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Introduction
1. Background
Milk is said to be the most complete food item because of its great biological value as it contains
a variety of nutrients and these nutrients in milk help make it nature’s most nearly perfect food.
Improving human nutrition plays an important role to achieve food security. Dairy products have
a unique contribution to nutritional status as well as health status of the smallholder household
members.
On the other hand, Ethiopia has a huge livestock resource but the country is not self-sufficient in
animal products and is a net importer of dairy foods. In the country, the average daily energy
intake is estimated to be 1610 kcal/person/year (FAO,1994).
There is rapid growth number of student in the university. This factor has played an important
role to increase the demand for dairy products especially in the university. The demand for dairy
products depends on consumer preference, consumer’s income, population size, price of the
product, price of substitutes and other factors.
Zenzelima village is good for agricultural potential, with great access of raw material (milk)
for the production of milk products. In the town, there is fast growing dairy production and many
households are engaged in dairy production for their income and consumption. Availability of
feed, veterinary suppliers and also access to market help them to expand their dairy
production.To solve all the above problems and to make use of all the opportunities in the town
we decided to plant our enterprise around zenzelima village.
Ethiopian livestock breeds are with low milk production and difficult to think business out of
milk at household level. Very few entrepreneurs have started milk and milk products using
exotic dairy breeds around and in big cities like Addis Ababa. Presently, in most of the big shops
and supermarkets of Addis there are milk and milk products in short supply.
Besides to the production background, the supplying area is un accessible milk and milk product
. In the past two or three years ago the supplying area (student cafe) has access to use the product
even if the present in the student cafe, that is not sufficient to balance the demand .In fact now
most the student are interesting to use milk and milk product, but still there is scarcity of
supplying the product. Having these idea in mind we motivated to start a small business in order
to solve the problem as well as creating job opportunity for us by supplying milk and milk
products for student cafe.
Objectives
Objectives of this feasibility study of the project are:
To understanding the feasibility study of milk and milk products supplying and
enterprise
To improve and satisfy the demand and supply milk products for the customer
After proceed of this project, the goals and objectives of the enterprise are:
To supply milk and milk products for customers in Bahir dar university and where there
is no access to these products.
To be a best profitable in milk supplying business enterprise .
To ensure and provide milk products in modern ways to our customers.
In generally our goal is to run a business through milk by supplying to the end user of the
processed product.
2. PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Generally, the initial step in starting new business venture is to find out suitable business model.
As entrepreneurs looking for different alternative scenarios and analyzing them thoroughly from
social, economical and environmental prospective is very important. Hence, we develop some
business model as alternative and finally select the best business model (alternative), so that the
business venture becomes sustainable.
Factors to be considered while selecting the appropriate business model are:
Accessible of resource
Availability of competitors
Technical and financial suitability
Availability of potential customers
Social, economical and situation etc.
Assuming all the above factors, analysis and evaluation of business have been made and finally
milk and milk product supplying enterprise is selected. The enterprise is to be located in
Zenzelima village, which is 5km from Bahir Dar. The size of this plant depends on the number
of employee and the processing capacity. In the beginning, the enterprise has about 20
employees and capacity of processing about 1300litre of milk per day. So it can be called small
business. In the future, the enterprise will have the aim of being one of the largest milk
processing and supplying industries in our country.
Relationship to the surroundings geographical area
Milk product and supplying has many impacts, which are economic and social impact. The
economic and social impact that milk products and supplying address is:
Income opportunities for the employers
A supply of processed milk for the local customers
Full filling the interest demand of milk for the users of the processed milk and milk
products
Environmental impact: Since Zenzelima village is geographically comfortable for milk
product. This is because of it’s good weather condition. The following are the environmental
impact:
The waste disposed from cattles and other milk supply animals deteriorate the
surrounding environment
Overgrazing
Feasibility Analysis:-is analysis of the viability of generated idea through a disciplined and
documented process of thinking through the proposed idea starting from its logical beginning
to its final.
Generation of ideas
The following points are to be considered while generating new project ideas:-
Shortage of service or product in the student cafe
Identification of unsatisfied demand
To fulfill students interest, etc.
Due to considering all the above source of project ideas, it is possible to generate different
project ideas that are listed in the description of the project. Feasibility analysis consists of the
following analysis as shown above.
Technical analysis
Market analysis
Financial analysis
Economic and ecological analysis
3. Market feasibility
3.1 Enterprise description
Size & scope of the industry
The size &scope of milk supplying industry depends on the following points:
Number of employees, demands of the customer, capital investment, etc
Milk supplying industry is today not growing as demand of milk product in our country.
