Log return model arma

90 25867
90 26396 0.020244
90 30458 0.143136 0.139123
90 28633 -0.06179 -0.09016
90 28131 -0.01769 -0.00544
90 29629 0.051881 0.055388
90 30092 0.015506 0.005221
90 31425 0.043344 0.04027
90 32264 0.026348 0.017756
90 32665 0.012352 0.007129
90 33328 0.020094 0.017645
90 39929 0.180705 0.176722
91 35165 -0.12705 -0.16288
91 33123 -0.05982 -0.03464
91 33424 0.009046 0.020906
91 30271 -0.09908 -0.10088
91 31545 0.041225 0.060868
91 32706 0.036143 0.027971
91 33761 0.031748 0.024583
91 34812 0.030656 0.024362
91 35519 0.020106 0.014028
91 36257 0.020565 0.016579
91 36718 0.012635 0.008558
91 45827 0.221606 0.219102
92 37482 -0.20101 -0.24494
92 37613 0.003489 0.043338
92 46051 0.2024 0.201708
92 37595 -0.20288 -0.243
92 38758 0.030466 0.070685
92 40017 0.031967 0.025927
92 41252 0.030395 0.024058
92 42566 0.031356 0.025331
92 43238 0.015664 0.009448
92 44075 0.019173 0.016068
92 58708 0.286683 0.282882
92 59728 0.017225 -0.03961
93 60157 0.007157 0.003742
93 62139 0.032416 0.030997
93 60958 -0.01919 -0.02561
93 90967 0.400312 0.404116
93 90755 -0.00233 -0.08169
93 93108 0.025597 0.026059
93 96062 0.031234 0.026159
93 100409 0.044258 0.038066
93 103712 0.032366 0.023592
93 104966 0.012019 0.005602
93 107906 0.027624 0.025241
93 111100 0.02917 0.023694
94 112559 0.013047 0.007264
94 113739 0.010429 0.007842
94 110450 -0.02934 -0.03141
94 110140 -0.00281 0.003006
94 111132 0.008966 0.009524
94 113421 0.020388 0.01861
94 114686 0.011091 0.00705
94 118014 0.028605 0.026407
94 120688 0.022405 0.016735
94 124550 0.031499 0.027057
94 127304 0.021871 0.015626
94 132451 0.039635 0.035299
95 132499 0.000362 -0.0075
95 133301 0.006035 0.005963
95 134943 0.012243 0.011046
95 135592 0.004798 0.002371
95 138887 0.02401 0.023059
95 144834 0.041928 0.037168
95 150930 0.041228 0.032916
95 156373 0.035428 0.027255
95 158932 0.016232 0.009209
95 163244 0.02677 0.023552
95 165981 0.016627 0.01132
95 170647 0.027724 0.024428
96 171150 0.002943 -0.00255
96 174794 0.021068 0.020484
96 176851 0.011699 0.007523
96 182408 0.030938 0.028619
96 185362 0.016065 0.009931
96 192102 0.035716 0.032531
96 196274 0.021485 0.014405
96 196431 0.0008 -0.00346
96 201831 0.027119 0.026961
96 208957 0.034698 0.029322
96 215373 0.030243 0.023364
96 225548 0.046162 0.040166
97 223972 -0.00701 -0.01616
97 227917 0.01746 0.018851
97 228233 0.001386 -0.00208
97 232910 0.020285 0.02001
97 235282 0.010133 0.006111
97 241620 0.026581 0.024573
97 241076 -0.00225 -0.00752
97 233815 -0.03058 -0.03014
97 236400 0.010995 0.017058
97 240893 0.018828 0.016648
97 236733 -0.01742 -0.02115
97 246836 0.041791 0.045245
98 261014 0.05585 0.047565
98 281650 0.076091 0.065019
98 314201 0.109368 0.094283
98 322298 0.025444 0.003762
98 335047 0.038794 0.03375
98 350233 0.044328 0.036637
98 360615 0.029212 0.020425
98 363000 0.006592 0.000801
98 377869 0.040145 0.038838
98 396054 0.047003 0.039045
98 417056 0.05167 0.042352
98 430391 0.031474 0.02123
99 435421 0.011619 0.00538
99 440176 0.010861 0.008558
99 442477 0.005214 0.003061
99 454596 0.027021 0.025987
99 469564 0.032395 0.027039
99 477890 0.017576 0.011154
99 488150 0.021242 0.017758
99 487321 -0.0017 -0.00591
99 490521 0.006545 0.006882
99 488598 -0.00393 -0.00523
99 492113 0.007168 0.007947
