utilised, although Figure 16 provides a representative despatch curve based on
improvements are being made in the newer plants. the groupings listed above. This despatch ‘curve’ includes the
whole Indonesian power generating fleet as of 2006, inclusive
of both PLN and non-PLN generators. In reality, the despatch
18.4 Nuclear power of power stations is not carried out in such discrete blocks. On
a day-to-day basis, the despatch curve is smooth and
Korea has been heavily involved in Indonesia’s efforts to generation for individual station units is spread across the
develop nuclear power. The Korea Electric Power Corp and curve. Station despatch changes hourly as well as annually
Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co (KHNP) signed a depending on the availability of the plant and the cost of
memorandum of understanding in 2007 with Indonesia’s PT generation. Nevertheless, the illustration provides a useful
Medco Energi Internasional to make progress on a feasibility simplified picture of the way a fleet of stations operate over a
study to build two 1000 MWe OPR-1000 units from KHNP at typical year.
a cost of US$3 billion. Also in 2007, the Japanese and
Indonesian Governments signed an agreement to assist in the Figure 16 shows how the country’s 30 GWe of generating
preparation, planning, and promotion of Indonesia’s nuclear capacity comprises mainly coal-fired and gas-fired CCGT
power development. The IAEA is reviewing the safety aspects capacity. The vertical axis indicates the amount of generating
of two proposals with Indonesia’s Nuclear Technology capacity the country had operating in 2006-07, and the
Supervisory Agency. horizontal axis shows the percentage of the year that these
fleets of power stations operated, otherwise referred to as
While a working group of the Ministry (MEMR) is still utilisation (100% being 365 days, or 8760 hours). The area of
considering nuclear power as a concept, local opposition is a each block indicates the amount of power generated in GWh
problem. One of the proposals, the Muria plant, is earmarked (convert % utilisation to hours by multiplying by 87.6).
35
oil (boiler/IC/turbine)
30
gas turbine/boiler/CHP
hydroelectricity
Gross generating capacity, GWe
25
gas CCGT
existing coal
20
geothermal and others
15
10
0
0 5 10 10 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Utilisation, %
Figure 16 Representative power despatch curve for Indonesia. Based on utilisations averaged over seven
years, and capacity levels for 2006
One of the outcomes of the IEA CCC analysis is the modest levels, shortfalls in availability and output must be met by
utilisation of the coal and CCGT plants, which average 60% fossil-fuelled sources. Yet, since 2000 utilisation has averaged
or less, somewhat higher than the official 48% for all thermal little more than 30%. Opponents of fossil fuels might push for
plants. Given that the country has been heading towards a a greater role for renewable energy; however in times of need,
state of power shortage, one would expect thermal plants to renewables cannot always deliver. For example, the Cirata and
have been pushed harder to produce more power. That they Saguling hydroelectric stations in West Java operated below
haven’t could be due to a range of factors such as fuel capacity due to the poor availability of water. Low hydro
availability; the rise in fuel input prices making operation of availability seems an unusual problem given that flooding
inefficient plant prohibitively expensive; and inadequate affected Jakarta, but nevertheless illustrates the limited
infrastructure development to carry more electricity across the conditions under which hydro can operate. Hydro requires
grid from the power stations. weeks and months of steady water supply in preceding months
before it can adequately supply electricity to any market.
Nevertheless, the figure of 60% utilisation still seems low
when compared to the utilisation of some of the more recently Promoting more wind energy is always possible, but current
built coal-fired stations. Some newer coal-fired stations have technology is insufficient to meet the needs of a rapidly
been available for operation for well over 80% of the year, growing economy in a cost-effective way. Given the
such as those at the Paiton II complex (Elsworth, 2008) . This geographical nature of Indonesia, the amount of wind
potential for high utilisation would infer that other, older coal capacity to service a 30% reserve margin above peak demand
stations must be operating well below the fleet average for would require a phenomenal investment in a form of power
coal of 60–65%. generation that can be highly (and regularly) unpredictable,
again underestimating the complex nature of renewable
Gas-fired (non-CCGT) and oil-fired generators act as either investments in many parts of the world.
back-up or peaking plant during periods of high demand, and
so are located further up the despatch curve. The rising cost of In the right location, geothermal energy provides a much
oil products in recent years means that operating oil plants more secure form of electricity production than both wind and
have become prohibitively expensive, given the low hydro, and has been actively pursued in Indonesia.
generating efficiencies achieved by some of these ageing Geothermal power is a more stable and available source of
plants. However, a massive drop in the world price of crude renewable power, albeit limited by extremely high capital
oil in late-2008 and early-2009 may make oil generation more costs per kWe and suitable locations. Geothermal power is
attractive, but not by much if the prices of gas and coal drop available for around 90% of the year in Indonesia, which is
as well. Coal-fired power is discussed in more detail in probably better than any other form of renewable energy. Its
Chapters 19–21. high utilisation makes it superior in many ways to wind power
and hydroelectricity.