This means much to be done to satisfy this different customer demands.
At the beginning, the enterprise is a medium sized business, which has 10-20 employees.
But, it will grow to large supplying firm when starting producing at its full capacity.
Scope of the enterprise ranges from producing milk products to using crossbreed cows and
produce milk from own farm to fulfill requirement of raw milk.
The enterprise product can also have different market segments to satisfy the demands of the
customer & to get acceptance at different level of living standards. So, the possible market
segments are:
Supplying milk for poly campus
Supplying milk for peda campus
Supplying milk for FB campus
Future direction of the industry
In the future, the enterprise can have the following direction:
Increasing the production capacity from 1300 to about 10,000litres per day.
Increasing the supply from own farm (from own cows).
Establish production & distribution centers in different parts of our country to fulfill large
population demand.
Increasing market share of our products.
Changing size of enterprise from medium business to large scale producing firm& etc are
the future direction of our enterprise.
Nature of the industry
The consumption and demand of milk is in an increasing order as we have tried to discus above.
This means that the demand of milk increases constantly in stable manner. So, the enterprise is
going through constant & stable system in production & marketing. Since the demand of milk
increase at different levels of life standards, it can increase production capacity & market
segmentation to fulfill this demand. On the other hand the enterprise will rapidly change it self or
restructuring when different change takes place in the environment to cope up with it. Some of
these problems that cause the enterprise to change are: Whether conditions, Power supply,
Government policy, and Competition.
The enterprise has to change itself to withstand this problem for a long time & not to be out of
the market.
Life cycle of industry
The industry life cycle refers to the succession of stage an industry goes through.
Identifying the life cycle helps the industry in the following ways:
o To know where the product exist at this moment.
o Predict what may happen in the future.
o To select the appropriate strategies to be followed.
o To identify competitors at different stages.
All manufacturing industry can involve in different stages of life cycle. This are:
A. Introduction.
B. Growth stage.
C. Maturity stage.
D. Decline stage.
The life cycle of the industry depends the types of product. Therefore, the life cycle of any
industry has direct relation with the life cycle of the product.
Considering milk product, the products have continuous demand and the demand increases as
number of people and economic standard of our country increases.
Therefore, the enterprise will have long life cycle, if other things like the management and
supply remaining stable. So, to determine life cycle of enterprise it is good specially to concern
introduction, growth and maturity stages.
Tija 10*3000=30000per yr
2008 milk 1260 15120 453600 +100000=
Tija 10*10000=100000
3.5 Access to market outlets
The product is distributed to the customers through different techniques.
By supplying to student cafeteria directly.
4. Technical feasibility
4.1. Facility needs
The technical analysis of new enterprise is primarily concerned with analyzing the following
facility needs:-material input and utilities, Location and site, Product type, manufacturing
process/technology, plant capacity, machinery and equipment, manpower requirement and civil
work.
4.2 suitability process and technology
Technology required for manufacturing product/service of two or more alternative technology is
available. These include:
Completely manual
Completely automated
Combination of the two
The most common type of technology is combination of the two and also we select it from
producing its product due to the following reasons:-
The plant capacity is small,
These technology will allow us to utilize local raw milk and local man power,
The technology will not distribute ecological balance.
Manufacturing process
After the fresh milk is received its filler and dumped into dump tank. Then it is chilled with the
help of chiller, so that the growth of bacteria is minimized. On average fresh milk contains 4.5 %
fat will be reduced to 3.5% with the help of cream separator. The separated cream further
processed to produce butter. The remaining milk after the cream is separated from it will further
processed to produce different products like powder, cheese, yoghurt and liquid milk.
4.3 Location and site
To compete and give long life for industry or plant to be implemented, selection of appropriate
and suitable site is very important. This is the first step while establishing new plant (enterprise).
While selecting location and site for the enterprise, we have to consider the following factor.
Access to raw material,
Suitability of weather condition for animal
Accessibility to market
Due to enough qualified labor,
Suitability of land,
Due to nearest to Addis Ababa town where tahe people are more dense
Community receptiveness and etc.
Although it is difficult to fulfill all of the above factors while locating an enterprise, priority
should be given for critical factors like proximity to raw material and market and also
availability of infrastructure etc. By considering all factors, we decided to select a site for the
enterprise in Oromia region, North Shewa zone around Fitche town.
