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This column covers fundamental analysis, which involves examining a company’s financial

statements and evaluating its operations. The analysis concentrates only on variables directly related
to the company itself, rather than the stock’s price movement or the overall state of the market.

Liquidity Ratio use the data offered there rather than tor, the quick ratio uses a figure that
Analysis downloading several years of reports focuses on the most liquid assets.
Liquidity ratios are used to deter- from another source. The main asset left out is inventory,
mine a company’s ability to meet its You may also find financial state- which can be hard to liquidate at
short-term debt obligations. Investors ment data at websites such as Yahoo! market value in a timely fashion. The
often take a close look at liquidity Finance and SmartMoney.com. quick ratio is more conservative than
ratios when performing fundamental Table 1 provides all the revelvant the current ratio and focuses on cash,
analysis on a firm. Since a company data for calculating these ratios. short-term investments and accounts
that is consistently having trouble receivable. The formula is as follows:
meeting its short-term debt is at a Current Ratio Quick Ratio = (Cash & Equivalents + Short-
higher risk of bankruptcy, liquidity The current ratio is the first of Term Investments + Accounts Receivable) ÷
ratios are a good measure of whether three financial ratios that we will Current Liabilities
a company will be able to comfort- examine. The formula for the current
ably continue as a going concern. ratio is as follows: Once again, taking a look at
Any type of ratio analysis should be the 2010 financial statements for
Current Ratio = Current Assets ÷ Current
looked at within the correct context. J. Alexander’s, we find that cash and
Liabilities
For instance, investors should always equivalents are $8,600,000, accounts
look at a company’s ratios against As stated earlier, liquidity ratios receivable are $2,700,000 and short-
those of its competitors, its sector measure a company’s ability to pay term investments are $0. Current li-
and its industry and over a period of off its short-term debt using assets abilities are $13,100,000 for the year.
several years. In this issue’s Funda- that can be easily liquidated. In this Plugging these figures into our for-
mental Focus, we investigate liquid- case, the current ratio measures a mula gives us a quick ratio of 0.863,
ity ratios using time-series analysis, company’s current assets against its rounded to 0.9, for fiscal-2010.
competitive analysis and sector and current liabilities. Generally, higher
industry analysis. numbers are better, implying that the Cash Ratio
As an example of how to properly firm has a higher amount of current The cash ratio is the most conser-
examine liquidity ratios, we will assets when compared to current vative of the three liquidity ratios
use the financial statement data for liabilities and should easily be able to covered in this article. As the name
J. Alexander’s Corp. (JAX) found in pay off its short-term debt. implies, this ratio is simply the ratio
AAII’s fundamental research da- As shown in Table 1, the company’s of cash and equivalents compared
tabase, Stock Investor Pro. While 2010 current assets are $13,900,000 to current liabilities. This ratio looks
you can access financial statements and its 2010 current liabilities are only at assets that can be most easily
directly on company websites, $13,100,000. Plugging these numbers used to pay off short-term debt, and
J. Alexander’s only offers two years into our formula gives us a current it disregards receivables and short-
of balance sheets at its site. For ratio of 1.061 (rounded to 1.1). term investments. The argument for
our purpose of examining trends in using the cash ratio is that receivables
liquidity ratios, we need several years Quick Ratio and short-term investments often
of financial statements in order to The quick ratio, also known as the cannot be liquidated in a timely man-
gather all the data. And since Stock acid-test ratio, is a liquidity ratio that ner. Receivables can be sold, or mon-
Investor Pro contains yearly balance is more refined and more stringent etized, but the firm will not be able
sheet figures going back seven years, than the current ratio. Instead of to get the full value of the receivables
our task is made much easier if we using current assets in the numera- sold. Keep in mind that, due to their

Table 1. Financial Statement Data for J. Alexander’s Corp. (JAX)


2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Cash & equivalents ($ thous) $8,600 $5,600 $2,500 $11,300 $14,700
Accounts receivable ($ thous) $2,700 $3,400 $3,900 $3,400 $2,300
Short-term investments ($ thous) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Inventories ($ thous) $1,300 $1,300 $1,400 $1,300 $1,300
Other current assets ($ thous) $1,300 $1,500 $2,700 $2,500 $2,300
Total current assets ($ thous) $13,900 $11,800 $10,500 $18,500 $20,600
Total current liabilities ($ thous) $13,100 $15,200 $13,000 $14,100 $13,700

Source: AAII’s Stock Investor Pro, Thomson Reuters.