Hydroelectricity is considered a ‘must-run’ source of power,
and hence during periods of low reservoir or run-of-river Indonesia lies on the cusp of three tectonic plates, the edge of
60
50
40
Net efficiency, %
30
20
10
0
gas CCGT gas turbine/ existing coal oil officially
boiler/CHP (boiler/IC/ reported
turbine) thermal
average
Table 6 Heat rates and efficiencies of selected Indonesian power stations (Marpaung and Miyatake, 2003)
the data that is provided publicly does not provide a clear Author’s analysis suggests that existing oil boilers operate at a
enough picture. notably poorer generating efficiency of around 25%. A large
proportion of the oil-fired units are internal combustion
According to author calculations, the average efficiency of the generators using diesel, and anecdotally, it is suggested that
CCGT fleet is just below 50%, a figure typical of plants built many power blackouts were avoided in the past by
in the 1990s, but low compared to the efficiencies of 50–60% commercial and wealthy domestic users switching to diesel
typical for this type of technology built today (see Figure 17). back-up generators in times of need.
The efficiencies for the remaining thermal stations, namely
gas and oil (in both combined cycle and non-combined cycle) The low efficiencies of all the older thermal generators makes
suggest that listed CCGTs operate at around 42–43%, and fossil fuel generation relatively expensive. Electricity tariffs
non-CCGT and oil stations operate at around 31%, although paid by end-users in industry, commerce and households are
some operate at an efficiency as low as 18%. This shows that, subsidised and so therefore do not reflect properly the cost of
apart from coal, the average estimates calculated for the fleet power generation in Indonesia today. Large subsidies place
shown in Figure 17 are in broad agreement with the list of great pressure on government funding, as well as placing
stations in Table 6. pressure on PLN to deliver on investment targets while unable
The project should cost 1780 $/kWe, to be financed by a mix Table 7 lists the key coal-fired power projects that were
of project finance and equity. The sales tariff was set at planned to form a major part of the first phase of the ‘crash
programme’. Not all of these projects would be completed foreign lender the Chinese Export-Import Bank and other
within the proposed timescale, and some may not be built. Chinese investors (PiA, 2009). PLN investments were
Nevertheless, the programme remains a firm commitment to therefore subject to the risks faced by global financial
alleviate the power crisis that already faces much of the markets, especially from that of foreign lenders. By April
economy. Based on the list, seven of the eleven projects will 2009, Chinese lenders accounted for $1.7 bn of the $5.5 bn
be located in Java and two in Sumatra. The entire list funds PLN had secured (Ismar, 2009).
represents 18,000 MWe, although 12,600 MWe had
commissioning dates as of 2006 when the list was originally Phase II of the ‘crash programme’ consists of plants to come
compiled. The construction and financial status of each on line between 2009 and 2013, but given the delays
project changes and it is quite likely that the names, experienced by the first phase, many Phase I stations are
capacities, and final commissioning dates will have altered by unlikely to come online until at least 2011, and so the first and
2010. second phases will overlap, with Phase II projects likely to be
completed thereafter. Financing Phase II of the ‘crash
The Phase I of the programme cost $8 bn. Of the $8 bn total programme’ will require $17.25 bn, more than double the unit
funding, the programme required $4.4 bn in foreign currency cost of the coal-fired projects in Phase I (PiA, 2009). The
loans. As of August 2008, just $2.4 bn had been raised (PiA, reason for the hike in cost is the increased role of independent
2008). A further $1.4 bn was raised from local currency loans, power producers (IPP) who will require higher returns on
out of a total $1.9 bn required for the programme. As the investment. Furthermore, Phase II has less emphasis on
target date of 2010 for the first phase of the ‘crash coal-fired power, and instead includes 4.7 GWe of geothermal
programme’ was drawing closer, refinancing during the capacity which incurs a higher capital investment than coal
2008-09 global economic problems led to higher loan interest projects.
rates being sought by some funding bodies, such as the
Only 2.6 GWe is expected to be coal fired, 1.4 GWe will be gas the ‘crash programme’ which expects geothermal and gas-
fired, and 1.2 GWe hydroelectric plant. While the operation of fired projects to feature in the investment programme. One
all the plant is expected to start in 2014, if finance problems of the notable features of the second phase of the ‘crash
arise as it did for Phase I, it is possible that the completion of programme is the heavier reliance on private sector
the ‘crash programme’ may be sometime around 2016, but this involvement, much of which could come from foreign
has not been confirmed by any official source. interests.
