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TABLE I. Prognostic Indicators Associated With Better Post-ResectionSurvival for Various Tumor Histologies
(Univariate Analysis)*
Breast
[17] 50 Neg NS >18 13 12
nodes
Colorectal
[I91 66 NS NS NS NS NS 1" >24b 42 38
[18] 35 +c NS" NS 22
[21] 27 NSd NSaZd 27 9
[20] 27 NS NS NS NS NS NS" + >24 35 21
[22] 62 NS NS NS NS 1a.e NS 24 42
Osteogenic sarcoma
[ l l ] 38 NS NS NS 54 NS + NS
[16] 39 NS Male NS <4 <6 + NS 20 38'
[23] 38 NS NS NS s3 54 NS + >6 26 40
[24] 27 1 >12 28 47 (@3 yr)
[25] 32 NS + NS 24 32
[26] 20 NS NS NS + NS 37
Soft tissue sarcomas
[ll] 67 NS NS NS 14 >20d t >I2
[27] 67 NS NS NS s4 <16 >20d + >12 18 10
[28] 63 NS NS NS NS 55 53 NS NS + >I2 20.3 27
[29] 28 NS NS 35g
Ewing's sarcoma
[31] 19 s4 + NS 28h 15h.i
Melanoma
[32] 31 NSJ NS NS NS NS 13.0 78
[33] 47 + NS 19.0 25'
[34] 17 NS NS 16.5 11.1
Renal
[301 44 NS NS NS NS NSk ~NS >24 33 21
1351 39 NS" + NS 36 32.7
*REF, reference; CT, computerized tomography; TOMO, full lung linear tomograms; METS, metastases; TDT, tumor doubling time; RESECT,
resectability; DFI, disease free interval between control of primary tumor and identification of pulmonary metastases; NS, not significant.
"Solitary vs. multiple.
bBorderline significance (P = 0. I).
'Dukes' A had better survival than Dukes' C.
dP values not presented.
"Patients with metastasis <3 cm had better survival.
'Addition of adjuvant therapy did not influence survival.
gEstimated.
hResectable patients only.
'Metastases occurring after primary chemotherapy were associated with better survival than patients with pulmonary metastases developing
during primary chemotherapy.
'Nodal status was not significant.
kPatients with largest metastasis resected 2 3 cm (n = 11) had better survival.
indicate a poorer prognosis following resection as these sarcoma in two [23,24] of six studies demonstrated a
metastases may be multiple and rapidly growing. survival advantage with a DFI of >6 months [23] or > 12
In patients with breast carcinoma 1171 a DFI of >18 months 1241 in contrast to other studies which demon-
months was associated with a prolonged post-resection strated no such advantage [11,16,25,26]. In soft tissue
survival. Two of four studies of colorectal carcinoma sarcomas, a DFI of > 12 months [I 1,27,28] was usually
[19,20] demonstrated a survival advantage in those pa- associated with a better post-resection survival. One
tients with a DFI greater than 24 months. However, two study did not observe any survival advantage [29].
studies demonstrated no survival advantage [ 18,211. One One study of patients with metastatic renal cell carci-
additional study did not evaluate DFI [22]. noma demonstrated longer post-resection survival in
Patients with pulmonary metastases from osteogenic those patients with a DFI of >24 months [30]. Evalua-
294 Putnam and Roth
tion of patients with Ewing’s sarcoma [311, melanoma in patients with pulmonary metastases from renal cell
[32-341, or renal carcinoma [35] did not reveal differ- carcinoma [30,35], melanoma 132-341, osteogenic sar-
ences in survival based on DFI. coma [25], or soft tissue sarcoma [28,29] was not influ-
enced by the number of metastases resected.
UNILATERAL OR BILATERAL DISEASE
Unilateral or bilateral pulmonary metastases per se do TUMOR DOUBLING TIME
not influence post-resection survival [23,27]. The num- Tumor doubling time (TDT) has been analyzed for
ber of nodules is a more precise prognostic indicator than multiple tumor types and is based on original observa-
unilaterality or bilaterality . tions by Collins et al. 1381 as calculated by Joseph et al.