20 Computerized Investing
Table 2. Comparing Liquidity Ratios be slightly higher. Either J. Alexander’s to its sector and indus-
formula works as long try medians. As you can see, both the
J. Alexander’s Corp. (JAX) as you remain consist in company’s current and quick ratios
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 your analysis. For our dipped significantly below the sector
Current ratio (X) 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 analysis here, we use the medians during the economic reces-
Quick ratio (X) 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4
Cash ratio (X) 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.1 figures provided by Stock sion. Once again, this should come as
Investor Pro. no surprise. While it is to be expected
McCormick & Schmick’s Seafood Restaurant (MSSR) As we stated, firms with that the services sector may experi-
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 higher liquidity ratios are ence slight difficulties during tough
Current ratio (X) 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 better able to meet their economic times, it makes sense that
Quick ratio (X) 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Cash ratio (X) 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 short-term obligations. high-end restaurants are especially
From Table 2, you can affected. The same can be said for the
Source: AAII’s Stock Investor Pro, Thomson Reuters. see that J. Alexander’s restaurant industry. The industry as
has significantly higher a whole may not suffer the declines
liquidity ratios across the that high-end restaurants experience.
high liquidity, short-term Treasuries board compared to McCormick & Consumers may opt for fast food or
are considered cash equivalents, not Schmick’s. For fiscal-2010, McCor- low-cost diners rather than steak and
short-term investments. The formula mick & Schmick’s has a cash ratio seafood. Overall, J. Alexander’s liquid-
for the cash ratio is as follows: of just 0.1, meaning that it only has ity figures are rebounding back toward
enough cash on hand to cover 10% the sector medians and have always
Cash Ratio = Cash & Equivalents ÷ Current of its short-term obligations. been strong compared to the industry.
Liabilities Another major observation can be
made using time-series analysis. Ra- Conclusion
For fiscal-2010, the calculation for tios for both firms were the strongest Liquidity ratios are just a small part
cash ratio involves using $8,600,000 at the end of 2006, bottomed out in of fundamental analysis. Looking only
for the numerator of the equation late 2008, and rebounded in 2009 at these ratios would lead you to be-
and $13,100,000 for the denomina- through the end of 2010. This can be lieve that J. Alexander’s is the stronger
tor. After plugging in the numbers, easily explained by the recession we firm. Furthermore, the ratios imply
we find that the cash ratio for fiscal- experienced in 2008. J. Alexander’s that the best time to invest would
2010 is 0.656, rounded to 0.7. and McCormick & Schmick’s are have been sometime in early 2009.
both high-end American restaurant However, there is often another
Interpreting the Ratios chains known for their steaks and side to the story. McCormick &
Calculating the ratios is typically seafood. The firms are classified as Schmick’s is a larger firm with more
the easy part. The difficulties lie in consumer cyclical, meaning they will locations. Weaker liquidity ratios
analyzing the ratios, interpreting their follow the market cycle. As our econ- may be due to aggressive expansion
meaning and making an educated omy fell into recession, it was natural policies. As always, it is prudent not
investment based on the findings. As that fewer people dined at high-end to rely too heavily on a single set of
with any fundamental ratio analysis, restaurants. The two firms have less ratios, but to research the firm as a
performing a time-series analysis, a cash coming in and will possibly have whole.
competitive analysis and industry and to borrow more in order
sector analyses are good first steps. to weather the downturn.
In Table 2, the liquidity ratios Both of these scenarios Table 3. Sector and Industry Comparison
for 2006 through 2010 are listed will place an added bur-
Current Ratio (X)
for J. Alexander’s and one of its den on liquidity ratios.
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
main competitors, McCormick & Unsurprisingly, as the
J. Alexander’s (JAX) 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5
Schmick’s Seafood Restaurants economy recovered, so Sector (services) 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4
(MSSR). Note that the quick ratio did the liquidity ratios. Industry (restaurants) 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
we calculated for J. Alexander’s for Finally, we perform
Quick Ratio (X)
2010 is slightly different than the an industry and sector
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
one shown in Table 2. Instead of analysis. J. Alexander’s is
J. Alexander’s (JAX) 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4
short-term investments, Stock Inves- in the services sector and Sector (services) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
tor Pro uses marketable securities the restaurants industry. Industry (restaurants) 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6
in the numerator of the equation, Table 3 compares the cur-
Source: AAII’s Stock Investor Pro, Thomson Reuters.
causing its quick ratio calculation to rent and quick ratios for

Fourth Quarter 2011 21

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