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The US Nuclear New Build Market for Component Suppliers
How to capitalize o n the rapidly growing nuclear component market to drive sales in the US market

ABOUT THE REPORT


This strategic business intelligence report provides vital
insights into the commercial opportunities for nuclear
component suppliers brought about by Nuclear New Build
activity in the USA.

In this report you will…


■■ Identify the key nuclear components that will be most in demand
■■ Find out how much time and money you will have to commit to become a nuclear supplier
■■ Understand how EPCs select their suppliers
■■ Learn how demand for nuclear grade components will evolve
■■ Find out the number - and type - of nuclear power plants that will be built in the next 20
years in the USA
■■ Identify the main companies that will be in charge of procurement
■■ Know what senior nuclear industry executives and government officials think of future
nuclear capacity in the US
■■ Get a unbiased and expert analysis of the barriers and drivers to the US nuclear industry
■■ Learn from other companies experience by reading exclusive case studies from Bechtel,
Burns & Roe and CCI Thermal Technologies

This timely report contains must have insights and analysis for component manufacturers and
suppliers. Order your copy today to ensure you go into 2011 with a strong sales pipeline.

This report will provide you with business critical information on…
■■ Unique forecasts of the market value for heat exchangers, valves, pumps and tanks until 2035*
■■ The latest forecasts for the construction of nuclear power plants until 2035 based on three
realistic scenarios
■■ Comprehensive Overview of Regulation and Quality Assurance – Obtaining ASME’s
N-Stamp, including dedication of commercial grade equipment and NRC federal regulations
■■ In depth analysis of the factors that could slow down the construction of Nuclear reactors
in the US
*Does not include heavy components such as steam generators, main steam isolation valves and reactor coolant pumps.

“game;
The message to suppliers is clear: don’t wait if you want to play the nuclear
you need to start now and be proactive, ask questions and ask for help if
it is needed to get your programs up and running.

Bob Exton, Bechtel, Nuclear Procurement Operations Manager

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The US Nuclear New Build Market for Component Suppliers
How to capitalize o n the rapidly growing nuclear component market to drive sales in the US market

SELECTED KEY FINDINGS FROM THIS UNIQUE REPORT…


This independent business intelligence report incorporates insights from in-depth interviews and
surveys with senior executives at nuclear utilities, architect engineers and government officials.

Discover how they see the US nuclear renaissance unfolding and what this will mean for your
component manufacturing business.

This report is packed with useful information you can use to build
your business. For example:
■■ The nuclear new build market for Class 2, 3 and non safety heat exchangers, valves, pumps and
tanks could be worth a cumulative US$ 4.2 billion in the 25 year period between 2010 and 2035
■■ Annual sales of nuclear components for new reactors in the US is forecasted to peak in 2017
■■ By 2035 there could be over 70 GW of new installed nuclear capacity in the USA, this
amounts to approximately 50 new nuclear plants
■■ The amount of N-Stamp qualified nuclear suppliers declined from around 500 in 1970s to
just 269 in 2009
■■ Obtaining financing has been cited as the biggest obstacle for nuclear growth in the US
followed by licensing delays
■■ Nuclear reactor system components make up 23% of the total cost of a Nuclear Reactor

Figure A shows new nuclear capacity in the US could be as high as 50 new nuclear reactors
amounting to 70 GWe by 2035 if all plants are built as scheduled. This would bring about a true
nuclear renaissance, resulting in a total cumulative demand of US$ 4.2 billion in non-heavy
nuclear grade heat exchangers, valves, pumps and tanks. Is your business ready for this surge in
demand for components?

Concerns remain over financing, licensing schedules and the availability of qualified labor. Which
begs the question, will these plans materialize? In this report you’ll find out how the nuclear
industry will evolve and how you can best prepare your business – whatever the outcome.

Table A. US Nuclear New Build Forecast - Four Scenarios


60

n
Number of New Nuclear Reactors

Original COD
50
n Optimistic
n Realistic
40
n Worst case

30

20

10

0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

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The US Nuclear New Build Market for Component Suppliers
How to capitalize o n the rapidly growing nuclear component market to drive sales in the US market

TABLE OF CONTENTS
List of Acronyms

1 Introduction

2 Status of the Nuclear Industry: A Global Renaissance


2.1 Nuclear Power Industry Overview
2.2 Why a Renaissance?
2.2.1 Improved Designs
2.2.1.1 The Evolutionary Plants
2.2.1.2 The Passive Plants
2.2.2 Revamped Licensing Process for Reduced Risk
2.2.3 Increasing Energy Demand calls for New Generation Capacity
2.2.4 Environmental Consideration
2.2.5 Economics
2.2.6 Energy Security
2.3 Potential for US Growth
2.3.1 Growth by NPP Contractor
2.3.1.1 ABWR
2.3.1.2 AP1000
2.3.1.3 US EPR
2.3.1.4 ESBWR
2.3.1.5 USAPWR
2.3.2 Licensing status for Growth
2.3.3 Regional growth
2.4 Opportunities and Threats
2.4.1 Opportunity
2.4.1.1 Opportunity for Qualified Supply
2.4.1.2 Opportunity for Competitive Supply
2.4.1.3 Opportunity for Localized Supply
2.4.1.4 Opportunity for Operating Reactors Supply
2.4.1.5 Opportunity for R&D Supply
2.4.2 Threats
2.4.2.1 Supply chain for materials and sub components
2.4.2.2 Financing
2.4.2.3 Skilled labor
2.4.2.4 Public acceptance