99 492868 0.001533 0.000112
0 503506 0.021354 0.02105
0 510494 0.013783 0.00955
0 512735 0.00438 0.001648
0 516616 0.007541 0.006672
0 521886 0.010149 0.008654
0 520309 -0.00303 -0.00504
0 519692 -0.00119 -0.00059
0 525396 0.010916 0.011151
0 529078 0.006984 0.00482
0 542672 0.025369 0.023985
0 550273 0.013909 0.00888
0 554549 0.007741 0.004983
1 565033 0.018729 0.017194
1 577706 0.022181 0.018468
1 575204 -0.00434 -0.00874
1 577119 0.003324 0.004184
1 578219 0.001904 0.001245
1 581141 0.005041 0.004663
1 583804 0.004572 0.003573
1 593946 0.017223 0.016317
1 593551 -0.00067 -0.00408
1 610038 0.027398 0.02753
1 615467 0.00886 0.003429
1 643530 0.044587 0.042831
2 638597 -0.0077 -0.01653
2 636527 -0.00325 -0.00172
2 636002 -0.00083 -0.00018
2 640313 0.006755 0.006919
2 642552 0.003491 0.002151
2 652770 0.015777 0.015085
2 658016 0.008004 0.004877
2 663259 0.007936 0.006349
2 667816 0.006847 0.005274
2 670050 0.00334 0.001982
2 668955 -0.00164 -0.0023
2 689412 0.030122 0.030447
3 677130 -0.01798 -0.02395
3 686998 0.014468 0.018032
3 693030 0.008742 0.005874
3 698095 0.007282 0.005549
3 699123 0.001471 2.79E-05
3 710196 0.015714 0.015423
3 713931 0.005245 0.00213
3 719165 0.007304 0.006265
3 720673 0.002095 0.000647
3 735756 0.020713 0.020298
3 728753 -0.00956 -0.01367
3 755599 0.036176 0.038072
4 709091 -0.06353 -0.0707
4 701291 -0.01106 0.001533
4 701388 0.000138 0.002331
4 701278 -0.00016 -0.00018
4 713101 0.016719 0.01675
4 728195 0.020946 0.017631
4 733131 0.006756 0.002603
4 739049 0.00804 0.006701
4 747416 0.011258 0.009664
4 751166 0.005005 0.002773
4 755460 0.0057 0.004708
4 787623 0.041693 0.040563
5 777175 -0.01335 -0.02162
5 775534 -0.00211 0.000534
5 783377 0.010062 0.010481
5 799836 0.020793 0.018798
5 801935 0.002621 -0.0015
5 819933 0.022195 0.021676
5 824114 0.005086 0.000686
5 832642 0.010295 0.009287
5 847878 0.018133 0.016092
5 847050 -0.00098 -0.00457
5 865475 0.021519 0.021712
5 890802 0.028844 0.024578
6 897807 0.007833 0.002115
6 905004 0.007984 0.006431
6 902905 -0.00232 -0.0039
6 906325 0.003781 0.004241
6 941429 0.038001 0.037251
6 953170 0.012394 0.004861
6 948515 -0.0049 -0.00735
6 970531 0.022946 0.023916
6 989322 0.019177 0.014628
6 1007524 0.018231 0.01443
6 1031818 0.023826 0.020212
6 1047095 0.014697 0.009974
7 1053839 0.00642 0.003506
7 1062327 0.008022 0.006749
7 1063925 0.001503 -8.72E-05
7 1065940 0.001892 0.001594
7 1053999 -0.01127 -0.01164
7 1094322 0.037543 0.039777
7 1122519 0.02544 0.017998
7 1136205 0.012118 0.007075
7 1138816 0.002295 -0.00011
7 1157717 0.016461 0.016006
7 1180311 0.019328 0.016065
7 1248777 0.056387 0.052555
8 1210789 -0.03089 -0.04207
8 1203243 -0.00625 -0.00013
8 1198811 -0.00369 -0.00245
8 1213068 0.011822 0.012554
8 1229446 0.013411 0.011067
8 1263072 0.026983 0.024325
8 1241761 -0.01702 -0.02237
8 1240563 -0.00097 0.002408
8 1309769 0.054285 0.054477
8 1338632 0.021797 0.011036
8 1357816 0.014229 0.009908
8 1403026 0.032754 0.029933
9 1398743 -0.00306 -0.00955
9 1414450 0.011167 0.011773
9 1432139 0.012428 0.010215
9 1437363 0.003641 0.001177
9 1449032 0.008086 0.007364
9 1492260 0.029396 0.027793
9 1479795 -0.00839 -0.01422
9 1507548 0.018581 0.020244
9 1516495 0.005917 0.002234
9 1529762 0.00871 0.007537