While there appears to be some expectation that the Figure 18 factors in a 2–3 year delay in the commissioning of
government target could fall short, it does demonstrate a some of the plants, omitting those stations where the
pro-active attitude of the government towards the electricity commissioning date is not yet known.
crisis, and soon after the aftermath of the currency crisis of
the 1990s. Indonesia is also studying the possibility of Whether this building trend is enough to meet the demand
building a high voltage cable across the Sunda straits which remains to be seen, but with improvements in operating
separates the southern tip of Sumatra and the western part of utilisation and efficiencies of the coal-fired fleet, plus
Java. The 800 km link would be capable of transmitting improvements in transmission, coal is clearly helping to
3000 MWe between South Sumatra and Java. Provided alleviate the power crisis, although there is some way to go.
funding of $1.8 bn is raised, the project could be completed Environmentally, the use of control systems can minimise air
by 2012 (Energy Times, 2008). pollution, but CO2 emissions from the power sector are set to
rise. Over the long term this will be deemed unacceptable if
The economic crisis of the 1990s left the private sector Indonesia signs up to CO2 emission cuts under a global
reluctant to reinvest in Indonesia for some years, but there has agreement. In the meantime, CO2 reduction measures have
been a turnaround in sentiment more recently. The PLN been at the periphery of Indonesian energy policy, but are
capacity construction plans and IPP stations that are under quickly growing in importance.
construction will result in the trend seen in Figure 18 –
assuming no further decommissioning occurs. Between 2000
and 2005, Indonesia saw no new coal-fired stations coming 19.2 Clean coal technology and
online, but 2006 brought in the 300 MWe Calicap power
station and Tanjung Jati B (2 x 660 MWe) stations. The initial
tackling climate change
operation of Tanjung Jati B was not straightforward as According to the IEA (2008), Indonesia ranked 19th amongst
problems with weather affected logistics which subsequently the highest emitters of fossil fuel greenhouse gases, with
hit coal supply. some 24% attributed to coal burning. Considering the major
push to promote energy and economic security through
Between 2006 and 2012, Indonesia could see a doubling of adoption of coal-fired generation, any increase in CO2
its coal-fired power station capacity (see Figure 18). This emissions is likely to be substantial. According to reports in
doubling assumes the construction of only those stations 2008, emissions from the energy sector could rise from
shown in Table 7 that have firm commissioning dates, 1 GtCO2 to 2.9 Gt in 2050 (Simamora, 2008). As road
namely the 12.6 GWe of stations earmarked to come online transport and industry are also consumers of primary energy,
between 2009 and 2012, which overlaps with the Phase II of this level will be much higher.
60
40
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50 other industry
pulp and paper industry
cement
electricity generation
40 iron and steel
30
Sales, Mtce
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Figure 19 Domestic coal sales within Indonesia 2000-06, Mtce (CDIEMR, 2007)
CCC power station database, CoalPower, the Banjarmasin There are eleven major cement works spread across East and
power station operated by PLN is one such example of a West Java, Sumatra, and Sulawesi (see Table 8). The largest
station that burns lignite. At just 130 MWe Banjarmasin is producer is PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, commonly
not a significant producer of electricity. However, Indonesia known as Indocement. According to the corporate website,
has around 5–6 GWe of generating capacity fuelled by Indocement operates 12 plants with an annual capacity of
subbituminous coals whose qualities border on lignite in 17 Mt mainly located in West Java. All the fuel consumed by
terms of moisture content, but have a higher calorific value Indocement is domestically-sourced coal, while biomass such
(as defined by MEMR as having a heating value <21 MJ/kg as rice husk is burned successfully in two plants. Indocement
or 5000 kcal/kg). operates a 55 MWe coal-fired plant to provide all the power
required by a plant located at Tarjun. The plant is located in
Production and consumption of lignite is not easily Kalimantan and so is well suited to receive local coals. Most
determined since even the IEA Indonesian energy balance other sites are located in Java, and served by grid electricity.
categorises all coal used in Indonesia under the category of In the case of Citeurup, there is a 300 MWe diesel-/gas-fired
‘Other bituminous’. Practically no production, trade, or plant, as well as a number of small back-up plants that operate
consumption data are given for subbituminous or lignite coals on oil products. The state-owned company Semen Gresik (or
(IEA, 2008). Similar omissions occur in the WEC and trade Gresik Cement) also operates 2x25 MW coal-fired units at the
journals which publish a wealth of reserves and resources data Tonasa cement plant. Coal consumption elsewhere in the
on lignite, but refer vaguely to the actual production and cement industry is primarily for cement production.
consumption of lignite in power stations, briquetting plants,
and industry. Paper and pulp industries have had a less spectacular growth
in coal use, but still high rising at 7%/y between 2000 and
Based on a list of planned plants to be constructed by PLN 2006 to 1 Mtce (see Figure 19). Coal use averages around 1–2
(see Table 7, page 53), some 6 GWe of plants are earmarked Mt/y and is consumed by four major producers of paper, pulp,
for, or are under construction in South Sumatra. South and paper products. Historically the largest consumer of coal
Sumatran coals have quite respectable heating values of in the paper and pulp industry has been the Indonesian-based
21–27 MJ/kg (5000–6500 kcal/kg) but high moisture paper and stationery company, PT Tjiwi Kimba (see Table 8).