Relativity to market
Proximity to market is very critical factor in site selection. Some of the products should be
delivered to customers as soon as possible; accordingly, the site selected has good access to
market. Since, Fitche is almost neighbor for big towns of the country like Addis Ababa, Bahir
Dar and Gabra Guracha the enterprise can sell its products easily. The enterprise can also sell
its product in small town around Fitche. Beside this absence of competitor around this site will
allow the enterprise to accommodate all the market that is why we say Fitche has good market
accessibility.
Proximity to raw materials
Another critical factor that determines the life of an enterprise is its proximity to raw material.
So, it is one factor that priority should be given too. As mentioned earlier basic raw material is
milk and it has, availability around Fitche is very high due to the following reasons:-
Farmers around Fitche are well known pastoralist and they can sell enough milk to the
enterprise.
The enterprise can get milk in low price because there is no more that much competitive
enterprise around there.
Availability of infrastructure
These include availability of the following:-
Transportation
Communications
Power
Water
Financial institutions
Health center etc.
Even though, Fitche does meet all the point mentioned above, the most important infrastructure
for the enterprise is available.
Material input and utilities:
This is primarily concerned with defining the material and utilities required and specifying their
properties in some detail in raw material estimation.
4.4 Raw material estimation
Basic raw material or input for milk and milk product processing enterprise is raw milk
(unprocessed milk). This raw material can be collected in two ways:-
A. From enterprise’s own farm and
B. From the surrounding farmers and local suppliers
The proportion of intake from two sources depends on plant raw material intake capacity. By
considering many factors, the enterprise is needed to have capacity of processing 3000L of raw
milk per day. Twenty percent of this milk is to be supplied from enterprise’s own farm. The
enterprise is supposed to own 85 cows. From these cows, 65 of them are assumed to give milk. It
is possible to get about 15-20 liters per day from one cow if they are cross breed. Therefore the
total amount raw milk supplied from own farm is as follows:-
The following Simple calculation is used to calculate the amount of maximum and minimum
milk source per day.
Minimum= (number of cows*liters of milk/cow)
=65cows*15 liters/cow
=975litres/day
Maximum =65 cows *20 liters/cow
=1300 liters/day
Hence it is possible to get a total of (975 -1300) liters per day from own cows. The remaining
1700 liters is supplied from surrounding farmers.
Cost of raw milk
As we mentioned above the raw milk is come from local farmers and from own cows. Hence the
cost of raw milk includes the following:-
i. Costs related with cows.
ii. Cost of raw milk from suppliers.
Cost of raw milk from outside suppliers
This is the cost incurred to buy milk from outside suppliers. As we know, the current price of one
liters of fresh milk is about 6-8 birr. The expected amount of milk to get from suppliers is 1700
liters. Therefore, the total cost of this milk can be from 10,200-13,600 birr per day. By being
pessimist, the total cost of raw milk per day would be 13,600birr. The amount of milk supplied
by enterprise’s own cows is 18 %( 975-1300 liters) of the total intake. In this case the cost of raw
milk is the cost of feeding cows as tabulated bellow.
This total cost (41 birr per day per cows) is the cost of food needed for cows which are supplying
milk, the cost of cows which are not supplying milk due to different reasons like, pregnancy,
medical conditions (illness) and etc are considered in idle costs. The money that is found from
selling their calf after they gave birth compensates this cost idleness of cows. Hence total cost of
feeding per day= number of cows *cost per cows
=85*41
=3485 birr/day
Therefore total cost raw material is the sum of the above two costs, that is:-
=13,600 birr + 3,485 birr
=17,085 birr/day
The cost of raw milk from our cows = (total cost of food for cows)/ (milk per liters)
=3485/975
=3.57 birr/liters………………….. (Maximum)
=3485/1300
=2.68birr ……………… (Minimum)
This shows cost of one liters of milk obtained from own cows is less than that of buying from
farmers; this is why it is good to invest money to buy cows. Hence average cost of one liter is
total cost of having divided by number of liters obtained that is 17085/3000=5.7 birr/ liters.
Future availability of raw material:
Proximity of raw material defines the accessibility raw material, if and only if, its future
availability is assured. In the future since production capacity of Enterprise will increase, it is
necessary that there are direct relationships between the availability of raw material and its
capacity. At current conditions the raw material requirement of the enterprise is up to 3000litres,
but this will increase by 4% each year. To fulfill this requirement the following actions should be
taken:-
The enterprise should increase the number of its cows in relation to its requirement and
the responsibility of collecting fresh milk should be given to another body, so that they will
follow their strategy to collect the required amount of raw milk.