9 1542316 0.008173 0.006446
 9 1612578 0.044549 0.042929
10 1602786 -0.00609 -0.01492
10 1592096 -0.00669 -0.00548
10 1630256 0.023686 0.025013
10 1633945 0.00226 -0.00244
10 1668765 0.021087 0.020639
10 1730250 0.036182 0.032002
10 1711384 -0.01096 -0.01814
10 1723846 0.007255 0.009428
10 1769363 0.026062 0.024624
10 1806556 0.020802 0.015636
10 1848784 0.023106 0.018982
10 1969706 0.063356 0.058776
11 1947703 -0.01123 -0.02379
11 1918465 -0.01513 -0.0129
11 1974943 0.029014 0.032012
11 1976989 0.001035 -0.00472
11 2030041 0.026481 0.026276
11 2073965 0.021406 0.016156
11 2089053 0.007248 0.003005
11 2100227 0.005335 0.003898
11 2165132 0.030436 0.029379
11 2196526 0.014395 0.008362
11 2234364 0.01708 0.014226
11 2363332 0.056116 0.05273
2012 2345540 -0.00756 -0.01868
2012 2345183 -0.00015 0.001346
2012 2396886 0.021807 0.021837
2012 2413535 0.006922 0.002599
2012 2457505 0.018054 0.016682
2012 2488740 0.01263 0.009051
2012 2489129 0.000157 -0.00235
2012 2514929 0.010312 0.010281
2012 2566229 0.020193 0.018149
2012 2576251 0.003898 -0.00011
2012 2623318 0.018105 0.017332
2012 2709861 0.032457 0.028868
2013 2680472 -0.0109 -0.01734
2013 2691559 0.004128 0.006289
2013 2721208 0.010955 0.010137
2013 2770708 0.018027 0.015855
2013 2778731 0.002891 -0.00068
2013 2770101 -0.00311 -0.00368
2013 2802878 0.011763 0.01238
2013 2797307 -0.00199 -0.00432
2013 2853846 0.02001 0.020405
2013 2850499 -0.00117 -0.00514
2013 2876154 0.00896 0.009193
2013 2970852 0.032395 0.030619
2014 2926954 -0.01489 -0.02131
2014 2947187 0.006889 0.00984
2014 2968111 0.007075 0.005709
2014 3040455 0.024081 0.022679
2014 3052416 0.003926 -0.00085
2014 3138919 0.027945 0.027167
2014 3096956 -0.01346 -0.019
2014 3157739 0.019436 0.022105
2014 3260571 0.032046 0.028193
2014 3277316 0.005122 -0.00123
2014 3312392 0.010646 0.00963
2014 3375950 0.019006 0.016896
2015 3346374 -0.0088 -0.01257
2015 3398717 0.015521 0.017265
2015 3424240 0.007481 0.004405
2015 3431532 0.002127 0.000644
2015 3426759 -0.00139 -0.00181
2015 3492940 0.019129 0.019405
2015 3477580 -0.00441 -0.0082
2015 3483051 0.001572 0.002446
2015 3555107 0.020477 0.020165
2015 3522510 -0.00921 -0.01327
2015 3545957 0.006634 0.00846
2015 3632440 0.024097 0.022781
2016 3599965 -0.00898 -0.01376
0.5
2016 3655415 0.015286 0.017066
2016 3695390 0.010876 0.007846
2016 3733457 0.010249 0.008092 0.4
2016 3770041 0.009751 0.007719
2016 3820860 0.01339 0.011457
0.3
2016 3838064 0.004493 0.001838
2016 3859305 0.005519 0.004628
2016 3836800 -0.00585 -0.00694 0.2
2016 3877061 0.010439 0.011598
2016 3943357 0.016955 0.014886
0.1
2016 4043629 0.02511 0.021749
2017 4000557 -0.01071 -0.01569
2017 4019851 0.004811 0.006934 0
2017 4079096 0.014631 0.013677 1 12 23 34 45 5 6 6 7 7 8 89 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
2017 4101704 0.005527 0.002627
-0.1
2017 4160011 0.014115 0.01302
2017 4202678 0.010204 0.007406
2017 4226055 0.005547 0.003524 -0.2
2017 4237113 0.002613 0.001513
2017 4289102 0.012195 0.011677
-0.3
2017 4317665 0.006637 0.00422
2017 4356585 0.008974 0.007658
2017 4435179 0.01788 0.016101
 Column C
Column D

2 33 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 99 10 21 3 2 43 5 4 6 5 7 6 87 98 09 2 0 31
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3