3 The Market for Components in the US


3.1 The Opportunity for Component Providers in the US Nuclear New Build Market
3.2 Nuclear Procurement explained:
3.2.1 Regulation and Quality Assurance
3.2.2 Codes and Standards
3.2.2.1 N-Stamps for different components
3.2.2.2 Class 1, 2 and 3
3.2.3 Commercial-Grade Dedication
3.2.4 Resources
3.2.4.1 Design Control Document (DCD)
3.2.4.2 NEI Supplier Database
3.2.5 Typical Procurement cycles
3.2.6 CASE STUDY: Burns and Roe Experience in Obtaining an N-Stamp:
Economic and Practical Considerations
3.2.7 CASE STUDY: Supplying Materials for the Nuclear Industry – by CCI Thermal Technology
3.2.8 CASE STUDY – How Bechtel Choose Their Nuclear Suppliers: The EPCs Perspective

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The US Nuclear New Build Market for Component Suppliers
How to capitalize o n the rapidly growing nuclear component market to drive sales in the US market

4. USA Nuclear New Build Component Demand to 2030


4.1 Nuclear Deployment Forecast until 2030
4.1.1 Forecast methodology
4.1.1.1 Identifying projects and establishing intended Commercial Operation Date (COD)
4.1.1.2 Establishing Scenarios
4.1.1.3 Determining Waves
4.1.2 Optimistic Case
4.1.3 Realistic Case
4.1.3.1 Wave 1
4.1.3.2 Wave 2
4.1.3.3 Wave 3
4.1.3.4 Wave 4
4.1.3.5 Wave 5
4.1.3.6 Realistic Case Results
4.1.4 Worst Case Scenario
4.2 Purchased Equipment Value
4.2.1 Estimating the total value of Purchase Reactor Equipment
4.2.2 Estimating the Value of Components
4.2.3 Estimating Market Value
4.3 The Market for Nuclear Heat Exchangers
4.4 The Market for Nuclear Valves
4.5 The Market for Nuclear Pumps
4.6 The Market for Nuclear Storage Tanks

5 Conclusions

6 Works Cited
Appendix A US Nuclear New Build Projects
Appendix B Location of Nuclear New Build Projects in the US
Appendix C Listing of Typical Purchased Equipment

List of figures
Figure 1 Part 52 Licensing Process
Figure 2 Plant COD by Year
Figure 3 Potential Total New NPP
Figure 4 New NPP by Technology
Figure 5 NPP COD by Current Licensing Status
Figure 6 CODs by Region
Figure 7 New Plants by Year Optimistic Case
Figure 8 Total New Plant (Optimistic Case)
Figure 9 Wave 1 Meeting COD? & Figure 10 - Wave 1 Average Delay
Figure 11 Reasons for Wave 1 Delay
Figure 12 Wave 2 Meet COD? & Figure 13 - Wave 2 Delay?
Figure 14 Reasons for Wave 2 Delay
Figure 15 Wave 3 Meet COD? & Figure 16 - Wave 3 Delay
Figure 17 Reasons for Wave 3 Delays
Figure 18 Wave 4 Restart? & Figure 19 – Wave 4 Delay
Figure 20 Reasons for Wave 4 Delay
Figure 21 Wave 5 Build Rate
Figure 22 New Plants by Year Realistic Case
Figure 23 Total New Plants Realistic Case
Figure 24 New Plants by Year-Worst Case
Figure 25 Total New Plants - Worst Case
Figure 26 Overnight Cost Breakdown
Figure 27 Purchased Reactor Equipment Value
Figure 28 Representative Makeup of Purchased Reactor Equipment (EEDB Code 22) Value for Passive NPP
Figure 29 Representative Makeup of Purchased Reactor Equipment (EEDB Code 22) Value for Active NPP
Figure 30 Nuclear Heat Exchanger Market
Figure 31 Nuclear Valve Market
Figure 32 Nuclear Grade Pump Market
Figure 33 Nuclear Grade Tank Market

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The US Nuclear New Build Market for Component Suppliers
How to capitalize o n the rapidly growing nuclear component market to drive sales in the US market

Main AUTHOR: Richard S. Turk


Rick Turk has over 39 years of experience in nuclear power industry since receiving his B.S. and
M.S. in Nuclear Engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. The vast majority of that time has
been spent in the areas of new plant build and advanced plant design. Mr. Turk was Engineering
Manager at ABB-CE for the development, design integration and NRC Certification of the System 80+
Standardized Plant which is currently the bases for the Korean APR1400, next generation reactor.

Recently he has been extensively involved in numerous design and process improvement projects
within the Nuclear Power Industry in preparation for the first new plant Engineer, Procure and
Construct (EPC) contracts. Prior to that, he coordinated research and development projects for new
plant designs including PBMR, AP1000, APR 1400 and IRIS. He has been involved with the nuclear
industry ALWR program since its inception, managing various programs in support of the EPRI
Utility Requirements Document, NRC Design Certification of ALWRs and DOE’s NERI and Nuclear
Power 2010 programs.

About Nuclear Energy Insider


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