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CONTENTS
Importance of investment analysis
Methods of analysing /evaluating projects
Comparisons of the Methods
Replacement of Assets
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
Any company will invest finance for the sake of deriving a return which is useful for four main reasons:
To reward the shareholders of the business for staking their money and by foregoing their
current need for money for the sake of future return.
To reward creditors by paying them regular return in form of interest for their capital and
eventually repayment of their principal when it falls due.
Plough back earnings for the purposes of companies growth and of increasing the size of
the company,
For the increase in share prices and thus the credibility of the company and its ability to
raise further finance.
Such a return is necessary to keep the company’s operations moving smoothly and thus
allow the above objective to be achieved.
A prudent financial manager will be concerned with how efficiently the company’s funds
are invested because it is from such investment that the company will survive.
Investments are important because:
Capital budgeting, involves the decision to invest the company’s current funds in viable
ventures whose returns will be realised for long term periods in future.
Characteristics of Capital budgeting
Decisions of this nature are long term i.e. extending beyond one year in which case they
are also expected to generate returns of long term in nature.
Investment is usually heavy (heavy capital injection) and as such has to be properly
planned.
These decisions are irreversible and any mistake may cause the company heavy losses.
a) Traditional methods
i) They should rank ventures available in the investment market according to their viability
i.e. they should identify which method is more viable than others.
ii) They should rank a venture first if the venture brings in return earlier and in large
lumpsums than if a venture brought in late and less inflows over the same period.
iii)Should rank any other projects as and when it is available in the investment market.
iv)Such methods should take into account that all returns (inflows), must be cash returns as it is
necessary to be able to finance the cost of the venture.
TRADITIONAL METHODS
e.g. If a venture costs 37,910/= and promises returns of 10,000/= per annum indefinitely then the
PBP == 3.79 years
The shorter the PBP the more viable the investment and thus the better the choice of such
investments.
Example
Assume a project costs Sh.80,000 and will generate the following cash inflows:
i) Installation costs of £20,000 for Standard and £40,000 for the Deluxe
ii) A £10,000 working capital through their working lives.
Both machines have no expected scrap value at end of their expected working lives of 4 years for
the Standard machine and six years for the Deluxe. The operating pre-tax net cash flows
associated with the two machines are:
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6
The deluxe machine has only been introduced in the market and has not been fully tested in the
operating conditions, because of the high risk involved the appropriate discount rate for the
deluxe machine is believed to be 14% per annum, 2% higher than the rate of the standard
machine. The company is proposing the purchase of either machine with a term loan at a fixed
rate of interest of 11% per annum, taxation at 30% is payable on operating cash-flows one year
in arrears and capital allowance are available at 25% per annum on a reducing balance basis.
Required
For both the Standard and the Deluxe machines, calculate the payback period.
Solution
Establish the cash flows as follows:
Note
Capital allowance/depreciation is a non-cash item thus when deducted for tax purposes, it should
be added back to eliminate the non-cash flow effects.
Year 1 2 3 4 5
*Pay back period for standard: Initial capital of Sh.7,000 is recovered during year 3. After year
2, we require 70,000 – 9,060 = 18,940 to recover initial capital out of year 3 cash flows of
Sh.20,389.
* Applying the same concept for Deluxe, payback period would be:
= 4.39 years
Shs.
Project X cost 500,000
Scrap value 100,000
Shs.
Year 1 100,000
Year 2 120,000
Year 3 140,000
Year 4 160,000
Year 5 200,000
Let tax = 50% and depreciation straight line. Calculate the accounting rate of return.
Solution
Depreciation = 500,000 – 100,000 = Shs.80, 000
5 years
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Income
Less depreciation
Earnings before tax EBT
Less tax @ 50%
EAT
100,000
80,000
20,000
(10,000)
10,000
120,000
80,000
40,000
(20,000)
20,000
140,000
80,000
50,000
(30,000)
30,000
160,000
80,000
80,000
(40,000)
40,000
200,000
80,000
120,000
(60,000)
60,000
Note
The best method of depreciation to use should be that which will produce larger depreciation
changes in the 1st few years of the assets life and lesser changes in the later years because this
will produce a higher tax shield to the company with higher value of inflows. Thus reducing
balance is preferred as compared to sum of digits and straight line method.
Advantages
1. Simple to understand and use.
2. Readily computed from accounting data thus much easier to ascertain.
3. It is consistent with profitability objectives as it analyses the return from entire inflows
and as such it will give a clue or a hint to the profitability of venture.
Disadvantages
1. It ignores time value of money.
2. It does not consider how soon the investment should recover the cost (it is owner looking
than creditor oriented approach).
3. It uses accounting profits instead of cash inflows some of which may not be realisable.