As mentioned above most of Fitche farmer are pastoralists, hence it is easy to get the required
amount of raw milk in the future by taking the action mentioned above.
Quality of raw milk
Raw milk that is supplied from different sources are not directly processed, rather it is inspected.
If the inspected raw milk is within the range of the specifications, it will directly pass into the
next process. However, if the milk is not in the specified range, rectification action will be taken.
Range of specifications
Quality of raw milk should meet the specifications supposed by ISO 9010 and food quality
agency. These specifications are:-
a) Fresh milk should have only 3.5% fat
b) The viscosity (solidity) of milk 9%
In addition, the raw milk get contains 4.5% fat and 6.75% of solid content. To come up with
standard, the following action is taken.1% of fat is removed the help of cream separator,
The viscosity (solidity) of milk is increased to the required level by adding milk powder. This
corrective action is taken while it is in process. In such a way, we produce quality product.
4.5 Other inputs
Labor and man power requirement
Total of 50 man power can handle the operation of the enterprise easily. Technical staff with
certificate or diploma is sufficient to look after specific tasks at plant except qualified laboratory
staff, senior mechanic (operator) and managerial staff.
Manager 1
Laboratory technicians 3
Machine operator 6
Helper 3
Marketing and sales supervision 1
Distribution supervisor 1
Watch man 3
Driver 2
Office clerk 1
Milkier 10
Cow feeder 5
Cleaner 4
Maintenance
Senior mechanic 1
Mechanic 1
Helper 3
5. Financial feasibility
Financial analysis is the process of determining the project capital requirement, total project sale
& revenue& means of financing the project.
5.1. Total capital requirement
Is the overall capital needs to start the project. This capital requirement for the enterprise
includes:
Land
Building /infrastructure
Furniture & fixture/office equipments
Pre operating cost/startup cost
Vehicle(second hand)
Cows
Equipments
Working capital (contingency & insurance capital)
Land and building cost
The total land required for the enterprise is about 28,000 square meters including cows feeding
areas.
Area(sq meter) Construction
Description cost(birr)
Managerial 80 25,000
building
Store rooms 30 13,000
Factory 160 100,000
Wash rooms 70 25,000
Pavement and drive 60 5000
way
Grounds 100
Cows feed 27,500 3485
Total 28,000 171,485
Machinery requirement
Item Cost(birr)
Shelves 2000
Tables & seats 5000
Computers 20,000
Writing materials 10,000
Other necessary 13,000
Equipments
Total 50,000
In equity financing having a share in profit is the main reason that individuals or organization
acquire ownership of certain business. Based on the amount of shares of stocks, the enterprise
should distribute surplus profit among stockholders. From total profit 10% is divided or
distributed among stockholders according to their share amount in the enterprise.
Expense Cost/year(birr)
Cost of labor 781200
Cost of buying milk 10778000
Cow related cost 1272025
Transportation (fuel) cost 158500
Chemicals 70,000
Electric 8115.2
Office material 40,000
Spare part cost 25,000
Water 3504
Total cost 13,136,344.2birr/year
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
From the above table break, even point can be calculated as follows:
Overall expenses
=4,308,020/9109220=47%
47% represent the breakeven point for the enterprise as long as the sales mix does not change. If
the sales mix changes, then the breakeven point will also change. Therefore in case of this
enterprise, the total cost of production is calculated in the previous section. i.e. the variable cost
for years (1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6) and fixed cost throughout the life of the industry life cycle. Almost all
the investment cost is returned at the first year of the industry’s life. The investment cost tends to
increase as number of product unit produced per period increase. This tendency is refers to be the
law of diminishing returns.
Returns under various conditions
The price and sales volume of enterprise’s product may vary due to many reasons through out
the year. Some of these reasons are:
Season-1 Season-2
Product Production Price/unit Sales Production Price/unit Sales
type capacity/day capacity/day
Fresh 2000liter 5.5birr 11,000 1000liter 5.5birr 5500
milk
Cheese 500kg 12birr 6000 300kg 6 1800
Butter 160kg 100birr 16,000 160kg 80birr 12,800
Yoghurt 250liter 9birr 2250 250liter 9birr 2250
Powder 150kg 60birr 9000 250kg 60birr 15,000
Total sales 44,250birr/day 25,830birr/day
General Manger
Manager
Secretarial
Quality Other
Machine
assurance operator employeer
Reference
Ahmed M A M, Ehui S and Yemesrach Assefa 2004 Dairy development in Ethiopia. EPTD
discussion paper No. 123. International Food Policy Research Institute. Washington, DC 20006
U.S.A.