contents, often exceeding 50%. Classifying these coals as
lignite or subbituminous is therefore not as straightforward as The most interesting trend, apart from power generation is the
it first seems. However, expansion of the power industry rise in ‘other’ industries. Other non-specified industries have
indicates that perhaps a further 13–17 Mt of low rank coal experienced the highest growth of any sector, rising by an
will be needed to fuel these power plants over the next five to average of 22% every year since 2000, eventually reaching
ten years. Therefore, low rank coals could constitute half of 12.6 Mtce. The likely recipients of this coal are other smaller
future coal demand. industries that might include small brick and ceramic works
as well as the rapidly growing manufacturing sector, or any
other sector operating small heat and steam raising boilers
20.2 Coal demand in industry fired with coal. Jolly and others (2004) suggested that the
government’s promotion of the use of coal briquettes in the
Reports in 2002 suggested that energy intensive industries household sector would be significant. In reality coal
such as pulp and paper, cement, textiles, and food producers briquettes have experienced limited growth, amounting to a
could save 50% of their energy procurement costs by mere 30 ktoe in 2006. This may well grow in the future.
switching away from oil to coal (ISAI, 2002). Little has
changed since. A switch to coal is becoming a necessity as the
power generation sector shifts to a more secure and cheaper 20.3 Projections for coal demand
source of fuel.
beyond 2012
According to IEA data, industrial coal demand amounted to Energy supply policy appears to centre around the avoidance
18.6 Mtce (in 2006), and has steadily increased its share of of oil consumption. In doing so, the current energy mix could
the market since 2000. Coal usage in heavy industry is limited change radically. The potential for coal to serve a greater role
to non-metallic minerals production, chiefly cement in the domestic energy market could even compromise
(see Figure 19). According to MEMR (2007), the cement long-term growth in coal exports. This is evident in the
sector had increased coal consumption at a rate of 16%/y projected coal mix set out by MEMR (2008a) in Figure 20.
between 2000 and 2006, rising from 2 Mtce to 5 Mtce.
A great deal of this optimism comes from the programme of
Cement production in 2005-06 averaged around 34–35 Mt, of power generation conversion and new coal-fired capacity
which 32 Mt was used domestically and 2 Mt was exported (see Chapter 19). Industry projections show some agreement
(ASI, 2009). The cement industry has a design capacity of with the official government figures. According to PT BUMI
some 45 Mt/y of cement (41 Mt of clinker). Clinker is a Resources, only 42% of the 10,000 MWe (4200 MWe) is
product of sintering a powdery ‘rawmix’ of limestone and likely to be operational by 2010, although the operation of the
clay (or shale) in a cement kiln. Clinker consists of nodules of full target capacity will only be delayed by a year or two. In
3–25 mm in diameter which is later mixed with additives the longer term, MEMR estimates that the overall domestic
(typically gypsum) that aids grinding and the setting of the consumption of coal will rise from around 50 Mt in 2006 to
final cement product. 220 Mt in 2025. It is worth stressing that the demand for coal
Cement industry
Indocement Cirebon, PT West Java 380,396 294,216 313,497 – –
Indocement Citeureup, PT West Java 1,352,144 1,019,868 800,923 1,639,131 1,619,575
Indocement Tarjun, Pt South Kalimantan 341,509 370,118 269,564 – –
Semen Andalas, PT West Sumatra 35,643 47,050 168,000 162,929 –
Semen Baturaja, Pt South Sumatra 71,340 103,357 94,005 122,493 133,002
Semen Bosowa Maros, PT South Sulawesi 247,509 152,976 251,007 246,696 213,503
Semen Cibinong, PT (Holcim) West Java 602,772 897,669 885,643 918,833 891,393
Semen Gresik, PT East Java 912,029 862,606 715,172 1,033,225 1,064,138
Semen Padang, PT West Sumatra 474,430 680,636 692,392 703,015 746,242
Semen Tonasa, PT South Sulawesi 724,963 462,696 577,777 445,833 474,869
Semen Kupang, PT E Nusa Tenggara – – 5,639 13,535 9,440
Subtotal 5,142,737 4,684,969 4,773,621 5,285,690 *5,635,401
Pulp industry
Indah Kiat, PT Riau 163,282 7,514 1,198,000 369,421 378,928
Inti Indorayon Utama, PT North Sumatra – 8,355 – 8,355 n/a
Jaya Kertas, PT East Java 20,884 27,834 32,549 54,502 n/a
Tjiwi Kimia, PT East Java 638,652 455,881 473,949 728,630 n/a
Subtotal 822,818 499,585 1,704,498 1,160,908 *1,404,986
Metallurgy
Antam Tbk, PT South Sulawesi 13,598 120,000 62,273 46,270 53,263
Inco Tbk, PT South Sulawesi 123,496 77,874 109,511 51,162 140,000
Koba Tin, PT Bangka Belitung 30,231 2,185 10,000 7,321 8,045
Timah Tbk, PT Bangka Belitung 14,371 8,661 20,122 14,427 n/a
Subtotal 181,698 208,720 201,907 119,180 *203,236
Briquette 31,265 24,078 24,976 22,552 28,216
Others 1,593,063 3,792,481 957,323 6,343,119 7,600,000
Total 27,327,916 29,257,002 30,657,939 35,809,995 *41,243,429
10
20.4 Impact of plant utilisation on
0
2005 2025 future coal demand
renewables and other coal The assumptions made by Chawalitakul and Amit (2008) used
natural gas oil for calculating coal demand are that coal-fired power stations
liquefied coal
all operate at a rate of 7884 hours per year, equivalent to 90%
of the year. Officially, the capacity factor for thermal plants
Figure 20 Official projections for the Indonesian published by MEMR (2007) was just 46–52% per year
primary energy mix (MEMR, 2008a) between 2000 and 2006, so a reality check may be needed
when considering the future performance of the coal-fired
fleet, especially with regards to fuel consumption and
subsequent power station emissions.