[39,40]. The tumor doubling time is calculated by mea-
NUMBER OF NODULES ON PREOPERATIVE suring the same nodule on similar studies (for example
ROENTGENOGRAPHIC STUDIES serial chest roentgenograms) which are separated by a
Computerized tomography has replaced linear tomo- minimum of 10-14 days. Tumor doubling time can be
grams as the examination of choice in patients with sus- easily calculated by plotting changing diameters of pul-
pected pulmonary metastases. CT scans of the chest pro- monary metastases on semilogarithmic paper; however,
vide a sensitive and specific study for patients with pul- graphical error may be present. A mathematical formula
monary metastases [36,37]. CT scans of the chest are may be used to calculate more precisely the tumor dou-
quite sensitive and will identify smaller nodules (7.6 bling time and minimize graphical error.
mm) earlier than conventional linear tomography. These
nodules may or may not be metastases. Theoretically, M1 (Measurement 1) = S
earlier detection and treatment of metastases could im- M2 (Measurement 2) = M
prove survival. However, in one study which detected T = Number of days between measurements
occult metastases during median sternotomy with bilat- Tumor doubling time= T [In ?43 * In (M/S)]
eral lung exploration, survival was not improved over = 0.231 * T/ln (M/S)
patients having a single thoracotomy, even though a sig-
nificant percentage of these patients would be expected Initially pulmonary metastases grow exponentially
to have occult metastases [9]. (rapid TDT), and with increased size, the growth rate
In patients with osteogenic or soft tissue sarcomas, may diminish (slower TDT). This growth may be ex-
better post-resection survival was found in patients with pressed by “Gompertzian” kinetics [41,42], which con-
fewer number of nodules identified on preoperative full siders this gradual diminution in TDT with time and
lung linear tomograms or CT scans of the chest. CT increased size of the metastasis. Whether the growth rate
scans are more sensitive and better survival was noted in is linear, exponential, or Gompertzian may be difficult to
those patients with <4 nodules identified on CT scans discern for groups of patients. The growth rate measured
with osteogenic sarcoma [16], and those with G.5 nod- over a few weeks represents a brief period in the lifetime
ules in soft tissue sarcomas [28]. Full lung tomograms of the metastasis. Although it is assumed this growth rate
(FLT) were performed in several studies. Patients with is linear, this may not always be correct.
<4 metastases identified on FLT in osteogenic sarcoma TDT is not a significant predictor of post-resection
[11,23] or G4 nodules on FLT in soft tissue sarcomas survival in patients with pulmonary metastases from os-
[ 11,27,28] had better post-resection survival than those teogenic sarcoma [ 11,231. TDT of >20 days in patients
individuals with more nodules. with soft tissue sarcomas did predict better post-thora-
cotomy survival than those patients with more rapid tu-
NUMBER OF METASTASES RESECTED mor doubling times. One study of patients with soft tis-
Usually, the fewer the number of pulmonary me- sue sarcomas [28] failed to find any correlation between
tastases at the time of resection the better the post- TDT and post-resection survival.
resection survival. Patients with pulmonary metastases All metastases do not grow at the same rate. In general
from colorectal carcinoma usually have only one or two metastases from the same primary grow at similar rates
metastases. Patients with only one metastasis identified although differing growth rates between tumor nodules
and resected [19,22] had a better survival than those may reflect heterogeneity of metastases from the pri-
patients with more than one metastasis although this was mary. The tumor doubling time may indirectly reveal the
not consistent in all studies [18,20,21]. Patients with <5 underlying biological nature of the metastases and as
1231 or <4 [24] metastases resected from patients with such influence the patient’s post-resection survival.
osteogenic sarcoma or < 16 metastases in soft tissue sar-
comas [27] had a better post-resection survival than pa- CHOICE OF RESECTION
tients with more metastases resected. Patients with bilateral metastases may be safely ex-
Post-resection survival following complete resection plored with either a median sternotomy or staged bilat-
Prognostic Indicators For Lung Metastases 295
eral thoracotomies. Either approach is safe and post- compared to soft tissue sarcoma metastases where TDT,
resection survival is similar. We advocate a median ster- number of metastases on preoperative full lung tomo-
notomy for the initial exploration in patients with grams, and disease free interval, combined, gave a better
unilateral or bilateral nodules. Prior evaluation of pa- predictive ability than any single factor or pair of factors.
tients with osteogenic or soft tissue sarcomas with uni- Use of multivariate analysis may allow more accurate
lateral pulmonary nodules demonstrated bilateral spread prediction of post-resection survival and allow better pa-
in 38%-60% of patients [8,9]. tient selection.