Table 9 Projected coal demand by sector, Mt
(MEMR, 2008a) Analysis described in Section 18.5 suggests that coal-fired
stations probably only operated for 60–65% per year,
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 considerably short of the 90% assumed by Chawalitakul and
Amit (2008) as shown in Table 10. However, new stations will
Electricity 25.7 33.7 36.5 40 61.7 72.3
operate at higher loads as suggested by Emsworth (2008). Yet,
Cement industry 5.2 5.9 6.6 6.9 7.6 8.4 90% is still an extremely high utilisation rate common more
among nuclear power stations rather than coal-fired stations,
Metallurgical
2.5 2.7 3.3 4.0
but still possible. If a conservative utilisation of 75% were
Industry, pulp, 1.6 2.2
textile, briquette applied to new coal stations, the additional coal consumption
by the 10,000 MWe ‘crash programme’ would be nearer
UDC – – – – – 1.0 15–25 Mt/y instead of 36 Mt/y (see Figure 21). The lower end
Others 8.9 6.2 4.4 3.4 2.4 4.3 of the range (15 Mt/y) is consistent with today’s consumption
of mainly subbituminous coals, and the higher figure
Total 41.4 48 50 53 75 90 (25 Mt/y) would apply if all the additional capacity used
lower rank coals with lower heating values and higher
moisture contents. While this does not provide conclusive
results, it outlines the potential error that can arise based on
Table 10 Indonesia’s 10 GW of coal-fired the assumptions made.
capacity – how much coal is needed?
(Chawalitakul and Amit, 2008)
20.5 Impacts of power generating
Criteria Assumption
efficiency on coal demand
Power capacity, MWe 10,000
In addition to plant utilisation, consideration must be made
Operating hours, h/y (equivalent to 90% for appropriate generating efficiencies. According to
7,884
utilisation) Chawalitakul and Amit (2008), the additional 36 Mt of coal
Power production, GWh 78,840 consumption comes from stations with efficiencies of 34%
(based on an heat rate of 10,550 kJ/kWh), burning a low
Power heat rate, kJ/kWh 10,550 quality coal of 23 MJ/kg (5500 kcal/kg).
Energy required, PJ 831,760
According to IEA CCC analysis, the average net efficiency of
Coal quality, kcal/kg 5,500 coal-fired stations operating in Indonesia in 2006 was around
Coal heat rate, MJ/kg 23.02
30%. So if the efficiency of the ‘crash programme’ fleet is just
34%, there does not appear to be a significant improvement in
Coal required, Mt/y 36.1 efficiency in the future build programme. The 34% efficiency
50
40
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
500
exports
450 others
UBC
400 metallurgical, pulp, textiles, briquettes
cement
350 electricity generation
300
Coal, Mt
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2015 2020 2025
Figure 22 Projected coal demand and exports 2005-25, Mt (MEMR, 2008a; MCIS, 2008; SSY, 2008)
exported. This extra demand from domestic power stations the global seaborne market, while supplies from other exporters
could conflict with the export business, especially during such as South Africa and Australia were unable to keep pace
periods of high international prices. due to slower developments in coal infrastructure, and China
withdrew from the market to satisfy domestic demand.
In the future, the government may impose a domestic market Indonesia also benefits from having low sulphur coal.
obligation (DMO) to prevent coal supplies from being
diverted away from domestic power stations. This obligation In 2008, Indonesian coal exporters were able to deliver during
would be imposed on the Indonesian coal industry to ensure a a period of extremely high demand and rising prices. At
certain proportion or tonnage of product is directed to times, Indonesian steam coal was being traded at a premium
Indonesian end-user customers. A DMO could be developed of 5–8 $/t over Australian export coal (based on the
to discourage export business by the imposition of some kind GlobalCoal Physical Newcastle index). While a large part of
of out-going taxes or tariffs. However, this may prove difficult the coal industry is geared towards exports settled at market
as the government’s previous attempt in 2005 was ruled prices, a smaller proportion of the export coal from Indonesia
illegal by the country’s highest court. As an alternative, the has been subject to some government influence, indirectly and
government may impose a quota system, enforcing all coal directly. Firstly, there is the indirect effect of mining
producers to allocate a certain portion of their production for operations, which have benefited historically from purchasing
domestic sales. A side-effect is that the government may lose subsidised fuels such as diesel. Secondly, direct impacts come
some revenue from export taxes, but the value to the domestic from government departments influencing the price at which
economy to prevent blackouts could be considerably greater. coal is sold to customers.