Numbers of nodules, presence of unilateral or bilateral
nodules, location, and the size of various nodules can be RESECTABILITY
identified, and if required, resected through a median Resectability is the major factor which correlated with
stemotomy. Mediastinal lymph nodes can also be exam- improved post-thoracotomy survival for patients with
ined for potentially rare involvement from pulmonary pulmonary metastases. Only two studies [melanoma
metastases [27]. In this manner, a complete exploration [32], renal cell carcinoma [30]] suggested that a com-
and resection of all abnormal areas may be accom- plete resection was NOT associated with better post-
plished. All lobes may be resected through a median thoracotomy survival. If pulmonary metastases cannot be
sternotomy; however, a left lower lobectomy may be completely removed, the post-thoracotomy survival is
difficult and a left thoracotomy may provide better ex- shortened for patients with most tumors in comparison to
posure for a complete resection. Every effort should be those individuals completely resected.
made to completely resect all nodules with a margin of Pulmonary metastases may recur in the lungs follow-
normal tissue. Nodules should not be “shelled out” as ing resection. Resection of new pulmonary metastases in
viable tumor cells remain on the periphery of the resected soft tissue sarcoma patients will provide the patient with
area. Often the decision as adequacy of margin is the enhanced survival over unresectable patients despite re-
surgeon’s alone as lung parenchyma may become dis- recurrence in the lungs [lo].
torted around the nodule after resection giving the false
illusion of a “positive” or “close” margin. NODAL OR ENDOBRONCHIAL METASTASES
MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF Involvement of mediastinal lymph nodes from pulmo-
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS nary metastases is rare [27]. When mediastinal lymph
Combining separate prognostic variables together may node involvement does occur in soft tissue sarcoma pa-
enhance the predictive value for post-resection survival. tients [28] survival is significantly worse (5 months)
Meyer et al. [16] found significant differences in post- compared to those patients without nodal metastases (3 1
resection survival in patients with pulmonary metastases months). Endobronchial metastases in patients with adult
from osteogenic sarcoma. Male patients with five or soft tissue sarcomas have a short post-resection survival.
fewer nodules detected either radiologically or during Seven of 11 patients with endobronchial metastases lived
surgery had a median survival of 560 days as compared 6 months or less [43].
to women with more than 5 nodules, who had a median
survival of only 128 days. Putnam et al. [23] however CONCLUSIONS
found that in patients with pulmonary metastases from Patients with pulmonary metastases may be catego-
osteogenic sarcoma that the number of nodules on pre- rized by various prognostic indicators to define the bio-
operative tomograms, and the disease free interval (the logical nature of the metastases, to predict post-resection
two best predictors of post-thoracotomy survival) had no survival, and to assist the clinician in selecting patients
significant increase in predictive ability when combined who will benefit from surgery. No single criterion will
as compared to either alone. Jablons et al. [28] examined predict which patients will have enhanced long-term sur-
the disease free interval, sex, resectability , and truncal vival following resection, although patients who can be
location in patients with pulmonary metastases from completely resected of all pulmonary metastases tend to
soft tissue sarcomas as a single prognostic indicator have improved post-thoracotomy survival regardless of
and found it to be the best predictor of post-thoracot- tumor histology. Prognostic factors are heterogeneous
omy survival. Putnam et al. [27] examined DFI > 12 among different tumor histologies. Factors predictive for
months, TDT > 20 days, S 4 nodules on preoperative one type of tumor are frequently not predictive for an-
full lung tomograms as a single prognostic indicator in other. Various prognostic indicators used together may
patients with pulmonary metastases from soft tissue sar- be better than any single prognostic indicator. Multivari-
comas and found that it was the best predictor of post- ate analyses of combinations of prognostic indicators in
thoracotomy survival. Roth et al. [ 1I] found that in os- patients with osteogenic or soft tissue sarcomas may be
teogenic sarcoma, no combination of prognostic indica- helpful in deciding which patients would not benefit
tors added any significant increase in predictive ability from surgery and should be offered other therapy. The
2% Putnam and Roth
use of prognostic indicators to select patients who will 21. Goya T, Miyazawa N, Kondo H, et al: Surgical resection of
pulmonary metastases from colorectal cancer: Ten year follow-
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patients from surgical resection. 206, 1988.
25. Goorin AM, Delorey MJ, Lack EE, et al: Prognostic significance
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