How the DMO would take form is unknown, if one were to Recent discussions have pushed prices up towards market
exist at all. Some coal mining companies already have levels. For example, in 2008 Indonesian coal officials met
contractual agreements with domestic end-users. For with the fuel buying arm of Malaysian utility TNB to
example, ITMG already sells around 1.1 Mt/y (6.3%) of its renegotiate contracts between the utility and Indonesia’s coal
coal domestically – mainly from the lower quality Jorong producers. Previously, contract prices were settled at rates
mine. Hence, if the required DMO is not too onerous, the well below the market level for export coal. The Indonesian
company may have already met its obligations. However, it Government recognised the value of coal as a commodity and
may need to raise its domestic sales if the required DMO is the potential for maximising royalty and tax revenues. To
significantly higher (say 10–15% of total production). A more redress the difference between the TNB contracts and the
negative impact, however, could come from a policy that world price of coal, government auditors informed ministry
forces DMO allocated coal to be sold at a substantial discount officials that coal contracts should reflect index prices used by
to the seaborne market prices. However, the coal used for the international market.
power generation in Indonesia tends to be of lower quality
(heat rate) and hence the price on a heating value equivalent The government brought together all the stakeholders,
basis may be comparable, so that the discount applied need including TNB and a number of heavyweight suppliers such
not be too significant. as Bumi Resources, Adaro, Bayan Resources, and Kideco.
One supplier that was not identified was believed to have had
The Indonesian Coal Association seems satisfied that the a five-year contract of 42.5 $/t on a 26.6 MJ/kg basis
domestic industry can meet the needs of any DMO provided (6350 kcal/kg GAD). A price renegotiation is thought to have
domestic prices match that of coal being sold internationally raised this by 25 $/t. PT Bayan Resources were asked to
(Castiano, 2008). Discussion between government officials renegotiate contracts with TNB, increasing the price by 10 $/t
and the coal industry are already under way. Currently, to 100 $/t (as of the 4th quarter 2008) along with certain
domestically traded coal is priced 20% below the export renegotiations of the terms and conditions of annual contracts.
equivalent (accounting for coal qualities). However, the Reports suggested that contracts with other Asian buyers had
demand projections shown in previous chapters would been reopened to negotiation while European and US buyers
suggest that around 50% of the country’s production in 2025 had refused to hold discussions.
might need to be directed to the domestic market while
production might need to be in the range of 400–450 Mt/y to The Indonesian Government suggested that suppliers of low
also service the export market at levels close to those of today. heating value coal should reserve 30–35% of the production
The challenge faced by both government, the power sector for the domestic market, with lesser measures applied to
and the coal industry is considerable. higher heating value products (MCIS, 2008e). It was decided
that the pricing indicators provided by Argus/Coalindo
Indonesian Coal Price Index or ICI would be used for royalty
21.2 Coal pricing – international and calculations, while pricing calculations use the Barlow Jonker
index. The two approaches invariably have two outcomes due
domestic to slightly differing methodologies and a possible difference
Since 2003, Indonesian coal has been exported at free-on-board in the basket of coals included, so settling on a consistent
(FOB) prices relative to Australian exports, who were then pricing formula becomes difficult. A monthly reference price
market leaders in steam coal exports. Indonesian coal traded at based on the CoalIndo/Indonesian Coal Index, Barlow Jonker
a discount to Australian exports from Newcastle on a FOB and globalCoal was later proposed in 2008. This combined
basis. More recently, Indonesia’s role as chief exporter of steam index will be used for price negotiations for both domestic
coal came about from taking advantage of the rising demand in and exported coal.
Singapore-based company Straits Asia Resources acquired the accommodate the rise in domestic consumption and exports to
Sebuku mine in South Kalimantan. For contracts to supply countries like India.
coal in 2008, Sebuku coal sold for a price of 70 $/t (basis
26.4 MJ/kg or 6300 kcal air-dried basis), though 1.5 Mt was
contracted for 2008 at prices per tonne in the mid-$40s. As 21.4 The effect of exchange rates
such, the index prices and spot prices published in 2008 may
not fully reflect the actual prices achieved for a number of In 1997, the US$ rate averaged Rp2909. By the end of 1998,
contracts already secured, at then seemingly high prices. This the US$ had increased to Rp10,014, a massive change of
means that Straits Asia Resources had committed tonnage in 300%. At the height of the crisis for the Indonesian currency,
2008 at prices perhaps 60% below the prevailing world the rate descended to Rp18,000 and Indonesia lost 13.5% of
market price. This is just one example of the risks of settling its GDP. During the same period, the average FOB price of
contracts during a period of dynamic price change that the Indonesian coal fell from 39.9 $/t to 35.8 $/t, a reduction of
government is keen to address. 10%. Conversely, the exchange rate collapse meant that
domestic revenues rose from 116,000 Rp/t to 359,000 Rp/t.
21.3 Effects on international coal Combined with an increase in exports of 13% (from 41.7 Mt
to 42.7 Mt), revenues in domestic currency rose by a
trade phenomenal 350%. The full value of this revenue boost was
In recent years, the export market has benefitted from high curtailed by high domestic inflation. The producer price index
FOB prices (compared with previous decades), but with the (PPI) increased by 202%, severely eroding the value of the
high prices producers have also incurred higher costs of rupiah revenues, and putting a great deal of upward pressure
production. Nevertheless, there is a possibility that coal on the cost of coal production. By 2005, the value of the
exports could rise from an estimated 211 Mt/y to 240 Mt/y rupiah had not improved greatly and the national PPI was
before 2015. An earlier projection published by MEMR running at 15%, so cost pressures seem to remain in the
assumed that coal exports would need to remain at around Indonesian industry. Exchange rates therefore can pose major
150 Mt/y to fulfil government objectives to meet domestic problems for the coal industry.
demand, but this export level may not reflect today’s trading
climate. Whether this 150 Mt/y includes the large quantities
of illegally mined coal (possibly 20 Mt/y) or not is unclear,
but it is unlikely.
2007 cumulative
sum of exports
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 % of total
from largest to
smallest
Japan 13703 14972 16706 19919 22547 27313 35134 35175 35175 18
South Korea 4891 5420 7462 7857 11572 14213 21505 27371 62546 32
India 3494 4265 5067 7738 10630 16255 20742 25103 87649 45
Taiwan 12836 13658 12780 15608 17668 17743 26661 24776 112426 58
China 142 657 2531 534 1426 2503 6656 13234 125659 64
Thailand 2732 3157 3822 4222 4665 6404 8383 11822 137482 71
Hong Kong 2923 4613 4098 6800 7367 9337 10985 11235 148717 76
Malaysia 1556 2226 3285 5174 6101 7382 8783 9367 158085 81
Italy 1638 1733 2787 4536 5198 6285 7509 6127 164212 84
Philippines 3339 3607 3132 3075 3579 3906 5472 5687 169899 87
USA 627 686 1075 1651 1960 2050 3741 4558 174457 89
Spain 2794 2168 2720 2938 2776 3317 4445 4309 178765 92
Switzerland 0 76 67 210 2067 1847 2883 4279 183044 94
Chile 906 1080 764 271 791 1368 1994 2345 185389 95
Pakistan 0 0 120 302 567 1166 1893 1890 187279 96
UK 1 95 70 794 1080 1302 2153 1308 188587 97
Netherlands 2700 2818 1786 1881 1106 2139 5691 1267 189854 97
Slovenia 567 843 649 528 623 634 1149 1132 190985 98
New Zealand 0 62 0 275 658 968 1390 679 191664 98
Vietnam 0 0 0 8 16 279 420 596 192260 99
Ireland 320 603 295 0 0 602 941 464 192724 99
Croatia 0 66 165 288 521 95 271 460 193185 99
Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0 0 274 353 193538 99
Belgium 0 66 179 72 72 7 144 301 193838 99
Portugal 70 606 444 159 0 144 473 223 194061 100
Brazil 469 356 285 344 292 146 150 217 194278 100
Costa Rica 43 0 0 0 0 0 0 129 194407 100
Greece 133 68 213 283 63 65 205 114 194521 100
Sri Lanka 1 0 27 23 65 107 112 96 194617 100
France 0 0 0 0 27 136 132 72 194689 100
Syria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 194759 100
Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 60 194819 100
Macedonia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 194876 100
Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 194930 100
Singapore 0 0 0 0 15 0 206 19 194949 100
South Africa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 194949 100
Germany 105 108 67 392 330 132 271 0 194949 100
Australia 0 158 0 0 0 0 0 0 194949 100
TOTAL 56158 65029 71540 87523 104976 128520 182975 194949
According to Reuters (2007), the plant is intended to supply 5% Full trial operation was due in late-2008 and following a
of South Korea’s demand by 2020. Interestingly, Indonesia’s two-year trial, Kobe Steel aims to begin commercial
own indigenous oil supplies are dwindling and will require a marketing of the UBC process from by the middle of 2010.
rise in imports, so while the coal liquefaction plant could serve
Indonesia in the long run, the immediate plans appear to service
South Korea’s energy interests. The expertise and experience 22.4 K-fuel process
however will prove invaluable for Indonesia which aims to
increase the role of coal liquefaction in the energy mix to 2% of In January 2008, Evergreen Energy and Sumito Corporation
primary energy consumption by 2025 (MEMR, 2008a). announced a successful series of tests confirming that certain
coals from Kalimantan were well suited to the K-fuel
Construction is shortly to begin on the first 1 Mt/y unit of a upgrading process.
5 Mt/y plant that will upgrade low rank high moisture
Indonesian steam coal into a high energy fuel equivalent to a According to Jacobsen (2008), the Evergreen process uses
bituminous coal. heat and pressure to physically and chemically upgrade high
moisture coals to a better quality product. K-fuel has already
been in operation since 2005 at a 750,000 t/y production
22.2 White Energy drying and facility at Gillette in Wyoming. The engineering
specifications, economic evaluation, and marketability
briquetting process analysis will be carried out for a 1.5 Mt/y K-Fuel coal
In 2008, White Energy constructed a 1 Mt/y coal upgrading refinery located in Kalimantan (Evergreen, 2008). The initial
Firm commitments to promote mining will no doubt promote The government benefits from large taxation receipts from the
greater confidence among existing and future investors in coal producers due to a combination of high production and
Indonesia. Foreign interest in the Indonesian coal industry is high prices. The possibility of the current or future market
growing, especially Chinese and Indian sub-continent structure changing could discourage coal production and
companies looking to source coal for operations in their export. This may change if the sentiment in government shifts
homeland. to limit the activities of foreign private companies having
stakes in such a large part of the coal industry. In conjunction The chief goal for PLN is to build and deliver power projects
with a possible drop in coal prices in the future, the strategy with speed, and utilise as much of Indonesia’s plentiful
of the government may shift from having an export industry resources of lower rank coals as possible. Capital costs must
to diverting production to meet the growing need for be kept to a minimum, which is why gas-fired generators are
coal-fired power within the country. also being pursued. The delays suffered by many power
projects in the 1990s were less to do with the physical
Whether this diversion is required depends on the mining construction of plant, than with issues related to take-off
industry stepping up exploration and production capacity to contracts, disagreements on tariffs, and finance. All these
meet a potential rise of 36 Mt/y between 2006 and 2015 from issues are related to the financial crisis of the time between
the ‘crash programme’ alone. Much of this is expected to be IPP project developers and PLN. There seems to be a sense of
met by lower rank coals mined in Kalimantan and Sumatra. greater confidence in the power sector, but Indonesia is
Total demand for coal could rise from 50–55 Mt/y in 2008 to unlikely to adopt or pilot any novel technologies in clean coal
220 Mt/y in 2025. Even if coal exports rise only modestly combustion such as CCS without the aid of international
from around 200–210 Mt/y in 2008 to 236 Mt/y in 2012-13, funding.
and stay level to 2025, coal production would need to increase
to almost 460 Mt/y by 2025, an increase of more than 75% on The impact on the coal industry of delivering more coal while
estimated 2008 production levels. keeping the export business strong is potentially huge. The
future supply of coal raises concerns regarding how
It is possible that both demand and exports could grow at a sustainable any growth in demand and growth in exports can
lower rate, as a manifestation of high oil prices and the global be, when reserves may
financial crisis that affected economies across the world in
2008. Demand destruction of electricity and other fuels could be depleted within 25 years, despite a switch to lower rank,
therefore ensue in the Indonesian economy. Energy is heavily high moisture coals. If new resources are not brought forward,
subsidised, with a state budget for 2008 amounting to an then there is a risk that the domestic and/or export markets
equivalent of US$14 bn to service the subsidies applied to will need to compromise. Some export operations may need
end-user consumers. Although politically sensitive, a gradual to provide some coal for domestic usage, but how much is not
withdrawal of subsidies over time could lead to a significant yet certain. At the same time, Indonesian producers are also
rise in domestic energy prices which will have repercussions considering upgrading lower rank coals and the government
throughout the entire economy. However, a consequence may even promote liquefaction in order to supplement the
could be lower taxes, particularly those imposed on coal sales. dwindling reserves of oil and increasing oil imports. It is
possible domestic market obligations will be required for
Between 2006 and 2010, the government spearheaded a fuelling domestic power stations and growing industry needs,
campaign to build 10,000 MWe of coal-fired power capacity but this requires some degree of certainty amongst the policy
through the state monopoly PLN. This was an attempt to deal makers. A plausible, albeit unlikely, solution is that Indonesia
with the rising shortage of power. There is a likelihood that the continues to export low sulphur, low ash coals to the rest of
programme will be delayed by 2–3 years. A second phase of Asia at a price premium, while importing cheaper higher
the ‘crash programme’ will see a further 2.6 GWe of sulphur and higher ash products to blend with its domestic
coal-capacity, along with another 7 GWe of non-coal generators products. So while the outlook for coal demand seems
made largely of geothermal, gas and hydro capacity. optimistic for Indonesia (with some downside risks) the
outlook for coal supply is rather more uncertain. There are
Currently, the first phase of the ‘crash programme’ that scenarios that could bring about a ‘withdrawal’ or at least a
focuses on building 10,000 MWe of coal-fired power is levelling off of Indonesia’s role in the export market, if the
located in and around the centres of populations and domestic demand increases successfully to a size equivalent
economic activity on the Java-Madura-Bali chain of islands. to today’s export tonnage.
In addition, there is interest in minemouth stations burning
local lower rank coals, which are located mainly in Sumatra,
away from the demand centres in Java and Bali where more
than 60% of the population lives. Some 25 projects amounting
to 3100 GWe are located outside Java. Bolstering the network
system with better inter-island connections is therefore
another priority.
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